WEBVTT - Micron’s Rosy Memory Outlook Lifts AI Hopes

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>By the way, we are expecting very shortly the launch

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<v Speaker 2>of Blue Origin's latest rocket. You're looking at a live

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<v Speaker 2>shot in West Texas of it. It's said to launch

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<v Speaker 2>its latest crew of six on its flagship Space Tourism rocket.

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<v Speaker 2>To date, Blue Origin has flown eighty individuals above the

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<v Speaker 2>Carmen Line, the internationally recognized boundary of space. Let's bring

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<v Speaker 2>in Bloomberg Texts Caroline Hyde. Caroline, what exactly do we

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<v Speaker 2>know about this specific rocket launch which we are waiting

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<v Speaker 2>for in about three minutes time.

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<v Speaker 3>It's on hold T minus ten minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>We're currently pausing waiting to see if this will indeed

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead.

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<v Speaker 3>Is planned?

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<v Speaker 1>This is New Shepherd's rocket, the thirty seventh, as we've

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<v Speaker 1>been thinking, NS thirty seven is the sixteenth human flight,

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<v Speaker 1>as you say, the six individuals on board this time.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually it's the first time that we ever see someone

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<v Speaker 1>of the wheelchair go in across the common line as well,

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<v Speaker 1>so a significant step there. And is it's thirty seventh

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<v Speaker 1>overall that we've seen with New Shepherd. And and remember

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<v Speaker 1>New Shepherd named after Alan Shepherd, who was the first

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<v Speaker 1>ever American astronaut in space. It's about sixty foot tall

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<v Speaker 1>that you're currently looking at gazing on your screens. It's

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<v Speaker 1>topped with what is sort of known as kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a gun drop shaped crew capsule, and that of course

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<v Speaker 1>is what will then come back down to Earth supported

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<v Speaker 1>by parachutes a little bit later. They're only going to

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<v Speaker 1>be about a ride of eleven minutes when they take

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<v Speaker 1>off from West Texas, Danny, and it.

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<v Speaker 3>Operates in completely autonomously.

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<v Speaker 1>There are no pilots on board, but we are waiting

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<v Speaker 1>to see whether indeed does go ahead as planned. So

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Miller, Danny Berger, thank you very much indeed for

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<v Speaker 1>what was another amazing stretch of time of the opening

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<v Speaker 1>of this market with open interest. But we want to

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<v Speaker 1>get to what's happening here live. As you see, that's

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<v Speaker 1>the gun drop shaped crew capsule which currently has on

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<v Speaker 1>board a German aerospace engineer, the first person who uses

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<v Speaker 1>a wheelchair that can reach but also plenty of others

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<v Speaker 1>are going alongside her. So that's Mitchie Bunthhouse. But we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing Joey Hyde, no relation. It's a physicist and a

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<v Speaker 1>hedge fund investor from Florida. We're seeing a German American

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<v Speaker 1>aerospace engineer go into flight.

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<v Speaker 3>A business executive and entrepreneur.

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<v Speaker 1>That's Neil Milch, as well other entrepreneurs, other adventurers going

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<v Speaker 1>on this particular fight from the company's private ranch facility

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<v Speaker 1>known as Launch Site one in Texas. It's located north

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<v Speaker 1>of the town Van Horn, near US Mexico border. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's just get a little sense of how important this

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<v Speaker 1>is in the general stretch of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin,

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<v Speaker 1>the spacecraft that is New Shepherd, and indeed the missions

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<v Speaker 1>that they've currently run sub orbital missions.

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<v Speaker 3>We want to go to Space reporter Lauren Grush.

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<v Speaker 1>We're also welcoming Chad Anderson's Space Capital founder and CEO.

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<v Speaker 3>Lauren, we're on pause. Do we know why?

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<v Speaker 4>I don't believe I know the cause of it yet,

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<v Speaker 4>but these holds are fairly common when we do these

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<v Speaker 4>New Shepherd launches. They used to happen with a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of frequency, which would be a bit frustrating for us

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<v Speaker 4>as we were waiting for the countdown to reach zero.

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<v Speaker 4>So this is pretty standard. I know that earlier this

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<v Speaker 4>morning they had pushed back to the launch because of

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<v Speaker 4>high winds over the launch site.

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<v Speaker 5>That's a pretty common reason that they will delay.

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<v Speaker 4>So I believe the hosts might come on and give

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<v Speaker 4>some indication as to what is causing the whold, But

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<v Speaker 4>at this moment, I don't think I currently know.

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<v Speaker 1>The Federal Aviation Administration, the FAA has a plan advisory

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<v Speaker 1>which suggests look a backup opportunity is available. We understand

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<v Speaker 1>as soon as tomorrow if indeed this one is postponed. Chad,

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<v Speaker 1>we go to you of Space Capital, widely known investor,

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<v Speaker 1>thought leader in the world.

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<v Speaker 3>Of space and its ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 1>How important is that Blue Origin can seem resilient and

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<v Speaker 1>purposeful with a way in which it gets is thirty

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<v Speaker 1>seventh launch off the ground.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, this is great for them.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, they have a very solid track record of

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<v Speaker 7>launching these Shepherd vehicles, launching them to the edge of space,

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<v Speaker 7>delivering humans and experiments safely, and bringing them back down.

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<v Speaker 7>Like you said, this is a really interesting vehicle that

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<v Speaker 7>has helped set the stage for their larger vehicle, New Glen,

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<v Speaker 7>which we've seen come online this year. That was one

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<v Speaker 7>of the big milestones in twenty twenty five was to

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<v Speaker 7>see New Glen not only launch once, but they launched

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<v Speaker 7>twice successfully and then they landed their vehicle, becoming the

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<v Speaker 7>you know, the second company, the second launch vehicle ever

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<v Speaker 7>to land and have you know, and now they're looking

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<v Speaker 7>to reuse that vehicle in a similar manner to what

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<v Speaker 7>SpaceX has been doing. So you know, so this is

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<v Speaker 7>a really important sort of test vehicle for them as

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<v Speaker 7>they scale up and then they use new Glenn you know,

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<v Speaker 7>their larger vehicle to scale up and do more things

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<v Speaker 7>across their lunar ambitions, their space station ambitions and data

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<v Speaker 7>center ambitions, and so this is a very ambitious company

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<v Speaker 7>that all.

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<v Speaker 6>Sort of started with this new Shepherd vehicle.

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<v Speaker 7>For me, the it's it's a very interesting launch today

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<v Speaker 7>because it kind of demonstrates how accessible space flight has become,

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<v Speaker 7>where it used to be reserved only for the best

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<v Speaker 7>of us, you know, the select few who were lucky

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<v Speaker 7>enough to sort of get selected by NASA or EASA

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<v Speaker 7>and go through the program and become government astronauts. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>now you can you know, you mentioned eighty individuals across

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<v Speaker 7>sixteen flights, right, you probably know someone or your two

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<v Speaker 7>degrees removed from someone who has flown to space. Now

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<v Speaker 7>and we're launching all different kinds of people including people

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<v Speaker 7>with different accessibility needs, and so you know, this is

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<v Speaker 7>a big moment for me for those reasons.

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<v Speaker 1>Lauren, we talk about that ambition of many talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the data center opportunity. We were just having you on

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday to discuss how Eric Stremid has become CEO of

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<v Speaker 1>a space company as well give us the context of

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<v Speaker 1>how fast and furious it is to ensure that there isn't

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<v Speaker 1>just one monopoly here when it comes to rockets into space.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean, I think that the thing we are

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<v Speaker 4>demonstrating with companies like Blue Origin, SpaceX, Relativity, as we mentioned,

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<v Speaker 4>all sorts of commercial companies, is that there is quite

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<v Speaker 4>a very vibrant and diverse space economy, and clearly everyone

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<v Speaker 4>is looking for what is going to be the next

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<v Speaker 4>big thing that provides that big profit that everyone is

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<v Speaker 4>looking for. I think over time we've kind of questioned

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<v Speaker 4>whether launch alone is enough to sustain these companies, and

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<v Speaker 4>I think we've seen that, you know, when it comes

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<v Speaker 4>to their business portfolio.

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<v Speaker 8>It you know, that is why when the.

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<v Speaker 4>Likes of Blue Origin SpaceX, a lot of these launch

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<v Speaker 4>companies do more than just launch, because I don't think

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<v Speaker 4>it's launch alone. Doesn't seem like it's enough to sustain

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<v Speaker 4>the business. So we see them building satellites, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>talking about space stations, launching people, and so data centers

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<v Speaker 4>seems to be this next big thing that I think

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of these entrepreneurs think might actually be kind

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<v Speaker 4>of the you know, the space gold mine as it were.

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<v Speaker 1>We're just saying pictures of winnim shot and he was

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<v Speaker 1>the eldest person to go to space on Blue Origin

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<v Speaker 1>there Chad. Just lastly to you at this moment when

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<v Speaker 1>we think pushing forward, what is new Glen rocket expected

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<v Speaker 1>to achieve? How much more resilience do we need to

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<v Speaker 1>see for the larger rocket in twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, they're off to a fantastic start. Where SpaceX goes

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<v Speaker 7>out and is known for trying and testing and running

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<v Speaker 7>their test programs very visibly in public, you know, all

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<v Speaker 7>of the mishaps and the learnings and everything, and we

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<v Speaker 7>get to follow along Bezos and Blue Origin has gone

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<v Speaker 7>the exact opposite route, right. They have done a ton

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<v Speaker 7>of testing before they launch, and so that's why we've

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<v Speaker 7>seen the first two launches of that vehicle be successful,

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<v Speaker 7>in the second one even landing successfully. So you know,

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<v Speaker 7>if twenty twenty five was the year of launch frequency,

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<v Speaker 7>and it was I mean, we were launching orbital rockets

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<v Speaker 7>almost every single day, sometimes multiple times per day. If

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<v Speaker 7>that was the case, then twenty twenty six is going

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<v Speaker 7>to be the year of mass to orbit. We have

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<v Speaker 7>massive new vehicles coming online. SpaceX's starship Blue origins New Glen,

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<v Speaker 7>and they've announced a larger variant that is similar in

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<v Speaker 7>size to starships.

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<v Speaker 6>We have two.

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<v Speaker 7>Massive vehicles that are going to launch an enormous amount

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<v Speaker 7>of mass and enable more in different types of infrastructure

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<v Speaker 7>like orbital data centers, like space stations and manufacturing facilities.

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<v Speaker 7>And it opens up an entirely new sort of piece

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<v Speaker 7>of the market that didn't make economic sense before. So

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<v Speaker 7>it's a really interesting foundation for what I think is

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<v Speaker 7>going to be a fantastic and massive twenty twenty six

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<v Speaker 7>in the space economy.

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<v Speaker 1>Important here for a new NASA chief as well. He

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<v Speaker 1>recently just got Senate approval as recently as yesterday, that

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<v Speaker 1>of course, being Jared Isaacman to lead the Space NASA,

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<v Speaker 1>blumo's Lauren Grush, Chad Anderson, the Space Capital. Please say

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<v Speaker 1>we'll be sticking around as this launch happens. Stick with us.

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<v Speaker 1>There's more to come. This is blue bag tech. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>go your quick check on these markets. We're in rally mode.

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<v Speaker 1>We have relief to set the market as inflation thrashures

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<v Speaker 1>come down some and that CPI reading showing a lot

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<v Speaker 1>less than the market and anticipated. But we're also seeing

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<v Speaker 1>individual stocks on a tear, maybe a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>AI exuberants again on the day, we're seeing in video Microsoft,

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon Tesla at some of your biggest points contributors.

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<v Speaker 3>As is Micron up eleven percent.

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<v Speaker 1>It's actually not at a record high, but it is

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<v Speaker 1>having its best days since April as it managed to

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<v Speaker 1>really ease concerns when it comes to high bandwidth memory

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<v Speaker 1>demand and indeed demand across the board for memory.

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<v Speaker 3>Chips in this new AI world.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about it all, Bloomberg Execuitive reporter Carmen Ryanikey

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<v Speaker 1>who joins us now, and we needed a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>soothing on the AI anxieties and Micron delivers.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, totally.

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<v Speaker 9>And this was actually really great because there was some

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<v Speaker 9>anxiety building around this trade. We've seen this for a while,

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<v Speaker 9>but following specifically broadcarm in Oracles reports last week and

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<v Speaker 9>then some of those news we saw yesterday that weighed

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<v Speaker 9>on Oracle as well, so investors were very happy to

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<v Speaker 9>see Micron do so well. As you said, shares are

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<v Speaker 9>up our eleven percent, and it's also lifting some of

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<v Speaker 9>the other digital storage and memory stocks. So we're seeing

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<v Speaker 9>sand Disk, Western Digital, Seagate all on the top performers

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<v Speaker 9>board today on the S and P five hundred, and

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<v Speaker 9>we're seeing a little bit of enthusiasm come back into

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<v Speaker 9>that AI trade. So in video, Microsoft, Amazon Meta finally

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<v Speaker 9>back in the green in video, especially after the sell

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<v Speaker 9>off yesterday.

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<v Speaker 1>What's interesting is that Mineooni, dagods are Dell, HP, those

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<v Speaker 1>that depend on memory as part of their own supply chain,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course the prices go higher.

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<v Speaker 3>That's hard for their margins.

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<v Speaker 1>But really Micron showing that it can deliver in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of price increases that we're seeing also.

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<v Speaker 3>Over at Simesung and high Skhinex.

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's totally true, and you're right, the Apple is

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<v Speaker 9>lagging today, so is HP, so is Dell.

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<v Speaker 3>I think what we're really starting.

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<v Speaker 9>To see is that the AI trade trade is still going,

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<v Speaker 9>but it's becoming I think more and more companies specific

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<v Speaker 9>right investors are really rewarding the shares of companies that

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<v Speaker 9>do deliver and are showing that they can, you know,

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<v Speaker 9>do well, that they have future growth, and are much

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<v Speaker 9>more cautious on the stocks of companies that don't or

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<v Speaker 9>that stumble at all. And you know this can change

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<v Speaker 9>cord to quarter. I mean we just saw that with Oracle.

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<v Speaker 9>So it's really a story that just continues to unfold.

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<v Speaker 1>Carmen Ranicky always unfolding it for us. We appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's get more of the broader tech context.

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<v Speaker 1>Janet mu is here with us RBC ruin Dolphin Header

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<v Speaker 1>market analysis, and look, we saw really strong revenue growth

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<v Speaker 1>from Micron. The fundamentals clearly outperforming.

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<v Speaker 3>Is that what we need? We need earnings proof points right.

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<v Speaker 10>Now, Hi, Caroline, Yes, absolutely. I think investors are being

0:11:47.920 --> 0:11:54.320
<v Speaker 10>more picky in general. I think SDAI trend continues to accelerate.

0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:58.120
<v Speaker 10>I think we need solid evidence that it is actually

0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:05.120
<v Speaker 10>delivering commercial benefits, broadening its application, and of course delivering earnings.

0:12:05.400 --> 0:12:07.040
<v Speaker 11>And I think that is really.

0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:10.479
<v Speaker 10>The primary thing that investors are going to focus increasingly

0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:14.400
<v Speaker 10>in twenty twenty six, basically going to be much more

0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:19.640
<v Speaker 10>selective and also be cautious on anything that is leverage related.

0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:22.320
<v Speaker 1>So do you think there's more pain to come for

0:12:22.440 --> 0:12:27.240
<v Speaker 1>those like an Oracle that have to spend significant amounts

0:12:27.280 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 1>to be able to build up the infrastructure needs.

0:12:30.440 --> 0:12:34.680
<v Speaker 10>I think that will be certainly increasing scrutinally, because the

0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:39.160
<v Speaker 10>thing is, if you look at the commercial commitment of Oracle,

0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:43.440
<v Speaker 10>it is stretches along decades, and we know that although

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:46.120
<v Speaker 10>you kind of see that the demand is very strong,

0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:53.560
<v Speaker 10>you just can't actually confidently project the future right.

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:56.400
<v Speaker 11>And also, of course it's profitability, and I.

0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:59.880
<v Speaker 10>Think the key question is it is really the amount

0:12:59.920 --> 0:13:04.080
<v Speaker 10>of debt that is fueling this AI infrastructure, particularly for Oracle.

0:13:04.120 --> 0:13:08.240
<v Speaker 10>I think for hyperscalers or companies that have abundant cash

0:13:08.240 --> 0:13:10.240
<v Speaker 10>flow a strong balance sheet, that would be less of

0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:12.559
<v Speaker 10>a problem. But I think a lot of those pain

0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 10>has been released after the share price decline from Oracle,

0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:19.720
<v Speaker 10>So hopefully we're setting for a better stage from here.

0:13:20.160 --> 0:13:23.720
<v Speaker 1>What's been interesting is the desire with which to sell

0:13:23.800 --> 0:13:26.400
<v Speaker 1>companies that have significant exposure to say an open AI

0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:30.160
<v Speaker 1>and there's been this generalization really out there that you've

0:13:30.160 --> 0:13:32.600
<v Speaker 1>been buying the Google winners Alphabet winners instead.

0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 3>Is that trade still on?

0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Are we seeing actually that you can have exposure to

0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:40.760
<v Speaker 1>open Ai. Look Amazon with another seemingly circular deal where

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:43.320
<v Speaker 1>they give equity to open Ai so they can afford

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:44.800
<v Speaker 1>its cloud and compute in the future.

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 10>Well, I think the thing is the marquess for Ai

0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 10>is huge, right, is expected to keep growing, keep accelerating,

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 10>So there that isn't necessarily just going to be one

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:01.720
<v Speaker 10>winner out there, like one soft where one model that

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 10>is going to conquer everything. So there's this competition between

0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 10>GERMANI and open Ai, which worries investors because a GERMANI

0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:10.439
<v Speaker 10>seems to be.

0:14:10.360 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 11>Getting a lot of accolaid recently. But you know, I

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 11>think the market is just very, very broad, So.

0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:24.680
<v Speaker 10>In general, I think it is normal for investors to

0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:27.000
<v Speaker 10>get a little bit worried in the near term, but

0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:31.000
<v Speaker 10>I believe that ultimately there will be multiple winners, and

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 10>they are likely to be those large in scale and

0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:39.600
<v Speaker 10>has which is already being building on very strong.

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 11>It's the same foundations, Jena.

0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Your view on breadth, because that hasn't been much in

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty five, and you can rack up almost like

0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:48.640
<v Speaker 1>forty percent of all the gains of certain indices are

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 1>down to one particular name or sprinkling of them.

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:53.200
<v Speaker 3>For the broadening to happen.

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Do we have to see valuations full for some of

0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 1>the previous winners or can they remain elevated and others

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:00.200
<v Speaker 1>continue to run up alongside.

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:06.840
<v Speaker 11>I think I think is the latter case.

0:15:07.400 --> 0:15:10.080
<v Speaker 10>I do think that our investors are willing to pay

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 10>a higher premium.

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 11>For these strong AI leaders.

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 10>It can continue right as long as they continue to

0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 10>deliver strong growth. And I think the broadening out story

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.560
<v Speaker 10>we've seen that recently, and I think a lot is

0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:27.800
<v Speaker 10>because of the FATS upward revision to growth broadcasts. So

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 10>we really need to see that economy continue to stay

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:35.640
<v Speaker 10>strong or at least resilient and also having some more

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:39.680
<v Speaker 10>rage cuts from here. So I think another case is

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 10>that we may see broadening out in terms of the

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 10>AI productivity story. If that happens, we see more evidence

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:49.720
<v Speaker 10>of that, then it could it could keep the rally in.

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 11>The Swami kept going, Yeah.

0:15:53.000 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 1>What about us being the only game in town or

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:59.360
<v Speaker 1>broadening out more into Asia. We just referenced Samsung sk

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>henex is big winners and have high bandwidth memory.

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, we we have a slight overweight position in Asia

0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 10>equities and probably that's based on the AI story. It

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:14.240
<v Speaker 10>is also, as you're right, is a more diversification away

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:18.040
<v Speaker 10>or in addition to that USAI story. I think Asia

0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:21.600
<v Speaker 10>got some really great and important names in that AI ecosystem,

0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.040
<v Speaker 10>which is worth looking. And I think the other thing

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:28.000
<v Speaker 10>about diversification is that we are constructive on.

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 11>The AI story. But you know, as I fastures, it

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 11>is good to think.

0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:36.560
<v Speaker 10>About diversification in a portfolio, and I think UK actually

0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:40.840
<v Speaker 10>offers good diversification because the market has very little intact,

0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:44.720
<v Speaker 10>it's more defensive in nature, and evaluations remain attractive. So

0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 10>if you think from a total portfolio perspective, having that

0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 10>UK exposure actually helped to balance that out that AI exposure.

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 1>Jennet, how many calls are you're getting from clients who

0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:58.200
<v Speaker 1>want to exposure more to the private markets and private

0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:01.120
<v Speaker 1>assets the sixteen trillion out there rather than just the

0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 1>public market exposure.

0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:04.879
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, that's interesting.

0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:10.919
<v Speaker 10>So I think currently there are interest of course, but

0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 10>I think for US mostly is still in the public

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:19.639
<v Speaker 10>market space, but we suddenly are looking more into that space.

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:23.719
<v Speaker 1>Janeto of RBC ruined Dolphin, Thank you very much. Indeed,

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:33.200
<v Speaker 1>private tech firms, they are commanding record valuations, particularly as

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:35.320
<v Speaker 1>some of the biggest names in AI stay private for

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:38.920
<v Speaker 1>longer now. According to Patrick McGoldrick, managing partner of JP

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:41.280
<v Speaker 1>Morgan Private Capital, this is leading to perhaps a bit

0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 1>of a blurring of boundaries between the public and private markets.

0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 1>Please you say, Patrick joins us, now, so talk to

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 1>us about that blurring. How much our investors, institutional anyone really.

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.200
<v Speaker 3>Wanting to get more exposure to private markets right now?

0:17:53.400 --> 0:17:55.679
<v Speaker 12>I think it's a core theme that we're seeing across

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 12>asset classes, both in the equity market and the credit markets,

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.240
<v Speaker 12>of course, but as it relates to the equity lens,

0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:04.520
<v Speaker 12>companies are staying private a lot longer. It's well understood

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:07.199
<v Speaker 12>from nineteen ninety seven being five years on average and

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:10.480
<v Speaker 12>twenty million dollars of sales to twenty and twenty five

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 12>where it's two hundred and twenty million of sales and

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:15.040
<v Speaker 12>fourteen years of being a private company. But the demand

0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:17.720
<v Speaker 12>is there, the depth of the private markets is there.

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:20.359
<v Speaker 12>I think the growth we're seeing is shield by great

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:24.200
<v Speaker 12>innovation in the private markets, and so it's a theme

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 12>that we're excited about. It's something that we think we're

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:28.440
<v Speaker 12>well positioned for as a firm and excited to see

0:18:28.440 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 12>what the yearhead brings.

0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, your positioning is showing up in these valuations

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:35.040
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and thirty four billion dollar valuations in Data

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:38.560
<v Speaker 1>Bricks in an almost unheard or series L. I mean,

0:18:38.680 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 1>is that the depth in the public markets to support

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:43.680
<v Speaker 1>the ambitions of these CEOs and the need for capital

0:18:43.720 --> 0:18:44.720
<v Speaker 1>to continue to expand.

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:46.760
<v Speaker 13>I think it's a really important question.

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:49.840
<v Speaker 12>I'm glad you asked, because inherent in every valuation, of course,

0:18:50.000 --> 0:18:53.280
<v Speaker 12>is it supported by the fundamentals. Olie and the Data

0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:56.200
<v Speaker 12>Bricks management team have done an exceptional job of positioning

0:18:56.200 --> 0:18:59.480
<v Speaker 12>themselves effectively for the AI wave, making sure that data

0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:01.760
<v Speaker 12>and that in structure layer is well supported and that

0:19:01.800 --> 0:19:02.640
<v Speaker 12>they're the market leader.

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:04.360
<v Speaker 13>And it shows up in the metrics.

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:07.840
<v Speaker 12>They're growing two times the rate of public high growth

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 12>SaaS comps. They're positioned effectively with net expansion rates one

0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:14.399
<v Speaker 12>hundred and forty percent. There are no public companies in

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 12>the software space growing at that level, So I think

0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:20.240
<v Speaker 12>that drives the valuation, it drives the demand for the company.

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 12>They've also been aggressive in their pursuit of assets on

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:26.880
<v Speaker 12>the acquisition side that have effectively positioned them. So to us,

0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:29.159
<v Speaker 12>it was a privilege to co lead the financing. We

0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 12>think the public markets will view this as one of

0:19:32.040 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 12>the premiere Darling assets in the private markets, and so

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:36.359
<v Speaker 12>when they go public, it.

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:38.240
<v Speaker 13>Will be an exciting moment for the company and certainly

0:19:38.280 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 13>for us.

0:19:38.840 --> 0:19:40.840
<v Speaker 3>There's a few other Darling assets out there.

0:19:41.240 --> 0:19:43.639
<v Speaker 1>One of them, as reported by the Information, is currently

0:19:43.640 --> 0:19:45.959
<v Speaker 1>fundraising at a seven hundred and fifty billion dollar valuation.

0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:49.280
<v Speaker 3>That's open AI. That's a new portfolio too, are they fundraising?

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:52.719
<v Speaker 13>So I will let the companies speak for themselves on that.

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:55.679
<v Speaker 12>I would say we're very proud and excited investors to

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 12>be backing open AI. I think Sam and his team

0:19:58.560 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 12>time and time again, despite a little bit of the

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:04.280
<v Speaker 12>negative news or the challenges associated with it, have demonstrated

0:20:04.320 --> 0:20:06.680
<v Speaker 12>and ability to innovate in the product side, to form

0:20:06.960 --> 0:20:08.080
<v Speaker 12>formidable partnerships.

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:09.960
<v Speaker 13>I mean Disney and what they're doing.

0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 12>There as well as the partnerships with universities across the

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:14.199
<v Speaker 12>countries are emblematic of that.

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:16.640
<v Speaker 13>It's not the first time that there's been a little

0:20:16.640 --> 0:20:17.640
<v Speaker 13>bit of that.

0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:21.280
<v Speaker 12>Focus and intensity of product market fit for them, and

0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 12>so to us, we think it's a great asset. We're

0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:26.560
<v Speaker 12>excited to be investors in it, and they continue to

0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:29.199
<v Speaker 12>be synonymous with growth in large language model space, and

0:20:29.240 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 12>so I'll leave it at that, but certainly an exciting

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 12>journey for the company.

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:38.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the same blurring and tussle and mental models

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:41.120
<v Speaker 1>are going on in public hand private. Too many big

0:20:41.200 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 1>names dominating certain indices, too much. VC capital really is

0:20:46.119 --> 0:20:48.840
<v Speaker 1>totally exposed to the AI trade. How have you talked

0:20:48.840 --> 0:20:52.359
<v Speaker 1>to your clients and potential future LPs about, well, the

0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:55.240
<v Speaker 1>economy not supporting what is an AI bubble?

0:20:55.640 --> 0:20:57.440
<v Speaker 12>I think there's a few things you have to root

0:20:57.480 --> 0:20:59.960
<v Speaker 12>yourself in, and just taking a step back at time

0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:02.440
<v Speaker 12>and zooming out makes it a little bit easier to

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:05.120
<v Speaker 12>appreciate the growth in the private markets and AI in particular.

0:21:05.520 --> 0:21:08.199
<v Speaker 13>You go back three years ago, Chat GPT just emerge

0:21:08.200 --> 0:21:08.639
<v Speaker 13>on the scene.

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:10.840
<v Speaker 12>We're at a billion monthly active users and it is

0:21:10.840 --> 0:21:14.080
<v Speaker 12>one of the most intertwined assets within a tech stack.

0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 12>At both the consumer level and the enterprise level. You

0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:21.240
<v Speaker 12>have growth curves being completely redefined. That's the hardest part,

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 12>I think for public market investors is you have companies

0:21:24.040 --> 0:21:26.840
<v Speaker 12>achieving one hundred million dollars of revenue one to two

0:21:26.880 --> 0:21:29.840
<v Speaker 12>years faster than their public SaaS companies did when they

0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:32.680
<v Speaker 12>were private at twenty to thirty percent the number of employees.

0:21:33.200 --> 0:21:35.960
<v Speaker 12>Think about the compounding effects of that over time.

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 13>So yes, there will be in any tech cycle there.

0:21:38.800 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 12>Are assets that are overvalued, there's excess, there are companies

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:46.120
<v Speaker 12>that may completely go bust. But inherent in every single

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:50.920
<v Speaker 12>tech cycle cloud computing, infrastructure, five G, mobile internet, there

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:53.360
<v Speaker 12>is a new cohort of companies that define those generations,

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 12>and we think we're seeing many of those play out

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:55.600
<v Speaker 12>in the private markets.

0:21:56.400 --> 0:21:59.800
<v Speaker 1>The leading one defining private market valuations at the moment

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:03.119
<v Speaker 1>SpaceX where on tend to Hook's waiting for Blue Origin

0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:04.480
<v Speaker 1>to launch, and we go go back to it in

0:22:04.520 --> 0:22:07.240
<v Speaker 1>a moment. But what are your perspective in terms of

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:10.680
<v Speaker 1>where twenty twenty six is going to see really the excitement,

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:12.600
<v Speaker 1>the exuberance. Is it going to be all about general

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.960
<v Speaker 1>to AI, the models, the LMS, or more space More broadly.

0:22:16.119 --> 0:22:19.840
<v Speaker 12>I think it's very clear that defense technology and space

0:22:19.880 --> 0:22:22.600
<v Speaker 12>it's having a moment inappropriately, so I think the rate

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:25.720
<v Speaker 12>of innovation the starlink business just a handful of years ago,

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:28.199
<v Speaker 12>there's a lot of speculation on what the monetization.

0:22:27.680 --> 0:22:29.880
<v Speaker 13>Profile of that asset would look like for us.

0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:33.080
<v Speaker 12>We are definitely focused on core assets where there's defensibility

0:22:33.119 --> 0:22:35.600
<v Speaker 12>of spend from the chief information officer layer on the

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 12>enterprise side, right, we benefit from JP Morgan's breath of

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:41.600
<v Speaker 12>eighteen billion dollars of technology spence to drive insight there.

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 12>But importantly cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, those are resilient areas of spend.

0:22:47.200 --> 0:22:50.600
<v Speaker 12>Why because the efficacy that you're seeing now from deploying

0:22:50.680 --> 0:22:54.440
<v Speaker 12>AI in your organization exceeds the cost is very much

0:22:54.480 --> 0:22:56.760
<v Speaker 12>an ROI positive trade for people now.

0:22:57.000 --> 0:23:00.320
<v Speaker 13>So focusing on the right companies defensible.

0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:04.040
<v Speaker 12>Mode, it's clear and sophisticated management teams to manage the

0:23:04.040 --> 0:23:08.679
<v Speaker 12>conflicts and competition that comes to the four and then

0:23:08.720 --> 0:23:11.720
<v Speaker 12>being in a position to back the winners is very much.

0:23:11.640 --> 0:23:12.320
<v Speaker 13>For we're a position.

0:23:12.640 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 3>Patrick's great having you on.

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:16.080
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Ery, I'm back, wishing you well for the

0:23:16.160 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 1>end of twenty twenty five, Patrick McGoldrick. They're managing partner

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:22.200
<v Speaker 1>of JP Morgan Private Capital. Let's get back to Blue

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Origin now the launch is back on. We returned to

0:23:25.320 --> 0:23:28.240
<v Speaker 1>our Space reporter Lauren Graush alongside Chat Anderson's Space Capital

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:31.800
<v Speaker 1>founder and CEO. Any details, Lauren and what maybe just

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:32.760
<v Speaker 1>press the pause button?

0:23:33.920 --> 0:23:35.520
<v Speaker 5>I think it was exactly what I thought.

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:37.479
<v Speaker 4>It turned out to be Whens something that it had

0:23:37.520 --> 0:23:42.480
<v Speaker 4>originally pushed back the launchtime this morning, but it seems

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:44.400
<v Speaker 4>to have cleared. We've got a new team minus zero

0:23:44.600 --> 0:23:46.520
<v Speaker 4>in about four minutes, I think.

0:23:46.920 --> 0:23:49.399
<v Speaker 5>Let me just check the time. Five minutes.

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 4>Yes, And I would not be surprised if they had

0:23:53.560 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 4>another hole for wins again, fingers crossed.

0:23:56.040 --> 0:23:58.880
<v Speaker 5>That they don't. But as of now, it seems like.

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 1>All Systems and Chad just remind us of the business

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 1>model here because these are sort of short and sweet,

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:10.239
<v Speaker 1>eleven minute rides almost this is more pleasure tourism, but

0:24:10.280 --> 0:24:13.679
<v Speaker 1>also still understanding the capacity of what humans can do

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:17.959
<v Speaker 1>and achieve just into in a or outer orbital What

0:24:18.000 --> 0:24:20.200
<v Speaker 1>do you make of what this precedent is for New

0:24:20.200 --> 0:24:22.560
<v Speaker 1>Shepherd and where else it takes us for human travel?

0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:26.920
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think you know, again, this is a small vehicle.

0:24:27.160 --> 0:24:30.080
<v Speaker 7>It's going to sub orbital space, just basically kissing the

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:33.360
<v Speaker 7>edge of space and coming back down.

0:24:32.440 --> 0:24:36.119
<v Speaker 6>And so I think that it's really kind.

0:24:36.000 --> 0:24:39.480
<v Speaker 7>Of indicative of the different sort of philosophies between SpaceX

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:42.399
<v Speaker 7>and Blue Origin. Where SPACEXS test programs that they do

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:48.000
<v Speaker 7>out in public, they fail fast learn quickly, adopt those learnings,

0:24:48.119 --> 0:24:50.240
<v Speaker 7>and then apply them to their next iteration, and we

0:24:50.280 --> 0:24:52.720
<v Speaker 7>get the follow along and watch that test program play

0:24:52.720 --> 0:24:54.000
<v Speaker 7>out in real time.

0:24:54.280 --> 0:24:55.920
<v Speaker 6>With Blue Origin, they're much more careful.

0:24:56.800 --> 0:24:59.960
<v Speaker 7>They do a lot of testing internally before they ever launch,

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:02.680
<v Speaker 7>and that's why we've seen them have an incredible success

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:06.040
<v Speaker 7>rate in this vehicle. This new Shepherd vehicle has an

0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:10.280
<v Speaker 7>incredible success rate, and they've been launching. They've launched eighty

0:25:10.320 --> 0:25:13.720
<v Speaker 7>people over sixteen flights. You know, all of these. You know,

0:25:13.880 --> 0:25:18.080
<v Speaker 7>this is a very successful, very reliable vehicle, and it's

0:25:18.160 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 7>really the first step in their larger space ambitions. So,

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:25.840
<v Speaker 7>you know, the landing technology that they use here, they

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:28.760
<v Speaker 7>have applied that to their larger New Glen vehicle. They've

0:25:28.760 --> 0:25:31.480
<v Speaker 7>got an even bigger New Glen vehicle that they've just announced.

0:25:31.520 --> 0:25:33.600
<v Speaker 7>You know, they want to go, they want to launch

0:25:33.640 --> 0:25:34.400
<v Speaker 7>space stations.

0:25:34.640 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 6>They have a Lunar.

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:38.879
<v Speaker 7>Lander and contracts with NASA, so their ambitions are large,

0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:40.959
<v Speaker 7>and this new Shepherd vehicle is sort of the seating

0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:42.760
<v Speaker 7>of that technology roadmap.

0:25:43.080 --> 0:25:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Lauren, we mentioned NASA there, and as I said before,

0:25:46.280 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>we have indeed seemingly confirmed a new chief of NASA,

0:25:49.800 --> 0:25:52.560
<v Speaker 1>Jared Issacman, it's been a bit of whiplash through the process.

0:25:52.840 --> 0:25:54.720
<v Speaker 3>What is he set to put in place?

0:25:54.760 --> 0:25:57.960
<v Speaker 1>What is the government relationship with these new private startups.

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:03.359
<v Speaker 4>Well, Origin has established itself as a very important partner

0:26:03.400 --> 0:26:07.080
<v Speaker 4>with NASA. I think, as Chad mentioned, they have a

0:26:07.280 --> 0:26:11.119
<v Speaker 4>lunar lander program which NASA has contracted them to build

0:26:11.160 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 4>for their Artemis program, which it aims to send humans

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:15.760
<v Speaker 4>back to the Moon for the first time in.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:20.199
<v Speaker 5>Over a half century. So they are very bullish on

0:26:20.240 --> 0:26:20.600
<v Speaker 5>the Moon.

0:26:20.680 --> 0:26:23.320
<v Speaker 4>I think if you've ever heard Jeff Bezos talk about

0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:27.359
<v Speaker 4>his space ambitions, the Moon is a very big part

0:26:27.400 --> 0:26:30.440
<v Speaker 4>of that. And also it's an exciting time for Blue

0:26:30.480 --> 0:26:35.000
<v Speaker 4>Origin because before Jared Isisacman was confirmed to das administrator,

0:26:35.040 --> 0:26:40.440
<v Speaker 4>the acting administrator, Sean Duffy, had talked about potentially opening

0:26:40.560 --> 0:26:45.320
<v Speaker 4>up the competition again for the first.

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 5>Lunar landing on the Moon.

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:51.080
<v Speaker 4>So SpaceX currently holds that contract to land the first

0:26:51.160 --> 0:26:54.679
<v Speaker 4>humans on the Moon for the Artemis program, but because

0:26:54.720 --> 0:26:58.880
<v Speaker 4>of some concerns about delays and that development process, Sean

0:26:58.960 --> 0:27:01.960
<v Speaker 4>Duffy had talked about opening up that contract to see

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:05.200
<v Speaker 4>if Blue Origin could potentially move more quickly on their

0:27:05.280 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 4>lunar lander program, so I think they're going.

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:09.320
<v Speaker 5>To try and take advantage of that.

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.160
<v Speaker 4>So it'll be a very interesting time over the next

0:27:12.160 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 4>few years to see if SpaceX pools ahead, if Blue

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:19.040
<v Speaker 4>Origin pulls ahead. So we're really in a new age

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 4>space race to get back to the Moon.

0:27:21.240 --> 0:27:24.240
<v Speaker 1>And the race is on for NS thirty seven, just

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:28.240
<v Speaker 1>one minute thirty seconds or so before launched Child very briefly,

0:27:28.680 --> 0:27:31.320
<v Speaker 1>the management behind Blue Origin that likes of Dave Limp

0:27:31.359 --> 0:27:34.560
<v Speaker 1>coming from Amazon important absolutely.

0:27:34.560 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 7>I mean, the company was around for two decades and

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:39.919
<v Speaker 7>never launched anything. You know, they were in R and

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:42.359
<v Speaker 7>D mode for a very long time. I think bringing

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:44.560
<v Speaker 7>in Dave Limp, you've seen what's happened. I mean, obviously

0:27:44.600 --> 0:27:46.359
<v Speaker 7>a lot of work had been done up to that point,

0:27:46.400 --> 0:27:49.919
<v Speaker 7>but Dave Limp is a key reason why the company

0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:53.240
<v Speaker 7>is now launching. It's a key reason why we're seeing

0:27:53.280 --> 0:27:55.399
<v Speaker 7>new Glen come online, and it's a key reason why

0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:58.479
<v Speaker 7>they're moving so aggressively on their lunar programs and all

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:03.040
<v Speaker 7>these other things. So super important from my perspective, we.

0:28:03.040 --> 0:28:04.719
<v Speaker 3>Have one minute to go, Lauren.

0:28:05.000 --> 0:28:06.960
<v Speaker 1>What we'll be doing being done by the astronauts in

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:10.240
<v Speaker 1>place right now, oh, we're on holiday again. Fifty nine

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:14.919
<v Speaker 1>fifty eight seconds to go. Maybe a wind polls for now, Lauren.

0:28:14.960 --> 0:28:17.280
<v Speaker 1>But what would the astronauts currently be doing, What would

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 1>the six people who are currently riding likely to be

0:28:21.040 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 1>doing in this preparation stage.

0:28:22.920 --> 0:28:26.120
<v Speaker 4>Well, I don't know personally, but I imagine their hearts

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:29.879
<v Speaker 4>are thumping quite quickly, and perhaps the adrenaline.

0:28:29.280 --> 0:28:30.800
<v Speaker 5>Is pumping through them at this moment.

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:34.119
<v Speaker 4>I think, truly, the way that the vehicle's designed is

0:28:34.160 --> 0:28:37.600
<v Speaker 4>that it's very automated, so they're strapped into their seats.

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 4>I think they really just are along for the ride

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:43.200
<v Speaker 4>for that first descent portion. So I think for them

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 4>it's just a waiting game, and they're probably, you know,

0:28:47.680 --> 0:28:50.280
<v Speaker 4>gripping the handrails a little tight right now. I'm not

0:28:50.360 --> 0:28:51.640
<v Speaker 4>waiting for this hole to pass.

0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:55.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the background of these people, Chad, it is fascinating.

0:28:55.400 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 1>As you say, we're now well, I don't think I'm

0:28:57.320 --> 0:29:01.000
<v Speaker 1>two degrees separated from Katy Perry, but apparently I'm maybe

0:29:01.040 --> 0:29:03.640
<v Speaker 1>two or six degrees separated from Joey Hyde, who is

0:29:03.640 --> 0:29:05.840
<v Speaker 1>a physicist and a hedge fund investor from Florida who's

0:29:05.840 --> 0:29:07.760
<v Speaker 1>on board. No relation to me, as far as I'm

0:29:07.800 --> 0:29:09.960
<v Speaker 1>aware of it, but we do have Mitchie ben Thaus,

0:29:10.000 --> 0:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>who of course is the first person going into space.

0:29:12.080 --> 0:29:14.000
<v Speaker 3>In wheelchair, which is a significant step.

0:29:14.280 --> 0:29:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Got German American aerospace engineer hands Consigmund. How are these

0:29:18.800 --> 0:29:22.320
<v Speaker 1>people told ultimately picked, some of them privately spending, some

0:29:22.400 --> 0:29:24.160
<v Speaker 1>of them backed by government grants.

0:29:26.240 --> 0:29:28.320
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean I think it's a mix, you know,

0:29:28.400 --> 0:29:32.800
<v Speaker 7>Blue Origin and Bezos himself has you know, there's usually

0:29:32.800 --> 0:29:35.240
<v Speaker 7>an impact angle to what they do, like there is

0:29:35.360 --> 0:29:40.640
<v Speaker 7>meaning behind what he's doing. The first passengers were and

0:29:40.680 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 7>I call them passengers because they're really like like Lauren

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 7>has said, it's you know, it's an autonomous vehicle and

0:29:45.880 --> 0:29:48.520
<v Speaker 7>they're kind of along for the ride. But the first

0:29:48.520 --> 0:29:50.960
<v Speaker 7>passengers were selected very carefully, you know, they wanted to

0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:55.000
<v Speaker 7>tell the right story. And but no, I mean people

0:29:55.080 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 7>are they have put down deposits, they've paid their way.

0:29:57.880 --> 0:30:01.000
<v Speaker 7>They there's a long list the people who really want

0:30:01.000 --> 0:30:02.320
<v Speaker 7>to go to space.

0:30:02.360 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 6>In addition to.

0:30:04.960 --> 0:30:06.880
<v Speaker 7>The first person in a wheelchair, which again is like

0:30:07.040 --> 0:30:10.840
<v Speaker 7>really pointing to how accessible space flight has become. Hans

0:30:10.920 --> 0:30:12.240
<v Speaker 7>is a big one for me. I mean, this is

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 7>he's a SpaceX legend. He was the one of the

0:30:16.120 --> 0:30:19.080
<v Speaker 7>earliest and most senior employees of SpaceX. He was their

0:30:19.240 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 7>VP of Build and Flight Reliability for a decade. So

0:30:23.480 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 7>seeing a key architect of SpaceX success fly on a

0:30:27.120 --> 0:30:30.200
<v Speaker 7>Jeff Bezos owned Blue Origin rocket is kind of the

0:30:30.440 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 7>crossover moment.

0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:35.080
<v Speaker 6>That has the industry you know talking. I think is

0:30:35.120 --> 0:30:36.480
<v Speaker 6>really interesting that.

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:40.360
<v Speaker 1>Is now all become weightless as a spacecraft continues towards

0:30:40.360 --> 0:30:43.680
<v Speaker 1>its highest point on the brief joid, the brief voyage

0:30:43.720 --> 0:30:46.040
<v Speaker 1>that going out to the common line stick with us.

0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Lauren Grash and Chad Anderson in space Capital, we so

0:30:48.800 --> 0:30:51.520
<v Speaker 1>appreciate your time. We'll go back to this launch as

0:30:51.600 --> 0:30:54.160
<v Speaker 1>and when the clock these starts. For now, let's check

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:56.720
<v Speaker 1>in on these markets. We're up two percent. We're in

0:30:56.840 --> 0:30:59.640
<v Speaker 1>risk on mode, the desire to be buying into equities

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 1>after information comes in cooler than expected. But we get

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.200
<v Speaker 1>some relief from some of the AI anxiety they've been

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:08.280
<v Speaker 1>building in the market because we've got earning fundamentals for

0:31:08.480 --> 0:31:12.600
<v Speaker 1>Micron that was well above expectations, with revenue growth rate

0:31:12.680 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 1>far above the fifty percent that have perhaps have been expected,

0:31:15.520 --> 0:31:17.960
<v Speaker 1>and they're pointing towards ever growing margins. How long is

0:31:17.960 --> 0:31:20.080
<v Speaker 1>that sustainable. We're eleven and a half percent on the

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 1>stock is actually not at a record high, but boy

0:31:22.640 --> 0:31:25.280
<v Speaker 1>of price target's been raised. Let's discuss that with Blueberg

0:31:25.280 --> 0:31:27.800
<v Speaker 1>Aquities report to ran Vastelica and I mean I was

0:31:27.840 --> 0:31:30.560
<v Speaker 1>looking on overall analyst recommendations.

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:32.400
<v Speaker 3>One of the highest price targets.

0:31:32.040 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 1>Is five hundred dollars and there's only one cell rating

0:31:34.760 --> 0:31:35.280
<v Speaker 1>on Micron.

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:36.360
<v Speaker 14>Yeah.

0:31:36.400 --> 0:31:38.840
<v Speaker 15>Absolutely, people seem like they are really coming around on

0:31:38.880 --> 0:31:41.080
<v Speaker 15>this story. I saw Bank of America upgraded the stock

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:44.920
<v Speaker 15>earlier today. A lot of optimism around just the overall

0:31:45.280 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 15>memory needs that are going to be required as the

0:31:47.920 --> 0:31:52.120
<v Speaker 15>AI infrastructure build out continues, especially going into next year,

0:31:52.160 --> 0:31:54.360
<v Speaker 15>So a lot of optimism there. There have been some

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:57.760
<v Speaker 15>shakiness in the wake of Oracle and Broadcome results, but

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 15>it really seems like Micron surprised to the upside. Things

0:32:01.560 --> 0:32:04.440
<v Speaker 15>were well ahead of expectations across the key metrics, and

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 15>they talked about so much the man are not able

0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:09.720
<v Speaker 15>to have enough supply to meet their major customers. So

0:32:10.360 --> 0:32:12.400
<v Speaker 15>sort of the problem there, but I guess a good one,

0:32:12.400 --> 0:32:14.160
<v Speaker 15>and just in terms of how strong the demand is.

0:32:14.160 --> 0:32:16.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I probam of certain customers that dependent on

0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 1>maybe just the more basic non memory part of the business,

0:32:19.240 --> 0:32:21.200
<v Speaker 1>and they're having to pay higher prices. Already, there were

0:32:21.240 --> 0:32:23.600
<v Speaker 1>reports that Dell was triving to pass on some higher

0:32:23.600 --> 0:32:24.600
<v Speaker 1>prices last week.

0:32:24.880 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 3>Dell is down on the day, so to his HPE.

0:32:28.680 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, absolutely, we are seeing weakness across the hardware space today. Obviously,

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:34.160
<v Speaker 15>you know, as you increase these memory prices or prices

0:32:34.160 --> 0:32:36.120
<v Speaker 15>for memory chips, that's going to be a problem for

0:32:36.160 --> 0:32:37.920
<v Speaker 15>the companies that have to pay for it. Obviously, a

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:39.880
<v Speaker 15>lot of the spending is being done, at least on

0:32:39.920 --> 0:32:42.840
<v Speaker 15>the AI side of things by these megacap companies that

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 15>have such deep pockets, you know, your Microsoft's and Alphabets

0:32:45.520 --> 0:32:47.960
<v Speaker 15>and Amazons and so forth. But beyond that, we are

0:32:48.000 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 15>seeing places where you know, micro unscain is going to

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:52.520
<v Speaker 15>their detriment.

0:32:53.440 --> 0:32:56.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm Vasselica always across these market moves, we thank you.

0:32:56.520 --> 0:32:59.360
<v Speaker 1>Let's stick on the moves post Micron. Joanne Foeni's with

0:32:59.400 --> 0:33:02.600
<v Speaker 1>us partner a new manager Advisor's capital management, our guru

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:05.600
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to all things semiconductors. Just how important

0:33:05.600 --> 0:33:08.280
<v Speaker 1>has the high bandwidth memory part of the business become

0:33:08.280 --> 0:33:08.840
<v Speaker 1>for Micron?

0:33:09.760 --> 0:33:12.000
<v Speaker 14>Oh, it's absolutely essential, you know, they made that move

0:33:12.040 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 14>into that technology space. They're the leader and it is

0:33:15.040 --> 0:33:18.640
<v Speaker 14>proving to be extremely useful in these data centers for

0:33:18.680 --> 0:33:22.600
<v Speaker 14>AI because of the intense memory needs to keep that

0:33:23.400 --> 0:33:25.640
<v Speaker 14>processing going as quickly as possible.

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:28.840
<v Speaker 8>So, you know, not enough capacity out there.

0:33:28.880 --> 0:33:31.960
<v Speaker 14>They're adding some, but in the meantime they're going to

0:33:32.040 --> 0:33:33.760
<v Speaker 14>enjoy further price increases.

0:33:34.640 --> 0:33:36.760
<v Speaker 1>Good for them, Yeah, good for them that we know

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:39.880
<v Speaker 1>this is a desperately cyclical market at times, and it

0:33:39.880 --> 0:33:42.080
<v Speaker 1>can be very good on the upside, very painful on

0:33:42.120 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 1>the downside. They are committing to more capital expenditure. They

0:33:44.920 --> 0:33:46.680
<v Speaker 1>are building out to try and meet some of that

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:48.640
<v Speaker 1>demand you on. Is that the right game plan?

0:33:49.760 --> 0:33:53.400
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, it's it's a tough it's a tough industry because

0:33:53.400 --> 0:33:55.160
<v Speaker 14>we do, as you pointed out, Carolyn, we get these

0:33:55.160 --> 0:33:58.160
<v Speaker 14>cycles and it's it's boom and bust. There are a

0:33:58.200 --> 0:34:00.920
<v Speaker 14>few players, but each of them wants to be first

0:34:00.960 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 14>with supply so they can capture the resilient demand the

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:08.960
<v Speaker 14>higher prices, and then inevitably they overbuild prices come crashing down.

0:34:09.200 --> 0:34:11.359
<v Speaker 8>What's different this time, perhaps is.

0:34:11.320 --> 0:34:15.680
<v Speaker 14>The strength of the demand for this new product line

0:34:16.200 --> 0:34:19.239
<v Speaker 14>because of what we're seeing obviously in the buildout of

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:22.080
<v Speaker 14>AI data centers, and if for guests are correct and

0:34:22.120 --> 0:34:24.439
<v Speaker 14>we're going to see year's worth of AI data center

0:34:24.520 --> 0:34:27.440
<v Speaker 14>build out, we're going to see that demand sustain at

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:28.320
<v Speaker 14>these high levels.

0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:30.440
<v Speaker 8>That doesn't mean capacity isn't going to catch up.

0:34:30.440 --> 0:34:33.839
<v Speaker 14>Clearly, they're going to try, and so ultimately prices will

0:34:33.880 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 14>come down.

0:34:34.800 --> 0:34:36.640
<v Speaker 8>And then the question.

0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:40.080
<v Speaker 14>Becomes, Okay, so once we've built these data centers and

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:41.439
<v Speaker 14>that build slows.

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:43.960
<v Speaker 8>Down, what is the need for all of those new

0:34:44.000 --> 0:34:48.040
<v Speaker 8>factories for making memory chips. So it's a devilsely cyclical industry,

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:48.640
<v Speaker 8>very tough.

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:52.560
<v Speaker 1>There are few players who managed to crack the HBM code.

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:55.279
<v Speaker 3>Sk heinix some I'm trying to pay catch up.

0:34:55.320 --> 0:34:57.759
<v Speaker 1>How much do you think competition could really ramp up

0:34:57.760 --> 0:34:58.799
<v Speaker 1>into twenty twenty six?

0:35:00.320 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, I mean clearly, ske Heinez is you know involved.

0:35:03.960 --> 0:35:06.799
<v Speaker 14>Samsung is a great company. I'm sure they'll figure this out.

0:35:07.200 --> 0:35:09.920
<v Speaker 14>Whether they can add capacity quickly as another question. But

0:35:10.520 --> 0:35:13.680
<v Speaker 14>they have the ability to switch capacity between solid state

0:35:13.920 --> 0:35:17.000
<v Speaker 14>memory and DRAM and they'll do that as long as

0:35:17.000 --> 0:35:19.359
<v Speaker 14>the demand remains. But even with Micron, I mean they

0:35:19.400 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 14>talked about pulling in the expansion and Idaho from you know,

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:25.200
<v Speaker 14>the sort of fourth quarter or the third quarter of

0:35:25.200 --> 0:35:28.480
<v Speaker 14>fiscal twenty seven into the middle of twenty seven, so

0:35:28.560 --> 0:35:31.000
<v Speaker 14>maybe moving it up by a quarter. It's just tough

0:35:31.080 --> 0:35:34.319
<v Speaker 14>to bring on new capacity. There are constraints from the

0:35:34.360 --> 0:35:37.960
<v Speaker 14>equipments offers, you know, land research applied ASML. You can

0:35:38.040 --> 0:35:40.520
<v Speaker 14>only get your hands on key equipment so quickly, so

0:35:40.800 --> 0:35:43.799
<v Speaker 14>it's always slow, and therefore that gives investors some visibility

0:35:44.040 --> 0:35:45.479
<v Speaker 14>to how long this cycle might last.

0:35:46.440 --> 0:35:51.360
<v Speaker 1>Were you given any more anxiety around certain players in

0:35:51.400 --> 0:35:51.800
<v Speaker 1>the space.

0:35:51.960 --> 0:35:53.240
<v Speaker 3>Yesterday we were all talking.

0:35:53.080 --> 0:35:56.239
<v Speaker 1>About Oracle and perhaps whether it's financing was good or

0:35:56.320 --> 0:35:59.040
<v Speaker 1>not for builds out in Michigan. It feels as though

0:35:59.040 --> 0:36:01.319
<v Speaker 1>they said they've got the right in place, but how

0:36:01.440 --> 0:36:04.799
<v Speaker 1>much we're going to see this on again, off again

0:36:05.680 --> 0:36:08.640
<v Speaker 1>bubble problems in twenty twenty six two.

0:36:09.560 --> 0:36:12.360
<v Speaker 8>I think this anxiety is going to continue, and for

0:36:12.520 --> 0:36:13.040
<v Speaker 8>good reason.

0:36:13.200 --> 0:36:17.319
<v Speaker 14>Right there's uncertainty about how quickly these AI applications will

0:36:17.680 --> 0:36:21.200
<v Speaker 14>be put into practice to generate profits to keep that

0:36:21.320 --> 0:36:24.040
<v Speaker 14>demand going for those new data centers. But when you

0:36:24.120 --> 0:36:26.800
<v Speaker 14>look at the investments taking place by the big guys,

0:36:26.880 --> 0:36:31.719
<v Speaker 14>by the mega companies like Microsoft, Google, Amazon, what you

0:36:31.800 --> 0:36:32.759
<v Speaker 14>see our companies with.

0:36:33.040 --> 0:36:35.480
<v Speaker 8>Just immense free cash flow. Just take a look at

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 8>their numbers.

0:36:36.320 --> 0:36:39.560
<v Speaker 14>You know, Amazon reportedly a ten billion dollar investment in

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:43.360
<v Speaker 14>open Ai in exchange for open Ai using its trainingum chips.

0:36:44.760 --> 0:36:48.560
<v Speaker 14>Amazon's free cash flow this year and next year is

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:50.600
<v Speaker 14>well over ten million dollars.

0:36:50.719 --> 0:36:52.560
<v Speaker 8>Right, they have plenty of money.

0:36:52.600 --> 0:36:54.960
<v Speaker 14>And you look at the others that have even larger

0:36:55.560 --> 0:36:58.120
<v Speaker 14>levels of free cash flow making investments in open Ai

0:36:58.239 --> 0:36:58.760
<v Speaker 14>and elsewhere.

0:36:59.040 --> 0:37:00.960
<v Speaker 8>So I think some of the ern is a little

0:37:01.000 --> 0:37:01.759
<v Speaker 8>bit misplaced.

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:04.520
<v Speaker 14>But you know, you look at Accentua this morning, which

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:06.560
<v Speaker 14>you know, we've owned for clients for a long time.

0:37:07.080 --> 0:37:10.359
<v Speaker 14>They are talking about how difficult it is to get

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:13.560
<v Speaker 14>their data and their systems and their processes in place

0:37:13.600 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 14>so that they can help customers. What they're also saying

0:37:16.080 --> 0:37:18.480
<v Speaker 14>is that customers want and need their help. So there's

0:37:18.560 --> 0:37:21.279
<v Speaker 14>definitely an effort out there to roll out AI applications,

0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:23.359
<v Speaker 14>and you know we're going to see that happen.

0:37:23.480 --> 0:37:26.040
<v Speaker 8>The question that makes people nervous is how quickly will

0:37:26.080 --> 0:37:26.439
<v Speaker 8>it happen?

0:37:26.520 --> 0:37:29.359
<v Speaker 14>Will there be enough profits for the users of AI

0:37:29.440 --> 0:37:31.640
<v Speaker 14>who are paying this money for access to these models,

0:37:31.920 --> 0:37:35.680
<v Speaker 14>Will they continue to pay in sufficient quantities that you know,

0:37:35.800 --> 0:37:37.080
<v Speaker 14>doesn't cause a slow down.

0:37:37.000 --> 0:37:38.400
<v Speaker 8>In the buildout of these data centers.

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:40.920
<v Speaker 14>But right now, you know, the valuations for a company

0:37:41.000 --> 0:37:43.640
<v Speaker 14>like Broadcom are really reasonable when you just look at

0:37:43.719 --> 0:37:44.799
<v Speaker 14>two years worth of growth.

0:37:45.320 --> 0:37:48.320
<v Speaker 8>And some are complaining that the valuations are not so reasonable.

0:37:48.320 --> 0:37:50.279
<v Speaker 8>But I would encourage people to look not just at

0:37:50.320 --> 0:37:52.520
<v Speaker 8>one year of earnings growth, but look at a couple

0:37:52.600 --> 0:37:53.160
<v Speaker 8>look at three.

0:37:53.600 --> 0:37:55.360
<v Speaker 3>I like that takeaway, Joanne Feeney.

0:37:55.560 --> 0:37:58.680
<v Speaker 1>Always great to catch up from Advisor's Capital Management Stay well,

0:37:58.840 --> 0:37:59.160
<v Speaker 1>thank you.

0:38:05.239 --> 0:38:08.680
<v Speaker 3>Just take a look at this Chinese AI firms.

0:38:09.000 --> 0:38:11.359
<v Speaker 1>They have been soaring in terms of share price, new

0:38:11.480 --> 0:38:13.080
<v Speaker 1>entrantsx like more threads.

0:38:13.200 --> 0:38:15.160
<v Speaker 3>They've gone public with wildly.

0:38:14.800 --> 0:38:18.719
<v Speaker 1>Oversubscribed debuts as China makes an all out push to

0:38:18.719 --> 0:38:20.359
<v Speaker 1>become self sufficient in semiconductors.

0:38:20.719 --> 0:38:23.200
<v Speaker 3>So what does it mean for the US firms for

0:38:23.239 --> 0:38:24.320
<v Speaker 3>global AI tensions?

0:38:24.400 --> 0:38:28.120
<v Speaker 1>James Proud, here's CEO of substrate founder's fund BATCHIP Foundry

0:38:28.160 --> 0:38:29.840
<v Speaker 1>in the United States. You've just come out of stealth,

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:32.200
<v Speaker 1>You've joined us on the show at the end of October,

0:38:32.360 --> 0:38:34.160
<v Speaker 1>and what I really want to get your perspective on

0:38:34.800 --> 0:38:38.640
<v Speaker 1>is China's domestics supply right now and how much you've

0:38:38.760 --> 0:38:41.400
<v Speaker 1>long been concerned about our exposure in the US to

0:38:41.520 --> 0:38:42.279
<v Speaker 1>Taiwan and the like.

0:38:42.719 --> 0:38:44.520
<v Speaker 3>How much is China making strides?

0:38:46.200 --> 0:38:49.840
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, Well, I think when we talk about China's ability

0:38:50.360 --> 0:38:53.239
<v Speaker 16>to have an advanced semiconductor sector, the question is in

0:38:53.480 --> 0:38:56.439
<v Speaker 16>can China make fabs? Can they make equipment? The question

0:38:56.520 --> 0:38:59.920
<v Speaker 16>has always been will they have access to EUV lithography

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:02.719
<v Speaker 16>tools or be able to make their own. And the

0:39:02.840 --> 0:39:05.959
<v Speaker 16>reporting that came out yesterday shows that China now has

0:39:06.200 --> 0:39:09.239
<v Speaker 16>a working prototype of some type, which I think to

0:39:09.320 --> 0:39:10.440
<v Speaker 16>a lot of people came.

0:39:10.320 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 6>As a surprise.

0:39:11.520 --> 0:39:13.600
<v Speaker 16>This is something that we've been tracking for a very

0:39:13.800 --> 0:39:16.640
<v Speaker 16>very long time and something that I think that the

0:39:16.800 --> 0:39:20.000
<v Speaker 16>US should actually take incredibly seriously. We can't just be

0:39:20.120 --> 0:39:22.600
<v Speaker 16>playing defense. There needs to be a plan of okay,

0:39:22.680 --> 0:39:25.680
<v Speaker 16>how do we regain leadership, but really by a leap

0:39:25.719 --> 0:39:28.600
<v Speaker 16>ahead so that we can actually maintain that when China

0:39:28.760 --> 0:39:30.680
<v Speaker 16>is able to actually make advanced semiconductors.

0:39:30.880 --> 0:39:31.319
<v Speaker 3>Now, what's so.

0:39:31.400 --> 0:39:33.880
<v Speaker 1>Interesting is that just today we're hearing that Tencent has

0:39:33.960 --> 0:39:36.880
<v Speaker 1>managed to appoint a new chief AI scientist, bringing over

0:39:36.960 --> 0:39:40.400
<v Speaker 1>from Open Ai. From the reporting being done by outlets

0:39:40.440 --> 0:39:44.040
<v Speaker 1>like Reuter's that there's some new EUV or some sort

0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:47.799
<v Speaker 1>of lithography equipment built in China by people who've come

0:39:47.840 --> 0:39:51.040
<v Speaker 1>from ASML and gone to work back in China. How

0:39:51.200 --> 0:39:53.440
<v Speaker 1>is the talent war and the brain drains something that

0:39:53.480 --> 0:39:54.239
<v Speaker 1>you're keeping an eye on.

0:39:55.920 --> 0:40:00.640
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, well, I think that we underestimate China to our like.

0:40:01.000 --> 0:40:03.400
<v Speaker 16>They are some of the smartest scientists and engineers in

0:40:03.440 --> 0:40:06.960
<v Speaker 16>the world, and we shouldn't be surprised that they sometimes

0:40:07.160 --> 0:40:10.080
<v Speaker 16>join Western companies and then often go back and are

0:40:10.120 --> 0:40:13.320
<v Speaker 16>able to compete very effectively. And so I think that

0:40:14.239 --> 0:40:17.320
<v Speaker 16>bedding that China will do something is always the smart

0:40:17.360 --> 0:40:20.360
<v Speaker 16>strategy versus bedding that they can't do something, and so

0:40:20.440 --> 0:40:23.239
<v Speaker 16>we should change our approach to account for that.

0:40:23.880 --> 0:40:27.680
<v Speaker 1>Your approach is about taking on EUV lithroography in a

0:40:27.760 --> 0:40:30.360
<v Speaker 1>different sort of ways and means you've been getting a

0:40:30.440 --> 0:40:33.560
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar valuation already. You're looking to restore American leadership

0:40:33.560 --> 0:40:38.120
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to actually the equipment needed to manufacture semiconductors.

0:40:38.640 --> 0:40:40.880
<v Speaker 1>What is your relationship right with the US government right now?

0:40:40.960 --> 0:40:42.920
<v Speaker 1>How much are they taking this into account and how

0:40:42.960 --> 0:40:44.440
<v Speaker 1>have things changed since we last spoke.

0:40:45.800 --> 0:40:48.720
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, our relationship for many years has been very close

0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:51.680
<v Speaker 16>with the US government, and so I wouldn't say, there's

0:40:51.719 --> 0:40:54.719
<v Speaker 16>really been much change. We collaborate very very closely with them,

0:40:54.800 --> 0:40:58.560
<v Speaker 16>and they've been some of our biggest supporters, and frankly,

0:40:58.680 --> 0:41:00.600
<v Speaker 16>we wouldn't be where we are right now now about

0:41:00.680 --> 0:41:02.720
<v Speaker 16>a very very close relationship with the government.

0:41:03.640 --> 0:41:07.600
<v Speaker 1>You use, as you say, particle acceleration X ray wavelengths

0:41:07.640 --> 0:41:13.640
<v Speaker 1>to really etch intricate detail basically patterns into wafers. How

0:41:13.880 --> 0:41:16.239
<v Speaker 1>do those that are cynical and what you're building, how

0:41:16.320 --> 0:41:19.160
<v Speaker 1>do you give the proof points give us something tangible

0:41:19.200 --> 0:41:21.319
<v Speaker 1>that you've managed to make strides in to be able

0:41:21.360 --> 0:41:23.239
<v Speaker 1>to ensure that maybe we don't even need ASML let

0:41:23.280 --> 0:41:25.560
<v Speaker 1>alone Taiwan Taiwanese produced chips.

0:41:26.680 --> 0:41:28.200
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so there's a.

0:41:28.200 --> 0:41:29.920
<v Speaker 16>Lot that still needs to be done, but I think

0:41:30.000 --> 0:41:32.360
<v Speaker 16>that we're very excited over the coming months, in the

0:41:32.440 --> 0:41:35.600
<v Speaker 16>next couple of years to begin actually showing some pretty

0:41:35.640 --> 0:41:38.320
<v Speaker 16>big leaps. We've been able to go from sort of

0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:43.120
<v Speaker 16>zero to having our own working prototype tool in three years,

0:41:43.520 --> 0:41:45.719
<v Speaker 16>and that is sort of similar to what was just

0:41:45.760 --> 0:41:49.520
<v Speaker 16>announced from China yesterday. Actually on my x account this morning,

0:41:49.640 --> 0:41:52.000
<v Speaker 16>we went and posted like one of the key things

0:41:52.040 --> 0:41:54.919
<v Speaker 16>that was actually in that reporting yesterday is a doubt

0:41:54.960 --> 0:41:56.800
<v Speaker 16>that China will be able to catch up on the

0:41:56.920 --> 0:42:00.560
<v Speaker 16>advanced optics required for these systems. And we just went

0:42:00.640 --> 0:42:03.920
<v Speaker 16>and publicly released some research that we did two years

0:42:03.960 --> 0:42:08.960
<v Speaker 16>ago on how China is actually already achieving these optics domestically,

0:42:09.120 --> 0:42:12.400
<v Speaker 16>and so the efforts that are going on here are

0:42:12.520 --> 0:42:15.640
<v Speaker 16>far greater than is really sort of at the public level.

0:42:15.680 --> 0:42:18.239
<v Speaker 16>I yesterday's news is really only the start of this.

0:42:19.080 --> 0:42:21.000
<v Speaker 3>So what does that mean for me?

0:42:21.440 --> 0:42:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Maybe easing restrictions on H two hundreds. I mean, all

0:42:25.080 --> 0:42:28.160
<v Speaker 1>of this, we've seen a clampdown on EUV lithography from

0:42:28.200 --> 0:42:30.520
<v Speaker 1>ASML going into China from the US pressure.

0:42:31.200 --> 0:42:32.520
<v Speaker 3>Is it all too late? James?

0:42:34.040 --> 0:42:36.880
<v Speaker 16>I don't think anything's too late, And I think that

0:42:37.680 --> 0:42:41.120
<v Speaker 16>when Jensen says China is only a nanosecond behind, like

0:42:41.320 --> 0:42:44.080
<v Speaker 16>he's correct. And so I think that our focus at

0:42:44.120 --> 0:42:47.080
<v Speaker 16>the US needs to be focused on what we're very

0:42:47.160 --> 0:42:50.000
<v Speaker 16>good at, which is sprinting. Like we can play a

0:42:50.080 --> 0:42:53.160
<v Speaker 16>defensive strategy, but we need to have an offensive, as

0:42:53.239 --> 0:42:56.040
<v Speaker 16>I said, leap ahead strategy as well, and that's the

0:42:56.160 --> 0:42:57.600
<v Speaker 16>role that we are trying to play.

0:42:58.080 --> 0:43:01.360
<v Speaker 1>James Proud, CEO of Substrate, trying to leap when it

0:43:01.440 --> 0:43:04.120
<v Speaker 1>comes to chip equipment making we appreciate it.

0:43:04.320 --> 0:43:06.080
<v Speaker 3>Now coming up, Trump.

0:43:05.880 --> 0:43:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Media shares absolute popping as it makes another huge pivot,

0:43:10.239 --> 0:43:23.279
<v Speaker 1>this time into nuclear fusion details. Nexts bluebo Tech. It's

0:43:23.320 --> 0:43:25.920
<v Speaker 1>time now for talking tech. First up, Indian company are

0:43:26.000 --> 0:43:29.720
<v Speaker 1>our E Semiconductor seen it shares surge more than fifty

0:43:29.880 --> 0:43:33.799
<v Speaker 1>five thousand percent in just twenty months, but the rally

0:43:33.880 --> 0:43:36.200
<v Speaker 1>is now showing signs of a strain. According to sources,

0:43:36.239 --> 0:43:38.399
<v Speaker 1>the Securities and Exchange Board of India has actually begun

0:43:38.480 --> 0:43:42.480
<v Speaker 1>to examine the company's shares surge for potential wrongdoing. Plus,

0:43:42.719 --> 0:43:45.440
<v Speaker 1>so far It's launched its own US dollar stable point

0:43:45.560 --> 0:43:48.040
<v Speaker 1>called Sofar USD. The company says it plans to make

0:43:48.080 --> 0:43:50.919
<v Speaker 1>so Far USD available to its members in the coming

0:43:50.960 --> 0:43:53.080
<v Speaker 1>months and its positioning the token as a tool for

0:43:53.160 --> 0:43:56.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty four to seven settlement cross card networks. Retailers and

0:43:56.440 --> 0:43:59.880
<v Speaker 1>businesses and North Korean hackers are said to have stolen

0:44:00.080 --> 0:44:02.799
<v Speaker 1>a record two billion dollars worth of crypto this year,

0:44:03.000 --> 0:44:05.960
<v Speaker 1>according to a report from Chain Analysis, and the country's

0:44:06.040 --> 0:44:08.959
<v Speaker 1>hall from crypto theft has risen more than fifty twenty

0:44:09.000 --> 0:44:12.040
<v Speaker 1>twenty four, it says, records began. This country is estimated

0:44:12.080 --> 0:44:15.160
<v Speaker 1>to have boosted its cryptospoils to at least six point

0:44:15.280 --> 0:44:18.799
<v Speaker 1>seventy five billion. Talking of crypto and maybe a bit

0:44:18.840 --> 0:44:22.279
<v Speaker 1>of a pivot, Trump Media has agreed to combine with

0:44:22.480 --> 0:44:25.680
<v Speaker 1>Thae Technologies in an all stock transaction valued at more

0:44:25.719 --> 0:44:28.040
<v Speaker 1>than six billion dollars. The companies say it will create

0:44:28.120 --> 0:44:31.760
<v Speaker 1>one of the world's first publicly traded nuclear fusion companies,

0:44:31.960 --> 0:44:34.919
<v Speaker 1>for plans to construct the first utility scale fusion power

0:44:34.960 --> 0:44:35.640
<v Speaker 1>plant next year.

0:44:36.120 --> 0:44:38.440
<v Speaker 3>NOMG Energy reporter Will Wade joins me.

0:44:38.520 --> 0:44:44.120
<v Speaker 1>Now, a social media crypto asset management company is merging with.

0:44:44.200 --> 0:44:47.400
<v Speaker 3>A nuclear fusion company. Let's theorize as to what the

0:44:47.520 --> 0:44:49.880
<v Speaker 3>upside is for nuclear fusion. Why are they thinking this

0:44:50.080 --> 0:44:50.600
<v Speaker 3>is a good bet?

0:44:51.920 --> 0:44:54.680
<v Speaker 17>You know, this is not the deal I was expecting

0:44:54.760 --> 0:44:57.560
<v Speaker 17>to see when I got to work this morning. The

0:44:57.640 --> 0:45:01.319
<v Speaker 17>pieces I didn't intuitively put them together, and I still don't.

0:45:01.760 --> 0:45:04.160
<v Speaker 17>But what I do know is so Tae's been doing

0:45:04.239 --> 0:45:06.880
<v Speaker 17>us for a long time. There's a lot of companies

0:45:06.920 --> 0:45:12.160
<v Speaker 17>working on fusion. THAA is making good progress. But one

0:45:12.200 --> 0:45:14.680
<v Speaker 17>of the things they said is they're getting almost up

0:45:14.760 --> 0:45:17.719
<v Speaker 17>to three hundred million dollars out of this right up front,

0:45:17.760 --> 0:45:19.759
<v Speaker 17>and they need it. Their CEO there was a call

0:45:19.840 --> 0:45:23.160
<v Speaker 17>this morning and he said, capital is becoming one of

0:45:23.200 --> 0:45:27.279
<v Speaker 17>our problems, Like really, because infusion, physics and engineering and

0:45:27.400 --> 0:45:30.839
<v Speaker 17>technology has always been the problem. So saying we really

0:45:30.880 --> 0:45:33.880
<v Speaker 17>need the money is an interesting development.

0:45:34.640 --> 0:45:36.480
<v Speaker 1>There is a lot of money, a lot of ambition

0:45:36.680 --> 0:45:40.000
<v Speaker 1>chasing nuclear fusion. Sam Altman is in there, Jeff Bezos,

0:45:40.040 --> 0:45:42.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of them have been involved in fusion startups.

0:45:42.840 --> 0:45:44.040
<v Speaker 1>What's THA done differently?

0:45:44.760 --> 0:45:46.680
<v Speaker 13>Tha is using a different kind of fuel.

0:45:46.800 --> 0:45:49.719
<v Speaker 17>Most of the fusion companies want to use these two

0:45:49.840 --> 0:45:53.839
<v Speaker 17>hydrogen isotopes to tium tritium. Tritium is hard to get

0:45:53.960 --> 0:45:55.319
<v Speaker 17>and it's kind of radioactive.

0:45:55.840 --> 0:45:56.080
<v Speaker 13>THA.

0:45:56.719 --> 0:46:01.560
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, THA is using hydrogen boron, which is not radioactive

0:46:01.600 --> 0:46:02.480
<v Speaker 17>and it's easy to get.

0:46:02.840 --> 0:46:04.399
<v Speaker 13>So they talk about that as.

0:46:04.360 --> 0:46:07.520
<v Speaker 17>One of their differentiators. But you know, really the key

0:46:07.640 --> 0:46:11.440
<v Speaker 17>for all of them is the super strong magnets to

0:46:11.560 --> 0:46:14.919
<v Speaker 17>keep this, you know, one hundred something million degree ball

0:46:15.000 --> 0:46:16.600
<v Speaker 17>of plasma contained.

0:46:17.400 --> 0:46:20.640
<v Speaker 3>Where are we in nuclear fusion? And it's efficacy.

0:46:20.680 --> 0:46:22.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you're a man who has great patience, you

0:46:22.400 --> 0:46:23.920
<v Speaker 1>work in the world in nuclear.

0:46:24.080 --> 0:46:27.839
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, I mean nuclear moves slow, and fusion moves even

0:46:27.880 --> 0:46:31.360
<v Speaker 17>slower than that. But the joke on fusion is that

0:46:31.480 --> 0:46:35.399
<v Speaker 17>it's always twenty years away, and it's getting closer. There's

0:46:35.440 --> 0:46:39.040
<v Speaker 17>a couple of companies that are you know, making you know,

0:46:39.520 --> 0:46:43.600
<v Speaker 17>tangible steps. There's Commonwealth Fusion. They're actually working already on

0:46:43.680 --> 0:46:46.960
<v Speaker 17>what they say will be their first commercial plant. Now

0:46:47.000 --> 0:46:50.680
<v Speaker 17>they haven't actually achieved a stable fusion reaction yet, but

0:46:50.719 --> 0:46:54.000
<v Speaker 17>they're getting close with their demo plant. Tae says they're

0:46:54.040 --> 0:46:57.439
<v Speaker 17>going to start building their first commercial plant next year

0:46:57.760 --> 0:47:01.440
<v Speaker 17>with the money from this deal. And there's again on

0:47:01.520 --> 0:47:04.320
<v Speaker 17>the call today, they talked about first power in twenty

0:47:04.480 --> 0:47:07.440
<v Speaker 17>thirty one. He didn't define that, so I'm curious how

0:47:07.520 --> 0:47:11.000
<v Speaker 17>exactly what that means. But we could have some real

0:47:11.160 --> 0:47:14.160
<v Speaker 17>fusion power plants sometime in the twenty thirties.

0:47:14.719 --> 0:47:17.120
<v Speaker 1>It's gonna be fascinating to see how the current Trump

0:47:17.200 --> 0:47:22.719
<v Speaker 1>media CEO, Devin Nunaz, teams up with the Fusion CEO.

0:47:22.840 --> 0:47:25.560
<v Speaker 1>They're gonna be co CEOs of this business together. It's

0:47:25.600 --> 0:47:27.719
<v Speaker 1>been great getting your breakdown on just the energy and

0:47:27.760 --> 0:47:30.440
<v Speaker 1>the innovation side of it all. Bloomberg's Will weighe he's

0:47:30.480 --> 0:47:32.680
<v Speaker 1>always there for us when we need one talk nuclear.

0:47:32.760 --> 0:47:34.759
<v Speaker 3>But that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech.

0:47:34.920 --> 0:47:36.759
<v Speaker 3>You don't want to forget to check our podcast. You

0:47:36.800 --> 0:47:38.360
<v Speaker 3>can find it on the terminal as well as online

0:47:38.360 --> 0:47:42.759
<v Speaker 3>not Apple, Spotify, and iHeart. For now, Blue Origin, the

0:47:42.840 --> 0:47:46.160
<v Speaker 3>flight has been canceled. We'll see if that is reconvened

0:47:46.200 --> 0:47:48.239
<v Speaker 3>for tomorrow. Stick with us. This is BlueBag Tech