1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 1: Let's take a closer look here at samsung third quarter 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: profit missed analysts estimates. And joining us to discuss the 3 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: earnings is Peter Elstrom, Bloomberg Executive editor for Asia Technology. 4 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: So operating profit for the chip segment almost cut in half, 5 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: Yet Samsung is not cutting back on on capex. Uh. 6 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: We saw that from s k Heinis yesterday for next year. 7 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: But as one of our colleagues said, Samsung has deeper 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: pockets than most. Your thoughts on the earnings report, Peter, Uh, Yeah, Well, 9 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:38,599 Speaker 1: these have been rough days for the semiconductor industry, in 10 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: particular in the technology industry more broadly. We knew that 11 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: there were going to be some weak results here. This 12 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 1: had been pretty well foreshadowed by Henis as you mentioned, 13 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: and Micron even before that. They've been pulling back on 14 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: their expenditures. Heinis yesterday reported weak earnings and said they're 15 00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 1: seeing an unprecedented downturn and demand. So expectations were pretty 16 00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: low for Samsung. As you mentioned, UM earnings are down sharply. 17 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 1: They did misend estimates. That was largely driven by the 18 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:13,559 Speaker 1: chips business as much as Samsung UM. Uh. Samsung really 19 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: makes its money from the chips business, even though it's 20 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 1: it may be best known for its smartphones, but chips 21 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 1: really make the difference in terms of profit or not profit. 22 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: And as you mentioned, the difference here is that Samsung 23 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: is saying it is going to keep spending UM on 24 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: factories and new fabs to make more chips UM because 25 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 1: it sees opportunities ahead. That's both in the memory business 26 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 1: and it's also pushing into UM the foundry business, which 27 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: is making chips for other people. Always Taiwan Semiconductor does. 28 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: In the memory business, it is expanding in a few 29 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: different areas, including into the US. So it's expanding very 30 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: aggressively at this point, which is pretty contrary to what 31 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: its peers are doing. Yes, Samsung a major producer of 32 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: the whales chips, obviously ducing more chips into a market 33 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 1: that admits has already got a glass. Most the impact 34 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 1: on the broader market gonna be with this. Yeah, there 35 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,359 Speaker 1: are there's some parallels to the oil industry, I think 36 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: in OPEC countries, where some company some countries continue to 37 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 1: produce very aggressively because they want the revenue. Uh, Samsung 38 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: is acting aggressively here. They're investing UM even though prices 39 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 1: are fallen pretty sharply in the memory chip market. They're 40 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: investing aggressively. They see opportunities here. They're expanding geographically also 41 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 1: um into a few different markets, and they do want 42 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 1: to become a bigger, more competitive player in logic chips, 43 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: which are microprocessors. As they build up this foundary business, 44 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 1: they want to compete with Taiwan Semiconductor, which is now 45 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: the most valuable chip company in the world and has 46 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: built a very very strong business as a foundry for 47 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: other companies. So we've seen these new US government rules 48 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 1: on exports to China, particularly having to do with very 49 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: high level chips for AI and such um. I think 50 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: a lot of people are curious what Samsung is saying 51 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 1: about these new rules. Have we heard anything on that yet? Yeah, 52 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: that is the big question for the chip industry over 53 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: the past two to three weeks. That's really the only 54 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 1: thing that everybody is talking about. What are these US 55 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: export rules mean for the industry broadly and especially for 56 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 1: doing business in China. Uh. Samsung, of course sits in 57 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: a quite challenging spot in South Korea. It has many 58 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 1: factories that are It also has a fab in mainland China, 59 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: UM and it it's it's uh, it's um. The Korean 60 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: government has very close ties to the US. Also, the 61 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 1: conference call hasn't started for Samsung yet, so they haven't 62 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: gone into details on how those chip export rules are 63 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 1: going to affect them, but they have been able to 64 00:03:56,480 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 1: secure a one year exemption so that they can You 65 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 1: need to ship equipment and supplies into China to uh 66 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 1: supply that fab that they've got in China so they 67 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: can continue to produce memory chips at that facility there. Yeah, 68 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: that conference called you to get underwig in about five minutes. 69 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 1: Of Blue subscribers, we'll be able to follow the details 70 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: on our blog top Live Go. But talk to us 71 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: about smartphones as well. We have had some weak growth 72 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: in that division. The market doesn't seem too troubled though. Yeah, 73 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: it's interesting. Uh. Samsung is probably better known for its 74 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: smartphones than its chips because that is a consumer facing business. 75 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:41,600 Speaker 1: It says that business was pretty strong, which is a 76 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: little surprising. The overall smartphone market is falling this year. Um. 77 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 1: There has been some weakness across the board. Even Apple 78 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: has shown some signs of weaknesses and they and they 79 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: sell at the very high end of the market. Samsung 80 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: has sort of pushed the envelope with their flip phones 81 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: and their foldable phones. Um they say that demand has 82 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: been relatively strong and they're optimistic about that business going forward. 83 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: Is there a glut in that business at the moment, Well, 84 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 1: the real glut is in the chips business. As we 85 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 1: talked about. That's challenging for people because during the COVID 86 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:23,039 Speaker 1: pandemic there were chronic shortages of chips that led customers 87 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: to overorder because they were so anxious to get chips 88 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 1: that they needed into their facilities. And now all the 89 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: chip makers are really saying that inventories are a problem. 90 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 1: They've been piling up and that means that customers are 91 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: going to use their inventories before they start buying new 92 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 1: chips from Samsung orhian X or Micron or the other companies. 93 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: In terms of smartphones, it's a it's a bit less 94 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 1: of an issue. The problem with smartphones is that they 95 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: become obsolete a lot more quickly. That's a business that's 96 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: very um that has to be very very timely. Uh 97 00:05:56,360 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: So Samsung is is facing some uncertainties. They're all set. 98 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: We've seen a very weak one over the past few 99 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 1: quarters as well. How's that altering out perspective on these results. Well, 100 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: they say that the strong dollar did have an effect. 101 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 1: The strong dollar of the weekend did have an effect 102 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: on their business. Largely, Samsung benefits because they are selling 103 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: much of their products abroad and bringing that revenue back 104 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: in either dollars or other currencies. So the week young 105 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: week one has been a little bit of a tailin 106 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: for them so far. You know, looking at what was 107 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 1: released and and and put out to the exchange, what 108 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: was the most surprising aspect of the earnings for you? Well, um, 109 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 1: I think the downturn in chips profit was not a surprise. 110 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: I think probably the biggest thing is Samsung's determination to 111 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 1: continue invest in ing U to put money into capital spending, 112 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: to be able to grow their market share of the 113 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: business memory chips of course, where they've been very very competitive, 114 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:12,119 Speaker 1: that the biggest in the market as they compete against 115 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 1: Heinis and Micron, but more specifically in the foundry business. 116 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: They're showing the kind of determination that has made them successful. 117 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: This is not a one quarter question or a one 118 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: year question. It's like, Okay, Peter, we gotta go excellent stuff. 119 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 1: Thank you, Peter Elstrom, Bloomberg Executive editor for Asia Technology. 120 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg