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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday?

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Speaker 2: It is time for another episode of the Daily Juice

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Speaker 2: podcast with me Matt Parrelt at Sports Stock. Matt to

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Speaker 2: follow me across all socials. This podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. Juice in the search

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Speaker 2: at Omaha Steaks dot com. All right, we were a

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Speaker 2: hook away from a sweep. That stinks. Some of you

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Speaker 2: guys bet the game late. If you bet it late,

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Speaker 2: you got three. You went to oh to one. I'm jealous.

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Speaker 2: Congratulations I lost on the hook. That was frustrating and annoying.

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Speaker 2: But we had the BYU game. You bet that outright.

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Speaker 2: You got plus one, oh five, plus one ten somewhere

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Speaker 2: on there, So congrats there. I just took the point

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Speaker 2: just in case BYU won the game outright again. That

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Speaker 2: was the right side the right handicap because of the location.

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati's first pick twelve game Rocket atmosphere. Home team comes

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Speaker 2: in and wins. I love betting home dogs in college football.

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Speaker 2: More on that later today for this very podcast, we

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Speaker 2: get the under never was a problem, easy undercall Auburn,

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Speaker 2: sorry excuse me. Utah on the road at Oregon State

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Speaker 2: game was never close to going over. A lot of

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Speaker 2: people were on Oregon State, but a lot of people

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Speaker 2: came back on Utah late and that turned out to

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Speaker 2: be not the right side there. So Oregon State with

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Speaker 2: a big win there for Djuw and company. Okay, four

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Speaker 2: bets going for us here today. I'm going to go

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Speaker 2: in the order in which the games are going to

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Speaker 2: be played, and I am going to bank on dogs.

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Speaker 2: If the favorites do well today, I'm gonna have a

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Speaker 2: bad day. I'm going with dogs. But before we do,

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Speaker 2: will do the first big game of the day. Nine

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Speaker 2: am Pacific time, noon Eastern. It is an early kick

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Speaker 2: in Colorado. All right, this is a ten am kick.

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Speaker 2: It's a nine am kick in the morning for USC

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Speaker 2: kids and Colorado kids. At ten o'clock in the morning

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Speaker 2: might be a sleepy day for most teams playing, not

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Speaker 2: this one, not with USC coming to town, not with

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Speaker 2: Caleb Williams coming to town, not with Fox coming to town,

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Speaker 2: not with all the celebrities and everything else that goes

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Speaker 2: into a Colorado home game in the wake of what

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Speaker 2: happened last week at Oregon, because the refrain has been

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Speaker 2: from the Colorado Apologists. Well, that was a road game.

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Speaker 2: It was their first real true road game. They got killed.

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Speaker 2: They didn't have Travis Hunter, so they'll be much better.

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Speaker 2: Well maybe, I mean okay, USC's games so far this season,

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Speaker 2: USC has scored fifty six, sixty six, fifty six, twenty eight,

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Speaker 2: but they've also given up twenty eight, fourteen, ten, and

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Speaker 2: twenty eight. Their defense is not great. I believe the

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Speaker 2: Buffaloes will score. The question is how many points will

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Speaker 2: they score. For my bet, I need them to score

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Speaker 2: about seventeen points, and you might go, oh, Matt, you're

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Speaker 2: betting the over.

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Speaker 1: Eh, not so much.

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Speaker 2: The over is seventy two and a half seventy three

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Speaker 2: at certain books.

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Speaker 1: It's too high. Now, Matt, just bet the under.

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Speaker 2: No, because USC's already scored sixty six points in a

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Speaker 2: game this year against Nevada. Don't you think USC is

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Speaker 2: going to prove a point here, just like Oregon did

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Speaker 2: last week? Now, I think Oregon would have gone over

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Speaker 2: their team total of forty five and a half last

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Speaker 2: week if they had given up more points. But because

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Speaker 2: Colorado couldn't do anything on the road and they looked

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Speaker 2: a kneemic on offense, there was no need to really

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Speaker 2: fully like they're already embarrassed, like they faked a punt.

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Speaker 2: They they did their due diligence. They crushed them, but

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Speaker 2: they could have scored sixty if they wanted to. I

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Speaker 2: actually think USC is gonna score sixty. They're on the road.

