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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome to football? It

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Speaker 1: is the first Thursday of the NFL football season. It

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Speaker 1: is the Daily Juice podcast every single morning wherever you

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Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts, video on the Betting Bros. YouTube channel,

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Speaker 1: audio wherever you get your audio podcasts. And for some

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Speaker 1: of you, welcome back. You've been hibernating. Time to wake up.

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Speaker 1: The NFL is back. My name is Matt Parralt. In

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Speaker 1: case you do not know, you, guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt to get in touch.

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Speaker 1: Our discord channel is bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat. Come

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Speaker 1: on in Lions and Tigers embars Well, no Lions and

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Speaker 1: Chiefs tonight at Arrowhead, No Chris Jones, probably no Travis

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Speaker 1: kelce O baby lineman from six and a half to

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Speaker 1: four and a half totals fifty three. I've got a

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Speaker 1: play in that game. I have two player props to

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Speaker 1: give you, guys. I have one NFL future to give

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Speaker 1: you today. But before we do any of that, get comfortable.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot of stuff to talk about here

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Speaker 1: at the top before we get to the picks. But

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Speaker 1: it was two and one night, so I won you

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Speaker 1: it's valuable. Just give me some time here. Three and oh,

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Speaker 1: two and one, five and one. Last two days. Not bad,

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Speaker 2: You got all that.

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Speaker 1: That was a lot, last little bit, and then we'll

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Speaker 1: get to the Pick Picks Live show nine am specific

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Speaker 1: time noon Eastern Sunday with me here on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. We'll do player props, we'll do game breakdowns,

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Speaker 1: we'll do best plays, favorite bets, all the fun stuff

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Speaker 1: happening thirty minutes, rotating cast of characters will be with

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Speaker 1: me every week breaking it down from Betting Pros and

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. That's what's coming up. One more little tease tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: I will tell you about a fantasy football contest you

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Speaker 1: our sister site. More on that tomorrow. But I've bored

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Speaker 1: you guys enough with reads and whatnot. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: the picks and plays for tonight. Chiefs at Home without

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Speaker 1: Chris Jones, Chiefs at Home without Travis Kelce. The productivity

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Speaker 1: of the defense for the Chiefs without Chris Jones is dramatic.

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Speaker 1: It's a really, really big deal. And there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of people who are on not just a lot of people,

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Speaker 1: everyone's on the Lions. I mean, it's kind of insulting,

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Speaker 1: to be quite honest, how many people are on the Lions.

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Speaker 1: It scares the heck out of me. To be quite honest, I'm.

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Speaker 2: Not in love with the Lions.

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Speaker 1: Play four and a half, five and a half, six

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Speaker 1: and a half, even teasing it. You can tease it up.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind the same game. Teaser, tease it up

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Speaker 1: ten and a half. Take the total from fifty three

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Speaker 1: down to forty seven, bet over. Don't mind that. I

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Speaker 1: may do that later. I don't know, not official though,

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Speaker 1: I'm not doing a teaser out of the gate. I

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Speaker 1: just think this is going to be a shootout. I

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Speaker 1: think the defense for the Chiefs without Chris Jones is

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Speaker 1: going to give up points. I think the Lions will

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Speaker 1: run the ball well. I think the screen game will

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Speaker 1: be effective for them. I think Jared Goff will play

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Speaker 1: well in Week one, and I think the offense for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs will have to score. I think this is

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Speaker 1: a high scoring game. I think both teams are gonna

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Speaker 1: put points up on the board, and even though it's

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Speaker 1: out of the gate, I think this game is gonna

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Speaker 1: go over. I think fifty three is too low. I

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Speaker 1: think both teams get in the upper twenties, lower thirties

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Speaker 1: because I don't think the Chiefs defense is going to

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Speaker 1: slow down the Lions, and that means the Chiefs have

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Speaker 1: to throw the football and then means Mahomes has to

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Speaker 1: use the receivers not named Travis Kelce and they're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to find different ways to be productive in the

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Speaker 1: passing attack. And I think they're going to have to score.

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Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs are going to have to put

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Speaker 1: points up. First bet of the football season for the

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Speaker 1: NFL over fifty three Chiefs and the Lions go into

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Speaker 1: a shootout at Arrowhead. I think it's a high scoring game,

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Speaker 1: a fun game to watch. Here, as the banner gets dropped,

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Speaker 1: you want to bet the Lions don't blame you one bit.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Chiefs defense will be very good

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Speaker 1: against the Lions in this game. If they win, it

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Speaker 1: could be thirty four to thirty one somewhere in that.

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Speaker 1: But I think we're going over fifty three over fifty

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Speaker 1: three for one point one units now prop bets. Because

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Speaker 1: it's Thursday, I normally do quarter unit on prop bets, Okay,

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Speaker 1: but because we've had a good week, and because it's

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Speaker 1: the first NFL game and there's only one game we're

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Speaker 1: betting tonight, I'm gonna put a half a unit down

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Speaker 1: on each of these player props. Okay, new running back

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Speaker 1: for the Lions, David Montgomery, Now he's gonna split time

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Speaker 1: with Gibbs, and Gibbs might be used in the screen game,

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Speaker 1: but I think Montgomery is gonna get used in the

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Speaker 1: screen game a lot. In particular early at Fandel you

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Speaker 1: can get David Montgomery's receiving prop over eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half yards at minus one ten. This on the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet is one of the top rated prop

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Speaker 1: bets of the night on the prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 1: If you guys don't have the Betting pros app, go

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Speaker 1: download it now you can see the prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna use it a lot.

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Speaker 1: It gives you a breakdown as to how they think

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Speaker 1: how the algorithm thinks the game is.

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Speaker 2: Going to go. If we like over, we like over

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Speaker 2: in certain prop bets.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take David Montgomery to pop one to go

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Speaker 1: over eleven and a half yards receiving here from this

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Speaker 1: Lions team because they do think the Chiefs are gonna

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Speaker 1: have to blitz more than they want to because Chris

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Speaker 1: Jones won't be there. So I do think you see

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Speaker 1: some you might be seeing see some creative Blisz packages.

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Speaker 1: The screen game may be very effective. Montgomery to be

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Speaker 1: a part of it. David Montgomery over eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half receiving yards. We're gonna bet this at a half

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Speaker 1: a unit to win a half a unit, So it's

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Speaker 1: er point five point five to go down a little

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Speaker 1: more than a half a unit down over eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half yards David Montgomery of the Lions receiving yards

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Speaker 1: prop bet number one, prop bet number two. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go to the Lions and stay with this offense. This

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Speaker 1: is going to be an interesting season for the receivers

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Speaker 1: because Jameis Williams is out. James and Williams is out

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Speaker 1: for for the the gambling scandal. How long will he

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Speaker 1: or I guess how we be effected when he comes back?

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Speaker 1: Who picks up the slack? Marvin Jones Junior over two

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Speaker 1: and a half receptions in this game.

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Speaker 2: It's plus one forty plus one forty.

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Speaker 1: So we have a pretty good idea that Saint Brown's

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Speaker 1: going to be the number one weapon, right, He's going

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Speaker 1: to be the guy. But there's going to be other

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Speaker 1: targeted players, are there not? And you would think even

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Speaker 1: though we played the last two years of Jacksonville. He

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Speaker 1: was with the Lions for a while. Let's come back

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Speaker 1: from the Lions now. I think Marvin Jones Junior is

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Speaker 1: effective here. It's plus money at plus this is this

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Speaker 1: is the second best bet on the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet for this game tonight, Marvin Jones over two and

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Speaker 1: a half receptions at plus one forty half the unit

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Speaker 1: down on that. Let's go with Marvin Jones over two

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Speaker 1: and a half receptions for this game here tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So Dave Montgomery over eleven and a half receiving yards

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Speaker 1: minus one ten at FanDuel point five to five units

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Speaker 1: down on that, and then Marvin Jones Junior over two

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Speaker 1: and a half receptions at plus one forty That bet

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Speaker 1: can be found it at DraftKings. And then everyone's got

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Speaker 1: fifty three over one point one units down on the

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Speaker 1: over for the Lions and the Chiefs tonight on Opening Night. Now,

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Speaker 1: one future bet to tell you guys about this is

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Speaker 1: really juicy. If you don't want to bet this, that's

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Speaker 1: totally fine. But I'm gonna bet this because I think

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Speaker 1: it's that it's worth it. Okay, search this bet, Okay,

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Speaker 1: try to find the best price on this bet if

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Speaker 1: you can minus one eighty so far is the best

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Speaker 1: price I've been able to find on this find the

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Speaker 1: division price for the San Francisco forty nine ers to

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Speaker 1: win the West. The forty nine ers, if they don't

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Speaker 1: win their division, it's gonna be kind of stunning. They've

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Speaker 1: got a month. Well, you know what, fanduels down to

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Speaker 1: mine one sixty five. Let's take that mine one sixty

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Speaker 1: five for San Francisco. That number has come down from

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Speaker 1: earlier today. That's great. There's money that's coming on the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: That's great. San fran one point sixty five units one

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Speaker 1: point sixty five to win one unit coming back to

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Speaker 1: win the NFC West.

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Speaker 2: Why look it. They're gonna win twelve games.

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Speaker 1: I mean, their schedule is just They're going to win

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Speaker 1: twelve games is just how it's going to go. If

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Speaker 1: you look at their schedule, you look at who they're playing,

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Speaker 1: they they should come out of the gate pretty hot.

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Speaker 1: They're going to open up on the road at the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: They could lose that game, I'll give.

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Speaker 2: It to you.

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Speaker 1: But after that they're playing at the Rams, the Giants,

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals, and the Cowboys all at home. Should win

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Speaker 1: all four of those games. They should open up four

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Speaker 1: and one at worst. Then they'll play Cleveland Minnesota. They'll

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Speaker 1: probably split that since the home they should win that game.

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Speaker 1: The bye week is perfect. In Week nine at Jacksonville,

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Speaker 1: tough game, but then home for Tampa at Seattle will

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Speaker 1: be tough. No debate on that. When they played Seattle,

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Speaker 1: maybe they split with Seattle. At Philly will be tough.

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Speaker 1: But they play at Arizona, that's a win. They have

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Speaker 1: Baltimore in their place, that should be a win. They

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Speaker 1: play at Washington, that should be a win. They play

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Speaker 1: home against the Rams, that should be a win. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna go five and one in their division. At worst,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna beat the Cardinals twice. They're gonna beat the

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Speaker 1: Rams twice, and they'll split with the Seahawks. That's five wins.

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Speaker 1: You go five and one, more than likely you're gonna

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Speaker 1: win your division. Okay, Yes, Pittsburgh's tough Dallas is tough,

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Speaker 1: Cleveland's tough, Minnesota's tough, Cincinnati's tough Philadelphia is tough.

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Speaker 2: Schedule is not gonna be a walk in the park.

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Speaker 1: But Nick Bosa disagreed to the largest contract for a

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Speaker 1: defensive player in the history of the league, and that

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Speaker 1: dude's gonna ball out. I think brock Perty is a

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Speaker 1: perfect quarterback for the offense. He's a point guard. I

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Speaker 1: think run CMC is gonna have a huge year. I

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Speaker 1: think Dabbos Sweeney is going to be really effective. George

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Speaker 1: kittleshould have another really solid season. The offensive line is

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Speaker 1: really good. All the pieces are right there for the

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Speaker 1: forty nine Ers to win the Super Bowl this year

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Speaker 1: or at least be here in Las Vegas for the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Minus one sixty five better better number I.

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Speaker 1: FANDLE take it at FANDLE match one sixty five on

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Speaker 1: the Niners to win the West for one point six

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Speaker 1: y five units the final NFL future of this season

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Speaker 1: preseason for US. So we got three NFL futures, right,

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Speaker 1: I believe right? The over eight and a half wins

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Speaker 1: for the maybe it was four els four.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, four NFL futures.

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Speaker 1: First is over eight and a half wins for the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: Second is the Ravens win to win the AFC at

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Speaker 1: eleven to one. Second is under six and a half

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Speaker 1: wins for Tampa Bay, and the fourth is San Francisco

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Speaker 1: to win the division to win the West at Mis

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Speaker 1: one sixty five, so four bets there. I think we

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Speaker 1: have seven bets in college. We're pretty well diversified here

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Speaker 1: for our futures markets. I like where we're at here

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Speaker 1: for football heading into the fall. Three bets tonight again,

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Speaker 1: we're going with the over two and a half catches

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Speaker 1: from Marvin Jones Junior at plus one forty over eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half yards receiving for David Montgomery at Mis

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Speaker 1: one ten over fifty three for the game for the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Lions at Mis one ten as well.

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Speaker 1: Good week going, Let's keep it rolling here, Let's have

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Speaker 1: some fun. I'll talk to you guys in the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel Bettingpros dot com slash chat, and remember to go

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Speaker 1: and get an extra team or two if you need

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Speaker 1: it with betting pros dot com slash pick for an

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Speaker 1: NFL pick contest.

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Speaker 2: Deadline is Sunday minus.

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Speaker 1: Matt parat you guys following me on Twitter and every

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Speaker 1: all our social media's at Sports Talk Matt every single morning.

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Speaker 1: The Dilidus Podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steakes

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Speaker 1: dot com