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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. What's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode an NBA playoff edition of the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk,

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Speaker 2: Matt funding me on Twitter. This podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by bet MGM. The one thousand dollars first bet offer,

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Speaker 2: first bet for new users offer is available right now

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Speaker 2: using that promo code Juice at betmgm dot com. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so after a four to oh dog first play in

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Speaker 2: set of games the second I should have seen it coming,

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Speaker 2: I mean, oh and two right, should have seen it.

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Speaker 2: The Bulls just threw up all over themselves. That was

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Speaker 2: the game we needed because man alive. Okay, see got

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Speaker 2: smoked by the Timberwolves. Impressive performance out of them, so

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Speaker 2: oh and two and basketball, but we added hockey back

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Speaker 2: in because we did get.

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Speaker 1: Who we want.

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Speaker 2: Who I'm learning I'm mispronouncing another goalie's last name, Georgiev.

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Speaker 1: I thought I was. I can say it. That's not

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Speaker 1: actually right.

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Speaker 2: But the starting goaltender for the Colorado Avalanche took all

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Speaker 2: the way till the two minute mark of the third

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Speaker 2: period to get it in regulation, but we got it.

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Speaker 2: So it turned out to be a one point, one

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Speaker 2: down one point one unit day, so that puts us

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Speaker 2: down two point one for the week I think heading

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Speaker 2: into Saturday, so we have time to turn this around

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Speaker 2: to have a winning week. Need to have a good Saturday,

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Speaker 2: You need to have a good Sunday here. But hockey

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Speaker 2: is going to end somewhere. We haven't fully calculated the

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Speaker 2: end of the regular season, but we'll have something for

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Speaker 2: you hopefully tomorrow or something with the calculations as to

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Speaker 2: what we did in the regular season. I think we're

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Speaker 2: going to wind up up seven units in hockey, so profitable.

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Speaker 2: Good take it as we head towards the post season. Now,

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Speaker 2: I've got three bets for us today in the opening

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Speaker 2: round of the NBA playoffs. I'm not gonna do an

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Speaker 2: futures in the NBA right now. Okay, I'm gonna let

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Speaker 2: this thing play out a little bit. If you want

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Speaker 2: to jump in, you want to go ahead. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: have some personal stuff going where I'm gonna buy something

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Speaker 2: some exactas involving the Celtics and indactas involving the Bruins,

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Speaker 2: and I'm gonna I'm gonna have some personal things in

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Speaker 2: play that I'm gonna go and do on Saturday. I

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Speaker 2: got some work to do, but it's too much work.

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Speaker 2: You guys were asking me, like, Matt, can you tell

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Speaker 2: us what you do. I'll tell you what I'm gonna do,

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Speaker 2: but I can't make it official. It's just too complicated,

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Speaker 2: you know, the number of tickets, Like if I buy

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Speaker 2: the Boston Bruins against four teams from the West, like Dallas, Vegas, Colorado,

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Speaker 2: and Edmonton. Okay, I'm buying exactas on all them. If

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Speaker 2: I buy an exacta on who else may I buy?

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Speaker 2: I might buy? Uh, I don't know this. It's so

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Speaker 2: hard to see anybody else except out of the Eastern Conference.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the Western Conference can win the Cup. But

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Speaker 2: I just can't see anyone else from the East making

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Speaker 2: the Cup.

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Speaker 1: From the Bruins.

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Speaker 2: But I mean, maybe I'll grab somebody that longer odds

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Speaker 2: don't take. I don't know, Tampa, like who I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Carolina is not playing well right now. I

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Speaker 2: mean I'm not really afraid of the Carolina Hurricanes at

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Speaker 2: the moment. Like the Rangers are playing well. Okay, yes, Rangers,

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Speaker 2: maybe I'll jump in. We'll sprinkle on something. But like

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Speaker 2: the Western Conference, so like I can't make all four

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Speaker 2: of those bets official because I'm gonna play off of

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Speaker 2: them and I'm gonna abuse them, and I'm gonna hedge

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Speaker 2: off it with different series as we go. So that's

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Speaker 2: why I'll let you know what I end up doing

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Speaker 2: in the Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com slash chat, but

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna make any of those bets official.

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Speaker 1: Same thing with the NBA.

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Speaker 2: If I jump in on the Celtics, I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: Bucks and Celtics out of the East in my opinion,

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Speaker 2: and then who comes out of the West, and that's

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Speaker 2: the problem, right, So I may just bet the Celtics

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Speaker 2: to win the Eastern Conference and bet the Bucks to

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Speaker 2: win the Eastern Conference and just hope that we don't

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Speaker 2: get burned by somebody else. But feeling pretty good that

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Speaker 2: like one of those two teams will be going to

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Speaker 2: the NBA Finals. There won't be huge money on that,

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Speaker 2: but you know, it's plus money I think right now

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Speaker 2: at FanDuel at the time of taping to win the

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Speaker 2: Eastern Conference it's plus one ten and plus one seventy, Okay.

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Speaker 1: So.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so you'll be profitable, I mean better unit on

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Speaker 2: both those if you want not outstanding return, but it's

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Speaker 2: profit right, somebody else wins. That's not great. But you

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Speaker 2: can do exactly as if you want. You can do

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Speaker 2: some different things. But I have something that I'm doing

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you about with the Boston Ruins in just

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Speaker 2: one second before and then I got three bets going

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Speaker 2: today for the NBA Playoffs in game one of the

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Speaker 2: best of seven series which starts today. But before we

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Speaker 2: do that, let me tell you about how you guys

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Speaker 2: can win a free year of Betting Pros Premium. You

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Speaker 2: can be upgraded for free simply by subscribing to this

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel, liking this video, and.

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Speaker 1: Commenting underneath me.

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Speaker 2: Because when you do, you could be the one chosen

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Speaker 2: to become the upgrade recipient at the free upgrade to

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros Premium. Whether you're looking for access to exclusive

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Speaker 2: top rated player props or custom analysis of your betting performance,

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros Premium has the tools that'd be cash more bets.

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Speaker 2: If you don't want to wait for that giveaway at

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Speaker 2: the end of the month, some time today at bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot com, slash upgrade and start betting smarter, not harder. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so let's talk about the Boston Bruins. For a second,

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Speaker 2: I couldn't believe this bet when I saw it. The

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Speaker 2: Boston Bruins against the Florida Panthers. It's minus one twenty

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Speaker 2: at FanDuel. This is the only book I've seen this

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Speaker 2: so far. Maybe others have it, but I think you

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Speaker 2: should play as at fandel the Bruins win Game one

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Speaker 2: and the Bruins win the series is minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: I've had to take a couple of like double takes.

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Speaker 2: I was talking to my other show co host, Dave Sheapan,

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Speaker 2: longtime book maker, and he was like, wait, what, we

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Speaker 2: can't figure this out exactly as too, And it could

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Speaker 2: be a trap. It could be telling you that the

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Speaker 2: Panthers are live to win game one, okay, and if

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Speaker 2: they win game one, this BET's gone. But this is

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Speaker 2: just what we call a GPP, a general principal play. Okay,

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Speaker 2: the Boston Bruins are playing against the Florida Panthers, who

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Speaker 2: have a Swiss cheese goaltender situation unless they play. Alex Lyon,

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Speaker 2: who's a thirty year old journeyman who has never started

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Speaker 2: a playoff game in his life, is going to start

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Speaker 2: against the Boston Bruins at TD Garden when that thing,

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Speaker 2: that place is going to be at full throat the

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Speaker 2: entire game from the dropping of the puck.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be electric in there come Monday night.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So you start Bobrovski, but Broff's got a goals

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Speaker 2: against average of three. Olmark and Swayman, either one who starts,

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Speaker 2: they have a goals against average at home of sub

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Speaker 2: one point eight. So you say, well, Matt Olmark got

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Speaker 2: banged up late in the year.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Swayman's goals against at home is one point eight six,

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Speaker 2: I believe. Okay, So like one point two units go

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Speaker 2: to FanDuel if you have access to FanDuel. I'm driving tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: I'm driving to Arizona to make this bet. Okay, I

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Speaker 2: gotta go to Arizona. I gotta go to fandor in

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Speaker 2: Arizona to make this bet. I don't think BOYD here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas uses very similar. BOYD signed a deal with FanDuel.

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Speaker 2: That's how I get the FanDuel odds. A lot of

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Speaker 2: times is through BOYD, but they don't always carry it,

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Speaker 2: and I haven't seen it yet. If it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: at Boyd, I gotta go check it out. But if

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Speaker 2: Boyd has it, I'm gonna bet it at Boyd. Otherwise,

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Speaker 2: I'm make a half an hour drive and I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go to Arizona to make this play. Boston Bruins to

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Speaker 2: win Game one. Boston Bruins to win the series over

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Speaker 2: Florida one point two units down on this, Ruins win

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Speaker 2: Game one, Bruins win the series. That's too good to

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Speaker 2: be true. I think the Bruins win game in any way.

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Speaker 2: By the way, Bruins, just win the game. It doesn't

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Speaker 2: matter how they win Game one. Just win Game one. Overtime,

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Speaker 2: regulation doesn't matter. There's no shootouts, Thank goodness, those are gone.

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Speaker 2: Think the you know hockey gods that it's gone.

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Speaker 1: First.

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Speaker 2: Bet Boston Bruins at FanDuel MIS one twenty win Game one,

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Speaker 2: win the series, parlay for one point two units, all right.

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Speaker 1: Speaking to Boston.

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Speaker 2: Up against Atlanta, the line's nine here in this one,

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Speaker 2: all right, instead of looking at Boston against Atlanta and

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Speaker 2: looking at it from a game perspective, because I could

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Speaker 2: see Atlanta cutting it in the bin and the Celtics

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Speaker 2: don't cover the nine like they kill them the whole game.

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Speaker 2: And then Boston just has this weird thing of letting

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Speaker 2: up in the fourth quarter. I've seen it a ton

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Speaker 2: with the Celtics. I don't want to get burned with

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Speaker 2: a last second shot or something stupid happening in the

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Speaker 2: fourth quarter and all of a sudden are minus nine.

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Speaker 2: We don't cover it because it's too large.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: The Bruins in the Celtics in the first half were

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Speaker 2: twenty three and eighteen ats this year, up three units.

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Speaker 2: The Hawks were seventeen and twenty five, down ten units.

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Speaker 2: Now they were three and oh over their last three

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Speaker 2: games heading into the playoffs. Okay, I understand that that

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Speaker 2: might give you a little bit of a pause situation.

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Speaker 2: But Boston's been resting. Boston's been resting guys like Jalen Brown,

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Speaker 2: Boston's rest Marcus Smart. Both are expected to play and

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Speaker 2: be at full bore, and Boston has a chip on

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Speaker 2: their shoulder after losing in the NBA Finals last year.

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Speaker 2: The Atlanta Hawks are gonna get smoked. I think in

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Speaker 2: this game. Now, I don't mind laying nine, Okay, I

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Speaker 2: don't think it's a horrible thing to drop and say, Okay,

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Speaker 2: we gonna lay nine. But as I said, I think

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Speaker 2: five in the first half is a better bet. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna lay minus five for the Boston Celtics to have

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Speaker 2: a five point lead, to have a pretty big lead

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Speaker 2: at the break against Atlanta, a team that might be

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Speaker 2: a little bit sluggish to start, given that just came

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Speaker 2: off of their win on the road in the playing

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Speaker 2: game against Miami and now they're going to Boston. They

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Speaker 2: have a real tough time matching up with Boston. They

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Speaker 2: don't match up well at all. They can not Boston

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Speaker 2: can lock down Trey Young, they can stick Marcus Smart

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Speaker 2: on them, which is gigantic, and they don't have anybody

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Speaker 2: to guard Jalen Brown or Jason Tatum. Boston first half

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Speaker 2: minus five if one point one units. Now, if you

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Speaker 2: want extra, remember the bet for Boston team total. The

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Speaker 2: Boston Sellings team total is sixty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: In the three games that Boston played this year against

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Speaker 2: the Atlanta Hawks in the regular season, Boston scored sixty two,

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Speaker 2: seventy one and sixty four points. Given the fact that

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Speaker 2: Atlanta doesn't play defense and the Atlanta's going to go

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Speaker 2: up and down, if you want a little extra, you

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Speaker 2: can bet the over.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the over.

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Speaker 2: The reason why I'm not making it official is because

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Speaker 2: it's playoff basketball and I'm a little bit concerned about

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Speaker 2: pace of play, just a little. Okay, I'm still betting

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Speaker 2: it myself, but to make it official and tell you

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Speaker 2: guys to make it official and bet it, I don't

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Speaker 2: know if you want something extra on.

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Speaker 1: The game though.

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Speaker 2: Boston over sixty one and a half team total in

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Speaker 2: the first half.

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Speaker 1: It was a bet.

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Speaker 2: We made a lot this year and it was pretty

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Speaker 2: profitable for us to do it. One point one units.

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Speaker 2: You can bet on that if you want. It's minus

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Speaker 2: one ten to the over sixty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: It could come down to a free throw. It could

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Speaker 2: land sixty two, it could land sixty three. Very possible.

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Speaker 2: But Boston at home was very good. They had a

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Speaker 2: six point five point differential at home this year in

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Speaker 2: the first half. That's number one in the NBA. They

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Speaker 2: also were one of the highest scoring teams in the

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Speaker 2: first half in the NBA and also one of the

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Speaker 2: best teams ATS in the first half. As we mentioned,

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Speaker 2: twenty three and eighteen, up three units on the year

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Speaker 2: ATS in the first half. Going to go back to

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Speaker 2: this year, focusing on the Celtics to come out of

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Speaker 2: the gates. Officially Boston minus five for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: You want a little extra, take the team total for

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Speaker 2: Boston over sixty one and a half up against the

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Speaker 2: Atlanta Hawks.

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Speaker 1: Now bet number two Knicks and the Calves.

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Speaker 2: I have really thought a thousand different ways of how

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Speaker 2: to bet this game in this series.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind.

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Speaker 2: You can go to Fandle and bet the same thing

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Speaker 2: that I was talking about with the Boston Bruins. You

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Speaker 2: can do the Cavaliers to win Game one, the Calves

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Speaker 2: to win the series. But what if Julius Randall comes back?

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Speaker 2: If Randall comes back, could change everything. I mean they

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Speaker 2: could be down two to oh he plays Game three

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Speaker 2: at the Garden, they win both games, it's two to two.

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Speaker 2: All of a sudden, we're in a dog fight. So

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Speaker 2: it's only min's one thirty five to do that. That's

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Speaker 2: not a bad bet to make that Calves win Game

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Speaker 2: one and the Calves win the series. But I can't.

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Speaker 2: I can't even bet that. I can't bring myself to

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Speaker 2: bet that. It's just if you lets a lean. Literally,

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Speaker 2: I'm not playing it. It's a lean if you want it,

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Speaker 2: But I am playing Knicks in Calves under two seventeen

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Speaker 2: and a half. The reason the Cavaliers are four and

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Speaker 2: one over their last five games to the under. They

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Speaker 2: were twenty two and nineteen at home this year to

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Speaker 2: the under. The Knicks were twenty nineteen and two to

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Speaker 2: the under on the road. And yes, the game on

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Speaker 2: the thirty first of March went way over, and I

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Speaker 2: mean way over by twenty five points. It went over.

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Speaker 2: But I think this is going to be a grinder

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Speaker 2: of a basketball game. I don't think this is going

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Speaker 2: to be nearly as up and down in up tempo

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Speaker 2: as some people are alluding to. And I think the

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Speaker 2: Cavaliers defensively. You start looking at some of these metrics

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Speaker 2: and some of these numbers given playoff basketball, it's pretty impressive.

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Speaker 2: So New York, they were the number thirteenth ranked opposing

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Speaker 2: points per game given up at one hundred and thirteen

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Speaker 2: point point one. Cleveland was number one, only giving up

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Speaker 2: one hundred and six point nine points on the year.

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Speaker 2: Cleveland was number two in opposing points in the paint

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Speaker 2: given up. Number one was New York Knicks number one

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Speaker 2: at forty five point nine assists per game given up.

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Speaker 2: Number one Cleveland New York number thirteen. Offensively, you look

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Speaker 2: at just effective field goal percentage Cleveland number nine, New

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Speaker 2: York number twenty not outstanding. Okay, the offensive metrics don't

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Speaker 2: really jump off the pay You're like, oh my gosh,

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Speaker 2: these guys are just tremendous. They're killing people. This is

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Speaker 2: this is wild. I mean opposing causing turnovers one point

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Speaker 2: four to seven assist a turnover ratio for the Cleveland Cavaliers,

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Speaker 2: that was number one. For New York one point nine

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Speaker 2: seven five, that was number twenty four. So look, I

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Speaker 2: think these teams. The only thing that concerns me is

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Speaker 2: without Randall, the Knicks do tend to play a little

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Speaker 2: bit faster. Their pace of play is a little bit higher. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but neither team turns the ball over a ton, which

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Speaker 2: is great, the number five and number six in turnovers,

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Speaker 2: so I don't get a lot of up and down

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Speaker 2: action on this. Neither team fouls a ton, which is good.

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Speaker 2: So not getting a lot of free throws given the

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Speaker 2: other team. I think Game one is a fill out process.

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Speaker 2: I think Game one is going to be a slog fest.

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Speaker 2: Cleveland Unders have been pretty good to me over the

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Speaker 2: last couple of years. Under two seventeen and a half.

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Speaker 2: Knicks and Cavaliers were going under for their game here

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Speaker 2: for game one of their best of seven series. And finally,

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Speaker 2: this is the most difficult game.

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Speaker 1: Of the day to bet.

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Speaker 2: Warriors Kings. What a battle. I love light the beam,

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Speaker 2: I really do. They're awesome, They're so fun. The Warriors

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Speaker 2: at some books have already flipped to the favorite. Here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas, it's plus one still for the Golden State

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Speaker 2: Warriors at the Sacramento Kings. The Warriors won three of

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Speaker 2: four against the Kings this year, and the game they

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Speaker 2: played back on the seventh of April was one nineteen

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Speaker 2: ninety seven when the Warriors decided, just you know, it's

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Speaker 2: playoff time. We're going to care on the road. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with the books here. The books are telling

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Speaker 2: us here that look this Warrior team, they are dogs

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Speaker 2: in game one and their favor to win the series.

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Speaker 2: They say, you know what, but this is how it's

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Speaker 2: going to go. Kings might win Game one, but the

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Speaker 2: Warriors are gonna wake up and win the series. The

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Speaker 2: Warriors were awful on the road this year. We know

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Speaker 2: how poorly they played on the road. We know how

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Speaker 2: much embarrassment they were, but that was the regular season,

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Speaker 2: and I just keep on coming back to the idea

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Speaker 2: that it doesn't really matter, like who cares what they

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Speaker 2: wound up doing on the road in the regular season

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Speaker 2: because it's the Warriors. And I just go, you know,

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Speaker 2: the Warriors on the year were twelve and twenty nine

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Speaker 2: ats on the road.

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Speaker 1: That was down twenty units. So yeah, I am.

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Speaker 2: You know, it does sound a little nuts to be like,

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Speaker 2: you're back, you know, back that team to win. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I am, basically because it's a value play. Sacramento was

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Speaker 2: eighteen and twenty three at home against the spread, down

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Speaker 2: seven point three units, and I can't get past that

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Speaker 2: game on the seventh of April. I just can't get

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Speaker 2: past the idea that the Warriors started to play well

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Speaker 2: on the road. They started to say, you know, we

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Speaker 2: aren't what you think we are. Everyone says that we're bad,

337
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,919
Speaker 2: but you know how bad are we? You know?

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Speaker 1: How how we still are the defending champs?

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Speaker 2: Right and we're going to a battle basically cross town,

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Speaker 2: who means a couple of hours away, but like the

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Speaker 2: battle for Northern California going on here and at the

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Speaker 2: end of the year, on the road. The Warriors beat

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Speaker 2: Portland by fifty six points. They beat Sacramento by twenty

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Speaker 2: two points. They lost to Denver by two, They beat

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Speaker 2: Dallas by two, beat Houston by thirteen. Then they lost

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Speaker 2: to Memphis, lost to Atlanta, and lost to the Clippers.

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Speaker 2: But that was all back in the beginning of March

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Speaker 2: when we weren't anywhere near the playoffs. Since we've gotten

349
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Speaker 2: close to the playoffs, they're two in one. They fought

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Speaker 2: hard against Denver, lost by a bucket, but they're the

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Speaker 2: one seed.

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Speaker 1: You know, Denver's the number one seed. I can't get

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Speaker 1: over this. It's even money.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Warriors one point or one unit even

355
00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,320
Speaker 2: Warriors money line to win the game here. Don't need

356
00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,080
Speaker 2: the plus one. You can take it if you want.

357
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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take in the Warriors to win game one.

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Speaker 2: I would love Sacramento to win this game. If you

359
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Speaker 2: want to hedge, I bet this as well. Sacramento in

360
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:18,119
Speaker 2: the first half is a pick. We know what the

361
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Speaker 2: Warriors do in the third quarter. The Warriors annihilate teams

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Speaker 2: out of half, but sometimes in the second quarter they

363
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 2: don't play very well. They actually stumble. So why not

364
00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:35,200
Speaker 2: hedge a little bit and take first half pick and

365
00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:40,560
Speaker 2: game money line, even money. Mine's one fifteen for the

366
00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:43,520
Speaker 2: Kings to be leading at the break. If they're tied,

367
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Speaker 2: you push, it's a pick minus one fifteen. I'm gonna

368
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Speaker 2: go in on that. It's a personal play, not official,

369
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 2: but I'm gonna I'm gonna be on that with the

370
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:55,760
Speaker 2: first half for Sacramento to be leading with all the energy,

371
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,320
Speaker 2: all the hype, all the excitement, that building is going

372
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:02,119
Speaker 2: to be rocking for Game one. Kings can lead at

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Speaker 2: the break, but that third quarter is looming for the Warriors,

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Speaker 2: and that's why I'm going to take them on the

375
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Speaker 2: money line to win the game, even money. Okay, So

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Speaker 2: the official plays are the following the Boston Bruins to

377
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Speaker 2: win Game one and the series against the Florida Panthers

378
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,719
Speaker 2: at minus one twenty one point two units down on that,

379
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Speaker 2: We're taking the Boston Celtics minus five in the first

380
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:28,479
Speaker 2: half today against the Atlanta Hawks. We're going under two

381
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Speaker 2: seventeen and a half for the Knicks and the Cavaliers,

382
00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:35,240
Speaker 2: and we're going Golden State Warriors even money money line

383
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Speaker 2: to win the game for one unit. All right, So

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Speaker 2: today in play, we have three point two units. If

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Speaker 2: I want to add anything, I'll let you know in

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel. Probably not, I might. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Maybe a player proper too that I want to jump

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Speaker 2: in with. I'll let you guys know betting pros dot

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Speaker 2: com slast chat to get into the Discord channel minus

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Speaker 2: Matt Parol following me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Every morning, the Daily Juice podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by Bedam Jim