1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PoTA All. 2 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 2: Right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five forty Cody five 4 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 3: fifty and the Kicks block the college Football World. Stunners, 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 3: Oh my goodness. 6 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: He stumbled and football the lateral. 7 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: Turn a counter on. 8 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 4: The inside, don't you the lad. 9 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna came them off the field. 10 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:37,239 Speaker 2: The Knights go. 11 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 3: It's not the size of the dog in the fight. 12 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog. 13 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: What's off the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 14 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the college football betting preview 15 00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 1: futures Recap. I'm stucky and joining me today is the 16 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: whole crew, Colin Wilson, Duck and Mike Calabrese Duck aka 17 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: Josh Nun. Make sure you follow him in the Action 18 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: Network gap. Just search Duck and you will find him. 19 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 1: Quick reminder before we get started, we're gonna go conference 20 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:18,760 Speaker 1: by conference and then give out our basically look list form, 21 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 1: maybe a sentence or two here or there, but basically 22 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 1: just what's still available and what we like from a 23 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: win totals or futures perspective. A quick reminder on Saturday, 24 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: if you want to see us all in person. We 25 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: will be in Chicago for the Windy City watch party 26 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 1: for Week zero. We'll be there for the kickoff of 27 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 1: the first game in Dublin, Farmageddon, and we will be 28 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: there throughout the night. Who's also a fantasy event with 29 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:46,399 Speaker 1: Sean Kerner and Mike Calbreys. Oh excuse me, Sean Kerner 30 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: and Chris Raymond. We don't want Calvaryes doing our fantasy event. Sorry, Mike, 31 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: so NFL that is. I know you do a big 32 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: college one, but we don't want you to running that. 33 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: So it'd be a lot of fun. Just show up. 34 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: If you want to be in the fantasy you have 35 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: to RSVP. But if you just want to come to 36 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: watch colleg football, drink, hang out to show off, Joe's 37 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 1: on Weed doors open eleven am for that game. Will 38 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 1: be there all day and night. Should be a good time. 39 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:13,959 Speaker 1: So hope to see somebody there. Four weeks zero. And 40 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: speaking of week zero, we'll have our Week zero betting 41 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 1: preview with Colin and I coming up. And if you haven't, 42 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:22,679 Speaker 1: if you hear any of these bets or any of 43 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 1: these teams we've covered, I don't know, fifteen to twenty 44 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: hours of every single team, so make sure you go 45 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 1: back check them out if you want to get some 46 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: additional insight. But we will have our Week zero betting 47 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 1: preview going through every game, and the next week we'll 48 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: have a bunch of Week one previews, well the group 49 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: of five with Breezing Dot, Colin and I will be 50 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 1: doing two. We'll be doing the weekday games, and then 51 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: we'll do a separate one for the games on the weekend. 52 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: We're here, We're back, so let's get started and run 53 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: through conference by conference. Let's start in the ACC. Colin 54 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: and I did this podcast. We disagreed on every single 55 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 1: be on my list. Off will you like in the ACC? Still? 56 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:09,119 Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean I like Clemson to make the championship game, 57 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 2: to win, to win the conference plus one oh five, 58 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,239 Speaker 2: They're gonna be a favorite over anybody, so I would 59 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 2: look at that. I like Duke over six and a half. 60 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 2: I think Manny did a great job. I think this 61 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 2: number is too low. I'm not a fan of Miami. 62 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 2: I think I'm the only one in the entire circus 63 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:24,919 Speaker 2: sphere of everybody that talks on a microphone that doesn't 64 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 2: like Miami. But other than that, I love Nardoozi, I 65 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 2: love Pitt, I love the defense over six and a half, 66 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 2: it's a plus money. Still, you can count me in 67 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 2: on that. 68 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: I disagree with all of that. My long shot is 69 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: Louisville to win the league. I took a shot there. 70 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: I think Syracuse excuse me, I think Clemson comes in 71 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 1: a bit overrated. Syracuse under I think is still good. 72 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: It's been getting hit and hitting hit, but I don't 73 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: think basically that need to go six and o at 74 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: home to get to six wins. And there's bc UNC 75 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: pit Duke Yukon on there, and then I'm thinking about 76 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: Florida State and vaugh Tech over but still waiting there. 77 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: Duck what he got in the ACC took. 78 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 4: Cal under five and a half. That program's as mass 79 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 4: exodus of talent after spring. I don't think they have 80 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 4: the talent to compete in the ACC this year. 81 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: It took a. 82 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 4: Flyer on Georgia Tech fourteen to one. I think the 83 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 4: schedule lotto really did them some favorites this year, and 84 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 4: who they have to play an ACC play a big 85 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 4: game for them in week three. But those are the 86 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 4: two that I've got. 87 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: Don't mind that because they're going to be Clemson. Let's 88 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: move on to the AAC. I'll start an Army under 89 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: and eighty under still good. I'm still young guy. Two 90 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: lane under I like as well, but it got hit 91 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 1: a bit. I'm kind of close now long shots North 92 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: Texas USF not so much of a long shot, but 93 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: that's my horse. And then I think I'm gonna be 94 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 1: on UTSA plus money to make the AC title game, 95 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: which you agree with, Breeze, you like UTSA. 96 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,159 Speaker 3: Yeah, let's go even bigger UTSA eighteen to one to 97 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,039 Speaker 3: make the Collegeable Playoff. Being the G five representative, the 98 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 3: offense returns everybody. They got elite G five quarterback and 99 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 3: Ellen McCown who's slinging around down the stretch. Last year 100 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 3: finished so hot they could have finished six and one. 101 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,280 Speaker 3: They lost a close one possession game to Army, who 102 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 3: ended up running the table and going off as the 103 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 3: conference champion. There in their maiden season. I love their 104 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 3: coach and trailer, and then after the opener against Texas 105 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 3: A and M, they could be favored in nine or 106 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 3: ten of their next eleven games. So I think this 107 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 3: is the team to hook up with in the AAC. 108 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 3: The Roadrunners are back this year with a force. So 109 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 3: I'm going to take them to make it all the 110 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 3: way to the playoff. 111 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: Douck, you got anything in the AAC the American I 112 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:28,239 Speaker 1: should say. 113 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, two lane under eight and a half, Army under 114 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 4: seven and a half, FAU under four and a half, 115 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 4: and then took some UTSA to win the league. 116 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:41,600 Speaker 1: Let's move on to the Big Ten. I'll kick things 117 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 1: off there. I'm probably gonna play Penn State in some 118 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 1: fash maybe to just a plus money to make the 119 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: Big ten title. I see them getting there. I by 120 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: the way, we'll save some playoff bets for the end. 121 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 1: I took Wisconsin over Minnesota under UCLA under. I still 122 00:05:55,920 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 1: think that there's some meat on the bone there and 123 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 1: we're under, but that is getting hit very hard. Some 124 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:07,039 Speaker 1: potential overs are Washington in Indiana that I show some 125 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: value on Duck what you're seeing in the Big Ten. 126 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 4: Just one hear from me, took Ohio State under ten 127 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 4: and a half. I think they lose a lot from 128 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 4: last year's national championship team. They've got several tricky road spots. 129 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 4: Think we'll see some trip ups this year. For whiles, 130 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:21,160 Speaker 4: Steed still could be a playoff team. Ten and two 131 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 4: seems a lot more likely to me than eleven to one. 132 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 1: I would agree there coln anything in the big ten. 133 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 2: Well, I want to echo the love that we had 134 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 2: for USC. I still think twenty two to one to 135 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 2: win the conference. I think they're over. The win total 136 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 2: is good. I think plus seven to fifty to make 137 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 2: the championship game. I think it's all on the table. 138 00:06:33,880 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 2: They could really surprise here. But I'm kind of down 139 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:37,960 Speaker 2: on the big boys Oregon under ten and a half. 140 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 2: They just don't have the defensive interior to stop zone read. 141 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 2: You know, I do like Penn State, but I think 142 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 2: it's a national title bet. It's seven to one or 143 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 2: better and you're not touching that until the semi finals. 144 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 2: Michigan I still love. I said it on our Kickoff podcast, 145 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 2: easiest conference schedule that could possibly have drawn. I think 146 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 2: they will be fine after Oh, you might whip them 147 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: and it might make them better. I think that numbers 148 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 2: still out there at plus three seventy five just to 149 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 2: make the championship game, nothing big like winning it. That's 150 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 2: still a pretty juicy number. So and you know, I 151 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 2: still like Indiana over eight and a half. We'll see 152 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 2: what that number is by the time we get to kick. 153 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: Off, let's go to the Big twelve. Duck what he's 154 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: seeing there. 155 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 4: I took a couple early in the summer, Colorado under 156 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 4: six and a half byu under seven and a half, 157 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 4: which are both gone, Kansas under seven and a half, 158 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 4: which you can still shop around and find. And then 159 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 4: Breezy and I both took some long shots on Utah 160 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 4: at a number that's been bet down significantly, so not 161 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 4: a lot of value. 162 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 2: Now. 163 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, my long shots Houston that you can still find 164 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: some nice prices out there. Betting on the Fritz turnaround 165 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 1: and if the quarterback hits, I think they could be 166 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 1: fighty in a conference that should be chaotic as usual. 167 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: And I do show value in West Virginia over but 168 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: not sure I'll get there, just with so much turnover 169 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 1: and uncertainty there. I will get it on Baylor at 170 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: some point to win the league. I'm just trying to 171 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: figure out the timing with their tough non conference schedule 172 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: and still trying to get some intel there. But Baylor 173 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: is my pick to win the Big twelve. Colin when 174 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 1: you got in the Big twelve. 175 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: Now Iowa State's gonna win it. Twelve to one is 176 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 2: still out there. I mean, they're one of the one 177 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 2: teams that aren't listed at six to one to win 178 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 2: the conference, So why not twelve to one on Iowa State. 179 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 2: I do love them, echo all the Houston love. Don't 180 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 2: forget that Fritz now has his offensive coordinator from TU Lane. 181 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 2: They're going to be able to roll over there TCU. 182 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 2: But I think both you and I like TCU this year. 183 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 2: A really good conducive schedule to see what Whover can 184 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 2: do and some of the defenses they face are going 185 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 2: to be able to throw on. And Texas Tech Quentin 186 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 2: Joyner done for the season. Under eight and a half 187 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 2: is still a plus money. I feel like I've seen 188 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 2: this movie before with Texas Tech and these teams that 189 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 2: load up on nil but just don't have the pedigree 190 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 2: and the program to put out these huge I mean, 191 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 2: a nine win season from Tech it'd be crazy. So 192 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 2: under eight and a half plus money as. 193 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: Move on to the Mountain West Breeze. You like yourself? 194 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 1: Some Bows who will kick off this weekend on the island. Yeah, 195 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Bows. 196 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 2: They have seven winnable home games. I think they're going 197 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 2: to get six of them. 198 00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 3: And get to that bowl eligibility threshold. They're still on 199 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 3: the market to go bowling in about minus one sixty. 200 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 3: Micah Alijado. I mean he's the savior of program. He's 201 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 3: the native son coming back. You know, played at Bishop 202 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 3: Gorman in Las Vegas and played in some really big 203 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:07,719 Speaker 3: football games in high school. If he was just a 204 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 3: little bit bigger, he would have been a four star kid. 205 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 3: You flip on the tape against New Mexico at the 206 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 3: end of last year. He could make every single throw. 207 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 3: He's mobile. Timmy Chang loves to rely on a quarterback 208 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 3: to add a lot in the rush game. The seventh 209 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 3: heaviest usage for quarterbacks in the run game in the 210 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 3: last five years in college football, and the starting. 211 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: Eleven on defense. 212 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,000 Speaker 3: I think it's middle class by Mountain West Conference standards, 213 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 3: and that's going to be enough to pair with this 214 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 3: offense and this receiving court in particular that I think 215 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 3: is going to be one of the very best in 216 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:36,559 Speaker 3: the G five. So I'm going to go with the 217 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 3: Bows to make a bowl game. 218 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,920 Speaker 1: I agree there you can like parlay teams to go 219 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: six plus wins. I'll throw a couple of them in 220 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 1: the app and bet them why he's going to be 221 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: in there. Same with air Force. Air Force don't even 222 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 1: know how their quarterback is yet. We'll hopefully find out 223 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,839 Speaker 1: this week. But I took a long flyer on air 224 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 1: Force to win the conference. I think Boyse's a tad 225 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 1: overrated and the rest of the conference is completely wide open. 226 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: I think this is a good ounce back season for Calhoun. Duck. 227 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 1: What you gotten? Nould West took. 228 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:06,200 Speaker 4: San Diego State over four and a half. Thought that 229 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 4: one came out a win too low. A little disagreement 230 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 4: on Hawaii, but we all can still win. I took 231 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 4: under six and a half earlier in the summer. You 232 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 4: can still find that number juiced. I think they're playing 233 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:16,439 Speaker 4: Wyoming on the last game of the season to try 234 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 4: to get to a bowl game, and we've seen them 235 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,199 Speaker 4: in that position before, so I think it's a six 236 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 4: and six football team, so maybe we all win. 237 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 2: Yeah. So I'm gonna do San Jose State plus two 238 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 2: twenty to make the championship game. This is the easiest schedule, 239 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 2: the easiest path. No Boise State, no UNLV on the schedule, 240 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 2: They're going to be just fine there after that. Colorado 241 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 2: State under six and a half. That schedule gets remarkably 242 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 2: harder than what they had last year when they had 243 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,719 Speaker 2: to change their entire offense and go running. Now they're 244 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 2: passing again. Not sure Nicolossi Fowler Nicolosi has the weapons 245 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 2: that he's had in the years past. Look at this schedule, 246 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 2: Boise on back to back travel and then hosting Air Force. 247 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 2: I just I don't see this happening for Colorado State. 248 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff, though, let's move on to Conference 249 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:55,560 Speaker 1: USA by long shot. How about another one where we 250 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 1: don't know the quarterback yet UTEP Minor Nation Baby. I 251 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: took a flyer on UTEP to discuss more as we 252 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 1: get closer to the season. However, right up on all 253 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: my favorite futures too on actuallywork, dot Comyaction Overcap and 254 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: then Sam Houston State under I still think there's meat 255 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:11,200 Speaker 1: on the bone, like brand new offense. Tower's probably end 256 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 1: up being the quarterback eventually, but Watson doesn't fit. The 257 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,599 Speaker 1: defense lost their top sixteen tackles. It's going to be 258 00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 1: a mess. So give me my beloved, beloved Sam Houston 259 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 1: State under unfortunately duck Conference USA. 260 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, wide open league. After the first two and a 261 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 4: lot of bad football teams. I took Middle Tennessee over 262 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 4: four and a half, took New Mexico State under four 263 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:35,960 Speaker 4: and a half, played some Jacksonville State at a number 264 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 4: that's no longer available. 265 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 3: Calvary's CU Sanatgo Jacksonville State under five and a half 266 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 3: wins total refresh roster wise with the first time head 267 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 3: coach in Charles Kelly. I hate this quarterback room. I 268 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 3: don't think this is going to be a right fit schematically. 269 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 3: I think this is going to be one of those 270 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 3: rare fall from grace first to worst situations. It just 271 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,439 Speaker 3: happens in the portal era when you get somebody who 272 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 3: moves up like rich Rod takes some players with him 273 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 3: and then there's just this exodus there not going to 274 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 3: play anywhere close to the brand of football that they 275 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:03,080 Speaker 3: did last year. 276 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 2: So under five and a half wins is my top 277 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 2: play in conference. 278 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 1: You asay, yeah, I don't want to be too heavily 279 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 1: invest in conference, I said, because like there's a lot 280 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 1: of teams that are so bad and I'm down on 281 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:13,200 Speaker 1: But then it's like someone has to win these games. 282 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 1: They can't. Everyone can't lose. Independent. Well, we have something 283 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: with Notre Dame in the playoffs section, but you can 284 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 1: under seven and a half I think is still good. 285 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 1: They got decimated on defense and in particular the tackle position, 286 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 1: which I think is really going to hurt their offense. 287 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: Pack twelve or PAC two, I should say, Douck, you 288 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: like the Wazoo Wonder which has been getting hit. I 289 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 1: kind of like that as well. I disagree with Colin 290 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 1: on our podcast. You still like Washington State under I do. 291 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 4: We got so much FCS talent infused into the roster, 292 00:12:43,960 --> 00:12:45,680 Speaker 4: and now we've got two years now where they're not 293 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:48,080 Speaker 4: recruiting the same type of Pac twelve athletes that they 294 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 4: were in the past. You've got a total nucleus drop 295 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 4: down in talent, and you go east of the Mountain 296 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 4: times on four times this year. They've got so many 297 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 4: tricky road spots North Texas, Virginia, James Madison, Ole miss 298 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 4: It's just going to be brutal, brutal on the road 299 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 4: this year, and they face Oregon State twice with the 300 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,760 Speaker 4: Beavers coming off of by both times. Think it'll be 301 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 4: a tough year for Wazoo. 302 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:11,319 Speaker 3: All right, Sunbelt Cabrey's yeah, Sunbelt here, this is the 303 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:14,200 Speaker 3: team we talked about the most and it's Southern Miss. 304 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 2: I'd like them still to go bowling. 305 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 3: A lot of the numbers that we had for them 306 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:19,680 Speaker 3: to win the conference title are out the window. But 307 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 3: the quick read on them is a massive talent infusion 308 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 3: from all those roster pieces from Marshall. Obviously, the head 309 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,839 Speaker 3: coach comes down from Marshall. Braylen Braxton, the newcomer of 310 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 3: the year in the Sun Belt last year, takes over 311 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 3: at quarterback. He could be the best quarterback in Hattiesburg 312 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 3: since Nick Mullins. Josh Moden on the defensive side of things, 313 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 3: and some other transfers I think are going to bring 314 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 3: them up into the middle class defensively in the Sun Belt, 315 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 3: and the most underrated coaching higher across the entire country 316 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 3: was getting Blake Anderson to take over as their OC. 317 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,560 Speaker 3: He could unleash a monster of an offense here in 318 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 3: the Belt. I see them getting to seven or eight 319 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 3: regular season wins and clearly going bowling. So whatever the 320 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 3: juices lay it on the Golden Eagles. 321 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I show vout in the under. I mean I'd 322 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 1: have to upgrade Southern as seventeen and a half points 323 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 1: to get them through their windotal from the end of 324 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 1: last year and maybe true like they could be three 325 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 1: touchdowns better. I just can't get there. I'm probably not 326 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: going to play the under though. I also show Vyan 327 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: Coast all over just because I love their defensive hires, 328 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: but not sure I'll get there. My favorite bet was 329 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 1: Marshall under, but that got burnt so Duck Sunbelt. 330 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, hit Marshall earlier in the summer. That value has 331 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 4: been exhausted. I like Arkansas State under five and a half. 332 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 4: Most of their winnables are on the road. I just 333 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 4: don't see it with what they've got coming back defensively. 334 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 4: For Arkansas State took JMU to win the league three 335 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 4: to one. I also like JMU to make the playoff. 336 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 4: They have a program defining opportunity when they go to 337 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:39,560 Speaker 4: Louisville and we two. They also get a defacto G 338 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 4: five playoff game when they play Liberty shortly after that, 339 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 4: and they get all that out of the way before 340 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 4: conference play. Their conference slate really sets up favorably with 341 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 4: a lot of those tough games teams coming into Harrisonburg 342 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,280 Speaker 4: to play them at home. A lot of the road 343 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 4: games are winnable. JMU, I think is the cream of 344 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 4: the crop in the sun Belt this year, and I 345 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 4: echo everything with Arkansas State. 346 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 2: And by the way, at Arkansas State, you're not winning, 347 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 2: and you're not winning in Little Rock. Get out here, 348 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 2: James Madison, I echo everything. I think that they are 349 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 2: going to win the conference. Three to one is the 350 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 2: play that you want. I'd to go down to plus 351 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 2: two to fifty. They are ahead and hope beyond anybody 352 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 2: in this conference. Over seven and a half is good. 353 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 2: I do disagree with Duck on buying about them going 354 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 2: to the playoff. If you're going to go to the playoff, 355 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 2: you're going to have to win that massive game against Louisville. 356 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 2: So I would just rather take a money line ticket 357 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 2: on that and not have to suffer through eleven other 358 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 2: games of crossing my fingers and hoping something happens. I 359 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,920 Speaker 2: disagree with you on Coastal Carolina stuck. And this is 360 00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 2: a defense. The defensive line, the defensive backs completely depleted. 361 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 2: Their new DC Jramiah Johnson is like, we're just playing 362 00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 2: base defense until these guys know how to play defense, 363 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 2: and then is MJ. Morris gonna run the air raid. 364 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 2: I don't like anything that I'm seeing, so I'm going 365 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 2: to go under five and a half with them, and 366 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 2: then Georgia Southern under seven and a half. I project 367 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 2: them two TD dogs against James Madison. You know they 368 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 2: do draw Arkansas State and Southern Miss from the West. 369 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 2: I don't think drawing Southern Miss is a good thing, 370 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 2: so I do like Georgia Southern on the under seven 371 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 2: and a half. 372 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:58,640 Speaker 1: All right, moving on, I mean the Southern mis gis 373 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:01,760 Speaker 1: like you mentioned Texas Southern Messus. I mean, it's not 374 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: transfer portal, but it's there's a lot of I mean 375 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 1: they're just importing a team and we'll see how I mean. 376 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 1: It's a fascinating watch within the same conference too. Let's 377 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: move on to the MAC. Talk to Mactionin. I will 378 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: have my MAC manifesto out next week going through every 379 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:17,800 Speaker 1: team added. A thirteenth team in UMass Ohio under is 380 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 1: my favorite bet. I still like it. It's been getting 381 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 1: hit a little bit, but I still think there's value. 382 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 1: I think their defense takes a big big step back, 383 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:26,760 Speaker 1: and they lost some other key pieces including their head coach, 384 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: and then long shots BG and Central Michigan. I know, Colin, 385 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 1: you agree on Central Michigan. Yeah, I think there's a 386 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:36,800 Speaker 1: lot there's just a ton of uncertainty in this conferences 387 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 1: as usual. 388 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 2: So are you gonna take a law Yeah Conference USA, 389 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 2: Sun Belt MAC, especially if you're gonna take long shots. 390 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 2: I want you guys to remember that, like Central Michigan 391 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 2: like lost their first MAC Conference game, like in twenty nineteen, 392 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 2: still made like the championship game that year. They were 393 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 2: three hundred to one after that first loss, Like, I mean, 394 00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 2: this is a wild conference. And so if you're looking 395 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 2: at Central Michigan this year, they then basically inherited what 396 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 2: Army's new offense is, and that's going to be run, 397 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 2: and that is going to screw up so many MAC 398 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 2: defenses that aren't going to be prepared to face that 399 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,440 Speaker 2: kind of offense. So yeah, CMU, I like it twenty 400 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:09,199 Speaker 2: to one or better anywhere you can get it. 401 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:13,439 Speaker 1: Central Michigan they went from winless in the MAC or 402 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: maybe one and eleven, and then I think they were 403 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: in like the MAC title game the next year. 404 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 2: So fire up chips. 405 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 1: Yeah. 406 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:22,439 Speaker 4: I took Akron under four and a half, no postseason 407 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 4: play with the APR band, no bye week in their 408 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 4: season earlier than any FBS team. 409 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 2: Just not going to be a good season. 410 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 1: For the Zips. 411 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,119 Speaker 4: You can search far and wide to find this, but 412 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 4: can't state under one and a half conference. 413 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 2: Wins is still out there. So I would take that. 414 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 4: We've talked about the Flashes this season, way way down 415 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,200 Speaker 4: in the power ratings. The talent is just not there. 416 00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,399 Speaker 4: It's not an FBS roster not going to win two 417 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 4: MAC games. Also took Buffalo eight to one to win 418 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 4: the league. Buffalo should start MAC play six and zero, 419 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 4: and it really comes down to them hosting Ohio and 420 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:55,159 Speaker 4: hosting Miami of Ohio last two games of the regular 421 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 4: season to get their ticket punched to Detroit. 422 00:17:57,480 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 2: So Buffalo to win the league, I. 423 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:01,880 Speaker 1: Like nobody ever should start six now and MAC play. 424 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:03,640 Speaker 1: That's just not gonna Yeah. 425 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 3: All of my favorite numbers are gone, including one that 426 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:09,159 Speaker 3: was ridiculous. It was eighty to one for Toledo to 427 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:11,479 Speaker 3: make the College of All playoff early in the season 428 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:14,199 Speaker 3: at one of the books. That's since been pulled. But 429 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,479 Speaker 3: I can just go ahead and give out I think 430 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:18,199 Speaker 3: they're going to be Kentucky in Week one. I think 431 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 3: that's the way I'm going to play them to shock 432 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 3: the world. Although that number is getting beaten down by 433 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:22,680 Speaker 3: the minute. 434 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: All right, sec Colin, what do you got? 435 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 2: This is where I'm taking my big swings here. I 436 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,760 Speaker 2: think Alabama is a national title worthy defense. I think 437 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 2: they are the best defense. Under Kane Womack, they had 438 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 2: numbers that were all in the top ten. I expect 439 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 2: that to get better with some of the personnel that stayed. 440 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 2: But Texas at the same time has a schedule that's 441 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 2: a little bit softer in strength, and they have a 442 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,160 Speaker 2: little bit easier path in making it to the championship game. 443 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 2: They are loaded in every single unit, and you expect 444 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 2: arch Manning to be that Heisman favorite there for the 445 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 2: entirety of the season. Outside of that, I think you 446 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 2: and I agreed completely, and I still think the number 447 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 2: is good under seven and a half on South Carolina. 448 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,639 Speaker 2: What they lost on defense be replaced, and Lenora Sellers 449 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 2: is now running the RPO with a bunch of kids 450 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:05,919 Speaker 2: that are like five nine, one hundred and ninety pounds. 451 00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:08,880 Speaker 2: It's that's not Rocket Sanders. I just don't understand how 452 00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 2: this offense could be just Lenora Sellers just making shit 453 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:13,639 Speaker 2: up behind the pocket when I don't think he's going 454 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 2: to be as protected. He doesn't have the same weapons, 455 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:17,160 Speaker 2: so under seven and a half for South Carolina. 456 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:20,200 Speaker 1: For me, yeah, agree, I'm more way more concerned about 457 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:21,640 Speaker 1: the South gund of defense. It's gonna take a big 458 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 1: step back with all the talent they lost. Tennessee under 459 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: as well. Not an agular guy, and I think it's 460 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 1: a rebuilding year for Tennessee, reset year. I do show 461 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 1: value Vanderbilt in Florida overs not sure if I'll get 462 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:34,400 Speaker 1: there for various reasons we talked about in the pod, 463 00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:35,960 Speaker 1: and then also the Texas under. I do show a 464 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: little bit value there. I'm not sure I'll get there. Calvary, 465 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: you don't have anything in the SEC. Neword does Duck. 466 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:47,639 Speaker 1: So let's move on to the collegewall plowff. I'll just 467 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:49,399 Speaker 1: briefly say I think it's gonna play out. Last year 468 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 1: we had four Big ten, one Big twelve, two ACC, 469 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,159 Speaker 1: one group of five, three SEC and Notre Dame. I 470 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,440 Speaker 1: think it's similar this year, but we're gonna flip one 471 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: Big ten for an SEC. So I think we're gonna 472 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 1: get four SEC teams, three Big ten, not Oregon, So 473 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,119 Speaker 1: who could that be potentially the USC I played then 474 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,159 Speaker 1: to make the playoff. Who could that extra SEC team be? 475 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:11,719 Speaker 1: There's a lot of uncertainty at the top of the 476 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 1: SEC because of the quarterback play. So I took texts 477 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 1: A and M. I think they have a really high floor. 478 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: I think Elo is going to help fix the defense. 479 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 1: Their offensive on the running game is gonna be really good. 480 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 1: We'll see what their passing attack is, but I think 481 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 1: they have a really really high floor. And then I 482 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:26,679 Speaker 1: will be on l I played some LSU to win 483 00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: the SEC. I'm just trying to figure out the timing 484 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 1: of when I want to bet them to make the playoffs, 485 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,719 Speaker 1: like before after the Clemson game, so al some more 486 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 1: exposure on the upside of LSU as well. Colin, I'll 487 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 1: go to you playoff. You have a better Dame. I 488 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 1: know you. Like anything else. 489 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 2: I do love better day, but specifically on the SEC, 490 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:46,439 Speaker 2: it's definitely not LSU. The team that I'm hot on. 491 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 2: Of course, Alabama and Texas I think make the playoff, 492 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 2: but if there's a long shot team you should grab, 493 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 2: I think it's Oklahoma. Oklahoma over six and a half 494 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,000 Speaker 2: is one of the plays I made. I love John Mattier, 495 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,720 Speaker 2: I love being r Buckle. This defense, defensive line and 496 00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 2: linebackers should be the best front seven in all of 497 00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:01,919 Speaker 2: the SEC, and that is making a statement. From the 498 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 2: Big Ten perspective, I don't think it's going to be 499 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,360 Speaker 2: organ I agree with you Penn State Ohio State probably 500 00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,440 Speaker 2: making the playoff. I know Penn State is Ohio State. 501 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 2: I have questions about their coordinators, but if there's one 502 00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 2: out there that I like. If I think Michigan can 503 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 2: make the Big Ten championship game, then I don't understand 504 00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,679 Speaker 2: why it is they can't make the playoff. I'm not 505 00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 2: sure Indiana can get past you know, nine wins. Same 506 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:23,119 Speaker 2: thing for SMU. Down in the ACC. Clemson might be 507 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,120 Speaker 2: the only team that's going there. I don't have any 508 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,160 Speaker 2: love for Miami. I think Louisville is great, but they 509 00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:31,119 Speaker 2: fall into a horrible scheduling spot against SMU. Probably one 510 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:34,520 Speaker 2: of the worst in the the whole season of any 511 00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 2: team is that Louisville team playing on SMU. So you know, 512 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 2: from a playoff perspective, if I had a long shot out 513 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 2: there that I would take, it'd probably be Oklahoma. 514 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 1: Clemson can't be the only team from the ACC because 515 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: they're not going to win the ACC, So just turn 516 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:52,400 Speaker 1: it out there, Jack. I know you mentioned James can 517 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,439 Speaker 1: you mention Jmu as a potential anything else you want 518 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 1: to add? 519 00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:58,439 Speaker 4: Yeah, I call the sentiments that Colin had said, but 520 00:21:58,760 --> 00:21:59,840 Speaker 4: nothing else from me here. 521 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: Kyl Grees. 522 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be another kind of wild story 523 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 3: out of the Big Ten, crashing the playoff party. If 524 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 3: you like Washington at nine to one or Iowa at 525 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,919 Speaker 3: eight to one, if you look at their two schedules, 526 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:14,640 Speaker 3: all their big games seem to be at home. Those opportunities. 527 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 3: Washington's got Ohio State, Oregon, Illinois at home. 528 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: Iowa has Penn. 529 00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 3: State, which they pulled that trick before a top five 530 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 3: Penn State team comes Iowa City. 531 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 1: They lose. 532 00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,720 Speaker 3: I like Grenowski, I like Demon Williams Junior stuck. I 533 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 3: mean we can go back and wax poetic about what 534 00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 3: Jedfish did with Noah Fafida. As soon as Jedfish left 535 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 3: the desert, he turned back into a pumpkin. I think 536 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:36,600 Speaker 3: this is the year he elevates that kid into a 537 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 3: fringe Heisman candidate. And I think that's why having a 538 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:41,919 Speaker 3: ticket on one of these teams are potentially both is 539 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:43,000 Speaker 3: not a bad way to go out. 540 00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,159 Speaker 1: Of the Big Ten. All right, that'll do it for 541 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 1: us thanks to Breeze, Colin and Duck, thanks to our 542 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:50,639 Speaker 1: producer My Mitchell. Most ply thanks to all of you 543 00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: for tuning in. Do you want more inside? Make sure 544 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:54,120 Speaker 1: you check out all of the conference previous to get 545 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 1: you ready for this season. We dive into every single team. 546 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:58,400 Speaker 1: It's fifteen to twenty hours. I on'tleven know how long 547 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 1: we recorded. Weeks zero previous will be out Week one 548 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: next week before you know if voicemails will be back. 549 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:06,119 Speaker 1: Don't forget nine to five nine Bad Beat. We'll be 550 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 1: hearing all of you screaming at us throughout the season. 551 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 1: It should be a lot of fun. But thanks for 552 00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: tuning in. Makes you subscribe on, Subscribe, suscribe tel friends 553 00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: on and then they leave a five star review. Really 554 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:15,720 Speaker 1: helps us out this time of the year. I'll do 555 00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 1: some giveaways shortly and I hope to see some of 556 00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 1: you in Chicago. Cheers. 557 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 558 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 559 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler