WEBVTT - Brother Can You Spare a 01100100?

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Toyota. Let's go places. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>Forward Thinking. Welcome everyone to the Forward Thinking podcast, where

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about all stuff that is the future. That's right,

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<v Speaker 1>and today we're going to talk Yeah, I'm clearly not

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<v Speaker 1>alone in it in this. Uh So, today we wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about the future of digital currency. Now, let's

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<v Speaker 1>introduce ourselves. I'm Jonathan Strickland, I'm Lauren vocal Bum, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Joe McCormick, and we have a case of the sillies.

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<v Speaker 1>Now today we want to talk about digital currency. We've

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<v Speaker 1>already had one podcast that was about what cash is,

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<v Speaker 1>what currency is, what it represents, and uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're all pretty familiar with physical cash, maybe not as

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<v Speaker 1>familiar as we would like to be were not personally,

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<v Speaker 1>but hypothetically, I mean ideologically, I get it, I've seen it,

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<v Speaker 1>I want more of it. But we wanted to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about some digital currency. Really, it's the first one I

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<v Speaker 1>was going to talk about. The main one I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about is bitcoin, which is really an alternative currency.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not a currency that is backed by any particular government,

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<v Speaker 1>which is kind of an interesting idea. UM, So we

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<v Speaker 1>should probably start with the idea of what makes a

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<v Speaker 1>currency a currency? All right? So yeah, what does make

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<v Speaker 1>what What does make a currency a currency if it

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't have to be backed by a government. What makes

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<v Speaker 1>a currency a currency? Well, I've got a theory on that,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, probably not original at all, but it seems

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<v Speaker 1>that a currency is just something that everybody wants, okay, right,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's a standardized unit of wealth. And what makes

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<v Speaker 1>a currency valuable is that you can get pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>everybody to agree that they want it, um so. And

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<v Speaker 1>and this comes in where we have the idea that

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<v Speaker 1>like currency is magic, right, that that that a US dollar,

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<v Speaker 1>little green rectangle of paper that says one dollar, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and has the creepy triangle pyramid eye on it, like

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<v Speaker 1>that magically equals one dollar. Well why why does that

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<v Speaker 1>thing equal one dollar when this piece of paper that

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<v Speaker 1>I just wrote some notes on doesn't, Or why this

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<v Speaker 1>other piece of paper that has a slightly different design

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<v Speaker 1>on it is worth one hundred of those dollars? Exactly?

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<v Speaker 1>They're made of the same stuff, Yeah, exactly. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>there's nothing about this little physical object that magically equally

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<v Speaker 1>has that amount of value. Right, It's simply that we

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<v Speaker 1>we've all agreed, we've assigned to it. We've assigned that

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<v Speaker 1>to it. Sure, Yeah, and we've agreed to it, not

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<v Speaker 1>just assigned it, but that everyone has bought into it. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>It is a like I said in the last episode,

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<v Speaker 1>it is a belief system than anything else. Well, it's

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<v Speaker 1>sort of an illusion also because it's the thing. All

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<v Speaker 1>you have to do to make this hundred dollar bill

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<v Speaker 1>not worth a hundred dollars is convinced enough people that

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<v Speaker 1>it's not worth a hundred dollars, right, and then that

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<v Speaker 1>before any of you go out there and thinks, I

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<v Speaker 1>think this is gonna make me rich. If I convince

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<v Speaker 1>everybody that the money in their wallets is worthless, then

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<v Speaker 1>I can take all their money. But you're a hard

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<v Speaker 1>job of it, right, Well, first of all, you have

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<v Speaker 1>a hard job of it. But too, if you actually

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<v Speaker 1>did convince enough people for that to make you fabulously wealthy,

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<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't actually be fabulously wealthy because the money itself

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<v Speaker 1>would in fact be worthless because again, it's only worth

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<v Speaker 1>anything because people want it, So if people don't want it,

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<v Speaker 1>then it's not worth anything. The point is that the

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<v Speaker 1>value of a piece of money is not magically assigned

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<v Speaker 1>by FIA. The government can't really say what something is worth.

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<v Speaker 1>The people as a whole determine what sometimes, yeah, and

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<v Speaker 1>and the and that a certain amount of food or

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<v Speaker 1>a gallon of gas or work that I do for

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<v Speaker 1>somebody is worth that amount. Right. So so with bitcoin again,

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, you don't have to have a government

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<v Speaker 1>to back it. If people say this bitcoin has value,

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<v Speaker 1>and they and enough people believe in that in enough

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<v Speaker 1>and enough of a structure there supports it, then it

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<v Speaker 1>does have value. Well, Jonathan, what is a bitcoin? You're

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<v Speaker 1>using this word? So, bitcoin is a unit of digital currency.

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<v Speaker 1>It was first proposed by a guy named y Day

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<v Speaker 1>who proposed it in nine. It's an idea. The idea

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<v Speaker 1>is it's a cryptocurrency, meaning that it is secret like cryptozoology.

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<v Speaker 1>Well like like not such secret, like cryptography. Yeah, you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about encryption. Yeah, something about the currency has to

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<v Speaker 1>be based on encryption. I'll get into that in a second.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's essentially to a digital currency that's used that

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<v Speaker 1>can be used in transactions, just as any other currency

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<v Speaker 1>could be. So you would use this digital currency to

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<v Speaker 1>buy stuff. That stuff could be digital or it could

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<v Speaker 1>be physical so you could use the this digital currency

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<v Speaker 1>to buy a real car, assuming that there was a

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<v Speaker 1>car dealer out there willing to deal in this digital currency.

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<v Speaker 1>If they accepted it, then you could buy a car

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<v Speaker 1>with it or anything else. Um. Now, the actual currency itself,

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<v Speaker 1>even though it was proposed in didn't start to show

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<v Speaker 1>up until two thousand nine. And that's when someone who

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<v Speaker 1>was using a pseudonym. The pseudonym was Satoshi Nakamoto, began

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<v Speaker 1>to published a paper in a in a we'll not

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<v Speaker 1>published a paper wrote in a forum actually about cryptography,

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<v Speaker 1>about a proof of concept for this digital currency, and

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<v Speaker 1>that was the birth of bitcoin. Interesting thing, Uh, only

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<v Speaker 1>a few people, I assume know who this person is

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<v Speaker 1>because this person has never been publicly identified or one

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<v Speaker 1>of them. No, I do not know the actual identity.

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<v Speaker 1>I am not privy to such information. Um And if

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<v Speaker 1>I did, I wouldn't tell you. So maybe I do,

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<v Speaker 1>but I don't. So here you think about it. If

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<v Speaker 1>you have a digital currency, can you think of any

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<v Speaker 1>questions off the top of your head, like things that

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<v Speaker 1>if if the currency is digital, what are some of

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<v Speaker 1>the questions that arise in your mind? Well, first of all,

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<v Speaker 1>what is it? I mean, a US dollar is a

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<v Speaker 1>little square or not square, a little rectangle of paper

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<v Speaker 1>I put in my wallet. What what is this unit

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<v Speaker 1>of currency? It's a block of data. Okay, yeah, where

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<v Speaker 1>does that come from? Okay? So, uh the furs it's mind,

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<v Speaker 1>which sounds kind of interesting. The way it works is

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<v Speaker 1>that you have to create transactions and then through those

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<v Speaker 1>transactions you create these blocks of data, which when you

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<v Speaker 1>analyze the blocks of data, will create more bitcoins. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a gross over simplification of what's going on here, but

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<v Speaker 1>it all comes down to that idea of cryptography. Within

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<v Speaker 1>that block of data, there is what is called a hash.

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<v Speaker 1>Hash is essentially when you take uh, some numbers and

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<v Speaker 1>then you apply math to it. And when I say

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<v Speaker 1>apply math, the reason why that's vague is because it

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<v Speaker 1>depends upon the hash about you know what math radical

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<v Speaker 1>processes going on? Right? But let's say I tell you

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<v Speaker 1>that I've got you know, I've created a hash, and

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<v Speaker 1>I've got a number and that number is fifteen, And

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<v Speaker 1>I tell you, Joe that I arrived at the number

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen by adding two other numbers together, but I don't

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<v Speaker 1>tell you which two numbers they are. And for you

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to get a bitcoin, you have to

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<v Speaker 1>tell me which two numbers I added together to get fifteen. Now, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>I haven't given you any other information, so you just

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<v Speaker 1>have to start handing me guesses as to how I

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<v Speaker 1>got to that number fifteen, Right, And we knew it

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<v Speaker 1>would be pretty reasonable for you to use a computer

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<v Speaker 1>to do this rather than just shouting out numbers. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>But in this let's let's say, in this instance, I

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<v Speaker 1>tell both of you, Joe and Lauren, that I've got

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<v Speaker 1>a number fifteen. So you have to tell me which

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<v Speaker 1>two numbers I added together to get that number. And uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the first one who guesses correctly gets fifty new bitcoins.

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<v Speaker 1>Which what's your guess? What'n eight zero? No? That wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>that any sorry, but so so what happens? You would

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<v Speaker 1>keep on guessing until you were to get the ones

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<v Speaker 1>and it was sixteen, a negative one by the way. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>if you were to it once you once you were

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<v Speaker 1>to guess it, I would hand you some bitcoins, not

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<v Speaker 1>from me. I would actually generate through this process. It's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of like the idea of mining a mountain for gold.

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<v Speaker 1>Would be as if you had found a gold vein

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<v Speaker 1>while just digging randomly in the mountain, same sort of idea,

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<v Speaker 1>you were actually digging randomly using math. Now, in the

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<v Speaker 1>case of bitcoins, the numbers and hashes are way more

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<v Speaker 1>complicated than what two numbers that I used to create fifteen,

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<v Speaker 1>And so you have to use a computer to go

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<v Speaker 1>through all the various UH guesses that could potentially reach

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<v Speaker 1>whatever the hashes in order to find uh the result. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>it takes quite a bit of computing power, actually usually

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<v Speaker 1>more in fact than than just one laptop. There's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of computers that are usually working on one of

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<v Speaker 1>these at the same time right now. Well, in the

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<v Speaker 1>early days, very early days of bitcoin, this is how

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<v Speaker 1>brilliant this system is, you know, and I say brilliant.

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<v Speaker 1>This is beyond whether or not bit you consider bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>of valuable currency, al right, just the system itself is brilliant.

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<v Speaker 1>So in the early early days of bitcoin, those hashes

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<v Speaker 1>were not so complex, meaning that if you had a

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<v Speaker 1>decent computer with a decent CPU, you could start having

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<v Speaker 1>it run these various guesses and expect to maybe solve

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<v Speaker 1>a problem within um like you know, ten twenty minutes maybe,

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<v Speaker 1>and and you're you would get bitcoins. So you're just

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<v Speaker 1>like Mario jumping repeatedly into the block that gives a

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<v Speaker 1>coin every Now you're like Mario jumping at all these

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<v Speaker 1>different blocks. In one of those blocks gives coins, the

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<v Speaker 1>other blocks don't. That's the that's a better analogy. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>And so what would happen is that as more people

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<v Speaker 1>started joining in, and when I said ten or twenty minutes,

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<v Speaker 1>that's really again that's really exaggerating. But when as more

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<v Speaker 1>people joined in, that would mean that more bitcoins were

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<v Speaker 1>being mined because you have more computers working on these problems,

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<v Speaker 1>and so things start to unravel faster. Well, then the

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<v Speaker 1>system itself has a a way of fixing that, because

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want to flood the market with bitcoins and

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<v Speaker 1>then you devalue the currency. Right, That's what would happen

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<v Speaker 1>if if the FED just said, well, let's print infinite money,

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<v Speaker 1>or it would would be what would happen if you

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<v Speaker 1>dug under you know, you you reached a mountain, you

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<v Speaker 1>removed one shovel of dirt and realized that everything under

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<v Speaker 1>one layer of dirt is gold. If the mountain is

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<v Speaker 1>solid gold, you would suddenly devalue gold because there'd be

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<v Speaker 1>a ton literally, there'll be tons of it flooding the market. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so there you go. You just devalued gold. Same sort

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<v Speaker 1>of thing with with bitcoins. You cannot, you know, you

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<v Speaker 1>have to control that release of bitcoins into circulations. It's

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<v Speaker 1>intentionally making it difficult to create an artificial scarcity that

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<v Speaker 1>will keep the value in tax. It's actually you're you're

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<v Speaker 1>creating a real scarcity, but you're doing it through artificial means. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>synthetic or a forced scarce, yes, yes, yes, So there's

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<v Speaker 1>a there's already a designated number of bitcoins that will

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<v Speaker 1>ever be in existence, and beyond that there are no more.

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<v Speaker 1>That's twenty around twenty one million bitcoins. Now, the bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>itself can be divided into smaller amounts down to eight

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<v Speaker 1>decimal places. So as we get closer and closer to

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<v Speaker 1>that limit, it actually decreases the number of bitcoins you

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<v Speaker 1>will get per successful mining. So like when the it started,

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<v Speaker 1>the first uh, successful attempts at mining got you about

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<v Speaker 1>fifty bitcoins. Okay, and uh and what's a bitcoin run

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<v Speaker 1>these days? It all depends. Uh. In March, it has

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<v Speaker 1>fluctuated from forty three dollars per bitcoin to seventy eight

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<v Speaker 1>dollars per bitcoin. As as of this very moment, it

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<v Speaker 1>is seventy eight point four U S dollars. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>but as of half an hour ago, things could have changed. Ye. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>actually we know that it does. Right, that the bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>value fluctuates wildly, crazy amount of fluctuation. What makes some

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<v Speaker 1>people kind of hesitant to invest in it right now.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of people say it's not even a currency,

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<v Speaker 1>that it's really more speculation, like it's like speculating in

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<v Speaker 1>a stock that a lot of people are making their

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<v Speaker 1>money just from buying and selling bitcoin or mining and

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<v Speaker 1>selling bitcoins. All right, So getting back to the mining

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<v Speaker 1>and making it more difficult as more machines join on.

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<v Speaker 1>It was built directly into the design of bitcoins so

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<v Speaker 1>that as more computing power is applied to the problem

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<v Speaker 1>of figuring out these hashes, these transactions each time a

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:45.280
<v Speaker 1>transaction is made, that's what's allowing people to mine these

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:50.000
<v Speaker 1>other bitcoins um in order to make that when by

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:51.600
<v Speaker 1>making it more difficult, it means that you have to

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:56.640
<v Speaker 1>apply more processing power to successfully mine another bitcoin. It's

0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:59.640
<v Speaker 1>the idea of you're you're in a giant mountain. Let's

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:01.640
<v Speaker 1>go back to the mountain idea you're in a giant mountain.

0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:04.760
<v Speaker 1>There's a finite amount of gold in this mountain, and

0:13:04.760 --> 0:13:08.040
<v Speaker 1>it's scattered randomly throughout the mountain. Uh. And as you

0:13:08.120 --> 0:13:11.040
<v Speaker 1>get more and more of the gold from the easier

0:13:11.400 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 1>places to mind, the stuff that's left is harder to

0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:16.840
<v Speaker 1>get to. It's that the you know, by nature, just

0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:18.920
<v Speaker 1>the natural design, it's harder for you to get to

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 1>those places. But here's the other thing, is that if

0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:25.760
<v Speaker 1>people start backing off of mining, like if if people

0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:29.400
<v Speaker 1>were to stop dedicating so many computer resources to mining bitcoins,

0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:33.440
<v Speaker 1>then because there would be less computer power dedicated to

0:13:33.640 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>trying to get out the bitcoins, it would actually get

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:39.680
<v Speaker 1>easier to mind them again, so that the supply of

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:45.199
<v Speaker 1>bitcoins into the circulation would remain fairly steady. Right. It's

0:13:45.240 --> 0:13:46.760
<v Speaker 1>the way, the way that I understand it and correct

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:48.280
<v Speaker 1>me if I'm wrong, is that is that they're using

0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 1>the actual computation of the processing of transactions as a

0:13:53.160 --> 0:13:58.679
<v Speaker 1>monetary unit. Yeah. Essentially, the as as there are transactions

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:01.840
<v Speaker 1>that are going on, that providing the essentially the math

0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 1>problem that you have to solve in order to get

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:08.079
<v Speaker 1>more coins. So as more transactions happened, there are more

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>opportunities as well. Uh. And what happened was early on

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:16.000
<v Speaker 1>people started figuring out, hey, the CPU on my computer

0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 1>solves problems essentially going one at a time. Right, it

0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:22.760
<v Speaker 1>tries option one. Option one didn't work out, Let's move

0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:25.080
<v Speaker 1>on to option two. That didn't work out, Let's move

0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 1>on to option three. But they discovered that if they

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:32.240
<v Speaker 1>were to use graphics processing units, which can do calculations

0:14:32.240 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 1>in parallel, then you could do options one through fifty

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:38.120
<v Speaker 1>all at the same time, and then fifty one through

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 1>one hundred all at the same time. You rapidly sped

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.080
<v Speaker 1>up the process of trying to solve these problems. So

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:46.680
<v Speaker 1>people started using GPUs, they started to mind bit coins.

0:14:46.680 --> 0:14:49.600
<v Speaker 1>It was really successful, and then the difficulty ratcheted up

0:14:49.640 --> 0:14:53.440
<v Speaker 1>to meet the fact that people were using other systems.

0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Then you start networking computers together, and now you've got

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 1>a group of computers all working to mine bitcoins, which

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:04.400
<v Speaker 1>means that again you've got more processing power, so it

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:07.840
<v Speaker 1>ratchets up the difficulty. It's essentially got to the point

0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty early on that unless you were designing a computer

0:15:11.240 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 1>specifically to mind bitcoins with that sort of processing in mind,

0:15:16.360 --> 0:15:18.840
<v Speaker 1>you might as well not even try because your computer

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 1>is just not going to have the needed Like you

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 1>could still, in theory solve the problem that everyone else

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 1>is trying to solve, and you could do it first,

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 1>but but the likelihood was way low, so might as

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.360
<v Speaker 1>well pay a lotto. Yeah yeah, same sort of odds.

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Really is what it boils down to. So okay, So

0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:43.880
<v Speaker 1>now we've established that we've created this economy based on

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:47.120
<v Speaker 1>a or not an economy, but just a currency exactly

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 1>exists in the regular economy. You've created a commodity, not

0:15:52.080 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 1>even a currency, because it's not a currency until someone

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:59.600
<v Speaker 1>accepts it as payment for something else. People do that. Yes,

0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 1>so it is a currency. But what we had talked

0:16:02.000 --> 0:16:06.520
<v Speaker 1>about right now was just as So let's assume now

0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:09.240
<v Speaker 1>that we're moving on to a currency, people want to

0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:14.120
<v Speaker 1>use this to pay for stuff. Um. I I have

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a friend who's a near do well um, and he's

0:16:17.800 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 1>always looking for schemes to get money without working. He

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:28.040
<v Speaker 1>thinks up an idea. He's like, I'm gonna buy some bitcoins, okay.

0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:29.920
<v Speaker 1>And I know when I have a dollar in my

0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 1>pocket and I go to the store and I pay

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:35.200
<v Speaker 1>for a bag of doritos, I have to give the

0:16:35.240 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 1>dollar to the person working the cash register and I

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 1>can't get it back. What if I want to pay

0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 1>for something with a bitcoin, but I figure out a

0:16:45.360 --> 0:16:48.640
<v Speaker 1>way to make copies of my bitcoins so that I

0:16:48.640 --> 0:16:50.920
<v Speaker 1>can use it more than once. Okay, here's where the

0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>cryptography also comes in. So if you want your do Rito's,

0:16:55.160 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>as you say, I humans call it doritos. But that's cool.

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Do Rito's. If I wanted my bag of I'm just

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:05.640
<v Speaker 1>giving you a hard time now. No. Uh, this good

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:07.879
<v Speaker 1>question was what they grew up in East Tennessee. That

0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:12.359
<v Speaker 1>that's fair do Ritos. Well, they use what's called a

0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:15.920
<v Speaker 1>block chain, and the blockchain is part of that that

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 1>hash I was talking about that transaction, the history of

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 1>every transaction for a bitcoin is tracked and incorporated as

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:29.080
<v Speaker 1>part of that hash, meaning that when you use that

0:17:29.080 --> 0:17:32.040
<v Speaker 1>that bitcoin in a transaction, let's say the first transaction,

0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.840
<v Speaker 1>which is when you get the bitcoins. Um, then you

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:37.800
<v Speaker 1>spend the bitcoins on something. There's a vendor out there

0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:41.320
<v Speaker 1>that accepts bitcoins. You have purchased something from that vendor.

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 1>The vendor now takes possession of those bitcoins. That information

0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:48.560
<v Speaker 1>gets incorporated into the hash, that block of text and

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:52.600
<v Speaker 1>it's part of the history of that bitcoin. Now you

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 1>no longer have possession of that. If you were to

0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:56.919
<v Speaker 1>try and duplicate that in some way, you would have

0:17:56.920 --> 0:17:58.399
<v Speaker 1>to do it in such a way that would actually

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 1>invalidate the bitcoins you've already spent. But there's a record

0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:04.199
<v Speaker 1>of that. It exists, and it's across all these notes that.

0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.480
<v Speaker 1>One of the things we didn't talk about is bitcoins

0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:11.120
<v Speaker 1>appear to peer currency, So the information for all those

0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:14.240
<v Speaker 1>bitcoins is spread throughout the entire network, which means that

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>once you spend it, that information is out there every Yeah,

0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:20.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I mean they don't know that. They don't

0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:24.239
<v Speaker 1>know that you bought something with the bitcoins. They know

0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:26.960
<v Speaker 1>that that particular bitcoin was used in a transaction and

0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:29.359
<v Speaker 1>where it is now. So for you to be able

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:32.199
<v Speaker 1>to to hack the system, you would have to not

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:38.159
<v Speaker 1>only figure out the hash of whatever particular transaction you

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:41.879
<v Speaker 1>were aiming for, you would alter all the transactions that

0:18:41.920 --> 0:18:44.680
<v Speaker 1>happened after that point. So if that bitcoin had been

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:48.159
<v Speaker 1>in eighteen other transactions, that means that you would have

0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 1>to figure out a way of hacking that earlier point.

0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:53.919
<v Speaker 1>Where you've discovered that there's a vulnerability and then no

0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:56.760
<v Speaker 1>one would have to notice the fact that seventeen or

0:18:56.800 --> 0:19:00.239
<v Speaker 1>eighteen other transactions were invalidated as a result. So that's

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:04.440
<v Speaker 1>where the protection is. It. Actually, the system itself rejects, uh,

0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:08.520
<v Speaker 1>anything that looks like it's an attempt to double spend,

0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:12.080
<v Speaker 1>So that that was the because, I mean, that had

0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:13.880
<v Speaker 1>to be built in there. Otherwise, whenever you talk about

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:15.840
<v Speaker 1>digital you're like, well, what stops me from just making

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:18.000
<v Speaker 1>a copy and then a copy of a copy so

0:19:18.040 --> 0:19:20.119
<v Speaker 1>that I become an instant millionaire once I get my

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:23.240
<v Speaker 1>first bitcoin. That's what stops you, right, Yeah, Supposedly, there's

0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:25.840
<v Speaker 1>only been one major security incident. I think that happened

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:30.520
<v Speaker 1>in Uh yeah, there was there was there actually okay, yes,

0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:33.439
<v Speaker 1>there was a hacking incident there where uh and it

0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>ended up getting fixed. But whereas there was that one

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:41.640
<v Speaker 1>major incident, there was also the problem of institutions. They're

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:44.600
<v Speaker 1>acting more or less kind of like banks and exchanges

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that hold bitcoins, which is kind of the opposite of

0:19:48.560 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the purpose of the bitcoin, isn't it. I mean, kind

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:53.360
<v Speaker 1>of it's supposed to be. I mean, it's like counterculture

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:55.680
<v Speaker 1>in that it doesn't require you to have a third

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>party you're you're processing everything. Yeah, they I think the

0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 1>exchange Well, we'll get into some reasons why exchanges exist

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:05.000
<v Speaker 1>in a minute, but it's this would be places that

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 1>would end up exchanging bitcoins for other currencies that kind

0:20:09.080 --> 0:20:12.480
<v Speaker 1>of stuff. Um, and there have been a few that

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:15.359
<v Speaker 1>had been hacked. In fact, a few that that have

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:20.120
<v Speaker 1>gone under since uh the hacking attacks because all all

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:25.080
<v Speaker 1>uh confidence on the consumer level stapped away. Yeah, so

0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 1>that's really one of the issues. Another issue with bitcoins

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:31.560
<v Speaker 1>is that, uh, it's come under fire from some critics

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:34.960
<v Speaker 1>because one of the things that people are using some

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:37.480
<v Speaker 1>people are using bitcoins for is to make what would

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>otherwise be illegal purchases that are not traceable. So they

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:44.600
<v Speaker 1>end up buying bitcoins and then use those bitcoins on

0:20:44.640 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>something like the Silk Road, which is one of those

0:20:47.840 --> 0:20:51.200
<v Speaker 1>uh it's it's essentially a black market, and black market

0:20:51.240 --> 0:20:54.560
<v Speaker 1>for drugs is what's mainly known as Star Wars collectors

0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 1>items and mostly drugs. So so you know, we sit

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:00.800
<v Speaker 1>there and say like, well, you know, I can't buy

0:21:00.800 --> 0:21:05.200
<v Speaker 1>heroin with uh with cash because it's gonna yeah, well,

0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:08.320
<v Speaker 1>because I'll get caught. We're taking morality and ethics and

0:21:08.320 --> 0:21:10.880
<v Speaker 1>everything out. This is someone this is someone who who

0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:13.679
<v Speaker 1>wants heroin and they say, well, I've got bitcoin, so

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:16.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna spend it on on silk road. It's completely untraceable.

0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:20.919
<v Speaker 1>That's one of the criticisms, right, and so, uh, you know,

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 1>the idea that you could have an entire black market

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:27.120
<v Speaker 1>supported by it that's untraceable, that could end up supporting

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:30.320
<v Speaker 1>illegal activity. That's one of the reasons why the bitcoin

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:34.520
<v Speaker 1>currency has has received some criticism. Another big criticism is

0:21:34.560 --> 0:21:37.120
<v Speaker 1>the fact of its volatility, the fact that the value

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:42.399
<v Speaker 1>changes so dramatically and so quickly. Um, that's that's an issue.

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:45.640
<v Speaker 1>And some people say that it really is more like,

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:50.040
<v Speaker 1>uh like a speculative investment as opposed to a currency

0:21:50.119 --> 0:21:53.080
<v Speaker 1>that not many people are actually using it to purchase stuff.

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 1>They're using it to buy into it as if it

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:59.679
<v Speaker 1>were a star hypothetical wealth. Yeah, so that's not in

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 1>that case, it's not you know, really working as a currency.

0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:05.120
<v Speaker 1>So that that's a valid I think that's a valid

0:22:05.119 --> 0:22:09.760
<v Speaker 1>criticism as well. So here's the thing that we might

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:14.159
<v Speaker 1>have to wonder about with bitcoin or any alternative currency,

0:22:14.240 --> 0:22:16.119
<v Speaker 1>right because bitcoins are not the only one, no, but

0:22:16.200 --> 0:22:18.720
<v Speaker 1>it's it's the one that's known as being open source

0:22:18.760 --> 0:22:22.160
<v Speaker 1>and peer to peer. There are a couple of yeah,

0:22:22.240 --> 0:22:27.560
<v Speaker 1>but so is it possible for an alternative currency to

0:22:27.800 --> 0:22:32.560
<v Speaker 1>overtake the mainstream currency if enough people uh if yeah,

0:22:32.560 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>if enough people have confidence in the alternative currency and

0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 1>not enough confidence in the quote unquote official currency, then

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 1>sure there's no reason. Like if if the entire United States,

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:46.840
<v Speaker 1>or at least you know, a sizeable population the population

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:51.120
<v Speaker 1>of the United States decided spontaneously that the dollars no

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>longer really had any value but bitcoins did, then that's

0:22:54.520 --> 0:22:57.600
<v Speaker 1>what would happen, and you would have an enormous economic

0:22:57.600 --> 0:23:01.880
<v Speaker 1>crisis on your hands. Um, but that it's it's possible.

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:05.640
<v Speaker 1>It's not plausible, but it is possible. And and there

0:23:05.640 --> 0:23:09.479
<v Speaker 1>there are some some government run digital money things going on.

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:14.680
<v Speaker 1>Canada has the mint mint Chip Our Canadian Friends, which

0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:18.880
<v Speaker 1>sounds like it sounds like cream is a delicious treat.

0:23:18.960 --> 0:23:24.080
<v Speaker 1>Wait no, it's money cookies chips. But oh yeah, yeah,

0:23:24.640 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 1>but no, but but and and this is the Canadian

0:23:27.760 --> 0:23:31.520
<v Speaker 1>National Bank has released this or is planning on releasing this,

0:23:31.520 --> 0:23:33.560
<v Speaker 1>this digital money thing. And it's kind of it's kind

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 1>of a little dongle that you can just sort of

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:39.120
<v Speaker 1>poke it at other people's little digital currency and they transfer.

0:23:40.440 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 1>So the old cred stick approach, which is what what

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 1>was that shadow run where everyone had cred sticks? But

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:50.360
<v Speaker 1>uh no, I remember there's some science fiction thing where

0:23:50.400 --> 0:23:53.119
<v Speaker 1>all of your money was kept on in digital form

0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:56.600
<v Speaker 1>in some sort of physical device that you carried around,

0:23:56.680 --> 0:23:58.240
<v Speaker 1>and whenever you want to make a purchase, that would

0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:02.040
<v Speaker 1>just transfer automatically, essentially of the same thing as the

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 1>near field communication chips do and smartphones, same sort of

0:24:05.880 --> 0:24:08.040
<v Speaker 1>same sort of thing, but tied directly into the federal

0:24:08.119 --> 0:24:11.880
<v Speaker 1>reserve there rather than through a third party bank. Right. Yeah,

0:24:12.000 --> 0:24:15.000
<v Speaker 1>So I mean it's there's no reason why a digital

0:24:15.040 --> 0:24:19.399
<v Speaker 1>currency could not work. Uh. I mean, you can argue

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:23.159
<v Speaker 1>that there are some problems with keeping security in a

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:26.880
<v Speaker 1>digital format, but the same thing is true with physical currency.

0:24:26.960 --> 0:24:30.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you you've got security issues there too. It's

0:24:30.280 --> 0:24:33.640
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, it's the question is is the risks

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:37.399
<v Speaker 1>so high as to make it impractical? Uh? And or

0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:40.800
<v Speaker 1>are the Are the risks low and are the benefits high?

0:24:40.800 --> 0:24:43.600
<v Speaker 1>If they are, then obviously that would make moving to

0:24:43.800 --> 0:24:47.639
<v Speaker 1>a digital currency a higher priority. Um whether or not

0:24:47.680 --> 0:24:51.160
<v Speaker 1>we ever get to a point where dollars are mainly digital.

0:24:51.280 --> 0:24:53.719
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. I mean, the other question of that is,

0:24:54.160 --> 0:24:57.040
<v Speaker 1>do we get to a point where everyone has access

0:24:57.119 --> 0:25:00.680
<v Speaker 1>to whatever means it is to make these transactions, because

0:25:00.800 --> 0:25:04.199
<v Speaker 1>cash is also something that that certain segments of the

0:25:04.200 --> 0:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>population they can get access to cash, but they may

0:25:07.119 --> 0:25:09.560
<v Speaker 1>not have access to the to the equipment they would

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:11.920
<v Speaker 1>need to make these sort of transactions or to mine

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:14.760
<v Speaker 1>bitcoins or whatever. Sure, yeah, you know. Also, I mean,

0:25:14.840 --> 0:25:17.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, yes, you can break a dollar, Um, you

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:19.639
<v Speaker 1>can destroy a dollar. But but it's I don't know,

0:25:19.720 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>I feel like it's a lot easier to drop a

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:25.239
<v Speaker 1>electronic thing in a glass of water and kill it.

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:28.240
<v Speaker 1>That would be hopefully you'd have your bitcoins in the cloud,

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:30.639
<v Speaker 1>right yeah, and since it's appeared to peer network, you

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:34.680
<v Speaker 1>would hopefully have the ideas that the entire the digital

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:37.960
<v Speaker 1>equivalent of putting your money under your mattress. Well, the idea,

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:41.040
<v Speaker 1>the idea is that the entire network would know that

0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:44.040
<v Speaker 1>those bitcoins were with you, right, so, so there that

0:25:44.119 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 1>even if you were to have your computer explode inspector

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.400
<v Speaker 1>Gadget style, you would still have all that wealth. It's

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:51.879
<v Speaker 1>just that you would have to find another way to

0:25:51.920 --> 0:25:55.199
<v Speaker 1>be able to make the transaction. Uh. But yeah, I

0:25:55.200 --> 0:25:58.840
<v Speaker 1>mean there's there there are pros and cons certainly, and

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:01.240
<v Speaker 1>uh and to me, it's just very interesting that there

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 1>was a an attempt to create, uh, a mining operation

0:26:07.080 --> 0:26:09.879
<v Speaker 1>like that that is sort of analogous to physical mining.

0:26:10.720 --> 0:26:12.840
<v Speaker 1>It's a little different because we do know that there

0:26:12.960 --> 0:26:15.440
<v Speaker 1>is a finite limit, and we know what that finite

0:26:15.440 --> 0:26:18.480
<v Speaker 1>limit actually is. You know, it's not like it's not like,

0:26:18.520 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>oh no, we found another bitcoin mine. Yeah, we know

0:26:21.600 --> 0:26:26.680
<v Speaker 1>that everyone relation for everyone. According to what I read

0:26:26.760 --> 0:26:30.439
<v Speaker 1>that they twenty one million coins will all be mined

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:34.240
<v Speaker 1>by sometime in twenty And the reason for that is

0:26:34.280 --> 0:26:37.719
<v Speaker 1>that again, as as more bitcoins are mined, they release

0:26:37.960 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 1>fewer per year, right, they actually release so that a

0:26:42.680 --> 0:26:46.800
<v Speaker 1>successful mining attempt ends up getting fewer bitcoins than it

0:26:46.840 --> 0:26:49.200
<v Speaker 1>did before, usually half of what it was before, so

0:26:49.480 --> 0:26:51.879
<v Speaker 1>fifty to twenty five to twelve and a half too.

0:26:52.240 --> 0:26:54.919
<v Speaker 1>And and because you can divide a bitcoin up to

0:26:55.040 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 1>eight decimal places, when we start getting to one forty,

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:01.200
<v Speaker 1>when you're mining bitcoins, you're going to get incredibly tiny

0:27:01.240 --> 0:27:05.639
<v Speaker 1>percentages of an actual bitcoin every successful mining attempt. That

0:27:05.680 --> 0:27:08.879
<v Speaker 1>also means that you're that the stuff you've mind. Like

0:27:08.960 --> 0:27:12.040
<v Speaker 1>if if one bitcoin is equal to two hundred U

0:27:12.119 --> 0:27:14.639
<v Speaker 1>S dollars, then your tiny percentage of a bitcoin is

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:17.000
<v Speaker 1>not gonna be worth that much. But there are also

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:20.639
<v Speaker 1>transaction fees that happen, and you end up collecting on

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:24.280
<v Speaker 1>transaction fees if you successfully mind bitcoins. So there may

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:28.400
<v Speaker 1>come of time where the physical value of the bitcoin

0:27:28.520 --> 0:27:31.200
<v Speaker 1>you have mind is lower than the amount of money

0:27:31.200 --> 0:27:34.679
<v Speaker 1>you get in transaction fees. So that's kind of interesting too.

0:27:35.080 --> 0:27:39.440
<v Speaker 1>It's complicated. I'm curious to see how well it works

0:27:39.440 --> 0:27:42.480
<v Speaker 1>over the long run. We've seen some pretty high highs

0:27:42.520 --> 0:27:45.119
<v Speaker 1>and low lows of bitcoin, because even though you know,

0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:47.359
<v Speaker 1>seventy eight dollars sounds like a lot, that's not the

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:51.240
<v Speaker 1>peak price of no. No, I think I think I

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:53.600
<v Speaker 1>saw it go over two hundred dollars at one point.

0:27:53.720 --> 0:27:57.440
<v Speaker 1>So be interested in what events precipitate spikes in the

0:27:57.480 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin market. Well there, you know, anytime there's a a

0:28:01.000 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 1>crisis where some exchange has been hacked, it severely devalues

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:10.200
<v Speaker 1>the bitcoin, which means that which means that by stealing

0:28:10.440 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 1>the currency you have actually made it worthless, or at

0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:20.480
<v Speaker 1>least worth worth worth space less to seal it, right,

0:28:20.480 --> 0:28:22.320
<v Speaker 1>because if you steal it and suddenly it's not worth

0:28:22.440 --> 0:28:24.960
<v Speaker 1>very much, then what have you accomplished? Right, I mean,

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:28.000
<v Speaker 1>then you're like, well, especially if it took you a

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:29.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of effort to steal the money, you may have

0:28:29.920 --> 0:28:33.440
<v Speaker 1>spent more time and money trying to steal the stuff

0:28:33.480 --> 0:28:35.360
<v Speaker 1>than what it ended up being worth by the time

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:37.920
<v Speaker 1>you were done. Maybe if you're just a pure sadist

0:28:38.000 --> 0:28:39.560
<v Speaker 1>and you want to ruin it for everybody, all right,

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:43.040
<v Speaker 1>if you're a troll, if you're a currency troll. Yeah. So,

0:28:43.040 --> 0:28:45.400
<v Speaker 1>so all of you non trolls out there, if you

0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 1>have any suggestions you would like us to talk about

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.160
<v Speaker 1>in future episodes, or or if you just want to

0:28:51.240 --> 0:28:54.160
<v Speaker 1>comment on what we've said already, I highly recommend you

0:28:54.240 --> 0:28:58.080
<v Speaker 1>visit our website that's fw thinking dot com. There you're

0:28:58.120 --> 0:29:01.240
<v Speaker 1>going to find links to the video series, podcast, the blogs.

0:29:01.520 --> 0:29:04.680
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0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:06.800
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0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:09.520
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0:29:09.600 --> 0:29:11.960
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0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:14.440
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0:29:14.440 --> 0:29:16.560
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0:29:16.600 --> 0:29:18.360
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0:29:18.400 --> 0:29:24.880
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0:29:24.880 --> 0:29:39.320
<v Speaker 1>future of technology, visit forward thinking dot Com, brought to

0:29:39.360 --> 0:29:41.760
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