1 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,599 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday 2 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,119 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back 5 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: after a winning night, a loser small on Monday, and 6 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: then a winner on Tuesday, which takes us to a 7 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: good spot where we were now up for the week. 8 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 1: Royals team total under again? Is that five straight or 9 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: four straight? One of the two. We're hot with that. 10 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 1: We're staying with that, but more than that. In a second, 11 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: Pirates team total comes in. They win one nothing win 12 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: two units there or two point zero two units the 13 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: tea Wolves, I told you guys to middle it. Hopefully 14 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: you guys attempted to middle it. I only lost point 15 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 1: one on that, not the full one point one. But officially, 16 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:07,399 Speaker 1: we tend to not make live bets official, so officially 17 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: t Wolves got smoked in the second half. They were 18 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: up at the break, up by four at halftime, but 19 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: then all okay, see at okace plus one ten to 20 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: win it all looks very good. They're seven wins away 21 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 1: from winning the NBA Championship, and they look like the 22 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 1: best team by far of the four that are left 23 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: two and one day up point nine to two units 24 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: up for the day and now up before the week. 25 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: I have got a strategy for the Royals and the 26 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: Giants game. Two bets on that game to tell you 27 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:40,479 Speaker 1: about a bet with the Pirates game and the bet 28 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: on tonight's game one of the Eastern Conference Finals between 29 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 1: the Pacers and the Knicks. 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Okay, let's talk about what's going 46 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: on with San Francisco and the Royals. So here's the thing. 47 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: The Royals team total under three and a half has 48 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: been a cash cow four and a half, three and 49 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: a half. But the books are getting wise. They are 50 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 1: now putting it at two and a half and it's 51 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: plus money to under two and a half runs. Now, 52 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: let's score two runs yesterday. Logan Webb is the starting 53 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: pitcher today for the Giants. Logan web at home is 54 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,959 Speaker 1: three and zero with a point six y' four era. 55 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: He is tremendous. However, two and a half. I'm gonna 56 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 1: bet it personally just because we have to bet it. 57 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: I mean, like you should bet it just based on principle, okay, 58 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 1: But for me to put it officially and then tell 59 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 1: you guys in unison to go bet under two and 60 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: a half is ridiculous. I mean, they scored three runs 61 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 1: in the first game of this series under three and 62 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: a half that cashed two and a half. This is 63 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: getting to be comical, so I'm not gonna recommend doing that. 64 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: I am gonna recommend the Nurfe no run in the 65 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: first inning. Now, I don't know who's pitching for the Royals. 66 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: It's a little bit hairy to recommend it, but I 67 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: have bet it because I think it's a worthwhile play. 68 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: I know Logan Web is going to be a bear 69 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: to score on at the top of the inning. Okay, 70 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: out of the gate, Logan Young Logan Logan Web has 71 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: been tremendous. Like I mentioned, Logan Weber point six y 72 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,040 Speaker 1: four three to oher opposing batting average of two oh eight. 73 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 1: He's given up two two earned runs in twenty eight 74 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 1: in a third innings worth of work at home two. 75 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: So the question is who is throwing for the Royals. 76 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: We don't know, but given the giants lack of offense 77 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: in this homestand four consecutive games have gone under, Giants 78 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: scored three runs yesterday. They scored one run the night before, 79 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: So it's three to one, it's three to two. Are 80 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:51,599 Speaker 1: the Giants gonna score in the first inning. I'm gonna 81 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: bet that they're not going to twelve consecutive games the 82 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: Royals have seen a Nurfee no run in the first inning. 83 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 1: The first two games of this series also have seen 84 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 1: a Nerfee no run in the first inning. It's a 85 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: little juicy, but we're gonna ride the streak of twelve 86 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: consecutive no runs in the first inning minus one thirty 87 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:17,159 Speaker 1: eight Royals and the Giants no run in the first 88 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: inning for one point three to eight units to win. 89 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: One second bet same game again. I would bet team 90 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 1: total under go ahead and bet it, but I'm not 91 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 1: making it official. You can bet all three of these 92 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 1: so On's official Nurfe under two and a half team total, 93 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 1: Royals unofficial plus money unofficial got a sneaking suspicion four 94 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 1: to three final they score over two and a half 95 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 1: runs under three and a half runs. And there are 96 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 1: some books, by the way, draft kings sometimes let you adjust, 97 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: and I think you're gonna pay pretty good juice if 98 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 1: you adjust it to three and a half. But if 99 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: you want to do that, sometimes you can adjust the 100 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: team total, make an alternative team total. Don't mind that play, 101 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: but three is the number because a four to three 102 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: win for the Giants goes under seven and a half. 103 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: Even a four to three win for the Royals gets 104 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: us to the under seven and a half. The Royals 105 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: on the road this year are sixteen seven and one 106 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: to the under. The Giants at home this year are 107 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: now fifteen and ten to the under. In the last 108 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 1: four games of this road trip are sorry, excuse me, 109 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 1: this home stand have gone under, including the first two 110 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 1: games here against the Royals. I'm gonna bet the under 111 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 1: under seven and a half at minus one fifteen for 112 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:46,039 Speaker 1: these two teams. If the Royals score two runs and 113 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: the Giants score five, we go under. Team total under 114 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 1: Nurfy hopefully comes in three bets one game. All on 115 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 1: the lack of offense that both the these teams are showing. 116 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 1: We could get smoked. Okay, if if it's a high 117 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 1: scoring game, I go down three units, I get killed. 118 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: But we've had a really good month and I think 119 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: these are pretty good bets. Okay. It would take a 120 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: unusual to say the least, and a game situation for 121 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 1: us to lose all three of these bets, but only 122 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 1: two of them are official Casey and San Francisco. No 123 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: run in the first inning to win one unit, bet 124 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: it whatever it is. Minus one thirty eight is what 125 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: I got, and the game to go under seven and 126 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: a half at minus one point fifteen team total Royals 127 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 1: Also you can jump in with that. I don't think 128 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: it's really playable from a numbers perspective because Logan Webb 129 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 1: is a monster favorite in this game, as he should 130 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: be just given what we've seen. I mean, it's minus 131 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: two hundred on the money line. Not really interested in 132 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: laying that. But Giants should win the game. A three 133 00:07:58,920 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 1: to two Giants win with no runs in the first 134 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: inning is a perfect ending for us on this game. 135 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: So we'll see how it plays out. But Nurphy official 136 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,679 Speaker 1: under seven and a half official. Now, I am gonna 137 00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: play a really scary bet. I played it yesterday because 138 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 1: we have seen twenty four consecutive games, make it twenty 139 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: five consecutive games where the Pirates have not scored more 140 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: than four runs. I misspoke last night. They have scored 141 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 1: over the last twenty five games. There's been three times 142 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 1: where the Pirates have scored over four runs. But the 143 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: vast majority is for and under for this team. The 144 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: team total is three and a half to Mins one 145 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: ten on both sides. The books are saying, come and 146 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: get it. Brady Singer is pitching for the Reds and 147 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 1: the only reason why I am betting this is because 148 00:08:55,480 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: the Pirates saw Brady Singer and Brady Singer wasn't awful. 149 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:03,959 Speaker 1: It was at home, but he went five innings gave 150 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: up three earned runs in a five to three win 151 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 1: for the Reds. Now since on the road he gave 152 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: up seven to the Astros, four to the Braves, and 153 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: two to the Marlins five to final there the Marlins 154 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:24,559 Speaker 1: offense in the Pirates offense is very similar, so if 155 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 1: they score four, we lose. Again. Back to the idea 156 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: of moving to four and a half, I don't hate that, Okay, 157 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: if you can move the team total for the Pirates 158 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: to four and a half and pay the juice, don't 159 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 1: hate it because the thing could land four and I'm 160 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: going to lose. But this is just based on principle. Okay, 161 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 1: I don't think the Pirates score a lot of runs, 162 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:48,439 Speaker 1: but if they're going to do it, it's gonna be against 163 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 1: this cat because Brady Singer hasn't been good. His last 164 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 1: start was at home, five innings to three earned runs 165 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:56,839 Speaker 1: in a five to four win. A five to four 166 00:09:56,920 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: win causes us to lose this bet. So this is 167 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 1: just because we bet it. And the Pirates haven't been 168 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: scoring very much at all. But again, if they score four, 169 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:10,960 Speaker 1: we're dead, score three, we're fine. Team total is three 170 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:15,320 Speaker 1: and a half. So far against the Reds this year, 171 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: the Pirates have scored three two zero one and in 172 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: one run. They haven't scored four runs yet this year 173 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:28,319 Speaker 1: against the Reds. They're gonna test it against Brady Singer. 174 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna debate that this guy could very well 175 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 1: be a gas can. And we see six runs, seven runs, 176 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 1: and the Pirates finally break out of this. But until 177 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: they do, we're betting team total under Pirates team total 178 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: under three and a half for one point one units. Finally, 179 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: to the NBA game tonight, Pacers Knicks Game one of 180 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 1: the NBA Finals. Total is two twenty four. I have 181 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 1: no idea who wins this game. I'm just gonna be honest. 182 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 1: I have no idea who wins this game. Pacers could 183 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: be live to win Game one. I thought the team 184 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: Wolves are live live to game to win Game one. 185 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 1: They got smoked. What I know is pace of play 186 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: and the Pacers are going to run the Knicks. Now. 187 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 1: The Knicks like to play fast, but Boston is one 188 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 1: of the slowest teams in the NBA. This is going 189 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: to be a very different style than what the Knicks 190 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: have played for the last six games. Pacers want to 191 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: run you into the ground and a lot of players 192 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 1: are getting hurt during the Pacer games like Cleveland because 193 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:31,320 Speaker 1: of the style of play, because of how fast the 194 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: Pacers want to play. Here are the final scores of 195 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: the three games in the regular season one twenty three 196 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 1: ninety eight one thirty two, one twenty one in one 197 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: twenty eight one point fifteen. I get it, playoff basketball 198 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 1: is different, but this is Game one. I expect the 199 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 1: Pacers to run, run, run, and that will open up 200 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 1: easy scoring opportunities on the other side for the New 201 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 1: York Knicks. The total is set at two twenty four. 202 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 1: I don't know how we're not betting over in this game. Okay, again, 203 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: one twenty three ninety eight doesn't go over. Okay, I'll 204 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,120 Speaker 1: give you that. But the other two games flew over. 205 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 1: And the one game in New York was one twenty 206 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 1: three ninety eight, which would be just shy of two 207 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: twenty four. The other two games in Indiana both flew over. 208 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:24,959 Speaker 1: I think we see a fast paced game. I think 209 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: we see a lot of shooting, a lot of scoring. 210 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,560 Speaker 1: We're going over to twenty four for the Knicks and 211 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 1: the Pacers tonight in Game one of the Eastern Conference Finals. 212 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: All right, so plays for today. Royals Giants nurfy, no 213 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 1: run in the first inning at mius one thirty eight 214 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 1: for one point three eight units under seven and a half. 215 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 1: That same game, Royals and the Giants at Mine one fifteen, 216 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 1: pirates team total against the Reds under three and a 217 00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:51,559 Speaker 1: half at minus one ten and the Pacers and the 218 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: Knicks over to twenty four again for one point one units. 219 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perulp. You guys cant following miracles 220 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 1: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever 221 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: you guys are getting your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice.