1 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday 2 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: Matt Peroltz. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we're back after 5 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: a winning day. But it's been a losing week. So 6 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: I did not know what we did on Friday night. 7 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: It was no good. We went oh in three, so 8 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: that put us into a nasty little hole here where 9 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna need to go three and oh today in 10 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: order to have a winning week. Two in one won't 11 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: get it done. Now. We destroyed April, so I told 12 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 1: you that the cool down in May was probably going 13 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: to happen, and it's been. We're pretty much flat for 14 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: the entire month of May, so, like you know, not up, 15 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: not down, which isn't horrible, but it's not what we 16 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: want obviously. But as I've always said, I'm not going 17 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: to win every week. I'm not going to win every month. 18 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: We had a pretty good year in particular, a pretty 19 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: good second quarter. Not a great first quarter, but a 20 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:16,199 Speaker 1: very good second quarter for us. Last night, a couple 21 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 1: of laughers, we got to go, oh geez, sorry, let's 22 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: put that. Let's put those things on the screen. Sorry, 23 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: we need to do that before we talk about anything else. 24 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: There is the one I'm trying to put up so 25 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: that there's the Saturday results. Twins and the Royals score nine, 26 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: so we missed that. But easy over in Minnesota, in 27 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: ok See, easy over in Carolina and Florida. So a 28 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:42,199 Speaker 1: two and one day up point nine units for us 29 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 1: with that, and it's always good when we get a 30 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 1: little bit of a momentum heading into Sunday because I 31 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,639 Speaker 1: hate Sundays. Sundays are hard. I really don't like betting 32 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: baseball on Sundays. I really don't like betting anything on Sundays, 33 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: to be quite honest. But we have to because that's 34 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: the gig, right, it's the job. And there's two playoff games, 35 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: so I would betting obvious it's a Sunday playoff game. 36 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: So we're jumping in on hockey, we're jumping in on basketball, 37 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: and we're going to jump in here with you for baseball. 38 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 1: But Sunday Night baseball, we're going to jump in with 39 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 1: that here for us coming up today. But before we 40 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:15,839 Speaker 1: do anything, let me remind you about the offer going 41 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 1: on right now for Betting Pros Premium. You're going to 42 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 1: go and download the app, and when you do so, 43 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: you're going to use the code Juice to get a 44 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: seven day free trial. 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Go to bettingpros dot com 67 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 1: slash systems to elevate your betting strategy and to make 68 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: smarter bets using the Betting pros app. All right, let's 69 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: first get into a little basketball. So we missed on 70 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 1: the over for the Knicks and the Pacers by a point. 71 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: It fell two twenty three. That doesn't mean I'm going 72 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: to be discouraged about coming right back and betting the over. 73 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 1: We hit it in game one. It's two nothing, Indiana. 74 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: I mean, all you Nick fans quiet, that sounds it's silence. Huh. 75 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: Maybe you should celebrate before you actually win something. But 76 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: like I asked everybody, if the Knicks are so happy 77 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: and so overwhelmed and jubilant about being in the in 78 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 1: the Championship Eastern Conference Finals, are they hanging a banner 79 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: if they lose? Like serious question. If the Knicks lose 80 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: this series and they are monster dogs to win, this series. 81 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: Now they are in huge underdogs, losing the first two 82 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: games at home, the first game in horrific fashion, and 83 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:49,280 Speaker 1: I mean horrific fashion, maybe biggest choke in NBA playoff history. 84 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: You talk about them being able to come back, they're 85 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: four dollar dogs to come back. Now, if they win 86 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,280 Speaker 1: game three, different story. But they lose this to down 87 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:02,480 Speaker 1: three to zero and shut the lights out, Knicks are over. 88 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: So for winning a second round series, are the Knicks 89 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:10,160 Speaker 1: gonna hang a banner? My guess is no. So that's 90 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: why it was a little bit too much. That's why 91 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: we said, eh, maybe you shouldn't be talking so much. 92 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: But anyways, this game in the regular season, and it's 93 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,119 Speaker 1: a regular season. But in the regular season on the road, 94 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: the Knicks were one of the more high scoring teams 95 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 1: on the road this year in the NBA. Nick scored 96 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: a bunch. They were averaging about one hundred and thirteen 97 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: points per game on the road this year. For home 98 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: games for home teams, Indiana was fifth in the NBA 99 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: and home scoring, they averaged about one hundred and eighteen 100 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: points per game. If we get that again, we're going 101 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: over to twenty three. That's the total is to twenty three, 102 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: it fell to twenty five or sorry, toy, no, it 103 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:58,479 Speaker 1: fell to twenty three in the last game, right, we 104 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 1: bet over to twenty four. I'm just gonna bet it again. 105 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: I mean, if I lose it, I lose it like 106 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 1: so be it. But again, pace of play, three point shooting. 107 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 1: I'm gonna stick with what my eyes are telling me. 108 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: What my eyes are telling me is that that was 109 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 1: a slow first quarter and that's why the game did 110 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: not go over. But you know, look what happened in 111 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 1: the game last night between Minnesota and Okase. I mean 112 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: you can see it. You can see the offense, you 113 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 1: can see the Pacers, the three point shooting, the home crowd. 114 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 1: I don't mind laying it with Indiana. I think there's 115 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 1: a decent shot they win the game. But I think 116 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 1: the over is better. I mean the lines two so 117 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: you have a small price in Indiana. I don't hate it, 118 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 1: but I think you may even in game that and 119 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: get plus money on Indiana. Nicks are gonna play for 120 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: their lives. We know that, right, and because of that, 121 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 1: I think they play more up tempo. I think they 122 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: play faster. Indiana wants to play fast over two twenty 123 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 1: three between Indiana and the Knicks will bet it again 124 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 1: for a third consecutive game. I know it's kind of 125 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: like a rinse and repeat thing, but over two twenty 126 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: three coming in here with that bet number two, let's 127 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:06,359 Speaker 1: talk about the Stars and Game three against the Oilers. 128 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: This game is in Edmonton. So the Stars are an 129 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: interesting team. So they obviously scored a bunch of goals 130 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: in the Game one, and they got blanked in Game two, 131 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 1: blanked at home. I've pit a much better game out 132 00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: of Dallas. Zig zag theory applies here to me. These 133 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: teams are very closely matched. Game two goes to Edmonton. 134 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 1: I think Game three goes to Dallas. So Dallas won 135 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: Game three against Colorado on the road they wanted two 136 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 1: to one in overtime. They won the first game on 137 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 1: the road at Winnipeg, which was Game one. They won 138 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: that three to two, and so they've had success when 139 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: they go to the opposing team's barn for the first 140 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: time in this series. I don't hate a play on 141 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 1: the under. I don't hate that. If you want to 142 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 1: say the game is going to be a three to 143 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: two final, I can absolutely see it being a three 144 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: to two final. The total of six and a half. 145 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 1: So you want to play the under, it's minus one 146 00:07:56,480 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: twenty five. I don't hate that, but because I need 147 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: to make up a little ground here. Rather than play 148 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 1: a total, I want to play a side, and I 149 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 1: think Dallas wins and I get plus money. I get 150 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: good plus money. I get plus one forty on Dallas 151 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 1: to go to Edmonton and take Game three. I think 152 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: they're going to I think the goaltending will be better. 153 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: I think the power play will be better. I think 154 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 1: Miko Ranton will be better. He was pretty much a 155 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: ghost in Game two. I think he will be better 156 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: here in Game three. And Edmonton's known to give up 157 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 1: a ton of goals at home, so that's what scares 158 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: me from an over perspective. I mean, Skinner was great 159 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: in Game two, but in a shutout situation. But I 160 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:37,959 Speaker 1: want to see what happens here in game number three. 161 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: I think Dallas would be far more aggressive. I'll take 162 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:44,719 Speaker 1: Dallas on the money line to win Game three at 163 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 1: plus one forty for one unit, and finally we go 164 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: to Sunday Night baseball. Cody Senga is on the bump 165 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 1: for the Mets at home this year. The Mets with Senga. 166 00:08:57,960 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: He's got a point four to four eer, a two 167 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 1: to one record in twenty and a third innings worth 168 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: of work, eighteen hits, one earned run given up in 169 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: opposing batting average of two forty twenty one k's in 170 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: twenty in a third innings worth of work for Cody Senga. 171 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: Here's the fun thing about this? Is it? What not fun? 172 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 1: But the last time we bet this, remember Logan Web, 173 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: Remember when Logan Web was unbelievable at home and he 174 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 1: got racked. It is always scary to fade the Dodgers. 175 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie, but there's just something up with 176 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: this Dodgers team. Okay, this Dodgers team on the road 177 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: is thirteen and twelve. They lost yesterday to the Mets. 178 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: This is the rubber game of the three game set. 179 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 1: It is Sunday night baseball. You know there's gonna be 180 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 1: a ton of energy in the building for this is 181 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: gonna feel like a playoff game. Soto had had a 182 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: big hit yesterday, Mets rallied to win the game five 183 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: to two. Fading the Dodgers is scary, Like I mentioned, 184 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 1: but they've been on the road. They've been a little 185 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: bit questionable. I mean, they split a series on the 186 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 1: road to the Diamondbacks two two. They won't. They lost 187 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: a game on the road to the Marlins. They lost 188 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: a game on the road to the Braves. I mean, 189 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:10,960 Speaker 1: they've just been sort of scuttling. He was scuffling here 190 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 1: when it comes to being on the road. They're just 191 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:17,359 Speaker 1: not the same team in terms of just their firepower 192 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: and what they're capable of doing. You know, at home, 193 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: they're a formidable opponent obviously, and they're gonna throw not 194 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: a horrible starter in landon knack, but he's been hit 195 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: pretty good. Four earned runs in five earned runs in 196 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: his last two starts. Now, those were home games. On 197 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 1: the road, it was a ten to one win. In 198 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:38,959 Speaker 1: his last start against Miami, he went five and gave 199 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 1: up zero earned runs. Against Washington on the road, they 200 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 1: won the game six to five, two and a third 201 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 1: innings worth of work, he gave up five earned runs. 202 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 1: So he hasn't been great on the road. He has 203 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 1: the RA of four point eight two, but he's two 204 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 1: and zero at home. He has a seven point zero 205 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,839 Speaker 1: seventy RA zero to one with an opposing batting average 206 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,439 Speaker 1: of two two ninety three On the road. It's two 207 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: point fifty five and runs in nine and a third 208 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:08,959 Speaker 1: innings worth of work, so it's not horrific. But I'm 209 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:10,839 Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and take the home team here on 210 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,079 Speaker 1: Sunday Night Baseball. I'm gonna take the team that I 211 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 1: think is going to be playing with a lot of energy. 212 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: I'll take the Mets. I'll lay the mist one thirty 213 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 1: five on the money line. We'll go New York Mets 214 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 1: to win this game. So our plays for today Pacers 215 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:25,680 Speaker 1: Nicks over two twenty three and play that again for 216 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: one point one units. Stars on the money line at 217 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 1: plus one forty for one unit, and the Mets on 218 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: the money line at mis one thirty two for one 219 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 1: point three two units. Like I mentioned, hopefully we sweep. 220 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 1: If we do, we'll have a winning week. If we don't, 221 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: it'll be a down week in our first losing week 222 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 1: in the month of May. But you know, we'll start 223 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 1: a new one coming up tomorrow and hopefully make up 224 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:49,199 Speaker 1: for the ground we lost here coming up this week. 225 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perelt to following me because all 226 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. Wherever you 227 00:11:53,440 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts it is the daily juice