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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: you agree to five five dollars? This is a ratable

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Speaker 1: up how they traveled one. You're saying that humans need

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Speaker 1: fantasy to make life bearable. Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, I mistake.

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Speaker 1: Prone, the best, relentless, refusing to give up. All right,

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Speaker 1: hit that horns. Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from

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Speaker 1: the Action Network and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris Raybond,

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Speaker 1: and this is your NFL Week one daily Fantasy preview.

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Speaker 1: As always, am joined by one of the most accurate

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Speaker 1: projectors and rankers in the biz, the odds maker Sean Kerner. Sean,

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Speaker 1: we're going through a pod marathon here.

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Speaker 2: How you feeling, Yeah, well, definitely excited Week one is here,

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Speaker 2: and excited for our new format for this, like how

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Speaker 2: we're going to break down every slate talk about our

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Speaker 2: value plays. So definitely excited for our format for this

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Speaker 2: this year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So, in case you're just tuning in after a

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Speaker 1: long hiatus, first of all, thank you, glad to have

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Speaker 1: you here, whether you're a long time listener or new.

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Speaker 1: But what we're doing is we're making all of our

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Flex pods more actionable this year, so we're dropping

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Speaker 1: three per week. The first one is for straight up

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Speaker 1: fantasy football redraft players. It's a waivers episode where we

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Speaker 1: talk about our top waiver ads at quarterback, running back,

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Speaker 1: wide receiver, tight end, as well as our top kicker

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Speaker 1: and defense streamers. Then we have our normal Fantasy player

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Speaker 1: Projections pod that used to be on the Action Network

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Speaker 1: podcast channel that's moved over here. That's when we dive

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Speaker 1: into our top five and our players we're high and

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Speaker 1: low on in projection and give a prop. And then

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Speaker 1: this episode, which is where the format has really changed.

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Speaker 1: Instead of doing the night shift where we just break

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Speaker 1: down the showdown slates, we are going to go game

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Speaker 1: by game through every single game on the slate and

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Speaker 1: we're just going to give our top cheap value play

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Speaker 1: in each game because I think that is the most actionable.

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Speaker 1: You know, obviously, if you're entering tournaments, you're going to

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Speaker 1: kind of build around certain studs and that's kind of

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Speaker 1: goes without saying, and there'll be a couple of chalk guys,

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Speaker 1: but it really comes down to you know who you've

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Speaker 1: slated with, you know the remaining salary, you have to

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Speaker 1: kind of make it all work. So we'll go through

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Speaker 1: our favorite cheap plays for each game and it should

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Speaker 1: be exciting, and we'll hop right into Thursday Night Football

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Speaker 1: between the Ravens and the Chiefs. But I just want

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Speaker 1: to remind everyone all of our fantasy football and daily

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Speaker 1: fantasy content in twenty twenty four over at fantasylabs dot com.

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Speaker 1: You can find all of our rankings, projections, as well

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Speaker 1: as DFS tools and models at fantasy labs dot com.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's jump right into the opener. Ravens at

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Chiefs favored by three total around forty six

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Speaker 1: and a half. Who do you like in this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? So a lot of high end options in this game,

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Speaker 2: and I think when it comes to like cheap value plays,

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Speaker 2: I think samajp Rang is a decent flyer, but I'm

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Speaker 2: guessing he's going to be very popular, probably you know,

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Speaker 2: over owned, so to speak. So I think if you

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Speaker 2: want to pivot from him, a Chiefs player I like,

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Speaker 2: as you know, Dartthrow would be our boy, Justin Wattson

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Speaker 2: at thirty two hundred, and you know, the Chiefs they

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Speaker 2: really lacked the explosive pass game. We're used to seeing

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Speaker 2: with them, mainly due to just Justin Watson. MBS just

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Speaker 2: aren't very good, so you know they're looking to turn

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Speaker 2: the page. They brought in Markus Brown drafted Xavier Worthy. However,

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Speaker 2: you know Markus Brown is expected to miss this week,

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Speaker 2: so they're probably gonna begrudgingly use Justin Watson forty to

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Speaker 2: sixty percent of mahomes dropbacks being his typical you know,

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Speaker 2: low target rate, potential, deep threat role, so he could

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Speaker 2: make a splash or two in this game. So he's

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Speaker 2: I think he's a reasonable flyer and a showdown slate.

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Speaker 2: I think is his ownership level will probably be too

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Speaker 2: low here given his big play upside, And the other

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Speaker 2: is Isaiah Likely at twenty six hundred. You know, there's

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Speaker 2: been a lot of buzz around likely just seeing a

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Speaker 2: bigger role in general, even when Mark Andrews is healthy.

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Speaker 2: So I consider him, you know, arguably the best backup

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Speaker 2: tight end in the league. So if he gets more

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Speaker 2: playing time, he could pop here in a single game

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Speaker 2: slate only. I probably wouldn't play him on a main

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Speaker 2: slate quite yet, but you know, Lamar, you know, Mark

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Speaker 2: Andrews has missed the past couple weeks he was in

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Speaker 2: a car accident. It was wasn't clear how hear it was.

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Speaker 2: He should be fine, but he's missed quite a bit

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Speaker 2: of practice time, so if anything, you know, they could

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Speaker 2: give him a few snaps off here in this game,

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Speaker 2: So a little bit more playing time from Likely than General.

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Speaker 2: But also there just could be more too tight end sets.

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Speaker 2: So this is a way to invest in Likely potentially

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Speaker 2: having a bigger role this year. And I like his

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Speaker 2: price tag at twenty six hundred. He's a type of

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Speaker 2: tight end that doesn't need that many targets to make

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Speaker 2: a splash play, so I think he could pop here

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Speaker 2: and again, like if he scores a touchdown, he pays

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Speaker 2: off handsomely here, So I like taking a flyer on

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Speaker 2: Likely at twenty six hundred.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Ravens didn't really replace Odell Beckham. I know

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Speaker 1: they drafted Tesz Walker, but he might start the year

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Speaker 1: be in a healthy scratch, so I think Likely is

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Speaker 1: going to fill a lot of those snaps. Remember Beckham

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Speaker 1: average around route rate per week and Agalar was around

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Speaker 1: the same, but you know he's still there. But I

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Speaker 1: do think that that you'll see a lot more two

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Speaker 1: tight end sets with likely just essentially operating as a

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Speaker 1: slot receiver and Andrews or Andrews could be the slot

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Speaker 1: receiver and Likely could be in line. It doesn't really

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Speaker 1: matter who. But yeah, I think you're gonna see a

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Speaker 1: big uptick in that this season, all right. The Friday

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Speaker 1: night Brazil game looks like it's going down. Packers at

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Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles favored by three. The total is

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Speaker 1: right around forty nine forty eight and a half. And

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Speaker 1: the two guys I like in this game, the first

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Speaker 1: one is Dantevian Wix for the Green Bay Packers. He's

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Speaker 1: the cheapest Packer wide receiver, and I just think he's

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Speaker 1: the best value in this spot because remember what did

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Speaker 1: the Eagles struggle with last year defending wide receivers. They

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Speaker 1: gave up the most fantasy points in the league two

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Speaker 1: opposing wide receivers. So they go out, they bring in

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Speaker 1: Fangio and a draft uh, you know, some cornerbacks. So

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Speaker 1: if you're a Packers, what do you do? You make

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Speaker 1: them go four deep at cornerback. Don't just let them,

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Speaker 1: you know, use some of the guys that they you know,

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Speaker 1: took high in the draft and get away. But only

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Speaker 1: having three guys on the field like test their depth.

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Speaker 1: So I think Danevian Wicks is going to see a

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Speaker 1: lot of action in this one and and and maybe

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Speaker 1: even be part of the straight up be part of

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Speaker 1: the game plan. And then on the other side, Johan Dotson,

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Speaker 1: let's I think he might have a chance to hit

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Speaker 1: the ground running. Dallas Goddard the tight end is questionable

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Speaker 1: heading into the week, but the Packers remember they have

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Speaker 1: jay R Alexander on the outside, so he's probably gonna

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Speaker 1: be matched up with either a J. Brown or DeVante

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Speaker 1: Smith most of the game. And then you know, Keishawn

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Speaker 1: Nixon plays a lot of slot for for Green Bay.

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Speaker 1: That is, I think a matchup to target and Dotson

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Speaker 1: will probably be the slot receiver here in green In Philly,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, seems like that's why Washington auditioned him. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of strange to audition him and then trade

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Speaker 1: him to a division rival, but hey, you know Washington there,

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Speaker 1: I get it. They're cleaning house, and but Philly just

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Speaker 1: gobbling up division players. Saquon now Dotson, So you know,

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Speaker 1: I think he could hit the ground running here again,

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Speaker 1: just because JayR Alexander could force one of Brown or

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Speaker 1: Smith or both, you know, depending on what happens to

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Speaker 1: perform below expectation. And and with Goddard a little banged up,

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Speaker 1: that's just going to free up some targets for somebody.

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Speaker 1: And and Dotson's more talented than like the ghost of

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Speaker 1: the corpse of Julio Jones and Olamides, the Kias and

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Speaker 1: who else did they have there? Last year? There was

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Speaker 1: another guy, was it? Yeah, man Qus Watkins. He who

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Speaker 1: just likes to give you an extra twenty net yards

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Speaker 1: every on every punt return us Watkins. But yeah, Dotson,

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Speaker 1: even though he had a rough year last year, I

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Speaker 1: do think that he still has some talent. Guy who

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Speaker 1: found the end zone eight times as a rookie, still

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Speaker 1: has a pretty good touchdown to catch rate. And now

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Speaker 1: he gets an upgrade on offense, and he could be

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Speaker 1: a guy that's out there almost every snap, because if

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Speaker 1: Goddard's banged up, you're probably gonna see a lot of

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Speaker 1: one one personnel. So that would mean Dotson could get

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Speaker 1: up to you know, eighty five ninety ninety five percent

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Speaker 1: of the snaps, even though he's that wide receiver three

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Speaker 1: So Dantevi Inwicks, Johan Dudson. All right, let's jump to

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Speaker 1: the main slate. Let's start it off Arizona Buffalo. The

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Speaker 1: Bills are six point favorites. The total is forty eight,

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Speaker 1: so that's a twenty seven and a half to twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half projected score in favor of Buffalo. Who

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Speaker 1: do you like?

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Speaker 2: I like Michael Wilson here at forty three hundred. Of

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals, you know, Marvin Harrison Junior and Trey McK

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Speaker 2: bright are the clear top two arguest targets in this offense,

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Speaker 2: but the number three target could very week to week

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Speaker 2: between you know, Michael Wilson, Greg Dorsh, maybe even James

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Speaker 2: Connor at times. But I like Wilson as a flyer

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Speaker 2: because he doesn't need that many targets to hit. You know,

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Speaker 2: he's a bigger, bodied receiver that can win downfield or

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Speaker 2: in the end zone. So he's the kind of guy

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Speaker 2: that you know, just three to four catches could break

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Speaker 2: his slate. So like the value we're getting here at

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Speaker 2: forty three hundred. I also think he's gonna be overlooked

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Speaker 2: because of Marvin Harrison Junior and Trey McBride, but they

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Speaker 2: could open things up for him. Downfield. This could be

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Speaker 2: a blessing in disguise for him. So I like investing

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Speaker 2: in Wilson's upside and GPPs only at forty three hundred here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and a lot of wide receivers, especially you know,

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Speaker 1: day two, Day three picks, they tend to have their

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Speaker 1: breakout in year two. Like the top picks, a lot

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Speaker 1: of times they break out right away, but guys like

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Speaker 1: Wilson a lot of times it takes. It still takes

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Speaker 1: a year. Used to be like take it took two

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Speaker 1: years and you would break out in year But year

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Speaker 1: two now is the sweet spot for guys who don't

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Speaker 1: you know, hit the ground running. And I thought Wilson

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Speaker 1: did acquit himself pretty well even last year. Showed some flashes,

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Speaker 1: but just has to become more consistent. And this is

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Speaker 1: a game where yeah, the Bills could be the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: could be trailing, should be high scoring. So yeah, like

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Speaker 1: Wilson as well, like him as a player. Yeah, all right,

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Speaker 1: Next up, we got the Patriots at the Bengals. This

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Speaker 1: is the biggest projected blowout of the week. But even

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Speaker 1: though the game scripts not really in Cincinnati's favorite of pass,

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Speaker 1: this is one of the most pass heavy teams in

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Speaker 1: the league in terms of pass rate over expected. I

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Speaker 1: believe there are number two in my motto, just behind

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. So this is a team that loves to

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Speaker 1: throw the football, and I'm gonna go with Andre josevash

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Speaker 1: at min price and he is expected to be their

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Speaker 1: number three receiver unquestionably. You know Jermaine Burton, the rookie.

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Speaker 1: Maybe at some point he breaks in to the lineup,

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Speaker 1: but he hasn't been playing in the slot as much.

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Speaker 1: And you know reported we he's been pissing off some

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Speaker 1: people inside the building with his work habits and practice

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Speaker 1: habits and whatnot. So Joseph, they've been raving about him.

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Speaker 1: He is a big guy who can, who has four

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Speaker 1: to four speeds, so kind of a big slot type

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Speaker 1: of guy. And apparently he's been watching cut ups of

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Speaker 1: Larry Fitzgerald and I think it's Marcus Colston. I want

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Speaker 1: to say, well, another one of those. Now I don't

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Speaker 1: think it was Colston, but another one of those big slots.

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Speaker 1: So he's got the right idea here. Uh and Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 1: Anytime you're talking about top a potential top three target

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Speaker 1: for him, I think you got to pay attention especially

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Speaker 1: at mid price. So I could see Josevah running away

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Speaker 1: from the defense for a long touchdown in week one,

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Speaker 1: and then you know everyone will want to play him

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Speaker 1: in week two or something like that. So I want

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Speaker 1: to get ahead of that and play him this week.

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Speaker 1: Even though there are some questions it's to exactly how

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Speaker 1: much many snaps will play as a number three, I

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Speaker 1: think it'll I think it'll be seventy percent plus uh

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Speaker 1: for this for the snap rate for Yosabash.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think for GPPs, you probably want Chase to play.

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Speaker 2: So Yosah's rostership is chalky. Yeah, if chases out, it's like,

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Speaker 2: oh god, everyone's gonna take him at three K. But

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Speaker 2: you want Chase to play and maybe be limited and

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Speaker 2: have yo Savash's uh, you know, ownership be lower than

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Speaker 2: it should be and go off at three K. Still.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I'd probably consider him as like a

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Speaker 1: cash game punt, honestly, just because I'm pretty sure he's

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Speaker 1: gonna play like at least sixty percent of the snap yep.

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Speaker 1: And you're still talking about Joe Burrow attached receivers, so

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Speaker 1: you could do worse there.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Andtuanta the Falcons favored by three, but Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 1: covers the spread as a doug over sixty percent of

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Speaker 1: the time, so this one could go either way. The

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Speaker 1: total is low. Cousins' first game off the Torny K

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Speaker 1: with a new team, Arthur Smith Revenge. Who do you like?

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Speaker 2: I think Darnell Mooney is pretty sneaky at forty two hundred.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's pretty obvious that you know, Drake London,

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Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts will benefit from finally having a competent quarterback

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Speaker 2: and Kirk Cousins and a more past, you know, heavy offense,

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Speaker 2: but Darnell Mooney should benefit from that too. And you know,

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Speaker 2: I think it's safe to say I think he'll be

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Speaker 2: like a ninety percent Routes Rotten type receiver to start.

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Speaker 2: It's a little more uncertain how they're gonna use the

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Speaker 2: number three receiver. So I think Mooney has a you know,

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Speaker 2: pretty high far in terms of playing time. He himself

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Speaker 2: is vulnerable because you know, he's more of a downfill threat.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna be inconsistent week to week. So that's why

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Speaker 2: I think, you know, for GPP specifically, at forty two hundred,

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Speaker 2: you could do worse. You know he could absolutely have

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Speaker 2: a blow up game week one with you know, Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: potentially keying in on Drake London, Kyle Pitts, b John

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Speaker 2: Robinson could open things up for Mooney. So you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna have a ton of Moody at already

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Speaker 2: two hundred, but you absolutely need to sprinkle him in

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Speaker 2: for GPPs. I think he just has a great combo

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Speaker 2: of you know, high ceiling and should be fairly low loaned.

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Speaker 2: So I think that's the perfect blend when it comes

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Speaker 2: to like week one GPPs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he has an outside shout of being

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Speaker 1: a guy like a borderline flex type of play all

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Speaker 1: year because this offense is just all essentially one one personnel,

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Speaker 1: like you said, gonna be on the field ninety plus

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Speaker 1: percent of the time. We've seen him be productive in

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Speaker 1: years past, and that target chair is going to be

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Speaker 1: very concentrated between I think that top you know, obviously

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Speaker 1: the top three, but I think Mooney will be a

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Speaker 1: queer force guy and he'll benefit from single coverage. You know,

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Speaker 1: always going to be playing indoors instead of out in Chicago.

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Speaker 1: So remember he was the number one receiver at one

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Speaker 1: point for the Bear, so he does have some talent,

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Speaker 1: so he'll benefit from you know, London and Pits and

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Speaker 1: Bijan and taking the coverage. So that's who I would have.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm looking at as well if I had

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Speaker 1: that game. But let's go to the Titans at the

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bears, and a guy that stands out to me

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Speaker 1: here is rookie top ten wide receiver Rome Adunza at

291
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Speaker 1: four K on DraftKings because he's in a perfect spot.

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Speaker 1: He is the clear number three receiver. But if you're

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Speaker 1: the Titans, you have the game plan for DJ Moore

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Speaker 1: and Keithan Allen first, so it you know, there's just

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Speaker 1: and you have. You don't have a ton of film

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Speaker 1: on a Douneesay and how they're gonna use him and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: So I think he is one of those guys that

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Speaker 1: could have an absolutely blow up Week one. The totals

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Speaker 1: also on the fairly high side forty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think, you know, that might even be a little

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Speaker 1: selling it a little short here. I think Cable Williams

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Speaker 1: will have some success. The Titans did revamp the defense,

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Speaker 1: but a Woozia is getting older. Snead is good at

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Speaker 1: a quarter but again, those guys will probably be paying

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Speaker 1: more to to DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. So really

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Speaker 1: like a Duneza's blow up potential. He has enough talent

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Speaker 1: to not only be the top the most productive receiver

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Speaker 1: for the Bears on any given day, including Week one,

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Speaker 1: but he could be one of the top scoring receivers

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Speaker 1: on the slate. Like that's he's a top this is

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Speaker 1: a top ten pick. We're talking about getting the ball

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Speaker 1: thrown to him from the top pick in the draft,

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Speaker 1: that quarterback. So I like the battery here. That's another one.

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Speaker 1: I think you know, if you're betting props, you probably

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Speaker 1: want to get ahead of that one. Yes, he's a

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Speaker 1: nice Week one over all.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: Jags at Dolphins, Battle of Florida. This is another close,

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Speaker 1: high scoring game. The spread is Dolphins by three, the

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Speaker 1: total forty nine and a half, so that's about a

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Speaker 1: twenty six twenty three implied projection in favor of Miami.

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Speaker 1: Who do you like?

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Speaker 2: Well? Similar to you, I think this is the time

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Speaker 2: to invest in rookies while you can. And I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: say Brian Junior here at forty seven hundred, very high

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Speaker 2: on Thomas Junior this year. So want to invest in

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Speaker 2: early on. This could be the last time we get

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Speaker 2: him for under five K. You know, this this is

329
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Speaker 2: a tougher matchup. He could face off with Jalen Ramsey

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Speaker 2: quite a bit here. You know, Dolphins have a pretty

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Speaker 2: good secondary, but this is a spot where I think Jacksonsville.

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville is gonna have to drop back the pass quite

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Speaker 2: a bit. So I like his upside here. But I

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Speaker 2: think the true flyer in this game is Malik Washington

335
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Speaker 2: at three K. I mean, I think he's worth a

336
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Speaker 2: flyer at this price because Odell Beckham's on the pup list,

337
00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:34,359
Speaker 2: who the hell knows when he's gonna come back. And

338
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Speaker 2: I think Braxon Barrios will you know, open as the

339
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:41,080
Speaker 2: number three wide receiver, you know, nominally, but you know,

340
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Speaker 2: Washington's truly going to mix in. And if you watch

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Speaker 2: him in the preseason, he doesn't need that many touches

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Speaker 2: to put up some numbers. So in this offense, you know,

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Speaker 2: he he could be very dangerous. And it looks like

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Speaker 2: you know, Tyreek Hill and Jail and Waddell are both

345
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Speaker 2: banged up quite a bit, so they might not play,

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Speaker 2: you know, the full complement of snaps at least for

347
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Speaker 2: week one, So I think Washington could play a decent

348
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Speaker 2: role here, and you know, talk about you know, Tyra

349
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Speaker 2: killing Jenen Waller are going to open things up for

350
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Speaker 2: Milake Washington too, and he could score from anywhere. He

351
00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:15,359
Speaker 2: could score with you know, just one touch, two touches.

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Speaker 2: So he's like the perfect three K flyer with a

353
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Speaker 2: ton of upside if he ends up being the true

354
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Speaker 2: number three receiver and or you know, Tyra killer Jenn

355
00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:27,800
Speaker 2: Wattle are limited anyway, he could go off at this price,

356
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Speaker 2: So love him at three K right here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And I know some of my some of my

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Speaker 1: friends love to play the anytime touchdown of the guys

359
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Speaker 1: that we pick on this show, and I think Washington

360
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:47,120
Speaker 1: is a very intriguing anytime touchdown bet because, like you said,

361
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Speaker 1: if you watched him in the preseason, you see the explosiveness.

362
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Speaker 1: He might get touches at returner, and he might he

363
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Speaker 1: might be the number three right off the bat. I

364
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Speaker 1: know we're all kind of waiting for Jalen Wright as

365
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:03,439
Speaker 1: the fast Dolphin to kind of break out, but I

366
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Speaker 1: think Luigo Washington might actually break out first, especially the

367
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 1: way the receiver room is shaping up because if they

368
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Speaker 1: were they were happy with Barrios.

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Speaker 2: I don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you even bring in a guy like

371
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Speaker 1: like like Washington. So yeah, there's a.

372
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Speaker 2: There's a preseason game where it was it wasn't even

373
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Speaker 2: halftime yet he had like a forty yard run, a

374
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Speaker 2: forty yard pickoff return, a thirty yard punt return, and

375
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 2: of course I had him like over twenty a half

376
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:31,880
Speaker 2: receiving yards. He was like wide open for I mean

377
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,600
Speaker 2: it would have gone at least fifty yards, and I

378
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:36,760
Speaker 2: think it was like Skyler Thompson just threw it, you know,

379
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 2: ten yards past them. But he could have had you know,

380
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,600
Speaker 2: a fifty plus yard reception too, So that would have

381
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:46,959
Speaker 2: been like five explosive plays from different you know, Roles

382
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:49,399
Speaker 2: just goes to show you know how versatile he is,

383
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 2: but he could also get designed carries as well.

384
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Speaker 1: Hey, if I totally agree, and if Skyra Thompson, if

385
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Speaker 1: you only missed him by ten yards, it means is

386
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 1: probably one of his more accurate throws. So the Vikings

387
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 1: are going to New Jersey to take on the Giants.

388
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,680
Speaker 1: Vikings favored by one. It's been kind of jumping between

389
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 1: one on both sides. The whow total forty one, but

390
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: I do think that there could be some success for

391
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 1: the Vikings through the air. So I like Sam Darnold.

392
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 1: He's only fifty two hundred on DraftKings, but if you're

393
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 1: stacking him with Justin Jefferson and you want to add

394
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: another player, obviously Addison if he suits up as the

395
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,800
Speaker 1: top choice, but there are two cheap options that I

396
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 1: think are worth considering to be a little more contrarian.

397
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 1: The first is Jalen Naylor, who kind of like Joseavash,

398
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,680
Speaker 1: has been having a great camp and pretty much has

399
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:55,000
Speaker 1: that number three receiver role locked down assuming he's healthy.

400
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 1: That's always been the struggle with him. So I know

401
00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:58,879
Speaker 1: he did miss some practice early in the week, so

402
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,640
Speaker 1: keep an eye on that. But he'd be at mind

403
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:05,120
Speaker 1: price for wide receivers and he can play. He's had,

404
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: he has some upside. I think he had a big

405
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,920
Speaker 1: game or two in the pros. I think I want

406
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 1: to say it was the end of maybe the twenty

407
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: twenty two season or something like that, but this guy

408
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 1: has flashed some upside in the past, just hasn't been

409
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 1: able to fully stay healthy. But if he's on the field,

410
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Speaker 1: I think he could do I think he could do work.

411
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Speaker 1: And then we have Johnny Munt, And when TJ. Hockinson

412
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Speaker 1: was out, Johnny Munt essentially picked up all the Hockinson routes,

413
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: and Josh Oliver, who was usually the number two tight end,

414
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 1: his role stayed the same. He's kind of the in

415
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,600
Speaker 1: line blocking tight end, and Munt just turns into you know,

416
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 1: the discount dollar store TJ. Hockinson, you know, running a

417
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: route seventy five percent of the time in Hockinson's two

418
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,400
Speaker 1: miss games last year. And Kevin O'Connell, the head coach

419
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 1: of the Vicus, absolutely loves Munt, So I think that's

420
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 1: going to continue in months only twenty nine hundred on draftings,

421
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:04,880
Speaker 1: so near minprice for a tight end. So you could

422
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Speaker 1: go like Donald Jefferson Nailer or Donald Jefferson Munt when

423
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 1: a lot of people will probably have Donald Jefferson Addison,

424
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 1: and you can even I mean you could even throw

425
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,880
Speaker 1: three in there. I mean this giant secondary is pretty shaky,

426
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 1: so uh yeah, like like those two guys as sneaky

427
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 1: stacking options. All right, Before we move on, just want

428
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464
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Speaker 1: sign up at Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. All right,

466
00:25:56,520 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 1: let's keep it going through remain Slate Carolina at New Orleans.

467
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:05,719
Speaker 1: The Saints are favored by four and another low total

468
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 1: forty and a half. Who do you like in this one?

469
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go contrary in here and go with Miles

470
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 2: Sanders at forty five hundred, and you know Jonathan Brooks

471
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:19,239
Speaker 2: officially out at least the first four games. I am

472
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 2: under the impression that Chuba Hubbard will absolutely be the

473
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,679
Speaker 2: lead back in this offense. I think everybody else has

474
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 2: the impression too, so dollar for dollar, Hubbard is the

475
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 2: much much better play at fifty three hundred. However, DFS

476
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 2: isn't always as simple as just following logic that has

477
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 2: never won me a GPP. Sometimes it's doing something a

478
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 2: little bit bold. And this is a running back situation

479
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 2: that could be a little bit more volatile than we realize.

480
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 2: You know, this new coaching staff isn't really attached to

481
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,199
Speaker 2: either back, and Dave Canalis has said he wants to

482
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,680
Speaker 2: be run heavy, so this could be like a hot

483
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:58,119
Speaker 2: hend type situation for Week one, especially where Miles Sanders

484
00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 2: could surprise us and outscore Cuba Hubbard. So I think

485
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 2: in terms of GPPs, it's you know, smart to have

486
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 2: some leverage where if you have Miles Sanders and he

487
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 2: does go off here, I'm not saying it's gonna happen,

488
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 2: but if he does, you're gonna leave all over all

489
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 2: those Cuba Hubbard teams. You know, Sanders is gonna be

490
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 2: very low owned. So I just think there's enough uncertainty

491
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:22,120
Speaker 2: here to where he's probably worth it, especially at forty

492
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,959
Speaker 2: five hundred. Again, I would only do this in spots

493
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 2: in GPPs, but there has been times where you know,

494
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 2: I pivoted from a guy that I'm trying to think

495
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 2: of some examples, but there's been a guy where it's

496
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 2: like everybody's gravitating towards his cheap backup that's going to

497
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 2: be the starter, and it's actually the backup, like the

498
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:44,119
Speaker 2: number three back, that actually ends up being the GPP winner.

499
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:46,440
Speaker 2: So I think this is a spot where you got

500
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 2: to consider being contrarian to at least get some leverage

501
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 2: and tournaments. I think Sanders could be pretty sneaky in that.

502
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not like he's I mean, he looked he

503
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: just had a bad year, but it's not like he's

504
00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,920
Speaker 1: washed or anything. He's gonna be twenty seven, it's only

505
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 1: sixth year in the league career, four point eight yard

506
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 1: per carry average, until last year he had, you know,

507
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 1: his all his stat lines were very good. So new scheme,

508
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 1: new coaching staff, better offensive line on the interior. And

509
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 1: you mentioned it like there's there's no Brooks so and

510
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 1: Sanders was thought of as a weed back heading into

511
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: last year. So yeah, it wouldn't be the craziest thing

512
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 1: if Sanders and that would be the kind of like

513
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 1: the cam Akers Karen Williams situation all over again.

514
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 2: That's a good example.

515
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean he no, I could, I could

516
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,320
Speaker 1: definitely say that. I like that. I wasn't even thinking

517
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 1: about that, but that's that's actually a really good call.

518
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 1: Houston at Indianapolis Obligatory mentioned to Tank Dell he's too

519
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 1: cheap at fifty five hundred, but for the true cheap

520
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:56,719
Speaker 1: play a Donne Mitchell aka d Mitchell, rookie wide receiver,

521
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 1: early round pick for the Colts. The reason I like

522
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: him is he has I think two outs in what

523
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 1: could be a shootout. You know, I think Houston's gonna

524
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 1: put up points against that Colt secondary. But number one,

525
00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 1: if Josh Downs doesn't play Ady Mitchell, He's been taking

526
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,479
Speaker 1: a lot of slot snaps and he probably plays you know,

527
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 1: close to every snap if Downs is out, you know,

528
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 1: eighty percent plus. But even if Downs plays, downs will

529
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 1: probably be limited. And Mitchell was in competition with Alec

530
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:33,400
Speaker 1: Pierce for the number three wide receiver role anyway, so

531
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,959
Speaker 1: there's a chance, you know, Mitchell plays more than Pierce

532
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 1: and you know, take some of those down snaps. So

533
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 1: either way, Mitchell has multiple paths to being close to

534
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 1: a full time player, and he has the talent to

535
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 1: be the number two target even and surpass a guy

536
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 1: like Downs, you know, right off the bat. So I

537
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 1: really like Mitchell at at thirty eight hundred, another one

538
00:29:58,160 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 1: of these rookies, I think you want to get on

539
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 1: early before everyone kind of catches on right. Next up,

540
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:07,320
Speaker 1: we got the Raiders at the Chargers, another low total

541
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:10,959
Speaker 1: forty and a half charges, favored by three we liken

542
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: this one.

543
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with another sub five k running back here,

544
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 2: This one I think as a higher floor than Miles Sanders.

545
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 2: And that's JK. Dobbins. And this is another backfield backfield

546
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 2: where it's a bit unclear exactly how it's gonna unfold

547
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 2: in terms of touches, but this should be a much

548
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: more run heavy offense than we're used to seeing out

549
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 2: of the Chargers, and you know, Dobbins is coming back

550
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 2: from a torn achilles, which you know it's gonna be

551
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 2: really tough for him to regain as you know Ravens form.

552
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 2: But all signs point to him being you know, one

553
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 2: hundred percent heading into week one, like ahead of schedule

554
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 2: from what I had expected. So there's a chance he

555
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 2: ends up being the lead back for the Chargers out

556
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 2: of the gate, even over Gus Edwards. And you mentioned it,

557
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 2: he does have more of a history at least of

558
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,760
Speaker 2: being a pass catch back, so I think that you know,

559
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 2: he probably has the higher four ceiling combot than even

560
00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 2: Gus Edwards right now. So at forty nine hundred again,

561
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:11,120
Speaker 2: I think for week one in these like very murky backfields,

562
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 2: I'm willing to take some flyers on these guys because

563
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,760
Speaker 2: you could pop and I don't think his ownership will

564
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 2: be that high. I don't know. There's a lot of

565
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 2: buzz around Dobbins right now, but he's in a situation

566
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 2: where he could you know, end up hitting here at

567
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 2: below five k. Yeah.

568
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 1: I know there was a quote in the off season

569
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 1: about Gus Edwards. I think it was the GM said

570
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 1: He's gonna be our bell cow. But from what I've

571
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: been hearing, Dobbins has been taking just as many, if

572
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,719
Speaker 1: not more, first team reps win when he's been healthy,

573
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 1: and it looks like he is knock on wood coming

574
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: into the season. So if he can stay on the field,

575
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 1: yeah he could. He could be very productive in what

576
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 1: should be a run heavy offense for the Chargers. Next up,

577
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 1: we have the Washington Commanders at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

578
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 1: I like the Jade Daniels zach ertztack in this one.

579
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 1: Daniel's fifty seven hundred ERTs thirty six hundred, and I

580
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 1: like him individually as well. I think Daniels is going

581
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: to be a top eight quarterback against the non prohibitive

582
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 1: Bucks defense. But when you look at who Daniels is

583
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: throwing to, you know, Terry McLaurin is very talented, but

584
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 1: he's never been a big touchdown guy in his career,

585
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 1: a big red zone guy. He's more, you know, sidelined,

586
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 1: gonna make some impressive catches and whatnot, But career high

587
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 1: is seven touchdowns and that was way back in twenty nineteen,

588
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 1: his rookie year. He hasn't had more than five since

589
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: so I think Art's probably is the number one red

590
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: zone target, so you don't have to stack Daniels. You

591
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 1: can play him naked because he's a lot of his

592
00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 1: value is expected to come from rushing and scrambling. But

593
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,920
Speaker 1: if he does throw a touchdown or two or three,

594
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 1: I think you Ertz is a good is probably the

595
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 1: best bet to catch one, just by default, just because

596
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 1: he's the biggest body. Yeah, that's gonna be out here.

597
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 1: You know, they were and they're in in their need

598
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 1: of big body guys. I mean, look at what they did.

599
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 1: They brought in, They kicked the tires on Mark Davis, Bryan.

600
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 1: I mean, imagine that they had Bryson Tremaine vying for

601
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: a roster spot. They ended up trading for what is

602
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: it claiming I don't know that somehow they acquired Noah Brown,

603
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 1: who's another big body guy. So they're you could tell

604
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 1: like that's that's kind of what they what they need

605
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 1: but don't have. But so Ertz is going to kind

606
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,560
Speaker 1: of be that guy there at least to start the year,

607
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:37,600
Speaker 1: and he should be out playing you know, seventy five

608
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: percent or so, if not more of the snaps. That's

609
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 1: what he's done in Kingsbury's offenses. You know, we saw

610
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 1: this with McBride a couple of years ago, where Sono,

611
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 1: I mean where McBride was. You know, everyone was excited

612
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 1: about him, but he was just kind of sitting on

613
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: the bench. And I think Benson, oh uh, you know,

614
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,240
Speaker 1: that's gonna kind of happen to him too. He might

615
00:33:57,280 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 1: take a few weeks, maybe even half the season a

616
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:02,480
Speaker 1: kind of really hit the ground running. Even Bates, you know,

617
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 1: was playing ahead of him because he was blocking. So

618
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 1: I do think Erz is the number one receiving tight end,

619
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: maybe the number two target and the number one red

620
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 1: zone target for Daniels. Denver bo Nicks debut regular season

621
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:21,959
Speaker 1: at Seattle with you know, the post Pete Carroll Era

622
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:26,760
Speaker 1: got Ryan Grubb at offensive coordinator, Mike McDonald's former Ravens

623
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:28,800
Speaker 1: DC at head coach. But Grub, you know, it's a

624
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 1: lot of uncertainty because he hasn't coordinated in the NFL before.

625
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: And then Denver, I mean Sean Payton year two, he's

626
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 1: kind of shaping the roster more in his image. The

627
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:43,239
Speaker 1: Broncos six point underdog. The total forty two, forty two

628
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 1: and a half, so a lot of kind of a

629
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 1: neok new look on both sides for these teams. Who

630
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:50,279
Speaker 1: do you like?

631
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:54,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got one more sub five k running back

632
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 2: and it's Jill McLaughlin at forty three hundred. And you know,

633
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,319
Speaker 2: Denver's running back room was looking very crowded about a

634
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,320
Speaker 2: month ago. I remember we were talking about it was

635
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 2: really tricky to kind of project how it sorted out.

636
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:10,359
Speaker 2: But they cut some a JP Ryn last week, So

637
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,319
Speaker 2: I think that's going to open up some playing time

638
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:18,240
Speaker 2: for McLaughlin, specifically as a pass catcher, because I consider

639
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 2: Rodrick estimate is more of a direct back up to

640
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 2: Javonte Williams, more of an early down grinder, whereas and

641
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 2: I Gavanti Williams is the clear lead back in this offense.

642
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 2: But McLachlan has his own role. He's, you know, a

643
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,279
Speaker 2: very explosive change of pace back. Again, he can come

644
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,279
Speaker 2: in on passing downs, but he's a type of you

645
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 2: know back that doesn't need that many touches to go off.

646
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,239
Speaker 2: You know, had a ton of explosive runs last year.

647
00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 2: I looked, I think you have like the highest percentage

648
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,839
Speaker 2: of runs where he hit over fifteen miles per hour

649
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 2: on his run, so he's getting good space to run.

650
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,880
Speaker 2: His gig really is sort of a dollar store devon

651
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:58,680
Speaker 2: a chan in my mind. So whenever it comes to GPPs,

652
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 2: if you can get him forty three hundred, you know,

653
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:05,680
Speaker 2: he certainly has the explosive ability to kind of crush

654
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:08,399
Speaker 2: at this price, and I think he'll be overlooked here.

655
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 2: And again, you know, with smaj Piron out of the picture,

656
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,080
Speaker 2: it does clear things up for him to see a

657
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:15,360
Speaker 2: couple more touches game going forward.

658
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he's one of the reasons they felt

659
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:22,480
Speaker 1: comfortable cutting the veteran pe Rin, even though I'm sure

660
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:27,399
Speaker 1: they would have liked to have a veteran you know,

661
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,399
Speaker 1: passing down, hurry up back, whatever you want to call it,

662
00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 1: with a rookie quarterback, but they needed to open up

663
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 1: some snaps for McLachlin and estimate. But estimate, yeah, he's

664
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 1: passing downs. Aren't really his staying at least not yet.

665
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:47,839
Speaker 1: So McLachlin could have a pretty valuable role because you know,

666
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 1: Denver is expected to be underdogs in a lot of games,

667
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,719
Speaker 1: and he was already that change of pace, so he

668
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 1: can get add you know, that p RN workload without

669
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 1: losing anything and you're looking at you know a lot

670
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 1: of games where he could catch you know, four or

671
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:05,160
Speaker 1: five balls and still you know, get you know, six

672
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 1: to ten carries as well, so he could be surprisingly productive.

673
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 1: Uh you know like it, like it for GPPs because

674
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 1: it's going to be hard to predict, but uh perfect

675
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:19,200
Speaker 1: you know to best ball, and GPP is perfect way

676
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:23,919
Speaker 1: to use McLaughlin right Dallas at Cleveland, Brown's favored by

677
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: two and a half the total forty two. So this

678
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 1: is a below expectation game for the Cowboys, but I

679
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: do think a couple guys still stand out, and because

680
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:42,040
Speaker 1: of the matchup, they'll probably be very low rostered. First,

681
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,759
Speaker 1: Rico Doubtell, I'll just kind of take a shot. He

682
00:37:45,120 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 1: you know, I do think Zeke Elliott starts the year

683
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 1: as the lead back, but Dado has been kind of

684
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 1: picking up some buzz lately and there's a chance he's

685
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 1: the one that ends up being the lead back. So

686
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 1: even in a tough matchup, if I can get you know,

687
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 1: fifteen ish touches at forty six hundred, I'll take it

688
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,720
Speaker 1: in the GVP. And the other guy is Jayalen Tobert

689
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:10,720
Speaker 1: at thirty four hundred, He's going to be the Cowboy

690
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:12,839
Speaker 1: number three receiver in place of you know, I think

691
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 1: it was a rotation with Michael Gallup last year. And

692
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:20,319
Speaker 1: you know, as the season progresses, I do think that

693
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:24,320
Speaker 1: the rookie Flower Noi and Jalen Brooks, you know, also

694
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 1: could cut into Tobarts or at least challenge him for

695
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 1: that role. But to start the year, you know, Tobert

696
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 1: has been working as that guy. I think you know,

697
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 1: a lot of people that watched the Cowboys closely say

698
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 1: he's been the most improved player at camp. So I

699
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 1: think now it's kind of a sneaky time to invest

700
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:48,600
Speaker 1: in Tobert because you have Ceedee Lamb's been missing practice time,

701
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 1: just came back from signing that extension. Then you have

702
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks who's been missing some practice, so you might

703
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 1: have to rely on Tobert a little more than usual

704
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 1: right after that. So volume is king. So if he

705
00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 1: gets a ton of snaps, all he has to do

706
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:10,359
Speaker 1: is catch a touchdown at thirty four hundred and here

707
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 1: in business. So like doubt, but also like Tobra at

708
00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:16,400
Speaker 1: wide receiver for the Cowboys. A right Sunday night football

709
00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:20,280
Speaker 1: rams at Lions' highest total of the week at fifty

710
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:22,080
Speaker 1: one we got.

711
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 2: Well, I'm going with your boy Colby Parkinson here. I

712
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,040
Speaker 2: agree with you. He's going to open up in the

713
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 2: Tyler Higbee role. Have him around like an eight seventy

714
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:33,600
Speaker 2: five to eighty percent route zone rate, which is excellent

715
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 2: in this offense. He's flashed, you know, pass catching skills

716
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 2: back in Seattle too, So I think he can be

717
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 2: as good as Higbee, if not better. Who knows so right? Yeah,

718
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 2: I know they did pay him enough, and you know,

719
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 2: I could see him being fairly high owned here, but

720
00:39:50,160 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 2: I don't care if this is one of those situations.

721
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:55,640
Speaker 2: Just give me all the Parkinson in this spot he's

722
00:39:55,760 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 2: too cheap. And then on the Lions side, I'm really

723
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 2: just trying to attack when it comes to dart throws.

724
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:08,240
Speaker 2: You know, outside of aman Ronseay Brown and Jamison Williams,

725
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 2: it's kind of unclear, you know, who's gonna be the

726
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 2: number three house going to sort out? So I think

727
00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 2: Cleiff Raymond, at least for week one, sets up perfectly.

728
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:18,840
Speaker 2: He's stepped up whenever needed in the past, and I

729
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 2: think they kind of need him to be the number

730
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,360
Speaker 2: three receiver until they find more of a long term option.

731
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:26,720
Speaker 2: I know Dan Campbell was kind of disappointing Donovan People's

732
00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,000
Speaker 2: jones being shitty, but I could have told him that.

733
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:31,960
Speaker 2: But they did bring in Tim Patrick, who I think

734
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,960
Speaker 2: once he doesn't a playbook, could you know, take over

735
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,600
Speaker 2: that Josh Reynolds role that they're clearly trying to replace.

736
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 2: But in the meantime, Cliff Raymond give me an excellent

737
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:42,759
Speaker 2: number three receiver for them, So I think he's a

738
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,359
Speaker 2: good dart throw here. And depending on if they call

739
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 2: anybody up, Isaiah Williams could be the only other receiver

740
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 2: on the depth chart, so he might be worth a

741
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 2: dart throw concernering how cheap he'll be, not a lot

742
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 2: to catch a single pass or play a single snap,

743
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 2: but on a top heavy sleep like this, if you

744
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:04,400
Speaker 2: have him and he just gets a few points, it

745
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,320
Speaker 2: could really differentiate your lineup because you could have one more,

746
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:11,080
Speaker 2: you know, elite player in this game. So Isaiah Williams,

747
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,919
Speaker 2: if they don't call anybody up, could be another dart throw.

748
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,040
Speaker 2: But I think just pound for pound, I think Cleiff

749
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:19,000
Speaker 2: Raymond is probably the best dart throw if you're trying

750
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 2: to attack you know, the Lions number three receiver slot.

751
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 2: But other than that. You know, the Lions offense is

752
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 2: very top heavy. We know the ball's going Amn raw,

753
00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 2: Sam Laparda, Dave Montgomery, Jamior Gibbs. But I think Raymond's

754
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 2: the guy specifically I think could surprise people Sunday night.

755
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I like Williams too because he won that

756
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,040
Speaker 1: number four spot even though he is a slot and

757
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 1: they really needed an X which is why they signed

758
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,960
Speaker 1: Patrick Allen Robinson and People's Jones, like they needed a

759
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:49,800
Speaker 1: bigger guy who can line up on the line of

760
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 1: scrimmage and block and whatnot. But Williams just outplayed you know,

761
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 1: Antwine Green before he got hurt, and you know, just

762
00:41:56,800 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 1: a gaggle of other uninspiring so they're like, hey, you know,

763
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 1: we're not just gonna, uh just like create our roster

764
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:10,239
Speaker 1: based on need. When we have a guy that's playing well,

765
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:13,000
Speaker 1: we're gonna take the best players. So I like the

766
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:16,120
Speaker 1: I like the philosophy, and you know, they feel like

767
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:18,759
Speaker 1: he is their fourth best receiver, so you know, they

768
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 1: probably I'm guessing they almost certainly will call one of Patrick,

769
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,759
Speaker 1: People's Jones or Robinson up. Maybe it's DPJ just because

770
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 1: he knows the playbook the most and it's week one,

771
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: but Williams could still play over them and you know

772
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 1: they they could all just kind of be situational. But

773
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:40,719
Speaker 1: the fact that he was able to outperform a lot

774
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 1: of other a lot of other guys and really earn

775
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:46,360
Speaker 1: that spot uh speaks volumes. So yeah, he's a sneaky,

776
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:49,840
Speaker 1: sneaky player. I mean, like you said, there's gonna be

777
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: so much on RU you're gonna have to just or

778
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 1: you're more than likely going to have to find somebody

779
00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 1: cheap on the lines. And maybe it's either gonna be

780
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:01,160
Speaker 1: one of those receivers. And also don't forget about uh

781
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,880
Speaker 1: Rock right because maybe they just go more to tight end.

782
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 1: That could be. That could be interesting as well because

783
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:11,400
Speaker 1: they love him. Uh so maybe he gets a touchdown

784
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 1: or something like that. But yeah, I like Williams. I

785
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,200
Speaker 1: think he's I think he's sneaky. All right, Let's close

786
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:20,239
Speaker 1: it out with Monday Night football. Very good matchup Aaron

787
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:23,880
Speaker 1: Rodgers coming back and Monday Night again going to San Francisco.

788
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:29,400
Speaker 1: Too good defenses. Uh, you know, Niners now sign everyone signed.

789
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 1: You know, I you frent Williams, so they're good to go.

790
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:34,359
Speaker 1: So should be a good matchup. I don't love it

791
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 1: for DFS, but uh, my cheap guy, dark throat, whatever

792
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:42,960
Speaker 1: you want to call him. And I can't believe I'm

793
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:47,080
Speaker 1: saying this, but Allen Wizard for the Jets. You know,

794
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 1: everything I've been hearing is that they're maybe unreasonably high

795
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:56,760
Speaker 1: on Alan Was. Remember he's he is Aaron Rodgers' buddy. So, uh,

796
00:43:57,080 --> 00:44:00,239
Speaker 1: you know, last season, Rogers goes down after what four

797
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 1: snaps Rogers, uh, Lizar excuse me, has a just a

798
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:08,719
Speaker 1: miserable season, ends up losing his job. But now with

799
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 1: Rogers back, it seems like they, you know, all of

800
00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:14,759
Speaker 1: a sudden, they're hiring him again. Now this is you're

801
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 1: talking about Aaron Rodgers. He's forty one year old Aaron Rodgers.

802
00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 1: So could all be for not. But I do think

803
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:25,840
Speaker 1: that these the Niners are gonna be able to, you know,

804
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:30,080
Speaker 1: cover reasonably well in terms of the tight ends, because

805
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 1: you still got Fred Warner running around back there, and

806
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:36,279
Speaker 1: you're gonna have uh Lenor and Ward on the outside,

807
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 1: so uh, maybe Wilson and Williams. So you might need

808
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:43,600
Speaker 1: a you know, besides Breis Hall, somebody else to step up.

809
00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: I think Lizar to be that guy he's he's been

810
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 1: playing over like cor Lee and he can play in

811
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:52,239
Speaker 1: the slot too. And then on the niner side. Uh,

812
00:44:52,520 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 1: it's really tough because they don't really sub guys. I

813
00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:58,879
Speaker 1: think the if if Juwan Jennings suits up, I think

814
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,560
Speaker 1: it would have to be Jenning. You know, you saw

815
00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:03,440
Speaker 1: him pop in the Super Bowl. I think he had

816
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:05,600
Speaker 1: a ten catch or he had a big game and

817
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:09,839
Speaker 1: scored a touchdown. But you know, this could be a

818
00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 1: down game relatively for guys like Deebo and and i

819
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:15,800
Speaker 1: U because the Jets have such good corners on the outside,

820
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:19,879
Speaker 1: would read and and and sauce. But if Jennings is out,

821
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:22,920
Speaker 1: remember Pierce all is on the NFI now because he

822
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:26,040
Speaker 1: just took the bullet to the chest, so he's recovering

823
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 1: from that. So I think rookie Jacob Cowing, if he's active,

824
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:34,480
Speaker 1: would be intriguing. He had a pretty good camp, so

825
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:40,160
Speaker 1: he might end up being the number three receiver. If

826
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 1: not him, it would probably be Chris Conley, who's a

827
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:47,120
Speaker 1: lot less inspiring. But just like the unknown with Cowing,

828
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 1: if if Jennings is out and counts active, obviously, because

829
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:52,440
Speaker 1: he could be a scratch and they just go with

830
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:56,040
Speaker 1: Conley and like Bell, but I do think Cowing. I

831
00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:57,920
Speaker 1: did think he looked good in the preseason. I think

832
00:45:57,960 --> 00:46:00,319
Speaker 1: he caught along it was either a long touch general

833
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 1: just a long pass or something. But I remember him

834
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:04,160
Speaker 1: popping a few times.

835
00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's talented. I mean, I was gonna ask you,

836
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:08,759
Speaker 2: you're going to answer my question, but like, what's going

837
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:12,520
Speaker 2: to happen if Jennings is out? And yeah, again, it

838
00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 2: could be the uninspiring Chris Conley, or they could give

839
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 2: calling a shot and Cowing. I watched that same game

840
00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:21,120
Speaker 2: as you. He looked great. Uh. I watched quite a

841
00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:23,200
Speaker 2: few games with him at Arizona. I was surprised he

842
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,360
Speaker 2: filled at the fourth round. I think he's pretty talented

843
00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 2: and in this scheme he could pop. So if Jennings

844
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 2: is out, I think calling is definitely worth a fire here.

845
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,000
Speaker 1: You know how the Niners do, it's always the guy,

846
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,480
Speaker 1: like the after thought at the position. So it's like

847
00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 1: they drafts and it's Brock Purdy they draft. It's like

848
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:43,280
Speaker 1: they I forget the running backs like Trey Sermatus, Elijah

849
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 1: Mitchell's they so it's like they's whoever freaking care? So

850
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 1: it's calling.

851
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:49,840
Speaker 2: It's whoever likes at the time, Like, who was he

852
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:52,359
Speaker 2: playing over Brandon Ayuk? What was that like two years ago?

853
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:55,520
Speaker 2: Was one? Ak was in the doghouse?

854
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:59,120
Speaker 1: It was it wasn't pettis right, because Pettison the dog

855
00:46:59,120 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 1: has at.

856
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 2: One point someone was getting playing time over him, was

857
00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:03,840
Speaker 2: it Mohammed Sanu?

858
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, it's like so news on

859
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:10,440
Speaker 1: that squad, Trent Sherfield, yeah, Jennings.

860
00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:12,880
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, Chris in the doghouse. So, I mean Shanahan

861
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 2: doesn't really follow the normal rules and I think he

862
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 2: loves counting. Again, he was great in camp, great in preseason,

863
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:21,399
Speaker 2: so he could give him a shot here. All right.

864
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,720
Speaker 1: That is going to wrap it up for the Fantasy

865
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:28,640
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Speaker 1: our Player Projections episode. Don't forget to check out fantasylabs

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