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Speaker 1: Welcome do the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad noment of the Action Network. Later on

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Speaker 1: in the show Professional Better Simon Hunter and Darren Ravel

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Speaker 1: Professional stunt Man. If you're following along with our Points

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Speaker 1: Bet promo, Dan Ravel, in the past couple of weeks

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Speaker 1: has submerged himself in a nice bath for three minutes,

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Speaker 1: to great pain and delight of his followers. He has

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Speaker 1: been pelted by Andy Roddick from close range with tennis balls,

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Speaker 1: to the point where he was yelling so much. A

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Speaker 1: neighbor who did not know what was happening, um uh,

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Speaker 1: came out to see if he was okay. And yesterday

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Speaker 1: he had lunch Curry fall Curry. I think it's called

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Speaker 1: at the hottest dish in all of New York two

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Speaker 1: point two million scoviol units Brick Lane in New York.

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Speaker 1: He ate it all because he keeps losing bets. We've

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Speaker 1: got a promotion going out with Points Bet every week.

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Speaker 1: If you fade revel, that's what it's called. He takes

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Speaker 1: one side, better to take the other side. They get

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Speaker 1: boosted odds promotional odds. This past week he was on

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Speaker 1: the Redskins to cover he was bragging, he was making

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Speaker 1: videos how glad he was he was gonna have to

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Speaker 1: eat this hot dish. And then Dayne Haskins happened, and

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Speaker 1: then if fumble happened, and then recovery happened, and then

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Speaker 1: a touchdown happened with no time left, and the Eagles

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Speaker 1: back doored the cover of that game, much to the

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Speaker 1: pain of Darren's mouth, stomach, and attendant parts. Where things

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Speaker 1: end up coming out of Darren will be on the

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Speaker 1: show in a little bit. We're gonna talk about our

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Speaker 1: Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest pics. We're gonna figure out

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Speaker 1: what Darren is doing for his points bet promo. I've

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Speaker 1: got a surprise what the punishment is going to be.

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Speaker 1: Before we get there, I am joined by bookmaker of

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Speaker 1: the World from New Orleans, representing all the BOYD gaming

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Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada. Mr Bob Scucci, My

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Speaker 1: brother Chad. What's going on? How are you? I'm surviving?

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Speaker 1: I gotta say, when you jumped on the phone, sounded

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Speaker 1: like normally you get on the phone and I feel like,

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Speaker 1: no matter what's going on in your life, you're happy

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Speaker 1: to be on this call. And it actually just felt

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Speaker 1: like I was annoying you when I said hello, No,

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Speaker 1: not at all, like like you can appreciate this. Uh,

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Speaker 1: last week, my sixteen year old son had the flu.

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Speaker 1: He came down with the flu, like Tuesday afternoon, came

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Speaker 1: home from school, wasn't feeling well, you know, puking and fever,

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Speaker 1: and Thursday night like still wasn't getting better. And so

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Speaker 1: we're like, ship, he really does have the flu, Like

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Speaker 1: those first forty hours, you're not sure, Like, you know,

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Speaker 1: he tends to be a puker when he gets six,

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Speaker 1: so it could be anything. And then my wife was like, uh, shoot,

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Speaker 1: she didn't say that. She's like I didn't get him

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Speaker 1: flu shots, Like there were a couple events we had

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Speaker 1: going on. She didn't want to get him before because

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Speaker 1: sometimes the kids get sick and all this kind of stuff.

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Speaker 1: And so Friday morning, when she's like done being internet

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Speaker 1: doctor for eight hours overnight and freaking out and being

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Speaker 1: sad that the kids didn't get flu shots and she's

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Speaker 1: feeling like she's a bad parent. I slept through all this,

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Speaker 1: By the way, I did not feel any guilt about

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Speaker 1: any of this in any way. Um, but you know,

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Speaker 1: she's reading about how the flu can be fatal and

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Speaker 1: all this kind of stuff. So in the morning, we

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Speaker 1: get the young en off to school. She and I

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Speaker 1: are sitting at the king counter having a cup of tea,

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Speaker 1: and she's like, I cannot believe I didn't get in

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Speaker 1: flu shots and I didn't want to get him before,

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Speaker 1: like our younger kid got bar mitzvah. She didn't want

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Speaker 1: to do it before the bar Mitzvah. And I said

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Speaker 1: to her, innocuous lee, no judgment. I just said, what

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Speaker 1: was your theory for not getting it before the bar Mitzvah?

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Speaker 1: And instead of like it was a harmless question, harmless

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Speaker 1: she said to me. She said to me, you could

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Speaker 1: have gotten flu shots? Why is there well being only

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Speaker 1: my responsibility. I looked at her and I go danger

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Speaker 1: Will Robinson right, like, you're right. Just you said something

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Speaker 1: about the bar mitzvah and the timing, and I was

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Speaker 1: just curious, like why does that matter. I wasn't saying

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Speaker 1: you should have done it. I wasn't saying you made

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Speaker 1: a bad decision. I wasn't saying this is your fault.

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Speaker 1: I just was curious, Like in that moment, I had

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Speaker 1: a question, I asked it. I did not speak the

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Speaker 1: rest of the time we were in that kitchen. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: a question is just a question, scooch. When you said

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Speaker 1: a load to me, I kind of felt like you

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Speaker 1: had the same tone as my wife did when I

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Speaker 1: asked why we didn't get the kids flu shots before them. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Well sometimes just sometimes you're just minded, just preoccupied for

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Speaker 1: a second, and then you you know, so then your

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Speaker 1: response comes out maybe different than what it should. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: well it came out different. And now on the sense

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Speaker 1: of one, sorry about that. Try to get into the

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Speaker 1: Christmas spirit. We're coming up on Christmas, some games coming up,

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Speaker 1: some Christmas presents. I gotta get some people gifts. I

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Speaker 1: get it. Listen the Eagles probably I just thought of No,

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Speaker 1: it's just a funny thing about Christmas. A friend of mine,

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Speaker 1: legendary bookmaker Jimmy vic Carol, He once said, I hate

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Speaker 1: when the public in on the Sunday before Christmas because

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Speaker 1: then they go and they spend money on Christmas presents

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Speaker 1: instead of firing back at the next week's games. Jimmy

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Speaker 1: Vicaro is a legend. He's always thinking bookmaking. He always

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Speaker 1: thinks bookmaking. I love that about him. Speaking of bookmaking, Uh,

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Speaker 1: we got three Saturday games I love the NFL on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It makes everything better. We got the Los Angeles Rams

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Speaker 1: visiting the San Francisco for the honors. That's the late game.

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Speaker 1: But we're gonna go in reverse order here from eight

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Speaker 1: to four to one. What's your number here right now?

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Speaker 1: Hold on, let me check, let me check. I'm seeing

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Speaker 1: a little bit of value on the Rams. I think

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Speaker 1: a little bit of value on the Rams at plus

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Speaker 1: six and a half. Where do you think, Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think there's value on the Rams. I think what everybody

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Speaker 1: is gonna look at is the last week's Rams Cowboys

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Speaker 1: game and said, oh, this is the Rams team that

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Speaker 1: was struggling at the beginning of the year, and how

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Speaker 1: they're going to stack up against the best, uh, one

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Speaker 1: of the best teams in the nfcity. But no, these

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Speaker 1: are the kind of spots. Uh. We deliberately made the

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Speaker 1: forty Niners high. Didn't quite give go the touchdown, but

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Speaker 1: pretty pretty close. But this is I say it all

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Speaker 1: the time, these are the games we have to win.

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Speaker 1: Um As as bookmakers were making a line, we know

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Speaker 1: the public is going to be all over the forty

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Speaker 1: Niners at minus six and a half. To take account,

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Speaker 1: it's about eight to one. Uh niners too rams. Um,

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Speaker 1: but I think the Rams were looking ahead at this game,

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Speaker 1: I really do, and uh, I wouldn't be surprised to see,

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Speaker 1: uh the Rams make make a game of this. When

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Speaker 1: do you think you're going to get to seventy? Um, well,

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Speaker 1: we'll we'll get there, probably probably Friday. I do think

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Speaker 1: we'll get there, but I want to I don't think

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Speaker 1: the sharp money will get us there. I think the

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Speaker 1: public money will get us there. Yeah, and then I

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Speaker 1: think the sharp guards are just going to take the seven.

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Speaker 1: Well look right now, of the tickets of the money

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Speaker 1: all public at this point. I don't think there's anybody

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Speaker 1: sharp who has bet this game yet. It's still too

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Speaker 1: early and the numbers kind of not in the optimal

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Speaker 1: place as you point out. Um, so yeah, you're definitely

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Speaker 1: gonna get there. The public is going to make you

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Speaker 1: go there, and you're gonna be begging the wise guys

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Speaker 1: that take their rams. Yeah, yeah you are, Yeah, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you're right. I might test the waters, you know what,

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Speaker 1: I just might test the water sometime today. There's two

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Speaker 1: games I'm going to test the waters on. We'll get

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Speaker 1: to the other game, but um, I just got to

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Speaker 1: talk it over with the staff after a little later. Today.

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Speaker 1: You're such a pro that you don't give it away,

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Speaker 1: you foreshadow. That's what you learn when you're a media

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Speaker 1: major at the University of Southern California. The tease. Here's

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Speaker 1: something interesting to me. Uh, We've got three games on

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Speaker 1: Saturday ms Niners Bills, Patriots, Texans Buccaneers Buccaneers Texans are

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Speaker 1: at one o'clock right now. That game has the most

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Speaker 1: bets on the board from from the data that I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at through the Action Network app. Get everything that

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at for free in the Action Network app.

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Speaker 1: Download it now. Are you seeing that as well? Not

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Speaker 1: the most it's the most bets from wise guys, I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you that. What's that? Okay, we'll get to that. Okay, okay,

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Speaker 1: So which are we gonna stay? Would you like would

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Speaker 1: you like the host to give you some direction? Is

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Speaker 1: that what you're saying? Why don't we talk about let's

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Speaker 1: go in order. Let's let's go in order. The rotation,

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Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do. Buffalo, New England, Buffalo, New England.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why the rotation has goes from goes

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Speaker 1: outside of the chronological order. Uh yeah, now that's odd. Huh,

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Speaker 1: there a change. I don't know. It's a little weird though,

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Speaker 1: right it is. It's like reverse. It's like, you know,

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Speaker 1: the late game going up to the early game. I'm

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Speaker 1: seeing that. Are you seeing the same thing? Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's we absolutely, Um all right, Buffalo at New England.

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Speaker 1: New England is a six and a half point favorite. Boy,

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Speaker 1: this is a crazy game. Wow, who do we believe

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Speaker 1: in right now? A Buffalo Bill's team that went into

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh beat up on a team that was really playing

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Speaker 1: over its tips. Uh. I still don't think they're that

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Speaker 1: good of a team, Buffalo, Yeah, they're They're one of

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Speaker 1: those teams that, uh, you know, the record indicates them

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Speaker 1: being a lot better than they seem. Um, it's because

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Speaker 1: they don't win a lot of games convincingly. They don't

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Speaker 1: have those blowout victories. Um, they they they're wins, Okay,

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Speaker 1: there can and four. I think last week was only

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Speaker 1: the maybe the second team they beat with a winning record,

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Speaker 1: So it's not like the you know, those four losses,

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Speaker 1: they were all the teams that do have winning records.

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Speaker 1: So that's part of the reasons you're you're looking at

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Speaker 1: the schedule, and you're looking at the teams they're beating

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Speaker 1: up on. Now. They did give New England quite a

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Speaker 1: game the first time out in Buffalo, um and and

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Speaker 1: they covered in that game. Uh so, and most of

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Speaker 1: their games stay way under the total too. So if

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Speaker 1: you're if you're thinking of a low scoring game and

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Speaker 1: you're getting six and a half points, the value seems

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Speaker 1: to me on Buffalo. UM. But it's tough to go

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Speaker 1: against the Patriots this one. Of the Shark guys haven't

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Speaker 1: weighed in on this one, and they probably won't. They

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Speaker 1: usually stay away from UM these these really big public

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Speaker 1: matchup games UM and the public is divided exactly, even

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Speaker 1: the tickets on both teams, So uh it's just a

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Speaker 1: one flip in this one. Do you feel like the

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Speaker 1: wise guys will come in on the total in this game? So?

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Speaker 1: I think the play is to bed it under right

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Speaker 1: now in every way because if there were not a

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Speaker 1: expecting bad weather, but that could change, uh so, So

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Speaker 1: the play is to betted under right now. So I

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Speaker 1: would expect them to come in now, uh in the

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Speaker 1: next couple of days, and then if it turns out

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Speaker 1: that that the weather is clear, that they could always

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Speaker 1: get off of that game and go back on the

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Speaker 1: over later. But to me, the players, the under now

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Speaker 1: the next game is so intriguing because Houston is one

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Speaker 1: of those teams that classically I bet them every week

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Speaker 1: except for the weeks when they cover and Tampa Bay Boy,

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Speaker 1: oh boy, Jamis Winston. He's like an addiction, man. People

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Speaker 1: just love betting Jamis Winston. The Bucks are two and

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Speaker 1: a half point home dogs right now. Um, and Jamis

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Speaker 1: has been on a tear, but he's missing his two

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Speaker 1: best receivers. And I feel like Houston's get a little

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Speaker 1: bit of the benefit of the doubt because they beat

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Speaker 1: up Tennessee at home. But I've already know some wise

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Speaker 1: guys who bet this game from minus one to minus

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Speaker 1: two and now to two and a half. We're actually

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Speaker 1: at three down. I think most places are at three.

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Speaker 1: So many things going on. Dude, if you're at three,

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Speaker 1: then my board isn't caught up because I have you

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Speaker 1: at two and a half. Yeah. No, it's because the

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Speaker 1: lines have been kind of coming on and off, and

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Speaker 1: a lot of the lot of the services that pick

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Speaker 1: up our feed when when you take a line on

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Speaker 1: and off the board, sometimes it struggles to update. But

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Speaker 1: but yeah, so these um uh so much going on

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Speaker 1: in this one. The Sharp guys have been on the

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Speaker 1: Buccaneers four out of the last five weeks, and they've

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Speaker 1: been cashing most of the weeks. I've been saying that

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Speaker 1: week after week it was one of the hottest teams

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Speaker 1: for the Sharp guys to be on, finding value in it.

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Speaker 1: But as we often talked about, at some point, it's

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Speaker 1: like you've got to get off it. That there's an

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Speaker 1: old saying that the trees don't grow to the skies,

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Speaker 1: you know, they just keep it's not just going to

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Speaker 1: keep going. At some point it stops. And uh. And

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Speaker 1: that's the point that not only they're getting off of

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Speaker 1: the Buccaneers because the Texans are obviously the better team here.

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Speaker 1: It's just you know, the home field and everything. But

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Speaker 1: I think the key here is the injuries, and you

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Speaker 1: hit on it. I mean, not only without Mike Evans,

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Speaker 1: without Chris Godwin, uh, Scotty otherwide receiver, he's questionable. Uh,

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Speaker 1: They've got the guys questionable on the defensive side of linebacker,

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Speaker 1: defensive tackle. This Tampa Bay team is banged up and

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Speaker 1: that so so really just two things causing the line move.

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Speaker 1: It was just the overadjustment on Tampa Bay week after

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Speaker 1: week as we kept seeing the shark guys coming on

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, making the adjustment having him cover again, having

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Speaker 1: to both the public and on them following the wise guys.

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Speaker 1: So eventually the value becomes on the other side, especially

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Speaker 1: with all these injuries. It was just kind of like

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Speaker 1: the perfect opportunity there. I don't know, man, like I would.

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Speaker 1: I think. Chris Raybond from the Action Network worked a

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Speaker 1: really good story earlier today. You can read it in

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Speaker 1: the Action Network app. It's free in the Action Network gap.

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Speaker 1: He wrote this yesterday um writing about games that we

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Speaker 1: bet early. He bet Houston minus one. He said he

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Speaker 1: would bet it all the way up to Houston minus three.

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Speaker 1: But that feels like a really big number to get

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Speaker 1: to bet against Tampa Bay at home with Jamis as

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Speaker 1: hot as he is. And I can't believe I'm saying

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Speaker 1: I might. I might not bet in the Bucks. I

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Speaker 1: might not bet against the Bucks because Jamis is too hot.

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Speaker 1: Well he meets someone to throw too though, and that's

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Speaker 1: the that's the thing. I mean. They could be possibly

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Speaker 1: without three three wide receivers. Yeah, all right, all right,

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Speaker 1: I'm just that's just the one thing, the one thing

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Speaker 1: keeping uh, you know, keeping me from not moving it

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Speaker 1: back to two and a half. I'm respecting the move here,

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Speaker 1: and I'm going to keep it at three and I'll

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Speaker 1: let the I mean, now, if it comes out that

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Speaker 1: one of these guys is playing for sure the wide receivers,

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Speaker 1: then that's a different story. But I've got God and

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Speaker 1: listed it out, so we'll see. And I'm gonna skip

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Speaker 1: Detroit Denver. Denver is listed a six and a half,

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Speaker 1: but the quarterback is still on the side of there.

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Speaker 1: So there's not much to say about this game. Oakland

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Speaker 1: visiting the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are six point favorites.

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Speaker 1: How do you make a line on this craptastic game? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we uh, we probably put a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: soft line on this one. We hung five, took a

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Speaker 1: bet right out of the gateway to five and a half,

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Speaker 1: went to six. Now they're lay in the six and

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Speaker 1: it's all sharp money, so that the public really isn't

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Speaker 1: weighing in on this one. And we've seen it the

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Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. The sharp guys. Yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's actually kind of against what sharp guys have been

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Speaker 1: doing with both teams that the sharp guys have been

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Speaker 1: uh fading the Chargers and they've been betting on the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: So this is kind of the exact op said of

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Speaker 1: what we would have expected in this one. So that's

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Speaker 1: why we did make the low line on this surprises

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Speaker 1: me a little bit that, but I think it's just

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Speaker 1: an indication maybe they feel like the Raiders just kind

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Speaker 1: of folded the tent after the after last week, but

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Speaker 1: the Chargers they felt it up the tent two years

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Speaker 1: ago they had seven turnovers against the Vikings. Like to me,

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Speaker 1: the Vikings weren't the easiest picks on the board this

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Speaker 1: past week. That's what makes it makes it so hard

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Speaker 1: to handicap a team that has the talent that can

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Speaker 1: compete if they just don't make bone head a mistakes

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Speaker 1: and turnovers. The turnovers are hard to handicap. You can't

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Speaker 1: count on them, and then as soon as you do,

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Speaker 1: they come up with a game where they don't turn

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Speaker 1: the ball over. But it's almost like you have to

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Speaker 1: take it into consideration that they turned the bowl over

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Speaker 1: a lot, but you also have to take into account

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Speaker 1: that they do have the talent to win decisively. In

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Speaker 1: this one, so I could kind of respect the move

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Speaker 1: here too. I see the logic behind it. Jacksonville Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: What a horrible game with horrible teams, and you've got

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Speaker 1: Atlanta listed as a seven point favorite in Atlanta. So

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Speaker 1: I guess the Jacks didn't impress you when they beat

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Speaker 1: up on the Raiders this past week. Well, two things

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Speaker 1: the Jacks have been, uh Like. I said that the

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Speaker 1: professionals have been betting on certain teams and against certain

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Speaker 1: teams the last five weeks, and Jacksonville was a team

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Speaker 1: they were betting against every single week, including last week.

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Speaker 1: There was the week I said they were on the

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Speaker 1: Raiders and against Jacksonville. So knowing that they're going to

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Speaker 1: be against Jacksonville every week, that's one reason. But I

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Speaker 1: disagree with you that there are two bad teams. I

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Speaker 1: think just Atlanta is not a bad team. They got

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Speaker 1: off to a really bad start, but after starting out

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Speaker 1: one and seven, they came back four and two, beaten.

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Speaker 1: Look at the two teams they beat, beat the forty Niners,

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Speaker 1: and they beat the Saints to the favorites to win

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Speaker 1: the NFC. So one time you could say maybe a flute,

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Speaker 1: But I think this team is really good offensively. I

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Speaker 1: think they they leave the NFL and fourth quarter points.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this team has an offense and and they're

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Speaker 1: going up against the Jacksonville team that it's just been

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Speaker 1: in a spiral. I mean, I know they came up

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Speaker 1: last week beating the Raiders, but I'm okay with the

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Speaker 1: big line of seven here, all right, then maybe I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna I think it actually goes up. I think it

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Speaker 1: goes up, all right. So you're telling me I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the Falcons. I can live with that because because

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Speaker 1: I had him last week and I was proud of

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Speaker 1: them the way they gamed against UH, San Francisco, and

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Speaker 1: I believe, I believe when we had a special caller,

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Speaker 1: by the way, into our show on Radio dot Com

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Speaker 1: the Radio dot Com apps Sundays at noon, reviewing every

347
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Speaker 1: previewing every game, Bob Scucci sor the one who's on

348
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Speaker 1: Twitter called in UH and I asked him which team

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Speaker 1: was most likely to win as the biggest underdog, and

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Speaker 1: he said it was going to be the Broncos, And

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Speaker 1: you said it was going to be the Falcons. He

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Speaker 1: went against. Yeah, I said that I liked the felt

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Speaker 1: because they were my my Scoots Roulette pic and uh,

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Speaker 1: I mean I really felt like that was way too

355
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Speaker 1: many points, especially with the forty Niners looking ahead, you know,

356
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Speaker 1: to this this Rams game as well. I mean, it

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Speaker 1: was just it was just a good spot for Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: and I just like the way Atlanta has been playing

359
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Speaker 1: New Orleans and Drew Brees, record setting quarterback, one of

360
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Speaker 1: the greatest quarterbacks has ever lived, at least statistically three

361
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Speaker 1: playing favorites on the road against Tennessee. I don't like it.

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Speaker 1: This is a really really interesting better don't like it.

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Speaker 1: Bookmakers like it. This is one of the games I

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Speaker 1: feel like it's a solid line because nobody knows what

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00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 1: to do with it. I'm looking at the ticket count

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Speaker 1: and it's dead even, and I'm looking at the sharp

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Speaker 1: guys plays and they're not very significant. They're not, i mean,

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Speaker 1: very small plays. Uh. So there's not really an opinion here.

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Speaker 1: I will say that the Titans have been one of

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Speaker 1: those teams that they've been playing just like Tampa Bay

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Speaker 1: are at four in the last five weeks. Titans didn't

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Speaker 1: get there last week with Houston and then maybe another

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Speaker 1: indication of why, uh the professionals flip flopped and now

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Speaker 1: they're on Houston, um uh in that game against uh

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Speaker 1: Tampa so um, but this is this is a great line.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Saint's minus three. It looks like nobody knows

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Speaker 1: what to do with it. I think. I think the value, though,

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Speaker 1: is still on the Titans. I just don't think the

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Speaker 1: sharp guys want us to get off at three yet. Um.

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing some movement on the game around town, but

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00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 1: not enough to get us all that number. What about

382
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 1: the total? I like the over in this one. You

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Speaker 1: almost have to. I mean the way these two teams, Um,

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Speaker 1: they're just putting up points and uh, you know, I'll

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Speaker 1: even go back to that a couple of games that

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Speaker 1: the Saints had early in the season against a good

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Speaker 1: defensive team with Houston, and they just lit up the

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00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 1: scoreboard in that one, I think they scored a total

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Speaker 1: of fifty eight. And then you look at another a

390
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Speaker 1: defensive team that the forty niners that New Orleans played,

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Speaker 1: and that was a track meet. So yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: I'll definitely favor you over here. Eli Manning. He's a

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Speaker 1: two and a half point dog on the road at

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Speaker 1: the Redskins. I need Eli if he's really going to

395
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Speaker 1: be starting this weekend next, I need Eli to split

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Speaker 1: the games so he can finish his career at five

397
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Speaker 1: hundred and go into Hall of Fame as a five quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Two and a half point dogs, give me the Redskins here, Yeah,

399
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Speaker 1: I agree with you. And what is he like, one

400
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 1: eighteen and one seventeen right now? I think he's one

401
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:44,680
Speaker 1: seventeen and one seventeen. Oh, he's tied right now. Well, yeah,

402
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 1: we definitely need to see him get to win. UM, yeah,

403
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 1: this is this is another tough one. Um, but two

404
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: and a half we're getting. Uh, it's probably the least

405
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Speaker 1: bet game on the board. A matter of fact, I'm

406
00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:58,879
Speaker 1: looking at it. It is the least bet game on

407
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Speaker 1: the board. Hardly any tickets on this one. Um, not

408
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Speaker 1: enough points to to get people to kind of take

409
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Speaker 1: the giants in this one. Uh. And then after after

410
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Speaker 1: a couple of nice games where the Redskins covered, uh,

411
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 1: last week was just a debacle. So I think the

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Speaker 1: people that did get to have the Redskins. And you

413
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Speaker 1: were talking about Darren Revel, I feel for employe. What

414
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:28,119
Speaker 1: a tough what a tough beat that was this Redskins team.

415
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Speaker 1: I cannot tell you how much that costs most of

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Speaker 1: the sports books around town with all the favorites covering

417
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Speaker 1: in the morning. I think seven out of eight favorites

418
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,159
Speaker 1: covered in the morning. The only saving grace was the

419
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Speaker 1: Seahawks were laying six and half against the Panthers and

420
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Speaker 1: they only one by six. Outside of that one saving grace. Uh,

421
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Speaker 1: you know, we would have gotten even more destroyed than

422
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Speaker 1: we did in the morning games. But that one, you

423
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Speaker 1: just felt it coming. It's it's like when you when

424
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Speaker 1: you're betting an underdog and the other team is winning

425
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Speaker 1: game out right but not covering, you almost wish that

426
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 1: the other team had the ball that was just running

427
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 1: out the clock. Oh, I just felt right when you've

428
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 1: got an underdog and they're covering, and then you don't

429
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,479
Speaker 1: want them to have a ball. Nothing good can happen,

430
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 1: only your heart in your throat, as every single time

431
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 1: the guy drives back, you're worried something bad is going

432
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:25,360
Speaker 1: to happen to the ball. Yeah. Yeah, And I can

433
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: imagine the entire state of Pennsylvania was just on their feet. Uh.

434
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,600
Speaker 1: You know, now that we have sports books around the country,

435
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 1: and we've got a sports book outside Philadelphia, I can't

436
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 1: tell you what a big swing that was Oh my god,

437
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 1: Oh my god. By the way, so many backdoors. That

438
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 1: Eagles back door the Seahawks was a back door. The

439
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 1: Panthers were down by three touchdowns in the fourth quarter. Yeah,

440
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 1: garbage touched every that killed me killed me. Uh. Pittsburgh

441
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 1: is a three point favorite. Yet Pittsburgh is a three

442
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 1: point favorite of the Jets. I like the Jets here.

443
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one because it's the first one

444
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 1: on the board where the public is overwhelmingly on the

445
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 1: Steelers and the sharp guys are taking the Jets in

446
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 1: this one. So, uh, we don't have too many of

447
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 1: those anymore. It seems like both of the sharp guys

448
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 1: in the public kind of on the same team lately.

449
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:24,880
Speaker 1: Uh So, so this one, it seems like we might

450
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: be okay with the Steelers minus three, and we're just

451
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 1: kind of moving money on this one. So a couple

452
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 1: of bets we took on the Jets. We just made

453
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,719
Speaker 1: the Jets plus three finus dollar fifteen um, and then

454
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: we'll probably keep moving money until it gets really lopsided.

455
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,480
Speaker 1: But that public support on the Steelers is going to

456
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:46,400
Speaker 1: keep things balanced. Cincinnati visiting Miami. Miami is a one

457
00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:50,680
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I really like this Miami team.

458
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 1: I feel like they're gonna try so much harder than

459
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: Cincinnati is going to try. Well, Yes, Cincinnatis looking at

460
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, right, I mean, they can't afford to get

461
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 1: any more wounds. We're the favorites now. Yeah, so I

462
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 1: really I think I like Miami in this spot too.

463
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:14,240
Speaker 1: And I know some places are at pick and some

464
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,159
Speaker 1: places are at one. So we're staying at one and

465
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,640
Speaker 1: a half. We're trying to get a little Bengals money. Now.

466
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:22,120
Speaker 1: I could see this one going up to three by

467
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: game time. Uh it's and it's one of those plays,

468
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 1: you know, a short home favorite just you know, laying

469
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: one one and a half looks like a wise guy

470
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 1: play to me, I like this storyline of Joe Burrow

471
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: going to play for Cincinnati Ohio kids left Ohio State

472
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 1: from the southeast part of the state. That's a good

473
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 1: narrative for me, it is. But I mean, on the

474
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 1: other side of the coin, you'd like to see a

475
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 1: great quarterback do well too. You don't want to see

476
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:52,880
Speaker 1: him ending up on such a bad team that it's

477
00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 1: just it's hard to climb out of that whole. Yeah,

478
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,199
Speaker 1: I don't care about that. I like narratives. All right.

479
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,400
Speaker 1: Here's my favorite story of the week so far. Yesterday,

480
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,440
Speaker 1: I'm on a call with the Action Network content team.

481
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,400
Speaker 1: It's about one thirty in the afternoon, and we're having

482
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 1: very serious discussions. As we do, we're planning a lot

483
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 1: of things, a lot of strateagery. Of course, we're interrupted

484
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 1: by news that Will Greer is the expected starter in Carolina.

485
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: Matthew Freedman, one of our genius analysts, does a lot

486
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 1: of our fantasy coverage. Um, yells out, all right, I

487
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:31,920
Speaker 1: got Will Greer to start more than point five games

488
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: this year as a future is bet. I'm going to

489
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:41,000
Speaker 1: cash that ticket. How many meetings? How many companies have

490
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 1: meetings where it's okay to yell out you're about to

491
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 1: win a future is bet on Will Greer getting one start?

492
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:54,159
Speaker 1: Not many? I would say one, one exactly one, and

493
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: that might be Matthew Freeman having a bet on Will

494
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 1: Greer might be the most interesting thing about this game.

495
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,680
Speaker 1: I don't know how the Colts are our two and

496
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: our six and a half point favorites over anybody they

497
00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: laid an egg. I mean, anytime you get you know,

498
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback like that. I mean, dependency is to

499
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:16,520
Speaker 1: kind of jack up the line a little bit. So

500
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 1: and I'll be honest, we just put this line up,

501
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,920
Speaker 1: so we haven't really taken any bets yet. Um so, uh,

502
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,399
Speaker 1: I think we've only got a couple of bets on

503
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:27,119
Speaker 1: the game. I wouldn't expect too many people to have

504
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 1: an interest, but that will grewer certainly is the storyline.

505
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 1: It's great, good for Carolina. They've completely given up on

506
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,640
Speaker 1: Kyle Allen. Just not enough time to matter for me,

507
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: where like he didn't backdoor me and cost me money.

508
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 1: So I'm a little upset about that. Uh. Baltimore is

509
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 1: visiting Cleveland. The Ravens are ten point favorites. No way,

510
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 1: no way, There's no way I'm taking the Ravens too much.

511
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 1: It's too much. This Cleveland team already beat Bolton Are

512
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: once this year. I mean, and now you're gonna give

513
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 1: them ten points. You have to throw away what you

514
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 1: saw last week. Yeah, I mean that's not uh swaying

515
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 1: the general public, who obviously thinks the Ravens are and

516
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 1: they are, you know, the best team in the NFL

517
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 1: right now. But still, these are the type of games

518
00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:22,040
Speaker 1: that you know, we as bookmakers just have to win.

519
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 1: We set the line, uh, you know, as high as

520
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 1: we think we can before the sharp guys get involved.

521
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 1: They haven't gotten involved yet, so it's a little scary

522
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 1: because we've got a ton of money on the ravens um.

523
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 1: But I haven't seen anyone go to ten and a

524
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: half yet. I did see someplace actually open nine and

525
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 1: a half. Uh, we opened ten. Were took a lot

526
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 1: of money at minus ten, but nothing you know for

527
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 1: many of the professionals that we know of. It's just

528
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 1: kind of all just big public public money. Are you

529
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 1: will you turn it up to eleven? Well, I'm not.

530
00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 1: I don't even want to go to ten and a half. Yeah.

531
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 1: I think it's the kind of game where I don't

532
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,720
Speaker 1: mind needing I mean it, I don't mind needing a

533
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 1: big decision. You need those big decisions, you know, once

534
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 1: in a while. These are the type of games we

535
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: just have to win. So like, there's nothing I can

536
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 1: do with the Panthers Colts game. I can't. I can't

537
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 1: make that line seven and a half and suddenly think

538
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 1: everyone's gonna bet so much on the Panthers that I'm

539
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 1: going to have a decision there's nothing I can do

540
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 1: with the Bengals Dolphins game. This is the game people

541
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 1: are going to be on anyway, So we said it

542
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 1: to where we know they're gonna lay the number. We

543
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 1: just hope it's big enough and not too big to

544
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: where the wise guys just take us off the decision completely.

545
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 1: So these are the kind of key games for us.

546
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 1: We just need to win this one. Dallas Philadelphia? Is

547
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: that going to be a key game for you? Dallas

548
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 1: is a two and a half point favorite on the road,

549
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 1: This will be a pretty big one. And and the

550
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 1: fact that it's on a key number and the line

551
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 1: will probably get the three, and this is going to

552
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: be probably one that you see bounce back and forth

553
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 1: a couple of times too, and a have three, so

554
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 1: we're going to kind of hope that it doesn't fall three.

555
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: The public is already on the Cowboys, and especially like

556
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 1: I mentioned earlier, the way they beat up on on

557
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 1: the Rams. That's gonna stick in their minds. And even

558
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 1: though the Eagles got the cover last week, I think

559
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: most people are gonna think they were kind of lucky

560
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 1: to get that cover. So they're gonna be much more

561
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 1: of a lean on the Cowboys in this one. So

562
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,120
Speaker 1: we're another one we're gonna have to win. We're gonna

563
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,680
Speaker 1: be Eagles fans here. Have the wise guys waiting in

564
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 1: this game yet they have not u But but like

565
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 1: I said, at three, I know they're going to take it.

566
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 1: And uh, I see a lot of places actually moving

567
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 1: this right now. Actually to put minus two and a

568
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: half minus oh e minus two and a half minus twenty,

569
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 1: I don't think that's from sharp money. But like I said,

570
00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 1: I think this one will bounce back and forth. Kyler

571
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 1: Murray really disappointed me this past week. I had the

572
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 1: Browns at minus three. He destroyed the Cleveland Browns. The

573
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinal did. Now they're on the road at Seattle

574
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: nine and a half point. Dogs are on the glass.

575
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 1: Guys are on Kyler Murray. I think, yeah, yeah, they

576
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: are this one. So a lot of places opened up

577
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,520
Speaker 1: ten in this one. They took the ten at nine

578
00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 1: and a half. They're not really doing anything with it.

579
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,440
Speaker 1: We know the public is on Seattle, but I keep

580
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 1: saying this, but I mean, the public loves betting on Seattle.

581
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 1: But they're kind of a sneaky eleven and three. I

582
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 1: mean they're They're one of the best teams in the NFC,

583
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 1: but they just seem to not you know, blow people

584
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 1: out like I was talking about with a couple of

585
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: other teams. So, uh, to be laying ten points against

586
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 1: the Cardinals team that likes to cover, I mean, they're

587
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 1: one of the teams that have covered probably you know,

588
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 1: more points spress than uh the other teams in the

589
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 1: NFL this year. So there, you know a covering team

590
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 1: that it's nine and a half and plays competitive. Um. Yeah,

591
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 1: I really think the Cardinals are are the play in

592
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 1: this one. And then Seattle has the forty Niners next week.

593
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, I really liked the Cardinals here. Yeah, that's yeah,

594
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: that's a lock. Kansas City. Kansas City is visiting Chicago

595
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: late night game on Sunday. Patrick Mahomes just continues to

596
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 1: look good. He's actually better on the road than he's

597
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 1: at home. You're not a buyer the Bears at all.

598
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,720
Speaker 1: The majority of the money and tickets are coming into

599
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 1: homes right now. This game is at five and a half.

600
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: Which way do you think the line is going to go?

601
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: Right now? I'm imagining it to public money, Yeah, it is.

602
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: It's all public money on the Chiefs. I think the

603
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 1: Sharp guys will eventually be on the Bears. And this

604
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 1: is the other game I was talking about where I

605
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 1: want to test the waters, and I'm actually going to

606
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 1: test it right now and go to six line Church.

607
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 1: I'll see how long it takes for these guys just

608
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:05,400
Speaker 1: come in on this, uh, minus sake. I would imagine

609
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: they're gonna take it pretty quickly. But we'll see you

610
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 1: here in a second. That out there, what are you

611
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 1: trying to figure out? I'm trying to figure out the

612
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:20,000
Speaker 1: number that the Sharp guys want on the dog this way,

613
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,719
Speaker 1: I don't because here, here's the thing we know the

614
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:24,360
Speaker 1: public is that's going to be one of the biggest

615
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 1: games on the board because it's the late game on

616
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 1: Sunday after the whole weekend. Uh, and it's gonna our

617
00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 1: liability is going to be tremendous on the chief So

618
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 1: we want to be as high as possible. Oh here,

619
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 1: hang on, and just took it. But I gotta go

620
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:47,080
Speaker 1: back to five and a half. One change, quick, quick, quick,

621
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:53,239
Speaker 1: here we go. What kind of bet? Uh? It was

622
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 1: two bets actually, one for five thousand and one for

623
00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 1: eight thousand. And that's why I was trying. I was

624
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 1: trying to move of it quickly because they can. Those

625
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 1: can add up real quick, and we have like people

626
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: all over town. They can just bang bang bang. So

627
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,800
Speaker 1: but now I know, now I know six is the number,

628
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 1: and so I don't have to go to six now

629
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 1: I can. I can kind of stay at five and

630
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 1: a half, take all the public money at minus five

631
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,719
Speaker 1: and a half, and uh maybe wait until game day

632
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:20,720
Speaker 1: to go to six if I feel like I want

633
00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 1: a little money back on the Bears, I don't want

634
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 1: to take too much, because, like I said, these are

635
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 1: the kind of games we just need to win. That

636
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 1: was so fun, though, wasn't it when you like when

637
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 1: you just want to test the theory. It's like, just

638
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:37,840
Speaker 1: see if anybody's paying attention. Boom thirteen times, just like that. Yeah,

639
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 1: so awesome. Green Bay at Minnesota. Minnesota is a four

640
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:45,279
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Boy. I like Minnesota in

641
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,920
Speaker 1: this game. I really just think they're the better team.

642
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:51,879
Speaker 1: I couldn't agree with you more. And I remember going

643
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:53,759
Speaker 1: back to the last time they played, and I like

644
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:58,759
Speaker 1: the Minnesota against the Green Bay in that one. I

645
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:00,720
Speaker 1: just think that not only is this a good spot

646
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 1: for them, but there's something in the Packers team we

647
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 1: talked about a little bit last week. They come out

648
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 1: to just this great start, uh, you know, up fourteen points,

649
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 1: and then they let the other team kind of back

650
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:13,080
Speaker 1: in in the game, like they did I think with

651
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:15,920
Speaker 1: the Redskins game, and then they did it again last

652
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:17,920
Speaker 1: week jumping out to a lead. They still ended up

653
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 1: getting the cover as four and a half point favorites,

654
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,320
Speaker 1: but just something where they just seemed to slow down

655
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 1: and I don't think they're going to be able to

656
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 1: get away with that in Minnesota and with his Vikings team.

657
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 1: So I'd like to be on the high side on

658
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 1: this one. Um, right now, we're at four and a

659
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: half and we're pretty heavy. I could probably go to

660
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 1: five on this one, and being being that it's a

661
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,839
Speaker 1: dead dead number, not have too much liability, it's kind

662
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,440
Speaker 1: of getting middled or anything. So I'm actually going to

663
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:52,400
Speaker 1: go to five right now. What wrong change there? We

664
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 1: go the three line changes at the middle of the show.

665
00:36:56,440 --> 00:37:02,239
Speaker 1: Yeah like that, Huh, you're challenging people. Well, I mean,

666
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot of value on five, so

667
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 1: it's saying a lot off if the sharp guys do

668
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 1: take five with the Packers that that. That's pretty telling

669
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,800
Speaker 1: to me because there's not a whole lot of value

670
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 1: between four and a half and five, not like the

671
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,719
Speaker 1: other game. Five and half and six is big, and

672
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:23,240
Speaker 1: the Chiefs game getting that six points is is pretty big. Scooch,

673
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:33,920
Speaker 1: guess what time is to do? Scooch? For that? Scooch?

674
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 1: By luck and love? You won last week by luck

675
00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 1: and love. Yeah you shouldn't have, I should have whatever.

676
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 1: So many teams I don't know who to pick from.

677
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Browns have a good shot

678
00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:01,440
Speaker 1: of covering against the Ravens. I think, you know, I

679
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 1: really like this Chiefs team. I last week really was

680
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:10,960
Speaker 1: just another instance of them just playing a bad weather

681
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 1: and still putting. I mean, you can't slow this team down.

682
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs minus five and a half. How

683
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 1: can you not like this Chiefs team? You're gonna go

684
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 1: against the wise guys? I am here, Yeah, yep. I

685
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 1: like the Vikings too. A tough choice between the three

686
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 1: of them, but I thought maybe you'd like the Vikings.

687
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:38,520
Speaker 1: I love the Vikings. Minnesota Vikings. Lizz was playing. I

688
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,600
Speaker 1: looked up that song, so now I know who last

689
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 1: time you told me about that song you learned about Lizza.

690
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 1: I did. Oh my goodness. Um, Lizza was supposed to

691
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: play a big concert in Hertford tonight, but she's ill

692
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:56,280
Speaker 1: with the flu. Maybe maybe she got it from Zack Milman,

693
00:38:56,640 --> 00:39:00,800
Speaker 1: and maybe Stacy Milman is like crushed that she didn't

694
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:07,600
Speaker 1: get Lizzo a flu shot wow tonight, And somehow this

695
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:09,880
Speaker 1: will be my fault that I wasn't looking out for

696
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:14,439
Speaker 1: Lizzo's well being. Exactly, I could have done it. It's

697
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 1: not just Stacy's responsibility to look out for Lizzo's well being.

698
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:21,879
Speaker 1: That that one probably put over the topic. Stacy hears

699
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 1: about the podcast, it's gonna be that last joke where

700
00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:30,759
Speaker 1: she's gonna be like, really, you have to like, can

701
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: we just have one serious conversation? No, it was actually

702
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,000
Speaker 1: it was a comment I just made. That's the one

703
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,880
Speaker 1: that's good. That's the one that's going to put it

704
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: over the top. Oh my god, Thank god, she doesn't

705
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:47,080
Speaker 1: know what I do or doesn't listen to podcast. Um, seriously,

706
00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: I'm going with the You know who I love? Miami Dolphins.

707
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, give me the Miami Dolphins. That's what

708
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 1: I'm doing. Miami dol Fins. They are one and a

709
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 1: half point favorites over the Cincinnati Bungles. We called the

710
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 1: Burrow Bowl Burrow Bow. Bob Scucci, we will talk again

711
00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 1: next week. Thank you so much for coming on your podcast.

712
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you later. Thanks. All right, As promised,

713
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: Darren Ravelle is on the show, he of points bet

714
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:27,880
Speaker 1: promotion infamy getting pelted by Andy Roddock eating the hottest

715
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 1: dish in New York City, which is saying something Darren, Uh,

716
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:38,759
Speaker 1: how are you feeling right now? I I somehow managed

717
00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 1: to uh not have any esophageal harm. Um and uh,

718
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:48,160
Speaker 1: it wasn't that bad coming out last night, if you

719
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:53,800
Speaker 1: know what I mean. Um, the the tongue is probably

720
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,879
Speaker 1: the damage. I think. I think I need a couple

721
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,759
Speaker 1: more days to get some taste buds back, but I

722
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: don't minded. I think I the best thing that I

723
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:05,359
Speaker 1: did was I brought everything that I needed to bring

724
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:09,080
Speaker 1: in terms of the milk and the peanut butter. Good

725
00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 1: suggestion for my mom. I did the pre toms, the

726
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:17,080
Speaker 1: pre pepto. I think I was responsible. I understood how

727
00:41:17,120 --> 00:41:20,160
Speaker 1: serious it won't and uh, and I think I got

728
00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 1: out a love what helped the most. And for those

729
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: who don't know. Go check out Darren's Twitter feed. Check

730
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 1: out the video. Darren lost his fade Revel points beat promo.

731
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 1: He had the Eagles the year he had the Redskins covering. Uh.

732
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:36,600
Speaker 1: In the last play of the game, he was already

733
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:40,359
Speaker 1: bragging about the redskin covering and the Eagles. Of course

734
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 1: we're gonna touchdow Run a funnel back for a touchdown.

735
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 1: They cover with impunity. Darren has to eat the hottest

736
00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:50,839
Speaker 1: dish of this ever in New York City two point

737
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:55,200
Speaker 1: two million scovo units. A cook needs to cook it

738
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,720
Speaker 1: with a gas mask because the oils and the vapors

739
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:02,760
Speaker 1: are so dangerous. Yes, Darren, ate it. You came equipped

740
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 1: with a gallon of milk and with um a jar

741
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 1: peanut butter. There was also rice. Uh what helped the

742
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:17,120
Speaker 1: most with most immediately with the pain, I would say

743
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 1: the rice. Actually, I think that that really absorbed everything

744
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 1: um and and the milk was really nice. Like I

745
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 1: think a lot of people make a mistake with water.

746
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,920
Speaker 1: I have had a Carolina Reaper pepper before, which is

747
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 1: one point five million scobal units, and I was not

748
00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:37,760
Speaker 1: prepared and I was eating chicken of the sea, biscuits

749
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:40,840
Speaker 1: or something like that, which is what whatever I could find.

750
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:44,360
Speaker 1: So I just feel like I was prepared, you know.

751
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:47,319
Speaker 1: I all all the boys at the Action Network were

752
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:50,640
Speaker 1: surprised that at me, even coming back to the office.

753
00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:54,160
Speaker 1: They thought I'd be incapacitate. I also liked the video

754
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 1: where Scott Scott Miller, uh who sort of the editor

755
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 1: extraordinaire runs everything for us UM, said to you in

756
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 1: the video, you gotta say one more bite. It was

757
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 1: so cruel. I wasn't trying to end it, but I

758
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 1: felt like, you know, I felt like I had done enough,

759
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:17,120
Speaker 1: and he said one more bite. And the first bite

760
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:20,280
Speaker 1: was the worst though, within like three or four seconds,

761
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:23,920
Speaker 1: I started hiccup ng and burping, you know, because my body,

762
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 1: my body was saying, what the hell is it? And

763
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 1: uh so, so the last one was fine, and then

764
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:34,760
Speaker 1: I I really I think I had my biggest swallow

765
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: on the last one, and it hit me and I

766
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:40,400
Speaker 1: was like, oh my god. And that's when I and

767
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 1: you'll see this in the video, I went to the

768
00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 1: spoon put it in the halo top and didn't. I

769
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:48,800
Speaker 1: originally had a different spoon for the ice cream, but

770
00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:53,279
Speaker 1: somehow in my stupor, and it's much like the ice bath,

771
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:56,719
Speaker 1: and you can't think I took the curry spoon and

772
00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:59,799
Speaker 1: put it in the ice cream and then I had

773
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 1: like no relief. So dude, yeah, that was it? All right?

774
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,400
Speaker 1: So this week you're doing the Bills and the Patriots.

775
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,520
Speaker 1: You're going to take the Bills. Fans on points better,

776
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,879
Speaker 1: going to get boosted odds on Wait, yeah, you're taking

777
00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:17,720
Speaker 1: the Bills fans at at points better getting boosted odds

778
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,399
Speaker 1: to take the Patriots. Fans are gonna have to take

779
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:22,840
Speaker 1: the Patriots. Do you want to hear what your punishment

780
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,880
Speaker 1: is going to be? Yes, I have not heard. So

781
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 1: what what is it going to be? Uh, you'll be

782
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: in Miami, I will be If the Patriots win, you're

783
00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:41,280
Speaker 1: gonna have to get your back waxed. Oh my god,

784
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 1: you gotta be kidding me. Man, that's gonna hurt. How

785
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:50,720
Speaker 1: do you feel about that hurt? I think it's safer

786
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:55,320
Speaker 1: than many of my stunts. I actually think it's probably

787
00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 1: the safest, you know, in terms of like I don't

788
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:04,440
Speaker 1: feel like I have potential to do damage. It's gonna hurt, Like,

789
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:07,720
Speaker 1: what do you say? It's gonna hurt like a mofo?

790
00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 1: I know I'll scream Kelly Clarkson, all right, that's I'll

791
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:16,840
Speaker 1: do that. I'll do that that. That would be a

792
00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 1: nice vacation day for me on Monday. Yeah, well yeah, yeah,

793
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,760
Speaker 1: I might need to be reimbursed for the Action Network

794
00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 1: for causing pain on my vacation day. You know, we'll

795
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:30,560
Speaker 1: send your wife a nice gift. Okay, how about she'll

796
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: be at the spa doing something else while I'm screaming.

797
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:37,399
Speaker 1: She won't want to be filming you. No, I think

798
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 1: my kids want to film me. You know what, let's

799
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,520
Speaker 1: not even go through your picks. Let's have let's bring

800
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:47,120
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter in it right away and we will all

801
00:45:47,120 --> 00:45:49,359
Speaker 1: go through the picks together. We got two weeks left

802
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:50,800
Speaker 1: to get in the mine. We basically have to go

803
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:52,879
Speaker 1: five and oh the next two weeks. Here's Simon Hunter.

804
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:59,839
Speaker 1: Here we go, and now a word from a Why

805
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 1: Sky with Simon Hunter. Simon, Hello, gentlemen, Simon Simon, Yeah, Simon,

806
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 1: you're there. Yeah, I'm just waiting for it. Dude, dude, dude, dude, dude.

807
00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:28,160
Speaker 1: That was I'm gonna I still want to blame dank

808
00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:31,840
Speaker 1: because I don't want And four what kind of karma

809
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,640
Speaker 1: was that we were two and woman in literally one minute,

810
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 1: we went oh and three. Oh my god, that was ugly.

811
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:44,160
Speaker 1: Was literally felt like someone beat the ship out of me.

812
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:47,719
Speaker 1: It was painful. Let's let's revie, let's review what what

813
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:50,759
Speaker 1: we had? All right? Do you have it in front

814
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 1: of you? I do? Okay, I got what do we have?

815
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 1: We had the Redskins at four and a half. Uh so,

816
00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 1: as most people know, like when if you're on, if

817
00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:03,239
Speaker 1: you like a side and the line moves keeps going up,

818
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 1: you you're gonna keep hitting that line. So I had

819
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 1: then a plus four and a half, plus five and

820
00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:10,479
Speaker 1: a half, plus six and a half and plus seven

821
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:17,360
Speaker 1: all awful. Oh my god. We had even more brutal Seattle,

822
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:22,520
Speaker 1: who was up twenty with six minutes to go, and

823
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 1: they gave up to two back that we're touchdowns. So

824
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 1: we lost that by half a point. Then we had Denver,

825
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:36,240
Speaker 1: which it was ugly. Yeah, like this. The snow obviously

826
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 1: didn't help us like that. They were not ready to

827
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 1: play that snow, so that was a big l We

828
00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:43,840
Speaker 1: had Atlanta, who went outright and ruined a couple of

829
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:47,600
Speaker 1: people's lives. Because I don't know how many other people

830
00:47:47,640 --> 00:47:49,759
Speaker 1: are like me, but that under it, I think it

831
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:53,480
Speaker 1: was percent of the bet was on the over, so

832
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:58,239
Speaker 1: I I took it for forty eight under, forty nine under,

833
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:02,319
Speaker 1: nine and a half under. Uh so I got killed

834
00:48:02,360 --> 00:48:05,640
Speaker 1: on that one in the final second, and then the

835
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 1: top of off. We finished the night with Pittsburgh, who

836
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:12,360
Speaker 1: they had their chances, but they just they got outplayed

837
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:17,280
Speaker 1: by Alan. They really did. Oh my god, everything about

838
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:24,400
Speaker 1: it was just terrible, terrible. Darren, the smartest man in

839
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 1: the room, went three one on one, so he was

840
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:29,840
Speaker 1: just stomping on my grave. I mean I was already destroyed,

841
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,560
Speaker 1: and then came Darren with his high and mighty three

842
00:48:32,640 --> 00:48:38,640
Speaker 1: one on one. Darren was so obnoxious and Darren Darren

843
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:40,799
Speaker 1: fell off, so we got to call him back, Um,

844
00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:49,239
Speaker 1: darreny you back. He's not back yet. The problem is

845
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:52,480
Speaker 1: that Darren was so obnoxious in the texts, as if

846
00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:56,320
Speaker 1: he was the wise guy and knew everything, and we

847
00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 1: have talked him out of so many things that we

848
00:48:58,800 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 1: thought was so smart, and he was like, we should

849
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:06,080
Speaker 1: have done this, We'd be so much better. He's texting

850
00:49:06,200 --> 00:49:09,919
Speaker 1: us his tickets, how well he's doing it. It ruined,

851
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:13,440
Speaker 1: honest to god, ruined my dinner. It was. I mean,

852
00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:15,640
Speaker 1: he was just going. I was just like, all right,

853
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:19,440
Speaker 1: phones go on airplane mode, like I was already crushed

854
00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 1: from other people. I couldn't even take it. He was

855
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 1: just he just kept coming. But it was like any

856
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,920
Speaker 1: any other gambler, like even when you win or lose

857
00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:28,759
Speaker 1: one day, it's a new day, and you kind of

858
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:31,040
Speaker 1: just even if you win or lose, you just kept

859
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:32,680
Speaker 1: to look at and go all right on the next week.

860
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:34,640
Speaker 1: So that's how I feel about it. The problem was

861
00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 1: I was twelve, two and two the week before, and

862
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:38,440
Speaker 1: then I went six and ten this week because of

863
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:43,399
Speaker 1: all those goddamn bad beats, and those are the that's

864
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:45,279
Speaker 1: like anyone that does it long enough, you're gonna run

865
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:46,840
Speaker 1: into a couple of the fact that we just we

866
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 1: had two of them in our super contest was just brutal.

867
00:49:50,200 --> 00:49:54,320
Speaker 1: I know, it really really was. Darreny you back, I'm back. Sorry,

868
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 1: all right, listen, we made all the picks, I know

869
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:03,000
Speaker 1: you didn't. Yeah, we feel good about him, so no, no, no, yeah,

870
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 1: I think we're in good place. No not after last week.

871
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:11,439
Speaker 1: You don't, all right, Darren, because you were so good

872
00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 1: last week. Um, what are you thinking, Darren? Tell us

873
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:19,400
Speaker 1: what you're thinking? Who are your five picks? Simon and

874
00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 1: I got. I got Washington minus two and a half

875
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:26,359
Speaker 1: against the Giants. Daniel Jones comes back, maybe Eli, Who

876
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:31,160
Speaker 1: the hell knows? They're so confused one uh my, uh

877
00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:34,279
Speaker 1: my slam dunk pick. My lock of the week is

878
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:38,280
Speaker 1: BOLTI wore minus ten against the Browns. Forget the sharp stuff.

879
00:50:38,560 --> 00:50:42,120
Speaker 1: The Browns are a total dumpster fire. They're completely out

880
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 1: of it. Freddie Kitchens is worried about his job. These

881
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:47,799
Speaker 1: guys don't know what they're doing. They're pointing at people.

882
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 1: They're not worrying about the game. I don't care that

883
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:52,920
Speaker 1: it's ten. I don't care about you sharp the other

884
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:55,640
Speaker 1: way that the other people are thinking. I say minus

885
00:50:55,719 --> 00:51:01,360
Speaker 1: ten Baltimore over the Browns. I actually doing this because

886
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:05,319
Speaker 1: I think Philly is garbage and just because they one

887
00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:09,359
Speaker 1: doesn't mean anything. I don't necessarily think Dallas is that good.

888
00:51:09,520 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 1: And I'm not doing it because they're the week that

889
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:13,880
Speaker 1: Dallas has had. I got Dallas minus two and a

890
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:19,280
Speaker 1: half against Shilly. I think the Jets are very similar

891
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 1: to the Giants. Uh And I think Pittsburgh people are

892
00:51:22,239 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 1: gonna fade them because of what happened last week. I

893
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:29,480
Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh minus three and we have to go back

894
00:51:29,600 --> 00:51:34,840
Speaker 1: to my Miami Dolphins at minus one against the Bengals,

895
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:40,160
Speaker 1: who stink. Simon, I have opinions on all of these,

896
00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:47,360
Speaker 1: but I want to hear your take on these five games. First, Skins, Ravens,

897
00:51:47,520 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 1: Dallas Dealers, Fins. I like the best part of that

898
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:55,960
Speaker 1: whole thing was Darren just disrespecting all the sharps, being like,

899
00:51:56,719 --> 00:52:00,439
Speaker 1: it's a dumb player. Pick the Browns as a board

900
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:05,480
Speaker 1: where generalized like that you don't want to like overthinking

901
00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 1: where yes, plus ten, this is a great number for

902
00:52:08,600 --> 00:52:12,839
Speaker 1: the Browns. But as Darren was saying, the Ravens their

903
00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:15,960
Speaker 1: world beaters and the Browns look like they're broken. But

904
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:17,880
Speaker 1: you just have to know, Dan, you're taking them at

905
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 1: the peak, peak peak of the Ravens, so like zero value,

906
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:24,640
Speaker 1: You're you're losing points here taking them. But I can't

907
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 1: take you talk you off the Ravens. What do you

908
00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:30,759
Speaker 1: have this? You me the Ravens. No, he can't talk

909
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,879
Speaker 1: you off the Ravens. Like just everything you said, it's

910
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:35,920
Speaker 1: like the sharp the smart side of you take that

911
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,000
Speaker 1: plus thing because I got this at eight plus eight

912
00:52:38,520 --> 00:52:42,440
Speaker 1: where every everything you're saying is right, but divisional games

913
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:46,279
Speaker 1: are so weird. That's why it's like any any time

914
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:48,880
Speaker 1: long term, if you're gonna take a home dog a

915
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:53,560
Speaker 1: plus ten in a divisional game, you're gonna come out well,

916
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:55,959
Speaker 1: way richer than you would take on this other side.

917
00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:57,839
Speaker 1: So that's to say we could take the Ravens here,

918
00:52:57,880 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you that if we lose, you have

919
00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:04,239
Speaker 1: to saying it just wasn't a smart bet. And it's

920
00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:06,400
Speaker 1: not coming down either. It's not gonna get to eight.

921
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:08,960
Speaker 1: It's only going out. No, this will this will keep

922
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 1: going up. I mean, I don't even know what the

923
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:13,920
Speaker 1: Ticke account is gonna be, but right now it's it's

924
00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:17,239
Speaker 1: probably of the bet. If not, its gonna be on

925
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:19,160
Speaker 1: the Ravens. All right, what do we think about my

926
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:25,040
Speaker 1: Dallas pick? Dallas is another thing where you're you're you

927
00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:27,640
Speaker 1: just watched last week where Dallas looked like world beaters

928
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:30,720
Speaker 1: and the Eagles are broken, they have no wide receivers,

929
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 1: they're just reading these games out. You're taking a Cowboys

930
00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 1: team on the road against a divisional opponent, so it's

931
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,600
Speaker 1: it's another of those You're taking a road divisional game,

932
00:53:40,719 --> 00:53:43,680
Speaker 1: so the Cowboys gonna be the huge public side and

933
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:46,160
Speaker 1: you're getting no value here. So the sharp smart side

934
00:53:46,200 --> 00:53:49,400
Speaker 1: is gonna be Eagles. But once again, you've you've been.

935
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:51,160
Speaker 1: You're on the heater, So the Cowboys could be the

936
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:55,680
Speaker 1: right side. He's not on a freaking heater. Don't encourage

937
00:53:55,760 --> 00:53:58,600
Speaker 1: him in Dann's world, having three winning weeks in a row,

938
00:53:58,680 --> 00:54:00,719
Speaker 1: that's the eater. All right. What do you think of

939
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:07,600
Speaker 1: the Steelers? I want to take them, but it's like

940
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:10,000
Speaker 1: what we just watched last week. That kid duck, he's

941
00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:12,600
Speaker 1: not seeing the open receivers. So this is one of

942
00:54:12,680 --> 00:54:14,480
Speaker 1: those that we're just gonna be banked on the Steelers

943
00:54:14,560 --> 00:54:16,959
Speaker 1: defense to win us. This the cover as this number

944
00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:21,640
Speaker 1: minus story. So it's not it's not terrible, but it's

945
00:54:21,680 --> 00:54:25,840
Speaker 1: not great value. Are you in the airport, Simon, what's happening? No,

946
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:28,520
Speaker 1: I'm picking up my daughter from school. I wasn't expecting

947
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:31,560
Speaker 1: such a piercing announcement about hobby hour. I'm sorry, got

948
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:37,759
Speaker 1: it all right. I love Darren's Redskins pick, I love

949
00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:42,399
Speaker 1: his Dolphins pick. I'll be at the Dolphins game too,

950
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:45,960
Speaker 1: so I'll I'll yell and scream and do my part

951
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:49,880
Speaker 1: we're not. We're taking the Dolphins here in the center

952
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:52,080
Speaker 1: were hope and they're the ones that show up. So

953
00:54:52,200 --> 00:54:53,880
Speaker 1: I do like that number because it's just they just

954
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:55,840
Speaker 1: have to win and the Banks they're playing for that

955
00:54:55,960 --> 00:54:58,880
Speaker 1: number one pick. So I'm dealing with that Dolphins one

956
00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:02,040
Speaker 1: and there chkins. This is great value, like the odds

957
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 1: of the Giants winning two games in a row like

958
00:55:04,600 --> 00:55:07,640
Speaker 1: that was their everything game. They completely blew out the Dolphins.

959
00:55:07,680 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 1: Everything went right for them. This is this is a

960
00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:14,080
Speaker 1: nice number with the redskins. All right, So we're we're

961
00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:18,600
Speaker 1: giving Darren two games Skins and fins. He wants three

962
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:24,319
Speaker 1: really public sides. Let me let me make a proposal. Uh,

963
00:55:26,000 --> 00:55:31,120
Speaker 1: what about the Arizona Cardinals as really big underdogs against

964
00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:33,799
Speaker 1: a Seattle team that has a hard time winning big

965
00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:38,520
Speaker 1: by big numbers and has to look ahead to a

966
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:43,600
Speaker 1: game against the Niners. That was my alternate pick. I

967
00:55:43,719 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 1: love that number two when it came out, And it's

968
00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:48,960
Speaker 1: kind of funny where the Seahawks they just don't like

969
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:51,600
Speaker 1: you're just saying, every game with them always gets close.

970
00:55:51,719 --> 00:55:53,799
Speaker 1: They just don't really blow teams out. The only team

971
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 1: they really did blow out this year was the Cardinals

972
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,959
Speaker 1: in Arizona. So this is a nice divisional game where

973
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:01,520
Speaker 1: the Cardinals are getting all these points and I could

974
00:56:01,520 --> 00:56:03,480
Speaker 1: see the backdoor working out for us on this one.

975
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:12,040
Speaker 1: How about the Minnesota Vikings. Don't talk that game? Yeah,

976
00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:15,000
Speaker 1: I can't do it just because Kirk in prime time.

977
00:56:15,080 --> 00:56:16,520
Speaker 1: I mean, we can look at the numbers. He just

978
00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:21,280
Speaker 1: always he chokes. This is what he does. Tennessee Titans

979
00:56:22,480 --> 00:56:26,560
Speaker 1: love it. I mean, that's so much value. Um. They

980
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:28,560
Speaker 1: had probably the worst game of the year last year

981
00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:30,760
Speaker 1: and it still came down to the final two minutes

982
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 1: of the game and the Saints would look like world beaters.

983
00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:38,000
Speaker 1: But they're going now, they're going outdoors again. It's an

984
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:39,759
Speaker 1: an FC team where they don't really need this win

985
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:41,399
Speaker 1: that much. I mean, I know they wanted to stay

986
00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:44,560
Speaker 1: up in the top seeds. The Titans really need this game.

987
00:56:44,640 --> 00:56:48,719
Speaker 1: So I love that we're getting plus three. I'm supportive

988
00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 1: of that too. Here's my last one, my last suggestion. Ready, yep,

989
00:56:55,040 --> 00:57:00,560
Speaker 1: New York Jets. Jets are I'm doing it for Darren.

990
00:57:00,600 --> 00:57:07,080
Speaker 1: The Jets are three point underdogs at home to the Steelers. Uh,

991
00:57:08,160 --> 00:57:11,160
Speaker 1: it's so tough because it's it's Sam Donald go against

992
00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:15,719
Speaker 1: that defense. But that's a really good number. Plus three,

993
00:57:15,920 --> 00:57:18,600
Speaker 1: Like I can see them covering that. I feel like

994
00:57:18,640 --> 00:57:20,960
Speaker 1: it's bee of those games that maybe they can win

995
00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:22,960
Speaker 1: by one or two the Steelers, but that's that's a

996
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:24,600
Speaker 1: big number for them to be holding on the road.

997
00:57:25,120 --> 00:57:26,480
Speaker 1: I could see them. What do you have a power

998
00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 1: rated out, Simon? So I had this game in minus

999
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:33,480
Speaker 1: one and then after that game with Duck I put

1000
00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:35,320
Speaker 1: the Jets up to minus two. So we're getting five

1001
00:57:35,400 --> 00:57:39,440
Speaker 1: points of value. But the big thing is we need

1002
00:57:39,520 --> 00:57:41,160
Speaker 1: to wait and see what the deal is with Adams

1003
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:43,400
Speaker 1: because he might not come back for the Jets this weekend.

1004
00:57:43,560 --> 00:57:46,560
Speaker 1: He's really been the key of the Jets defense, alright,

1005
00:57:46,600 --> 00:57:50,160
Speaker 1: So we'll keep an eye on Adams. You any Saturday games.

1006
00:57:51,640 --> 00:57:54,600
Speaker 1: I didn't love him, but I think about it, Darren,

1007
00:57:56,800 --> 00:57:59,920
Speaker 1: I mean we can uh we I mean I know that, Darren,

1008
00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 1: you're gonna love the Bill. Let's time and have his

1009
00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:07,400
Speaker 1: straight up pick of the week. Why not, Well, my

1010
00:58:07,560 --> 00:58:10,400
Speaker 1: favorite value is definitely going to be the Rams this week.

1011
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 1: Definitely be the Rams. They just got destroyed, embarrassed and

1012
00:58:18,120 --> 00:58:21,160
Speaker 1: just are hurt that their defense is not what they

1013
00:58:21,200 --> 00:58:24,720
Speaker 1: were earlier in the season. They're they're banged. That is true.

1014
00:58:26,080 --> 00:58:28,080
Speaker 1: Let's take there. Let's take the Rams. So we'll take

1015
00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:33,360
Speaker 1: Can we kick the Rams, the Cardinals, the Dolphins? What

1016
00:58:33,600 --> 00:58:38,040
Speaker 1: was my titles and Redskins? Yeah? That love it? Yeah,

1017
00:58:40,040 --> 00:58:43,000
Speaker 1: I love these picks. I feel better about these picks

1018
00:58:43,040 --> 00:58:45,960
Speaker 1: than any picks we've had this year. Simon Hunter professional better,

1019
00:58:46,040 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 1: Damn ravel professional something Boys. Until next week, Another week

1020
00:58:53,480 --> 00:58:56,640
Speaker 1: in the books. We're finishing up Week sixteen. This has

1021
00:58:56,680 --> 00:58:59,640
Speaker 1: been The Favorites podcast from the Action Network. I Am

1022
00:58:59,720 --> 00:59:02,919
Speaker 1: Chad Olmen. Thanks to Dan Ravelle, thanks to Simon Hunter,

1023
00:59:03,000 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 1: thanks to Bob SCOOCHI download the podcast at Apple Podcast,

1024
00:59:06,280 --> 00:59:10,560
Speaker 1: Rate Review, subscribe, check it out at radio dot com.

1025
00:59:10,600 --> 00:59:13,920
Speaker 1: Start for the Favorites wherever you get your podcast. Until

1026
00:59:14,080 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 1: next time, I Love you,