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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Benning CROs College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: Today we retake the field for an early look at

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Speaker 1: the week three lines and predict where we expect them

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Speaker 1: to move. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and Week two

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Speaker 1: played out very similar In my golf game earlier that morning,

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Speaker 1: I was swinging a hot stick out of the gate

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Speaker 1: and then really flamed out down the stretch. Today I

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Speaker 1: am joined by a man who probably feels similar. He

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Speaker 1: puts our team on its back, probably about fading your

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Speaker 1: favorite team as well.

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Speaker 2: He's Scott Bogman. Boggs, how are we doing today?

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Speaker 3: Man?

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Speaker 2: Man?

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Speaker 4: This weekend killed me. I mean Texas won. That was nice,

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Speaker 4: but I was miserable in my pick. So maybe you

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Speaker 4: guys want to fade me now. So if you're still

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Speaker 4: paying attention and you want to fade me, I completely understand.

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Speaker 4: But I do think that Week two was a little drunk.

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Speaker 4: This was a weird week. I mean NIU beat Notre Dame.

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Speaker 4: I heard someone on I think the Solid Verbal say

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Speaker 4: one team in the last twenty years has victories at

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Speaker 4: South Bend and at Tuscaloosa, and it's the Northern Illinois Huskies,

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Speaker 4: you know, So that is just that is an insane

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Speaker 4: little micro look into this week and Oregon didn't stand up,

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Speaker 4: Alabama slept walk. I mean, I was not great last week,

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Speaker 4: so I understand a fade.

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Speaker 3: I was bad.

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Speaker 1: You gotta love sports, That's what I kept saying to myself.

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Speaker 1: I kept saying it out loud all weekend. You gotta

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Speaker 1: love them. We will react to week two, talk about

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Speaker 1: some of the crazy upsets and some of the movement

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Speaker 1: in the rankings heading into week three, plus we will

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Speaker 1: give you a first look at the various college football

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Speaker 1: Week three slates, the Thursday and Friday Action, the noonslate,

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Speaker 1: the three point thirty slate, and of course the primetime

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Speaker 1: slate as well. I want to thank everyone for making

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Speaker 1: this show a part of their weekly rotation. It greatly

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Speaker 1: means a lot to us here at Benning Pros. Thank

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Speaker 1: you so much for that, and also we hope you

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Speaker 1: will get back on the right side of things here

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Speaker 1: heading into week three. But before that, I did want

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Speaker 1: to remind you if you want a chance to win

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Speaker 1: a sign Chicago Bears DeAndre Swift jersey for free courtesy

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Speaker 1: of our friends over at Pristine Auction dot com. All

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Speaker 1: you gotta do is subscribe to the Benning Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel right now, drop a comment below on any of

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Speaker 1: our videos, and that's it. We'll be announcing a winner

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Speaker 1: right here on the channel. So make sure we turn

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Speaker 1: on those notifications so you can be alerted when new

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Speaker 1: videos come up and acclaim your prize in the future.

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Speaker 3: Wow.

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Speaker 1: Not a great time to give away DeAndre Swift Jersey Bogs.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you that much right now. Maybe a couple

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Speaker 1: of angry fantasy managers.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, hey, look, you know, I think it's gonna get

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Speaker 4: better for him. They got him for a reason, so

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Speaker 4: Caleb won't look that bad all year.

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Speaker 1: I feel like it's just like a free beer.

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Speaker 2: I'll drink any free beer.

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Speaker 4: You know.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't have to be my favorite kind, as long

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Speaker 1: as it's free. At the top of the rankings, Bogs.

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Speaker 1: Looking at week two results, Texas did jump Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: They are now number two after beating Michigan thirty one

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Speaker 1: to twelve.

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Speaker 2: This is the.

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Speaker 1: Wolverine's worst loss at home since twenty twenty Shron's More Men.

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Speaker 1: They followed at number seventeen in the rankings. With USC

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Speaker 1: coming to town in just two weeks. This wasn't a

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Speaker 1: huge shocker for you. I feel like heading into week

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Speaker 1: two you kind of predicted this one happening in Ann Arbor.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, Texas just has looked strong this year.

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Speaker 4: In Michigan is they're a different team from the Natty.

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Speaker 4: There's too many pieces gone and they're trying to put

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Speaker 4: it together. So this was a strong Texas team catching

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Speaker 4: Michigan in a rebuilding point on the road at home.

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Speaker 4: So just not a really good week and they just

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Speaker 4: could not put together anything offensively and that's going to

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Speaker 4: be the struggle for Michigan moving forward.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, also probably the shaker the weekend Northern Illinois, they

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Speaker 1: pulled off the biggest upset the season so far, upsetting

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Speaker 1: number five ranked Notre Dame sixteen to fourteen in South Bend.

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Speaker 1: Head coach Thomas Haddock could barely believe it, could barely

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Speaker 1: stand after they win this game, they got paid one

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Speaker 1: point four million to go whip on some Irish. Quite

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Speaker 1: the scene there in Indiana over the weekend.

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Speaker 4: Boggs, Yeah, I mean this one is just like the

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Speaker 4: Notre Dame faithful No. And it's a thing that a

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Speaker 4: common occurrence under Marcus Freeman that after winning a big game,

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Speaker 4: they do not show up the next week. And no,

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Speaker 4: I did not think that they were going to lose

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Speaker 4: this game. But I saw two ways to the over

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Speaker 4: here as like, well, either Notre Dame just stomps them

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Speaker 4: and gets most of it, or an IU plays well

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Speaker 4: and they'd put up seven hundred yards the week before,

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Speaker 4: so maybe we have a little back and forth. Notre

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Speaker 4: Dame isn't showing up. I didn't expect Riley Leonard to

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Speaker 4: look so bad. He looked miserable the whole game and

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Speaker 4: just could not get anything going on offense. And that

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Speaker 4: is ultimately why they lost this game. I mean, they

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Speaker 4: didn't allow a ton of points, but they couldn't get

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Speaker 4: rolling on offense at all.

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Speaker 3: There was no clicking and no rhythm.

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Speaker 1: Also a ton of additionally high ranked teams that were

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Speaker 1: pushed against the ropes here. In week number two, number fourteen,

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Speaker 1: Kansas State survived two Lane thirty four to twenty seven.

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Speaker 1: My Penn State nine Lions. They beat Bowling Green thirty

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Speaker 1: four to twenty seven, but they're trailing well in the

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Speaker 1: second half of that one. Number sixteen, Oklahoma State gets

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Speaker 1: out of overtime alive against Arkansas thirty nine to thirty one,

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Speaker 1: and then the number nine Oregon Ducks dodged the Boise

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Speaker 1: State Broncos there thirty seven to thirty four. Out of

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Speaker 1: all these near upsets, Bogs, which one to you is

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Speaker 1: the most surprising?

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Speaker 3: I mean, I was all over Oregon.

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Speaker 4: You know what I saw from Oregon was a team

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Speaker 4: that I thought, Okay, maybe we have some opening jitters

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Speaker 4: here against Idaho.

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Speaker 3: This is going to be a dominant team.

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Speaker 4: I thought maybe we were, you know, overthinking Boise State's

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Speaker 4: huge performance because they bring back a lot of talent,

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Speaker 4: but they weren't particularly good on defense last year. Well,

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Speaker 4: the defense gave up points, but Oregon could not stop

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Speaker 4: this run attack from Boise State.

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Speaker 3: So pretty surprised to see that.

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Speaker 4: And I don't know if that bodes well for them

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Speaker 4: this week against Oregon State, who has run the ball

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Speaker 4: pretty well.

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Speaker 3: But Oregon's gotta beat.

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Speaker 4: Oregon State, right, I mean, come on, the difference here

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Speaker 4: is big. This is an actual rivalry game like this,

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Speaker 4: This should not be a close game. But I don't

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Speaker 4: really feel comfortable with it. I'll tell you, they give

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Speaker 4: you a free preview on that one right now.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, we'll touch on that one a little bit

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Speaker 1: later and how about the Penn State Nitney Lions. Man,

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Speaker 1: it just felt like the defense we always knew they

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Speaker 1: were probably gonna take a little bit of a step

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Speaker 1: back here. They lost shop Robinson Manny Diaz no longer

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Speaker 1: there as well, but I was not expecting this. Bowling

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Speaker 1: Green does have a couple of weapons. I know they've

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Speaker 1: won the top tight ends in the nation, but for

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Speaker 1: them to come into Happy Valley opening weekend here and

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Speaker 1: put up this amount of points with shocking to say

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Speaker 1: the least, and might made me think twice about backing

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Speaker 1: Penn State in the future.

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Speaker 4: I mean, look, Bowling Green will bow up on some

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Speaker 4: teams here. I remember I lost a bunch of money

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Speaker 4: on Minnesota taking them against Bowling Green a couple of

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Speaker 4: years ago. And this was a classic letdown spot for

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Speaker 4: Penn State. Perform well on the road against West Virginia.

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Speaker 4: Maybe went on a little bit too late. You had

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Speaker 4: that noon kickoff the next day on a Friday night

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Speaker 4: into Saturday against a team that you did not respect enough.

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Speaker 4: I think that might have been the issue there. So

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Speaker 4: I think Penn State's gonna be okay, but this was

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Speaker 4: a classic letdown spot for them.

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Speaker 1: I can verify they do have five dollars pitchers of

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Speaker 1: bush light down there at Pickles on Main Street and

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Speaker 1: State College.

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Speaker 2: So maybe that's what happened to the boys.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully James Franklin will get them fired up and ready

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Speaker 1: to go here next time out for them. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and jump into that week number three slate.

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Speaker 1: First up in St. Marcos, Texas, we have two undefeated teams,

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Speaker 1: Texas State versus Arizona State. ASU is now covered in

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Speaker 1: back to back games here, but Texas State a bit

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Speaker 1: more of a balanced team. I'd say they kind of

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Speaker 1: struggled in Week one against an FCS opponent in lamar However,

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Speaker 1: they blew out utsa forty nine to ten.

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Speaker 2: In week number two.

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Speaker 1: The Bobcats come into this one as one half point

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Speaker 1: dogs with a fifty seven and a half point total.

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Speaker 2: Where do you see this one going? Bogs?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? I mean the public is following this good run

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Speaker 4: by ASU, you know, a surprising win, surprising dominant win

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Speaker 4: over Wyoming and then to be Mississippi State is you know,

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Speaker 4: they're an SEC opponent. Maybe they're a little bit closer

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Speaker 4: to Vanderbilt than they are the rest of the SEC

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Speaker 4: at this point.

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Speaker 3: That there's a possibility there, but they're good.

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Speaker 4: But I just I really like this Texas State team,

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Speaker 4: specifically on offense. I think they're a very good offensive team.

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Speaker 4: I think Jordan McCleod has looked great. I think this

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Speaker 4: is probably a tough travel game for ASU as well,

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Speaker 4: so I think Texas State's going to fill the crowd

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Speaker 4: because they don't have a lot of you know, P

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Speaker 4: four teams coming in to visit in San Marcos. So

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Speaker 4: I think it should be a nice environment for Texas

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Speaker 4: State and I kind of like them. We saw ASU

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Speaker 4: struggle in the second half against Mississippi State and really

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Speaker 4: give up some ground in that game, so I'm just

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Speaker 4: not all trusting on ASU so far. They perform better

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Speaker 4: and I like Dillingham and I think he's moving them

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Speaker 4: in the right direction. I don't know if they're ready

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Speaker 4: for this one, though. I kind of like Texas State

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Speaker 4: and I kind of like the money line.

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Speaker 1: Okay, do you think you're going to get that best

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Speaker 1: price here early in the week? About plus one ten

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Speaker 1: is what I'm seeing for that money line. If you

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Speaker 1: don't want to mess around with the points there, you

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Speaker 1: think that's probably the best deal you're gonna get on that.

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Speaker 4: No, I think the public is taking the Arizona Sun devil.

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Speaker 4: The air's on State Sun devil side. So I think

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Speaker 4: that maybe this line opens up a little bit towards

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Speaker 4: the devils, and you can get a better line for

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Speaker 4: Texas State if you wait on it. So I think

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Speaker 4: I would rather wait on it, and if not, just

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Speaker 4: go ahead and take the money line.

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Speaker 2: Perfect.

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Speaker 1: All right, A little patience there from Boggs College Football

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Speaker 1: is saying this weekend, forget those high school Friday lights.

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Speaker 1: We're giving you a ranked versus rank matchup here. We

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Speaker 1: got the twentieth ranked Arizona Wildcats going against number fourteenth

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Speaker 1: ranked Kansas State on Friday night. Very meaningful matchup in

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Speaker 1: the new look Big Twelve. Here Bogs, Arizona comes in

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Speaker 1: as a seven point dog, failing to cover in back

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Speaker 1: to back weeks as huge favorites. However, we do know

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Speaker 1: they have Noah Fafida, currently number one in the Big

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Speaker 1: twelve in yards per completion, and also Te McMillan, who

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Speaker 1: had maybe the game of his life in Week one,

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Speaker 1: four touchdowns over three hundred yards. People were already calling

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Speaker 1: the twenty twenty five wide receiver one and then backs

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Speaker 1: up with just two receptions eleven yards in Week two. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Kansas State, they also haven't won against the spread this

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Speaker 1: season either. However, I also think they are a more

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Speaker 1: bound team top thirty scoring defense from a year ago.

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Speaker 1: Returns Avery Johnson now takes the reins from Will Howard

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Speaker 1: at the quarterback position. He's just been okay in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: and then DJ Giddens in the backfield, who's over three

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Speaker 1: hundred combined yards this season. No history to go off here,

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Speaker 1: these teams haven't played since nineteen seventy eight. With that

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Speaker 1: being said, Bogs, where do you see the seven point

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Speaker 1: line or fifty six and a half point total moving

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Speaker 1: throughout the week.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So this is one if you're going to get

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Speaker 4: on it, I think you need to probably get on

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Speaker 4: it early. I like the over in this game, and

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Speaker 4: it's particularly because what I saw from Kansas State's defense

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Speaker 4: against Tulane last week, and you of a, you know,

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Speaker 4: they did not play well against NAU last week. But

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Speaker 4: I think maybe that was another type of issue with

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Speaker 4: Penn State. Maybe you're not taking your opponent too seriously

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Speaker 4: because they're FCS opponent, and they did end up winning

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Speaker 4: that game.

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Speaker 3: They had to come back.

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Speaker 4: They were down at halftime to beat an FCS squad

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Speaker 4: in NAU, so that was a little surprising. But I

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Speaker 4: think maybe that was a look ahead spot for them

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Speaker 4: to this Kansas State game. Traveling on the road. It's

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Speaker 4: on a short week on Friday as well, so I

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Speaker 4: think maybe they were looking past NAU to get to

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Speaker 4: k State.

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Speaker 3: I like both these teams to score.

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Speaker 4: I think Kansas State Avery Johnson looked pretty good against Tulane.

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Speaker 4: I I don't know if we're going to keep up

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Speaker 4: that passing. As you said, he's kind of lukewarm in

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Speaker 4: terms of the passing department, so a big time runner.

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Speaker 4: But I think k State is a good squad. I

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Speaker 4: think U of A is a much improved squad from

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Speaker 4: where they have been in the past. I mean, I

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Speaker 4: know they're in a big transition with Jed Fish leaving

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Speaker 4: and Brennan coming in from San Jose State, but I

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Speaker 4: like both these squads. So the money is flowing towards

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Speaker 4: the over. I think that line might balloon up a

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Speaker 4: little bit, So if you want the over, I think

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Speaker 4: that's one I take.

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Speaker 3: Now. I don't really like a side here because I

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Speaker 3: think this game can go either way.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, Bogs is saying go with the over,

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Speaker 1: and go with it sooner probably rather than later. Here

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Speaker 1: and shifting into that Saturday noon slate, we do have

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Speaker 1: a couple bangers on tap for us, starting in Tallassee, Florida,

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Speaker 1: where it has been a disaster start for the Florida

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Speaker 1: State Seminoles after being upset as double digit favorites and

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Speaker 1: back to back weeks now the DJU experience has been

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Speaker 1: real as.

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Speaker 2: In real bad.

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Speaker 1: There now just five and a half point favorites against Memphis,

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Speaker 1: who are two to zero after covering the spread in

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Speaker 1: back to back weeks. This Memphis program, funny enough, formerly

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Speaker 1: under FSU's head coach Mike Norvel, has been rock solid

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Speaker 1: under Ryan Silverfield. Here the Taggers are now four and

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Speaker 1: oh against the spread in their last four dating back

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Speaker 1: to last season, also eight and two to the over

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Speaker 1: in their last ten as well. But with how inconsistent

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Speaker 1: the Seminoles are right now, I have a hard time

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Speaker 1: wanting to get invested in this game as a whole,

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Speaker 1: although it is a very tempting low total there, especially

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Speaker 1: with that trend pointing towards the over in these games recently.

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Speaker 1: What say you Bogs And where do you expect this

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Speaker 1: line to shift throughout the week?

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Speaker 4: I mean, I don't know which way this line is

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Speaker 4: gonna go, honestly, because I think that I think it

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Speaker 4: might open up towards FSU because a lot of money

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Speaker 4: and tickets are coming in towards FSU. Right, But what

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Speaker 4: side of the ball are you more concerned for Florida

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Speaker 4: State on? That's my question? Like right, because DJU looks miserable.

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Speaker 4: He can't do anything on offense. They put up some yards,

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Speaker 4: but they just couldn't score, So I don't really like

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Speaker 4: what I'm seeing there. I'm more concerned about the defense

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Speaker 4: they give two hundred and twenty six yards or whatever

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Speaker 4: it was to Boston College. Right, and BC has a

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Speaker 4: good old line, But you're FSU. You should not be

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Speaker 4: you know. There was talk about this line still being

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Speaker 4: fine after losing Fisk and Verse, and they are not.

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Speaker 4: So I kind of like Memphis in this game. I

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Speaker 4: don't hate the money line either.

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Speaker 3: Even on the road.

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Speaker 4: Memphis has looked good. They rushed for a bunch of

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Speaker 4: yards last week. They bring most of a top ten

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Speaker 4: passing offense as well from last year back, so I

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Speaker 4: really like Memphis in this game. I just don't see

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Speaker 4: any identity for either side of the ball for Florida

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Speaker 4: State right now. So I think this is going to

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Speaker 4: be a closer game than we expect. Everyone expects FSU

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Speaker 4: to bounce back, but that's what we thought against BC.

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Speaker 4: So I'm just not buying what I've seen from FSU

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Speaker 4: at all yet. So I would if you don't like

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Speaker 4: this game, it's completely fine away, I kind of I'll

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Speaker 4: be rolling with the Tigers here, okay.

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Speaker 1: Plus twenty eighty five is the best price tag I'm

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Speaker 1: seeing currently for that money line. If you do want

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Speaker 1: to roll with Memphis there, do you think that's probably

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Speaker 1: the best price we get. Conventional wisdom would say that

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Speaker 1: the favorite would would take a little more action as

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Speaker 1: the week progresses.

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Speaker 4: Here, Yeah, I think it's gonna I still think it's

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Speaker 4: gonna go towards FSU.

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Speaker 3: I just think people are.

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Speaker 4: Are like, you know, look, FS, you can't look this

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Speaker 4: bad three weeks in a row, right right.

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Speaker 3: I just I think it's gonna move.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So all right, let's head over to Madison, where

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Speaker 1: I took some shrafnel last week on the program, saying

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Speaker 1: that maybe number four Alabama was looking ahead to Wisconsin here.

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Speaker 1: I still backed them anyways. I thought, Hey, maybe we'll

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Speaker 1: get it done and cover here against USF did not happen.

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Speaker 2: Really slow start for the Crimson Tide there.

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Speaker 1: However, they busted out for four touchdowns in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: but just a little too late there. Did not end

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Speaker 1: up covering the spread there. Wisconsin, on the other hand,

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Speaker 1: it's also failed to cover the spread twice so far

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Speaker 1: this season. They won twenty eight to fourteen in oh

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Speaker 1: week against Western Michigan, then came back last weekend and

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Speaker 1: won twenty seven to thirteen against South Dakota. We know

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Speaker 1: a couple things about Wisconsin, right We know Luke Fickle

348
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Speaker 1: is that guy. We know this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: team that wins upfront in the trenches. But I don't

350
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Speaker 1: know if QB Tyler van Dyke is that guy. Honestly,

351
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Speaker 1: like he's coming from Miami. Didn't have a great career there,

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Speaker 1: I felt like as well, and just one passing TD

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Speaker 1: so far for Van Dyke this season. Alabama opened as

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Speaker 1: an eight point favorite here last week. They are now

355
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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half point favorites. Is that still enough

356
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Speaker 1: points that they can cover here? Up in Big ten

357
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Speaker 1: Country to beat these Wisconsin Badgers.

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Speaker 3: I look, it's going to be a stay away for me. Okay.

359
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Speaker 4: I don't want to mess with this game, and that

360
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Speaker 4: is because I don't know what I'm getting from Alabama.

361
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Speaker 4: Right They look dominant week one obviously week two, I

362
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Speaker 4: don't know Jaylen Milroe is just allergic to USF or

363
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Speaker 4: what is the deal here?

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Speaker 3: Right?

365
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Speaker 4: Because that game was fourteen thirteen going into the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 4: It took Bama to the fourth quarter to score twenty

367
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Speaker 4: eight points, which shows you that, like they show you flashes, right,

368
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Speaker 4: here is the dominance. We show you the dominance at

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Speaker 4: the end, and we don't cover your bet Bogman, so

370
00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 4: but we flash this dominance to you. I know they

371
00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:19,080
Speaker 4: can go in and just beat up Wisconsin physically. I

372
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,200
Speaker 4: don't have any doubts there, but will they write This

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Speaker 4: is a big test for them early in the season,

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Speaker 4: and I just don't trust what I saw from them

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Speaker 4: last week. I don't like Wisconsin either with Tyler van Dyke.

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Speaker 4: Like you said, I think if they turn Wisconsin one dimensional,

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00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,400
Speaker 4: they can really beat them. You know, I think they

378
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,640
Speaker 4: got beat by They didn't and they didn't even get

379
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:45,760
Speaker 4: beat but they got worn down by that running quarterback.

380
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Speaker 4: But Brown for USF and Tyler Van Dyke is not

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Speaker 4: that guy, as you mentioned. So my gut leans towards

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00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,880
Speaker 4: Alabama bouncing back and having a big week, and maybe

383
00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,680
Speaker 4: a little more concentration in a road game, right like

384
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Speaker 4: you know, you're it's a business trip, so maybe a

385
00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,960
Speaker 4: little bit more concentration for them there. But I don't

386
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Speaker 4: trust them after they just screwed me last week, so

387
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Speaker 4: I'm gonna lay away from this one.

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Speaker 2: I feel the same.

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Speaker 1: We also don't have a ton of history between these

390
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Speaker 1: two teams. Last time they played was in twenty fifteen.

391
00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,160
Speaker 1: Alabama did win that thirty five to seventeen, but such

392
00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,960
Speaker 1: a long time ago, hard to draw anything really concrete

393
00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:24,199
Speaker 1: from that. Let's shift to the sec here where, for

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Speaker 1: the first time in ten years, college Game Day returns

395
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Speaker 1: to Columbia South Carolina as the unranked game Cocks host

396
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:33,560
Speaker 1: the number sixteenth of the ranked LSU Tigers. LSU, of course,

397
00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:36,280
Speaker 1: they lost the opening game to USC twenty seven to

398
00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:38,679
Speaker 1: twenty out in Las Vegas, followed that up by not

399
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:41,200
Speaker 1: even coming close to covering the fifty one and a

400
00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:42,919
Speaker 1: half point spread against Nickel.

401
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:43,639
Speaker 2: State last week.

402
00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:46,320
Speaker 1: I've been taking digs at Brian Kelly on the internet

403
00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,760
Speaker 1: since the mid two thousand teens. I don't need to

404
00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:50,800
Speaker 1: do that anymore. I'll save that for you bogs. But

405
00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,560
Speaker 1: I do honestly enjoy South Carolina and kind of what

406
00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,320
Speaker 1: they're doing here under Shane Biemer. Kind of nice to

407
00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:59,479
Speaker 1: see Rocket Sanders in the backfield, transferring over from Arkansas

408
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,440
Speaker 1: having a little life back in him. Also, I don't

409
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,400
Speaker 1: hate the dole threat quarterback there, Lenora Sellers. He's looked

410
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,800
Speaker 1: much improved from week one into week two against Kentucky.

411
00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,600
Speaker 1: South Carolina are seven point dogs in that one. Is

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Speaker 1: that enough to get behind the game Cocks or could

413
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:15,920
Speaker 1: we maybe get a better price later in the week.

414
00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:19,199
Speaker 4: You think, I tell you what it is. It's a

415
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 4: hard evaluation of South Carolina against Kentucky last week. I

416
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:24,760
Speaker 4: don't know how much of that game you saw. I

417
00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,280
Speaker 4: didn't see any of it during Saturday, so I went

418
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,800
Speaker 4: back and watched like the condensed version last night. When

419
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:34,560
Speaker 4: I tell you that Kentucky played maybe the worst college

420
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Speaker 4: football game than I've ever seen, I am not kidding.

421
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,600
Speaker 4: I mean even even stoops after the third quarter was like,

422
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:43,320
Speaker 4: I don't know what we're gonna do. We made all

423
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 4: these unbelievable mistakes and we're just shooting ourselves in the foot,

424
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Speaker 4: and all South Carolina had to do was not screw

425
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 4: it up. So I wasn't really impressed with what South

426
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 4: Carolina did. I think Kentucky's a better team than what

427
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:58,480
Speaker 4: they showed last week, but I think Sellers is a

428
00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,720
Speaker 4: little bit too raw for this game, and I think

429
00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:05,240
Speaker 4: that LSU is definitely going to score, so maybe that's

430
00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,040
Speaker 4: a just stay away from the side. I know VP

431
00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,120
Speaker 4: system in a couple other systems that I've looked at

432
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:14,200
Speaker 4: are on the South Carolina side when they're at home,

433
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Speaker 4: so I don't mind that I don't trust them. But

434
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 4: I'll tell you what with LSU's defense looking so bad

435
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:26,480
Speaker 4: against Nickel State right making USC look really good on

436
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,159
Speaker 4: offense real quick as well. In a new quarterback, I

437
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,479
Speaker 4: think that we like the over in this game more

438
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:34,359
Speaker 4: than anything because neus Meyer, I think, is going to

439
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:37,200
Speaker 4: come to play. I think thus Meyer shows up in performs.

440
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,000
Speaker 4: He's throwing a bunch of touchdowns already this season, and

441
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:41,960
Speaker 4: I think he is going to make it happen. But

442
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 4: I don't know if that defense is really stopping anything

443
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:47,399
Speaker 4: right now. So still the same issue as LSU had

444
00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,240
Speaker 4: last year as the defense is bad, so I'm more

445
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:50,440
Speaker 4: towards the over in this game.

446
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:52,160
Speaker 2: Okay, going towards the over.

447
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,600
Speaker 1: I know LSU coming into this season had some crazy

448
00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,359
Speaker 1: streak they're always playing towards the over, so it seems

449
00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 1: like that trend's kind of continuing here in twenty twenty four.

450
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,679
Speaker 1: LSU also seven to zero against South Carolina since two

451
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,119
Speaker 1: thousand and two. Really not a huge surprise there, but

452
00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 1: bog staying overall, staying away from the sides here, maybe

453
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,320
Speaker 1: leaning a little bit towards the over early in the

454
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 1: week here. We'll close out this noon slate with number

455
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,080
Speaker 1: six Missouri laying sixteen and a half points against the

456
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,400
Speaker 1: number twenty fourth ranked of Boston College Eagles, who now

457
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,639
Speaker 1: sit a top the ACC standings. Pretty early on in

458
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 1: the season, BC has been an exceptional story this season

459
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 1: in my opinion. Jeff Haffley and he leaves for that

460
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 1: Packers DC job in comes the ever present Bill O'Brien,

461
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:34,240
Speaker 1: who some are now calling on the internet. BC Bill

462
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 1: not only do they upset FSU as twenty one and

463
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,440
Speaker 1: a half point road dogs in Week one, but also

464
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 1: beat the breaks off of Duke Cane fifty six to

465
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:47,280
Speaker 1: zero in their home opener last week. Thomas Castellanos has

466
00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 1: been looking like the real deal here. Plus they have

467
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:53,440
Speaker 1: a fifteenth ranked team in total defense as of right

468
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:56,439
Speaker 1: now as well. But does the story end here? Have

469
00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 1: we seen enough from this Missou team to say, Hey,

470
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 1: I think they're the best Zoo team at least in

471
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,440
Speaker 1: my lifetime I've ever seen Bogs. They got Brady Cook,

472
00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,440
Speaker 1: they got Luther Burden, and also the ste Owiese cat

473
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:08,480
Speaker 1: all of a sudden went off last week as well,

474
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,399
Speaker 1: thirteen for one to forty nine against Buffalo Maszoo currently

475
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 1: two to zero against the spread, number one in total

476
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,439
Speaker 1: defense as well. Do they have what will make us

477
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,679
Speaker 1: forget about the Eagles run so far this season?

478
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,439
Speaker 4: I think they do. But I'll tell you this, I

479
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,639
Speaker 4: cannot bet on Missouri until I know the status of

480
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 4: Luther Burden because he left the last game. Uh, and

481
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,560
Speaker 4: we don't know what the injury is. We don't know

482
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 4: what the prognosis is for this week yet. And I mean,

483
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 4: he makes this wide receiver room whole right Like the

484
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:42,360
Speaker 4: Owise is a really good transfer from Ou.

485
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 3: He's been really good for them.

486
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 4: I think he's a great wide receiver, but Luther Burden

487
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 4: is a difference maker. He's one of the top two

488
00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:52,280
Speaker 4: wide receivers in the country. So I'm not going to

489
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,679
Speaker 4: mess with this one at all until I know for

490
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,239
Speaker 4: sure what the status of Luther Burdon is. And if

491
00:21:57,280 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 4: we don't get if he's a game time decision, I'm

492
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 4: probably just laying off this game because I do think

493
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,480
Speaker 4: that Missouri has enough on defense to stop BC. I

494
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 4: think they're living off that big win from FSU, right

495
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 4: and that, look, it makes sense they be, you know,

496
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 4: what was a supposed to be top ten team this year,

497
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 4: so make them ranked. They look good against Ducane as well,

498
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 4: that's fine, but I think that Missouri is for a

499
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 4: for real top ten team, So I don't think that there's.

500
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:25,439
Speaker 3: Hey, look, they were good last year.

501
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,399
Speaker 4: They have lost a lot from last year, so maybe

502
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 4: they're closer to the teams, but I don't really think

503
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:34,200
Speaker 4: BC is going to last year, especially on the road.

504
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:38,239
Speaker 4: So give me Missouri here, but I'm not touching it

505
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 4: until I get the status of Luther Burton.

506
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 2: Right now, it is a sixteen and a half point spread.

507
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 1: If Burden is declared active later in the week, Bogs,

508
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 1: do you think this line opens up a bit more.

509
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean if we hear early in the week

510
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 4: that it's going to be Yeah, Luther Burdon is wheels up,

511
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 4: it was precautionary whatever, blah blah blah, coach nonsense, Sure

512
00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,679
Speaker 4: that we get later in the week. I do think

513
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:03,239
Speaker 4: that it goes more towards I think it goes more

514
00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 4: towards Missouri. But people like this story, so I think

515
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:10,719
Speaker 4: that the tickets have been pretty heavy on BC, but

516
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 4: the cash is still towards the Tigers. So okay, I'll

517
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 4: roll with the cash in those scenarios.

518
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'm with you rolling with the cash

519
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,120
Speaker 1: in this game as well. But I'm curious to see

520
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 1: what happens with wide receiver number one there for the Tigers.

521
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: And before we continue, I want to remind you to

522
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: join our college football podcast group. You can sync your

523
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 1: picks and use our quick pick feature on the Betting

524
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,359
Speaker 1: Pro Sports betting app to get a free chance to

525
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 1: win some free prizes and elevate your betting strategy. And

526
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:41,360
Speaker 1: join the conversation today at bettingpros dot com. Slash college

527
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:45,360
Speaker 1: onto the late afternoon slate where Notre Dame battles Perdue.

528
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 1: This line opened up with Notre Dame as a sixteen

529
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 1: point favorite, but a since shrunk all the way down

530
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: to eleven and a half after Notre Dame's upset defeat.

531
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,560
Speaker 1: We've seen the highs, We've seen the lows from Marcus

532
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,399
Speaker 1: Freeman's team already this season. They knocked off Texas A

533
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 1: and M here in Week one and then we're upset.

534
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,400
Speaker 1: As we allude to earlier in the episode by NIU

535
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 1: last week. We haven't seen much from this Purdue team,

536
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:08,119
Speaker 1: though they beat Indiana State forty nine to zero in

537
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,919
Speaker 1: Week one, had a week number two by They have

538
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 1: Hudson Card at quarterback, a trio of pretty solid running backs,

539
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 1: but it's a defense that is yet to be tested here.

540
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 1: Notre Dame has won eight straight against Perdue going back

541
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 1: to two thousand and eight here, including covering as a

542
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite in twenty twenty one,

543
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 1: just a few years ago. How do we handicap this

544
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: one though, because a lot of emotions coming off that

545
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 1: big loss for Notre Dame.

546
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I don't really like this game. I'm

547
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:34,920
Speaker 4: gonna stay away, but I'll tell you my Aleen is

548
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 4: towards Perdue coming off a bye, going up against a

549
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 4: team in Notre Dame that has no identity on offense.

550
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 4: Right now, I think, you know, they should run the

551
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 4: ball and run it. Well, I think that's what Notre

552
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 4: Dame should do. But Riley Leonard, I'm telling you, it

553
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:55,400
Speaker 4: looked so awful against Northern Illinois and maybe they got

554
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 4: a little bit blueprinted in that game as well. So

555
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 4: I'm just I'm not trusting what I see from Riley

556
00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 4: Leonard right now, and until he shows me anything, I

557
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 4: just can't do it. So I'm gonna stay away from

558
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:09,880
Speaker 4: this game. But my lean is towards Purdue coming off

559
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 4: of buy and being rested up.

560
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:13,320
Speaker 1: Do we think by Saturday they're still an eleven and

561
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 1: a half point favorite Notre Dame or do we think

562
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: the public might be off them now?

563
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,320
Speaker 4: I mean, I think the cash is still heavy towards

564
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,719
Speaker 4: Notre Dame. So I think we're gonna I don't know

565
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,440
Speaker 4: how much. And you know, Week two was a bad

566
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 4: week for a lot of people, I feel like, so

567
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 4: I think that we may have more staying away than normal.

568
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 4: So I think it's probably gonna stick pretty close to

569
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 4: what it is.

570
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,199
Speaker 2: It's a tough slate as well.

571
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 1: I feel like there aren't too many games that right

572
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,200
Speaker 1: off the custom like, yeah, heavy lean there, early, heavy

573
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 1: lean here early.

574
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,400
Speaker 2: However, there is one that I really like. Here.

575
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 1: Let's move to Seattle, where the Washington Huskies take on

576
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:52,359
Speaker 1: in state rival Washington State. The Cougars have opened up

577
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 1: the season in impressive fashion here. They covered in week

578
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:58,439
Speaker 1: one against Portland State also absolutely took it to Texas

579
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:01,200
Speaker 1: Tech in week number two when thirty seven to sixteen,

580
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 1: despite being just a one and a half point favorite. Washington, though,

581
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,919
Speaker 1: feels like they're finally now morphing into what should be

582
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 1: a Big ten team. It feels like they've always been

583
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:13,719
Speaker 1: that Pac twelve team and now they're finally like playing

584
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 1: solid defense, not as flashy as maybe in years past,

585
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 1: but jedfish two to zero with comfortable wins over Weber

586
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:24,439
Speaker 1: State and Eastern Michigan. Here transfer QB. Will Rogers is

587
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,800
Speaker 1: just two years removed from having two seasons in Mississippi

588
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 1: State throwing over thirty five touchdowns, and Steve Belichick has

589
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,200
Speaker 1: the boys buzzing on defense as well. For the Huskies,

590
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 1: they're ranked top twenty five right now in total defense.

591
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 1: The best money line I can get right now if

592
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: I wanted to take the Huskies would be minus one

593
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 1: seventy at ESPN bet.

594
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 2: And if you don't like that, you'd probably have to

595
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 2: lay the points.

596
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: If you don't want to drink that much juice, would

597
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 1: you drink the juice there on the money line? Would

598
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 1: you maybe back them on the points or do you

599
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,000
Speaker 1: think maybe we get a better number later in the week,

600
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 1: or you off Washington altogether in here bogs No.

601
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 4: No, I mean I'm on Washington here, and it's mainly

602
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:02,199
Speaker 4: because I just don't think that we really have an

603
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 4: offensive identity from Washington State quite yet. Yes, they did

604
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 4: beat Texas Tech and beat him up bad, but the

605
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 4: QB here, you mateer, I believe his name is.

606
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:13,719
Speaker 5: He was.

607
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,439
Speaker 4: He did the whole thing by himself. It was a

608
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 4: lot like what we saw from Brown from USF right,

609
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:24,640
Speaker 4: like he did it all himself. He had a ton

610
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 4: of rushing yards, he had a ton of passing yards.

611
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 4: Texas Tech's defense is miserable. It is so bad right now,

612
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,359
Speaker 4: and I just think you're you're handling a different opponent

613
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 4: against Washington. I know this is in neutral site, but

614
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 4: it's in Seattle, right, So I just I think the

615
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 4: Huskies are going to really take it to Washington State. Now, look,

616
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:49,800
Speaker 4: this is a you know, your classic cliche of throw

617
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 4: the record book out the window. It's an in state

618
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 4: rivalry all of that. And I know that Washington is

619
00:27:56,160 --> 00:28:00,480
Speaker 4: vulnerable because they are new. This is their first big test,

620
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 4: but under Jedfish. But I think they handle it fine.

621
00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 4: And I'm on the Washington side pretty decent here.

622
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 2: Should we get it on early?

623
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,720
Speaker 1: You think this is one that I'm probably gonna be

624
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 1: back in Washington in some former fashion.

625
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 2: Do you think early in the week is the move.

626
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:15,840
Speaker 3: I'll tell you what.

627
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 4: I don't think you have to take it early in

628
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 4: the week because I think everything was pretty close. All

629
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 4: the betting that I saw yesterday was very very close.

630
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 4: So I don't know if it really has a tug

631
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:29,160
Speaker 4: one way or the other.

632
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 1: Okay, let's move to Norman, Oklahoma, where we've seen potentially

633
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: some of the most significant line movement of any game

634
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 1: so far this week. Oklahoma opened as an eighteen and

635
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,960
Speaker 1: a half point favorite against Tulane. That line has been

636
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 1: cut to thirteen.

637
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 2: And a half.

638
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:44,400
Speaker 1: The total has also gone from fifty four and a

639
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 1: half all the way down to forty nine and a

640
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 1: half as well. The Green Waver now two to zero

641
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 1: against the spread after an impressive twenty seven to thirty

642
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 1: four loss against Kansas State.

643
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 2: This isn't the Michael.

644
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 1: Pratt led team that we knew we loved, but still

645
00:28:57,080 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: very formidable under Darien Mensa as well. Meanwhile, Brent Vennables

646
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 1: bunch come in after kind of a scare last week.

647
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: They only beat Houston sixteen to twelve as a twenty

648
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,000
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite. A lot of moving

649
00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: parts here. I feel like overall on this team, Jackson

650
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 1: Arnold has taken over at quarterback, transferred Dion Brooks appears

651
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 1: to be the top receiver here, but not a lot

652
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 1: of overall translation coming from last seed to this one.

653
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 5: Here.

654
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 1: Does Oklahoma have enough to beat Tulane by thirteen and a

655
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 1: half points feels like a big number for the Green Wave,

656
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 1: who kind of on a momentum build right here.

657
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, we like what we saw from Tulane.

658
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 4: They really had a great game against k State. You know,

659
00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 4: came up a little short, but looked good in that game.

660
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 4: So I think that in this game, I still think

661
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 4: Oklahoma is the overwhelming favorite. I think they should be,

662
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 4: but I just we saw no identity from them on

663
00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 4: offense against Houston, and look, Houston is a much better

664
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 4: team I think than their given credit to. Right Like,

665
00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:01,640
Speaker 4: I really like their quarterback on Smith. They have an

666
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 4: experienced defense that came back. But two hundred and forty

667
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 4: nine yards or whatever it was for Oklahoma against Houston

668
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 4: at home is not acceptable, right Like, I just I

669
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 4: don't think that Oklahoma really has that offensive identity figured

670
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 4: out yet. And I think Tulane is a dangerous team

671
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 4: coming in here, so I'm gonna stay away from the side,

672
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 4: but I think Oklahoma's defense will bow up against Tulane.

673
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 4: Like you said, this is not the Michael Pratt. There's

674
00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 4: no Michael Pratt. There's no TAIJ. Spears on this squad.

675
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 4: So I think that the Ou defense will bow up.

676
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 4: I like the under in this game because we haven't

677
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 4: seen much from Ou yet. Now, at any point, Oh,

678
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 4: you can explode and look like a dominant team that

679
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 4: they should be, you know, a true SEC level playoff pusher,

680
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 4: but we haven't seen it quite yet, so I don't

681
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 4: know if we're going to expect it in Week three

682
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:58,600
Speaker 4: against the solid opponent, so I'll take the under here.

683
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 1: Next, we had to Oregon States campus as they host

684
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 1: number nine Oregon last week. If Dan Lanning told me

685
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 1: to jump off a bridge, I think I would have, honestly,

686
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 1: But after being outgained and having over two turnovers in

687
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 1: the wrong column against Boise State, I don't know if

688
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: I still would honestly. They got fortunate to get out

689
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 1: of there with the win in week two. The Ducks

690
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 1: still have to get it together before Big Ten play

691
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 1: opens up here at the end of the month. For them,

692
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: Oregon currently a sixteen point favorite, but when I woke

693
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 1: up this morning, they were a thirteen half favorite, so

694
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 1: already a lot of line movement earlier in the week here,

695
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 1: I don't know if I want any part of this game.

696
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 2: I'll be honest with you.

697
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: Oregon State, their thirty first in total defense, have two

698
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: running backs who have over two hundred yards three touchdowns

699
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 1: on the season. Already they're at home, so if anything,

700
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 1: I kind of feel inclined to go with the Beavers.

701
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,120
Speaker 1: But I'm backed into a little bit of a corner

702
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: here after tailing Oregon last week. Do we really fade

703
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: him here in week number three?

704
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: Yeah?

705
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm just I'm with you, Seth. I'm just

706
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 4: gonna completely pass on this game. After what we saw

707
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 4: from the rush defense from Oregon the last two weeks.

708
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 4: That's the only thing Oregon State does well right in

709
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 4: terms of roster strength. This should be a murdering. This

710
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 4: should not be a close game. But so say, Boise

711
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 4: State should have been the same thing as well. So

712
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 4: Oregon is just not clicking on all cylinders quite yet.

713
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 4: I don't know how we can really take them. I

714
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,920
Speaker 4: do think that, you know, they beat the crap out

715
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 4: of Oregon State here, honestly, like my lean is like Oregon.

716
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 3: I thought that against Boise.

717
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:28,120
Speaker 4: State as well though, So it's a right, this is

718
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 4: this is the true Like you know, you say that

719
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,959
Speaker 4: in the Apple Cup Washington and Washington State, Like, oh,

720
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,560
Speaker 4: it's a cliche. It's a rivalry. Throw it out, civil war,

721
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 4: you know, civil whatever they call it. Now, you throw

722
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 4: it out. I don't want to mess with this game

723
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 4: at all. I'll watch it for fun, So pass on

724
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:43,719
Speaker 4: betting it all.

725
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:45,520
Speaker 1: Right, Let's go ahead and round it out with the

726
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:48,280
Speaker 1: primetime slate that is highlighted by number one Georgia hitting

727
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,800
Speaker 1: the road to Lexington, where they are now twenty three

728
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against Kentucky. They open as

729
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 1: eighteen point favorites, but this has since shifted after Kentucky

730
00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 1: got steamrolled and what you called one of the worst

731
00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 1: called football performances of the whole time against South Carolina,

732
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 1: losing thirty one to six as six point favorites. Georgia meanwhile,

733
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 1: took care of Tennessee Tech last week, but didn't cover

734
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 1: the fifty three and a half point line Georgia did

735
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 1: cover last year against Kentucky. They laid twenty four in

736
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 1: that game, but they did not the two seasons before.

737
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 1: So trends don't really point in favor of laying the

738
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 1: points here, but the eye test does. Carson Becks looked great,

739
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,000
Speaker 1: Trevor Etn got back out on the field last week

740
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 1: as well, Arian Smith kind of taking over that wide

741
00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,760
Speaker 1: receiver one role for this team, and of course that defense,

742
00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 1: they are always gonna have dogs out there. I don't

743
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 1: believe in Brock Vander Garriff.

744
00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 2: I really don't.

745
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 1: He's playing against this former team in Georgia as well.

746
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 1: They probably know his weaknesses if they let him walk

747
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:43,160
Speaker 1: out the door, and I think this team's kind of

748
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 1: missing Ray Davis a little bit in that backfield as well.

749
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: How do you think Mark Stoop's men fare here in

750
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: this one?

751
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 3: Not well?

752
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 4: I mean, I Kentucky was not ready for South Carolina.

753
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 4: How are they going to be ready for Georgia? That

754
00:33:56,120 --> 00:34:00,080
Speaker 4: is my question? Like that, specifically on offense, right, the

755
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 4: defense had miscommunications.

756
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:02,719
Speaker 3: Gave a big plays.

757
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 4: For that reason, I think Carson Beck is going to

758
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:09,280
Speaker 4: sit back and just pick them apart. Right, this should

759
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,359
Speaker 4: be this should be a rolling from Georgia. From what

760
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 4: we saw from Kentucky last week, I don't believe Kentucky

761
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 4: can play as bad as they did against South Carolina, though,

762
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 4: I honestly don't. Like the offense was so horrible that

763
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 4: South Carolina didn't really need to They just waited for

764
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 4: the mistakes to happen, and they did and they had

765
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 4: to pick six. Like it probably not the worst game

766
00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:34,320
Speaker 4: in the history of football right performance, but it was horrible.

767
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,280
Speaker 4: It was really bad on both sides of the ball

768
00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 4: for Kentucky, and I have no trust in them at

769
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 4: all right now from what I saw last week. So

770
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 4: I think this is Georgia in a rolling Georgia. Maybe

771
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:51,399
Speaker 4: take the over as well. I just I'm all over

772
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 4: Georgia in this game because Kentucky looked miserable.

773
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:56,879
Speaker 1: Do you think this line shifts opens up a little

774
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:58,319
Speaker 1: bit more than twenty four and a half or do

775
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 1: you think that's probably probably where we need to be

776
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 1: in right now?

777
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:02,800
Speaker 2: Yeah?

778
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 4: I mean I think it could be bigger because I

779
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:08,520
Speaker 4: mean when people start going back and looking and seeing

780
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 4: what Kentucky did, they can say, whoa, this is a

781
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 4: terrible performance, and I think Georgia.

782
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:15,840
Speaker 3: I think it does open up towards Georgia.

783
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, and now we'll do it for us

784
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,560
Speaker 1: today on the Betting Pros College Football Show. We back

785
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,759
Speaker 1: later in the week with our Picks and Prediction show

786
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 1: as well. Until then, like this video. If you enjoyed it,

787
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:28,720
Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and podcast feed, plus,

788
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,720
Speaker 1: download the benk Pros app and sink your sportsbooks Today.

789
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,760
Speaker 1: For Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock. Thanks so much for watching.

790
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,760
Speaker 5: Take care of y'all, Thanks for listening to the Betting

791
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,800
Speaker 5: Pros podcast. If you love the show, the best freeway

792
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,439
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793
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:45,000
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794
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,920
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795
00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:49,880
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796
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:51,680
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797
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:55,280
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