1
00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:13,200
Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

2
00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:17,000
Speaker 1: six five. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network.

3
00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:22,000
Speaker 1: We are sweating the end of some games live from

4
00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:26,040
Speaker 1: our Tommy John Holmes Studios. I am Chadmllman, Chief Content

5
00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:29,960
Speaker 1: Officer of the Action Network. This is our Sunday Night

6
00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,879
Speaker 1: episode in which we review the Phase five's picks we

7
00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:39,879
Speaker 1: put into the contest. This morning, we dissect why we

8
00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,320
Speaker 1: left some games out, preview the early lines we already

9
00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,320
Speaker 1: like for week four. I'm joined as always by my

10
00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:51,760
Speaker 1: co host, my bff, my companion, Michael Padre, the man

11
00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:55,200
Speaker 1: who gave out the rams with doctor Nick Giffen on

12
00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:59,240
Speaker 1: our afternoon BET What Happens Live, Simon Hunter.

13
00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:04,480
Speaker 2: So I'm in What a day, jad, dude.

14
00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:08,560
Speaker 1: A miraculous day, A beautiful day. We're not out of

15
00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:12,840
Speaker 1: the woods in any respect for our five picks, but

16
00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,399
Speaker 1: at least like there was not a ton of anxiety

17
00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,760
Speaker 1: with our picks. We're going to get to that. Catch

18
00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,160
Speaker 1: every episode of The Favorites Live on YouTube. For those

19
00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,360
Speaker 1: enjoying it on YouTube right now, don't forget to give

20
00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:28,000
Speaker 1: us a life and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page.

21
00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:31,480
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet

22
00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,320
Speaker 1: three sixty five and now new Bet three sixty five.

23
00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:37,440
Speaker 1: Customers can get two hundred dollars in bonus bets when

24
00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,759
Speaker 1: you bet five dollars. Sign up using promo code Favorites,

25
00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,760
Speaker 1: deposit ten dollars and place a bet for five dollars

26
00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,760
Speaker 1: to get two hundred dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus

27
00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,880
Speaker 1: bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures,

28
00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:55,280
Speaker 1: and more. Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At Bet

29
00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:58,080
Speaker 1: three six five. Must be twenty one or older in

30
00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:05,000
Speaker 1: present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia,

31
00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:09,359
Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem call one

32
00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:12,000
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off. In

33
00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,760
Speaker 1: Iowa terms, conditions restrictions apply. All right, Here's a fun

34
00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,560
Speaker 1: little stat that Evan Abrams has been touting our week

35
00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,360
Speaker 1: that he just put into the script for us. The

36
00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:28,520
Speaker 1: Rams have won outright underdogs of six plus points, so

37
00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:32,120
Speaker 1: six points or more moved to eleven and one against

38
00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:37,840
Speaker 1: the spread, seven and five straight up this season and

39
00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:43,960
Speaker 1: during Monday Night Football. The Panthers covered as big dogs today,

40
00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:49,040
Speaker 1: the Giants covered as big dogs today, the Broncos covered

41
00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:54,760
Speaker 1: as big dogs today. The Giants, the Panthers, the Broncos,

42
00:02:54,919 --> 00:03:00,680
Speaker 1: all one outright, and now the Rams insane. He blended

43
00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:05,040
Speaker 1: the varied talents of his teammates like a skilled conductor.

44
00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:10,399
Speaker 1: He directed them in a classic two minute drill insane day.

45
00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:15,600
Speaker 1: What's amazing about this contest, Simon, is that we were

46
00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,520
Speaker 1: on all these games, and yet somehow, instead of being

47
00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,480
Speaker 1: four and zero at the end of the day so far,

48
00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:26,360
Speaker 1: just playing those games, we're two and one. We have

49
00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,880
Speaker 1: the Falcons plus three and a half tonight against the Chiefs,

50
00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:32,520
Speaker 1: the Jags plus five and a half tomorrow against the Bills.

51
00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:38,200
Speaker 1: If you believe listeners, viewers, you could beat our picks

52
00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:42,680
Speaker 1: this season. Be our guest. Let us pay you forty

53
00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:47,880
Speaker 1: thousand dollars. Sign up for the contest favorites dot Actionnetwork

54
00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:52,400
Speaker 1: dot Come. All right, let's run through the games, starting

55
00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:56,080
Speaker 1: with the loser. And I got to emphasize here, just

56
00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,600
Speaker 1: one loser so far through Sunday. I wish I could

57
00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:00,800
Speaker 1: say we were undefeated, like I said up there at

58
00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:05,240
Speaker 1: the top. Unfortunately, we never even considered taking our losing

59
00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:08,200
Speaker 1: team out. In all of these conversations, the good news

60
00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,119
Speaker 1: was time and this was a no sweat day. As

61
00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,360
Speaker 1: far as the games we put into the contest from

62
00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,760
Speaker 1: the outset, the teams we picked either controlled the game

63
00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:26,040
Speaker 1: or they were never in it, starting with Tennessee minus

64
00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:31,960
Speaker 1: two and a half against Green Bay. Listen, Matt Lafleur

65
00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:38,400
Speaker 1: is just a genius. Since nineteen ninety the list of

66
00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:45,039
Speaker 1: coaches who are above five hundred straight up as a

67
00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:49,040
Speaker 1: dog with at least seventeen games, Matt Lafleur twenty and

68
00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:52,560
Speaker 1: fifteen and Mike Tomlin fifty and forty nine. So we're

69
00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,600
Speaker 1: going to break it down. I'm curious to know sort

70
00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,720
Speaker 1: of your perspective on all of it, and I'll take

71
00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:01,240
Speaker 1: a break from babbling for a second.

72
00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:04,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, we did have a conversation. We talked

73
00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:09,240
Speaker 3: about a couple other favorites. And that's what's fun but

74
00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,120
Speaker 3: tough about this show, right, it's a partnership. We're both

75
00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:16,360
Speaker 3: trying to find games we both like together. And you

76
00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:18,720
Speaker 3: know today you definitely planned your flag in Denver where

77
00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,160
Speaker 3: I like Denver, but you loved it and you were

78
00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:24,320
Speaker 3: spot on on that one. I love the Ravens, and

79
00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:26,039
Speaker 3: I never could get you there. So we end up

80
00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:29,640
Speaker 3: going with Tennessee, which is another game I love. So yeah,

81
00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,560
Speaker 3: Will Levis throwing a pick six and just being awful.

82
00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,279
Speaker 3: That's that's life bet in Tennessee. That's they're they're a

83
00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,200
Speaker 3: bad team right now. So, like you said, that was brutal,

84
00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,040
Speaker 3: especially in a day where that's our only miss. Everything

85
00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:45,800
Speaker 3: else really came through. That's that's a tough one. But

86
00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,680
Speaker 3: at the end of the day, it's that's gambling.

87
00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:51,760
Speaker 2: You know. I have no regrets with it.

88
00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:56,240
Speaker 3: But yeah, I just you know, going back looking at

89
00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,280
Speaker 3: our picks, it's like, what could I have said to

90
00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,039
Speaker 3: make a different But I just don't think I would

91
00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,040
Speaker 3: have said anything. So no matter what, we were probably

92
00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:04,640
Speaker 3: going to be either three and one at this point

93
00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:05,360
Speaker 3: or two in one.

94
00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, that to me, I felt like the only game

95
00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:13,880
Speaker 1: we might have taken out was the Broncos because I

96
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,360
Speaker 1: got this sense the whole time you were not sort

97
00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,919
Speaker 1: of in love with that pick. I think you really

98
00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:19,760
Speaker 1: wanted a seven.

99
00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,120
Speaker 3: No I met it, but it was more yeah, like exactly,

100
00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,120
Speaker 3: I was just like I wish the number was.

101
00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,880
Speaker 1: Up there, wanted to know you were always going to

102
00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:28,680
Speaker 1: bet the game, and we'll get to that game to sack.

103
00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:32,440
Speaker 1: But but you just wanted a better number. Yeah, I

104
00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,560
Speaker 1: ended up. I ended up buying the seven, and you know,

105
00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:39,240
Speaker 1: regrettably paid a little extra on the juice. But our

106
00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,240
Speaker 1: theory with green Bay and this is going to be

107
00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:46,400
Speaker 1: I made a note already for Tuesday in our script,

108
00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:48,760
Speaker 1: we got to talk about green Bay, what green Bay

109
00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:52,719
Speaker 1: is doing on defense, and what a good coach Matt

110
00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,240
Speaker 1: Lafleur is like. Our theory was that green Bay would

111
00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,279
Speaker 1: not run the ball as well as did against the

112
00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:05,120
Speaker 1: Colts they did. Our theory was that Malik Willis would

113
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,400
Speaker 1: not play well as well as he did against the Colts.

114
00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:11,440
Speaker 1: He did. Our theory was that this Titans team was

115
00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,720
Speaker 1: really just a couple of mistakes away from being two

116
00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:19,520
Speaker 1: and zero. They're not. Our reality is that we knew

117
00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:25,320
Speaker 1: we were stepping into it with will Levis and the

118
00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,600
Speaker 1: Packers ended up with two hundred nearly two hundred yards rushing.

119
00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:32,560
Speaker 1: They averaged five point five yards per carry. Malik Willis

120
00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,679
Speaker 1: threw for more than two hundred yards ran for seventy

121
00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,520
Speaker 1: three yards. Levis has a nice looking stat line like

122
00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:43,520
Speaker 1: twenty eight thirty four two sixty two touches, also fumbled

123
00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,040
Speaker 1: and had a pick six, was sacked eight times.

124
00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:47,040
Speaker 2: You did that.

125
00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:49,880
Speaker 3: I letna say, like he had nice stats, but he

126
00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,480
Speaker 3: nailed it. It's like I thought you'd have a good day.

127
00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:54,000
Speaker 3: I thought it was a good matchup for their team,

128
00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:58,040
Speaker 3: but the defensive playing whatever it was, was just awful.

129
00:07:58,200 --> 00:07:59,920
Speaker 3: And I knew we were in trouble early in the

130
00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:04,720
Speaker 3: game where they weren't spying Malik, And it's just like, yeah,

131
00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:06,520
Speaker 3: why would you not do that? Of all things to

132
00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:08,560
Speaker 3: do with this kid. Don't let him get comfortable running

133
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,880
Speaker 3: the ball, because that's gonna give him. Let him build confidence.

134
00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,640
Speaker 3: And like you just said, lafleur Man, what can you say?

135
00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:17,440
Speaker 3: The guy has been incredible, especially when he coaches his

136
00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:22,480
Speaker 3: team as an underdog. So yeah, like you said, or

137
00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,240
Speaker 3: one miss, it's what's so brutal? Or one miss we

138
00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:28,720
Speaker 3: we end up putting the contest. And I just there's

139
00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:30,680
Speaker 3: no way I could have gone back and have known,

140
00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,760
Speaker 3: just because same thing we're gonna talk about this upcoming week.

141
00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:36,520
Speaker 3: They're oero for three now oh for three against the spread.

142
00:08:36,640 --> 00:08:39,880
Speaker 3: This Titans team. Eventually the value will come the other way.

143
00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,120
Speaker 3: But maybe me and you just stay away until they

144
00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,720
Speaker 3: make a change of the QB position.

145
00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,920
Speaker 1: So it's funny you mentioned that. I would say there

146
00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:54,080
Speaker 1: was one point where Callahan, Brian Calhan, the coach who

147
00:08:54,080 --> 00:09:00,360
Speaker 1: has been sort of charmingly candid about his feelings for

148
00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:04,960
Speaker 1: Will Levis during the week after cussing him out last

149
00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,800
Speaker 1: week and then saying how much he basically you know,

150
00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:11,240
Speaker 1: in not so many words, kind of thought he was

151
00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:15,679
Speaker 1: an idiot this week and became a great conversation starter

152
00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:19,959
Speaker 1: for everyone in the media. I actually wondered when what

153
00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:23,280
Speaker 1: we see the Titans backup quarterback? I was surprised we didn't,

154
00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:25,679
Speaker 1: and then I remember I had to look it up.

155
00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:29,040
Speaker 1: What was with Mason Rudolph, who, by the way, was

156
00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:33,960
Speaker 1: brilliant last year with the Steelers, So why not put

157
00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:37,240
Speaker 1: him in? Like give your team a shot when they're

158
00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,600
Speaker 1: playing so badly. I do wonder if there will be

159
00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:46,640
Speaker 1: some kind of conversation in Tennessee now to get Mason

160
00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:50,520
Speaker 1: Rudolph in similar to Carolina, right, like get a guy

161
00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,720
Speaker 1: if you think your team might be close, get a

162
00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,800
Speaker 1: guy in there who can do something with it. But

163
00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:00,440
Speaker 1: Matt Lafleur, God, he is good.

164
00:10:03,440 --> 00:10:05,720
Speaker 2: Just this, I know, I love that you just spent

165
00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:07,120
Speaker 2: about ten minutes in this game. Though.

166
00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,800
Speaker 1: Let's keep it moving, all right, We're gonna talk a

167
00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:12,760
Speaker 1: lot more about mattla floor. There's one thing one more.

168
00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:14,520
Speaker 2: Than disuption of Mala flora right now.

169
00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,040
Speaker 3: It's like, all right, dude, you just beat up Anthony

170
00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:19,760
Speaker 3: Richardson and Will Levis and Chad's going ape shit.

171
00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:23,320
Speaker 1: The Packers are also, they are flying to the ball

172
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,600
Speaker 1: defensively under Jeff Haffley. They have as many picks in

173
00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:31,319
Speaker 1: three games as they did all of last season. That's

174
00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:35,320
Speaker 1: seven picks. Pretty good, Yeah, pretty good. All right, let's

175
00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,040
Speaker 1: talk about some winners. There we go, Denver plus six

176
00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:42,440
Speaker 1: and a half of Tampa. No notes, as they say

177
00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,679
Speaker 1: in Hollywood, no notes.

178
00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:46,360
Speaker 2: Denver.

179
00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,920
Speaker 1: Denver was nearly flawless, Like, oh yeah, all of the

180
00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:54,280
Speaker 1: luck trends that we like to talk about. This was

181
00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:58,440
Speaker 1: a thirty point luck gap, meaning the Bucks have been

182
00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:00,599
Speaker 1: one of the luckiest, the Broncos have been one of

183
00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:04,600
Speaker 1: the least lucky. We can get into all of it.

184
00:11:04,880 --> 00:11:05,680
Speaker 1: Tell me what you saw.

185
00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:10,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, first reaction would be we thought what Detroy would do?

186
00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:15,000
Speaker 3: What the Denver did right, attack the secondary like there

187
00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:18,160
Speaker 3: were holes and openings in the secondary that you could attack,

188
00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:19,280
Speaker 3: and they were able to do it.

189
00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,439
Speaker 2: But unlike the Lions who kept stowing in the red zone,

190
00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:23,560
Speaker 2: they shockingly didn't.

191
00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,079
Speaker 3: Right, bon Nicks looked comfortable in the red zone, had

192
00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,760
Speaker 3: a couple of nice plays, you know, pulling the ball

193
00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:30,920
Speaker 3: down and running it, which is what we want to

194
00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:32,679
Speaker 3: see out of him, right, I'd rather see him take

195
00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:34,640
Speaker 3: a sack in the red zone then him keep throwing

196
00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:38,760
Speaker 3: those interceptions. So the most surprising part was just how

197
00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:42,840
Speaker 3: bad Baker played. He never looked comfortable. Denver's defense did

198
00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,160
Speaker 3: are a great job against them, And yeah, Chack giving

199
00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:48,400
Speaker 3: you your flowers, Like that's the kind of number where

200
00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:50,520
Speaker 3: it's the dream, right when you're when you get a

201
00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:52,000
Speaker 3: double digits, when you have a six and a half

202
00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:55,200
Speaker 3: point dog, you're just like, I have no worries where

203
00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,000
Speaker 3: you know we're gonna talk about the vikings. It's never

204
00:11:58,080 --> 00:11:59,880
Speaker 3: really that far away because you know we're getting only

205
00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:01,360
Speaker 3: a point in a half or two and a half.

206
00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:03,080
Speaker 3: But when you have that six and a half, seven

207
00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:06,240
Speaker 3: and a half kind of numbers late in these games,

208
00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:08,120
Speaker 3: it's just like, you know, there was no way that

209
00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:09,880
Speaker 3: we weren't going to cover that number one Denver. So

210
00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,880
Speaker 3: looking at the matchup wise going forward for them, I

211
00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,400
Speaker 3: think they learned a lot about, you know, having bone

212
00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:17,920
Speaker 3: Nicks kind of just get outside.

213
00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:18,240
Speaker 2: The pocket more.

214
00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,120
Speaker 3: I think that was really pretty, you know, pretty telling

215
00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:24,880
Speaker 3: in that game that Chempayn wouldn't to do that with him. So, yeah,

216
00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:27,120
Speaker 3: once again Denver's defense, that to me is probably the

217
00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:30,080
Speaker 3: most shocking part. How well they played against that Bucks offense.

218
00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:34,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought they played really well. I thought there'd

219
00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:38,040
Speaker 1: be more points scored in the game because Denver's defense

220
00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,760
Speaker 1: has been good, not great, and because the reason we

221
00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:47,240
Speaker 1: liked Denver so much was Vita Vea's out. Another defensive

222
00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:51,040
Speaker 1: lineman is out, their secondary is incredibly banged up, and

223
00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:56,959
Speaker 1: everything the Lions did wrong Sean Payton did right this

224
00:12:57,040 --> 00:13:02,840
Speaker 1: week with bone Nicks. Also, all of the luck trends,

225
00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:09,600
Speaker 1: sort of the regressions on turnovers, fourth down conversions, performance

226
00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,400
Speaker 1: in the red zone, scoring touchdowns, all the things that

227
00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:15,640
Speaker 1: they have suffered from or that have happened to them

228
00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:19,720
Speaker 1: went their way this week. Like, here's my list of

229
00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:27,520
Speaker 1: things the Broncos did that indicated sort of a luck turnaround.

230
00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:32,640
Speaker 1: Bon Nick's first three plays three for three fifty nine

231
00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:36,720
Speaker 1: yards two plays pass plays of twenty plus yards scored

232
00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,800
Speaker 1: a rushing TV at the end of the drive, even

233
00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,600
Speaker 1: after he had had to delay a game in the

234
00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:47,080
Speaker 1: red zone after picking off Baker Mayfield, the Broncos and

235
00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:53,320
Speaker 1: Bonnicks fumbled. That fumble didn't count because the Bucks were

236
00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:57,480
Speaker 1: off sides. They went forward on fourth and goal inches away,

237
00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:02,800
Speaker 1: pitched it wide. The guy barely snuck into the end zone.

238
00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:05,760
Speaker 1: Like they even got a fumble by Tampa in the

239
00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:12,560
Speaker 1: red zone. This was just so enjoyable, Like it was

240
00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:16,640
Speaker 1: so stress free. I couldn't have been happier with this game.

241
00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,600
Speaker 1: I wished every game. I wish this was the only

242
00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:20,840
Speaker 1: game that I was watching the whole day.

243
00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:25,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's also we got lucky where you know, people

244
00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:28,000
Speaker 3: overreacted to a lot of these teams after two games, right,

245
00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:29,680
Speaker 3: and I think Bucks is one of those teams. The

246
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 3: Saints again, we'd't even talk about where. You know, I

247
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:33,840
Speaker 3: really like the Eagles and you never got there.

248
00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:37,080
Speaker 2: But I got why. The Saints were pretty damn.

249
00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:40,840
Speaker 3: Scary through two games, and I understood your hesitation with it,

250
00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:44,400
Speaker 3: and I thought to myself, Man, they can't be this good.

251
00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:46,400
Speaker 3: They're just they had to come back to Earth. I

252
00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:49,560
Speaker 3: think just like the Saints the Bucks. We saw Derek

253
00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:51,360
Speaker 3: Carr come back to Earth and we saw Baker come

254
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:53,240
Speaker 3: back to Earth. Right, even if Baker had a good

255
00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:55,640
Speaker 3: game as a whole, that team, the Bucks have so

256
00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,600
Speaker 3: many injuries to that defense, it was just like, man,

257
00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,840
Speaker 3: if they can get the ball moving on Denver here,

258
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:02,640
Speaker 3: I just never thought we would have a problem with

259
00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:05,600
Speaker 3: back in that side. And you know, little did we

260
00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:07,440
Speaker 3: know that just the Bucks, the whole team wasn't going

261
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,880
Speaker 3: to show up today, right, So, like you said, I

262
00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,600
Speaker 3: think it was what it was, seventeen nothing at one

263
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,560
Speaker 3: point or fourteen w whatever it was. I just said

264
00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:17,840
Speaker 3: to myself, Okay, Chad nailed this one. That this number

265
00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:18,920
Speaker 3: is never going to be a sweat.

266
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,360
Speaker 1: Here's the good news. We never have to bet the

267
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:26,240
Speaker 1: Broncos or Boonix again. We've been waiting for the exact

268
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:29,720
Speaker 1: right number and the exact right spot to take advantage

269
00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:34,880
Speaker 1: of their number in an overinflation undervalued spot. This was it.

270
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,800
Speaker 1: And by the way, you mentioned the Ravens, you mentioned

271
00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:40,880
Speaker 1: the Eagles. I do want to like get into those games.

272
00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:42,840
Speaker 1: So we are going to get through the last game

273
00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:45,920
Speaker 1: that we did bet and that we did win because

274
00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,720
Speaker 1: I think the games that we left out are just

275
00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:52,520
Speaker 1: as fascinating as the games that we put in. So

276
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,040
Speaker 1: I do want to get to a bunch of those games. Yeah,

277
00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:57,520
Speaker 1: the last game that we bet today in a game reminder,

278
00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:59,800
Speaker 1: we got the Falcons tonight plus three and a half

279
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,560
Speaker 1: the Jacks plus five and a half tomorrow. In our

280
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:06,600
Speaker 1: favorites contest, we had Houston at Minnesota plus two and

281
00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:09,520
Speaker 1: a half. You've been on this since Sunday, like it

282
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,640
Speaker 1: was three and a half on Sunday last night when

283
00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:14,360
Speaker 1: we did the show. You bet it, then kept betting it.

284
00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:19,000
Speaker 1: You were on it today. Unconvinced me. Eleven am Eastern

285
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 1: watching in YouTube in the Action Network app, this was

286
00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,440
Speaker 1: your best bet of the day on sides, even when

287
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,880
Speaker 1: it get down to one and a half. Here's something

288
00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:31,280
Speaker 1: my son said to me while we were watching the game.

289
00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:35,800
Speaker 1: I don't think there were any odds on anyone saying

290
00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:41,400
Speaker 1: this in the world when this season started. Is Sam

291
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,640
Speaker 1: Darnold the MVP of the league right now?

292
00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:51,760
Speaker 2: No, but he is playing really good. I'll give him that.

293
00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:54,400
Speaker 3: I mean, you can't hate on it where it's like

294
00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:56,720
Speaker 3: he has complete confidence in the offense, and there was

295
00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:58,800
Speaker 3: a couple throws in that game where big time throws

296
00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,160
Speaker 3: right like to the sideline only his guy could catch it.

297
00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:03,600
Speaker 2: Pretty impressive throws.

298
00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:06,280
Speaker 3: But I told you my main reason for liking that spot,

299
00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:09,639
Speaker 3: it was definitely Brian Flores in that defense, and you

300
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 3: saw immediately that you know, CJ was not comfortable like that.

301
00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:15,800
Speaker 3: Just the different looks he can set up with that

302
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:19,080
Speaker 3: defense and the vikings is you know, to me, that's

303
00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:20,800
Speaker 3: been the game changer this season as much as Sam

304
00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:22,720
Speaker 3: Donald as well. Like I'm not gonna again, I'm not

305
00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:24,879
Speaker 3: trying knock Sam Donald. He's played so well here, but

306
00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:30,000
Speaker 3: that that defense really showed up, and you know, you

307
00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,320
Speaker 3: talked about it like it's it's always a little scary

308
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,239
Speaker 3: when we give out these numbers on Sunday and then

309
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,159
Speaker 3: I'm betting it all week and then we get to

310
00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:38,640
Speaker 3: this point and you're right, it was all the way

311
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,800
Speaker 3: down to one one and a half and it's just like, okay,

312
00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:44,480
Speaker 3: what at what point does this become the public chalky side?

313
00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:48,280
Speaker 3: And luckily a ton of money came in late that

314
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,120
Speaker 3: gave me a little confidence on that Houston team where

315
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 3: it's like, okay, at least there are people bet on

316
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:55,359
Speaker 3: the other side, and that was just another no brainer, right.

317
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:57,080
Speaker 3: I think it was fourteen to nothing right from the

318
00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:01,639
Speaker 3: get go, and with two turnovers as well, which is

319
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:05,280
Speaker 3: like pretty shocking for that Houston side. And once Sam

320
00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,680
Speaker 3: kind of got into a groove, that offense was just clicking.

321
00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 3: So even when he got banged up he came back in,

322
00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:14,760
Speaker 3: he still looked pretty good. That's one thing I'm definitely

323
00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,840
Speaker 3: gonna be checking for. Is it sounds crazy, but definitely

324
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,720
Speaker 3: interested in his injury report and what he's like going forward.

325
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,520
Speaker 3: But you know, he played the end of the game,

326
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,920
Speaker 3: and you know, we said the same thing about Herbert

327
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:27,479
Speaker 3: last week, and then it popped up this week. They

328
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:32,040
Speaker 3: didn't look right, so I wanted to bet. We'll talk

329
00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:33,960
Speaker 3: again the lines coming up. But they're the team I

330
00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:35,840
Speaker 3: kind of liked this upcoming week, and now with the

331
00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,200
Speaker 3: unknown of Sam Donald what his injury might be, they're

332
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:41,200
Speaker 3: definitely a team I'm gonna wait on, not bet right away.

333
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 1: Sam Donald's odds for MVP are fifty to one right now.

334
00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:52,440
Speaker 1: His stats through three games six hundred and fifty seven

335
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:55,840
Speaker 1: passing yard, sixty eight percent completion rate, eight touchdowns, only

336
00:18:55,880 --> 00:19:00,560
Speaker 1: two picks, A ninety seven yard touchdown pass win against

337
00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:05,040
Speaker 1: the Giants, Niners, and Texans.

338
00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:06,200
Speaker 2: That's good.

339
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:10,200
Speaker 1: Why wouldn't she take a flyer on Sam's Kevin O'Connell

340
00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 1: is locked in and he deserves as much credit as

341
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:16,879
Speaker 1: Matt lafleur. They might be the two best coaches in

342
00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:21,200
Speaker 1: the NFL right now, Matt Lafloor Jarman O'Connell. Two best

343
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,520
Speaker 1: coaches in the NFL are in the same division as

344
00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 1: the Bears. And you nailed it. You nailed it this game.

345
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,439
Speaker 1: You've been saying it all week. You just said Brian

346
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 1: Flores what he could do to this Texans defense and CJ. Stroud,

347
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:39,800
Speaker 1: which is exactly what they did. He had two picks,

348
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:42,600
Speaker 1: five sacks. They were only four or fourteen on third down.

349
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:44,879
Speaker 1: They were playing it seemed like they were playing behind

350
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 1: the chains, and definitely they were trying to comfort behind

351
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:56,399
Speaker 1: this entire game. Yeah, like you nailed Simon, You nailed

352
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 1: this handicap, just nailed it.

353
00:19:59,480 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 2: That was good.

354
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:08,280
Speaker 1: You know what's even better, Simon, this was our Tommy

355
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:12,520
Speaker 1: John Big Balls Bet of the Week. I don't know

356
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,160
Speaker 1: if you know this or not, but ever since Tommy

357
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:21,679
Speaker 1: John started sponsoring the show, we are undefeated with our

358
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:25,720
Speaker 1: big balls better the week. Yeah, can you believe that

359
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:29,920
Speaker 1: we're three? We're three? To know with our big balls

360
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 1: bet of the week. I went back and looked and

361
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 1: it's true, we are three. And oh I think I

362
00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:39,919
Speaker 1: feel so much more comfortable making these big balls bets.

363
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 1: We barely sweat these bets. Is that a coincidence?

364
00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:47,119
Speaker 2: And we definitely didn't last week at Green Bays. I

365
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:47,680
Speaker 2: guess you're right.

366
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't think it's a coincidence that ever

367
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 1: since Tommy John started sponsoring it, we're more comfortable and

368
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 1: less sweaty. All right, these are the games we left

369
00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:03,760
Speaker 1: off the table, Panther's plus six and a half. I mean,

370
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,840
Speaker 1: we wanted to do it. I feel like we did

371
00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 1: a disservice to our fans because we believed in Andy Dalton.

372
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 2: Then we believe you have the money line, that the

373
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:15,920
Speaker 2: money line, the round robin.

374
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 1: Give away on the money line. We gave the money line.

375
00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,439
Speaker 1: We didn't put them in the contest. We believe this

376
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 1: team was better than their performance. It was a bryce

377
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: young issue.

378
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 3: I just promised the people we wouldn't do it. I

379
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 3: just they were as much as we loved it. I

380
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 3: just knew they didn't want to hear it, so it's

381
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 3: just like, let's let them see it and then they'll

382
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,120
Speaker 3: maybe believe it. But I knew a couple of psychopaths

383
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:36,920
Speaker 3: who were ride with us on our money line bets,

384
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 3: were like, they'll bet their money line with us, and

385
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 3: hopefully they did, because you know, we gave out them

386
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 3: and the Giants, and that combo on the round robin

387
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,400
Speaker 3: was a pretty pretty nice payout.

388
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:53,359
Speaker 1: Pretty pretty pretty good payout for the Panthers the Giants.

389
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:57,360
Speaker 1: I forgot who else was in the round robin? Not

390
00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:00,320
Speaker 1: the parlay, but the round robin. Does anyone remember Kings

391
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 1: were in there? Vikings were in there.

392
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 3: We have Atlanta left, and I'm guessing we lost on Arizona.

393
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,440
Speaker 1: I think we might have at Arizona too. We also

394
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 1: felt like the Raiders had no business being six and

395
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 1: a half point favorites. The just weren't good enough. And

396
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 1: then Gardner Minshew got replaced at the end of the game.

397
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:26,879
Speaker 1: Then you really yeah, yeah, Aidan O'Connell came in. Eagles,

398
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:33,239
Speaker 1: you love them. I was skeptical. I feel like we

399
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 1: were kind of both right because at the end of

400
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: the day, they needed a miracle, Like if two Saints

401
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 1: players don't bump into each other with one of them

402
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:49,399
Speaker 1: trying to guard Dallas Goddard running across the middle with

403
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 1: with seventy five seconds left. They don't get the ball

404
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 1: to him on third and sixteen, and he doesn't sprint

405
00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 1: down the sideline and put them in a position to

406
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,880
Speaker 1: score a touchdown. That was a that was a miracle.

407
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 1: Cover Like, you used up some of your good karma

408
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: for the season on this.

409
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,840
Speaker 3: So the team that lost their number one receiver, their

410
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,919
Speaker 3: number two receiver, and their left tackle got lucky in

411
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 3: that game.

412
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 2: Chat. Is that what you're saying right now.

413
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 1: A little bit?

414
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 2: Yeah?

415
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 3: I mean you're a Bears fan, so you don't even

416
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 3: know what good quarterback play looks like. So I'm not

417
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 3: gonna go, oh my god, Yeah, I mean, dude, I

418
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,119
Speaker 3: was ready to go stick a bunch of four sales

419
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 3: signs in Sirianni's yard. I mean the coach email practice

420
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:31,920
Speaker 3: in this game in so many different ways was just brutal.

421
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 3: But the reason I couldn't believe you didn't want to

422
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,120
Speaker 3: do it was just like, dude, we were catching Dennis

423
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,159
Speaker 3: Allen after two wins in a row, when not like

424
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,679
Speaker 3: you couldn't get more hyped, and it was just like

425
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,679
Speaker 3: this guy is gonna blow it in some way, and

426
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 3: they did. I mean, I can't believe they didn't win

427
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:52,359
Speaker 3: that game at home in that spot. Yeah, the Eagles

428
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 3: defense came to play for sure, watching all that game,

429
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,679
Speaker 3: like their run defense was really good. Jalen Carter probably

430
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:03,360
Speaker 3: had his best game as an Eagle. But the Barkley signing,

431
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 3: I mean, wow, yeah, Like even though you know he

432
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 3: he let us down last last week, this game is

433
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 3: really why he's such a special talent. Like everything he does,

434
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 3: he gets better as the games go along. And I

435
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 3: believe the Saints had and given up like one hundred

436
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,440
Speaker 3: yard rushing at home in like three years, and I

437
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 3: think he put up one forty six, so that that

438
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 3: was definitely the right side.

439
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 2: But I agree with you where you.

440
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 3: Know, I thought, I don't know if the Eagles didn't

441
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 3: get three or we had a turnover in the red zone,

442
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 3: but all these things have happened where it's just like,

443
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,160
Speaker 3: you know what people are right about Geon Hurts. He's

444
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,800
Speaker 3: just loose with the ball, he doesn't protect it, he

445
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 3: plays sloppy. But you know he had a big drive

446
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:48,159
Speaker 3: there at the end of the game. That's just going

447
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 3: to shut people up for another week. So I don't

448
00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 3: think Amerciriana out of the woods yet. That's a big

449
00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 3: time win. Like that Saints team they had back to

450
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 3: back putting up forty points and they had Chad scared,

451
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 3: which is just mind because you hate Dennis Allen. When

452
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,679
Speaker 3: I think of people who shot on Dennis Allen, it's you.

453
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 3: Uh So, yeah, we'll see going forward the Saints team.

454
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 3: But I think all of us can take a deep

455
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,360
Speaker 3: breath and realize this is not the Rams from two thousand, right,

456
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 3: So I think we all can agree on that, you know.

457
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 1: And I my feeling on this was I was more

458
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:24,679
Speaker 1: worried about the Eagles without a j. Brown, And this

459
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: is another thing I want us to think about next week,

460
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 1: especially the spot that the Eagles are going in.

461
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:31,919
Speaker 2: I don't think Smith's gonna play either.

462
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 3: I mean, he got hit by defensive linemen that yeah,

463
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 3: probably has two hundred pounds on him right into his head.

464
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,320
Speaker 1: Like, yeah, Kwayne Johnson has a concussion. Now Devonte Smith

465
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 1: has a concussion. This team is not in great shape.

466
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 1: In addition to the mistakes, right, Like, it's not just

467
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 1: the coaching malpractice. It's an undisciplined team and they are

468
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:59,239
Speaker 1: shooting themselves in the foot. They are so talented when

469
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:04,199
Speaker 1: they are all healthy, and Sirianni like, unless they are

470
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 1: blowing people out, you cannot count on this team necessarily

471
00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:11,880
Speaker 1: win unless you got two Saints pumping into each other

472
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 1: and they're playing against Dennis Allen and even then like

473
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:15,840
Speaker 1: it was a miracle.

474
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:22,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just there again though, they're they're what I'll

475
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 3: catch away from Barkley for being three and zero right

476
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 3: now and great, really big wins to start the season.

477
00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:29,440
Speaker 3: So it is tough where it's like, I agree with

478
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 3: everything you're saying, but it's like they have so much

479
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 3: talent that every week's can be hard to take against them. Unles,

480
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 3: we're getting a decent amount of points. So they're a

481
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 3: team that that that game right there kind of feels

482
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 3: like they determine their season. Right If they would have

483
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 3: lost that game, yes, things could have got ugly pretty

484
00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 3: quick for sirian.

485
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 2: And that Eagles team. So that was a huge one

486
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 2: for that Eagles team.

487
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,919
Speaker 1: Also, you might be able to credit me for the win.

488
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,399
Speaker 1: I may have jinxed the Saints because when they were

489
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 1: about right before that third and sixteen miracle play I

490
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: put in my notebook New Orleans and Minnesota three and zero.

491
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 1: Who to thunk it? Oh god, I did it for you.

492
00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 1: Yeah so fast, Yeah, Colts minus one and a half.

493
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: I liked it the whole week. You were suspect. I

494
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 1: actually think we were both right on this one too.

495
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 1: Like even though, oh my god, even though Caleb Williams

496
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 1: like consistently confused Colts defensive backs for Bears receivers. This

497
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: game was seven to three until the last plays of

498
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 1: the third quarter. It was fourteen to nine with five

499
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,400
Speaker 1: minutes left in the game. The Bears even had a shot.

500
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: Like in the final couple of minutes. The Colts did

501
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,640
Speaker 1: exactly what we said they were going to do, right, Yeah,

502
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 1: We're going to run the ball against a middling Bears

503
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,679
Speaker 1: rush defense. They gained one hundred and fifty yards. They

504
00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 1: had multiple explosive runs, including a long Jonathan Taylor ron

505
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:09,159
Speaker 1: so like, I feel like this is similar to the

506
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 1: cult to the Saints and the Eagles, and that I

507
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 1: wanted to bet it end up being the right side.

508
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:20,160
Speaker 1: You were skeptical. You were probably right as well. I'm

509
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 1: really glad we didn't put it in the contest.

510
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say though, if you're a Bears fan,

511
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 3: the things to be excited about is whenever you do

512
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 3: get rid of this offensive coordinator. There is so many

513
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 3: things to build off with Caleb Williams, Like there are

514
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,360
Speaker 3: little things he does. You're just like, man, this kid

515
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 3: is so incredibly talented. But whatever offense you guys are gonning,

516
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 3: I just hate it.

517
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 2: I just I've watched too much bearriers I care to

518
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 2: even admit to this point through three games.

519
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 3: But yeah, the Colts team, Anthony Richardson, I think we

520
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:54,760
Speaker 3: talked a little bit about going to the year where

521
00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 3: it's just like this kid just needs game reps.

522
00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a lot of ugly, but there's gonna

523
00:28:59,200 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 2: be some good in there.

524
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 3: And that pick he threw into the end zone was

525
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 3: just atrocious, Like it's just it's something you don't really

526
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 3: see in the pros how bad it was where it's

527
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 3: like there was three guys in front of the ball

528
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 3: and he threw it right to your guy.

529
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 2: Man, that was just so bad.

530
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,480
Speaker 3: So the Colts team going forward, chat, I don't know,

531
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna bet them as confident as I am.

532
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,280
Speaker 3: I think it's talking about our situations and the different

533
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 3: matchups where yes, you know some teams won't match up

534
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 3: well for them, but we talked going into this game.

535
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 3: Their secondary is really suspect, and I think Kleb almost

536
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 3: threw for four hundred yards against them, Like I think

537
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 3: it was like three eighty when he put up, which

538
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,200
Speaker 3: I mean you've watched him as well, Like that's that's

539
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:43,479
Speaker 3: an insane amount for even him. So yeah, that one's right,

540
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 3: Like it wasn't even one of my bigger bets. I

541
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 3: remember earing the week we were talking about and it's

542
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 3: just like, yeah, you're right, the Colts were owing to

543
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 3: back against the wall. It's just like the Rams there, right,

544
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 3: you back these teams that are super desperate and they

545
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 3: usually find a way, and they certainly found a way,

546
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 3: and it's just the the Bears can stop shooting themselves

547
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 3: on the foot.

548
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 1: The only bright side I wrote to my buddies in

549
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:10,040
Speaker 1: our Bears text chain that is like so apoplectic and

550
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 1: upset and talking about the offensive coordinator. I told everybody

551
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 1: it happened to be on one of Kayleb Williams' picks

552
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 1: in the second half. It was his thirty second pass

553
00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 1: of the game. And that's when I told everybody that

554
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 1: for our betting Investment club, I had bet a parlay

555
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 1: of DJ Moore over sixty two and a half receiving yards,

556
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 1: which you gave out on Convinced Me, which he got

557
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: on a hail Mary deflection at the end of the

558
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,400
Speaker 1: first half where he ended up being down at the

559
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 1: one and the Bears didn't score, but it got him

560
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 1: to seventy seven yards in the first half and Kayleb

561
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 1: Williams over thirty one and a half passing attempts, thanked

562
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 1: to doctor Nick, your co host on bet What Happens

563
00:30:56,880 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 1: Live Today, So we did win that parlay. Maybe you

564
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 1: all the happier even though even though we didn't win

565
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 1: the game, we didn't win a nice little parlay. You

566
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 1: go ahead.

567
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 3: I'll just say, if you haven't listened to me and

568
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,800
Speaker 3: chat and check like commenced me, you are really missing

569
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,400
Speaker 3: out right. Sean Kerner, one of the other pickers on

570
00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 3: the show, he had a sixteen and oh streak heading

571
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 3: into that Sunday show, and you know today Chris Raybahn,

572
00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 3: I believe he's six and oh on his picks in

573
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 3: the app so he went three and oh on the show.

574
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 3: I went three on the three and oh on the show,

575
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 3: and you know, we're through three weeks shore. The worst

576
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 3: week I've had on that My worst picks on that

577
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 3: show are three and one. So you know, week one

578
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 3: I went three and one, Week two and three in row,

579
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,959
Speaker 3: and it's looking like week three, I'm gonna go three

580
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 3: and one again. Uh if Atlanta hasn't come through for

581
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 3: us tonight. So yeah, that commenced me show. It has

582
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 3: just been money this year. And you know, like you

583
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 3: already talked about, we bet dogs and unders. It's been

584
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 3: a great year for dogs and unders.

585
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 1: Uh, tell me again, why didn't you why you didn't

586
00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 1: make me pick Baltimore.

587
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 2: I mean you were being soft about it, Chad. Let's

588
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 2: be honest.

589
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 3: You're just like I gave you all these stats from

590
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 3: Evan that were just insane. It was just like, it's

591
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:13,640
Speaker 3: Lamar against the NFC's twenty and one.

592
00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:14,360
Speaker 2: Straight up.

593
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 3: All we needed to do was straight up win and

594
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 3: it was money in the bank. But your hesitation was

595
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 3: I don't trust Baltimore's defense, which doesn't look too crazy.

596
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 3: Every time we talk about they just let them come

597
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 3: all the way.

598
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 2: Back, right. Yeahy're up twenty eight to six. The game

599
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 2: ended twenty eight to five, so the reason for it

600
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 2: is valid.

601
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 3: Like, they don't really have an identity on defense, But

602
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 3: my reason to you was they might have one of

603
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: the worst run defenses of football and one of the

604
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 3: worst run games of football offensively, Dallas.

605
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 2: Like that's a big issue this season. We saw it today.

606
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 3: I mean, the Ravens could get as anything they wanted

607
00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 3: running the ball, especially with Derrick Henry. So yeah, that

608
00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 3: was my Scooter Lepik never in doubt until that very

609
00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 3: very end there. But yeah, it's stuff we missed on it.

610
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 3: But your hesitation was valid. I was just like, I

611
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 3: can't see this team being oh and three against the

612
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:09,800
Speaker 3: spreading oh and three straight up to start the season.

613
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 2: That Ravens team, they just they were unlucky in their

614
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 2: first two games.

615
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 3: So great to see them bounce back, even though they

616
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,320
Speaker 3: don't have a starting kicker on their team.

617
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 2: Justin Tucker another miss today. I can't pack it. Yeah, No,

618
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 2: it's crazy how they just age like that kickers.

619
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 1: It's insane. Yeah, what has happened to him? Do you

620
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: think we would have replaced Tennessee with the Ravens? Like,

621
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 1: was that what we were going to do.

622
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, because we were talking about replacing a favorite, because

623
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 3: I knew there was no chance you were going to

624
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 3: take Denver out. And I wasn't really pushing it either,

625
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 3: because it was just like, we're getting a good number

626
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 3: of the contest. It wasn't five and a half anymore.

627
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 3: It was up to six and a half, So it's like,

628
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 3: we'll keep that. Vikings was no doubt or two and

629
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 3: a half. Maybe the only hesitation I had today when

630
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 3: I woke up was our Jaguars pick just thinking about it.

631
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 3: But I don't think I ever would have tried to

632
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 3: make you switch it out, just because I've already bett

633
00:33:58,920 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 3: it so much this week.

634
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, like I said all the time, chat, it's hard.

635
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 2: We need to try to be both on the same side.

636
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 3: And it's rare that I can convince you that Sunday

637
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 3: morn on a side you don't love. Your hesitation on

638
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:12,360
Speaker 3: the Ravens, like I said, was valid that defense going forward.

639
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 3: That's gonna be the reason we're a little scared to

640
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 3: take them if the number is not right.

641
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 2: Right, but we talk Lamar.

642
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 3: Under three points, so if he's less than three point favorite,

643
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 3: now he's twenty three and seven against the spread in

644
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:23,720
Speaker 3: his career.

645
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:25,680
Speaker 2: Damn good.

646
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:28,359
Speaker 1: It's really that's why.

647
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:29,800
Speaker 2: I I remember I took him scooch for that.

648
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:31,800
Speaker 3: You're like, oh my god, you're taking the chalk favorite,

649
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 3: and it's just like chalk sometimes wins, and now it

650
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 3: was one of those sometimes that wins.

651
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about week four lines here. Bear's

652
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 1: are one point favorites at home.

653
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 3: You liking that spot against the Rams. I don't hate it, No,

654
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 3: you should like it, that is I'm with you. I

655
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 3: would not bet it yet, So I do you think

656
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:55,439
Speaker 3: we might be able to get a plus number?

657
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 2: What do you think?

658
00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 1: I know, I agree, especially with the resp when they

659
00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: come back. They came back today, But there is a

660
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:06,000
Speaker 1: big difference between coming back against division arrival who you

661
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,800
Speaker 1: are so familiar with at home, and then going on

662
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 1: the road. Like think about last week the Rams got

663
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 1: blown out by the Cardinals in the same way the

664
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:20,560
Speaker 1: week before. They have played so well. This is geared

665
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,640
Speaker 1: for a letdown, and the Bears are in a position

666
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 1: to overachieve, learning from mistakes, planning against a team that

667
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,600
Speaker 1: is so beat up, like we don't know who's going

668
00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:33,480
Speaker 1: to be on the field.

669
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 3: And it's actually a great matchup for your defense against

670
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:38,840
Speaker 3: Rams team exactly.

671
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,879
Speaker 1: So I saw that and I immediately thought, oh, yeah,

672
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:42,840
Speaker 1: I like them.

673
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:44,759
Speaker 3: I'm gonna throw a little bit on just in just

674
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 3: in case you ran the professionals dude coming on the Bears.

675
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,080
Speaker 3: But I just I can see the public hammer in

676
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 3: this Rams team now. They just everyone hates this Bear's team.

677
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,959
Speaker 3: I just think everyone's totally off them at this point.

678
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:57,919
Speaker 3: So I think we might get a good.

679
00:35:57,880 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 2: Number on that.

680
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 1: The other game that jumped out at me, don't laugh

681
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:07,839
Speaker 1: at me. Yeah, Green Bay is a very short home

682
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 1: favorite against Minnesota.

683
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, honestly, I bet it just because I bet it

684
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 3: before the games today, just in case Jordan and Love

685
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 3: did come back.

686
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I like that too for early bet.

687
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:27,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, even though it is that is tough throwing Jordan

688
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,160
Speaker 3: Love in against his Vikings defense, because that they're gonna

689
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:31,879
Speaker 3: they're gonna be bringing the heat on his ass.

690
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 2: There's no doubt they're gonna make him test of that leg.

691
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 2: I think you're right. I'm gonna grab it now, just

692
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:37,680
Speaker 2: because this is a key number at two.

693
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:40,080
Speaker 1: Look at that, you think I'm right. I got two

694
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 1: games that I'm looking at and you're like, oh, yeah,

695
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 1: you know what.

696
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,839
Speaker 3: You know what I like though, just bet these ugly

697
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 3: home favorites. I'm gonna give you a chalk bet that

698
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 3: I made right away before you even came on the air.

699
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 3: Tell me Cowboys minus five and a half Thursday Night

700
00:36:56,000 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 3: Football in the Meadowlands, don't They beat the Giants by

701
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 3: thirty points every time they play.

702
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 2: Interesting, this is the only team Dak beats up.

703
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 3: So this number look ahead was minus seven. After the

704
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 3: loss and the Giants win, It's moved under a key

705
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 3: number now, So I hate it because it's so chalky

706
00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 3: and it's a standalone Island game. But I'm just gonna

707
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:19,959
Speaker 3: grab it now because I think it goes back above

708
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 3: the six jet. So this is just grabbing the number

709
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 3: before it moves. No way this will be our big balls.

710
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 3: Simon says, any of that most likely, but I'm gonna

711
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:31,920
Speaker 3: grab it now. I just I love this Cowboys in

712
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 3: this bounce back spot. They've lost two games in a row,

713
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:37,080
Speaker 3: both at home, both embarrassing.

714
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 2: This is the type of spot.

715
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 3: Where they go on the road and they just beat

716
00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:43,440
Speaker 3: the absolute shit of the Giants. That's they're not that

717
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:45,719
Speaker 3: good of a team. They played Deshaun Watson today, which

718
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 3: is the reason they look so good. Right. I think

719
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:49,800
Speaker 3: you said they had eight sacks or something like that.

720
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 3: So yeah, this is a nice spot for the Cowboys

721
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 3: to get right and just a typical letdown spot for

722
00:37:58,160 --> 00:37:58,960
Speaker 3: this Giants team.

723
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,239
Speaker 1: Any other games, I have one more game that I'm

724
00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 1: I'm spying a little bit, just a little bit.

725
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 3: Uh, the only other game that really jumped out, and

726
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,160
Speaker 3: it's just in case our Jaguars beck comes through.

727
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 2: It's the Ravens a minus two and a half. I

728
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:22,680
Speaker 2: just gave you that. I just gave you a La

729
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 2: Mar stat.

730
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:28,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting to me. I was leaning the other

731
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:33,320
Speaker 1: way the Bills. No, I was looking at the Jags

732
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:37,560
Speaker 1: as four and a half point dogs road against the Texans,

733
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:40,719
Speaker 1: thinking that number is going to get smaller if our

734
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 1: Jags bet like that thought, that's what I liked.

735
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll be I'll be honest, though.

736
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 3: If the Jags cover and do well against the Bills,

737
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 3: you expect them to let down. Yeah, I'm gonna hammer

738
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 3: Houston at home in those kind of spots. So I

739
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 3: get where you're coming from. That actually actually actually interesting side,

740
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 3: but I can't touch it. I honestly, I'm glad you

741
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:05,239
Speaker 3: didn't bring up I think you're gonna try to get

742
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 3: me on Denver here right away.

743
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 2: It's seven and a half. No, No, that's how I

744
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:13,200
Speaker 2: feel about it. Where it's just now, man, is that tempting?

745
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 3: They know us though, they know us pretty well where

746
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:17,279
Speaker 3: it's like, if this was six and a half, seven

747
00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 3: and a half, seven, I wouldn't touch it.

748
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:20,720
Speaker 2: But at seven and a half, I'm just like, should

749
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:22,600
Speaker 2: I take Denver here? But you're right, You're right.

750
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 1: What did I say? What did I say? That was

751
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 1: the exact right spot? This week? We never have to

752
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 1: bet the Broncos again as long as we live. We

753
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 1: are done. We are done. We can go back to

754
00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:35,920
Speaker 1: betting the Panthers every week.

755
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:39,439
Speaker 3: So I'll tell people right now though another really sharp

756
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,359
Speaker 3: side that I'm not going to bet right now because

757
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:42,919
Speaker 3: I think I'll get better value on as the week

758
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:43,400
Speaker 3: goes along.

759
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 2: The Bucks are plus two right now against the Eagles.

760
00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:50,120
Speaker 3: So this is Eagles on a back to back road

761
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,240
Speaker 3: after a huge emotional win against the Saints, playing against

762
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 3: a Bucks team that just got embarrassed.

763
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:55,160
Speaker 2: I'm blown out.

764
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:57,760
Speaker 3: I mean, all the money's gonna come on the Eagles,

765
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:01,880
Speaker 3: right So I'm gonna wait see if I can get

766
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 3: above a key number of plus two and a half

767
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,840
Speaker 3: plus three. But that's that's actually a really nice spot

768
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 3: for the Eagles to have a letdown. So uh yeah,

769
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 3: people don't don't be mad, but the Bucks, I can

770
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:15,080
Speaker 3: already tell that's gonna be a side Me and Chatter

771
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 3: are most likely going to end up on.

772
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:20,959
Speaker 2: It's just they have they have had the Eagles number

773
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 2: the last couple of years.

774
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:23,320
Speaker 3: And I know you can be like, well, in the playoffs,

775
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:25,880
Speaker 3: that was like the Eagles were just a totally different

776
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:28,320
Speaker 3: team and it was a Cason on hell. I totally

777
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,120
Speaker 3: get that position. I honestly think it's the coaching match.

778
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 3: But Todd Bowles has just done well against Sirianni. He

779
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 3: kind of knows what the Eagles want to do. So

780
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 3: that's a number that I didn't want to give out

781
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 3: on the show yet, but it's sometime I want people

782
00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:42,040
Speaker 3: to be aware of that, Like, if this does get

783
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:44,359
Speaker 3: up to three, no, you should grab it right away

784
00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:46,080
Speaker 3: because I'm definitely gonna grab it when it gets there.

785
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:49,919
Speaker 1: Well, look, we just don't know what this Eagles team

786
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 1: is going to have.

787
00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:52,440
Speaker 2: That's what I mean. They're so banged up.

788
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like, we just don't know at this point. All right,

789
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 1: So the early lines that were sort of touching on

790
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:04,840
Speaker 1: Bear's my one, pat, what's that? Definitely Bears, Definitely Bears.

791
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 1: Packer's minus two. You mentioned Cowboys minus five and a

792
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,320
Speaker 1: half at the meadow Lands on Thursday Night football.

793
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:13,400
Speaker 2: That's my biggest early bet right now.

794
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 1: We're hedging right now like Baltimore two and a half,

795
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:23,720
Speaker 1: Jags plus four and a half, where I'm interested in Jags,

796
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:27,800
Speaker 1: You're interested in Baltimore depending on the outcome of the

797
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:30,960
Speaker 1: game on Monday night, and we're not betting it yet.

798
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:34,439
Speaker 1: We're hoping the number goes higher. We're hoping the number

799
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: goes up to two and a half three the Bucks

800
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 1: as underdogs against the Eagles. All right. As a reminder,

801
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,399
Speaker 1: the Favorite podcast is presented by Bet three sixty five

802
00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:48,160
Speaker 1: and now new Bet three sixty five. Customers get two

803
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 1: hundred dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars,

804
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 1: sign up using promo code Favorites deposit ten dollars in

805
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 1: place a bet for five dollars to get two hundred

806
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 1: dollar bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on

807
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 1: spreads totals, player props, futures and more, whatever the moment,

808
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,080
Speaker 1: It's never ordinary. At bet three sixty five. Must be

809
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 1: twenty one or older in present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

810
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:19,640
Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and

811
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 1: older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred Gambler

812
00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:26,760
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditioned

813
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:31,839
Speaker 1: restrictions apply. Catch our next episode live on Tuesday one

814
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:36,719
Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern on Action Networks YouTube channel and in

815
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 1: the Action Network app, will cover the whole NFL Week

816
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:45,920
Speaker 1: four board and announce our Week three contest winner. You

817
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 1: can still win weekly prizes in the contest favorites at

818
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:55,200
Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever

819
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:58,280
Speaker 1: you get your pase rate, review subscribed, leave us five stars,

820
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 1: say whatever you want feedback. It's a gift till Tuesday.

821
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:01,800
Speaker 2: Love you.

822
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:12,120
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

823
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:14,960
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is

824
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler