WEBVTT - Bitcoin Takes Another Tumble

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. So we're gonna dig into

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<v Speaker 1>crypto in the next thirty minutes here on Bloomberg Business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>First up, the CEO of Colonial Pipeline, Joseph Blown. He

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<v Speaker 1>was testifying for the Senate Homeland Security Committee today. He

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<v Speaker 1>apologize big time for the ransomware attack that shuttered the

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<v Speaker 1>nation's largest fuel pipeline. We know it paralyzed the East

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<v Speaker 1>coast flow of gasoline, diesel, and jet field check it out.

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<v Speaker 1>It was the hardest decision I've made in my thirty

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<v Speaker 1>nine years in the energy industry, and I know how

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<v Speaker 1>critical our pipeline is to the country, and I put

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<v Speaker 1>the interests of the country first. I kept the information

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<v Speaker 1>closely held because we were concerned about operational safety and security,

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<v Speaker 1>and we wanted to stay focused on getting the pipeline

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<v Speaker 1>back up and running. I believe with all my heart

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<v Speaker 1>it was the right choice to make a major maya

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<v Speaker 1>colpa there. Of course, that's the Colonial Pipeline CEO Joseph

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<v Speaker 1>Blount testifying earlier today before the Senate Homeland Security Security Committee.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get right into it with card cam Rotra cybersecurity

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<v Speaker 1>porter here at Bloomberg News joining us on the line

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<v Speaker 1>from San Francisco, Cardike, what do we learn from the

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of Colonial Pipeline today about the ransomware attack that

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<v Speaker 1>we didn't know? So? One of the biggest details about

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<v Speaker 1>this hack, something that he disclosed today but also disclosed

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<v Speaker 1>to us UH late last week, is that the actual

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<v Speaker 1>attack was the result of a stolen password for a

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<v Speaker 1>an account into a VPN that had been hacked and

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<v Speaker 1>and put on the dark web months at So it

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<v Speaker 1>was it was not a complex campaign. There wasn't a

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a solar wind type of vulnerability here that

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<v Speaker 1>resulted in this UH devastating attack. It was a very simple, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>loss of a password that resulted in this exploitation and

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<v Speaker 1>ultimately the four point four million dollar ransom payment that

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<v Speaker 1>we all learned yesterday, much of which was caused that. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so I have to just just jump in here, Carter K.

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<v Speaker 1>Because I know you're a cybersecurity reporter. I assume that

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<v Speaker 1>you know how to keep your accounts secure at least

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<v Speaker 1>as as we can as consumers. Two factor authentication, Can

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about that for a second. Yeah, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>there was no multi factor authentication on that particular VPN,

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<v Speaker 1>that virtual private network, So that is that is sort

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<v Speaker 1>of ground zero for security right now. Enterprise networks, corporate networks,

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<v Speaker 1>your personal accounts, you should turn on multi factor authentication.

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<v Speaker 1>It means that a single password is not enough for

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<v Speaker 1>you to log into your device. You need a one

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<v Speaker 1>time password or a second form of verification to ensure

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<v Speaker 1>that you are who you are when you're logging in.

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<v Speaker 1>It'll keep everyone a lot safer, all right. But now

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<v Speaker 1>we've got blockchain explorers. We're talking about this a lot, right,

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<v Speaker 1>A crypto search engine essentially to quite literally follow the

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<v Speaker 1>money of these things. Does this mean we now have

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<v Speaker 1>the tools to kind of investigate any future cyber attacks

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<v Speaker 1>here that require ransomware sort of. Uh, it sort of

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<v Speaker 1>means that, so, yes, the technology has existed to track

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<v Speaker 1>some currencies in uh blockchain. Bitcoin for sure can be tracked,

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<v Speaker 1>especially by law enforcement and in some private company that

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<v Speaker 1>specialized in this UM. So if you know exactly how

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<v Speaker 1>much was paid, be it a criminal transaction or you

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<v Speaker 1>sending money to your family member, you can go and

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<v Speaker 1>follow the money, literally follow the money. Uh. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>what law enforcement did after UM Colonial Pipeline paid dark Side,

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<v Speaker 1>a ransomware group four point four million dollars or seventy

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<v Speaker 1>five bit coin UM about a month ago. They followed

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<v Speaker 1>the money and we're able to see exactly where it

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<v Speaker 1>was parked in a digital crypto wallet and take some

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<v Speaker 1>of it back UM. And that's a big deal, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's something that law enforcement has done in the past.

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<v Speaker 1>But what unique here is that is that the actual

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<v Speaker 1>victim Colonial Pipeline disclosed the fact that they had been hacked,

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<v Speaker 1>and that does not happen very often. Victims of ransomware

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<v Speaker 1>don't want the public to know they've been compromised because

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<v Speaker 1>of a variety of security issues. Board issues, DOT price issues,

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<v Speaker 1>and so they keep it quiet. In this case, Colonial

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<v Speaker 1>came out and said it. They got the help of

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<v Speaker 1>the FBI, they got some of their money back. So

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<v Speaker 1>does this undermine the crypt a world as we've come

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<v Speaker 1>to know it, at least the kind of illegitimate or

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<v Speaker 1>you know where there might be UM cyber attacks and

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<v Speaker 1>ransomware incidents. I don't know undermine might be strong, But

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's definitely an issue about the economic backbone

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<v Speaker 1>of cybercrime, and that is cryptocurrency. For sure, there are regulation,

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<v Speaker 1>not just in the US, but but in Europe. Know

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<v Speaker 1>your Consumer regulations that would require or do require UM

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<v Speaker 1>people on exchanges to share some details about who you are.

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<v Speaker 1>They're just really administered. If one knows who is investing

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<v Speaker 1>or buying cryptocurrency at a certain period of time, that

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<v Speaker 1>would make it easier for law enforcement to follow criminals

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<v Speaker 1>who are using it to commit cybercrime. I think the

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<v Speaker 1>fundamental issue here isn't the use of cryptocurrency to promote cybercrime,

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<v Speaker 1>and the fact that cybercriminals have been able to target

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<v Speaker 1>poorly protected networks for years and have made off like

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<v Speaker 1>gangbusters for quite some time and are getting more brazen

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<v Speaker 1>in their campaign. Well, Cardig, just in the last thirty seconds,

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<v Speaker 1>what are you hearing in your reporting, seeing your reporting

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<v Speaker 1>hearing from sources about the way that cybersecurity companies and

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<v Speaker 1>CSOs are are reacting to this in the last month

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<v Speaker 1>and how they're preparing for the next one. Well, I

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<v Speaker 1>think the reality is that what we're seeing now is

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<v Speaker 1>what these security companies have been dealing with four years.

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<v Speaker 1>What's changed is that the Colonial Pipeline had allowed the

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<v Speaker 1>general public to understand what the state when gas supplies

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<v Speaker 1>for the for the Northeast were cut off for a

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<v Speaker 1>period of time, finally resonated with the public and now

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<v Speaker 1>we know what's happening. Hopefully utilities, the government companies are

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<v Speaker 1>going to prioritize it's going for and if you've got crypto,

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<v Speaker 1>a bit of put it in a cold wallet. That's

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<v Speaker 1>all we're gonna say. Cardig Marotra, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>Cybersecurity reporter at Bloomberg News on the phone in San Francisco,

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<v Speaker 1>mikel Cologne, Commodity Strategies at Bloomberg Intelligence. He's been on

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<v Speaker 1>the road. He's back home here in our interactive broker studio.

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<v Speaker 1>Hello there, Hello, Carol, you guys are the dream team. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not gonna argue with that crypto though kind of

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<v Speaker 1>not the dream currencies. It feels like today they're down

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of them. You were at this big event

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<v Speaker 1>in Miami set the stage of what was going on, well,

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<v Speaker 1>I like to describe it was like a woodstock because

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<v Speaker 1>this kind of conference will never be repeated. It was

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<v Speaker 1>the first big conference on the planet where there was

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<v Speaker 1>no no masks. Everybody was there and the subject was

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<v Speaker 1>quite unique Bitcoin. So it was that sense. There was

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<v Speaker 1>packed wall the wall the main ex main presentation room.

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<v Speaker 1>They were pushing people away standing room only. And then

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<v Speaker 1>when you walk into the ex you know the exhibit

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<v Speaker 1>room where you have all the desks and everything you

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<v Speaker 1>can right away you walk and you feel that heat

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<v Speaker 1>of people and it's hard to get through, and then

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<v Speaker 1>the lines of the man's room or forever. But there

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<v Speaker 1>was that sentiment all about there's so many people doing

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<v Speaker 1>good and so I get the thought, Okay, is this

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<v Speaker 1>the peak or is this mainstream? In my sense, it's

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<v Speaker 1>more mainstream now we see it down today. But there

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<v Speaker 1>were so many cool things that really came of it

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<v Speaker 1>that we can touch on yeah, Well, what was it

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<v Speaker 1>specifically about the conference that made you think it was

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<v Speaker 1>more mainstream than peak? The people I met and with.

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<v Speaker 1>So I walked by one of my friends and you're

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<v Speaker 1>standing next to a guy who from a major accounting firm.

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<v Speaker 1>And then I met, you know, someone I knew who

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<v Speaker 1>used to be in eats, and another one and another

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<v Speaker 1>group I met were was a trust bank, so trust bank,

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<v Speaker 1>a t F and account and then a lot of miners.

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<v Speaker 1>I met with a lot of miners, and some of

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<v Speaker 1>them are some of the most respectable people I've ever met.

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<v Speaker 1>One of them was a minor our Palli and then

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<v Speaker 1>this he got into bitcoin only because he needed his

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<v Speaker 1>his his position was providing power and energy and he

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<v Speaker 1>needed the manager at flow and when it access power,

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<v Speaker 1>he said, okay, I'll just use bitcoin to offset that.

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<v Speaker 1>Mining Bitcoin offs as that excess power. So what what

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<v Speaker 1>where does it go? In your view? We've had the

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<v Speaker 1>conversations about it being a collectible, right, We've talked about that.

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<v Speaker 1>So where does it go? Is it that we have

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<v Speaker 1>multiple cryptocurrencies, is it again about blockchain? Where do you

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<v Speaker 1>see it all going? To me, that's the key thing

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<v Speaker 1>in the conference. Bitcoin is a collectible and then there's

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<v Speaker 1>ten thousand wantabes um there is oncoin market cap docount

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<v Speaker 1>actually ten thousand three three at the moment um U last.

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<v Speaker 1>So there you go, massive excess of supplyees of entry.

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<v Speaker 1>Rules of economics does not favorite higher prices. But it's

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<v Speaker 1>the number two that I liked, bringing up a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of THEORYM. You know, that's that lesson from Frederick Douglas.

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<v Speaker 1>You say, just agitate, So I tried to agitate, and

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<v Speaker 1>behind the scenes everybody mentioned the THEORYUM, so it was

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<v Speaker 1>all positive about it. But on the stage it wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>a good idea that mentioned because it was all about bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's the cool thing about bitcoin. It's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's banking, the un bank, the key quota of the conferences.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, two thirds of the people on the planet

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<v Speaker 1>don't have bank accounts. Of them have cell phones or

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<v Speaker 1>smartphones and they can get bitcoin cryptos on their phones.

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<v Speaker 1>And what's happening lately with this you know what you

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<v Speaker 1>saw with this UM finding these funds from the colonial Like,

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<v Speaker 1>that's nothing new, and I can dig into that. Like

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<v Speaker 1>the MC of the conference he got into initially got

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<v Speaker 1>into bitcoin from buying drugs, on Silk Road, which was

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<v Speaker 1>busted by the FEDS because they just tracked the transactions.

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<v Speaker 1>But this is what got all the attention when it

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<v Speaker 1>came to the cryptocurrency. Mike you you in your report

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<v Speaker 1>outlining this event, summarizing this event, you asked the question

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<v Speaker 1>what problem does bitcoin solve? What was the answer that

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<v Speaker 1>you found in potentially how it changed at the conference?

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<v Speaker 1>That was a question I have answered distinctly um with

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<v Speaker 1>answer at first with I go straight to the British Museum.

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<v Speaker 1>I think of the hack SNeW Hord's one of my

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<v Speaker 1>favorite things that visit there. It's the largest horde of

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<v Speaker 1>precious metals I ever found on the planet. It was

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<v Speaker 1>from the Roman times. It fixtured yourself and you're a

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<v Speaker 1>Roman leader. It's collapsing. The locals don't like you need

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<v Speaker 1>to get out and hide your wealth. They never came

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<v Speaker 1>back to find it, and you figure, I figured he

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<v Speaker 1>probably didn't moon that light at night, and he probably

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<v Speaker 1>he had to do it himself. Because if you have

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<v Speaker 1>a servant to it, a servant only to find it

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<v Speaker 1>come back and tell someone else or kill you know

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<v Speaker 1>you kept it. But the point is it's set wealth

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to transmit, transport and transact in wealth

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<v Speaker 1>a certain amount of and put it stored someplace. Seven

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<v Speaker 1>be able to do it on a cell phone or

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<v Speaker 1>on a phone or in your head. It's never been

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<v Speaker 1>possible in time. So that's the problem solves. It's banking

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<v Speaker 1>the end bank. So here's the latest to leave you with.

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<v Speaker 1>L Salvador has already said they might adopted as a currency.

