1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that Action boss. 2 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 2: All right. 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: Here we go there throwing in job. I'm sitting up 4 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: to cash start. We'll see the most gamblers when they 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: go to gamble, they go to wind. That's incredible. Big bank, 6 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: small banks. I like to make money. All right, this 7 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: is the ultimate kabanity you want to pull. 8 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 2: And we are underway. 9 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:37,319 Speaker 3: Well, if everybody, welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm 10 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 3: your host, Chris Raybon. And this is part two of 11 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,959 Speaker 3: our twenty twenty five NFC Win Totals episode, where we're 12 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 3: gonna cover win totals, Super Bowl odds futures for every 13 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 3: team in the NFC South and the NFC West. Be 14 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 3: sure to check out parts one and two of our 15 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 3: AFC Win Totals episodes, which are already out, as well 16 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 3: as Part one for the NFC where we cover the 17 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:04,319 Speaker 3: NFC East and North. Here with me to break it down, 18 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 3: none other than the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck. 19 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 3: The last of these four parts of our marathon recording session. 20 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:18,399 Speaker 2: How you feeling our four baby, Let's get into the 21 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 2: NFC West and the NFC South. Maybe probably ruffle some 22 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:32,840 Speaker 2: feathers going under on Detroit, Philly, and Washington on the 23 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: first part of the NFC. I don't have as many 24 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 2: hot takes, but no Saint Super Bowl features coming here, 25 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 2: but interesting divisions one the less. Let's get into it, all. 26 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:46,040 Speaker 1: Right, We's actually start with the South. 27 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 3: So let's keep it going the same order that we've 28 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 3: been So NFC South Tampa Bay, the favorite nine and 29 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 3: a half wins thirty five to one Super Bowl odds. Remember, 30 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 3: forty to one or less has been the Super Bowl 31 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 3: winner entering the season in each of the past twenty 32 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,919 Speaker 3: three seasons, going back to twenty two when the NFL 33 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 3: went to thirty two teams. So Sampa Bay is the 34 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 3: only team in the NFC South reaches a thresholder even 35 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 3: money to win the division. Then you got Atlanta seven 36 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 3: and a half wins, Carolina at six and a half, 37 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:24,799 Speaker 3: and the Saints at five and a half. Atlanta the 38 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 3: only other team that's better than one hundred to one 39 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,679 Speaker 3: for the Super Bowl. They're at seventy five to one 40 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 3: plus to forty for the Division, Panthers four to one 41 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 3: for the Division, Saints ten to one. Start with Tampa Bay. 42 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: This team has been ever since that the last five years. 43 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 3: You know, when they got Brady won Super Bowl with him, 44 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 3: they kind of survived his fall off season still made 45 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,079 Speaker 3: the playoffs. Team has made the playoffs in five straight years. 46 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 3: I think they've gotten a lot better managed. They seem 47 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 3: to be making decisions in the front office, and they 48 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 3: kind of let Todd Bowles be Todd Bowles and Coast defense, 49 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 3: and I think that's my biggest concern is stuck is 50 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 3: William Cohen was just so good. We talked about him 51 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 3: and for the you know, I love the Jaguars and 52 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 3: you like their upside as well, you know, but we 53 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 3: also thought Canallis was great and then you know, Cone 54 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 3: comes and just really they just really smashed. Now you've 55 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:26,079 Speaker 3: got Josh Grizzard. Is that the biggest concern. 56 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 1: With the Bucks or what do you think with them? 57 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: Nine and a half. 58 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 3: I see a pretty big gap between between them and 59 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 3: any other team in this division. 60 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, team I could never figure out last year and 61 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 2: credit to them, like I had their win total under 62 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 2: which is dead wrong. I mean we went they went 63 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 2: ten and seven, and they were three and five and 64 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 2: one possession games. They were much better than I thought 65 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 2: they were gonna be. And Liam Cohene, I think was 66 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 2: a major part of that. They even dealt with some 67 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 2: key injuries. Bucky Irving I did talk about in our preseason. 68 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 2: I said a Bucky Irving could be an X factor 69 00:03:54,640 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: and he certainly was. Yeah. Solid team, I mean I projected. 70 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 2: I still have a great deal on them. The Cohen 71 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 2: thing does worry me a bit. I project them at 72 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 2: nine and a half wins, which is I think their 73 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 2: win total is nine point four. O Line depth probably 74 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 2: be one of my biggest concerns. That's really what they 75 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 2: lost in this offseason, and then the loss of Cohen 76 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 2: as well. By the way, we should preface this part 77 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:28,719 Speaker 2: for with the NFC South and NFC West, we have 78 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 2: entered the easy schedule portion of the NFL offseason previews. 79 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 2: Bucks twenty eighth in scheduled difficulty per my numbers, so 80 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 2: they have a very easy schedule. Part of that is 81 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 2: their division. Yeah, I assume you're going to tell Tampa 82 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 2: Bay to win the division. I don't hate it. The 83 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 2: only like, can I see Carolina win in the division? 84 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 2: Not really with their defense. Can I see the Saints? No? 85 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 2: The only thing is like the Falcons. Yeah, it's just 86 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 2: like if if Pennix takes a big leap. He's basically 87 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 2: I mean, he started three games. It's basically like a 88 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 2: So there's some uncertainty which creates some variance with the Falcons. 89 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 2: They don't really do much else other than that, other 90 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 2: than just having that uncertainty that I hated their offseason. 91 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 2: I think they're poorly run. But yeah, I think if 92 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:23,840 Speaker 2: I had a guess, bucks finished ten and seven win 93 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 2: the division. But I'm right on market. What do you think? 94 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, nothing for me here. 95 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 3: Actually, I do think the Bucks are the best team 96 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 3: in the division, but there is there is some upside 97 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 3: uncertainty with the Falcons. 98 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: I think Pennix is the guy. I still don't. 99 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 3: Think I'm one hundred have like one hundred percent of 100 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 3: my opinion for him. I gotta go back and watch 101 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 3: even more, watch this film again, but I from what 102 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 3: I've seen from you know, I do think that he 103 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 3: does have the upside to take a week year and then. 104 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 2: It's definitely better than whatever Cousins was doing. 105 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:55,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, but it could be a lot better. 106 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 3: And that's the thing, and that's what stops me from 107 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 3: taking Tampa Bay even it's kind of like Houston. It's 108 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 3: it's it's more about the teams behind him, Like there's 109 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 3: just some uncertainty there. Same thing with Carolina. I mean, 110 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 3: do we get the Bryce Young from the second half 111 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 3: of the season of the first half, you know is 112 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 3: does McMillan hit the ground running or does he struggle 113 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,039 Speaker 3: to separate? You know that there's there's there's kind of 114 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 3: some question marks. 115 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: But like if. 116 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 3: The best case scenario for Atlanta and Carolina not even 117 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 3: just the best case but above average scenario, these teams 118 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 3: could be closer to them. We think, especially with cone Goan, 119 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 3: you know, does he know Lian take a step back, 120 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 3: Touse Mayfield take a step back, the roster still looks great. 121 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: I'm both, you know, and they. 122 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 2: Basically running it back and I kind of like the draft, 123 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 2: which added. 124 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: Drafts, yeah, which more more cornerbacks, another first round wide receiver. 125 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 3: Uh so, yeah, it could be the upside is what 126 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 3: I think you want for Tampa Bay because I thought 127 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay was like kind of like a poor man's 128 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,919 Speaker 3: Detroit last year. I mean, you know, they you know, 129 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 3: they put up big offensive numbers. The defense wasn't great, 130 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 3: but you know, could could hang in there. And uh 131 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,160 Speaker 3: and you know, now they're thirty five to one to 132 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 3: win the Super Bowl, so I kind of I wouldn't 133 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 3: mind taking a sprinkle on that on the off chance that, 134 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 3: you know, they can kind of continue what Cohen Cone 135 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 3: started there. But I don't really love them for like 136 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 3: the win total, the division and things like that. I 137 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 3: think it's you know, it really comes down to these 138 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 3: divisional games against Atlanta and Carolina, which I'm not sure 139 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 3: about Atlanta seven and a half wins. I mean, like 140 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 3: I said, I think Panics does have some considerable upside. 141 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 3: The offensive roster would be sold. I agree it is 142 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 3: kind of poor. 143 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: We run, but they what do they do? They kind 144 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: of go all in. 145 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 3: For this year with that trade back into the first round. 146 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 3: Are they gonna have an ed rush stuck? 147 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: Is that? 148 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 3: I guess that's the question, because like they never do, 149 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 3: but they tried. They tried this year in the draft. 150 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: They tried. 151 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 2: I mean, it just makes now that Panics is going 152 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 2: to start. It just makes everyone said at the time, 153 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 2: like what are they doing? Why are you drafting Panics 154 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 2: and then signing Cousins at the same time when you 155 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 2: could have just I mean dun Cousins then got an 156 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 2: edge help or you should have just drafted Pennis you 157 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 2: would have that money. Like they're just so poorly run 158 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 2: it's insane. They had a very under like underwhelming offseason. 159 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 2: Like if you had to argue who, like you could 160 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 2: argue every team improved, right you could say, like obviously 161 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 2: every they think that they went out and got this signing. 162 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 2: They drafted this to plug this need. Like the hardest 163 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 2: case to make is the Falcons, Like they're basically the 164 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 2: case is Pennix and how much better he can be? So, 165 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 2: I mean Atlanta's just is who they are. By the way, 166 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 2: just to circle back on to finish my thought, the 167 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:40,200 Speaker 2: one thing that Givesney paused them is I did say 168 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:41,680 Speaker 2: they went ten and seven. They went three and five 169 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 2: and one session games. One thing that gives me paused them. Yes, 170 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 2: they beat the Eagles. The Eagles didn't have like all 171 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 2: of their players in that game, remember like Brown and 172 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 2: yeah the Bull against the Eagles. Yes, I agree. I'm 173 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 2: just saying, like if you wanted to like just dig 174 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,080 Speaker 2: a little deeper. They beat the Lions, but they they 175 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 2: were out gained by like four hundred yards the Lions, 176 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 2: Like when oh of seven in the red zone. 177 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 1: That was another masterful defensive game plan. Though, like I 178 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 1: was the fact that they can hang. 179 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 2: With these top tier I'm just saying, if you break 180 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 2: down their their schedule last year, and then I'm giving 181 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 2: the just Devil's advocates. They went three and five one 182 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 2: session games and still won ten games. They they got 183 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 2: to face Jane Daniels in the first game of the year, 184 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 2: rookie making his road start, and then the wins the 185 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 2: rest of the year were Saints, Giants, Panthers, Raiders, Panthers, 186 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 2: Saints and then here are Chargers who they destroyed. That 187 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 2: was awful. I had the Chargers in that game, horrendous 188 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 2: beat the Chargers like after those first four weeks, which 189 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 2: had some caveats, the only team with the pulse that 190 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 2: they beat literally Saints Giants, Panthers, Saints, Panthers, Raiders and 191 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 2: the Chargers was the Chargers. So just just throw that 192 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:55,320 Speaker 2: out there to play Devil's advocate. But Falcons kind of 193 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 2: they are. They are like I project them at eight. 194 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 2: They went totals like seven point eight. I don't know 195 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 2: their pastor should be a little better. It just comes 196 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 2: down to Penix. I just I don't again, I don't. 197 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 2: I don't have the second easiest schedule in the NFL, 198 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 2: as they seem to every year. It's part of their division. 199 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 2: I got no hot take here. I'm pretty close to market. 200 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 2: It's gonna come down to Penix. I kind of want 201 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 2: to dig a little further as well, But yeah, they're 202 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 2: they're the team that could I think most obviously everyone 203 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: would probably agree that are could most realistically win this 204 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,959 Speaker 2: division out of the other three now named Tampa Bay. 205 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 2: And it's just going to come down to Penix. But 206 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 2: I'm close to market. It's nothing for me on the Falcons. 207 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agreed. 208 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 3: I think this division is it's it's a really tough 209 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 3: one to kind of get it. I shouldn't say it's tough, 210 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 3: but there's just such a wide range of outcomes with 211 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay based on the Cone on thirty at L 212 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 3: with the Hennick's uncertainty and pass rush uncertainty. Carolina with 213 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:07,679 Speaker 3: like the Bryce Young uncertainty and something. You know, how 214 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 3: how non terrible can their defense be? It will even matter? 215 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 3: But Carolina is at six and a half four to 216 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:19,719 Speaker 3: one to win the division. Ah if Tampa Bay falters, yeah, 217 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 3: they're probably the second most likely team so fairly priced. 218 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 3: Think last year they were long Gerroads just buying more 219 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 3: of them. But uh, any thoughts on Carolina, you know 220 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 3: six and a half is that? 221 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,679 Speaker 1: Is that about right? You have them over under? 222 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 3: Uh? 223 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:37,839 Speaker 2: You know, Carolina is my first bet I made last 224 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 2: year over four and a half. Luckily got there, probably 225 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 2: deserrazy got there in overtime and on the last day. 226 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 2: Now they're at what seven close to seven is their 227 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,480 Speaker 2: win total. That's a big lead. Now. I believe in 228 00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:01,720 Speaker 2: the Bryce Young improvement just from I'm not only the numbers, 229 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 2: but from what I saw. And the offensive line should 230 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:10,960 Speaker 2: be really good now, especially with health. That was one 231 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:13,840 Speaker 2: of the reasons why I loved them last year. We 232 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 2: talked about Canalis and his impact. We finally started to 233 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 2: see that. You know, it's an easy schedule because of 234 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 2: their division, but this is a big leap up to seven. 235 00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 2: And the reason I say that, I do expect Young 236 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 2: to continue to look more like the guy we saw 237 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 2: in the second half in the first half. Not a 238 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 2: given that he's going to be that good, but I'm 239 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:44,440 Speaker 2: a believer. But this defense is still horrendous. I know 240 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 2: they had a ton of injuries last year, so like 241 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 2: they should be healthier this year, but just the talent, 242 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 2: like where is it? So it's bad. So this defense 243 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:05,960 Speaker 2: gonna be really bad again, I'm if I had to, 244 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 2: I would actually go under. But I'm a believer in 245 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 2: the young improvement. I'm staying away. I'm not going to 246 00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 2: make a case for that. The Panthers over Like, I 247 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 2: get the schedules easy, the division is easy, but it's 248 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 2: it's a stay away from me. The defense is just 249 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 2: so bad, and I just I can't get there. If 250 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 2: Ted hits though, and the offensive line stays healthy, like 251 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:34,319 Speaker 2: this offense has potential, but the defense is going to 252 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 2: hold them back. So I think the numbers about right 253 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 2: this year. I mean I think it probably should be 254 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:44,640 Speaker 2: like six and a half flat. But I get the 255 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 2: interest in them and the love for young, but this 256 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 2: is a stay away from me. 257 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think if I ended up betting anything on them, 258 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 3: it would be a division. But again, I'm not there 259 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 3: because I think there's still Atlanta is still too much 260 00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 3: of a threat. Uh, And I think this team you 261 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 3: could continue to see improvement on offense, but yeah, I 262 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,320 Speaker 3: think this defense really has a ceiling. And so I 263 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 3: mean you could be I mean, like, what's their ceiling offensively? 264 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: Like average? 265 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:18,280 Speaker 3: Probably Like yeah, so and I don't know what there's 266 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 3: if they're seialing defensively, is anything better than like twenty 267 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 3: twentieth or twenty fifth. 268 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: So this this team could be. 269 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 4: Like twelve twelve fish like if their offensive line is 270 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 4: really good and if Young continues to improve and Tet hits, 271 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 4: it could be like just they could be slightly above average. 272 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:41,800 Speaker 2: That's the ceiling. The defense ceiling is like twenty fifth. 273 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 3: Right, yeah, and that that doesn't I mean it's not 274 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 3: the hardest division, but still doesn't bode well for you know, 275 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 3: investing in them positively. So yeah, nothing nothing on them 276 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,200 Speaker 3: for me at this time in New Orleans. Bringing up 277 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 3: the rear five and a half on the win total. 278 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 3: You got Derek Carr retiring, so he's not he's not 279 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 3: gonna be back at quarterback. Looks like it's gonna be 280 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 3: a battle between uh shucks, Yeah, I think so too. 281 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 3: A Day two pick, and then Spencer Rattler is still there. 282 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 3: Hayner is also there, but uh, he's I think dealing 283 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 3: with some injuries, and it seemed to view him as 284 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 3: more of like the in game backup and Rattler as 285 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,960 Speaker 3: more as the upside guy. The new new coaching regime. 286 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 3: Kellen Moore is taken over here, so we could we 287 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 3: could see some changes, is how everything goes Taysom Hills 288 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 3: like he's gonna miss the season and he's older anyway, 289 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 3: so that that injury is gonna be tough to recover from. 290 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean, not much to like about the 291 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 3: Saints having. Oh you know Lave has been rumored on 292 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 3: the trade block. He's struggled with concussions and he stay healthy? 293 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 3: Can he'd stay healthy? 294 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 1: If not? 295 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 3: You're and the camaras you know, getting out there an 296 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 3: agent running back. What do you think about this Saints team? 297 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:01,240 Speaker 3: They are kind of well hanging fruit down there at 298 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 3: five and a half. I think there's some four and 299 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 3: a half juice to the over as well out there. 300 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 2: The offensive line has some upside. They had injuries last year, 301 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 2: and if Banks hits and left tackle, I think Penning 302 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 2: is better fit for a guard position. Vaga. Yeah, you 303 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 2: got McCoy and Ruiz in the interier like there's some 304 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 2: upside there, But check what are you getting from Shuck? 305 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 2: By the way, I think Shuck might be older than 306 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 2: Rattler and Hain. I don't know, though, He's definitely older 307 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 2: than Rattler, but it's probably close to he's twenty six, right. 308 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 3: Shuck, Yeah, yeah, ratards only twenty five. Here's twenty six 309 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 3: and about two ones. Rats only about about half a 310 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 3: year younger than Shuck, and then Hainter's by a half 311 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 3: year older. 312 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 1: Not the greatest. 313 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 2: This team stinks, like what don't I don't I mean 314 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 2: maybe chucks. The truth that's what you're you're banking on. 315 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 2: We already know Rattler and hain is that this roster 316 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 2: isn't any good. And I guess there's some variants. You're 317 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 2: in a terrible division with a brand new staff, a 318 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 2: brand new quarterback, you hope for better health. I don't know, 319 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 2: if you want to talk yourself into Saints' division be 320 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 2: my guest. I guess I couldn't curse you too hard, 321 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 2: But not for me. I mean, I project, like it's 322 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 2: such a low win total for such a bad division, 323 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 2: but I project five point three. I think their win 324 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,399 Speaker 2: total is like five point twenty five adjustin projuice. So 325 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 2: nothing for me. That team. I need need to just 326 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 2: investigate further throughout the season to see what's there's. There's 327 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:27,160 Speaker 2: a lot of moving parts here and still more more 328 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 2: to come. 329 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:32,120 Speaker 3: Ten that coaching staff. The best players are like either 330 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:35,160 Speaker 3: old or you know, injury question marks. The quarterback room 331 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 3: could be the worst in the league. But you got 332 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:41,479 Speaker 3: Brandon Staley a defensive coordinator, you got Kevin mood offensive coordinator. 333 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:45,760 Speaker 3: Those are pretty respected minds, and you got one of 334 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 3: the easiest schedules in the league. 335 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,680 Speaker 2: So it's a boy isn't running a team anymore. I'm 336 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,640 Speaker 2: surprised you're not on Saints over because of that. 337 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,959 Speaker 3: I mean, the quarterback situation just I mean, I'm not 338 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:59,000 Speaker 3: a Spencer Ratler fan. I thought he did have some upside, 339 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,480 Speaker 3: but I have to seeing him play, I think it's 340 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,399 Speaker 3: not No, it's not it. It's not happening for him. 341 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 3: And then shuck is he could be He could be 342 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 3: one of those like Davis Mills kind of guys, but 343 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 3: that that doesn't necessarily win you many games. Just he 344 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:12,920 Speaker 3: could just be like good enough to hold the job 345 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 3: for the whole year and not completely. But you know, 346 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 3: he's still not a great roster. Still don't know exactly 347 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 3: where that line is gonna be their best receiver. You know, 348 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 3: any given hit could be like he could be out 349 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 3: for months. 