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Speaker 2: They're not going to be considered mean or bullying. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna do it in front of the Buffalo fans. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna try to clear out the whole building. Okay, but

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Speaker 2: I do think the Buffalos will score, but I don't

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Speaker 2: know how many. Even if they score twenty points, I'm

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Speaker 2: not sold because fifty to twenty is under. Now, it's

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Speaker 2: covering the twenty two points, but it's under. I think

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Speaker 2: the easier way to handicap this game is what is

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Speaker 2: the known commodity for USC against what is the known

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Speaker 2: commodity for Colorado. That is a very good offense, one

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Speaker 2: of the best in the country, against a very poor defense.

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Speaker 2: They've given up forty five fourteen forty three in sorry,

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Speaker 2: thirty yeah, thirty five and forty two points so far

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Speaker 2: this season. That is really bad. Colorado's defense is not good.

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Speaker 2: They give up thirty twenty three points a game. That's

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Speaker 2: one hundredth in college football. They're facing the fifty five

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Speaker 2: points per game average averaging USC Trojans, number one in

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Speaker 2: college football. I don't want to sweat a fourth quarter,

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Speaker 2: you know, pull up. I don't want to sweat Colorado

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Speaker 2: having to get the game to go over. And I

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Speaker 2: equally don't want to sweat that the Buffalo score some

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Speaker 2: last minute touchdown for the game to go over, and

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Speaker 2: it's a fifty to twenty eight type of game and

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Speaker 2: the game goes over. I'm not interested in that. The

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Speaker 2: easier handicap is USC team total. I did not do

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Speaker 2: it last week against Oregon. I am doing it this

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Speaker 2: week for USC. Over forty seven and a half minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty one point two units down. USC to score

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Speaker 2: fifty points. Heck, forty eight points is good enough. But

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Speaker 2: if they score forty two seven touchdowns sorry sorry, six touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: we need two field goals. I think that's really possible.

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Speaker 2: Eight scoring drives for USC. I think it's very, very

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Speaker 2: possible here. I think Kayleb Williams will pad his stats

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Speaker 2: a lot of eye. Kayler Williams can try to win

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Speaker 2: the Heisman here. Okay, if he goes for some stupid

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Speaker 2: number like four hundred yards passing in four touchdowns, he

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Speaker 2: could win the Heisman. He could make that mark on

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Speaker 2: voters about how good he is. Right now, this is

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Speaker 2: a huge game for that campaign, for him to become

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Speaker 2: the first player to go back to back with the

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Speaker 2: Heisman trophy since Archie Griffin did it in nineteen seventy five.

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Speaker 1: And the reason is the Notre Dame game on the road.

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Speaker 2: If the Irish lose to Duke today, that game does

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Speaker 2: not have anywhere near the hype, not even close.

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Speaker 1: So that's a worry.

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Speaker 2: And an Oregon against USC could be good, but that's

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Speaker 2: the only other game on their schedule.

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Speaker 1: Washington, yes, could be good. That might be a big game.

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Speaker 2: And it might be Michael Pennix Junior against Kayleb Williams

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Speaker 2: that could be the Heisman. Right now, both of those

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Speaker 2: guys are leading in the Heisman campaign. It was plus

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Speaker 2: three to fifty for each guy at the start.

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Speaker 1: Of the week.

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Speaker 2: But I'm not positive that by November, Washington is going

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Speaker 2: to be relevant.

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Speaker 1: This game is huge for that.

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Speaker 2: Cayler Williams and USC over forty seven and a half

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Speaker 2: points team total at minus one twenty one point two

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Speaker 2: units down. Second bet, Syracuse is hosting Clemson number seven.

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Speaker 2: Clemson favored by seven. Why Clemson favored? This is bizarre.

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Speaker 2: They're one in three ats on the year. They have

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Speaker 2: two losses. They lost on the road to Duke and

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Speaker 2: they lost at home to Florida State. How good's Clemson?

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Speaker 2: I don't think they're very good. I mean, they just

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Speaker 2: look like an average football team to me. They have talent.

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Speaker 2: Will Shipley's a really good player, but cap Klubnik is

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Speaker 2: not anywhere near Trevor Lawrence. He's not anywhere near to

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Speaker 2: Sean Watson. He's not that Cali River quarterback. He is

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Speaker 2: still really struggling to move the offense, to move the football.

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Speaker 2: And Syracuse is three to zero to one ats on

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Speaker 2: the year. Eycuse beat Colgate and covered Western Michigan in

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Speaker 2: covered per Due and covered. They beat Army and pushed

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Speaker 2: last week at home. They're by thirteen. They won by

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Speaker 2: thirteen points. I think when you break this game down

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Speaker 2: and you talk about the opportunity for Syracuse to be

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Speaker 2: in this game, it's going to come down to their defense.

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Speaker 2: They're giving up fourteen point three points per game. That's

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Speaker 2: twelve best in the country. And you might say, well, Matt,

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Speaker 2: this is a big step up in competition, and I

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Speaker 2: will agree with you on that point. But Clemson runs

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Speaker 2: the ball four point six yards per rush.

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Speaker 1: It's not very good.

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Speaker 2: And yes, they've played some really good defenses, but they

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Speaker 2: don't run the ball that well.

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Speaker 1: And passing six point.

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Speaker 2: One yards per pass play is outside the top one

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Speaker 2: hundred in college football. Where is this great offense for Clemson?

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Speaker 2: I don't see it now. Defensively, Clemson's pretty good. I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to knock that. They have a really good

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Speaker 2: pass defense. They're top top fifteen, top twenty in the

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Speaker 2: country for yards given up per pass play. They're tough

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Speaker 2: to complete a pass against, giving up just fifty eight

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Speaker 2: percent of completions on the year. They're tough to convert

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Speaker 2: on third downs. They're one of the better third down defenses.

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Speaker 2: And they take the football away. I mean, you know,

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Speaker 2: they have two takeaways per game they're averaging. They also

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Speaker 2: give up the football one point seven times per game,

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Speaker 2: and Syracuse takes the football away two point three times

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Speaker 2: per game. They are extremely opportunistic defense. I think Clemson

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Speaker 2: turns the football over. I think Syracuse can win this

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Speaker 2: game outright, but I'm gonna take the home dog here,

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Speaker 2: much like last night, home dog plus seven. Syracuse plus

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Speaker 2: seven up against Clemson will not shock me in the

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Speaker 2: least if Clemson loses this game outright to Syracuse. Here

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Speaker 2: in upstate New York indoors Dome weird plays, Clemson has

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Speaker 2: struggled even with DJU. Clemson struggled to play at Syracuse.

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Speaker 2: Syracuse plus seven one point one units. Third bet Auburn

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Speaker 2: taking on Georgia home dog catching fourteen and a half points,

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Speaker 2: Number one Georgia. Of the four bets, this one is

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Speaker 2: more of a gut feel, okay, And if you don't

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Speaker 2: want to play this and like Matt, you're stepping in

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Speaker 2: front of Georgia, are you crazy? This is more of

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Speaker 2: a feel. This needs to be a dirty game. Auburn

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Speaker 2: and Georgia is the oldest robbery in the South. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they play each other every year. They don't like each other.

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Speaker 2: They're separated by I only like two hundred miles I

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Speaker 2: believe from Athens, Georgia to Auburn, Alabama only about two

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Speaker 2: hundred miles. They're pretty close. They recruit against each other

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Speaker 2: like crazy. Auburn is one in three ATS. They just

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Speaker 2: lost on the road to Texas A and M by

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Speaker 2: seventeen points. We're buying low here on Auburn. Why I'm

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Speaker 2: not impressed with Georgia. They're three and one ATS on

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Speaker 2: the year. They have not covered yet this season. Now

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Speaker 2: they've been laying forty one, forty two, ten and twenty eight.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you that.

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Speaker 2: You might be like Matt. I mean, there's are big

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Speaker 2: numbers Tennessee Martin ball state South Carolina. Is Auburn better

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Speaker 2: than South Carolina? I think Auburn is South Carolina. Was

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Speaker 2: in the game at Georgia in offense, in offense in Athens,

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Speaker 2: they were in that game. They had a chance to

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Speaker 2: win that game. I think Auburn's going to hang around here.

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Speaker 1: Now. The UAB last week, Okay, they look great. It's UAB.

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Speaker 1: I mean it's not.

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Speaker 2: People were putting stock in that UAB game. Give me

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Speaker 2: a break at UAB. Between the hedges. At Georgia, come

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Speaker 2: on like they did with They won by twenty eight points.

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Speaker 2: They were forty point favorites. They won by twenty eight.

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Speaker 2: They didn't cover. Okay, they were supposed to kill UAB

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Speaker 2: and they did not kill UAB. They won, but they

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Speaker 2: didn't cover them. Georgia's taken on UMass. The last time

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Speaker 2: we were involved with an Auburn game, we took UMass

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Speaker 2: and UMass got throttled, but they beat Cal by four

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Speaker 2: as five point favorites.

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Speaker 1: Didn't cover.

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Speaker 2: They won by thirty two against Sanford at home, didn't cover,

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Speaker 2: and then last week didn't cover either against Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M. For me, I need this Tigers defense to

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Speaker 2: keep this game close. I also need the Auburn offense

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Speaker 2: not to turn the football over.

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Speaker 1: This is a huge key.

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Speaker 2: They cannot allow Carson Beck to get confident, to have

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Speaker 2: some momentum, because if you turn the ball over and

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Speaker 2: you pick off Carson Beck early, that kid's got a

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Speaker 2: whole lot of doubt rolling around. Okay, he could not

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Speaker 2: beat out Stenson Bennett the last two years. He's been

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Speaker 2: hanging around, waiting for his chance, waiting for his chance.

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Speaker 2: What I have seen, I'm not overly impressed. He's okay,

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Speaker 2: all right, This is the same type of thing I've

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Speaker 2: talked about when it comes to Alabama and their quarterback situation,

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Speaker 2: Ohio State and their quarterback situation. You know, we pushed

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Speaker 2: on Ohio State in Notre Dame last week, fading a

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Speaker 2: quarterback I didn't love. Now we got Alabama wrong. We

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Speaker 2: got Bama right the week before, so we're one and

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Speaker 2: one on that. But same situation here. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if Carson Beck can go on the road to Auburn

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Speaker 2: and win a game by seventeen points by himself. Auburn

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Speaker 2: needs to make this game dirty. Auburn's defense needs to

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Speaker 2: play really, really well. Auburn's pass defense is good, and

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Speaker 2: Auburn's pass defense.

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Speaker 1: Needs to be good here in this game.

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Speaker 2: They did lose one of their safeties in the game

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Speaker 2: against A and M, so that's a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a concern. But just five point nine yards per pass

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Speaker 2: play given up. That's top twenty in the country, which

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Speaker 2: is really really good. They got to get after the quarterback.

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Speaker 2: They're in the top fifty and sack percentage. That would

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Speaker 2: be phenomenal if Auburn can go ahead and do that.

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Speaker 2: And Auburn is averaging two takeaways a game, which is

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Speaker 2: great gotta keep that going. Got to take the ball away.

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Speaker 2: They can't give the football away offensively. Auburn gives the

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Speaker 2: ball away two point five times per game. That's not good.

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Speaker 2: We cannot have that here today at all. They cannot

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Speaker 2: turn the football over or one point three times per

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Speaker 2: game and one for five one point three can't turn

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Speaker 2: the football over, but they do have a plus margin

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Speaker 2: for turnover margin. Georgia actually gives the ball away more

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Speaker 2: than you would think. It's kind of surprising. Georgia is, yeah,

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Speaker 2: they're okay. So to me, I look at this game

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Speaker 2: and I go rivalry game, huge moment for Auburn. Lost

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Speaker 2: last week. They come back home to face their oldest rival.

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Speaker 2: Georgia wins by ten. I'm gonna take the fourteen and

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Speaker 2: a half points. We might need a back door cover

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Speaker 2: on this, maybe a late touchdown to get this done,

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Speaker 2: but I'm taking the points. Auburn plus fourteen and a

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Speaker 2: half at home against Georgia for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: And finally, I'm taking a dog. But it's not a

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Speaker 2: dog at home. It's a dog on the road. Iowa

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Speaker 2: State at Oklahoma. These teams play slober knocker football games. Auburn, sorry,

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma when they face Iowa State, they have a hard

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Speaker 2: time moving the football, and they have for a while.

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Speaker 2: This goes back to like when I was covering Iowa

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Speaker 2: State back in like twenty eleven. When Iowa State goes

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Speaker 2: to Norman, Oklahoma, they bring their hard hat, their lunch pale,

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Speaker 2: and they go play defense. They don't allow Oklahoma to

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Speaker 2: go score fifty points on them. Generally speaking, Dylan Gabriel, yes,

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Speaker 2: he's in the Heisman Trophy conversation, but I think i

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Speaker 2: Iowa States defense it's gonna have a lot to say

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Speaker 2: about this football game. I'm really really curious. Iowa States

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Speaker 2: defense is giving up nineteen points per game. That's top

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Speaker 2: forty in the country. Oklahoma's defense is really good. They're

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Speaker 2: top two, but Oklahoma's level of competition hasn't been great.

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Speaker 2: I would say three point nine yards per rush, that's

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Speaker 2: top seventy five. But passing is where they shine. I

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Speaker 2: would state It's pass defense is phenomenal five point three

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Speaker 2: yards per pass play, eighth best in the country. Oklahoma's

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Speaker 2: passing offense also brilliant ten point five yards per pass play,

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Speaker 2: seventh best in the country. Strength on strength, Oklahoma has

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Speaker 2: a really good pass defense as well. Iowa State's got

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Speaker 2: a quarterback that is really unproven. He's gonna need to

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Speaker 2: show a lot here on the road. That's going to

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Speaker 2: be a difficult situation for him in my mind on this.

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Speaker 2: But if we're talking about a game that's going to

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Speaker 2: lean towards the under, I don't know how in the

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Speaker 2: world you don't take the dog on this when it's

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Speaker 2: nineteen and a half points. Now, it was twenty yesterday,

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Speaker 2: now it's nineteen and a half points. It's coming down.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully you guys are going to get nineteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: That's what I got. Freshman quarterback has a touchdown pass

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Speaker 2: and all four of us starts, and the offensive line

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Speaker 2: is good for Iowa State, they don't have the skill players.

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Speaker 2: They lost their starting quarterback, they lost their starting running back,

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Speaker 2: they lost a wide receiver, all to this gambling scandal. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying Iowa State's going in there in winning,

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Speaker 2: but I'm saying the under could very well be in

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Speaker 2: play here. And since the under is in play, we

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Speaker 2: have to take a look at the dog. We went

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Speaker 2: to take a look at Iowa State's potential to cover

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Speaker 2: this spread of nineteen and a half points. Oklahoma is

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Speaker 2: four and oh ats Okay, I know what I'm getting

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Speaker 2: in front of.

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Speaker 1: Here, all right.

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Speaker 2: They beat Arkansas State by seven seventy three points, They

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Speaker 2: beat SMU by seventeen points, They beat Tulsa by forty

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Speaker 2: nine points, and they won last week laying thirteen points

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Speaker 2: against Cincinnati. They won by fourteen points. They just covered

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Speaker 2: there on the road against Cincinnati. We just saw the

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Speaker 2: Bearcats lose to BYU. Were you overly impressed? Withincon I

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Speaker 2: wasn't overly impressed. Iowa State's two and two ats. They're

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Speaker 2: coming off of a big win at home against Oklahoma State,

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Speaker 2: where their offense got going, which I think is a

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Speaker 2: really big thing to look at here. The fact that

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Speaker 2: they were able to score points last week. Get that

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Speaker 2: freshman quarterback some experience, get them to feel better and

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Speaker 2: have some confidence. Thirty four points scored last week, We're

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Speaker 2: gonna need probably seventeen points out of Iowa State here, Okay,

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Speaker 2: because I don't think Iowa State gives up more. You know,

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Speaker 2: thirty one feels like the top, okay for what Oklahoma's

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Speaker 2: going to score.

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Speaker 1: So I need thirty one seventeen.

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Speaker 2: If we get that, we're covering nineteen and a half

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Speaker 2: points one point one units, Iowa State on the road

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Speaker 2: dogged Ou plus nineteen and a half, Iowa State and

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma all right, four bets.

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Speaker 1: Going for us here on a Saturday.

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Speaker 2: USC team total over forty seven and a half for

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Speaker 2: one point two units, Syracuse plus seven at home against

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Speaker 2: Clemson for one point one units, and plus fourteen and

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Speaker 2: a half at home against Georgia for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: And Iowa State plus nineteen and a half on the

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Speaker 2: road against Oklahoma for one point one units. Like I mentioned,

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Speaker 2: if we see a bunch of covers, a bunch of

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Speaker 2: favorites covering, it's going to be a bad day for

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Speaker 2: me here. But we've had a good run in college football.

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Speaker 2: Let's keep it going here. Hopefully dogs are barking loudly

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Speaker 2: and let's see a lot of points out of that

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Speaker 2: USC offense early in Colorado. Here today on a Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Reminder about the live stream that starts Sunday morning at

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Speaker 2: noon Eastern on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Looking forward

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Speaker 2: to seeing you guys there, asking questions, breaking down games, lines,

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Speaker 2: picks and props all to come at you for Sunday again.

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Speaker 2: College football going well, NFL not so much. Hopefully a

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Speaker 2: good Saturday and then you know, a winning Sunday of

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Speaker 2: some sorts. But it's not been a great start to

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Speaker 2: the college to the NFL season has been a phenomenal

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Speaker 2: start to the college football season for us. Here, let's

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Speaker 2: keep it going here on a Saturday minus Matt Paroltz,

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Speaker 2: follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning. It is the dil Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I was being brought to you by Omaha Steggs dot com.