1
00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:02,840
Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

2
00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:11,319
Speaker 2: Ju us proud read enough, No, we're running again, so

3
00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:17,480
Speaker 2: smoothe so sweet, splendid sixteen, just glorious execution.

4
00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,160
Speaker 3: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

5
00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:22,320
Speaker 3: thousand percent.

6
00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:22,520
Speaker 4: Of the time.

7
00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:24,239
Speaker 2: How shot with that?

8
00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:25,440
Speaker 5: Shop with mind?

9
00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:27,040
Speaker 3: Good buddy, And that's.

10
00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,680
Speaker 4: Why you see your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements,

11
00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:31,280
Speaker 4: the most.

12
00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:32,240
Speaker 1: Dangerous amount of the planet.

13
00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:33,040
Speaker 5: Nobody picks them.

14
00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:43,720
Speaker 2: Shut up, I'm trying. The one is left too, the

15
00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:47,040
Speaker 2: wide eyed, drilled bibus.

16
00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,839
Speaker 5: How on Earth pick that happens?

17
00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,680
Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome back to Wonderful the Soccer Betting

18
00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,960
Speaker 1: podcast from the Action Network. Monday is Michael Leeboff and

19
00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:03,560
Speaker 1: joining me for this our first round of sixteen preview

20
00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,839
Speaker 1: for the Champions League. We'll also talk to Europa League

21
00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,600
Speaker 1: in Conference League a bit, Anthony Dbundo and BJ Cunningham.

22
00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,960
Speaker 1: We'll do a quick overview of the futures board as

23
00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,120
Speaker 1: we head to the point the end of the competition,

24
00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:19,440
Speaker 1: as we like to say. Then we'll get into the

25
00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,520
Speaker 1: four matches on Tuesday and Wednesday, tiptoe around some Europa

26
00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,039
Speaker 1: League and Conference League matches and then get out of here.

27
00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,200
Speaker 1: But Before we do all that, I will remind you

28
00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,800
Speaker 1: that Wonder Goal is proudly presented by Bet three sixty

29
00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,600
Speaker 1: five and Bet three sixty five does not do ordinary.

30
00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:35,839
Speaker 1: It believes that every sport should be epic, every tournament,

31
00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,600
Speaker 1: every game, every point, every play, from the moments that

32
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,000
Speaker 1: are legendary to the ones that fly under the radar.

33
00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:42,720
Speaker 1: C for yourself. When you sign up today with promo

34
00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:44,600
Speaker 1: Code Action, I know you get three hundred and sixty

35
00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:46,959
Speaker 1: five dollars in bonus bets when you bet just one dollar.

36
00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,920
Speaker 1: Whatever the sport, whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At

37
00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:51,880
Speaker 1: Bet three six five, you must be twenty one or

38
00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:55,560
Speaker 1: older and you have to be present in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky,

39
00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,200
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia. And if you are someone you

40
00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:01,600
Speaker 1: know as Gambley problem wants help, please call one eight

41
00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,400
Speaker 1: hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia

42
00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,760
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms and conditions.

43
00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:13,239
Speaker 1: Ply Okay, Before we drilled down on the matches for

44
00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,080
Speaker 1: Tuesday Wednesday, let's take a look at the big board

45
00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:20,840
Speaker 1: the futures markets for the Champions League in twenty twenty three,

46
00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,880
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, Manchester City. Wouldn't you know they are

47
00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,720
Speaker 1: still your consensus and clear favorite at plus one eighty

48
00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,760
Speaker 1: seven at bet three sixty five. Bayron Munich is the

49
00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,760
Speaker 1: second choice at four to one. Right behind them is

50
00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:37,920
Speaker 1: Real Madrid at plus five fifty, so is Arsenal psg

51
00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:42,560
Speaker 1: is twelve to one, Inter Milan sixteen, Barcelona eighteen, our

52
00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:46,200
Speaker 1: boys from other boys from Madrid, our boy Diego Simioni

53
00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:48,760
Speaker 1: and Atletico Madrid. They are twenty five to one, so

54
00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:52,400
Speaker 1: is Dortmund Napoli sitting fifty, Leipzig sixty six to one

55
00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:56,320
Speaker 1: so associate Dodd, Porto one hundred to one, Lazzio won

56
00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,280
Speaker 1: fifty to one, PSV one hundred and fifty to one

57
00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,440
Speaker 1: and f C Copenhagen five hundred to one to win

58
00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,720
Speaker 1: the Champions League. Congrats to them getting through to the

59
00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:10,079
Speaker 1: knockout stage. Tough draw though for them anyways. Let's take

60
00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:12,760
Speaker 1: a quick run around the horn here if you had to,

61
00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,880
Speaker 1: or if you are betting a team here, Anthony, we'll

62
00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,440
Speaker 1: get to you last, because we know where that's going

63
00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,679
Speaker 1: to go. You alluded to it on Thursday Mornings Pot,

64
00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:22,960
Speaker 1: but DJA anything that piques your interest, here.

65
00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:25,000
Speaker 4: I really like Inter. You can find them at twenty

66
00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,480
Speaker 4: two to one. Obviously, they went to the final last

67
00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,040
Speaker 4: year and quite frankly, I don't think that City was

68
00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:33,200
Speaker 4: like completely dominant in that match. And really what it

69
00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,520
Speaker 4: comes down to for me is Inter is actually a

70
00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,080
Speaker 4: lot better this year than they were last year. So

71
00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:41,960
Speaker 4: far this season they have a plus one point two

72
00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,800
Speaker 4: to one expected gol differential per ninety minutes that is

73
00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,160
Speaker 4: second best among Europe's top five leagues, behind only Bayern Munich.

74
00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:52,640
Speaker 4: And they've shown that their tactical setup plays really well

75
00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:54,960
Speaker 4: in a tournament like this because Inter doesn't need to

76
00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:57,720
Speaker 4: have the ball to be successful. They're very, very good

77
00:03:57,760 --> 00:03:59,840
Speaker 4: on the break. They're actually better when they're playing in

78
00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:03,560
Speaker 4: transition and this season they brought one of Anthony's boys

79
00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:07,120
Speaker 4: over from Gladbach, Marcus Urram, and he is having a

80
00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,760
Speaker 4: sensational season and is a big time upgrade from last

81
00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:16,560
Speaker 4: season when Zecho was playing alongside Lato Martinez. So now

82
00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,080
Speaker 4: are in a situation where they unfortunately are gonna drew

83
00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,040
Speaker 4: Athleticum Madrid's but I still think it's a great matchup

84
00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:25,720
Speaker 4: for them in this first round, and this is one

85
00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,600
Speaker 4: of the best defensive teams across Europe. They've only allowed

86
00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,280
Speaker 4: ten goals in Syria this season. They're only allowed five

87
00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:33,880
Speaker 4: point three expected goals across the Champions League group stage,

88
00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,880
Speaker 4: only allowing point six saint non penalty actually for ninety minutes.

89
00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,280
Speaker 4: They are really good in set defense. They're very good

90
00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,280
Speaker 4: on the break and when they need to, when they

91
00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,400
Speaker 4: need to hold possession, they've shown that they can do

92
00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:47,320
Speaker 4: it as well. They've done it at Italy time and

93
00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:51,839
Speaker 4: time again. But for a team that really matches up

94
00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,560
Speaker 4: well with anybody in this tournament, at twenty two to one,

95
00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:58,120
Speaker 4: I think is a fantastic price on a team that

96
00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,280
Speaker 4: went to the finals and better since last year.

97
00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:04,480
Speaker 1: I am gonna go with PSV. One hundred and fifty

98
00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,400
Speaker 1: to one looks like the best price you can find

99
00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:10,120
Speaker 1: out there. This comes down to just their their draw.

100
00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,520
Speaker 1: I think they have a pretty winnable two leg match

101
00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,120
Speaker 1: against Dortmund, who haven't exactly set the world on fire

102
00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:18,679
Speaker 1: they were. I think you have full value for getting

103
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:22,880
Speaker 1: through that group of death with Milan, Newcastle and PSG.

104
00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:25,960
Speaker 1: But I think that you know when when you're when

105
00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:27,440
Speaker 1: you're looking for a long shot. At this point in

106
00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:29,400
Speaker 1: the competition, the first box they need to tick is

107
00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:33,000
Speaker 1: do they have a decent chance to get through? So

108
00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,720
Speaker 1: I'd like Socio Dodd this entire competition, but I'd rather

109
00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:37,760
Speaker 1: bet and these were the two long shots. I was

110
00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:42,360
Speaker 1: kind of deliberating between Socio DoD and PSV, and I

111
00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,520
Speaker 1: would rather go with PSV, just because you know, I

112
00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,279
Speaker 1: don't want to take on PSG with with Socio Dodd. I'

113
00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,560
Speaker 1: much rather take on Dortmund with with a PSV team

114
00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:53,920
Speaker 1: who weren't particularly sharp in the group stage. They got

115
00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,960
Speaker 1: battered by Arsenal, but in the first leg where but

116
00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,240
Speaker 1: we're still able to get through. They did get through

117
00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,600
Speaker 1: with a minus goal differential. I think it was negative too,

118
00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,200
Speaker 1: but most of that came because they got battered by

119
00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:10,039
Speaker 1: Arsenal fort nil. They were fine against lons and Sevilla,

120
00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:14,360
Speaker 1: and I've got no problem backing a team that just

121
00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,000
Speaker 1: doesn't give up any goals. In the errative is a

122
00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,039
Speaker 1: like they're they've been so good, but I think they've

123
00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:25,800
Speaker 1: conceded nine on the season. Everybody they're just going they're

124
00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:29,560
Speaker 1: running rough shot through that league. Whether that translates over

125
00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,840
Speaker 1: in when you're stepping up remains to be seen. But

126
00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:37,520
Speaker 1: we've seen teams really surprised, especially at this stage of

127
00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,120
Speaker 1: the competition. It's not out of the question that a

128
00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:43,480
Speaker 1: really kind of kookie team gets through to even the

129
00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,479
Speaker 1: semi finals, and they'd be my pick here just because

130
00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:51,320
Speaker 1: of who they have in the round of sixteen. If

131
00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:53,840
Speaker 1: you had switched as sociodd with PSV, I would be

132
00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:59,680
Speaker 1: giving almost the same exact argument for we associate DoD

133
00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:03,040
Speaker 1: and ay your thoughts here anything you're looking at back

134
00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:05,320
Speaker 1: on the futures market.

135
00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:08,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, so there were two teams that popped out to

136
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:12,000
Speaker 3: me immediately, one of which was Inter, which you know

137
00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:14,600
Speaker 3: famously rode with last year all the way to the

138
00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:15,240
Speaker 3: final and.

139
00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:17,520
Speaker 5: Lost in heartbreak.

140
00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,440
Speaker 3: But I agree with BJ's point about Inter, like I

141
00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:25,040
Speaker 3: think if you're looking for a team that I will

142
00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,800
Speaker 3: be betting when we get to them next week to advances,

143
00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:29,520
Speaker 3: there's a minus one thirty on them to advance. I

144
00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:32,080
Speaker 3: think they're clearly better than at LETTI, more than the

145
00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:36,840
Speaker 3: market suggests over two legs Taram, not just Tam, but

146
00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:40,600
Speaker 3: also Jon Sommer. So this team, like, I feel like

147
00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,200
Speaker 3: I have to at a principal ride with this team

148
00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:45,960
Speaker 3: because of you know, how they've embraced two of my

149
00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,600
Speaker 3: favorite players from from Germany, and he's been a really

150
00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:51,679
Speaker 3: good shots stopper. It's the main reason why they've overperformed

151
00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:53,280
Speaker 3: their x G. But also their defense is taking a

152
00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:55,360
Speaker 3: step forward this year. Challa Noolu has been really good,

153
00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:58,239
Speaker 3: more ball winning from him, and then of course Taram

154
00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:00,600
Speaker 3: is huge upgrade over Checho. Like you said, BJ, so

155
00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,400
Speaker 3: I don't disagree. I'm already holding PSG from pre tournament.

156
00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:05,360
Speaker 3: I don't really feel great about it. It's sitting at

157
00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,440
Speaker 3: the same number after we got through the Group of death,

158
00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,760
Speaker 3: and I don't really see them making a deep, deep

159
00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:15,120
Speaker 3: run here unless Imbappe does a madness which like could

160
00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:18,160
Speaker 3: happen in Bapa and don Ruma carry this team to

161
00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:20,160
Speaker 3: a quarterfinal upset. And now I'm holding, you know, a

162
00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:23,360
Speaker 3: pretty good semi final ticket on PSG. But I think

163
00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:25,480
Speaker 3: the best value bet on the board right now is

164
00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,760
Speaker 3: the second best team in this competition at the fourth

165
00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:32,839
Speaker 3: best odds. That's awesome six to one because first of all,

166
00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:34,800
Speaker 3: you know the way the draw is set up here

167
00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,559
Speaker 3: City got a pretty friendly draw, Byron got a pretty

168
00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:42,640
Speaker 3: friendly draw. Real Madrid could slip up. Wouldn't shock me

169
00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,920
Speaker 3: if they lost to Leipzig. We'll talk about that soon,

170
00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,400
Speaker 3: but I kind of think that the favorites here got

171
00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:52,160
Speaker 3: a pretty friendly path to the point where we're going

172
00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:54,719
Speaker 3: to have, you know, the four top favorites most likely

173
00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:59,480
Speaker 3: in the quarterfinals paired up with you know, either Barsa

174
00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,280
Speaker 3: or Napoli Inter or at Lettie and then like a

175
00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,760
Speaker 3: PSV dark horse, maybe you get a draw there that

176
00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:08,800
Speaker 3: can help you out. But I think when you look

177
00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:11,040
Speaker 3: at Arsenal, and this is a conversation we've had about

178
00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,079
Speaker 3: them all season on the pod, and BJ and I

179
00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:15,880
Speaker 3: have gone back and forth. We've had our little you know,

180
00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:18,040
Speaker 3: tit for tat I take a victory lap, he takes

181
00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:18,719
Speaker 3: a victory lab.

182
00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,079
Speaker 5: What's been consistently true about.

183
00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:23,559
Speaker 3: This team is that they are the best defensive team

184
00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:27,640
Speaker 3: in Europe, and that is Arteta has prioritized control to

185
00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:29,760
Speaker 3: the point where there will be matches in the English

186
00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:31,719
Speaker 3: League in the week to week where they don't get

187
00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:35,120
Speaker 3: three points enough, they settle for draws because their attack

188
00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:38,600
Speaker 3: isn't that explosive. They've kind of piecing it together without

189
00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,640
Speaker 3: like a top top striker slash goal scorer, and that

190
00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:43,520
Speaker 3: has hurt them in the league. And you've seen it

191
00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:45,599
Speaker 3: at various times where they've kind of gotten soccered and

192
00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,400
Speaker 3: struggled to create et cetera, et cetera. And in a

193
00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,040
Speaker 3: tournament setting though, like, let's look at what Arsenal has

194
00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:55,079
Speaker 3: done to the top teams in England. When they played

195
00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,120
Speaker 3: City and the City was a little shorthanded for that match,

196
00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,920
Speaker 3: but less than one x G. They played Liverpool at anfield,

197
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,520
Speaker 3: held them to about one expected goal. They just played

198
00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,400
Speaker 3: them again last week held them to you know, point

199
00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:06,880
Speaker 3: four point five x G.

200
00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:09,760
Speaker 5: Pretty impressive. They shut down Brighton at home.

201
00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:12,920
Speaker 3: They shut down Newcastle for the most part outside of

202
00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:15,040
Speaker 3: like one fluke chance that ended up being a tap in.

203
00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,559
Speaker 3: So this is a defense that has proven that it

204
00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:20,800
Speaker 3: can go up against the top teams in England and

205
00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:24,240
Speaker 3: pretty much just shut them down. And in a tournament setting.

206
00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:29,240
Speaker 3: I think they're more solid defensively than Real Madrid, for sure.

207
00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:32,880
Speaker 3: I don't really have faith in Barcelona because Barcelona is

208
00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,120
Speaker 3: stuck between you know, not being able to defend and

209
00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,280
Speaker 3: then just not having a great consistent attack when they

210
00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:41,000
Speaker 3: try to defend more. They haven't gotten the balance, right.

211
00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,280
Speaker 3: I think they're kind of flawed. Napoli has taken a

212
00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:47,240
Speaker 3: step back you look in Germany, you know Leipzig is

213
00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,600
Speaker 3: clearly a tier below Byron is interesting.

214
00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,120
Speaker 5: We've talked about Byron a ton.

215
00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:54,400
Speaker 3: I still think I'll take a full strength of Arsenal's

216
00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:57,760
Speaker 3: defense over Byron, but that would be a really fun matchup.

217
00:10:58,040 --> 00:10:59,600
Speaker 3: So I think I've got the second best team here

218
00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:02,440
Speaker 3: and a team that's proven it can it can compete

219
00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:05,960
Speaker 3: with City to the point where at six to one,

220
00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,320
Speaker 3: I think Arsenal is the my favorite bet on the board,

221
00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,040
Speaker 3: and I bet them to win the Champions League, even

222
00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:13,760
Speaker 3: though I don't think they should be one of the

223
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,160
Speaker 3: two favorites for the league. I think in the Champions

224
00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:17,920
Speaker 3: League with Liverpool not there and with just how much

225
00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:19,800
Speaker 3: England is dominant right now, and I do, I do

226
00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:22,520
Speaker 3: firmly believe this that they're the best bet on the

227
00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:23,520
Speaker 3: board at six to one.

228
00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:26,200
Speaker 4: It's good to see you come over to the right

229
00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:26,920
Speaker 4: side of history.

230
00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:28,120
Speaker 1: It's good to see.

231
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,079
Speaker 3: And I was never against Arsenal and they I'm against

232
00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,040
Speaker 3: them in the league. I've said that so many times now.

233
00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,040
Speaker 3: And Liverpool will finish above them, I think, but no

234
00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:41,360
Speaker 3: City will. But but yeah, I mean it's just they're

235
00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:43,560
Speaker 3: They're a team that's well built for this competition right now.

236
00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,480
Speaker 3: And they're healthy enough, right That was the biggest thing is,

237
00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:49,319
Speaker 3: you know, can they stay healthy enough. They've got Porto

238
00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:51,400
Speaker 3: in the round of sixteen. It would shock me if

239
00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:53,559
Speaker 3: they couldn't get past Porto. And then I'm in the

240
00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:55,760
Speaker 3: quarterfinals and it comes down to the draw. Hopefully we

241
00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:57,559
Speaker 3: get one of the friendly ones. I would love to

242
00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:01,000
Speaker 3: see Arsenal, you know, take I'm like a Barcelona. I

243
00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:02,480
Speaker 3: think that'd be a good matchup for Arsenal.

244
00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:05,040
Speaker 5: So it should be fun.

245
00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,840
Speaker 1: Okay, So that does it for the future segment. Onto

246
00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,920
Speaker 1: the matches. We'll start with Tuesdays, and we'll start with

247
00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:14,599
Speaker 1: man City as a minus three fifty favorite on the

248
00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:18,040
Speaker 1: road in Copenhagen. FC. Copenhagen is ten to one. The

249
00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:20,360
Speaker 1: draw here four to one. I think this is probably

250
00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:23,440
Speaker 1: going to be the least interesting of the four matches

251
00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:28,200
Speaker 1: Tuesday and Wednesday. I've got nothing here at all. I mean,

252
00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:30,880
Speaker 1: you want to bet Earling Holland to just score a

253
00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,600
Speaker 1: hat trick, go right ahead, but well, well well, I.

254
00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,120
Speaker 4: Mean I'm not going to bet Copenhagen here. But credit

255
00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:38,440
Speaker 4: to Copenhagen. They were the only team and they did

256
00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,920
Speaker 4: it twice. To hold Byron under one expected goal, like

257
00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,480
Speaker 4: they've been okay in a low block, but there's no

258
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,320
Speaker 4: way I can get behind them here, so.

259
00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,680
Speaker 3: Pass. But it's the question is that'll say more about

260
00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:53,440
Speaker 3: Byron and Copenhagen's.

261
00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,640
Speaker 4: I don't know that's a good question because that group.

262
00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:58,800
Speaker 3: Ended up playing out kind of weird where United creater

263
00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:04,280
Speaker 3: early Copenhagen had that dramatic comeback win in the park

264
00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:07,560
Speaker 3: and to beat them, and then you know, the last

265
00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:10,160
Speaker 3: two matches, Copenhagen played at Byron and like you said,

266
00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:13,760
Speaker 3: got a well deserved draw and then outplayed Galatasarai at

267
00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:14,360
Speaker 3: home as well.

268
00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:16,880
Speaker 5: So at home in the Champions.

269
00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:22,040
Speaker 3: League, they have been a very difficult side to break down.

270
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:24,280
Speaker 3: And that's been true even last year. So remember these

271
00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:26,640
Speaker 3: two teams played in the group stage last year it

272
00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:31,120
Speaker 3: was Dortmund, Sevilla and City and Copenhagen and Copenhagen got

273
00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,360
Speaker 3: totally rinsed in all of their away games, but at

274
00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:36,200
Speaker 3: home they had a positive expected goal difference. City did

275
00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,680
Speaker 3: pick up a red card early. There was a miss

276
00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:42,320
Speaker 3: pen as well, like there was some you know, nefarious action,

277
00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,319
Speaker 3: you know, breaks that went Copenhagen's way to keep that

278
00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:49,760
Speaker 3: match competitive, but they weren't played off the park. So

279
00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:52,640
Speaker 3: if you want to get crazy, I think like a

280
00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,720
Speaker 3: Copenhagen first half maybe just you know, first half under

281
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,000
Speaker 3: if you think they can hold them out for the

282
00:13:58,080 --> 00:13:58,600
Speaker 3: first half.

283
00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,120
Speaker 5: But ultimately I agree like I don't really see the

284
00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:02,720
Speaker 5: path to them.

285
00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,920
Speaker 4: Point one thing to note with Copenhagen as well, the

286
00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,160
Speaker 4: Danish league has been on break during the winter. They

287
00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:13,600
Speaker 4: don't play, so they've basically just been playing friendlies up

288
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:16,319
Speaker 4: until this point. Their actual real last real competition was

289
00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:20,200
Speaker 4: that match against galatass Rise, so they have you know,

290
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,320
Speaker 4: they've played again, they've played three friendly ors you know,

291
00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:26,880
Speaker 4: six friendlies in between that period of time. But you know,

292
00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,120
Speaker 4: not having consistent matches then gearing up to play the

293
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,480
Speaker 4: best team in the world might not be the best

294
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:31,840
Speaker 4: spot to back Copenhagen.

295
00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:36,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, and if you remember back like price perspective, Copenhagen

296
00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,720
Speaker 3: was catching almost two one and a half against Bayern.

297
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,000
Speaker 3: They've gotten the market bump, but now they're only at

298
00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:46,480
Speaker 3: one and a half against City, so you know, clearly

299
00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:51,120
Speaker 3: there's been some improved market rating on this Copenhagen team

300
00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:53,760
Speaker 3: and you'd be kind of buying high to buy them here.

301
00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:56,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, no nil first half is maybe interesting.

302
00:14:58,840 --> 00:14:59,080
Speaker 5: Okay.

303
00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,400
Speaker 1: The other match on two day I think is quite

304
00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:03,560
Speaker 1: fun to dig into. That's a Leipzig at plus two

305
00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:07,640
Speaker 1: twenty at home Madrid Real Madrid traveling plus one ten

306
00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:11,200
Speaker 1: is a real favorite. The draw here is plus two sixty.

307
00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:15,240
Speaker 1: This is a show that we've we've liked Leipzig, kind

308
00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:19,360
Speaker 1: of big picture. Before the Champions League, we were unsuccessfully

309
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 1: betting them to beat City and such like stuff like

310
00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:25,200
Speaker 1: that during the group again a heart beat though, yeah, yeah, yeah,

311
00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:26,680
Speaker 1: it was fun. It was always just remembered.

312
00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:28,960
Speaker 5: I have a ticket on them too, ship yeah.

313
00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:36,560
Speaker 3: That they are fifty ish, all right, we got value

314
00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:37,680
Speaker 3: then because i've got sixty six.

315
00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,160
Speaker 1: No, sorry, they are sixty six to one, so I

316
00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:43,840
Speaker 1: jump into you can do it.

317
00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:46,960
Speaker 3: Another team that advanced from the group stage and their

318
00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:49,040
Speaker 3: odds did not improve, right the group was.

319
00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 1: I mean, and they've been all right Bunliga. I don't

320
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:58,200
Speaker 1: think up to standard and their current form is not

321
00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:02,080
Speaker 1: all that great. They just update four match winless streak

322
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:07,440
Speaker 1: with a two nil over Unyan Berlin. But like, I

323
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:09,600
Speaker 1: don't know, this feels like the type of situation where

324
00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:13,000
Speaker 1: we'll we'll tell you that Leipzig is the value side

325
00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,640
Speaker 1: and you should back them to give Madrid a go.

326
00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,560
Speaker 1: But this is where uh, Real Madrid kind of just

327
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:23,960
Speaker 1: as excelled for a decade uh in this I mean

328
00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,080
Speaker 1: more than that in this tournament, and it feels weird.

329
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,040
Speaker 1: I actually like to draw a bit. I think that

330
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:32,680
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if both. I mean, Leipzig should

331
00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:36,880
Speaker 1: be better defensively, but it's just not worked out that

332
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:41,320
Speaker 1: way in Bundesliga of the season, and Real Madrid could

333
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,000
Speaker 1: easily just shut this game down if if they wanted to.

334
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,080
Speaker 1: If it was like, you know, one to one, maybe

335
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,160
Speaker 1: maybe Leipzig goes up early, Madrid fights its way back

336
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,040
Speaker 1: into it to tie it one one, and they're like,

337
00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:54,360
Speaker 1: let's just take the drawback back home. Uh yeah, I know.

338
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:55,840
Speaker 1: I just don't think a draw would be a terrible

339
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:58,360
Speaker 1: result for for for either side in this one BJ

340
00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:00,320
Speaker 1: So I think it's it's gonna be a little more

341
00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:04,159
Speaker 1: cagey than perhaps you guys do. But that's that's the

342
00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,639
Speaker 1: only thing I'd be close to betting here is the

343
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:07,960
Speaker 1: draw plus two sixty.

344
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:11,120
Speaker 4: Yeah. I actually do like Leipzig plus a half quite

345
00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:13,560
Speaker 4: a bit. Here. I have this projected like dead on

346
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,960
Speaker 4: as a pickham. So we are recording this on Thursday

347
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:18,800
Speaker 4: because obviously the Super Bowl is going to be on Sunday,

348
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,200
Speaker 4: so we don't know what's going to happen in Jerona

349
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:22,920
Speaker 4: and Real Madrid. Hopefully there's a ton of goals, but

350
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:26,239
Speaker 4: it came out that Carvajal and too Many are going

351
00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:29,600
Speaker 4: to have to play center back pairing against Rona, which

352
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:33,359
Speaker 4: is not ideal against them. So we'll see if Rudiger

353
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:35,600
Speaker 4: is actually healthy enough to play in this match, and

354
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,719
Speaker 4: if he's not, then what you're losing. You know, too

355
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:40,639
Speaker 4: Many is probably their best ball stopper in terms of

356
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 4: a central midfielder, because if they're going to play Cruise

357
00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,680
Speaker 4: and Modrich there don't do a lot of ball winning.

358
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,320
Speaker 4: You know, obviously great passers, but if you have to

359
00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:52,080
Speaker 4: play too Many at center back, that's kind of concerning.

360
00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,440
Speaker 4: Given the way that Leipsig want to play, which is

361
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:58,360
Speaker 4: very direct right through the middle for two two two formation,

362
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,399
Speaker 4: and really what Leipzig are trying to do most of

363
00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:03,760
Speaker 4: the times just get the ball to Shabby Simones, who

364
00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:08,159
Speaker 4: has been incredible for them this season. And you know,

365
00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,040
Speaker 4: for Real Madrid we've talked about this quite a bit

366
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:13,360
Speaker 4: as well. Their form away from home in Europe has

367
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:16,919
Speaker 4: not been great for quite some time now. This season,

368
00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:19,400
Speaker 4: when they've played the two better teams in their group,

369
00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:22,480
Speaker 4: Napoli and Braga, they won both the matches away from home,

370
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:25,560
Speaker 4: but they lost the expected goals battle. They played Leipzig

371
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,440
Speaker 4: last year and they lost three two in Germany, and

372
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,439
Speaker 4: even if you go through their results, I know they

373
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 4: beat Liverpool and they beat Chelsea last season in the

374
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,159
Speaker 4: knockout stage. They lost the XG battle in both of

375
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:38,159
Speaker 4: those matches. So it's not like Real Madrid is, you know,

376
00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:40,640
Speaker 4: housing teams here on the road comparatively to a team

377
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,600
Speaker 4: like Byron or Manchester City. Even if you just look

378
00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:47,240
Speaker 4: at pure expect a goal differential overall for the season,

379
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 4: Leipzig's at point seven to two per ninety and Real

380
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:53,880
Speaker 4: Madrid's at point eight three. There's really not that big

381
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:55,960
Speaker 4: of a gap between Germany and Spain anymore as there

382
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,159
Speaker 4: has been in years past. And for Real Madrid, you know,

383
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,359
Speaker 4: one thing that they've really been struggling with lately is

384
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 4: defending on set pieces. You've seen it time and time again.

385
00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:06,880
Speaker 4: They've played Athletico what three times in the last month

386
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 4: it seems, and Athletico just keeps scoring off of essentially

387
00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 4: corners against them. Well, Leipzig has scored eleven goals off

388
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 4: set pieces in Germany this season, and there's top six

389
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 4: next cheper set piece, So I really don't think there's

390
00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:21,679
Speaker 4: as big as gap as the market is suggesting here,

391
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 4: especially if Real Madrid is going to have to play

392
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 4: the center back paaring that they're going to play against Rona.

393
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 4: So I do like Leipzig quite a bit here plus

394
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:31,520
Speaker 4: a half your best price starut there looks like it's

395
00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 4: my minus one thirty five minus one forty in that range.

396
00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,280
Speaker 4: Minus one forty five would be my cutoff there. But

397
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,840
Speaker 4: I really do like Leipzig to at least get a

398
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:40,919
Speaker 4: draw here in this first leg.

399
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just have major concerns about Real Madrid's defense,

400
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,400
Speaker 3: and they don't press right, so they rely on being

401
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 3: good box defenders, and when they don't have any of

402
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 3: their best defenders available, it's just not very good. And

403
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,480
Speaker 3: you know you mentioned it BJ like they were fine

404
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,480
Speaker 3: against it Letti, but again like offside, Var bails them

405
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,200
Speaker 3: out on the first corner and then they can see

406
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 3: late and stoppage time. Anyway, it's been a defense that's

407
00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:02,680
Speaker 3: given up one and a half two x G the

408
00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,719
Speaker 3: most competent teams they've played. Leipzig has to come out

409
00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 3: pretty aggressively here and you mentioned it as well early

410
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 3: in the season. It's kind of been a tail of

411
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 3: two seasons. The first half of the season for Leipzig

412
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 3: was they were scoring a lot, but they weren't creating

413
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:16,879
Speaker 3: a lot. Then they went through a stretch where they

414
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 3: weren't scoring at all, but they were creating even more.

415
00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:22,040
Speaker 3: And it's kind of evened out kind of beautifully here.

416
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 3: But it's still a very competent attacking team with Chavy,

417
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 3: Siemens Simons and and Oponda, like, they're still getting really

418
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 3: impressive numbers. They were, you know, largely uncompetitive with City.

419
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 5: In that match. That's the only kind of red flag

420
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 5: that I have for them.

421
00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 3: But I think City is so much better at controlling

422
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 3: games than Real Madrid that they'll give Real Madrid, will

423
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 3: give Leipzig their opportunities to have attacks. I think Real Madrid,

424
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 3: just generally in the Champions League, bets on the fact

425
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 3: they're going to be better in the big moments. They're

426
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 3: going to finish their chances better than you. They're going

427
00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 3: to save their chances, your chances better than you will,

428
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 3: and thus I think they are flawed and I you

429
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,080
Speaker 3: know it's a wonder goal special right me and bjsay, Well,

430
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:02,879
Speaker 3: the numbers say we should fade Real Madrid in the

431
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,280
Speaker 3: Champions League and then we all lose. But I'm going

432
00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:07,400
Speaker 3: to take the team totals for Leipzig. I like first

433
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 3: half team total over plus one to fifteen, so to

434
00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 3: score in the first half, and then I also like

435
00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 3: a team total over one and a half for the

436
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,879
Speaker 3: game at a plus one forty. I just think that

437
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,479
Speaker 3: the market still respects this real Matric defense a lot

438
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,680
Speaker 3: more than I do. I think structurally it's very average,

439
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:26,640
Speaker 3: and now talent wise it's below average given the personnel problems.

440
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,399
Speaker 3: So Leipzig's going to get their goals here. I think

441
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 3: they'll probably can see a couple too. I think this

442
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 3: in theory right, like first leg, it could be KG

443
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,640
Speaker 3: could play out that way, but I don't think Real

444
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 3: Madrid is really capable of playing that style right now,

445
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:43,639
Speaker 3: So as a result, I will take Leipzig team totals.

446
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,840
Speaker 1: Here we go again, Yeah, so to two draw? Who

447
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,199
Speaker 1: says no, That's what I'm saying. I think it's going

448
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 1: to be one of those whether draws just in play

449
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 1: the entire match because it's two to one or one

450
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 1: zero and whoever falls behind has a chance to nick

451
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 1: it back. All right, Wednesday now, Lotzio or five to

452
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,679
Speaker 1: one at home hosting Bayern Munich, you'd have to lay

453
00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,119
Speaker 1: minus one eighty eight on the road with Byron, and

454
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,159
Speaker 1: the draw is three to one for this one. You

455
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 1: know that there's no love loss between you two and

456
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:18,440
Speaker 1: Lotsio over the years, but there's also no love loss

457
00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 1: between all of us and Byron and Anthony almost kind

458
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: of had some sort of intervention with us on Thursday

459
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 1: Morning Spot about how it's just we should just start

460
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,119
Speaker 1: betting on Byron. It's just so much more fun to

461
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: be on their side than going against them every week,

462
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:39,199
Speaker 1: and he's going to try to convince us here.

463
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 5: Yeah.

464
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 3: I think this is a huge difference in class and

465
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,359
Speaker 3: when Byron has played in the I know they've had

466
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,560
Speaker 3: a couple of bad results this year that haven't held

467
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 3: up against Copenhagen and Galatassarai, especially on the road where

468
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 3: they haven't been as good as normal. But I think

469
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 3: there's a massive, massive gap between these two teams, and

470
00:22:58,280 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 3: I'm willing to lay the money line here in the

471
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 3: first that Byron comes out and just beats the shit

472
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 3: out of them. I think Lotsio if you look at

473
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 3: their results even it's gotten worse as well for Lotzio,

474
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,119
Speaker 3: but they have the market hasn't really moved on this

475
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 3: game in the last month.

476
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:14,360
Speaker 5: I bet it like a month ago.

477
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 3: Here's what Lotsio has done coming into this match, pretty alarming.

478
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 3: They beat Leche in a game where they had less

479
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:27,959
Speaker 3: than one expected goal created at home one nil. They

480
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 3: got beat three nil by Inter. It's kind of a

481
00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 3: similar situation to what this is. But they were out

482
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 3: shot in the inter match twenty three to five. They

483
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,360
Speaker 3: did not get a shot on target, and you would

484
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 3: expect them to have some type of response off of

485
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,880
Speaker 3: that game they hosted Napoli. Napoli did not have Kavar

486
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 3: Scalia or Oceanman and what happened in that match Lotzio

487
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 3: managed ten shots, they put none of them on target.

488
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 3: So another game with no shots on target, two straight

489
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 3: games they couldn't score. Surely you'd expect Lotzio would get

490
00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 3: then a response going on the road to Atalanta. No,

491
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:06,360
Speaker 3: they created six total shots in that match, they put

492
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 3: one on target and it was the penalty shoot, penalty.

493
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 5: Kick from Chiromobili.

494
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 3: So they have not created over one XG in any

495
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:17,520
Speaker 3: match in Italy, and I know Italy has been a

496
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 3: little bit lower event, but in any match in Italy

497
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 3: for the last month, basically they've played it is now

498
00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 3: six straight matches without creating a full expected goal, not

499
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 3: including penalties. They have failed to score more than one

500
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 3: in almost all of those matches. And even defensively, you

501
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:35,400
Speaker 3: know what has been a good defense in the past,

502
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 3: Like they played at Alanta, they played inter they were

503
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 3: not competitive in those matches and even the Napoli match,

504
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:43,959
Speaker 3: a totally short haeaded Napoli.

505
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:45,920
Speaker 5: They couldn't they couldn't break away.

506
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 3: So I think the market should have responded to this.

507
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 3: The market should be constently downgrading this Lozzio team off

508
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 3: of what we've seen, and the market has not moved

509
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 3: Byron is still sitting in minus one eighty one eighty five.

510
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 5: I'm willing to lay it.

511
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 3: Is it square, maybe a little, but I think that

512
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,879
Speaker 3: this Latto team is a paper tiger waiting to get exposed.

513
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 3: This is a Lotto team that was badly outplayed by

514
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 3: fi Nord in the group stage in the in both

515
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 3: meetings and managed to get through despite just meh, underline

516
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 3: numbers and they can't control games, they don't press the

517
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 3: mobile A is looking old. So I think Canaan So

518
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:21,959
Speaker 3: and I just kind of have their way here.

519
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,439
Speaker 1: PG got any thoughts here, Yeah, I.

520
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 4: Mean, if I were to play anything, I would agree

521
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 4: with Anthony. I'd probably just lay Byron minus one and

522
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 4: a half and try to chase a big price here,

523
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,200
Speaker 4: because you know, as Anthony is laid out Lotsio, there

524
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,320
Speaker 4: hasn't really been a performance where you walk away and

525
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 4: you say, oh my gosh, like this team is actually

526
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,480
Speaker 4: pretty good. We'll see what Byron looks like against Leverkusen

527
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 4: on Saturday. Hopefully they win. Hopefully if they look great there,

528
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,399
Speaker 4: I yeah, this is this is going to be just

529
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 4: one way traffic. So I agree with Anthony if I

530
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 4: were to play anything, to be Byron minus one and

531
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:53,840
Speaker 4: a half.

532
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 1: Yeah.

533
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 3: We actually saw this a few years ago in the

534
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 3: Champions League where Lotzio was like kind of a middling

535
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 3: Seria team and they got through and then Iron just

536
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 3: crush them, and that was a lots of team that

537
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,920
Speaker 3: at least had like a younger I mobil A and

538
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 3: a good Luis Alberto Like this Latto team just doesn't.

539
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:11,680
Speaker 5: There's nothing they do in attack that's particularly inspiring.

540
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 4: Good luck was sorry Baull trying to build out of

541
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 4: the back against Byron's press. That's all I'll say. They're

542
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:18,160
Speaker 4: gonna have a lot of problems with them.

543
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 5: To be able to control this game. Ye pretty pretty easily,

544
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:21,399
Speaker 5: all right.

545
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 1: PSG and rialf Socia Dodd. PSG minus won sixty three

546
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 1: at home Socio Dodd traveling as a plus four twenty

547
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: five underdog. The draw here is three to one. A

548
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 1: couple of things I want to note. One thing is

549
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 1: that if if Sosia Dodd gets back home down one nill,

550
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: I think I would play there basically any future across

551
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:45,280
Speaker 1: the board, because I think that they're live in this

552
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: in this two leg matchup. I think that they are

553
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 1: a team that profiles well in tournament play because of

554
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 1: their their defense, their ability kind of just grind out results.

555
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:57,000
Speaker 1: They are. I think they've drawn what six of their

556
00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 1: last nine matches in La Liga. They are. They are

557
00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 1: just a raw machine. This season. The overall record nine wins,

558
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:08,840
Speaker 1: ten draws and four losses with a plus eleven goal differential.

559
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 1: You look at the underlying numbers, it's defensive regression should

560
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 1: negatively should come for them, but it's still not bad.

561
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 1: Like they're they're good defensive out defensive outfit, that's been

562
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: their profile for a while. There's just a lot of

563
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 1: things that strike me as a with this team that

564
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 1: kind of profile as the teams we've seen advance, kind

565
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 1: of sleepy teams advanced through to the quarterfinals or semi

566
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,360
Speaker 1: finals in in the years past. So there's a lot

567
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 1: to like here. I think that they're also, you know,

568
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 1: plus four to twenty five is pretty decent number to

569
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: take a shot on with with the way they're going

570
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: to want to play this game and just turn it

571
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:53,359
Speaker 1: into as low event as they can against a a

572
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,440
Speaker 1: PSG side that Anthony was talking about, Like it's just

573
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 1: going to want to try to get Mbope the ball

574
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 1: and let him do his thing on his own, which, hey,

575
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,600
Speaker 1: it works. They're they're a pretty chunky favorite for a reason.

576
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: But there's just I think there's a lot of ways

577
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:11,880
Speaker 1: you can still use sociadd and find value, whether it's

578
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:14,919
Speaker 1: sitting sitting this one out and then backing them at

579
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 1: a bigger number in the home leg, whether it's betting

580
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,719
Speaker 1: them uh futures, I still think like you can make

581
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 1: a pretty solid argument that hey, if they get through

582
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: this one, the number is gonna creator. So why not

583
00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 1: just do it now, long winded way to say, I

584
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 1: like them here, be back of them on the money line,

585
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna kind of just stick with them until

586
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 1: they are punted out of this competition. BJ what do

587
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 1: you think?

588
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I do like lipstick here quote or excuse me,

589
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 4: not real associated here quite a bit. So here's the

590
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 4: thing with with Sociodad. They have been you know it

591
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 4: last year they were you know, they've always been a

592
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 4: great defensive team and there are all offensive numbers have

593
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 4: taken a bit of a dip this year, but what

594
00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 4: has remained true for them is they are the best

595
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 4: pressing team in Spain and that is a big thing

596
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,440
Speaker 4: here against PSG, who under Enrique are going to play

597
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 4: the ball out of the back. And we saw it

598
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:12,800
Speaker 4: once in the Champions League when Newcastle was at least

599
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:14,960
Speaker 4: somewhat of as semblance of the Newcastle team that we

600
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 4: saw last year. They pressed the hell out of PSG.

601
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 4: They caused so many problems and they beat them for one.

602
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 4: Right now, Sosidad is first in La Liga in both

603
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,080
Speaker 4: passive defensive action and progressive passes and dribbles allowed. They

604
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 4: will press out a very narrow four four two and

605
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 4: their principles essentially are to dominate the middle of the pitch. Now,

606
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 4: that's going to leave Himbappe out if they try to

607
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 4: play Bape out wide, it's going to leave him in

608
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 4: some one on one situations, which is obviously frightening. But honestly,

609
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 4: whatever in Babe is on the pitch, he is frightening

610
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 4: and he is a game wrecker, and that's just something

611
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 4: you have to kind of I think is priced in. Yeah,

612
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:54,600
Speaker 4: he's just priced in here. It's basically what it is.

613
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 4: But what I will say is that Soci Dad is

614
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 4: an unbelievable defensive team. Only point nine to nine nine

615
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 4: penalty xgper ninety in lat League of the season, didn't

616
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 4: allow anybody including Inter to create over one expected goal

617
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 4: against them during the group stage, and although their offensive

618
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 4: numbers have taken a little bit of a dip, a

619
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 4: lot of their bad their worst offensive performances have come

620
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 4: in these last four matches, when they you know, when

621
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:22,160
Speaker 4: Kubo is away at the Asian Cup with Japan, he

622
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 4: has missed five matches this season for them. In those

623
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 4: five matches, they have their averaging point five to eight

624
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,479
Speaker 4: x G per ninety minutes with him in the lineup

625
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 4: one point three to seven. Not so bad. So it's

626
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 4: not like they're an elite offensive team, but at least

627
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 4: they're good with him in the lineup, and he is

628
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 4: somebody that can obviously do a lot of game recor.

629
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 4: It looks like Screener might not play in this match

630
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 4: for PSG, which would be a loss for them. I

631
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 4: only have PSG at minus one fourteen. They're kind of

632
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 4: just on cruise control in League Gun and they don't

633
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 4: really face a lot of teams that pressed with the

634
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 4: intensity and effectiveness that Sociad is going to press them with. Really,

635
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 4: the only team that kind of comes to mind in

636
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,840
Speaker 4: France that can press the way thats Sociated does is

637
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 4: Niece and Heeds beat PSG and they cause a lot

638
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 4: of problems pressing them. So I think this is a

639
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 4: pretty decent matchup here. I think soci Dad can cause

640
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 4: a lot of problems for PSG's build up, And yeah,

641
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 4: and Bope might wreck this game, but I think it's

642
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 4: a little high here on PSG, so I like Soci

643
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 4: Dad plus one best p best odds you can find

644
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 4: on that are minus one twenty two.

645
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 5: I agree entirely.

646
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 3: I'm on Soci Dodd as well. I like this team

647
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 3: in the tournament setting for the same reasons. You know,

648
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 3: we talked about my top four tickets on life support

649
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,440
Speaker 3: because they can't beat anybody. They just keep tying everybody.

650
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, defensive press is everything they will

651
00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 3: be able to. I think do enough to shut off

652
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 3: the easy access to Himbappe. Of course, he's going to

653
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 3: get his time and his moments, and he's probably going

654
00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 3: to score. But I think Soci DoD can can keep

655
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 3: this game more competitive than the market suggests. I think

656
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:50,320
Speaker 3: they're certainly live to pull off an upset in this

657
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 3: round wouldn't shock me at all. Granted, they're like the

658
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 3: group winner, so they're, you know, expected to be pretty competitive.

659
00:31:57,040 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 3: They're slight underdog to advance if if you were looking

660
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 3: for a too advanced underdog in this round, I think

661
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 3: this is probably the most interesting one. We'll talk about

662
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 3: Barsa and Appoli next week, but that one like neither

663
00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 3: team really has an identity right now. This one to me,

664
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 3: like Soci Dodd has a plan, they know what they're

665
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 3: gonna do, and even though they don't have as much

666
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 3: you know, frontline talent and attack like, they're probably the

667
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 3: better team, but they're competitive enough to make this interesting.

668
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 5: So I like Soci Dood.

669
00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, they they And like I said, I think that

670
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 1: they're you can have some kind of fun game theory

671
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,800
Speaker 1: or handicap pencil and paper handicapping with the Socio Dodd

672
00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 1: team because in all likelihood and as the odds tell you,

673
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 1: like they're gonna lose this match, but they're probably gonna

674
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,719
Speaker 1: lose it, as Beja said, their minds one twenty two

675
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 1: plus one, so it's it should be tight. And at

676
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 1: that point I think that they are still live. Like

677
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:54,840
Speaker 1: they get back to Spain trailing the aggregate by one goal,

678
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 1: this team is still still in this thing. So I

679
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 1: not just my face right on your dog to advance,

680
00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: but also just entirely kind infatuated with this team and

681
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:07,959
Speaker 1: not going to give up on them if they they

682
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: you know, burn me here. As at plus four twenty

683
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 1: five underdog, I think that there's plenty left to say

684
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,959
Speaker 1: about Socio dot as long as you know, and now

685
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 1: we say this and PSG is going to win four

686
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: nil bope hat trick, And.

687
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 3: Well, there's basically like three ties that are you know,

688
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 3: reasonably competitive, where it's like the favorite is under minus

689
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 3: two hundred two advance. Right, you've got PSG this one

690
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 3: where you can get Socia Dodd as high as plus

691
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:37,280
Speaker 3: one forty. You've got Barcelona Napoli, and then you've got

692
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 3: inter at Lettie and p at PSV Dormant as well.

693
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 3: So I guess four of the ties are interesting, and

694
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 3: whoever wins those four will kind of go up against

695
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,160
Speaker 3: I think ultimately the seeds of the next round, which

696
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 3: is like Madrid, Arsenal City and Byron, and then you know,

697
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 3: depending on how they get matched up, we could get

698
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 3: one of those surprise semi finalists.

699
00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:01,480
Speaker 1: Okay, let's quickly talk about Europa League. If you guys

700
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 1: have any best bets you want to give out there, Antony,

701
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 1: we could start with you.

702
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 3: Well, let's go to the futures board, because so the

703
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 3: Europa League second year of the new format, where we

704
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 3: have twenty four teams in the knockouts, and so sixteen

705
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 3: of them will play in the kind of two leg

706
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,719
Speaker 3: playoff over the next two weeks. So we've got some

707
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,399
Speaker 3: interesting matchups, you know, the biggest one, the biggest two

708
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 3: on the board. For some reason, these two teams just

709
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,839
Speaker 3: keep getting paired up against one another. First they play

710
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 3: in the Conference league final, devastating for Fine RD they

711
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 3: lose to Roma and Maurinho. And then they played an

712
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 3: epic two legger in the quarterfinals of the Europa League

713
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:43,840
Speaker 3: last year where Fine Ord was up one nil and

714
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 3: then had a two to one aggregate lead until the

715
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 3: ballis scored and stoppage chime, and then Roma kind of

716
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,400
Speaker 3: beat the brakes off them in extra time and went on.

717
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 5: To win that one.

718
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,319
Speaker 3: And now they're going to play again in the round

719
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 3: of twenty four of the Europa League. And I like

720
00:34:58,040 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 3: over two and a half at even money, and I've

721
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:03,239
Speaker 3: been talking talking about this repeatedly now just I think

722
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:06,080
Speaker 3: the market is this Roma team is not playing it

723
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 3: the same way as they did Premrinho, and you're not

724
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 3: going to get your traditional tournament Roma where they're going

725
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 3: to go on the road and not do any attacking whatsoever.

726
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,720
Speaker 3: Fine Ord at home this year has been an absolute

727
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 3: truck against you know, they played Lotzio. They play such

728
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:21,800
Speaker 3: an open style that Romo will get their chance on

729
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,520
Speaker 3: the break and I think fine Ord will be happy

730
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:27,479
Speaker 3: to play a more open kind of back and forth match.

731
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 3: You know, keep in mind they so they played the

732
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,720
Speaker 3: cup final, they played the first leg, but the second

733
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 3: meeting between the two teams was very open. Both teams

734
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 3: took a ton of chances, and so I think you're

735
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,400
Speaker 3: going to see some of that in this one. So

736
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 3: over two and a half at even money, and then

737
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:44,799
Speaker 3: so the odds board, there's two overwhelming favorites and two

738
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 3: of the you know six best teams in Europe are

739
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,440
Speaker 3: or maybe seven are in this tournament. Right, So you've

740
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 3: got Larrakusen and you've got Liverpool Liverpool at plus.

741
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,319
Speaker 5: Two to fifty plus two twenty five.

742
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 3: Like, it's just not really enticing to me because I

743
00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:59,279
Speaker 3: think they're going to be in the Premier League title race,

744
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 3: and I think if you go look like where they're

745
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:03,800
Speaker 3: going to play some of their matches, there's going to

746
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 3: be cases where clop has to make some decisions about

747
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 3: who gets prioritized because they don't have I don't think

748
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 3: the depth to go all in on all four competitions right,

749
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,360
Speaker 3: because they're in the Carabo Final, they're still in the

750
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 3: FA Cup. They have to make some decisions kind of

751
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,560
Speaker 3: on how they're going to manage their squad in Cloup's

752
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:22,920
Speaker 3: final year. So I have no real interest in betting Liverpool.

753
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 3: I think we mentioned I don't know if we mentioned

754
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,160
Speaker 3: on the show, but we talked about Leverkusen as Europa

755
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,280
Speaker 3: League threat pretty early on in the year. Their value

756
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:34,239
Speaker 3: is gone now too, and I do think that, you know,

757
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 3: they should probably be a little closer to Liverpool to

758
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:39,319
Speaker 3: win it, just based on both have buys and both

759
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:42,760
Speaker 3: are you know, playing at an elite level in Europe

760
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 3: right now. But I think the best team kind of

761
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:47,839
Speaker 3: on the odds board if you're looking to go down

762
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,239
Speaker 3: the list. I know Bja has a team too. I

763
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 3: kind of just go process elimination. Right. Milan is ten

764
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,440
Speaker 3: to one. They're in the knockout round right now, I

765
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 3: have to play Ren, who's not a pushover, not a

766
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 3: bad team, and I don't think is really any good defensively.

767
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 3: I've gone into that enough this year.

768
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:05,680
Speaker 5: So Milan, no, thank you.

769
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 3: Brighten At twelve to one, I don't think they're well

770
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:11,759
Speaker 3: set up for this because they you know, have a

771
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 3: high ceiling, but their defense just feels a little too leaky.

772
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:17,319
Speaker 3: That don't trust the goalie at all. West Ham twelve

773
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:20,520
Speaker 3: to one. No, thank you, Roma sixteen to one. If

774
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:22,839
Speaker 3: you told me yes, Roma will advance to the next round.

775
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 3: I think Roma sixteen to one is intriguing, but they

776
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 3: have a tough I mean, they're pretty solid underdogs at

777
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:28,600
Speaker 3: Fiord in the first like, they're basically a coin flip

778
00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:31,800
Speaker 3: to advance. So you know, Roma's sixteen to one, you

779
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 3: can get Fiord at forty to one. When Finid is

780
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 3: basically a coin flip to advance against Roma, it doesn't

781
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:39,280
Speaker 3: make a ton of sense from an odds perspective. Benfica

782
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:41,360
Speaker 3: twenty to one BJ we were just talking about them

783
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 3: off there no interest in them. At Alanta is kind

784
00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:45,640
Speaker 3: of the team I settled on at twenty five to one.

785
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:49,320
Speaker 3: They've they've played elite defense in Syria this year. Their

786
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 3: attack is trending up because the cat Dela has taken

787
00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:54,840
Speaker 3: a real step forward. You know, you compare their numbers

788
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 3: underlying to Milan and to Roma. There's not a huge

789
00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 3: difference between the three teams, except that Milan's tend to

790
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,720
Speaker 3: Romas sixteen to one. Both are playing in the knockout

791
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,560
Speaker 3: round and at Alanta has a bye to the round.

792
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 5: Of sixteen, where they'd be seated.

793
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:10,400
Speaker 3: So I think at Alanta twenty five to one is

794
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:13,720
Speaker 3: where I've settled here. I think they're you know, Italy

795
00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 3: has done me well relatively in these knockout events the

796
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 3: last couple of years, and I think that the league

797
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:20,879
Speaker 3: as a whole has some decent depths, So I don't

798
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:24,439
Speaker 3: I believe it. I think, you know they're a live

799
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 3: team just because of how much improved their defenses this year.

800
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 1: Anything for you here, BJ, Yeah, just for a couple bets.

801
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 4: I like Sporting quite a bit. At minus one ten

802
00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 4: against young boys, I think it's a terrible matchup for

803
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,319
Speaker 4: young boys. In Sporting it's a significantly better team. I'll

804
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 4: get to them in a second. Other best bet will

805
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:49,239
Speaker 4: be Galataster Eye Sparta Prague over two and a half.

806
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 4: We should not be setting Galatasaraie matches at two and

807
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,439
Speaker 4: a half, always should be at three and one. More.

808
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 4: I have a fun one for everybody, and you're gonna

809
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 4: listen to this on Monday, and I'll be honest, I

810
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:02,400
Speaker 4: might need Tony Politics to step in and research this

811
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 4: for me. There is an ongoing police strike going on

812
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,600
Speaker 4: in Portugal right now. It caused all their matches to

813
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:12,760
Speaker 4: be postponed this past weekend. Benefica is playing to lose

814
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 4: at home and they are massive favorites to advance. There

815
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:19,319
Speaker 4: is a precedent that has been set in twenty twenty one,

816
00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:23,560
Speaker 4: if you remember Anthony, Tottenham had to forfeit a Europea

817
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 4: Conference League match against Wren because of COVID nineteen and

818
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:29,920
Speaker 4: they didn't have enough of a police presence to actually

819
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:34,279
Speaker 4: secure the safety of the match. So it's seemingly right

820
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,840
Speaker 4: now from what I've read on Thursday morning, there is

821
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 4: no end to this police strike. So that means that

822
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 4: to lose could be awarded a three to zero win

823
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 4: on the road and take that result back to France.

824
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 4: They are currently three to one to advance. I would

825
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 4: not bet them this first leg because I'm guessing every

826
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 4: sports book will avoid it if it's a forfeit. But

827
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:57,840
Speaker 4: if it's to advance, I'm not sure if they can

828
00:39:57,880 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 4: actually avoid that if there is actually a second leg

829
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,839
Speaker 4: being played. So that is the other one in terms

830
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,799
Speaker 4: of futures, I really like Sporting Lisbon at thirty three

831
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:10,000
Speaker 4: to one. I think they have shown throughout the last

832
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:13,160
Speaker 4: couple of years in Europe that they are very very

833
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,160
Speaker 4: capable of taking down some of the top teams. If

834
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:18,239
Speaker 4: you remember, they beat Tottenham during the Champions League group

835
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 4: stage and they knocked out Arsenal in the Europa League

836
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:25,640
Speaker 4: knockout stage last season. And really what they they're set

837
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 4: up is very similar to They take like a mixture

838
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 4: of what Galatasaraye has done. Combine that with actually building

839
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 4: out of the back, with the principles that you know

840
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:40,279
Speaker 4: Brighton and Leverkusen do with the box midfield, and they

841
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 4: have unbelievable attackers that can get forward. Yokerish, who came

842
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:48,960
Speaker 4: over from Coventry City, has been incredible for them fifteen

843
00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 4: goals point eighty six actually plus xa per ninety minutes,

844
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 4: incredible runner off the back line. They want to make

845
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 4: quick vertical passes to get going forward and that sets

846
00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 4: them up really well as a team to play when

847
00:40:59,640 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 4: they play and some of the big boys. They're dominating

848
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 4: everybody in Portugal right now plus one point four to

849
00:41:04,520 --> 00:41:07,840
Speaker 4: one actually differential per ninety minutes. Uh again, I just

850
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:09,840
Speaker 4: talked about this police strike. They're on the road against

851
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 4: the Young Boys here to start things off, so hopefully

852
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 4: they can get a big result here, because maybe they

853
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 4: can figure out a way to actually play this.

854
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:19,080
Speaker 3: I really need I need, I need the strike to

855
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:23,440
Speaker 3: continue because Beach just said, but against this Portuguese team,

856
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,279
Speaker 3: because their strike is this whoa but theris going to end?

857
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 5: Because it's more likely that this strike is going to

858
00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:32,319
Speaker 5: end in two weeks.

859
00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:36,840
Speaker 4: Than it is on Thursday. Anthony, so my research, so

860
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,600
Speaker 4: I step in. But anyway, yeah, thirty three to one.

861
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:43,400
Speaker 4: They got young boys, like it's it's a very you know,

862
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:47,399
Speaker 4: I'm hoping that they can figure out something. But yeah,

863
00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 4: I mean maybe you can just wait and just see

864
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:50,400
Speaker 4: what happens with the strike.

865
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 1: But solidarity to all the Portuguese.

866
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:56,320
Speaker 5: Yeah it's a pro labor podcast.

867
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah exactly. But hey, these are the things we

868
00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 4: have to do with you know, sometimes we've got to

869
00:42:01,120 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 4: cap geopolitics on this podcast to try.

870
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 1: Just wait till we get to uh just wait, dill

871
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:10,400
Speaker 1: we get to our our European previous championship exactly.

872
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 4: But yeah, anyway, Sporting thirty three to one if the

873
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 4: strike ends before their home match against Young Boys, just.

874
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:26,239
Speaker 1: A great caveat Okay, I hired to.

875
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,760
Speaker 5: Well even hold so Porto.

876
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:32,720
Speaker 3: I hadn't even thought of this. Now Porto is hosting

877
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 3: in two weeks as well.

878
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:35,759
Speaker 5: Yep, so great for the.

879
00:42:35,840 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 4: Arsenal Braga and Braga is hosting get that Arsenal ticket

880
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 4: in before this becomes being news, is hosting.

881
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 5: The to the to the Portuguese police strike.

882
00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:48,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, who is the time this podcast is out, will

883
00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 3: probably haven't resolved and exactly that's.

884
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 4: Why there, but hey, it could happen. Who's Braga hosting

885
00:42:55,800 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 4: Choir Bag perfect from Azerbaijan, So maybe them to advance

886
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 4: as well, okay, par Michael to lose in Quara bag

887
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:05,359
Speaker 4: to advance.

888
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 1: The year the Portuguese police strike parlay p p P.

889
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:11,800
Speaker 1: That's why, that's why you come listen, you know, And

890
00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:14,239
Speaker 1: I hope that there's a lot of people that are

891
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,360
Speaker 1: listening to this, maybe for the first time, because the

892
00:43:16,760 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 1: NFL season ended and they still want to bed and whatever,

893
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:24,960
Speaker 1: and now they're set up to expect to hear this

894
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:27,840
Speaker 1: kind of stuff every every weekend. You won't be disappointed.

895
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:32,480
Speaker 1: You won't be disappointed. So after we have now unturned

896
00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:36,800
Speaker 1: every stone that we can to go through the European

897
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 1: matches coming up on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Let's just

898
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:44,120
Speaker 1: wrap it up with our favorite bets for this week

899
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,040
Speaker 1: to come. Bjay, you can go first.

900
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 4: Leipzig plus a half minus one thirty five against Real Madrid.

901
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:53,000
Speaker 4: It's honestly a pretty good matchup for them. Real Madrid

902
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 4: might have to play a center back pairing of Chewa

903
00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:58,399
Speaker 4: Many and car of A Hall, which is not great

904
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:00,239
Speaker 4: for them, not just because they're bad center back, but

905
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 4: they're losing too many as their best ball stopping midfielders.

906
00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:04,680
Speaker 4: So if they decided to play Cruise and Modrich in

907
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,479
Speaker 4: the midfield, well, for a Leipzig team that really wants

908
00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:10,799
Speaker 4: to attack you vertically and transitionally right through the middle

909
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 4: of the pitch, that is not a great scenario for

910
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:16,680
Speaker 4: Real Madrid, who honestly hasn't been that great of a defense,

911
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,480
Speaker 4: and they're really bad on set pieces, and that's something

912
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:22,320
Speaker 4: Leipzig has done really well this season, scored eleven goals

913
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:24,880
Speaker 4: off of set pieces six the next cheaper set piece

914
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:27,880
Speaker 4: in Germany, and Real Madrid's form away from home in

915
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 4: the Champions League hasn't been good for a long time.

916
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 4: I know they beat both Napoli and Braga this season,

917
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 4: but they lost the XG battle in both of those.

918
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 4: They lost to Leipzig last year in the group stage

919
00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:39,600
Speaker 4: in Germany, so I really don't think they should be

920
00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:41,360
Speaker 4: an odds on favorite here on the road. So I

921
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:43,359
Speaker 4: like Leipsig plus a half of minus one thirty five.

922
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:45,839
Speaker 1: I like Associate Dat on the money line plus four

923
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 1: to twenty five. We talked about it. This team should

924
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 1: provide plenty of value I think across both legs and

925
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:56,440
Speaker 1: maybe beyond in this tie with PSG. So this back

926
00:44:56,520 --> 00:45:00,560
Speaker 1: the defense of stalwarts from La Liga here and what

927
00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 1: about you've got.

928
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Byron Munich minus one eighty on

929
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:08,239
Speaker 3: the road, lay in the juice, don't care. I think

930
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 3: Lazio is a fraud, and they've shown it as much.

931
00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:10,919
Speaker 5: In the last month.

932
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:13,839
Speaker 3: The market has continued to stay pretty steady on this line.

933
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 3: I disagree with it. I think Bayron rolls here and

934
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,680
Speaker 3: sets up an exciting quarterfinal. One more thing as well.

935
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,279
Speaker 3: You know last year we did one future from each.

936
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:26,320
Speaker 3: I'm gonna make it an even three. Arsenal six to

937
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 3: one at Alanto twenty five to one, Lil twelve to

938
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 3: one in the Conference League for me. So hopefully we

939
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 3: can make it a clean, clean sweep. That means you

940
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 3: can book all three.

941
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:38,080
Speaker 5: Of them to lose the final.

942
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:41,680
Speaker 1: Okay, perfect, So book those three to lose in the final.

943
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 1: PSV booked them to win it at and book the

944
00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:49,240
Speaker 1: Portuguese police strike to end. I believe what on Sunday,

945
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:52,920
Speaker 1: just in time for BJ maybe maybe to lose all

946
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:55,960
Speaker 1: these Yeah, but yeah, we'll see what happens.

947
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 4: But the we do, we do have to capture of

948
00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:00,239
Speaker 4: politics on this spot cast.

949
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 1: Unfortunately, they'll be bringing they'll be bringing BJ BJ's face

950
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 1: to the table at the negotiations. Like we just we

951
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 1: have it. We have a solid deadline noway, we'll be

952
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,520
Speaker 1: We got to make sure this guy loses his body. Yeah,

953
00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:15,959
Speaker 1: this guy from this guy from Iowa. All right, that'll

954
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:18,879
Speaker 1: do it for BJ, Anthony and myself until we get

955
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:22,319
Speaker 1: back to preview the upcoming week in the Premier League.

956
00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:27,160
Speaker 1: So for BJ Anthony Michael, thank you for listening. Good

957
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 1: luck with all your bets in Europe this week, and

958
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:32,279
Speaker 1: thank you to our sponsors BET three six five. Thank

959
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:34,440
Speaker 1: you to our producer Noah for all the work on

960
00:46:34,520 --> 00:46:36,440
Speaker 1: the back end. We'll see you next Day.

961
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:49,880
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

962
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

963
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler