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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five, forty forty five.

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Speaker 3: Fifty and the kicks block the college football world.

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Speaker 2: Stunner Football, Oh my goodness, he stumbled.

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Speaker 4: And football the lateral turn a tire on the job.

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Speaker 4: Get you the lad I'm not.

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Speaker 3: The table of the field to night.

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Speaker 4: It's not the side of the dog in the fighting.

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Speaker 4: It's the side of the fight in the roll.

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Speaker 5: What's up, Degenerate Nation, Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 5: This is the week for college football betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 5: stuck in with me as always is Colin Wilson, who

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Speaker 5: will be questioned about his UMass pick here shortly, what's

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Speaker 5: going on in Colin?

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Speaker 2: You came for the Irish, you came for Georgia, you

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Speaker 2: came from Michigan. You're gonna get Central Arkansas and UMass.

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Speaker 5: You should have put that in after the pod and

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Speaker 5: you would have avoided questioning. Although we do have a

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Speaker 5: live show on Saturday mornings where he would have gotten

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Speaker 5: grilled there as well as we always do on our

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Speaker 5: show that we record on Thursdays. That comes out on

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Speaker 5: Friday mornings. We will go over the Friday night slate.

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Speaker 5: We will cover all the marquee games on Saturday and

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Speaker 5: the games that we like, we'll get into some FC

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Speaker 5: yes or no. We'll give out our favorite underdog money

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Speaker 5: line parlay. You know, we have a lot to get

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Speaker 5: to here, so, as we always do, let's start with

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Speaker 5: our segment look Ahead or look.

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Speaker 6: Away, Hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 4: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 5: For those of you unfamiliar or are just you know,

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Speaker 5: tuning in for the first time, what we do is

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Speaker 5: we look at next week slate. So we look at

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Speaker 5: week five and we say, okay, how can some of

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Speaker 5: these games impact this week? You know, ultimately, as I

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Speaker 5: always say, it comes down to the number. But in

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Speaker 5: certain situations, you might have a team that comes out flat.

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Speaker 5: You know, you might have a team that's just you know,

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Speaker 5: preparing for next week, or maybe pulls their starters a

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Speaker 5: little sooner than usual. So let's start with you know,

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Speaker 5: one of the best spots on the board. Of my opinion,

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Speaker 5: it's an ugly team, but Old Dominion, so Old Dominions

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Speaker 5: catching twenty eight and a half in Charlottesville against Virginia.

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Speaker 5: Virginia is obviously coming off that win, close win against

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Speaker 5: Florida State. They're at Notre Dame on deck, Old Dominion

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Speaker 5: coming off of buye. I like them catching or four touchdowns.

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Speaker 5: It's just really tough for Virginia, who I think is

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Speaker 5: going to be flat as hell. I don't think they

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Speaker 5: just want to get a lead, get out of their

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Speaker 5: healthy With Notre Dame on deck, They're just such a snail.

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Speaker 5: I mean, Virginia plays so slow, so it's hard for

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Speaker 5: the cover these spreads. You know, they did against William

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Speaker 5: and Mary, who's obviously significantly worse than Old Dominion, but

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Speaker 5: it was close there for a while. I think this

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Speaker 5: is a good spot for Old Dominion and the under

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Speaker 5: under forty five and a half under forty six. I

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Speaker 5: mean this feels like, you know, thirty four seven, thirty

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Speaker 5: one seven s what do you see here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is the first time these two

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Speaker 2: teams have met, you know, right down the road from

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Speaker 2: I sixty four. This is the one year anniversary. This

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Speaker 2: weekend's the one year anniversary or the Virginia Tech upset

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Speaker 2: where I think the points spread was exactly the same

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Speaker 2: you know, twenty eight and a half, which that half

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Speaker 2: is just screaming for a backdoor hook. Here. It's hard

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Speaker 2: for me to go against Virginia in this spot, not

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Speaker 2: because of I think that the offense is going to

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Speaker 2: go Vanilla, or the fact that Bryce Perkins maybe not

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Speaker 2: play so much, maybe you know, they just hand the

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Speaker 2: ball off a lot more, or even the fact that

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Speaker 2: the backup quarterback hasn't even played this year for Virginia,

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Speaker 2: Brandon Armstrong. I think he's been hurt the first three games,

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Speaker 2: So there's not you know, I don't know exactly what

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Speaker 2: they're gonna do there as far as like laying off

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Speaker 2: if the score gets big. But you know, Virginia's eighth

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Speaker 2: and HAVOC rankings, I mean, they can just do anything

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Speaker 2: they want. They've had fifteen passes defensed, twenty eight tackles

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Speaker 2: for loss. But the one stat that really kind of

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Speaker 2: like maybe might get me an old dominion is the

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Speaker 2: fact that Virginia hasn't forced any fumbles yet this year.

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Speaker 2: That's amazing to me. So, yeah, Virginia's havoc is out

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Speaker 2: the door. They're in the top ten, but they haven't

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Speaker 2: forced any fumbles. So the question is how much will

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Speaker 2: Perkins play is the quarterback red shirt? You know Brendon

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Speaker 2: Arms are gonna come in. He's been day to day,

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Speaker 2: but you know, it's definitely the spot. It's a perfect

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Speaker 2: spot as far as scheduling goes with Virginia.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and they're just a stale. It plays slow, so

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Speaker 5: it's harder to cover and you might say stuck. You're

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Speaker 5: saying thirty one seven, thirty four seven. Yeah, if this

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Speaker 5: line in the light's twenty and a half, this line

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Speaker 5: was twenty seven and a half, I wouldn't take it

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Speaker 5: or think about taking it. And you know, the difference

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Speaker 5: to twenty seven and a half and twenty eight and

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Speaker 5: a half with these big dogs is enormous. So you know,

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Speaker 5: obviously old Mini care they'll be up for this game.

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Speaker 5: They'll relisious opportunity coming off of a bye in state game.

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Speaker 5: So I think this line is just a toat how

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Speaker 5: you make it twenty seven and a half. I make

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Speaker 5: it twenty five to twenty six ish. So if you

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Speaker 5: can get over four touchdowns and the under, I think

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Speaker 5: that's the way to go. Let's look at another odd spot.

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Speaker 5: I would say it's another in state game between North

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Speaker 5: Carolina and Appalachian State. Next week, North Carolina welcomes Clemson

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Speaker 5: into Chapel Hill. They're coming off that close loss against

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Speaker 5: wake Forest. App State has looked really good. This is

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Speaker 5: their biggest test of the year. This line, I believe,

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Speaker 5: is down. It opened threes, down to two and a half.

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Speaker 5: You and Cee is two and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 5: The question is can you and C play before the

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Speaker 5: fourth quarter? For whatever reason? I don't know if it's

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Speaker 5: just Sam Howe being nervous, he is a freshman, and

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Speaker 5: then like once he you know, is in comeback mode,

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Speaker 5: doesn't have to think about anything and he can just

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Speaker 5: let it go, their offense just goes into another gear.

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Speaker 5: But I mean it's happening every week. What do you

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Speaker 5: say the year with UNC and hat State, the boys

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Speaker 5: from Boone?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I made a play on our action app within

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Speaker 2: the last hour and it kind of correlates straight into that.

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Speaker 2: So I think the question here is is does U

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Speaker 2: and C even care about this game? They have Clemson

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Speaker 2: next week and they don't. You don't understand like how

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Speaker 2: much app State despises these guys like Scott Sadderfield wanted

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Speaker 2: this job. I mean, everybody that was a fan of

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. They wanted Scott Saderfield from Appalachian State. They

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Speaker 2: did not want Mac Brown. You know, in hindsight, they're

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Speaker 2: okay with mac Brown. The coordinators have got as great

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Speaker 2: and they started off well this season except for that

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Speaker 2: weight game. But you know, Scott Sadderfield and the app

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Speaker 2: State program and the administration and the fans, they kind

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Speaker 2: of feel overshadowed by UNC, especially with all the Nike

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Speaker 2: money and the Jordan money and all that. And I

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Speaker 2: think that there's a real sort of in state little

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Speaker 2: brother hatred and they're going to come out fired up

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Speaker 2: for this game. You know. I have it at three

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Speaker 2: and a half, so it's kind of super close to

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Speaker 2: the two and a half off of a bye. And

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Speaker 2: the thing is if you look at you and see

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Speaker 2: their defensive line is one hundred and sixth in line

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Speaker 2: yards and eighty six an opportunity rate. So what does

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Speaker 2: that mean for people that don't know what those stats are?

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Speaker 2: Win North carol Win teams against North Carolina need to

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Speaker 2: get the rush yards in the situations like third and

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Speaker 2: eight or second and four. They've been successful most of

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Speaker 2: the time. I mean UNC's defensive line has been outside

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Speaker 2: the top one hundred in those kinds of ratings. App

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Speaker 2: State was Zach Thomas. They should run all day. They're

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Speaker 2: number one of the country in power success rate. They're

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Speaker 2: getting two yards whenever they need it in critical downs.

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Speaker 2: I made a play on app State plus one in

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Speaker 2: the first half. Anything that we've seen out of North

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Speaker 2: Carolina the last three weeks, South Carolina, Miami, even Wake

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Speaker 2: Forest Sam Howe doesn't play till the fourth quarter. These

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Speaker 2: guys don't decide to try to be clutch and win games.

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Speaker 2: Who knows what would happened if they put that second

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Speaker 2: back on the clock against Wake. We won't get deep

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Speaker 2: into that. I like to have stayed in the first

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Speaker 2: half here.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean at State we knew coming in was

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Speaker 5: going to be a good team, but you know, with

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Speaker 5: a new coach and could there be some changes that

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Speaker 5: we don't really know. I mean we know that there's

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Speaker 5: you know, they brought a lot back Zach Thomas at quarterback.

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Speaker 5: All they've played so far is Charlotte. You're Charlotte Boys

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Speaker 5: in a game that was fifty six forty one, and

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Speaker 5: then they rolled East Tennessee State in the first week.

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Speaker 5: So we expected them to be good, but It's not

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Speaker 5: like we could take too much out of those first

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Speaker 5: two games. If you want to bet this total, I

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Speaker 5: have a feeling this might be a shootout, And yeah,

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Speaker 5: I can't disagree with you going app State in the

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Speaker 5: first half. Let's talk a team that came out and

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Speaker 5: looked really impressive last week that we were down on

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Speaker 5: after what we saw, but the offensive line finally showed up,

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Speaker 5: and that is the Nebraska corn Huskers. They go to

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Speaker 5: Illinois and they are laying I believe, what's this line

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Speaker 5: up to thirteen? Now? They host Ohio State next week?

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Speaker 5: So can Nebraska get caught up here being sleepy? You

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Speaker 5: have Illinois who's coming off of a home loss to

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Speaker 5: Eastern Michigan. You know, so Nebraska they looked a lot better.

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Speaker 5: They got a big adjustment for me. I make this

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Speaker 5: line right around here. What do you see here with

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Speaker 5: Nebraska Illinois?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I made the line in higher. I made it

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Speaker 2: in Nebraska minus fifteen here. So there's other power rating

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Speaker 2: systems out there that have a power rated less than ten.

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Speaker 2: So it's interesting to see the line movement here as

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Speaker 2: we got up to thirteen. I think there's been some

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Speaker 2: buyback on Illinois finally but Nebraska put up five hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty five yards. Last week, they averaged seven point

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Speaker 2: two yards per rush. Against Northern Illinois, they had two

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty eight yards on the ground. That's what

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Speaker 2: we've been waiting for. We've been wanting to see this

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Speaker 2: out of Nebraska, and they finally got it together. For me,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to play aside because last week it

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Speaker 2: was kind of dipping around the fifteen and thirteen range

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Speaker 2: and I had Northern Illinois this week. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 2: be on the over. So if you look at the

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Speaker 2: drive log for Northern Illinois had against Nebraska, you know

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Speaker 2: you could see that they had two field goals that

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Speaker 2: a turnover on downs at the one yard line. They

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Speaker 2: got all the way down to the one yard line

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Speaker 2: against Nebraska, had a turnover un downs. The other two

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Speaker 2: times they were in Nebraska territory they had an interception,

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Speaker 2: and then to end the game they got in Nebraska territory,

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Speaker 2: it had another turnover on downs. So NIU was loaded

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Speaker 2: with chances to get that cover home they never did.

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Speaker 2: I think the correct play here is the over. I

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Speaker 2: the offense might have fixed itself, but the defense hasn't.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, This is probably a stay I mean, the spot

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Speaker 5: is just bad. The line looks about right. This is

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Speaker 5: just the definition of a stay away game for me.

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Speaker 5: Another stay away game Washington State Ucla. This looks like

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Speaker 5: a pass to me. But curious to see what you

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Speaker 5: think here. Ucla has just been dreadful and luckily they

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Speaker 5: got in the second half number against Oklahoma, a number

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Speaker 5: I thought was too high overall for the game they

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Speaker 5: play Washington State here. I think this number is a

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Speaker 5: little too high, but I just have I mean, after

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Speaker 5: what I saw last week, you know, I just have

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Speaker 5: no interest in back in UI plus nineteen here in Pulman.

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Speaker 5: If it gets to twenty one, sure, I'll look at

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Speaker 5: the Bruins. But what do you see here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, same thing I have. You know, Ucla power rated

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Speaker 2: to be plus fourteen in this game, So you think

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Speaker 2: that I'd be sweeping up the plus nineteen and have

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Speaker 2: no problems with it. But no, just like last week

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Speaker 2: when it was inflated against OU, I'm not doing anything

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Speaker 2: with this line whatsoever. Ucla. They're going up against the

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Speaker 2: air raid and Mike Leach. Yet they're one hundred and

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Speaker 2: twentieth in the country and allowing ten plus yard passes.

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Speaker 2: They're ninety ninth in the country and allowing twenty plus

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Speaker 2: yard passes and now they're going up against air Raid

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Speaker 2: and Mike Leach. So no thank you, no love for UCLA.

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Speaker 5: The last spot that I wanted to mention was Iowa State,

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Speaker 5: who I think is in a brutal spot here.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 5: They're coming off that devastating seventeen hour game against Iowa,

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Speaker 5: a game they should have won. You know, if you

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Speaker 5: look at the box score, they lost by one. You

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Speaker 5: know that streak continues where they can't win the SiO game.

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Speaker 5: They have Baylor on deck, big twelve game, and now

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Speaker 5: they welcome in ULMLA Monroe off of buy and if

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Speaker 5: you recall LA Monroe went down to Florida State and

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Speaker 5: didn't go for two. I'm so tired of yelling about this.

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Speaker 5: I missed the extra point and lost forty five forty four.

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Speaker 5: They have an explosive offense. They will put the ball

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Speaker 5: up in the air. You know their defense as a

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Speaker 5: Sunbelt defense. But Ihowa State's offense is just not explosive yet.

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Speaker 5: And you know they're trying to replace Montgomery and Butler.

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Speaker 5: This is not a tea. I don't I think they

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Speaker 5: come out really flat. I think ULM, you know, can

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Speaker 5: throw a little bit on them. I always state weakness

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Speaker 5: is in their secondary you know. So you could have

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Speaker 5: Caleb Evans, who can really he can make some bad

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Speaker 5: boneheaded throws. But I think eighteen here. You know, I

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Speaker 5: don't think it's the number has the most value in

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Speaker 5: the world, but I just think this is a hard

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Speaker 5: hard spot for the cyclones. So you'll probably see you

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Speaker 5: play from me come across on the app on the Warhawks.

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Speaker 5: Any thoughts there, Colin.

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Speaker 2: Now completely agree ULM. They're in one of the Sunbelt

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Speaker 2: offenses that can put it up on you. But we

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Speaker 2: need to check weather and names there is you know here,

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Speaker 2: I'm here in the Midwest, and there's some weather passing

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Speaker 2: through and I think Games was on the radar to

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Speaker 2: get some weather, so that could slow down how explosive

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Speaker 2: ULM could be, and it may be the advantage viiways

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Speaker 2: stay so keep your eyes on the weather and if

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Speaker 2: it looks clear and we can get a key number,

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Speaker 2: I'll be right there with stuck. Yep.

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Speaker 5: So let's get into some of the marquee games of

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Speaker 5: the weekend and some of the games that we really.

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Speaker 1: Like it's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check

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Speaker 1: out the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for

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Speaker 1: Week four.

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Speaker 5: Let's start at you know, let's start with the game

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Speaker 5: that you probably might have a little bit of your

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Speaker 5: reputation on the line with, and that's UCF and Pitt.

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Speaker 5: You got a text from a podcast friend, Preg McMurphy saying,

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Speaker 5: oh man, your number in the app as well for

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Speaker 5: the number that came out, and I'm referring to the

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Speaker 5: UCF pit game. This line twelve eleven and a half

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Speaker 5: twelve ish, you make it around one. You've been hating

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Speaker 5: on this UCF team all year, and if you look

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Speaker 5: at their a lot of their advance that's they look

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Speaker 5: really impressive.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 5: They caught who they played, and they caught Stanford in

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Speaker 5: a terrible spot and really hobbled, you know, so their

294
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Speaker 5: defensive line numbers look really good. But I do agree

295
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Speaker 5: that this is inflated. I don't have it at one,

296
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Speaker 5: but anything double edgess, I think it's crazy. I think

297
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Speaker 5: UCF is overinflated here based on what people have seen.

298
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Speaker 5: But I don't necessarily think the body of work is impressive.

299
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Speaker 5: As many things. What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know this is the same spot as

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Speaker 2: last year. I had Pitten the spot down in Orlando.

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Speaker 2: They got blown out and Ardozy didn't have an offense,

303
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Speaker 2: defense couldn't keep up. They just got blitzed. They yeh truck.

304
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Speaker 2: I mean, I just it was bad last year. So

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Speaker 2: now things have changed a little bit. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: as we're talking, one of the operators has taken it

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Speaker 2: down to ten and a half. So there's at least

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Speaker 2: some other pit out there, pit money out there besides mine.

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Speaker 2: But as far as this game is concerned, yeah, I

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Speaker 2: have a power rated much lower. When the Lions came out,

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Speaker 2: made a play immediately on the action app. Haven't really

312
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Speaker 2: had any you know, heartburn about making that play days ago,

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Speaker 2: even though it got up to twelve and a half

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Speaker 2: and I think some thirteens. This number is so far

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Speaker 2: off my power rating, But this is par for the course.

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Speaker 2: When it comes to Pitt, I had Pitt rated way

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Speaker 2: higher than minus four against Ohio. Had no problem covering

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Speaker 2: that game. I had no problems whatsoever bet and Pit

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Speaker 2: against Penn State covered that game easily. Not going to

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Speaker 2: get into the whole field goal thing. I didn't need it,

321
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Speaker 2: already had enough points to cover. So there's something going

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Speaker 2: on here either just like oddsmakers are way behind on Pitt,

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Speaker 2: or maybe I'm just way ahead because of Mark Whipple.

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Speaker 5: Maybe Dylan Gabriel is the real deal.

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Speaker 2: Maybe and he is, and maybe he's the one getting

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Speaker 2: the bump here because the kid, you know, he's one

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Speaker 2: of the most explosive passers in the country. Can't take

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Speaker 2: it away from him. But I mean, you know, Pitt's

329
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Speaker 2: been doing their job. They've been covering games, they've been

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Speaker 2: they've been hanging in their beating teams. They should hanging

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Speaker 2: in with Penn State when they were, you know, a

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Speaker 2: much bigger dogs. I just don't think that Pitt's been

333
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Speaker 2: adjusted correctly. Both teams are top twenty in the Action

334
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Speaker 2: Network HAVOC ratings. Pitt is not having a problem sacking

335
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Speaker 2: the quarterback and getting pressure whatsoever. They're fifteenth in sack

336
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Speaker 2: rate right now, and they should be able to get

337
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Speaker 2: pressure on Dylan Gabriel. And if they want to wheel

338
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Speaker 2: Brandon Wimbush out for a snap or two, that's fine.

339
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Speaker 2: But I mean, Dylan Gabriel is gonna feel some pressure

340
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Speaker 2: this week. Unlike Stanford. Stanford can't attack a cold and

341
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Speaker 2: then Mark Whipple, on the other hand, I think he's

342
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Speaker 2: gonna find ways to attack and get points up on

343
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Speaker 2: the board, unlike what Pitt was able to do last year.

344
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Speaker 2: Think when I handicapped it this way, I really got

345
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Speaker 2: into the deep into this game. This is how comfortable

346
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Speaker 2: I am with my pit number. Stanford losing. They're all

347
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Speaker 2: pack twelve left tackle, and they lost one of their

348
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Speaker 2: key contributors on the offensive line, and they were in

349
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Speaker 2: a sandwich spot in between Oregon and usc flew across

350
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Speaker 2: Country played early in the day. UCF had zero sacks,

351
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Speaker 2: zero sacks against a beat up, not want to be there,

352
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Speaker 2: not interested Stanford team that really kind of left an

353
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Speaker 2: impression on me. So I think Pitt's gonna be able

354
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Speaker 2: to put some points up and get this cover for me.

355
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Speaker 5: Fair enough, All right, let's get into some of the

356
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Speaker 5: Marque games we got that I would say three kind

357
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Speaker 5: of blockbuster games on paper. Let's start first with the

358
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Speaker 5: prime time showdown between Notre Dame and Georgia. This line,

359
00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:25,320
Speaker 5: I believe is sitting Georgia minus fourteen and a half everywhere.

360
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,400
Speaker 5: You know, I personally can't bet this at fourteen and

361
00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:30,760
Speaker 5: a half, I do think Georgia is going to roll

362
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:32,720
Speaker 5: like Notre Dame. It's funny. This is like, I think

363
00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 5: they're just due for their SEC beat down. It happens

364
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 5: every six years against the top five SEC team. Two

365
00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,520
Speaker 5: thousand and seven they played LSU, they lost, I think

366
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Speaker 5: forty two to fourteen, and then twenty thirteen they played Alabama,

367
00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,440
Speaker 5: they lost think forty one to fourteen. So I could

368
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Speaker 5: easily see, you know, six years after now this year

369
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Speaker 5: that happening again. The big storyline here is, you know,

370
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Speaker 5: it's not rocket science. Is Notre dame defensive line is

371
00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:59,240
Speaker 5: significantly smaller than Georgia's offensive line, which might be the

372
00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:01,280
Speaker 5: best in the country with their stable of backs and

373
00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:05,359
Speaker 5: their running rushing attack is so explosive. And Notre Dame.

374
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Speaker 5: I mean, in some metrics they're bottom ten, bottom twenty

375
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:10,880
Speaker 5: in rush defense. They're you know, they're giving up over

376
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Speaker 5: two hundred dards to New Mexico and Louisville on the ground.

377
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Speaker 5: I mean, what is this Georgia off It's gonna do?

378
00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:18,080
Speaker 5: It could also be a little personal. I know, Georgia

379
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:19,359
Speaker 5: went down in Notre Dame a couple of years ago

380
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,639
Speaker 5: one twenty to nineteen. But you know, Georgia thought that

381
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 5: they should have been in the playoff even with two

382
00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,880
Speaker 5: losses of a Notre Dame. This is in Athens at night.

383
00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:28,840
Speaker 5: This speed of Georgia, I think will show you know,

384
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:30,520
Speaker 5: they're gonna need book to make a ton of plays.

385
00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:33,120
Speaker 5: They're gonna need some turnovers. I can't see Notre Dame

386
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,080
Speaker 5: hanging around. The problem is I make it two touchdowns

387
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Speaker 5: and it's at fourteen and a half. I didn't get

388
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:39,680
Speaker 5: it under fourteen. So I'll look for Georgia live. Maybe

389
00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:41,879
Speaker 5: maybe Notre Dame as a fluke first half and I

390
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:42,920
Speaker 5: get Georgia second half.

391
00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:46,000
Speaker 2: But this is a bad matchup for Notre Dame. Agree, Yeah,

392
00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,960
Speaker 2: really bad? Before I get to those numbers. This the

393
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Speaker 2: scenario feels like Clemson and Notre Dame from last year's playoff,

394
00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,399
Speaker 2: where you and I made the number around eight, eight

395
00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,800
Speaker 2: and a half, but the number for Clemson had trailed

396
00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:00,719
Speaker 2: out to eleven, twelve, thirteen, And we say back and said, well,

397
00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 2: our power ratings say this, our power ratings say this,

398
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:06,040
Speaker 2: and just everything. You couldn't find one stat to back

399
00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,280
Speaker 2: up Notre Dame whatsoever. And I feel like This is

400
00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 2: the exact same thing. Generally, when I make a bet,

401
00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:12,240
Speaker 2: I can make a case for the other team. I

402
00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:13,800
Speaker 2: just think the team that I'm betting on has a

403
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,680
Speaker 2: better case. In this case, I can't make one. I

404
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:18,840
Speaker 2: can't tell you one mass stat. I can't tell you

405
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,760
Speaker 2: one situational stat. I can't tell you any reason to

406
00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,720
Speaker 2: take Notre Dame. It's actually kind of scary. So again,

407
00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:26,800
Speaker 2: we make this game I think eleven and a half

408
00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,440
Speaker 2: or twelve. Stuck and I were talking about this offline

409
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:31,879
Speaker 2: on Sunday and said, are you kidding me? That New

410
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,359
Speaker 2: Mexico ran for four point six yards per carry? What

411
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,040
Speaker 2: are you gonna do with that? When New Mexico is

412
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,280
Speaker 2: running four point six yards per carry on forty six attempts.

413
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 2: It wasn't even like ten attempts. It was forty six attempts.

414
00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,120
Speaker 2: Stuck is right, George is the best in the nation

415
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 2: on the offensive line. Their best in the stats when

416
00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:50,560
Speaker 2: it comes to things called line yards, opportunity rate, They're

417
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,560
Speaker 2: second in the country and stuff rate. Their new offensive coordinator,

418
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,600
Speaker 2: James Coley, he's finding explosive plays, not just on the ground,

419
00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:58,119
Speaker 2: but he's starting to hit a bunch of wide receivers

420
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 2: that nobody even knew their names three weeks ago. Irish

421
00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:03,760
Speaker 2: are one hundred and first in passing downs sack rate.

422
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,440
Speaker 2: What does that mean? In passing downs where Jake fromm

423
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 2: is back, it's third and eight, they will get zero

424
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:12,120
Speaker 2: pressure on Jake from Georgia can do whatever it wants

425
00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:15,119
Speaker 2: whenever it wants. So the Irish shore one hundred and

426
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:18,959
Speaker 2: seventeen on third down conversion rate on defense. So I mean,

427
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:22,440
Speaker 2: it's just it is an extremely, extremely bad matchup. So

428
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:24,840
Speaker 2: George is gonna have full control of the ground, the air,

429
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 2: the clock. The only thing that's missing from this game

430
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 2: is whether Kirby smart is going to get havoc plays.

431
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 2: He's looking for forced fumbles, he's looking for passes defense,

432
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,000
Speaker 2: he wants some pick sixes. When I think about that,

433
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,119
Speaker 2: Kirby knows that if some wonky shit happens in the

434
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 2: SEC championship game, or something's going on in the SEC

435
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 2: where Alabama is sitting out there with one loss and

436
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 2: they want to get into the playoff, Kirby knows how

437
00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 2: important this game is to the full resume of the

438
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,159
Speaker 2: college football playoff. Now, I will say this, there's not

439
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:53,879
Speaker 2: a lot of times where there's eighty percent of the

440
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,120
Speaker 2: money and eighty percent of the tickets all on one side,

441
00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,360
Speaker 2: and I'm looking to back this is that spot. I'm

442
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 2: willing to swim with all the fishes and low my

443
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:02,919
Speaker 2: power ratings away and say that Georgia has no problems

444
00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 2: calling their own score. Look for a fourteen. You don't

445
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,440
Speaker 2: want to worry about the hook. Look for a fourteen.

446
00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 5: Yep, I would agree. Then, Also special teams. You know

447
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,479
Speaker 5: Notre Dame replaced that. You know they have freshmen at

448
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 5: their key positions, and we have blanket ship on Georgia

449
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,880
Speaker 5: the reliable kicker, so Georgia even has an edge there.

450
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 5: It's hard to find many advantages for Notre Dame. It

451
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 5: is one football game. Things can happen, but on paper

452
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 5: it doesn't look great for the Irish. Another game the

453
00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:31,200
Speaker 5: SEC CBS three point thirty slot Auburn, Texas A and M.

454
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 5: It's down in College station. This opened at four Texas

455
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,440
Speaker 5: AUM four point favorite. It's down to three and a half.

456
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 5: And you know what I'm looking at here is Texas

457
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:44,359
Speaker 5: A and M. By the way, speaking of special teams,

458
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:45,880
Speaker 5: one of the best punters in the country. I'm looking

459
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 5: at text aem first half. And the reason for that

460
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:52,159
Speaker 5: if you remember that Oregon game joke, Oregon game that

461
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 5: Auburn stole despite Bo Picks his best efforts to give

462
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 5: it away and then that lucky throw he they won

463
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,680
Speaker 5: despite him. I mean he was awful. Awful. Yeah, I'm

464
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,200
Speaker 5: still not over it. He's going down first true road game,

465
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:07,840
Speaker 5: you know, one of the toughest places to play in

466
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 5: the country, and Klaman on the other side of the

467
00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 5: quarterback for a m He's been in a ton of

468
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,440
Speaker 5: these games, so I think you might see, you know,

469
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 5: Bo Picks come out a little. I know it's Bo Nicks.

470
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,320
Speaker 5: Everybody come out a little, you know, shaky and rusty,

471
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,440
Speaker 5: maybe throw a pick or two, true to his name,

472
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:24,399
Speaker 5: you know, force a few balls. They also have a

473
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 5: safety that's out for the first half of targeting. He

474
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 5: comes in in nickel packages. Also a big special teams contributor.

475
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 5: And then also you don't have that the Malsan magic

476
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,880
Speaker 5: second half adjustments and I'm getting under a field goal

477
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:38,920
Speaker 5: in the first half. So I think Texas A and

478
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 5: M comes out hot here. The experience at quarterback in particular,

479
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,159
Speaker 5: you know, in this hostile environment, I think they come

480
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 5: out firing. I wouldn't be surprised if Malsan cooks up

481
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:51,080
Speaker 5: some stuff in the second half like he did with

482
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,639
Speaker 5: Oregon and make some you know, adjustments, as he's so

483
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 5: adept at doing. So I'm rolling with A and M

484
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 5: first half here minus two and a half.

485
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:01,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's actually the way to go. I'd

486
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 2: never even thought about taking the first half because I

487
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:05,639
Speaker 2: had everything that I've seen and looked into. The stats

488
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:07,240
Speaker 2: is just Auburn's not going to get anything to go

489
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 2: on the ground whatsoever. This Texas A and M rush

490
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 2: defense is tops in the country. They're better than Auburns.

491
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: They're better in Alabama, they're better at LSU, they're first

492
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,640
Speaker 2: in the nation against power success runs. That means Auburn's

493
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 2: not going to be able to get anything short whatsoever.

494
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 2: So what does that mean? Bow Knicks is going to

495
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,719
Speaker 2: be in third and long all day, but they're outside

496
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 2: the top one hundred pass yards per attempt. I think

497
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 2: bo Nicks is averaging around six yards per pass. I mean,

498
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:31,440
Speaker 2: that's not going to work when you're in third and

499
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 2: eight or third and long, So obviously that's going to

500
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 2: be an issue. I think the thing that I've been

501
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:38,159
Speaker 2: waiting for is I want to see this thing go

502
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 2: to three. So our Action Network power ratings make this

503
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:43,600
Speaker 2: six Texas A and M minus six. But there's another

504
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 2: power rating system out there that says Auburn should be

505
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 2: favored by one and a half, which is why I

506
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 2: think this number keeps dipping down. And I will gladly

507
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,680
Speaker 2: look for a three on Texas A and M because

508
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 2: I just don't see how bo Nick is going to

509
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:54,919
Speaker 2: be able to get the ball down the field. Now,

510
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:56,359
Speaker 2: if I'm going to take Texas A and M at

511
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,440
Speaker 2: the current number and minus three and a half, I

512
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 2: want confirmation that why receiver Seth Williams is not going

513
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 2: to play for the Auburn offense. He's the guy that

514
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 2: bo Nicks wants to target downfield. He's going to be

515
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,400
Speaker 2: sort of the safety blanket. I think he's Auburn's best

516
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 2: target out there. And if Seth Williams isn't playing, I

517
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,359
Speaker 2: don't know how this Auburn team moves the ball whatsoever.

518
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:17,960
Speaker 2: There's so many injuries on Auburn's defensive side of the ball.

519
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 2: You turn it around on Kellam on on the of

520
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:21,920
Speaker 2: Auburn defensive side of the ball, Derek Brown, the star

521
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 2: defensive tackle, hurt, banged up, everybody's day to day. You

522
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:26,800
Speaker 2: just don't know how it's going to work out. I

523
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 2: think Texas A and M is in a spot to

524
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 2: get this game. I'm just waiting. I'm waiting patiently to

525
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,640
Speaker 2: get a key number. Not you know, not a huge

526
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 2: bet in Maple l eight first half, but Auburn moving

527
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 2: the ball. I just I don't see how that happens.

528
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 2: And if Seth Williams doesn't play, I think this is

529
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:40,880
Speaker 2: an easy Texas A and M play.

530
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, and don't sleep on the punter in this situation.

531
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 5: Backing up a you know, fresh true freshman quarterback in

532
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 5: his first road game and one of the most hostile environments.

533
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 5: Just back them deep in his own territory, forcing a

534
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 5: throw especially early. Look at the first half there.

535
00:23:57,600 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 3: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

536
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,480
Speaker 3: want to make sure you know about the locked On

537
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,880
Speaker 3: podcast network. Locked On has a daily podcast on your

538
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 3: favorite team.

539
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:07,920
Speaker 5: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

540
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 5: onn of the Dallas marriage. Well came everybody to the

541
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 5: Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's Go.

542
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 3: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

543
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,159
Speaker 3: know your team better than anyone and give you the

544
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 3: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

545
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 3: locked on your favorite team.

546
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 5: Subscribe to your locked on podcast. The game that everyone's

547
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:32,680
Speaker 5: gonna be watching early at noon, Michigan Wisconsin. This has

548
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:37,200
Speaker 5: national title implications, big ten futures, my futures in particular

549
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 5: on Michigan.

550
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:39,679
Speaker 2: And look, this.

551
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 5: Line was what minus four minus five in you know

552
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 5: look aheadlines preseason. Now it's Wisconsin minus three and a half.

553
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 5: We talked about this two weeks ago and I said, look,

554
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 5: after the adjustments from what we've seen from Michigan Wisconsin,

555
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 5: I make this around Wanish. So if I see any

556
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 5: either team over three and a half, I'm taking it,

557
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,639
Speaker 5: which I did, and I took me Michigan plus three

558
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 5: and a half. I think that there's a couple of

559
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 5: things working in Michigan's favor here based from what you've seen. Look,

560
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,080
Speaker 5: their offense hasn't looked great, hasn't looked crisp. They had

561
00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 5: a bunch of fumbles and bad fumble luck. But if

562
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 5: you look at like that Middle Tennessee State game, they

563
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,359
Speaker 5: missed just a couple passes. They were just off on.

564
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:17,640
Speaker 5: You know, when they were running their read option, Patterson

565
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 5: wasn't really pulling out.

566
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 2: I think he had a.

567
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,840
Speaker 5: Hurd obleak, so I think he was nursing some injuries

568
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,880
Speaker 5: against winnable teams. So they also will get running back here,

569
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 5: probably people's jones. They're gonna be as healthy as they've

570
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,200
Speaker 5: been all year, and they needed this bye week. You know,

571
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 5: they have a new offense. Wisconsin knows what they're gonna do.

572
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 5: You know, they're going to feature Jonathan Taylor. They were rolling,

573
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 5: and I think that the overreaction here is just a

574
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 5: little much. And I know John Harborough's zero to six

575
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 5: straight up as an underdog two and four against the

576
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 5: spread at Michigan, and Michigan hasn't won it Wisconsin since

577
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 5: two thousand and one, I believe. But I just think

578
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 5: this is an overreaction for what Wisconsin has done against

579
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 5: two just cupcakes. Central Michigan and South floridadn't even bother

580
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,639
Speaker 5: showing up, and then Michigan, you know, they it happens

581
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,360
Speaker 5: just s with Army and you know Middle Tennessee State.

582
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 5: There were some plays there, So I agree that the

583
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 5: line shouldn't have been four or five where what Michigan

584
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 5: minus four or fivehere was preseason. You know, you got

585
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 5: to adjust it down from what you've seen, but not

586
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 5: over a field goal for Wisconsin. You do still worry

587
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 5: about the Michigan interior, but I do think that they're

588
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 5: going to have, you know, some tricks up their sleeve

589
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 5: on offense, Josh Gattis and you know, I don't think

590
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 5: that they were showing everything. And that bye week it

591
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 5: just favors Michigan so much more because they needed to

592
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 5: work some kinks out, they needed to get healthier, while

593
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:34,240
Speaker 5: Wisconsin would have preferred the last week, let's go, let's play.

594
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 5: So I think that buy really does help Michigan. What

595
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 5: do you see here?

596
00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 2: I like it when we put trends on the show.

597
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 2: This is handicapping by our trends. Here's a trend Collins

598
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 2: oho to one and the pocket backing Michigan. So listen.

599
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 2: I don't know how to handicap Wisconsin this season, to

600
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 2: be honest. They haven't had a point scored against them.

601
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:53,720
Speaker 2: How do you handicap a team when you're in Week

602
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 2: four and they haven't had a point scored against them?

603
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 2: Go into the box score Central Michigan had fifty eight

604
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 2: total yards. Fifty eight total yards.

605
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, then they had a owner against Achron. Thanks, what

606
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:04,359
Speaker 5: the hell?

607
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 2: So I don't, I don't. I don't know how to

608
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 2: properly handicap Wisconsin. Am I happy about my eighteen to

609
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,359
Speaker 2: one futures at the Westgate to win the Big Ten?

610
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 2: Of course? But that could all be Yeah, you know,

611
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,120
Speaker 2: that can all go down the shitter here real fast.

612
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 2: So I make this game Wisconsin minus one and a half.

613
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 2: There is a lot of narrative out there about how

614
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 2: this game has jumped up too much. Of course it has.

615
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 2: The public perception on Michigan is extremely low. The public

616
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 2: perception on Wisconsin is really high. That's why they can

617
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,120
Speaker 2: jacket three points and get a whole bunch of people

618
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 2: to come to the window.

619
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 5: So split's on? Do it as soon that the splits

620
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:33,960
Speaker 5: would be high on Michigan, Like, oh, everyone's on Michigan

621
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 5: through a half, it's not. It's pretty balanced. So to

622
00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 5: the line is right from you know, a sportsbook perspective.

623
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:42,680
Speaker 5: But I just think over the field goal. I say, look,

624
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 5: if Wisconsin was bus three and a half, I would take.

625
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 2: Them, Yeah, yeah, absolutely, I mean, but I'm not sure

626
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:48,880
Speaker 2: if there will be enough enough points in this game

627
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 2: to try to play it live and try to get

628
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,680
Speaker 2: both sides, kind of like we did with that Iowa

629
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:55,880
Speaker 2: Iowa State game that's separated by seventeen hours. Like we said,

630
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 2: but listen, so let me let me throw some things

631
00:27:58,119 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 2: out that we do know about Michigan, so at least,

632
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 2: I mean, we have more of a sample set against

633
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 2: real teams with Michigan. The offensive line is getting zero push.

634
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,479
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and fourth in power success right, they

635
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 2: can't get two yards when they need it. Shape Patterson

636
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 2: was dealing with an oblique injury after his first fumble

637
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 2: against Middle Tennessee. Don't know if that's still an issue.

638
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,480
Speaker 2: We will see. Donovan People Jones to me, is the

639
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: key in this game. Army was doubling up linebackers on

640
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 2: the outside of the tackles every time Shae would run

641
00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 2: RPO inside the tackles. When Shay ran RPO inside the tackles,

642
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 2: he saw two linebackers outside the outside the tackle, and

643
00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 2: he handed it off on the inside every time. Not

644
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:37,119
Speaker 2: to Donovan People Jones, who is explosive and could have

645
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 2: made that run much more successful. I think Donovan People

646
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 2: Jones is just key to this offense, and if they

647
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 2: want to run it up the middle with this RPO,

648
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 2: when Shape Patterson is given a read, I think people

649
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 2: Jones is big, so if he's playing and he's healthy,

650
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 2: I think there's going to be points put up on

651
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,479
Speaker 2: the board. Defense is a bit of a head scratcher

652
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 2: for me. For Michigan there are one hundred and twentieth

653
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 2: in HAVOC. How did that happen? When I think of Michigan,

654
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 2: I think grinding defense. I think ball on the field,

655
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: I think interceptions. I think Braylan Edwards had that name

656
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 2: come up. But I just think more than one hundred

657
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 2: and twentieth in HAVOC rankings. So I don't know what's

658
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 2: going on with the Michigan defense. But even their defensive

659
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 2: line is seventy fifth in power success rate, which tells

660
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 2: me that Jonathan Taylor is gonna should eat all day

661
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: at short yardage situations. But if People's Jones plays, then

662
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 2: I like the over in this game. So I'm not

663
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 2: gonna have a side. And there may be you know,

664
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 2: like we said that, you know Vegas and the odds

665
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 2: makers and whoever has made this line to match both

666
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 2: public perceptions to get action on both sides. I like

667
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 2: the over in this game because I think Michigan actually

668
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 2: is gonna work out some of the kinks over the

669
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:38,720
Speaker 2: two weeks, get a little bit healthy. If people's jones

670
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 2: is there, then great more points. And I think Wisconsin's

671
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 2: going to be able to score two based on what

672
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 2: we've seen out of the Michigan defense. So I'll take

673
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 2: the over.

674
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,200
Speaker 5: Anything that all the trick play, anything that you haven't

675
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 5: seen the wrinkles, You're going to see them from Michigan

676
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 5: this week, which is one wild card here. You mentioned

677
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,680
Speaker 5: Michigan names. When you say Michigan, when I think of

678
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 5: tim biaka Patuca. You am going to tie all this

679
00:29:57,280 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 5: back to what you just said. How about Army and

680
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:03,840
Speaker 5: Michigan in Tyrone Wheatley, who's now the new head coach

681
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 5: at Morgan State, who plays Army this week, and Army

682
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 5: is a fifty point favorite in that game. Morgan State

683
00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 5: is absolute ass. All right, So let's move on to

684
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 5: some of the other I would say undercard but interesting games.

685
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 5: Tennessee Florida and this thing's you know, Tennessee at Florida's

686
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 5: sitting right around fourteen fourteen and a half Obviously, Felipe

687
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 5: Franks is out for the year. There's some other key

688
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 5: injuries to keep in, you know, to keep track of.

689
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 5: On Florida, you know, one of their main receivers, a

690
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 5: couple of defenders their corner. So that's what I'm keyping on.

691
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 5: Tennessee's getting a couple guys back on defense. Bryce Thompson

692
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 5: in particular, who threatened his girlfriend and then to blow

693
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 5: up the school. But apparently he's back. That's how ban

694
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 5: Tennessee needs corners. But they say he might not be

695
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 5: in game shape. Tough game to cap. I mean, Trask

696
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 5: is going to get the start. He came in and

697
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 5: you know, led the comeback against Kentucky and Lexington. This

698
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 5: is the kid who hasn't started a game, I believe

699
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 5: since eighth grade. He was Deerrick King's backup in high school. Yes,

700
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 5: talk about bad luck. So you know he's going to

701
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 5: be starting his first game here. Yea, what do we

702
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 5: have from Tennessee? I don't know. I mean, I still

703
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 5: can't get over the fact I think it's too high

704
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:11,959
Speaker 5: at fourteen and a half. There's a lot of unknowns,

705
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 5: a lot of injuries. I got to see who's playing

706
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 5: for sure, but remember I said, why did Tennessee not

707
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 5: run the ball against Georgia State. Georgia State is now

708
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 5: their defense is averaging six and a half yards per rush.

709
00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 5: That's one hundred and twenty ninth in the country. Western

710
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 5: Michigan ran for seventeen trillion yards last week against Georgia State,

711
00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 5: and Tennessee wouldn't run it their offensive line and it's

712
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 5: a mess. They wouldn't run it more than dile th

713
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 5: At thirteen times. So you know, I actually think there

714
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 5: might be more points than people think in this game

715
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,400
Speaker 5: with backup quarterback. The problem is with Tennessee's offensive line.

716
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 5: Warn Tanna holds the ball so long, it holds it

717
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 5: longer than any SEC quarterback at fourteen and a half.

718
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 5: Tennessee intrigues me, but I feel like I'm guessing a

719
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 5: lot of injuries, so I might may just sit on

720
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,040
Speaker 5: the sidelines here. Do you see anything here now?

721
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,200
Speaker 2: Zero, I'm going to pass on this. With trashke At

722
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 2: playing quarterback behind Felipe Franks, and then you know, Jeremy

723
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 2: Prue comparing the Tennessee to the Titanic is sinking and

724
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 2: we're seeing the Rats run to the top. I'm out

725
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,720
Speaker 2: no Tennessee plays for me, please, all.

726
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:08,480
Speaker 5: Right, Oak State, Texas. These Herman streaks are crazy. You

727
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 5: know your dog, your favorite, and then he can't beat Gundhy.

728
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 5: He just cannot beat Gundy, Texas a five point favorite here.

729
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 5: What do you see with the pokes and horns?

730
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Herman hasn't been Gundy since two thousand

731
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 2: and nine when he was an assistant at Iowa State.

732
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 2: There was a little bit of a mid game scrum

733
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 2: going on last year where one of the coaches was

734
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:27,800
Speaker 2: on the field and then Herman was yelling at Gundy.

735
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 2: Then Gundy came running on. They had a postgame handshake.

736
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 2: They've been very cordial and when asked about it since then,

737
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 2: I don't think they have any respect for each other whatsoever.

738
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 2: The Polks are averaging seven point five yards per play

739
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:41,240
Speaker 2: right now. The offense is on fire. They're in the

740
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: top fifteen. They've scored. The Cowboys have scored on every

741
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:48,719
Speaker 2: red zone attempt. Texas not doing so well. Their numbers

742
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 2: are a little bloated. I understand that when you play

743
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 2: LSU and it's just balls out for the entire time.

744
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 2: I understand the numbers can be inflated, but Texas is

745
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 2: still outside the top one hundred and opponent yards per

746
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 2: play and allowing people to score in the red zone,

747
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,480
Speaker 2: so that doesn't look good. I make this Texas minus

748
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 2: two and a half. So I have made a play

749
00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 2: on Oklahoma State. I would suggest on waiting there is

750
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 2: some Texas money coming in, it's gonna be some sixes

751
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 2: pop up. I think that would be the best number

752
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 2: that you want to get. But the injuries up and

753
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 2: down the Horns roster is bad, especially on defense. I

754
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 2: mean the secondary's bruised banged up. They're missing Overshown and

755
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 2: he was ruled out earlier in the week, you know,

756
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 2: so problems at safeties. And I think Sewn Gleese, the

757
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,480
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator for Oklahoma State, is going to go straight

758
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 2: after that. So you know, I like Oklahoma State and

759
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 2: the points and could be a possible upset again here

760
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:35,600
Speaker 2: for Gundhy over Herman.

761
00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 5: Yeah. I mean I needed seven, which maybe I'll get live.

762
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 5: I think the line is pretty good at five ish

763
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 5: at six, maybe I would look at Oklahoma State. You know,

764
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 5: you make it two and a half. I make it

765
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 5: around three and a half four, So five is a

766
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 5: really solid line for me. I was hoping to get

767
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 5: seven with Oak State, which is not going to happen.

768
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 5: And by the way, I'm still mad at Oak State

769
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:58,600
Speaker 5: for breaking that tackle with two minutes to go on

770
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 5: fourth and one, said no timeouts Tulsa couldn't cover in

771
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 5: a game they led twenty one twenty in the second half.

772
00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:09,000
Speaker 5: But anyway, Michigan State, northwesterno.

773
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 4: Cats Cats this line.

774
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 5: Michigan State by this nine and a half at Northwestern, which,

775
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 5: by the way, on the lake there, there's gonna be wins.

776
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 5: Check the wins fifteen twenty miles per hour, which will

777
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 5: impact this game. This total is down to thirty eight.

778
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 5: You know, I threw two lane in a money line

779
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,240
Speaker 5: parlay with Michigan State. I don't know how Northwestern scores

780
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 5: outside of voodoo, you know, Northwestern, if you do, if

781
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,399
Speaker 5: you look at that as an underdog the last three years,

782
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 5: they were fourteen to three and one against the spread.

783
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 5: Well and before that fumble against Stanford, so maybe their

784
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 5: voodoo is running out. So they you know, Fitzgerald's always

785
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:45,879
Speaker 5: been great as an underdog. They find ways to win.

786
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:47,840
Speaker 5: You know, in those eighteen games, I think he's won

787
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:51,239
Speaker 5: eleven of them, eleven and seven straight up. In those

788
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 5: eighteen games as a underdog over the last three seasons

789
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 5: before this year. But I just don't know how northwa

790
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 5: I've watched Northwestern. You know they scored some points against UNLV.

791
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 5: I mean, so could Arkansas, So could you? And I

792
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 5: it's you know, it's It's offense is atrocious so and

793
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,399
Speaker 5: Michigan State's defense is legit. They showed it once again

794
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 5: last week. Arizona State only had two hundred yards. The

795
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 5: defensive line is dominant north Western. It's gonna be able

796
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 5: to run it. It's gonna be windy. How does Michigan

797
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 5: State score? I don't know. I think that this game

798
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 5: is ugly. I'm looking at the under, but I think

799
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 5: I prefer Northwestern team total under.

800
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 2: Again.

801
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,360
Speaker 5: I said that about Arizona State, and I should have

802
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:29,759
Speaker 5: went through with it. But this game could be like

803
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,800
Speaker 5: thirteen seven, twelve, ten, Who knows, But I think Michigan

804
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,839
Speaker 5: State finds away. Northwestern is going to have trouble scoring here.

805
00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 5: But I see you put it on a play unto

806
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 5: the over, which shocked me. What do you see here? Right?

807
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:42,279
Speaker 2: Yeah? I put a play in on the over because

808
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:44,320
Speaker 2: I projected this to be about ten points over the

809
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 2: current number. I actually as based upon yards per play,

810
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,720
Speaker 2: and it turns out Michigan State it was like positive

811
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 2: point two, you know, two point five, and the number

812
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 2: of plays they've been playing is up since last year,

813
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 2: so that's how the projection got to be higher. The

814
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 2: offensive line scares me though, I mean, how many busts

815
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 2: of plays are going to You can't can't rush, run

816
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 2: block for anybody. Michigan's offensive line is in complete shambles.

817
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 2: I did put over in for a little bit of money.

818
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 2: The number is not taken off like expected, so I'm

819
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 2: gonna sit with it. I would still recommend it for

820
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:14,879
Speaker 2: a little bit of money, just based on the fact

821
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 2: of how many plays per game both these teams are running.

822
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,400
Speaker 2: The yards per play on Michigan State has been exceptional

823
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 2: at Northwesterns, I think is even when you have a

824
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,040
Speaker 2: differential between what they give to their opponents and what

825
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 2: they have their self. So just based on mathematics alone,

826
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 2: I think the number is going to go over, which

827
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:31,439
Speaker 2: is why I played it. The world's on the under,

828
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 2: the world's pounding the under. It has nothing to do

829
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,440
Speaker 2: with me just kind of trying to be contrarian with total.

830
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 2: It just comes down to how many players are being

831
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,359
Speaker 2: made a game in the Michigan State games.

832
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:41,840
Speaker 5: By the way, shout out to my boy Darren Revel.

833
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 5: I love shouting because everyone hates them. But if you

834
00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 5: ever met him, he's nicest guy in the world. He

835
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:47,880
Speaker 5: just loves He knows how to play the heel his

836
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 5: article which you should always read every week on the

837
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 5: Market Report. One of the things you mentioned in there

838
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:53,960
Speaker 5: is like, Yo, thirty eight and a half seems low,

839
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:55,600
Speaker 5: and people are like, wow, I don't want to play under.

840
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 5: You know, in eight Big ten games last year, Michigan

841
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,720
Speaker 5: State only had one that went over thirty nine points,

842
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:05,160
Speaker 5: and of course that was against Northwestern, So you know this,

843
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,719
Speaker 5: and you know over the last five years, half of

844
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:12,240
Speaker 5: Northwestern's games against Big ten fos have resulted in totals

845
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,480
Speaker 5: of thirty nine or fewer points. So if you want

846
00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 5: to bet a number, these are the two teams to

847
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,400
Speaker 5: do it with. I just don't think Northwestern gets to fourteen.

848
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 5: So the thing is, there's no team totals out right

849
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:24,080
Speaker 5: now that I can bet. So the totals at thirty eight,

850
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 5: the lines at nine, so you know you're assuming twenty.

851
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,799
Speaker 2: Four, fourteen, fourteen. The moves a little bit, so.

852
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 5: The difference between I really want a fourteen and a

853
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 5: half of fourteen will be huge, So that's what I'll

854
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 5: be looking for. But if the total moves one way

855
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:42,439
Speaker 5: or the other, you might not get it or the line.

856
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 5: So keep your eye out there, keep your eye out

857
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 5: in the app. So now the time has come, the

858
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 5: time that you've all been waiting for, the event that

859
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:53,360
Speaker 5: caused Twitter to just stop dead in its tracks. Everyone's

860
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 5: at work, they hear a buzz on their phone and

861
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 5: all of a sudden they look down Collins out in

862
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 5: the play. All right, what's this you? Mass U mass

863
00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 5: U mass U mass is the new Yukon. I refuse

864
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:11,839
Speaker 5: to bet this part of my French complete fucking dog

865
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 5: shit U mass team. Someone was like, U mass is

866
00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty ninth and stuff right, I'm like

867
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 5: you mass is one hundred On Twitter, I replied, I

868
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:20,359
Speaker 5: was like you, Masses one hundred and twenty ninth. That's

869
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 5: that's an improvement. They're one hundred twenty after one hundred

870
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 5: and thirty. To help us, everything in the country, h

871
00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 5: the world is waiting. How can you recommend and play

872
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:32,799
Speaker 5: and put your hard earned money behind the Minutemen as

873
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 5: you U would you say you got your militia gear on.

874
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 2: I got my militia coat on, my Patriot hat and

875
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:42,759
Speaker 2: my bayonet. First off, this isn't a joke, all right

876
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 2: in our company slack, I posted the ticket. I really

877
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 2: have some real money on the UMass plus seventeen here.

878
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 5: You can't say it without laughing.

879
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: Come on, now, I have to get this is big

880
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:54,319
Speaker 2: j here, This is a big j journalism here. Let

881
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,160
Speaker 2: me let me get through this, you mass bet here

882
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 2: all right. This all started with one thing, which was

883
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:02,520
Speaker 2: our power ratings, which made Coastal Carolina minus nine. All right,

884
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:05,319
Speaker 2: minus nine? So remember the number sent at seventeen, eight

885
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 2: points higher, A couple of key numbers in there way higher.

886
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 2: So just by that alone, I have to at least

887
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:12,839
Speaker 2: investigate it a little bit.

888
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 5: I know who U mass is.

889
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:15,839
Speaker 2: No, I mean, of course I know who they are,

890
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,759
Speaker 2: a ton of I made a shit ton of money

891
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 2: on Charlotte just Boat racing UMass last week. No problems

892
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 2: with that. That thing was done at halftime. I could

893
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:27,439
Speaker 2: put my phone down. So I looked at the number

894
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,200
Speaker 2: eight points off when I got it. Okay, well, let's

895
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,680
Speaker 2: keep looking at it. You're telling me that a Sun

896
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 2: Belt team not named app State or Troy or Georgia

897
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 2: Southern or Ull is going to visit another FBS A

898
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:42,719
Speaker 2: plonent and they're going to be favored by seventeen. Oh

899
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 2: and the team is Coastal Carolina. Let's talk about Coastal Carolina. Sure,

900
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 2: they'd beat Kansas. It was even in total yards, but

901
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:53,040
Speaker 2: the Jayhawks gave them to two turnovers in that game.

902
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 2: By the way, there was only twelve points scored in

903
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,280
Speaker 2: that game. I believe the Chants are averaging like eighteen

904
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 2: twenty three points a game right now. It's not a lot.

905
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 2: The chance to beat Norfolk stake by thirty nine last week.

906
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 2: That team is two hundred and thirty second out of

907
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty six Division One teams on the

908
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 2: Sagarin ratings. All right, Coastal, I think is a little

909
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 2: bit over hyped. This is still a Fred Payton quarterback

910
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 2: that has more interceptions than he does touchdown passes, and

911
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:19,800
Speaker 2: the chance to have one of the worst punting and

912
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 2: red zone defensive units in the nation. I'm talking one,

913
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 2: twenty ninth, one thirtieth. But if you want me to

914
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:28,920
Speaker 2: get down to brass tacks about seventeen points. Coastal is

915
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:33,359
Speaker 2: a triple option on the ground, slow pace offense. They're

916
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:35,400
Speaker 2: not trying to zip it down the field. They're not

917
00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 2: trying to throw it over your head. And they have

918
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,239
Speaker 2: appalation state next week. I don't know how much they

919
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,319
Speaker 2: want to go up there and blow you Mass out

920
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 2: when they got app State next week, when they may

921
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 2: want to hide some things, they may want to disguise

922
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 2: some things. They're not stupid enough to go up there

923
00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 2: and give app State a whole bunch of tape. Coastal

924
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:53,360
Speaker 2: is a ground team. They always have been with the

925
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:57,239
Speaker 2: triple if you go when you read Umasses, Walt Bell

926
00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:01,400
Speaker 2: up there given pep talk saying we had twenty nine

927
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 2: missed tackles. In other words, we had our arms around

928
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:09,160
Speaker 2: twenty nine Charlotte runners and lost them all. We focused

929
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 2: the entire week on tackling. That's all we did is

930
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 2: work on tackling. I expect better effort out of UMass.

931
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:19,440
Speaker 2: Maybe that gets us twenty nine misses up to fifteen.

932
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 2: I don't know what improvement at UMass looks like, but

933
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,359
Speaker 2: here's what I know. It's a huge double digit number.

934
00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:27,239
Speaker 2: With the sun Belt team that loves to run on

935
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 2: the ground as overlooked to app State. Let's go.

936
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,359
Speaker 5: When I say UMass in New Yukon, it has more

937
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 5: meaning than just a joke. Like all right, let me

938
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 5: say Simo lost to Missouri last week fifty nothing. The

939
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,600
Speaker 5: week before they lost to Montana State thirty eight seventeen.

940
00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 5: In week one, they beat Southern Illinois forty four to

941
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 5: twenty six. Southern Illinois went up to UMass and beat

942
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 5: UMass forty five to twenty. Southern Illinois went up to UMass,

943
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:56,480
Speaker 5: the team that lost at Missouri fifty nothing. My point

944
00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 5: is when I say they're the New Yukon last year,

945
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,640
Speaker 5: it didn't matter what the line was with Yukon, it

946
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 5: didn't matter. They wouldn't cover you. Just early in the

947
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 5: year they would just give up fourteen thousand yards per

948
00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 5: play and lose and not cover. And then you just

949
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:13,719
Speaker 5: had to keep dropping them and dropping them and dropping them.

950
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 5: I don't want any part of this. And if this

951
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:18,399
Speaker 5: comes below seventeen, maybe I'll go against you. You make

952
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 5: some good points, your points are ballots. I'll give you

953
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,800
Speaker 5: that you passed your test in the explanation phase of

954
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:28,000
Speaker 5: the But Umasses that team they're just you don't touch it.

955
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:32,120
Speaker 5: It's poisonous. You only fade it, or you watch it

956
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,600
Speaker 5: from afar and laugh at the box score. Before we

957
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 5: get to yes or no. There'll be more on that,

958
00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 5: I'm sure on our show on Saturday morning. Let's go

959
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 5: rapid fire here a bunch of you know, the top

960
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 5: teams in the country are huge favorites. BAMA against Southern Miss,

961
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 5: Clemson against your Charlotte boys, Ohio State against Miami Ohio,

962
00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 5: LSU against Vandy. And that's not as high. That's a

963
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 5: twenty four. God, I'm thinking about playing Vandy. It's disgusting.

964
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 5: Their penalties have been a nightmare. It's too many points.

965
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,400
Speaker 5: Maybe I'll roll with you in Charlotte. I have no

966
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 5: interest in my Ohio and I think BAM is too high.

967
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 5: But I'm hoping that gets to forty forty one forty two,

968
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:09,719
Speaker 5: So them is not a bad team.

969
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:11,839
Speaker 2: Well we'll start with Vanderbilt here. I mean, the spread

970
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,440
Speaker 2: against Georgia was twenty so now this is actually as

971
00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:16,320
Speaker 2: you and I were talking and recording the podcast, this

972
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 2: thing steamed up to twenty four and a half. If

973
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 2: it can break twenty four and a half, maybe it

974
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,440
Speaker 2: gets up to twenty six, and maybe you want to

975
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:23,320
Speaker 2: buy in on that, because there's just not gonna be

976
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,800
Speaker 2: any money on Vanderbilt whatsoever. You know, they hung in

977
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:27,360
Speaker 2: there with Georgia for a while to get close to

978
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 2: that cover. But as far as I've had a lot

979
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 2: of people in my gams asking me about Charlotte and Clemson,

980
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:34,320
Speaker 2: and yeah, I still love Charlotte.

981
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 5: Problem is is I make the.

982
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 2: Number forty two and a half and I want forty

983
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 2: two and a half, and I just don't think there's

984
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,120
Speaker 2: any sharp money. I don't think there's any sharp Charlotte

985
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:44,360
Speaker 2: people standing at the line saying, oh, I've got this

986
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 2: money and I'm waiting to get down on Charlotte. I

987
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:47,480
Speaker 2: think the number is going to steam. I think it's

988
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 2: gonna be enough public steam where I'm gonna be able

989
00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:51,799
Speaker 2: to get forty two and a half comfortably. Maybe forty three,

990
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:53,640
Speaker 2: maybe it goes I'm just gonna wait till you and

991
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,400
Speaker 2: I are recording Saturday Morning show for the Action Network

992
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:57,799
Speaker 2: and see what the number is there, and I'm sure

993
00:43:57,800 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 2: there'll be a forty three out there. I will happily

994
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:00,400
Speaker 2: take Charlotte.

995
00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:00,480
Speaker 1: Now.

996
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 2: Dabbo and Will Healey are friends so you know, they

997
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 2: text with each other, and so I don't think there's

998
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,279
Speaker 2: going to be anything getting run up here. Dabo's got

999
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,720
Speaker 2: North Carolina next week. You know, I do think Trevor

1000
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 2: Lawrence needs to have a four or five six touchdown day.

1001
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 2: But I mean, I'm kind of questioning the over here

1002
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,880
Speaker 2: because I've seen Charlotte enough now to know that they

1003
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 2: can put you know, they could get a late garbage touchdown.

1004
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:21,200
Speaker 2: I mean, Texas State we had a problem getting a

1005
00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:24,320
Speaker 2: garbage touchdown Charlotte. No problem. As far as Bama Southern

1006
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 2: Misco's we know the rules save and you get over

1007
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 2: five touchdowns in non conference, you take the other team.

1008
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 2: Savans a little bit extra pissed off this year, but

1009
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,120
Speaker 2: I still that's a rule thumb, not a game I've

1010
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:35,360
Speaker 2: played yet. You know one we haven't mentioned is I

1011
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 2: think BYU is going to beat Washington flat out. I

1012
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 2: think Jacob E's is going to get shut down by

1013
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 2: a BAU defense. It is great at stopping explosive passing.

1014
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:43,480
Speaker 2: Train moves on for the Cougars.

1015
00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:43,640
Speaker 5: Man.

1016
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 2: They just keep beating these Power five teams. It's no

1017
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 2: problem whatsoever.

1018
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:48,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, the only thing I'm worried about is what do

1019
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:50,440
Speaker 5: they have in the tank? Like, are they gonna come

1020
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 5: out sure with the with just a you know they

1021
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:59,920
Speaker 5: played Utah, Tennessee, USC and now Washington. That's my own

1022
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:03,360
Speaker 5: worry there, but I would agree with you. If they

1023
00:45:03,440 --> 00:45:06,680
Speaker 5: can come out and have energy, and you know they're

1024
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 5: a team that does practice in altitude so it's a

1025
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 5: well conditioned team, then yeah, I like them, especially at

1026
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 5: seven if you can grab that line's been moving all

1027
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 5: over the place. One someone got my DMS and said,

1028
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 5: we haven't talked about minor Nations.

1029
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:26,560
Speaker 4: We're talking minor Nation out in the west. Tix in

1030
00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 4: town of l past So picks.

1031
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 5: Up Minor Nation at home against Nevada fourteen plus fourteen.

1032
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:35,080
Speaker 2: And I should be betting. And they're off a by

1033
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 2: a power rate a twelve, it's fourteen and a half.

1034
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,280
Speaker 2: The problem is is I couldn't mathematically and the advanced

1035
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:44,080
Speaker 2: stats make Nevada as bad as they look. Their power

1036
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 2: rating has them I think outside the top one hundred

1037
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 2: right now. Nevada is falling kind of like what you

1038
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 2: and I said during the summer. So you know, and

1039
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,280
Speaker 2: I don't believe in UTEP. I mean, listen, one shitty

1040
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:54,960
Speaker 2: team a week. Okay, I got you mass I got

1041
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:55,840
Speaker 2: Central Arkansas.

1042
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 5: All right, are you gonna make me bet Texas State

1043
00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:01,000
Speaker 5: end or Tulsa.

1044
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:03,279
Speaker 2: We're gonna take a break out of Texas State for

1045
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,040
Speaker 2: a week. Georgia State has fallen off a cliff.

1046
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 5: It makes me. We're so worried about Tennessee. It's one

1047
00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:11,680
Speaker 5: of the things. Tolsa against the fraud that is Wyoming.

1048
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 5: Tell someone is three and a half.

1049
00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 2: I think Wyoming is the biggest fraud in all of FBS.

1050
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,400
Speaker 2: You know, I'll give it further inspection. I'm looking at

1051
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:21,839
Speaker 2: the number right now. You know the numbers all things

1052
00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 2: even the number is exactly where it should be.

1053
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:27,000
Speaker 5: All right, before we go three and out here, let's

1054
00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 5: do my favorite segment, FC yes or.

1055
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:42,799
Speaker 6: No, Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten. It's

1056
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 6: time to play FC yes or No.

1057
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:52,320
Speaker 5: Usually there's large you know, there's a large slate of

1058
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,880
Speaker 5: games that match up FBS and FCS team. There's not

1059
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 5: that many. This week, one that jumps out to me,

1060
00:46:57,360 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 5: I want you to wait for twenty eight is the

1061
00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 5: only one that really jumps up to me. I wait

1062
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 5: for twenty eight on Elon Elon against wake Forest. They're

1063
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 5: gonna be up for this game. Elon's really is a

1064
00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:09,120
Speaker 5: good team. You know, if you look at what Elon went,

1065
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 5: you know, trucked Richmond last week. They lost to NCA

1066
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 5: and t in their first week. Who's really good too.

1067
00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:16,160
Speaker 5: They're in the top fifteen. Elon's in the top twenty

1068
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:20,239
Speaker 5: in FCS. They have a really strong passing attack. And

1069
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 5: this is just Flat City for Wake. Wake is all

1070
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,759
Speaker 5: these emotional wins. You know, they're three and zero. It's

1071
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 5: this is a noon kick against Elon. So if you

1072
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 5: can get four touchdowns here. Elon has a kid at

1073
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:36,319
Speaker 5: quarterback who Wake actually recruited. His name is Chek. They

1074
00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:40,439
Speaker 5: can score points here twenty eight with Elon Flat City

1075
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,440
Speaker 5: for Wake here, So that's mine. What do you got

1076
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 5: in FCS?

1077
00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:47,360
Speaker 2: No, Southern Illinois salukis this year going up against Arkansas State.

1078
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 5: No, I don't have no unless they play U Mass.

1079
00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:54,359
Speaker 2: I've gonna I am going to take the big one,

1080
00:47:55,000 --> 00:48:00,760
Speaker 2: the midnight Eastern Standard time game of Hawaii and Central Arkansas.

1081
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:04,120
Speaker 2: The Central Arkansas Purple Bears, who play in my state

1082
00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:07,200
Speaker 2: of home state of Arkansas on a purple field. Don't drink.

1083
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 2: They're in a dry county, so Central Arkansas is the

1084
00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:13,560
Speaker 2: worst in the FCS in running the ball. There's like

1085
00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:15,879
Speaker 2: one hundred and sixteen teams in FCS and they rank

1086
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 2: one hundred and sixteen. They are averaged one point one

1087
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,879
Speaker 2: seven yards per carry. That's pretty poor. And you want

1088
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 2: to know why that is. Central Arkansas loves to throw

1089
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 2: the ball. They're three to zero on the season. They've

1090
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 2: already beaten Western Kentucky. They pulled a close one out

1091
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:32,000
Speaker 2: against Ablee Christian last week, who gets some boats in

1092
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 2: the FCS poll. But there was like three turnovers involved

1093
00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:36,800
Speaker 2: in that game. That's why it was close. Hawaii is

1094
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:40,120
Speaker 2: terrible at defending the pass, so Central Arkansas's coming in

1095
00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:42,800
Speaker 2: hot to throw the ball. Hawaii's terrible defending the pass.

1096
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:45,120
Speaker 2: They're below one hundred and fifteenth and allowing ten plus

1097
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:48,880
Speaker 2: yard passes, twenty plus yard passes, and fifty plus yard passes.

1098
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:50,919
Speaker 2: So I'm going to take the Purple Bears here. They're

1099
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 2: going to be able to throw it around, They're going

1100
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:54,879
Speaker 2: to be able to get cheap points. I took them

1101
00:48:54,920 --> 00:48:56,800
Speaker 2: at fifteen and a half as I hit it on

1102
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 2: the app as we're talking right now, it went down

1103
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,520
Speaker 2: to fourteen and a half. So Sagurin makes this game twelve.

1104
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 2: Try to get over double digits with this. Maybe there'll

1105
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,600
Speaker 2: be some Hawaii push some shapers out there, some people

1106
00:49:07,600 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 2: that like to push fcs shit around at low limits.

1107
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 2: Let them do that. See if you can get a

1108
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:13,960
Speaker 2: fourteen on the Purple Bears here, and I'll be up

1109
00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 2: tweeting and writing our wonderful Sunday projections for Week five

1110
00:49:18,640 --> 00:49:20,720
Speaker 2: probably gonna be one of my If you mass covers,

1111
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 2: then I feel like I could take a loss here,

1112
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:24,000
Speaker 2: but I think I'm gonna win both. I might parlay

1113
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:24,439
Speaker 2: them together.

1114
00:49:24,640 --> 00:49:28,080
Speaker 5: Right, Oh boy, all right, before we go three and out, lasts,

1115
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:29,919
Speaker 5: you have to lie to me like you do once

1116
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:34,680
Speaker 5: a week about your Arkansas Hoggs, who are playing just

1117
00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:37,920
Speaker 5: an atrocious game, a game on a day that has

1118
00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 5: so many good games. I can't imagine you're gonna be

1119
00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:43,359
Speaker 5: watching this game. They play San Jose State at home.

1120
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:46,800
Speaker 5: They're laying three touchdowns. Lay it or stay away.

1121
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 4: Woo pig suey absolute.

1122
00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:51,480
Speaker 2: Dumpster fined dumps.

1123
00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:51,839
Speaker 5: Fine.

1124
00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:53,239
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1125
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:55,360
Speaker 2: of the year. Just blow a program up, give us

1126
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 2: a death sentence.

1127
00:49:56,640 --> 00:49:58,920
Speaker 4: Collins talking razorback football.

1128
00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:01,880
Speaker 2: I think you should look at the Spartans. We were

1129
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:05,400
Speaker 2: tied with Colorado State late in the third and Nick

1130
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 2: Starkle finally woke up and led us to score around

1131
00:50:08,320 --> 00:50:11,359
Speaker 2: three straight scores against Colorado State to finally pull away.

1132
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 2: But Bobo and Colorado State were able to put up

1133
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:18,040
Speaker 2: thirty five points against Arkansas not in press, and San

1134
00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:21,479
Speaker 2: Jose State is about equal level with Colorado State. Twenty

1135
00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:23,960
Speaker 2: one is just too much in my opinion, it's an overreaction.

1136
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:25,600
Speaker 5: All right, before we get out of here, let's go

1137
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:26,200
Speaker 5: three and out.

1138
00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:30,120
Speaker 4: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1139
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:34,280
Speaker 5: All right, for first down, Let's talk Friday night lights.

1140
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:39,000
Speaker 4: Let's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts, Let's go play

1141
00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:39,520
Speaker 4: some football.

1142
00:50:40,600 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 5: We have some great games in my opinion, on Friday

1143
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:49,320
Speaker 5: Night USC and Utah. This line's floating between three and

1144
00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:51,080
Speaker 5: a half and four. Utah three and a half, four

1145
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 5: point favorite at USC at the coliseum where they've never won.

1146
00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 5: I think the last time they won in Los Angeles

1147
00:50:57,719 --> 00:51:00,920
Speaker 5: was in nineteen sixteen. Fact check me on that, but

1148
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,319
Speaker 5: I think that's right. Sometime we're in over one hundred

1149
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:03,759
Speaker 5: years ago.

1150
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:04,439
Speaker 2: The air raid.

1151
00:51:04,600 --> 00:51:06,879
Speaker 5: USC runs the ARA. They have one of the most

1152
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:10,160
Speaker 5: talented groups of receivers in the country. You know, Slovist,

1153
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 5: their freshman quarterback. He struggled a little bit at Buyu,

1154
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:15,120
Speaker 5: making some bad throws, but I think we'll be more

1155
00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 5: comfortable at home. The air rad just gives Utah and

1156
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:21,800
Speaker 5: their scheme fits. I think there's some value with USC,

1157
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:23,839
Speaker 5: who I have plus four. I also like the over

1158
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 5: because USC has shown that they can't they struggle with

1159
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 5: mobile quarterbacks. They're struggling off the edge, So I think

1160
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:31,319
Speaker 5: that Utah is going to be able to move the ball.

1161
00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:33,399
Speaker 5: I think this is a shootout and a close one.

1162
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 5: I'm going to say thirty one twenty eight Utah finds away.

1163
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:41,560
Speaker 2: I'm not sure I'm as confident about Utah. So let's

1164
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,000
Speaker 2: just let me preface this because I've told a lot

1165
00:51:44,040 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 2: of people this. If you followed what we were doing

1166
00:51:47,200 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 2: back in the spring when it was all Utah ten

1167
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:51,720
Speaker 2: to one, Utah six to one, Utah plus three fifty

1168
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:54,360
Speaker 2: for the PAC twelve Championship, you need to put at

1169
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:56,279
Speaker 2: least a unit on USC right here. And I'm not

1170
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:58,799
Speaker 2: saying moneyline. I'm saying take the points because you could

1171
00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:02,040
Speaker 2: middle a future and a potential game that could decide

1172
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:04,880
Speaker 2: the division here, So put money down anyways, just for

1173
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 2: that reason for taking USC. Now, if you don't have

1174
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:09,920
Speaker 2: any money invested in Utah whatsoever, still take USC. I

1175
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:12,920
Speaker 2: positive that they're going to cover. This is one of

1176
00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:14,840
Speaker 2: my most sure things of the week, is them covering

1177
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:16,960
Speaker 2: this game. And it's because of the air raid offense.

1178
00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 2: Because they're going to be throwing downfield. You're not gonna

1179
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:21,239
Speaker 2: be able to get anywhere on Utah's front seven. USC

1180
00:52:21,400 --> 00:52:23,120
Speaker 2: is not gonna be able to power against them. It's

1181
00:52:23,160 --> 00:52:25,640
Speaker 2: gonna be Slovas running the air raid. Do I think

1182
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 2: you talk put up points? Yeah, but it ain't gonna

1183
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 2: be smash mouth in your face up against you know,

1184
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:31,960
Speaker 2: through the center and the guards. It's gonna be outside

1185
00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:33,520
Speaker 2: the tackles. There's gonna be a lot. I think there's

1186
00:52:33,520 --> 00:52:35,719
Speaker 2: gonna be plenty of points scored in this game. I

1187
00:52:35,800 --> 00:52:38,719
Speaker 2: think USC covers this game. I hope they lose, but

1188
00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:41,879
Speaker 2: I mean I'm legitimately worried about the Pacto South because

1189
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:43,960
Speaker 2: of this game. If Utah makes it through this game,

1190
00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:46,719
Speaker 2: then we got a freebe to lose somewhere. We can

1191
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:49,560
Speaker 2: lose to Washington, we can lose to Wazoo whatever. They're

1192
00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 2: gonna win tie breakers to win the South Division, but

1193
00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:53,040
Speaker 2: this is the big one.

1194
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:56,080
Speaker 5: Should be a good one. We have our betting guide

1195
00:52:56,120 --> 00:52:59,000
Speaker 5: out there for Friday night, which you can check out

1196
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:01,160
Speaker 5: tomorrow or today when you're listening to this if you're

1197
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:04,080
Speaker 5: listening to the pod on the Action app and actionnetwork

1198
00:53:04,120 --> 00:53:06,200
Speaker 5: dot Com. The other game that I really like, one

1199
00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:08,359
Speaker 5: of my favorite games on the board now it's down

1200
00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:10,879
Speaker 5: the seven is air Force plus eight against Boise State.

1201
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:15,680
Speaker 5: Air Force is legit. They're a legitimate contender in the

1202
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:18,600
Speaker 5: Mountain West. They can win this game. And coming into

1203
00:53:18,640 --> 00:53:22,440
Speaker 5: the season, these were two teams that had their strength

1204
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:24,319
Speaker 5: was going to be offensive line. Boise State was one

1205
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:26,439
Speaker 5: of three teams in the country that had all five

1206
00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:29,800
Speaker 5: starters coming back on the offensive line. Well, that hasn't happened.

1207
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:33,040
Speaker 5: They've had injuries all over, They've had you know, both

1208
00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:35,840
Speaker 5: their tackles are most likely going to be out against

1209
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:37,800
Speaker 5: air Force. Who was in the backfield all down in

1210
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:40,480
Speaker 5: Colorado and now they have two freshmen in there. Everyone's

1211
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 5: playing different percentages. Coming into the Portland State game, their quarterback,

1212
00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 5: back mart was hit more than any other quarterback in

1213
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,359
Speaker 5: the country and Portland State was getting pressure on them.

1214
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 5: On the other side, we talked about Georgia's offensive line stats.

1215
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:54,600
Speaker 5: Go ahead and take a look at whose second in

1216
00:53:54,719 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 5: those you know, lineyards and opportunities. That's air Force. That

1217
00:53:58,800 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 5: offensive line is legit. It's athletic. You know, it's all

1218
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 5: the guys back from last year. They're deep, They're gonna

1219
00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:07,879
Speaker 5: run this, They're gonna, you know, control the ball. Hammond also,

1220
00:54:07,920 --> 00:54:09,279
Speaker 5: could you know they have someone who could throw it.

1221
00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 5: You know, they're they're not gonna throw it a bunch.

1222
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,160
Speaker 5: They're obviously gonna run. You know, the only team running

1223
00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:16,200
Speaker 5: it more on average per game this year is Navy,

1224
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:20,359
Speaker 5: and you know, then it's Air Force and then it's Army.

1225
00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:22,879
Speaker 5: But when they're taking shots, Hammond can get it down

1226
00:54:22,920 --> 00:54:26,160
Speaker 5: the field. And this is the best air Force secondary

1227
00:54:26,360 --> 00:54:28,240
Speaker 5: they've had in a while. It's still not a strength,

1228
00:54:28,320 --> 00:54:30,000
Speaker 5: it's never going to be a strength of Air Force,

1229
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,040
Speaker 5: but it's their best secondary they've had in a while.

1230
00:54:32,320 --> 00:54:33,880
Speaker 5: This Air Force team is legit. They're gonna win in

1231
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 5: the trenches. Boise States also gonna be missing a free

1232
00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:39,719
Speaker 5: safety Pierce, Who's would be excellent covering the option and

1233
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:41,839
Speaker 5: has done so in the past, but their tackles being

1234
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:44,919
Speaker 5: out makes this offensive line a mess. On Boise side,

1235
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:48,319
Speaker 5: it's a rock on air Force's side. Lines down to seven.

1236
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:51,279
Speaker 5: Anything seven and over I think is good. This Air

1237
00:54:51,360 --> 00:54:55,960
Speaker 5: Force team is real and it's spectacular. What do you see?

1238
00:54:56,080 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 2: I uh, one hundred percent agree with you. You know,

1239
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:00,720
Speaker 2: we're a big fan of the Air Force here hopefully

1240
00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:02,560
Speaker 2: win the Commander in Chief. They got a good chance

1241
00:55:02,600 --> 00:55:03,640
Speaker 2: to do it this year with what they got in

1242
00:55:03,640 --> 00:55:08,319
Speaker 2: the trenches. I think market wise that this there may

1243
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:09,759
Speaker 2: be a couple of books to get to seven and

1244
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:13,200
Speaker 2: a half. I'm seeing some juice steam up. And really

1245
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:15,360
Speaker 2: there are people out there that just probably see the

1246
00:55:15,400 --> 00:55:17,480
Speaker 2: Boise and Boise playing at home. It happens every time

1247
00:55:17,560 --> 00:55:20,239
Speaker 2: happening it's Marshalls. But you know it's a big win

1248
00:55:20,360 --> 00:55:22,399
Speaker 2: for air Force. They're on a letdown after they won

1249
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:24,799
Speaker 2: that game. It's a service academy. That doesn't happen all right.

1250
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:30,520
Speaker 5: So I think seven thousand feet elevation that's where they

1251
00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:32,880
Speaker 5: practice or sefty six hundred. I think Wyoming's the only

1252
00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:34,839
Speaker 5: one to hire, but these kids are I think they're

1253
00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:37,680
Speaker 5: gonna be hired or these are the most well conditioned

1254
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:39,160
Speaker 5: team in the country.

1255
00:55:39,040 --> 00:55:41,839
Speaker 2: So I may pop on some top gun soundtrack music

1256
00:55:41,920 --> 00:55:44,839
Speaker 2: and watch this game late at night on side TV

1257
00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:46,879
Speaker 2: from Utah USC. I think there's gonna be some seven

1258
00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:48,799
Speaker 2: and a half's clip out there, which yeah, Air Force,

1259
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:51,080
Speaker 2: Well you'll see it pop in and to pivot over,

1260
00:55:51,200 --> 00:55:53,560
Speaker 2: I'm actually going to have a play on Florida International.

1261
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:55,239
Speaker 2: I think they're finally going to get it together here

1262
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:58,440
Speaker 2: we're getting into conference play. There's problems with Louisiana Tech,

1263
00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:01,000
Speaker 2: especially on the run. On the ground. They have one

1264
00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:03,080
Speaker 2: of the best secondaries in the nation. I think this

1265
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,960
Speaker 2: game is going to be complete ground all the time.

1266
00:56:06,120 --> 00:56:07,759
Speaker 2: I like the under in this game. I think the

1267
00:56:07,840 --> 00:56:09,920
Speaker 2: number is way too high. It's come down from I

1268
00:56:09,960 --> 00:56:12,560
Speaker 2: think nine eight, seven a half it's now down to seven.

1269
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:15,440
Speaker 2: I think here, within an hour or two, I'll have

1270
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:17,960
Speaker 2: an alert out of the action app. I like Florida

1271
00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:19,680
Speaker 2: International in the spot. I think Butcher to get his

1272
00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:21,799
Speaker 2: guys up. Finally, with conference play starting.

1273
00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:23,640
Speaker 5: There, you go all right, moving on to second down

1274
00:56:23,760 --> 00:56:26,640
Speaker 5: before we get to our money line, underdog parlay. Let's

1275
00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:29,640
Speaker 5: just one word answer here, favorite switch it out, Favorite

1276
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 5: NFL play of the weekend. I'll start Lions three words

1277
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:36,520
Speaker 5: or ravens dead less than three words?

1278
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:40,120
Speaker 2: All right, Jets, All right, there.

1279
00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:42,520
Speaker 5: You have it, Lions and Jets. All right, before we

1280
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:44,560
Speaker 5: get out of here. Third down, money line underdog.

1281
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:52,239
Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1282
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1283
00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:58,080
Speaker 5: Colin has hit all of his this year.

1284
00:56:58,160 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 6: I have not.

1285
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:01,720
Speaker 5: I am still and will forever be mad at Akron

1286
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:04,880
Speaker 5: for last week. This week, I'm gone with our friend,

1287
00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:07,720
Speaker 5: our friend who continues to be undervalued in the market,

1288
00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:10,759
Speaker 5: our friend who has covered every game this year. Our

1289
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:13,239
Speaker 5: friend who put up eighty I think last week, our

1290
00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:16,440
Speaker 5: friend who we have, you know, to win the conference

1291
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:19,480
Speaker 5: at some good prices, and that's La Lafe Uel Lafayette

1292
00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:23,600
Speaker 5: against Ohio. They're catching three, three and a half at Ohio. Look,

1293
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:25,240
Speaker 5: these are two teams that can run the ball. I

1294
00:57:25,280 --> 00:57:27,520
Speaker 5: think they're both in the top twenty five and rush offense.

1295
00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:31,520
Speaker 5: But Ohio can't defend the run at all. Marshall ran

1296
00:57:31,960 --> 00:57:34,960
Speaker 5: all over them and you can't stop this La Lafy

1297
00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 5: rushing attack with their backs is explosive and Ohio is

1298
00:57:40,120 --> 00:57:41,000
Speaker 5: not gonna be able to stop them.

1299
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:43,560
Speaker 2: Unlike last week when you made me grumble with the

1300
00:57:43,880 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 2: with the Akron. That one is stamp sealed and approved.

1301
00:57:47,760 --> 00:57:49,480
Speaker 2: It was between two teams for me. The one that

1302
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 2: I threw out everybody was Stanford. It's a really you know,

1303
00:57:52,600 --> 00:57:54,400
Speaker 2: ten and a half point was about a plus three

1304
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:57,200
Speaker 2: ten on the money line. I will be playing it anyways.

1305
00:57:57,440 --> 00:57:59,640
Speaker 2: And this is a couple of my round robins. I

1306
00:57:59,680 --> 00:58:01,960
Speaker 2: don't organ on the road. I never have. Don't trust crystaball.

1307
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:05,120
Speaker 2: But moving on, not for this for the Underdog Podcast

1308
00:58:05,200 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 2: money line parlay, it's going to be San Diego State

1309
00:58:07,280 --> 00:58:09,040
Speaker 2: plus one fifty five. I think they're going to get

1310
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:11,480
Speaker 2: it done against Utah State. People don't realize that the

1311
00:58:11,520 --> 00:58:14,040
Speaker 2: three three five defense is something that Jordan Love hasn't seen.

1312
00:58:14,520 --> 00:58:17,240
Speaker 2: The San Diego State is top ten and havoc and

1313
00:58:17,360 --> 00:58:20,040
Speaker 2: that Utah State, who really hasn't played anybody at this point.

1314
00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:22,480
Speaker 2: They lost one hundred and fifteen career starts on the

1315
00:58:22,560 --> 00:58:26,360
Speaker 2: offensive line. And Rocky Long has said out loud publicly

1316
00:58:26,480 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 2: twice this week, the only way to stop Jordan Love

1317
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:32,240
Speaker 2: is to attack him. Pressure him immediately. I'm taking the

1318
00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:33,480
Speaker 2: Aztecs all right.

1319
00:58:33,520 --> 00:58:37,320
Speaker 5: There you go as techs and our raging Cajuns. That

1320
00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:39,880
Speaker 5: pays about five to one. We'll have it written up

1321
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,560
Speaker 5: on the app and on Action network dot com. Thanks

1322
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:45,800
Speaker 5: for joining me, Calm, Thanks everyone for listening. If you

1323
00:58:45,880 --> 00:58:50,600
Speaker 5: haven't already, download the Action Network podcast, rate review, Tell

1324
00:58:50,640 --> 00:58:53,040
Speaker 5: a friend We appreciate you listening. Make sure you don't

1325
00:58:53,440 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 5: forget about the voicemail this weekend. We'll have a recap

1326
00:58:56,440 --> 00:58:59,360
Speaker 5: on our Monday podcast of all the voicemails you leave

1327
00:59:01,480 --> 00:59:03,760
Speaker 5: zero six sixty four. You can find it on my

1328
00:59:03,840 --> 00:59:08,080
Speaker 5: Twitter at Stucky two. He's calling at Underscore Colin one

1329
00:59:08,160 --> 00:59:11,080
Speaker 5: with two l's and we'll catch you right back here,

1330
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:12,240
Speaker 5: same time next week.

1331
00:59:12,520 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 2: Cheers me, Peace out,