1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at seven am Eastern 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 1: on Apple car Play or Android Auto with the Bloomberg 4 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 5 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: Let's check in with Lindsay Rosser. She's a head of 7 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:33,879 Speaker 2: multi sector investing in Golden Sach's Asset Management. She's a 8 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 2: principal there, and she is also an undergraduate from Prince University. 9 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 2: So I have to start out. Lindsay, what is your 10 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 2: go to sandwich at Hogi Haven. 11 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: I knew you were going to ask me this, Paul, 12 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 3: you always ask me. 13 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 4: It is the heart stopper, nice delicious sandwich, chicken parmegg 14 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:50,840 Speaker 4: on top. 15 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 2: There you go go ahead right now. I don't care 16 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 2: if you're a nobel lauriate out of Princeton. That's what 17 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 2: I lead with. I go with the the they have 18 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: a racer price since nineteen eighty two. 19 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 3: By the way, no inflation there. 20 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 4: And Jigi Haven is the great Leveler exactly the common 21 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 4: denomination for all cos Prince University. 22 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 2: Lindsay, what is your Federal Reserve going to do? 23 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 4: Tomorrow they are going to cut. It is a foregone conclusion. 24 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 4: I think, despite what Powell has told us, they are 25 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 4: going to the odds right this morning, if you look 26 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 4: on the Bloomberg terminal is ninety five point nine percent. 27 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 4: I take the over. I think it's one hundred they 28 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 4: need to cut. But what really we're waiting to hear, 29 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 4: and this is the part that's most important, is how 30 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 4: it is actually couched. Is it couched as the end 31 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 4: of the insurance cuts. That's what we think it will 32 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 4: be told as that's very important, And I think we 33 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 4: also may hear that the bar for future cuts is 34 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 4: extremely high. 35 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 5: So lindsay, I think it's pretty safe to say we're 36 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 5: going to have a divided FED. 37 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 6: This could be a heated meeting. 38 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,559 Speaker 5: Actually, So when you look ahead to twenty twenty six, 39 00:01:58,040 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 5: what do you think that's good? What do you think 40 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 5: the interest rate landscape is going to look like? 41 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 4: Well? 42 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 3: I think there's two things. 43 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 4: First, as it pertains to the actual meeting, what is 44 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 4: going on behind the scenes over the next day and 45 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 4: a half is can Powell get the dissenters, which are 46 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 4: mainly hawks, to stop flapping their wings and actually not 47 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 4: descent based on the language that he'll share at the 48 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 4: presser and the talk around the decision. So I think 49 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 4: there's a chance that it will seem less contentious if 50 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 4: Powell is able to bring everyone to the middle and 51 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 4: get them more comfortable with the messaging. But there certainly 52 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 4: will be some descent. So now the second piece of 53 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 4: the question, what happens in twenty twenty six, This is 54 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,119 Speaker 4: actually really interesting, right, And why it's interesting is we've 55 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,119 Speaker 4: got likely a changing of the guards, so Pal's term 56 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 4: ends and there should be a new chair who's likely 57 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 4: not Powell. 58 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 3: In May. 59 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 4: Pascid is the front runner. He has definitely spoken to 60 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 4: and very clear that he is more. 61 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 3: Dubvish than Powell. 62 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 4: And so what twenty twenty six looks like may actually 63 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 4: be very different than the dots we receive tomorrow. We 64 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 4: think the dots are going to show one cut for 65 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 4: twenty twenty six, we actually think that it's going to 66 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 4: be two. That's because Hasset's going to be a more 67 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 4: Duvish lead fed and we think that more cuts are 68 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 4: likely to happen, not the one that may be penciled in. 69 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 2: Lindsay Fixingcome has been a really good place to be 70 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty five mid to high single digit returns. 71 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 2: Where do you think the opportunities are in twenty twenty 72 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 2: six in fixed income? 73 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, so, just big picture, fixed income is still an opportunity. 