WEBVTT - Break Free From Daily Burnout

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanobek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Well, we love to do

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<v Speaker 1>regular check ins when it comes to crypto. It's certainly

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<v Speaker 1>something that we talk about each and every day on

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<v Speaker 1>Quick take Stock. Katie Greidfeld, who's joining me right now,

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<v Speaker 1>We concre that each day at noon Eastern time. You

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<v Speaker 1>can watch that at Bloomberg dot com slash qt. Someone

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<v Speaker 1>who joins us all the time on Quick take Stock

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<v Speaker 1>is Judika Chow. She's head of OTC options trading at Kraken.

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<v Speaker 1>She joins us on Bloomberg Business Week Radio this afternoon

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<v Speaker 1>from New York City. Ju Think, how are you hey? Guys, good,

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<v Speaker 1>how are you We're doing getting ready for this three

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<v Speaker 1>day weekend, But before we get there, we got to

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<v Speaker 1>do a deep dive into bitcoin and what's been happening

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<v Speaker 1>with crypto Bitcoin down about one point five really testing

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<v Speaker 1>that mark up. We ask you all the time, do

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<v Speaker 1>you think to explain the volatility here? Why are we

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<v Speaker 1>seeing this recent sell off when we are testing forty

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<v Speaker 1>four dollars recently? Well, I think the crypto markets, in

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin in particular, have been seeing a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a lack of conviction as it relates to UM to bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, a lot of the longholders are already long UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think the some of the bears have paired

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<v Speaker 1>their positions, and so a lot of people are on

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<v Speaker 1>the sidelines, and that's kind of resulting in Bitcoin just

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<v Speaker 1>moving with the broader markets UM but sort of following

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<v Speaker 1>the trends of the NAZAC and what's going on globally

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<v Speaker 1>UM without some of the more Bitcoin specific factors at play.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think that's kind of what's driving it

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<v Speaker 1>right now. We're definitely seeing more interest in other kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of trading like options and relatives and yield plates, but

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<v Speaker 1>I would say, in terms of the spot flows that

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing on the OTC desk, it's actually more money

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<v Speaker 1>on the sidelines and not a lot of conviction in

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<v Speaker 1>the spot stays right now. Well, Jessicau, that's what I

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<v Speaker 1>want to talk about, is that you know you are

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<v Speaker 1>seeing a lot of interest in trading. I mean, if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the NASZAC one hundred, like you said,

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at options and derivatives, there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of activity there. Not a ton when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>crypto though. I mean, if you look across exchanges right now,

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<v Speaker 1>crypto exchanges that ends, you have seen trading volumes drop.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm curious. So if this is this sort of

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<v Speaker 1>malaise is to continue where you know we're sort of

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<v Speaker 1>range bound, sort of trading sideways, is that ultimately bad

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<v Speaker 1>news for crypto because I mean, at least when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to uh some of the people I follow on Twitter,

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like the volatility is part of the fun.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's no question that volumes are inversely proportional

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<v Speaker 1>to volatility. So if you looked at when we have

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<v Speaker 1>the bull run, it wasn't just the fact that bigoin

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<v Speaker 1>was going up, but the volatility was realized was north

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<v Speaker 1>of a hundred, and that was sustained for months at

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<v Speaker 1>a time, and that was definitely good for volumes and

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<v Speaker 1>activity and kind of building momentum. And I think, like

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<v Speaker 1>real economic momentum, um and momentum goes both ways, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like inertia, so things sort of stop moving and

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<v Speaker 1>people stop talking about it, and I think that definitely

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<v Speaker 1>comes into plan. We're seeing that with bitcoin sitting at

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<v Speaker 1>a sixties seventy ball um. The other aspect is that

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<v Speaker 1>it usually is relative to what the other opportunities are

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<v Speaker 1>and so to the extent there is UH volatility or

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<v Speaker 1>relative volatility in the stock market, then capital might be

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<v Speaker 1>deployed there instead. The one thing I will say is

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<v Speaker 1>that on the option side, we do see um. We're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing very healthy flows and activity, and I think part

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<v Speaker 1>of the reason there is because with options there's a

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<v Speaker 1>wider range of more nuanced positions and bets that people

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<v Speaker 1>can put on different kinds of yield place so it's

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<v Speaker 1>not as simple as just buying or selling. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>there's no question that overall, all, you know, as we

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<v Speaker 1>want damp and volatility as a sign of maturity um

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to trading, volume and activity, it has

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of quieting effect. And something I think about

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<v Speaker 1>a lot is that there seems like there's no shortage

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<v Speaker 1>of enthusiasm in the broadbrush crypto space if you think

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<v Speaker 1>about all the enthusiasm around Web three, around Defy, around

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<v Speaker 1>the metaverse, but it seems like that isn't translating into

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<v Speaker 1>the price of bitcoin at all. So I'd love to

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<v Speaker 1>hear your thoughts on whether we're sort of seeing I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know, maybe a bifurcation in the space, maybe something

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<v Speaker 1>not as strong as that. But again, it just seems

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<v Speaker 1>like there is a lot of enthusiasm and things to

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<v Speaker 1>get excited about in the broader cryptocurrency universe, but not

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily when it comes to the prices of the coins. Definitely,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is something we've seen over the years. The

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<v Speaker 1>price of the coins is often driven by whales um

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<v Speaker 1>by very large healthy accumulation, unhealthy accumulation um It's really

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<v Speaker 1>the price action can deviate sometimes from what we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of like the fundamentals on the ground. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think if I look back to like that happened

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<v Speaker 1>in maybe more of a negative way, which is that

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<v Speaker 1>price was appreciating extremely rapidly, much more than some of

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<v Speaker 1>the actual progress that we were making in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>building out use cases and protocol development. Now one could

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<v Speaker 1>argue it's perhaps the opposite. There's prices a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of lackluster given some inflation concerns, but there's more going

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<v Speaker 1>on in terms of building, investment in space, hiring in

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<v Speaker 1>the space UM from traditional finance and tech, and so

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of these things will see play

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<v Speaker 1>out over the course of years as UM companies are

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<v Speaker 1>built in use cases are built, and it's not necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>reflected in price because those dynamics are a little bit different.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you think that we only have about forty seconds

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<v Speaker 1>left with you? But I'm wondering, when you think about

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<v Speaker 1>the crypto universe, what is it we should be focused on.

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<v Speaker 1>What's it our that our investor audience should be focused

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<v Speaker 1>on in terms of catalysts move forward? Well, I think

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<v Speaker 1>right now there's definitely a pay attention to the macro environment,

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<v Speaker 1>mostly in terms of UM, in terms of volatility, but

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<v Speaker 1>also in terms of inflation. You know, I think with

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<v Speaker 1>the three of us have talked a lot about whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not crypto is an inflation hedge, and at some

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<v Speaker 1>point the tides will turn in. It actually will become

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<v Speaker 1>an inflation hedge, and I think being positioned right at

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<v Speaker 1>that time. The question is when the question is when.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we've had plenty of hot inflation, Prince haven't

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<v Speaker 1>really seen too much of it into crypto lately. But

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<v Speaker 1>to Jessica's point, it seems like a tech sock. Juso,

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<v Speaker 1>head of OTC Options trading at crack and joining us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New York City. I want to

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<v Speaker 1>bring in James Army, who's an arts columnist for Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>business Week. James joins us on the phone from New

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<v Speaker 1>York City. James, I saw this story crossed this morning,

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<v Speaker 1>and I immediately said we have to get James Tarmy

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg business Week radio to explain what exactly is

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<v Speaker 1>happening and talk about it. Um DuPont Airis is sued

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<v Speaker 1>by museum that alleges she took antiques. What's going on here?