350 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: I know, I'm just like. 351 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:29,399 Speaker 2: I'm tempted by it. I was. I'm telling you I 352 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:31,199 Speaker 2: was tempted by the over Like I'm I'm right on 353 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 2: I'm a point, yeah, the market, but like they haven't 354 00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 2: winnable home games with in the or like their home 355 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 2: games are you know, you can start with Arizona and in 356 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 2: San fram can you steal one of them? The rest 357 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:47,160 Speaker 2: of your home games are the Giants, the Pats, the Falcons, 358 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 2: the Panthers, the Jets, So there's uh, you know. Then 359 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,679 Speaker 2: you're like, you're the road games, aren't You're gonna have Carolina, 360 00:18:56,080 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 2: you have Tennessee on the road, Atlanta, there's some winnable 361 00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 2: games on the schedule, but I'm close to market. There's 362 00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 2: nothing for me the least that like I there's just 363 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:12,160 Speaker 2: nothing for me so far in this division. But there's 364 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 2: a lot of like moving parts and a lot I 365 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,879 Speaker 2: still want to investigate because you mentioned it, just the 366 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 2: uncertainty of the quarterback situations for all these teams. I 367 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 2: think it's it's Baker Mayfield's obviously the concept, but like 368 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 2: what does the loss of Cohen do to them? And 369 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:27,120 Speaker 2: then it's like what are you getting from Bryce Young? 370 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 2: Which Bryce Young? What do you what are you getting 371 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:33,119 Speaker 2: from the Saints quarterback room? Who's even going to start? 372 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 2: And then what are you getting from Penix? Like that's 373 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,640 Speaker 2: there's a lot to still investigate here, So a lot 374 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 2: more later in the year, but there's just not a 375 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 2: lot for me here right now. 376 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,159 Speaker 3: This is one where you got to pay attention to, 377 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 3: you know, some of the offseason and you know who 378 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:49,040 Speaker 3: who's you know it is Shock playing well in practice? 379 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:49,400 Speaker 1: Can eat? 380 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:49,560 Speaker 3: You know? 381 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 1: Is does Panics look like a star? 382 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,120 Speaker 3: Like? You know, kind of those things that we usually 383 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,680 Speaker 3: want to ignore. I think they're be a little more meaningful, 384 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 3: you know, in in this division just because any way 385 00:19:58,080 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 3: will give an edge. 386 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 1: You know, if you and find a non Bucks team 387 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 1: that you like to. 388 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 3: Win the division, you know you're getting at quite three 389 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,159 Speaker 3: to one or better than any other team. You know, 390 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 3: win totals no higher than seven and a half with 391 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,360 Speaker 3: the Falcons, So there is some upside here. So yeah, 392 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 3: I would definitely kind of monitor especially the quarterback situations 393 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 3: for all these teams throughout camp. 394 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Saints moot player movement, like the Saints could 395 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:26,640 Speaker 2: trade key guys there and they're an older roster too. Yeah, 396 00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 2: they need to reset, like they need to full. They've 397 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,159 Speaker 2: needed to for a couple of years now, so I 398 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,119 Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if a couple of their they know 399 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 2: they're not gonna win this year, if they're smart, and 400 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 2: then they just got to eat it as much as 401 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 2: possible over the next couple of years and rebuild. 402 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 3: Underdogs is one of the best places to make picks 403 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 3: during playoff basketball and while they score buckets, you could 404 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:53,800 Speaker 3: score cash. Underdog is one of the eliting sports apps 405 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 3: and you can play right now in your state. 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Concern what 425 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,879 Speaker 3: your play called one eight hundred game were or visit 426 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 3: NCP gambling dot org. In Arizona called one eight hundred 427 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 3: next step or text next step to five three three 428 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 3: four two in New York called the twenty four to 429 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,920 Speaker 3: seven hope line at one eight seven to seven to 430 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:29,120 Speaker 3: eight hope and why or text hope and why. All right, 431 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 3: let's go to the NFC West. The Niners are the 432 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 3: favorite with the wind total of ten and a half 433 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 3: plus one sixty for the division, so wide open number two. 434 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 3: The Rams nine and a half plus one eighty for 435 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 3: the division. Then come the Cardinals on the Seahawks. Cardinals 436 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 3: at eight and a half wins about even on both sides. 437 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,920 Speaker 3: Seahawks seven and a half, heavily juiced to the over 438 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 3: some more like an eight flat in terms of Super 439 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 3: Bowl adds. You got the Niners at sixteen to one 440 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 3: and the Rams at twenty to one. Those are the 441 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 3: two teams that fall within that threshold of forty to one. 442 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 3: Every team has been forty to one or shorter that's 443 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:14,920 Speaker 3: won the Super Bowl since two thousand and two, and 444 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 3: the NFL went to thirty two teams divisions for the 445 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:22,680 Speaker 3: Cardinals and Seahawks plus four twenty five plus five fifty. 446 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,879 Speaker 1: Now I think it'll start with the Niners. 447 00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 3: The interesting thing about the Niners is understanding, and they 448 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 3: either seem to have a healthy year where they just 449 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 3: completely smash and go to the Super Bowl or right 450 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 3: or everyone's hurt and they finished weast. 451 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 1: So this is like a team. 452 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 3: They have the easiest schedule in the league according to 453 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 3: my metrics. But I think I still think the only 454 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:49,200 Speaker 3: thing you can really do with San Francisco is upside. 455 00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 3: Still a lot of question marks on this roster, But 456 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:54,360 Speaker 3: how do you see there was more I think significant turnover, 457 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,560 Speaker 3: you know, this year with the Niners roster than some 458 00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 3: other years past. 459 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 1: What do you think of the changes. 460 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:05,359 Speaker 2: Major turnover, worst free agent deficit and NFL history, So 461 00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 2: the amount of money that they paid for free agents 462 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 2: compared to the amount of money that other teams paid 463 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:15,720 Speaker 2: for theirs worst deficit. They lost a lot of guys 464 00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 2: that were paid by other teams. But there's a lot 465 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 2: of things that were pointing up, like last year two 466 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 2: and six in one possession games. They their special teams 467 00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:31,400 Speaker 2: were a disaster. Brought in a new special teams coach there. 468 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 2: Special teams were as bad as you could possibly be. 469 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 2: Cost them a lot of those close games. The injuries, 470 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,760 Speaker 2: they were the most injured team in the league, led 471 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 2: the league in AGL top through their bottom three in 472 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,359 Speaker 2: both offense and defense in that department, and they have 473 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,360 Speaker 2: the easiest schedule in the NFL. They don't play anybody 474 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 2: off of buy from a rest perspective, their net plus 475 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 2: thirty three days compared to last year that is where 476 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 2: they had bought it. They had one of the five 477 00:24:57,520 --> 00:25:00,080 Speaker 2: hardest schedules last year, now they had the easiest. All 478 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:04,880 Speaker 2: these things are pointing up, but the roster definitely has 479 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:09,399 Speaker 2: question marks because of all that they lost compared to 480 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:12,640 Speaker 2: what they brought in, Like you know, you brought in 481 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 2: Huff Nick Martin, you know, and you lost guys like 482 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:23,040 Speaker 2: green Law, Hu Funga, Bargrave, Deebo, Floyd, Ward Banks, Collins, 483 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:28,120 Speaker 2: like you lost a lot. The defense worries me. There 484 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 2: are there's major question marks on this defense across the board. 485 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,359 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna need something from their rookies. So 486 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 2: hopefully the Niners drafted well because Mikel Williams and Upton 487 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,280 Speaker 2: Stout and I'm a big up in Stout guy. I 488 00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 2: loved him in college. Now his size is concerning. That's 489 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 2: gonna be the question of whether or not he translates. 490 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:54,400 Speaker 2: But they're gonna need something from I think you said, 491 00:25:54,440 --> 00:26:00,440 Speaker 2: if they get something from Stout, then like everything else, 492 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 2: starts to fall into place a little better in their secondary. 493 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 2: You know you can because I like what I've seen 494 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:14,840 Speaker 2: from Ernardo Green and Leonore. You know, the safety, there's 495 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,639 Speaker 2: some inconsistency, some injury questions. The linebacker, they're definitely not 496 00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 2: as good. Defensive line, they're definitely not as good. But 497 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 2: Mikel Williams can help in that department. But their defense 498 00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 2: is definitely concerned. You like this defense, but do you 499 00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 2: have Salah who I trust the defensive coordinator, so that 500 00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 2: I think that was a good hire. The offensive line, Uh, 501 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,359 Speaker 2: you know left guard. I'm surprised they didn't really address 502 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 2: that and in the draft, but you know, I like Pooney, 503 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 2: your tackle should be fine, Brenda's okay at center. The 504 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 2: weapons comes down to, like is mccathry gonna be healthy 505 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 2: and stay healthy? Are you when does he come back? 506 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 2: And if he's not fully healthy, can you get something 507 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 2: from calling and hearing some good things about how he's 508 00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 2: looked lately? Pierce All, I mean, literally everything went off 509 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 2: with the Forts and Piersoll got shot. So Piercell is 510 00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:11,160 Speaker 2: not gonna deal with that this offseason. But you're gonna 511 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 2: need something from one of those guys. But like just 512 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,440 Speaker 2: everything is pointing up with them, but there's now more 513 00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:19,840 Speaker 2: roster questions, so I want to buy them. But I 514 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 2: ended up like right at ten point five, ten point six. 515 00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 2: I don't hate your idea of buying the upside on 516 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:32,800 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers. It can't get much worse than 517 00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 2: last year. Like you want to talk about bounce back 518 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 2: when it comes to close games, injuries, schedule, all that, 519 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,679 Speaker 2: it's pointing up. It's just there's a lot of questions 520 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 2: on this defense and then wide receiver. Some things need 521 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 2: to shake out. But you know, generally can trust an 522 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,200 Speaker 2: So I don't mind buying some upside on the forty 523 00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:56,640 Speaker 2: nine Ers. 524 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I want a super Bowl ticket with 525 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:05,080 Speaker 1: them in the NFC. Uh. If you went back at the. 526 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 3: Past eight Super Bowls, so from that twenty you know, 527 00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:13,680 Speaker 3: seventeen Chiefs, excuse me, twenty seventeen Patriots, Eagles super Bowl 528 00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:17,760 Speaker 3: past eight years. The only teams you've seen in the 529 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:22,760 Speaker 3: Super Bowl Tom Brady's team, whether it be the Patriots 530 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 3: or the Bucks, the Eagles, the Chiefs, one one Bengals 531 00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 3: year and the only the other only other two teams 532 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 3: are the Rams and the forty nine Ers. Rams won one, 533 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 3: forty nine Er has been to two, didn't win any. 534 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 3: But I want Super Bowl tickets on both of those teams. 535 00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:48,920 Speaker 3: Those are the teams I think, if you know, if 536 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 3: we think Philly Detroit, you know, may not quite live 537 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 3: up to the height this year based on a variety 538 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,240 Speaker 3: of factors. Uh, these I still think these are the 539 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 3: two teams you know coach quarterback with enough around them 540 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:06,680 Speaker 3: to do it. I mean, Brock Purdy seems like no 541 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,760 Speaker 3: matter who what receivers he has, he's averaged like eight 542 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:12,520 Speaker 3: and a half yards in attempt even I mean even 543 00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 3: last year when he had some dreadful games, at the 544 00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 3: end of the season, numbers still look pretty decent. So yeah, 545 00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 3: I went upside of the Niners. Robert Sawa, I think, 546 00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 3: probably the best defensive coordinator they've had in a few years. 547 00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 3: I mean they were going through Wilkes and Sorenson and 548 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 3: Shanahan's also I think he got an offensive coordator now 549 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:32,640 Speaker 3: who we have to kind of take some take some 550 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 3: of the delegate, delegate some of the responsibilities, and I 551 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 3: think that's the thing with Shannony and we know he's 552 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 3: a brilliant mind, but it seemed like too much was 553 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 3: kind of you know, getting swept under the rug, Like 554 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 3: the special teams was so bad, and just like he was, 555 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,880 Speaker 3: the overall team wasn't managed as well as it could 556 00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:48,760 Speaker 3: last year, I think. So I think they've made some 557 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 3: positive changes there, new. 558 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 2: Special teams, couch too, like that can't get much worse. 559 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, Yeah, the offensive line still be pretty solid. Just 560 00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 3: Trent passed the old up like where I saw a 561 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:03,720 Speaker 3: I'm not sure about pearceoll but didya from Jennings. If 562 00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:07,160 Speaker 3: McCaffrey plays you know anything more than you know he's 563 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,400 Speaker 3: played four games last year, if you get a. 564 00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 2: Their first four running backs were hurt down their fifth 565 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,400 Speaker 2: string running back at one point. 566 00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,479 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I mean a lot of still a lot 567 00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 3: of upside here. And then in the draft, I mean 568 00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 3: you drafted eight players in the top one sixty five 569 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 3: on five in the top one thirteen on defense, So 570 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,560 Speaker 3: if that's the question markcause again, Perty seems to be 571 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,600 Speaker 3: fine whatever receivers and if McCaffrey's back or whoever. I mean, 572 00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 3: they tend to run the ball well too, no matter 573 00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:35,440 Speaker 3: who the back is. So really, I think the defense 574 00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 3: is the bigger concern. And you've got Sola back, and 575 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 3: you got you know, five five guys in the top 576 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:48,040 Speaker 3: one thirteen. You know, you got Williams, you got Collins. 577 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 2: Collins plug he should be able to be plugged in 578 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:53,360 Speaker 2: there and reliable guy help with the run day they. 579 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:54,240 Speaker 1: Could get contributions. 580 00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:56,320 Speaker 3: That are all all those guys, I mean, all those 581 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 3: guys they drafted, you know, like Martin even. 582 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 2: Uh yeah I'm not sure on Martin, but. 583 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, and they drafted him in the third round. 584 00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:11,120 Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, he's I mean is uh he's I would 585 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,880 Speaker 2: imagine he's going to start. 586 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 3: At least got the chance to Yeah, I'm saying there's 587 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,880 Speaker 3: upside there. And then like as opposed to remember last 588 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 3: I think it was last was it last year? It 589 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 3: was the year BEFO when they had like that horrible 590 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 3: draft where they actually like a kicker and that that 591 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 3: was last year, right when they drafted like a kicker 592 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,080 Speaker 3: and they didn't have any like first or second round picks, 593 00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 3: and then they had like a kicker and just yeah, 594 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,080 Speaker 3: like I like their draft a lot more. I think 595 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 3: he gives him a lot more upside given you have 596 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 3: an efficient quarterback. 597 00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 2: You have that's twenty twenty three when they drafted the 598 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:45,120 Speaker 2: movie oh yeah, under pick and he's been horrendous, horrendous. 599 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:46,959 Speaker 1: Oh my god. Yeah, he lost me a bet last year. 600 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:47,480 Speaker 1: I remember that. 601 00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 3: Uh but yeah, but my point is draft a lot 602 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 3: of upside. Uh, A fishing quarterback coach that's ceiling has 603 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 3: been at least a Super Bowl appearance, best defense probably 604 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,040 Speaker 3: their best defensive coordinator if you go back, you know, 605 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 3: look at their history. Easiest schedule in the league and 606 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 3: Trent Williams is still Roland McCaffrey made upside for more 607 00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:12,520 Speaker 3: than four games. Yeah, I think I think you got 608 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 3: to take this team upside, I don't. I don't love 609 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 3: the division even though it's you know, it's plus one 610 00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 3: sixty and because I do think the Rams have upside too. 611 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: Now the issue with the. 612 00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 3: Rams, I think is for the red flag, I should 613 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:28,320 Speaker 3: say Stafford's age. Uh, you know, they haven't had as 614 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:31,040 Speaker 3: much success like with these veteran receivers, like did they 615 00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 3: is it a year two? Wait on DeVante remember Alan Robinson, 616 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:36,800 Speaker 3: Like they don't always make the right bets with these 617 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 3: receivers of these veteran guys. But the upside is DeVante 618 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:41,840 Speaker 3: Adams is still DeVante Adams. 619 00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 2: Stafford Stafford is still Stafford. 620 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 1: He played under. 621 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:46,920 Speaker 3: Pressure for an old guy down to stretch too. Like 622 00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,600 Speaker 3: I was pleasantly surprised with Stafford's play. 623 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,600 Speaker 2: Even outdoors in Philly, right, that was really impressive to me. 624 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 1: At the end of the year. Yeah. 625 00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 3: So the one thing is, I mean, they did overperform 626 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 3: their Catagorn wins by two, but but that like the 627 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:04,160 Speaker 3: kind of punted weeks O week eighteen. So I'm not 628 00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:06,719 Speaker 3: going to hold them, you know, hold that against them 629 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 3: too much. So yeah, again, last eight years, it's been 630 00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:16,120 Speaker 3: McVeigh or, Shanahan, Tom Brady, Chiefs Eagles and one one 631 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 3: another straggle in the in the Bengals making Super Bowl. 632 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 3: So I think you think you want to have tickets 633 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,240 Speaker 3: on the Rams and Nines regardless of you know, what 634 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 3: you think about the division or the win totals. 635 00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:27,480 Speaker 1: I think the way to bet both of these teams upside. 636 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on the Rams? They just won't 637 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:30,960 Speaker 1: add for them too. 638 00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 2: They were in a tough spot a couple of years ago, 639 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 2: and they've been drafting really well and managing the roster 640 00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:39,560 Speaker 2: really well. You got to give a lot of credit 641 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:46,120 Speaker 2: to Less and McVeigh. If the secondary still worries me, 642 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:49,640 Speaker 2: that would be my biggest concern, and then death across 643 00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 2: the board because of the position that they've been in. 644 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:55,320 Speaker 2: There's some positions where like they just can't afford injuries 645 00:33:56,280 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 2: or clusters. It gets bleaked very quickly. But I like 646 00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 2: some of it's just the under the radar signings to 647 00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:05,680 Speaker 2: help supplement their their roster. Of like these young defenders 648 00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 2: who have hit and if they hit on the draft 649 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,600 Speaker 2: again with some of their defenders, it's only going to 650 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,440 Speaker 2: continue to thrive. But like bringing in a guy like 651 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 2: poon Afford, even Nate Lanman at linebacker. I like some 652 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:22,719 Speaker 2: of those under the radar signings for cheap. And then yeah, 653 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 2: if Davante and Stafford just you know, Davante is who 654 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:29,760 Speaker 2: he was a couple of years ago and Stafford doesn't 655 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 2: fall off, the offense is going to be really good. 656 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,239 Speaker 2: They can stay healthy. Yeah, bringing ferguson, so yeah, they're 657 00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:40,440 Speaker 2: gonna be in the mix for sure. I project them 658 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:44,080 Speaker 2: nine point eight. Their win totals nine to seven. So 659 00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:48,720 Speaker 2: nothing for me with the Rams. They have the hardest 660 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 2: schedule the divisions league average schedule, but it's more difficult 661 00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 2: than the Niner, Seahawks and Cardinals. 662 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 1: Yeah you want upside with them, I don't think. 663 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, nothing on the division. Don't hate any upside play 664 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:04,920 Speaker 2: on the Rams. For sure, could see them making a 665 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:05,840 Speaker 2: run to the Super Bowl. 666 00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 3: I mean, I mean it's hilariously enough. So I mentioned 667 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,400 Speaker 3: I it's either been like the Chiefs Eagles Brady that 668 00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:18,680 Speaker 3: one Borough year and then like McVeigh shanahan. Well, the 669 00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:22,360 Speaker 3: Rams also have Jimmy g was actually actually one of 670 00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:25,719 Speaker 3: those quarterbacks from these prior Super Bowl. So I mean, 671 00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,879 Speaker 3: even if Stafford for some reason goes down, I mean 672 00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 3: this team always because I mean we were making fun 673 00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:31,840 Speaker 3: of them. We were looking at their roster, like the 674 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,359 Speaker 3: defensive wise anywhere, like what the heck are they doing? 675 00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 3: And you know, they've really found some diamonds in the rough. 676 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 2: So they drafted so well and they needed to. They 677 00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:44,600 Speaker 2: had a ton of picks. Yes, they've hit on just 678 00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 2: so many picks and it saved their franchise legitimately. 679 00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:49,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. 680 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:53,400 Speaker 3: So yeah, I can't really count them out, especially upside wise, 681 00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 3: Cardinals eight and a half wins. 682 00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:58,560 Speaker 1: I feel like no one ever knows what to do 683 00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:04,720 Speaker 1: with them. They Uh, I have a favorite in seven games. 684 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,120 Speaker 3: I have their win total smack dab at eight five though, 685 00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,000 Speaker 3: so I don't really have anything on them, but just 686 00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:12,319 Speaker 3: curious to see your thoughts, Like what do you think 687 00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,440 Speaker 3: they're trajectories? I mean, they really went all in on 688 00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,840 Speaker 3: uh on defense in the draft. 689 00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:17,640 Speaker 1: Uh. 690 00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:21,680 Speaker 3: Their offense seem to be fine last year, except that 691 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 3: I think they plays well as he should have. Yeah, 692 00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 3: like everyone else, I mean you I do you'd have 693 00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 3: a better third receiver than Doors or they Jones. 694 00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:31,319 Speaker 2: Now there will be no dork Greg dork slander on 695 00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 2: this podcast. Please yeah, fair fair Uh Like I like 696 00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:42,600 Speaker 2: the Cardinals this year. I love the staff I love Gannon. 697 00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,080 Speaker 2: I think they're going to continue to ascend. I love 698 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 2: what they did in the offseason for their defense. That 699 00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:52,560 Speaker 2: just addressing the defensive line. They just continue to add 700 00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:54,439 Speaker 2: guys in the second or like, I think their their 701 00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:58,879 Speaker 2: defense has the chance to be above average. Uh we 702 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:02,000 Speaker 2: were talking like going into lash his team could be 703 00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 2: the worst defense in the league. They do a lot 704 00:37:04,560 --> 00:37:06,759 Speaker 2: of great things schematically. I love a lot of the 705 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 2: guys that they brought in. They're way more talented now. 706 00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 2: They didn't really lose much from their roster. The offensive 707 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 2: line is still a little bit of a question, but 708 00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,440 Speaker 2: I'm I'm surprised they didn't address it more. They could 709 00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,239 Speaker 2: still bring in a veteran but something. They'd be fine. 710 00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:27,880 Speaker 2: They're gonna be great running the ball. Kyler Murray is 711 00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:31,959 Speaker 2: kind of an enigma. They need to get better throwing 712 00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:33,600 Speaker 2: the ball down the field. Like if Harrison could just 713 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,200 Speaker 2: get better and like contested catches and like he looks better. 714 00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:38,920 Speaker 2: He only caught forty two percent of his contested catches. 715 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 2: That should be higher. He looks better, hearing good things 716 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:46,240 Speaker 2: about him. If he can just consistently be the guy 717 00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:51,719 Speaker 2: that you know many expected, that would be huge. For 718 00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:54,320 Speaker 2: this offense. And you know, because you already have the 719 00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:58,239 Speaker 2: rushing attack, you already have McBride. You know you have 720 00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:02,040 Speaker 2: Kyler's legs. I love this staff. The defense significantly improved 721 00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:07,160 Speaker 2: by the way theirir schedule, which is manageable because of 722 00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:11,080 Speaker 2: I think they're having like twenty first in schedule difficulty 723 00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:15,319 Speaker 2: little and they start out, you know, you have this 724 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:19,880 Speaker 2: new defense, start out at New Orleans, Carolina. That's a 725 00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:24,160 Speaker 2: nice way to get your to get just the good 726 00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 2: feelings going yeah and looking I mean indoor team where 727 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:38,319 Speaker 2: you're at Seattle, Like where are they playing outdoors? And 728 00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:44,600 Speaker 2: weather not not often at Tampa. So yeah, I love 729 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 2: this staff. I trust this staff. I'm going to be 730 00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:50,360 Speaker 2: investing in the Cardinals somehow. I project eight seven, so 731 00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 2: a little bit of value in the over I might 732 00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,760 Speaker 2: better to make the playoffs division. 733 00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:57,040 Speaker 3: I think makes sense too, because like that, I think 734 00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,000 Speaker 3: that's why I don't want to bet on the Rams 735 00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,319 Speaker 3: and nine ers that us money, because the Cardinals are 736 00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 3: a threat, and like the Cardinals give me less confidence 737 00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,959 Speaker 3: to go all the way. I feel like I would 738 00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:10,440 Speaker 3: still trust like the Shanahan you know, Purdy or McVeigh, 739 00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:13,520 Speaker 3: Stafford over Murray and you know. 740 00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:17,920 Speaker 1: But who is petsing? But uh yeah, I mean they 741 00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 1: are what you can border one to win the division. 742 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:22,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I might split up like some division and make 743 00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:26,080 Speaker 2: the playoffs on the Cardinals. But this this team is 744 00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:27,800 Speaker 2: definitely ascending. I love a lot of the things that 745 00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:32,200 Speaker 2: they're doing and what Cannon is doing. So yeah, I'll 746 00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:34,480 Speaker 2: be invested in some some Cardinals upside. More to come 747 00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:38,120 Speaker 2: on that later in the year, but I'll probably dabble 748 00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:40,279 Speaker 2: some division and tend to make the playoffs this week. 749 00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:42,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, they're plus plus one fifty to make the plus 750 00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:44,320 Speaker 3: one forty five and make the playoffs. 751 00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, but like plus one fifty or better. I can 752 00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:48,360 Speaker 2: find it out that'll shop around. 753 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like uh, I definitely like division. 754 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:55,719 Speaker 3: Uh at plus they're greater. They're actually better than Florida 755 00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,000 Speaker 3: when you can get my plus four teen. 756 00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,320 Speaker 2: Is there's downside with the Niners, like the debt, defense, 757 00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,080 Speaker 2: the wider c room, and then well who knows they 758 00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:03,879 Speaker 2: have like another injured year they have, They have as 759 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:06,360 Speaker 2: many as anybody. And then the Rams like Stafford and 760 00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:09,920 Speaker 2: Adams like we talked about, so there's some downside there, 761 00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:15,360 Speaker 2: and then Seattle it's uh, I trust their defense. But 762 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:23,000 Speaker 2: it's Sam Donald behind a shaky offensive line that's that's 763 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:23,840 Speaker 2: probably not gonna end. 764 00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:29,040 Speaker 3: Well. Yeah, yeah, Seattle is kind of the I mean 765 00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:32,640 Speaker 3: their win Toto is some some spots. I think I've 766 00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:35,200 Speaker 3: seen a no, no, it's seven and a half heavily 767 00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:39,080 Speaker 3: due to the over. It's like seven, yeah, or eight 768 00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:44,399 Speaker 3: and a half juice to the under sixty to one 769 00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:48,560 Speaker 3: super Bowl Seattle. I mean yeah, Donald kind of exposed himself. 770 00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 1: Milroe should be. 771 00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:51,719 Speaker 3: I mean, if they are, I did, like, you know, 772 00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,800 Speaker 3: they're robbed, They're like, all right, didn't work. Now, They're 773 00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,359 Speaker 3: they bring in a Kubiak, but they're you know, they 774 00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,400 Speaker 3: draft some speed, you know, they go with who's a 775 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,160 Speaker 3: tight end. I'm thinking of Arroyo. I think he's a 776 00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:09,640 Speaker 3: guy that could contribute right away, uh the receiving room. 777 00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:12,760 Speaker 3: I mean Jsn even yeah. 778 00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:13,319 Speaker 2: Because. 779 00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:16,759 Speaker 3: He probably is, but he also not I mean he's 780 00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:18,960 Speaker 3: not gonna be asked. Hes not gonna be asked to 781 00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:21,280 Speaker 3: do quite as much. I don't think in this offense. 782 00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:25,040 Speaker 3: I mean, Jasn is just a monster, So I mean 783 00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:26,880 Speaker 3: Cup can just kind of be there. I mean, he 784 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,360 Speaker 3: can't be any worse than Tyra Lockett rolling down to 785 00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:30,880 Speaker 3: the floor after. 786 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:32,799 Speaker 2: You gotta remember you don't have Metcalf there now too. 787 00:41:32,840 --> 00:41:34,600 Speaker 2: So I think I think there their wide receiver room 788 00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:40,000 Speaker 2: is worse off, their quarterbacks worse off. Their offensive line 789 00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:44,040 Speaker 2: still has major question marks, like you're probably starting a 790 00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:47,920 Speaker 2: rookie at guard your center all a team. He hasn't 791 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,880 Speaker 2: shown that he can really be a high calbar player 792 00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:54,720 Speaker 2: now he's still young. But you're into your offensive line, 793 00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:58,960 Speaker 2: which is with Donald is not Yeah, that is ideal. Now. 794 00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:02,640 Speaker 2: I trust the defense. I trust Donald in the defense, 795 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:09,640 Speaker 2: and they should be good. But it's a tough division, man, 796 00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:16,000 Speaker 2: and I think, like you have Stafford, you have you know, 797 00:42:16,200 --> 00:42:20,360 Speaker 2: Perty and Shanahan, and then you have Murray in that 798 00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:24,120 Speaker 2: rushing offense, and then it's like I think, just think 799 00:42:24,160 --> 00:42:27,080 Speaker 2: the odd man out as much telling Don is Donald 800 00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:32,000 Speaker 2: with a shaky offensive line. That's what scares me. With Seattle. 801 00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:36,840 Speaker 2: I project them at eight. So like their wind totals 802 00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:40,560 Speaker 2: like seven point eight, I just have no interest in 803 00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,360 Speaker 2: betting their upside or the division. I just think ultimately 804 00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:48,800 Speaker 2: that's what holds them back. I like what they're building 805 00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,759 Speaker 2: in some ways. They just need to fix the old 806 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:54,360 Speaker 2: line and then they have to find their quarterback of 807 00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:59,400 Speaker 2: the future, and uh, I'm not sure they have that 808 00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,120 Speaker 2: right now. They do go ten and seven last year. 809 00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:02,920 Speaker 2: I had their over last year over seven and a half. 810 00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:06,000 Speaker 2: They went six and two in one session games, so 811 00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:10,000 Speaker 2: probably got a little fortunate with that, but you know, 812 00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:11,960 Speaker 2: I think they probably finished with seven or eight wins. 813 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:13,000 Speaker 2: Think the numbers right. 814 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:18,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, If anything, I might look to get some long 815 00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:20,560 Speaker 3: shot downside, like if you can get like an under 816 00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:22,520 Speaker 3: five and a half wins or worst record in the 817 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:24,680 Speaker 3: league or something like the worst were going NFC. Maybe 818 00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:33,520 Speaker 3: because I have them the Saints exist three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven, eleven. 819 00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:35,360 Speaker 3: So I have them favorite in seven games. I have 820 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:37,719 Speaker 3: their projected win total right around eight. 821 00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:40,160 Speaker 2: But I only have them favorite in four games. 822 00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:43,000 Speaker 1: Oh wow, Well yeah, so there you go. So like 823 00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:44,319 Speaker 1: I have the that's what I'm getting at. 824 00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:47,000 Speaker 3: I have them in eleven coin flip games, which is 825 00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:50,279 Speaker 3: like a spread within three on either. 826 00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean one of the yeah, one of the 827 00:43:52,760 --> 00:44:00,239 Speaker 2: I have them is a point one dog a point seven, yeah, 828 00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,279 Speaker 2: point another point seven, So that's probably our difference. But yeah, 829 00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:06,080 Speaker 2: I just a ton of coin flips. The only big 830 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:10,400 Speaker 2: the only big favorite. It was just the home against 831 00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:14,600 Speaker 2: the Saints. That's it. The rest under three under three 832 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:16,279 Speaker 2: under three of the three three three three. 833 00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:20,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, everything's cor They could be really bad or really 834 00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:23,759 Speaker 3: or okay, but like their ceiling is probably like okay. 835 00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:25,440 Speaker 2: But their floor ten wins. 836 00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:26,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, So like I kind of. 837 00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:30,399 Speaker 3: Want to bet the launch like the upside downside, if 838 00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:33,640 Speaker 3: that makes sense, Like the upside downside. 839 00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:39,000 Speaker 2: It's just a downside, the upside downside, the downside. 840 00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:42,880 Speaker 4: This is our four be the upside downside, it's just 841 00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:43,600 Speaker 4: the downside. 842 00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,960 Speaker 3: I just think of everything and there's like odds, so 843 00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:49,360 Speaker 3: I'm just like the pluses of we're. 844 00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:51,880 Speaker 2: Upside down right now. I get what you're saying. 845 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:53,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, but uh yeah I think that. 846 00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:56,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, what I'm doing is the Seas probably more likely 847 00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,240 Speaker 3: to be very bad than very good. So yeah, not 848 00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:02,160 Speaker 3: nothing on on them, but for this division, yeah, do 849 00:45:02,400 --> 00:45:05,960 Speaker 3: like the Niners in the Rams Super Bowl, like the 850 00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:12,759 Speaker 3: Cards division. That is, all eight teams that we are 851 00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,920 Speaker 3: covering in this part two of our NFC twenty twenty 852 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:20,960 Speaker 3: five win total. So now it's uh, let's recap our 853 00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:24,600 Speaker 3: NFC best bets stuck launch. 854 00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:27,720 Speaker 2: He starts off, all right, I like the downside upside 855 00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:31,440 Speaker 2: of the Cardinals. Now I like the upside Cardinals division 856 00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:37,080 Speaker 2: little division playoffs, probably staying away from the wind total, 857 00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:40,120 Speaker 2: but I might I might dabble there too. But like 858 00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:44,640 Speaker 2: like buying some upside on the Cardinals, Bears Division, Packers, 859 00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:50,280 Speaker 2: real upside, longer shot upside Super super Bowl. UH Detroit 860 00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:54,040 Speaker 2: win total under Philly win total under Washington win total 861 00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:58,800 Speaker 2: under NFC South is just TBD for me as of 862 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:03,720 Speaker 2: right now, need more intel, So nothing from the NFC South. 863 00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:05,040 Speaker 2: How about you? What you got? 864 00:46:06,080 --> 00:46:08,160 Speaker 3: So NFC is where I like to take longer shot 865 00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:11,160 Speaker 3: Super Bowl teams just because you don't have that top 866 00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:16,040 Speaker 3: three of homes Amar Josh Allen. So like Green Bay 867 00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:19,759 Speaker 3: twenty two to one for the Super Bowl, San Francisco 868 00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:23,480 Speaker 3: sixteen to one, Rams twenty to one, all three of 869 00:46:23,520 --> 00:46:27,560 Speaker 3: those are pretty much outside of the Packers what we've 870 00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:28,960 Speaker 3: seen in the Super Bowl. 871 00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:29,959 Speaker 1: Then also like the. 872 00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:33,759 Speaker 3: Bears for some division, you could get them five to one. 873 00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:41,120 Speaker 3: And then the Cardinals at plus four to twenty five division, 874 00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:45,120 Speaker 3: I think they are They could easily out, you know, 875 00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:46,960 Speaker 3: put up more wins in the regular season than the 876 00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,439 Speaker 3: Rams or the Niners. Even though I think the Rams 877 00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,920 Speaker 3: are the Niners are I trust them more to get 878 00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:56,120 Speaker 3: to the super Bowl, and then some more leans. I 879 00:46:56,160 --> 00:47:00,920 Speaker 3: call all my win totals weans basically just because it's early. 880 00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:03,560 Speaker 3: But win totals I like are green Bay. 881 00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,879 Speaker 2: There's a lot of injuries that could still happen. There's yeah, yeah, 882 00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,360 Speaker 2: you're tying up your money for a long time, and 883 00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,680 Speaker 2: so there's a lot of reasons to to wait unless 884 00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:13,879 Speaker 2: you really really like a number. Yeah. 885 00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,640 Speaker 3: So the win totals are green Bay over nine and 886 00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:20,239 Speaker 3: a half, Minnesota under eight and a half, Philly under 887 00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:24,000 Speaker 3: eleven and a half, Detroit under ten and a half, 888 00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:28,839 Speaker 3: some other ones. I leen Washington plus two twenty five 889 00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,279 Speaker 3: for the division just if Philly. I think that are 890 00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:36,760 Speaker 3: most likely if Philly regresses, and then Dallas long shot 891 00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:41,839 Speaker 3: playoffs plus twoh five and long shot division at six 892 00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:42,160 Speaker 3: to one. 893 00:47:42,200 --> 00:47:44,240 Speaker 1: Like the playoff more but division. 894 00:47:44,280 --> 00:47:46,920 Speaker 3: You know, we do expect Washington and Philly to have 895 00:47:47,120 --> 00:47:50,080 Speaker 3: there is some downside with those two teams, So that's 896 00:47:50,120 --> 00:47:50,520 Speaker 3: kind of how I. 897 00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:52,880 Speaker 1: Want to play that. Also, Detroit to missed the playoffs 898 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,520 Speaker 1: at plus two hundred, yes, I think it's attractive. 899 00:47:55,600 --> 00:48:00,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, so yeah, but the the super ones are 900 00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,920 Speaker 3: the Niners, the Rams, and the Packers, and then and 901 00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:07,719 Speaker 3: then we're going Bears, Cardinals, long Shot Division. Those are 902 00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:10,400 Speaker 3: those are my favorite five. And then all the wind totals, 903 00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:12,279 Speaker 3: uh you know, want to bet them now? 904 00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:12,839 Speaker 1: Bet them now? 905 00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:16,680 Speaker 3: Probably better off waiting unless your bankroll, unless it just 906 00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:18,120 Speaker 3: doesn't really affect your bankroll. 907 00:48:18,120 --> 00:48:23,640 Speaker 2: Then biomeans no credit, Quick Plug, Action NEWORKAP, Actionnwork dot Com. Well, 908 00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:25,920 Speaker 2: stuff we write out later in the summer, and then 909 00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:27,640 Speaker 2: whenever we do bet anything on the app, you can 910 00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:30,960 Speaker 2: follow along catch it there and uh yeah, we'll obviously 911 00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:33,839 Speaker 2: have more NFL content later in the summer, but that's 912 00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:37,279 Speaker 2: uh where we're feeling right now. Some offseason NFL is 913 00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:39,319 Speaker 2: nice to wet the beak use. 914 00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:41,759 Speaker 1: There are Bears and Bears and Packers. That's that's what 915 00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:42,080 Speaker 1: we need. 916 00:48:42,120 --> 00:48:44,279 Speaker 3: This here, that's gonna do it for us here on 917 00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:48,719 Speaker 3: the Action Network podcast four episodes. I hope you guys 918 00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,640 Speaker 3: enjoyed it. And of course you can find Stucky on 919 00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:52,600 Speaker 3: X at Stucky two. 920 00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:53,640 Speaker 1: I'm at Chris Raybond. 921 00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:56,360 Speaker 3: We're at those same handles on that free award winning 922 00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:59,040 Speaker 3: Action Network app that Stucky just mentioned where you can 923 00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:01,880 Speaker 3: uh follow all of our bests or any of the 924 00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:06,240 Speaker 3: Action Network experts and track your own until next time. 925 00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:25,320 Speaker 1: Get your money bet on Load. 926 00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:22,359 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 927 00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:25,600 Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 928 00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,520 Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 929 00:49:28,560 --> 00:49:29,400 Speaker 2: hundred Gambler