74 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 4: To your point, it's returned six point eight percent. A 75 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 4: lot of people compare that to the sixteen number in stocks, 76 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 4: and we don't actually feel like that's a fair yard stick, 77 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 4: very different vaul profile. Fixed income is going to continue 78 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 4: to be an interesting space in twenty twenty six for 79 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 4: a few reasons. One, you've got an economy that probably 80 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 4: is going to grow above trend. A big driver there 81 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 4: is AI, which we think can offer somewhere on the 82 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 4: order to half a percent or three quarters of a 83 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 4: percent of GDP on the year. That's quite meaningful. The 84 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 4: second thing is we just got through earnings and companies 85 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 4: are doing well. They're not guiding in a way of concern. 86 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 4: They're not as worried as they were before. We spent 87 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 4: the beginning of the year really concerned about what does 88 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 4: tariff's mean for profitability? What can companies do when they're 89 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 4: not sure what will be happening. They have more certainty 90 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 4: and I think that leads them to be able to guide, 91 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 4: to plan, and to grow. So it's positive from a 92 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 4: company perspective. All of these things together and a decent 93 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 4: enough labor market pretend for us a backdrop that we 94 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 4: think is good for fixed income, where in particular is 95 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 4: it interesting We liked still parts of structured product. We 96 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,359 Speaker 4: think that you want to be able to find the 97 00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 4: specific collateral that you want to invest in. Ructure product 98 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 4: gives you a way to slice and dice what's out there. 99 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 3: In terms of just broad strokes. 100 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 4: Do we think a lot is being offered in investment 101 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 4: grade or high yield? The numbers of spreads are pretty tight, 102 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 4: but if you actually look at the yields, the yields 103 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 4: the all in on investment grade in high yield are 104 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 4: somewhere on the order of the seventieth percentile if you 105 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 4: look back in a ten year period. So we think 106 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,600 Speaker 4: yield is what you eat. Yield is destiny. You've got 107 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 4: a lot of opportunity and fixed income from a yield perspective, 108 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,719 Speaker 4: and you've got a really positive backdrop that tells you 109 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 4: that this can be a good year. Now, there are 110 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 4: always risks, but it feels to us that we're set 111 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 4: up pretty well. 112 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 5: Yield is destiny. Apparently that's our quote of the day. Lindsay, 113 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 5: thank you so much. You you mentioned jobs a moment ago. 114 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 5: How concerned are you though? I mean, companies seem to 115 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 5: be weathering the tariff storm, if you will, but they're 116 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:56,600 Speaker 5: not exactly expanding payrolls at an impressive rate. You think 117 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 5: it's going to just sort of be that way next year, 118 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 5: I mean, because it could take a leg lower and 119 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 5: that can really change things like GDP. 120 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 3: So I think there are two things. 121 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 4: One, we are in a low higher low fire, as 122 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 4: you mentioned. I think that'll continue. I think the second 123 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 4: thing is we all need to start building some comfortability 124 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 4: around a jobless recovery. And what I mean by that 125 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 4: is we've got this growth that's being driven by AI. 126 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 4: That is something that is an investment in technology. If 127 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 4: you remember back to from a Princeton but others other 128 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 4: places to econ classes. You think about capital, right, and 129 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 4: it can be labor or it can be technology. And 130 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:43,600 Speaker 4: this is an example of technology driven capital investment that 131 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 4: we think leads to GDP. And so while we always 132 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 4: would like to be in a world where the labor 133 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 4: market is in constant expansion mode and more people get 134 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 4: brought into the labor force, we see wages increase. That's 135 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 4: not always the type of environment we're in, and we 136 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:03,359 Speaker 4: think that we're actually in one that's a technology driven 137 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 4: growth environment, and that may be one where the labor 138 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 4: market kind of stays put with the job payrolls and 139 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 4: the numbers that we see that remain flat. 140 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 2: So, Lindsey, the language we're going