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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Parolt at Sports talking about on Twitter. To follow me

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros. To follow Betting Pros. The bet MGM

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Speaker 1: offer our title sponsor, always available above me on the

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Speaker 1: YouTube video if you don't know it by now, ten

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Speaker 1: dollars bet one hundred and fifty bucks in your account

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Speaker 1: when you sign up for a new account with the

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Speaker 1: promo co Juice one fifty at BETMGM. Okay, so we're

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Speaker 1: on a roll here, Okay. So nine and three heading

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Speaker 1: in to last night, we go two in one. Technically

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Speaker 1: we have to wait and see what happens with the

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Speaker 1: Astros game. Check your house rules, okay. Normally when a

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Speaker 1: game is played the following day, bets are voided. Okay.

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Speaker 1: So it depends on the book, depends on where you

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Speaker 1: bet it. Okay, books that I book that I use

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Speaker 1: voids it. So we'll see what happens. So two and

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Speaker 1: one continues the next day, depending upon what your book

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Speaker 1: does for rainouts. But five to one we played the

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Speaker 1: under eight still could get there. But fourth inning, eh,

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Speaker 1: we'll see. Chances are that game is going to go over,

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Speaker 1: but so I'm officially taking as a two and one

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Speaker 1: call it a wash. Puck line gets there for Calgary,

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Speaker 1: how about that puck line plus one twenty, so we

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Speaker 1: get that right, the Memphis Grizzlies annihilated the Warriors, plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half comes in, so a two and

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Speaker 1: one day on a plus one twenty bet as well.

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Speaker 1: So at two and one, mark eleven and four over

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Speaker 1: the last four days for the podcast, plus money on

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Speaker 1: a bunch of stuff. So it's been a good run

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Speaker 1: seven of nine now winning days on the podcast for

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Speaker 1: seven of the last nine days. So look, it doesn't

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Speaker 1: always roll like this, but when we're winning and we're

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Speaker 1: feeling good this podcas it's going to be pretty quick

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Speaker 1: because the picks are pretty clear, pretty obvious, and not

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Speaker 1: exactly a lot of analytical breakdown needed to get into

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Speaker 1: what I'm going to do. I will tell you this, though,

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Speaker 1: there is one betting strategy you can come up with

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Speaker 1: for teams that are heading into game six is We've

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Speaker 1: talked about this a lot, but if you think the

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Speaker 1: team that is playing game six, that's down if they

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Speaker 1: win game six to force a game seven, like for instance,

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay tonight, right, if you bet Tampa to win

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Speaker 1: in Game six, which we're going to you could also

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Speaker 1: bet Tampa to win the series at plus two to

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Speaker 1: seventy five. Now we already have a full unit at

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Speaker 1: even money committed to Tampa winning this series, so really important.

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Speaker 1: If it's getting too rich for you and you're like

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Speaker 1: anneally like doing that, I understand it. It's why I'm not

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Speaker 1: making it an official play. However, if you were to

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Speaker 1: add on to your position, so say you take a

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Speaker 1: half a unit and you put a half a unit

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Speaker 1: down for plus two to seventy five plus three hundred

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Speaker 1: depending on what book you're looking and a half but

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Speaker 1: three to one essentially right, so it's one and a

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Speaker 1: half you would win if Tampa comes back to win

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Speaker 1: the series, plus the one that we have already committed,

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Speaker 1: So you win two and a half. You could come

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Speaker 1: back in game number seven and you could go ahead

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Speaker 1: and bet and cover that one and a half liability

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Speaker 1: and bet enough to have a one and a half

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Speaker 1: cover for game seven mins one, tenn one, twenty, whatever

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Speaker 1: it might be, and you could sit back and have

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Speaker 1: a no sweat. You could also been a full unit

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Speaker 1: if you want on plus two seventy five, and you're

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Speaker 1: either going to win four or then come back and

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Speaker 1: you could win two and cover the two units you've

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Speaker 1: got committed already to Tampa. So that's just where you go,

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Speaker 1: right So just strategy wise, you could do that literally

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Speaker 1: with every game six in the playoffs and the NBA

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Speaker 1: for that matter, from here on out. So just keep

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Speaker 1: that betting strategy in mind as you're going to approach

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Speaker 1: these games. It's a little bit you know, convoluted and

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Speaker 1: difficult to kind of do all of that across the

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Speaker 1: board on every bet, but just take a look at

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Speaker 1: your positions where you are, how much money you've got committed,

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Speaker 1: and you can go ahead and play off of it,

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Speaker 1: and you can you already have that stake in the

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Speaker 1: ground if you will, for if you bet that with me,

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Speaker 1: you've got Tampa on the even money for that, you

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Speaker 1: can come back and add even more for Tampa Game

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Speaker 1: six tonight. So look, Va'sileski in the playoffs after a

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Speaker 1: loss is sixteen and oh all right, I don't need

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Speaker 1: to overthink this all that much. However, I am gonna

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Speaker 1: do something I don't normally do. I want to win

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Speaker 1: a full unit, So I'm gonna commit more than what

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Speaker 1: I normally would commit. The Tampa Bay Lightning are minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five at home tonight to force a Game seven. Now,

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Speaker 1: Toronto very well might win Game seven, and we very

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Speaker 1: well might lose the series bet and have be down

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Speaker 1: one unit. So this is a way of sort of

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Speaker 1: hedging a little bit that I do think Tampa wins.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay them as one twenty five. Tampa at

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Speaker 1: home in this very situation came out fly three goals

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Speaker 1: in the first period. It was an over play as well.

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Speaker 1: I like the over in the game. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay one in a quarter units at minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five to win one unit, Okay, so it's minus one

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Speaker 1: to it's one twenty five minus one twenty five. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna commit the full one in a quarter unit to

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Speaker 1: bring back the one unit, just to make sure that

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Speaker 1: in case the Tampa game, the game seven, Toronto wins,

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Speaker 1: we're okay, all right. I'm also going to if we

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Speaker 1: get to a game seven, I'm also gonna bet Toronto. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so just to kind of I probably won't bet a

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Speaker 1: full unit on it, but I may hedge a little

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Speaker 1: bit on it because it's even money. I may come

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Speaker 1: in with a half unit on Toronto to win and

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Speaker 1: then will be kind of okay, you know, if you

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Speaker 1: will in terms of how we are in this series,

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Speaker 1: we will have maximized our permit, our positions and would

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Speaker 1: have won, you know, a decent amount of money. So

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Speaker 1: that's how I'm approaching this series. Tampa Bay money line

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five against Toronto tonight in Game six

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Speaker 1: to force a game seven to win a full unit

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Speaker 1: back for us here again. Vassilevski is sixteen to zero

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Speaker 1: in the postseason. Tampa is unbelievable backs against the Wall.

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Speaker 1: The last two years, they've had three elimination games, they've

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Speaker 1: won them all and they've gone on to win the

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Speaker 1: Cup in the both seasons. So not saying they're gonna

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Speaker 1: win all again. I just think they're forcing in game seven.

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Speaker 1: I think their championship pedigree comes up comes out tonight.

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Speaker 1: Tampa minus one twenty five full one point twenty five

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Speaker 1: units to win a unit coming back, which is a

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Speaker 1: rarety normally a flat wager. Now I'm wagering with the

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Speaker 1: juice right bet number two. I mean, this is sort

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Speaker 1: of you know, I think the Saint Louis Blues are

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Speaker 1: just the better team here. If you look at the

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Speaker 1: way Saint Louis has played the last two games, I

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Speaker 1: don't hate this. If you want to come in here

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Speaker 1: and take the puck line and you want to lay

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Speaker 1: the one and a half, it's plus two point fifteen

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Speaker 1: in an elimination game, it's very possible the Blues win

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Speaker 1: and cover on the puck line. I'm just not going

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Speaker 1: to push my luck too much because I've got that

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Speaker 1: Tampa game and they win by one, and I don't

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Speaker 1: want to be sitting there sweating in open net and

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Speaker 1: praying for an open net. But it's been five to two,

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Speaker 1: five two the last two games for Saint Louis, both

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Speaker 1: at home and on the road. The Blues are at

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Speaker 1: home here. Yes, they did lose Game three five to

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Speaker 1: one at home. I totally understand that, Okay, so we've

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Speaker 1: seen that before. I just think the Blues are the

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Speaker 1: better team, and I don't think they're going to force

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Speaker 1: a game seven. I think Saint Louis uses that home ice.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty six ten and five this year at home.

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Speaker 1: Floury hasn't looked great to me for the Wild He's

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Speaker 1: been you know, ten goals in two games. It's not

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Speaker 1: been good. Blues won Game one for nothing. Yeah, the

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Speaker 1: Wild won six two and five one. And maybe you

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Speaker 1: say let's play the over instead, Matt, that that's a

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Speaker 1: better play. But six and a half elimination games, I'm

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Speaker 1: just I don't know. I feel like this very well

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Speaker 1: could be. I thought Calgary would win four to one

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Speaker 1: last night they won three to one. I think the

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Speaker 1: Blues win four to one, four to two, somewhere in

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Speaker 1: that range. I don't but also don't trust the under.

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Speaker 1: I'm not betting unders in the NHL. I just think

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Speaker 1: it's an easier to play Blues on the money line.

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Speaker 1: It's only minus one ten half a unit Saint Louis

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Speaker 1: to win and knock out the Wild. I'll take the

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Speaker 1: Blues to win at home tonight at minus one ten

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Speaker 1: to win their series and finally half a unit play

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Speaker 1: coming in here. It's pretty obvious. Phoenix in Dallas number

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Speaker 1: is two to twelve and a half at bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: Right now, at the time of taping, you've got a

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Speaker 1: Dallas team with a thirty three twelve and one mark

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Speaker 1: to the under. I mean, that is a ridiculous mark.

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Speaker 1: At home for the Dallas Mavericks. Phoenix is twenty four

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Speaker 1: and twenty two to the under. This series has gone

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Speaker 1: under three consecutive games here. Only the first two games

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Speaker 1: of the series have gone over. Both games in Dallas

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Speaker 1: have gone under. It's an elimination game. It's a grinder

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Speaker 1: of a game. I just think that this is a

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Speaker 1: huge opportunity to see a lot of bad basket ball

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Speaker 1: from the Dallas Mavericks and just hold on for dear life,

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Speaker 1: grind it. I don't like what we've seen over the

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Speaker 1: last couple of days, a couple of games here. I

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Speaker 1: think Phoenix does win this series. I don't think Dallas wins,

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Speaker 1: but I'm more comfortable taking the under than legging it

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Speaker 1: with the Phoenix Suns at minus two on the road.

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Speaker 1: I'm not in love with a road favorite here in

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Speaker 1: an elimination game. Dallas though at home twenty nine to twelve.

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Speaker 1: They hit shots at home, they play hard at home,

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Speaker 1: they play defense at home. I'm coming in under to

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half. Let's bet the streak. Maybe it's

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Speaker 1: the last time we can do it with the Dallas

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Speaker 1: Mavericks at home. The wagon that they have been for

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Speaker 1: an under bet under two twelve and a half for

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Speaker 1: Dallas against Phoenix tonight for a half of unit. All right,

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Speaker 1: so doing well here eleven and four over the last

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Speaker 1: four days. Let's see if we can keep it going.

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Speaker 1: Another winning day yesterday. It's been good. Four straight winning

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Speaker 1: days and we've gone again. Like I mentioned, seven of

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Speaker 1: nine winning days for the juice been good. May's been good.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep going, all right, Tampa minus one twenty five

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Speaker 1: laying the one in one quarter units to win, a

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Speaker 1: unit back on Tampa to win and force a game seven.

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Speaker 1: We're going Blues money line minus won ten under two

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half Phoenix and Dallas. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt every single morning it's They'll

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Speaker 1: Just Podcast. I was being brought to you by BETEMGM