WEBVTT - Stephanie Ruhle &  Dan Weiner 

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<v Speaker 1>Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics,

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<v Speaker 1>where we discussed the top political headlines with some of

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<v Speaker 1>today's best minds, and RFK Junior says the US COVID

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<v Speaker 1>response was the worst in the world. Hm, we have

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<v Speaker 1>such a great show for you today. MSNBC's own Stephanie

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<v Speaker 1>Rule stops by to talk to us about the disappointing

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<v Speaker 1>job numbers and what they could mean to the Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 1>Then we'll talk to the Brennan Center's own Dan Weiner

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<v Speaker 1>about the congressional stock band that everybody wants but we

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<v Speaker 1>seem to not be able to get. But first the

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<v Speaker 1>stories everyone is talking.

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<v Speaker 2>About Somali As we know, the Trump got some bad

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<v Speaker 2>job numbers. But I need to teach you about numbers.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm going to bring in a professor. His name

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<v Speaker 2>is Rep. Randy Fine.

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<v Speaker 1>Ah the best Randy Fine.

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<v Speaker 2>He's doed for being such an awful human. Even Marjorie

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<v Speaker 2>Taylor Greed lectures about death. What's listened to this fellow

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<v Speaker 2>tell us about what's going on in the world coming out.

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<v Speaker 3>The August jobs record and a little of our who

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<v Speaker 3>knows what time it is anymore, it's a million o'clock

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<v Speaker 3>on seeing at New Central. It will be coming out

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<v Speaker 3>shortly and we will bring it to everyone when it does.

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<v Speaker 3>Are you going to believe the numbers?

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<v Speaker 4>I'm going to I'm going to look at the numbers.

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<v Speaker 5>Look, the people who put these numbers together are human,

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<v Speaker 5>and they're fallible, and they make mistakes. And if you

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<v Speaker 5>go back and you look how these numbers always e

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<v Speaker 5>was they make mistage?

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<v Speaker 6>It wasn't.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it wasn't that they make mistakes. The reason that

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<v Speaker 3>the President kicked out the commissioner of their of labor

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<v Speaker 3>Stations was he said that they were they were faking it,

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<v Speaker 3>they were cooking the books, which there's no evidence of that.

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<v Speaker 5>So do you think when then, when the numbers, when

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<v Speaker 5>the numbers are always wrong in one direction, you have

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<v Speaker 5>reason to be suspect. And so here's my understand that

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<v Speaker 5>what I can tell you is.

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<v Speaker 3>When businesses respond and give the information and submit and

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<v Speaker 3>respond to the ask from the Labor Department, then they

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<v Speaker 3>can't adjust what they have. It's like I get more information,

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<v Speaker 3>we can adjust the numbers. That's been happening from the

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<v Speaker 3>beginning of time. Yes, there has been more variable that's

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<v Speaker 3>for a lot of reasons which they say fewer businesses

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<v Speaker 3>are actually responding to these surveys, but that doesn't mean

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<v Speaker 3>they're cooking the books.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I think that when there's problems with methodology, sometimes

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<v Speaker 5>it's intentional, sometimes it's not. But when the numbers are

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<v Speaker 5>always do you think why the direction? There's a reason

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<v Speaker 5>to have I think the methodologies were problematic, And we

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<v Speaker 5>see this in all kinds of things, where numbers always

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<v Speaker 5>tend to benefit the left, and when the facts come

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<v Speaker 5>out they don't anymore.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think the president, yes, the facts have

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<v Speaker 1>a liberal bias.

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<v Speaker 6>Where have I heard that before? There's a reason for that.

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<v Speaker 4>We have heard that before.

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<v Speaker 1>And Randy fine, and ladies and gentlemen, Randy fine. All

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to say is that the unemployment rate for

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<v Speaker 1>the youngs is ten point five percent, which is not great.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that is a really really bad sign for breaking

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<v Speaker 2>this social contract with our youth.

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<v Speaker 1>Turns out you guys shouldn't have voted for Trump.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>And well, if he thought they responded badly when they

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<v Speaker 2>got taught by Andrew Tate, just imagine how badly they're

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<v Speaker 2>going to respond when they were told to get a

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<v Speaker 2>degree and it means nothing.

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<v Speaker 6>Oh, I'm not going to blame education for this.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm not blaming education.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm blaming the breaking of the social contract by the

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<v Speaker 2>corporations who aren't hiring them because they're now useless and

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<v Speaker 2>we told them to get that degree and now it's worthless.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not education's fault. It's a corporate America's.

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<v Speaker 1>Fault either way. Chicken egg whatever not good. But you

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<v Speaker 1>know what else is not good?

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<v Speaker 2>Jesse Kennon, Well, I have to say a staffer at

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<v Speaker 2>the DOJ saying that they're going to take out all

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<v Speaker 2>the Republican names of the Epstein files brought to us

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<v Speaker 2>by Conservative Little what do we even call him?

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<v Speaker 4>James O'Keefe.

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<v Speaker 1>Before we go to get to this story, I just

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<v Speaker 1>want to point out there have just been a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of times this week Thomas Massey mtg Ran Paul saying

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<v Speaker 1>we shouldn't bomb ships if we don't know who's in them.

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<v Speaker 1>Three different really truly horrendous humans, all of whom made

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of sense to me this week, a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>So I just want to say, before we get to

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<v Speaker 1>this story, this is a person, James O'Keefe. He got

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<v Speaker 1>fired from Project Veritas. He does now the James O'Keeffe

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<v Speaker 1>project or whatever. This is not someone you want to

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<v Speaker 1>be elevating and yet continue.

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<v Speaker 2>So he basically did a honeypot, which for those who

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<v Speaker 2>don't know that turbo, it's like he gave a attractive

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<v Speaker 2>girl camera and she flirted with a guy who tried

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<v Speaker 2>to impress her and said that they're gonna only leave

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<v Speaker 2>the liberals of the Epstein files they release, which yes,

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<v Speaker 2>pretty hilarious. Exactly what all of us could have predicted

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<v Speaker 2>what happened months and months ago.

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<v Speaker 1>Incredible. Basically, he says to her, we have a plan,

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<v Speaker 1>and the plan is pretty much what all of us thought.

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<v Speaker 1>And by the way, this is not some yahoo what's

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<v Speaker 1>his title.

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<v Speaker 2>Acting Deputy Chief of the DOJ's Office of Enforcement Operations.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so this guy is in a position to do

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<v Speaker 1>such a thing. And he says if they're released in

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<v Speaker 1>any way, it's going to be very redacted, which that

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<v Speaker 1>makes sense. They'll redact every Republican or conservative person in

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<v Speaker 1>the files. That doesn't make sense, leave all the liberal

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<v Speaker 1>democratic people in the files. Joseph Schnitt, acting director of

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<v Speaker 1>the DOJ's Office of Enforcement Organization, says in a video.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so look forward to that. Sorry, Bill Clinton anyway,

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<v Speaker 2>So after Robert F. Kennedy's, I would put that the

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<v Speaker 2>top five most disastrous testimonies I've ever seen Molley where

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<v Speaker 2>you reckon.

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<v Speaker 1>I think he could do worse, by the way, the

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<v Speaker 1>times when Kennedy did the worst, or the times when

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<v Speaker 1>members of Congress were careful and drew them out, like,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, Republican Senator John Cassidy, who has clearly I mean, look,

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<v Speaker 1>he was the needed vote for Kennedy, but he is

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<v Speaker 1>a doctor. He's a gastroinrologist, so he knows that he

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<v Speaker 1>fucked up big time. He starts with this questioning and

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<v Speaker 1>he says, do you think that Donald Trump should win

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<v Speaker 1>a Nobel Prize for Operation Warp Speed? And let me

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<v Speaker 1>tell you all Donald Trump wants is his fucking prize. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>He's like the mango god dictator of our country. He

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<v Speaker 1>has more prouder than any president ever, and all the

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<v Speaker 1>man wants is a prize. This I could not relate

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<v Speaker 1>to more. I mean, I am not a dictator, but

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<v Speaker 1>I really want a prize. So here he says I

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<v Speaker 1>want this prize. Senator Bill Cassidy gets him going, says,

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<v Speaker 1>do you think he deserves a prize?

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<v Speaker 6>Ourf cases.

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<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, then Cassidy is like I thought vaccines were bad,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, and RF cake can't get out of it.

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<v Speaker 1>Those were the most effective question I thought the least

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<v Speaker 1>effective questioning, and it made the rounds on the internet.

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<v Speaker 1>But there was one a video of a Democratic senator

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<v Speaker 1>just being like, you're a Charlottean Like. I don't think

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<v Speaker 1>that's as effective as getting him to really talk himself

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<v Speaker 1>into a corner. I think it makes more sense to

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<v Speaker 1>do that than to just yell at him. Mark Warner

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<v Speaker 1>got really mad at him and started yelling at him too,

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<v Speaker 1>and Barrasso, who is number two Senate Whip said, and

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<v Speaker 1>he's an orthopedic surgeon. I mean, this is the thing,

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<v Speaker 1>like you have all these doctors who signed on to this.

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<v Speaker 1>They did this to themselves and to us. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot of knockus for this crew, but I

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<v Speaker 1>still think it was pretty interesting watching them just take

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<v Speaker 1>him apart.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I agree to Maria Kentwell and Elizabeth Warren really

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<v Speaker 2>did a great job with Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>See, I thought Warren did a better job than can't Well.

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<v Speaker 1>Can't Well was just like.

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<v Speaker 2>She got him on a few things that I thought

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<v Speaker 2>were good. But yes, I agree that Warren was better.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, can't. Well, it's good, but like catch him in

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<v Speaker 1>the lies, don't tell him he sucks.

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<v Speaker 6>We know he sucks well.

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<v Speaker 2>Regardless, his red faced performance of breathing weird and talking

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<v Speaker 2>strangely has him on very thin ice, apparently with Republican centers.

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<v Speaker 2>According to sources at the Hill, they're telling mister Trump

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<v Speaker 2>that RFK juniors on thin ice.

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<v Speaker 4>Buddy, you better watch it.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure Donald Trump as he fires, I'm sure he's

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<v Speaker 1>listening real hard to the people who gave away all

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<v Speaker 1>their power.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, But at the same time, Trump does have that

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<v Speaker 2>preservationist instinct that if RFK does become a liability for him,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think he's a long for this world. It's

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<v Speaker 2>just more right now he thinks he's a benefit. Come well,

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<v Speaker 2>as I said, Donald Trump thinks. I don't believe he.

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<v Speaker 6>Thinks that, right.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, look, if he fires RFK, which he absolutely should,

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<v Speaker 1>and by the way, Bernie was out there last week

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<v Speaker 1>with it obed in the Times saying that he should

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<v Speaker 1>be forced to resign, which I was so impressed that

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<v Speaker 1>he did that, and that was what democratic leadership should

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<v Speaker 1>be all over.

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<v Speaker 6>We should have his doing that, we should have Schumer

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<v Speaker 6>doing that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Also to that point, he was everywhere doing that. He

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<v Speaker 2>made every type of video. The YouTube did really well.

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<v Speaker 2>He knew how to play that media ecosystem, unlike the

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<v Speaker 2>leadership right now.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I don't understand what's happening with the leadership. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so till us everybody in the world. Everybody in the

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<v Speaker 1>world freaking out about this.

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<v Speaker 6>But I don't know. We'll see what happens.

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<v Speaker 1>Look, if Trump fires Kennedy, which he absolutely, one hundred percent,

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<v Speaker 1>unequivocally should, he's going to have those angry Maha women

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<v Speaker 1>making videos about him.

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<v Speaker 6>We'll see.

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<v Speaker 2>So, Malli, it's not looking good for that discharge petition

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<v Speaker 2>over the Epstein files.

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<v Speaker 4>What do you see in here?

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<v Speaker 1>So basically there are two more positions that are going

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<v Speaker 1>to be filled. The last time I talked to them,

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<v Speaker 1>they still thought they had the votes. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>I can ask them again.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, as of this taping, it's not looking so hot.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, the only one I see changing tactics there

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<v Speaker 1>is Paulina Luna, but it's certainly possible that it won't

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<v Speaker 1>get through. I mean, the good news is that the

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<v Speaker 1>women can put together their own list. I mean they

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<v Speaker 1>can and Marjorie Taylor Green can go to converse and

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<v Speaker 1>read it. I mean, there's a lot of corruption happening here,

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<v Speaker 1>and the fact that Trump doesn't want the Epstein stuff

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<v Speaker 1>released seems in.

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<v Speaker 6>My mind kind of like a big towel.

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<v Speaker 1>Steph Rule is the host of MSNBC's The Eleventh Hour.

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<v Speaker 1>Watch Steph Rule at the upcoming MSNBC Live twenty five

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<v Speaker 1>This Is Who We Are event on October eleventh in

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<v Speaker 1>New York City. Stephanie Rall, Welcome to Path Politics.

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<v Speaker 8>I'm excited to be here. Majong. You are on my

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<v Speaker 8>mind all summer as I learned majong this summer, and

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<v Speaker 8>I'm like, just like Mollie, feel like like she wants

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<v Speaker 8>to do like a Mazong thing that their name.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, listen, I would a like to learn how to

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<v Speaker 1>play majong.

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<v Speaker 8>And yes, so okay, I'm gonna tell you. This was

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<v Speaker 8>the summer I turned old, I learned majong, I learned canasta,

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<v Speaker 8>and I took my son to college. So like, I

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<v Speaker 8>am like officially a golden girl and I'm here for it.

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<v Speaker 8>I'm just saying that, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>So besides those many skills. You have other skills, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not very good at any of those yet just

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<v Speaker 1>so good.

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<v Speaker 8>And when you meet a woman who's really good at

0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:30.480
<v Speaker 8>majong revere her because she's the smarty pants, I'm not

0:11:30.520 --> 0:11:33.480
<v Speaker 8>one of them. Well, I go back to business excited

0:11:33.520 --> 0:11:33.960
<v Speaker 8>to learn.

0:11:34.080 --> 0:11:39.679
<v Speaker 1>So today Ken Donald Trump fire the head of Bureau

0:11:39.840 --> 0:11:41.040
<v Speaker 1>and Labor Statistics.

0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:41.400
<v Speaker 6>Again.

0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.120
<v Speaker 8>No, what Donald Trump and how our Leutnik are doing

0:11:48.200 --> 0:11:51.880
<v Speaker 8>now are basically saying, don't pay attention to these numbers.

0:11:52.240 --> 0:11:55.480
<v Speaker 8>Six months from now, a year from now, as Donald

0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:59.520
<v Speaker 8>Trump said, when the genius palaces are built, And like,

0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:02.000
<v Speaker 8>I don't know what a genius palace is, but I'm

0:12:02.040 --> 0:12:05.800
<v Speaker 8>definitely putting that sign above my bedroom door. From now on,

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:09.960
<v Speaker 8>you are now entering the genius palace. No, now, they're

0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:12.920
<v Speaker 8>just moving the goalpost. Because remember Donald Trump was going

0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:16.360
<v Speaker 8>to lower grocery prices day one. Everything was going to

0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:18.840
<v Speaker 8>be booming. It was going to be an m and

0:12:18.880 --> 0:12:21.240
<v Speaker 8>a bonanza. You were just going to see business and

0:12:21.360 --> 0:12:25.280
<v Speaker 8>building investments coming, YadA, YadA, YadA. None of that's happened yet.

0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:27.760
<v Speaker 8>One of the main reasons that hasn't happened is because

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:30.839
<v Speaker 8>Donald Trump has led his tower for Donald Trump is

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 8>now involving himself in all sorts of private industries. And

0:12:34.679 --> 0:12:37.880
<v Speaker 8>what happens that freezes up business because nobody knows what's

0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:41.000
<v Speaker 8>coming next. Because as opposed to what Republicans swear that

0:12:41.040 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 8>they are free market capitalists, you now have a president

0:12:45.000 --> 0:12:48.680
<v Speaker 8>who's directly getting involved in all sorts of businesses here

0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:51.200
<v Speaker 8>and abroad. So businesses don't know what to do or

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 8>how to spend their money, and they're not investing. Okay,

0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 8>So here we are, nine months in, we're getting a

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:01.840
<v Speaker 8>jobs report that's not strong. We're revisions to previous months.

0:13:01.960 --> 0:13:05.760
<v Speaker 8>They're lower and lower and lower, and core inflation is

0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:08.600
<v Speaker 8>above three percent. So Donald Trump is going to get

0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:11.200
<v Speaker 8>what he wants. Investors are going to get what they want,

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 8>and they're going to get a rate cut. But they're

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 8>not getting a ray cut because insallation's down. We're getting

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 8>a rate cut because we have many, many signs that

0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:23.320
<v Speaker 8>the economy is slowing. So here you have in America.

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:27.920
<v Speaker 8>Employers are not hiring, employers are not raising wages, and

0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 8>things are costing a lot of money below stagflation. This

0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 8>is America.

0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:36.760
<v Speaker 1>So let's i So let's talk about that. The reason

0:13:37.200 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 1>that they didn't want to cut the rates until now

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:44.319
<v Speaker 1>was because of the worry of inflation. Is that no

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 1>longer a worry It sounds like it's not, or is

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 1>it just so such a dire explain why they're doing it?

0:13:51.400 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 8>Still a worry. But the Fed has a dual mandate

0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 8>to make sure the economy is growing and to keep

0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:01.200
<v Speaker 8>inflation in check. It's not one or the other. And

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:05.520
<v Speaker 8>this is the thing about investors and Donald Trump. Investors

0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:09.800
<v Speaker 8>want a rate cut, and they also want a stable economy, right,

0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:12.679
<v Speaker 8>And I shouldn't say that they want a growing economy.

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 8>They want a strong economy. And it's not that we

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:15.240
<v Speaker 8>have a bad economy.

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:15.560
<v Speaker 6>We don't.

0:14:15.600 --> 0:14:18.840
<v Speaker 8>We have a good economy, but things are weakening because

0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:22.000
<v Speaker 8>of Donald Trump's trade war, and you still have this

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:25.360
<v Speaker 8>pesky inflation situation. So we're going to get the rate cut,

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:28.120
<v Speaker 8>but not necessarily in the way that Donald Trump wants.

0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:33.280
<v Speaker 8>And you know, just yesterday when Bill Poulti who runs

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 8>the housing agency that tipped off Donald Trump claiming that

0:14:37.240 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 8>Lisa Cooke, the FED governor, committed fraud. He's now sort

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:43.840
<v Speaker 8>of planting the seeds that will listen. Jay Powell hasn't

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 8>fired Lisa Cook yet and that could end up being

0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:49.760
<v Speaker 8>caused for him to get fired. It's like Donald Trump

0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:53.280
<v Speaker 8>just did set at this point that he desperately wants

0:14:53.320 --> 0:14:56.920
<v Speaker 8>to fire j Powell. And it's not for malpractice. It's

0:14:56.960 --> 0:15:00.440
<v Speaker 8>about control. Since Donald Trump took off as this second term,

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:05.240
<v Speaker 8>it's how can I bend every cabinet member, every industry,

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:07.800
<v Speaker 8>every leader to the whims of what I want, every

0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 8>country to the whims of what I want? And Jay

0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:11.720
<v Speaker 8>Powell hasn't done it, and he is dead set on

0:15:11.840 --> 0:15:14.760
<v Speaker 8>firing him. It makes no sense because Jay Powell's term

0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 8>is done in nine months. He's going regardless. But it's

0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 8>like Donald Trump needs to win this one, and Scott

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:24.720
<v Speaker 8>Besant has warned the President, do not do this. It

0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:26.880
<v Speaker 8>is not a good idea to fire on him because

0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:31.160
<v Speaker 8>you know, one of the core tenants of American exceptionalism

0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 8>is our central bank being independent. Because Molly, every single

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 8>politician who lives on short termism, which they all do

0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 8>because they all need to get elected every four years,

0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:44.400
<v Speaker 8>would say, let's cut rates down to zero.

0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:49.440
<v Speaker 9>Because rates are zero, we're gonna buy houses, We're gonna borrow, borrow, barrow,

0:15:49.440 --> 0:15:53.480
<v Speaker 9>and spend, spend, spend, But politicians who just worry about

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:56.840
<v Speaker 9>the short term don't have to think about the big picture,

0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 9>long term impacts.

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 8>That's what the FED has to do, and that's where

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 8>the fed's independence is crucial. And this is the first

0:16:03.320 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 8>time in our lifetimes we are now hearing FED governors

0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 8>talked about like this one's on my team, this one's

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:13.320
<v Speaker 8>on your team. That's not how the FED operates. It

0:16:13.360 --> 0:16:16.920
<v Speaker 8>was never like the Supreme Court, right, and the Supreme

0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:18.560
<v Speaker 8>Court was never supposed to be like this.

0:16:18.760 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>Very correct, But explain to us if you lower interest rates,

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 1>what is the danger.

0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:27.280
<v Speaker 8>The things are gonna heat up too quickly right that

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 8>everyone is gonna start spending and everyone's gonna start borrowing, like,

0:16:30.000 --> 0:16:32.200
<v Speaker 8>oh my gosh, my credit card rates nothing, I'm gonna

0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:34.480
<v Speaker 8>I'm gonna spend, I'm gonna spend. I'm gonna spend when

0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:37.720
<v Speaker 8>the under when we're not when the underlying economy isn't

0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 8>strong enough, And the risk in doing that is bad

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 8>for us across the board. And it's not how the

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:47.560
<v Speaker 8>markets view things, because if you were in a business,

0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 8>you want to borrow as cheaply as you can all

0:16:49.440 --> 0:16:49.840
<v Speaker 8>the time.

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 1>The tariffs are inflationary because things are more expensive, and

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:54.240
<v Speaker 1>they were.

0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:55.280
<v Speaker 6>Like much much.

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:58.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, our tariff rate is really really high. I

0:16:58.160 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>mean it's the highest of any in the.

0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 8>De for no reason. Because let's remember, tariffs aren't a

0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:07.679
<v Speaker 8>good or a bad thing. Tariffs are a tool. And

0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:11.359
<v Speaker 8>it is totally fair and accurate to say that China

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:16.240
<v Speaker 8>has unfair trading practices, which is why the idea to

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:19.800
<v Speaker 8>put together a coalition of the United States and ally

0:17:19.920 --> 0:17:23.840
<v Speaker 8>nations to work together to figure out a way to

0:17:24.000 --> 0:17:26.760
<v Speaker 8>prevent or stop China from doing this, which is why

0:17:26.840 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 8>they put together the Trans Specific Partnership towards the end

0:17:29.359 --> 0:17:32.119
<v Speaker 8>of the Obama administration and Trump said, no way, HOSEI,

0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 8>We're not doing this. But instead of us working with

0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:37.760
<v Speaker 8>other countries, Donald Trump went into office and one of

0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:41.119
<v Speaker 8>the main reasons he likes tariffs is it's very powerful

0:17:41.160 --> 0:17:43.920
<v Speaker 8>for him. Right, this is what gives him the chance

0:17:43.960 --> 0:17:46.479
<v Speaker 8>to be a kingmaker where other countries come to him

0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:48.560
<v Speaker 8>and say please or don't do this, like trade is

0:17:48.560 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 8>so important to us. It's where CEO after CEO is

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:54.719
<v Speaker 8>going to the White House hat in hand looking for

0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:55.400
<v Speaker 8>an exemption.

0:17:56.000 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:17:56.560 --> 0:17:59.920
<v Speaker 8>I am sure you watched last night those tech leaders

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 8>show up for that dinner at the White House, none

0:18:03.040 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 8>of whom are being intellectually honest with the President, because

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.640
<v Speaker 8>I'm sure in their mind they can't be right if

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:10.960
<v Speaker 8>you're Tim Cook, and you could say, how could Tim

0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:13.160
<v Speaker 8>Cook of Apple go to the White House give Donald

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 8>Trump the gold phone tap dance form? Because he has

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 8>a business to run, and in putting on his dog

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:22.960
<v Speaker 8>and pony show for the President, he avoided rippling tariffs

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:25.800
<v Speaker 8>on his company, and so one would say Tim Cook

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:28.480
<v Speaker 8>did the right thing for his company. But the question

0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 8>is are these business leaders doing the right thing for

0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:34.840
<v Speaker 8>their companies and their country because they should be thought

0:18:34.880 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 8>of as these leaders in society and culture. They're saying,

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:41.440
<v Speaker 8>hold on, is this going to help our economy as

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:44.080
<v Speaker 8>a whole? And they're watching the President and what he's

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:46.400
<v Speaker 8>doing with the FED, and they know that it's dangerous,

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:49.360
<v Speaker 8>and they're not saying anything because they're playing a game

0:18:49.400 --> 0:18:52.440
<v Speaker 8>of survival. And I get it. They know the President

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 8>will target you if you speak out against him in

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:55.040
<v Speaker 8>any way.

0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:59.400
<v Speaker 1>It seems like we have a permission structure or we're

0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:03.399
<v Speaker 1>going down road where nobody says the truth. So you

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:05.920
<v Speaker 1>don't have business leaders saying the truth, You don't have

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:08.120
<v Speaker 1>members of the FED saying the truth because the don't

0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:08.760
<v Speaker 1>want to get fired.

0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:12.880
<v Speaker 8>You don't have you just sort of So where's things

0:19:12.920 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 8>like the Business Roundtable? Like the Business round Table's purpose, right,

0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:20.480
<v Speaker 8>is to bring business leaders together, is to work with government,

0:19:20.560 --> 0:19:23.119
<v Speaker 8>is to work with the administration and say this is

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:25.119
<v Speaker 8>what is happening in the business universe, this is what

0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:26.679
<v Speaker 8>would help us, this is what would hurt us. This

0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 8>is a real economy, this is the real labor market.

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:31.560
<v Speaker 8>And they're not saying anything. And it's not that different

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 8>from if you think about when the president first went

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:40.400
<v Speaker 8>after law firms. It was not after you know, DEI practices.

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 8>He was going after law firms that worked with people

0:19:43.320 --> 0:19:45.919
<v Speaker 8>that he perceived to be his enemies. Yeah, just like

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 8>going after university. Not about fighting anti Semitism, right, it's

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:52.960
<v Speaker 8>about doing what Donald Trump wants and Donald Trump being

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:55.200
<v Speaker 8>in charge. I get that's what he wants. But by

0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:58.880
<v Speaker 8>not just standing up, not not really fighting but standing

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:01.960
<v Speaker 8>up for what's right, everyone's hurting themselves. Right If all

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:04.880
<v Speaker 8>those law firms would have said, you can't take Paul

0:20:04.880 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 8>Weiss down, We're going to stand lock arms and stand together.

0:20:07.880 --> 0:20:10.480
<v Speaker 8>But instead, as soon as he went after Paul Weiss,

0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:13.440
<v Speaker 8>all of Paul Weiss's competitors said great and called Paul

0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:16.520
<v Speaker 8>Weiss's clients and said, hello, we'd like to be your

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:18.679
<v Speaker 8>We'd like to be your new law firm. In the

0:20:18.720 --> 0:20:22.400
<v Speaker 8>same way Molly that that early in the Trump administration,

0:20:22.840 --> 0:20:25.080
<v Speaker 8>when what was it he wanted to kick the AP

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 8>out because they were unwilling to call it the Gulf

0:20:28.119 --> 0:20:31.520
<v Speaker 8>of America. What could have happened. All the other news

0:20:31.520 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 8>outlets could such a good point, all the other news

0:20:34.240 --> 0:20:36.879
<v Speaker 8>outlets could have said, and you're going to do this

0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:39.119
<v Speaker 8>to the AP, We're not going to show up for

0:20:39.119 --> 0:20:41.679
<v Speaker 8>the next week. And this isn't my idea. A senior

0:20:41.720 --> 0:20:45.440
<v Speaker 8>administration official from Trump's first term called me that week

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 8>and said to me, can I tell you Donald Trump's

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:51.360
<v Speaker 8>favorite hour of the day. It's the hour that he's

0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:54.840
<v Speaker 8>speaking to the press. And there was one week the

0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:58.640
<v Speaker 8>press said we're not going to show up. He wouldn't

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 8>like it. And I get the fear that if your

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 8>seat is empty, then the White House is going to

0:21:04.320 --> 0:21:06.239
<v Speaker 8>fill it with someone else. The White House is going

0:21:06.280 --> 0:21:08.399
<v Speaker 8>to put another right wing influence in there. And they

0:21:08.480 --> 0:21:11.840
<v Speaker 8>might they're doing that, but Donald Trump doesn't just want

0:21:12.119 --> 0:21:15.520
<v Speaker 8>the influencer who's going to say, mister President, when did

0:21:15.520 --> 0:21:17.560
<v Speaker 8>you get great at being great? You look more handsome

0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 8>today than you did yesterday. The president wants the back

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 8>and forth. The president wants the friction because the friction

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:27.280
<v Speaker 8>is what gets the headlines, not the person saying when

0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:30.119
<v Speaker 8>did you get great at being great? But in the

0:21:30.160 --> 0:21:34.400
<v Speaker 8>world of survival and short termism that we all collectively

0:21:34.480 --> 0:21:36.800
<v Speaker 8>live in, it's hard and it's scary.

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:38.600
<v Speaker 6>No, I think that's absolutely right.

0:21:38.680 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 1>And the reality is the White House Press Association had

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:46.240
<v Speaker 1>a moment there where they could have done what they

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:48.600
<v Speaker 1>exist for and that didn't happen.

0:21:48.960 --> 0:21:51.919
<v Speaker 8>And I don't listen. I don't begrudge them. This is

0:21:52.000 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 8>really hard. It's hard for people to cover this White House.

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:57.440
<v Speaker 8>It's hard for people to work with this White House.

0:21:57.520 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:21:57.840 --> 0:22:01.720
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, And while the President does consider himself to be

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 8>pro business and pro growth, it's his way or the highway,

0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 8>and that's not something we've experienced in a modern America.

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 1>So the markets seem to be not I mean, I

0:22:14.240 --> 0:22:16.360
<v Speaker 1>don't know what they're doing today, but I would love

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:19.439
<v Speaker 1>you to explain sort of what you think the market,

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>the stock market, the bond market, if you're.

0:22:21.880 --> 0:22:25.199
<v Speaker 8>Seeing any kind of check. I think, first of all,

0:22:25.920 --> 0:22:28.639
<v Speaker 8>when people keep seeing the market booming, saying, oh, the

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 8>market likes I mean first, Trump said this week if

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:34.159
<v Speaker 8>we got out, if we got rid of the tariffs,

0:22:34.440 --> 0:22:36.679
<v Speaker 8>markets would fall apart. We'd be a third world country.

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:37.920
<v Speaker 6>That's one.

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:44.120
<v Speaker 8>Not the case. Not the case, it's twofold. It's when

0:22:44.160 --> 0:22:47.399
<v Speaker 8>we talk about the markets, we're not talking about all

0:22:47.400 --> 0:22:49.400
<v Speaker 8>the Fortune five hundred companies out there. We're not talking

0:22:49.400 --> 0:22:52.160
<v Speaker 8>about all the public traded companies. At this point, you

0:22:52.200 --> 0:22:57.879
<v Speaker 8>have seven giant mega companies that are really not affected

0:22:58.160 --> 0:23:01.280
<v Speaker 8>by tariffs, they're not affected by immigration, that are so

0:23:01.480 --> 0:23:06.399
<v Speaker 8>big and so valuable tech giants, and they're overweighted so

0:23:06.560 --> 0:23:08.959
<v Speaker 8>much in the markets that that's what people look at

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:12.720
<v Speaker 8>right Like the power and the weight of Nvidia gets

0:23:12.760 --> 0:23:15.320
<v Speaker 8>all of our attention, and we're ignoring the fact that

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:17.959
<v Speaker 8>John Deere is laying off people. Nike is telling us

0:23:17.960 --> 0:23:20.800
<v Speaker 8>what the tariffs are going to cause us. Walmart is

0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:23.600
<v Speaker 8>warning what's happening to consumers or what's happening to prices.

0:23:23.680 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 8>So you have to think about the fact that we're

0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:30.960
<v Speaker 8>in this AI boom, that investors are flooding cash into

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 8>any company that has any association or connection to AI,

0:23:34.880 --> 0:23:37.399
<v Speaker 8>which is why there are folks out there that worry

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 8>that we could be approaching an AI bubble like we

0:23:40.560 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 8>did a dot com bubble. I'm not saying that we are,

0:23:42.840 --> 0:23:45.919
<v Speaker 8>but that theory is definitely out there. So you have

0:23:46.000 --> 0:23:48.360
<v Speaker 8>that when it comes to the markets and the other

0:23:48.400 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 8>side of the markets, they don't actually believe that Donald

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 8>Trump will follow through with doing anything truly draconian.

0:23:56.640 --> 0:23:56.800
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:23:57.040 --> 0:24:00.520
<v Speaker 8>The tariffs that we actually have, though they're crippling, their painful,

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:03.680
<v Speaker 8>they're not the fifty to sixty percent tariff that Donald

0:24:03.720 --> 0:24:07.120
<v Speaker 8>Trump was threatening on that first Liberation Day, and it

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:09.640
<v Speaker 8>was I can't remember who came up with the term

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:12.119
<v Speaker 8>taco Trump always checking it out with theft with the

0:24:12.160 --> 0:24:16.880
<v Speaker 8>barons someone. Investors across the board really believe that they

0:24:16.920 --> 0:24:21.600
<v Speaker 8>believe that Donald Trump's The only evidence we've seen of

0:24:21.640 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 8>a guardrail on him in his second term has been

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:29.760
<v Speaker 8>market dropping. Has been the bond market knocking on his

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:34.200
<v Speaker 8>door and Scott Bessett running in and saying, mister President,

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 8>I need to explain to you. When people lose faith

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 8>in the US dollar and they lose faith in the

0:24:41.080 --> 0:24:44.200
<v Speaker 8>fact that this isn't the safest, best place to invest,

0:24:44.400 --> 0:24:47.760
<v Speaker 8>and that cracks. That's deficit. That's when Donald Trump backs

0:24:47.760 --> 0:24:50.280
<v Speaker 8>off and says, oh, we're not gonna go with the tariffs,

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 8>so we're gonna So there's a belief that he talks

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:56.080
<v Speaker 8>a big game and it's a huge headache, but at

0:24:56.119 --> 0:24:57.760
<v Speaker 8>the end he's not going to go through it. Which

0:24:57.800 --> 0:25:01.600
<v Speaker 8>is why if I talked to ce who run actual

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:04.399
<v Speaker 8>companies with thousands and thousands of employees who have to

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:09.200
<v Speaker 8>make things, navigating Donald Trump is significantly harder. Because business

0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:12.439
<v Speaker 8>planning is very hard under Donald Trump. But if I

0:25:12.520 --> 0:25:16.119
<v Speaker 8>talk to investors who can buy or sell an entire

0:25:16.200 --> 0:25:19.520
<v Speaker 8>portfolio within the span of ten minutes they had to

0:25:19.520 --> 0:25:22.360
<v Speaker 8>play with Donald Trump, they'd understand the volatility of the understanding,

0:25:22.480 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 8>and they can make an entire They can make a

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:26.679
<v Speaker 8>huge amount of money. But if you are running a

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:33.920
<v Speaker 8>company where you're planning, hiring, firing, building factories, expanding, investing

0:25:33.920 --> 0:25:36.840
<v Speaker 8>in other countries, it's damn near impossible to do that

0:25:37.000 --> 0:25:40.080
<v Speaker 8>under Donald Trump, especially as it relates to the tariffs,

0:25:40.119 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 8>because they're on today, they're off tomorrow, and three years

0:25:42.600 --> 0:25:45.240
<v Speaker 8>from now, when he's not president anymore, they're most likely

0:25:45.280 --> 0:25:48.399
<v Speaker 8>not on so were you really going to invest billions

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:50.880
<v Speaker 8>of dollars in a long term project that might make

0:25:50.920 --> 0:25:53.439
<v Speaker 8>no sense just a few years from now exactly.

0:25:54.119 --> 0:25:57.520
<v Speaker 1>And also the bond market, I'd love you to just

0:25:57.560 --> 0:26:02.920
<v Speaker 1>talk about, like there still is some of dollar abandonment, right,

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:06.720
<v Speaker 1>there's not your So that may not be showing up

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:09.080
<v Speaker 1>in the markets yet in the data.

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:11.679
<v Speaker 8>Could and things could turn, but but it could and

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:13.359
<v Speaker 8>it could turn on a diame in a second. And

0:26:13.359 --> 0:26:15.600
<v Speaker 8>we'll just try to make it as basic as possible.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:18.080
<v Speaker 8>Right when we talk about the bottom market, we're talking

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:21.760
<v Speaker 8>about US treasuries and investors from around the world. That's

0:26:21.800 --> 0:26:25.000
<v Speaker 8>where they park their money. Right, even when there's a

0:26:25.040 --> 0:26:28.680
<v Speaker 8>stock market disaster here, even when there's a subprime crisis here,

0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:33.919
<v Speaker 8>that US dollar remains the reserve currency in part because

0:26:33.920 --> 0:26:37.199
<v Speaker 8>we have an independent federal reserve, Right, don't believe me.

0:26:37.520 --> 0:26:40.639
<v Speaker 8>Look at countries like Turkey, look at Greece, Look at Argentina,

0:26:40.880 --> 0:26:43.840
<v Speaker 8>where you didn't have independent central banks, or where you

0:26:43.880 --> 0:26:48.480
<v Speaker 8>couldn't trust the government data, the economic data, because politicians

0:26:48.480 --> 0:26:52.400
<v Speaker 8>were getting involved and they face dire consequences. But because

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:55.480
<v Speaker 8>for over one hundred years, we've had an independent federal

0:26:55.480 --> 0:26:59.640
<v Speaker 8>reserve people say this is this, you know, the cleanest

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:02.720
<v Speaker 8>dirty shirt, you know, the safest place to put your money.

0:27:02.840 --> 0:27:06.320
<v Speaker 8>But if suddenly those things are in question, it'll make

0:27:06.359 --> 0:27:09.520
<v Speaker 8>it more difficult and less attractive to invest your dollars

0:27:09.520 --> 0:27:10.640
<v Speaker 8>here in the United States.

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:13.439
<v Speaker 1>And that will mean it will be more expensive to

0:27:13.560 --> 0:27:17.080
<v Speaker 1>service our debt one hundred percent, right.

0:27:17.359 --> 0:27:19.640
<v Speaker 8>And and that's the thing that we have to remember

0:27:19.720 --> 0:27:20.879
<v Speaker 8>about debt and deficits.

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:21.120
<v Speaker 1>Here.

0:27:21.800 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 8>We don't even pay down the debt, right. All we

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 8>do is service the interest. So compare that. Imagine if

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:33.960
<v Speaker 8>you had huge, gigantic, crippling credit card debt, and every

0:27:34.000 --> 0:27:36.560
<v Speaker 8>month when you were paying your bill, you were never

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:41.160
<v Speaker 8>even considering chipping away at the principle. All you are

0:27:41.240 --> 0:27:44.520
<v Speaker 8>ever doing is servicing the interest, which is what we

0:27:44.600 --> 0:27:47.280
<v Speaker 8>do as the United States government. And what blows my

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:51.760
<v Speaker 8>mind is that maybe six months before Donald Trump won

0:27:51.800 --> 0:27:55.800
<v Speaker 8>this election, I watched Scott Bessant, who was you know,

0:27:55.840 --> 0:27:58.159
<v Speaker 8>sort of in the in the like. Maybe he was

0:27:58.200 --> 0:28:00.919
<v Speaker 8>an unofficial, maybe an official advice to the Trump campaign,

0:28:00.920 --> 0:28:02.760
<v Speaker 8>I don't remember, but he was closely tied to the

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:05.919
<v Speaker 8>Trump campaign. I watched him speak at a conference and

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:10.679
<v Speaker 8>he was visibly angry and shaken at Joe Biden and

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:13.760
<v Speaker 8>the amount of government spending that went on during the

0:28:13.800 --> 0:28:17.919
<v Speaker 8>Biden administration. And he basically said, I want to be

0:28:18.040 --> 0:28:21.480
<v Speaker 8>part of this next administration. And he wasn't being boastful,

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 8>but you know, because he wanted to save America, felt

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:27.640
<v Speaker 8>like he felt like the fiscal clip was coming, spending

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:30.240
<v Speaker 8>was out of control, and doom was on the horizon.

0:28:30.320 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 8>Well I barely hear him ever speaking about this. Why

0:28:33.960 --> 0:28:37.080
<v Speaker 8>because debt and deficits are ballooning under Donald Trump.

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:39.080
<v Speaker 6>What is the big beautiful.

0:28:38.640 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 8>Bill if not super costly to this country. So this

0:28:44.280 --> 0:28:46.760
<v Speaker 8>idea that like Doge, was going to come in and

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:49.600
<v Speaker 8>cut billions and billions of dollars of government spending to

0:28:49.600 --> 0:28:52.360
<v Speaker 8>get us set right, Well, that didn't happen. And then

0:28:52.400 --> 0:28:53.960
<v Speaker 8>we were going to pass a budget it was going

0:28:54.040 --> 0:28:56.840
<v Speaker 8>to be far more fiscally responsible than anything Joe Biden

0:28:56.840 --> 0:29:00.720
<v Speaker 8>never did. Well, that didn't happen. So now we have

0:29:01.440 --> 0:29:04.640
<v Speaker 8>huge debt and deficit and we're potentially putting ourselves in

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:08.080
<v Speaker 8>a position we're servicing that debt is only going to

0:29:08.080 --> 0:29:11.280
<v Speaker 8>get more expensive. No bueno. Across the board, we.

0:29:11.360 --> 0:29:14.120
<v Speaker 1>Touched on Lisa Cook for a minute and how she

0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 1>might be the way that Trump world could try to

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:20.800
<v Speaker 1>fire J Powell.

0:29:20.920 --> 0:29:22.920
<v Speaker 6>J Powell, but I want.

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 1>You to just she's pushing back. This will go to litigation.

0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:30.720
<v Speaker 1>What's your sort of vibe on this, Listen, none of

0:29:30.800 --> 0:29:32.320
<v Speaker 1>us know any.

0:29:32.080 --> 0:29:34.800
<v Speaker 8>Of the details yet of what Lisa Cook may or

0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:36.640
<v Speaker 8>may not have done. Right, they're saying that she committed

0:29:36.680 --> 0:29:39.160
<v Speaker 8>mortgage broad and saying that she had more than one

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:41.440
<v Speaker 8>property that she said was her primary right.

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 1>There are members of Trump world who have also, there are.

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:47.520
<v Speaker 8>But we shouldn't. There's a caveat there because Pro Pabloca

0:29:47.560 --> 0:29:49.800
<v Speaker 8>just reported last night that there's three members of the

0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:52.720
<v Speaker 8>Trump administration who did the same thing. It's not the

0:29:52.760 --> 0:29:56.000
<v Speaker 8>same thing in their case because just think about this

0:29:56.040 --> 0:29:58.480
<v Speaker 8>for a moment. It's tricky. If you are, let's say,

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:02.840
<v Speaker 8>a new cabinet member, you might actually have a primary

0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:06.239
<v Speaker 8>home in DC because that's where you're working, and in

0:30:06.280 --> 0:30:08.680
<v Speaker 8>your home district because that's where you're from. So it

0:30:08.760 --> 0:30:12.440
<v Speaker 8>is somewhat complicated. So these three examples that Republica has

0:30:12.480 --> 0:30:14.440
<v Speaker 8>given is different. It's complicated.

0:30:14.480 --> 0:30:14.720
<v Speaker 4>Now.

0:30:15.080 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 8>They claim that Ken Paxton, the Deputy Attorney General Attorney

0:30:19.280 --> 0:30:22.720
<v Speaker 8>General Tax General sexes. They believe he did the same

0:30:22.760 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 8>thing as Lisa Cook. If Lisa Cook even did it,

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:29.680
<v Speaker 8>we do run. But this again is about power and control.

0:30:29.720 --> 0:30:32.160
<v Speaker 8>Donald Trump would like to remove Lisa Cook and put

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 8>a friendly fed governor in there. And if j. Powell

0:30:36.120 --> 0:30:39.600
<v Speaker 8>does not go through with firing her, then they will

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:42.480
<v Speaker 8>say we can fire J. Powell for cause for not

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:45.960
<v Speaker 8>doing his job. Where to me, this makes absolutely no sense.

0:30:46.040 --> 0:30:48.480
<v Speaker 8>Ja Powell is out of this job. Nine months from now,

0:30:48.840 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 8>Donald Trump will be done with him. It will royal

0:30:52.280 --> 0:30:55.920
<v Speaker 8>and rattle markets to do this. So what's the point.

0:30:56.120 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 8>There isn't one. This is to me about control.

0:30:59.200 --> 0:31:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Staff Roul. Fun to have you on my podcast.

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:05.040
<v Speaker 8>Goodbye friend, Thank bye Sison.

0:31:07.280 --> 0:31:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Dan Weiner serves as director of the Brennan Center's Election

0:31:11.120 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 1>and Government program.

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:16.320
<v Speaker 6>Welcome to Fast Politics, Dan, thanks so much for having me.

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:18.880
<v Speaker 1>There's so much apping in Congress, but I want you

0:31:18.960 --> 0:31:22.320
<v Speaker 1>to talk to us about this idea that is a

0:31:22.360 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 1>passion project of mine.

0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:26.360
<v Speaker 6>So there is a ton going on in Congress. You're right,

0:31:26.440 --> 0:31:30.680
<v Speaker 6>but there is this sort of growing and actually, genuinely

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:36.400
<v Speaker 6>I think bipartisan momentum to restrict members of Congress from

0:31:36.720 --> 0:31:40.080
<v Speaker 6>trading stocks. I want to pause for one second.

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:43.320
<v Speaker 1>And interrupt you as I will, in a very annoying way.

0:31:43.480 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 1>It is so shocking that in a moment, which is

0:31:46.360 --> 0:31:49.360
<v Speaker 1>probably if we do end up having history, which we

0:31:49.440 --> 0:31:51.840
<v Speaker 1>may not, who knows, but like is one of the

0:31:51.840 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 1>moments in my lifetime that the American government has been

0:31:55.240 --> 0:31:59.080
<v Speaker 1>corrupt in a way that is flagrant and terrifying and

0:31:59.320 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 1>yet continue.

0:32:01.120 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 6>Well, here's the thing. Is that fascinating backdrop. It's a

0:32:04.800 --> 0:32:08.320
<v Speaker 6>fascinating backdrop. And what I think we have to understand

0:32:08.400 --> 0:32:11.640
<v Speaker 6>here is that not everything comes down. I'm going to

0:32:11.680 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 6>say it to Donald Trump, right, it's a tendency that

0:32:14.960 --> 0:32:16.800
<v Speaker 6>we all have to be like Trump Trump Trump. And

0:32:16.880 --> 0:32:19.680
<v Speaker 6>it's true. A lot of the most flagrant corruption we

0:32:19.680 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 6>can talk about that if you want, is coming from

0:32:21.200 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 6>the executive branch. There is also this little body called Congress.

0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:27.760
<v Speaker 6>You may have heard of them. They're not always doing much,

0:32:28.440 --> 0:32:31.800
<v Speaker 6>but more often or often they are supposed to be

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:33.120
<v Speaker 6>the first branch of government.

0:32:33.320 --> 0:32:33.520
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:32:33.600 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 6>They're the people the founders thought would be running the show.

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:39.280
<v Speaker 6>Most of the time. They have their own corruption issues.

0:32:39.320 --> 0:32:42.200
<v Speaker 6>And one of the things we've seen actually is that

0:32:42.280 --> 0:32:46.120
<v Speaker 6>if Congress is going to be that first branch of government,

0:32:46.240 --> 0:32:49.200
<v Speaker 6>is actually going to be the body that also polices

0:32:49.240 --> 0:32:51.240
<v Speaker 6>the other branches. It's got to get its own house

0:32:51.280 --> 0:32:54.239
<v Speaker 6>in order. And the issue that you know is on

0:32:54.280 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 6>the table today, right is stock trading, which, on the

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:00.920
<v Speaker 6>one hand, is kind of not the that's front and

0:33:00.960 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 6>center in everyone's mind, but it's outrageous, right, outrageous. They

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:08.479
<v Speaker 6>have access to non public information all the time. They

0:33:08.480 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 6>are supposedly, you know, running our economy, but they also

0:33:12.800 --> 0:33:15.920
<v Speaker 6>trade stocks. Many many members trade stocks. There's a lot

0:33:16.000 --> 0:33:17.720
<v Speaker 6>going on there, and we can talk about it, including

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:20.760
<v Speaker 6>the fact, frankly they're not paid enough. So there's actually

0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:23.400
<v Speaker 6>a dimension of this that I'm sort of sympathetic to them.

0:33:23.680 --> 0:33:26.280
<v Speaker 6>But if you want the American people to have trust

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:29.080
<v Speaker 6>in their government, you need to start with some basic

0:33:29.120 --> 0:33:32.160
<v Speaker 6>idea of public services, of public's trust, and stock trading

0:33:32.240 --> 0:33:33.640
<v Speaker 6>kind of flies in the face of that.

0:33:34.040 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I would also add that you don't get to Donald

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Trump without many steps along the way that weaken your

0:33:44.440 --> 0:33:45.760
<v Speaker 1>resolve against corruption.

0:33:46.360 --> 0:33:52.240
<v Speaker 6>So true, Look, we have a situation where Donald Trump's predecessor,

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:55.440
<v Speaker 6>it is not at the same scale, also tolerated some

0:33:55.440 --> 0:33:58.800
<v Speaker 6>pretty outrageous behavior on the part of his own kid, right,

0:33:59.160 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 6>and particularly actually what we was vice president, So you

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:04.360
<v Speaker 6>do have this process.

0:34:03.920 --> 0:34:05.240
<v Speaker 1>Where influence trading.

0:34:05.360 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 6>Influence trading, you had the Clinton years, I hate to

0:34:08.200 --> 0:34:10.160
<v Speaker 6>say it right where there was some So there's a

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:11.719
<v Speaker 6>process by which.

0:34:11.560 --> 0:34:14.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to just interrupt you from yet again, I

0:34:14.440 --> 0:34:19.200
<v Speaker 1>really believe that there is a straight line from There

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:21.680
<v Speaker 1>was a moment after Nixon where it looked like we

0:34:21.680 --> 0:34:23.759
<v Speaker 1>were writing the ship and then go on.

0:34:24.200 --> 0:34:26.800
<v Speaker 6>Well, this is maybe a boring way to put it,

0:34:26.840 --> 0:34:29.200
<v Speaker 6>by I'm gonna try. So. One of the things is interesting,

0:34:29.239 --> 0:34:31.200
<v Speaker 6>So we had this moment after Nixon where we passed

0:34:31.200 --> 0:34:34.000
<v Speaker 6>all these rules. This is why if you're a federal employee,

0:34:34.040 --> 0:34:36.000
<v Speaker 6>your friend can't take you out for a cup of coffee.

0:34:36.080 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 6>It drives everyone nuts. But one of the things that

0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:41.680
<v Speaker 6>we kind of missed then is that actually at the

0:34:41.800 --> 0:34:44.760
<v Speaker 6>very top, it's all still sort of an honor system.

0:34:44.960 --> 0:34:47.920
<v Speaker 6>And that's from a combination of a lot of gaps

0:34:47.920 --> 0:34:49.960
<v Speaker 6>in the rules. But then also we like don't enforce

0:34:50.080 --> 0:34:52.160
<v Speaker 6>the rules for people at the very top. So it's

0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 6>actually kind of crazy that for decades the people at

0:34:55.800 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 6>the very top kind of just pretended that there were

0:34:58.480 --> 0:35:02.640
<v Speaker 6>all these rules. Jimmy Carter his peanut farm, Ronald Reagan

0:35:02.760 --> 0:35:05.640
<v Speaker 6>like asked DOJ for permission to keep getting his pension

0:35:05.719 --> 0:35:09.919
<v Speaker 6>from California. But sooner or later, human nature maybe being

0:35:09.960 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 6>what it is, that was going to start to break down.

0:35:12.400 --> 0:35:16.200
<v Speaker 6>Donald Trump was not the only president to have had scandals,

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:18.279
<v Speaker 6>but he was something of a catalyst for this. Really

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:21.120
<v Speaker 6>in his first term kept all his businesses. But now

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:25.040
<v Speaker 6>we're seeing this massive escalation with the crypto businesses, the

0:35:25.160 --> 0:35:27.960
<v Speaker 6>luxury jet from Qatar, all of that. But yeah, I mean,

0:35:28.000 --> 0:35:30.919
<v Speaker 6>we don't really have rules for folks at the very top.

0:35:30.960 --> 0:35:34.240
<v Speaker 6>We just have tradition, and that's a problem, right.

0:35:34.120 --> 0:35:37.279
<v Speaker 1>So influence trading. I think the sort of genesis of

0:35:37.320 --> 0:35:41.319
<v Speaker 1>this is a donor sleeps in the Lincoln bedroom. Well,

0:35:41.360 --> 0:35:44.680
<v Speaker 1>why are we not using the White House to do?

0:35:44.840 --> 0:35:46.600
<v Speaker 1>You know what I mean? Like, I feel like it's

0:35:46.640 --> 0:35:50.439
<v Speaker 1>a slippery slope that gets you to owning crypto companies

0:35:51.000 --> 0:35:54.919
<v Speaker 1>obviously not on the same order of scale. And we are,

0:35:54.960 --> 0:36:00.000
<v Speaker 1>I think in a real crisis moment for American democrats

0:36:00.320 --> 0:36:03.680
<v Speaker 1>and also just for corruption with large in the government.

0:36:03.840 --> 0:36:06.280
<v Speaker 1>So I want you to talk about this stop trading

0:36:06.320 --> 0:36:07.799
<v Speaker 1>a little more, and that I want you to talk

0:36:07.800 --> 0:36:09.960
<v Speaker 1>about sort of what this looks like and how you

0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:10.600
<v Speaker 1>would do this.

0:36:11.200 --> 0:36:13.799
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's a great question. There are a lot of

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:15.719
<v Speaker 6>proposals that have been put out, There are a lot

0:36:15.719 --> 0:36:18.040
<v Speaker 6>of folks working on it. I would say that the

0:36:18.200 --> 0:36:22.880
<v Speaker 6>biggest thing is that you have to actually restrict the

0:36:22.920 --> 0:36:26.760
<v Speaker 6>ability of seeing members of Congress to trade securities. Right now,

0:36:26.880 --> 0:36:29.319
<v Speaker 6>what we have is this kind of they're supposed to

0:36:29.320 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 6>disclose it, but they do happily later sometimes yeah, thirty

0:36:35.280 --> 0:36:37.520
<v Speaker 6>days later, and if they don't, they get a two

0:36:37.600 --> 0:36:40.360
<v Speaker 6>hundred dollars penalty, which you know, I know that's a

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 6>very serious consequence. So it's really a two piece. You

0:36:43.520 --> 0:36:47.719
<v Speaker 6>have to have a meaningful restriction and then it has

0:36:47.800 --> 0:36:50.080
<v Speaker 6>to be enforced, and there have to be penalties, and

0:36:50.080 --> 0:36:52.200
<v Speaker 6>there has to be someone who's going to enforce it.

0:36:52.200 --> 0:36:56.360
<v Speaker 1>It reminds me of the Congressional Ethics Committee. Will you

0:36:56.680 --> 0:36:59.359
<v Speaker 1>talk to us about that particularly?

0:37:00.760 --> 0:37:03.440
<v Speaker 7>Little Well, so there's both the House and Senate have

0:37:03.560 --> 0:37:06.600
<v Speaker 7>ethics committee, and then the House has a sort of

0:37:06.640 --> 0:37:09.520
<v Speaker 7>a body especially I think it's called the Office of

0:37:09.560 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 7>Congressional Conduct Now it used to be the Office of

0:37:12.239 --> 0:37:13.320
<v Speaker 7>Congressional Ethics.

0:37:13.520 --> 0:37:16.600
<v Speaker 6>You know, it's supposed to conduct investigations. It can't actually

0:37:16.800 --> 0:37:20.160
<v Speaker 6>force people to cooperate it with it. Really, it also

0:37:20.320 --> 0:37:24.920
<v Speaker 6>doesn't even really exist in any permanent way. It's just

0:37:24.960 --> 0:37:28.400
<v Speaker 6>a little body that's created by the rules of the House.

0:37:28.840 --> 0:37:31.399
<v Speaker 6>Means it can be abolished at any time, and it's

0:37:31.440 --> 0:37:34.200
<v Speaker 6>sort of a DC ritual that they flirt with just

0:37:34.239 --> 0:37:36.480
<v Speaker 6>getting rid of it at the beginning of every Congress,

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:39.319
<v Speaker 6>and then they don't. Senate doesn't even have that. So

0:37:39.360 --> 0:37:43.880
<v Speaker 6>there's very very weak enforcement of the rules that do exist.

0:37:44.000 --> 0:37:47.719
<v Speaker 1>And isn't it true one of the committees had never

0:37:47.880 --> 0:37:53.080
<v Speaker 1>found anyone to be there's some like incredibly disturbing fact

0:37:53.120 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 1>about these committees.

0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:59.360
<v Speaker 6>It is incredibly rare that they do anything to people.

0:37:59.560 --> 0:38:03.359
<v Speaker 6>It is not a real body that people are scared of,

0:38:03.640 --> 0:38:07.200
<v Speaker 6>is the sense that everyone has gotten. And then actually

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:10.480
<v Speaker 6>earlier there were there were sometimes allegations that also would

0:38:10.520 --> 0:38:15.400
<v Speaker 6>just sort of politicized investigations of relatively trivial things. So

0:38:15.480 --> 0:38:19.560
<v Speaker 6>the long history here of not being very effectual.

0:38:19.320 --> 0:38:21.800
<v Speaker 1>So sort of like a McCarthy kind of thing.

0:38:22.080 --> 0:38:25.920
<v Speaker 6>But not scary that way. So you know, like, yeah,

0:38:25.960 --> 0:38:30.760
<v Speaker 6>but similar idea, you need real robust, even handed enforcement.

0:38:30.840 --> 0:38:33.640
<v Speaker 6>That's actually a theme. You know, it's a lawyer theme,

0:38:33.680 --> 0:38:37.040
<v Speaker 6>but it's it's this idea that the rules on the

0:38:37.560 --> 0:38:41.560
<v Speaker 6>on paper just paper unless you have someone who's going

0:38:41.600 --> 0:38:44.600
<v Speaker 6>to make them real. And of course right now we're

0:38:44.640 --> 0:38:47.040
<v Speaker 6>thinking a lot about also that it can't just be

0:38:47.440 --> 0:38:51.680
<v Speaker 6>the McCarthy, you know, approach of attacking one side and

0:38:51.920 --> 0:38:54.960
<v Speaker 6>being weaponized. So it's it's it's that there's a it's

0:38:55.000 --> 0:38:56.680
<v Speaker 6>a complicated sort of calculus.

0:38:56.960 --> 0:38:59.399
<v Speaker 1>So there clearly is it's like one of the very

0:38:59.400 --> 0:39:02.600
<v Speaker 1>few things pulls it like eighty percent. So on the

0:39:02.680 --> 0:39:06.080
<v Speaker 1>left and the right, people don't want their government making

0:39:06.120 --> 0:39:08.960
<v Speaker 1>money off of them, except if their last name is Trump.

0:39:09.160 --> 0:39:13.000
<v Speaker 1>So what would that look like? And what are the bills?

0:39:13.120 --> 0:39:14.520
<v Speaker 1>How would you pass it?

0:39:14.800 --> 0:39:17.879
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean there are actually a number of proposals

0:39:17.920 --> 0:39:22.040
<v Speaker 6>out there. There was just a bipartisan bill introduced this week.

0:39:22.239 --> 0:39:25.160
<v Speaker 6>There have been others as well. I think they all

0:39:25.280 --> 0:39:28.120
<v Speaker 6>kind of have a couple different elements. They all have

0:39:28.280 --> 0:39:31.719
<v Speaker 6>some sort of fairly strict prohibition. So it's either they're

0:39:31.960 --> 0:39:35.440
<v Speaker 6>banned from trading stocks while they're in office, and sometimes

0:39:35.440 --> 0:39:38.960
<v Speaker 6>even banned from holding stocks. Sometimes it says we use

0:39:39.000 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 6>what's called a blind trust, which is that you can

0:39:41.760 --> 0:39:44.439
<v Speaker 6>have someone else trade stocks for you, provided you don't

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:47.800
<v Speaker 6>know what they're trading, right, and it's in a satting account.

0:39:47.920 --> 0:39:49.960
<v Speaker 6>So they all have this. And then the second component

0:39:50.000 --> 0:39:52.480
<v Speaker 6>is they all have some sort of penalty, right, and

0:39:52.520 --> 0:39:55.600
<v Speaker 6>it usually is a stiffer penalty than two hundred bucks

0:39:55.680 --> 0:39:58.880
<v Speaker 6>per violation. It might be that you have to you know,

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:03.720
<v Speaker 6>discord is the legal term the asset plus ten percent,

0:40:03.800 --> 0:40:06.640
<v Speaker 6>so you have a penalty. And that is the other

0:40:06.719 --> 0:40:11.080
<v Speaker 6>really critical component. And then some proposals also beef up

0:40:11.160 --> 0:40:14.200
<v Speaker 6>the Office of Congressional Conduct right so that it can

0:40:14.239 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 6>actually issue subpoenas, it can actually act as an enforcer.

0:40:17.840 --> 0:40:20.560
<v Speaker 6>And there are different combinations there, but this is the

0:40:20.640 --> 0:40:23.120
<v Speaker 6>gist of all of these things is to get at

0:40:23.200 --> 0:40:27.120
<v Speaker 6>that and to have a real enforceable constraint on members.

0:40:27.640 --> 0:40:30.600
<v Speaker 1>How would this pass? Wasn't there a cutout in the

0:40:30.640 --> 0:40:33.960
<v Speaker 1>BBB for this? And then Donald Trump didn't want it?

0:40:34.040 --> 0:40:36.440
<v Speaker 1>And then it got Yeah, so talk us through that, because.

0:40:36.239 --> 0:40:40.160
<v Speaker 6>That was that is the great question. Because you look

0:40:40.200 --> 0:40:42.680
<v Speaker 6>at yourself, You're like, it's got eighty percent approval rating,

0:40:42.680 --> 0:40:45.680
<v Speaker 6>You've got all these Democrats and Republicans who say they

0:40:45.719 --> 0:40:48.600
<v Speaker 6>want to do it, and then it hasn't gotten done.

0:40:48.960 --> 0:40:51.759
<v Speaker 6>Here's the reality, right, is that I think and this

0:40:51.920 --> 0:40:55.719
<v Speaker 6>is true for anti corruption rules generally. Is there is

0:40:56.120 --> 0:41:00.440
<v Speaker 6>a dearth of political will sometimes because even the people

0:41:00.480 --> 0:41:03.600
<v Speaker 6>know this stuff is popular, they don't like it. Actually.

0:41:03.920 --> 0:41:06.560
<v Speaker 6>So what I actually think needs to happen, right is

0:41:06.600 --> 0:41:09.200
<v Speaker 6>there needs to be kind of overwhelming pressure. This is

0:41:09.320 --> 0:41:12.319
<v Speaker 6>just that you have to save them from themselves to

0:41:12.360 --> 0:41:15.800
<v Speaker 6>some extent, and that is going to I mean, that's

0:41:15.880 --> 0:41:18.480
<v Speaker 6>really something on both sides of the aisle. Right. The

0:41:18.560 --> 0:41:22.840
<v Speaker 6>Democrats have this huge challenge now, which is that they

0:41:23.480 --> 0:41:26.640
<v Speaker 6>know that corruption is a weakness. And the Brennan Center's

0:41:26.680 --> 0:41:29.799
<v Speaker 6>non partisan, but this I'm speaking just from the outside.

0:41:30.000 --> 0:41:32.319
<v Speaker 6>They know Donald Trump is very weak. People don't like

0:41:32.480 --> 0:41:36.160
<v Speaker 6>the corruption, but the catches. People don't really trust the Democrats,

0:41:36.200 --> 0:41:39.040
<v Speaker 6>and in fact, their corruption ratings are as bad as

0:41:39.080 --> 0:41:43.120
<v Speaker 6>his or worse in some polls. So they both sides

0:41:43.120 --> 0:41:45.240
<v Speaker 6>need to figure out how to actually get the public

0:41:45.360 --> 0:41:49.839
<v Speaker 6>to trust them beyond their core partisans. And the way

0:41:49.920 --> 0:41:53.400
<v Speaker 6>I think that this happens partly, it could be the

0:41:53.440 --> 0:41:56.480
<v Speaker 6>Democrats could be Republicans could be a bipartisan coalition.

0:41:56.360 --> 0:41:59.400
<v Speaker 1>R is anti corruption legislation.

0:41:58.960 --> 0:42:01.760
<v Speaker 6>And people realize they can't keep talking about this stuff

0:42:01.760 --> 0:42:04.640
<v Speaker 6>and not doing anything. They actually have to act and

0:42:04.960 --> 0:42:08.040
<v Speaker 6>that at a certain point the pressure becomes overwhelming. But

0:42:08.400 --> 0:42:10.239
<v Speaker 6>you know, the Democrats, there was a story in the

0:42:10.280 --> 0:42:12.319
<v Speaker 6>Post the Democrats are going to make this a big

0:42:12.360 --> 0:42:15.680
<v Speaker 6>theme of their midterm campaign. But there is a kind

0:42:15.680 --> 0:42:18.799
<v Speaker 6>of where's the beef moment? You actually have to be

0:42:18.960 --> 0:42:20.280
<v Speaker 6>ready to do these things.

0:42:20.360 --> 0:42:24.759
<v Speaker 1>Then, yeah, in the BBB they almost did pass it.

0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:27.640
<v Speaker 1>It was just the Trump wanted to cut out. And

0:42:27.680 --> 0:42:31.440
<v Speaker 1>then also they decided they just didn't need to write.

0:42:31.440 --> 0:42:33.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean like they were just like, if we're just

0:42:33.160 --> 0:42:36.280
<v Speaker 1>going to do unpopular legislation, why should we stop making money?

0:42:36.560 --> 0:42:39.319
<v Speaker 6>Right? I mean, and different people could debate whether they

0:42:39.360 --> 0:42:41.840
<v Speaker 6>really were almost going to do it, whether this was

0:42:42.480 --> 0:42:45.520
<v Speaker 6>a bit of a bit of a show. There are

0:42:45.560 --> 0:42:48.279
<v Speaker 6>certainly people in the Republican Caucus in the House and

0:42:48.600 --> 0:42:50.279
<v Speaker 6>the Senator who really want to do it, but there's

0:42:50.320 --> 0:42:54.480
<v Speaker 6>also some pretty open, transparent opposition. I think it was

0:42:54.520 --> 0:42:56.839
<v Speaker 6>one senator I might have been Rick Scott who said, well,

0:42:56.880 --> 0:43:00.440
<v Speaker 6>I like making money and so beautiful, and you probably

0:43:00.440 --> 0:43:02.879
<v Speaker 6>have people in the Democratics I'd sayd that too, right,

0:43:03.120 --> 0:43:06.920
<v Speaker 6>more quietly, more quietly. So this is it's a real

0:43:07.280 --> 0:43:10.680
<v Speaker 6>challenge not just with this but frankly with all sort

0:43:10.719 --> 0:43:12.480
<v Speaker 6>of anti corruption legislation.

0:43:12.880 --> 0:43:15.600
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that I would love you to

0:43:15.640 --> 0:43:18.120
<v Speaker 1>talk about for a minute is when we talk about

0:43:18.120 --> 0:43:20.880
<v Speaker 1>anti coruption and legislation, is that there were a number

0:43:20.880 --> 0:43:24.920
<v Speaker 1>of things that did not pass last Congress because of

0:43:25.040 --> 0:43:29.400
<v Speaker 1>Kristen Cinema and Joe Manchin, two people who have gone

0:43:29.440 --> 0:43:32.840
<v Speaker 1>on to do what exactly.

0:43:33.120 --> 0:43:36.000
<v Speaker 6>You know, I haven't kept up with their careers as

0:43:36.080 --> 0:43:36.760
<v Speaker 6>much as I should.

0:43:37.120 --> 0:43:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Okay, well, it's okay, I have. So she's working on AI,

0:43:43.040 --> 0:43:49.040
<v Speaker 1>she's working on mushrooms, she is, he is, you know,

0:43:49.160 --> 0:43:52.480
<v Speaker 1>gone back to I Just my point here is that

0:43:52.560 --> 0:43:56.919
<v Speaker 1>they both sort of their lobby adjacent or maybe lobbyists,

0:43:56.960 --> 0:44:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and they were the reason that ROE is not codified,

0:44:00.080 --> 0:44:03.000
<v Speaker 1>that voting rights is not modified, that any number of things.

0:44:03.160 --> 0:44:07.040
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if you could talk about anti lobbying, anti

0:44:07.080 --> 0:44:08.839
<v Speaker 1>corruption and that kind of thing.

0:44:09.120 --> 0:44:12.360
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean, look, what I would say about both

0:44:12.400 --> 0:44:16.560
<v Speaker 6>of them is that people who wanted to preserve the

0:44:16.600 --> 0:44:20.319
<v Speaker 6>way Washington was doing things. And I'm not going to

0:44:20.320 --> 0:44:24.160
<v Speaker 6>get into why their careers and their lives speak for themselves,

0:44:24.239 --> 0:44:27.960
<v Speaker 6>but it was a real problem. It also, I think,

0:44:28.120 --> 0:44:32.560
<v Speaker 6>and you know, I'm a huge believer in voting rights,

0:44:32.960 --> 0:44:35.760
<v Speaker 6>but and in the Brennan Center is where I work.

0:44:35.920 --> 0:44:40.359
<v Speaker 6>But I think that critical anti corruption piece, for very

0:44:40.440 --> 0:44:44.720
<v Speaker 6>understandable reasons, got a little lost actually in the political debate,

0:44:44.920 --> 0:44:47.000
<v Speaker 6>so there was a sense of which a little bit

0:44:47.080 --> 0:44:49.680
<v Speaker 6>was left on the table. Anti corruption is very popular

0:44:49.719 --> 0:44:53.680
<v Speaker 6>in West Virginia, and Cinemon Mansion were differently situated. I mean,

0:44:53.760 --> 0:44:57.000
<v Speaker 6>Mansion was representing one of the most republican states in

0:44:57.040 --> 0:45:00.000
<v Speaker 6>the country, but that is actually very popular in West Virginia,

0:45:00.040 --> 0:45:04.239
<v Speaker 6>and the debate, while it was incredibly important for us

0:45:04.280 --> 0:45:06.640
<v Speaker 6>to be talking about voting rights, there is a sense

0:45:06.680 --> 0:45:10.359
<v Speaker 6>of which that anti corruption piece got lost a little bit,

0:45:10.560 --> 0:45:14.240
<v Speaker 6>and that made it easier, frankly, for the whole effort

0:45:14.280 --> 0:45:16.480
<v Speaker 6>to be just painted as something that was not going

0:45:16.520 --> 0:45:18.640
<v Speaker 6>to be of interest to Red state voters. I don't

0:45:18.680 --> 0:45:21.280
<v Speaker 6>agree with that. I think the voting rights is important

0:45:21.480 --> 0:45:25.360
<v Speaker 6>for everyone, but I think they were supposed to be combined,

0:45:25.560 --> 0:45:27.120
<v Speaker 6>and I think, you know, one of the lessons, you

0:45:27.200 --> 0:45:30.240
<v Speaker 6>really got to keep both of them in focus, because

0:45:30.320 --> 0:45:34.200
<v Speaker 6>anti corruption has tremendous appeal across the country.

0:45:33.920 --> 0:45:38.400
<v Speaker 1>Right exactly exactly when you think about sort of putting

0:45:38.440 --> 0:45:43.160
<v Speaker 1>these anti corruption legislation in place. Do you think democrats

0:45:43.160 --> 0:45:46.160
<v Speaker 1>should run? Like, what is your vision of this? Democrats

0:45:46.280 --> 0:45:49.279
<v Speaker 1>run on it? Or sort of what does it look like?

0:45:49.640 --> 0:45:54.479
<v Speaker 6>It is such a great question. I think anyone who

0:45:54.680 --> 0:45:59.480
<v Speaker 6>wants to actually get beyond this sort of toxic fifty

0:45:59.520 --> 0:46:04.640
<v Speaker 6>percent plus one dude or one person needs to Yes,

0:46:04.880 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 6>run on those issues, but then actually make a commitment

0:46:08.160 --> 0:46:11.000
<v Speaker 6>to doing them and then do it like. Actually, I

0:46:11.040 --> 0:46:14.279
<v Speaker 6>think the most dangerous time in some ways isn't why

0:46:14.280 --> 0:46:17.440
<v Speaker 6>you're running. It's oh, you won power, you promise to

0:46:17.480 --> 0:46:19.520
<v Speaker 6>do this stuff. Are you going to do it? And

0:46:19.560 --> 0:46:22.000
<v Speaker 6>I think for the thing that I worry the most about,

0:46:22.040 --> 0:46:23.920
<v Speaker 6>So yes, I think it is a very very very

0:46:23.960 --> 0:46:27.359
<v Speaker 6>potent political message. But I think it can also be

0:46:27.600 --> 0:46:30.359
<v Speaker 6>one that is not without risk, because you really are

0:46:30.400 --> 0:46:33.960
<v Speaker 6>creating an expectation you'll do something. If you don't, the

0:46:34.040 --> 0:46:36.400
<v Speaker 6>public is going to remember. I look at the system

0:46:36.440 --> 0:46:38.319
<v Speaker 6>as a whole, and I look at how are we

0:46:38.400 --> 0:46:41.440
<v Speaker 6>going to actually put our democracy on some sort of

0:46:41.480 --> 0:46:44.840
<v Speaker 6>stable footing. I know that sounds crazy right now. No

0:46:45.880 --> 0:46:48.200
<v Speaker 6>people getting elected and then not doing the thing they

0:46:48.200 --> 0:46:51.000
<v Speaker 6>promised to do on this is what actually keeps me

0:46:51.080 --> 0:46:51.480
<v Speaker 6>up at night.

0:46:51.880 --> 0:46:55.520
<v Speaker 1>No, for sure, and I also think that there's such

0:46:55.800 --> 0:46:59.880
<v Speaker 1>hostility towards the federal government for any number of reasons.

0:47:00.000 --> 0:47:02.480
<v Speaker 1>It's like, you don't get to the kind of stuff

0:47:02.520 --> 0:47:06.280
<v Speaker 1>that's in Project twenty twenty five without a lot of anger.

0:47:06.120 --> 0:47:07.200
<v Speaker 6>At the federal government.

0:47:07.600 --> 0:47:10.200
<v Speaker 1>So true, you know, as we're watching them, you know,

0:47:10.400 --> 0:47:12.760
<v Speaker 1>huge swaths of the federal government have been fired.

0:47:13.040 --> 0:47:13.640
<v Speaker 6>I wonder if you.

0:47:13.640 --> 0:47:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Could talk about you know, a lot of those protections

0:47:15.840 --> 0:47:18.799
<v Speaker 1>are not there anymore, A lot of those people are

0:47:18.840 --> 0:47:20.600
<v Speaker 1>not you know, there are certain parts of.

0:47:20.600 --> 0:47:21.920
<v Speaker 6>The government that are gone.

0:47:22.040 --> 0:47:22.320
<v Speaker 4>Now.

0:47:22.880 --> 0:47:26.879
<v Speaker 6>Yeah. Part of the problem again is that these things

0:47:26.960 --> 0:47:30.960
<v Speaker 6>are all a mix of rules and written down laws,

0:47:31.000 --> 0:47:34.440
<v Speaker 6>but then traditions and you just don't do certain things.

0:47:35.239 --> 0:47:39.120
<v Speaker 6>Big theme is we have given the president's enormous amounts

0:47:39.160 --> 0:47:41.840
<v Speaker 6>of power, and now he's being embedded by a Supreme

0:47:41.880 --> 0:47:44.680
<v Speaker 6>Court that has an agenda to have a sort of

0:47:44.760 --> 0:47:48.040
<v Speaker 6>monarchical president. I don't look into their souls. I don't

0:47:48.040 --> 0:47:50.560
<v Speaker 6>know why this is important to them, but it is

0:47:50.600 --> 0:47:54.360
<v Speaker 6>a long term ideological project of the US Supreme Court.

0:47:54.680 --> 0:47:58.560
<v Speaker 6>The only way and it is a huge challenge. But

0:47:59.200 --> 0:48:02.000
<v Speaker 6>and here's where I really think is the hitch. We

0:48:02.120 --> 0:48:05.200
<v Speaker 6>got to make it so that people actually believe government

0:48:05.280 --> 0:48:07.480
<v Speaker 6>is a good thing. And you know, part of what

0:48:07.680 --> 0:48:12.239
<v Speaker 6>drives people like me to distraction about Doge is it's

0:48:12.280 --> 0:48:15.240
<v Speaker 6>not like there couldn't be a review of the federal

0:48:15.239 --> 0:48:17.040
<v Speaker 6>government in an effort to make it work better. But

0:48:17.040 --> 0:48:19.359
<v Speaker 6>you got to start from like government is important. So

0:48:19.400 --> 0:48:21.560
<v Speaker 6>I think that the way to do this right for

0:48:21.600 --> 0:48:25.480
<v Speaker 6>anyone is you've got to come to the people, acknowledging

0:48:25.880 --> 0:48:29.800
<v Speaker 6>legitimate cynicism, and then have a plan to make it better.

0:48:29.840 --> 0:48:32.680
<v Speaker 6>And this gets us back to stock trading. The reason

0:48:32.760 --> 0:48:35.680
<v Speaker 6>you start there is because you acknowledge that this isn't

0:48:35.880 --> 0:48:39.320
<v Speaker 6>just about your enemy, this is about you too, and

0:48:39.360 --> 0:48:42.640
<v Speaker 6>you know, figuratively, and that's how they've got to do it,

0:48:42.680 --> 0:48:44.479
<v Speaker 6>which is actually why I think the stock trading piece

0:48:44.560 --> 0:48:47.600
<v Speaker 6>is a good place to start. Yeah, thank you, Dan,

0:48:48.200 --> 0:48:50.439
<v Speaker 6>thank you for having me. This was so much fun.

0:48:52.400 --> 0:48:54.279
<v Speaker 4>A moment.

0:48:55.800 --> 0:49:00.520
<v Speaker 2>Jesse Cannon, so Molly, wait for it. There's more election

0:49:00.680 --> 0:49:04.000
<v Speaker 2>fuckery down in Texas. The Republican Party of Texas is

0:49:04.040 --> 0:49:08.240
<v Speaker 2>suing the state saying open primaries violate its free speech.

0:49:08.800 --> 0:49:10.600
<v Speaker 2>Texas logic is what I heard it called.

0:49:10.840 --> 0:49:12.879
<v Speaker 1>All I can say is that they will cook up

0:49:12.960 --> 0:49:16.600
<v Speaker 1>any reason to not do those things that's good for democracy.

0:49:16.920 --> 0:49:19.120
<v Speaker 2>Well, I think this is even more that they are

0:49:19.160 --> 0:49:21.480
<v Speaker 2>trying to get more radical candidates and what they don't

0:49:21.480 --> 0:49:24.600
<v Speaker 2>want is Democrats and independence voting in the Republican primary

0:49:24.640 --> 0:49:28.399
<v Speaker 2>because they want the more fervent, fever swamp people voting more.

0:49:28.719 --> 0:49:33.839
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, open primaries mean that you have more normal candidates,

0:49:33.920 --> 0:49:36.719
<v Speaker 1>just like rank choice voting in primaries is also good.

0:49:36.880 --> 0:49:41.720
<v Speaker 1>But you know, the Republican Party is kind of nutty,

0:49:41.840 --> 0:49:45.680
<v Speaker 1>and they use Texas as a place to do that nuttiness.

0:49:46.080 --> 0:49:49.880
<v Speaker 4>It really is the lab for really really bad policy.

0:49:50.160 --> 0:49:54.600
<v Speaker 6>Everything bad comes through Texas. That's it for.

0:49:54.600 --> 0:50:00.440
<v Speaker 1>This episode of Fast Politics. Tune in every Monday, Wednesday,

0:50:00.719 --> 0:50:05.200
<v Speaker 1>Thursday and Saturday to hear the best minds and politics

0:50:05.239 --> 0:50:06.120
<v Speaker 1>make sense.

0:50:05.880 --> 0:50:07.680
<v Speaker 6>Of all this chaos.

0:50:08.040 --> 0:50:10.840
<v Speaker 1>If you enjoy this podcast, please send it to a

0:50:10.920 --> 0:50:14.920
<v Speaker 1>friend and keep the conversation going. Thanks for listening.