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<v Speaker 1>It's quite a story, and the long and short of

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<v Speaker 1>it is that, uh, this woman named Sabrina DuPont Wangenegger,

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<v Speaker 1>whose father was William K. DuPont Um, was uh gifted,

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<v Speaker 1>she says, um a serious of objects in twenty nineteen. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>her father died uh in, and it turned out that

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<v Speaker 1>there was a coddessil to his will that said that

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<v Speaker 1>some of these objects were supposed to go to, uh

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<v Speaker 1>this museum called Winter Okay, wait, I just want to

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<v Speaker 1>I just want to jump in yes. So, so basically

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<v Speaker 1>just think of it as like a little amendment to

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<v Speaker 1>his will that says, by the way, I want X

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<v Speaker 1>number of objects to go to this museum. And the

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<v Speaker 1>museum is actually a museum that was founded by a

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<v Speaker 1>member of the DuPont family. This is a sprawling, very wealthy,

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<v Speaker 1>very old family um and they had a long history

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<v Speaker 1>of giving um objects to Winter churchs UM, an independent institution,

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<v Speaker 1>but the family had been very involved in it. Long

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<v Speaker 1>story short. Uh, She realizes, oh, wait, you know I

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<v Speaker 1>should back up. If the objects in the will are

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<v Speaker 1>sold or given or gifted, great, no one is under

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<v Speaker 1>any obligation to give them back. It's just if these

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<v Speaker 1>things are still part of my estate, they can go

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<v Speaker 1>to the museum. So father dies, she informs the museum

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<v Speaker 1>that there's one thing less um in the will. It

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<v Speaker 1>rather in the estate that was in this kind of

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<v Speaker 1>coddissol and the museum says, great, thank you, takes the thing,

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<v Speaker 1>takes the objects. That's that until there's a major auction

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<v Speaker 1>um of this guy's estate and the daughter had included

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<v Speaker 1>some of the objects she'd been gifted. The museum says,

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<v Speaker 1>wait a second, youth, that these weren't part of the estate.

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<v Speaker 1>Now you're selling them, we want them back. It's there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of twists and turns, but what the real

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<v Speaker 1>takeaway is get your affairs in order, because there's no

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<v Speaker 1>way for the daughter to really prove that she received

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<v Speaker 1>the gifts to his father to a daughter. Yeah, it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's sorry, I'm I'm I'm talking a lot about It's well,

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<v Speaker 1>you need to because it's a really complicated story that

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<v Speaker 1>involves cottils and wills and antiques. That's a new word

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<v Speaker 1>for me. I love to reading this. And there's a

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a whole part about the codicil in

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<v Speaker 1>the story. And I mean, James, do we know what

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<v Speaker 1>objects that we're arguing over? Because okay, so the lawsuit

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<v Speaker 1>says that you know, she attempted to sell five antiques

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<v Speaker 1>valued at roughly two d thousand dollars. What what what

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<v Speaker 1>are these antiques? Do we know? So? Yeah, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they're they're pieces of kind of American decorative arts. So

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<v Speaker 1>there are various pieces of nature, but then there's also

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<v Speaker 1>some documents that had historical significance. The thing to remember

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<v Speaker 1>about this, though, is that it represents a very small

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<v Speaker 1>fraction of the overall estate. So the option of this

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<v Speaker 1>man's belongings brought in close to seven million dollars. What

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<v Speaker 1>they're arguing about represents maybe three of the overall estate.

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<v Speaker 1>And I spoke with her um after we kind of

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<v Speaker 1>discovered this suite, and she said that the entire process

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<v Speaker 1>was utterly absurd because it represented such a tiny part

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<v Speaker 1>of the estate. That and she told the museum about

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<v Speaker 1>the existence of the will. She didn't really have to

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<v Speaker 1>tell them if she was trying to defraud them. So

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<v Speaker 1>she's sort of outraged about this, and rather than settled

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<v Speaker 1>with them, she is actually fighting because she feels like

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<v Speaker 1>this is a sort of slap in the face given

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<v Speaker 1>her family has given many millions of dollars to the

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<v Speaker 1>museum over over the years. So that's what I wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to talk to you about, because you know, she told

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<v Speaker 1>you in an interview that she's very saddened by this

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<v Speaker 1>whole situation. Quote, I will absolutely defend my integrity, which

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<v Speaker 1>I feel has been called into question, and I will

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely defend my father's wishes. So it's not about the

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<v Speaker 1>actual stuff for her, right, quite quite right, actually, But

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<v Speaker 1>is it about that for the museum? Sorry, go ahead, James,

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<v Speaker 1>you know this, I have, so I don't. The short

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<v Speaker 1>answer is for the museum, I don't know. They issued

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<v Speaker 1>a statement and wouldn't comment on the record. But there

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<v Speaker 1>are court documents that you have you can go through

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<v Speaker 1>that are part of this suit at the museum filed

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<v Speaker 1>in Delaware court UM. And in that these documents you

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<v Speaker 1>can actually see correspondence from them, and they are very

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<v Speaker 1>very careful in their correspondent with the estate and with

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<v Speaker 1>the daughter to say, listen, we're not calling your integrity

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<v Speaker 1>into question. We are not calling you a liar. We're

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<v Speaker 1>not saying that you sold these things. However, we as

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<v Speaker 1>an institution have a fiduciary duty to ensure that we

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<v Speaker 1>are UM following up on this because this was gifted

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<v Speaker 1>to us and we can't just walk away from it

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<v Speaker 1>because you say it's yours. So it's actually UM in

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<v Speaker 1>a certain respects not really about the money from an

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<v Speaker 1>outside of perspective, It doesn't seem like it's about the

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<v Speaker 1>money from either side, because of course Winter Term Museum

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<v Speaker 1>has around nineties thousand objects in this exquisite hundred and

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:51.559
<v Speaker 1>seventy five room mansion on a thousand acres of manager

0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:54.520
<v Speaker 1>of gardens. It's really exquisite. This is in this is

0:12:54.559 --> 0:13:00.240
<v Speaker 1>in Delaware. Um. But but I think neither party is

0:13:00.920 --> 0:13:06.559
<v Speaker 1>particularly avaricious from the and this is from an outside perspective,

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:11.760
<v Speaker 1>neither seems desperate for the money. Instead, they both seem

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 1>to be at least on the outside looking me and

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:19.800
<v Speaker 1>pursuing it. On principle, James, what is your best guess

0:13:19.880 --> 0:13:22.120
<v Speaker 1>about how this ends? I mean, is this museum going

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:23.960
<v Speaker 1>to end up with these objects at the end of

0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:28.800
<v Speaker 1>the day. You know, I really can't say, Um, what

0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I could can say, you know, I mean, I'm I'm

0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:34.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a legal expert on the street law. What

0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:38.880
<v Speaker 1>what I what I can say is that, um, both

0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 1>sides appear to have equally compelling claimed Um. You know,

0:13:47.559 --> 0:13:53.880
<v Speaker 1>in the sense that, uh, there there is ample documentation

0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:58.240
<v Speaker 1>on the daughter's side to demonstrate that these were a gift.

0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 1>But it's not rock salt a documentation, So it's not

0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:03.880
<v Speaker 1>like she has a smoking gun. And if she did

0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:06.719
<v Speaker 1>have a smoking gun where she could produce it, the

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:08.959
<v Speaker 1>museum wouldn't have brought the lawsuit in the first place.

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:13.079
<v Speaker 1>So you you have, on the daughter's side a long

0:14:13.200 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 1>history of the father giving her gifts, and you have

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>the father actually having revised. And this is where it

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:23.520
<v Speaker 1>gets even thorn here. The father then revised um what

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>he wanted to give to the museum three years later,

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:29.880
<v Speaker 1>and then entered into a separate promised gift contract where

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 1>he included some of the stuff he was going to

0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:35.000
<v Speaker 1>give but not other stuff, which the daughter says demonstrates

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 1>that he had changed his mind and wanted to give

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 1>her these gifts in the first place. But there are

0:14:38.960 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of twists and turns, as I said earlier,

0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 1>but I think that it actually has um much broader

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 1>resonance for those of us who are not members of

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 1>a sprawling billionaire family, and those of us who do

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:56.120
<v Speaker 1>not run museums, which is that um. You know, oftentimes

0:14:56.840 --> 0:15:04.280
<v Speaker 1>there can be informal interact some transactions between family members,

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 1>but if family members have obligations to other institutions, when

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:11.960
<v Speaker 1>that dies, you have to issue some level of accounting

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:14.760
<v Speaker 1>for the things that you have. And this is not

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:17.640
<v Speaker 1>just a question that is facing the very wealthy or

0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>even the moderately wealthy. Um. This is something that faces

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:25.440
<v Speaker 1>or that that many people who will be receiving things

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 1>in their parents or spouses. UM. States. Um, you need

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>to actually keep in mind. And that's why I think

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:35.360
<v Speaker 1>that this is such a kind of compelling case, even

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 1>though the actual states in terms of dollar amounts are

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 1>actually quite small. Yeah. That's a really good point, James,

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 1>because that's something that we hear a lot about, especially

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 1>with the wealth transfer that's happening between generations and the

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>historic wealth transfer that that's set to happen. Um. As

0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:53.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, the greatest generation ages out, and indeed baby

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:58.040
<v Speaker 1>boomers do as well. Uh, James, before we go, forgive

0:15:58.040 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>me because I know that you're the arts columnist, and

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:04.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering how often you cover stories like this, Um,

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 1>just in the context of of Katie asked, what's you know,

0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>what's next? How it ends? I want to know how

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:12.840
<v Speaker 1>long it could take, because these things can be tied

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 1>up for a long time, right. Oh. Absolutely, unless there's

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 1>some settlements, this could easily take years. And UM, it's

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 1>it's it really depends on how um malleable or or

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:34.400
<v Speaker 1>how willing to reach a compromise either party is. And UM,

0:16:34.440 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>I think at least you know, again, I didn't actually

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 1>speak to the museum on the records, so I can't

0:16:39.560 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 1>I can't actually speak to this. But from the daughter's side,

0:16:42.120 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 1>she's in budging because she feels like she is in

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:50.000
<v Speaker 1>the moral and legal right. UM. And so there's a

0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 1>strong possibility that this ends up is going to do court.

0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 1>So James, UM, what what comes next in the process here?

0:16:56.400 --> 0:16:57.720
<v Speaker 1>What are you going to be looking out for you

0:16:57.720 --> 0:17:00.960
<v Speaker 1>continue to follow the story? Well, is going to be discovery.

0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:04.960
<v Speaker 1>So they will actually both sides will actually keep adding

0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:08.600
<v Speaker 1>documentation to the case. There will be UM, yet another

0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 1>affidavit from the UM from the daughter, the museum will

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:16.840
<v Speaker 1>continue to add UM. The museum will continue to add

0:17:16.880 --> 0:17:21.920
<v Speaker 1>documentation in what's in a kind of process of exploration,

0:17:22.440 --> 0:17:26.360
<v Speaker 1>and then UM, if necessary, will go to trial. UM.

0:17:26.840 --> 0:17:30.879
<v Speaker 1>And that's that's sort of what I'm waiting on and

0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 1>what we'll be watched. And James, the the woman at

0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:39.120
<v Speaker 1>the center of the Sabrina DuPont lnon Egger, UM, can

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:41.320
<v Speaker 1>you talk a little bit about the way that her

0:17:41.400 --> 0:17:44.480
<v Speaker 1>dad's estate kind of change from being overseen by his

0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 1>family office earlier in his life, but then towards the

0:17:46.840 --> 0:17:52.320
<v Speaker 1>end of his life he didn't have that same infrastructure. Yeah, so, UM,

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.879
<v Speaker 1>I can't speak too much to it, but I what

0:17:56.040 --> 0:17:59.119
<v Speaker 1>I what I can't say is that she basically talked

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:04.720
<v Speaker 1>about him kind of scaling back his business activities and um,

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>as a result, he had less of a need for

0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 1>a very kind of a large office to manage his affairs.

0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:15.679
<v Speaker 1>So they had family advisors still, including a family lawyer

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:18.000
<v Speaker 1>and a family accountant, but not people who were kind

0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:22.040
<v Speaker 1>of permanently on the pay roll. UM. And so you know,

0:18:22.240 --> 0:18:26.520
<v Speaker 1>he was a person her father was a person who

0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>fought and sold and traded antiques as a hobby constantly. UM.

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:35.480
<v Speaker 1>And you know, he collected one of the pre eminent

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 1>collections of Chippendale furniture and then sold it all in

0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 1>the nineties when he um sold most of it in

0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:46.679
<v Speaker 1>the nineties when he became interested by something else. And

0:18:46.720 --> 0:18:50.400
<v Speaker 1>she told me that, you know, he had a very

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:55.000
<v Speaker 1>fluid idea of collecting, which is that he didn't just

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:57.560
<v Speaker 1>want to buy it and hold it. He was always

0:18:57.600 --> 0:18:59.959
<v Speaker 1>on the lookout for something better. Than what he had

0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 1>ad and when he found that he wouldn't keep the

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>old thing, he would sell it, he would move on UM.

0:19:05.359 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 1>And so you know that is he was a man

0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:13.880
<v Speaker 1>of substantial means UM and that was totally possible. But

0:19:14.000 --> 0:19:18.760
<v Speaker 1>it meant that when he died, because he didn't have

0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>this family office infrastructure in place anymore, it meant that

0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:26.639
<v Speaker 1>she was in charge of dealing with this pretty vast

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 1>amount of objects that she told me that there were

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 1>at least fifteen hundred maybe more. He had a gentleman's

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:40.320
<v Speaker 1>farm in Delaware, UM, and it was a monumental undertaking

0:19:40.359 --> 0:19:44.320
<v Speaker 1>because she was basically UM, she told me, doing it

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:47.800
<v Speaker 1>on her own. And this again once again gets back

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 1>to this idea UM, that this has resonance for a

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 1>broader audience because it's really about UM trying to make

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:03.080
<v Speaker 1>sure that there is some level of uh, not only documentation,

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 1>but accounting of of objects. And you know, frankly, I

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 1>don't think I know a single person who has inventory

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:15.200
<v Speaker 1>lists of their belongings. It's just not how most people

0:20:15.240 --> 0:20:18.560
<v Speaker 1>I know, even people who have lots of stuff or

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:21.960
<v Speaker 1>lots of questables, are at works really work. And I

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:24.360
<v Speaker 1>think that it can be a weak up call when

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:27.680
<v Speaker 1>you actually hear about this. Well, James, it's it's it's

0:20:27.880 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>not just kind of you know, you don't want to

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:31.679
<v Speaker 1>make that call get in touch with a lawyer, but

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 1>you'd also people I don't think want to think about

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:37.439
<v Speaker 1>mortality right and how things yea, how things go at

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>the end, Um, James, this was a really fantastic deep

0:20:41.000 --> 0:20:43.600
<v Speaker 1>dive into a story I had no idea about. We

0:20:43.640 --> 0:20:46.159
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate you taking the time and giving us all

0:20:46.160 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 1>the details on it. James Tommy is arts calumnist for

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. You got to check this story out.

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:53.880
<v Speaker 1>It's available online and on the Bloomberg terminal. Well, I've

0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:56.680
<v Speaker 1>been really looking forward this week to speaking to our

0:20:56.760 --> 0:21:00.399
<v Speaker 1>next guest. She's got a really, really interesting back ground.

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:03.639
<v Speaker 1>She's an entrepreneur, she's a best selling author, she's a

0:21:03.720 --> 0:21:07.680
<v Speaker 1>keynote speaker. But before this, she was a refugee UH

0:21:07.800 --> 0:21:10.760
<v Speaker 1>from the former Soviet Union, coming to the United States

0:21:10.800 --> 0:21:13.879
<v Speaker 1>at just the age of thirteen. She's also worked at

0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:18.080
<v Speaker 1>places like McKinsey and Company and Microsoft, UH and more.

0:21:19.000 --> 0:21:22.840
<v Speaker 1>Her new book is called The Awesome Human Project. Break

0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:26.119
<v Speaker 1>Free from Daily Burnout, struggle Less and Thrive more in

0:21:26.240 --> 0:21:29.280
<v Speaker 1>work and life. Natalie Cogan joins us now she's the

0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:31.320
<v Speaker 1>founder of Happier Inc. As well. She joins us on

0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:35.359
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Boston. Natalie, how are you so thrilled

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:37.440
<v Speaker 1>to be here? Thank you, Well, we're thrilled to have you.

0:21:37.600 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Before we talked about the book, I just want you

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to take us back to that moment that you realized

0:21:42.480 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 1>you wanted to sort of make this change in your life,

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 1>because you have these experiences that I think, uh, a

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:52.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of our audience has working for large firms, working

0:21:52.280 --> 0:21:55.239
<v Speaker 1>in the consulting business. Uh, what was happening in your

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:58.280
<v Speaker 1>life at that point. Yeah, it's a great question, you know,

0:21:58.400 --> 0:22:00.880
<v Speaker 1>coming here as a refugee, I have the American dream.

0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:03.639
<v Speaker 1>You know my parents and I my parents sacrificed everything

0:22:03.680 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 1>to bring me here. So I had the American dream.

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:07.960
<v Speaker 1>And here I was. I didn't speak English when we came,

0:22:08.000 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 1>and here I was at mckensey and I was in

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:12.919
<v Speaker 1>venture capital at the age of five. There's fewer than

0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 1>six percent women in VC. I was, you know, doing uh,

0:22:16.800 --> 0:22:22.520
<v Speaker 1>really meaningful work, but uh, always at the expense of myself.

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:26.600
<v Speaker 1>I really believe that emotions have nothing to do with work.

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:29.200
<v Speaker 1>I kind of followed that old school, a dodge of

0:22:29.280 --> 0:22:31.720
<v Speaker 1>leave emotions at the door. Um. No one ever talked

0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:34.280
<v Speaker 1>to me about that, and so UM I had achieved

0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a tremendous amount of success, but inside I was really struggling.

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 1>UM just overwhelmed and exhausted. And as a leader I

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 1>in all these companies, I always thought my job was

0:22:45.600 --> 0:22:48.080
<v Speaker 1>to pretend that everything was amazing, no matter how I

0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:51.119
<v Speaker 1>how I felt. And it got to a point where

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:53.800
<v Speaker 1>I couldn't. I couldn't hold it all in anymore. And

0:22:53.840 --> 0:22:56.680
<v Speaker 1>I several years ago, went through a really severe burnout,

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>which is something I know a lot of folks relate

0:22:58.600 --> 0:23:01.879
<v Speaker 1>to right now. And that got me to a place

0:23:01.920 --> 0:23:04.719
<v Speaker 1>where I couldn't just will myself through anymore. I couldn't

0:23:04.760 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 1>just push it. I couldn't grit my way through. I

0:23:07.640 --> 0:23:09.359
<v Speaker 1>was really good at GRID, but I had to, for

0:23:09.440 --> 0:23:12.720
<v Speaker 1>the first time in my life, recognize that it's not

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:15.199
<v Speaker 1>enough to care about your work. It's not enough to

0:23:15.240 --> 0:23:18.400
<v Speaker 1>care about your team or your organization. You can't give

0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:21.000
<v Speaker 1>what you don't have. You have to cultivate your own

0:23:21.080 --> 0:23:23.600
<v Speaker 1>emotional and mental health in order to really show up.

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 1>And so I went searching a determinous amount of research

0:23:26.680 --> 0:23:29.359
<v Speaker 1>and UM just to help myself heal and ended up

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:32.320
<v Speaker 1>developing a method that UM I now get to teach

0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:35.760
<v Speaker 1>to others, which is UM a great honor. Well, let's

0:23:35.760 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 1>talk about that method, because I mean, personally speaking, I

0:23:38.880 --> 0:23:42.200
<v Speaker 1>would love to know how do I break free from burnout?

0:23:42.240 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 1>How do you how do you prevent it from happening?

0:23:44.040 --> 0:23:46.240
<v Speaker 1>And if it's already happened, I mean, how do you

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:49.680
<v Speaker 1>bounce back from that? Yeah, it's a great question, UM

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:52.200
<v Speaker 1>that I'll try to answer as as short as possible.

0:23:52.320 --> 0:23:55.160
<v Speaker 1>So just to get to the second part first, if

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:58.679
<v Speaker 1>you are really feeling UM on empty, UM, one of

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.520
<v Speaker 1>the some of the signs that burnout are feeling really

0:24:01.560 --> 0:24:05.000
<v Speaker 1>depleted of all energy, starting to resent work that you

0:24:05.119 --> 0:24:09.000
<v Speaker 1>otherwise UM like, withdrawing from social interactions. These are all

0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:12.760
<v Speaker 1>things I'd experienced. UM, you're probably in that place. And

0:24:12.800 --> 0:24:14.600
<v Speaker 1>so if you're in that place, the thing I want

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:18.000
<v Speaker 1>you to please here is that you can't just ignore

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 1>it and make it through. You have to pause and

0:24:21.200 --> 0:24:24.560
<v Speaker 1>think about how do you make your emotional fitness your

0:24:24.720 --> 0:24:27.119
<v Speaker 1>well being? How do you make that your daily priority?

0:24:27.359 --> 0:24:30.199
<v Speaker 1>And it doesn't require you resigning, It doesn't require you

0:24:30.320 --> 0:24:34.200
<v Speaker 1>throwing everything out the door. It requires things like, Okay,

0:24:34.280 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 1>when do I do something that fuels my energy? How

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:39.679
<v Speaker 1>do I take a break? How do I do something

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:43.120
<v Speaker 1>that fuels me as a person unrelated to my work?

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:44.639
<v Speaker 1>And so if you're in that place, you really have

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:48.359
<v Speaker 1>to make that a priority to not get stuck in

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 1>that cycle of daily burn out, to not get there. Um,

0:24:51.600 --> 0:24:54.560
<v Speaker 1>it's a connected answer, but the first thing to recognize

0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:58.880
<v Speaker 1>is there. You and your job are two separate entities

0:24:58.920 --> 0:25:01.000
<v Speaker 1>in a relationship with its other. And just like we

0:25:01.080 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 1>know for any healthy relationship with another person, each person

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:07.600
<v Speaker 1>really needs to fuel themselves to show up fully. You

0:25:07.720 --> 0:25:10.840
<v Speaker 1>can't over rely, you know, even if your job is

0:25:10.880 --> 0:25:13.720
<v Speaker 1>really meaningful, that doesn't mean it can give you everything

0:25:13.720 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 1>you need, including rests, because you're a human being and energy.

0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:20.200
<v Speaker 1>And so just that construct to think about this question

0:25:20.240 --> 0:25:22.600
<v Speaker 1>that I've been offering to people is how would I

0:25:22.640 --> 0:25:25.080
<v Speaker 1>describe my relationship with my job? Because one of the

0:25:25.160 --> 0:25:28.159
<v Speaker 1>misconceptions about burnout is, um, it happens when we have

0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:31.080
<v Speaker 1>too much work. Having too much work is just one

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:35.439
<v Speaker 1>of the many, many factors and others. Natalie, I just

0:25:35.440 --> 0:25:37.560
<v Speaker 1>want to jump in here with a couple of things. One,

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:40.280
<v Speaker 1>we are a waiting President Biden, so we will be

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:42.560
<v Speaker 1>going to him. When we do. He does start to

0:25:42.600 --> 0:25:45.200
<v Speaker 1>speak to give us an update on the situation on

0:25:45.280 --> 0:25:47.880
<v Speaker 1>the border of Russia and Ukraine. But now they want

0:25:47.880 --> 0:25:50.800
<v Speaker 1>to talk about the pandemic. Because the idea of burnout

0:25:50.840 --> 0:25:53.160
<v Speaker 1>really I think shifted a lot over the last couple

0:25:53.200 --> 0:25:55.560
<v Speaker 1>of years as people have been many have been stuck

0:25:55.600 --> 0:25:58.119
<v Speaker 1>at home, many people now working from home or you know,

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:01.680
<v Speaker 1>attempting to work from home. Um, how does how does

0:26:01.680 --> 0:26:03.480
<v Speaker 1>that shift the idea of burnout? And what are the

0:26:03.520 --> 0:26:05.640
<v Speaker 1>types of breaks that you can take if you roll

0:26:05.680 --> 0:26:07.480
<v Speaker 1>out of bed in the morning and you jump on

0:26:07.600 --> 0:26:12.080
<v Speaker 1>zoom and you're doing that until dinner time. Yeah, the

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:15.240
<v Speaker 1>boundaries of all blurred. Um for all of us who

0:26:15.240 --> 0:26:17.160
<v Speaker 1>I've said lucky enough to work from home. And there's

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:18.720
<v Speaker 1>even a couple of tips that I just want to

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 1>offer really concretely. So it is really important to get

0:26:22.280 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 1>disciplined about taking breaks, and it is we we we

0:26:25.920 --> 0:26:28.800
<v Speaker 1>do have the capacity. Microsoft just released a study where

0:26:28.800 --> 0:26:32.160
<v Speaker 1>they looked at just taking five minute breaks between meetings

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 1>dramatically reduce the stress and um emotional exhaustion. So having

0:26:37.119 --> 0:26:39.240
<v Speaker 1>the discipline that Okay, I'm done with this meeting. I'm

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:41.640
<v Speaker 1>gonna get up out of my chair. I'm gonna even

0:26:41.680 --> 0:26:43.600
<v Speaker 1>if you have to walk around the room or go

0:26:43.680 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 1>to another room in the house. If you cannot, all

0:26:45.600 --> 0:26:48.640
<v Speaker 1>take a walk outside. So taking those shower breaks, it's

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:51.600
<v Speaker 1>really essential. It helps the brain reset. The other thing

0:26:51.640 --> 0:26:55.960
<v Speaker 1>that I really recommend is to create these discipline both

0:26:55.960 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 1>emotional and physical boundaries. So instead of jumping on zoom

0:26:59.119 --> 0:27:01.159
<v Speaker 1>as you rule out of bed, take a moment, and

0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 1>one of the emotional fitness skills I teach us gratitude.

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:06.679
<v Speaker 1>Take a moment, write down three things you are grateful for.

0:27:06.800 --> 0:27:09.040
<v Speaker 1>What it helps you do is it uh practice and

0:27:09.080 --> 0:27:12.840
<v Speaker 1>gratitude reduce the stress. It helps you um not ignore

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:15.440
<v Speaker 1>the good things in your life, which otherwise your negativity

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 1>bias ignored. And it's a way to center yourself and

0:27:18.920 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 1>fuel yourself before you you know, the work takes over.

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:25.560
<v Speaker 1>So beginning your day with gratitude at the end of

0:27:25.600 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 1>your work day, to have some kind of a little

0:27:28.119 --> 0:27:32.000
<v Speaker 1>tiny ritual to transition from work too, I'm now going

0:27:32.000 --> 0:27:34.720
<v Speaker 1>to focus on my family, or myself or my friends.

0:27:34.720 --> 0:27:38.120
<v Speaker 1>So for example, something as simple as closing down your

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:40.360
<v Speaker 1>computer turning the lights off in the room where you're

0:27:40.359 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 1>working and walking outside maybe to get some fresh air,

0:27:44.160 --> 0:27:47.280
<v Speaker 1>or uh, leaving your phone and closing the door. Our

0:27:47.320 --> 0:27:51.320
<v Speaker 1>brain responds to these kind of physical cues, and creating

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 1>some of those boundaries really helps the brain to disconnect

0:27:54.920 --> 0:27:58.479
<v Speaker 1>and have have those separations so we don't continually just

0:27:58.560 --> 0:28:01.159
<v Speaker 1>think about work and just get in that cycle and

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:03.320
<v Speaker 1>nat only something that caught my eye in the notes

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:05.919
<v Speaker 1>you centers before the show is that you know you

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:09.719
<v Speaker 1>should shift from harsh self talk to self compassion. And

0:28:09.720 --> 0:28:12.120
<v Speaker 1>that caught my eye because I mean, that's something that

0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:14.280
<v Speaker 1>you know I struggle with too, So I would love

0:28:14.320 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>to hear some tips on how how you do shift

0:28:17.760 --> 0:28:21.240
<v Speaker 1>that that kind of that self talk, that inner monologue

0:28:21.280 --> 0:28:24.640
<v Speaker 1>into something that's a little bit more positive. Well, first

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:25.840
<v Speaker 1>of all, I just want to say I love that

0:28:25.880 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 1>you brought this up, because when we think of burnout,

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 1>we think of external things, and actually things like the

0:28:31.320 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 1>way we talk to ourselves, the way we look at

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:38.360
<v Speaker 1>the world dramatically impact a risk of burnout. So a

0:28:38.400 --> 0:28:40.760
<v Speaker 1>couple of really concrete tips. So a practice that I

0:28:40.920 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 1>use is when you notice that you're talking to yourself

0:28:43.920 --> 0:28:45.760
<v Speaker 1>in a harsh way. We all know that in our

0:28:45.760 --> 0:28:49.560
<v Speaker 1>critic chatter. Take a pause and then imagine that you

0:28:49.560 --> 0:28:52.080
<v Speaker 1>are talking to someone you really care about, a partner,

0:28:52.240 --> 0:28:54.880
<v Speaker 1>a child. I usually imagine my seventeen year old daughter

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 1>Mia for this, and then rephrase what you just said

0:28:58.160 --> 0:29:01.360
<v Speaker 1>is if you're talking to them. And research shows that

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 1>when we talk to ourselves in a supportive way, it

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:07.880
<v Speaker 1>improves motivation, it improves focus. That has the same positive

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:10.040
<v Speaker 1>benefits as one of friends is talking to us in

0:29:10.040 --> 0:29:12.880
<v Speaker 1>a supportive way, and the opposite is true. Talking to

0:29:12.920 --> 0:29:16.320
<v Speaker 1>ourselves in a critical way dramatically increases stress. So again

0:29:16.920 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 1>it's this practice of recognizing when you're being harsh and

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:23.000
<v Speaker 1>then imagining you're talking to someone you care about, because

0:29:23.040 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 1>we naturally are more compassionate towards people we care about

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:29.960
<v Speaker 1>than ourselves, and reframing what you just said to yourself

0:29:30.000 --> 0:29:32.640
<v Speaker 1>as if you're talking to that person. It's a really

0:29:32.680 --> 0:29:36.440
<v Speaker 1>really powerful practice. Um. But as I always say, the

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 1>goodness is in the practice, So it's not about doing

0:29:38.600 --> 0:29:41.520
<v Speaker 1>it once and then the self critic has gone away.

0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:43.320
<v Speaker 1>I was going to say, easier said than done, right,

0:29:43.320 --> 0:29:46.480
<v Speaker 1>because old habits die hard, Yes, And so this is

0:29:46.480 --> 0:29:49.360
<v Speaker 1>why I talk about all these as skills. A skill.

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:52.360
<v Speaker 1>You improve a skill by practicing write, any skill, writing,

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:54.680
<v Speaker 1>running right. The more you practice so that are you become.

0:29:54.680 --> 0:29:57.320
<v Speaker 1>But if you stop practicing, it's not so great. So

0:29:57.360 --> 0:29:59.160
<v Speaker 1>I think for me, after I burnt out, it was

0:29:59.160 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 1>actually very powering to recognize that these emotional fitness skills,

0:30:03.160 --> 0:30:06.960
<v Speaker 1>some of which we've talked about, like I can practice them. Um,

0:30:07.000 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 1>I have some control and they help. And so the

0:30:09.600 --> 0:30:12.320
<v Speaker 1>same you know to your question, the more you practice,

0:30:12.400 --> 0:30:15.120
<v Speaker 1>the easier it does become. It becomes more intuitive you

0:30:15.160 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 1>have access to that practice easier. But yes, I don't

0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:19.960
<v Speaker 1>want to I'm not going to sugarcoat it will have

0:30:20.120 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 1>us die hard I was when I started to practice. Hey,

0:30:23.680 --> 0:30:25.880
<v Speaker 1>if you're just joining us, we're speaking to Natalie Coogan,

0:30:25.920 --> 0:30:28.480
<v Speaker 1>founder of Happier, Inc. Also the author of the Awesome

0:30:28.520 --> 0:30:31.440
<v Speaker 1>Human Project to break free from daily burnout, struggle less,

0:30:31.480 --> 0:30:34.240
<v Speaker 1>and thrive more in work in life. Should also note

0:30:34.280 --> 0:30:37.239
<v Speaker 1>that we are continuing to await President Biden. We are

0:30:37.280 --> 0:30:40.480
<v Speaker 1>expecting expecting him to speak any moment now from the

0:30:40.560 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>Roosevelt Room at the White House. We'll bring you those

0:30:42.760 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 1>comments live when he does start to speak. Natalie, what

0:30:46.480 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 1>are the small moves that we can make. You know,

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:51.120
<v Speaker 1>we talked about this, this idea of incremental changes, right,

0:30:51.520 --> 0:30:53.360
<v Speaker 1>what are those small moves that we can make that

0:30:53.400 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 1>we can start doing now to help us get to

0:30:57.000 --> 0:30:59.640
<v Speaker 1>that place where we actually do get closer to becoming

0:31:00.160 --> 0:31:04.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, more of an awesome human things. And the

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:06.920
<v Speaker 1>first thing I just want to say, um, both parts

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 1>are important. It's awesome and human. So we all have

0:31:09.800 --> 0:31:12.840
<v Speaker 1>this capacity to do great stuff, to do meaningful work,

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:15.680
<v Speaker 1>to be a positive impact. But we're human. That means

0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 1>we need rest and we need to take care of ourselves,

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:20.520
<v Speaker 1>and we're not going to do it perfectly. So it's

0:31:20.640 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 1>both of those. It's really embracing both of those. But

0:31:23.440 --> 0:31:25.480
<v Speaker 1>a couple of things. The first is to recognize that

0:31:25.520 --> 0:31:28.440
<v Speaker 1>you can't give what you don't have. Um, I spend

0:31:28.480 --> 0:31:30.840
<v Speaker 1>so much of my career as a leader, in my life,

0:31:30.840 --> 0:31:33.040
<v Speaker 1>as a mom, as a martyr, really believing as I

0:31:33.080 --> 0:31:34.840
<v Speaker 1>mentioned that it didn't matter how I felt, that I

0:31:34.840 --> 0:31:38.240
<v Speaker 1>could just continue to positively impact my team. You can't

0:31:38.280 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 1>give what you don't have. So just understanding that that

0:31:41.520 --> 0:31:45.760
<v Speaker 1>fueling your emotional, mental and physical energy is your responsibility

0:31:46.080 --> 0:31:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and then making that a priority. So when you make

0:31:48.200 --> 0:31:50.880
<v Speaker 1>your to do list for the day, put one thing

0:31:50.920 --> 0:31:52.600
<v Speaker 1>on your to do list that you can do to

0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:55.160
<v Speaker 1>fuel your emotional, mental, and physical energy, which is, by

0:31:55.200 --> 0:31:57.720
<v Speaker 1>the way, how I define self care, to put one

0:31:57.760 --> 0:32:00.280
<v Speaker 1>thing every day on that UM on that list. The

0:32:00.320 --> 0:32:03.480
<v Speaker 1>second is recognized that your brain is not here to

0:32:03.520 --> 0:32:05.680
<v Speaker 1>make you thrive. It doesn't care about your happiness. Your

0:32:05.680 --> 0:32:08.959
<v Speaker 1>brain is here to survive. So we have to course

0:32:09.040 --> 0:32:12.479
<v Speaker 1>correct some of the unhelpful thoughts that our brain gives us.

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:15.959
<v Speaker 1>We just talked about endless self criticism and how we

0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:19.880
<v Speaker 1>ship that, but there's this practice of just editing our thoughts,

0:32:19.960 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 1>recognizing that you are the editor of your thoughts. So

0:32:22.680 --> 0:32:24.360
<v Speaker 1>your brain is telling you that this is never going

0:32:24.400 --> 0:32:26.480
<v Speaker 1>to happen, or this is not going to work out,

0:32:26.600 --> 0:32:28.920
<v Speaker 1>or ruminating on worst case scenario, which has been very

0:32:28.960 --> 0:32:31.400
<v Speaker 1>common in the pandemic because uncertainty is very hard for

0:32:31.400 --> 0:32:33.840
<v Speaker 1>the human brain. Being the editor of that thought and

0:32:33.880 --> 0:32:37.520
<v Speaker 1>asking yourself, well, is this thought true? And does believing

0:32:37.560 --> 0:32:40.520
<v Speaker 1>this thought is that helpful? And doing that on ongoing basis.

0:32:41.000 --> 0:32:44.000
<v Speaker 1>And one last thing is to remember to practice your

0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:46.240
<v Speaker 1>joy um. I think we live in a world that's

0:32:46.640 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of taken them oomph out of joy. It's becomes

0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:52.440
<v Speaker 1>something that's a luxury. But joy is not luxury. It

0:32:52.560 --> 0:32:55.880
<v Speaker 1>is our life fuel. So making it a priority to

0:32:56.040 --> 0:33:00.240
<v Speaker 1>do something outside of work that brings you joy because

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 1>not only does it make you feel better, but it's contagious.

0:33:03.840 --> 0:33:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Emotions are contagious. Human emotions are contagious. So when you

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:09.120
<v Speaker 1>fuel yourself, when you do something that brings you joy,

0:33:09.400 --> 0:33:12.479
<v Speaker 1>you actually spread that to everyone around you. And Natalie,

0:33:12.520 --> 0:33:13.920
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of people would say, you know,

0:33:13.960 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 1>I want to do that. I want to practice self care.

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:18.120
<v Speaker 1>I want to inject some more joy into my life.

0:33:18.120 --> 0:33:20.600
<v Speaker 1>But you know, I don't think my boss would be

0:33:20.640 --> 0:33:23.280
<v Speaker 1>on board that. You know, even if I tried to

0:33:23.320 --> 0:33:26.040
<v Speaker 1>set boundaries, they might not be respective. I mean, what

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:28.960
<v Speaker 1>would you say to those people? It's a great question.

0:33:29.000 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>And you know, so much of my work is um

0:33:31.040 --> 0:33:33.320
<v Speaker 1>with companies. I work with companies on teams and this

0:33:33.400 --> 0:33:35.160
<v Speaker 1>comes up a lot. And the first thing I would

0:33:35.280 --> 0:33:40.680
<v Speaker 1>I would suggest is have the conversation. Don't assume that

0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 1>your boss knows how you're feeling, or that they understand

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:46.760
<v Speaker 1>where the boundaries need to be. Have the courage to

0:33:46.840 --> 0:33:50.440
<v Speaker 1>have the conversation and have it from the point of listen,

0:33:50.600 --> 0:33:53.040
<v Speaker 1>here are some things that would be really helpful to me.

0:33:53.120 --> 0:33:55.880
<v Speaker 1>For example, to not have this meeting scheduled every day

0:33:55.920 --> 0:33:59.000
<v Speaker 1>back to back, um, to not get last minute to

0:33:59.000 --> 0:34:00.680
<v Speaker 1>do is on a Friday after noon and I'm not

0:34:00.720 --> 0:34:03.000
<v Speaker 1>sure when the deadline is. It would be helpful to

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:06.320
<v Speaker 1>me because it would make me better at what I do.

0:34:06.440 --> 0:34:11.439
<v Speaker 1>So have that conversation from that elevated place of recognizing

0:34:11.480 --> 0:34:14.040
<v Speaker 1>that your boss is not an evil human. They just

0:34:14.160 --> 0:34:17.480
<v Speaker 1>may not have any awareness that these are the boundaries

0:34:17.560 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 1>you need. Um Um. I own up to this in

0:34:19.960 --> 0:34:22.799
<v Speaker 1>my book. I always really cared about my teams when

0:34:22.840 --> 0:34:25.000
<v Speaker 1>I was a leader, but I had no awareness of

0:34:25.040 --> 0:34:27.640
<v Speaker 1>any of these things, and so I didn't I didn't

0:34:27.640 --> 0:34:30.200
<v Speaker 1>honor their boundaries. Um. And so that's the first thing

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:33.800
<v Speaker 1>I would suggest is have that conversation. It's actually a practice.

0:34:33.840 --> 0:34:36.080
<v Speaker 1>I leave a lot of teams on to have a

0:34:36.120 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 1>conversation about boundaries, and it turns out, Um, it's usually

0:34:40.600 --> 0:34:43.920
<v Speaker 1>not huge things. It's usually simple things like listen, if

0:34:43.920 --> 0:34:46.239
<v Speaker 1>you send me an email Friday afternoon with to do,

0:34:46.400 --> 0:34:48.319
<v Speaker 1>can you tell me when you really need it? Or

0:34:49.040 --> 0:34:51.359
<v Speaker 1>I would love to not have calls before nine am

0:34:51.480 --> 0:34:54.759
<v Speaker 1>is that possible, and uh, it's really empowering to have

0:34:54.880 --> 0:34:58.120
<v Speaker 1>those conversations with your boss and your team, if your

0:34:58.239 --> 0:35:01.239
<v Speaker 1>leader to lead those Natalie work. Katie and I got

0:35:01.239 --> 0:35:03.200
<v Speaker 1>started with this interview. As we were preparing for it,

0:35:03.239 --> 0:35:05.120
<v Speaker 1>we were talking to each other about the different ways

0:35:05.160 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 1>that we kind of deal with separating work and life

0:35:09.200 --> 0:35:13.400
<v Speaker 1>and talk. We both are big proponents of physical exercise,

0:35:13.440 --> 0:35:16.800
<v Speaker 1>Like Katie runs every day oftentimes. Actually I'll be talking

0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:20.280
<v Speaker 1>to her at night and she's running through Central Park. Uh,

0:35:20.400 --> 0:35:23.640
<v Speaker 1>I super fast, super fast of course, um, of course.

0:35:23.719 --> 0:35:25.480
<v Speaker 1>And and then you know, and I try to, you know,

0:35:25.520 --> 0:35:27.239
<v Speaker 1>get on the stationary bike and do a lot of

0:35:27.280 --> 0:35:29.800
<v Speaker 1>cycling and get out there. And I'm wondering how physical

0:35:29.800 --> 0:35:32.120
<v Speaker 1>activity fits into this because at least for both of us,

0:35:32.160 --> 0:35:39.280
<v Speaker 1>and it's such an essential park of balance. It's really important. Um,

0:35:39.320 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, we we have mental energy, physical energy, emotional energy,

0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:47.120
<v Speaker 1>and so it's really important. Um. And you both know.

0:35:47.239 --> 0:35:50.160
<v Speaker 1>But doing something physical releases and doorphins that gives you

0:35:50.560 --> 0:35:53.359
<v Speaker 1>a sense of progress actually, like doing a little work out.

0:35:53.400 --> 0:35:57.759
<v Speaker 1>There's interesting research about weightlifting, and lifting weights turns out

0:35:57.800 --> 0:36:01.120
<v Speaker 1>to have these this interesting mental benefit of it gives

0:36:01.120 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 1>you confidence that you can achieve hard things because your

0:36:04.680 --> 0:36:07.600
<v Speaker 1>brain is like, oh, look I lifted weights, my muscles grew.

0:36:07.960 --> 0:36:10.239
<v Speaker 1>Oh I can do this also in my regular life.

0:36:10.239 --> 0:36:12.520
<v Speaker 1>So physical activity is really important. And the thing I

0:36:12.520 --> 0:36:16.680
<v Speaker 1>would encourage um, everyone listening is to recognize that it

0:36:16.760 --> 0:36:19.800
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean you need to go run every day. Stocks

0:36:19.880 --> 0:36:23.680
<v Speaker 1>really bouncing around today. Katie s down about six tenths

0:36:23.719 --> 0:36:26.400
<v Speaker 1>of one percent right now. The nazacked down just about

0:36:26.400 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 1>one percent right now. Interestingly enough, the SP five hundred

0:36:29.080 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 1>briefly did turn positive this afternoon, but is again lower.

0:36:32.640 --> 0:36:34.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's try to make sense of it with Aaron Kennon,

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:38.479
<v Speaker 1>co founder and CEO of Clear Harbor Asset Management. Clear

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Harbor Asset Management has more than one billion dollars in

0:36:40.840 --> 0:36:44.279
<v Speaker 1>assets under management. Aaron joins us on the phone from Stanford, Connecticut. Aeron,

0:36:44.320 --> 0:36:47.000
<v Speaker 1>how are you doing? Just great? Tim, Thanks for having

0:36:47.080 --> 0:36:49.680
<v Speaker 1>me help us make sense of what we're doing. Well,

0:36:49.719 --> 0:36:51.400
<v Speaker 1>we're doing. We're we have, you know, kind of some

0:36:51.400 --> 0:36:53.640
<v Speaker 1>good vibes ahead of the holiday weekend. I gotta be honest,

0:36:53.920 --> 0:36:57.879
<v Speaker 1>UM's great, but market not really feeling it. Uh, what's

0:36:57.880 --> 0:36:59.680
<v Speaker 1>been happening here? Because I think a lot of our

0:36:59.680 --> 0:37:03.200
<v Speaker 1>listener as a lot of investors trying to figure out, okay, um,

0:37:03.200 --> 0:37:06.040
<v Speaker 1>when is this choppiness kind of done and we start

0:37:06.080 --> 0:37:09.919
<v Speaker 1>to move back towards those highs that we saw in November, Right, Yeah,

0:37:09.960 --> 0:37:13.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean that that we've been really trending sideways to

0:37:13.160 --> 0:37:16.680
<v Speaker 1>downward um since since November. And I think that the

0:37:16.719 --> 0:37:20.080
<v Speaker 1>real story of the equity market is just general weakness

0:37:20.719 --> 0:37:23.640
<v Speaker 1>even beneath the headlines, which are are weak in themselves

0:37:23.719 --> 0:37:26.360
<v Speaker 1>if you look at you know, whether it's the tech sector,

0:37:26.360 --> 0:37:29.600
<v Speaker 1>which is you know, seeing significant weakness across the board

0:37:29.640 --> 0:37:32.480
<v Speaker 1>curricularly sort of small cap, MidCap, but you know, at

0:37:32.480 --> 0:37:34.520
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, we we really attribute this

0:37:35.000 --> 0:37:38.960
<v Speaker 1>to the understanding that the market has, which is this

0:37:39.040 --> 0:37:43.840
<v Speaker 1>sort of record level of liquidity is finally departing the scene,

0:37:43.920 --> 0:37:46.280
<v Speaker 1>and that's coming from both the FED, which is poised

0:37:46.320 --> 0:37:50.080
<v Speaker 1>to start tightening next month, and of course the fiscal side,

0:37:50.120 --> 0:37:53.440
<v Speaker 1>which is well for the last two years, the fiscal

0:37:53.480 --> 0:37:56.640
<v Speaker 1>stimulus was the size of the combined economies of the

0:37:56.640 --> 0:38:00.640
<v Speaker 1>state of California, Florida, Texas combined, and that's essentially gone now,

0:38:01.160 --> 0:38:05.480
<v Speaker 1>and so you have heightened volatility and you have less liquidity.

0:38:05.560 --> 0:38:08.360
<v Speaker 1>That that tends to mean that price and earnings multiples

0:38:08.400 --> 0:38:10.759
<v Speaker 1>are poised or at least at risk for contraction. That's

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:14.640
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen this year where the SMP PE multiple

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:17.000
<v Speaker 1>is actually contracted two and a half times two and

0:38:17.000 --> 0:38:20.680
<v Speaker 1>a half points, now trading at about nineteen times anticipated

0:38:21.440 --> 0:38:24.000
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and twenty two earnings. So while we do

0:38:24.080 --> 0:38:27.080
<v Speaker 1>expect earnings to grow this year, that that higher level

0:38:27.160 --> 0:38:30.040
<v Speaker 1>of volatility, Tim and Katie is going to certainly bring

0:38:30.080 --> 0:38:33.080
<v Speaker 1>pause to investors and Aaron with that type of setup

0:38:33.120 --> 0:38:35.600
<v Speaker 1>where you are seeing PE multiples start to come down

0:38:35.680 --> 0:38:37.879
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, I mean, do you view that as

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:40.000
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity at this stage or do you think there's

0:38:40.000 --> 0:38:43.400
<v Speaker 1>still more of sort of a revaluation to go. Well,

0:38:43.440 --> 0:38:46.400
<v Speaker 1>I think the technical backdrop frankly is still weak, but

0:38:46.680 --> 0:38:49.799
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't always guide what we do. We believe in

0:38:49.840 --> 0:38:53.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of disciplined in our cost averaging depending on the

0:38:53.480 --> 0:38:56.200
<v Speaker 1>types of clients that we have um but but we're

0:38:56.239 --> 0:39:00.560
<v Speaker 1>also very mindful of of valuations across them ket place,

0:39:01.000 --> 0:39:04.000
<v Speaker 1>and there are certainly areas of real opportunity that we

0:39:04.080 --> 0:39:07.840
<v Speaker 1>see even within the equity markets, but it's hard to

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:10.799
<v Speaker 1>try to catch that falling knife. No one ever does

0:39:10.840 --> 0:39:14.040
<v Speaker 1>that perfectly. As they say, only monkeys can pick tops

0:39:14.080 --> 0:39:17.520
<v Speaker 1>and bottoms, and we sort of embrace that mantra and

0:39:17.560 --> 0:39:21.200
<v Speaker 1>maintain our discipline across all asset classes for our clients. Okay,

0:39:21.239 --> 0:39:23.480
<v Speaker 1>so let's say a new client comes to you, or

0:39:23.520 --> 0:39:26.000
<v Speaker 1>perhaps a current client that you have has some sort

0:39:26.000 --> 0:39:30.759
<v Speaker 1>of exit. What's the strategy of introducing those assets into

0:39:30.760 --> 0:39:33.719
<v Speaker 1>the market. Well, we think about the long term. Most

0:39:33.719 --> 0:39:37.560
<v Speaker 1>of our clients are busy professionals. They're trying to simplify

0:39:37.600 --> 0:39:40.719
<v Speaker 1>their financial life. They're trying to make um you know,

0:39:40.760 --> 0:39:42.960
<v Speaker 1>they have they have sort of different buckets of assets

0:39:43.000 --> 0:39:45.600
<v Speaker 1>sometimes located all over their place, and it's part of

0:39:45.600 --> 0:39:48.920
<v Speaker 1>our job to sort of bring some sense to the madness.

0:39:48.960 --> 0:39:51.080
<v Speaker 1>And so, you know, we're really thinking about, you know,

0:39:51.200 --> 0:39:55.400
<v Speaker 1>long term anticipated returns of major asset classes, in the

0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:58.520
<v Speaker 1>mix of those asset classes, in the anticipated volatility of

0:39:58.520 --> 0:40:01.960
<v Speaker 1>each one of those asset classes is to to allow

0:40:02.040 --> 0:40:04.560
<v Speaker 1>for them to achieve their long term goals while also

0:40:04.600 --> 0:40:07.040
<v Speaker 1>being able to sort of sleep well at night. And

0:40:07.120 --> 0:40:09.600
<v Speaker 1>so this current market sort of speed bump that we're

0:40:09.600 --> 0:40:11.759
<v Speaker 1>going through right now, we do think it has a

0:40:12.280 --> 0:40:14.840
<v Speaker 1>heightened opportunity to last for for a while. But it

0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:18.640
<v Speaker 1>doesn't really change the sort of asset allocation process that

0:40:18.680 --> 0:40:21.239
<v Speaker 1>we go through on behalf of our clients and Aaron,

0:40:21.320 --> 0:40:24.600
<v Speaker 1>let's let's get more specific here, so being being disciplined

0:40:24.680 --> 0:40:28.240
<v Speaker 1>the the asset allocation process. When you look across asset

0:40:28.280 --> 0:40:31.520
<v Speaker 1>classes from fixed income to equities, what are those different

0:40:31.520 --> 0:40:34.440
<v Speaker 1>allocations look like? You know, where are you overweight? Where

0:40:34.440 --> 0:40:37.960
<v Speaker 1>are you underweight? Sure? Well, I think fixed thing comes

0:40:38.000 --> 0:40:41.440
<v Speaker 1>interesting here because, of course, the anticipation right now is

0:40:41.480 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 1>the Fed's going to raise rates six times this year

0:40:44.120 --> 0:40:47.120
<v Speaker 1>and call it to maybe three times next year, and

0:40:47.160 --> 0:40:50.560
<v Speaker 1>the curve is quite flat. Um. You know, we we

0:40:50.600 --> 0:40:53.040
<v Speaker 1>have a hard time believing that, particularly when even this

0:40:53.080 --> 0:40:55.840
<v Speaker 1>week and last week there's been evidence that the economy

0:40:55.880 --> 0:40:59.719
<v Speaker 1>is slowing down, that the inflationary peaks that we have

0:40:59.840 --> 0:41:04.000
<v Speaker 1>been noticing over the last few months maybe waning. Um,

0:41:04.280 --> 0:41:07.279
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain picture looks like it's at least on

0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:11.680
<v Speaker 1>the margin improving. Shipping costs have been thawing, business costs

0:41:11.760 --> 0:41:15.160
<v Speaker 1>generally have been subsiding, and so we think the Fed

0:41:15.239 --> 0:41:18.560
<v Speaker 1>may end up proving to be at least relatively consensus

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.480
<v Speaker 1>a bit more dubbish over the next six to twelve

0:41:21.520 --> 0:41:24.319
<v Speaker 1>months and you know that has an opportunity in some

0:41:24.400 --> 0:41:28.719
<v Speaker 1>sense for for us to maintain some exposure in the

0:41:28.760 --> 0:41:31.560
<v Speaker 1>front end of of of the fixed income market. But

0:41:31.600 --> 0:41:35.040
<v Speaker 1>we were guided by the benchmark, which is the Bloomberg

0:41:35.040 --> 0:41:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Barkley's Aggregate bond Index, and so we need to always

0:41:38.880 --> 0:41:42.360
<v Speaker 1>know where we're making our bets on credit exposure, on duration,

0:41:42.840 --> 0:41:45.799
<v Speaker 1>and how that correlates with other asset classes in the portfolio.

0:41:46.120 --> 0:41:48.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Aaron, you said that you weren't in the

0:41:48.160 --> 0:41:50.120
<v Speaker 1>business of catching knives, but when it comes to the

0:41:50.120 --> 0:41:52.279
<v Speaker 1>front end of the yield curve, a little bit of

0:41:52.320 --> 0:41:57.160
<v Speaker 1>a falling knife here, yeah, I mean, certainly. Um, you know,

0:41:57.560 --> 0:42:01.279
<v Speaker 1>it's it's been an interesting market and while we are

0:42:01.840 --> 0:42:04.720
<v Speaker 1>sometimes on the margin tactical, we want to be mindful

0:42:04.760 --> 0:42:07.600
<v Speaker 1>of where where our bets are. And we think at

0:42:07.920 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 1>one right now and the t your treasury with a

0:42:11.080 --> 0:42:14.320
<v Speaker 1>market anticipating six rate hikes that to your treasury is

0:42:14.360 --> 0:42:18.080
<v Speaker 1>pricing in almost chance that that consensus is going to

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:20.440
<v Speaker 1>be correct. You know, our view is that that may

0:42:20.440 --> 0:42:23.320
<v Speaker 1>be just a bit too aggressive. Hearon, just in the

0:42:23.400 --> 0:42:25.480
<v Speaker 1>last minute that we have with you, we got to

0:42:25.480 --> 0:42:28.480
<v Speaker 1>talk to your politics here and help us understand help

0:42:28.480 --> 0:42:32.120
<v Speaker 1>our listeners and viewers understand Russia and Ukraine and the

0:42:32.120 --> 0:42:37.239
<v Speaker 1>impact that it's going to have on markets. Well, it's

0:42:37.280 --> 0:42:40.799
<v Speaker 1>just another veil variable that certainly doesn't reduce volatility, it

0:42:40.880 --> 0:42:43.600
<v Speaker 1>only increases it. Putin is a bad guy, you know.

0:42:43.680 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 1>He seems to have aspirations to expand the Russian Empire

0:42:47.000 --> 0:42:49.640
<v Speaker 1>and this could have a rather significant consequence to the

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:52.680
<v Speaker 1>overall market. I think in a couple of different ways. Ways.

0:42:53.160 --> 0:42:57.439
<v Speaker 1>One clearly volatility, But on the energy side, UM, that's

0:42:57.520 --> 0:43:00.320
<v Speaker 1>that's a huge question around UH, you know, nord Stream

0:43:00.360 --> 0:43:03.400
<v Speaker 1>two is it Is it going to be dead or

0:43:03.640 --> 0:43:08.080
<v Speaker 1>or not? Um. Europe needs natural gas to uh to

0:43:08.320 --> 0:43:13.520
<v Speaker 1>provide electricity to the population. They've reduced their nuclear capabilities

0:43:13.520 --> 0:43:16.719
<v Speaker 1>significantly in the midst of having the Russian news around

0:43:16.719 --> 0:43:19.399
<v Speaker 1>their neck for the last several years. So it's it's

0:43:19.400 --> 0:43:22.080
<v Speaker 1>certainly a conundrum for for Europe right now, and it's

0:43:22.200 --> 0:43:24.520
<v Speaker 1>and it's a real challenge for the world and for investors.

0:43:24.840 --> 0:43:27.239
<v Speaker 1>Aaron Kennon, we love it when you join us. Have

0:43:27.360 --> 0:43:29.480
<v Speaker 1>a great three day weekend. Thank you so much for

0:43:29.600 --> 0:43:32.040
<v Speaker 1>taking the time. That's Aaron Kennon, co founder and CEO

0:43:32.120 --> 0:43:34.799
<v Speaker 1>at Clear Harbor Asset Management, over a billion dollars in

0:43:34.880 --> 0:43:39.879
<v Speaker 1>assets under management. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:43:39.960 --> 0:43:43.560
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0:43:43.600 --> 0:43:45.239
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0:43:45.239 --> 0:43:48.320
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0:43:48.480 --> 0:43:49.960
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