to get from FED 141 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: Chairman J. Powell tomorrow, you know, as you mentioned, that's 142 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 2: going to be kind of important here because we haven't 143 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 2: had a lot of economic data, so we're looking for 144 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 2: some guidance here. Is there anything in particular you're going 145 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 2: to be focusing on. 146 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, it'll be interesting how he continues his analogy. Right, 147 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 4: we've heard for a long time when we had data, 148 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 4: Powell described it as driving in the fog, right, and 149 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 4: when you drive in the fog, you just slow down 150 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 4: because you can't see that. Well, well, I don't know 151 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 4: if you can even call this fog anymore when you 152 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 4: have no data whatsoever. So it'll be very interesting to 153 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 4: hear if he just calls it fogg yer or is 154 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 4: this just a total blackout and we can't see anything? 155 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 4: That language will be interesting, But again, I think it's 156 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 4: less focusing on the data as it is focusing on 157 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 4: the process and the philosophy, because that's going to be 158 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 4: really important to get the whole of the FOMC together 159 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 4: around the decision to cut. So will he talk about 160 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 4: some alternative data indicators? Absolutely, as was mentioned before I 161 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:25,679 Speaker 4: got on, we'll have jolts today, We'll have ECI that'll 162 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 4: be informative, it'll also be stale. This is what he's 163 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 4: got to work with. This is what we have to 164 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 4: work with, and so that's what he'll talk about. But 165 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 4: I think they'll be less bonus on that to do 166 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 4: the proving for what they've done than the going forward 167 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 4: and that we've taken out an insurance policy, we've finished 168 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 4: our insurance cuts. He feels very comfortable in the work 169 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 4: that he and the FMC have done. I think that's 170 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 4: what he's going to talk about, all right. 171 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 2: Lindsay, thank you so much for joining us. Really appreciate it. 172 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 2: Lindsay Rossner, she's head of multi sector investing in Goldman 173 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:59,319 Speaker 2: Sachs Asset Management. Big fan of Hogy Haven and again 174 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 2: my favorite pizza in the world, Conties in Frankston. Stay 175 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 2: with us or from Bloomberg Surveillance coming up after this. 176 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Catch us live 177 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 1: weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen on 178 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 1: Applecarplay and Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business app, or 179 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: watch us live on YouTube. 180 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:31,199 Speaker 5: Let's bring in Sarah Hunt, partner and chief market strategist 181 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 5: at Alpine Saxon Woods, joining us here at our interactive 182 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 5: broker studio. 183 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 6: Sarah always get to see you. 184 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 2: Good morning. 185 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 5: I guess my first question is is tomorrow I've been 186 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 5: calling it a catalyst for the past few days, but 187 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 5: is Tomorrow's FED meeting really going to be a market 188 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 5: moving event? 189 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 7: I think it depends a lot on the commentary. I mean, 190 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 7: we've certainly seen the odds of a rate cut go 191 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 7: from one hundred percent or more than one hundred percent 192 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 7: to twenty percent, back to almost one hundred percent. I 193 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 7: think that it's almost in that that's likely to happen 194 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 7: to It's really going to be about the commentary about 195 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 7: what happens after that, about what they're seeing now. It 196 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 7: is very difficult without government data to be doing a 197 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 7: lot of the prognosticating that most of us try to 198 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 7: do about where they think rates are going and why 199 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 7: without as much data as we normally have. But I 200 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 7: think that I think there's an expectation they're going to 201 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:19,320 Speaker 7: cut rates, So if they don't, I think the market 202 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:21,320 Speaker 7: probably doesn't like that. And going forward, I think they 203 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 7: want to see who the commentary is. 204 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 2: What is your outlook for twenty twenty six in terms 205 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 2: of rate policy going forward? 206 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,560 Speaker 7: I think that depends a lot on where we shake 207 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 7: out in inflation. I think it's tough to keep cutting 208 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 7: rates if we see inflation doing even if it's just 209 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 7: staying steady. I think you need to see that come 210 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 7: down a little more before you can make the argument 211 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 7: that this is no longer just easy and restricted policy, 212 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 7: and it's now getting to an easy policy when you 213 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 7: have an inflation problem. I think that's a very delicate dance. 214 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:50,839 Speaker 7: They've been trying to do it all year, and right 215 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:52,959 Speaker 7: now it's harder to parse again because of the lack 216 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 7: of data. 217 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 5: Do you see a scenario though, if inflation is going 218 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,319 Speaker 5: to be the thing that the Fed is most worried 219 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:01,319 Speaker 5: about in twenty six, do you see as anario where 220 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 5: we raise interest rates? 221 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 6: I don't see that right now. 222 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 7: I think you would have to see some fairly significant 223 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 7: issues either with inflation and or a very strong labor 224 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,320 Speaker 7: market and some inflation before you could even start talking 225 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:18,960 Speaker 7: about that. But I think that the concern about some 226 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 7: weakness in the labor market would forestall that. That's that's 227 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 7: at least that's what That's what I think at the moment. 228 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 2: S and pup fifteen percent year to date, NASTAK up 229 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 2: twenty percent year to date. Fixed income I got high 230 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 2: single digit returns this year. How do we position for 231 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 2: twenty six? Do you think after that really strong, really 232 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 2: strong year in twenty five. 233 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:38,640 Speaker 7: Well, I think that twenty six is going to be 234 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 7: somewhat of approving year for some of the technologies that 235 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 7: people have been happy to pay up for, and I 236 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 7: think that you're going to start to see that broaden 237 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 7: out a little bit with use cases in different industries. 238 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:49,480 Speaker 7: We expect to see some earnings growth on the small 239 00:11:49,520 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 7: cap side that has been lackluster and or sort of 240 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 7: absent for the last couple of years. I think that 241 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 7: that's the biggest question about twenty twenty six. If you 242 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 7: start to see any questions about the earnings trajectory, I 243 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 7: think that makes where we are and where we're going 244 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 7: into twenty twenty six quite problematic. So I think you 245 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 7: could see some volatility and some vulnerability depending on which 246 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 7: narrative takes hold. If you start to see any changes 247 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 7: in the expected. 248 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 5: Outlook private credit opportunities they are in twenty six, I'd imagine. 249 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 7: Well, I think that there's opportunities almost everywhere where there's 250 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:23,280 Speaker 7: money looking for a home. The question is are those 251 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 7: opportunities ones that you want to chase here or are 252 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 7: there things that are more reasonable. We don't actively act 253 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 7: in the private equity and sorry in the private credit market, 254 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,199 Speaker 7: so that for us is just one of the things 255 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 7: where we're keeping an eye on the whole ecosphere just 256 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 7: to make sure that things look like they're still progressing 257 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 7: positively and you don't have any real blow ups. I 258 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 7: think the only problems that you've seen have really not 259 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:50,680 Speaker 7: been an issue that you could extrapolate into the entire sector, 260 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 7: but it's definitely been more. 261 00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 6: Than eye on to particular companies. 262 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, how much creditisity should we be taking here in 263 00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:58,080 Speaker 2: this marketplace? 264 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,000 Speaker 7: I think with spreads compressed to the extent that they are, 265 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:02,960 Speaker 7: it's hard to say that there is a lot of 266 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 7: room to take a lot of credit risk. I mean, 267 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:09,559 Speaker 7: I think that to the extent that investment grade bonds 268 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 7: and government bonds are giving you a yield after years 269 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:14,480 Speaker 7: of not giving you a yield. I think that the 270 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 7: concern that we would have in going too far out 271 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 7: on credit risk is the spread. Compression is the first 272 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 7: thing that goes when you start to see cracks in 273 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 7: the credit market, and the credit market usually leads an 274 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 7: equity market down, not the other way around. So if 275 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 7: I'm at all concerned about credit, or at least thinking 276 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:30,679 Speaker 7: that that's the canary and the coal mine, I probably 277 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,679 Speaker 7: want to be careful right now with my exposure. 278 00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 5: I was just looking at the Russell two thousand year 279 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:38,079 Speaker 5: to date up thirteen percent, so underperforming a little bit 280 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 5: the S and P five hundred, but it's had a 281 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 5: pretty good year. Do you see that. Do you see 282 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 5: the small caps just building on that in twenty six. 283 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 8: I think they will. 284 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 7: I mean, I think that the issue has been you've 285 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:48,959 Speaker 7: had a couple of years where the Russell twenty five 286 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 7: hundred earnings have just everyone expected them to get better 287 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 7: and better and they didn't. 288 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 2: Quite get there. 289 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 7: If you can start to see that growth, then I 290 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 7: think that you've had some real underperformance over the last 291 00:13:57,640 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 7: several years. On the small cap side, it really is 292 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 7: to depend on what happens again. Earnings are going to 293 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 7: be the driver, because if you start to worry about 294 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 7: the earnings picture, then the valuations don't look so attractive. 295 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 7: And within the Russell, especially in the small capside, you 296 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 7: definitely want to be looking at profitability. You want cash flow, 297 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 7: you want decent balance sheets. You want to be careful 298 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 7: about how that sits because you don't want to have 299 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 7: any kind of liquidity crisis in a smaller company. 300 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 2: Sarah, thanks so much for joining us. Really appreciate it, 301 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:25,359 Speaker 2: Sarah Hunt, She's a partner and chief market strategist, said Alpine. 302 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 2: Saxon was joining us live here in our Bloomberg Interactive 303 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 2: Workers studio. We appreciate that. Stay with us. Or from 304 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Surveillance. Coming up after. 305 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 1: This, you're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Catch us 306 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: live weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen 307 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 1: on Applecarplay and Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business app, 308 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 309 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 5: Take a listen to what JP Morgan's CEO, Jamie Diamond 310 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 5: had to say. Recently, he said that bureaucracy is having 311 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 5: a significant impact on Europe's growth prospects. In an interview 312 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 5: over the weekend with Bloomberg's Caroline Hide, Diamond also said 313 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 5: that a fracturing of the European continent could become a 314 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 5: major problem for the US. 315 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 6: Europe has a problem. 316 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 9: I think they accomplished an unbelievable thing, but it got 317 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 9: bogged down. It takes twenty seven nations, you know, to 318 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 9: make a decision. They have some wonderful things, but they've 319 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 9: gone from ninety percent of the GDP of America to 320 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 9: sixty five. That's not because America did anything bad to them. 321 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 9: It's their own bureaucracy, their own costs. I think the 322 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 9: leadership Merz, McCrone, Maloney, Stormer, I think they know. I 323 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 9: just think politics is really, really hard. 324 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 5: And that was JP Morgan's CEO, Jamie Diamond, speaking with 325 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 5: Bloomberg's Caroline Hide on Saturday. For more, now we are 326 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 5: joined by Bloomberg opinion columnist Lionel Laurent joining us in Paris. 327 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 5: So waking up there early to join us. We appreciate it. 328 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 5: And in your column, Lionelle, you say that Jamie Diamond's 329 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 5: totally right about Europe. 330 00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 10: Why I think he is. I think, well, let's just 331 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 10: separate his criticism from what we've heard from the Trump administration, right. 332 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 10: I mean this is he's not trying to demoralize Europe 333 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 10: from within. He is trying to remind Europe of the 334 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 10: very warnings that Mario Draggy, former head of the ECB, 335 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 10: gave over a year ago, which is that Europe has 336 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 10: a productivity gap with the US as an innovation gap, 337 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 10: it's got an investment gap. It has a lot of 338 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 10: a lot of work to do to get over this 339 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 10: slow growth issue that's weighing on Europe. So the reforms 340 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 10: are there, the prescriptions are there in a big, thick 341 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 10: book size document left by Draggy, and it's been left 342 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 10: to gather dust. And so I think Diamond in this 343 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 10: case is doing a useful job reminding leaders of what 344 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 10: they have to do, which is grab this problem. Be 345 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 10: a bit courageous if necessary. As he said, don't do 346 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 10: it as twenty seven. It's very unwieldy. Do it as 347 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 10: a smaller group, do it as nine, do it as five, 348 00:16:57,320 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 10: but do do something. The geopolitical situation is far too 349 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 10: urgent to do nothing. So I think that he is right, 350 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,399 Speaker 10: and I would just use that as constructive criticism and 351 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 10: not destructive, which is what I think. When Trump and 352 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 10: musk Invance attack Europe, that's what they are. 353 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:13,920 Speaker 5: I had my world clock wrong too. By the way, 354 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 5: he didn't get up early for us. It's afternoon time in. 355 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,360 Speaker 2: Paris or holding from the cafe. He just got caf. 356 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 2: Let's be honest here, folks, know where is the level 357 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:28,880 Speaker 2: of buy in amongst the people of Europe to maybe 358 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 2: improve productivity and all the changes that might mean to 359 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 2: their conceptions of work and of productivity and the work 360 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 2: life balance that I don't know. It just seems like 361 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 2: that is a big, big ask of the people. 362 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 10: It doesn't have to be, because I think it's it's 363 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:50,919 Speaker 10: the way that you view the competitiveness issue. It is 364 00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:54,399 Speaker 10: true that in the past the model, the European model 365 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 10: of basically combining that quality of life that he's from. 366 00:17:57,320 --> 00:17:59,399 Speaker 10: And by the way, let's not underestimate that, I mean, 367 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,239 Speaker 10: life expected see in the US is going backwards. So 368 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 10: that's that's something that shouldn't be just completely dismissed. Europe 369 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 10: has a good social safety in there, but it's becoming unsustainable, 370 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 10: and it's relied too much on the old model. Right, 371 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 10: the old way of doing things, which was free markets, globalization, 372 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 10: trade with China, cheap gas from Russia, and a security 373 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:20,959 Speaker 10: guarantee from the US, and all of those things are 374 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,639 Speaker 10: kind of dropping away. It just doesn't make sense anymore 375 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 10: to keep pretending that Europe can continue to be a 376 00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 10: free rider on defense. Right, That's why Trump keeps putting 377 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 10: NASO into question. Doesn't make sense to say that we 378 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 10: can just keep trading with China as before when China 379 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 10: is using Earth to bully its way into European markets, 380 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 10: and it obviously doesn't make sense to rely on Russian energy. 381 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 10: So the point is that the whole model has changed. 382 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 10: I mean, denying it or saying that it's very hard 383 00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 10: isn't going to make it go away. So I agree 384 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 10: that it's obviously not a vote winner, but that's part 385 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 10: of a job of politics to explain hard truths to voters. 386 00:18:57,560 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 5: Leonel, you say in your op ed that a week 387 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 5: Europe is bad for the US. You say that they 388 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 5: continue to get bullied by the US, and the White 389 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 5: House seems determined to force the EU to water down 390 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 5: its tech regulation. I mean, just today we saw the 391 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 5: EU come out now starting a probe against Google on 392 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 5: antitrust concerns. It did the same a few days ago 393 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 5: with Meta. Do you see that changing at all? 394 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 9: No. 395 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:28,120 Speaker 10: I think that when Elon Musk claims that he's being 396 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 10: censored by Brussels, I mean, that's in his interest to 397 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 10: say that, and obviously the trub administration is using that 398 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 10: leverage because again Europe is dependent on the US for 399 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 10: not just defense but also tech. It imports far more 400 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 10: tech services than it exports. The one hope on top 401 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 10: of defense is, for example, AI. We are seeing some 402 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 10: startups come out of France, such as me Style, who 403 00:19:56,920 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 10: are doing some deals with even bigger company He's like Asmo. 404 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:03,520 Speaker 10: We're seeing the sort of seeds of a more consolidated 405 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 10: and stronger tech ecosystem coming out of Europe. So I 406 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:08,680 Speaker 10: think it's important that regulators obviously get out of the 407 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 10: way of some of those promising sectors and don't keep 408 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 10: getting in the way of Europe's own innovation. But I 409 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 10: do think it's important that existing tech rules are upheld. 410 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,359 Speaker 5: Leonel Laurent joining us from Paris, thanks so much. We 411 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 5: appreciate it and great great op ed folks, if you 412 00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:25,560 Speaker 5: have a chance to read. 413 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 2: It, stay with us or from Bloomberg Surveillance. Coming up after. 414 00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 1: This, you're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Catch us 415 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 1: Live weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen 416 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app, 417 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,159 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 418 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,439 Speaker 2: All right, we've got Alexis Christopher sitting here for Tom 419 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 2: Keen on Paul Sweeney. It's that time of day we're 420 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 2: doing it, folks. Newspapers will lease mateo. 421 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:00,040 Speaker 11: All right, So I want to start with Disney, bring 422 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,120 Speaker 11: him back the late night star for at least one 423 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:02,439 Speaker 11: more year. 424 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 8: We're talking about Jimmy Kimmel. 425 00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 11: He's going to continue to host ABC late night talk 426 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,159 Speaker 11: show until at least May of twenty twenty seven. So 427 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 11: if you remember he was suspended back in September, right 428 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,440 Speaker 11: he had those remarks about Charlie kirk Well, sources are. 429 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:15,719 Speaker 8: Saying they kind of kept it. 430 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 11: They've known about it, but they've kept it on the 431 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,920 Speaker 11: down low because they wanted to give respect to Stephen Colbert, 432 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 11: who was actually being let go by CBS. So his 433 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 11: show is ending in May. Of twenty twenty six. But 434 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 11: he's been hosting, i mean, the late night talk show 435 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,680 Speaker 11: since two thousand and three. He has Disney uses him 436 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,000 Speaker 11: for other things, like he's mced the Oscars if you 437 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 11: remember that, he who wants to be a millionaire, like, 438 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,120 Speaker 11: he does other things for Disney too, But he. 439 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 3: Looks like he's going to be sticking around a little 440 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:40,960 Speaker 3: bit longer. 441 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 6: He keeps his job, all right, because the landscape's shifting. 442 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 6: At late ninety landscape is definitely shifting. So I was 443 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:47,960 Speaker 6: a little surprised they re upped him. 444 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 2: But maybe I wonder what they're paying him, because I mean, 445 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 2: the news was Colbert was. There's some reporting that the 446 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 2: show was not profitable, So I'm not sure because they 447 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 2: have to pay these guys in their production teams and 448 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 2: so on and so forth with the advertising dollars uh 449 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 2: going away because of court cutting, some of these shows 450 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,040 Speaker 2: have been less profitable or even unprofitable. 451 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:07,800 Speaker 8: Yah, So we'll have to wait and see on that 452 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:08,919 Speaker 8: what that number was. 453 00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 11: Okay, so we know the backlash that Kracker Barrel's logo got. 454 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 11: Right today, it's going to report the results for the 455 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 11: quarter ended in October, so that should have that first 456 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,640 Speaker 11: look at how the controversy affected the business. But ahead 457 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,679 Speaker 11: of that, the Wall Street Journal actually has this article 458 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,720 Speaker 11: out that says customers say the problem. 459 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:26,119 Speaker 8: Is not in the marketing. 460 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 11: They say it's actually in the kitchen. Like they say, 461 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 11: the food is not the same. It's gone downhill over 462 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 11: the number of years. A lot of menu items that 463 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 11: they loved have gone away. 464 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:37,919 Speaker 8: The change. 465 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,440 Speaker 11: They did make some differences in the kitchen, right, they streamlined. 466 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 11: They tried to cut costs. Like the biscuits. I didn't know, 467 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 11: but they they're made in batches and they chill them 468 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,400 Speaker 11: rather than sitting there and rolling out the dough. 469 00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:49,359 Speaker 2: I read that. 470 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,080 Speaker 5: I could not believe they sit there and roll out 471 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:53,399 Speaker 5: the dough, or at least you too. 472 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 8: Yeah yeah, yeah yeah. 473 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 11: So they're cracker Barrel is saying they're going to start 474 00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,120 Speaker 11: going back to the old ways. They're going to bring 475 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 11: back these you know, favorite menu items like campfire meals. 476 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:02,959 Speaker 8: I'm not sure what that is. 477 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 2: Here's what you do. You get the country Boy breakfast, okay, 478 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 2: and you get the country ham. Oh, and then you 479 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 2: get the fish and gravy. You get the hash browns 480 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:17,080 Speaker 2: and then the apples. Oh that and you get a 481 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 2: picture of iced tea. Don't wait just for the glass. 482 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 2: He asked for the picture, and then you just sit 483 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 2: there as long as it takes to fish something. Oh, 484 00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 2: that's what you do. 485 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 6: You think it for three hours. 486 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:31,600 Speaker 8: That's how rations are really big. 487 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 2: It's unbelievable. Yes, to die for it's the best. 488 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 11: But I mean it's a holiday time, right, it's big 489 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:36,679 Speaker 11: for for crack of our holidays. 490 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 8: They have the Country Store and. 491 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 6: All their Super Bowl Sunday. 492 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 2: Church forget about it. 493 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:42,959 Speaker 8: That's a big time too. 494 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,680 Speaker 2: That's huge. Yeah, so that's how I rolled there. 495 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:49,720 Speaker 11: What also is big are these big weddings in India right. 496 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 11: A lot of shows like Indian Matchmaking Made in Heaven. 497 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 11: They've made like this the most popular thing. So now 498 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,679 Speaker 11: people who are having weddings in India, they're kind of 499 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:02,879 Speaker 11: capitalizing it because they're inviting wedding crashers. But you have 500 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,679 Speaker 11: to pay, of course, in order to go to the wedding. Okay, 501 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 11: so they're making a little bit of money off of this. 502 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 11: So how much do you have to pay if you're 503 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,359 Speaker 11: a foreigner and you're traveling around in India and you 504 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 11: want to go to one of these one hundred and 505 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,399 Speaker 11: fifty dollars per person to join for one day, or 506 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 11: you can get two hundred and fifty dollars because these 507 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 11: are like multiple day celebrations. 508 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 5: So you mean you go to the wedding of someone 509 00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,639 Speaker 5: you don't know, Yes, just to sort of experience the 510 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 5: culture and like. 511 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,159 Speaker 11: Corebet and dress and you know, the cultural dress and 512 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 11: they say they feel like celebrities when they go. 513 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 5: June for Lopez, wasn't she like on page six recently 514 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:35,640 Speaker 5: she had just gone to India for some wedding. 515 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 6: She looked spectacular. 516 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 8: Yeah, they love the dress, they maja experience. 517 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 11: And yeah, travel experts are saying, you know what people 518 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:43,919 Speaker 11: want different things like this. I mean, I don't know 519 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,040 Speaker 11: I would want to go to someone else's wedding. 520 00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:47,639 Speaker 5: But it's a little whe I think there's a movie 521 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 5: in there somewhere, yes, but. 522 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 6: The next reality show. 523 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 11: But there are like startup companies like it's called Join 524 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 11: my Wedding, and they actually people go to this website 525 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 11: and find out which weddings are available, where can they go? 526 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 6: And you'll, all right. 527 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 11: They do bet the people, but it's it's like the 528 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,639 Speaker 11: hot new thing now apparently, and the people who are 529 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,200 Speaker 11: having the wedding are making some money at the same time, you. 530 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 6: Know, capitalism, Yeah, why not. 531 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,959 Speaker 2: Lavish weddings in India are encouraging wedding crashes. There you go. 532 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 2: List We tell you with the newspapers. Thank you so much. 533 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:22,160 Speaker 2: We appreciate that. 534 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:27,199 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 535 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each weekday, 536 00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 1: seven to ten am Easter and on Bloomberg dot Com, 537 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:38,880 Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. 538 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,320 Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube 539 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal