1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: We're joined now by this CEO of Zieman's, Roland Bush. 2 00:00:03,520 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us today as you 3 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 1: release your earnings, the stock near an all time high. 4 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: This set of number is a little more mixed than 5 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: the last quarter, so I want to sort of get 6 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: into them. 7 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: Now. 8 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: How did this quarter shake out and what really changed? 9 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, we are happy about another strong quarter. 10 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 2: Order intakes grew by fifteen percent, revenue by ten and 11 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: the business delivered three billion cash flow, so it's a 12 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 2: great quarter. What we saw though, is faster than expecting 13 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 2: normalization of the market, and this was particularly driven by China. 14 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 2: But other than that, sitting on another record or the 15 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 2: back level of one hundred and ten billion, I would say 16 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 2: it's another strong quarter which we delivered. 17 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: And then you say normalization. But orders were down forty 18 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:53,959 Speaker 1: percent in China? Is that normal? Is that what you're 19 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: expecting for China? What is your experience of the economic 20 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: situation right now in China? 21 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 2: So it's a set the market. The Chinese market did 22 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 2: not did not deliver as we expected. So we said 23 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: always also in our last guidance that we expected China 24 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 2: to recover in the second half of the calendar year. 25 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 2: This did not happen at all. So China is really 26 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 2: very very down in the market. It's the private consumption 27 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 2: didn't pick up. The export is down. In June, the 28 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 2: export in China was on a record lol for the 29 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 2: last ten years. So this is what happened, and let's 30 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 2: see how that goes. This impacted in particular our digital 31 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 2: industry businesses, but electrification less still because they had a 32 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 2: much much lower upturn in the past, so they had 33 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 2: also kind of a more stable situation. It was most impacted. 34 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 2: The most impact was on our automation business, and. 35 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: I see that that was sort of that was one 36 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: of the parts that was revised down, although a lot 37 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: of the kind of other goals were kind of set 38 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: were unchanged. So what is your outlook more broadly, and 39 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: if strength is not going to come from China, where 40 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: do you think it will come from? 41 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I mean, let me reiterate. We confirmed our 42 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 2: group's outlook in terms of top line nine to eleven 43 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: percent growth also earnings per share excluding the impact from 44 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: Semen's energy. So this is all good. We kept everything 45 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 2: stable except as you said, the outlook for digital industries, 46 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:27,239 Speaker 2: and we brought it back to where it was before 47 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 2: and based again based on the assumption that the Chinese 48 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 2: market would pick up in the second half of the 49 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 2: calendar year. Did not happen, so we brought the outlook 50 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 2: back to where it was before. That's basically about it. 51 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,839 Speaker 2: Going forward, our trends, the mega trends which we are 52 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 2: working on, the trends in the market of electrification, automation, 53 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 2: digitalization of our markets, they are unbroken. So we see 54 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 2: still a strong demand. This will come. There might be 55 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 2: a slow growth in the Chinese market for the next quarters. 56 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 2: Let's see if and when the Chinese government is putting 57 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 2: some stim on the market. There's a lot of uncertainty there, 58 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 2: but I mean have in mind that this is still 59 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 2: the second largest market in the world. It will come 60 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 2: back well, that's for sure. On the other side, we 61 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 2: are one of the most global companies in the world, 62 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,920 Speaker 2: so we have a very strong footprint in the United States. 63 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 2: We are serving India. India's coming. I was recently on 64 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 2: a trip to South America. We'll see a lot of 65 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 2: potential renewables hydrogen, but other areas as well. Food and 66 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: beverage is working well, so there's a lot of batteries 67 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 2: are built which we are. We have a very very 68 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 2: high market share. So from that perspective, it's for me 69 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 2: more the question of how long will China sit on 70 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 2: this normalization before they pick up again. 71 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 1: And speaking of stimulative activity that's going on, we've had 72 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 1: a huge number of chip plant announcements here in Germany. 73 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: How do you think that will impact Zemans? Can you 74 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: profit from that? Are you how involved are you in 75 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: that and and sort of how does that contribute to 76 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: your business? 77 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 2: I mean this great news for us. On the one side, 78 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 2: we believe that's good to have a solid chip industry 79 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 2: in Europe and particular served out of Germany. We believe 80 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 2: we have the competencies in the ecosystem and of course 81 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 2: it's tailed in for our business. We are very strong 82 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 2: in electrifying any kind of semiconductor plant. Remember they are 83 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:19,040 Speaker 2: high energy consuming. The building management is very critical. I 84 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: think about the clean rooms which we have. We are 85 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 2: sitting with our automation on the shop floor. So this 86 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 2: is really one of the really strong verticals of semens 87 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: and if this vertical growth we will see the impact 88 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: in seamans too. 89 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 1: Do you think that the chip industry gets at all 90 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: an unfair advantage. It seems to get a lot of 91 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: focus in Germany. Do you think that other industries could 92 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 1: benefit in order to have some more of that sort 93 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 1: of activity in Germany. 94 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 2: I mean, let me start in the question do we 95 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,479 Speaker 2: need a chip industry in Europe at all? Currently? The 96 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 2: dependency is very strong in Asia, and if it comes 97 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 2: to high power chipsets, it's just Taiwan where the chips 98 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,480 Speaker 2: are coming from. So we need a diversification. You know, 99 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,159 Speaker 2: United States is having put a lot of stimulus money, 100 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 2: but I believe coming from one dependency to another one 101 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 2: is also not good. So having a solid semiconductor industry 102 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 2: in Europe is a good idea to have above of that. 103 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 2: As I said before, this is not only the chip manufacturer, 104 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 2: the foundries, is also the whole ecosystem around which is 105 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 2: supporting it. So this will create jobs, it will stimulate 106 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 2: an ecosystem, and it's high tech. This is technology where 107 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 2: I believe Germany should go in looking what are the 108 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 2: technologies which are really make a differentiation. High tech that's 109 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:33,919 Speaker 2: where we are good at and if it's ecosystem based, 110 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 2: we are even better. Think about our small and medium 111 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 2: sized enterprises which we have in Germany the hidden champions. 112 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 2: So therefore I'd believe this is one of the poster 113 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 2: childs of an industry where we believe we should really 114 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 2: stimulate and get all the fertilizing effects for others as well. 115 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: And since you mentioned the smmes in the Middle steand 116 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: I'm curious because we see the PMI manufacturing figure in 117 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: Germany basically at the lowest level since the pandemic, when 118 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 1: there was zero activity. However, I see a lot of 119 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 1: these big industrial companies, the auto sector, they all seem 120 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: to be doing okay. Where is this weakness? Where is 121 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 1: this manufacturing recession? You have a lot of clients throughout 122 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: this industry. Where is it being felt? 123 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 2: I mean, you see that in Germany. You see there 124 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 2: was in Italy where we have the machine builders, machine 125 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 2: tool builders. And remember a lot of that volume goes 126 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 2: also to China. So if China this is the most 127 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 2: industrialized economy in the world and again the second largest, 128 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 2: if they're weak, we see also then a weakness on 129 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 2: any kind of export coming from Germany to China. So 130 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 2: therefore it's interlinked. I do believe again this is a 131 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 2: kind of an intermediate weakness. We see a pick up 132 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 2: because the level of automation and digitalization needed. When you 133 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 2: build new plants like semiconductor plants, new battery plants, this 134 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 2: will kick in and there's a lot of machines going 135 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:55,280 Speaker 2: into these markets and that will come back on a 136 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 2: global scale. Definitely, United States will be very strong. We 137 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 2: have a very strong foothold there too. 138 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: And in terms of I just want to ask you 139 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: quickly about Zeman's Energy, because you still hold a twenty 140 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: five percent stake there. Are you confident that they're going 141 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 1: to be able to get their arms around this crisis 142 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: very soon? And do you think you'll have to look 143 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 1: at potentially revaluing that steak. 144 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 2: I think there's a question we have to ask to 145 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 2: Christian Brook how they are doing. We are very much 146 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 2: disappointed with what happens so that the quality issues are 147 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 2: not getting under control. Let's see what the next measures are. 148 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 2: But I do believe they have a strong team in 149 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 2: place and they will make it. They will solve these problems. 150 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 2: I hope it doesn't take too long. Regarding the evaluation, 151 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 2: I mean it's a clear statement from our side we 152 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: are going to dilude our share. We did it, six 153 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 2: point eight percent sold down now we're sitting on twenty 154 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 2: five point one. We will go further down. So this 155 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 2: is the past going forward, as we said, and we're 156 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 2: going to execute. 157 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: And you said a lot of side money aside for acquisitions. 158 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: Do you have a clear idea of what kinds of 159 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: things you'll be looking at and how what the cadence 160 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: of those acquisitions could be. 161 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, we do have a clear idea. Of course, we 162 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 2: are looking in a broad space. We have first and foremost, 163 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 2: we do have the firepower. We can do any kind 164 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 2: of acquisition we would like to do, but we have 165 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 2: to be careful though it has the right return. So 166 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 2: if we're looking, of course into this software space, our 167 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 2: core industrial software space, but also any kind of adjacent 168 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 2: fields where we believe we can do more. Doubling down 169 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 2: on our very very strong software business is a good idea. 170 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 2: We're looking in any kind of hardware which is connected, 171 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 2: so which has a certain intelligence, which connects to the 172 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 2: cloud we can think of. So there is plenty of space. 173 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 2: And on the other side, we do have a very 174 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 2: very solid rounded product portfolio and to go with our 175 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 2: partners which we serve via our Semens Accelerator Open business marketplace, 176 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 2: we can really serve the market quite well. But again 177 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 2: we're looking through that market and we will make similar 178 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 2: steps as we did in the past, taking care about 179 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 2: the right turn if we're going to invest in EM. 180 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 1: And A and then I guess just a follow up 181 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 1: on that in terms of the market conditions, given that 182 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:09,599 Speaker 1: interest rates have gone up, maybe some asset values have 183 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: come down. If you're holding in a strong cast positions, 184 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:14,199 Speaker 1: are the conditions good right now to do a deal 185 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 1: for you? 186 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, as I said, are We are not really leveraged. 187 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:22,439 Speaker 2: We have a very very solid, very very solid financing. 188 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 2: We have a very strong balance sheet. We had recently 189 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:30,959 Speaker 2: also an upgrade by the rating agencies. So from our perspective, 190 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 2: this is not a concern we have. We are ready 191 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:36,079 Speaker 2: to strike if there is a great target. 192 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: Ready to strike if there is a good opportunity. Roland Bush, 193 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: thank you so much, the CEO of Zieman's