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Speaker 1: Earners. What's up.

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Speaker 2: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before

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Speaker 2: one simple system. One of the things we love most

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Speaker 2: writing our community that started with a small takeout counter.

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Speaker 2: Now with Square, they've been able to expand into a

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Speaker 2: full sit down restaurant and even started catering events across

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Speaker 2: back end so you can keep pushing your vision forward.

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Speaker 3: Taiwan and this is a country that we talked about

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Speaker 3: a lot, Taiwan Semiconductor, one of the most important companies

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Speaker 3: on the stock market, a company that has done very well,

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Speaker 3: and know it's in a lot of people's portfolio.

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Speaker 1: You're welcome. Will this push.

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Speaker 3: China over the edge and take in Taiwan? And Taiwan

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Speaker 3: Semiconductor is the a threat for t s M even higher. Now,

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Speaker 3: is there a time frame will win? You're saying this year, well,

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Speaker 3: he said this, he said this year, Okay, ahead, I

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Speaker 3: was gonna say.

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Speaker 2: My answer is no, I don't think they they take

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Speaker 2: it over this year. I feel like the country, the country,

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Speaker 2: they're not going to take over the Taiwan And when

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Speaker 2: you hear him speak, it almost seems like he's speaking inevitably,

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Speaker 2: like at some point that is going to happen. I

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Speaker 2: don't think it's now. I think in terms of war, right,

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Speaker 2: this would create war. You don't tell the enemy or

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Speaker 2: the proposed land that we're coming to take you over.

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Speaker 1: Trump did it with Venezuela.

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Speaker 2: The dancer put them over the top. I think the

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Speaker 2: dance on the ground. But yeah, I think war war

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Speaker 2: here is the last resort. And because of the importance

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Speaker 2: of what Taiwan semi conductor means to the world economy,

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Speaker 2: including China's economy, Well now we.

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Speaker 3: See what you don't got to go to war, though

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Speaker 3: you could just do they this finished whale thing.

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Speaker 2: Well no, well for them because just because of you're

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Speaker 2: talking about taking over the entire country, they went to

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Speaker 2: go take the president right like.

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Speaker 1: Trump say, Trump saying we're gonna going to run the country.

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Speaker 1: This is what he does. What Trump said.

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Speaker 4: What I'm saying for for for Taiwan is it's a

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Speaker 4: little bit more.

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Speaker 1: He's going to do that remote the person they want.

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Speaker 2: They don't necessarily want to obviously they want to take

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Speaker 2: the land, but the most important asset is that company.

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Speaker 3: But it's not just that though, but it's the most important.

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Speaker 3: But they want they wanted the country. They wanted Taiwan

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Speaker 3: before long time.

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Speaker 5: For what's the number one what's the most important asset

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Speaker 5: right now? But I'm saying this Taiwan goes predates TSM.

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Speaker 5: I know that, but I'm saying number one ascid they

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Speaker 5: have is TSM. Why is that so important?

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Speaker 2: Because the future of the world's economy relies on semi conductors,

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Speaker 2: relies on ai is the race that they want to win.

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Speaker 4: They feel like they have to win. That's the most important.

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Speaker 2: Piece when talking about ninety percent of the world's semiconductors

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Speaker 2: being manufactured from a company. That's a piece that we

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Speaker 2: have to have and it's right there for us to take.

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Speaker 2: It won't be an easy invasion. In fact, I think

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Speaker 2: was it two months ago Wall Street Journal put it

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Speaker 2: out how they could do it.

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Speaker 4: I'm like, this is interesting.

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Speaker 2: Why are we putting this out in November about how

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Speaker 2: it could be done and how it wouldn't be an

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Speaker 2: easy process.

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Speaker 4: I don't think it happens.

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Speaker 2: Number One, again, it's strategically to say it out loud

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Speaker 2: and to try to go ahead and do it. I

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Speaker 2: don't think that would be the way that historically how

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Speaker 2: China has done things right. I think they look at

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Speaker 2: the long term vision of where the country wants to be,

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Speaker 2: and they know where they need to be right, and

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Speaker 2: so having TSM crumble would hurt not just our economy,

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Speaker 2: it hurt theirs too. You still need that, right, even

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Speaker 2: though there's been reports of Nvidio chips getting smuggled in

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Speaker 2: and those were manufactured, bout teach them. You still need

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Speaker 2: that company to function to make sure that you don't

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Speaker 2: fall as well.

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Speaker 4: Right, that's like cutting off your nose, right.

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Speaker 1: Use the word crumble with it. They don't. I don't

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Speaker 1: think the plan is the crumble. The plans take it over.

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Speaker 2: But so inside of that that that company, there's a

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Speaker 2: kill switch, right, So you can't just come into that

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Speaker 2: space and say like we're going to invade and we're

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Speaker 2: going to take over this company and it's going to

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Speaker 2: be run.

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Speaker 4: There's a kill switch.

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Speaker 3: Unless you have people on the inside. And Aula inside China,

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Speaker 3: they got inside me.

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Speaker 2: They've tried it. They've tried it a bunch of times,

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Speaker 2: and they're still trying. It's been toward it They tried

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Speaker 2: it in the Netherlands with ASML, They've tried it with

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Speaker 2: Taiwan Semi Conducted. They actually got this a guy they're

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Speaker 2: trying to bring back from China. They're trying to say, like, yo,

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Speaker 2: we need him extra dried back because he left Taiwan

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Speaker 2: Semi Conductor to try to give away the secrets of

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Speaker 2: how they were manufacturing, how they were using the machines

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Speaker 2: to manufacture. So they've tried it, they're still trying it,

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Speaker 2: but that company is still so important. It's still so important.

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Speaker 2: Like you can, like I said, when you take apart

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Speaker 2: a GPU or you break.

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Speaker 1: Down one of the machines.

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Speaker 2: It's not something that's like, hey, we can put this

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Speaker 2: back together. There's certain details, there's certain intricacies that only

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Speaker 2: this company is going to be able to do right.

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Speaker 2: And this is why the investment inside the United States

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Speaker 2: was strategics right. It wasn't just by accident that yeah,

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Speaker 2: we want you to put fabs here. You know what

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Speaker 2: you did one here, come now we need three of them.

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Speaker 2: They understood the geopolitical issues that were at hand. I

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Speaker 2: don't I don't think they invade this year. I think

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Speaker 2: they look long term at some point, they will try

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Speaker 2: to seize it. But by that time I think the

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Speaker 2: fabs will be throughout the world and the impact.

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Speaker 1: Won't be as great.

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Speaker 3: But everybody's from Jensen's from Taiwan, and his cousin who's

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Speaker 3: the CEO of AMD, she's from Taiwan.

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Speaker 4: The American citizens.

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Speaker 1: True.

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Speaker 6: But but I'm gonna rap up both points because here's

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Speaker 6: was really important. Forty of US GDP last year came

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Speaker 6: from forty two tech stocks in around centered around and

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Speaker 6: video open AI. But the key cornerstone point and that

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Speaker 6: TSM is responsible for twenty percent of that. So China

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Speaker 6: feels as if this is the point Rashad is making

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Speaker 6: because that province was taken away from US. You took

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Speaker 6: away our chance to be the number one global leader anyway.

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Speaker 6: Is there a kill switching there?

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Speaker 1: Yes?

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Speaker 6: Are there some reports of some espionage going on in case?

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Speaker 1: Highly likely.

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Speaker 6: So it's a global war and a tech war. But

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Speaker 6: you took our most precious gym of a country and

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Speaker 6: the tech americanized it because without the AI trade, we

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Speaker 6: would have underperformed Europe. Not no one's really talking about that, like.

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Speaker 2: That's not fair, that's not fair, only because it wasn't tech. Right,

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Speaker 2: it was manufacturing first, right, nobody manufacturers right, Like we

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Speaker 2: grew up in that era where you got your sneakers

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Speaker 2: like made in Taiwan. Right, ai is a new newer

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Speaker 2: thing because of and that was an American mistake, right,

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Speaker 2: like for sure, right like they Intel dropped the exactly

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Speaker 2: dropped the ball on their engineer who then went through

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Speaker 2: Taiwan to create Taiwan Semiconductor now and from eighty eight

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Speaker 2: on now like wait, yeah, they have a gem there

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Speaker 2: now it makes sense.

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Speaker 4: Of course you would want that land back, of course

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Speaker 4: you would.

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Speaker 2: And once you saw the technology that's there, of course,

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Speaker 2: and you see where the futures sad, of course you

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Speaker 2: want it back.

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Speaker 4: I just don't think they're taking it back.

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Speaker 6: And I don't think he'll do it this year. But

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Speaker 6: if something were to happen in twenty seven, for my

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Speaker 6: for my accounts, say, old baby, and if something happens

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Speaker 6: in twenty seven, he's not going to start the war.

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Speaker 1: But if the war gets started, he't gonna finish it.

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Speaker 4: He's going we can't now, Old Jose said, we can't

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Speaker 4: have to happen. We just can't have to happen.

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Speaker 6: Is that a kill switch? Yes, but is there some

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Speaker 6: we are seeing high level war games like the Venezuela thing.

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Speaker 6: That's the entry, that's the kindergarten level of its interesting happening.

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Speaker 4: Us they take the president of Venezuela.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't automatically warrant a response from China.

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Speaker 4: Right, Yes, we want you to send them back. That

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Speaker 4: was an illegal act of war.

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Speaker 2: If they invade or tried to invade Taiwan, that's.

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Speaker 6: Gonnabate us to immediate Sometimes you got to throw the

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Speaker 6: snowball in your get them. Yeah, come on, what you

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Speaker 6: wanna do?

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Speaker 4: Nah, that's gonna be an immediate response. Now, this is

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Speaker 4: that's war.

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Speaker 3: Well maybe not, maybe not immediate response because the New

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Speaker 3: York Times, which is a pretty credible organization, they had

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Speaker 3: a they put out a whole thing of how America

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Speaker 3: cannot beat China in the Wall War, and they said

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Speaker 3: the Pentagon went through twenty different war simulations in law

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Speaker 3: that every time. So if you know you can't beat

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Speaker 3: somebody all, it takes somebody to actually call your bluff.

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Speaker 2: That's all fair and fun and games, right, But the

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Speaker 2: reality is this you're talking about in video, you're talking

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Speaker 2: about Apple, you're talking about Microsoft, you're talking about Brocon,

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Speaker 2: you're talking about Meta all your your major companies catastrophe, Nona,

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Speaker 2: you can't let it happen.

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Speaker 1: You mean us being involved in a one.

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Speaker 4: If we don't get involved, that's what's at risk.

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Speaker 1: Or what if they get us involved?

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Speaker 6: To expose the lack of book management and Ponzi that's

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Speaker 6: been going on in the country. That's a bunch of

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Speaker 6: ways to from those companies to overall market. Okay, overall market,

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Speaker 6: not those companies. Those are even a hyper concentration.

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Speaker 1: For sure, you know what I'm saying, can't risk it.

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Speaker 6: But ten stocks account for thirty five percent of US

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Speaker 6: market value, and I'm a pro hyper concentration person. That's

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Speaker 6: too much fucking concentration. We've never seen. We haven't had

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Speaker 6: a Santa Claus rally in three years. What that spells

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Speaker 6: off for those you are watching there is gross mismanagement

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Speaker 6: and corruption like we've never seen. That's interesting for every

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Speaker 6: hedge fund, pension fund, fund of fund, p e v E,

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Speaker 6: A VC angel to put all of their chips in

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Speaker 6: to ten when there's four or five thousand and the

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Speaker 6: thing that's not talked about it since the eighties, we

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Speaker 6: have probably two or three thousand companies that have been

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Speaker 6: delisted and have never come back. So we have a contraction,

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Speaker 6: and now we have all this hype of concentration in

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Speaker 6: why because there's gross mismanagement somewhere.

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Speaker 4: Do you do you think the hyper concentration gets better

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Speaker 4: in twenty six.

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Speaker 1: Or probably I think it's gonna increase. It's gonna get worse.

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Speaker 4: It's gonna be worse.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna get worse.

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Speaker 2: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank.

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Speaker 2: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring,

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Speaker 2: and sure, they definitely can be, But understanding a professionals

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Speaker 2: what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life. P

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Speaker 2: and C Bank Brilliantly Boring to eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly

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Speaker 2: Boring since eighteen sixty five is a service mark of

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