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<v Speaker 1>Know what's happening in al Savador in the last thirty

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<v Speaker 1>wars currency collapses. Yeah, if you have something to confce against,

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<v Speaker 1>like bitcoin is like a goal, not like a dollar,

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<v Speaker 1>then it can help solve that problem ten seconds. So

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<v Speaker 1>at some point in our life, will we all have

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<v Speaker 1>some bitcoin in our portfolio or what have your access

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<v Speaker 1>to it? I think so? I think so because if

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<v Speaker 1>we don't, it's kind of it's kind of like a

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<v Speaker 1>digital version of gold and the world's going digital and

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin is the first in that space. Oh my god,

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<v Speaker 1>can you just stay for like another sixty minutes tomorrow

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<v Speaker 1>to be continued. Mike mclowan commodity strategies of Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>in our Interactor Broker studio. So, as Tim and I

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned at the top, it feels like our digital world

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<v Speaker 1>continues to get poked at me, get reminded of the

0:11:40.960 --> 0:11:43.079
<v Speaker 1>potential holes in that world. Doesn't it feel that way?

0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:45.360
<v Speaker 1>And it's certainly felt that way at about six am

0:11:45.440 --> 0:11:48.240
<v Speaker 1>this morning. Well let's talk about that. Yeah, so, I

0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:51.400
<v Speaker 1>as as anyone who is online earlier today trying to

0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:54.199
<v Speaker 1>go to any common website might have found that they

0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:56.560
<v Speaker 1>were unable to reach that website in New York tites

0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:58.599
<v Speaker 1>like New York Times, our own Bloomberg dot com was

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:02.760
<v Speaker 1>affected by this. In fact, British government websites affected by

0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:05.440
<v Speaker 1>it as well. Yeah, so let's get into this because vastly,

0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:07.520
<v Speaker 1>which helps push data quickly around the Internet, so that

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.080
<v Speaker 1>it had fixed the issue that caused that global outage.

0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:12.200
<v Speaker 1>And I just think we're learning more about we just

0:12:12.240 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 1>take so many things for granted. So let's bring in

0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:19.000
<v Speaker 1>why we maybe shouldn't. Uh, Bloomberg Intelligence senior technology Analysmandie saying, uh,

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:20.720
<v Speaker 1>let's see what he has to say about He's back

0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:23.600
<v Speaker 1>in our interactive broker's studio, So nice to have you

0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:27.200
<v Speaker 1>in studio. So I just take it for granted. I

0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:28.840
<v Speaker 1>go online if there's not a problem. I think there's

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:31.520
<v Speaker 1>something wrong with my phone or my service. This was different.

0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:34.800
<v Speaker 1>What happened, well, in this case, it was an outage.

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:38.360
<v Speaker 1>An outage could be caused by a number of reasons.

0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 1>It could be you know, them making a code change

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 1>which they moved to production and that cause an outage,

0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:47.679
<v Speaker 1>or it could be a breach, or you know, any

0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of a cyber attack. I mean, we've seen so

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 1>many different types of attacks that at this point it's

0:12:54.120 --> 0:12:57.080
<v Speaker 1>hard to say that, you know, one company has a

0:12:57.160 --> 0:13:00.000
<v Speaker 1>software that can protect you against all kinds of attacks,

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.520
<v Speaker 1>and that is what we're seeing. Well, who is fastly?

0:13:02.720 --> 0:13:06.959
<v Speaker 1>What is fastly? Do so fastly is like uh an

0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:11.040
<v Speaker 1>interphase that lives between the website you're trying to access,

0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Let's say a Pinterest or an Amazon dot com. So

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:18.000
<v Speaker 1>this is a cashing service that sits between the user

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>when they requested you are and they basically authenticate the

0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 1>user to say this is not a box, this is

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:28.000
<v Speaker 1>a real user. This is somebody who's trying to access Amazon,

0:13:28.440 --> 0:13:31.439
<v Speaker 1>and it's a legitimate user based on the IP address.

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:34.840
<v Speaker 1>Now what they do is they have these data centers

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:37.640
<v Speaker 1>across the bold, so no matter where you are accessing

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:41.320
<v Speaker 1>website from, they will make sure you will have a

0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:44.400
<v Speaker 1>good experience. Even if you are somewhere in Africa or

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:48.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, Brazil or any other country, you will have

0:13:48.240 --> 0:13:50.960
<v Speaker 1>the same kind of experience because they have data centers

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:54.960
<v Speaker 1>across the globe, which is why these popular platforms use

0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 1>this cd AND service because of the cashing mechanism, the

0:13:57.960 --> 0:14:01.839
<v Speaker 1>security it keeps it secured well. I think one thing

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>that was particularly striking about this morning's outage was the

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 1>fact that it was so widespread. Why did it affect

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:12.440
<v Speaker 1>websites that range that don't normally go down, but range

0:14:12.480 --> 0:14:15.599
<v Speaker 1>from government websites to to media property. So the websites

0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:18.480
<v Speaker 1>didn't go down, it's just that when you were trying

0:14:18.520 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 1>to access the website, those websites weren't accessible because Fastly,

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:27.240
<v Speaker 1>like I said, sits between the time when you try

0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 1>to access a U r L to the time it

0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:33.040
<v Speaker 1>hits the server off that end website beat an Amazon

0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:36.160
<v Speaker 1>or a pinterest, So really the cashing field which is

0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:39.360
<v Speaker 1>why you couldn't access that website. But they were those

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:43.080
<v Speaker 1>those websites became inaccessible because they used Fastly as a

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:45.800
<v Speaker 1>client or they are clients of fastlies, right, they are

0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:47.800
<v Speaker 1>clients so fastly, so an easy way for us to

0:14:47.800 --> 0:14:50.360
<v Speaker 1>figure out who pays what cd N was to figure

0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:53.640
<v Speaker 1>out who was down this morning. Yes, that's one way

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>because these were the common thread was these all these

0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 1>websites for using Fastly as a cd N, which is

0:15:00.520 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 1>why these websites became inaccessible. I do wonder about redundancy here,

0:15:06.320 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>and it's a question that I asked you earlier on picktape,

0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:11.480
<v Speaker 1>because you do wonder if something like this can take

0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:15.160
<v Speaker 1>down such a I shouldn't say takedown, make in unavailable

0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 1>such a large number of websites, why isn't there redundancy

0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>in place? So the redundancy can be Amazon or Pinterest

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 1>can say we want to use Fastly cd in as

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:28.000
<v Speaker 1>well as cloud Flare or any other CD AND provider

0:15:28.080 --> 0:15:32.239
<v Speaker 1>because Fastly it is just one of the cd and providers.

0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 1>Having redundancy within Fastly isn't going to solve the problem

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Like Fastly obviously made a code change that affected their

0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:44.000
<v Speaker 1>entire city and service. Having I think something that was

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:47.480
<v Speaker 1>redundant wouldn't have helped in this case. Yes, as a

0:15:47.560 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 1>large company you can use multiple cd and providers, but

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>then at the end of the day you have to

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:56.440
<v Speaker 1>judge like them based on the up time. So in

0:15:56.480 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>this particular case, if you are using one CD and

0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:02.640
<v Speaker 1>which is fastly, you can't use an alternative seed and

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 1>you can flip the switch, but it's gonna take time.

0:16:05.680 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 1>You can't have to going at the same time, basically

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:10.120
<v Speaker 1>what you're saying, So it's like a backup battery. You

0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:12.840
<v Speaker 1>still have to make the switch will take time, so

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 1>you will have a thirty second or one minute outage

0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>at least, you know, or if not half an hour,

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:19.680
<v Speaker 1>which was the case here. It doesn't feel like that

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 1>this kind of incident an outage happens often, is that fair?

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>So cloud Flare, which is a competitor or fastly, also

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 1>had a similar outage last year and that was just

0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 1>a one off. So after that, no one cared about

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:35.920
<v Speaker 1>hit a button wrong. Somebody was drinking coffee and like

0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>spilled it on a button. What these companies make changes

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 1>through their code literally every week. Now, you don't know,

0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:48.040
<v Speaker 1>because we're in an environment where you know, things are

0:16:48.040 --> 0:16:52.400
<v Speaker 1>so interconnected that developers don't always realize what they're changing.

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>And you know, in this case, I'm sure there will

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:57.600
<v Speaker 1>be a post mortem as to why that code was moved.

0:16:57.720 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 1>It just seems like a major like I mean, these

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 1>are major sites. Yeah. I mean I'm not just saying

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:06.120
<v Speaker 1>because it's Bloomberg major site though too. But I mean

0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:08.800
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about the UK government, We're talking about the like,

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 1>these are things that people just expect to be well.

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.359
<v Speaker 1>I was watching the equity market reaction as this was

0:17:14.400 --> 0:17:16.760
<v Speaker 1>playing out, and in pre market trading, Fastly was taken

0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:18.439
<v Speaker 1>a serious tumble. I mean it was down four or

0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:20.760
<v Speaker 1>five at a certain point. You look right now it's

0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 1>higher by nine percent. What gives well in this case,

0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:27.400
<v Speaker 1>I think there's an acknowledgement from the investors that, look,

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>there are only three or four companies that provide the

0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 1>CD AND service, and today didn't we they're running critical infrastructure.

0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:39.520
<v Speaker 1>So suddenly everyone knows about Fastly. Previously Fastly was in

0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>the background. It was a background service that no one

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:45.280
<v Speaker 1>really it wasn't a household name. Suddenly it is, and

0:17:45.320 --> 0:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>it's providing a very important service. It reminds me of

0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:50.959
<v Speaker 1>I remember the Bloomberg story years ago where people were like,

0:17:51.000 --> 0:17:53.680
<v Speaker 1>if you were streaming I want to say, I don't know, Sopranos,

0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>what it was you were streaming such and such last

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>night watching it? You were doing it through an Amazon server, like,

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden, we learned about Amazon Web services

0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:03.960
<v Speaker 1>in just the streaming world, and I feel like that's

0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:05.920
<v Speaker 1>what's happening with fast because you said there's only three

0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 1>or four companies that do this. Yes, yes, and look,

0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:11.840
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, an outage can happen

0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:15.080
<v Speaker 1>to any company. It happened to Netflix, it happened to Amazon.

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 1>I think in this case they fixed it quickly. I'm

0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:20.439
<v Speaker 1>sure they will have to give a reason as to

0:18:20.480 --> 0:18:22.520
<v Speaker 1>what happened, but most likely it will be a co

0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:25.120
<v Speaker 1>change and investors will move on and they say they'll

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:27.440
<v Speaker 1>be like, yeah, this is important in deep We talked

0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:31.000
<v Speaker 1>about the Colonial pipeline hacker earlier today on on this show,

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:34.520
<v Speaker 1>and I think a lot of people's brains went right

0:18:34.560 --> 0:18:37.719
<v Speaker 1>to a hack. What does that say about the environment

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:40.800
<v Speaker 1>that we're in right now. There's a lot of state

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.080
<v Speaker 1>sponsored activity going on, given you know what's going on

0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:49.400
<v Speaker 1>with China, Russia, and these hackers are very sophisticated. They've

0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 1>got deep pockets, so they are trying to find every

0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:56.600
<v Speaker 1>possible vulnerability point and we should know if there's no

0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 1>indication at this point that this was any sort of

0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:02.720
<v Speaker 1>nefarious activity. This one, this one. Yeah, we don't know.

0:19:02.920 --> 0:19:05.320
<v Speaker 1>I think the company will come out if there was

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.240
<v Speaker 1>a hack, they will come out. Otherwise, you know, you

0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 1>will see a big tumble off this for the stock.

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:13.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah right, I was just gonna say, we still don't

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:15.800
<v Speaker 1>know exactly what happened, or if again somebody's build a

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:19.280
<v Speaker 1>cup of coffee or you know, um fascinating world we're

0:19:19.320 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>living in. Like I said, it just feels like our

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:23.680
<v Speaker 1>digital world. It's like poking holes or maybe we're getting

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 1>a clearer picture of how it all works. Mandy, Thank

0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 1>you explain it all so well. Mandyep saying, we senior

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:32.880
<v Speaker 1>tech industry analysta Bloomberg Intelligence in our interactive broker studio.

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:36.240
<v Speaker 1>Wild world. Huh, wild world. All right, it is time

0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 1>for the Bloomberg Big Take. It's on our radar Biogen's

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:41.600
<v Speaker 1>news tim of the FDA granting approval of the company's

0:19:41.600 --> 0:19:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Alzheimer's drug, and it looks like, man, there's some longer

0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:49.960
<v Speaker 1>term repercussions out of this. Yeah, there certainly are joining

0:19:50.040 --> 0:19:52.680
<v Speaker 1>us now is Bob Langred, healthcare reporter for Bloomberg News.

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:55.160
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from New Jersey. So, Bob,

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:57.639
<v Speaker 1>for people who haven't been following this space as closely

0:19:57.680 --> 0:19:59.480
<v Speaker 1>as you have. Take us back a couple of years

0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 1>about the at that Biogen made on the drug that

0:20:02.359 --> 0:20:05.960
<v Speaker 1>was approved by regulators yesterday. Yeah, so all you know,

0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 1>researchers have been trying to design a drug to a

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:13.240
<v Speaker 1>target the pathology behind Alzheimer's disease UH for decades, and

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:16.680
<v Speaker 1>drug after drug after drug has failed. Uh. And Biogen's

0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:19.040
<v Speaker 1>drug just two years ago it looked like just the

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:21.200
<v Speaker 1>latest in a long line of failure as they stopped

0:20:21.200 --> 0:20:23.159
<v Speaker 1>their trials earlier they said they didn't look like they

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:26.840
<v Speaker 1>were going to work. And then eight months later they

0:20:26.840 --> 0:20:30.639
<v Speaker 1>shocked everyone. Uh, they said they reanalyzed the data and

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:32.639
<v Speaker 1>looked like one of the trials that might have worked,

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:35.159
<v Speaker 1>and we're gonna apply for approval. Change our mind, We're

0:20:35.160 --> 0:20:37.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna apply for approval, and we think we get this

0:20:37.240 --> 0:20:40.640
<v Speaker 1>drug approved. And then it's been super controversial since then,

0:20:40.720 --> 0:20:43.600
<v Speaker 1>and uh, there's a lot of debate whether this drug works.

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 1>But yesterday you have after they approved it, and then

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:49.000
<v Speaker 1>the Biogen priced at at a very high price. Uh,

0:20:49.000 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 1>and now there's gonna be a lot of controversy going forward.

0:20:51.440 --> 0:20:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Who should get this drug? And you know, whether it

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:56.200
<v Speaker 1>works at all. Well, and you've been covering this what

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 1>Biogen has been up to with Alzheimer's. You also, for

0:20:58.840 --> 0:21:03.280
<v Speaker 1>those who are listeners and watchers of Bloomberg, you, Bob,

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:05.120
<v Speaker 1>have been keeping us up to speed when it has

0:21:05.560 --> 0:21:08.000
<v Speaker 1>to do with COVID treatments and COVID vaccines. There's been

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:11.640
<v Speaker 1>many cover stories by Bob Langreth at Business Week magazine.

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:15.000
<v Speaker 1>What's interesting though about Biogen, Bob, is that it seems

0:21:15.040 --> 0:21:17.919
<v Speaker 1>to be as you, guys, and you specifically report that

0:21:18.000 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 1>the approval, the FDA approval appears to signal a fundamental

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 1>shift in the way the agency thinks about Alzheimer's disease

0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and this could have lasting ramifications, as you report for

0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>other drugs, whether it's over at Eli, Lily Roche, and elsewhere. Yeah,

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:36.440
<v Speaker 1>so uh. For for years, drug companies, including Biogen, have

0:21:36.520 --> 0:21:38.159
<v Speaker 1>been trying to prove that a drug for all the

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>timers would actually slow cognitive decline, and it's been really

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 1>really hard to do. No one's really gotten clear evidence,

0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:47.000
<v Speaker 1>and Biogen's drugs stare. Two trials didn't really prove it

0:21:47.040 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 1>either because one essentially failed to prove it. The other

0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:52.119
<v Speaker 1>was still controversial because it was stopped earlier that it

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 1>showed a very potentially very small effect and sing PD

0:21:55.320 --> 0:21:57.959
<v Speaker 1>in his decline, and no one could agree, you know,

0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:00.000
<v Speaker 1>what to make out of it. And so what happened

0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:02.320
<v Speaker 1>is the FDA has faked a lot of pressure from

0:22:02.359 --> 0:22:05.480
<v Speaker 1>patient groups, the Altimate Association to approve this drug. They're saying,

0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing out there, we need something, We're willing to

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:10.720
<v Speaker 1>take someone uncertainty, accepts some uncertainty. What they decided to

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:13.440
<v Speaker 1>do is they they essentially in a surprise, they did

0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 1>not rule on a make a verdict on whether this

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:18.760
<v Speaker 1>drug STOW causes decline or not. Basically that they said,

0:22:18.760 --> 0:22:21.000
<v Speaker 1>we're going to prove it because it removes these amyloid

0:22:21.040 --> 0:22:23.480
<v Speaker 1>plaques in the brain, change some of this changes some

0:22:23.560 --> 0:22:26.760
<v Speaker 1>of the fund fundamental pathology, and we think that that

0:22:26.960 --> 0:22:29.560
<v Speaker 1>is likely to have a reasonable expectation that will do

0:22:29.600 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 1>something good in terms of patient outcomes in the future,

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:34.159
<v Speaker 1>but we're gonna have to wait for future trials to

0:22:34.720 --> 0:22:37.000
<v Speaker 1>prove that it does. So that was a big surprise.

0:22:37.040 --> 0:22:38.720
<v Speaker 1>That's a big change. It is a big change, and

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>a reasonable expectation that it will actually have a positive

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:44.080
<v Speaker 1>result is not necessarily proof in a clinical trial that

0:22:44.119 --> 0:22:47.480
<v Speaker 1>it does. And I wonder how this changes the way

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:51.879
<v Speaker 1>that the FDA approves therapies moving forward, especially at a

0:22:51.920 --> 0:22:55.119
<v Speaker 1>time where there's so much skepticism around federal agencies and

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:59.760
<v Speaker 1>the wake of what happened with COVID. Yeah, so this, this, uh, this,

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:02.639
<v Speaker 1>this approval is going to be very controversial. Uh. You know,

0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 1>some people are already saying that that was a mistake.

0:23:07.800 --> 0:23:11.640
<v Speaker 1>Uh and uh, this could you know, I could set

0:23:11.640 --> 0:23:15.400
<v Speaker 1>a precedent for other kind of neurological disease, other neurological

0:23:15.480 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>drugs and other drugs are Alzheimers, because now they've said

0:23:17.840 --> 0:23:21.159
<v Speaker 1>for Alzheimers, you don't have to prove that the drugs

0:23:21.200 --> 0:23:23.720
<v Speaker 1>corgan's declined to get to get on the market. You

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:25.520
<v Speaker 1>just have to show some evidence that does something to

0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:28.399
<v Speaker 1>brain fatholity, even though there's a great controversy whether that

0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:32.639
<v Speaker 1>brain pathology, how well it correlates with Corton has decline. Right,

0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 1>that's it's a big deal. Right, So you know, not

0:23:35.440 --> 0:23:38.959
<v Speaker 1>a cure, we get that, right, But maybe in some ways,

0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:40.840
<v Speaker 1>like and you do wonder if the f d A

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 1>is kind of allowing a little bit of wiggle room

0:23:43.400 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 1>with some of these things because maybe there's a little

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:48.119
<v Speaker 1>bit improvement or maybe there's a lot of improvement, you know,

0:23:48.320 --> 0:23:51.520
<v Speaker 1>or at least stemming the degradation, right, Bob, you know

0:23:51.800 --> 0:23:55.560
<v Speaker 1>in some patients. Yeah, So the way of think about this,

0:23:55.680 --> 0:23:58.120
<v Speaker 1>this is not a drug. Even in the absolute best

0:23:58.160 --> 0:24:01.720
<v Speaker 1>case under the you know, the optimistic projection, it will

0:24:01.760 --> 0:24:04.879
<v Speaker 1>not stop the decline. People are still declining steadily, but

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:08.560
<v Speaker 1>maybe maybe maybe it slows a little bit. Uh. And

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:13.240
<v Speaker 1>that's what they're saying that that's what the Alzheimer's patients

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 1>that I talked to one they saying, you know, there's

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:16.680
<v Speaker 1>nothing out there. We want something of this, you know,

0:24:17.160 --> 0:24:19.159
<v Speaker 1>may slow the decline a little bit, and this is

0:24:19.200 --> 0:24:21.399
<v Speaker 1>good enough. We're willing to take someone uncertainty to improve

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:24.760
<v Speaker 1>it now. And that's what happened. It's very controversial and

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:26.800
<v Speaker 1>very interesting. But it's funny because there's I'm going to

0:24:26.840 --> 0:24:28.800
<v Speaker 1>talk about a stock gain or later um cass of

0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:31.200
<v Speaker 1>A Sciences and they've had no products in the market

0:24:31.240 --> 0:24:33.360
<v Speaker 1>for twenty years, but apparently they're working on an early

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 1>stage Alzheimer's drug and I think are getting a bit

0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 1>of a pop because of what happened, specifically with Biogen's drugs.

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:42.400
<v Speaker 1>So it is making everybody look specially when it comes

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:45.160
<v Speaker 1>to Alzheimer's, Bob, a little bit differently at the space

0:24:45.240 --> 0:24:48.600
<v Speaker 1>and in terms of treatments. Yeah, other stocks starting up

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:51.960
<v Speaker 1>Ellally went up yesterday because they have a similar Alzheimer's

0:24:52.000 --> 0:24:54.159
<v Speaker 1>drug and just going into phase three trials. As they

0:24:54.200 --> 0:24:55.920
<v Speaker 1>went up on the prospects they might be able to

0:24:55.960 --> 0:25:00.479
<v Speaker 1>get an approval sooner. So so no, no question there is, uh,

0:25:01.000 --> 0:25:04.840
<v Speaker 1>you know our potential lentifications you know across the industry, Bob,

0:25:04.880 --> 0:25:08.080
<v Speaker 1>fifty dollars for a course of this. It's just a

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:12.240
<v Speaker 1>massive amount of money. Uh, what typically happens with the

0:25:12.400 --> 0:25:14.640
<v Speaker 1>drug price? Does it go down after a few years?

0:25:14.840 --> 0:25:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Just got about thirty seconds here. Now the drive prices

0:25:18.119 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean as far as as far as as far

0:25:20.080 --> 0:25:22.479
<v Speaker 1>as we can tell, basically never go down. They promised

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:24.639
<v Speaker 1>not to raise it. But what I can say is

0:25:24.800 --> 0:25:26.960
<v Speaker 1>at least a million people in the US it could

0:25:26.960 --> 0:25:30.560
<v Speaker 1>theoretically qualifier the drug costs fifty dollars a year. Do

0:25:30.680 --> 0:25:35.280
<v Speaker 1>that math if everyone in that that theoretical group gets it. Wow,

0:25:35.520 --> 0:25:37.879
<v Speaker 1>and you talk about expensive brain scans and then to

0:25:37.960 --> 0:25:42.760
<v Speaker 1>administer the infusions, it's not an inexpensive process. Hey Bob, though, um,

0:25:42.880 --> 0:25:46.160
<v Speaker 1>thanks for just digging deeper into this to explain why.

0:25:46.320 --> 0:25:48.639
<v Speaker 1>Though it has been so significant, we've certainly seen the

0:25:48.680 --> 0:25:51.399
<v Speaker 1>stock pop yesterday, a little bit of a pullback in

0:25:51.480 --> 0:25:54.560
<v Speaker 1>today's trade when it comes to Biogen, but definitely watching it.

0:25:54.720 --> 0:25:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Bob Lane Grew healthcare reporter up Bloomberg News on the

0:25:56.760 --> 0:26:04.119
<v Speaker 1>phone in New Jersey, roam a journal. Yeah, but you

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:08.920
<v Speaker 1>let me drive? Oh no, no, no, he's home, honey, Please,

0:26:09.040 --> 0:26:16.240
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the riding drivel. I want to drive, just drive, baby,

0:26:19.000 --> 0:26:30.360
<v Speaker 1>the questions trying. This is the drive to the Globe commune. Thanks,

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:35.200
<v Speaker 1>we'll drying us the dawn on Bloomberg Radio. Alright, TikTok everyone, thirteen, no,

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 1>not thirteen. Ten and a half minutes left. I was

0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:39.240
<v Speaker 1>adding a few minutes onto the trading day. Ten and

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:41.159
<v Speaker 1>a half minutes left in today's trading day. It's kind

0:26:41.200 --> 0:26:44.040
<v Speaker 1>of a kind of day, not really going anywhere. So

0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:46.760
<v Speaker 1>let's see what Eric Jackson has to say. He's founder

0:26:47.240 --> 0:26:49.880
<v Speaker 1>and president of E m J Capital, to Toronto based

0:26:49.920 --> 0:26:52.320
<v Speaker 1>hedge fund, and he joins us on the phone in Toronto.

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 1>So good to have you back. How are you doing well?

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:57.800
<v Speaker 1>How are you Carol doing well? Tim and I are

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:00.639
<v Speaker 1>hanging in there. The world's reopening. We're trying to make

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:03.400
<v Speaker 1>sense of here we are. We've got us stocks near

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 1>record You've got if you look at the global market industries,

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:09.080
<v Speaker 1>we're hovering near records. How do you see this market

0:27:09.160 --> 0:27:13.600
<v Speaker 1>environment right now? Well, you guys are just talking about inflation,

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 1>and obviously everyone's waiting for a few you know, more

0:27:16.880 --> 0:27:19.159
<v Speaker 1>shoes to drop and to kind of better get a

0:27:19.200 --> 0:27:21.560
<v Speaker 1>sense of where things are going. But if you look

0:27:21.600 --> 0:27:25.480
<v Speaker 1>in the tech world specifically, we've had such a reduction

0:27:25.840 --> 0:27:28.919
<v Speaker 1>in a lot of the multiples across the tech universe

0:27:29.520 --> 0:27:32.399
<v Speaker 1>that you're really being um, you know, you're able to

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:35.879
<v Speaker 1>get into a lot of names in tech at you know,

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>oftentimes pre pandemic multiples, so you're getting some protection no

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:44.680
<v Speaker 1>matter kind of what happens through the through the rest

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:47.480
<v Speaker 1>of the year, with with all the inflation data that comes.

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:50.400
<v Speaker 1>So that's not that's not across the board. I think

0:27:50.920 --> 0:27:52.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the staff stocks are still expensive, but

0:27:53.640 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of things are attractive, like like um, well

0:27:59.480 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 1>in general, you know, I think the fang names are

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:04.880
<v Speaker 1>are definitely uh, they've sort of been in a one

0:28:04.960 --> 0:28:08.760
<v Speaker 1>year trade trading range UH, and there are multiples are

0:28:08.800 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 1>extremely low. I think I think they are all attractive.

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:15.560
<v Speaker 1>I think UM for me, there are a few names

0:28:15.600 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 1>that I like. In particular, there's one stock which I

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:22.080
<v Speaker 1>which I recently got into called Magnite. UH tooker as

0:28:22.240 --> 0:28:25.280
<v Speaker 1>m g n I and basically they serve up the

0:28:25.359 --> 0:28:29.600
<v Speaker 1>ads that go into connected TVs, which people are increasingly

0:28:29.680 --> 0:28:33.399
<v Speaker 1>turning to. UM. It's not just a Facebook in Google

0:28:33.480 --> 0:28:36.119
<v Speaker 1>world in terms of serving ads when you turn on

0:28:36.280 --> 0:28:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Roku or your Samsung TV or whatever. And so a

0:28:40.000 --> 0:28:42.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of people are familiar with a company called the

0:28:42.080 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 1>Trade Desk which does serves the same kind of ads

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>from the demand side, meaning they work with the agencies.

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 1>But Magnite is a sort of an amalgam of three

0:28:51.600 --> 0:28:54.200
<v Speaker 1>different companies that have been has been put put together

0:28:54.280 --> 0:28:56.240
<v Speaker 1>over the last year that works on the supply side,

0:28:56.680 --> 0:29:00.400
<v Speaker 1>and it trades that half the multiple UM. Eric you've

0:29:00.520 --> 0:29:03.640
<v Speaker 1>mentioned shoe dropping, other shoes dropping when it comes to inflation,

0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:08.880
<v Speaker 1>what would those be? Well, you know, obviously you know

0:29:08.960 --> 0:29:12.760
<v Speaker 1>we're speaking on a day when the ten years dropped. UM.

0:29:13.120 --> 0:29:14.800
<v Speaker 1>That's been you know, met, been met with a side

0:29:14.800 --> 0:29:17.680
<v Speaker 1>of relief. I think by a lot of tech investors. Um.

0:29:17.880 --> 0:29:20.719
<v Speaker 1>You know, we got ourselves all you know, wound up

0:29:20.800 --> 0:29:23.440
<v Speaker 1>over the last month or so um for you know,

0:29:23.520 --> 0:29:25.840
<v Speaker 1>with fears that you know that the tenure was just

0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 1>going to bust through. Uh, you know, two new highs

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:31.320
<v Speaker 1>and above two percent, all this kind of stuff because

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:33.640
<v Speaker 1>of some of the hot inflation numbers that we're seeing.

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:36.360
<v Speaker 1>So you know, in the in the meantime, you know,

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:38.760
<v Speaker 1>lumbers cooled off, some of the commodities are cooled off.

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, that's good for tech obviously in these growth

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 1>stocks where you know you're you're you're looking out multiple

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:48.520
<v Speaker 1>years and so forth. UM. And so we we just

0:29:48.600 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 1>need to continue to monitor, you know, where things go

0:29:51.480 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 1>from here. Is it really transitory inflation data? Um? Or

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:57.560
<v Speaker 1>is it something more permanent? Hey, listen, One thing I

0:29:57.600 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 1>want to ask you is, let's cap on McCormick and

0:29:59.800 --> 0:30:01.400
<v Speaker 1>rich Or have a story on the Bloomberg and we're

0:30:01.400 --> 0:30:02.960
<v Speaker 1>gonna talk about it with our TV team and just

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:05.920
<v Speaker 1>a moment on beyond the Bell. The economists who helped

0:30:06.000 --> 0:30:08.880
<v Speaker 1>change the way the FED assesses long run inflation expectations

0:30:08.920 --> 0:30:11.560
<v Speaker 1>says their current level means the central Bank needs to

0:30:11.600 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 1>start laying the groundwork for shrinking its massive bond buying program.

0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:16.680
<v Speaker 1>And this is specifically we're talking about Brian Sack. He

0:30:16.880 --> 0:30:20.680
<v Speaker 1>was at the FED Board of Governors almost two decades ago,

0:30:20.800 --> 0:30:23.120
<v Speaker 1>and he was head of Monetary and Financial Market Analysis.

0:30:23.440 --> 0:30:25.640
<v Speaker 1>He championed the use of a forward measure of inflation

0:30:25.720 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 1>expectations to help guide policy. He's now over at d SHAW.

0:30:29.280 --> 0:30:32.240
<v Speaker 1>He says, the so called five year, five year forward

0:30:32.320 --> 0:30:34.640
<v Speaker 1>break even inflation rate has climbed to a level where

0:30:34.680 --> 0:30:38.080
<v Speaker 1>further increases would be problematic for this central bank. So

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:41.520
<v Speaker 1>when you have someone like that who really understands this,

0:30:42.240 --> 0:30:45.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, and and you know, created a tool used

0:30:45.880 --> 0:30:49.560
<v Speaker 1>by the FED to predict inflation or at least get

0:30:49.560 --> 0:30:51.320
<v Speaker 1>an idea of where it's going. And when he says

0:30:51.520 --> 0:30:54.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe it's time that the FED changes policy, how do

0:30:55.080 --> 0:30:57.400
<v Speaker 1>you factor something like that in. Here's a smart guy

0:30:57.440 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 1>who understands it, understands what's going on. Do you say, wait,

0:31:00.400 --> 0:31:04.880
<v Speaker 1>this is a different market environment or what? Well? I mean,

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:07.320
<v Speaker 1>I think one of the interesting things, you go back

0:31:07.320 --> 0:31:09.640
<v Speaker 1>a couple of weeks ago, when people were really worried

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:14.920
<v Speaker 1>about inflation across the equity universe. I think, uh, you know,

0:31:15.680 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, you could say that, you know, they feed

0:31:17.960 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 1>had given this language that they were going to stay

0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:24.560
<v Speaker 1>low for so long, and um, I think the concern

0:31:24.760 --> 0:31:27.240
<v Speaker 1>was that, you know, are are they really out of

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:29.719
<v Speaker 1>step with other central banks around the world who are

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 1>starting to taper, And I you know, what's what's been

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:36.280
<v Speaker 1>interesting is that, um, you know that that hasn't really changed,

0:31:36.320 --> 0:31:38.000
<v Speaker 1>but there's been a couple of statements that have come

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:40.800
<v Speaker 1>out that have sort of talked about their openness to tapering.

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:43.880
<v Speaker 1>And I think just the fact that that has gone

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:47.320
<v Speaker 1>out there, along with you know, softer commodity inflation and

0:31:47.400 --> 0:31:49.360
<v Speaker 1>numbers and so forth, I think that's given people a

0:31:49.360 --> 0:31:51.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of comfort that, you know, the Fed's not out

0:31:51.920 --> 0:31:54.720
<v Speaker 1>of touch. They sort of see what's going on. They're

0:31:54.760 --> 0:31:57.000
<v Speaker 1>going to taper if they need to later this year,

0:31:57.240 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 1>and I think part of the reasons behind them the

0:32:00.480 --> 0:32:03.800
<v Speaker 1>tenure dropping has just been a comfort with that, with

0:32:03.880 --> 0:32:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the fact that they're not you know, that they don't

0:32:05.840 --> 0:32:08.120
<v Speaker 1>have their head in the stands. So, so, what happens

0:32:08.240 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 1>if we do start to see signs of inflation that

0:32:11.200 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 1>you think isn't necessarily transitory, what do you do specifically

0:32:14.280 --> 0:32:18.240
<v Speaker 1>to get defensive? Well, I mean inflation is not good

0:32:18.280 --> 0:32:21.720
<v Speaker 1>for for all any any stock really. I mean people

0:32:21.880 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 1>like to say, you know, get defensive, do this, do that,

0:32:23.960 --> 0:32:25.880
<v Speaker 1>and go into value. I mean all stocks will go

0:32:25.960 --> 0:32:28.760
<v Speaker 1>down if we're truly you know, back into this you know,

0:32:29.040 --> 0:32:32.280
<v Speaker 1>um permanent inflation era. So you know, I don't think

0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:34.760
<v Speaker 1>any of us want to see that, um you know.

0:32:34.840 --> 0:32:37.240
<v Speaker 1>And and there's obviously a big, you know, a big

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>spectrum between where we are now and something like that. Uh.

0:32:41.680 --> 0:32:45.280
<v Speaker 1>So I try to look for, um, you know, when

0:32:45.320 --> 0:32:48.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm specifically looking at in the tech universe, tech stocks

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:52.720
<v Speaker 1>are are most variable with inflation news and most prone

0:32:52.760 --> 0:32:55.800
<v Speaker 1>to as like big dramatic pullbacks. Uh And and really

0:32:55.840 --> 0:32:58.280
<v Speaker 1>that's that's why even though we're at market highs in

0:32:58.360 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 1>the one corner of the universe and in in stocks

0:33:01.160 --> 0:33:03.160
<v Speaker 1>that has really been hurt in the first half of

0:33:03.240 --> 0:33:07.200
<v Speaker 1>this year has been the growth tech area so much

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:09.520
<v Speaker 1>so I think, you know, there are still a lot

0:33:09.600 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>of interesting um you know tech tech names that are

0:33:13.280 --> 0:33:16.880
<v Speaker 1>are more valueish plays and so um you know, I'm

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:20.360
<v Speaker 1>looking looking at names like that. Uh And um you know,

0:33:20.560 --> 0:33:23.440
<v Speaker 1>cash is always a great position in those kinds of environments.

0:33:23.480 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 1>To heay one more minute left here. Um, we always

0:33:25.840 --> 0:33:28.960
<v Speaker 1>loved talking names with you. Hello Fresh, which is a

0:33:29.000 --> 0:33:32.600
<v Speaker 1>delivery service based over in Berlin. Uh you like them?

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:37.080
<v Speaker 1>How come everyone says, you know, it's time to get

0:33:37.080 --> 0:33:40.000
<v Speaker 1>out of the pandemic stocks get into the value you know,

0:33:40.120 --> 0:33:42.680
<v Speaker 1>oriented stocks, Like that's sort of like a a cliche

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:46.400
<v Speaker 1>these days. Um, you know. And if there ever was

0:33:46.440 --> 0:33:48.440
<v Speaker 1>a poster child for a pandemic stock, it was probably

0:33:48.440 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 1>Hello Fresh last year. As people stay at home and

0:33:50.560 --> 0:33:53.320
<v Speaker 1>they order these meal kids. But what's interesting is if

0:33:53.360 --> 0:33:56.160
<v Speaker 1>you is, if you go beneath the surface, Uh, this

0:33:56.400 --> 0:33:59.640
<v Speaker 1>is still a very uh you know, small, you know,

0:34:00.000 --> 0:34:03.200
<v Speaker 1>ptential market that's been penetrated in terms of US households

0:34:03.200 --> 0:34:06.920
<v Speaker 1>and global households who use these meal kits. And um,

0:34:07.600 --> 0:34:10.399
<v Speaker 1>they didn't have to do any marketing last year because

0:34:10.440 --> 0:34:13.200
<v Speaker 1>there was such high demand. Now you've probably you're probably

0:34:13.200 --> 0:34:15.680
<v Speaker 1>seeing their TV ads all over the place. Some people say, well,

0:34:15.760 --> 0:34:18.520
<v Speaker 1>it's not a sticky customer A lot turned out, that's true,

0:34:18.719 --> 0:34:21.600
<v Speaker 1>but a big chunk of those new customers that come

0:34:21.640 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 1>on board, um, you know about stick around for the

0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:27.800
<v Speaker 1>long haul. And this is a profitable business. It's just

0:34:27.920 --> 0:34:31.360
<v Speaker 1>getting started. They could move into adjacent meals and grocery

0:34:31.520 --> 0:34:35.600
<v Speaker 1>delivery areas as well. Very smart management team, Eric, very briefly,

0:34:35.640 --> 0:34:37.320
<v Speaker 1>even past pandemic, when we go out and we go

0:34:37.400 --> 0:34:40.040
<v Speaker 1>to the stores again and we go to restaurants, well,

0:34:40.320 --> 0:34:42.920
<v Speaker 1>you know they're, you know, right now, their competition is

0:34:43.120 --> 0:34:44.480
<v Speaker 1>are you going to pick up your meal at the

0:34:44.520 --> 0:34:46.719
<v Speaker 1>grocery store on the way home and cook, you know,

0:34:46.840 --> 0:34:48.759
<v Speaker 1>and heat up for yourself, or are you gonna go

0:34:48.800 --> 0:34:51.279
<v Speaker 1>out to dinner tonight or whatever. And you know a

0:34:51.320 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of people are still going to have to you know,

0:34:53.160 --> 0:34:55.680
<v Speaker 1>get something for dinner on their way home. That's who

0:34:55.920 --> 0:34:57.920
<v Speaker 1>they really are going after all, right? Could I leave

0:34:57.920 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 1>it on that note? He always good to get some

0:34:59.719 --> 0:35:02.720
<v Speaker 1>time if you really appreciate it. Eric Jackson's founding president

0:35:02.800 --> 0:35:04.759
<v Speaker 1>of the E M J Capital, joining us on the

0:35:04.840 --> 0:35:09.279
<v Speaker 1>phone from Toronto. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:12.839
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:35:13.000 --> 0:35:14.640
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0:35:14.680 --> 0:35:17.200
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0:35:17.320 --> 0:35:19.319
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