1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: Today we soak in what was an epic day of 3 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: college football and turn the page with our week seven 4 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: early picks and line movement predictions. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, 5 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 1: and I'm recovering from a weekend of football heartbreak that 6 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 1: lasted into the wee hours of Monday morning, and I'm 7 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: joined by my colleague and fellow Lures fan Scott Bogman. 8 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: Good afternoon, my friend. What a weekend in the sports world. 9 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 2: I know, man, just the crazy upsets. You know, it 10 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 2: looked like we were talking about it. You know a 11 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 2: lot of people call it an apple pick in Saturday, 12 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 2: but it was. It was ready for some upsets and 13 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 2: we got a couple huge ones here. So very very 14 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 2: fun weekend of football for sure. Ended up a little 15 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,280 Speaker 2: over five hundred on my bets front today as well, 16 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 2: so we'll take that. 17 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 3: So good. Yeah, decent weekend outside. 18 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 2: Of our Steelers dropping at the very last second of 19 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 2: the last game of the weekend, so. 20 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was. It was a late one. I was 21 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: trying to keep my eyes open for it, and it 22 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: was heartbreak nonetheless. But we will turn the page here 23 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: today the outline for today's program. We're going to react 24 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,680 Speaker 1: to Week six of the college football season, break down 25 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: the latest ranking movement as we allude to some huge 26 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: upsets all weekend long among some of the powerhouses. We'll 27 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: also give you an early handicap for the eleven biggest 28 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: games on the Week seven slate. I also want to 29 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: shout out everyone who makes us part of their weekly routine. 30 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: We see the numbers, we see the engagement, and we 31 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 1: thank you for that. This week in the comments, I 32 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,440 Speaker 1: want to know who's on your no betting list for 33 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 1: the rest of the season. What teams have burned you 34 00:01:31,959 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 1: and you're not going back? For me? Bogman, it's Michigan. 35 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 1: They've torn my heart out too many times. They're my rival, 36 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 1: and I keep betting on them, so I should know 37 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: better at this point. Who's on your no betting list? 38 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 2: I mean Texas. I won't bet Texas for the luck, 39 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 2: but I don't know. If I feel like I get 40 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 2: a good sense of a team, I will bet them 41 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 2: even if I've lost on them all year long. So 42 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: I don't know that I have a no betting but 43 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 2: I have games that I'm like I definitely have games 44 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 2: from like that's two close like it. I'm just gonna 45 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 2: be a fan and sit back and watch that game. 46 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna be the guy to put money on it. 47 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 2: So there are some games every weekend I won't touch, 48 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 2: but usually not a team. Last year, I will say 49 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: Notre Dame just was the bane of my existence. I 50 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 2: got them wrong like six weeks in a row, and 51 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: I just quit betting them. So we're not quite there yet. 52 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 2: I've tried to diversify a little bit, but I tell 53 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: you what, Michigan has been tough. They have been tough 54 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 2: to pick all years. So that is a that is 55 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 2: the team. If I was picking one that I'd probably 56 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 2: just be like, I'm just gonna stay away from these 57 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 2: guys from now on. 58 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, let us know in the comments, guys, who are 59 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 1: you not gonna be betting here this season? We'd love 60 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 1: to hear from you. And before we jump in, I 61 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: wanted to remind you if you want a chance to 62 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,799 Speaker 1: win a signed Kyron Williams Los Angeles Rams jersey for 63 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: free courtesy for our friends over at Pristine Auction dot com, 64 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 1: all you gotta do is hit subscribe on the Betting 65 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel right now, drop a comment below on 66 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:56,359 Speaker 1: one of our videos, and that's it. We'll announce a 67 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: winner right here on the channel. So make sure you 68 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: turn on those notifications so you can be alerted when 69 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: new videos are up and acclaim your prize. It was 70 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: one of those weekends, Bogman, where I feel like it 71 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:09,519 Speaker 1: reminds so many of us why we love this sport 72 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: of college football. Five top twenty five teams went down 73 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: to unranked programs, as did number nine Missouri, who got 74 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 1: whacked by number twenty five Texas A and m Number 75 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: one Alabama upset by Vanderbilt. The goalpost makes its way 76 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:25,959 Speaker 1: to the river in downtown Nashville. Number ten Michigan lost 77 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: to unranked Washington when they decided to bench Alex Org 78 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,679 Speaker 1: for six year Jack Tuttle. Our boy Bridge must have 79 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: been buzzing down in Arkansas as his Razorbacks knockoff number 80 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: four Tennessee. Nineteen fourteen. SMU also takes down Louisville and 81 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: on Friday night Syracuse they beat UNLV in overtime. A 82 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: lot to unpack here, Bogman, where do we start. 83 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 2: Well, let's start with that Syracuse and UNLV games. That 84 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 2: game was crazy and a lot of fun to watch. 85 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 2: Having Syracuse on the money line and plus the points. 86 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 2: I was like a part of this, can I get 87 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 2: the whole thing now? And we ended up getting the 88 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 2: whole thing. Hodgman Lake Williams got my touchdown prop as well, 89 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 2: didn't get my rushing yards prop, but did get the 90 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 2: touchdown prop. So a fun game to watch, a good 91 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 2: way to kind of start the weekend there on Friday 92 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 2: night going into Saturday. 93 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 3: A lot of fun. 94 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was. It was one of those fun games 95 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 1: that even though it was a little bit later here 96 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: on the East Coast, I was wide open because there 97 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 1: was one of those fourth down runs by the Syracuse 98 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: running back and I thought he was gonna get tackled 99 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 1: in the backfield game over no cover, and he makes 100 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: the fourth down conversion there, and then they get it 101 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: into overtime, and yeah, just well done by the Orange there, 102 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 1: Kyle mccordan company. And then it led to just such 103 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: a crazy Saturday. I'm not like totally surprised that Michigan, 104 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,160 Speaker 1: you know, gets beat because hey, like we backed him, 105 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: that's what happened. Same with Missouri, like they were underdogs 106 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: for a reason at some point. But Alabama losing to Vanderbilt. Like, 107 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt's kind of been one of those teams Bogs where 108 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,799 Speaker 1: they're frisky, but could they really be alibate? And boy 109 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:01,359 Speaker 1: did they? 110 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean that game Alabama got run on that. 111 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 2: That's what it is is you know, Vandy salted away 112 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 2: the clock at the end of the game by running 113 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 2: on him, just converting third downs. 114 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 3: It was. 115 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 2: It was a crazy game. And it's one of those 116 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,720 Speaker 2: games where I wasn't really paying too much attention to it, 117 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,239 Speaker 2: to be honest to you with you, because I didn't 118 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 2: take that game and that was the ultimate letdown spot. 119 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 2: But also Bama is so much better than Vandy. You think, hmmm, 120 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm just gonna stay away from this one. 121 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 2: It feels trappy either way you take it. It was not Vandy. 122 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 2: What was Vandy on the money line? I mean, was 123 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 2: anybody taking it like? That game was just crazy, the 124 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 2: first number one victory for Vandy. I did like how 125 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 2: they played Nick Saban over the stadium as soon as 126 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 2: the game ended. The only place it ain't hard to 127 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 2: play at is Vanderbilt. No disrespect to them, but they 128 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,479 Speaker 2: don't have any fans. Well the fans showed Nick Saban 129 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 2: and Alabama in the world. They took the goalpost and 130 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 2: dumped it into the river. So just an incredible moment 131 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 2: for Vandy football. Really cool to see. And you know, Alabama, 132 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 2: Alabama's gotta get I mean, that is the biggest emotional 133 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,919 Speaker 2: letdown that you've ever seen, you know. Yeah, you beat 134 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 2: Georgia in a crazy comeback after you were winning and 135 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 2: then drop one here. Just not a great effort. I 136 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 2: expect Bama to get up off the mat though. 137 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: Yeah. And now we have just five unbeaten teams remaining 138 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: in the top twenty five. At the top, it's your 139 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 1: Texas Longhorns, my Penn State in India Lions, also Ohio 140 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: State and Oregon who will do battle this next weekend, 141 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 1: and then Iowa State and BYU. They've kind of emerged 142 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: as the top dogs in the Big twelve right now. 143 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: Indiana and Signetti keep it rolling as well. They're number 144 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: eighteenth in the country and little old Pitt number twenty two. 145 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 1: They're kind of making things interesting in the ACC as well. 146 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 1: Who's the biggest surprise among this group of unbeaten for you, currently, 147 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 1: Bogman Pitt. 148 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 2: Pitt has to be I mean, that offense. Eli Holstein 149 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,240 Speaker 2: getting dropped in and doing what he does is so 150 00:06:58,320 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 2: super impressive. 151 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,119 Speaker 3: Defense is little better than you expect. 152 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 2: They're still gonna give up points, but you know they've 153 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 2: had they haven't had the easiest schedule and they've been 154 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 2: winning games. So pretty impressed by Pitt here so far. 155 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: Looking at the Heisman race as well, Ashton genty. He 156 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 1: is now the favorite plus two twenty out of Boise State. 157 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: There Travis Hunter plus three twenty as well. I'm now 158 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: getting thirteen X on my Travis Hunter Heisman ticket here 159 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: without sixty five to one. It's more than doubled in 160 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: the past week here, Bogman, I think we keep it 161 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 1: riding at this point. 162 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 2: Yes, I'm with you, just if you have a ticket 163 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 2: on one of those guys. Yeah, you're not cash now, 164 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 2: you're letting it ride. Let's see one more week. I mean, Quinn, 165 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 2: you were, is gonna play again this week? 166 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 1: Yeah? 167 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 2: He can get back into it. I don't know though 168 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 2: he missed. You know, a couple of games missed is 169 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 2: not great for that, you know. I just it has 170 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 2: to be gent right now. It looks like he's gonna 171 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 2: run for three thousand yards and score thirty touchdowns, like 172 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 2: the guy scored a sixty three yard or whatever it 173 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 2: was from in the first play of the game. Utah 174 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 2: states trocious by the way, they're not good, So I mean, 175 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 2: but the rest of his schedule is very favorable for 176 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: him to potentially set some records. So Jean t looks 177 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 2: like the guy right now. I think other guys will 178 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 2: get back in the mix here. But Travis Hunter to me, 179 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 2: I don't know how you give it to someone. But 180 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 2: Travis Hunter, if he stays healthy the whole year, if 181 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: he stays healthy the whole year, and he plays both 182 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 2: ways at this level, We've just never seen anybody do it, 183 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 2: so I think he would have to get it. But 184 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 2: is Colorado gonna win enough games for him to be 185 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 2: in consideration? 186 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 3: That is that is a true question. 187 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll talk about Colorado later in the program today, 188 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: and let's start this party on Friday night in Tempe, Arizona, 189 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: where the unranked Sun Devils welcome the sixteenth ranked Utah. Utah, 190 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,439 Speaker 1: of course, coming off a bye week following that embarrassing 191 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 1: twenty three to ten loss to Arizona at home in 192 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: week five. The case of cam rising is one Boggain 193 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 1: that probably should be like studied in a lab, because 194 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: who knows if this pirate looking guy is gonna be 195 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 1: taking the field any time, doesn't need. 196 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 3: To be studied. It's just lying. It's just this on 197 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 3: a study on how to lie. He ain't play. 198 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: I think he's done, okay, alright, well yeah, I'm just 199 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: perplexed by it because every report, I mean, you know 200 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: how getting college football injury news is tough to begin with, 201 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: and then you got coaches saying one thing and doing another. Utah, though, 202 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 1: is still two and three against the spread this season, 203 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: four and one two the under. It's really been that 204 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 1: sixteenth ring defense that has kind of been carrying them 205 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 1: so far. For the Arizona State side of things, they're 206 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,360 Speaker 1: four and one against the spread, four and one straight 207 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 1: up as well. Their only lost came against Texas Tech. 208 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 1: I don't know many people who watched that game against 209 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: Kansas last week. Kansas has been a huge disappointment this season, 210 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: but they were trading blows left and right, back and 211 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: forth Sam Levitt for passing touchdowns for him to come 212 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: back and beat the Jayhawks. But it's really been that 213 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: thirty first ranked defense. Running Back Cam Scabito who've been 214 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 1: leading this team. Utah currently favored anywhere from three and 215 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: a half to four and a half for opening as 216 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: a five and a half point favorite. Where do you 217 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,319 Speaker 1: see this line shifting, Bogman? 218 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, well it's already headed a little bit towards ASU here. 219 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 2: But the tickets and cash are big on Utah right now, 220 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 2: so I think maybe it's gonna head that way. I 221 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 2: don't think that we have enough information to say one 222 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 2: way or the other, though, I think this line will 223 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,679 Speaker 2: stay pretty stable. I think this is low enough to 224 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 2: where ASU is at home. It's going to be hot. 225 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 2: You're gonna see a lot of rotation in this game 226 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 2: in terms of players coming in and out because. 227 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 3: Of the heat. 228 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 2: My question in this game is how does Arizona State 229 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 2: have enough push to move Utah on each side of 230 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 2: the ball. Can they get the running game going against them? 231 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 3: Maybe? 232 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 2: But I think it's it's easier to beat Utah through 233 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 2: the past than it is on the ground. If you're 234 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 2: just gonna out physical Utah. There's not many teams in 235 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:51,439 Speaker 2: the Big Twelve they're going to do that in creating 236 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,719 Speaker 2: Arizona State and that this has been their signature. But 237 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 2: ASU ninetyeth and passing yards per game they create a 238 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,959 Speaker 2: little bit above average, So this is gonna come down 239 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:04,400 Speaker 2: to what sam Levitt can do with this offense. I 240 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 2: feel like, and I am probably not gonna be a 241 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 2: buyer on sam Levitt. So for me, I don't hate 242 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 2: the over in this game because this line is set 243 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 2: pretty low at forty five point five. 244 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 3: I think the Arizona State's teacers. 245 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:21,320 Speaker 2: Can be had, even by Isaac Wilson, who we all 246 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:22,719 Speaker 2: assume is going to play in this. 247 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 3: Game, and not Cam Rising. 248 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 2: But so I think I like the over more than 249 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 2: I like a side here, but if it opens up 250 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 2: too much towards one side or the other, I will 251 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 2: bet the other side. But I think this line is 252 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 2: pretty close to being right. 253 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 3: Yeah. 254 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, too early in the week for a betting pros projections. 255 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 1: I'm excited to kind of see where they say the 256 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: value lies within this. But those underdogs on Friday Night, 257 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 1: you know, man, they've been frisky. They continue to cash 258 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 1: tickets for people, So so yeah, I think if this 259 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,440 Speaker 1: does open up a little more for Arizona State, maybe 260 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 1: I would jump on them. But I do like that 261 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,480 Speaker 1: overplay as well. Forty five seems like a pretty low 262 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: number for these two squads. Here. Let's go ahead and 263 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 1: move to Saturday and the noonslate, where in Tuscaloosa, number 264 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: seven Alabama they look to rebound from their upset loss 265 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: to Vandy. I'll be honest for you, yeah, man, like 266 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: you just don't expect. Like you said, Vandy controlled the 267 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: time possession forty two minutes, won the turnover margin two 268 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,080 Speaker 1: and oh. Last week it felt like they just didn't 269 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 1: get milrow going on the ground after having a ton 270 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 1: of success with that against Georgia. But the South Carolina 271 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 1: team that they're gonna be facing off against Alabama will 272 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,439 Speaker 1: be They just got out class by Ole Miss twenty 273 00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: seven to three here. So are they gonna have enough here? 274 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: Are they gonna have enough here to stop Alabama? Alabama 275 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 1: now three and two against the spread, three and two 276 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 1: to the over as well, favored by twenty one and 277 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 1: a half points. Bogman, Is that enough? 278 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:44,679 Speaker 3: I think that's probably too many. 279 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 2: I think this number might be right if we get 280 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 2: angry Alabama that comes in focused and really does everything 281 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 2: they can to you know, because at this point, I 282 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 2: think what your goal should be is to beat everyone convincingly, 283 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 2: and you have to have that has to be a 284 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 2: moniker of leave no doubt right, Like we're going to 285 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:07,079 Speaker 2: beat everyone handedly, so you. 286 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:09,839 Speaker 3: Know, the voters move us up and up and up, 287 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 3: but they've been run on. 288 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 2: I mean, if I gave you three chances to guess 289 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,200 Speaker 2: where Alabama rinks nationally and rushing yards allowed per game, 290 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 2: where do you think it would be? It's fifty four 291 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,680 Speaker 2: for Alabama. Fifty four fifty four for Alabama. 292 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,079 Speaker 1: That is, it's not something you expect like ever out 293 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 1: of Alabama runs. 294 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:35,679 Speaker 2: No And that's what South Carolina does on offense really well. 295 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 2: Is they run with Sellers and Sanders and they're both 296 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 2: They were both less than one hundred percent coming in. 297 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 2: They didn't look good against Ole Miss. How good are 298 00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 2: they going to look? I don't trust South Carolina. That's 299 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,680 Speaker 2: really my thing here. So same for me, I think 300 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 2: this number is too far in the Alabama direction to take, 301 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 2: so I probably wouldn't take it. This is another one 302 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 2: where fifty and a half I think might be too 303 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:02,439 Speaker 2: low if Alabama really wants to pour it on every 304 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 2: team moving forward here, So are they going to be 305 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 2: able to do that? I mean, it's not that they 306 00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 2: didn't control the line of scrimmage against Vandy, how are 307 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:10,720 Speaker 2: they gonna do it against South Carolina? 308 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 3: On both sides, it is scary. 309 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 2: So my gut says, South Carolina, this is too many points, 310 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 2: But my gut really says and it's a big gut 311 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 2: over so let's go with the over here. 312 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 1: Okay. Yeah, this is another one of those tough ones 313 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: man kind with like the realignments and the shakeup of 314 00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 1: just like not having divisions in the SEC and the 315 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: Big ten. Is like, there's not a lot of history 316 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 1: between these two teams, which you think there would be. 317 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 1: Alabama is thirteen three all time, but they've only just 318 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 1: played them once in the past fourteen years. So just 319 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: something to kind of keep in mind there. These are 320 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 1: games that I necessarily haven't liked to get totally invested with, 321 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:49,320 Speaker 1: but I totally understand if you want to go with 322 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 1: the over there, or you know, wait it out so 323 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: you can get a better number on South Carolina later 324 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 1: in the week. Before we continue, I did want to 325 00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 1: remind you to join our college football podcast group, Think 326 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 1: Your Picks, and you use the quick Pick feature on 327 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 1: the Betting Pro Sports betting app and get a chance 328 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 1: to win free prizes. You can elevate your betting strategy 329 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: and join the conversation today at bettingpros dot com slash College. 330 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: Back in the Berg, the twenty second ranked Pitt Panthers 331 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: host the California and Golden Bears, who have to be reeling, 332 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 1: absolutely reeling after blowing a twenty point fourth quarter lead 333 00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 1: to Miami on Saturday night. Pitt comes in as three 334 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites and five to zero against 335 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 1: the spread after getting the best of UNC thirty four 336 00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: to twenty four on the road. However, cal has been 337 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:37,320 Speaker 1: a covering machine still this season, four and one against 338 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: the spread three to zeros underdogs. Pitt has that fourth 339 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:44,359 Speaker 1: ranked total offense, led by dual threat quarterback Eli Holstein. 340 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: Where do you think the line stands on Saturday morning 341 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 1: in Akoshire Stadium? Because I kind of want to get 342 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 1: invested in Pitt, but California they've just been so good 343 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 1: as the underdog here. 344 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 2: They have been good. But to me, this is a 345 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:01,480 Speaker 2: letdown spot. I mean, you know, they they were just 346 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 2: they just got so up to play Miami and they 347 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 2: had that game in the bag and let it slip. 348 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 2: So that is a tough spot to be in the 349 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 2: week after that that was a late game. 350 00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 3: Now you have. 351 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 2: To travel all the way across the country to play 352 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 2: one of the hottest teams in the country in their 353 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 2: own stadium. 354 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 3: That is a tough draw for Cal this week. 355 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 2: So my initial gut feeling about this game is I 356 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 2: like Pitt. The number likes Pit here as well, or 357 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 2: the public excuse me, likes Pitt here as well. So 358 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 2: I think this line is going to open up towards them. 359 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 2: I mean, callus strong, This is going to be strength 360 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 2: on strength when Pitt's offenses on the field like callus strong. Defensively, 361 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 2: twenty fifth in points allowed per game, this is this 362 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 2: is a very very strong defensive team. And I've always 363 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 2: called them underrated, but this is a sixth best passing 364 00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 2: team in the country for Pitt right now. So I 365 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 2: just you know, I think it's gonna be crazy high 366 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 2: scoring because Pitt's defense isn't as great as their offense is. 367 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 2: But I don't really trust Cal coming off that big 368 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 2: loss at home, traveling all the way across the country. Yeah, 369 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 2: I don't like it at all. I'm gonna take Pitt 370 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 2: and lay the points pretty easy, and I think you 371 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 2: need to get this one earlier because it looks like 372 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,400 Speaker 2: it's gonna open up towards pitt. 373 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 1: Okay, I don't know if you saw it, Bogman, but 374 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,679 Speaker 1: the gates were trampled down for a college game day 375 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:31,360 Speaker 1: at like eleven thirty pm on Friday nights. So those 376 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 1: fans were there all night long, all throughout the day, 377 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 1: boozing heavy, yep, and then get let down like that. 378 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 2: So you can still see the sun coming up during 379 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,439 Speaker 2: game day. I mean, yeah, that was early early on 380 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 2: the West coast for sure. 381 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, it was a cool sight, nonetheless, and I hope, 382 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 1: I hope everyone out there and cal enjoyed it. But 383 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: this Pittsburgh, baby, we don't mess around out here. Meanwhile, 384 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:56,239 Speaker 1: in southern California, it's now the unranked USC Trojans who 385 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 1: will host the fourth ranked Penn State Nitney Lions. Penn 386 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: State favorite four and a half points here, but they 387 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,119 Speaker 1: are just two and three against the spread this season 388 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 1: after beating UCLA by sixteen last week. Nick Singleton was 389 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 1: a surprise inactive in that game. Drew Aller said something 390 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 1: along the lines of like, yeah, I didn't know he 391 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:14,639 Speaker 1: wasn't gonna be out there until I got out there 392 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:16,240 Speaker 1: in the first play and he wasn't out there next 393 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 1: to me. USC though kind of been sputtering in Big 394 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 1: ten play here in Bogman. Not totally surprising, but they 395 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 1: did lose to Minnesota last week in a game that 396 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: they were ten and a half point favorites. That they 397 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 1: also had to have a huge second half comeback the 398 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: week before to beat Wisconsin at home. They collapsed in 399 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 1: the second half against Michigan as well. I've only been 400 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,640 Speaker 1: Penn State once this season, and that was Week one 401 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,640 Speaker 1: against West Virginia. Is this another time we should maybe 402 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: get invested with coach Franklin, Drew Aller and company. Or 403 00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 1: should we maybe wait till closer, till Saturday to maybe 404 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 1: get more favorable price. 405 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 2: No, I don't think you're gonna get that because at 406 00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 2: least as of Monday, and Monday is early. I mean, 407 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:58,479 Speaker 2: the wins can shift in all of that. I mean, 408 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 2: let's get a real update on Singleton right outside of yeah, 409 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,159 Speaker 2: he wasn't available to play, whatever that means. 410 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 3: Thank you. You know that. 411 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 2: It would be great if we got just a little 412 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 2: bit more digging on that. But my question in this 413 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:14,160 Speaker 2: game is the turnovers killed USC last week. Can they 414 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 2: cut them down at home, right, that is the big thing. 415 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 2: This is big travel for Penn State. Obviously again this 416 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,920 Speaker 2: weirdness of conference realignment and everything. We got Cal going 417 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 2: to pit we got Penn State going to Cal. You know, 418 00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 2: like what is happening here? This is a lot of traveling. 419 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 2: But to me, it's how good is Penn State's defense? 420 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 2: The only team to score more than twelve points against 421 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:41,160 Speaker 2: them so far this year was Bowling Green. 422 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 1: Okay, So. 423 00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 2: Is USC and Miller Moss going to be able to 424 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:50,680 Speaker 2: Are they going to be able to move the ball 425 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:52,199 Speaker 2: in Penn State or is this going to be like 426 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:53,439 Speaker 2: what West Virginia looked like? 427 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 3: That game was weird? It was week one. 428 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 2: It wasn't as much continuity for WVU as there is 429 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:02,040 Speaker 2: for USC now. And how much does the home crowd 430 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 2: play an effect in this game? 431 00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 3: Right? 432 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:07,239 Speaker 2: So I think it's gonna be okay. Since it's an 433 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 2: early game. I would be more worried about Penn State 434 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 2: if this was a night underneath the lights. 435 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:13,399 Speaker 3: It's this afternoon. 436 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,560 Speaker 2: It's just two thirty, three thirty kickoff, Okay, So three 437 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 2: thirty kickoff is still fine. You know, you're not disrupting 438 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 2: the internal clock like you were from Miami this week, 439 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 2: So I like Penn State in this game. I think 440 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,679 Speaker 2: USC is a better than we thought they were, but 441 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:31,840 Speaker 2: I still don't think they're there yet. So for me, 442 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: I like Penn State here. 443 00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: And get them earlier. Thinking you think four and a 444 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: half's probably the best number we're gonna get for him. 445 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 2: I mean, these teams are both so popular, I could 446 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 2: see it shifting one way to the other. So if 447 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:44,880 Speaker 2: you want to wait a day or two to see 448 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 2: which way it goes, I think if it's better a touchdown, 449 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 2: I'm still gonna be taking Penn State. 450 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 1: Okay, And remember, bog Maan, it's not a cult, man, 451 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,320 Speaker 1: it's a family. We're a family over here at Penn State, 452 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:55,399 Speaker 1: and there's room for you as well, buddy. Don't you 453 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,399 Speaker 1: don't you forget it? In Cotton Boll Stadium, we do 454 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: have your favorite team in an all ranked matchup between 455 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 1: the top ranked Longhorns and the eighteenth ranked Oklahoma Sooners. 456 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 1: Texas initially opened up as eight and a half point 457 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: favorites in this game. This spread has now grown out 458 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: to fourteen and a half points in favor of those Longhorns. 459 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,880 Speaker 1: Quinn viewers reportedly back at practice. Is that what you're 460 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: seeing as well? 461 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, Okay. 462 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 2: What I had heard was that if they weren't playing 463 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:25,080 Speaker 2: Ulm the week before, Okay, he could have played. So 464 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:26,479 Speaker 2: I assume he's gonna be up. 465 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,679 Speaker 1: Okay, Oklahoma. They did beat Auburn the last time we 466 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,640 Speaker 1: saw them play, However, they only covered as a two 467 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite because of a late game 468 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:38,119 Speaker 1: pick six. All indications are pointing it will be Michael 469 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:42,440 Speaker 1: Hawkins Junior once again under center for the Sooners here. Bogman, 470 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 1: I really want to back Texas here. I think they 471 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 1: should just strength of roster be Oklahoma pretty good here. 472 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: But the Sooners are seven to three against the long 473 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,399 Speaker 1: Horns in the last ten matchups of this rivalry. For 474 00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: that that includes last seasons thirty four to thirty win. 475 00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:00,199 Speaker 1: To rub a little more salt in that wound, can 476 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 1: we get invested here one way or the other right now? 477 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,080 Speaker 1: Or do we just ride this out till Saturday? 478 00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:05,879 Speaker 3: Yeah? 479 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,439 Speaker 2: I mean, if you want Texas, I think sit and 480 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:12,400 Speaker 2: wait because I think the money so far has been 481 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 2: on Oklahoma. And this game plays. This is the ultimate 482 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 2: cliche game of throw the record books out the window. 483 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 1: It really is every year. 484 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 2: Every year, every year, it seems like the favorite gets 485 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 2: upset in this game. So I'm not gonna mess with 486 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 2: it if you want Texas. Like I said, I think 487 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 2: Oklahoma is going to the Oklahoma fans are gonna make 488 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:37,840 Speaker 2: this a better line for you later in the week. 489 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 2: And that's the way the money stands right now. It's 490 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 2: not going crazy one way or the other. Is like 491 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:48,359 Speaker 2: the tickets are at I believe seventy percent of the 492 00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:52,399 Speaker 2: over they're on Oklahoma now, but that has already slipped 493 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 2: from what I looked at initially on Sunday. So I 494 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 2: think I think this is too many points. That's gonna 495 00:22:59,920 --> 00:23:02,959 Speaker 2: be probably be my stance here. I think this always 496 00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 2: comes to a late score, a touchdown something, you know, 497 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 2: or a field goal game, something like that. So both 498 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:15,879 Speaker 2: teams have two weeks to prep here. You know, there's 499 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:18,560 Speaker 2: there's gonna be some weirdness. There's gonna be some shenanigans, 500 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 2: There's going to be you know, Quinn needs to play 501 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 2: better than he played last year. 502 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:24,359 Speaker 3: That's what I really know. 503 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 2: So I think I'd be taking Oklahoma in the points 504 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 2: if I'm betting fourteen and a half. If it gets 505 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:37,440 Speaker 2: closer to you know, if it dips down to somewhere 506 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,400 Speaker 2: close to ten, maybe you can take Texas. 507 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 1: But to many points now, yeah, it's just. 508 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 3: Too many points. 509 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 2: And I know Quinn is coming back and they're the 510 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 2: number one team and all of that stuff, but honestly, 511 00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 2: throw that out in this game. This game is nasty, 512 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 2: it's ugly, it's weird, and it you know, again, going 513 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,160 Speaker 2: to be strength on strength when Texas offense is out 514 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,480 Speaker 2: there versus that OU defense. That's strength on strength and 515 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,119 Speaker 2: it's weakness on weakness on the other side. But Texas defense, 516 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,800 Speaker 2: I feel like it's way better than OU's offense is 517 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 2: right now. 518 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:09,280 Speaker 3: So if OHU. 519 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 2: Doesn't find anything on offense, you could see this turning 520 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 2: into an ugly game. But I think with two weeks 521 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 2: to prep, they're gonna find something in provo. 522 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 1: Meanwhile, the fourteenth ranked and undefeated BYU Cougar's take on 523 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 1: a wildly inconsistent Arizona team. Arizona has lost two of 524 00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: the last three, losing to Texas Tech last week as 525 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites. However, they did knock 526 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 1: off Utah in between those losses. For Jake Retslov kind 527 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 1: of been a jack of all for them, leading the 528 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:41,080 Speaker 1: team in both rushing and passing. The Cougars are five 529 00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 1: and zero against the spread. They've also covered by a 530 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:47,400 Speaker 1: wide margin almost every single week here now they're only 531 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 1: favored by three and a half once again, is this 532 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:52,600 Speaker 1: another opportunity to get in invested with a short number 533 00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:54,920 Speaker 1: and those wonderful folks over at BYU. 534 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:59,320 Speaker 2: Bogman, I think Arizona matches up well with BYU here, 535 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,919 Speaker 2: which is concerning. BYU hasn't really played a good passing 536 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:07,120 Speaker 2: offense yet they got SMU when they were struggling. They 537 00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 2: got k State when they had all those turnovers and 538 00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,919 Speaker 2: penalties and big plays. I kind of want to see 539 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,840 Speaker 2: if this line shifts one way or the other. There's 540 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,479 Speaker 2: not enough bets on it right now to have public 541 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:24,520 Speaker 2: tracking information, so there's just not enough there yet. You know, again, 542 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 2: BYU is a tough place to go play, right It's 543 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 2: just it is a hard environment for any team, and 544 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:36,960 Speaker 2: Arizona they're so up and down this season. This is 545 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,159 Speaker 2: definitely a team where if you're talking about one of 546 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,879 Speaker 2: those who are we not trusting, Arizona would probably be 547 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 2: on that list for me because I feel like every 548 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 2: time I back them they screw it up for me 549 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:51,160 Speaker 2: and every time I avoid them, they make me pay. 550 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:55,720 Speaker 2: So this game, I think I'm leaning towards BYU here, 551 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,320 Speaker 2: but I want to see which way this moves one 552 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 2: way or the other. But I do like this game 553 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,760 Speaker 2: is so confusing to me because I love I love 554 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:06,400 Speaker 2: the home field advantage for BYU. 555 00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 3: It's great. 556 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,959 Speaker 2: They're five and zero against the spread, Like you know, 557 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 2: it's tough to not like them, especially when Arizona's one 558 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,199 Speaker 2: in four against the spread, right like, they have not 559 00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,160 Speaker 2: been great. So I think I'm leaning on the home 560 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 2: team here, but let me see which way it shifts. 561 00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:24,960 Speaker 1: Okay, the primetime slate gets going here at seven Eastern 562 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,119 Speaker 1: time in Knoxville, where the eighth ranked Volves try to 563 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,719 Speaker 1: respond against the three and two Florida Gators. Last week's 564 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 1: lost for Tennessee ended their six to zero against spread 565 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:37,720 Speaker 1: streak dating back to last season. The Valls offense is 566 00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 1: really what kind of let them down? I think in 567 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,919 Speaker 1: that game just seven for sixteen on third downs, zero 568 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,680 Speaker 1: for two on fourth downs as well. For Nico and company, 569 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,840 Speaker 1: can they respond against Florida, who have now stacked back 570 00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: to back and pressive wins against UCF and Mississippi State. 571 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: They're kind of rolling out this two quarterback system. Graham 572 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:57,480 Speaker 1: Mertz kind of leaning the way there, but we have 573 00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:01,200 Speaker 1: seen some of the freshmen DJ lagway as well. Tennessee 574 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,879 Speaker 1: is favored by fifteen here, but this line has been 575 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 1: bet up quickly opening at ten. Florida won this game 576 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,159 Speaker 1: straight up last year as seven and a half point dogs, 577 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 1: and they've won eight of the last ten against the balls. 578 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 1: Here is it that one time a year to bet 579 00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,439 Speaker 1: Graham Mertz that our friend trels helpings about. 580 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,080 Speaker 3: I can't do it. I just can't do it. 581 00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:24,080 Speaker 2: And here's the reason is because we've seen we've seen 582 00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:28,520 Speaker 2: Florida get hammered a couple times here and the wins 583 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,399 Speaker 2: are nice against Mississippi State in UCF. But to me, 584 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 2: the big thing and I you know, I'm not the 585 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,400 Speaker 2: biggest trends guy. I'm not gonna look and see this 586 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 2: eight of seven and all of this stuff. I roll 587 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,400 Speaker 2: my eyes at the Texas and ou stuff because I've 588 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,360 Speaker 2: been you know, that's a game I'm invested in every year, 589 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:46,359 Speaker 2: no matter what I'm doing. 590 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:48,800 Speaker 3: So in those two games. 591 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:52,160 Speaker 2: To Florida one they didn't allow us sack that is 592 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:56,680 Speaker 2: not going to happen against Tennessee. Tennessee's defensive line, especially 593 00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 2: an angry refocused Tennessee, I think is going to massacre Florida. 594 00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 2: I don't I do not think this game is very close. 595 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 2: I know we've had some issues throwing the ball deep 596 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,679 Speaker 2: for Tennessee. Then that's really what got them against Arkansas. 597 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:14,600 Speaker 2: So Nico had a tough time there. He is, this 598 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 2: is a big game for him. He's still, you know, 599 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,200 Speaker 2: going to make those young guy mistakes. I just think 600 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 2: after last week, they're going to be refocused. And I 601 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 2: really I hate this two QB system that Florida has. 602 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I. 603 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,400 Speaker 2: Think if you have two qbs, you have no qbs 604 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,320 Speaker 2: is really what it is. And they're leaning more towards Mertz, 605 00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 2: so maybe it'll be more Mertz. But is he going 606 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,600 Speaker 2: to do enough to avoid that pass rush? Are they 607 00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 2: going to be able to run on Tennessee. I just 608 00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,880 Speaker 2: don't know how they do anything offensively. That's my thing. 609 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,719 Speaker 2: I know this game is weird, you know, I know 610 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,440 Speaker 2: it's traditionally a strange game and the crowd is going 611 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 2: to be wild and all that, but I hate I 612 00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 2: just really don't like Florida, So I think Tennessee is 613 00:28:59,200 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 2: going to beat him into. 614 00:28:59,880 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 1: The Meanwhile, we have another top twenty five matchup that 615 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 1: will get underway in Baton Rouge as Old Miss travels 616 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: into town as three point favorites against the LSU Tigers. Here, 617 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,280 Speaker 1: the implications of this game will be real for the 618 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 1: college football playoffs. This rivalry between these SEC programs is 619 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:21,040 Speaker 1: also very real here as well. LSU has been beating 620 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 1: a couple of cupcakes lately, but they're still just one 621 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: and four against the spread this season. They also have 622 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 1: a top twenty six ranked offense and defense. Though Old 623 00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: Miss was impressive last week, winning and covering twenty seven 624 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 1: to three against those South Carolina game Cocks. But the 625 00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 1: question remains here, can Jackson Dark get it done on 626 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,240 Speaker 1: a bigger stage? You know, I love to fade Brian 627 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,640 Speaker 1: Kelly and company here every single time I get the 628 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:46,960 Speaker 1: chance to Bogman, But I actually think I'd be more 629 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 1: inclined if I had to back a team here. What 630 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: say you? And where do you think this line moves to? 631 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 3: Oh? 632 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 2: Man? 633 00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,480 Speaker 3: I so it's a tough one. It is a very 634 00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 3: tough one. 635 00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,080 Speaker 2: And this is what makes it like we've been looking 636 00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 2: at this weekend on the schedule for the entire offseason, 637 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 2: like this is an enormous weekend. We had to pick 638 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,560 Speaker 2: and choose games to cut here that are great games 639 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 2: that we're just we don't have time to talk about. 640 00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:14,760 Speaker 2: We don't have time to talk about every game. This 641 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 2: one is awesome for me. Ole Miss's defense still has 642 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:21,960 Speaker 2: not had a bad game. That that's really what it 643 00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 2: boils down to. Even against Kentucky when Kentucky held the 644 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 2: ball for forty minutes, they only allowed three hundred and 645 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,360 Speaker 2: thirty six yards and twenty points or whatever it was. 646 00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:35,959 Speaker 2: So I think we see ole Miss dominate this this 647 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:40,680 Speaker 2: game against LSU with deris I dominates the wrong word. 648 00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 2: I think we see them lead this game with defense. 649 00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 2: I think, you know, I do think Jackson Darts can 650 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 2: be able to throw. LSU's defense has not been good. 651 00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:55,280 Speaker 2: They did play better a couple weeks ago. But I 652 00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 2: just think ole Miss is another team they had there. 653 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 2: It wasn't even scared they had their loss. They can't 654 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 2: afford to lose more games. This is a rivalry game. 655 00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,479 Speaker 2: So this is another cliche. Throw the record book out 656 00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 2: the window, blah blah. So you could always see Garrett 657 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 2: nus Meyer light them up right. This is probably the 658 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:16,960 Speaker 2: best offense they've played, so that that could definitely happen. 659 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:18,200 Speaker 3: But I don't know. 660 00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 2: I think the lack of a run game, the fact 661 00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,480 Speaker 2: that all Missus defense has not let up yet even 662 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,480 Speaker 2: in their loss. Uh, that is what scares me in 663 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,360 Speaker 2: this game for LSU. Not you know, is Jackson Dart 664 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:29,200 Speaker 2: gonna be able to pass? 665 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 3: Sure? 666 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:34,560 Speaker 2: I think I think he is. But I it's not 667 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:36,719 Speaker 2: gonna be easy. It's not gonna be just you know, 668 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 2: They're not gonna shut out LSU or anything. 669 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 3: Sure. 670 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 2: I think that is gonna be the difference in this 671 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,520 Speaker 2: game where it turns. It's a it's a costly turnover 672 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 2: for LSU. It is a you know, not being able 673 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 2: to convert on third downs, some bad thurn down conversion, 674 00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 2: something like that. I don't think this is going to 675 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,600 Speaker 2: be your big mistake game, you know, special teams screw 676 00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 2: up something like that. I think it is going to 677 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:02,840 Speaker 2: be you know, Ole miss leaning on a lead late. 678 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 2: I think that's how this game is gonna end up. 679 00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 2: So I'll take the ReBs here on the road. In 680 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 2: this game, I just don't think LSU has enough on defense. 681 00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 2: And I think ole Miss has a lot on defense. 682 00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,000 Speaker 1: Do you think this three point spread is the best 683 00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 1: we're gonna be able to get for ole Miss? And also, 684 00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 1: what do you think about this total? Sixty four seems 685 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 1: like a big number. 686 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:25,560 Speaker 3: Here, Yeah, it does. 687 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: But LC's defense is also the total. 688 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 2: The total feels trappy to me. It feels worse than 689 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 2: the spread to me. So I don't think I want 690 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 2: to mess ok the total, I think that's probably right 691 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 2: about on the line. I'm just I think I'm gonna 692 00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:42,400 Speaker 2: stick to being on ole Miss in this game. 693 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: Okay. In Eugene, Oregon, it should be another game that 694 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 1: defines the season. Here, the third ranked Ducks are three 695 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,920 Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs to the second ranked Ohio 696 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 1: State Buckeys. Ohio State has the top ranked total defense 697 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: and ninth ranked offense as well. They've outscored Big Ten 698 00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,680 Speaker 1: opponents IOWA and Michigan's date seventy three to fourteen over 699 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,840 Speaker 1: the past two weeks. Here. Oregon, meanwhile, in that same span, 700 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 1: has outscored their Big Ten opponents UCLA and Michigan State 701 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:12,720 Speaker 1: here sixty five to twenty three. They're the tenth ranked 702 00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,840 Speaker 1: total defense and have the twenty fifth ranked total offense. 703 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 1: Where do you see the money coming in on this one, Bogman? 704 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 1: Is there any value that you can sniff out here 705 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 1: early in the week. 706 00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,240 Speaker 2: No, I mean we don't have enough bets. I think 707 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,520 Speaker 2: the public is so split on this game. We're having 708 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 2: enough bets on the spread and the money so far 709 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:31,080 Speaker 2: in the total has been coming in on the under. 710 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:33,840 Speaker 2: We did just see Ohio State play to and under 711 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,960 Speaker 2: against Iowa, and really what they did was they screwed 712 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 2: around the whole first half and then turned it on 713 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:42,120 Speaker 2: in the second half. That was a frustrating game for 714 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 2: someone that bet the over this weekend. 715 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I know. 716 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:50,480 Speaker 2: Seven points in the first half, Ye'll do it. So 717 00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 2: I think this has been you know, Ohio State hasn't 718 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:57,240 Speaker 2: shown much weakness. Oregon hasn't. I guess the one weakness 719 00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 2: that they did show was they let Jeans run all 720 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 2: over them, right. 721 00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:04,960 Speaker 1: Two hundred plus? Is that that what it was? That game? Yeah? 722 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 2: That in that game finished thirty seven to thirty four, 723 00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:10,120 Speaker 2: was so close. You know, Poise State was really in 724 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:13,080 Speaker 2: it the whole game. So how is Oregon going to 725 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 2: be able to hold this Ohio State rushing offense? 726 00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:17,319 Speaker 3: Right? 727 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,919 Speaker 2: Henderson and Judkins. That is a big ask. Is Dylan 728 00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,160 Speaker 2: Gabriel going to be able to compete against this defense? 729 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:26,120 Speaker 2: Oregon's defense is good too. This is such a good game. 730 00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:27,799 Speaker 2: It's right down the line. That's why we don't have 731 00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:29,640 Speaker 2: a good feel one way or the other on how 732 00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:33,759 Speaker 2: this line is going to move. Our system has it 733 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:39,040 Speaker 2: almost on top of this line as well, so I 734 00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:40,759 Speaker 2: think for me right now, this is going to be 735 00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:43,360 Speaker 2: a sit and watch to see which way this line moves. 736 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:46,040 Speaker 2: If it gets out too big in the Ohio State side, 737 00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:49,560 Speaker 2: I will take Oregon at home. If people are betting 738 00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 2: up Oregon and it slides, I think Ohio State still 739 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,160 Speaker 2: wins this game from the strength of their run game, 740 00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,239 Speaker 2: So I will bet Ohio State. But let's take it 741 00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:00,840 Speaker 2: off that hook. Let's get it like three or less 742 00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 2: for Ohio State. That's what I'm gonna feel comfortable with. 743 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:06,200 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I would love to back Ohio State here 744 00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:08,960 Speaker 1: as well, because I do think that rushing offense will 745 00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:10,919 Speaker 1: be maybe too much for the Ducks to handle here. 746 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:13,759 Speaker 1: But I agree three and a half is a little 747 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 1: bit big of a number, even though you know it's 748 00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 1: still just above a field goal there. Let's go ahead, though, 749 00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,560 Speaker 1: we have another big one in the Big Twelve as 750 00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:24,600 Speaker 1: the eleventh ranked and undefeated Iowa State Cyclones head to 751 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 1: Morgantown to battle the two and three West Virginia Mountaineers. 752 00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 1: And eight pm kickoff in Morgantown sounds dangerous, as this 753 00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,520 Speaker 1: WVU team is also starting to look a bit dangerous 754 00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:38,960 Speaker 1: as well lately. They ran into a heavy Penn State 755 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 1: attack early in the season, also got mixed up in 756 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,600 Speaker 1: that pit game and didn't come out with that win 757 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,880 Speaker 1: early in the season, but they have responded with some 758 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,920 Speaker 1: back to back wins here against Oklahoma State and Kansas. 759 00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: They were eight point dogs last week and one thirty 760 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 1: eight to fourteen. Iowa State has the eleventh ranked total defense, 761 00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:58,880 Speaker 1: but hasn't really played a good offense yet this season. 762 00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 1: You could say probably Bay was maybe the best offense 763 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: they've played. That was last week. Now they're sitting at 764 00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 1: four and one against the spread and they have been 765 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 1: cooking under Rock Obeck here. So is there any betting 766 00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:11,879 Speaker 1: value here with Iowa State laying three and a half 767 00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:12,919 Speaker 1: points bogin. 768 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:16,000 Speaker 2: I mean strength on strength here, right? We definitely have 769 00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:21,240 Speaker 2: strength on strength with the WVU offense against the Iowa 770 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:23,759 Speaker 2: State defense. That is going to be the matchup to 771 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:25,799 Speaker 2: watch in this game. But I think one of the 772 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 2: first things you said here, Seth initially is what I'm 773 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:31,200 Speaker 2: going to lean on. And it's tough to play a 774 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:34,759 Speaker 2: game at West Virginia at night. Iowa State is a 775 00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:37,160 Speaker 2: very good team. This is a team that, like you 776 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 2: win this game. A couple of these big teams lose, 777 00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:43,160 Speaker 2: you could wake up in the top ten if you're 778 00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:47,680 Speaker 2: Iowa State, which is so cool to think about for them. 779 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 2: Matt Campbell such a good coach, one of the best 780 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:54,399 Speaker 2: in the country, so you could never really count him out. 781 00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna stay away from this game. If 782 00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 2: I like something, I think I'm going to take the 783 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,560 Speaker 2: over because I think you can or on West Virginia 784 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:04,560 Speaker 2: and I think Iowa State is going to be able 785 00:37:04,560 --> 00:37:08,320 Speaker 2: to run rock Obec makes some timely passes in West Virginia. 786 00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:09,879 Speaker 2: I don't think it's going to be stopped by too 787 00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:12,680 Speaker 2: many teams. So I think I like the over in 788 00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,759 Speaker 2: this game more than I like the side. But I'll 789 00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,480 Speaker 2: say I don't like playing in West Virginia in a 790 00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:21,799 Speaker 2: night game Iowa State, so I don't really mind like 791 00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:25,680 Speaker 2: a money line on WVU. Don't hate that, and I 792 00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:27,880 Speaker 2: would be taking them against the spread right now, But 793 00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,040 Speaker 2: I think I like the over more than anything else. 794 00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:32,279 Speaker 1: I was thinking the same thing. Maybe a sprinkle on 795 00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:35,320 Speaker 1: that money line for the Mountaineers, but plus one thirty 796 00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,040 Speaker 1: is not the best value. Like I feel like I 797 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,640 Speaker 1: need more for them to knock off the eleventh team 798 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,120 Speaker 1: right now. Like that's I guess. I don't know, how 799 00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:44,200 Speaker 1: do you feel about that? I think I just need 800 00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:45,799 Speaker 1: a better price on that. I feel like I need 801 00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:46,600 Speaker 1: to get paid for it. 802 00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:51,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's wait, you know, let's see how 803 00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 2: this shifts. I mean, right now you have cash and 804 00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 2: tickets coming in on the WVU side, But I maybe 805 00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:02,120 Speaker 2: it'll flip, so okay, you can wait. I think that 806 00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,080 Speaker 2: number might get better, get more people to bet. 807 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,800 Speaker 1: Okay. Let's round out the program here with a nightcap 808 00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:09,960 Speaker 1: and Bolder, where the new Big twelve rivalry will begin 809 00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:12,840 Speaker 1: as the eighteenth ranked Kansas State Wildcats are five and 810 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,560 Speaker 1: a half point favorites against the four and one Colorado 811 00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:19,040 Speaker 1: Buffalo and it's been a really tale of two seasons 812 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:21,880 Speaker 1: four k State this season at home two and one 813 00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 1: against the spread on the road, zero to two against 814 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,920 Speaker 1: the spread, had an ugly loss to BYU thirty eight 815 00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:30,560 Speaker 1: to nine in Provo, Colorado. Meanwhile, they got smacked by 816 00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:33,279 Speaker 1: Nebraska in week two out in Lincoln, but they are 817 00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:35,960 Speaker 1: three to zero against the spread and straight up since 818 00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:40,320 Speaker 1: beating UCF, Baylor and Colorado State. I'd say UCF probably 819 00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 1: the most impressive of those wins. They were a pretty 820 00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:44,680 Speaker 1: big underdog in that one, and it should be a 821 00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:48,359 Speaker 1: sold out crowd at fulsome Field. Foreshadore Sanders, Travis Hunter, 822 00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:51,000 Speaker 1: and company. Do they have enough to keep it within 823 00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 1: five and a half or six points of the Wildcats 824 00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:54,279 Speaker 1: in this one? 825 00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:57,760 Speaker 3: Boggin UCF secretly trash. 826 00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:00,360 Speaker 1: I think, really think you you think they've just been 827 00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:01,000 Speaker 1: over valuable. 828 00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:03,239 Speaker 2: They can't put any pressure on the quarterback at all. 829 00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:06,200 Speaker 2: I think they have the lowest sack total in the country. 830 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,840 Speaker 2: They're they just they're getting beat up and down the field, 831 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:14,240 Speaker 2: so that that win probably not as impressive for either 832 00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:17,440 Speaker 2: side here. But I think the wrong team is favored 833 00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:20,560 Speaker 2: in this game. I think Colorado is going to win 834 00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,560 Speaker 2: this game straight up at home, and it's because we 835 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:26,520 Speaker 2: have seen this is one of my gut plays that 836 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:29,520 Speaker 2: I've been kind of avoiding this year, but they keep hitting. 837 00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:30,920 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna roll with it this time. It will 838 00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:34,440 Speaker 2: probably screw me here, but this is we have seen 839 00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:39,279 Speaker 2: Kansas State travel terribly this year. They were almost lost 840 00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:43,160 Speaker 2: to Tulane and they got smoked by BYU and now 841 00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:47,040 Speaker 2: they're going on the road to Colorado. You know, I 842 00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,440 Speaker 2: just I think the wrong team is favored here. I 843 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,200 Speaker 2: think Colorado is Colorado's gonna be able to pass, and 844 00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:53,760 Speaker 2: we know k State doesn't blitz. 845 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:56,680 Speaker 3: They don't put pressure on the passer. That has been 846 00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:57,240 Speaker 3: the issue. 847 00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:00,560 Speaker 2: That is what lost Colorado the game was offensive line 848 00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:03,800 Speaker 2: didn't hold up against Nebraska, right so I think the 849 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:05,920 Speaker 2: offensive line is going to hold up. I think Chador 850 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 2: is going to pick them apart. And I don't think 851 00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,040 Speaker 2: this game is going to go the way that the 852 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:12,480 Speaker 2: oddsmakers have it right now. I do think k State 853 00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:14,600 Speaker 2: is the better team overall, and I think if this 854 00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,040 Speaker 2: game is played being played in Manhattan, I would take 855 00:40:17,800 --> 00:40:20,919 Speaker 2: Kansas State because we've seen them beat Arizona down bad 856 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 2: in their home stadium. But they have not traveled well 857 00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,640 Speaker 2: this year. This is a tough game to travel to. 858 00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,480 Speaker 2: It's late, it's under the lights again, it's at elevation 859 00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:35,279 Speaker 2: in Colorado. All these little factors. This is is death 860 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:37,279 Speaker 2: by a thousand cuts to me for KSE State. So 861 00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:39,760 Speaker 2: give me Colorado here on the money line. 862 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:41,920 Speaker 1: Okay, plus one seventy five. You think that's the best 863 00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:44,640 Speaker 1: price tag will get or do you think we maybe 864 00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 1: see something better late in the week. It's hard to 865 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:48,840 Speaker 1: tell because you know there's a lot of Colorado betters 866 00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:50,520 Speaker 1: and backers out there, Bogman. 867 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:53,279 Speaker 2: All the cash, most of the cash right now is 868 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:56,880 Speaker 2: on k State. So really, I think we have just 869 00:40:57,000 --> 00:41:01,640 Speaker 2: in a contingency of Colorado haters right the media now 870 00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,440 Speaker 2: that Dion has made some comments and everything, I think 871 00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:07,440 Speaker 2: I think maybe we're just too far down the other 872 00:41:07,600 --> 00:41:10,880 Speaker 2: side on Colorado. So okay, for me, I'm rolling with 873 00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:11,839 Speaker 2: Colorado in this game. 874 00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:14,640 Speaker 1: Okay, okay, I'm gonna wait that out and see maybe 875 00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:16,600 Speaker 1: if I can get a better money line price later 876 00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:18,440 Speaker 1: in the week. I'm excited to see maybe if I 877 00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 1: can get up to two to one on that and 878 00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:22,800 Speaker 1: six points. Nonetheless, it feels pretty good against the spread 879 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:24,920 Speaker 1: as well. But all right, that'll do it for us 880 00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,360 Speaker 1: today on the Betting Pros College Football Show, thank you 881 00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:29,759 Speaker 1: so much for watching. We'll be back later in the 882 00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:32,479 Speaker 1: week with our guy Terrell for our Picks and Prediction show. 883 00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,320 Speaker 1: Until then, like this video if you enjoy it, subscribe 884 00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,120 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and podcast feed, Plus 885 00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:41,680 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app and sync your sportsbooks today. 886 00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:44,839 Speaker 1: For Scott Bogman, I'm says Wilcock, thanks for watching. Take 887 00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:45,279 Speaker 1: care of y'all. 888 00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,239 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 889 00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:51,680 Speaker 4: love the show. The best freeway to support us is 890 00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:55,080 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 891 00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:58,000 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 892 00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:01,760 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 893 00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,280 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros