1 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another edition of Crush City Territory. 2 00:00:11,840 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: I'm channing the room, joined as always by Tyler Stafford. 3 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: And if you are watching on YouTube, we have upgraded. 4 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: Because we like you guys that much, we have upgraded. 5 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: We've switching over to a new podcast production app. 6 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 2: That's something that they call it. I don't know. 7 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: I don't do technology, which you'll find out as you 8 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: watch this podcast, because you will see my eyes going 9 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: in eighteen different directions. You will see me freaking out 10 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: that I'm not hitting the right buttons. So bear with me, 11 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 1: bear with us. If you're watching on YouTube, as always, 12 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 1: like the video, it very much helps us out. 13 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: Like the video. 14 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: Comment on the video, I'm sure you'll comment about estoc 15 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: paratus and me being unable to click buttons, because that's kind. 16 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 2: Of how it's been going. Tyler. 17 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: I'm sorry to delay this by thirty five minutes because 18 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: I didn't know how to work this thing. 19 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 2: How are you hey? I am with you, man. 20 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 3: I also logged into this app and it felt like, 21 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 3: you know, a minority report where Tom Cruise is up 22 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,839 Speaker 3: there just moving. I mean, the whole screen was full 23 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 3: of buttons and widgets. And uh, listen, we're simple folk. 24 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 3: And uh that was that was too many buttons not 25 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 3: even buttons. I guess they're just not they're not even physical. 26 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 3: I can't even flip a switch. They're just hidden in 27 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 3: my screen. So I appreciate you piloting this, Chandler, because 28 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 3: I certainly could not. 29 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is this is very uh, this is this 30 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: is just it's it's a lot. 31 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 2: This is a lot happening, but we're going through it. 32 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 2: We'll get through it. Everybody will look back. 33 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 3: At this and laugh and like two months when when 34 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 3: they're giving us our emmys. 35 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, we already we already won like kind of 36 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: an emmy. Right, we want a belt? We did, we 37 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: we did. It's a cool belt buckle. 38 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 2: We did. Yeah, my belt buckles like sitting. I don't 39 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: own a belt, so it's tough. 40 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 3: You don't own a belt. 41 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: I don't wear belts. I what I very rarely tuck 42 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: my shirts in. I very rarely tuck my shirts in, 43 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: and like, yeah, I just don't wear a belt. 44 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 3: Your your jeans fit you well enough that you don't 45 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 3: need a belt. 46 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 2: I don't wear jeans, so. 47 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 3: Okay, wait, so you're in like slacks at urchinos or 48 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 3: whatever every day without a belt. 49 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 2: I mean I wear I mean, are we really going 50 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:23,679 Speaker 2: off on this tangent. 51 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 4: Like we are? 52 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: What's happening? I don't. 53 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,359 Speaker 1: I wear like Lululemon pants every day, like you don't 54 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: need you don't need belts. 55 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 2: Okay, I dress like you don't. I dress like a 56 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: major league scalp. All right. 57 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: I wear Lululemon dress pants to work every day, like 58 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: this is not something that needs a belt around it. 59 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 3: I mean, listen, I work from home. I have a 60 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 3: nice shirt that I hang just off to the side here. 61 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 3: I'm in T shirts and you know, shorts every single day, 62 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 3: so I can't speak to that. But I do own 63 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 3: a belt. So that's that's what I was curious about. 64 00:02:54,840 --> 00:03:00,360 Speaker 2: Anyway. What's up the Astros? 65 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: Well, they are currently finishing up their final exhibition game 66 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 1: of the season. They were playing the Sugarland Space Cowboys 67 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: at Dyke and Park. Jeremy Pania just hit a ball 68 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: off the train tracks, which has to bode well for 69 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,239 Speaker 1: his availability on opening day, But as of this recording, 70 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 1: we do not know if Jeremy Pania will be on 71 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 1: the opening day roster. That's probably the that's not probably 72 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: that is the last real decision that the Astros have 73 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: to make. They made one earlier today by telling Christian 74 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 1: Vasquez he's made the team and telling Sasar Salazar he 75 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: has not made the team. If you have listened to 76 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 1: this podcast for any point of the last two and 77 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: a half months, you knew that was coming because you 78 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: were ahead of the game. Yes, saysar Salazar is a 79 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: great guy, revered in the clubhouse. I'm not sure if 80 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 1: he's going to clear waivers, but if he does, the 81 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: Astros are going to love to get him back in 82 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: the organization. But it was just not a situation in 83 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 1: which they thought they could play him as much as 84 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: this position is going to require playing. They went with 85 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 1: the more sure thing. And I also wouldn't discount the 86 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: fact that Christian Vasquez can help Yiner Diaz in a 87 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: lot of different ways, like in I mean, this is 88 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: a guy that's been the big leaguees ten years. He's 89 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 1: been doing this for a very long time, having that 90 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,279 Speaker 1: kind of steady hand. I know no one wants me 91 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 1: to invoke the name of another Puerto Rican catcher that 92 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: was here for a very long time and that was 93 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: very influential and had a guiding hand in all the meetings. 94 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 1: But yes, Christian Vasquez could function just like Martin Maldonado 95 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:35,479 Speaker 1: did playing less. Obviously, I think fans will be happy 96 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: to hear that. 97 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 3: But playing less, I thought you were talking about l 98 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 3: O Soblanco. That's that's the one I was I was picturing. 99 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 3: But yes, Baldonado, I guess. 100 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 2: Yes, he's gonna that. 101 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: They hope that Christian Vasquez can function kind of in 102 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 1: that role again as a backup, not playing every day, 103 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 1: but as someone that can help Yiner Diaz kind of 104 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 1: through a season, through one hundred and sixty two game season, 105 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: prepping in pregame meetings and things like that, what Victor 106 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:08,040 Speaker 1: Krrottini did to an extent last year too. Because Victor 107 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 1: Krottini is an older, established catcher, that's not what cesar 108 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 1: salads are is. So they went with the more established, 109 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: proven guy over Salazar, which, again, if you've listened to 110 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 1: this for any length of time, you knew that that 111 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: was going to how it was going to come down. 112 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: But just the timing of it, not getting Christian Vasquez 113 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: in the camp until after the WBC, not getting him 114 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 1: till late like it kind of dragged this out but 115 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: this was always going to be the outcome. They were 116 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:39,280 Speaker 1: always going to try to find someone else, someone more established, 117 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:40,599 Speaker 1: to take that back up catcher role. 118 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, and this is a really big year for iron 119 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 3: Diaz in his development. This is his first year of arbitration, 120 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 3: so he's earning four and a half million dollars this year. 121 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 2: And you know, as we've talked about. 122 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 3: He he does not play catcher nearly as often as 123 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 3: most starting catcher. Some of that is just, you know, 124 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 3: having Victor Quarantini here and trying to find spots for that, 125 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 3: but a lot of it has been maybe not trusting 126 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 3: him behind the plate, or the bat just goes so 127 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 3: cold that you can't start him every game and he's 128 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 3: gonna he's gonna make a whole lot more than that 129 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,160 Speaker 3: next season, and then you have one more season after that. 130 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean it makes a lot of sense 131 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 3: to think, Okay, we're going to bring somebody in really 132 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 3: hammer home how to be a great defender. What does 133 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 3: it mean to make it through an entire season as 134 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:36,359 Speaker 3: a catcher and somebody who's not gonna feel like they're 135 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 3: needing to eat into those innings. But I mean, in 136 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 3: order for the Astros to commit the amount of money 137 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 3: that they're going to need to to Diaz for the 138 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 3: next two years. They need to see him catch one 139 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:49,479 Speaker 3: hundred and forty games one hundred and thirty games this 140 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 3: year and hit well consistently. 141 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 1: I don't think one hundred and forty is going to happen. No, 142 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 1: I probably go around one hundred and fifteen, one hundred 143 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 1: and ten. But yeah, look, Yaner Diaz has made strides 144 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: as a defensive catcher. His you know, the one thing 145 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: you could knock him on was framing, but ABS is 146 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 1: now here. We talked about it with Sam nid Or 147 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: for a couple of pods ago that framing hasn't completely 148 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 1: gone obsolete because of ABS, but it will be less 149 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 1: prominent now. He's always had good pop times, He's always 150 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: had a good arm back there. The pitchers have not 151 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: helped him out with their times to the plate in 152 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: terms of controlling the running game. But all of Yanor 153 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: not all of I'd say eighty percent of Yanor Diaz. 154 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: His value is tied to his bat like he needs 155 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: to do. He needs to hit, and if he hits 156 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: every they will be able to live with everything else. 157 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: Like everything else will take care of itself. If he hits, 158 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 1: they they. 159 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 2: Need him to hit. 160 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 1: They need a lot of people to hit. And I 161 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,960 Speaker 1: think that's the probably the most apt way to begin this. 162 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 1: This is going to be a season preview pod just 163 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 1: looking at what I what Tyler and I think are 164 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: the three main kind of storylines and objectives about this 165 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:08,119 Speaker 1: club and about where where things can maybe get better, 166 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: Where things can you know, where they are going to 167 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: determine their fate. And I think maybe Tyler, since we 168 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 1: started talking about the lineup, since we started, since that 169 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 1: was what was brought up with Vasquez, let's let's start there. 170 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: Let's start with the lineup. You know again, I don't 171 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: think we can understate how I don't think we can 172 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: overstate what a healthy. 173 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,839 Speaker 2: Ordon Alvarez will do for this lineup, Like I. 174 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: Wrote it yesterday, Since he debuted in twenty nineteen, only 175 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 1: Aaron Judge has a higher WRC plus, only Aaron Judge 176 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: and Shoheyo Tani have higher slugging percentages than Jordon Alvarez. 177 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 1: I don't know why, but for some reason, it seems 178 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: he's almost a little forgotten, not thought about, in that 179 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: realm of elite hitters, in that realm of top five, 180 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 1: top ten hitters in baseball, Like, you have a top 181 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 1: five hitter in baseball. 182 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 2: On your team. 183 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 1: Just having him upright and having him able to play 184 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty one hundred and thirty games is 185 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 1: going to change the complexion of everything about this lineup, 186 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: especially compared to what it did last year. 187 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, you're right. 188 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:22,080 Speaker 3: I mean, I think part of the under talked about 189 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 3: part or you know, undervalued part of Jordon is he 190 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:30,199 Speaker 3: doesn't have like eye popping stat numbers. You know, he 191 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 3: doesn't he doesn't have a fifty homer season he did. 192 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 3: You know, he doesn't lead the league and RBIs by 193 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 3: you know, a significant margin or something that you know, 194 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 3: people would notice. He's just such a good hitter all 195 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 3: the time. I mean, it's a similar issue to people 196 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 3: understanding Mike Trout's greatness, where it's like, so much of 197 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 3: Jordon's greatness is that he's just one of the best 198 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 3: hitters on the field every day, even when he's not performing, 199 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 3: He's still one of the best hitters every single time 200 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 3: that he's out there. He doesn't, you know, he's just very, 201 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 3: very consistently good. And Yeah, if you can play him 202 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 3: for one hundred and thirty and forty games. Like your team, 203 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 3: the floor for your team's offense is so much higher 204 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 3: because you can just rely on somebody that is going 205 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 3: to take great at bats day in and day out. 206 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 3: But yeah, so much of the team's offense this year 207 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 3: relies on yourd on. So actually, this is one thing 208 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,080 Speaker 3: I wanted. Can we We're going to attempt to bring 209 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 3: up this screen shot. Now we can do it. I 210 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,240 Speaker 3: believe in us. So I've got a screen shot out. 211 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, we did it. 212 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 3: This is from Baseball Savant, and this is last seasons 213 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 3: stats versus their expected SATs. So I'm over here in 214 00:10:56,520 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 3: this right column where it's wOBA, which is essentially the 215 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 3: quality of contact that you make plus like the slugging 216 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 3: that goes with it. So it's it's kind of a 217 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:09,559 Speaker 3: good overall. It's similar like OPS, but it's it's more 218 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 3: based on your plate discipline and the quality of contact 219 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 3: rather than results. So I sorted over here by the 220 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 3: biggest difference between what their GLOBA was versus what their 221 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:26,679 Speaker 3: expected GLOBA was. And so Jordan had a good season anyway. 222 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 3: He had a three thirty eight WHOBA. So again just 223 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 3: kind of think of this along the lines of batting 224 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 3: average like that, that's a really good WHOBA. But his 225 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:38,199 Speaker 3: expected BLOBA was three ninety three, so he had by 226 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 3: far the biggest discrepancy between what you would think that 227 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 3: he was going to do based on his quality of 228 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:48,720 Speaker 3: contact versus what he actually did. So that's another reason 229 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 3: to think this can be a real breakout season for 230 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 3: Jordon coming off kind of a disappointing year. But a 231 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:01,200 Speaker 3: healthy Jordon is just one of the best on the planet. 232 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: It's low key hilarious that you just said you're on Alvarez, 233 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 1: the unanimous rookie of the Year in twenty nineteen, needs 234 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 1: a breakout season. 235 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 3: But I yeah, I mean, like we said, he's not. 236 00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 3: He's not the one that you think of for right, 237 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 3: you know, the best hitter in baseball. I don't think 238 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 3: anyone outside of Houston would make that argument on a 239 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 3: regular basis, But there's no reason that he shouldn't be 240 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:28,080 Speaker 3: thought of that way. I mean, if you watch him 241 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:30,840 Speaker 3: day in and day out, he is He's one of 242 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 3: the best hitters in baseball, and I think I would 243 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 3: take him over I think it would take him over 244 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 3: any other play. If it's down to the wire, you 245 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 3: need one big at bat that you can rest your 246 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:44,679 Speaker 3: season on. I don't think there's anybody else that I 247 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:46,079 Speaker 3: would want in there than you'red on. 248 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 1: And if you're listening on, if you're listening to this 249 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 1: in audio form and you're not watching on YouTube, I'll 250 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: try to give you a little bit of what this 251 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 1: graphic is that we have up. You know, Tyler explained 252 00:12:56,920 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: wOBA and x wOBA. X wOBA is basically like again 253 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 1: the expected stats as opposed to you know, what you 254 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 1: put out there, your wOBA. It's interesting to me that 255 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: you're looking down on this list and the last three 256 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:13,080 Speaker 1: guys on this list are Jeremy Paine, jose L Twovey, 257 00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 1: and Esak Paratus, three guys that are that figure to 258 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 1: play pivotal roles in this lineup. Three guys that you 259 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 1: look at. They were the three guys that probably got 260 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 1: a little fortunate last year if just by looking at 261 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: this metric that they're expected numbers, their expected wOBA was 262 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: lower than their actual. But now what does that mean. 263 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 1: I mean, in the grand scheme of things, probably not 264 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 1: a whole lot, you know. Look, I mean luck is 265 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: part of this thing. Babup is part of this thing. 266 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 1: It helps when you put the ball in play, you know, 267 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: you they still have to pick it up and throw 268 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: it to first base. You know, they still have to 269 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 1: play an accurate game of catch. The defense that is but. 270 00:13:56,800 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 2: Tyler Like again, this the lineup last. 271 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: Year was the Achilles heel. Right, it led to off 272 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:09,160 Speaker 1: season changes. They have a whole new hitting infrastructure in here. 273 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 1: We had Dan Hennigan on this podcast earlier in the 274 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 1: off season to talk about his role. They've got Victor 275 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:19,320 Speaker 1: Rodriguez and Anthony Iyoposi helping him out. But at the 276 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 1: end of the day, like obviously Alvarez, they hope will 277 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 1: be healthy and play the one hundred and thirty one 278 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: hundred and forty games I. 279 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 2: Need him to play. 280 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: But they're running it back otherwise, like there is no 281 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: other meaningful offensive addition. Sure, Joey loperfdo Sure, But I 282 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 1: as of this moment, I'd say he profiles more as 283 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 1: a fourth outfielder. I'd say he's probably gonna, you know, 284 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: face some right handed pitching and you know, spell guys. 285 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 2: But but you. 286 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 1: Look at this lineup and they're running it back, Like 287 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: do you do you have hope that just having Yor 288 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 1: and Alvarez back is going to be the thing that 289 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 1: solves this lineup, that that gets the product where it. 290 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 2: Needs to be. 291 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 3: I mean, I think it's probably too simplistic to just 292 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 3: say yes that having that glue and having the guy 293 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 3: in the middle of your lineup that you know you 294 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 3: can count on, because if you think about last season, 295 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 3: yes it's the same players, but they didn't play together 296 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 3: for most of the time. There were so many I 297 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 3: mean Cam Smith was hitting clean up like three weeks 298 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 3: into his big league career. You know, there was a 299 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 3: lot of younger guys that were being asked to do 300 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 3: a lot for the team, and sometimes their natural talent 301 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 3: would just kind of get through it. Sometimes it looks 302 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 3: like the moment was too big for them, and it 303 00:15:37,400 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 3: would you know, they would get a couple of strikes 304 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 3: strikeouts in a row, and it was like everybody would 305 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 3: fall apart because everybody was feeling like this need to overperform. 306 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 3: There's something to be said about just knowing every day 307 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 3: the top five or six hitters in your lineup are 308 00:15:55,520 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 3: going to be some form of just veteran, veteran players. 309 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 3: Like there's no scenario where any of these young Jake, 310 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 3: any of the outfielders are going to be hitting above seventh, 311 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 3: eight the ninth unless they are doing so well that 312 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 3: it seems clear that they should be moved up there. 313 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 3: But you're not dropping Carlos Korea of the seventh spot, 314 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 3: you know, like unless again somebody is earning it. But 315 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 3: they're never going to be asked to be up there 316 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:29,520 Speaker 3: unless they have hit their way into that situation. And 317 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 3: I think so much of last year's offensive troubles was 318 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:37,239 Speaker 3: just they did not have that steady, you know, ability 319 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 3: to avoid those four or five game stretches where just 320 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 3: everybody looks so tense and they can't you get to 321 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 3: where they need to be offensively. 322 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to reiterate what I said, you know, throughout 323 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: the off season and even in the spring training. The 324 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 1: Astros can preach all they want that the idea they're 325 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 1: getting to get back to their identity, right, They're going 326 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:04,120 Speaker 1: to get back to, you know, not swinging as much 327 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 1: and swinging at strikes, not swinging at balls, things of 328 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 1: that nature. At the end of the day, like the 329 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: offensive profiles that they have in this lineup remain the 330 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: same offensive profiles from last year. They traded Mauricio Dubon 331 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,119 Speaker 1: this winter. He was as free swinging a player as 332 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: there is in baseball. They got obviously, hay Su Sanchez 333 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: is no longer on the team. He was a guy 334 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 1: that contributed to some of that too. But look, Joseel 335 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 1: tuv is gonna swing at everything, Jeremy Payna swings a lot, 336 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 1: the ir Diaz is going to swing at everything. 337 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:39,680 Speaker 2: Well, they make minor can they get incrementally better at that? Sure? 338 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: But I'm not sure that you're going to see a 339 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 1: team that's going to go out here and make a 340 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,679 Speaker 1: starter throw one hundred pitches through four innings every night. Like, 341 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: I find it hard to believe that within you know, 342 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 1: two months, that these guys are going to start becoming patient, 343 00:17:56,359 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 1: that they're going to start becoming selective. The profiles are 344 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 1: what the profiles are, I think what they need to 345 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 1: do a better job of. 346 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:04,879 Speaker 2: And Joe A. 347 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 1: Spottas has hinted at this a few times, and I think, 348 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: reading between the lines, I think this is what he's 349 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: trying to say. 350 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 2: They need to get situationally better. 351 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 1: Like you can be a free swinger, that can be 352 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: your pro like cose al Tuove can be as free 353 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:24,400 Speaker 1: swinging as he wants. That can be your profile. Throughout 354 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: one hundred and sixty two game season. But they've got 355 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 1: to do a little bit better job, like end game 356 00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 1: understand Like look at this pitcher the second time there, 357 00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 1: if he sprayed the ball everywhere, go up there with 358 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 1: the bat on your shoulder, take so you get a strike. 359 00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 1: Or like you know, even in the types of swings 360 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: that they take, if you only need a ground ball 361 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:46,639 Speaker 1: on the right side to advance a runner to third, 362 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:48,600 Speaker 1: hit a ground ball to the right side to advance 363 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 1: runner to the third, like you don't have to be 364 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 1: And I think when Joe and Dana talked this offseason 365 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 1: about they got away from their identity. Sure, like everyone 366 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:00,720 Speaker 1: could look at the pitches per play appearance and the 367 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 1: swing rates and the chase rates and the lack of walks, 368 00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 1: and that's part of it. But I think it was 369 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 1: also that they say all the time, it's a past 370 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: the baton mentality. That's what they have preached since this 371 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 1: era began about. That's what they want their offense to be. 372 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: A past the baton kind of situational You know, this 373 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,720 Speaker 1: guy is a good at bat, then this guy goes 374 00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 1: up and moves him a second with the ball to 375 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 1: the right side. 376 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 2: Or you know, runner at third. 377 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 1: Less than two outs, this guy goes up, gets a 378 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 1: ball to the outfield, gets ball to right field, gets 379 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,640 Speaker 1: a run home. Like that is the stuff, in my opinion, 380 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 1: that they are really zeroing in on improving on, not 381 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:40,160 Speaker 1: just this blanket. 382 00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:44,879 Speaker 2: You know, swing it less balls and swing it more strikes. Yeah. 383 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 3: And the way that you can trust situational hitting, too 384 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 3: is if you trust the guys behind you in the 385 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 3: lineup to put together good at bats. It's a lot 386 00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 3: easier for jose Al Tuvey to say I'm just gonna 387 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,919 Speaker 3: try ground to the right side because I know I 388 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:06,719 Speaker 3: have Correa and Jordan behind me, as opposed to I 389 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 3: have Cam Smith and Jake Myers behind me, which is 390 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 3: what a lot of last season was. So you again, 391 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 3: I think that's where having just the amount of veterans 392 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:19,400 Speaker 3: that can take good at bats again, jose Al two 393 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 3: bay is gonna swing wherever. But that doesn't mean that 394 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:27,400 Speaker 3: he can't think, Okay, like we're talking about, like, I'm 395 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,280 Speaker 3: going to try to push it this way because I 396 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,639 Speaker 3: know I can make contact with everything. Because there's a 397 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 3: guy on second and no outs and we need one run, 398 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 3: you know whatever, and I've got two guys behind me 399 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 3: that I really trust, So I think that runs through that. 400 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:41,160 Speaker 2: I mean there is. 401 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 3: Something, you know, kind of weaving a lineup together. There's 402 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 3: a skill to making a lineup more than just you know, 403 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,719 Speaker 3: left handed, right handed, fast guy up top, whatever. There 404 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 3: is a skill to it, and it's just hard to 405 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 3: do when you had as many injuries as you did 406 00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,639 Speaker 3: last season for the am especially to the heart of 407 00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 3: their line. I mean, look what happened when east Ik 408 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:09,919 Speaker 3: Prates went out, even though you know he's not close 409 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 3: to the type of hitter that jord On is. When 410 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 3: you lose that, just you can trust this guy to 411 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 3: make a picture work and to have a grade at 412 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 3: bat when we need it. When you lose that, everybody 413 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 3: starts pressing and you see a lot of the skids 414 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:27,160 Speaker 3: that you saw with the Ashros last season. 415 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 1: We'll talk about the pitching staff right after this message 416 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: from our friends of fel Territory. 417 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 4: This is it krats opening weekend of the season. And 418 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,680 Speaker 4: if you're looking for tickets for an MLB game and 419 00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,360 Speaker 4: they're either sold out or you're just a little bit 420 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:45,000 Speaker 4: lost and you need some help, Seekik is there for you. 421 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,159 Speaker 4: It's not just a spot where you buy the tickets 422 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 4: is where you feel good about buying the tickets because 423 00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 4: they have your back with their features and. 424 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 5: You know you're going to get a good prices. That's 425 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 5: the deal that everybody's looking for. But especially early in 426 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 5: the season up here in the Northeast, I don't want 427 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:02,040 Speaker 5: to go to a day game where you're still going 428 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,479 Speaker 5: to be in the sun. It might shift during the summer, 429 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 5: but hey, you know what, Seek will let you know 430 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 5: exactly where you're sitting and if it's a good spot 431 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 5: to watch the game. 432 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:10,120 Speaker 2: That's right. 433 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 4: Each ticket is rated on a scale of one to ten, 434 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 4: so you know you're getting a good deal. So look 435 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 4: for the green dots. Green means good, red means bad. 436 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,399 Speaker 4: And of course we have a code for you. You 437 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 4: can use code Territory ten for ten percent off your 438 00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 4: next set of tickets at Sea Geek. That's ten percent 439 00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:27,080 Speaker 4: off any tickets with promo code Territory one zero. Make 440 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 4: sure you click the link in the description to download 441 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,159 Speaker 4: the app and have the code automatically added to your 442 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:32,440 Speaker 4: account so you can use it later. 443 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 2: About the roof being open for the exhibition game. 444 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: Speaking of OWT time, the weather, look the weather for 445 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,359 Speaker 1: this I have not gotten any intel to let me 446 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,360 Speaker 1: know whether the roof will be open for this four 447 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 1: game set against the Angels. But if you look at 448 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 1: the weather, just my iPhone weather app, it would seem 449 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,560 Speaker 1: to indicate that the weather will cooperate if they want 450 00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: to open the roof for one or all of those games. 451 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:03,480 Speaker 3: So if you if you want out opening day, that 452 00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:07,920 Speaker 3: what what is more American? I mean, that's we deserve this, 453 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 3: uh that thing better reopen. I don't care that it's 454 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:15,439 Speaker 3: three o'clock in the afternoon, it's not that high yet. 455 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:17,479 Speaker 3: We want to be out if it's If it's as 456 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:21,120 Speaker 3: nice as it's been, let me sit outside and watch baseball. 457 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,920 Speaker 3: By the way I'm going, I got that email. 458 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 2: So I will be there. I will be there at 459 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 2: opening day. Y'all come say hi. 460 00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 3: I won't be up in the Ivory Tower with Chandler, 461 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 3: but I'll be I'll be walking around. I got to 462 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 3: see what this new mural looks like. I'm excited this 463 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 3: stick carries on another year. 464 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 1: You gotta gotta get your selfie with you with Orbit 465 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 1: doing whatever Orbit's going to be doing on that mural. 466 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 1: We always we've we've talked for a while on this 467 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: about the fout, the foolishness of believing spring training stats. 468 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 1: But the Astra's rotation pitched. 469 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 2: Very very, very very very well in spring. How good 470 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 2: are they good? How good is this rotation? 471 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 1: Are we being Are we being too captivated by the 472 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:20,399 Speaker 1: moment of Mike Burrows almost going nineteen innings without allowing 473 00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 1: a run? Are we being captivated by Tetsuya Emi touching 474 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,920 Speaker 1: ninety eight out of nowhere? Like last mcculler's pitched very 475 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:29,440 Speaker 1: well today against Sugarland. 476 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 2: If you watch that start. 477 00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,240 Speaker 1: I mean, I know he gave up two runs, but 478 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: if you watched some of those hits he gave up, 479 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,880 Speaker 1: the exit velos on him were like fifty miles an hour. 480 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 1: He gave up a lot of cheap hits, a lot 481 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:41,600 Speaker 1: of dink and dunk kits. He looked very good today. Again, 482 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,879 Speaker 1: where are we? Do you you put stock in that? 483 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 1: Do you think because I left Spring training pretty bullish 484 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 1: on this rotation, like I think this can be a 485 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: top half of the league rotation. 486 00:24:57,280 --> 00:25:01,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, so, uh, before I give that, you said you 487 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 3: mentioned people being lower on the Astros rotation. So just 488 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 3: for fun, on fan graphs, you can see the projected 489 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,800 Speaker 3: war by batters and pitchers. The Astros are in the 490 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 3: bottom half. They're like seventeenth or eighteenth in Pitching war 491 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:25,639 Speaker 3: and Fangraphs on Baseball perspectus. In their Pakoda, they have 492 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 3: the Astros finishing twelve out of fifteen in the American 493 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 3: League the pitching staff, and I just don't I don't 494 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:36,440 Speaker 3: think they can be that bad. 495 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 2: I'm not saying that. Here's the deal. 496 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,639 Speaker 3: When you have a like a bottomed out rotation, when 497 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:49,600 Speaker 3: a rotation is just a problem, it's when you've got 498 00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 3: one or two guys you can count on and then 499 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,800 Speaker 3: just a black hole for three days and it's just 500 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:58,679 Speaker 3: a nightmare and you just feel like you're out of 501 00:25:58,680 --> 00:25:59,919 Speaker 3: those games. You have to You feel like you have 502 00:25:59,920 --> 00:26:04,360 Speaker 3: to win every single game started by your your top guys. 503 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,199 Speaker 3: The Astros feel like they have like ten guys that 504 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 3: can put up at least an okay, like a competitive start, 505 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:17,239 Speaker 3: and that's all you need. Really, Like, as long as 506 00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 3: you're in the game with your starter, you should be fine. 507 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 3: There's so much fluctuation or whatever. But if you if 508 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:26,200 Speaker 3: you have a guy that you can trust to get 509 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:29,800 Speaker 3: you five and two thirds and give up like three runs, 510 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,600 Speaker 3: you would take that every single day. And the ashows 511 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,399 Speaker 3: are just chock full of those guys right now. Some 512 00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:39,600 Speaker 3: of them have higher ceilings, Like I mean, Emi could 513 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:43,199 Speaker 3: could be awesome, you know, like I if he's pumping 514 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,840 Speaker 3: ninety eight, people don't figure out this slider the splitter 515 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,159 Speaker 3: to go with it, Like there's a chance that he 516 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:53,200 Speaker 3: just you know, finishes at the top ten and cy 517 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 3: Young voting and you know all of that. You could 518 00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 3: like squint and imagine that for Mike if the change 519 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:05,440 Speaker 3: up is just unhittable and the tinkering with the fastball 520 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,240 Speaker 3: does something similar to Hunter Brown a couple of years ago. 521 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 3: But that's not somebody that you're like betting, you know, 522 00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 3: you would be a little bit kind of you. You 523 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 3: could see it with Emi. It would take a miracle 524 00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:18,840 Speaker 3: for Burrows, but that's it's not out of the question. 525 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 3: But then you just you just have so many guys 526 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,679 Speaker 3: behind that that you're like, well, if somebody gets hurt 527 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 3: or somebody's not performing, this other person can do a 528 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,840 Speaker 3: good job. And as long as you have that for 529 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:35,920 Speaker 3: an entire season, you're gonna be a top half pitching staff. 530 00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 3: And if if that's the reason that you know, the 531 00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 3: projections are down on the Astros. I think they could 532 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 3: easily outperform their their team win total projections just because 533 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 3: I don't see the pitching roads. I don't see a 534 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,360 Speaker 3: scenario where they're that bad. 535 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,400 Speaker 1: I think I think this is a strength of the team. Yeah, 536 00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,480 Speaker 1: And I don't think it's really debatable. I mean, you 537 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,080 Speaker 1: could you could argue with me about the infield just 538 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,680 Speaker 1: because of the names that are on the infield. When 539 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:08,560 Speaker 1: you have a future Hall of Famer playing second base, 540 00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:12,280 Speaker 1: when you have you know, Jeremy Pania playing shortstop, when 541 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 1: you can play esac paratus at first base on some days, 542 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:17,439 Speaker 1: and when you have Carla like I could hear an 543 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 1: argument that the infield is strength of the team. But 544 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 1: in my opinion, the rotation is going to be the 545 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 1: strength of this team. I think where some of the 546 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:30,679 Speaker 1: projections are coming from that have them lower. And this 547 00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 1: is a valid This is a valid concern, and it's 548 00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,280 Speaker 1: the reason why I started this by asking our world, 549 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 1: we hell captive by spring training stats. 550 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:44,760 Speaker 2: Excuse me, Tatsuya Ema is never thrown a major league pitch. 551 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:50,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, Mike Burrows has ninety nine and a third innings 552 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 1: of major league experience. I don't think we need to 553 00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 1: detail what Lance mccullor's is last two and a half 554 00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 1: seasons have been, Like Christian Javier is very much an 555 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:06,719 Speaker 1: unknown coming off of Tommy John and his brief return 556 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,680 Speaker 1: last year. I think that's where a lot of it 557 00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 1: comes from, is that. Yes, Like if you are a 558 00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:15,400 Speaker 1: die hard Astros fan or if you're you know, someone 559 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 1: that is paid to cover them and you have been 560 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 1: watching them pitch for six weeks, you're like, damn, this 561 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: rotation is going to be pretty good, Like like Mike, Like, 562 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: if you've watched Mike Burrows his Great Fruit League start, 563 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:28,760 Speaker 1: she's like, man, this dude, like he's carving people up. 564 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: And you're watching Emi throw ninety eight, and you're like, 565 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 1: if you're like sicko like me, and we're watching Lance 566 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:38,520 Speaker 1: mccullors face the Sugarland Space Cowboys tonight, like it looks good, 567 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,600 Speaker 1: but bear in mind that the whole world is not, 568 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 1: you know, tuned into every single start these guys are making, 569 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:48,000 Speaker 1: and so there is a world where you know, maybe 570 00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:51,000 Speaker 1: some the outside and the projections, you know, look at 571 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 1: this rotation. They say, well, they got Hunter Brown and 572 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:58,640 Speaker 1: then they got a bunch of who knows and you know, 573 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:01,640 Speaker 1: I think that's a air way to go. But again, 574 00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,200 Speaker 1: as someone that has watched this and someone that has 575 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 1: watched them pitch, and I've said this ad nauseum on 576 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 1: this podcast, I just have blind trust in Josh Miller 577 00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 1: and al Ethan Katz. I have blind trust in the 578 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:19,080 Speaker 1: pitching development infrastructure and what they are able to do 579 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: with guys, because you know it's funny. I had a 580 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: friend text me. I did one of my roster projections 581 00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago, and I had a friend 582 00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 1: who's in the industry. He isn't a fellow writer. I'm 583 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,040 Speaker 1: not gonna say his name, so you guys don't go running. 584 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,200 Speaker 1: You guys, No, it was not him. 585 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:37,880 Speaker 2: I don't want to say his name, so you guys 586 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:39,920 Speaker 2: don't go attacking. But he texts me. He goes, man, 587 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 2: they're bullpen. 588 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: He goes this bullpen may suck And I said, dude, 589 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:44,520 Speaker 1: I said that last year and they had. 590 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 2: A top five bullpen in the sport. 591 00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:50,760 Speaker 1: Like I have just given up on ever saying thinking 592 00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,040 Speaker 1: that an Astro's pitching staff is going to like be 593 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 1: the thing that sinks them. Look, this rotation may not be. 594 00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:00,280 Speaker 1: It may end up being that Mike Burrows, isn't it 595 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:02,680 Speaker 1: was a grape Fruit League star and just maybe as 596 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 1: a three or a four starter, maybe Tetsuya Emi has 597 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 1: a rough a rougher than we have seen transition to 598 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 1: major League Baseball. But even if that happens, the one 599 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:19,960 Speaker 1: thing that has been consistent across this era, the Astros 600 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 1: pitching staff has never been a problem. Has it been? 601 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 1: Has there been? Have there been years been? It hasn't 602 00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:30,640 Speaker 1: been elite, yes, but it's never been the thing. 603 00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:31,880 Speaker 2: That has cost them. 604 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 1: You know, it didn't cost some lash like they were 605 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 1: just as injured as the lineup last year and it 606 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:38,840 Speaker 1: didn't cost him Now. They kept from er Valdez upright, 607 00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 1: so that helped. But I don't think even if maybe 608 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 1: they don't reach the projections, we're thinking that this is 609 00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:47,360 Speaker 1: going to be the strength of the team. 610 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 2: I think this is a solid rotation that every day 611 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,680 Speaker 2: you send a guy out there, you're going to feel confident. 612 00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 1: You're going to feel confident and comfortable that you're going 613 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,720 Speaker 1: to get a professional outing. And like you said, when 614 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 1: you have a bad rotation, you only feel that maybe 615 00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: twice through and I just don't get that feeling with 616 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 1: this team. And if you know, if Lance mccullors doesn't 617 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,040 Speaker 1: work out, or if Christian Xavier is still you know, 618 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:17,080 Speaker 1: having trouble or one of Burrows or Emi struggles. The 619 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,120 Speaker 1: one thing that they have done they have given themselves depth. 620 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 1: Spencer Arigedty's gonna start the season in triple A. Spencer 621 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,640 Speaker 1: Arigedty's got one of the higher upsides in the system 622 00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 1: in terms of being a starter. You've seen him have 623 00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:29,960 Speaker 1: success at the big league level. He's gonna start to 624 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 1: heart triple A because it's not that they don't have 625 00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 1: room for him. They're gonna make room when they go 626 00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:37,600 Speaker 1: to a six man rotation. But yes, they're opening the 627 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,600 Speaker 1: season without room for him. Like that's a good problem 628 00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 1: to have. Ryan Weisse, who pitched very well through camp, 629 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:45,000 Speaker 1: is going to be in the bullpen, who threw one 630 00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:47,960 Speaker 1: hundred and eighty innings in KBO last year to a 631 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:52,640 Speaker 1: sub four era. They've got Colton Gordon, Jason Alexander like, 632 00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 1: they have got so much more aj Blue. 633 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:56,960 Speaker 2: Ball, Kiwai Tang, Nate Pearson. 634 00:32:56,800 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 1: Nate Pearson Like, they've got so much more depth than 635 00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 1: at any point in the maybe the last two years. 636 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,400 Speaker 1: And that's what gives me maybe more hope than the 637 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 1: projections what have you? 638 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:12,240 Speaker 3: What you think, Yeah, if it were just returning guys, 639 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 3: I would feel a lot less confident if it was 640 00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 3: you know what, it felt like the plan was for 641 00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:22,680 Speaker 3: a lot of last year, which was hopefully Luis Garcia 642 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:25,120 Speaker 3: and Christian Haavier and Lance mccullors and all these guys 643 00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 3: just get healthy and return to form. That I feel 644 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 3: a lot less confident banking on than exactly what you 645 00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:38,800 Speaker 3: said for the last ten years. If the astros identify 646 00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:43,040 Speaker 3: a picture, acquire that picture and put them through whatever 647 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:47,240 Speaker 3: program that they have of why they identified this picture 648 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:50,360 Speaker 3: and why they picked them, that picture, nine times out 649 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:54,160 Speaker 3: of ten is better than they have been. They just are. 650 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 3: I mean that they just keep doing it, and because 651 00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,640 Speaker 3: they acquired so many people that they're excited about, and 652 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 3: because they've already shown just in you know, the brief time, 653 00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 3: not even the stats. But look again, EMI's pumping ninety 654 00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 3: eight like all these other people are controlling their off 655 00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:15,080 Speaker 3: speed pitches, they're controlling their secondary stuff. They've added new 656 00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,040 Speaker 3: fast but you know all this stuff, like you can 657 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 3: already see that you don't need numbers to see, like 658 00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 3: you don't need the results of that necessarily from spring training. 659 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,680 Speaker 3: You just need to see, oh they're throwing this, they're 660 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,399 Speaker 3: throwing it differently, and it looks really good. 661 00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:30,799 Speaker 2: And I yeah, I. 662 00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:35,719 Speaker 3: Mean they got like ten new pictures that they purposely 663 00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 3: chose and have on the team, and I just trust 664 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:43,240 Speaker 3: them to make seven or eight of those guys really 665 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 3: good pictures because they do it every. 666 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:46,960 Speaker 2: Time they do. 667 00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 1: And I mean, I'm not gonna sit here and say 668 00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:53,960 Speaker 1: that I have like supreme confidence in a bullpen that's 669 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,479 Speaker 1: going to open the season without Josh Hater or benne 670 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,319 Speaker 1: At Susa. Ben At Susa's an important would have been 671 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,720 Speaker 1: an important part to this bullpen. Like he's a leverage reliever. 672 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:05,239 Speaker 1: You are opening your season down to leverage relievers. So 673 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,799 Speaker 1: and inherently, even if they would have had Josh Hater 674 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 1: and Bennett Susa to start the year, the first month 675 00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 1: of a baseball season is generally when a manager is 676 00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 1: trying to figure out, all right, who can I use 677 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:19,240 Speaker 1: at what time? 678 00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:20,279 Speaker 2: Who looks good like? 679 00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:22,960 Speaker 1: Because he's like Joe Spot has got to look and 680 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 1: see like all right, like is what we saw in 681 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:28,320 Speaker 1: spring training just a product of facing bad pitch, facing 682 00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,880 Speaker 1: bad offenses, or you know, was it real, And so 683 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,120 Speaker 1: the first month of the season you really are always 684 00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 1: kind of shuffling with your bullpen, shuffling roles, things of 685 00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 1: that nature. So it would have always maybe been a 686 00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,680 Speaker 1: little bit of a concern because the bullpen, you know, 687 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:45,719 Speaker 1: I mean, I just told the story of you know, 688 00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:47,040 Speaker 1: there were people who thought it was gonna be bad 689 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 1: last year and there were a top five bullpen in 690 00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:49,040 Speaker 1: the sport. 691 00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 2: But relievers are the most volatile position in baseball. They 692 00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:54,000 Speaker 2: can be one one thing. 693 00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:57,640 Speaker 1: They can be great one year and be terrible the next. 694 00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 1: That's just how relievers were. There are very few Brian 695 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 1: bres You's out there. There are very few Josh Haters 696 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:06,200 Speaker 1: out there that just year after year put up elite 697 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:10,759 Speaker 1: to above elite seasons in the relief market. That just 698 00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:14,000 Speaker 1: doesn't happen. The ashers are spoiled that they have two 699 00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:15,839 Speaker 1: guys that do that in a bray You and Hater. 700 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:18,960 Speaker 1: But you know, I think early in the season they're 701 00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,520 Speaker 1: gonna have They're gonna have a lot of opportunities for 702 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 1: a lot of different guys to carve some roles out 703 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,560 Speaker 1: because outside of Brian a bray You being the closer 704 00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:28,560 Speaker 1: to start the twenty twenty sixth season. I don't know 705 00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:30,880 Speaker 1: that I can identify many other roles in that bullpen 706 00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 1: for you. 707 00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:36,240 Speaker 3: Similar to the lineup thing that we were talking about, 708 00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:41,120 Speaker 3: where if you just have good players at the beginning 709 00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:43,920 Speaker 3: of a lineup, like everybody else can play up to 710 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:46,440 Speaker 3: where they need to be, a bullpen operates on a 711 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,479 Speaker 3: similar thing where if you just trust you're one through 712 00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:55,239 Speaker 3: five starters and you don't feel like any day could 713 00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,640 Speaker 3: be a day where the bullpen has to spring into 714 00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:01,320 Speaker 3: action in the third inning, you know, well, you're able 715 00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:05,000 Speaker 3: to focus more of your energy. You're you're able to 716 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,359 Speaker 3: perform better because you you don't feel like you have 717 00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:10,360 Speaker 3: to save something in the tank because what if tomorrow 718 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:14,000 Speaker 3: the bullpen has to cover seven innings. When when you 719 00:37:14,080 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 3: have that depth and a rotation to it, it does 720 00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 3: elevate your bullpen because those guys know, my starter is 721 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,399 Speaker 3: gonna get us into the fifth or sixth every night, 722 00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 3: like nine times out of ten, that's gonna happen because 723 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:30,920 Speaker 3: these are just good, like quality pictures that you're not 724 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:32,840 Speaker 3: relying on a bunch of young guys. You're not relying 725 00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:37,480 Speaker 3: on you know again, even even if you have a 726 00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:41,600 Speaker 3: you know, a rough Lancepa Color start or whatever. The 727 00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,880 Speaker 3: next day is Emyer, the next day is Hunter Brown, 728 00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 3: you know, or Mike Burrows or who like somebody that 729 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 3: you're gonna trust, You're gonna be able to make it 730 00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:51,759 Speaker 3: through and you're not having like three days in a 731 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:55,480 Speaker 3: row where the bullpen might have to cover six innings 732 00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:55,959 Speaker 3: that game. 733 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,719 Speaker 1: Yeah again, Dana in the front off did a very 734 00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 1: nice job this offseason of just giving themselves depth, giving 735 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 1: and that's why you have to feel good about this because, 736 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:11,920 Speaker 1: like you said, like if this five man rotation, if 737 00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:14,359 Speaker 1: it goes off the rails or like the back end 738 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:16,319 Speaker 1: doesn't perform, like, you've got options. You can move Ryan 739 00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:20,240 Speaker 1: Weiss to the rotation. You can go get Spencer Arraghetti 740 00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:23,960 Speaker 1: from Triple A. You've got aj Blueball who you could 741 00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:25,920 Speaker 1: keep him, and he is stretched out to a point 742 00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:29,239 Speaker 1: where he could start for you. When if and when 743 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,400 Speaker 1: Nate Pearson builds up, like you've got him. He was 744 00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,920 Speaker 1: a former top pitching prospect in baseball. Like, they have 745 00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:38,759 Speaker 1: got so much more depth to protect themselves that they've 746 00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:41,440 Speaker 1: got a lot of options that have done it before 747 00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:45,239 Speaker 1: that are established that you know. I just think I 748 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,680 Speaker 1: think they are in a good spot pitching wise, Will 749 00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 1: Mike Burrows begin the season on a twenty ending scoreless 750 00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:53,360 Speaker 1: streak like he did in spring training? 751 00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:55,960 Speaker 2: Probably not well, testsuya. 752 00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:58,400 Speaker 1: Emi have a couple starts where you know, it's a 753 00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:02,000 Speaker 1: new baseball, it's a new mound. It's just a different 754 00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:05,200 Speaker 1: kind of feel for him. And will things go south? Yes, 755 00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:08,480 Speaker 1: because but they expect this, you know they expected this, 756 00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:11,239 Speaker 1: and they helped themselves by getting a lot of depth 757 00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 1: this winter. We'll talk about the people that procured that depth, 758 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:18,480 Speaker 1: that depth this winter and how worried they should be 759 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:19,880 Speaker 1: about their job security. 760 00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,520 Speaker 2: Right after this message from our friends a feul territory. 761 00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:24,360 Speaker 4: Hey, it might be time to have a heart to 762 00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,880 Speaker 4: heart with your phone and be like, I love you, 763 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:28,600 Speaker 4: but you cost too much. 764 00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:31,879 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not paying this much anymore. That's it. 765 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:35,120 Speaker 5: I mean, why would I go more than fifteen dollars 766 00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:37,680 Speaker 5: a month. 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See mint mobile 782 00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:22,240 Speaker 4: for details. 783 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,360 Speaker 1: So we've talked a lot about all the on field 784 00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:32,040 Speaker 1: storylines of this season, but the interesting thing is, I 785 00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,880 Speaker 1: think the biggest storyline of this season probably isn't on 786 00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:39,600 Speaker 1: the field. I wrote this for The Athletic this morning 787 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:44,759 Speaker 1: as like my big season preview story, and you know, look, 788 00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,360 Speaker 1: I would have loved to write, you know, a nice 789 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,080 Speaker 1: profile of Tetsuya. 790 00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:50,480 Speaker 2: Emi or like some a player. 791 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:55,319 Speaker 1: But if you're ignoring the fact that the manager and 792 00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:59,240 Speaker 1: the general manager of this team are both not under 793 00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:03,560 Speaker 1: contract for next season, and that they work for an 794 00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:08,400 Speaker 1: owner that is as demanding as any in the sport, 795 00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:13,799 Speaker 1: and you look at where this franchise is in its 796 00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:17,560 Speaker 1: life cycle, it's hard to believe that this is not 797 00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:21,040 Speaker 1: a make or break year for Dana Brown and Joe 798 00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:26,279 Speaker 1: Espada and really the direction of this franchise. You know, 799 00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:28,480 Speaker 1: I think, as I put it in the story today, 800 00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:33,000 Speaker 1: that there's no season in recent memory that feels more 801 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 1: consequential for the long term future of the Astros than 802 00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,520 Speaker 1: this season's. 803 00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:40,640 Speaker 2: Let's get it out there right now. 804 00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:43,080 Speaker 1: Like, Jim Crane's not stupid, Like he knows that his 805 00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:46,240 Speaker 1: GM's contract is up. He knows that his manager's contract 806 00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:51,279 Speaker 1: is up. If he wanted them here long term, they 807 00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:55,880 Speaker 1: would be extended already. Like, so let's start with that 808 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:59,520 Speaker 1: that there is already uncertainty as to whether these two 809 00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:03,920 Speaker 1: guys are the people that are the right people to 810 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:07,360 Speaker 1: proceed in their in their jobs. If Jim Crane felt 811 00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:09,759 Speaker 1: that way, they would both have new deals by now, 812 00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:13,200 Speaker 1: because they have both expressed interest in new deals. They 813 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:16,200 Speaker 1: have both said verbatim, you know this offseason that they want. 814 00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:16,719 Speaker 2: To retire here. 815 00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:19,920 Speaker 1: You know, you've got two guys that you know, Joe's 816 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,920 Speaker 1: been here for ten years, Dana Brown's not at the 817 00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:25,600 Speaker 1: end of his career, but certainly not. He's not a 818 00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:28,239 Speaker 1: young guy anymore. I mean I think he has said 819 00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,319 Speaker 1: he retired here. This could be his last job, Like 820 00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,520 Speaker 1: he would like this to be his last job. You know, 821 00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:34,960 Speaker 1: these are not two guys that are looking for new work, 822 00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:38,560 Speaker 1: that are you know, you know, being untoward or anything like. 823 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,960 Speaker 1: They want to be here and the fact that they're 824 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:47,120 Speaker 1: not extended just illustrates that maybe Jim Crane doesn't think 825 00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:52,600 Speaker 1: that's the right move. So what can be done this season, Tyler? 826 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,759 Speaker 1: What do you think can be accomplished this season that 827 00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:59,600 Speaker 1: would demonstrate that would change Crane's mind? Right, Like, because 828 00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,920 Speaker 1: as we're sitting here talking on March twenty fourth, it's 829 00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:06,360 Speaker 1: pretty obvious that he has some uncertainty in his mind 830 00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,000 Speaker 1: that this is the brain trust to lead this franchise forward. 831 00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:13,080 Speaker 1: What could happen this season that would change his mind? 832 00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:19,799 Speaker 3: I mean obviously, like if they don't make the playoffs, 833 00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:23,760 Speaker 3: they're both gone. 834 00:43:22,920 --> 00:43:23,400 Speaker 5: And. 835 00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:25,759 Speaker 2: You know, I don't know. 836 00:43:28,080 --> 00:43:30,120 Speaker 3: Well, I think for Dana Brown, I could say if 837 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:34,040 Speaker 3: the acquisitions that he made this offseason turned out to 838 00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:38,839 Speaker 3: be the best parts of this team, that bodes really 839 00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:43,640 Speaker 3: well for his longevity and his ability to continue to 840 00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:49,680 Speaker 3: make the Astros great. Because you know, a lot of 841 00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:51,560 Speaker 3: the guys that are on the team are not people 842 00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:54,560 Speaker 3: that he acquired or had anything to do with. So 843 00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,759 Speaker 3: if that's who carries the team, you know, you could 844 00:43:57,800 --> 00:43:59,360 Speaker 3: you could look at it a different way. But if 845 00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:02,680 Speaker 3: it's these new, you know, pitching acquisitions, if some of 846 00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,439 Speaker 3: these guys just make big strides, if you know, if 847 00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:09,560 Speaker 3: camp Smith really turns it on like those types of guys, 848 00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:12,200 Speaker 3: that's that's how you get an extension. Or if you 849 00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,560 Speaker 3: have a couple of you know, just prospects with Helium 850 00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,080 Speaker 3: this year, just guys that you've drafted in the last 851 00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:24,120 Speaker 3: year or two that just you know, crush expectations. You know, 852 00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:27,080 Speaker 3: that's there for Joe Spot. I mean it's got to be. 853 00:44:29,560 --> 00:44:37,800 Speaker 3: I mean, Alcs probably, I would imagine, just because again 854 00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:41,520 Speaker 3: it's going to depend on how the season turns out, 855 00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:46,239 Speaker 3: but at a certain point with your manager, so much 856 00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:50,200 Speaker 3: of that is tied to playoff success and decision making 857 00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:51,440 Speaker 3: and all that kind of stuff. And even if you 858 00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:55,520 Speaker 3: make the right decisions, somebody still has to go. And 859 00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:59,359 Speaker 3: I can't see Crane keeping both of these guys if 860 00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:03,439 Speaker 3: they don't make get back to the Alcs where they've been. 861 00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:05,759 Speaker 3: You know, you can just write them in every year 862 00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:09,200 Speaker 3: to that and if they're not there, I would imagine 863 00:45:09,200 --> 00:45:12,120 Speaker 3: that that crane looks at that as a sign, you know, 864 00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:15,040 Speaker 3: as he says he wants to keep the window open, 865 00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,319 Speaker 3: but sometimes you might have to shut one window to 866 00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,000 Speaker 3: open the next one, and so that I think that 867 00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:24,000 Speaker 3: might be the changing of the guard there. 868 00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:27,520 Speaker 1: It's weird, like Lance mcculler's junior said that exact same thing, 869 00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:31,080 Speaker 1: because you know, in reporting the story, the three players 870 00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 1: I talked to to report the store and mccullors al 871 00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,279 Speaker 1: Tuo V and Korea, two guys that have been here 872 00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:38,600 Speaker 1: for all eight playoff runs and one guy that was 873 00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:40,479 Speaker 1: here for five of them and is now back again, 874 00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:44,719 Speaker 1: and asking them, you know, the way I phrased the 875 00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:47,479 Speaker 1: question was, you know, the narrative out there is because 876 00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:49,600 Speaker 1: you guys missed the playoffs that the window is closing, 877 00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:52,359 Speaker 1: Like how do you respond to that? Jose L two 878 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,840 Speaker 1: Bay was kind of disinterested in the question and didn't 879 00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:59,000 Speaker 1: really respond. Correa said that's impossible for us, like the 880 00:45:59,040 --> 00:46:03,520 Speaker 1: window's not closed yet, and Lance Lance was pretty diplomatic 881 00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:04,320 Speaker 1: and candid. 882 00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 2: Lance said, you know that part of our run is over, 883 00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:08,920 Speaker 2: the part. 884 00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,560 Speaker 1: From twenty seventeen to twenty twenty four when they were 885 00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:14,440 Speaker 1: in the playoffs and the Alcs eight straight years. But 886 00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:17,759 Speaker 1: he followed that by saying, you know, now we got 887 00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,880 Speaker 1: to start a new window. And he used the word retool. 888 00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:24,920 Speaker 1: And the way I wrote it in my story was 889 00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 1: that that retool and rebuild are like profanities within the Astros, 890 00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,640 Speaker 1: because I'm here to tell you Jim Crane does not 891 00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:36,759 Speaker 1: want to rebuild like he said that. 892 00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:37,719 Speaker 2: I mean, when he's saying that. 893 00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:39,839 Speaker 1: The window will always will never close while he's here, 894 00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:41,880 Speaker 1: that is him telling you he does not want to 895 00:46:41,880 --> 00:46:43,919 Speaker 1: do a rebuild. He does not want to tear down. 896 00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:47,120 Speaker 1: He already did that, you know, ten years ago or 897 00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:50,360 Speaker 1: longer than that, like fifteen years ago. And it worked 898 00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,120 Speaker 1: famously for them obviously, like look what it produced, and 899 00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:56,760 Speaker 1: it didn't work for most other teams. Right, And he's again, 900 00:46:56,840 --> 00:47:00,800 Speaker 1: he's not stupid to look around and say, my team 901 00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:04,359 Speaker 1: in the White Sox started rebuilding the same time, and 902 00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:08,919 Speaker 1: I could still be in that position. So the onus, 903 00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:13,000 Speaker 1: I think you put it perfectly with Dana Tyler, like, 904 00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,480 Speaker 1: look at Xavier nions as box scores all year, Look 905 00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 1: at Ethan Fry's box scores all year, Look at Kevin 906 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:24,880 Speaker 1: Alvarez's box scores all year, Walker Yannick, like all these guys, 907 00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:28,879 Speaker 1: all these prospects that can be a part of that 908 00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:32,719 Speaker 1: next window. They've got to take steps this year. And 909 00:47:32,760 --> 00:47:36,480 Speaker 1: I'm not saying, like Kevin Alvarez and Xavier Nions to teenagers. 910 00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:37,960 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that they have to be like major 911 00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:40,560 Speaker 1: league ready after this year, but they have to have 912 00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 1: good years. 913 00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:42,160 Speaker 2: They have to have good. 914 00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:43,560 Speaker 1: Years and show that they're on a little bit of 915 00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:48,720 Speaker 1: an upward trajectory toward contributing to this being viable pieces 916 00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:54,360 Speaker 1: of this next core. Again, Cam Smith developing Cam Smith 917 00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:57,839 Speaker 1: is a piece of the next core. If he develops him, 918 00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:01,319 Speaker 1: having a good season would very much help Dana Brown's case. 919 00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:04,080 Speaker 1: Mike Burrows the same way. Mike Burrows is under club 920 00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:07,879 Speaker 1: control for the next six years. Like the names are 921 00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:11,080 Speaker 1: there of the guys they need to help open that 922 00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:14,839 Speaker 1: next window. They've got to perform this year, though, and 923 00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:18,799 Speaker 1: I mean I would be, I would not be. That's 924 00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:20,400 Speaker 1: a tough place for Dana to be in to have 925 00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:22,799 Speaker 1: your fate in other people's hands, to have your fade 926 00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:26,279 Speaker 1: in player's hands, But that's the that's the that's the 927 00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:28,960 Speaker 1: occupation he chose, so you look at that and. 928 00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:32,600 Speaker 2: Then with Joe. You know, again, Tyler, like we have 929 00:48:32,640 --> 00:48:33,560 Speaker 2: talked about this, Like. 930 00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:37,680 Speaker 1: When I watch this team, when I've watched this team 931 00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:40,560 Speaker 1: under Joe Aspota's tenure, this does not look like a 932 00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:43,680 Speaker 1: poorly managed team. This is not a situation where I 933 00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:46,799 Speaker 1: think Joe Aspata is a bad manager, where like this 934 00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:50,680 Speaker 1: is a poorly managed team that doesn't do fundamental things 935 00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:53,360 Speaker 1: well that you know is dogging it. That is not 936 00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:56,520 Speaker 1: like trying hard, it's not giving effort. That has never 937 00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,920 Speaker 1: been a problem in the two years that Joe spot 938 00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:01,600 Speaker 1: has managed this team. I don't think this is a 939 00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:05,759 Speaker 1: situation where like Joe Aspota like is managing like I 940 00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:09,560 Speaker 1: don't think if Joe Aspota is fired, if if he 941 00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:11,680 Speaker 1: doesn't get a new contract, I don't think it'll be 942 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:14,120 Speaker 1: a byproduct of him being a poor manager, a poor 943 00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:18,440 Speaker 1: in game tactician, like not keeping the clubhouse together. I 944 00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:22,360 Speaker 1: think it'll just be quite frankly, it'll be a situation 945 00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:25,360 Speaker 1: where if the GM goes, the manager has to go 946 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:29,080 Speaker 1: to like it would just be a complete house cleaning 947 00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:35,160 Speaker 1: and to start anew because again, like it's a tough spot, 948 00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:36,880 Speaker 1: it's a tough spot to be in and there's a 949 00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,600 Speaker 1: lot of pressure on a lot of people this year 950 00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:42,319 Speaker 1: to see if these two guys are the people to 951 00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:44,359 Speaker 1: move this franchise forward. 952 00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:44,839 Speaker 2: Yeah. 953 00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:47,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's gonna be uh, it's gonna be very interesting 954 00:49:48,000 --> 00:49:48,319 Speaker 3: to see. 955 00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:48,560 Speaker 2: Ba. 956 00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:52,160 Speaker 3: I mean just for the future of the Astros, that 957 00:49:52,280 --> 00:49:55,319 Speaker 3: these younger guys that they've acquired in the past year 958 00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:58,760 Speaker 3: or two, that that is your next window. You're gonna 959 00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:02,759 Speaker 3: find out this year if that window is open or 960 00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:04,719 Speaker 3: if it's not. Because even if they make the playoffs, 961 00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:09,960 Speaker 3: but they're carried by you know, great years from Penya, Correa, 962 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:14,280 Speaker 3: Altuve and Jordan, that's not your next window. Like that's 963 00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:18,080 Speaker 3: that's what's helping keep the window open. But the success 964 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:22,240 Speaker 3: of the future of your franchise depends on these younger 965 00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:25,000 Speaker 3: guys and they have to perform this year or else 966 00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:27,600 Speaker 3: you're not going in the right direction. 967 00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:29,520 Speaker 2: I think. Yeah. 968 00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:32,600 Speaker 1: And the other thing with Dana and this got run 969 00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:34,880 Speaker 1: on social media today of course, Like I wrote a 970 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,360 Speaker 1: twenty five hundred word story and the one thing that 971 00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:41,040 Speaker 1: gets run is Dana talking about maybe extending Hunter Brown 972 00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:48,759 Speaker 1: and Jeremy Pania. When Dana's when we when we do 973 00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:52,640 Speaker 1: the the autopsy of Dana Brown's tenures astras general manation 974 00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:56,000 Speaker 1: whenever that is, whether it's this winner, whether it's fifteen 975 00:50:56,000 --> 00:50:59,120 Speaker 1: winners from now. The one thing that I think we 976 00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:02,760 Speaker 1: will all circle back is at the beginning of his tenure, 977 00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:05,839 Speaker 1: how bullish he was about getting all these extensions done. 978 00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:09,560 Speaker 1: He had been in Atlanta with Alexanthopolis where they extended 979 00:51:09,719 --> 00:51:13,240 Speaker 1: every young guy on on Atlanta's team, and they created 980 00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:16,320 Speaker 1: a cored that's going to be together forever or almost forever. 981 00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:20,480 Speaker 1: And it really he hasn't backed it up. Like, if 982 00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,719 Speaker 1: we're being completely honest, like he got I wouldn't say 983 00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:26,359 Speaker 1: he got the Jose al Twove extension done. That was 984 00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,239 Speaker 1: that was some other some other factors were involved in 985 00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:32,440 Speaker 1: the Joseel two. That was Joseel Twove wanted that extension done. 986 00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:35,960 Speaker 1: It got done. Christian Javier he got the extension right 987 00:51:36,000 --> 00:51:40,040 Speaker 1: after Dana got the job. That has you know, not 988 00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:42,719 Speaker 1: turned out well, but I'm not sure. But look, guys 989 00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:44,600 Speaker 1: get hurt. Sometimes this is what you have to do, 990 00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:48,640 Speaker 1: like you have to that. This is the when you 991 00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:52,279 Speaker 1: talk about extending players. This is always the caveat right. 992 00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,719 Speaker 1: It's like if you can do it, but just be 993 00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:56,840 Speaker 1: prepared like it could go south, It could go wrong 994 00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:57,920 Speaker 1: like this is it. 995 00:51:58,040 --> 00:51:59,120 Speaker 2: You're gambling any time. 996 00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,280 Speaker 1: You extend a young player like that, especially a pitcher. 997 00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:03,720 Speaker 1: It happened with hovieror he had to have Tommy John. Okay, 998 00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:05,960 Speaker 1: the fact. 999 00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:06,399 Speaker 2: That they have. 1000 00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:11,200 Speaker 1: Missed the boat on Jeremy Pana and Hunter Brown, and look, 1001 00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:13,120 Speaker 1: I'm not sitting here saying they can't get it done, 1002 00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:18,000 Speaker 1: but it would take something completely out of Jim Crane's 1003 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:22,200 Speaker 1: comfort zone to extend either of those guys. And I'm 1004 00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:24,640 Speaker 1: not sure that Jim Crane wants to step out of 1005 00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:27,200 Speaker 1: his comfort zone for a GM that he has as 1006 00:52:27,200 --> 00:52:27,640 Speaker 1: a lame. 1007 00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:28,239 Speaker 2: Duck right now. 1008 00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:32,560 Speaker 1: So when we look back at it, I think we 1009 00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,840 Speaker 1: will look back at missing the boat on those guys 1010 00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:39,480 Speaker 1: to where those guys could also you could lump them 1011 00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:41,840 Speaker 1: in as they're part of the next core. You know, 1012 00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:44,799 Speaker 1: Hunter Brown's here longer than Jeremy Panya, but Jeremy Panye 1013 00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:47,000 Speaker 1: has a season as two seasons left as an astro. 1014 00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:49,600 Speaker 1: You know, maybe one if they trade him this winner 1015 00:52:49,640 --> 00:52:53,000 Speaker 1: like they did with Kyle Tucker, which dovetails end to 1016 00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:56,040 Speaker 1: this point. You know, Dana Brown going on the Flagship 1017 00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:58,279 Speaker 1: Station his first year as general manager and saying Kyle 1018 00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:01,640 Speaker 1: Tucker will retire an astro and then not being able 1019 00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:03,720 Speaker 1: to extend him and trading him to the Cubs. 1020 00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:06,400 Speaker 2: It's a bad look. 1021 00:53:06,440 --> 00:53:09,200 Speaker 1: It just like, there's no other way to put it, really, 1022 00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:12,759 Speaker 1: and when you work, and I think the thing, and 1023 00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:16,440 Speaker 1: I wrote this in the story. You know, front offices 1024 00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:21,080 Speaker 1: across the sport tried to extend players and camped. Just 1025 00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:25,279 Speaker 1: because Dana Brown tried to extend Painia and Brown and 1026 00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:28,120 Speaker 1: Tucker and couldn't get it done. That's not an indictment 1027 00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:32,919 Speaker 1: on him as an executive. The problem is he had 1028 00:53:32,960 --> 00:53:36,600 Speaker 1: to have the wherewithal to understand where he works right. 1029 00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:39,960 Speaker 1: Jim Crane's never given a free agent deal longer than 1030 00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:43,319 Speaker 1: five years. He has never guaranteed any free agent one 1031 00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:47,680 Speaker 1: hundred million dollars. He's never guaranteed any player period, on 1032 00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:50,719 Speaker 1: any contract, any one contract more than one hundred and 1033 00:53:50,760 --> 00:53:53,960 Speaker 1: fifty one million dollars. So you have an owner that 1034 00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:58,160 Speaker 1: everything that he has done shows that he is not 1035 00:53:58,239 --> 00:54:01,279 Speaker 1: going to go spend lavishly free agency. He will do 1036 00:54:01,360 --> 00:54:03,760 Speaker 1: a two or three or four year deal in free agency. 1037 00:54:04,080 --> 00:54:05,840 Speaker 1: He will not give one hundred million dollar deal in 1038 00:54:05,840 --> 00:54:08,040 Speaker 1: free agency. He has not done that in his ownership tenure. 1039 00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:12,480 Speaker 1: When you have that, you have to understand that when 1040 00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:15,759 Speaker 1: you have those parameters in place, it is more incumbent 1041 00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:19,800 Speaker 1: upon you to be more aggressive early in these guys' 1042 00:54:19,840 --> 00:54:22,799 Speaker 1: careers and get them locked up. And the fact that 1043 00:54:22,840 --> 00:54:26,279 Speaker 1: he couldn't do that is something that I think he 1044 00:54:26,360 --> 00:54:30,080 Speaker 1: will regret. And again I'm not sitting here saying he's 1045 00:54:30,120 --> 00:54:33,120 Speaker 1: done after this year. I would be saying this exact 1046 00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:35,359 Speaker 1: same thing in five years from now if Dana Brown 1047 00:54:35,480 --> 00:54:38,000 Speaker 1: was still the GM Like this is still a misstep. 1048 00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:40,120 Speaker 2: It's something that can be rectified. 1049 00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:43,440 Speaker 1: Look, if Dana can convince Jim Crane to step out 1050 00:54:43,440 --> 00:54:46,239 Speaker 1: of his comfort zone and get Paynya or Brown extended, 1051 00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:50,440 Speaker 1: then we're having a completely different conversation. But I think 1052 00:54:50,960 --> 00:54:52,920 Speaker 1: when you start to look at the things that have 1053 00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,840 Speaker 1: put the team in this and look, this is not 1054 00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,920 Speaker 1: all Dana Brown's fault. They had no draft picks in 1055 00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:01,480 Speaker 1: twenty and twenty one because of the sign stealing scandal. 1056 00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:05,400 Speaker 1: Dana Brown inherited the contracts of Jose Abrey and Rafael Montero. 1057 00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:08,359 Speaker 1: That very much hamstrung a lot of things he could do, 1058 00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:12,440 Speaker 1: especially with like we said, an owner that spends money, 1059 00:55:12,640 --> 00:55:15,080 Speaker 1: but is not going to spend at the Dodgers level, 1060 00:55:15,200 --> 00:55:19,960 Speaker 1: or the Mets level or the Yankees level. So Dana 1061 00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:22,200 Speaker 1: inherited a tough spot. 1062 00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:23,200 Speaker 2: But there were. 1063 00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:25,120 Speaker 1: Things he could have done to make it a little 1064 00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:27,439 Speaker 1: less tough that he didn't do, and I think he'll 1065 00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:28,080 Speaker 1: regret those. 1066 00:55:29,440 --> 00:55:32,279 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, we've talked about it last year. But 1067 00:55:32,480 --> 00:55:36,239 Speaker 3: the it's you have until like May of this year 1068 00:55:36,280 --> 00:55:39,520 Speaker 3: to extend, extend Cam Smith, you know, like that that's 1069 00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:43,279 Speaker 3: your window of extending. Guys like this or you know, 1070 00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:45,560 Speaker 3: even like Mike Burrows or whatever, like those are the 1071 00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:50,200 Speaker 3: types of guys that you've got to extend early and 1072 00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:52,319 Speaker 3: you know, just really buy out and level out their 1073 00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,480 Speaker 3: arbitration years and maybe buy a year or two of 1074 00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,359 Speaker 3: free agency. Those are the extensions that you can get. 1075 00:55:57,360 --> 00:56:01,080 Speaker 3: They're just not extending Payna or Brown like that. 1076 00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:04,680 Speaker 1: That's not happening and it would make I mean for them, 1077 00:56:05,040 --> 00:56:07,680 Speaker 1: for Payna especially, it would make no sense for Jeremy 1078 00:56:07,680 --> 00:56:11,000 Speaker 1: Payne to sign an extension. Hunter Brown's a little farther 1079 00:56:11,080 --> 00:56:13,800 Speaker 1: away from free agency. I still don't think it gets done. 1080 00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:16,839 Speaker 1: But Hunter Brown's farther away from free agency. That's a 1081 00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:20,200 Speaker 1: little more of a discussion at least like Jeremy Payne 1082 00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:22,799 Speaker 1: is two seasons away from free agency where and he 1083 00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:25,800 Speaker 1: plays a premium position and it would. 1084 00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:26,680 Speaker 2: Be foolish for him. 1085 00:56:26,800 --> 00:56:28,719 Speaker 1: And again, the only way it's not foolish is if 1086 00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:32,040 Speaker 1: the Astros blow him out of the water with an offer. 1087 00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:34,839 Speaker 1: And as we have talked about numerous times, this is 1088 00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:38,600 Speaker 1: not a franchise that has ever been one to blow 1089 00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:39,560 Speaker 1: guys out of the. 1090 00:56:39,520 --> 00:56:41,440 Speaker 2: Water with contract offers. 1091 00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:45,000 Speaker 1: So a lot riding on this season for a lot 1092 00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:49,520 Speaker 1: of different people, no bigger than Dana Brown and Joe Espada, 1093 00:56:49,560 --> 00:56:53,920 Speaker 1: who I would say that winning the World Series would 1094 00:56:54,160 --> 00:56:57,279 Speaker 1: keep their jobs. But we have proof that you can 1095 00:56:57,280 --> 00:57:00,800 Speaker 1: win the World Series and still not feel compleat safe 1096 00:57:00,960 --> 00:57:04,879 Speaker 1: in a Jim Crane run operation. But I don't think 1097 00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:06,920 Speaker 1: they complain though, I don't think Dana Brown or Joe 1098 00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:11,080 Speaker 1: Spotta would complain about the Astros winning a World Series. 1099 00:57:11,120 --> 00:57:13,840 Speaker 2: So in that vein, we'll leave you with this. 1100 00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:19,880 Speaker 1: Fangrafts every year, and it's one thing like during the season, 1101 00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:22,360 Speaker 1: it's fun to keep up with the with the playoff odds, 1102 00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:26,360 Speaker 1: but they do preseason playoff odds every year, and this year, 1103 00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:28,880 Speaker 1: if you're watching on YouTube you can look. These are 1104 00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:34,480 Speaker 1: the American League playoff odds. There are eight teams that 1105 00:57:34,560 --> 00:57:37,920 Speaker 1: have higher playoff odds in the American League than the 1106 00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:39,840 Speaker 1: Astros going into the season, which. 1107 00:57:39,640 --> 00:57:40,920 Speaker 2: Is pretty remarkable. Tyler. 1108 00:57:42,640 --> 00:57:45,120 Speaker 1: There are two in their own division that have higher 1109 00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:48,360 Speaker 1: playoff odds, and the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers. 1110 00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:51,959 Speaker 1: I don't necessarily buy the Rangers, but to each their own. 1111 00:57:53,160 --> 00:57:56,160 Speaker 1: But that's a sobering look at things when you're going 1112 00:57:56,200 --> 00:57:59,280 Speaker 1: into it, especially coming off of what they have done 1113 00:58:00,160 --> 00:58:03,760 Speaker 1: for the last ten years of this run. To come 1114 00:58:03,800 --> 00:58:07,000 Speaker 1: into a season and you have the eighth highest odds 1115 00:58:07,040 --> 00:58:10,240 Speaker 1: in the American League to make the playoffs, it's a 1116 00:58:10,240 --> 00:58:13,280 Speaker 1: pretty sobering, pretty sobering site there. 1117 00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:17,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean a lot of those are, you know, 1118 00:58:18,080 --> 00:58:21,320 Speaker 3: in the in the same division, like I I to me, 1119 00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:26,160 Speaker 3: I think one or two of those ALS teams is 1120 00:58:26,200 --> 00:58:28,120 Speaker 3: so much better than the I don't think we're going 1121 00:58:28,160 --> 00:58:30,240 Speaker 3: to see all of them kind of finish close to 1122 00:58:30,280 --> 00:58:32,840 Speaker 3: each other. I don't buy the Red Sox being as 1123 00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:38,120 Speaker 3: good as that projection is, especially with you know, losing 1124 00:58:38,160 --> 00:58:41,680 Speaker 3: Bregman and all of that. So yeah, I mean I 1125 00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:44,760 Speaker 3: think that they sneak in in that first or second 1126 00:58:44,840 --> 00:58:48,200 Speaker 3: wild card spot. But it's down to the last week 1127 00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:48,520 Speaker 3: or so. 1128 00:58:48,800 --> 00:58:49,200 Speaker 2: I think. 1129 00:58:49,520 --> 00:58:53,680 Speaker 3: I think the Mariners are really good. I just don't 1130 00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:56,880 Speaker 3: buy the Rangers sticking around. I think they have too 1131 00:58:56,960 --> 00:59:01,280 Speaker 3: too much injury risk, too much is relying on, you know, 1132 00:59:01,360 --> 00:59:05,160 Speaker 3: the top end of their rotation that you know could 1133 00:59:05,240 --> 00:59:09,320 Speaker 3: go a lot of different ways. But yeah, I think 1134 00:59:09,320 --> 00:59:12,200 Speaker 3: the Astros get into the playoffs. But I mean again, 1135 00:59:12,240 --> 00:59:15,480 Speaker 3: this is a totally different part of the window than 1136 00:59:15,520 --> 00:59:18,919 Speaker 3: it was five years ago, where it's just what day 1137 00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:21,680 Speaker 3: do the Astros have the division wrapped up? That that's 1138 00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:22,360 Speaker 3: not happening. 1139 00:59:22,600 --> 00:59:26,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I it's hard for me to pick against the 1140 00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:29,640 Speaker 1: Mariners in this division. They like, the Mariners have a 1141 00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:32,720 Speaker 1: better roster than the ashra This is a the Mariners 1142 00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:35,440 Speaker 1: are up and down the roster, a better team than 1143 00:59:35,480 --> 00:59:37,560 Speaker 1: the Astros. Now, that doesn't mean the Ashers can't win 1144 00:59:37,600 --> 00:59:38,040 Speaker 1: the division. 1145 00:59:38,040 --> 00:59:38,720 Speaker 2: This is baseball. 1146 00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:42,120 Speaker 1: Like, very rarely does the best team in baseball actually 1147 00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:43,040 Speaker 1: win the World Series. 1148 00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:47,080 Speaker 2: That very rarely happens, just as the twenty nineteen Astros 1149 00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:49,320 Speaker 2: come on. 1150 00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:52,600 Speaker 1: That being said, it's hard for me on March twenty 1151 00:59:52,600 --> 00:59:55,160 Speaker 1: fourth to pick against the Mariners in the division. So 1152 00:59:55,880 --> 00:59:58,160 Speaker 1: that would leave the Astros in a fight for their 1153 00:59:58,200 --> 01:00:00,440 Speaker 1: lives in the wild card. I tend to agree with 1154 01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:03,120 Speaker 1: you that I think they will find a way into 1155 01:00:03,160 --> 01:00:05,840 Speaker 1: the playoffs. This team won eighty seven games last year 1156 01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:09,800 Speaker 1: with Jordan Alvarez barely playing, and with that inundation of 1157 01:00:09,840 --> 01:00:12,280 Speaker 1: injuries last year, they still won eighty seven games. They 1158 01:00:12,320 --> 01:00:15,320 Speaker 1: were they finished a game out of the playoffs last year. 1159 01:00:16,440 --> 01:00:20,520 Speaker 1: I do think this team makes the playoffs as it's 1160 01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:23,040 Speaker 1: currently constructed. Do I think this is a World Series team? 1161 01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:23,360 Speaker 2: I do not. 1162 01:00:24,520 --> 01:00:26,200 Speaker 1: But the one thing you can always say about Jim 1163 01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:28,680 Speaker 1: Crane is if they get to the trade deadline and 1164 01:00:28,720 --> 01:00:33,760 Speaker 1: they have a legitimate shot at contention, a legitimate shot 1165 01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:36,600 Speaker 1: at a championship, Jim Crane's most one of the most 1166 01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:39,840 Speaker 1: aggressive owners out there at the deadline. Dana Brown's going 1167 01:00:39,880 --> 01:00:42,280 Speaker 1: to be uber aggressive in the last year of his deal, 1168 01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:45,440 Speaker 1: presuming he is running the trade deadline. Joe spot Up 1169 01:00:45,600 --> 01:00:48,360 Speaker 1: is going to manage with a little bit more urgency. 1170 01:00:48,360 --> 01:00:50,680 Speaker 1: Though he'll never say it publicly, I'd imagine he will. 1171 01:00:51,360 --> 01:00:54,120 Speaker 1: And you know, look, I think the goal for them 1172 01:00:54,160 --> 01:00:56,080 Speaker 1: now has to be get to the deadline and contention, 1173 01:00:56,560 --> 01:00:58,520 Speaker 1: because if you get to the deadline and you're in contention. 1174 01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:00,920 Speaker 1: You've shown that you have an owner and a general 1175 01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:04,080 Speaker 1: manager that are aggressive enough that they will go out 1176 01:01:04,120 --> 01:01:05,800 Speaker 1: and get you what you need to get over the top. 1177 01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:07,600 Speaker 1: And then after that it's on the players. But I 1178 01:01:07,640 --> 01:01:09,320 Speaker 1: tend to agree with you. I think they will make 1179 01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:12,080 Speaker 1: the playoffs. I don't think they're built for a deep 1180 01:01:12,080 --> 01:01:15,800 Speaker 1: playoff run. But the playoffs are a crapshoot, and as 1181 01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:18,000 Speaker 1: has been evidenced by a lot of teams in the 1182 01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:20,400 Speaker 1: last five ten years, all you got to do is 1183 01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:22,720 Speaker 1: get in, and once you get in, anything can happen. 1184 01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:24,560 Speaker 1: And when you have Hunter Brown atop of your rotation, 1185 01:01:25,280 --> 01:01:28,400 Speaker 1: and if Mike Burrows and Tatsuya Emi even are a 1186 01:01:28,440 --> 01:01:30,800 Speaker 1: modicum of what they were in spring training, you could 1187 01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:32,640 Speaker 1: do a lot worse and running those three guys out 1188 01:01:32,680 --> 01:01:33,520 Speaker 1: in the playoff series. 1189 01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:34,880 Speaker 2: So we'll see. 1190 01:01:35,240 --> 01:01:37,439 Speaker 1: We'll be around for all of it here on crush 1191 01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:39,720 Speaker 1: Shitty Territory. Thank you all for bearing with us as 1192 01:01:39,760 --> 01:01:45,480 Speaker 1: we as I navigated this hellscape of a great program 1193 01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:47,600 Speaker 1: that we love, that we love and we're going to 1194 01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:49,560 Speaker 1: use and we love doing it. 1195 01:01:49,600 --> 01:01:50,960 Speaker 2: We love ECAM. It's awesome. 1196 01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:54,600 Speaker 1: You can watch us do it again. Probably after opening 1197 01:01:54,680 --> 01:01:56,680 Speaker 1: day on Thursday, we'll record one Thursday. This is me 1198 01:01:56,760 --> 01:01:59,840 Speaker 1: telling you Tyler, we're recording one Thursday night, after a good. 1199 01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:01,680 Speaker 2: After opening day. 1200 01:02:01,720 --> 01:02:04,880 Speaker 1: We'll be back then we'll overreact to one of one 1201 01:02:05,040 --> 01:02:07,480 Speaker 1: sixty two. But until then, you can follow me on 1202 01:02:07,640 --> 01:02:09,880 Speaker 1: X at Chandler Underscore Room. You can follow Tyler at 1203 01:02:09,920 --> 01:02:12,560 Speaker 1: Tyler C. Stafford. Please rate and review us on Apple 1204 01:02:12,600 --> 01:02:16,240 Speaker 1: and Spotify. Please like the YouTube video. Please subscribe to 1205 01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:18,320 Speaker 1: the YouTube channel that very much helps us out. We'll 1206 01:02:18,320 --> 01:02:21,560 Speaker 1: be back after opening day on Thursday. If you're going, 1207 01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:25,200 Speaker 1: enjoy the game. If you're doing anything in Houston this weekend, 1208 01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:29,560 Speaker 1: sports filled weekend in Houston, enjoy everything, and we. 1209 01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:51,440 Speaker 2: Will talk to you after opening day. Bye.