1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: It's time to get inside the Giants Huddle on giants 2 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: dot Com the Giants Podcast Network. Welcome to another edition 3 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: of the Giants Huddle podcast. John Schmolke with you. As 4 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: the start we hope of the two thousand and twenty 5 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: NFL season gets closer and closer, it's not to start 6 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: previewing what we might expect from the Giants this year. 7 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: And one guy that joins us every year is Warren Sharp, 8 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 1: who just released his football preview for Warren, Thanks for 9 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: being with us, John Schmilk here in New Jersey. Hope 10 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: you and your family, everybody in your world is safe 11 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 1: and healthy. Well we're doing well. You're right, that's the 12 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: most important thing. And uh, definitely happy to join you guys, 13 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:42,199 Speaker 1: looking forward to breaking down you know your team as 14 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: they head into the season. Well, first of all, why 15 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,160 Speaker 1: don't you tell the folks where they can find your book? 16 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: I love it every year. Um it's it's very colorful, 17 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: It has good graphs and charts, so it's easy to read. 18 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 1: It's not a ton of text. Um, it's great for 19 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 1: fantasy football. I think it's great for just kind of 20 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: figuring out what's in front for every team. So tell 21 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: the folks where they can find it and why they 22 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:05,960 Speaker 1: should buy it. Yeah, it's uh, it's up on sharp 23 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: football analysis dot com. And it's a product of three 24 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: and a half months of my research and labor into 25 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: trying to figure out why these teams didn't reach their 26 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 1: goals of nineteen and what they need to do differently 27 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 1: to have a successful campaign. And I break down and 28 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: share a lot of nuggets that you probably don't know 29 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 1: about your team, UM, and I walked through all thirty 30 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 1: two teams in the same exact manner, showcasing things that 31 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: went wrong last year and what's changed over the course 32 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:39,400 Speaker 1: of the last several months during the off season process, 33 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: and why things might look different this year. And I 34 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,960 Speaker 1: also give a lot of suggestions to the coaching staff 35 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 1: because I have some work with I do a lot 36 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: of work with certain teams, UM. And so I just 37 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: tended to go through all thirty two and say, here's 38 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: a few suggestions for each one of these teams. And 39 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: I'm sure we're going to dive into that in a minute. 40 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: Yeah we are. And let's start, say Kwon Barkley, because 41 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: as you put um in your story in and everyone 42 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: pretty much knows you know, saco On Barkley is the 43 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: centerpiece of the Giants offense. If you're gonna pick a 44 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: running back in the top five, he's gonna be a 45 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:10,519 Speaker 1: guy that has the ball in his hands an awful lot. 46 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,359 Speaker 1: But based on what you saw last year in terms 47 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 1: of how they used them, specifically in personnel, which dictates 48 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: what defenses, do you think they can try to utilize 49 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 1: him to get more out of him in the running game. Yeah. Absolutely, 50 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 1: there's a several things that are very key in which 51 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:29,799 Speaker 1: they need to fix. I think you guys are probably 52 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: with Jason Garrett now taking over, probably going to be 53 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,359 Speaker 1: a little bit more run heavy, That is my guest. Um. 54 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: He was obviously more run heavy down in Dallas, and 55 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: with a younger quarterback, I think he's going to look 56 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: to rely a little bit more on the run. So 57 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 1: it's important that you have success when you are running 58 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 1: the football, especially on early downs. I go into it 59 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: in the book, but you guys should have But for 60 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 1: that Arizona Cardinals game where you minus three in turnover margin, 61 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: should have been four wins to only one loss when 62 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 1: you won the early down success rate battle, but you 63 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 1: went one and ten when you lost it. So winning 64 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 1: that early down successory battle um as you did last 65 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: year in five games, it's going to be vital, which 66 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: means you can't be inefficient when you're running the football 67 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: on early downs. And the biggest problem as it related 68 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: to see Kwon Barkley last year, was when he was 69 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 1: running the ball, particularly on first down into loaded boxes, 70 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 1: where he was much worse than the NFL average. He 71 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 1: averaged minus zero point one one expected points per attempt, 72 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 1: gained only two point seven yards per carry with the 73 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 1: seven percent success rate when he ran the ball on 74 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: these first downs into loaded boxes. So you've got to 75 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: figure out, how are we going to get him to 76 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 1: be able to run the ball against boxes that aren't loaded. Well, 77 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: the only way you were able to do that last 78 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 1: year is to spread out. The defense used three plus 79 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: wide receiver sets, and you get the defense spread out 80 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: and you get a lighter look. But the problem with 81 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: what you were doing last year is when you got 82 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: those lighter looks, you were still running the foot You 83 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: were sorry, you were still throwing the football into those 84 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 1: layer looks, and when the defense was loading the box, 85 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: you had a very high run rate into those loaded boxes. 86 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 1: So my opinion, what you can change this year is 87 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 1: you can give Daniel Jones a little bit more command 88 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: at the line of scrimmage, get the defense to put 89 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 1: a lighter box in there by throwing out more wide 90 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: receivers and then allowing him to check out of that 91 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 1: run pass play into a run play. That's the type 92 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 1: of thing that you're going to need to get Daniel 93 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:35,159 Speaker 1: Jones to have an influence over the run game by 94 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 1: some late decisions at the line of scrimmage, and that's 95 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: really going to give you guys a much higher stealing 96 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 1: on these run plays. All Right, the lots will impact there. 97 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 1: Let's take this little by little here. So last year, 98 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: the Giants used eleven personnel, I think, top three in 99 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,359 Speaker 1: the league in terms of percentage of plays. Right, it 100 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 1: was their most frequent personnel group. But I guess your point, 101 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:55,559 Speaker 1: and I didn't look at it this way broken down, 102 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: even though they used eleven personnel a lot, they were 103 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: very the Bowl in the type of plays they ran 104 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 1: at a different personnel groups. So when they ran when 105 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: they had bigger personnel on the field, they ran it 106 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,280 Speaker 1: too often. When they had smaller personnel groups, they passed 107 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: it too often. So while they did spread the field 108 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 1: often with Levin, they didn't run enough out of those sets, 109 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: and they were too predictable with run at a big 110 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: personnel and pass at a small personnel exactly. That's definitely 111 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 1: a problem. And the other problem was particularly on early 112 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:29,279 Speaker 1: downs because truthfully, and you know this, John, but the 113 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: times that you want to be running the football are 114 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 1: in short yarded situation and inside the red zone. Those 115 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 1: are the times when the run game provides the most dividends. 116 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: The times that the run game provides the least dividend 117 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 1: is when you're passing. Sorry, when you're running the ball 118 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: on early downs, particularly first down. Um, the more often 119 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: you want to be passing the ball there, but I 120 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: think that with Jason Garrett's influence, you're probably going to 121 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: be running the ball more. So it's important just to 122 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: use your personnel to figure out how many defenders are 123 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 1: in the box and what defense is doing there, and 124 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: then just ensure that if you are getting a nice 125 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 1: look and if you are getting a lighter box that 126 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: you can check to a run play. Sakon Barkley dominates 127 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: in those situations, but really struggles if the defense has 128 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: a loaded box there. Well, it makes sense, right, He's 129 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: not a guy that's gonna lowers he can, he's physically cable, 130 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: but he's not a guy that wants to, you know, 131 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 1: do the ezekiel Eli lowers shoulder and grind out two 132 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,839 Speaker 1: yards after contact. He's gonna want to get in space 133 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 1: and make people miss. Right, So it makes sense that 134 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 1: if you can come out in eleven and give Daniel 135 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 1: Jones some freedom, you get him the ball in space. It's, 136 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:38,920 Speaker 1: you know, a bit of a cliche, but I think 137 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 1: in Barkley's case specifically, weren't to make sense. You get 138 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: him the ball in space, more the field spread out more, 139 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: he's going to be a better player. And to the 140 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 1: point you made before, running on early downs, you're not 141 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: gonna gain a lot of yards. But he's such an 142 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:58,240 Speaker 1: explosive player he can make more big running plays than others, 143 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: especially if you get him the ball and more space. Yeah, 144 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: and let me liken it back to the team that 145 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,359 Speaker 1: won the Super Bowl. That your you know, your your nemesis. 146 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: You guys knocked them off for a couple of times. 147 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: But the New England Patriots won the Super Bowl and 148 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 1: they had a top ten rushing offense in terms of efficiency. 149 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: But really the reality was where they were good. They 150 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: were like Pop two when they ran the ball against 151 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: six men boxes or fewer. But when they ran the 152 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: ball against seven which is the average you know, three 153 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: down lineman, four linebackers or vice versa against seven man 154 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 1: boxes or eight man boxes, they were average to below 155 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: average when running the ball in both of those situations. 156 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: But what Tom Brady was able to do is in 157 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: short like check out of run plays when they were 158 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:47,679 Speaker 1: facing heavier boxes and run more often into the place 159 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: where they were facing lighter boxes. And so you know, 160 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 1: if you look at Barkley when he's even facing seven 161 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 1: man boxes, which is the average he last year on 162 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 1: first down the average, the NFL average was four point 163 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: seven yards per care against the seven man box, he 164 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: average only three point three. The average was that you 165 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 1: lost minus your point to expected points. He lost minus 166 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: point one five. So you know, seven times the NFL 167 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: average in terms of expected points lost um on those 168 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: types of run play. So you really just gotta ensure 169 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: that you're checking out of runs that don't have good 170 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: looks on first down and running into looks that do 171 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 1: have good books. You know, it's funny where we actually 172 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: talked about this a little bit on our radio broadcast 173 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:29,320 Speaker 1: last year where you could actually see a bit of 174 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: a difference that Eli Manning was in there and just 175 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 1: and again I didn't look at the you know, they 176 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: don't track audibles and change with the line of scrimmage, 177 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: but it seemed like Manning was able to probably because 178 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: of experience. He's given more freedom is an older quarterback 179 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: to make some more of those changes the line of scribage. 180 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 1: You have to figure in a second year, after getting 181 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 1: twelve games of experience as a rookie, you can start 182 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: giving Daniel Jones some more leeway and making those types 183 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 1: of changes. Absolutely, I think they definitely can. Um The 184 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: trick is this offseason you're not getting as much practice 185 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: doing that type something. But there's no doubt about it. 186 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: They need to be drilling, you know, remotely, and he 187 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 1: needs to be practicing and doing the mental reps that 188 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 1: it takes in order to be able to do that. 189 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: And I think they definitely can put more on his 190 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: plate this year before I get the Jones on first downs, 191 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:17,079 Speaker 1: because I think there's some interesting nuggets in there too. 192 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: Can you explain why production on early downs is so important, 193 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,439 Speaker 1: because I think the perception is that you know, third 194 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,960 Speaker 1: down play is very important. It is, We're not saying 195 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:30,359 Speaker 1: it's not. But why is first down production so important 196 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 1: for the overall success of NFL offenses in the modern era? Yeah, 197 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 1: it's it's crazy. Not enough people talk about it, but 198 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: it's something that I started tracking several years ago and 199 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 1: his hold held true every single one of the years since. 200 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:46,559 Speaker 1: UM And that is that early down efficiency to bypass 201 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 1: third downs entirely is such a massive predictor of success 202 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: UM far too often too many people prior to when 203 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: I started doing this, we're just looking at, Okay, what's 204 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:00,640 Speaker 1: the average of this team overall? Like, what is what 205 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 1: is their overall efficiency? What are they what are they 206 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: doing as an offense every single down? You know? And 207 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 1: what I started doing is cigaregating out and segmenting out 208 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 1: early downs versus third downs, and what are you doing 209 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 1: on first down versus second town And you're getting a 210 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 1: little bit more granular in that analysis, because third down 211 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: is just such a key leverage down typically, you know, 212 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: for the casual fan, you'll start to realize this. Most 213 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 1: of the time when a team gets set up with 214 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,199 Speaker 1: a third and four or third and seven, whatever, the 215 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: yardage is right that offensive coordinator is taking a little 216 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: bit more time to get a good play in the 217 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 1: defense then has the time because the offense is substituting 218 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 1: the right personnel out there, the defense has a chance 219 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 1: to get their good personnel out onto the field. And 220 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: most often, when you don't convert that third down, because 221 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: the defense has their best personnel to stop this down 222 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 1: and distance. When you don't convert that situation, you're punting 223 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 1: the ball or you're kicking a field goal. You know not, 224 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,839 Speaker 1: you're not continuing your drive. And so the key is 225 00:10:56,880 --> 00:10:59,479 Speaker 1: you want to end every single drive with a touchdown, 226 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 1: and so failing to do so is technically a loss. 227 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: And you can't be having these losses until it gets 228 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 1: back to how efficient are you on first down? Can 229 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 1: you get enough yards so that you can potentially bypass 230 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: that third down. So the aggressiveness on early down, especially 231 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:19,439 Speaker 1: at the beginning of a game, is something that plays 232 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: strongly into your ability to win that game. And treat 233 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 1: be told, not enough coaches even focus on that type 234 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: of early down aggressiveness at the start of the game. Yeah, 235 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 1: and coordinators are also save their best defensive schemes. You know, 236 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 1: they'll come up with a couple of creative blitzes each game, 237 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 1: a couple of the you know, the skuy zones, and 238 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 1: that's what they'll bring out on third downs. Right on 239 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 1: first down, you'll get much more generic, you know type 240 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: of stuff. And I think this is why when you 241 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 1: look at Daniel Jones' numbers last year, and I just 242 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,199 Speaker 1: did this huge study of of his UH numbers warm 243 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,000 Speaker 1: based on situation through a lot of the stuff they 244 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 1: have over at PFF. You know, they do a great 245 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: job with it. Two and his first down passing numbers 246 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: were not great, and that should be something that's a 247 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: little bit easier for a quarterback. His play action from 248 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:02,960 Speaker 1: under center, which more often than that's going to happen. 249 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 1: What on first down, right is your big personnel play 250 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,080 Speaker 1: action on the center? Try to throw on first down? 251 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 1: He did not excel in that area, yet on third 252 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: down he was actually a little bit more productive. So 253 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: I wonder how they try to leverage where Jones's strengths are, 254 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 1: at least based on a rookie year. Now, maybe that's 255 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:21,840 Speaker 1: a small sample size deal and will change because I 256 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 1: thought his production I think was very interesting in terms 257 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:26,840 Speaker 1: of where he excelled at his rookie as a rookie 258 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: and where he didn't, which in a lot of ways 259 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,560 Speaker 1: I think is different based on how you perceive where 260 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 1: a quarterback should be good at certain things during a game. Yeah, 261 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: and one of the things I write about I agree 262 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 1: on all of that. And one of the things that 263 00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 1: I write about in the Giants chapter of this book 264 00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:44,600 Speaker 1: is that the Giants were barely better with under center 265 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:47,079 Speaker 1: play action than when they didn't use any at all. 266 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: But where they were really good at with Jones was 267 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 1: passing the football from shotgun play action. And and that's 268 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 1: where in shotgun play action the yards per attempt was 269 00:12:57,480 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 1: almost eleven yards per tempt, your success rate was really high. 270 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,319 Speaker 1: E p A was through the roof um. And so 271 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,319 Speaker 1: I think they need to use a little bit more. 272 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:09,080 Speaker 1: You know, typically you will get a defense to bite 273 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 1: more when you think it's going to be under center 274 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: play action, because you know, the drop back looks a 275 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 1: lot more like a run play. But the reality is, 276 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,520 Speaker 1: anytime you're sticking the ball, you have to do things 277 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: that the quarterback is the best that doing UM. And 278 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: so your preconceived idea that okay, we're gonna drop back 279 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 1: and use play action if the quarterback doesn't excel throwing 280 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 1: the football after facing his you know, running back and 281 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: turning his back to the defense, if that's not the 282 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 1: strength of his which with some quarterbacks it is and 283 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: some it's not clearly. What the numbers bear out is 284 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:45,680 Speaker 1: that it was not a strength with Daniel Jones last year. 285 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,160 Speaker 1: But what was still very productive and what did gain 286 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: a much better edge over a typical shotgun drop back 287 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 1: is when he would do a play action shotgun drop 288 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: back where he would stick the ball and the linebackers 289 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 1: are still going to think, oh my god, we we 290 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 1: were heed all week that we've got to slow down 291 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: and stop take one Barkley as best possible. So even 292 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:10,520 Speaker 1: if it's a shotgun play action, they're still respecting that. 293 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: And Daniel Jones did much better without turning his back 294 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:16,439 Speaker 1: to the defense. So um, that's something that I think 295 00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: they might want to work a little bit more on 296 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: as well, and I detail that in the book. Yeah. Absolutely, 297 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 1: And you know, Jones last year on shotgun play action 298 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 1: passes Warren top rated quarterback in the league under center, 299 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 1: I think he was the second worst. So you're right, 300 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 1: I think turning your back on the defense is is 301 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: kind of the big mechanical difference there, and I think 302 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 1: it's a it's really interesting, and you know, that's something 303 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: of these college players don't do a lot. They don't 304 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: run a lot of play action from under center in 305 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: college anymore. You know, so many guys aren't gun all 306 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 1: the time. So I think it's something that these quarterbacks 307 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 1: kinda have to, you know, get used to. In the 308 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 1: pros um Jones is aggressiveness. But I think this is 309 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: interesting because I found the same thing when I studied him. 310 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 1: You know, you kind of qualify aggressive this in two 311 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: different ways, and and I did likewise, where I think 312 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 1: he could do to maybe try to fill the ball 313 00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 1: down the field a little bit and take a few 314 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:57,880 Speaker 1: more deep shots to be a little more accurate with 315 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 1: those deep shots. But he is very aggressive in in 316 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 1: the form that he is not afraid to throw the 317 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: ball in the coverage and he will try to squeeze 318 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: that ball in the tight spots and it turns into 319 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 1: a lot of really impressive throws in big plays. But 320 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 1: that's probably also why he had some misused with turnovers. 321 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 1: Yeah exactly. I mean, he ranked as one of the 322 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: most aggressive quarterbacks in terms of throwing the ball into 323 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 1: tight windows um and passes that have a very low 324 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: expected completion percentage when you're throwing into these tight windows. 325 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 1: Despite the fact that his average depth of target was 326 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 1: not all that deep, so you know, that's a big problem. 327 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: In my opinion, it means that his wide rest It 328 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 1: means two things. Either the wide receivers weren't getting enough 329 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: separation or the route combinations and the predictability of the 330 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 1: past game. The defense knew the passes were coming on 331 00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: these downs and the route combinations weren't very deceptive, and 332 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 1: so I think a new coordinator calling and designing some 333 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: of these plays would definitely benefit them. Um, you can't. 334 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 1: It's fine with being aggressive and throwing the ball into 335 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 1: tight windows when the payoff is worth doing so, you 336 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: know when the when the reward is worth that risk. 337 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 1: But you know, most of the good offensive coordinators out 338 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: there are making life very easy on the quarterbacks by 339 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 1: getting easier completions, especially on those that are underneath throws, 340 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 1: having guys that are a little bit more open who 341 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: can gain yards after the catch, as opposed to trying 342 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: to fit the ball into all of the tight windows 343 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: on these underneath and intermediate throws. So I definitely think 344 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,280 Speaker 1: that there needs to be a lot of improvement from 345 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:40,600 Speaker 1: that perspective. So I'm hopeful that through whether decision making 346 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 1: from the quarterback himself and what Jones decide where he 347 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 1: decides to put the ball, or it's the scheming up 348 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: and the you know, the deception of the passing offense. 349 00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: You know, between both of those things, I think that 350 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: there's going to be better expectations for what we can 351 00:16:57,720 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: get out of the passing game this year. It's all 352 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 1: about a more prudent decisions, right, understanding what the potential 353 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: reward is based on the risk on a certain play. 354 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,400 Speaker 1: And sometimes warren't it's okay to to punt the ball. 355 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: I mean that that's okay and and and sometimes it's 356 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 1: a better result than trying to fit the ball into 357 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 1: this small window or holding in an extra second or 358 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:20,199 Speaker 1: two in the pocket which turns into a turnover. So 359 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 1: I think that's something a young quarterback, at least in 360 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 1: my experience, i'd like to get your opinion, can learn 361 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,879 Speaker 1: is understanding how to be more prudent and what risks 362 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: are worth it when you're making those decisions on the field. Oh, 363 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 1: there's no doubt I think you can definitely learn that. 364 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:39,399 Speaker 1: That's a trained attribute that you can improve. Um. You know, 365 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 1: there's certain things that I believe some quarterbacks can't improve on. 366 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 1: That decision making is definitely something that quarterbacks can improve on. 367 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,160 Speaker 1: Some guys don't write like you look at a guy 368 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: like Jamis Winston. Sure maybe it was his eyesight, who 369 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 1: know hosts, But you know, Jamis Winston hasn't really developed 370 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 1: that and gotten better at it whereas other quarterbacks have 371 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,120 Speaker 1: been able to do. Then you know, you're obviously optimistic 372 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 1: that Daniel Jones will be able to do that. And 373 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: he's mean, look, he's still a baby as it comes 374 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: to the NFL, and these are the best times to 375 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: train those proper UH ways to read the defense and 376 00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 1: look at different um, you know, progressions and try to 377 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 1: figure out when to go from one to two to 378 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:23,360 Speaker 1: three and where to look on the field and what plays. 379 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 1: You know, I think a new new slate of plays 380 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:29,040 Speaker 1: to call UH and and operate under wild definitely benefit 381 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,160 Speaker 1: him as well. So I think it's a I think 382 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: the sky is, you know, the ceiling is still high 383 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 1: enough for Daniel Jones to develop into things we haven't 384 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 1: seen where he's going to be Judging him based on 385 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 1: what he did last year, I think would be a mistake. 386 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 1: I definitely think that there's a lot of room for 387 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 1: growth here. And you know it's not always litter either. 388 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 1: There might be another step back before he takes a 389 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:50,880 Speaker 1: step forward, and I think that's something that you kind 390 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:52,640 Speaker 1: of That's why I have to be patient with quarterbacks 391 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,680 Speaker 1: that I'm always just gonna, you know, get better year 392 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 1: over year. The receiving corps. This is a thing that 393 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: we've talked a lot about more on on our shows 394 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 1: here on Science dot Com. And you know, fans get 395 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 1: concerned because they don't have that, you know that one 396 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 1: a Julio Jones type wide receiver. But my argument has 397 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: been that all three of these receivers, you know, Tatan 398 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: Shephard and more veteran slate in a rookie. Then you've 399 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 1: got Ingram at tight end. You know, they're all good players. 400 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 1: They can all create separation they call get open. What's 401 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 1: your view on you know, the weapons that Jones has 402 00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 1: to target through the air, well, I mean it's ironic 403 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:27,159 Speaker 1: you use the term separation, and yet that's what he 404 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 1: was thrown into all these tight windows last season. So 405 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,639 Speaker 1: these guys do have the skill set to get open. 406 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: Now it's a matter of Jones finding the best guy 407 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,880 Speaker 1: to throw the ball too, but also the route combinations 408 00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: in the way if the offense is called in this uh, 409 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 1: you know a little bit of deception, I keep saying, 410 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:46,920 Speaker 1: but that's what the offense needs to create a little 411 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 1: bit more of where the defense doesn't know that it 412 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 1: is definitely going to be a pass here. And when 413 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: the defense doesn't know, then you're going to get some 414 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: better looks. But the one key for me, at least 415 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 1: from your receiving corps that I think is worth focusing 416 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: on is Evan Ingram and the fact that you know, 417 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 1: after he was so productive in he definitely fell off 418 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: a lot last season and we've got to figure out 419 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 1: a way A tight end is one of the biggest Uh. 420 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:14,720 Speaker 1: You know, if you played chess at all, like the 421 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 1: queens on the chessboard, you can do so much. You 422 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,919 Speaker 1: can move them so many different spots. He's one of 423 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,679 Speaker 1: the quarterbacks best friends because of the mismatches that he 424 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:26,440 Speaker 1: can create. And yet last season the efficiency to Evan 425 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,879 Speaker 1: Ingram was really poor. Well, I want to interrupt you 426 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:31,440 Speaker 1: one second. I want you to get deeper into that 427 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: because fans are probably confused there, like, wait a second, 428 00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: he played eight games. If you you know, take his 429 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: stats and put him into sixteen games, you called ninety 430 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,000 Speaker 1: balls that that's a career high for him. So why 431 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 1: do you think and it just explained why you don't 432 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:47,360 Speaker 1: think he was efficient offensively last year? Yeah, I mean 433 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 1: if you look at what he did, um after he 434 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:53,360 Speaker 1: like in the season, uh, he had nine yards per 435 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:57,640 Speaker 1: attempt and he averaged point to six expected points per attempt. 436 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 1: Now I expected points. For the fans that aren't familiar 437 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 1: with the term, it's an advanced metric. It looks at, 438 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 1: you know, how many more points are you gaining from 439 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: moving closer to the opposing end zone through this play, 440 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,199 Speaker 1: Like from the beginning of the play to the end 441 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 1: of the play, how much closer do you get to 442 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:19,160 Speaker 1: the end zone? Um and point to six. But last 443 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 1: season he was just down at point zero seven, so 444 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: almost a quarter of the efficiency from an expected points 445 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 1: production standpoint, his yards per tempt drop from nine down 446 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,160 Speaker 1: to six point eight. His success rate was only at 447 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,920 Speaker 1: success rate. So when you're looking at volume based statistics, 448 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 1: which is like total catches and total yards and total touchdowns, 449 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 1: that's the wrong way to look at football. Throw out 450 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:49,719 Speaker 1: the total volume type statistics and look more so at 451 00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,959 Speaker 1: the efficiency and per play based statistics. And when you 452 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: do so, Evan Ingram's production last year was much worse 453 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 1: than what it was And that's why I say they 454 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: need to do a better job of getting Evan Ingram 455 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 1: to produce better in than he did in twenty nineteen 456 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:13,440 Speaker 1: and enhance that efficiency. His average target of depth last 457 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,439 Speaker 1: year was only six point one yards down the field, 458 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,359 Speaker 1: so these are not very difficult deep passes um and 459 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 1: you need to have a much higher efficiency if you're 460 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 1: throwing the ball underneath more to a tight end who 461 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 1: should be able to get opened easier and who should 462 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:33,440 Speaker 1: have better mismatches against whatever defender they threw at him. 463 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,119 Speaker 1: And it's not as if Evan Ingram is over the 464 00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:39,400 Speaker 1: hill older tight end or he's more so a blocking 465 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: tight end. You know, this is an elite athlete who 466 00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:46,119 Speaker 1: is a perfect receiving weapon for you and a great 467 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 1: mismatch against whoever you put on him. You need to 468 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 1: get a lot more efficiency out of him. I think 469 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 1: Jason Garrett, with his experience in working with tight ends 470 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 1: and quarterback, should be able to design some things that 471 00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: are going to allow Evan Ingram, assuming he stays healthy, 472 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: a much higher ceiling. I love what you do warn 473 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 1: in terms of breaking down strength of schedule. So let's 474 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,199 Speaker 1: start the offense first. You know, the Giants offense is 475 00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,359 Speaker 1: going into this year, as you said, new coach, new 476 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,639 Speaker 1: offensive coordinator, no offseason, they haven't even been on the 477 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 1: field yet together as a team. And they roll out 478 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 1: of the gates. They gotta take on for the best 479 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 1: past defenses in the league last year, the Steelers, the Rams, 480 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: the Niners, the Bears. The front of the schedule is 481 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,679 Speaker 1: real tough. Is that something that in your opinion, is 482 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,840 Speaker 1: consistent throughout the year. What is this Giants offense gonna 483 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,679 Speaker 1: have to deal with from an opponent perspective? Um that 484 00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:41,119 Speaker 1: could dictate how they have to play some of these games. Yeah, 485 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 1: they have a very difficult I mean, their overall difficulty 486 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 1: in terms of the passing defenses that they're going to 487 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:50,880 Speaker 1: face moved from They had the nineteenth toughest schedule last year, 488 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,680 Speaker 1: so a little bit below average but right around average, 489 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 1: up to the tenth toughest this year. So there are 490 00:23:56,440 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 1: top ten schedule in terms of difficulty of past defense 491 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: is so even more of a reason why you're going 492 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,679 Speaker 1: to need um this offense to be efficient when they 493 00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:07,640 Speaker 1: are passing the football and make a life a little 494 00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: bit easier on Daniel Jones. But no, we're probably going 495 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 1: to see the worst of it to start the year. 496 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 1: I mean, there might be some aches and growing paints 497 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:19,479 Speaker 1: early on where there's frustration about Jason Garrett because this 498 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:23,199 Speaker 1: first month of the season, You're exactly right, they're facing 499 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 1: four top ten past defenses. It's one of the toughest 500 00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:29,119 Speaker 1: schedules in the NFL. Out the gates for the first 501 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,920 Speaker 1: four weeks of the year, but after that, things definitely 502 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: get a lot easier to get a game against the 503 00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 1: get three straight division games, and all those teams had 504 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 1: average to below average past defenses last season, and I 505 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,440 Speaker 1: think your schedule opens up a little bit so that 506 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,400 Speaker 1: so that you know, if you are playing fantasy, for example, 507 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 1: and things look guy or early on for this passing 508 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 1: attack and perhaps a guy like Kevan Ingram or one 509 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:56,359 Speaker 1: of the other weapons is not doing very well on 510 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: another team, this might be a time that you want 511 00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 1: to trade for that player, because, as I think, after 512 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,520 Speaker 1: that first month of the season, this passing offense, especially 513 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:06,880 Speaker 1: with the lack of the off season and the lack 514 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 1: of the ability to work together, they'll develop more chemistries 515 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: were out practice and heading into these games. They won't 516 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,959 Speaker 1: look as great during those games, but once the schedule 517 00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: lightens up, I think there's a chance for the passing 518 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,719 Speaker 1: offense to look a lot better starting in October. On 519 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:23,919 Speaker 1: the other hand, you think, sake on Barkley, you might 520 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: have some more opportunities to concede this year based on 521 00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 1: what he faced last year in terms of defenses. Yeah, 522 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,720 Speaker 1: I do. I think that there's more opportunities. You know, 523 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 1: the rushing attack, uh, in terms of the run defenses 524 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 1: does get a little bit easier for him. Um, you know, 525 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: we look at his overall numbers and we talked about 526 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:44,959 Speaker 1: you you look at his totals, his volume based statistics, 527 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 1: but even his efficiency wasn't quite on par with what 528 00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,159 Speaker 1: a lot of fans maybe we're hoping for out of 529 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 1: such a high, highly drafted player. But you guys did 530 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,720 Speaker 1: face the fourth toughest schedule of run defenses. So we 531 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,400 Speaker 1: all have to we we wanted running back to produce, 532 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: but there's only so much you can ask. I mean, 533 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: passes are more efficient that runs to begin with. So 534 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,080 Speaker 1: when you're running in poor situations like they were doing, 535 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,800 Speaker 1: and you're doing it against the pop five schedule of 536 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:13,399 Speaker 1: run defenses, it's going to be hard to be ultra impressive. 537 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 1: You do get a little bit easier schedule of run defenses, 538 00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 1: it's not overly easy. It's still a top ten schedule 539 00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,040 Speaker 1: in terms of forecasted run defenses that you're going to 540 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,879 Speaker 1: face this year. One aspect of it that gets a 541 00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 1: lot easier is the explosive run defenses. Last season, you 542 00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,560 Speaker 1: play defenses that ranked seventh best in terms of allowing 543 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:37,680 Speaker 1: explosive runs. These are runs that gain over ten yards. 544 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: But in you face the twentieth toughest schedule, so you 545 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,879 Speaker 1: move from number seven to number twenty, so from above 546 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: average to below average defenses from that perspective, so maybe 547 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:51,959 Speaker 1: Sa Kwan is able to get going a little bit, 548 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:53,680 Speaker 1: and we know how dangerous he is when he gets 549 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,880 Speaker 1: into the open field, so that's definitely a positive for him. 550 00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 1: I have at the Giants defense. Let's move on to 551 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 1: them and will still aren't the schedules Since that's what 552 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:04,479 Speaker 1: we're talking about. What do you foresee for them in 553 00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 1: terms of some of the particular challenges they're going to 554 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:12,920 Speaker 1: face from opposing offenses on schedule, Well, last season they 555 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:18,640 Speaker 1: faced the tenth easiest schedule of opposing offenses. This year 556 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:22,680 Speaker 1: I have them facing the toughest schedules, so right around 557 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 1: average slightly above average schedules. So the caliber of opposing 558 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 1: offenses definitely is going to improve. UM. And that's even 559 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:33,320 Speaker 1: without taking a consideration. You know, like you're taking on 560 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,119 Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, for example, UM, who have a 561 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 1: better offense than they did last year, or the Arizona Cardinals, 562 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,320 Speaker 1: whose offense I think is going to be better this 563 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,960 Speaker 1: year than last year. And a couple of those situations, 564 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 1: like the opponents that you're going to be facing, UM, 565 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: the timing isn't necessarily ideal. For example, we're talking about 566 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:57,919 Speaker 1: new quarterbacks, likely improved offenses because they're adding new parts, 567 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 1: new coaches. UM, you're playing several of these teams later 568 00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 1: in the season. So if you look back, if you 569 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,320 Speaker 1: look at where when you're gonna play the Bucks, you 570 00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:08,200 Speaker 1: play them week eight, so you don't get to deal 571 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,159 Speaker 1: with them, or early when you play the Bengals with 572 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback, you don't play them until week twelve, 573 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:15,160 Speaker 1: so they've had time to gel the Cardinals. This week 574 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 1: four team, the Cleveland Browns, who have a new coach 575 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: and a new system, you don't get to play them 576 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,359 Speaker 1: until week fifteen, so all these teams have had a 577 00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 1: chance to get their offenses on track a little bit more. Um, 578 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 1: even like the Washington Redskins, who you're taking on twice. 579 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: Of course, you have to play them the first game 580 00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:34,679 Speaker 1: until week six, so new coaches, new coordinators working with 581 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,480 Speaker 1: these guys. The only real bright spot would be week 582 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 1: two you get to take on the Chicago Bears. Uh, 583 00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 1: they potentially might have a new quarterback terms of Nick 584 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 1: Boles over Mr Robinsky. But um, other than that, I 585 00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,959 Speaker 1: don't love when you're playing these guys, and the overall 586 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 1: schedule does become a little bit more difficult. Yeah, you 587 00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 1: mentioned only the year the first four opponents when we 588 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,960 Speaker 1: talked about their defenses already, But the offenses they all 589 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,160 Speaker 1: return their head coaching offensive coordinator, so you know those 590 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 1: guys are not learning a new system. You mentioned full 591 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 1: in Chicago, but Goff returns, Groppolo returns, Roethlisberger theoretically should 592 00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,760 Speaker 1: be back, and those teams should you know, be more 593 00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 1: ready to go than others that had to undergo a 594 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: lot of these changes. When you look at the Giants 595 00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:15,280 Speaker 1: defense overall from their performance last year, Warren, and this 596 00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 1: is a point I've made uh this year. If you 597 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 1: look at last year in the NFL generally speaking, and 598 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,320 Speaker 1: you look at the yards per pass play allowed, which 599 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 1: to your point is a rate metric, right, and the 600 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 1: bottom eight teams in the league in that category, none 601 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:31,480 Speaker 1: of them made the playoffs. I think five of the 602 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,320 Speaker 1: eight picked in like the top eight of the draft 603 00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,480 Speaker 1: or something like that. You know, that, to me is 604 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: a number that if you want to be a playoff 605 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 1: team or compete for a playoff spot, you gotta get 606 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 1: into that middle third of the league. Because really, now nowadays, 607 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:47,240 Speaker 1: if you can't stop the pass, you can't win games 608 00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 1: in the NFL. No, absolutely, because when you have a 609 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 1: lead in games, what's the opponent going to be doing. 610 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:58,600 Speaker 1: This is why some teams don't mind having a slightly 611 00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:01,240 Speaker 1: worse run defense. Obviously, you want to be stacked everywhere 612 00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:03,760 Speaker 1: right and have a perfect defense number one across the board. 613 00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 1: But if you have to be bad at something, you'd 614 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 1: rather be bad against the rum because if you can 615 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 1: if you can stop the pass and you can get 616 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:14,160 Speaker 1: a lead, then the other teams becomes predictable. You know 617 00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,640 Speaker 1: they're going to be passing the football, and your past 618 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 1: defense can have opportunities for sacks which caused turnovers, can 619 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:24,640 Speaker 1: have opportunities for pressures which cause interceptions. Um. So all 620 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 1: these things are beneficial and especially when you make that 621 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 1: offense a little bit more predictable, which modern teams that's 622 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:35,400 Speaker 1: all they got really is is you cannot be predictable. 623 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: If you're not predictable on offense, you're gonna have the 624 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 1: upper hand because all the rules are in your favor 625 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:42,520 Speaker 1: to have success over the defense. So the fact that 626 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:46,120 Speaker 1: the Giant plus season had the second worst past defense 627 00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 1: by d v o A, which is an efficiency metric 628 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:52,680 Speaker 1: um is very problematic and they need to be able 629 00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 1: to improve their their ability to pressure the quarterback, their 630 00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 1: ability to defend on obvious passing situations, because otherwise the 631 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,080 Speaker 1: going to be very easy when a team when when 632 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 1: they get when the Giants get the lead, for that 633 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 1: opposing offense just throw the football because they need to 634 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:09,600 Speaker 1: throw the football, come down the field and score a 635 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: point some points and then retake the lead. Over you guys. Yeah, 636 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 1: I'm with um generally speaking, Warren. When when you when 637 00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 1: you take a look at some of the trends that 638 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,720 Speaker 1: you've seen in the NFL, you know, the big one 639 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:23,720 Speaker 1: that you mentioned in the course of the Giants section 640 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 1: of your book, or the turnovers, and they trump everything, right, 641 00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 1: I mean, if you are negative to internover ratio, you 642 00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:32,680 Speaker 1: have like a chance of winning the game. It's it's 643 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:38,400 Speaker 1: it's brutal. Is there anything you found that makes turnovers 644 00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 1: more predictive for certain teams? Is it very random? What 645 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 1: has some of your research shown you in terms of 646 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 1: trying to prevent turnovers and just do better in that 647 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: overall turnover ratio battle that every team is trying to 648 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 1: win every week. Well, you're right, a lot of times 649 00:31:56,520 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: they're difficult. Um. Some quarterbacks have tendencies be worse at 650 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,440 Speaker 1: them than others. But a lot of times it is 651 00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 1: difficult to predict. But if you coach ball security in 652 00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 1: the run game and ball security from your quarterback in 653 00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:11,080 Speaker 1: the pocket, which is another thing that you know, you 654 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:13,680 Speaker 1: if you if you can improve the ball security in 655 00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:16,600 Speaker 1: the pocket of the quarterback, that's something that can be 656 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,719 Speaker 1: learned and improved. UM. And ball security for running back 657 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 1: because you guys know with Pep Barber in the past, like, 658 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: you can improve those types of things as well. So 659 00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,840 Speaker 1: if you're able to improve it in the run game 660 00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:30,240 Speaker 1: and the quarterback drop back game, then it really comes 661 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,960 Speaker 1: down to Obviously it's difficult. You're gonna have tips balls, 662 00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,520 Speaker 1: you're gonna have things like that that really exkew things 663 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 1: and make it difficult to be perfect with regard to interceptions. 664 00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:44,600 Speaker 1: But it's having the right in all snowballs, right like 665 00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,880 Speaker 1: being unpredictable so the defense doesn't definitely know that you're 666 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,320 Speaker 1: passing the ball here, and then making sure that you're 667 00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,520 Speaker 1: passing into good windows where your receiver is most likely 668 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 1: to get in their defenders not around, or when you 669 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: do pass it into tighter windows that you're throwing it 670 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 1: accurately enough such that the defender is not prepared to 671 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,800 Speaker 1: intercept the past there you're going to be able to 672 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 1: improve your turnover margins. So UM, I do think that 673 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 1: there's the and of course avoiding these third and long 674 00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:16,120 Speaker 1: situations where you're more likely to throw an interception, um, 675 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,240 Speaker 1: which is you know, some of the situations like with 676 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:21,040 Speaker 1: with Daniel Jones, he actually on third down in less 677 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 1: than nine yards. He didn't throw a single interception last year, 678 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 1: but when he was in third and ten and longer, 679 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 1: he threw multiple interceptions. So trying to avoid these longer 680 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:34,640 Speaker 1: distance third down situations, I think you can improve your 681 00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 1: ability to limit turnovers. And we see a number of 682 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:42,480 Speaker 1: quarterbacks who just are phenomenal with their touchdown interception ratios. Uh. 683 00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 1: It is something that the offense coordinator plays a big 684 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,200 Speaker 1: role in as well, UM, and that you have to 685 00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 1: just emphasize and coach and teach and and uh and 686 00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:54,240 Speaker 1: give your quarterback support so that he doesn't feel like 687 00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,680 Speaker 1: he needs to be forcing the football, which tends to 688 00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,959 Speaker 1: cause more turnovers. Final question, just give me your overall 689 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,640 Speaker 1: thoughts on on the Giants. If we missed anything you 690 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,600 Speaker 1: think heading into this year, what some of the keys 691 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,480 Speaker 1: are going to be and things giant fens you'd really 692 00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,239 Speaker 1: keep an eye on that maybe we haven't mentioned so 693 00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:12,760 Speaker 1: far as a head into now. I think we covered 694 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 1: so much in this podcast, John, I think that we 695 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,880 Speaker 1: need to ensure that the Giants and Daniel Jones and J. C. 696 00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,759 Speaker 1: Garritt did enough time to work together. I think it 697 00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: can definitely improve some things offensively if they get better offensively, 698 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 1: it really will have an effect on the other side 699 00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,040 Speaker 1: of the ball. I think it's sometimes people get lost 700 00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:36,319 Speaker 1: in continent vacuum that will the defense has to The 701 00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:38,719 Speaker 1: defense isn't good, so our our team is not going 702 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:40,840 Speaker 1: to be good, and we don't we didn't really do 703 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,000 Speaker 1: enough to improve on the defensive side of the football. 704 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,480 Speaker 1: That might be the case, but your offense, by showing 705 00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,600 Speaker 1: a lot of improvement on that side of the football, 706 00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:51,239 Speaker 1: can help the defense a ton. It can make the 707 00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,480 Speaker 1: opposing offense a lot more predictable, which is what we 708 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 1: need teams to do, is we want the defenses to 709 00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:01,280 Speaker 1: be facing more predictable offenses. So offense for the Giants 710 00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 1: can help that defense. And I think there's enough that 711 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,680 Speaker 1: we shared on this show about things that the offense 712 00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,439 Speaker 1: can do to really improve this year. And I think 713 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:13,040 Speaker 1: that there's a there is room for optimism here with 714 00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:15,719 Speaker 1: the moves that they can make and the decisions as 715 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,960 Speaker 1: they can make, and the practice reps and mental reps 716 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,600 Speaker 1: that Daniel Jones can undergo if he's being taught the 717 00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:24,400 Speaker 1: right way and the offense is being designed the right way, 718 00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 1: to really make a difference and see a nice jump 719 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: from year one to year two. You know, you put 720 00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:30,520 Speaker 1: their over under a wins that around six and a half, 721 00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:32,879 Speaker 1: one of them not mistaken. So you think it is 722 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:36,239 Speaker 1: within a really realistic round of possibility that you know, 723 00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,640 Speaker 1: and Jonathans I think would be relatively happy with this, 724 00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 1: that this team could inch a lot closer to that 725 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:43,360 Speaker 1: eight and eight five mark this year if things go 726 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:46,719 Speaker 1: right for them. Yeah. I mean, look, they went they 727 00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,200 Speaker 1: want a four games last year, but they played seven 728 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 1: games that were decided by one score and they only 729 00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 1: want two of those seven. If if a couple of 730 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,280 Speaker 1: things go better for them in terms of those uh 731 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: single score games and you're being a lot more improvement 732 00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:03,920 Speaker 1: and the quarterbacks moving along, I absolutely don't think it's 733 00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 1: out of the realm of possibility. Uh. The NFC East 734 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,719 Speaker 1: is a difficult division. The Redskins have improved as well 735 00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:11,880 Speaker 1: as you guys have, I think with their coaching staff 736 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,319 Speaker 1: that's come in. So it is going to be a 737 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,440 Speaker 1: challenge in this division. But there's not many divisions that 738 00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,640 Speaker 1: are take walks. You guys are used to it, and 739 00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,239 Speaker 1: I think that you're going to find that, Um, you're 740 00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:25,520 Speaker 1: gonna be very competitive this season as long as we 741 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:28,400 Speaker 1: can get Daniel Jones to make those steps and mature 742 00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: a little bit more. I think it's going to be 743 00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,520 Speaker 1: a season the Giants fans, hopefully, you know, I don't 744 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:36,279 Speaker 1: think you're going to be The two teams at the 745 00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:38,680 Speaker 1: top of your division are clearly the cream of the 746 00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:42,240 Speaker 1: crop in my opinion. But there's these NFC East battles, 747 00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,919 Speaker 1: as you know are are are just dog fights most 748 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,000 Speaker 1: of the time, and there's no reason to think that 749 00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:50,440 Speaker 1: we can't see double the wins that you guys had 750 00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 1: last year. Warring great stuff. Tell the folks one more 751 00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:54,759 Speaker 1: time where they can find your book, and then check 752 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,919 Speaker 1: out all your good work. Yes, so pretty much all 753 00:36:57,960 --> 00:36:59,880 Speaker 1: the things that we discussed on this show. I go 754 00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:02,239 Speaker 1: into the same level of depth and then a lot 755 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:05,000 Speaker 1: more in this book. And so if you enjoyed this show, 756 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,759 Speaker 1: I highly suggest you go to Sharp Football Analysis dot 757 00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:11,280 Speaker 1: com and pick up my football preview. It's a hundred 758 00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 1: pages longer than what the one we put out last season. 759 00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:17,879 Speaker 1: This is over three hundred and sixty pages of detailed analysis, 760 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:22,760 Speaker 1: color grids, color chart tables, graphs. Everything is very easy 761 00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:26,760 Speaker 1: for you to read, understand, digest, and really learn about 762 00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:29,759 Speaker 1: these teams and these coaches and their strategies and um 763 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:31,879 Speaker 1: ideas that I have for them, and I think you'll 764 00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:33,680 Speaker 1: really get a lot out of it, whether you're just 765 00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,480 Speaker 1: a football fan or you're looking to take advantage of 766 00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:39,520 Speaker 1: this from a fantasy or betting perspective. Warrant awesome stuff, 767 00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:41,439 Speaker 1: my friend. Always good to talk to you every year. 768 00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:44,239 Speaker 1: Congratulations again on the book, and hopefully we will be 769 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 1: enjoying a full football season over the next six months. 770 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,120 Speaker 1: I hope so too, John, stay healthy, you too. That's 771 00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:53,040 Speaker 1: Warren Sharp. Make sure you go check out the book. 772 00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,280 Speaker 1: He does a great job. Hope you enjoyed the podcast, folks. 773 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,200 Speaker 1: I know, um it was more heavy with some of 774 00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,279 Speaker 1: the numbers that you guys don't necessarily like, but I 775 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:01,879 Speaker 1: thought I gave a good preview. And next week we'll 776 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:05,360 Speaker 1: have our annual general not necessary focus on the Giants, 777 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 1: but general analytic discussion with our buddy George Shakery from 778 00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,560 Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus, and we could have to talk about 779 00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:14,000 Speaker 1: some of the findings they've had over the last year 780 00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,680 Speaker 1: as they try to figure out exactly how NFL football works. 781 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:20,200 Speaker 1: For Warren Sharp, I'm John Schmal Thank you so much 782 00:38:20,200 --> 00:38:22,200 Speaker 1: for being with us on this edition of the John 783 00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:24,759 Speaker 1: Suttle Podcast. We will see you next time. Everybody, have 784 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:25,880 Speaker 1: a good one, stay safe,