1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: What's up, friends, and welcome into betting pros. This is 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: the Week ten prop show. I am Chris Welsh. That 3 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:11,239 Speaker 1: is Andrew Rickson. Where in the world is Joe's a 4 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: p Joe is at Hogwarts. He's literally, I believe in 5 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: a fictional land right now, Ericson. He is making big 6 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 1: bets on Griffindor and Swigglebomb and what I don't remember 7 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: the going to wear the House cup exactly that it's 8 00:00:27,240 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: such a gambler. He is out there betting in Florida, 9 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: the whatever universal That's where it is exactly dragging not 10 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: the mouse. 11 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: We don't talk about the mouse on this show. 12 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: No, yeah, yeah, no, but he's doing that while we 13 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 1: are here for the football for you. We've got our 14 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: top props of the week. We've got some touchdown calls. 15 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: Do we have unders? Yes, because we have Andrew Erickson here. 16 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: Do we have overs? Yes? Because I am here. We're 17 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: gonna cover it all. I've been trying to think I 18 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: need a nickname for it. Maybe with my Twitter handle Erickson, 19 00:00:58,680 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: maybe I could be Is it the Over? 20 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 2: You know? 21 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 1: Is it the Welsh? Is it the Over and the Undertaker? 22 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 1: Wouldn't that be appropriate for our betting names. 23 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 2: M M. Maybe a spinoff duo show. 24 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: Okay, like a sequel like The Chamber of Props Likes. 25 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 2: And we'd open every show with a cold open of 26 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: Hogwarts and Harry Potters in some way, shape or form. 27 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: I feel like you would be pretty good. What's the 28 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 1: game they play with the ball, it's like their soccer, quidditch. 29 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: I feel like you would be a masterful quidditch player. 30 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: M M. Everybody agrees. Everyone that's watching, They're like, yeah, 31 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: just looks like someone who would dominate at quidditch. You 32 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: would be Harry Potter's teammate, not the one that's like, 33 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 1: hey they're Harry and knocking them off. 34 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 2: I wouldn't do that. 35 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: But unfortunately, you can't bet on quidditch. But what you 36 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: can do is on the NFL, and that's what we're 37 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: going to be talking about today. You guys want to 38 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: do so as well. Make sure you've downloaded the Betting 39 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:58,639 Speaker 1: prosapp bettingpros dot Com, betting Pros on your app store. 40 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: Downloaded today, it's signed up, check out all the great 41 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: awesome features. You can unlock all the tools when you 42 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 1: sign up. As well. You can follow ericson and I 43 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:10,519 Speaker 1: you've got Bettingpros dot Com slash Andrew Bettingpros dot Com 44 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 1: slash Welsh. You can check out the feeds new social 45 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 1: feeds we have on there best bets of the day. 46 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 1: There's so much cool information. Make your betting life easier 47 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: with Betting Pros. Download the app today. Let's get into it. 48 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 1: We got Week ten props coming off of a wildly 49 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: big Thursday night football game with a whole bunch of 50 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: offensive upside. You know, unless you bet on rushing yards 51 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: for Lamar Jackson or Zay Flowers, but if you bet 52 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: Jamar Chase, you just wish they would double over your bets. 53 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: We've got our five best prop bets of the week. 54 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: Mister Andrew Rickson, I'm gonna let you start. Let's start 55 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:45,239 Speaker 1: with prop number one. 56 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 2: I'm going to this forty nine Ers matchup. I'm going 57 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 2: looking at George Kittle. Someone's gonna pop off in this 58 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 2: game because I know you like some of the forty 59 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 2: nine ers here too. They're playing the tamp Bay Buccaneers 60 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 2: defense that can't get out of their own way. I 61 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 2: look at George Kittle, he stepped up in games the 62 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 2: last two games he's played without Brandon Ayuk at least 63 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 2: ninety receiving yards. He's gone over fifty seven receiving yards 64 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 2: in four straight games, so the prop line is at 65 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 2: fifty eight and a half. And when I look at 66 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 2: this Buccaneers defense, one of their biggest weaknesses is their linebackers. 67 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 2: They've led the most receptions, most yards, highest completes of percentage, third, 68 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 2: most yards per target among linebackers when we targeted and 69 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: coverage this season. So anytime George Kittle runs arount, if 70 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 2: he gets a linebacker, he's going to be having yardage. 71 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,239 Speaker 2: Every single time. He's hanging out with Brock Perriy on 72 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 2: the bye week, they're going golfing, building that chemistry. So yeah, 73 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 2: I just really like George Kittle in this spot, and 74 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 2: he's someone that I really prefer the receiving yards because 75 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 2: we know how efficient he can be. He can get 76 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 2: this in one play like he's that explosive, So even 77 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 2: if he doesn't see all the volume necessarily with McCaffrey 78 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 2: and some of these other options in the forty nine 79 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 2: ers offense, I just feel very confident, especially just giving 80 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 2: the matchuplay a laid out just specifically Buccaneers against tight ends. 81 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 2: Third most receiving yards the tight ends this season. The 82 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 2: projections suggest the Kittles more likely to be run sixty 83 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 2: five receiving yards and the fIF eight and a half. 84 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 2: So I'm taking you over on George Kittle. 