WEBVTT - Everything you wanted to know about the AFC West 0:00:00.840 --> 0:00:04.560 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.680 --> 0:00:10.040 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.280 --> 0:00:14.720 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.840 --> 0:00:18.440 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.480 --> 0:00:23.360 here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I'm Paul 0:00:23.440 --> 0:00:27.840 charchy In. My co host is Brian Johnson. Hello, Brien, 0:00:28.560 --> 0:00:31.680 You're gonna get a rare week off next week. Scott 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:34.640 Fish expected to be in next week. Oh, I'm not invited. 0:00:34.880 --> 0:00:37.720 Uh New York invited. You can. I can have a 0:00:37.800 --> 0:00:40.400 day off Scott twice. I like Scott too. Scott's a 0:00:40.440 --> 0:00:42.680 little busy this time here. He's very busy this time 0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:45.239 a year, and we're excited, excited to have him as 0:00:45.280 --> 0:00:47.800 part of the show. We're going to break down the 0:00:47.840 --> 0:00:51.680 a f C West today with everything we believe is 0:00:51.680 --> 0:00:55.279 going to happen in season this year. We're not recapping 0:00:55.280 --> 0:00:58.480 what happened a lot offseason. We're not recapping what happened 0:00:58.560 --> 0:01:03.000 last year. This is a forward facing projections for this 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.920 coming year for the teams in the a f C West. 0:01:07.520 --> 0:01:10.160 Before we jump into the most exciting team in football, 0:01:10.200 --> 0:01:13.400 the Kansas City chiefs Brian Let's mention. 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My cheat sheet is 0:02:13.280 --> 0:02:16.600 now available there, both for Guillotine League purposes and regular 0:02:17.000 --> 0:02:20.720 non Guillotine league purposes. My cheat sheet there for both. 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:25.240 All right, Brian, let's jump into the Kansas City Chiefs, 0:02:25.639 --> 0:02:31.480 probably the offense that is most familiar too listeners already, 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:34.680 because everybody wants to have a piece of the Chiefs 0:02:34.720 --> 0:02:37.280 on their team. There aren't really many pieces of the 0:02:37.320 --> 0:02:40.200 Chiefs to have though, for such an you think of 0:02:40.280 --> 0:02:42.840 like the Rams and the Kurt Warner days, there was 0:02:42.960 --> 0:02:47.680 Kurt and then Isaac Bruce, Tory hold Ozzihirakiim uh Marshall. 0:02:48.800 --> 0:02:51.880 You wanted, there was players that you wanted a piece of. 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:56.280 Really for the Chiefs there's four, maybe even three and 0:02:56.360 --> 0:02:59.120 a half, three and a half guys. But uh, Kansas 0:02:59.160 --> 0:03:05.440 City solidation of power though that totally Kansas City coming 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:08.000 off arguably one of the worst Super Bowl performances of 0:03:08.040 --> 0:03:10.880 all time last year. UH no changes at head coach 0:03:11.480 --> 0:03:14.280 uh Andy Reid or uh O c Eric the enemy 0:03:14.280 --> 0:03:16.799 of course. Uh first in yards per game last year 0:03:16.880 --> 0:03:20.320 four and fourteen per game, twenty one more yards than 0:03:20.360 --> 0:03:24.519 the next team. That's the significant tilta which was Green Bay, 0:03:24.560 --> 0:03:27.160 by the way, six in points per game. They passed 0:03:27.160 --> 0:03:30.440 the ball the fifth most among all NFL teams, nearly 0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:32.360 sixty three percent of the time. That means they did 0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:36.240 not run a lot. Uh in run play percentage was 0:03:36.320 --> 0:03:38.320 Kansas City. But let's just basically have to get to 0:03:38.360 --> 0:03:41.400 the big three and it starts with Travis Kelsey, who 0:03:42.240 --> 0:03:48.640 ADP of six. Now, yeah, six, deservedly been the number 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:52.760 one Fantasy producing tight end in three straight years, clearly 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:55.160 tight end one off the board. Last year he finished 0:03:55.200 --> 0:03:59.360 as a top three wide receiver. So there's not much 0:04:00.000 --> 0:04:02.280 nothing new I can really tell you about Travis Kelsey 0:04:03.040 --> 0:04:07.360 other than he's awesome. Um, there's we'll get to the 0:04:08.280 --> 0:04:10.840 riskiest player, and of course it's got to be one 0:04:10.880 --> 0:04:13.560 of the big three guysically, but we'll see if it's 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:16.760 Travis Kelsey or not. But Kelsey, you're paying a premium 0:04:16.880 --> 0:04:20.920 right now. This is like buying doge coin at cents. 0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:23.760 It's right, You're you're, you're, you're paying for the upside 0:04:23.760 --> 0:04:25.520 we saw. He's got to live up to it. So 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:27.560 I'm not saying it's a good pick or a bad pick. Uh, 0:04:28.120 --> 0:04:30.960 I'm on the fence there, but uh ADP six tighted one. 0:04:31.000 --> 0:04:34.279 Travis keill syats insane uh Tyreek Hill since June one, 0:04:34.960 --> 0:04:37.800 and you know, the more Aaron Rodgers rumblings we're getting 0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:41.159 out of Green Bay. Has you served Davante Adams and 0:04:41.200 --> 0:04:45.200 Stefon Diggs wide receiver one a DP of nine. Yeah, 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:49.040 So I mean those are the two guys that Patrick 0:04:49.080 --> 0:04:51.360 Mahomes is thrown to it. And again I have Try Hills, 0:04:51.480 --> 0:04:53.800 my number one wide receiver, and a lot of people do. 0:04:53.880 --> 0:04:57.440 Now maybe he has the most risk among the Chiefs, 0:04:57.440 --> 0:04:59.920 but we'll find out soon. Um, I should mention at 0:05:00.040 --> 0:05:02.640 the end of each one of these we identify the 0:05:02.920 --> 0:05:08.360 player with the most risk versus ADP and the player 0:05:08.400 --> 0:05:10.840 with the most upside versus ADP. So that's coming at 0:05:10.839 --> 0:05:12.760 the end of each team. And uh, as for the 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:16.680 other wide receivers, do you really want any piece of it? Uh? 0:05:16.760 --> 0:05:20.120 Sammy Watkins gone, of course, not like he was ever 0:05:20.800 --> 0:05:24.760 there except week one. He's a one superstar. Uh. DeMarcus 0:05:24.839 --> 0:05:28.520 Robinson his dust. It's really me Coole Hardman and Byron Pringle, 0:05:28.640 --> 0:05:32.880 and they're both almost free. Pringles certainly free. Mikole Hardman. 0:05:33.320 --> 0:05:35.840 Um going off the board and pick one sixty three, 0:05:35.960 --> 0:05:41.080 that's well past the twelve round. I'm I'm interested in 0:05:41.240 --> 0:05:45.360 both of those guys at what it costs to acquire them. Um. 0:05:45.680 --> 0:05:49.560 Pringle is a young guy with upside who could win 0:05:49.839 --> 0:05:52.880 the Sammy Watkins roll outright if they want to keep 0:05:52.960 --> 0:05:56.400 me Coole Hardman doing what he has been doing as 0:05:56.440 --> 0:05:58.640 the sort of gadget guy that he is. Yeah, well 0:05:58.680 --> 0:06:02.080 we'll h we'll touch on one of these towards the 0:06:02.160 --> 0:06:04.800 end of the chief. But no, no, no, no, I mean, 0:06:05.120 --> 0:06:08.800 clearly there's got to be some upside. It can't be 0:06:08.839 --> 0:06:11.400 the big three. Uh. And last, and certainly not least 0:06:11.560 --> 0:06:13.920 when it comes to the passing game. Patrick Mahomes h 0:06:14.080 --> 0:06:17.440 QB one off the board to no surprise overall ADP 0:06:17.520 --> 0:06:19.920 of thirty, So he's going mid third round right now. 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:22.200 There's nothing I can tell you that you don't already 0:06:22.200 --> 0:06:25.080 know about Patrick Mahomes. Uh. We might see him run 0:06:25.160 --> 0:06:27.840 a little less this year, just to keep him healthier. 0:06:27.920 --> 0:06:30.320 He certainly has the ability to run. A better runner 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:32.120 than I expected him to be coming into the league. 0:06:32.400 --> 0:06:34.880 Very mobile, he likes to hit the circle button. I 0:06:34.960 --> 0:06:37.839 like his spin maneuvers. But uh, the only question with 0:06:37.880 --> 0:06:40.240 Mahomes is are you going to take a quarterback that 0:06:40.360 --> 0:06:45.080 early in a ridiculously loaded quarterback class? And again depends 0:06:45.080 --> 0:06:48.200 how horror how far he falls. But I don't know 0:06:48.240 --> 0:06:50.200 if I'm reaching for mahomes this year, if I can 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:53.760 get a top tier quarterback around or two later, or 0:06:53.800 --> 0:06:56.360 even four or five six rounds later. But uh, those 0:06:56.360 --> 0:06:58.080 are clearly the big three of the offense. Is gonna 0:06:58.080 --> 0:07:00.320 funnel through all them. If something were to happen do 0:07:00.360 --> 0:07:03.080 any of them, it drastically changes the landscape of the 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:05.560 whole team. Um. But the last guy we got to 0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:08.040 talk about that, the half a player, hopefully he's more 0:07:08.040 --> 0:07:10.360 of a whole player this year is Clyde Edwards Layer 0:07:10.440 --> 0:07:13.880 c H. Right now going off the board at RB sixteen. 0:07:13.920 --> 0:07:16.400 It feels just about right to me. It's kind of 0:07:16.400 --> 0:07:19.040 like the last Uh, he's the last of the third 0:07:19.120 --> 0:07:22.160 tier of running backs outside of the elite guys. Right 0:07:22.440 --> 0:07:24.880 right after him, you get into like Josh Jacobs, Miles 0:07:24.880 --> 0:07:29.000 Sanders Territory. C H. Though arguably one of the biggest 0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:35.240 healthiest bus we saw his ADP soar into. I took 0:07:35.320 --> 0:07:37.800 him in a league at like pick seven overall last 0:07:37.840 --> 0:07:40.000 year once Damien Williams opted out and he was the 0:07:40.120 --> 0:07:42.400 lead back. Uh, he certainly did not live up to 0:07:42.440 --> 0:07:44.320 that a DP. He came out of the gates hot though. Yeah, 0:07:44.400 --> 0:07:47.240 you had a very exciting Week one game I remember, 0:07:47.320 --> 0:07:49.600 but uh just never gotta go and he was a 0:07:49.600 --> 0:07:53.200 little dinged up. But um, at RB sixteen, I'm buying 0:07:53.240 --> 0:07:55.400 at that price, He's not a dead cat. Runs behind 0:07:55.440 --> 0:07:58.400 a great old line ranks seventh by Pro Football Focus 0:07:58.440 --> 0:08:01.000 going into this season. And let's touch on that for 0:08:01.040 --> 0:08:03.000 just a second. You know, we we all A lot 0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:05.960 of people are going to remember the terrible Chief's offensive 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:09.080 line from the Super Bowl, but this is a They 0:08:09.160 --> 0:08:11.960 did a great job of restocking this offensive line and 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:15.040 making sure that Patrick Mahomes isn't going to suffer that 0:08:15.120 --> 0:08:19.120 indignity again. And Orlando Brown there now they get um, 0:08:19.160 --> 0:08:23.280 they get their doctor, Uh, Laurence Duvey tard if back 0:08:24.000 --> 0:08:27.440 and so he comes back. Joe Thuney's there. Um, Mike 0:08:27.440 --> 0:08:29.880 Rembers should not see the field, which is a critical 0:08:29.920 --> 0:08:33.160 distinction here, Uh, Kyle Long, I mean, I just this 0:08:33.240 --> 0:08:36.319 is a far far better offensive line than the one 0:08:36.360 --> 0:08:38.840 we saw in the Super Bowl, definitely, and UH would 0:08:38.880 --> 0:08:41.280 like to see Kansas City throw to their running backs 0:08:41.320 --> 0:08:44.439 more Chiefs backs total, the only seventies six catches last year. 0:08:44.480 --> 0:08:46.360 That was well in the bottom half of the league. 0:08:46.800 --> 0:08:49.080 And I will throw this out lastly, I do like 0:08:49.160 --> 0:08:55.080 Jerick McKinnon is a is a deep sleeper. He's not good. 0:08:55.160 --> 0:08:58.400 He's goods No, he isn't he's better than Darryl Williams, 0:08:58.440 --> 0:09:00.440 who's going well. I don't even know if that's true. 0:09:00.520 --> 0:09:03.720 I I disagree there. I don't mind Jerick McKinnon with 0:09:03.720 --> 0:09:07.079 the last pick a draft, especially if you're if you 0:09:07.160 --> 0:09:11.760 got on board he could. Vikings kicked him to the curb. 0:09:11.840 --> 0:09:14.439 Niners kicked him to the curb. He's you know, through 0:09:14.480 --> 0:09:17.960 injury and whatever else. He's just never lived up to 0:09:18.080 --> 0:09:20.880 the collegiate hike hype for Jerrick McKinnon. We will see 0:09:20.880 --> 0:09:24.560 about yet. Okay, the riskiest player I got, of course, 0:09:24.600 --> 0:09:25.839 it's got to be from one of the big three, 0:09:25.840 --> 0:09:28.600 and I'm going with Tyree Hill now going off the 0:09:28.600 --> 0:09:31.680 board as wide receiver. One. Yes, he was second in 0:09:31.720 --> 0:09:35.480 receiving touchdowns last year with fifteen, but seven it's pretty good. 0:09:35.720 --> 0:09:39.520 Seventh in yards though, and outside the top ten in receptions. 0:09:39.760 --> 0:09:44.120 In fact, Hill only had three yard games in the 0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:47.640 regular season last year. For reference, Calvin Ridley had eight, 0:09:48.240 --> 0:09:52.560 justin Jefferson, Stephon Digs, DeAndre Hopkins, Davante Adams seven, Travis 0:09:52.640 --> 0:09:56.360 Kelsey had six. Yeah, and going down the line, Cole 0:09:56.440 --> 0:10:00.600 Beasley had five, Corey Davis had five yard games. I 0:10:00.640 --> 0:10:03.680 mean some of these names, they are not very Tyreek Killing. 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:06.440 So yes, he can still live up to the wide 0:10:06.440 --> 0:10:10.480 receiver one eight, but I I would be a little 0:10:10.520 --> 0:10:15.040 more tempted to go running back, or if Travis Kelsey 0:10:15.080 --> 0:10:17.719 happened to still be on board, I could live with 0:10:17.880 --> 0:10:21.480 getting Davante Adams Stefan digs in the second round. And 0:10:21.679 --> 0:10:24.080 because it's either a Kelsey or a Tyree Kill game, yes, 0:10:24.160 --> 0:10:26.200 they both kind of go off. So let's say you're 0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:28.440 you're sitting at like pick five or six in the 0:10:28.480 --> 0:10:32.560 first round. Hill is there, Kelsey's there. I mean, you 0:10:32.600 --> 0:10:36.679 take the tight end differentiator. Kelsey finished as a better 0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:41.319 wide receiver Stetistically tree Kill last year. So that's that's 0:10:41.360 --> 0:10:45.000 my riskiest player. I'm certainly not saying don't draft side 0:10:45.240 --> 0:10:47.640 the upside. I'm going with it's one of the non 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:50.240 Tyreek Kill wide receivers. And I'm going with Byron Pringle, 0:10:50.280 --> 0:10:52.760 who right now is getting drafted pick two thirty five. 0:10:52.840 --> 0:10:55.800 My Coole Hardman's going off the board at one sixty three, 0:10:55.920 --> 0:10:59.480 so Pringle essentially free. I'm just I'm just out on 0:10:59.600 --> 0:11:02.440 Hardman of gave him, given him chances. Everybody's been burned 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:04.959 on the last two years. So yeah, maybe this is 0:11:05.000 --> 0:11:07.120 the year he finally pops off. But I'm just gonna 0:11:07.160 --> 0:11:09.280 take the free player in Pringle, who only played in 0:11:09.360 --> 0:11:13.160 Week five, six, eight, eleven, and seventeen. Last week only 0:11:13.240 --> 0:11:15.559 five games, was not much of a factor in the 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:18.920 playoffs either, but when he when he was given playing time, 0:11:18.960 --> 0:11:21.199 he showed he could play. And a guy, if he 0:11:21.280 --> 0:11:24.480 gets eighty hundred targets, did you extrapolate the production his 0:11:24.559 --> 0:11:28.200 limited production, He's a six D seven hundred yard guy, 0:11:28.280 --> 0:11:31.439 six seven touchdowns as a floor, and if something were 0:11:31.440 --> 0:11:33.920 to happen to Tyree Hill, of course Hardman stock goes 0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:36.760 up to But with Pringles, I'm just gonna I'm just 0:11:36.760 --> 0:11:39.360 gonna take the cheapest guy. I'm I'm kinda with you 0:11:39.480 --> 0:11:41.760 on that. And uh, I was. I was the guy 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:48.040 putting bets on Pringle in the playoffs, um including he was. 0:11:48.200 --> 0:11:50.360 There was a bet about there was a bet who 0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:52.599 would be the first Chief to catch a pass in 0:11:52.640 --> 0:11:56.280 the Super Bowl, and Pringle was like thirty to one 0:11:56.679 --> 0:11:59.120 and we nailed it. He was the first. He was 0:11:59.200 --> 0:12:01.000 the first chief That is his only catch of the game. 0:12:01.080 --> 0:12:03.600 By the way, what's the first was the first catch 0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:06.800 of the game? Um, all right, let's let's move over 0:12:06.880 --> 0:12:10.760 to the Los Angeles Chargers. I feel like this Charger's 0:12:10.800 --> 0:12:13.439 offense is ready to explode and could easily see a 0:12:13.679 --> 0:12:17.319 massive uptick from last year's eighteenth ranking in points and 0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.880 tenth ranking in yards per game. The front office has 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:26.959 wisely positioned the entire organization to maximize Justin Herbert, and 0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:31.440 I love it the air bear. New head coach Brandon 0:12:31.600 --> 0:12:35.079 Staley is a defensive guy, and new offensive coordinator Joe 0:12:35.160 --> 0:12:38.240 Lombardi will guide the offense. In addition to being Vince 0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:42.199 Lombardi's grandson, he was the Saints quarterback coach for the 0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:47.719 last five years. Brian, what's not to like about being 0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:51.000 the Saints having the Saints quarterback coach come in and 0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:55.400 work with Justin Herbert. You've just been working with Drew Breese, 0:12:55.920 --> 0:12:59.600 who's it was effectively coaching Joe Lombardi on what it's 0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:01.480 like to be a great quarterback and how to prepare 0:13:01.559 --> 0:13:04.520 like a great quarterback. I think Lombardi is a is 0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:09.160 well positioned to help make sure that Justin Herbert air 0:13:09.280 --> 0:13:17.120 Bear does everything possible to be great. YEA. Furthering Justin 0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:21.800 Herbert's cause was an offensive line that has been retooled 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:25.360 and upgraded in so many ways. Four fifths of the 0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:29.120 line is new and all four are upgrades from the 0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:31.800 players who were there last year. The Charges spent a 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:35.320 first round pick on athletic left tackle Rashaan Slater. At 0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:38.680 right tackle, Brian Bulaga returns after missing much of last 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:41.800 year from injury, massive upgrade at center, where they signed 0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:45.679 Corey Lindsley from the Packers, and free agency. According to 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:49.319 Pro Football Focus, he gave up seven pressures all of 0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:53.719 last year. That's it, and both guards are new and 0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:59.040 free agency. Matt Filer Feeler formerly of the Texans, is 0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.520 mostly just a guy, but he's not a liability. And 0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:04.720 oh day A Bushi formerly of the Jets, is coming 0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.360 off his best NFL season. He only allowed one sack 0:14:07.520 --> 0:14:10.079 last year. And those are your two new guards. This 0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:14.439 is a massively upgraded offensive line. Again. Chargers spent this 0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:19.240 offseason making sure Justin Herbert is in position to succeed, 0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:22.640 and I'm very excited for him after a record setting 0:14:22.840 --> 0:14:28.640 rookie season. I thought he demonstrated remarkable poise, arm strength, 0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:32.000 good accuracy, not a lead accuracy, but I think that'll 0:14:32.040 --> 0:14:34.040 come yet. And I'm not carving a bust In Canton 0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.400 from yet, but his rookie season suggests that kind of 0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.680 trajectory for him. Well, yeah, what was it like week 0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:44.640 three when Trod Taylor got two impaled by the team 0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:48.000 doctor And yeah, I remember, no one everyone saw a 0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.040 Herbert warming up and we're like, this kid's gonna get 0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:53.040 thrown to the wolves. He was against the Chiefs and 0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:55.640 they almost won, but he did not get the thrown 0:14:55.680 --> 0:14:57.680 to the Wolves. And he had no prepose the starter 0:14:57.880 --> 0:15:00.760 because you know, the injury went down ten minutes before kickoff, 0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:03.560 so you know, you find out ten minutes for kickoff, 0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:06.360 you need to go face Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs 0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:09.600 and I I'm almost certain they went to overtime in 0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:13.080 that game. Game. Um, there's no reason to believe that 0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:16.520 Herbert will regress this year, and especially with all these 0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:18.200 other things that are happening. He's going off the board 0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:21.080 his quarterback six. I think that is an appropriate ranking 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.680 for him. Let's talk about his wide outs. We're gonna 0:15:23.720 --> 0:15:25.880 get We're gonna spend more time on Keenan Allen in 0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:30.160 a few minutes, let's go over to Mike Williams. Unlike 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:35.280 Keenan Allen, who blossomed under Justin Herbert, Williams remained on 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:38.120 the same trajectory he had always been on, which is 0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:42.360 bad game, bad game, bad game, good game, bad game, 0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:45.120 bad game, good game, bad game, bad game, bad game, 0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:52.280 bad game, good game. He's really he makes some incredibly 0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.200 game last year. He makes some amazing catches though. I mean, 0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:58.680 the guy can play once a month. He's great once 0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:03.320 a month. He's in his meager four games with a 0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:07.120 touchdown last year. In those four games, he averaged a 0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:10.680 d twenty five touched sorry one point to five touchdowns 0:16:10.920 --> 0:16:14.880 and yards. Very good games. To talk about his other games, 0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:17.840 how about the other twelve games without a touchdown when 0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:23.400 he averaged thirty seven yards and no touchdown. He smoked 0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:27.600 your team in twelve games last year. That's Mike Williams. 0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:30.840 I think the way to go here the last pick 0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:35.840 of your draft. Emerging young wide receiver Tyron Johnson, now 0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:38.360 in his third year. He saw as U said, spike 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:41.440 in December last year, when he averaged four catches, forty 0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:43.800 four yards and half a touchdown per game in December. 0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:47.320 That's almost exactly what Mike Williams put up in December. 0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:51.880 Johnson could beat out Williams outright and forced Williams into 0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:56.520 more of a passing down only rule. I think Johnson 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.600 is a fascinating last pick of the draft. Jalen Guyton 0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:01.280 is the other receiver. He runs from the slot that 0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:03.200 puts him behind Keenan Allen, so he's dead to us 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:06.080 until Alan gets hurt, which sometimes he does. Please don't 0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:09.480 you're starting tight end? Is Jared Cook taking over Hunter Henry. 0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:11.680 You know the drill on Cook by this point. He's 0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:15.920 a veteran journeyman on his sixth NFL team. That tells 0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:19.160 you plenty. I think Cook is startable only in tight 0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:21.359 end positive matchups. You pick him up off the waiver 0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:24.000 wire and you give him a go when you see 0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:26.760 a positive matchup. Otherwise you don't mess with them in 0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:31.600 deeper uh mostly dynasty leagues, especially tight end premium leagues, 0:17:31.680 --> 0:17:37.520 keep yourn on Donald Parham. People do like sleeper, long 0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:39.840 term sleeper. Let's go to the running back position. Austin 0:17:39.920 --> 0:17:41.879 Ekeler is going to be one of the most divisive 0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:45.320 fantasy players this year. Show. I love his all purpose 0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:49.040 skill set. Um, I think he's got a leap PPR upside. 0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:51.720 You know, last year we were we spent much of 0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:54.159 the summer pounding the table for Austin Nickler, and then 0:17:54.160 --> 0:17:57.679 he suffered that devastating hamstring injury where he lost eight games. 0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:00.320 But let's talk about what we did learn from uh 0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:03.920 the average day whopping six receptions per game last year. 0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:07.640 It's hard for a runner to flop when he's giving 0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:12.440 you six PPR points just on his receptions every game. 0:18:12.920 --> 0:18:19.080 And if he's averaging even like six yards per reception, okay, great, 0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:22.840 there's you know, there's ten points right there just on 0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:26.920 his receptions. In Eckler's nine healthy games last year, he 0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:29.879 scored or topped eighty seven total yards in seven of 0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:34.119 the nine games. So it wasn't like hyper splashy games. 0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:37.600 But he was very consistent producer in his nine healthy 0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:40.119 games last season. The only running backs I'm taking over 0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:45.040 as of right now, and in no particular order, McCaffrey, Cook, Henry. 0:18:45.960 --> 0:18:53.239 That's it for me. You know, I ze I got 0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:55.720 him at nine, so you've got him at like five. 0:18:55.760 --> 0:19:00.239 It sounds like, yeah, I'm very I'm very bullish on that. Uh, 0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:04.119 but let's mention this, Austin Nickler has never rushed for 0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:08.160 more than three touchdowns in a season, which is shocking, 0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:12.040 and some people reasonably want to see more carries than 0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:14.800 he gives you from a second round, late first round, 0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:17.280 early second round running back, you know that's a legit 0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:23.240 worry Eckler's backup in training camp is gonna be It's 0:19:23.280 --> 0:19:26.760 gonna be, uh something to watch. It'll be either Josh 0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:30.920 Kelly or Justin Jackson. And we don't know for sure yet. 0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:34.359 That's gonna be something to get sorted out in the preseason. Um, 0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:37.320 I don't either way. I'm not particularly interested yet. Those 0:19:37.400 --> 0:19:40.000 those rushing touchdown numbers aren't great. Of course, he hasn't 0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:45.480 really been given the chance to accumulate. No, he's not 0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:47.359 like he's a concern at the goal line either, because 0:19:47.400 --> 0:19:50.159 the dude is a beast. Yeah, he's built, So I'm 0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:52.919 not spilled. So let's go back to new offensive coordinator 0:19:53.000 --> 0:19:57.680 Joe Lombardi. He just got done seeing how Alvin Camaro 0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:01.359 was used. I've don't see you know, I think Eckler 0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:06.920 will be his Alvin Kimea. Yeah, he stays healthy, he's 0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:09.960 he's in line for a monster year. Of course, Herbert's 0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:12.720 gonna stay healthy and down the line with the offensive line. 0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:16.080 You may have forgotten this by the way Week one 0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:19.920 of last year Josh Kelly went berserk and then he 0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:23.399 did nothing the rest of the year. Um So, just 0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:25.680 you know, he's the second year back and he might 0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:28.359 he might be in line to be the backup. But 0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:30.240 either way, I think you'd probably just avoid both of 0:20:30.280 --> 0:20:32.679 those guys. All right, Let's talk about the riskiest Chargers 0:20:32.800 --> 0:20:35.200 player at his current ADP, and that's Mike Williams. Even 0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:37.280 though he's not his ADP is not very high. It's 0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:39.560 wide receiver fifty three in the round in round twelve, 0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:42.000 but I think he's in He's in danger to lose 0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:45.560 his job, as I mentioned earlier, and he's proven year 0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:49.520 over year to be one of the least predictable fantasy 0:20:49.600 --> 0:20:52.960 producers in the entire league. The player with the most 0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.800 upside compared to his ADP Keenan Allen. I told you 0:20:57.000 --> 0:20:59.560 we talked about him later here he is. He's going 0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.160 off the board his wide receiver nine in the third round. 0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:05.200 It feels like Keenan Allen's a hundred years old, but 0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:08.960 he's twenty nine, he's still right in the prime of 0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:13.840 his career. Obviously, he's an elite possession receiver. He's surged 0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:16.800 in the second half of the season as Herbert got better. 0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:23.800 Keenan Allen was just powering teams. In his last full 0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:28.000 seven games last year, he averaged eight catches, seventy one 0:21:28.119 --> 0:21:31.040 yards and a touchdown per game. If you put those 0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:33.879 seven games where Herbert was, you know, getting you know 0:21:33.920 --> 0:21:35.720 it was getting these first handful of games out of 0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:38.359 the way. So Herbert starting to click at the quarterback position. 0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:41.280 Alan's putting up those eight catches, seventy one yards and 0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:45.080 a touchdown per game. It translates into an eleven hundred 0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:48.399 yards sixteen touchdown season, which would have made Keenan Allen 0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:52.480 wide receiver three across a full season. Yeah, he's just 0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:55.200 got a He's had his injuries in the past. Certainly 0:21:55.240 --> 0:21:57.800 hasn't had Justin Herbert as his quarterback in the past. 0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:00.240 The time is now him is now for I mean, 0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:03.359 he's been putting up numbers for when he's on and 0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:05.479 he's healthy. He's got a quarterback like Herbert. Yeah, there 0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:07.440 is no style. The healthy is a concern, right, and 0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:09.600 some people are still bitter. Do you remember last year 0:22:09.720 --> 0:22:13.399 Keenan Allen tweeted to fantasy owners like, you know, go 0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:17.399 ahead and start me like that was bad, That was 0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:21.040 not cool, And he got the kick out of it too. 0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:26.159 I think that, you know, but fantasy owners can be assholes, 0:22:26.240 --> 0:22:28.399 and they've probably been jerks him on Twitter and other 0:22:28.480 --> 0:22:32.120 places and he probably exacted a little revenge. But still, 0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:35.520