1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P joe P Zapia, 3 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,119 Speaker 1: and it's time to talk DFS for Week nine in 4 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 1: the NFL. Don't forget use our Fantasypros dot Com slash 5 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: optimizer to run one hundred and fifty lineups at once, 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: and you can save and export your favorite lineups into 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: DraftKings and Fan Duel. Take the time and energy out 8 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: of it. Make it simple. Use the optimizer, get the 9 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: best strategy, find the best players you like, lock them 10 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: up and win some cash. Of course, with me every 11 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: single week to do the DFS show is my boy, 12 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: de Bro, Derek Brown, the King of Bros, the Fantasy Bro. 13 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 1: And we're gonna talk about Week nine, which is a 14 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 1: little different because we got buys back. We've also got 15 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: primetime games. And on top of the primetime as usual, 16 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: we've got another International Flavor game. So we're gonna let 17 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Miami game go because it's too early 18 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: to be in the main slate. Instead, we're gonna start 19 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 1: things off here with Minnesota and Atlanta. That's right. If 20 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 1: I told you two weeks ago that you wouldn't get 21 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins or Desmond Ritter in this game. You probably 22 00:00:57,160 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: think that I was nuts, but you're not getting either 23 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: one this time around. The total for this game right now, 24 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: Derrek Brown, as we look at it, is just thirty 25 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: seven and a half. Not a lot of expectations here. 26 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 1: So it comes down to can Taylor Heinike do some 27 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: different things to make Atlanta a sneaky little opo play? 28 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: In your opinion, do you want any pieces of Minnesota 29 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 1: in Atlanta? 30 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 2: I think this game and I got wax poetic about 31 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 2: the low total, but hell, that's the entire slate, Joe, 32 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: Like every total is low where that at that time 33 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 2: of the year it gets cold outside and the totals 34 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 2: drop just like the temperatures. For me, I want to 35 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: go with the mini correlation. I want to stay away 36 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 2: from the running backs in this game. Stay away from 37 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: the quarterbacks. The only two pieces out of this game 38 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 2: I want to target are Jordan Addison and Kyle Pitts. 39 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:45,839 Speaker 2: And if you look at Jordan Adison, yes he's probably 40 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 2: gonna catch a shadow from Ajterrell. But that's not a 41 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 2: bit a bad thing. Man. Ajterrell is not playing good football. 42 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: One twelve passer rating aloud in his coverage. We've seen 43 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 2: multiple wide receivers smoke him in primary coverage. So Jordan Addison, 44 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 2: I think, is gonna come in lowlystered, and I mean, 45 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 2: I get it. Jared Hall is not fantastic. A lot 46 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: of other things that are left to be decided about 47 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 2: this offense, but Jordan Addison is the only piece out 48 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 2: of Minnesota that I want. And on the other side, 49 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,799 Speaker 2: like I said, Kyle Pitts, man, we're talking about Drake 50 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 2: London MI not even play this game. He didn't practice 51 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 2: on Wednesday with the groin issue. I won't be surprised 52 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: if he is out, but if he plays, I still 53 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 2: like Kyle Pitts because we don't know if we're gona 54 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 2: get one hundred percent Drake London in this game. And 55 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts, the thing we had to bring up about 56 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 2: Minnesota is they have been allowing a lot of production 57 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: to the slot. So tenth highest PPR points per target, 58 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:39,079 Speaker 2: eighth most receiving yards to the slot. And if people say, wow, 59 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 2: why are you talking about Kyle Pitts, fifty nine percent 60 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 2: of his routes are run via the slot. He is 61 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 2: a wide receiver fan not a tight end. So gimme Addison, 62 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 2: give me Kyle Pitts, and we're moving on. 63 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:52,239 Speaker 1: Baby, all right, Give me fuel, give me fire, give 64 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: me that which I desire. Seattle Baltimore forty four and 65 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: a half is number four. This one now interesting here 66 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: because always feel like Baltimore is the one that plays 67 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: up and down to the competition a little bit. And 68 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 1: Baltimore has the Seattle Seahawks coming in to play here, 69 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: and this one a lot of people think is going 70 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 1: to be a very back and forth game, and it 71 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 1: might be. However, I'm more on the Baltimore side of 72 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: this game. I'm more on that side of the investment, 73 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 1: just because I have a little bit more faith and 74 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:20,119 Speaker 1: trust there than I do with Seattle. In your opinion, 75 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 1: is this one that goes back and forth? And if 76 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: it is, how do you run it back with Seattle? 77 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 1: Or are you somebody that's saying no, Just give me 78 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 1: the Baltimore side of this one and their team implied 79 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: total is good enough for you. 80 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 2: I don't see this one as really a back and forth. 81 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 2: Baltimore has been fantastic. The only way this kind of 82 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 2: goes back and forth would be Seattle leans on their 83 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 2: ground game because Baltimore is top three in everything versus 84 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 2: passing right now. So Seattle wants to take home a win, 85 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: they're gonna lean on the ground game. The problem is 86 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 2: is that we're gonna get a split backfield here. I 87 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 2: mean Zach Charboney led the backfield and touches last week. 88 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: Kenneth Walker is not fully healthy. I don't care what 89 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 2: Pete Carroll says. It shows the proof of the pudding 90 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 2: when Zach Sharboney out snapped him last week, and that 91 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 2: has not happened the entirety of the season. So on 92 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 2: the Seattle side, there's not a lot that I like here. 93 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 2: I mean split backfield. All these these wide receivers have 94 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:17,279 Speaker 2: tough matchups. What I will say is on the Baltimore side, 95 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 2: you can't interest me in Lamar Jackson if he's gonna 96 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 2: come in under rostered. He has been playing out of 97 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: his mind all year. I do not want to attack 98 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:29,679 Speaker 2: the Seattle corners who have been playing extremely good. Tariq Wolan, 99 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 2: Devon Witherspoon on the outside have been amazing since they 100 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 2: both at tandem in the last few weeks. I think 101 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 2: this is easy Joe play Lamar and play the guy 102 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,279 Speaker 2: that you can't stick one of these amazing cornerbacks on 103 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 2: Mark Andrews. Play Mark Andrews and then just move on man. 104 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: And you don't have Kelsey in the slates, so he 105 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: is the top dog tight end, so it's a and 106 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 1: of course he's never as expensive as Kelsey anyway, So 107 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,360 Speaker 1: interesting pivot there. I'm good with that New Orleans hosting 108 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: Chicago this one. I've got some love for I like 109 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: New Orleans side of this game. Forty one is the 110 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: total here again, quarterback wise, Chicago is lacking a little 111 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: bit in that department. Derek Carr keeps throwing for three 112 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 1: hundred yards. He's cheap on Fandle this week de bro Oh, 113 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 1: He's cheap. He's so cheap. And I've got some shares 114 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: just dropping these three hundred yard games. I know they're 115 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:18,799 Speaker 1: not pretty all the time, but I don't care. Rashid 116 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 1: Shahad is also cheap. Love him, Love Kamara. I've been 117 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: a Kamara since he came back. I've been playing Kamara 118 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: in lineups and I have really get to be disappointed. 119 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 1: So I'm in on the Saints. I know a lot 120 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 1: of people are trying to make a case for Old Lave. 121 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 1: I think Taysom Hill is that pivot this week down 122 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: from the top of the board. If you want to 123 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: get away from Andrews's roster percentage or his salary. Taysom 124 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 1: Hill has been that guy. He's been a tight end 125 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: one three weeks in a row. We can't keep denying that. 126 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: New Orleans, Chicago. What are your takeaways? 127 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 2: I tweeted this out, chow who since week six? Do 128 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 2: you know who's the tight end two in Fantasy? Behind 129 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 2: only Travis Kelcey? Taysom Hill. Baby, he's he's been insane. 130 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 2: I mean the amount of the yards, whether you want 131 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:03,239 Speaker 2: to talk about catching the ball, running the ball, even 132 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 2: throwing the ball. He had over forty passing yards last week. 133 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 2: So I'm totally in on Taysom Hill. That's a fine call, man. 134 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 2: I'm with you on Derek Carr. I don't have a 135 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,039 Speaker 2: lot of love on the Chicago side. The one guy 136 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 2: that I will say on the Chicago side that nobody's 137 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 2: gonna play, he's gonna be sub five percent is darn 138 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 2: Old Mooney. The way that you attack the Saints secondary 139 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 2: is via the slot. They're allowing the fourth most receiving 140 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 2: yards and the seventh most receiving touchdowns to slot wide receivers. 141 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 2: Mooney is gonna run seventy three percent of his routes 142 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 2: via the slot. So the only bear I want in 143 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 2: this matchup is Darnel Mooney. He's super cheap. You can 144 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,599 Speaker 2: fit him in, especially on DK. He is down there 145 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,799 Speaker 2: basement pricing, and yeah, give me all the Saints, man. 146 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 2: I'm in on Derek Carr. I'm in on Alpha Camaro. 147 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 2: We talked about this. 148 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 1: Guy hitting in an alpha target. 149 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:55,560 Speaker 2: Share baby, especially another zone heavy coverage team, and we're 150 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 2: gonna see Kamara just gobble up targets, man. So Derek 151 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:03,039 Speaker 2: Carr Camara, I do think that this is the Chrysal 152 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 2: Lave game, So I'm going back to him. I think 153 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 2: that this is the game that we've been finally waiting 154 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 2: for considering how bad the Chicago secondary is and the 155 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 2: only good corner they have right now is Jalen Johnson. 156 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 2: And you're gonna see Chris Lave is gonna run sixty 157 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 2: three percent of his routes not on Jalen Johnson. So 158 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 2: Tyreek Stevenson won twenty five pass rating in this coverage. 159 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 2: Kyler Gordon is not a great slot corner. So there's 160 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 2: a lot of different ways to play this Joe. On 161 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 2: the Saints side, it's Derek Carr, It's Kamara, it's a lave. 162 00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 2: If I'm looking for another guy, Rashid Shahed, we keep 163 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 2: talking about him, weget ringing him up, and people don't 164 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 2: want to play in man. But I'm telling you, if 165 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 2: it's zone and the team is bad versus deep passing, 166 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 2: check and check with the Bears, then it's Shaheed week. 167 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: We've seen it numerous times. The guy has gone over 168 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 2: eighty receiving yards four times this season. He went for 169 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 2: a buck one fifty three, one fifty three last week 170 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 2: on three catch. That's all I need. I don't care 171 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 2: about the number of targets. The targets he gets are 172 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 2: going to be deep. If he comes down with him, 173 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 2: he's going to perfect. 174 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: Flex guy, just like in real fantasy, the same thing 175 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: in DFS. He's the perfect flex guy because he has 176 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: touchdown equity, big playability. He is one play in twelve points. 177 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 1: You love to see it, love to see it. Of course, 178 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: he was on my bench in a league last week. 179 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 1: I picked him up and Odell Beckham got me a 180 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: big fat zero, but I went anyway, So whatever. Arizona Cleveland, 181 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 1: Uh yeah, well I Trey McBride was my guy last week. 182 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 1: I was telling everybody, you know, Trey McBride super cheap, 183 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: he's my free square on DK. That paid off big time. 184 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: Loved that Cleveland again, It's really just tough to invest 185 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,079 Speaker 1: defense travels. I always come back to the same thing. 186 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 1: That's what I think about the Cleveland Browns. You can 187 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 1: go start their defense your you know, quarterback situation. Arizona 188 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 1: Dobbs is now in Minnesota, so thirty seven and a half. 189 00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 1: This one's kind of a hard pass for me. It 190 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 1: might end up overperforming, maybe Hunt, maybe some other pieces 191 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: end up being useful, but it's I think it's one 192 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 1: of these games. It's so hard to peg what's gonna 193 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: come out of this, and I don't find it investible. 194 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: Whenever I don't know which pieces are in play, I 195 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: tend to just fade away. What do you think. 196 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 2: Both of these backfields are large field GPP options. I 197 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 2: don't think Jerome Ford is anywhere close to healthy. The 198 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 2: problem is that this backfield is getting split up three 199 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 2: different ways. I think you're looking at who's probably gonna 200 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 2: lead the backfield this week. It's probably gonna be Kareem Hunt. 201 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,439 Speaker 2: I don't have any kind of interest in him because 202 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 2: he's cooked, man like, he's outside the top fifty running 203 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:39,439 Speaker 2: backs and basically every efficiency metric that you could pull up. 204 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 2: If you want to go with the Browns running back 205 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 2: and large field GPPs and I'm talking like Millimaker field 206 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 2: sizes like eight ten thousand people, I get it. Then 207 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 2: I would be going with Pierre Strong. He's sub five k, 208 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 2: he's got juice. He took last week he had eleven 209 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 2: touches and produced eighty two total yards. So I like 210 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 2: Pierre Strong a large fell GPP play, But the two 211 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:04,959 Speaker 2: favorite pieces out of this game Joey Wa actually I'll 212 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:08,840 Speaker 2: say three. Amaro de Mercado is absolutely in play. I 213 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,719 Speaker 2: get that he's dealing with a toe injury. Assuming he 214 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:14,680 Speaker 2: goes he plays, Cleveland is a team that you can 215 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 2: run on baby second highest explosive run rate allowed, fourth 216 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 2: highest yards of the contact per attempt. De Mercado we've 217 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 2: seen that, Like they're willing to give him twenty plus 218 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 2: touches or eighty percent of the snaps if he can 219 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 2: do that this week. He is firmly in play for GPPs. 220 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:32,560 Speaker 2: The other guy that I'll talk about here for the 221 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 2: Cardinals is Trey McBride. I wasn't in him last week. 222 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 2: I don't know if he's going to be popular this week. 223 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 2: If he is going to be chalky, then I'll shy away. 224 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 2: But he's still basement level price. And the thing I 225 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 2: want to bring up about him, Joe is, yes, Cleveland 226 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 2: has been good versus tight ends, but they haven't played 227 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 2: anybody man like they played George Kittle. George Kittle had 228 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 2: a bad game, but the entire forty nine ers offense 229 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,640 Speaker 2: had a bad game. Mark Andrews took them for eighty 230 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 2: and two touchdowns. Trey McBride could do the same thing. 231 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 2: And the thing that I want to latch onto here, man, 232 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 2: is that Tray McBride last week, not only did he 233 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 2: get the monster target chare, he got a forty six 234 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 2: percent first read share. That is absolute insanity. So people 235 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 2: want to talk about carry it absolutely carries over. Okay, 236 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 2: that type of first read share is insane. Uh So 237 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 2: for me, I look at that as just as sticky 238 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 2: as target shairs. And you're telling me that whenever they 239 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:33,559 Speaker 2: dropped back, he was looking they were the quarterback was 240 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 2: looking for McBride on almost half of their passing plays. 241 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 2: That that is insane. So give me Trey McBride, Give 242 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:41,199 Speaker 2: me a Mario Demarcado. 243 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 1: Uh for the cards. 244 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:45,680 Speaker 2: On the other side of this, I love Amari Cooper 245 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,319 Speaker 2: man for all the reasons we talked about in previous weeks. 246 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 2: He's not going to be played. This is a smash 247 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 2: matchup we've already seen. Like I told you, I was 248 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 2: out on Amari Cooper last week. He produced, despite quarterbacks, 249 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:02,720 Speaker 2: despite matchup everything, he keeps producing. And you're telling me 250 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:07,079 Speaker 2: nobody's gonna play him against a secondary that is allowing 251 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 2: the fourth highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide 252 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:14,320 Speaker 2: receivers and the eighth most receiving touchdowns. Yes, absolutely in 253 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 2: Anamark Cooper this week. 254 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 1: All right, next game here on the slate, we've got 255 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Bucks and the Houston Texans. On our 256 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,199 Speaker 1: betting show. We just did Erickson's in on the under 257 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: because of these teams struggling in the red zone. The 258 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 1: numbers forty And by the way, if you're gonna play 259 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 1: any bets, make sure you're using the Betting pros app 260 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:31,719 Speaker 1: and don't forget if you haven't downloaded it yet. You've 261 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: also got the three free days of premium that you 262 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 1: can use on iOS, so download it on your iOS app. 263 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 1: You can get it on Android as well, but you 264 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: get the three free days of premium on iOS. Check 265 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: it out. See all the projections, see all the prop 266 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 1: bet analyzer, the custom line alerts, all the upgraded tools. 267 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 1: Especially because we've got NFL, we got NBA, we've got NHL. 268 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:51,960 Speaker 1: All this stuff's going on, So get involved with that. 269 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,679 Speaker 1: Go download the app. But this one. If the total 270 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:57,080 Speaker 1: does underwhelm, do you think this is another game where 271 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 1: you fade away from it? 272 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 2: No, I actually really like a mini cores in this game. 273 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 2: I'm massive on Mike Evans and Nico Collins this week. 274 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 2: If you look at these two secondaries, Houston has struggled 275 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,440 Speaker 2: to defend the deep ball seventh highest sharts per attempt 276 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 2: on deep Ball's fourth highest deep adjusted completion rate. That's 277 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 2: all Mike Evans wheelhouse baby, So give me Mike Evans 278 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 2: on the bucks side. And Nico Collins. This comes down 279 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 2: to the fact that Houston has. 280 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 1: Allowed a lot of yack. 281 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 2: So where do That's all Nico Collins's wheelhouse Man. He's 282 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 2: seventh in YAK and fourth in YACK per reception. So 283 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 2: I don't want to like a lot of pieces out 284 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:35,200 Speaker 2: of this game. But I love Mike Evans and I 285 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 2: love Nico Collins, and you can just cancel out the 286 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 2: rest of the guys here. All right, let's talk about 287 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 2: Washington in New England. Look, the Commander has got rid 288 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 2: of a lot of pieces on defense. The numbers forty 289 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 2: one in this contest right now? Is there anything like 290 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 2: a Damerio Pop Douglas or piece like this that might 291 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,680 Speaker 2: be cheap, flying under the radar, that might be tournament 292 00:13:58,720 --> 00:13:59,319 Speaker 2: worthy in this one? 293 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 1: And then what do you do? Howell? Who has played 294 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 1: up and down? You know, if it's the Eagles, it's great. 295 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: Otherwise and it's a little spotty sometimes, So what do 296 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 1: you do? Are you afraid of the Washington offense? And 297 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,679 Speaker 1: are you oddly interested in New England's offense for the 298 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 1: first time and maybe all season? 299 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 2: I'm not really that interested in New England's offense. I 300 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 2: think I can get most of their offensive production by 301 00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 2: just playing De Mario Pop Douglas. And he's gonna be popular. 302 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,560 Speaker 2: I don't really care. He's I mean his pricing on 303 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 2: both sides is amazingly cheap. And I mean, he's just 304 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say he's the pre square because he's 305 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 2: not a running back. You're not talking about volume here, 306 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 2: but we're talking about a guy that's besubed four k. 307 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 2: He got a twenty four percent target share last week. 308 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 2: Juju Smith Schuster is dust. Devonte Parker does not play. 309 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 2: Kendrick Bourne is out. Pop Douglas is going to be 310 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 2: their wide receiver one, and he is playing against a 311 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 2: secondary since Week six that has allowed the fourth highest 312 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 2: PPR points per target and third most receiving yards to 313 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:01,600 Speaker 2: slot wide receiver, and that's where Pop is gonna be 314 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 2: seventy four percent slot. So for me, I'm all about 315 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:08,040 Speaker 2: the mini correlations apparently this week Joe. So it's Pop 316 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 2: Douglas on the Patriots side. If you want to go 317 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:13,640 Speaker 2: Mac Jones, that's fine. If you are gonna play Mac Jones. 318 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 2: The other part that I will say is Hunter Henry 319 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 2: is viable. Washington has been bottom three against tight ends 320 00:15:19,760 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 2: over the last three to four weeks. So if you're 321 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 2: gonna double stack Mac, it's gonna be with Pop and 322 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 2: it's gonna be with Hunter Henry, But really, in this game, 323 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 2: I want to go Pop Douglas and I want to 324 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 2: bring it back with Terry McLaurin. On the other side. 325 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 2: The Patriots have the fourth highest man coverage rate in 326 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 2: the NFL. Thirty eight point four percent of their coverage 327 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 2: snaps against man coverage. It's all day, every day, twice 328 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 2: on Sundays, Terry McLaurin, Baby, twenty six percent target share 329 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 2: versus man coverage forty six percent of the Washington Commanders 330 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: air yards. I'm all in for that. I don't care 331 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 2: about all the narratives about Bill taking away wide receiver ones. 332 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 2: He can wear all do all he wants to with 333 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 2: his cutoff sleeves and the hood pulled tight over his face. 334 00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 2: That's fine. He running coverage out there on the field, baby, 335 00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 2: So Tera McLaurin, let's. 336 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 1: Go Los Angeles. Rams are gonna go to Green Bay. 337 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: The number on this one is thirty eight and a half. 338 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 1: The health of Stafford's in question as we're recording this 339 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 1: on Thursday. We're not sure exactly how that's going to 340 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 1: end up or what it's gonna look like. Now, there's 341 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: opportunity there because if he does play and it does go, well, 342 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: the ross percentage is gonna be low because Cooper Cup 343 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: is expensive. Because you know, Stafford basically has had some 344 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: matchups too where I think he's kind of underwhelmed in 345 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: some of these other spots that he's had. So Green Bay, 346 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 1: on the other hand, Jordan Love has not done a 347 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 1: great job running this offense. Let's be honest. The running 348 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: back situation there also has not been great. It's just hard. Again, 349 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 1: this slate is very all or nothing, and there's some 350 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: great matchups, but unfortunately one of them's in the night game, 351 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:52,760 Speaker 1: and one of them is first thing in the morning, 352 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 1: and in between there's a lot of stuff that's kind 353 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: of gross. And that's just the way Week nine looks 354 00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 1: because of who's on buy and how these matchups are 355 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 1: shifted out. I continue to look at Green Bay LA 356 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 1: as again there's an opportunity here, but again, is it 357 00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: investable in your opinion? You think to a high degree, 358 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: not a high degree. 359 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 2: I don't want to play Stafford. I don't want to 360 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:15,160 Speaker 2: play Jordan Love. Jordan Love. I think you can get 361 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 2: most of the production by playing certain players out of 362 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 2: this game instead of going with the quarterbacks. So three 363 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 2: different guys, I want to bring up here. First is 364 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,360 Speaker 2: Royce Freeman Man. I think that he is a fantastic 365 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,439 Speaker 2: play we're looking at he led the backfield with fifty 366 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 2: three percent of the snaps last week. We know that 367 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 2: you can run on the packers. That's tried and true 368 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:37,040 Speaker 2: every single year. The thing about Royce Freeman want to 369 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 2: bring up is if we see the Rams get up 370 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:41,440 Speaker 2: and get a lead, we could just see the Rams 371 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 2: run the damn ball the entire time. And if that's 372 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,879 Speaker 2: the case, people do not understand how good Royce Freeman 373 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:49,120 Speaker 2: has been. Just on the limited work. Amongst seventy five 374 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 2: qualified running backs, he is twenty fourth in explosive run rate, 375 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 2: eighth and miss tackles force per attempt, and sixth and 376 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,119 Speaker 2: yards of to contact per attempt. So Royce Freeman is 377 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:00,679 Speaker 2: a guy that could get s sixty percent of the 378 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 2: snaps if he gets fifteen to twenty carries in this game. Heck, 379 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,359 Speaker 2: just fifteen, he could easily break off a long run 380 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:10,800 Speaker 2: or two. So I like Royce Freeman in staying on 381 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 2: the Rams side. Cooper cup Man, Nobody's gonna play him 382 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 2: because the questions about the quarterback. I think that Brett 383 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,679 Speaker 2: Rippon is not fantastic if he pulls the start. But 384 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 2: we've seen Brett Rippan like, can he be serviceable enough? Sure? 385 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:26,439 Speaker 2: I think that he can be serviceable enough just to 386 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 2: get the ball to Cooper Cup. And if you look 387 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 2: at what the Green Bay Packers have struggled on defense, it's. 388 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:33,400 Speaker 1: All the slot man. 389 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,360 Speaker 2: They have given up so much production of the slot's 390 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,919 Speaker 2: second highest PPR points per target, ninth most receiving touchdowns. 391 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 2: Keishawn Nixon has not been good seventy nine percent catch 392 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 2: eight one ZHO four passer rating in his coverage on 393 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,920 Speaker 2: the Green Bay side. The only player I will play 394 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 2: out of that offense is Christian Watson. You're talking about 395 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 2: a guy that has had in the last since week 396 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,639 Speaker 2: five as a full time player, forty one percent of 397 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 2: the air yards you can beat the Rams deep since 398 00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 2: week four, seventh highest pass rating and third most passing yards, 399 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 2: eighth highest adjusted completion rate too deep passing. All the 400 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 2: deep shots go to Christian Watson. So in this game, 401 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 2: Royce Freeman, Cooper Cup, Christian Watson, and let's keep it. 402 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: Rolling, all right, Let's talk about this next one, which 403 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 1: I actually kind of sneaky like, this one's the one 404 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 1: for me. People Again, I've glossed over a lot. I'm 405 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 1: not gonna stop here, though, I'm gonna hit this one. 406 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 1: Because I am gonna stop here, I should. 407 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,400 Speaker 2: Say, Carolina, you are stopping here. 408 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:33,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna fix to stop here. That's what I'm gonna fix. 409 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:37,360 Speaker 1: One in six coming off their first w Now, I'm 410 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 1: not saying I love Carolina, but I will say at 411 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 1: Carolina Indianapolis here, this one intrigues me. Pitt has been 412 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:47,600 Speaker 1: very solid, downs is still cheap. Jonathan Taylor starting to 413 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,520 Speaker 1: look like Jonathan Taylor. The number for this one's forty four. 414 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: One of the higher totals we've talked about because of 415 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,920 Speaker 1: all the bad quarterback we've got all and back ups 416 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 1: and second and third strings and god knows guys off 417 00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 1: the you know the street playing quarterback. This one's at 418 00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 1: forty four. This one's appealing to me. And on the 419 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,159 Speaker 1: other side too. Thelan's been very consistently good. I like 420 00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,320 Speaker 1: that Chewba Hubbard's running the football and giving a little 421 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 1: physicality there. I think they needed that. Carolina needed that 422 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 1: up front a little bit. There's a lot of pieces Hubbard, Thelan, 423 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 1: the two wide receivers I mentioned Indianapolis and Jonathan Taylor. 424 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: This to me is one of the potential big performers 425 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,199 Speaker 1: that nobody's looking for when everybody's looking at Philly Dallas. 426 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:25,920 Speaker 1: This is the one to me that I think could 427 00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 1: really shine, especially at the value. 428 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 2: I think it's possible if you're gonna go with Carolina, 429 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 2: I mean, obviously everybody would go to Adam Thielen. I 430 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 2: think you could look to Jonathan Mingo. DJ Shark is 431 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 2: banged up. I don't mind him as a play. I'm 432 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,840 Speaker 2: not in on thelan. The best corner for the Colts 433 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 2: has been Kenny Moore this year. I know in previous 434 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 2: seasons we've talked about picking on Kennymore. He's playing fantastic football. 435 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna go go to Adam Thlen in 436 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 2: this one. I will say my two favorite plays of 437 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:59,480 Speaker 2: this slate. You could throw Minshew into this. I really 438 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 2: really like you. But I think the Colts absolutely rock 439 00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 2: the Panthers in this one. I think they cover the spread. 440 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna put up a crap ton of points. 441 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,520 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna go as far as to say that 442 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 2: he is a lock button play, but dear lord, I'm 443 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 2: gonna have so much Jonathan Taylor is absolutely nauseating. This 444 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 2: guy has looked like Jonathan Yes. The thing this week 445 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 2: that people have been worried about Jonathan Taylor was he 446 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:29,560 Speaker 2: banged up. 447 00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 1: Blah blah blah. 448 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 2: Shane Stykeen's talked about, Oh well, no, he's good. They 449 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 2: used Zach Moss. They didn't use Taylor a lot in 450 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 2: the second half of that game. He started off last 451 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 2: week like he was gonna have a monster outing versus 452 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 2: the Saints, and then the Colts just said, no, you're 453 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 2: not getting any touches. I think that that is indeed 454 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 2: protecting Jonathan Taylor against having too big of a workload 455 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,360 Speaker 2: too early as they try to ramp him up. He's 456 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:57,160 Speaker 2: still played the most snaps that he has played all 457 00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,399 Speaker 2: season at sixty one percent. You're looking at a player 458 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,960 Speaker 2: that he looks like Jonathan freaking Taylor. Since Week seven, 459 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 2: Joe Jonathan Taylor is seventh and explosive run rate amongst 460 00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 2: thirty eight qualifying running backs, second and miss tackles force 461 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 2: per attempt, first in yards are to contact per attempt. 462 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 2: He is ramping up. He is playing like the Jonathan 463 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,320 Speaker 2: Taylor that we know and love. He is damn near 464 00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 2: close to a lock button play for me this week. 465 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:28,400 Speaker 2: He is going to crush the Carolina Panthers run defense, 466 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,879 Speaker 2: and I will play so much Michael Pittman it's gonna 467 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,200 Speaker 2: be insane. This week. Carolina runs a ton of zone coverage. 468 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,919 Speaker 2: We know that is Michael Pittman's wheelhouse versus zone. That 469 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 2: man has a twenty six percent target chair, thirty six 470 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 2: percent first red chair. He's been producing even against man coverage. 471 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 2: He owns the deep role in this offense. I think 472 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 2: if people are gonna look at Josh Downs, I'm not 473 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,439 Speaker 2: telling you not to play him. If you're gonna go 474 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:56,399 Speaker 2: with Gardner Minshew the double stack, you can either play 475 00:22:56,840 --> 00:23:01,080 Speaker 2: JT and Pittman with Minchew or go Downs Pittman. If 476 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,160 Speaker 2: JT is gonna be chalk, I'm fine with that. But 477 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 2: JT and Pittman are my two favorite plays of this 478 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 2: entire slate. I love them on for a week nine. 479 00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:14,679 Speaker 2: All right, let's there's two more games left here on 480 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 2: the main slate. Let's everyone's waiting for Dallas Philadelphia, so 481 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:19,960 Speaker 2: let's just run through New York in Vegas real quick. 482 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,880 Speaker 2: Thirty seven is the number any pieces of this game 483 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 2: beside Saquon Barkley getting a huge workload because you know 484 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,880 Speaker 2: he's going to I mean, it's it's gonna be all Saquan, 485 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,360 Speaker 2: Him and Jonathan Taylor are where I'm starting a lot 486 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 2: of my bills. I think, if you're looking at any 487 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 2: raiders in this game, Josh Jacobs make a lot of sense. 488 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 2: You can run on the Giants. We know that you 489 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 2: can run on the Giants, and now they don't have 490 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,879 Speaker 2: Leonard Williams to clog up the middle, so Josh Jacobs 491 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,640 Speaker 2: could get an efficiency boost in this one. I don't 492 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 2: think he's gonna be popular, So I have interest in 493 00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:54,879 Speaker 2: Josh Jacobs, and we're gonna see DeVante Adams just get fed. 494 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,919 Speaker 2: I mean, he has been outspoken in the media. I 495 00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,880 Speaker 2: don't think he's gonna be popular play with A and OC, 496 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,440 Speaker 2: but he is going to get all the freaking targets 497 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 2: that he can handle this week. So Jacobs Adams. On 498 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:08,720 Speaker 2: the other side, it's Barkley and you can count me 499 00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:09,920 Speaker 2: out on the rest of this offense. 500 00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: All right, here we go. It's what yo all have 501 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,159 Speaker 1: been waiting for. Let's talk about it. Let's talk about 502 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,959 Speaker 1: the Eagles, Cowboys forty seven's number for this one. I've 503 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,119 Speaker 1: already made my opinion very clear on the Betting Pros 504 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: video top ten lists for Week nine. Made it clear 505 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: on the Line Show with Chris Meenie as our guest. 506 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 1: I am in on the Eagle side. I think this 507 00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,679 Speaker 1: is a one sided Eagles game. I might be in 508 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,440 Speaker 1: the minority on this, but that's fine because the minority 509 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: sometimes is where you make some money. So I want 510 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,679 Speaker 1: the eagle side. I want aj Brown, I want Jalen Hurts, 511 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 1: I want Swift. I want the Eagle side. And I'm 512 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 1: fading the Cowboys because I think the Cowboys are gonna 513 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: be very jocky here. Everyone's gonna love the Cowboys. It 514 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 1: all makes sense, it's all good logic. The Cowboys look great, 515 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 1: and then the Cowboys go in big spots in places 516 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,320 Speaker 1: on the road and don't perform up to stuff. So 517 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: they've got to prove it to me. I'm in the 518 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 1: show me category about the Cowboys. Derek, where are you 519 00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,119 Speaker 1: and how do you approach his game? From DFS, I 520 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 1: love both quarterbacks. 521 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,439 Speaker 2: I am in on Dak Prescott. Dak Prescott has been dealing. 522 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 2: I was not expecting to see that when I wrote 523 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,360 Speaker 2: up the primer. Since Week four, that man has been 524 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:12,679 Speaker 2: second in passing grade thirty yards per attempt, six in 525 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 2: fantasy points per dropback. So quietly just he's been amazing, 526 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,680 Speaker 2: man like over the last two games, he's been QB 527 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:23,199 Speaker 2: one and QB three and fantasy points. So I'm in 528 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,560 Speaker 2: on Dak Prescott. We're also seeing the pace and the 529 00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 2: passing rate uptick for Dallas, so this is really easy. 530 00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 2: If you're gonna play Dallas, you're gonna go Dak Prescott, 531 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:34,560 Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb, Jake Ferguson. No need to play anybody else. 532 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 2: Michael Gallups not even a full time player in this 533 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 2: offense right now. Jalen Tolbert took his lunch money he 534 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 2: ate into his snaps last week. 535 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: I'm not. 536 00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 2: I don't care about Brandon Cooks. He hasn't done anything 537 00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 2: all season. So Dallas Prescott, Ferguson, Ceedee Lamb on the 538 00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 2: eagle side, Hurts is always in play. I really like 539 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:54,720 Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift here, though, Joe. 540 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:55,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. 541 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 2: For Dallas, they're giving up the thirteenth highest explosive run rate, 542 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 2: the steenth and stuff rate like none of their stuff 543 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,880 Speaker 2: looks amazingly. They're gonna shut DeAndre Swift down. I think 544 00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,360 Speaker 2: he's gonna get overlooked on this slate. I don't think 545 00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,640 Speaker 2: he's gonna be popular, also saying that Dallas is allowing 546 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:16,119 Speaker 2: the eleventh highest yards per carry to zone runs Swift 547 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 2: this year, seventy two percent of his carriess have been 548 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:21,359 Speaker 2: on zone runs four point five yards per carry. Dallas 549 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 2: is giving up to zone runs. So on the Eagles side, 550 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 2: you can even play Jalen Hurts and DeAndre Swift together 551 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 2: like we've seen the past game role he could get 552 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 2: seven to eight targets in this game. The correlation is there. 553 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 2: I know a lot of people don't do that, but 554 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,679 Speaker 2: it's viable. So Jalen Hurts, DeAndre Swift, AJ Brown is 555 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 2: always in play because the ain't nobody can guard that man. 556 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 2: He is a monster right now. But I want to 557 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:46,439 Speaker 2: bring up DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goddter, And I know 558 00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 2: I'm just talking about all the Eagles, but there is 559 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:52,480 Speaker 2: an avenue for DeVonta Smith. Where Dallas has struggle has 560 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 2: been against play action. So DeVonta Smith has been their 561 00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,679 Speaker 2: play action guy on play action dropbacks twenty five percent 562 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:03,320 Speaker 2: target chair almost two point zero yards per route run 563 00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:07,200 Speaker 2: and Dallas Goddard. If you want to target the weakness 564 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 2: of the Cowboys secondary, it's via the slot. Jordan Lewis 565 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 2: has not been good covering the slot. Dallas Goddard leads 566 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 2: this team in slot yards per route run. So again 567 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,119 Speaker 2: talking about the tight ends and not just the general 568 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,400 Speaker 2: fashion like Kyle Pitts, they bad versus the slot play 569 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts. Okay, Dallas the same thing, Dallas Goddard fifty 570 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:32,320 Speaker 2: two percent slot rate, and you're looking at the Cowboys 571 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,359 Speaker 2: or allowing with the sixth highest PPR points per targets 572 00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,679 Speaker 2: the slot wide receivers. So if you want to play this, 573 00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 2: let's get weird here, Joe and talk about a different 574 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:43,040 Speaker 2: way to play this game, because well, I'm heady the weird. 575 00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,840 Speaker 1: One because i just want to play the Eagles. I'm again, 576 00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: I'm fading Dallas. I think it's gonna be and that's fine, 577 00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: and I'll eat it. I will eat the lady told 578 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: everybody will eat the l on Monday morning. It's fine. 579 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 1: This is what I do. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. 580 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 1: If I'm right, you're gonna hear it. If I'm wrong, 581 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,280 Speaker 1: you're gonna hear it. That's what we do. We own 582 00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,959 Speaker 1: it here. Yep. But I mean, I just I get 583 00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 1: that Cowboys gonna prove it. They gotta show me that 584 00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 1: they show up a big spot in a very hostile 585 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: environment because that environment is hostile. Philadelphia is an angry 586 00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:11,159 Speaker 1: city right now. They lost those playoff games to the 587 00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 1: Arizona Diamondbacks. I'm telling you right now, I have a 588 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:17,359 Speaker 1: ton of friends from Philadelphia. They are salty. They are 589 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:21,600 Speaker 1: looking to go and scream at somebody happy. 590 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,080 Speaker 2: Down here in Texas. I don't understand what's It's kind 591 00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 2: of weird, but you know, I digress. But I think 592 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,080 Speaker 2: if you're going to play this game, and we talk 593 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 2: about stacking these games up and if the Chalky Pieces fail, 594 00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,720 Speaker 2: I think the interesting way to go about this game 595 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:37,720 Speaker 2: because we know everybody's gonna want to play a J. Brown. 596 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:39,840 Speaker 2: We've all seen what he's done on a weekly basis. 597 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 2: If you play on the eagle side DeAndre Swift, DeVonta Smith, 598 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 2: or Dallas Goddard and you you fade AJ Brown, You're 599 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 2: probably gonna be auto different than a lot of other 600 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:54,440 Speaker 2: people stacking this game. And Dallas is just straightforward. If 601 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 2: you want to fade the entire offense out of outside 602 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 2: of Jake Ferguson. I'm totally fine with that as well. 603 00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,760 Speaker 2: So just talk at are you going to play Chalky Pieces? 604 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 2: Probably the chalkiest game of the entire week. How do 605 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 2: we play it different? It's probably a lot of dere Swift, 606 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 2: a lot of Dallas Goddard, and a lot of Jake Ferguson. 607 00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:13,960 Speaker 1: All Right, there you have it, everybody, that's the DFS 608 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,960 Speaker 1: slate in a nutshell. Help me get out of this great, big, 609 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 1: giant nutshell. DFS Lineup Optimizer is available right now at 610 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,239 Speaker 1: fantasypros dot com Slash Optimizer. Go use it, make your 611 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: simulated lineups, upload them to DK and FanDuel, get all 612 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 1: the players you want in your lineups, and try your 613 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,640 Speaker 1: best to go in some enormous amounts of cash. That's 614 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 1: what we want you to do. We want you to 615 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: go be successful. And remember, premium subscribers can use the 616 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: DFS Lineup Optimizer, and we've got a great offer for 617 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,640 Speaker 1: you right now, free Fantasy Pros Premium subscription for the 618 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: rest of the season. If you head to Fantasypros dot 619 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 1: com Slash Offers, you can find out more about that 620 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 1: and don't forget about our free trial of Betting Pros 621 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 1: for iOS users. If you haven't downloaded that download that 622 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 1: bad boy. Check out the amazing tools at Betting Pros. 623 00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 1: Start betting smarter, not harder. That's the whole idea that 624 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 1: I'll do it for us, but the story of the 625 00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 1: game goes on. For Derek Brown, I'm Joey P. We'll 626 00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 1: see you next time. 627 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,720 Speaker 2: Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 628 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 629 00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 1: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 630 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,840 Speaker 1: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.