1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 3: All right, here we go throwing out Joe Spect. We're 4 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 3: saying it's a catch touch. 5 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 4: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 6 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 4: go to win. 7 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 3: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. 8 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: I like to make money. 9 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabash you want to 10 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 3: back and we are underway. Welcome to the Action Network 11 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 3: Podcast presented by FanDuel. This is your NFL Week two 12 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 3: Best Bets episode. I'm your host, Brendan Glasheen. Today, joined 13 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 3: by three Action Network experts, will go through their three 14 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 3: favorite bets for each of the games they like this weekend. 15 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 3: Last week, our experts had a solid solid week six 16 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 3: and three our record, that's pretty good, good start of 17 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 3: the season. Today, we've got Brandon Anderson back Ducks Swayin 18 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 3: otherwise known as Vegas Refund and also joining us Dan Martinez, 19 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 3: Action Network NFL Expert. He's the host of our new 20 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 3: live Showgreen Dot Daily. It's at noon Eastern every weekday 21 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 3: over on the Action Network YouTube. You can also find 22 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 3: us on the socials and the Action Network app. As 23 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 3: a reminder, you can use that very same Action Network 24 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:22,919 Speaker 3: app to follow today's picks and just use the apps, 25 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 3: follow feature and search for Action Network NFL picks. All right, first, 26 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 3: we're gonna go around the horn real quick. One sentence 27 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 3: summary of this coming Sunday slate Week two Brandon Anderson, 28 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 3: why don't you to start us off? 29 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 2: Week two is overreaction week. We waited all year for 30 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: data and numbers. We finally got it. Be careful out there. 31 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 2: We have some very tricky lines. You don't have to 32 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: play every game every week. 33 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: Okay, how about you, Luke? Yeah, it's the same the 34 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 3: overaction week. 35 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: But at the same time, we don't want to overreact 36 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: in terms of like all the trends hitting this past Sunday, 37 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 1: because I think every single trend that all the media 38 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 1: outlets were pumping ahead. 39 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 3: Day Martinez Week two in one sentence, what do you think? 40 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 4: Absolutely? The overreaction season that everyone's talking about is certainly 41 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 4: in play. But for me, I always love to like 42 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 4: to look that Week two is the home opener for 43 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 4: some teams. We talk about the boosts of the home 44 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 4: opener last week with some teams, some of them have 45 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:19,119 Speaker 4: their home opener this week, and I like that adrenaline 46 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 4: as well. 47 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 3: Okay, I think I used this word last week. I'm 48 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 3: using a word, not a sentence, but patience. Patience. If 49 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 3: there is a player or a team that you were 50 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 3: high on and they had a bad first week doesn't 51 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 3: mean everything's gonna crumble. And if a team did well 52 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 3: that you thought would suck, that could still happen. So 53 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 3: give it time. They might stink, all right. First best 54 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 3: bet of the day will come from Brandon Anderson. As 55 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 3: a reminder, these fellas have not consulted with one another 56 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 3: before we started recording, so there might be some overlapping 57 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 3: picks they may contradict. It's every man for himself here 58 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 3: on these best bets. So with all that being said, 59 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 3: let's get into the picks. Brandon Anderson, start us off. 60 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 3: Your best bet, your first one. 61 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 2: I'm going back to the well on the Pittsburgh Steelers 62 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 2: in another raw, raw underdog spot for Mike Tomlin. 63 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 4: I like the transparency in the clarity of which we work. 64 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 3: It lets me know that we feel like we are 65 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 3: capable and we're not scared. 66 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: Steelers plus two and a half home underdogs against the 67 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 2: New England Patriots. Now we'll start with us on Sunday 68 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 2: night on our Monday podcast. I gave this out as 69 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 2: my how read. I expected this line to go the 70 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 2: other way. I thought Pittsburgh would be favored by kickoff. 71 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 2: It is moving towards New England. People are putting their 72 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 2: money on the Patriots. I'm sticking to my guns here. 73 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 3: We know the trends. 74 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 2: Bill Belichick's great after a loss. We know that he's 75 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 2: going to have the Patriots ready, But I kind of 76 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 2: think that that's just buying us some points here. That 77 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 2: roster of guys, you know, the ones who have to 78 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 2: actually play the game, I'm not sure they've earned the 79 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 2: credit that Bill Belichick has. The Patriots looked rough against Miami, 80 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 2: and I especially with concerned about their offensive line. That's 81 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 2: been a staple strength for Bill Belichick over the years. 82 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 2: They struggled, and Pittsburgh is not a team you want 83 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 2: to play when that line is struggling. 84 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: Now. 85 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 3: I know TJ. 86 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 2: Watt is out, but the Steelers are not a one 87 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 2: man defense. Cam Hayward is a future Hall of Famer. 88 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 2: Alex high Smith had three sacks last week. Mika Fitzpatrick 89 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 2: was a superstar doing everything for them. I think Pittsburgh's 90 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 2: defense is clearly even without TJ. 91 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:19,840 Speaker 3: Watt. 92 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 2: The best unit on the field. Here, we know the 93 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin underdog stats forty six twenty three and two 94 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 2: against the spread. Now, that's sixty seven percent, but even better, 95 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 2: astonishingly good at home as an underdog, fourteen three and 96 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 2: two against the spread, nearly uncoverable, unbeatable. You want Mike 97 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 2: Tomlin at home. So a couple other trends here. We're 98 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 2: not expecting points in this one. The total is low 99 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 2: when a total is below forty two. Since twenty eighteen, 100 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,840 Speaker 2: the underdog in that game is eighty eight fifty four 101 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 2: and three against the spread. That's a sixty two percent 102 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 2: cover rate, a lot of points. Then that spread is 103 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 2: even more valuable, so we're getting the points here. One 104 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: last trend teams that were Week one underdogs, like the 105 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 2: Patriots were, that become road favorites in week two. It 106 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:17,480 Speaker 2: doesn't happen often, but those teams since two thousand and 107 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 2: five are four fourteen and one against the spread and 108 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 2: have lost nine of the last ten out right, So 109 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 2: there are trends. You can do any of their side here. 110 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 2: The trends favorite Steelers. I think the rosters favor the Steelers. 111 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 2: I'm going to take the steel curtain and stick with it. 112 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 2: Pittsburgh to do it again back to back weeks. 113 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 3: And that's not to say the Patriots could still win 114 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 3: the game outright. They haven't been knowing too since two 115 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 3: thousand and one, so that's pretty remarkable. And this is 116 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 3: the first time they play each other without Brady or 117 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 3: Roethlisberger quarterback. Luke, what's your best bet? 118 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: So my first bet bet is actually going to be 119 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: the Patriots minus two minus two and a half. Like 120 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: for me, it's more of a fade of the Steelers 121 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 1: where the game was closer in terms of the Patriots 122 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 1: and the Dolphins that it really liked that the Boss 123 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: score implies where the Pats had three turnovers, and if 124 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: you take away those three turnovers, it probably is like 125 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: a touchdown game. They might have not covered anyway, but 126 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: it really in terms of the Steelers, they were out 127 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: first down thirty two to thirteen against the Bengals, they 128 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: were out gained four hundred and thirty two to two 129 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty seven yards, and they lost the time 130 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,799 Speaker 1: of possession battle as well. Bengals had it for forty 131 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: three minutes and the Steelers had it for twenty six 132 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 1: and then the Steelers had five turnovers. 133 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 3: That's really like what kept. 134 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: Them in that game. 135 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:37,799 Speaker 3: I know TJ. 136 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: Watt is out, and I know that defense is stacked, 137 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:43,919 Speaker 1: but in my opinion, TJ. Wats probably the most valuable 138 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: defensive player in the entire league and probably like one 139 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:49,600 Speaker 1: of the few that is worth like a point if that. 140 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 1: Teams off of double digit blowouts are forty and twenty 141 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: five sixty two percent, which aligns with the Patriots as well. 142 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: It really is like a by low Sell, high overreaction 143 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 1: type game to me, So I'm going to take the 144 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: Patriots Spinus two. 145 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 3: This opened earlier in the week Pats minus one, and 146 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 3: just some other notes. You know, Brandon's talking about Tomlin's success. 147 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 3: As he mentioned, it's a high sixty percent clip against 148 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 3: the spread. Bill Belichick against Mike Tomlin is eight and 149 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 3: three straight up seven and four against the spread. Belichick 150 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 3: is Tomlin's second least profitable opposing coach. The only other 151 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 3: one is Mike McCarthy Dane Martinez. Your a best bet 152 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 3: is you debut on our Action Network podcast for your 153 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 3: first pick. Yeah. 154 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 4: Absolutely, I guess I'm breaking the tie here. I'm with Brandon, 155 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 4: give me the Pittsburgh Steelers as home dogs getting the 156 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 4: two and a half points. You asked me for the 157 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 4: one sentence before right, I mentioned the home opener, and 158 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 4: I like Pittsburgh in this one. You know before Luke 159 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 4: was talking about fading the Steelers. For me, this is 160 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 4: a fate of the New England Patriots. Like I was 161 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 4: down on the Patriots coming into this season, I'm on 162 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 4: there under in the season win total, and I saw 163 00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 4: absolutely nothing that would scare me. Now. I know Wat 164 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 4: is out, but just like Brandon said, I think the 165 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 4: Pittsburgh defense is by far the best unit on the field. 166 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 4: They've got playmakers left and right, and so you need 167 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 4: playmakers on offense to beat them, to score against them. 168 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 4: Since he had some last week, who is that guy 169 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 4: for New England? Am I scared of Nelson Agalore? For 170 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 4: goodness sakes? No, So to me this is I don't 171 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 4: believe in New England. I don't see them ascending or improving. 172 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 4: Mac Jones had backspasms, for goodness sakes, And I know 173 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 4: Nase's banged up. I know Watt is not there, but 174 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 4: Pittsburgh can still bring pressure on the quarterback and that's 175 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 4: what you need to do against the guy like mac Jones' 176 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 4: force quicker decisions, and then I think they're just too talented. 177 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 3: Give me the home dog. 178 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 4: I'll break the tie here with Pittsburgh. 179 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 3: Okay, let's move on. So we're all on this game. Interesting, 180 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:51,640 Speaker 3: Let's go to best bet number two. Brandon Anderson. 181 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 2: All right, I'm going back to another one that we 182 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 2: did last week. So we did Steelers last week, Steelers again. 183 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 2: Last week we did the Colts game. I'm back on 184 00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 2: the Colts game this week. I'm flipping sides. I'm backing 185 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:06,559 Speaker 2: the Indianapolis Colts minus three and a half in Jacksonville. 186 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 2: Not the place you want to be if you are 187 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 2: a Colts fan. That has not gone well for you. 188 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 2: The Jaguars have beat the Colts seven times in a 189 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 2: row straight up. Now again, I'm on the Colts here. 190 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 2: We'll get there. We remember Week eighteen. 191 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 3: That was the game. 192 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 2: That's the one that made the Colts what they are 193 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 2: now because they were supposed to make the playoffs. 194 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 3: All they had to do was beat. 195 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:34,839 Speaker 2: The lowly, awful, horrible, terrible Jaguars who were going to 196 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 2: contend for the number one pick. And they couldn't do it, 197 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,080 Speaker 2: and they blew it up. They got rid of Carson Wentz, 198 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 2: and I know that terrible taste is in your mouth 199 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,319 Speaker 2: as a better I know they'll let you down, but 200 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 2: you know who else that taste has been sitting in 201 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 2: for months and months everyone in this Colts franchise. This 202 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:57,599 Speaker 2: game is the game that they did everything for. This 203 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 2: is the one you have to win this game. If 204 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 2: you are the Colts, you went out and got rid 205 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 2: of Carson Wentz, you traded a lot for when got 206 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:09,199 Speaker 2: a new quarterback Matt Ryan, who I think limits the 207 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 2: ceiling a little bit on this team. 208 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 3: But the goal is you raise the floor. 209 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 2: You eliminate some of those lefty Carson Wentz whoops sort 210 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 2: of mistakes that boy, he had some of those in 211 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 2: that Jacksonville game. 212 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 3: You raise the floor. 213 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 2: The Jaguar is that their relative strength is running the 214 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 2: ball and stopping the run. That's the thing they do 215 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 2: pretty well. But that is what the Colts do even better, 216 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 2: I would say, as well as any team in the NFL. 217 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:37,319 Speaker 2: So this is a positive matchup for Indy. And I 218 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 2: know traveling that Jacksonville has not gone well, but I 219 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:43,559 Speaker 2: think that's buying us a little value on the line here. 220 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:47,439 Speaker 2: I think that's getting baked into the number and Indianapolis, 221 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 2: this is your season. You can't tye Houston and lose 222 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 2: to Jacksonville to start your year. They got Chiefs, Titans, 223 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 2: Broncos coming up next. You got to have this one. 224 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 2: And then here's the thing that push me over the 225 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 2: edge last week if you listened, Frank Wright, Colts coach 226 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:08,199 Speaker 2: has still even including last week, failed to win or 227 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 2: cover ever in week one. Matt Ryan five and ten 228 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,839 Speaker 2: against the spread in week one. The worst coach and 229 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,199 Speaker 2: the worst quarterback week one in our system. So I 230 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 2: guess what I did. I went back to Action Labs. 231 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 2: I ran the numbers for week two. Guess who the 232 00:11:23,920 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 2: best coach is in our system? In Week two, it's 233 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 2: Frank Reich four o perfect against the spread. Guess who 234 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,319 Speaker 2: the best quarterback is against the spread in Week two 235 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 2: it's Matt Ryan eleven and three. 236 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 3: These guys have. 237 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 2: A pattern of starting terribly. We saw it last week. 238 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 2: They figured it out in week two. Once everyone overreacts 239 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 2: a little bit, I'm gonna go with the Colts here. 240 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 2: Minus three and a half. 241 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: Are the Jags three points worse than the Texans, Like 242 00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:54,679 Speaker 1: the Colts were minus seven at Houston last week and 243 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:57,719 Speaker 1: now you're telling me that they're minus four at Jacksonville. Like, 244 00:11:57,800 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 1: to me, the Texans and the Jags aren't that different 245 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 1: in terms of like ratings, where like that just makes 246 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: this like the overreaction value bet. 247 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 3: Colts have lost five straight against the spread versus Jacksonville 248 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 3: and since twenty fifteen one twelve and one against the spread. 249 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:15,839 Speaker 3: So we'll see if Brandon though, is giving them good 250 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 3: vibes here the Colts in Week two minus three and 251 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 3: a half at the Jags. Luke, let's go to you next. 252 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 3: What's your second best bet for us? 253 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, so my second one is going to be Niners 254 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: minus eight and a half, who are hosting the Seahawks, 255 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 1: coming off of that emotional game on Monday Night Football 256 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 1: with Russell Wilson that they won. The Niners is past 257 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: Sunday played the Bears and they lost, of course, which 258 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: that was in an absolute monsoon. 259 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 2: Of a game. 260 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:41,839 Speaker 1: And it's really you can't really take anything from this 261 00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 1: past Sunday's game in terms of like reacting to this 262 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: Niners team. They lost Elijah Mitchell, but Shanahan's just he 263 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 1: brings a new running backs. 264 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 3: Throughout the entire season. They're all the same, and it's 265 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 3: the system. 266 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 1: It's not Elijah, Like Eliza is a great player, but 267 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 1: Wilson is going to fulfill that role as well. The 268 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:03,840 Speaker 1: Bears defense held Trey Lance in check, where Trey Lance 269 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 1: made enough plays that I can watch him and say 270 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 1: that he has it. He has progressed a little bit 271 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 1: in terms of his rookie year two now. And I 272 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:14,839 Speaker 1: really just think that them going home after being on 273 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 1: the road in Week one and the Seahawks just coming 274 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 1: off of that emotional win where they were outgained like 275 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 1: two hundred and thirty yards and their defense is just 276 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:26,319 Speaker 1: not good. I totally see the Niners just pounding them 277 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 1: who don't have their safety. I just totally see the 278 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 1: Niners bulldozing the Seahawks off of that emotional one. 279 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 3: Your thought on running backs quickly, Kyle Shanahan proves this. 280 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 3: He's a great example of it. Belichick does it. They're 281 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,920 Speaker 3: like disposable razors, right, hey, next man up, you're in. 282 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 3: You're in. Like that's why the teams to pay the 283 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 3: running back dumb. 284 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 1: He literally has like a type of running back where 285 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: all of his running back are just violent runners, like 286 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: they have absolutely no fear. They just hit the hole, 287 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 1: and that's part of the reason I think why they 288 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:57,959 Speaker 1: always get injured. And the next guy up is just 289 00:13:58,000 --> 00:13:59,959 Speaker 1: another guy that has no fear and he's running along 290 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,839 Speaker 1: miles an hour in abs on skin and it's just 291 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:06,199 Speaker 1: Rinson repeat and they fell in. And that's why Wilson 292 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:08,599 Speaker 1: was the top waiver claim in Fantasy League. So I 293 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna skip a beat at all. 294 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 3: Okay, very good. So we've got the Niners minus eight 295 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 3: and a half going home to take on the Seattle 296 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 3: Seahawks again, big emotional high wind for them at home. Dane, 297 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 3: your second best bet for us? Please? 298 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 4: Fair enough? I will say, you know, as far as 299 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 4: Jeff Wilson being that number one waiver while I pick up, 300 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 4: I was actually not spending a bunch of my fat 301 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 4: budget because of. 302 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 3: What you guys already said. 303 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 4: It's almost plug and play in San Francisco. I you 304 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 4: will get carries, de Bowl get carries, and let's not 305 00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 4: forget Trey Lance will probably still lead them in rushing 306 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 4: just like he did against Chicago. For my next best bet, 307 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 4: I'm going with the New Orleans Saints again. What did 308 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 4: I say at the top of the show Home openers. 309 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 4: I found yet another home dog. You know, a lot 310 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 4: of people think that Tom Brady and Tampa Bay are 311 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 4: kind of like a FATA complete since he's been there, 312 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 4: But you. 313 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 3: Know who they lose to every single time. 314 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 4: It's this New Orleans team and specifically this New Orleans 315 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 4: Saints defense, which I think the key is they're able 316 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 4: to get pressure on Tom Brady. Ever since he lost 317 00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 4: the Super Bowl to the NASCAR defense that the Giants 318 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 4: put out, we realize getting pressure on Tom Brady, getting 319 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 4: him off the spot was the key. They have sacked 320 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:21,080 Speaker 4: Tom Brady thirteen times in four games against them, averaged 321 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 4: another fifteen quarterback pressures. 322 00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 3: That's the way you do it. And listen. 323 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 4: What we have seen is the deterioration slash evolution revolving 324 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 4: door of the Tampa Bay offensive line already early in 325 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,560 Speaker 4: this season. I think that even is another point for 326 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 4: the pass rush of New Orleans. You know how Latimore 327 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 4: and Mike Evans like to renew their hostilities. We also 328 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 4: have a banged up wide receiver corps for the Tampa 329 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 4: Bay Bucks. Julio was DNP today Godwin is all but 330 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 4: listed as out. So I wonder where else do they 331 00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 4: go I'll also tell you I said it at the 332 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 4: top of the show home opener. I have been in 333 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:04,240 Speaker 4: that Dome. I had stood up and got drunk. Nothing 334 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 4: gets louder than in there. I like New Orleans. They 335 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:11,200 Speaker 4: have Tampa's number. The old line is bad for Tampa 336 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 4: against this pass rush. Give me another home dog. I'm 337 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 4: taking the Saints. 338 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 3: Are you gonna go to help your bet? No, No, 339 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 3: because that. 340 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 4: Would be like a jinx of it. I don't want 341 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 4: to do that. I'm just giving it out there. I 342 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 4: bet there's like fifty or sixty thousand other people who 343 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 4: will go and hopefully taill. 344 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 3: There you go. Yeah, you have faith in the right people, 345 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 3: that's for sure. Yes, Tom bradycames season two. 346 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 4: I don't know. 347 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 3: Tom Brady won and four against spread against the Saints 348 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:35,760 Speaker 3: over the last five years. I can't get out of 349 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 3: my head his debut with Tampa Week one back in 350 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 3: twenty twenty, and he looked lost. But he's been there 351 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 3: for three years. It has been his team he struggles against. 352 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 3: Of course, the playoff win is the exception. Okay, very good. 353 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 3: So we've got three different picks for pick two. Let's 354 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 3: move to our final best bet for me, to the guys. Brandon, 355 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 3: you first best bet number three for Week two. Yeah. 356 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 2: Boy, speaking of can't get out of your head, I 357 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 2: can't get out him. I had the most recent Tom 358 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 2: Brady game against the Saint Twitch cost us our MVP 359 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 2: ticket that we waited all year on last year, and 360 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:07,640 Speaker 2: then you laid the egg on Sunday night. So I've 361 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 2: seen a Sunday night. I am going to stick with 362 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: Sunday night here. I'm going with the home team, another 363 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 2: home favorite here. Big favorite are Green Bay Packers minus 364 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 2: nine and a half. Right now, our e lax, relax, 365 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:25,120 Speaker 2: do not overreact to what you saw last week. 366 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: Five letters here just for everybody out there in Packer 367 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 1: Land and yourself today. 368 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:36,960 Speaker 4: R E l a X relax. 369 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 2: Like Luke said, nothing to take away from the Bears 370 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,280 Speaker 2: game here. The Bears are bad. We know that Bears 371 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:44,719 Speaker 2: are bad. Everyone knows the Bears are bad. Have them 372 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 2: bottom three offense, bottom three defense. 373 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 3: You're not a good team. 374 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:50,440 Speaker 2: No one will watch last week and thought they were good. 375 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 2: It's seventy three yards in forty minutes, and then you know, 376 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 2: monsoon stuff happened and things went a ry. So not 377 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:00,119 Speaker 2: much to take away there. I think we're overreacting a 378 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 2: little bit to the Packers game though they lost to 379 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 2: the Vikings, and everyone's like, oh, no, PTSD. I remember 380 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 2: last year Week one, Aaron Rodgers the Saints. 381 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,879 Speaker 3: It was really bad. Yeah, it was really bad. This 382 00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 3: was not so bad. 383 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 2: First play from scrimmage Christian Watson, Aaron Rodgers hits him 384 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:19,920 Speaker 2: in the hands, seventy five yard touchdown. He drops it, 385 00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 2: so there's one touchdown off the board. Later in the half, 386 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 2: Packers out a fourth in goal they don't get in. 387 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 2: The Packers lost by two touchdowns. That's two touchdowns. That's 388 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 2: the game right there. This defense allowed twenty three points 389 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 2: to Minnesota. I think in a couple of months we 390 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,120 Speaker 2: might look back and say, you know what, it's pretty good. 391 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 2: Minnesota's offense is really good. You help them to two 392 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,919 Speaker 2: field goals in the second half. It's a pretty good effort. 393 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 2: This is a very good spot for Green Bay. Here's 394 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:48,400 Speaker 2: the thing with the Packers. I don't need to argue 395 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 2: why the Packers are better than the Bearris. You already 396 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 2: know that. So let me just back it up with 397 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,719 Speaker 2: a slew of trends that are all in our favor. 398 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 2: Every one of these trends. I'm about to tell you 399 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 2: has an against the spread record in Aaron Rodgers favor 400 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 2: of sixty four percent or better. Rogers at home sixty 401 00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 2: six percent. Rogers is a home favorite sixty five percent. 402 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 2: Rogers at home in prime time sixty nine percent, cover eight, 403 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 2: Rogers is a division favorite sixty four percent after a 404 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 2: loss sixty four percent. Rodgers against the Bears twenty and 405 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 2: seven against the spread seventy four percent. That is his 406 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 2: most profitable team. He said it last year. Aaron Rodgers 407 00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 2: owns the Bears. He always has, he always will. I 408 00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,439 Speaker 2: live in Chicago area. They should put up a statue 409 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers here in Chicago because that's pretty much how 410 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 2: much he's dominated. So I think we had a stat 411 00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 2: earlier about losing by double digits in Week one, forty 412 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 2: and twenty five. That's the Packers here. They lost by 413 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 2: double digits. I think we're getting a few points on 414 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:51,880 Speaker 2: the line. One last number, Matt Lafleur has lost ten 415 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 2: times in his career as a head coach. After a loss, 416 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:57,720 Speaker 2: he is a perfect nine to zero straight up and 417 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:01,399 Speaker 2: nine to oh against the spread after a loss with 418 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 2: this team covering by more than ten points a game. Relax, 419 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,400 Speaker 2: Packers are fine. I've got an article up at Action 420 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 2: backing them plus fifteen hundred to win. 421 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 3: The Super Bowl. 422 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,920 Speaker 2: This is a great Bilo spot Sunday night. I think 423 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 2: we're gonna be able to hit the sack early Packers 424 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 2: role and. 425 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 3: A similar stat you mentioned the floor. Rogers has a 426 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 3: similar stat as well, eight and one straight up nine 427 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,640 Speaker 3: to oh ats against the Bears after a straight up loss. Yeah, 428 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,959 Speaker 3: Minnesota is pretty good. I think we found out week one. 429 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 3: You can overreact with that football team, that's for sure. 430 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 3: By the way, what will help your case is if 431 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 3: David Baktiari is able to go with active Wednesday this week. 432 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:40,520 Speaker 3: Thursday did not show up practice could have been a 433 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 3: maintenance day. We shall see what that means going forward. Okay, 434 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 3: Luke gone to you, what is your best bet? 435 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,639 Speaker 1: It's going to be the Packers as well, minus nine 436 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,840 Speaker 1: and a half minus ten for all of the reasons 437 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: Brandon just said. 438 00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 3: They couldn't have said it better. 439 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:55,359 Speaker 1: The one thing I do want to mention is the 440 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 1: injuries you want to monitor are Lazzard, Baktari, and Jenkins, 441 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,159 Speaker 1: which I'm honoring, not in terms of like whether I 442 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:05,160 Speaker 1: want to be on the Packers. I can totally see 443 00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,120 Speaker 1: if one of those two or two of the three 444 00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:08,880 Speaker 1: are out, you're going to get an even better line 445 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 1: where if it falls like that's even better. And I'm 446 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:15,679 Speaker 1: still gonna like the bet Rogers owns the Bears. The Bears, 447 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 1: like I said, against the Niners the Monsoon, like they're 448 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: just not good. I love this bat Sunday Night. I mean, 449 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 1: I think at right now the Packers are actually the 450 00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:27,880 Speaker 1: controon side as well, which makes it even better. 451 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,240 Speaker 3: You know something too, justin Field and his teammates sliding 452 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 3: in the water so gracefully that a lot of people 453 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,040 Speaker 3: made it feel good about the Bears coming out of 454 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 3: that week. You know, it matters to some people, but 455 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 3: that does not help covering sprints last night, check Dane, 456 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,960 Speaker 3: take us home your third pick, your third best bet. Yeah, 457 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 3: I'm with these guys as well. 458 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:47,880 Speaker 4: Give me Green Bay as long as it's under ten 459 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 4: points like it is right now, I see it at 460 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,960 Speaker 4: nine and a half. These guys talked about how the 461 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 4: Monsoon game was something of an anomaly, right, so I 462 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,960 Speaker 4: agree with that. We talk about, you know, the Packers 463 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:02,119 Speaker 4: had that week one, the lack of potential chemistry with 464 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,200 Speaker 4: some of the new wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers has to 465 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 4: build that as well. But Brandon was with me on 466 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 4: Green Dot Daily earlier in the week, and I'm with him. 467 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 4: He was saying the same thing, and I was saying, 468 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 4: you know, all the Packers fans need to just talk 469 00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:18,920 Speaker 4: to the Shamans, take some ayahuasca and absolutely relax. Relax. Okay, 470 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 4: But here's the one thing that neither one of these 471 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 4: guys mentioned so far. We only have one game so 472 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,920 Speaker 4: far in the season, right and I just think that 473 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,480 Speaker 4: game script got away from green Bay against Minnesota. We're 474 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,480 Speaker 4: gonna realize that Minnesota is a good team, and coming 475 00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 4: into this season, Green Bay wanted to be a little 476 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 4: bit more of a run heavy team with Aaron Jones 477 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 4: and AJ Dillon. They just never had that opportunity. I 478 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,080 Speaker 4: think the game script will be more in their favor. 479 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,640 Speaker 4: They will be able to kind of run the rock. 480 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 3: A little bit. And Chicago did give up over. 481 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:52,880 Speaker 4: One hundred and seventy yards to the Niners and their 482 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 4: run game in the monsoon, so I think it profiles well. 483 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 4: If green Bay gets up that will be able to 484 00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 4: continue to hammer them their run game, which they've always 485 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 4: wanted to here in twenty twenty two, and it's another 486 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,800 Speaker 4: home opener. I'm with these guys making a sweep. 487 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,200 Speaker 3: Give me Green Bay, all right, lot of Packers love 488 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 3: on our Week two Best Bets episode. I want to 489 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 3: look ahead to week three, because why not? We can 490 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 3: sometimes get an edge the look aheadline for next week 491 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 3: that the guys might be eye again. You like a 492 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: number now that we got the FanDuel Sports book up 493 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 3: right now. This episode brought to you by fan Duel 494 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,879 Speaker 3: of course, Brandon. Any lines that jump out to you 495 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,439 Speaker 3: for next week that you think the people should jump on, now, 496 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:32,800 Speaker 3: I've got one. 497 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 2: So as you listen to this, it is Friday, and 498 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 2: you just watched the best game of the week. Chargers Chiefs, 499 00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:43,400 Speaker 2: Amazon Prime, Thursday Night. We're back baby, Thursday Night Football. 500 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 2: Guess what we got our good one out of the way. 501 00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:49,040 Speaker 2: Next Thursday, we're getting gross. We're getting thirty and I'm 502 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:54,160 Speaker 2: jumping in the mud. Steelers Browns Thursday Night, Jacoby Brissette, 503 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 2: Mitch Drubisky, Amazon Prime. 504 00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 3: Let's go. 505 00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 2: I'm taking the under. We're at forty and a half. 506 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 2: I think this line can only go one direction. Nobody 507 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,240 Speaker 2: thinks these teams are good on offense. We know they're 508 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,520 Speaker 2: very good on defense. We know what that means, especially 509 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 2: on a short week. Just look at what happened this week. 510 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,359 Speaker 2: The Steelers are playing the Patriots line open at forty 511 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,639 Speaker 2: two and a half, gotten down to thirty nine and 512 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:22,400 Speaker 2: a half. The Browns and Jets open at forty two, 513 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 2: down to thirty nine and a half. Both of those 514 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,639 Speaker 2: games we're looking at saying, hey, you know what I 515 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,240 Speaker 2: think i'll bet against. Offense is doing anything useful in 516 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 2: that game, I'll take the defense. So now we're getting 517 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 2: both defenses together. This line's only going to go one 518 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 2: direction Thursday unders since twenty ten when it is forty 519 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,200 Speaker 2: points or lower on the total, which it's not yet, 520 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 2: but I'm expecting it to get there. We're just getting 521 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: a better line on it. When Thursday total is forty 522 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 2: or below, the under is fifteen and five since twenty ten, 523 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 2: covering by eight point six points a game, So covering 524 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:01,600 Speaker 2: with ease. Really, by the way of those twenty games, 525 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,439 Speaker 2: we had one fifty four in there, we had two 526 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 2: forty fours every other game, forty or below every one 527 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,640 Speaker 2: of them, So that forty and below wins our bet. 528 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,959 Speaker 2: If the number does go in that direction, I expect 529 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 2: that it will. It's gonna be ugly Thursday night, like 530 00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:20,960 Speaker 2: we love it. The only way to do Thursday Night. 531 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,600 Speaker 2: Get out of here, chiefs Chargers, give me brown stealers. 532 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: Let's make some money. 533 00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,640 Speaker 3: So gross that part of me wonders if we watch 534 00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 3: the game and then Brandon Anderson in the Mud for 535 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 3: halftime entertainment purposes. 536 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:31,960 Speaker 4: I mean, that's. 537 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,200 Speaker 3: Really geez. I mean that could be a way better, 538 00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:38,200 Speaker 3: more entertaining products. Brandon Anderson in the Mud next Thursday. 539 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 3: All right, that's going to do it. For the Action 540 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 3: Network podcast our NFL Week two Best Bets thanks to 541 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 3: Brandon Anderson, Vegas Free Fund, Luke Swayn, and of course 542 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,160 Speaker 3: Day Martinez, the host of Green Dot Daily, for joining 543 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,680 Speaker 3: us today. Gentlemen, Brandon, you can be found at weed 544 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:54,879 Speaker 3: on Brando on the Twitter machine. Also your first and 545 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:58,119 Speaker 3: last name over on the Action Network Gap. Luke Swayn 546 00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:00,359 Speaker 3: is Vegas refund on both front's day. Where can the 547 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 3: people find you over on the. 548 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,280 Speaker 4: App at spitting Speeds and in the app of course. 549 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 3: Very good, easy enough spitting speeds on both fronts excellent. 550 00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 3: Just to recap the picks for this week. Brandon Anderson 551 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:16,679 Speaker 3: is on Pittsburgh plus two and a half, Indy minus 552 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,560 Speaker 3: three and a half and he's got the Packers minus 553 00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:21,719 Speaker 3: nine and a half. Dan is on Pittsburgh plus two 554 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,639 Speaker 3: and a half. He's got the Saints covering against the 555 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,440 Speaker 3: Bucks plus two and a half, also on the Packers, 556 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 3: and then Luke is on the opposite side of the 557 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,600 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh pick. He likes New England minus two and a half. 558 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,920 Speaker 3: He's got the Niners minus eight and a half and 559 00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 3: he's also on Green Bay. For those guys, Brendy Glashen Folks, 560 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:40,760 Speaker 3: best of luck with your bets this weekend. We'll see 561 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,199 Speaker 3: you again on Monday morning on the Action Network podcast. 562 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 3: Thanks for joining us.