WEBVTT - The Cycle: Rounding The Bases (Ep. 990) 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:02.240 Ryan Reynolds here for mint Mobile. I don't know if 0:00:02.240 --> 0:00:05.080 you knew this, but anyone can get the same premium 0:00:05.120 --> 0:00:08.200 wireless for fifteen dollars a month plan that I've been enjoying. 0:00:08.360 --> 0:00:11.039 It's not just for celebrities. So do like I did 0:00:11.280 --> 0:00:13.680 and have one of your assistants assistants switch you to 0:00:13.760 --> 0:00:16.640 Midmobile today. I'm told it's super easy to do at 0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:17.799 minmobile dot com. 0:00:17.840 --> 0:00:21.279 Slash and switch upfront paymental forty five dollars for three 0:00:21.280 --> 0:00:24.320 month plan equivalent to fifteen dollars per month required intro 0:00:24.400 --> 0:00:27.240 rate first three months only, then full price plan options available, 0:00:27.320 --> 0:00:35.360 taxes and feesextra ffal terms at mintmobile dot com. 0:00:35.440 --> 0:00:38.680 Hello everybody, Welcome into the cycle. I am Ryan Warmley, 0:00:38.760 --> 0:00:42.479 joined as always by Mike Mayer. We are talking a 0:00:42.479 --> 0:00:44.479 whole bunch of stuff around in the basis here in 0:00:44.520 --> 0:00:46.640 our first segment. We'll have a couple of other shows 0:00:46.880 --> 0:00:48.720 on both audio and video where we talk about some 0:00:48.800 --> 0:00:51.839 buys and seals and waiver picks and pitching streamers and 0:00:51.880 --> 0:00:54.520 our two star pitcher competition and all the usual stuff 0:00:54.520 --> 0:00:56.880 that we do every single week. This is our first 0:00:56.920 --> 0:00:59.280 video of the cycle this week, however, where we are 0:00:59.320 --> 0:01:01.240 rounding the basis to talking about some of our favorite topics. 0:01:01.280 --> 0:01:03.760 We're going to be drafting some of our early favorite breakouts, 0:01:03.800 --> 0:01:05.959 and really the way we're framing it is breakouts that 0:01:05.959 --> 0:01:08.720 we most believe in and are buying into. We're going 0:01:08.760 --> 0:01:12.160 to talk about your early you know, you could say 0:01:12.200 --> 0:01:14.039 way too early. Really at this point is probably just early, 0:01:14.080 --> 0:01:16.520 not way too early, but your early risers and followers 0:01:16.880 --> 0:01:18.880 in your rankings. You are one of our most accurate 0:01:18.959 --> 0:01:22.679 rankers here, Fantasy Pros and anywhere based on our tracking 0:01:22.680 --> 0:01:25.920 and our accuracy competition. So we'll see how your early 0:01:26.000 --> 0:01:28.920 rankings are looking. We'll talk about some injuries, all that 0:01:29.200 --> 0:01:31.480 fun stuff. How are you doing today, Mayor. 0:01:31.520 --> 0:01:33.200 I'm doing all right. I don't know if you've ever 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:36.120 given me a compliment like that before. You acknowledge my 0:01:36.240 --> 0:01:38.280 ranking success, so I'm doing even better now. 0:01:38.920 --> 0:01:42.160 It felt gross coming out, but it's just it's just math. 0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:45.360 Like you finish high in the rankings, it's kind of undeniable, 0:01:45.480 --> 0:01:49.000 so I can't like twist it. You know, sometimes we 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:51.520 can argue about like who won the two star pitcher contest? 0:01:51.680 --> 0:01:54.160 Or oh this is a terrible bi low pick, Like 0:01:54.320 --> 0:01:56.480 you can't argue with the success. You are a very 0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:59.320 accurate ranker, so everybody should be paying attention to your 0:01:59.360 --> 0:02:03.800 rankings and guys that you're rising and following in those rankings. 0:02:03.960 --> 0:02:07.320 It's also, by the time this gets released, the first 0:02:07.400 --> 0:02:09.120 round at least of the draft will have happened. But 0:02:09.200 --> 0:02:11.560 it's also drafted, so we're That's kind of why I 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:15.000 wanted to include some sort of draft version into this 0:02:15.040 --> 0:02:18.080 when we're talking about those breakouts. But you know, we're 0:02:18.120 --> 0:02:21.000 excited that you and I are sitting pretty every draft 0:02:21.120 --> 0:02:24.560 night because we are the two teams Ravens and Eagles 0:02:24.880 --> 0:02:28.520 that every year it's a guarantee whoever gets drafted, everybody 0:02:28.919 --> 0:02:32.960 somebody is going to tweet the Jesse Pinkman breaking bad meme. 0:02:33.360 --> 0:02:35.880 They can't keep getting away with this when when one 0:02:35.919 --> 0:02:38.560 of Eric DeCosta Howie Roseman makes a draft pick, it 0:02:38.639 --> 0:02:40.400 is a lot. That's the best bet you can make 0:02:40.400 --> 0:02:41.480 tonight that that will happen. 0:02:41.880 --> 0:02:43.919 Yeah, I was just tweeting, not tweeting. I was just 0:02:43.960 --> 0:02:48.120 texting with Debro before the show because he was and 0:02:48.200 --> 0:02:50.959 we'll get back to baseball in a second, but he 0:02:51.000 --> 0:02:53.960 was just he's submitting his mock draft for like the 0:02:54.000 --> 0:02:56.640 mock draft accuracy contest on Fantasy Pros and he was 0:02:56.680 --> 0:02:58.440 just kind of like, hey, does anything look off to you? 0:02:58.520 --> 0:03:00.520 Like what do you think about the Eagles pick? And 0:03:00.560 --> 0:03:03.160 I was like, I don't see Walter Nolan in your 0:03:03.160 --> 0:03:06.440 first round, and if he falls to the Eagles, you're 0:03:06.440 --> 0:03:08.239 gonna get the you know, like the same thing like that, 0:03:08.280 --> 0:03:09.760 how do they keep getting away with this? Because I 0:03:09.760 --> 0:03:12.760 you know, I like Walter Nolan's going all over the place, 0:03:12.800 --> 0:03:14.560 like some people haven't like top ten, some people haven't 0:03:14.560 --> 0:03:15.800 fallen out the first round. But I was like, if 0:03:15.800 --> 0:03:18.359 he falls to the Eagles, people are going to be furious. 0:03:18.960 --> 0:03:21.200 I'm not sure. I actually I almost had a kind 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:22.519 of tongue in cheek. I don't think there are any 0:03:22.520 --> 0:03:25.320 two teams that have more benefit of the doubt, especially 0:03:25.320 --> 0:03:27.840 in the first round on draft day than like whoever 0:03:27.880 --> 0:03:29.519 the Raven Steak people are going to say, was this 0:03:29.560 --> 0:03:32.040 steal was very good? And the same thing for the Eagles, Like, 0:03:32.360 --> 0:03:34.040 you know, the Rams are really good at drafting on 0:03:34.120 --> 0:03:36.880 Day three, you know, they often don't have first round picks, 0:03:36.920 --> 0:03:39.240 like there's other good gms, but in terms of those 0:03:39.280 --> 0:03:41.360 first round draft picks, like this is really our time 0:03:41.400 --> 0:03:46.760 to shine, so we will. Yeah, well, I mean nobody's perfect. 0:03:48.040 --> 0:03:49.960 Let's get back to baseball, what people actually care about 0:03:49.960 --> 0:03:53.440 here on this show. We'll dive into ride in the bases. Uh. 0:03:53.520 --> 0:03:56.840 There weren't a ton of like overarching topics that I 0:03:56.880 --> 0:03:58.480 wanted to hit on, which is why we, like I said, 0:03:58.480 --> 0:04:00.840 we kind of did, like the draft, angle, r rises 0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:04.040 and followers, injuries, all kind of the general stuff. I 0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:06.200 did want to ask about one specific player, and it's 0:04:06.320 --> 0:04:08.480 James Wood. And the thing I wanted to ask you 0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:14.280 is he's obviously been very, very good this season. His 0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:18.640 profile is pretty unique. Given the stats we're seeing from him. 0:04:18.760 --> 0:04:20.800 He is tied. Actually, I don't know if this changed, 0:04:20.839 --> 0:04:22.479 maybe late last night when I was putting this together 0:04:22.760 --> 0:04:25.280 on Wednesday evening, he was tied for the second most 0:04:25.279 --> 0:04:29.040 home runs in baseball with eight already here in April. 0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:32.400 But he has a very very high ground ball rate 0:04:32.480 --> 0:04:34.599 fifty six point four percent of bat at balls. Again, 0:04:34.600 --> 0:04:36.200 that's going into last night, so I'm not sure if 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:38.680 that changed at all. And I do know this changed. 0:04:38.839 --> 0:04:41.920 He had a zero percent pulled fly ball percentage going 0:04:41.960 --> 0:04:44.640 into Wednesday night. He did pull that eight home run 0:04:44.720 --> 0:04:46.840 last night, which I was watching because it was against 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:50.119 the Orioles, So that is now like one point something percent, 0:04:50.240 --> 0:04:52.240 or I forget the exact number. It's no longer zero, 0:04:52.320 --> 0:04:54.200 but the point is, going into last night it was zero, 0:04:54.480 --> 0:04:56.520 and again over fifty percent of bad balls are on 0:04:56.560 --> 0:05:00.400 the ground. Are his power numbers sustainable when he is 0:05:00.480 --> 0:05:03.360 coupling both a ground ball rate and a fly ball 0:05:03.440 --> 0:05:06.040 rate going opposite field as high as he is. 0:05:06.920 --> 0:05:08.560 I think it's kind of like a catch twenty two 0:05:08.600 --> 0:05:11.279 because on the one hand, you love seeing a young 0:05:11.320 --> 0:05:13.640 hitter going the other way, especially with power the other way. 0:05:13.680 --> 0:05:15.200 But on the other hand, you would love to see 0:05:15.240 --> 0:05:17.680 a little bit more like pull power and less of 0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:21.159 a ground ball rate. So I think he's still a 0:05:21.200 --> 0:05:22.920 developing hitter. I think he's still a really good hitter. 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:24.800 I know we talked about before the season. He was 0:05:24.839 --> 0:05:26.800 someone we talked about could be a first round pick 0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:31.039 next year. And I think it's probably going to be 0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:32.719 like up and down. You're you're probably going to see 0:05:32.720 --> 0:05:35.560 some streaks like this, and then you're probably going to 0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.080 see some streaks where he probably goes cold. At least, 0:05:38.120 --> 0:05:41.440 you know, from a power standpoint, but a lot of 0:05:41.440 --> 0:05:44.200 the other data looks pretty good stack cast is pretty 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:46.839 red with all you know, expected stats like really high 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:50.720 with like exit velocity, barrel rate, hard hit percentage. They 0:05:50.760 --> 0:05:54.240 all look really really good, and so I just think 0:05:54.240 --> 0:05:57.279 we're seeing like a really good, young developing hitter who 0:05:58.080 --> 0:06:00.960 is taking balls the other way. One thing that I 0:06:00.960 --> 0:06:03.120 think is a little concerning in the profile is that 0:06:03.160 --> 0:06:05.480 he is right now, like kind of feasting on fastballs, 0:06:06.120 --> 0:06:09.760 where off speed and breaking pitches not so much. So 0:06:09.800 --> 0:06:11.800 there is a chance that that kind of comes back 0:06:11.800 --> 0:06:14.120 to bite him, especially if you're not pulling the ball. 0:06:14.240 --> 0:06:15.680 You know, you want you want to see like, you know, 0:06:15.720 --> 0:06:19.480 pulling some of those like slower pitches. Because I was looking, 0:06:19.560 --> 0:06:22.400 you know, preparing for the show. He's batting three twenty 0:06:22.440 --> 0:06:25.560 seven against fastballs, against breaking pitches, he's batting one seventy nine, 0:06:25.560 --> 0:06:29.400 and against off speed pitches batting one hundred. So that's 0:06:29.400 --> 0:06:32.000 a pretty stark contrast, and so you would want to 0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:33.279 see those numbers improve. 0:06:33.839 --> 0:06:36.600 It's even more stark if you just specifically look at 0:06:36.600 --> 0:06:40.160 four seam fastballs. It's four forty eight batting average right 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:41.719 now on those, and if you look at the run 0:06:41.800 --> 0:06:44.960 value generated on stat cast, it's still early for this 0:06:45.320 --> 0:06:49.360 for seam fastballs, it's seven and nothing else is over 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:52.520 two of any other type of pitch. So the forcing 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:56.239 fastballs especially are like that's where he's doing a lot 0:06:56.279 --> 0:06:57.200 of his damage. 0:06:57.680 --> 0:07:00.120 Yeah, but I still really like him as a a 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:02.960 young hitter and a prospect. And you know, I have 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:04.680 him in a couple of leagues. I like that I 0:07:04.680 --> 0:07:06.360 have in one of the ESPN leagues where like every 0:07:06.360 --> 0:07:08.240 time you need Homer's I get like a notification. I'm like, 0:07:08.279 --> 0:07:09.600 oh sweet, and there James would hum. 0:07:09.640 --> 0:07:12.160 Though I have him in a few weeks as well. 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:14.480 I wanted to highlight an article that came out a 0:07:14.520 --> 0:07:16.800 couple of days ago, so some of these numbers are 0:07:17.240 --> 0:07:20.200 now have been since updated, but on MLB dot com 0:07:20.200 --> 0:07:22.640 by Thomas Harrigan, where he kind of lays out that 0:07:22.720 --> 0:07:25.320 it's it's interesting that he's not pulling any fly balls, 0:07:25.400 --> 0:07:27.840 but it hasn't been a problem, and there's you know, 0:07:27.840 --> 0:07:29.840 a couple of different leader boards he provides. One of 0:07:29.880 --> 0:07:33.880 the interesting ones was his barrel rate on fly balls 0:07:34.000 --> 0:07:37.040 is extremely high because typically hitters who hit a lot 0:07:37.080 --> 0:07:39.760 of ground balls aren't generating a lot of barrels, so 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:41.600 when he does hit it in the air, he needs 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:43.559 to barrel it at a high percentage. He's at fifty 0:07:43.560 --> 0:07:46.120 five point six percent of the time this season, ten 0:07:46.200 --> 0:07:48.320 out of eighteen fly balls. Again, this is a couple 0:07:48.320 --> 0:07:49.760 of days ago, so this might have gone down. I'm 0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:52.400 just referencing the article right now. Nobody else says at 0:07:52.440 --> 0:07:55.160 that point was above fifty percent. You know, next sis 0:07:55.240 --> 0:07:57.480 was forty eight, then forty four, forty two, forty one, 0:07:57.520 --> 0:08:00.280 so he was in first by a wide margin on 0:08:00.320 --> 0:08:04.440 that range. He also has the fourth highest slugging percentage 0:08:04.440 --> 0:08:08.400 on non polled balls dating back to last season, behind 0:08:08.440 --> 0:08:11.960 only Aaron Judge, Shoheotani, and Ellie Daily Cruz. So those 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:13.720 are a couple numbers that I wanted to highlight. I 0:08:13.760 --> 0:08:15.760 just find his profile really fascinating because I think he's 0:08:15.760 --> 0:08:17.720 really really good. Like this is not me trying to 0:08:17.760 --> 0:08:21.000 say he's not a great player. I think he is. 0:08:21.040 --> 0:08:23.720 I think he's a superstar, honestly, like in the very 0:08:23.760 --> 0:08:27.840 near future, I think he's already a fantasy stud And 0:08:28.240 --> 0:08:30.680 I think it's just really fascinating to see somebody who 0:08:30.840 --> 0:08:33.120 not only isn't pulling the ball in the air, but 0:08:33.280 --> 0:08:34.960 is also hitting a lot of ground balls like the 0:08:34.960 --> 0:08:36.920 ones that he does hit in the air he has 0:08:37.000 --> 0:08:39.880 to take full advantage of and so far this season 0:08:39.920 --> 0:08:41.480 he is. Where do you think, based on what we've 0:08:41.480 --> 0:08:44.320 seen in this first month, where would you imagine he 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:46.880 kind of winds up for you going into next season. 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:50.720 Let's say I see somebody that you expect to finish 0:08:50.720 --> 0:08:53.520 as like a top ten outfielder and to be a 0:08:53.559 --> 0:08:56.640 first round pick next year. Based on these early returns, 0:08:56.760 --> 0:08:59.360 does the profile were you enough that you think if 0:08:59.360 --> 0:09:01.280 there's even a little litle bit of regression on that 0:09:01.400 --> 0:09:05.200 barrel rate, on flyballs or what have you, that maybe 0:09:05.320 --> 0:09:07.760 you're looking at more of like a you know, late 0:09:07.800 --> 0:09:09.720 second high third round pick next year. What are your 0:09:09.720 --> 0:09:11.080 expectations the rest of the way. 0:09:12.240 --> 0:09:16.560 I think probably second third round consideration. I think a 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:19.120 lot of it will also depend on how much he runs. 0:09:19.400 --> 0:09:22.240 You know, he has three stolen bases through twenty four games. 0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:24.280 If he keeps up that pace and we get kind 0:09:24.320 --> 0:09:28.560 of fifteen plus stolen bases, then that's another you know, 0:09:28.679 --> 0:09:30.120 kind of stat to kind of hang your hat on. 0:09:30.160 --> 0:09:31.760 That can can elevate him a little bit more. But 0:09:31.840 --> 0:09:35.240 I think we're still looking at probably a second round pick. 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:37.640 It's kind of interesting. It's like the inverse of what 0:09:37.679 --> 0:09:39.400 you think with Like a lot of young hitters that 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:41.760 come up there, you know, especially ones that hit for power, 0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:44.240 they usually are good at pulling the ball, and like 0:09:44.320 --> 0:09:47.000 learning to hit the ball the other way, especially with power, 0:09:47.080 --> 0:09:48.960 is kind of a learned trait. So he's kind of 0:09:48.960 --> 0:09:51.920 doing it backwards, and there are worse problems to have 0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:54.520 than being really good at hitting the ball with power 0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:55.280 the opposite field. 0:09:56.320 --> 0:09:58.160 Would you rather this will be the last question on him. 0:09:58.160 --> 0:10:03.120 Would you rather buy high or sell high? 0:10:03.520 --> 0:10:06.480 I think bye high? 0:10:06.559 --> 0:10:08.839 I think I agree because I think this stile and base. 0:10:08.920 --> 0:10:10.840 I mean, he had fourteen sole bases in like what 0:10:10.880 --> 0:10:13.280 three hundred and thirty played appearances last year. Like, I 0:10:13.320 --> 0:10:18.360 think that the stile and bases will rise, and you 0:10:18.400 --> 0:10:20.200 know if they stay a little low because he can't 0:10:20.240 --> 0:10:22.719 run because he's hitting homers, like, we'll take that trade off, 0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:26.040 right so exactly, So yeah, I would also look at 0:10:26.120 --> 0:10:27.480 him as a bye high. I do want to let 0:10:27.480 --> 0:10:30.320 everybody know, as I've been mentioning all month long, that 0:10:30.360 --> 0:10:32.439 if you want a chance to win a signed Nico 0:10:32.520 --> 0:10:35.600 Horner Cubs jersey for free, courtesy of our friends at 0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:38.079 Pristinaneauction Dot com. All you have to do is subscribe 0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:41.160 to the Fantasy pros MLB YouTube channel right now, drop 0:10:41.200 --> 0:10:43.520 a comment below on any video, and that's it. 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We'll even give you 0:11:45.640 --> 0:11:48.480 a one hundred dollars credit on your next campaign. Get 0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:52.400 started at LinkedIn dot com slash results terms and conditions apply. 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:57.080 All right, let's get into our kind of draft here 0:11:57.400 --> 0:12:00.000 of early season breakouts. And this is, like I said, 0:12:00.320 --> 0:12:03.120 it's not who are the best players, because obviously there's 0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:06.120 different types of breakouts and some guys we would clearly 0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:08.480 have ranked ahead of others. But this is based on 0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:11.960 how real we believe these breakouts are, how much we 0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:17.360 are buying into these being legitimate breakouts. I think we're 0:12:17.360 --> 0:12:20.120 just gonna go let's say five players each, so ten 0:12:20.200 --> 0:12:21.720 total deep. I don't think we need to go any 0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:24.280 further than that. We didn't discuss that ahead of time, 0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:26.120 but I think that's probably sufficient. 0:12:26.200 --> 0:12:26.440 Tier. 0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:29.120 Do you feel strongly about having the first pick or 0:12:29.520 --> 0:12:30.560 do you mind going second? 0:12:30.600 --> 0:12:33.000 I'll let you pick, I'll go second. Are we doing 0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:34.600 snake or just linear? Does it not matter? 0:12:34.960 --> 0:12:35.040 No? 0:12:35.520 --> 0:12:38.959 Two mand drafts. I think snake is dumb. The way 0:12:39.000 --> 0:12:41.640 I the way I always want to do it, is 0:12:43.400 --> 0:12:47.000 you just snake that first round. So it's like somebody 0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:48.720 gets the first pick, then the other person gets the 0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:50.640 second and third, and then you just alternate back and 0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:52.640 forth rest of the way. But I don't think there's 0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:54.720 like one clear obvious I think there's a lot of 0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:57.440 really good breakouts. So I don't think it really matters. 0:12:57.480 --> 0:12:59.440 Since you don't mind going second, I'll just go first. 0:12:59.559 --> 0:13:01.520 We're thinking, will be fine. 0:13:01.600 --> 0:13:02.920 Do you want to break him down as we go 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:04.839 or just do the draft and then break him down. 0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:06.520 No, let's let's break him down briefly ast week. I 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:08.400 don't think we need to spend too much time at this. 0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:09.560 Like I said, I just wanted to kind of do 0:13:09.720 --> 0:13:11.480 have a little fun with the draft here given that 0:13:11.520 --> 0:13:15.600 it is the NFL draft tonight. So I have like 0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:17.800 a dozen names written down on my sort of quote 0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:23.600 unquote big board that I really am believing in. Let 0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:26.959 me ask you this because because again, some of them, 0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:28.320 I don't know if you're going to count them, if 0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:30.200 you're going to say, oh that, because like I'm not 0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:32.280 just picking like guys that are sleepers, that are hitting, 0:13:32.280 --> 0:13:35.520 Like some of these could have been drafted inside. You 0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:37.720 know that top fifty to one hundred range, And I 0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:40.199 just think they've they're breaking out to another level. 0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:43.120 So your first pick is Gunner Henderson is what you're saying. 0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:48.120 No, not Gunner Henderson. I'm gonna go with Hunter Green 0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:49.520 as my first pick because I think I know he's 0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:51.959 coming off of a worse start, but he was picked 0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:54.599 inside the top one hundred, and he is doing a 0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:57.040 lot of what he did last year, just better. I 0:13:57.080 --> 0:13:59.719 think this elevation in his performance is better. I think 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.160 if he's stays healthy, he is I would like call 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.760 him a lock to be a top six to eight 0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:08.079 starting pitcher at worst, assuming health the rest of the way. Like, 0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:12.280 I think it's extremely legitimate, and so I just assuming 0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:13.920 you're willing to count that. That was one of the 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.160 names I had in mind of like was already good 0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:18.360 but taking it to another level. He's my number one 0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:20.040 pick in terms of the guy I'm most believe in. 0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:21.800 Yeah, no, I'll accept it. I had him on my 0:14:21.840 --> 0:14:23.320 list too, and I had a feeling that's where you 0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:26.720 were going with the first pick. No, I agree that 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:28.920 he's taking it to another level, and I think you 0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:31.560 know we talked about previously. My only real concern with 0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:35.520 him is injury, just because he's just throwing really hard 0:14:35.600 --> 0:14:37.800 for a really long time. And I don't just say 0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:40.400 that like in general, Like he's throwing it really hard, 0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:43.920 like at an unprecedented rate late in games, and the 0:14:43.960 --> 0:14:47.520 only people to have ever done that, including himself, have 0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:51.360 had Tommy John surgery. And so that's what makes me nervous. 0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:53.840 Yeah, it's a fair thing to be nervous about. But 0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:55.960 from what we've seen so far, I'm totally buying in 0:14:56.760 --> 0:14:59.760 as a very legitimate elevation of his performance. Who is 0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:00.600 your our first pick? 0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:03.240 Let's see do I want to go? I'm also looking 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.440 down because I put my on my phone, so I 0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:06.920 have to glance out at my phone to pick my 0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.880 name's Do I want to go with the Homer pick 0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:13.760 or the other one? I'll just go with the Homer pick. 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:18.280 I think what Christian Campbell is doing is really exciting, 0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:23.200 and I think he is a legitimate breakout just with 0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:25.960 there was some concerns in spring training that he kind 0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:27.640 of got off to a slow start. I know you 0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:29.840 don't care about spring training stats, but I just think 0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:33.440 his approach at the plate is, you know, really improving. 0:15:33.840 --> 0:15:35.920 He's like a violent swinger. I listened to a lot 0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:38.720 of the broadcast, and they talk about how even his 0:15:38.880 --> 0:15:41.600 takes look violent, like he's just like, you know, he's 0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:43.240 he has a good eye at the plate. But even 0:15:43.280 --> 0:15:45.080 when he's like when he's like taking it like a 0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:49.320 slider outside, he's like violently taking a slider outside because 0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:51.200 he's like looking to attack the ball. And so we've 0:15:51.240 --> 0:15:52.640 seen him go the other way. We've seen him like 0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:55.680 lift with power a little bit of speed too, and 0:15:56.480 --> 0:15:58.320 I just think everything he's doing, you know, I think 0:15:58.360 --> 0:15:59.600 we're gonna see him in the middle of that Red 0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:01.640 Sox line line up sooner rather than later. 0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:05.760 I was trying to guess who you were picking, because 0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:07.600 you kind of cut out for me when you were 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:09.840 actually saying the name, and then I heard all of 0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:12.280 your description, and I was like trying to decide who 0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:14.960 I thought you were actually talking about, just in case 0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:17.120 our listeners also. I don't know if it was just 0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:19.360 cutting out on my internet or for everybody, just in case, 0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:21.480 can you say who you were picking again. 0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:25.640 Christian Campbell, Red Sox second baseman, slash possibly outfielder. 0:16:26.520 --> 0:16:30.520 Okay, that was what I assumed based on your description. 0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:32.760 And once I heard you say Red Sox. But like 0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:34.960 I said, because I hadn't heard for sure. I want 0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:36.680 to make sure everybody can hear that. So that's your 0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:40.200 first pick going the homer direction. I'm not going with 0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:42.600 any homer picks, by the way, mostly because there aren't 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:47.280 really any good Orioles breakouts this year. I have a 0:16:47.320 --> 0:16:49.120 couple of names that I really like here. I'm going 0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:52.120 to go with the guy that is coming off of 0:16:52.240 --> 0:16:54.880 the best start that any of these players have had 0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:57.400 this year, and that's Max Meyer. This is somebody that 0:16:57.440 --> 0:17:02.400 we talked about, we heard discussed on fantasy fests on 0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:05.439 our live stream in March, somebody that a couple of 0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.200 analysts and specifically guys who really specialize on the pitching 0:17:10.240 --> 0:17:14.560 side of baseball really liked this spring that I bought 0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:16.359 into them, really liking the people who I think are 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.439 smarter than that who not I think who I know 0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:21.359 are smarter than me when it comes to this stuff. 0:17:22.040 --> 0:17:24.800 So I have a lot of Max Meyer like that. 0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:27.040 I took as late round picks or you know, cheap 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.720 at the end of a salary cap draft, and he 0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:33.240 had already looked really good, and now he has this 0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:38.199 fourteen strikeout, five hits, no run gem against a Reds 0:17:38.240 --> 0:17:40.959 team that had just scored twenty four runs against the 0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:44.040 Orioles like the day before, so it was a hot 0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:48.600 lineup and he completely shut them down. He looks awesome. 0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:51.040 The slider is as great as always, but he's really 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:55.359 I think, kind of rounded out the the you know, 0:17:55.440 --> 0:17:58.000 pitch repertoire that he's been using this year in a 0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:00.440 better way than he's done in the past. He looks 0:18:00.480 --> 0:18:03.520 like a guy with top three pick pedigree who's put 0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:06.000 it all together. He needs a mid to late twenties. 0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:09.160 I am really excited about Meyer the rest of the way. 0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:14.200 I'm really curious actually to see if he's included when 0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:16.199