1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: your bets. 3 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 2: This me Joey P. Joe pis a p at. It's 4 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:08,800 Speaker 2: week sixteen, and ooh baby, we. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: Got a lot of games to get to here. They're 6 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:12,160 Speaker 1: all over the place, but it's okay. 7 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 2: We got you covered. 8 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:16,279 Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about the Christmas Eve Eve Slate, the 9 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: full slate on Christmas Eve regular style, the Christmas Day tripleheader. 10 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: If you love football, this might be the best week 11 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: of the year, and we are gonna help win you 12 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: some cash. 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Sounds pretty good to me, So customize that 18 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 1: player pool, align them perfectly with the insights you get 19 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: from the show, and go and upload them directly to 20 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 1: DraftKings or fandel only a fantasypro dot Com Slash optimizer. 21 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 1: And of course at Betting Pros, don't forget about that 22 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: free trial we're doing. We are giving away three free 23 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: days of Betting Pros premium for everyone who uses. 24 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 2: The app onos. So get that today. 25 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,199 Speaker 1: Download the Betting Pros app wherever you get your apps. Also, 26 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: this guy de Bro, Derek Brown, the King of Bros, 27 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: the Fantasy Bro, helping us leck down Week sixteen. We're 28 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 1: going to let the Thursday game go as we always do, 29 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: thank goodness, and we're gonna get right to the first 30 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: slate of games here. So you got Cincinnati a Pittsburgh 31 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 1: totals thirty seven, you got the Chargers and Buffalo forty 32 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: three and a half forty four in some other spots. 33 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:25,839 Speaker 2: So at this one. 34 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 1: To me, Debro, I'm looking at everybody's gonna go into Buffalo. 35 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: It feels like the right thing to do. It feels 36 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: like James Cook. It feels like Josh Allen digs and 37 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: then maybe Deontay Johnson, maybe some other pieces like that 38 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: Tyler Boyd, some cheaper pieces in the other game to 39 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 1: make it all wark your thoughts. 40 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm going to run a lineup 41 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 2: on that slate show that does not have Josh Allen 42 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: in it. Like I think he's the ease, the clear optimal. 43 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 2: He's going to be Chalky. I don't care. It doesn't 44 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 2: matter if he's going to be played sixty percent. If 45 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 2: it's the right choice, it's still the choice. It's gonna 46 00:01:56,960 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 2: sit here and bring you to the top. So Josh 47 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 2: Allen is when we're starting the conversation quarterbacks, if you're 48 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 2: going off of the Josh Allen rails, I think it's 49 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 2: gotta be Jake Browning man and what he's been doing 50 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,079 Speaker 2: on a week to week basis. And I get no 51 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 2: Jamar Chase in this game. But Jake Browning has the 52 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 2: rushing equity the Steelers have. They're not showing a lot 53 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 2: of fight now, Joe. I mean, like, look the fighting 54 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 2: mac Tomlins are not fighting back right now. They're not 55 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 2: even blocking for the running backs. So I think this 56 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: is another game that the Bengals can win. So at quarterback, 57 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 2: I'm starting with Josh Allen. I'm starting with Jake Browning 58 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 2: moving over to running back. Dude, I think it's a 59 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 2: really it's a condensed list. Like I think the Chargers 60 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 2: are just a dead team. I'm full fading that entire 61 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 2: team outside of maybe a little bit of Gerald Everett exposure, 62 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 2: but it's all James Cook and looking at the Bengals 63 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 2: and Steelers game. I'll probably pick a few running backs 64 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 2: from there. Joe Mixon stands out just because the volume. 65 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: If the Bengals get up, they're going to feed him. 66 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 2: If we want to play Nause or Jalen Warren, I 67 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 2: get it, but they are easy pivots to move away 68 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 2: from them, but they are still in play. The wide 69 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 2: receiver again, we're talking about a condensed kind of field here. 70 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:04,959 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm gonna run any teams without 71 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 2: Stefan Diggs. He is so due for a monster game, 72 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 2: such a good match. This is the perfect spot for 73 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,839 Speaker 2: the Bills to say, Okay, last week all we did 74 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 2: was run the damn ball. This week, we're gonna air 75 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,959 Speaker 2: it out, baby. We're gonna make Digs happy. Gabriel Davis 76 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 2: is gonna have a game. Hell, maybe we get Dawson 77 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 2: Knox cooking again. Like it's just a really good spots. 78 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: It's an interesting way to wedge in some of these 79 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: bigger He's so cheap, that's what I mean. 80 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 2: Look, here's the core. 81 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: The core is Warren, Cook, Digs, Allen, anything else you 82 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: need to do to get that to work. To me, 83 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: that's the way this goes ye going forward to Christmas Eve, 84 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: let's start with Tennessee. Seattle talked on the other show, 85 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: lock of being interesting. DK is interesting, Geno's back. This 86 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: is a good thing. Forty one and a half is 87 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: the number. I'm fading Tennessee full here. I'm gonna go 88 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: on the Seattle side, and I think DK actually is 89 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 1: the piece that I like the most. But if you 90 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: want to go cheaper, Lockett is interesting and JSN as well. 91 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 2: Yeah for me, I love Geno in this, man. I mean, look, 92 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: you can get over on the Tennessee secondary. I'm done 93 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 2: chasing Titans pieces like Derrick Henry. Can I craft you 94 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 2: a narrative where he's in a really good spot? Sure, 95 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 2: but if Seattle starts truck sticking them out of the gate, 96 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,159 Speaker 2: this could be a Taja Spears game. So he's in 97 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: play for large field tournaments. Chef Gino, I think is 98 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 2: one of the best quarterback plays in the entire freaking slate. 99 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 2: And yeah, you can interest me in Jsen. The guy 100 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 2: that really jumps out to me here though, is Tyler Lockett. 101 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 2: And I just look at the coverage matchup for Lockett 102 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: and I love it. Man Like since week eleven, the 103 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 2: Tennessee Titans seventh tighest rate or too high, that's been 104 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 2: Tyler Lockett's bag twenty percent target chair, forty four percent 105 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 2: area r chair, and a twenty six percent first reach cheer. 106 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 2: So Tyer Lockett has he I mean, come on, we 107 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 2: talked about Diggs as due for a big game, so 108 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,280 Speaker 2: is tower Locket? All right, let's move on to the 109 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 2: next contest. 110 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: Here on the slate, coming in at forty four and 111 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 1: a half points Atlanta with Taylor Heineke hosting the Indianapolis Colts. 112 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 1: As we're recording this, still not enough information on Michael Pittman. 113 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: We know Jonathan Taylor looks like he is progressing in 114 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,279 Speaker 1: a good direction. They've got a full practice in yesterday. 115 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 1: That's a good sign for sure. So it seems like 116 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,160 Speaker 1: you're gonna get Taylor back for this game. Question is 117 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 1: do you want to use him? And the question is 118 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 1: you know, after a miserable performance last week from the Falcons, 119 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:21,480 Speaker 1: is it time to take advantage of that and the 120 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: people just running away from the Falcons and maybe run 121 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 1: towards them with the Drake Londons and dare I say 122 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: the Vjon Robinson's as well. 123 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 2: I think it's bjon week man. I think we're gonna 124 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 2: go right back to the well. And this scares the 125 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 2: Bejesus out of me. Like in the primer I literally 126 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 2: wrote up and it says positional value stress diarrhea inducing 127 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 2: RB two. That's how I feel about Bejeon. But some 128 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 2: of those plays where you're like it gets you queasy 129 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 2: and you're like, oh God, like, am I really gonna 130 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 2: do this? Those are the plays and GPPs that bring 131 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:51,840 Speaker 2: home the bacon man. So Bjeon Robertson, We're going to 132 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 2: go right back to the well. We know you can 133 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,599 Speaker 2: run on Indie the Colts. Yeah, Jonathan Taylor's in play 134 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 2: if he ends up playing, because people are not gonna 135 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:01,599 Speaker 2: know what to do with workload. They're not gonna say, okay, 136 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 2: like what is it gonna be Moss, They're gonna be sermons. 137 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 2: Is JT gonna split? And that means that type of 138 00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 2: uncertainty means JT is probably not gonna be highly played. 139 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:11,359 Speaker 2: So that makes him a really good GPP play. I 140 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 2: think I just for what it's worth, dude, I think 141 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 2: he plays. I think he gets the full workload. It's 142 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:17,720 Speaker 2: not a leg injury, folks. Yep, it's not a leg 143 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 2: injury like it was a leg injury. 144 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: I say, Okay, maybe we baby them the hamstring it 145 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:21,719 Speaker 1: or you push him too much. 146 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,679 Speaker 2: It's a hand injury, folks. What are we doing here? Agreed? 147 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 2: And the other part about this one last guy I 148 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 2: want to bring up in this game and then we 149 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 2: can move on. But Kyle Pitts. I think that we 150 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 2: have a really good game for Kyle Pits on this one. 151 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 2: And it's not a Taylor Heineke take. This all comes 152 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 2: down to the matchup and with Indy running a lot 153 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 2: of single high Kyle Pits has been their single high beater. 154 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 2: He's got an eighteen percent target share one point eight 155 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 2: yards per route run. Indy has been gashed by tight 156 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 2: ends all year. So Kyle Pits, you have not heard 157 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 2: me say his name maybe once this entire year, Joe, 158 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 2: I'm saying it this week. I'm going to play some 159 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 2: Kyle Pits all right. Next slate here game is the 160 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 2: said Texans and Cleveland. This could be a fun one. 161 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco's cheap love that the number is forty and 162 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 1: Joku Flaku one of my Flacco Joe Flacco one of 163 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 1: my favorite, like Baltimore slash South Philadelphia. Names to say 164 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: is Joe Flacco Flacco Joku also funny Joku also in play. 165 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:22,120 Speaker 2: I'mari Cooper. If you want a full. 166 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 1: Stack, I'm good Devin Singletary running back in this game. 167 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 1: This one's appealing to me because it's. 168 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 2: Very cost effective. 169 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: The main slate this weekend is tricky because you're taking 170 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 1: away Mahomes, you're taking away Alan, you're taking away Jalen Hurt, 171 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 1: some of that elite quarterback play, so you're really starting 172 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: to have to look elsewhere. 173 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 2: Flaco's one of my favorites. 174 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 1: It's not my favorite quarterback on the slate, but one 175 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 1: of We'll get to the other one in the second. 176 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 2: But I like this game. 177 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: I think there's a way to be involved in this 178 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 1: one too. And maybe you know Noah Brown also part 179 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: of that runback. What are your thoughts on Cleveland Houston. 180 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 2: I love Joe Flacco double stacks man, and it's so easy. 181 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: You just play Amari Cooper, you play in Joku, you 182 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 2: run it back with Devin Singletary. If you want to 183 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 2: throw Noah Brown into a game stack, like, we know 184 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 2: where the freaking ball is going, man, I don't think 185 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 2: Nico Collins plays this week. And I understand the Browns 186 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 2: are a good defense, but we know where the ball 187 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 2: is going. This game is gonna shoot out. Like I've 188 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 2: already bet the over for the total, So yeah, man, 189 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 2: Like I've been playing Joe Flacco in the last few weeks, 190 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 2: Like I played Joe Flacco in the first game that 191 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 2: he played back in the NFL and led me the money. 192 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 2: So I'm going to continue to play him in a really, 193 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 2: really good matchup where we've had a few games. We 194 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 2: know where the targets are going. Play Flacco, play play Cooper, 195 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 2: playing Djoku, running back with Singletary, and if you want 196 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:39,440 Speaker 2: to throw Noah Brown into a game stack, let's go. 197 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,679 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the next game here. Green Bay, Carolina. 198 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: Chuba Hubbard is a guy that I've got everywhere. Again, 199 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 1: the volume is king and he's getting tons of it. 200 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 1: I know there are a two win team. I don't 201 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 1: care thirty seven and a half against that Green Bay defense. 202 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 2: I love it. 203 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 1: Green Bay banged up right now, I'm kind of on 204 00:08:55,480 --> 00:09:00,080 Speaker 1: the fade Green Bay wagon injuries. Maybe Aaron Jone. This 205 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: is a piece you can interest me, But to me, 206 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 1: it's the running backs Jones and especially Hubbard at his 207 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:08,439 Speaker 1: price a much more appealing one. So, considering the return 208 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: on investment of both these guys and their prices on 209 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,199 Speaker 1: DK and Fandel, who do you think you're gonna have 210 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:13,079 Speaker 1: more shares of this week? 211 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a lot of Chube Hubbard man tons 212 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 2: of Chuba Hubbard. I love Chew Hubbard. Jones is in play, 213 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 2: but he's honestly not my favorite packer that I want 214 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 2: to talk about here. Joe uh Oh, the guy that 215 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 2: I really like in this game, if you're gonna mini 216 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 2: stack this game and play suba on the other side, 217 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 2: I love Dantavian Wicks if it hasn't been Jane Reid, 218 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 2: and I don't think Jayden Reid plays this week if 219 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 2: it hasn't been Jane Reed or Christian Watson, the guy 220 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 2: that they go to against single high coverage, which Carolina 221 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 2: since Week eleven, fifty nine percent of their defensive snaps 222 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 2: and single high six highest rate has been Dontavian Wicks. 223 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:51,439 Speaker 2: Dontavian Wicks versus single high twenty two percent target per 224 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 2: route run rate two point one yards per route run. 225 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 2: Dantavian Wicks is also coming off a game where he 226 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 2: had ninety seven receiving yards, and people are gonna look 227 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 2: at Aaron Jones. They're gonna look at all the other 228 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 2: parts of pieces. They might have played some Tucker craft. 229 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 2: I'm telling you right now, the only Packer that I 230 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 2: really really love in this game is Don Tavian Wicks. 231 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: All right, Don Tavian Wicks at a good price, that's 232 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 1: for darn sure. All right, let's go to the next 233 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: game here on the slate, the New York Jets against 234 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:22,360 Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders. Yes, oh deer, indeed again this is 235 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: full fade for me, just my lack of Look, the 236 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 1: Jets have nine passing touchdowns of the year. 237 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 2: We just talked about that, just. 238 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,840 Speaker 1: Like nine, you know, the worst in the league. There, 239 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: it's hard to get excited about the Jets offense. I 240 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,679 Speaker 1: know the Jets defense is great, but you know, this 241 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: team at five and nine, I feel like they're out 242 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 1: of the playoffs. I just feel like they kind of 243 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: pack up here and Washington's already packed up. This is 244 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: kind of a gross game. 245 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 2: Now. 246 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: The numbers thirty seven and a half, so wouldn't shock 247 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 1: me if it kind of has a weird surprising over. 248 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: But the hard part is investing in this game and 249 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: this slate in particular. So I don't have a lot 250 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 1: of shares in this. I think it's a FATA McLaurin. 251 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 1: I understand the liking the volume of Garrett Wilson and 252 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: the volume potentially Breeze Hall, but it's the efficiency for 253 00:10:58,840 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 1: both those guys in this offense. 254 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 2: It's just really tough to me. I think you you 255 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 2: pick one jet to play, and you pick whoever you 256 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:07,200 Speaker 2: think is your favorite jet of the week, and that 257 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 2: is who is all if you have one. For me, 258 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,079 Speaker 2: it's all because I think that you're gonna see a 259 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 2: lot of positive game script. I think the Jets defense 260 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,319 Speaker 2: is still in play, and for me, I think that 261 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 2: they're gonna be in positive game script. Then the honestly, 262 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 2: the volume for Garrett Wilson might not be great. If 263 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 2: the Jets say, you know what, what if they get 264 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,439 Speaker 2: out to a lead like ten and nothing, fourteen and 265 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 2: nothing in the first quarter like save one's a defensive touchdown, 266 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 2: then they're just gonna sit on the ball. They're gonna 267 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 2: run the ball the entire day. So for me, it's 268 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 2: Breeze Hall. But if you want to like if you 269 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 2: wanted to play, I'll say this, Joe, I think you 270 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,120 Speaker 2: pick one Jet. You do not play both of them. 271 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,320 Speaker 2: You do not play Breze Hall and Garrett Wilson. There's 272 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 2: not enough scoring out of the Jets offense to need 273 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 2: or necessitate that both of these guys will make the 274 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 2: optimal lineup for Week sixteen. So pick one of these guys. 275 00:11:57,640 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 2: For me, it's Breeze Hall. But if you want to 276 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 2: go Garrett Wilson, that's fine. And I'm full fading the Commanders, 277 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 2: all right. 278 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: Next game on the slate here the Detroit Lions and 279 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings. Not one to fade here. Forty seven and 280 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,839 Speaker 1: is the number for this game. Certainly, Jamiir Gibbs is 281 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 1: in play. He's coming off one of his best games 282 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,920 Speaker 1: of the year. And look Jared Goff in the dome, well, 283 00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 1: who would have thought had a great game. Now he's 284 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 1: going to another dome environment in Minnesota. I expect GoF 285 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 1: to be good. The golf, I'm on, not Saint Brown 286 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 1: Stack is money. We want to triple up with Gibbs. Okay, fine, 287 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 1: you want to run it back on the other side, 288 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: it's clearly the way to do it. Is with Addison 289 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 1: because he's the cheapest piece there, not Jefferson necessarily, So 290 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 1: that's the only way you can really afford to make 291 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 1: that work, in my opinion, responsibly. So that's how I 292 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: see this one. 293 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 2: Deebro. How do you see it? 294 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 1: And will you be in on this chalky game or 295 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: fading it potentially? 296 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,680 Speaker 2: I like this game and the parts out of this game. 297 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 2: I think you can get kind of weird in this game. 298 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 2: We know that both of these teams you cannot run 299 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 2: the ball on them. Now, if you wanted to lean 300 00:12:57,440 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 2: on the efficiency of Jamiir Gibbs and the PA game 301 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 2: utility of him, I get that. For me, I want 302 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 2: to fade both of these ground games. I want to 303 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 2: play Nick Mullins. And that scares the Bejesus out of me. 304 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 2: But what do we see last week? Joe he threw 305 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 2: for over three hundred yards, two touchdowns and a good matchup. 306 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:18,960 Speaker 2: Oh look at that. This is a good matchup that 307 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:22,080 Speaker 2: can provide again this week. And if you're telling me 308 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 2: that the Minnesota Vikings will not be able to run 309 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 2: the ball versus the Lions, They're gonna have to move 310 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:29,360 Speaker 2: the ball and that's gonna be through the air. So 311 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 2: Nick Mullens, we're gonna talk about paydown quarterbacks. Nick Mullens, 312 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 2: double stacks are in play. If you want to go 313 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson, you want to pair him with Jordan Addison 314 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:40,319 Speaker 2: or TJ. Hockinson. I think that's the way to go. 315 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 2: On the other side for the Lions, man a' Monroe 316 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 2: Saint Brown is gonna be my most my highly put 317 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 2: it this way. He is going to be the wide 318 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,199 Speaker 2: receiver that I love the most, and he's gonna be 319 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 2: in the most lineups for me this week. Amanroe Saint 320 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:57,439 Speaker 2: Brown is going to absolutely crush. He looks at Sick eleven, 321 00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 2: Minnesota has utilized too high at the highest rate in 322 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,280 Speaker 2: the NFL. I'm gonna say Brown versus too high thirty 323 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 2: percent target chare four point one yards per route run 324 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 2: and if you want to get weird and save some 325 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,679 Speaker 2: cash in a game stack, I'm going to bring up 326 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 2: a large field GPP play here, Joe Khalif Raymond. And 327 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 2: I know people look at Jamison Williams, but Khalif Raymond 328 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 2: versus too high. Yes, he only has a nine percent 329 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 2: target chare, but twenty nine percent target per route run 330 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 2: rate three point zero yards per route run. He's been 331 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 2: extremely good against too high. Nobody's gonna play him, and 332 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 2: for the savings in a game that we think can 333 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 2: shoot out. This week, Kaliff Raymon could pay off. All right, 334 00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 2: Let's go to the next game here, which is very 335 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 2: exciting for me. Tampa Bay Jacksonville. 336 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 1: I know every thinking that doesn't sound forty three and 337 00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 1: a half is the number. I love the over potentially 338 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 1: this game if Laurence does play. But this one's really 339 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: good because you have a little bit of clarity. Calvin 340 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 1: Ridley is kind of like the last man standing literally 341 00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 1: right now for the Jacksonville Jaguars. And on the flip 342 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 1: side here and released cheap. This week's only sixty eight 343 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: hundred on fandle. You've got Baker Mayfield well priced. You've 344 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: got Mike Evans high price, but you take them. Same 345 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 1: thing with Rashad White. That trio to me is invaluable 346 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 1: this week. 347 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 2: I love it. 348 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 1: It's one of my favorite Mainslave plays. Again, I don't 349 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 1: care if it's Chalky, it's just right. Jacksonville secondary is 350 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:21,000 Speaker 1: not great. Lamar Jackson did not taken off advantage of 351 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 1: that last week, and I think Baker Mayfield. 352 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 2: Ironically, will this week debro your thoughts. I love this 353 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 2: entire game, like you can interest me. If Trevor Lawrence 354 00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 2: plays Trevor Lawrence Baker Mayfield, both of them are in play. 355 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 2: Both these running backs are honestly in play too. Like 356 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 2: the Buccaneers run defense has not been the same thing 357 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 2: over the last few weeks. Since Week ten, the fourth 358 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 2: highest miss tackle pro tempt rate, twelfth highest arts per 359 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 2: carry a out of gap runs, which composed sixty two 360 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 2: percent of etn's run volume. He has not been good 361 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 2: over the last few weeks. So we're talking about a 362 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 2: guy who's not gonna be highly rostered. If this game 363 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 2: goes sideways, then ETM probably has a good game. But yeah, 364 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 2: I mean play Rashad Whites and play Calvin Ridley. Love 365 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 2: him in this game. And I like Mike Evans and 366 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 2: he is in play. But my favorite wide receiver on 367 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 2: the buck side is Chris Godwin. Chris Godwin, they've been 368 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 2: force feeding the ball over the last few weeks, and 369 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:17,800 Speaker 2: you look at the coverage shell matchup Jacksonville versus since 370 00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:20,920 Speaker 2: Week eleven, sixth highest rate of two high against two high. 371 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 2: That's been Godwin's bag twenty four percent targets here two 372 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 2: point zero yards per route run. I think, do we 373 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 2: get another Godwin week in this one? And like I said, 374 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 2: just play all the damn players from this game. Man, 375 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 2: like Evan Ingram's in a good spot, cade Otten, If 376 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 2: you're playing Baker Mayfield, attach him to that stack. 377 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: All right, let's attach the next game here on this 378 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: late another big one here. Potentially it's the Dallas and 379 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. We're gonna skip over Chicago. Will come back 380 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 1: to that second because I want to talk to another 381 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 1: high total game fifty and a half. You get this 382 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 1: at some spots. This one's in Miami. Dallas laid a 383 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 1: huge egg in Buffalo. Different environment in Miami, easier place 384 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 1: to play not just well, but also environment. Question is 385 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 1: the numbers of the Dallas Cowboys on the road are 386 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 1: what they are at this point, and they are different 387 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 1: than at home. That being said, moster touchdown machine. I 388 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,440 Speaker 1: understand investing in him. I get that Tyreek Hill with 389 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 1: the ankle, and I don't know if we want to 390 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 1: play him necessarily because he's so expensive. 391 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 2: To me, it's a tough one. I'm fading him. 392 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 1: I'd rather be going to some other guys like Mike 393 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 1: Evans on this lift. I'm paying up raman Ras you 394 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: mentioned before. Those two to me are more appealing. So 395 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 1: I'm fading Tyreek. I kind of want to fade Lamb too, 396 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,159 Speaker 1: based on this, So I don't know. It seems crazy 397 00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 1: to fade a game that's got a fifty burger on it, 398 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,159 Speaker 1: But Debro, this is a tricky one for me. 399 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 2: This is I'm gonna be betting the under in this game. 400 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 2: I think, like we talked about it last but like 401 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 2: I was not big on the Cowboys and the Bills game, 402 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,959 Speaker 2: I'm not big on this game. Man. Like the total 403 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 2: in this game is not representative of how well these 404 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:49,440 Speaker 2: defenses have played. It's giving the offenses too much credit. 405 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,160 Speaker 2: And to that point, Joe, we've seen the Miami Dolphins 406 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 2: offense be extremely matchup sensitive. We've also seen the Dallas 407 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:02,680 Speaker 2: offense last week matchup sensitive. So looking in this game, 408 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 2: I will bet the under. I'm really not in a 409 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,400 Speaker 2: lot of parts and pieces of this game. Like Tyreek 410 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 2: Hill was in play any slate anytime that he plays, 411 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,359 Speaker 2: if he's not gonna be highly rostered this week, then 412 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 2: I think he's definitely in play. But my favorite play 413 00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:18,800 Speaker 2: out of this entire game, man, is Raheem Mostert. And 414 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 2: we've seen Miami run on everybody the entire year. Can 415 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 2: they do that? And now since the Bills basically just 416 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 2: laid the blueprint of how you do that, do you 417 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 2: think Mike McDaniel is not gonna run the freaking ball 418 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:34,920 Speaker 2: this week? So Raheem Moster is a fantastic play playing 419 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:36,479 Speaker 2: off the total. I think that he could get one 420 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,879 Speaker 2: to two touchdowns in this game. But the rest of 421 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 2: this game, dude, I'm honestly fading it. Like I'll play 422 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 2: Raheem Mostert, I'll play Tyreek Hill, but all the Cowboys 423 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 2: and stuff, I'm fading all this. Yeah, I'm kind of 424 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:51,199 Speaker 2: with you, all right, Chicago, Arizona. I like this one too. 425 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: If you want to do the fields or it's very 426 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 1: easy to do now Foreman, Obviously, last week was very 427 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 1: disappointing for a lot of people, but Erickson made a 428 00:18:58,320 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 1: good point about you know, if they are up by 429 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 1: a lot, you could see a little bit of form 430 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 1: in here in this game more than you think. The 431 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 1: Bears defense is my favorite part. This is the best 432 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 1: price point because the Bears defense have been very solid. 433 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 1: They're still moderately priced. 434 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 2: I'm in here. 435 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 1: McBride is, you know, getting a ton of volumes, so 436 00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:14,960 Speaker 1: I respect that. So McBride's in play. But to me, 437 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:16,960 Speaker 1: it's the Bears defense and McBride. Those are the two 438 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 1: most interesting returns on investment in this game because fields 439 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:23,360 Speaker 1: and more are relatively expensive, especially you know, you're talking 440 00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: about that Destroit Lions that we're talking about, you know, 441 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans, So you know, I have 442 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 1: a little less confidence in, you know, the fields more 443 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 1: than I do those guys necessarily, but maybe you see 444 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 1: things differently. 445 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:37,959 Speaker 2: How do you see this one? I love Justin Fields. 446 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,440 Speaker 2: I mean your every DFS slight. Justin Fields is in 447 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 2: play because he can run for one hundred yards in 448 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,199 Speaker 2: any game, and now you're telling me that he has 449 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:47,639 Speaker 2: a smash match up through the air. This game is 450 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 2: just it's easy for me, Joe. It's Justin Fields. It's 451 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 2: DJ Moore running back with Trey McBride and you move 452 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,920 Speaker 2: on man like Trey McBride. For everybody out there, since 453 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,880 Speaker 2: Week eight has been the tight end one in Fantasy, 454 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:04,120 Speaker 2: not Travis Kelce, not t J Hockinson. It has been 455 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 2: freaking Trey McBride since Week eight. This dude has a 456 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 2: twenty eight percent target chair that is Elite Alpha wide 457 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 2: receiver one usage. So this game is easy, man. Like 458 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 2: I said, like we're playing fields, we're playing DJ Moore 459 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 2: running back with McBride. There is going to be a 460 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 2: Bears running back in this game that pops. For the 461 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:28,880 Speaker 2: life of me, I don't know who the hell it is, 462 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 2: so I'm avoiding it. 463 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: Not Ron, not me, not Hermione's you would full Ron 464 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:39,440 Speaker 1: Weasley there for I take it. Not this guy, not him, 465 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,840 Speaker 1: It's you. Yeah, the person I want in my DFS 466 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 1: lawn up. All right, let's go to the next one here. 467 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 1: That's terrible Denver Broncos hosting the New Engle Patriots. Speaking 468 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:50,680 Speaker 1: of shame, here's a game for you thirty four and 469 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:54,879 Speaker 1: a half. I like that transition Ezekiel Elliott versus the 470 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos. Yes, I say, I say yes, Denver Broncos 471 00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 1: bad against the run. Full fade on the Denver Broncos 472 00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 1: offense for me, with the exception of one guy, Courtland Suton, 473 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 1: who alway does his catch touchdowns and I like that 474 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,399 Speaker 1: especially on FanDuel. But other than that, I don't have 475 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: anything else to add in this one, Derek, do. 476 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 2: You Nope, I'm with you. I think this game is easy. 477 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 2: It's Us the Night Game. 478 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 1: Two for those of you who are looking to so again, 479 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: you don't even have to look at this game at 480 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: all if you don't want to, and I think that's 481 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:20,879 Speaker 1: a perfectly fine way to look at it. 482 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's Zeke, it's Sutton and the other 483 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,119 Speaker 2: name that I'll throw in here as Hunter Henry. But 484 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 2: we'll see if he plays. But if he does, he's 485 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 2: in playing your lineups. 486 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on here to the Christmas Day slate. 487 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 1: So we've got three games. We've got Kansas City Vegas 488 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:35,720 Speaker 1: at forty one and a half, We've got New York 489 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: Philly forty two and a half, and then San fran 490 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:39,639 Speaker 1: Baltimore at forty seven. 491 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 2: So I'm looking at this one right here. 492 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,639 Speaker 1: And I'm just going heavy towards the forty nine Ers, 493 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:46,199 Speaker 1: which might surprise a lot of people, but I think 494 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:47,399 Speaker 1: they're the best team in the NFL. 495 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 2: This is primetime Christmas Day. 496 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,880 Speaker 1: I think the forty nine Ers are gonna say, hey, everybody, 497 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: take a look at us. We are we are the 498 00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: game to quote the Great Triple H and I think 499 00:21:58,520 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 1: that's what they are right now. 500 00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,280 Speaker 2: Baltimore. I'm just they're fine. 501 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 1: They're good for the AFC, But in terms of like 502 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,920 Speaker 1: that NFC competition, I think it's different. Now that being said, 503 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: they are expensive. The way you attack them, especially having 504 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,159 Speaker 1: to go to McCaffrey is very expensive, so you have 505 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 1: to find other price relief guys. In this slate, Rushie 506 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 1: Rice has moved up in price, so that's gonna be 507 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: a tricky thing. 508 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 2: Typically. Also, you've got. 509 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:26,360 Speaker 1: Three games here where there's three heavy favorites that always 510 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,480 Speaker 1: something goes sideways. So the question is what if anything 511 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,400 Speaker 1: goes sideways here? And how do we make money off 512 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,760 Speaker 1: of it? Because I mean, the Chiefs have not been 513 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 1: world beaters. They're nine to five, but they've had their issues. 514 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: I think they beat Vegas Philly. I mean, God, they 515 00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,600 Speaker 1: desperately need to get back on track. I don't know 516 00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,159 Speaker 1: if the Giants could go to Philadelphia and beat them necessarily. 517 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,399 Speaker 1: But Derek, this Christmas Day slate is extremely tricky. 518 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 2: That's where I'm just going. 519 00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 1: I'm going forty nine ers and then whatever pieces fit 520 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 1: into that forty nine er stack. That allowed me to 521 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: do it. That's how I'm looking at this game. In 522 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 1: the I'm sorry this slate on Christmas Day? 523 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 2: How do you look at I think, starting at the 524 00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:05,919 Speaker 2: quarterback position, my two favorite quarterbacks on this slate are 525 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 2: gonna be Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts. I think Patrick 526 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 2: Mahomes comes out and he just rips the Raiders a 527 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 2: new one. Looking at that game, I mean, the parts 528 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,360 Speaker 2: and pieces are easy. Man. It's like I don't think 529 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 2: Pacheco comes back in plays. If he does, he's in play. 530 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 2: But I think we get another sEH game. So for 531 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:26,200 Speaker 2: the Chiefs, I'm not paying up for Travis Kelce. I'm 532 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 2: going to play whoever the starting running back is. For KC. 533 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 2: Mahomes and I'm playing Rashid Rice And for Jalen Hurts. 534 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,440 Speaker 2: The Giants you can run on them, run on them, 535 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,439 Speaker 2: run on them. And this is a really good spot 536 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 2: for Jalen Hurts to come out and you know, do 537 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,359 Speaker 2: some things as a passer. We know that AJ Brown 538 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,960 Speaker 2: just eviscerates man coverage. So looking at that game like 539 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:52,120 Speaker 2: it's Jalen Hurts, I want to pay him with AJ 540 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 2: Brown and then just move on. If you want to 541 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:56,120 Speaker 2: play DeAndre Swift in that stack and just say okay, 542 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:59,360 Speaker 2: they get up and DeAndre Swift finally gets a goal 543 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 2: line touch and Okay, I get it. But for me, 544 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,760 Speaker 2: those are the two favorite quarterbacks. Move it over to 545 00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,160 Speaker 2: running backs for me on this slate, man, Like, there's 546 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 2: a lot of different ways to go on this slate. 547 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 2: I think I don't know if I'm gonna make a 548 00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 2: lineup that does not have Christian McCaffrey in it, though, 549 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 2: because I think that, I think they're gonna run all 550 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,440 Speaker 2: over the Ravens and that's how you attack this defense. 551 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 2: We talked about it for a few weeks. Man, It's 552 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 2: like we saw the Rams do it. The Jacksonville Jaguars 553 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 2: try to do it, but they don't have the offensive 554 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 2: line to do it. The surferences go forty nine ers do, 555 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: and Christian McCaffrey is gonna go absolute ham on them. 556 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,879 Speaker 2: So CMC is is as close to a lock button 557 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 2: play as you could possibly get on this slate. But 558 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 2: with staying with running back, I think, whoever the case, 559 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 2: he's starting, guys in play. If we get Josh Jacobs, 560 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 2: he's in play. If not Zamir White, Saquon Barkley is 561 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:53,639 Speaker 2: in play again. I think people got burned. I was burned. 562 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 2: I know you were as well. But in this game, 563 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 2: you could run on the Eagles. They are not the 564 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 2: same run defense as of the last few weeks. On 565 00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:04,639 Speaker 2: wide receivers again, a tight pool for me, man like. 566 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,159 Speaker 2: I think that the way that this slate goes sideways 567 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 2: is I think we get one to maybe two Giants 568 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 2: wide receivers that pop. The Eagles secondary has been absolutely terrible. 569 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 2: So Wandil Robinson and Darius Slayton are in play on 570 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 2: this slate. Looking back over the Chiefs and Raiders game, 571 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,520 Speaker 2: I talked abou Rashid Rice, but I'm not playing DeVante 572 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:31,159 Speaker 2: Adams gonna get a shadow from Lagerias Snead. Jacoby Myers. 573 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:32,640 Speaker 2: We saw I have a big game in this last 574 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,040 Speaker 2: time they played. I think he is firmly in play. 575 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 2: The guy that I want to bring up here, and 576 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,919 Speaker 2: if you're playing CMC, I'm going to implore you to 577 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,480 Speaker 2: to mini stack. We're gonna go right back to the 578 00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 2: well without Obeka man obj in this matchup, and he's 579 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 2: coming off a down game. People are not gonna want 580 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 2: to play him. But here is the reason why the 581 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,400 Speaker 2: forty nine ers since the week ten seventh highest rate 582 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,920 Speaker 2: of too high. We talked about this when they played 583 00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 2: the Rams and why I said OBJ was gonna go off. 584 00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 2: OBJ versus too high thirty two percent area archaer one 585 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,440 Speaker 2: point eight yards per route run. He's been targeted on 586 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 2: twenty five percent of his routes versus too high, So 587 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:22,399 Speaker 2: OBJ is he is the cheap skeleton key for this slate. 588 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:26,879 Speaker 2: I'm gonna play a ton Obj. Any other wide receiver 589 00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:31,200 Speaker 2: plays like I said, AJ Brown is firmly in play. 590 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,680 Speaker 2: You can go with the forty nine ers guys. But honestly, 591 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,959 Speaker 2: I think this is just a christ McCaffrey game, man like. 592 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:39,679 Speaker 2: So I'm not chasing Debo, I'm not chasing Brandon Ayuk 593 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 2: moving over to tight end. I think it's easy, man like. 594 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,920 Speaker 2: I'll probably play. It's either gonna be taking some cheap 595 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,640 Speaker 2: guys like I'll probably like I'll have a pool of 596 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 2: like Michael Mayer, maybe Darren Waller makes that mix and 597 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 2: Isaiah likely and then I'm just gonna move on. 598 00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:00,400 Speaker 1: All right, everybody, there is your holiday DFS slate, brought 599 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:01,480 Speaker 1: to you by Betting Pros. 600 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 2: Make sure you download the app right now. And don't forget. 601 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,560 Speaker 1: If you do on iOS, you get three free days 602 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,119 Speaker 1: of premium And also don't forget to make sure you 603 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:13,680 Speaker 1: subscribe to our YouTube channel over at Betting Pros as well. 604 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: And this is the time of year two where we 605 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 1: appreciate all of you listening so much all year long, 606 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 1: and if you enjoyed the shows, make sure you drop 607 00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: a nice five star. 608 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,280 Speaker 2: Review wherever you get your podcasts. 609 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:24,920 Speaker 1: It's literally the least you can do, but it means 610 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: a lot to us, So leave us feeling warm and 611 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,439 Speaker 1: fuzzy if we've left your pockets nice and fat this 612 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 1: year playing some dfs and wagering. 613 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 2: We appreciate all of you for listening. We hope all 614 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:33,960 Speaker 2: we have a. 615 00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:38,440 Speaker 1: Healthy and happy, safe holiday season. Enjoy the football, enjoy 616 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 1: the friends and family, have some fun. That'll do it 617 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 1: for us, But the story of the game goes on. 618 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,680 Speaker 1: For Derek Brown, I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. 619 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,679 Speaker 2: Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 620 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,399 Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 621 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 622 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:57,480 Speaker 3: or Spotify. 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