1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,360 Speaker 1: And we are back. It's trade talk on Fantasy Pros MLB. 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: I'm Chris Welsh, your trade guide for the day, and 3 00:00:07,240 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: hopefully I can put you onto some trade ideas that'll 4 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: get the juices flowing. My focus today, though, we're gonna 5 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: go a little bit deeper ish names, not like huge 6 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: giant names. Not saying that these aren't going to be 7 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: popular guys, but this is more like back half of 8 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: your roster players that we're betting can jump to the 9 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:26,240 Speaker 1: top half. Plus I'm gonna throw in a few bigger 10 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 1: names your way that I still want you to kick 11 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 1: the tires on. Sound good. Good? Do me a favor though, 12 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,160 Speaker 1: before we get going, hit the subscribe button below. Now 13 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: that we're good friends, next, make comment below. Now we're 14 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 1: really good friends. Everything you just did might get you 15 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: hooked up with a premium Fantasy Pros account. How cool 16 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 1: is that? Yeah, that's like best friends stuff. Fantasy Pros 17 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: has some of the best tools in the business, from 18 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: roster management, trade analysis, and tons more, all for baseball 19 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: and other sports. You want to check out more, go 20 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: to fantasypros dot com slash Premium, sit back, buckle up, 21 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 1: and let's get started with some trades. Since I am 22 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: your trade guide. If you look to your right, you're 23 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: going to see Baltimore Orioles first baseman, Ryan Mountcastle. Now 24 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 1: that's sub two forty batting average. It's been staring at 25 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: us in the face all year as Mountcastle has been pressing. 26 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: In the month of May, he's sporting a two point 27 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 1: fifty BABBIT and even worse a one point eighty four 28 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 1: over the last two weeks. This has come with his 29 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 1: struggles with breaking and offspeed pitches this year. Yet he 30 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: has a higher XBA than his current output on all 31 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: three pitches against, including offspeed pitches where he's hitting under 32 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: twot eighty, but an XBA of over three hundred. Now, 33 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: like am I selling you on buying him, I'm saying 34 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: a lot of negatives. The hope here is the babbit 35 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: is going to stabilize. As he's about fifty points under 36 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: his current babbitt for the year. His two forty BA 37 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: is met with an over two seventy expected batting average. 38 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: On top of that, a top twenty five percent hard 39 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: hit percentage in the league, which also shows up as 40 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,359 Speaker 1: the twelve most barrels per played appearance in the league. 41 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 1: I love that because I am really focused on that 42 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: top eight percent barrel percentage in the league, so per 43 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 1: played appearance and the overall barrel percentage is there. That 44 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 1: is where quality contact is going to come from. Throw 45 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: on top. He's also got two more expected homers than 46 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: he's currently hit at eleven, there's some room to build 47 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 1: back up his value. Now. I will say that expected 48 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 1: home run total was high. He was the leader last 49 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 1: year due to Baltimore, but it's not something I also 50 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: want to just overlook for the fact, the most worrisome 51 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,799 Speaker 1: portion of Ryan Mantcastle right now is the chase rate, 52 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:44,959 Speaker 1: which is like one of the worst in the league. 53 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 1: But with that, he's still projecting as a thirty home 54 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 1: run hitter across most rest of season projection systems because 55 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,799 Speaker 1: the belief with the expected numbers, hard hit, barreling and 56 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 1: low babbit is that we're going to see improvement. Mountcastle 57 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 1: can probably be had for quite little and it's kind 58 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 1: of a solid bat to bolster your corner endfield spot. 59 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 1: So I am making some waves and I am targeting 60 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: Ryan Mountcastle in maybe especially like two for two traits. Now, 61 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen, if you would please look to your 62 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: left I present to you a pitcher that you should own, 63 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Meryl Kelly. I will be honest, 64 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 1: I'm a little tepid about throwing Meryl your way, partly 65 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:32,519 Speaker 1: because he's a d Back and you know me, I 66 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: don't want to go like full homery. But also, the 67 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: long term track record for Meryl has its ebbs and flows, 68 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: so I think the argument could actually be made that 69 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: this might be a sell high moment as much as 70 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: it is a bye. But I think it's important that 71 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: when buying Kelly, it's at the lower cost. People aren't 72 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: exactly excited about him. He was more likely than not 73 00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: waiver wire fodder, so don't let them sell super high. 74 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: But with all that said, Kelly over the last month 75 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: put up the fifth best SIERRA among all qualified pitchers 76 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: at three point zero one. He also was one of 77 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: only three to have a sub three point three zero 78 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: SIERRA and double digit K per nine. The other two 79 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: franber Valdez Luis Castillose guys are pretty good. During that 80 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: same period of time, he had a thirty two percent 81 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 1: K percentage, which was six best among pitchers over the 82 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: last month and better than the likes Clayton Kershaw and 83 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: Kevin Gossman hitters hitting just one twenty five against his 84 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: change up this year. That is compared to two forty 85 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: last year. That pitch has become the X factor with 86 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 1: a fifth percentage over thirty five percent. So you're taking 87 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: in season track record how dominant he's been over the 88 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: last month, which I told you about with the Sierra 89 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: and the strikeout numbers, and then take a look at 90 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: this pitch that has been a game changer for him. 91 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: Also another small note as far as his pitches go, 92 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 1: He's altered his slider, which he only throws about five 93 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: percent of the time, but it currently has a fifty 94 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:10,799 Speaker 1: percent with rate. All of that, plus the Diamondbacks provide 95 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 1: run support. It's one of the best teams in the 96 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 1: NL and superior defense, one of the fastest teams, multiple 97 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: gold glovers. Meryl is a cheap trade chip to go 98 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: look at right now. Like I said, he may feel 99 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 1: more like a sell, but I think when people are 100 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: selling that buy isn't gonna look too nasty. So I'm 101 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: gonna go and try and get Meryl Kelly because I 102 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:35,160 Speaker 1: think he can bolster up my rotation at quite a 103 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: favorable cost, even though that cost might be a little 104 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: bit more because he was so good in May. Now, 105 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen, if you'd all joined me, not to 106 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: your right, to your left, let's look straight ahead for 107 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 1: our other big trade target. Looking straight ahead, you will 108 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 1: find Cincinnati Reds second baseman Jonathan India. I was actually 109 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 1: inspired to talk about India here because some of the 110 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: recent reports about how the Reds have a dilemma with 111 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 1: h him, specifically with Jonathan India, due to all the 112 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: bats that are coming. What are they going to do? 113 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: I think it looks kind of silly, to be honest 114 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: with you, India actually might be a bigger beneficiary to 115 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: a boost in this offense for the team than anybody else. 116 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: I mean, Spencer Steer is coming off of a month 117 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: that warrants we talk about him, and by the way, 118 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 1: I might have put him on this list, I kind 119 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: of did initially if it weren't for like Vado coming 120 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 1: up in the other prospects. I guess I just don't 121 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: know one hundred percent what the future holds. Maybe there's 122 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 1: going to be more of an aggressive platoon situation that 123 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 1: happens with Steer and Cees and Voda. I'm just not 124 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: really one hundred percent sure about it, but hey, Spencer 125 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: Steer is the real deal. But this one is about India. 126 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: India had a great last thirty days where he had 127 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: five homers, still six bases hit two seventy one and 128 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 1: had the second most run scored of any player with 129 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: twenty five rest of season projections still put India as 130 00:06:56,480 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: a fifteen home run twenty stolen based player. How many 131 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:02,719 Speaker 1: second basemen did that in twenty twenty two fifteen homers 132 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: twenty stolen bases. Two did that, Andersonanez and Jose Al Tuve. 133 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,679 Speaker 1: This would also go with a projected one hundred runs, 134 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: which the bat x is currently saying he'll do. And 135 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: if he doesn't get to benefit from the improved bats 136 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 1: in Ellie Daily, Cruz and Cees over guys like Stuart 137 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: Fairchild and Henny Ramos, then we assume he's being traded 138 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: to a better contending team that wants him in a 139 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 1: predominant spot. I think he's a crafty trade target right 140 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: now and looks to be a four to five category 141 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 1: middle infielder that is going to exponentially help your team 142 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: based off of the cost you're going to have to put. 143 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: Like I said, there's some negative stuff out there about 144 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: Jonathan India, I would try to take advantage of that 145 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: because I think at the end of the year those 146 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: stats are going to look mighty mighty good. Now, I 147 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 1: told you I had some quick hitters for you. Those 148 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 1: are my big focal points. But let's go through some 149 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: quick hitters of some bigger name players that I'm still 150 00:07:56,480 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 1: looking at trying to get Number one. Nolan Gorman eleven 151 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 1: percent in the league and hard hit percentage top eight 152 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 1: percent in barrel and only one pitch he's hitting under 153 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 1: two point fifty nine against all year. That's sliders and sweepers. 154 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: It's the only thing that's given him fits. He's not 155 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: really getting beat. He's hitting in the middle of the order, 156 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 1: which is the worst NL team, But I think that's 157 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 1: going to improve. It's hard to believe that they're gonna 158 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: stay there. And either way, give me Gorman in that 159 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: lineup with those changes and let me go by on 160 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: him another player that might seem like kind of a 161 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 1: bye ish high. I just don't think people quite quite 162 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 1: put him in the territory that he actually belongs. Number two. 163 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 1: How about Zach Gallan I get like hyper focused on 164 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 1: meh performances of players that I don't think the market 165 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 1: is caught up on. I'm not saying people don't realize 166 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 1: Gallan is good. Of course, everybody realizes he's good, but 167 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 1: I don't think that we are quite in the territory 168 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: where he should be. I think he's got a smaller 169 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:57,199 Speaker 1: margin for error than many people. Just went up against 170 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: the Braves, gave up two earned runs, three total runs, 171 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: and it was an okay performance. But I think where 172 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 1: I'm getting at is I think a lot of people 173 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 1: will still throw him in like a top ten to 174 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: twelve SP the rest of season. I think he legitimately 175 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: sits closer to top five. Actually recently did a mock 176 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 1: draft a rest of season mock draft, Gallen went off 177 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 1: as the fourth pitcher, and it was in unanimous agreement 178 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 1: that he was SP four. So if I can pay 179 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: SP twelve price to get a top five starting pitcher, 180 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 1: then I'm going to check in on owners, because, like 181 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,680 Speaker 1: I said, I just don't think that people have quite 182 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 1: bought in on Zach Gallen being in the territory that 183 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: he is, so any little eh performance going snap trade, 184 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:46,439 Speaker 1: And finally, I'm calling them the power bats Schwarber monsee Alonso. 185 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: These three in that order have the worst babbub in 186 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: baseball that was at least coming into Sunday, while they 187 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: had also combined going into Sunday for fifty one homers. 188 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: Schwarber kind of picked that up. I think Alonzo's the 189 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: toughest in here. Trade four Schwarber might be the easiest 190 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: except June Schwarber is in full effect after two homers 191 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,440 Speaker 1: on Sunday. It kind of gets me back to maybe 192 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 1: focusing on Max Monsey, who might be the perfect porridge 193 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:14,680 Speaker 1: of all of them. Mounsey is already pacing over one 194 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 1: hundred run, one hundred RBI, and forty homers all while 195 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 1: hitting just two hundred. I think I'll buy and I'll 196 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: buy all of those power bats right now. All right, friends, 197 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: those are our trade focuses for this week. Hopefully we 198 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:30,680 Speaker 1: can score some wins and hopefully you can make some 199 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 1: sweet deals if you do, drop them in the comments below. 200 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 1: Also join me and Joe Pizapia this week on Leading 201 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: Off It's Fantasy Pro's daily MLB show, where we talk 202 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,560 Speaker 1: about the latest news, best bets, we set price picks, lineups, 203 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: we interact with the audience, which is always the best, 204 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 1: So come and check us out. Subscribe to this channel 205 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:52,199 Speaker 1: and get notified whenever we're live Monday through Friday at 206 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:55,679 Speaker 1: twelve thirty pm Eastern. You can also follow me on 207 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: Twitter at is it the Welsh and I will see 208 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:01,959 Speaker 1: you next time right here on Fantasy Pro MLB. Bye friends, 209 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: thanks for listening to the Fantasy pros Baseball podcast. Follow 210 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: us on Twitter at Fantasy pros MLB, and subscribe to 211 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:13,680 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy pros MLB.