85 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like this. I'm sticking in this game. I'm 86 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 1: gonna be going to one of the wide receivers, Juwan Jennings. 87 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: I've done this one before. Juwan Jennings coming back from injury, 88 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 1: retakes that Brandon Ayuk role and has got a low 89 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: total this week. I got it at thirty eight and 90 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: a half. I believe it's at thirty nine point five. 91 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:22,279 Speaker 1: On the receiving yard total projections, they've got him over fifty, 92 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 1: which you love to see. He's projected over four receptions 93 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:29,679 Speaker 1: and in four games of catching at least three passes 94 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: for Juwan Jennings, he has hit this receiving yard total 95 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:35,840 Speaker 1: in three of the four games. Most importantly though, the Bucks, 96 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 1: and this kind of ties to your George Kittle one 97 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:41,600 Speaker 1: third most passing yards given up in the NFL to 98 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,039 Speaker 1: receivers and just overall passing yards, which is great. I 99 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: also wanted to stick with the receiving yards kind of 100 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: to what you were talking about, because I'll tell you 101 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: the receptions for Juwan Jennings. It's enticing. It was plus 102 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: money at three and a half. But Christian McCaffrey does 103 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: open this up, like what role. We know he could four, five, 104 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: six catches. Big plays are the things that could be had. 105 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: And one of the reasons I like this yard total 106 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: as well for Juwan Jennings. He is the deep ball 107 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: guy and Brock Party has loved throwing the ball deep 108 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: this year. So now that he is healthy, they've got 109 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 1: the full core in here. There's gonna be no watching 110 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:19,479 Speaker 1: that big deep ball for Juwan Jennings because you're gonna 111 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: have Kittle down the middle, You're gonna have Deebo and 112 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:25,040 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey low. I think two catches. He's gonna be 113 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: able to lock this down. It's a really known low number. 114 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: It's moving a little bit, so keep your eye on it. 115 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 1: But Juwan Jennings over thirty eight and a half receiving 116 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: yards and I love you and I went overs to 117 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: start out the first game for the forty nine ers. 118 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:41,160 Speaker 2: Well. Among the forty nine ers players for Fantasy this week, 119 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,719 Speaker 2: who who scores the most points between Kittle Deebo Jennings, 120 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 2: who's gonna score the most? Like, who's gonna be the 121 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 2: guy that pops off? Because we know it's gonna be 122 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 2: somebody again we both like the Betsy like Jennings, I 123 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 2: like Kittle. Is Jennings your guy? Like he's the guy 124 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 2: that's gonna pop? Or is it a debo week? Like 125 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 2: what do you think? 126 00:05:55,920 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: It's a Christian McCaffrey. Christian McCaffrey, right back to normalcy. 127 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 1: He is touchdown Mark. I just want to point out 128 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: he's been out for ten weeks. He's like, you know, ECR, 129 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: he's like ten. People are kind of hesitant. It's it's 130 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 1: the second lowest minus two twenty five to score a 131 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: touchdown already coming back and they're just like he should 132 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 1: be going, he should be good to go. So yeah, 133 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, I think is gonna go right back to it. 134 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: But McCaffrey opens up this tire offense. You know, I 135 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 1: think Juwan Jennings just has a solid receiving yard week. 136 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 1: He's gonna be able to get a couple of deep balls. Debo. 137 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: I'm a little indifferent about. I don't know where it'll go. 138 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: I do think Kittle is gonna break a couple big ones, 139 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: but at the end of the day, nake it inside 140 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: the twenty. It's gonna be having heavy Christian McCaffrey. So 141 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 1: I think Christian McCaffrey. If the two touchdown bet was 142 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 1: actually a better number, I'd be tempted to take it. 143 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 1: But it's like plus two twenty five, you know. I 144 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 1: mean like it's almost the same bet for anyone else 145 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: to score one touchdown for McCaffrey to score two. But 146 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: it's a great game to hit, and it's a great 147 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: over to start with. Let's go to number two. Are 148 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 1: you going under? Are you going over? Mister Andrew Erickson 149 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 1: for your number two problem. 150 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 2: I am going under on this next one here. So 151 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 2: Quiland Sutton under four and a half receptions. He has 152 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 2: been good the last two weeks, experienced a little bit 153 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 2: of a rebirth resurgence of sorts, but he's also played 154 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 2: the Panthers and Ravens, two of the better matchups for 155 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 2: wide receivers this season. I do like the matchup nearly 156 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 2: as much against Kansas City Chiefs about the second fewest 157 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 2: yards per game to opposing number one wide receivers Under 158 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 2: thirty seven and Sutton has come nowhere close to four 159 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: and a half catches when he's played in bad matchups 160 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 2: this season, so he's been under this number in six 161 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 2: of his nine games played. So going back to the debate, 162 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 2: I feel that we always have where do I like 163 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 2: the receptions prop? Do I like the yards prop? I 164 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 2: think in realistically he's going to go under on both 165 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 2: of these. I just think that this is not a 166 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 2: good matchup for him, but I like the payout a 167 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:47,000 Speaker 2: little bit more with going under on the receptions, even 168 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 2: if he sees volume. The Chiefs played tight coverage, and 169 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 2: I just don't think something's going to win. And I 170 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 2: guess I am more concerned that Sutton just comes down 171 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 2: with a deep ball. That would be my bigger concern 172 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 2: getting away from the yardage. So I think he's going 173 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 2: to struggle with this matchup. Bo Nicks on the road. 174 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 2: I think the Broncos cover, but I don't think that 175 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 2: it's a pretty game where you see scoring on both sides. 176 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take the under on Courton. 177 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 1: What was the yard total? Do you remember? 178 00:08:06,880 --> 00:08:07,920 Speaker 2: Fifty two and a half? 179 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 1: See four and a half receptions under? This is a 180 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: pretty sneaky number. I like this one. I also don't 181 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: trust the Broncos kind of in general. So keeping with 182 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: themes not necessarily under but matchups, I am going to 183 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 1: go over to the Chiefs and I'm going to go 184 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 1: to Patrick Mahomes, and I'm going to take almost almost 185 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:30,040 Speaker 1: even money on passing touchdowns over He is projected at 186 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 1: one point nine kind of across the board, and you're 187 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: getting minus one zero five at least where I've seen 188 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: it at plus one and a half touchdowns thrown Mahomes. 189 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: He has thrown two or more touchdowns in two of 190 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: the three last three games. The Broncos have given up 191 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 1: two or more passing touchdowns in two straight games. And 192 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:51,679 Speaker 1: the advent of Travis Kelce getting more involved in getting 193 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,599 Speaker 1: back into the offense DeAndre Hopkins. This isn't that Chiefs, 194 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: you know, receiving corps from three weeks ago where it's like, 195 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, we're not doing anything where she Rice 196 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: isn't there, Kelsey doesn't get evolved. It's nothing. No, Hopkins 197 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 1: is catching two touchdowns, Kelsey is back involved, a little 198 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 1: bit of a tougher defensive matchup, but Mahomes is finding 199 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: the stride. We've talked all season long about how he's not, 200 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: you know, finishing in the top ten of fantasy quarterbacks. 201 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 1: He is getting there. He has been working into that 202 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:22,959 Speaker 1: and he's going to finish out through the rest of 203 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: the season. And he's one of the highest projected touchdown 204 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 1: totals for the week as far as passing touchdowns, and 205 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 1: it's almost even money, So I'm going to take the 206 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: over one point five passing touchdowns. It wasn't on the show. 207 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:35,960 Speaker 1: I wasn't on the show last week, but one that 208 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 1: I had was Jalen Hurts and it was plus money 209 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 1: last week at plus one twenty five. These like even 210 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:46,080 Speaker 1: to plus money high end quarterback passing touchdowns. It's a 211 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: pretty fun market right now. So Patrick Mahomes plus one 212 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,079 Speaker 1: point five, what do you think about that one? 213 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:54,079 Speaker 2: Real quick? Well? I do it. My only concern is 214 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:57,080 Speaker 2: they're not playing the Bucks this week. They're playing the Broncos, 215 00:09:57,440 --> 00:10:00,080 Speaker 2: So the Buccaneers are again that's why we love well 216 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:01,960 Speaker 2: we're attacking. All the forty nine er skills are playing 217 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:04,079 Speaker 2: in the Bucks. So that's my only concern. I think 218 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 2: this game is maybe a little bit little more low scoring, 219 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:10,960 Speaker 2: but at the same time, the Chiefs are ones to 220 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:12,679 Speaker 2: dial it up in the red zone when they do 221 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 2: score in terms of passing. So even if they don't 222 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 2: score thirty points, I mean they having touchdowns, it's most 223 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 2: likely coming through Mahomes. And I think that there are 224 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 2: going to build some momentum with this Hopkins connection. 225 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: I think that is legit and one thing you can 226 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: look forward to. Kareem Hunt been limited this week, so 227 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 1: if the running game is taking a little bit of 228 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: a hit, maybe any short yardage potential outcomes might be 229 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,720 Speaker 1: in the air. So one point five over minus one 230 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: one oh five, which I love. All right, let's go 231 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 1: to prop number three for the week, ericson. 232 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,439 Speaker 2: Russell Wilson under two hundred and twenty five and a 233 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 2: half passing yards. I think this is a tough matchup 234 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 2: for him against the Commander's defense. I think the Commander's 235 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 2: defense talked about it on the Best Bets Show. I 236 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: like the under in this game forty five and a 237 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 2: half under because Commander's defense has been lights out at 238 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 2: home the season. They just added Marshawn Lattimore. You look 239 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,079 Speaker 2: at the Commander's defense allowed zero quarterbacks to pass between 240 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: two hundred and two hundred and eighty yards. This season, 241 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 2: so it's either been under two hundred passing yards or 242 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,560 Speaker 2: guys are throwing for three hundred plus against their defense. 243 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 2: So it's very boom or bus. So I'm going to 244 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 2: bet on Russell Wilson falling short of this projection because 245 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 2: in the last six games, just one quarterback has thrown 246 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 2: for more than one hundred and seventy five yards against 247 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 2: the Commanders. That quarterback Lamar Jackson. Okay, so the best 248 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 2: quarterback in the NFL is the only guy to do 249 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 2: it in the last six games. So I like the under. 250 00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 2: And what happens when you like unders in games usually 251 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 2: see less passing yards on both sides. So I'm gonna 252 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 2: go under on Russell Wilson. I know he's gone over 253 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 2: with some in the last two weeks. I think we 254 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 2: see things regrets to the mean a little bit with 255 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:41,199 Speaker 2: a tougher defense in this matchup. 256 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that one too. I think in future weeks, 257 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:45,679 Speaker 1: like Russell Wilson does like to throw that deep ball, 258 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,079 Speaker 1: maybe getting the guy like Mike Williams is going to 259 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: help that long term. But I really like the boom 260 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 1: or bust element of it. These are kind of fun 261 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:54,680 Speaker 1: even in fantasy too. We talked a lot about that 262 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 1: this week and shows you and I have done where 263 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 1: it's like you got these guys where it's like they're 264 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 1: either top ten or they're outside the top forty. So 265 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 1: it's like they're either giving up. It's under two hundred 266 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 1: yards or over two eighty. They're going to blow past it. 267 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: So ladder it up or take it down. I like 268 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: that one. My third bet, I am going to Terry McLaurin. 269 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 1: I'm taking receiving yards, and of course yes it is 270 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 1: the over. It's fifty eight point five projected totals, almost 271 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 1: a ten yard boost on projections. In some places there 272 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: are over sixty seven at least I looked if you 273 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: want a reference like PFF sixty seven receiving yards. McLaurin 274 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: given the second best wide receiver to cornerback matchup according 275 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:36,560 Speaker 1: to PFF, which I love, and top wide receivers have 276 00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: hit this receiving yard total against in four of the 277 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:46,199 Speaker 1: last five games. So Terry McLaurin over receiving yards also 278 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 1: big plays, you know he can get eighty percent of 279 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:51,079 Speaker 1: this in one play. We've seen with the efficiency of 280 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 1: Jayden Daniels, and he's the number one guy so I'm 281 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 1: in on Terry McLaurin on the receiving yards. So give 282 00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: me the over. Let's go to number four here, ericson, 283 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 1: We're both going to target some running. 284 00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 2: Backs, Yes, Colts, Bills. I'm looking at Jonathan Taylor. Trust 285 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:07,719 Speaker 2: of the process here, Jonathan Taylor over nineteen and a 286 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,559 Speaker 2: half receiving yards. Welsh. I know you missed maybe caught 287 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:12,599 Speaker 2: it on the show last week, but the devon a 288 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 2: Chan receiving numbers. 289 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: I watched the show last week, by the way, I 290 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 1: watched it to see what horrible things Joe would say 291 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 1: about me. 292 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 2: That was the stone cold lock. That was the best. 293 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 2: But that was what I felt the most confident in 294 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 2: last week, and a Chan absolutely destroyed. 295 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 1: I had the rushing yards he hit, the rushing yards, 296 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:32,560 Speaker 1: the receptions, the receiving yards. I had a bet with 297 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 1: two touchdowns. It was a two touchdown parlay just to 298 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:36,719 Speaker 1: be crazy, and I had eight Chan in it, and 299 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: I was like, oh my god. 300 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 2: Here we go. 301 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:42,559 Speaker 1: Other side Camara completely failed, but eight Chan hit everything 302 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 1: last week. So is this a I'm feeling a Chan 303 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 1: type of bet? Where about your role? 304 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 2: Well, with Jonathan Taylor specifically, it's about the matchup, because 305 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,599 Speaker 2: that's kind of how it was the best. It was 306 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 2: the best of both worlds, right with a chan seeing 307 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:57,719 Speaker 2: such an involved role in the passing game and then 308 00:13:57,800 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 2: going up against this Bill's defense that has been a 309 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 2: pass funnel for running backs. They've allowed the most yards, 310 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,559 Speaker 2: most catches, most targets to running back in the passing 311 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,640 Speaker 2: game this year. And we look at Jonathan Taylor, He's 312 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 2: at least three catches and the two games he's played 313 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 2: with Joe Flacco this season. So I looked at his 314 00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 2: receptions prop it was at three and a half. Again 315 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 2: because the books are, Hey, the Bills defense is really 316 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 2: bad against running backs. We got to boost this number up. 317 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 2: So I actually shied away from that particular number because 318 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 2: when I look at Taylor, he's a player that I 319 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:27,520 Speaker 2: believe in. He can make plays with the ball in 320 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 2: his hands. I don't need to bet on him because 321 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 2: he can do this in one play because he's a 322 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 2: talented player. I think with my process with the reception 323 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 2: and receiving arts comes down to if I think the 324 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 2: player is really really good, I'm gonna bet the yards 325 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 2: because I think that they can get it done. Whereas 326 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 2: with the receptions, you need the actual game script. You 327 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 2: need the actual volume to kind of follow suit for 328 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 2: that bet to hit. So again, I don't know how 329 00:14:45,720 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 2: this game scrip necessarily going to play out the Colts 330 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 2: are at home, but I feel like Jonathana's gonna get 331 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 2: enough looks and enough targets to go over nineteen and 332 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 2: a half receiving yards. He's gone over twenty receiving yards 333 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 2: in half of his games this season, and that's some 334 00:14:56,920 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 2: of those games came with Anthony Richardson as the quarterback. 335 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 2: So I think that he should see more opportunities given 336 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 2: the matchup and the fact that he has Joe Flacco 337 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 2: as his quarterback a statue in the pocket. So I'm 338 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: gonna go continue to follow the trend bet on running 339 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 2: backs receiving yards over against the Buffalo Bills. 340 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: I like that one. I was actually gonna target this 341 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: game went straight to Josh Downs. But you know everyone 342 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 1: was like, oh, hey, guess what you know, Joe Flacco, 343 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: what a failure Josh Downs? Blah blah blah. Y Richard said, 344 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 1: it's so high, like you think you think after one week, 345 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 1: if you listen to fantasy some fantasy analysts, you would 346 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 1: think that the culture are. I mean, they're kind of 347 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: a disaster. But Josh downs is a bust. Everything's a bust, 348 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: not Vegas. It was like it opened at like sixty 349 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 1: seven and a half receiving yards for Josh downs, and 350 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 1: it's probably gonna keep going up. I wanted to bet 351 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 1: some Josh downs six and a. 352 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 2: Half sat exactly say, all right, well back when we started. 353 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: Okay, just Vegas is not joining all the analysts that 354 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 1: think it's completely done with. All right, so you were 355 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: going with a very high end running back. I am 356 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: going to wade around in the weeds a little bit 357 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: here with mine. This is a low rushing yard total, 358 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:06,239 Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen, Ray Davis over rushing yards at nineteen 359 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 1: point five. Now here's the fun thing. Ray has hit 360 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 1: this in four straight games. The Colts are giving up 361 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: the second most rushing yards in the league right now. 362 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 1: I believe Davis is averaging around five yards per carry. 363 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: The thing that gives me hesitation is as he has 364 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 1: been more productive, the carry's not ticking up. He is average. 365 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 1: I want to say, in the last four games around 366 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 1: like five point five. This is one of the worst 367 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 1: rush defenses in the NFL. If the bills are up 368 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: in this game. This is an opportunity for fourth quarter 369 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 1: Ray Davis to lock this down. You saw the receiving 370 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:44,960 Speaker 1: play he made where he had like sixty yards. Ray 371 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: Davis can do this in one play. He has hit 372 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: this in four straight games. He has hit this a 373 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,560 Speaker 1: majority of the year in low rushing yard totals. Nineteen 374 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: point five is low. There's a danger to it because 375 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: this is not a volume play, but I love the number. 376 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 1: His projected number, by the way, is like right at 377 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: twenty so far this week, so there's not a whole 378 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: lot of wiggle room. But I do think this is 379 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: about a massively talented player that could get this in 380 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,479 Speaker 1: one to two carries. So Ray Davis over these are 381 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 1: the scary bets. Though I do these, sometimes they can 382 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,720 Speaker 1: fail you. When you pick these like low hanging fruit type. 383 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:23,919 Speaker 1: It's not even low hanging fruit. It's actually very at 384 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:25,840 Speaker 1: the top of the tree. That would be the wrong analogy. 385 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 1: I don't know what you think about the Ray Davis 386 00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:29,679 Speaker 1: total here, nineteen point five rushing yards. 387 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,479 Speaker 2: It's just a matter of how much is this guy 388 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:34,879 Speaker 2: gonna play five carries? 389 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 1: Is he gonna hit this in five carries against the call. 390 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think I think he probably will. 391 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 2: I will say that the Colt Stephens has gotten a 392 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,360 Speaker 2: little bit better since they've gotten to Forest Buckner back, 393 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 2: So that is one thing. But I mean he's a 394 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 2: talented player again, betting on the yardage, which comes to 395 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 2: talented players, right, So even if he's seeing limited volume, 396 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,480 Speaker 2: well give me you're making the bet. Hey, I think 397 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 2: ray Davis is good. Give him five carries Buffalo and 398 00:17:57,760 --> 00:17:59,880 Speaker 2: you'll be happy. He's not gonna get twenty rushing yards. 399 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 2: Maybe get mate, We just. 400 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: Need to one. We need a little over twenty rushing yards. 401 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,440 Speaker 1: That's what we're looking for. And I'm looking for a lead, 402 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:08,680 Speaker 1: and I'm looking for some Ray Davis in the fourth 403 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: quarter to lock this down. We might be sweating this 404 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,399 Speaker 1: one until the fourth quarter and then we might put 405 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 1: it down. But it's a very low it's the lowest 406 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: total that I have got as far as rushing yards. 407 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 1: Let's go to our final one before we get to 408 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:25,159 Speaker 1: some touchdown calls. Number five on the props ericson Titanic. 409 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:28,159 Speaker 1: You and me, where's the gift? We've talked about it 410 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:30,640 Speaker 1: this week. We need the it's the ship coming down 411 00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 1: it's Ericson and I as the band. We're not leaving 412 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 1: the ship and that ship splattered with a dolphin's logo. 413 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:41,160 Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill kind of safe. Devon Hchenk kind of safe. 414 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 1: We're going down, Jalen Waddle. 415 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 2: We're not going down, We're going up, going up on 416 00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 2: the ladder because we're gonna ladder bet the Jalen Waddle. Proply, 417 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 2: I got the ladder right here again, that's a kid's ladder. 418 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: Love it. 419 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 2: Yes, it's an escape ladder. Okay, all right, we're gonna 420 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 2: gape with some money. That's what we're gonna do here 421 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 2: with Jalen Wattle. Again, it's the prop show. Right. It 422 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 2: took me this long to get I have had this 423 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,159 Speaker 2: in my closet for years, and I was saving it 424 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 2: for the time I felt most confident about it. Prop. 425 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,000 Speaker 2: Do you have a child, No, I don't have a cho. 426 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:15,879 Speaker 1: No. 427 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:17,960 Speaker 2: This yeah, this is for again. If there's a fire, 428 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:19,439 Speaker 2: I gotta get out of my house. I'm can use 429 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:20,640 Speaker 2: this ladder. I'm gonna be fine. 430 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,399 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, let's let's use this for Jalen Wattle. 431 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: I'm very excited. I'm going to blindly bet this. So 432 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,880 Speaker 1: you give me the info. I am betting this without 433 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 1: doing anything else because I have the trust in you. 434 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 2: Yes, so, Jalen Wattle. So the number is at forty 435 00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 2: two and a half receiving yards. I think that he 436 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: can easily go over this. He's gone over this in 437 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 2: most of his games this season when he's actually been involved, 438 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,840 Speaker 2: when he's had TUA and I want to it's really 439 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 2: a lot about the matchup here, right. Rams defense has 440 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:51,359 Speaker 2: allowed breakout games to guys like Jamison Williams, Marvin Harrison, Junior, 441 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:55,479 Speaker 2: Juwan Jennings, Jack Smith, and Jigba. All these players had 442 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty plus receiving yards against the Rams defense. 443 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 2: The Rams worse than the NFL in terms of yards 444 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 2: per attempt pass attempt faced eight point five. They're the 445 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:08,320 Speaker 2: third worst defense against the deep ball. The Rams against 446 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,880 Speaker 2: number two wide receivers fifth most yards allowed, six most 447 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 2: targets allowed, seventh worst in DVOA against number two wide receivers. 448 00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:17,920 Speaker 2: If there's ever going to be a week where the 449 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:22,520 Speaker 2: Dolphins decide to throw the ball downfield in any capacity, 450 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,720 Speaker 2: it's going to be against the Rams. This is it. 451 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 2: This is the spot for Janalen Model And you know 452 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 2: It gives me more confidence about this particular bet. This 453 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 2: week is Thursday night. Two of my most drafted guys 454 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 2: in Fantasy Jamar Chase Mark Andrews, both popped off Fantasy guys, 455 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 2: are telling me, hey, this is the week for the 456 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 2: drive for the guys that you had circled on your draft. 457 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:45,119 Speaker 2: Jailen Waddle on all my teams right has done Detley 458 00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:47,640 Speaker 2: Squad this year. This is the week, baby, we get 459 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,359 Speaker 2: back on track. I've already laughed. Bet this up to 460 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 2: one hundred and ten receiving yards. I believe opening a 461 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 2: forty receiving yards. So okay, you can basically four or 462 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,760 Speaker 2: five x your your payout if you ladder bet this 463 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,239 Speaker 2: up to one hundred, one hundred and ten, even though 464 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:01,399 Speaker 2: I think it's the number I got up to. You 465 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 2: can follow me on the betting pros app to get 466 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 2: the exact number. But yeah, I am all in on 467 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 2: jam then watta on Monday Night football. 468 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 1: Let's do exacts here for a second, because ladder betting 469 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: some people do it a tiny bit different. What are yours? 470 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 1: Because my step if it's forty two and a half 471 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,960 Speaker 1: is I will probably take I'll either do the forty 472 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: at a little minus, or I'll take the forty two 473 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:26,399 Speaker 1: and I will most likely go two units, and then 474 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:30,399 Speaker 1: I'll go to fifty and I will try to do 475 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: a unit and a half, and then sixty I'll do 476 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,439 Speaker 1: a unit, and then I will taper it down. After sixty, 477 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,920 Speaker 1: I will probably personally bet this to eighty and I'll 478 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,479 Speaker 1: end at about a half of a unit. You can 479 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 1: do it differently. Some people the baseline total, do your 480 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:49,440 Speaker 1: normal unit bet, and then someone might do like a 481 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 1: quarter or a half across the board. How are you 482 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,800 Speaker 1: approaching I just told everybody I will probably ladder it 483 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 1: to around eighty, maybe a tiny little sprinkle on one 484 00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 1: hundred plus, just because that's fun, very very tiny. But 485 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: how is your unit betting? Gon to approach this? 486 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 2: So I believe I have to pull up the because 487 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 2: I took a screenshot of exactly what I did. I'm 488 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:10,159 Speaker 2: so excited because I got it. I got it, so 489 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 2: excited about I was. You know what I said to myself, No, 490 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 2: this is the play. This is what I want to 491 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 2: do on Monday night football. So I want to enjoy 492 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 2: this game for better or worse. So excited with Jayla Wattle, 493 00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,440 Speaker 2: So I think, yeah, I think I did one unit 494 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 2: on the opening one and then and then I just 495 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:30,880 Speaker 2: have a cross. Okay, Yeah, there's no these the rest 496 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 2: of the way. 497 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 1: There's no exact on how to do it. But I think, 498 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,000 Speaker 1: what the what some people do to mitigate the risk, 499 00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 1: because like, hey, I've I've ended up having like four 500 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: units on a whole tier Marvin Mims last year and 501 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:47,280 Speaker 1: that didn't work. But yeah, because it was like twenty 502 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: yards was like the start. You can do the halves 503 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 1: across or you just taper it down so you don't 504 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 1: go nuts with it. But those high totals, you're gonna 505 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,680 Speaker 1: probably get ten to one. Ladder bet season is here, 506 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,080 Speaker 1: whether you do it like me or Eric. 507 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,160 Speaker 2: I also did. I did a lot of legs too, 508 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 2: so I went every leg from forty up to one hundred. 509 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 1: So all right, and maybe you could skip some legs. 510 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: That's what people like to do legs. 511 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 2: Too, But we're laddering it. 512 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:15,920 Speaker 1: Find out on the betting pros app if you guys 513 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 1: want to see what our ladders end up looking like, 514 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: because you will be able to. 515 00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 2: See it go and do that. 516 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 1: Also, if you guys are looking for some touchdowns, that's right. 517 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: The touchdown score report is over at bettingpros dot com 518 00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 1: slash a touchdown looking for an edge and touchdown bets 519 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 1: or touchdown Score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop 520 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:38,359 Speaker 1: bets and projections to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets. 521 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,639 Speaker 1: Head to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown for the latest 522 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 1: touchdown prop analysis today. Because we are all about those 523 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:50,120 Speaker 1: touchdowns and it's time for our touchdown picks. Let's let's 524 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,320 Speaker 1: get it here. What Erickson, you always give us kind 525 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,880 Speaker 1: of like a baseline touchdown, maybe a little bit higher, 526 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:57,879 Speaker 1: and sometimes you like to get nuts with it. Who's 527 00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 1: on your touchdown calls for the week? 528 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 2: Before I get to my touchdown? You have one more pick? 529 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 1: Oh did I not do my pick? 530 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 2: I distracted you so much with the Jayalen Water ladder 531 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:08,400 Speaker 2: bet that it just totally got you off the pot. 532 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 1: Hands up, Hands up. I completely forgot about my bet. 533 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:15,920 Speaker 1: I haven't been I am so excited to ladder bet 534 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:19,400 Speaker 1: just to get that juice. Completely forgot. I had another bet. Hey, 535 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: go get your touchdown call still, but yeah, let me 536 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 1: give you my last prop bet. I completely it's just 537 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,240 Speaker 1: completely anti climactic. I one hundred percent should have gone 538 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:29,840 Speaker 1: before you, so we could have done the Ladder bet 539 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:31,880 Speaker 1: last one. If you want to jump in. I love 540 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: receiving yards for running backs like I should have also 541 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:37,160 Speaker 1: paired this with Jonathan Taylor. Would have been fun. Aaron 542 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:40,119 Speaker 1: Jones is a phenomenal looking bet this week for his 543 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:44,919 Speaker 1: receiving yards seventeen point five projected total over twenty. Jones 544 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,040 Speaker 1: has hit this receiving yard total in six of his 545 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,240 Speaker 1: last seven games. The Jags are giving up. This is 546 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:53,119 Speaker 1: what the Jags are giving up on average to running 547 00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: backs six receptions forty nine yards per game on the season. 548 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 1: It is a killer matchup against the He is the 549 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: guy they throw the ball to. He's been smashing this. 550 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:08,480 Speaker 1: Aaron Jones receiving yards get it today? Maybe just don't 551 00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:11,919 Speaker 1: ladder it not promoting to Ladder. That's for Jaylen Waddle. Okay, 552 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: now back to our touchdowns. Already did the touchdown report 553 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 1: that'll add for you guys, so you guys can get 554 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 1: in on that. On betting pros, we got too. We 555 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 1: have a even money and you have a fourteen to 556 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:25,080 Speaker 1: one touchdown call. 557 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 2: Yees, so we'll do the even money one. First. Tyron 558 00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:31,399 Speaker 2: Tracy playing the Carolina Panthers in Germany. This is the 559 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,119 Speaker 2: perfect way to enjoy this game. You wake up, Oh, 560 00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,719 Speaker 2: Tyron Tracy scored touchdown? Great, I got money in my account. 561 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 2: That's what you want to do here. The Panthers have 562 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,920 Speaker 2: allowed fifteen touchdowns running backs this season. Tyron Tracy is 563 00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,280 Speaker 2: the RB one and we're only we're on Week ten, 564 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 2: Welsh and they've already allowed fifteen touchdowns, so more than 565 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 2: one per game to running backs. I think that Tyron's 566 00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 2: going to score. I think Devin Singletary might score. There's 567 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 2: a lot of running back touchdowns for the Giants here 568 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 2: in Germany. And then my long shot, as you alluded to, 569 00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,679 Speaker 2: fourteen to one. Davis Allen Rams tight end. For those 570 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 2: that are familiar, again, I would not expect you to 571 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,480 Speaker 2: know who Davis Allen is because I didn't really know 572 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 2: that much about him either. But last week again you 573 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:07,920 Speaker 2: can find this in my fantasy forecast kind of breaking 574 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 2: down the usage between these Rams tight ends. So he 575 00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:13,520 Speaker 2: actually out snapped Kobe Parkinson, who's kind of been the 576 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 2: tight end one for the Rams for the majority of 577 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 2: the season. But Allen has gotten healthy and last week 578 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,560 Speaker 2: three red zone targets m so Matthew Stafford's looking for 579 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 2: him in the red zone again with a couple of 580 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 2: these fringe tight ends. I've kind of ignored when I've 581 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,359 Speaker 2: seen something like this, some type of usage in the 582 00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:33,119 Speaker 2: red zone where they had a nullified touchdown and then 583 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,239 Speaker 2: the next week what happened, They scored. So I got 584 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,160 Speaker 2: a really good feeling about Davis Allen. This wee again 585 00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,680 Speaker 2: playing in that Miami Rams game. Expect there to be 586 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 2: a lot of points red zone opportunities for the Los 587 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,680 Speaker 2: Angeles Rams offense. Look, I haven't loved a lot of 588 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:49,640 Speaker 2: my long shots. Again, it's easy to say that because 589 00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:52,200 Speaker 2: usually you don't love any of them. But this week 590 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 2: in particular, Welsh, Davis Allen and Monday Night, Baby, it's 591 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,160 Speaker 2: gonna be fun. So Davis Allen to me, fourteen to one, 592 00:26:58,720 --> 00:26:59,119 Speaker 2: you want. 593 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 1: To make some real money, why don't you Monday Night 594 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 1: do one hundred plus waddle receiving yards and Davis Allen 595 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:08,200 Speaker 1: touchdown anytime touchdown that's probably like twenty to one makes 596 00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: some real money there, all right? My touchdown calls Aaron Jones, 597 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 1: who I ended with. We almost forgot about here, Aaron 598 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:19,720 Speaker 1: Jones anytime touchdown, I believe Minnesota. Minnesota going up against 599 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 1: the Jags. The Jags have given up twelve touchdowns to 600 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: running backs rushing and receiving. It's a beautiful spot for 601 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,400 Speaker 1: Aaron Jones. It's minus one fifteen, so it's not plus 602 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,160 Speaker 1: money or anything like that. But if you just want 603 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,359 Speaker 1: to lock one in, I might put like a little 604 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 1: two or three touchdown partly together. Aaron Jones would be 605 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,480 Speaker 1: a core and I'll bet it individually for a little 606 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 1: bit higher odds. I'm going to Dalton Kincaid at plus 607 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 1: two ten and going up against the Colts. The Colts 608 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 1: have actually given up five receiving touchdowns to tight end 609 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,800 Speaker 1: so far this year. You've got Amari Cooper who's banged up. 610 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,240 Speaker 1: Keyon Coleman doesn't look like he's gonna play. It's actually 611 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 1: a pretty phenomenal opportunity if they throw the ball in 612 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,800 Speaker 1: the red zone. And this matchup for Dalton Kincaid really 613 00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 1: works so little two to one action on the anytime touchdown. Those, 614 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 1: my friends, are our big bets for the week. From 615 00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,239 Speaker 1: the props to the touchdowns. We got you covered. Make 616 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,440 Speaker 1: sure to go and download the app today Betting pros. 617 00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 1: If you haven't go over and check out Bettingpros dot com. 618 00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 1: You can check out the prop cheat sheet, the prop analyzer, 619 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: get all the data, figure out all the best bets 620 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 1: anytime touchdowns. We've got all of that. You can sign 621 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,120 Speaker 1: up for premium so it is with you at any time. 622 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 1: You can, you know, reference it and how did these guys. 623 00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,640 Speaker 1: One of my favorite things in the referencing is when 624 00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:32,000 Speaker 1: you're going through and you can say, Okay, you know 625 00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:33,680 Speaker 1: this guy has hit this in you know three of 626 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,199 Speaker 1: the last four weeks. Here's the projected numbers da da DA. 627 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 1: Then you go down and you see how similar players 628 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 1: have played against this team, and it'll say this overhit this, 629 00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 1: overhit under. It's some really great stuff. Go and check 630 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 1: it out today. Betting Pros has got you covered. Download 631 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 1: the app and follow us bettingpros dot com, slash Welsh 632 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 1: and Andrew. Hopefully Joe is having a great time and 633 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 1: made a lot of money betting on Ravenclaw and Gryffindor 634 00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,480 Speaker 1: and all of that and drinking lots of butter beer, 635 00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:01,800 Speaker 1: and hopefully you guys are going to have a fantastic 636 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: week ten. Thank you so much for hanging out with us. 637 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 1: For Andrew erics and I'm Chris Welsh. We'll talk to 638 00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:09,200 Speaker 1: you next time right here on Betting Pros Letter, Baby 639 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: Letter through the Waddle. Thanks for listening to the Betting 640 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: Pros Podcast. If you love the show, the best freeway 641 00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 1: to support us is by leaving a positive review on 642 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:21,560 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 643 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,480 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 644 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 645 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com 646 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros