1
00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:07,120
Speaker 1: The volume this week on Prime Cutch Chad Millman, Sharp

2
00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:10,920
Speaker 1: or Square, John Middlekoff on Brock Pretty and the Red

3
00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:20,320
Speaker 1: Hot Niners, and my top takes of the week. All Right,

4
00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:25,759
Speaker 1: so two things. One, Kansas City needs to go get

5
00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:30,280
Speaker 1: a wide receiver at the trade deadline, Jerry Judy Cortland Sutton.

6
00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:33,040
Speaker 1: I think Denver at this point would trade in division.

7
00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:37,000
Speaker 1: I think Denver's got to figure out Denver. I think

8
00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:42,040
Speaker 1: they know they're not in the same stratosphere as Denver

9
00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:45,640
Speaker 1: knows they're not in Kansas City's galaxy. So they used

10
00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:47,680
Speaker 1: to be sort of an unwritten rule. You just didn't

11
00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:51,120
Speaker 1: trade in division, try not to trade in conference. If

12
00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,680
Speaker 1: you're Sean Payton, you're staring at Russell Wilson's contract. You

13
00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,040
Speaker 1: got to solve your stuff. You can't worry about that.

14
00:00:57,400 --> 00:00:59,520
Speaker 1: You can't worry anybody you trade them is not going

15
00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:01,880
Speaker 1: to be around in two or three years. Probably anyway,

16
00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:06,240
Speaker 1: Kansas City moves off star receivers, they move off all receivers,

17
00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:10,000
Speaker 1: including Tyreek Hill and others, Juju Smith, Schuster one and done.

18
00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:13,280
Speaker 1: So Kansas City is a really good football team, but

19
00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:15,600
Speaker 1: I think the entire league looks at San Francisco and

20
00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:19,199
Speaker 1: looks at the way they thrash Pittsburgh's roster and the Cowboys,

21
00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:22,200
Speaker 1: You're going to really struggle to move the football if

22
00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:25,080
Speaker 1: you're the Chiefs against that San Francisco defense, if you

23
00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,360
Speaker 1: eventually face them, or Philadelphia's defense for that matter. So

24
00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:30,720
Speaker 1: Chiefs go get a wide receiver to deadline. We've been

25
00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:32,880
Speaker 1: talking about that for a couple of weeks. When you

26
00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:35,200
Speaker 1: have Andy Reid and Mahomes and you're scoring nineteen and

27
00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:38,400
Speaker 1: dominating time and possession, you need another pop on the perimeter.

28
00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:43,119
Speaker 1: You know, as far as Denver, there's just no way

29
00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:47,840
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson's going to last half of this contract. New

30
00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:51,400
Speaker 1: owner Sean Payton. You can say what you want about

31
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:53,400
Speaker 1: Sean Payton, but he, next to Andy Reid, is the

32
00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,880
Speaker 1: most innovative offensive guy in the last fifteen years in

33
00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:57,920
Speaker 1: the NFL. I know half a dozen players that have

34
00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:01,240
Speaker 1: played for him, loved him, thought he was just a

35
00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:05,360
Speaker 1: brilliant coach. And there's a reason, you know, many people

36
00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,000
Speaker 1: wanted to interview him. He's the smartest football coach I've

37
00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:12,040
Speaker 1: ever interviewed on a consistent basis in terms of knowledge

38
00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:15,120
Speaker 1: of offense. It's I mean just layered beyond layered. He

39
00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:19,160
Speaker 1: won with Teddy Bridgewater, Drew Brees, he won with a

40
00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:24,560
Speaker 1: Taysom Hill, a winning record, never been shut out. I mean,

41
00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:26,400
Speaker 1: he knows what he's doing. I know people didn't like

42
00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:28,440
Speaker 1: the call he made tonight at the end of the

43
00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:31,240
Speaker 1: first half. It doesn't matter. There's no salary cap for coaches.

44
00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:34,880
Speaker 1: He's going nowhere. The GM might get replaced now. The

45
00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:39,200
Speaker 1: good news for Denver, even with Russell Wilson's contract, you

46
00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,440
Speaker 1: can turn things around really quickly in this league. This

47
00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:43,880
Speaker 1: is not Major League Baseball, where you need like four

48
00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:48,000
Speaker 1: drafts and certain teams have spending limitations. Right, Like a

49
00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:51,200
Speaker 1: third of Major League Baseball, maybe half, just can't compete

50
00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,639
Speaker 1: with the Houstons and the Dodgers and the Mets financially.

51
00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:56,360
Speaker 1: It's not the NBA where you really have to have

52
00:02:56,480 --> 00:03:00,400
Speaker 1: three high end players to compete for a championship. City

53
00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:03,600
Speaker 1: has one elite defensive player. Bolton's a very good linebacker,

54
00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:07,280
Speaker 1: but Chris Jones is your Pro bowler. The bottom line,

55
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,880
Speaker 1: young and cheap on defense works. You know you're gonna

56
00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:14,280
Speaker 1: spend your money on quarterback, left tackle, star receiver or

57
00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:17,560
Speaker 1: tight end. That's where the smart teams in this league

58
00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,720
Speaker 1: like Kansas City spend their money on offense. The teams

59
00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:24,040
Speaker 1: like Pittsburgh that are spending their money on defense, when's

60
00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,480
Speaker 1: their last big playoff win in the last decade? Right, So,

61
00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,560
Speaker 1: you know, you get rid of some players, you get

62
00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,120
Speaker 1: yourself ten or eleven draft picks, you hit on seven

63
00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:38,080
Speaker 1: of them. I mean, the Rams had fourteen guys make

64
00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:39,520
Speaker 1: the team this year out of the draft. I think

65
00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,240
Speaker 1: it was fourteen. I could be wrong on that number.

66
00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,640
Speaker 1: And they've been much better defensively than anybody thought, so

67
00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:46,440
Speaker 1: you can turn it around. I mean, the Seahawks had

68
00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,880
Speaker 1: back to back drafts where they nailed their first four

69
00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:53,240
Speaker 1: or five picks. That's ten players. And that's what Denver

70
00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:55,920
Speaker 1: has to do. They've got to nail five or six

71
00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:59,040
Speaker 1: players per draft over the next two years and have

72
00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:02,120
Speaker 1: a lot of, you know, for lack of a better term,

73
00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:04,880
Speaker 1: cheap labor. I mean, they got to have inexpensive players,

74
00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:07,880
Speaker 1: a lot of third, fourth, fifth, sixth round guys. And

75
00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:11,080
Speaker 1: when you're not a great defensive team like the Rams

76
00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:13,480
Speaker 1: coming into this season, you can do that. Fifth round

77
00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:18,240
Speaker 1: guys have an impact. So but this just isn't gonna work.

78
00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:22,640
Speaker 1: I mean, ninety five yards passing, seventeen yards passing I think,

79
00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:24,760
Speaker 1: or thirty two yards passing in the first half for

80
00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,640
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson. It's just not gonna work. And you know,

81
00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,080
Speaker 1: people say, well, it's not Russell's fault. Listen, when that

82
00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:33,200
Speaker 1: game was thirteen nothing, it felt over. It would not

83
00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,760
Speaker 1: have felt over with Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts,

84
00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:41,839
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence. So Russell Wilson is the problem.

85
00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,640
Speaker 1: If you trail thirteen to nothing against the good defense

86
00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,920
Speaker 1: and the game feels over at any point other than

87
00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:51,520
Speaker 1: the last five minutes, the quarterbacks the issue. It doesn't

88
00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,000
Speaker 1: mean he's the worst player on the team. It doesn't

89
00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:58,440
Speaker 1: mean there are other issues, but his salary, combined with

90
00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:04,599
Speaker 1: his lack of jewe, he's the issue. Right. It's really

91
00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,800
Speaker 1: unprecedented where you see a star quarterback with no major

92
00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:12,520
Speaker 1: injury drop off a cliff. It's unprecedented in the history

93
00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:15,280
Speaker 1: of the NFL. I've never seen anything like it. I mean,

94
00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:17,720
Speaker 1: I saw Peyton Manning at the end five years older

95
00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:20,920
Speaker 1: than russ is now and four next surgeries go from

96
00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:24,440
Speaker 1: really good to you know, clearly not the same quarterback.

97
00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:28,000
Speaker 1: Russ has never had a major injury. He's a workaholic.

98
00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,560
Speaker 1: It's just, you know, Pete Carroll saw a lot of things.

99
00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:36,600
Speaker 1: He saw him age quickly, and now it's Sean Payton's problem.

100
00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,160
Speaker 1: So it's just not going to last very long. This

101
00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:43,839
Speaker 1: owner and this coach. I think that they're going to

102
00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:47,120
Speaker 1: try to accumulate a lot of picks and somewhere in

103
00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:50,640
Speaker 1: this draft, a very strong quarterback draft, try to get

104
00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:55,279
Speaker 1: themselves the next guy. I'm dead serious. I just don't

105
00:05:55,360 --> 00:06:00,680
Speaker 1: think they're going to be patient, especially in the Afcats

106
00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:04,360
Speaker 1: is what fired coaches say. You know, that's what they preach.

107
00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:08,680
Speaker 1: You got to get stuff solved. Watching Philadelphia, I still

108
00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:11,239
Speaker 1: don't think Philadelphia is playing as well as they're capable

109
00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:15,719
Speaker 1: of playing. But if you watched every snap of that

110
00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:19,080
Speaker 1: Rams game, or most of them, and I did, that

111
00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:22,640
Speaker 1: was one of the more physically dominating performances I've ever seen.

112
00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,000
Speaker 1: They had over four hundred and fifty yards. They had

113
00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:29,520
Speaker 1: a thirty eight to twenty two minute time of possession edge,

114
00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:33,560
Speaker 1: twenty eight first downs to seventeen. They were impeccable on

115
00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:38,800
Speaker 1: third down, and the score is not even remotely indicative

116
00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:44,160
Speaker 1: of what the game was like Philadelphia just smushed and

117
00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:48,320
Speaker 1: pounded and buried and punished the Rams for three and

118
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,640
Speaker 1: a half hours. You know, Cooper cup got some nice

119
00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:54,880
Speaker 1: catches early. But mcveigh's a great coach. You have some

120
00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:58,480
Speaker 1: really nice players for the Rams. They're young. But this

121
00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:03,240
Speaker 1: is really what separates to me the Philadelphia from everybody

122
00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:06,400
Speaker 1: except the forty nine ers in football. A Buffalo can

123
00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,159
Speaker 1: beat you, soak in Kansas City, so can Cincinnati. There's

124
00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,240
Speaker 1: a lot of teams that can beat you. The two

125
00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:15,520
Speaker 1: teams last year San Francisco teams the following week after

126
00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:19,920
Speaker 1: playing the Niners. I think every team the following week lost.

127
00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:22,320
Speaker 1: They don't beat you, they punish you, they hurt you.

128
00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,280
Speaker 1: I feel the same way with Philadelphia, and I don't

129
00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,640
Speaker 1: even think they're clicking. But between AJ Brown and Jalen

130
00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,280
Speaker 1: Hurts and the dominating offensive line, they just get yards

131
00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:35,800
Speaker 1: when they need it. They have no personnel shortcomings. They

132
00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,679
Speaker 1: can do virtually anything they want to do. That doesn't

133
00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:41,480
Speaker 1: mean they always do it well. You know, a well

134
00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:45,720
Speaker 1: coached team will do well what their personnel allows them

135
00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,440
Speaker 1: to do well. You know they're shortcomings. I'll get to

136
00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:50,560
Speaker 1: the Jets in the second. They do that they do

137
00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,600
Speaker 1: well what they can do with their personnel. But Philadelphia

138
00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,000
Speaker 1: there's everything. They have a quarterback that can throw and

139
00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,480
Speaker 1: can move. They can play power football and go over

140
00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,800
Speaker 1: the top. They get a great pass rush. On the

141
00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,360
Speaker 1: other end. You know their secondary may not be as

142
00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,560
Speaker 1: good as it was in previous years. But you know,

143
00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:11,480
Speaker 1: the NFC, the team that you're concerned about San Francisco's

144
00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:15,480
Speaker 1: got Brock Purty, or Dallas has Dak. You don't feel

145
00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,600
Speaker 1: like you know your B B plus quarterbacks are going

146
00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:20,960
Speaker 1: to pick you apart because the pass rush you create.

147
00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:25,320
Speaker 1: So Philadelphia is such an impressive organization and they do

148
00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:27,960
Speaker 1: what very few teams do in the NFL. They pivot

149
00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:31,120
Speaker 1: a lot, and they remain successful. Bill Belichick can't pivot

150
00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:35,520
Speaker 1: off Brady. Patriots are a clown show. They can't pivot once.

151
00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:39,360
Speaker 1: Pete Carroll's pivoted four times in Seattle. Philadelphia pivoted off

152
00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:44,720
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz. They pivoted off Nick Foles. They just keep changing.

153
00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:49,680
Speaker 1: Pivoted off Chip Kelly. This team is stacked. Now, you

154
00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:53,600
Speaker 1: know the offensive line, they got some older players, Kelsey

155
00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,760
Speaker 1: the center, but you know they've drafted well up front

156
00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:00,719
Speaker 1: as well. So I just don't think Philadelphia has any shortcomings.

157
00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:02,840
Speaker 1: I think they can match up with anybody in the

158
00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:06,160
Speaker 1: league and can go toe to toe with anybody. I mean,

159
00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:09,600
Speaker 1: think about this, Have they played a great game yet? Nope,

160
00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:14,200
Speaker 1: They're five and zero Phillies National League Championship Series again.

161
00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:17,160
Speaker 1: So a lot of people in baseball are discouraged or

162
00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:22,199
Speaker 1: disappointed that the Rays and the Orioles and the Dodgers

163
00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:27,880
Speaker 1: and the Braves, who had dominating regular seasons all got

164
00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:31,800
Speaker 1: flushed out of the playoffs rather quickly. But I talked

165
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:33,520
Speaker 1: about this on FS one today. I don't think it's

166
00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,640
Speaker 1: a terrible thing. I think the Phillies with Bryce Harper

167
00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:40,240
Speaker 1: are a great watch. And I mean it's you know,

168
00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:43,599
Speaker 1: the Rays, the Orioles don't have national followings, So I

169
00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:47,319
Speaker 1: don't think it's bad for the networks, you know, at all.

170
00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,520
Speaker 1: I think the reality is baseball is an everyday sport,

171
00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,680
Speaker 1: and when you give favorites they don't have to play

172
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,120
Speaker 1: in that wildcard round, they get five six days off.

173
00:09:57,679 --> 00:09:59,800
Speaker 1: I think that's problematic for those teams. I don't think

174
00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:02,360
Speaker 1: it's problematic for baseball because again I think the Phillies

175
00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,840
Speaker 1: to me, are as much fun or a better watch

176
00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:08,880
Speaker 1: due to Bryce Harper than the Braves. But the bigger

177
00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:12,200
Speaker 1: issue is the Yankees weren't very good this year. In

178
00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:14,400
Speaker 1: the Red Sox weren't very good this year, and the

179
00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:19,320
Speaker 1: Mets were a complete disappointment. And so if the Yankees

180
00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,800
Speaker 1: were a viable franchise, Houston's got a following, Phillies have

181
00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:27,320
Speaker 1: a following, you'd be fine. But you know, baseball did

182
00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:29,320
Speaker 1: a lot of things right in the last couple of years.

183
00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,880
Speaker 1: They speed the game up attendant and TV ratings are

184
00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:34,640
Speaker 1: up about ten percent. They got rid of the defensive shift.

185
00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,480
Speaker 1: I thought that was very smart. They'll never get rid

186
00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,640
Speaker 1: of Bay games and get down to like one hundred

187
00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:41,360
Speaker 1: and twenty games a year, which I think they should.

188
00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:43,520
Speaker 1: I think they should start a month later, finish six

189
00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:47,040
Speaker 1: weeks earlier, and wrap it up by October first or

190
00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,920
Speaker 1: September fifteenth. By the time the NFL's cooking getting into

191
00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:54,240
Speaker 1: it second week, you're done. NFL is so popular now

192
00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:58,040
Speaker 1: that baseball stands very little chance of pulling away audience.

193
00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:02,240
Speaker 1: You know, if you get into late October you have

194
00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,360
Speaker 1: to have the Yankees or like the Cubs going for

195
00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:06,920
Speaker 1: a World Series. You're just not going to be able

196
00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:08,920
Speaker 1: to do it unless you have the biggest brands, And

197
00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:11,360
Speaker 1: there's some crappy TV football games on which you know

198
00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:14,680
Speaker 1: it's Thursday night on Amazon. Those games are usually pretty dull.

199
00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,400
Speaker 1: But I don't think it's necessarily a problem that wildcard

200
00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:20,960
Speaker 1: teams win. I think it's the reality of baseball that

201
00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:24,160
Speaker 1: it's an everyday sport. The Dodgers offense dried up, the

202
00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:28,400
Speaker 1: Braves offense dried up. Okay, But if you're really honest

203
00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,800
Speaker 1: about it is that postseason baseball is a different experience

204
00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:35,960
Speaker 1: entirely in a different sport than regular season baseball. So

205
00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:40,120
Speaker 1: you know, regular season baseball is a marathon, it's a triathlon,

206
00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:43,120
Speaker 1: and the postseason is about getting a hit, getting a stop,

207
00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:46,200
Speaker 1: getting an out. You'll bring a star pitcher out of

208
00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,480
Speaker 1: the bullpen to get an out and get a win.

209
00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,440
Speaker 1: If you want to seal a series, or you have

210
00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:55,280
Speaker 1: a weaker pitcher going the next night against their superior pitcher.

211
00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:58,679
Speaker 1: You need outs. You need to create momentum. Now, you

212
00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,720
Speaker 1: need urgency. That's not the regular season. So you know,

213
00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:06,280
Speaker 1: I just think analytics are true, and they work in

214
00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:08,880
Speaker 1: both the NBA and baseball, and they're and they're smart,

215
00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:12,800
Speaker 1: But postseason Baseball is completely different, and the NBA playoffs

216
00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:14,880
Speaker 1: are different. Sometimes you just need a bucket, you need

217
00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,680
Speaker 1: a mid range jumper. So you know, I use the

218
00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:21,400
Speaker 1: analogy today that when you take your kids in a

219
00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:25,520
Speaker 1: five or six hour drive, same kids, same car, it's

220
00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:29,000
Speaker 1: different than taking a nine minute drive to school. Right,

221
00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:32,120
Speaker 1: It's a different sensibility and a different strategy with young

222
00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:35,040
Speaker 1: kids in a car for six hours, and so you know,

223
00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:39,559
Speaker 1: same kids, same car. You know, same teams, same players,

224
00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,959
Speaker 1: same manager, different strategy in the postseason. So the time

225
00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:46,719
Speaker 1: off I think can be problematic for favored teams. And

226
00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,240
Speaker 1: you know, the doctors didn't you know they had a

227
00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:53,840
Speaker 1: domestic issue with a picture of domestic violence, issue with

228
00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:58,040
Speaker 1: a pitcher, Kershaw's age and injuries, so they didn't really

229
00:12:58,080 --> 00:13:00,840
Speaker 1: have a true ace. And Freddy Frame and Mookie Betch

230
00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:02,920
Speaker 1: just didn't hit, which is it's harder to hit in

231
00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:07,079
Speaker 1: the postseason. It's superior pitching, more pressure. So golf and

232
00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:10,080
Speaker 1: baseball are that way bigger the tournament, more pressure, those

233
00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:13,760
Speaker 1: putts get harder. So listen, I can't wait to watch

234
00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:17,800
Speaker 1: the Phillies. I think they're a great team, and I

235
00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,360
Speaker 1: think Bryce Harper is the biggest star remaining in the sport.

236
00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:23,880
Speaker 1: So I do not think it's terrible news for Major

237
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:31,480
Speaker 1: League Baseball. John Middlecoff three and out in the volume.

238
00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,560
Speaker 1: So obviously, when you have a quarterback, you think about

239
00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:38,400
Speaker 1: what's their salary. I mean, if Russell Wilson was a

240
00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:41,760
Speaker 1: seventh round pick, everything in Denver would feel completely different

241
00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:44,960
Speaker 1: than his five year contract kicking in next year. Right,

242
00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:50,920
Speaker 1: So if you consider contract age, mobility, accuracy, talent, and

243
00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,960
Speaker 1: I said today, Brock Purty or Dak Prescott, it's not

244
00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,720
Speaker 1: even close. I would take Brock Purdy, It's not even close.

245
00:13:57,000 --> 00:14:00,280
Speaker 1: Dak now is not mobile. He's had too many lower

246
00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:03,960
Speaker 1: extremity injuries. Dak's a pocket thrower, but he was never

247
00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:08,000
Speaker 1: a great pocket passer like Russell Wilson. Although Russell throws

248
00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,640
Speaker 1: a pretty your ball, Russell needs mobility to be Russell Wilson.

249
00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:14,280
Speaker 1: A big part of Dak was that he could move.

250
00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:18,200
Speaker 1: He no longer moves, So I get a below average

251
00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:22,920
Speaker 1: pocket thrower who's super expensive. Brock Purty makes way too

252
00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:25,960
Speaker 1: many good throws to be a system guy. Dude hitting

253
00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:29,520
Speaker 1: things down the middle tonight. And it sounds crazy, but

254
00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:32,480
Speaker 1: you have to consider what you pay players. Once you

255
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:37,560
Speaker 1: pay guys Burrow Mahomes, Herbert Allen Lamar, Well, those are

256
00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:42,080
Speaker 1: special talents. Dak's got a special contract. He's an average

257
00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:46,400
Speaker 1: pocket guy. Look at that lineup for the Niners. If you,

258
00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:50,160
Speaker 1: for instance, John if Brock made what Dak made, you

259
00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:53,640
Speaker 1: couldn't have Fred Warner couldn't You couldn't have been able

260
00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:57,120
Speaker 1: to get Christian McCaffrey. You probably would have to get

261
00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:00,360
Speaker 1: rid of one of year d linemen. It's not the

262
00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,000
Speaker 1: same team, right, It's a good team, it's not quite

263
00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:03,800
Speaker 1: this team.

264
00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:05,800
Speaker 2: Well, when the forty nine Ers made the trade for

265
00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:09,720
Speaker 2: Trey Lance, you know, the logic of trying to swing

266
00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:11,720
Speaker 2: for the fences and get a star was in the

267
00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:14,320
Speaker 2: right place. But a driving force was they wanted that

268
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:18,320
Speaker 2: rookie quarterback contract. And my big thing is the rookie

269
00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:22,640
Speaker 2: quarterback contract isn't that relevant when the guy can't play.

270
00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:25,560
Speaker 2: Part of what made Dak such a good draft choice

271
00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,360
Speaker 2: back in the day was he he was a solid player, right,

272
00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:31,160
Speaker 2: solid Kirk Cousins back in the day. And then obviously

273
00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:34,040
Speaker 2: we've seen in recent memory some of the star quarterbacks drafted.

274
00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:36,040
Speaker 2: Brock Purty won.

275
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 3: He's really good.

276
00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:40,400
Speaker 2: I mean, you just watch if you just watch NFL football,

277
00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:41,680
Speaker 2: like that guy's really good.

278
00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:46,240
Speaker 1: John Kyle Shanahan didn't make Blaine Gabbert or Trey Lance

279
00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:50,760
Speaker 1: great players. Not all quarterbacks work with Kyle right, Like Brock,

280
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:52,600
Speaker 1: Brock's really good.

281
00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:55,280
Speaker 2: Well listen, and the other thing about Brock you just

282
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,120
Speaker 2: hit on. With Dak Prescott, there were a couple of

283
00:15:57,120 --> 00:16:00,880
Speaker 2: plays a night. It's like, Dak, for god, did Drake

284
00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:04,720
Speaker 2: Greenlaw and Fred Warner are the best linebacking duo in

285
00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,760
Speaker 2: the league. Their play speed is elite for their position.

286
00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:10,520
Speaker 2: And he rolled out a couple of times. It's like, Dak,

287
00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:12,920
Speaker 2: what are you doing? You know, get rid of the ball.

288
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:14,920
Speaker 2: If you're not going to be the athlete that you

289
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,480
Speaker 2: once were after the ankle injury, you can't scramble away

290
00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,360
Speaker 2: from these guys, can't. And then Perdy the underrated part

291
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,040
Speaker 2: about his game, because I remember I listen, I'd be

292
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,760
Speaker 2: lying if I said I watched that much Iowa State football.

293
00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:30,000
Speaker 2: But the one thing that was immediate when he started playing,

294
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:32,200
Speaker 2: and the biggest difference between him and Jimmy and they

295
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,520
Speaker 2: obviously won a ton of games with Jimmy ye was

296
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:38,160
Speaker 2: Jimmy's lack of mobility after the ACL injury and his

297
00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:41,880
Speaker 2: just ability to playmake outside of the pocket. When you

298
00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:45,520
Speaker 2: watch Perdy scramble, you're confident that something good is gonna happen.

299
00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:47,960
Speaker 2: How about the touch that he has on the move.

300
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:49,920
Speaker 2: When you're playing with this much talent, Everyone's like, well,

301
00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:51,400
Speaker 2: he's playing with a lot of talent. Well, you ain't

302
00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:53,480
Speaker 2: got to get him the ball. How many players have

303
00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:56,160
Speaker 2: we've seen play with other good players? Larry Fitzgerald can

304
00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,000
Speaker 2: tell you played with a million quarterbacks, couldn't get him

305
00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:01,000
Speaker 2: the rock over the years. This guy you just watch him.

306
00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:04,600
Speaker 2: Obviously he's a little smaller, but listen, I mean his

307
00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:08,879
Speaker 2: this fucking kid can play bottom line.

308
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and again it's Mark Brunel was a

309
00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:14,840
Speaker 1: late pick, Brady, Kurt Warner, Romo. It's not shocking. We've

310
00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:19,000
Speaker 1: seen guys undrafted and I think there's a ceiling, but

311
00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:22,679
Speaker 1: it's not a Mac Jones ceiling. He moves really well

312
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:25,239
Speaker 1: and they don't ask him to throw a ton of

313
00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:28,280
Speaker 1: deep balls. I mean, they just don't this, you know,

314
00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:32,159
Speaker 1: it just it's funny, like the Dak's rookie year. In

315
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:34,320
Speaker 1: the first couple of years, you know, he got an

316
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,879
Speaker 1: MVP voter to his first year in the league, and

317
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:40,160
Speaker 1: so much of that was you weren't paying Dak anything.

318
00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,199
Speaker 1: So they had the old line, they had Zeke. It

319
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:43,920
Speaker 1: was an all star team, even their defense. I went

320
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:45,280
Speaker 1: and looked it up the other day. Was top five

321
00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:48,920
Speaker 1: in the league. Dallas right now, because once you pay

322
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:53,800
Speaker 1: that quarterback, I mean, Kansas City's roster is not great. Cincinnati,

323
00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 1: there's holes in that thing. Everybody's roster has a hole

324
00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,200
Speaker 1: except San Francisco. I mean.

325
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,880
Speaker 2: So, I think also when you take a quarterback high,

326
00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:07,199
Speaker 2: you like a specific guy and you get aggressive, from

327
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,639
Speaker 2: Josh Allen to Mahomes to when the Texans drafted Deshaun

328
00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:14,040
Speaker 2: Watson to Baker Mayfield, like you like that guy. To me,

329
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:16,919
Speaker 2: when you get a guy in the third, fourth and beyond,

330
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:20,320
Speaker 2: there's an element of luck right at quarterback because teams

331
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,160
Speaker 2: are passing on the guy. It's easy to look back. God,

332
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,760
Speaker 2: look how good perty is. But at the time, I mean,

333
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:28,359
Speaker 2: he was one spot away from being an undrafted free agent.

334
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,639
Speaker 2: But you cannot value and I think it's pretty clear

335
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,280
Speaker 2: guys like him. You and I have talked about it.

336
00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:38,000
Speaker 2: When you go to Alabama or Georgia, you have such

337
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:41,440
Speaker 2: an advantage on a weekly basis, right, you really do. Hell,

338
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 2: we'll probably talk about Kleb a little bit later. I

339
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,320
Speaker 2: think he's benefiting a lot, or at least scouts are

340
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:48,960
Speaker 2: gonna benefit watching him play. It's not as easy this year,

341
00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:51,800
Speaker 2: like he has to make shit happen. His team has

342
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 2: a huge advantage. Well, perty his entire career, we're going

343
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,679
Speaker 2: into games either as underdogs or having less talent than

344
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:00,760
Speaker 2: their opponents. So you have to learn learn how to play.

345
00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 2: So now you watch him, well, he clearly knows how

346
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,640
Speaker 2: to play, and now he has the talent around him,

347
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 2: and it's bombs away. I mean they feel, I mean

348
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,639
Speaker 2: clearly like one of the better teams we've seen in

349
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,480
Speaker 2: terms of the way they start and just how the

350
00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,400
Speaker 2: level in which they're playing in recent memory in the NFL.

351
00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:21,639
Speaker 1: Oh, I think honestly, again, if you had even a

352
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,639
Speaker 1: good quarterback Kirk Cousins, you could not have the same roster.

353
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:28,080
Speaker 1: You would not get both of those linebackers, you know

354
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,640
Speaker 1: you wouldn't. You would not have been able to acquire

355
00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,720
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey. Well, if you take Christian McCaffrey and Fred

356
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:37,160
Speaker 1: Warner off this team, it's not the same team. That's

357
00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,200
Speaker 1: the best linebacker in the game and the best running

358
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:40,959
Speaker 1: back right now, and what they can use.

359
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:41,159
Speaker 4: You know.

360
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:45,439
Speaker 1: It's the other thing is when I mean, we've all

361
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,920
Speaker 1: had a bunch of bosses in our life, but when

362
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:54,720
Speaker 1: you're in sports, basketball is and hockey or really so fast.

363
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 1: But in football you huddle. Football plays are choreographed, so

364
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 1: you can on that bench as a football player, right.

365
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 1: Baseball is very individual. If a guy's hot on the mound,

366
00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,679
Speaker 1: there's not a lot you can do. I get basketball's

367
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,479
Speaker 1: moving one thousand miles an hour, and football, you know

368
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 1: when the other coach is better than your coach. Like

369
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:19,359
Speaker 1: Dallas players are watching this Rubik's Cuba and offense, you

370
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:23,639
Speaker 1: know they're going, shit, we're getting worked tonight, right, like

371
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:31,800
Speaker 1: a player would know that. All right, Chad Millman had

372
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 1: a great week. We had a great week five and

373
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 1: zero off our four and one week hit nine of

374
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,000
Speaker 1: ten sharper square. Chad. Of course, the CEO of the

375
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:43,080
Speaker 1: Action Network. All of our odds are provided by DraftKings.

376
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:47,440
Speaker 1: So I tend to be like Warren Buffett of value Seeker, right,

377
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 1: I tend to take points. But I went back and

378
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 1: look at why I was struggling in the first two weeks,

379
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,879
Speaker 1: and then I made a little switch. As the league's

380
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 1: become more quarterback centric. I was taking off in the

381
00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 1: second best quarterback in game, though I was getting value,

382
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:05,439
Speaker 1: So I said, listen, it's becoming more quarterback centric, so

383
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,640
Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that. I'm going to seek value,

384
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 1: but not be afraid to take some favorites. So I'm

385
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,919
Speaker 1: going to start with some favorites. So I'm not getting

386
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 1: the best line. But if you watch the raven Steelers play,

387
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: Baltimore was a much better team two drop touchdown passes.

388
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:26,160
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is having a spectacular season. Dropped passes are

389
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 1: like fumbles and fumble recoveries. They go in spurts. Baltimore

390
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 1: is a really good team getting healthier. I don't think

391
00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:37,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee is it's four and a half. I'd like it four.

392
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 1: It is what it is. I get the much more

393
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 1: dynamic quarterback. I also get a great coach, no coaching disadvantage.

394
00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:48,399
Speaker 1: The rabel Baltimore minus four and a half Sharper square.

395
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 4: Well, it's square, but but it's not square like some

396
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 4: of your other square picks. Yeah, this is sort of

397
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 4: square in the sense that wise guys are taking the

398
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:08,080
Speaker 4: Titans because of the number and nothing else.

399
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 3: Your logic is sound.

400
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,320
Speaker 4: The conversations I had today were exactly what you just said.

401
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,400
Speaker 4: The Ravens actually played really well last week. Zay Flowers

402
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:21,640
Speaker 4: dropped the pass that was wide open, like there were

403
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 4: there were three or four spots where that game was

404
00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 4: over if the Ravens receivers catch a pass.

405
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:29,360
Speaker 1: Open open, like wide open.

406
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 3: Wide open, and so it was.

407
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 4: It was a very fluky, fluky game, right, Like in

408
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 4: what universe right now, should Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh

409
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 4: Steelers be tied with the Baltimore Ravens right for first

410
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 4: place in the AFC nors right? So your your logic

411
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 4: is sound, and it's why a lot of wise guys

412
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 4: have had a hard time with this game. It opened

413
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 4: at five and a half, got that down to five,

414
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 4: got to four and a half, got down to four.

415
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:54,919
Speaker 4: When it got to four, that was sort of the

416
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 4: breaking point and people started betting on the Ravens again.

417
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,560
Speaker 4: The challenge here that I think is screwing a lot

418
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 4: of people up is the fact it's a London game,

419
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:05,920
Speaker 4: and if it was, if it wasn't a London game,

420
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 4: you'd have Vrabel as more than a field goal underdog.

421
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 4: And there are a few coaches in the NFL who

422
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 4: wise guys will automatically bet if they're underdogs. Vrabel is

423
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 4: one of them. Mike Tomlin is one of them. John

424
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 4: Harbaugh is one of them.

425
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:22,440
Speaker 3: Right.

426
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,920
Speaker 4: The flip side is that John Harbaugh is not very

427
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 4: good as a favorite and Lamar is actually terrible as

428
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 4: a favorite. So I think the wise guys are trying

429
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 4: to figure out what do I think of the London

430
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,360
Speaker 4: factor in all this, and it's scaring them a little bit,

431
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 4: But they're taking the Titans.

432
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 1: One more favorite. I like the number at two and

433
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 1: a half. It'll probably be three in most areas. Bengals

434
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 1: minus two and a half hosting Seattle, so well, Seattle

435
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 1: has extra time. I value extra time differently with offensive

436
00:23:55,800 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 1: coaches who bring more tricks Andy Reid, McVeigh, Shanahan than

437
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 1: I do defensive coaches who are largely motivators. They give

438
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 1: guys rest. They want healthy defensive guys. I don't look

439
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 1: at Pete Carroll, Tomlin Belichick extra at rest like I

440
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:15,400
Speaker 1: do Andy Reid or McVeagh. So I get a more

441
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 1: rested Seattle team, But I get a significantly better quarterback

442
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: who now is healthy. So the Bengals for three straight

443
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 1: years have been a lousy September early October team. Why

444
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,439
Speaker 1: Burl had two surgeries and a calf injury. It's about

445
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 1: this time Cincinnati hits. These games are also urgent for them,

446
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:34,400
Speaker 1: so they play with great urgency early in this division.

447
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 1: That's good. Minus two and a half, I think it's

448
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 1: a great number. Minus three, I'd still bet at three

449
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,440
Speaker 1: and a half. I move off at Sharper square.

450
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 4: At two and a half, at sharp at three. It's

451
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 4: not So it's really this is about the number, and

452
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 4: you know, to use a football metaphor, it's a fifty

453
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:55,119
Speaker 4: to fifty ball, right. It's really about how much do

454
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,240
Speaker 4: you believe in Joe Burrow? And a lot of professional

455
00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 4: betters believe that what they saw with last what they

456
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 4: saw last week with Joe Burrow is that he's better.

457
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 4: And part of it is, Hey, every year the Bengals

458
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 4: starts slow, he's injured, he takes time to get his timing.

459
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 4: Jamar Chase the past two weeks has basically against the

460
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 4: Rams and then against the Cardinals has basically had a

461
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 4: season's worth of receptions and receiving yards, like he's really

462
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 4: found his rhythm with Joe Burrow again. And what the

463
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 4: Wise Guys liked about Joe Burrow last week. It's not

464
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 4: the fact that they beat the Cardinals, who probably are

465
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:32,879
Speaker 4: a team that has been overperforming regardless, and kudos to

466
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,080
Speaker 4: their coaching staff for getting so much out of that talent.

467
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 4: But it was the way Joe Burrow was able to

468
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 4: move into the pocket, he was able to get around offenders,

469
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:46,199
Speaker 4: maintain his stance, step into throws, find his timing with

470
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 4: Jamar Chase. That's what they like about it. I mean,

471
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 4: I'm sure you and Cosell, you know, probably talked about

472
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 4: this on the show this week. But that's why they're

473
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 4: betting on the Bengals of two and a half. And

474
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,560
Speaker 4: they do feel if they had looked a little bit

475
00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 4: better one week earlier, they might be getting the Bengals four.

476
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 4: So there's about a point and a half of value.

477
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,719
Speaker 4: But at three, they buy back the Seahawks or they

478
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 4: pass the market.

479
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,919
Speaker 1: Sometimes is a week late. I just think they're a

480
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 1: week late on Cincinnati. I think they're by the end

481
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 1: of this game, they'll catch up to Cincinnati. So let's

482
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: go to underdogs. So the Rams lost to the Eagles,

483
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 1: but if you watch the game, it wasn't close. When

484
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 1: you play Philadelphia and your defense is on the field

485
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: for forty minutes, that team that will have repercussions this week.

486
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,879
Speaker 1: I don't love Arizona, but at plus seven six and

487
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 1: a half, the stadium is not a home field advantage.

488
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: Numbers came out this week showing that home field is

489
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 1: now down to one and a half points. Well, the

490
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 1: Rams is less than that, so it's really do I

491
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 1: think a Rams team off a Philadelphia game in which

492
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 1: they got beat up physically. I don't like teams that

493
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 1: play the next week after they play the Niners or

494
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,360
Speaker 1: the Eagles in the NFC. The seven here, the six

495
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,359
Speaker 1: and a half is screaming Arizona for the record Vision

496
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: rivalry game. Arizona played San Francisco tougher than you'd expect.

497
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the point Sharper square.

498
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 3: Yeah.

499
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 4: The Cardinals are a real conundrum for better this year,

500
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 4: as have the Rams been a conundrum for betters this year.

501
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:19,159
Speaker 4: Because the Cardinals everyone expected them to be the worst

502
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 4: team in the league, and certainly there was a lot

503
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 4: of mocking of Jonathan Gannon before the season began with

504
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 4: his social interactions with his players, right, that sort of

505
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,560
Speaker 4: became a meme on social media. And what you've seen

506
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:35,240
Speaker 4: with the Cardinals and what you've seen with the Colts,

507
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 4: and a byproduct of this is what you've seen with

508
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 4: the Eagles is how good Gannon has been and putting

509
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,840
Speaker 4: his pilayers in a position to succeed, making the right

510
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 4: play calls that give them confidence in high risk situations

511
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:51,120
Speaker 4: that put them in a better position statistically to win.

512
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 4: Saint Stikeen's done the same exact thing with the Colts,

513
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:57,199
Speaker 4: which is why professional betters are liking the Colts and

514
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 4: not so worried about Gardner Minshew also seen with the Eagles,

515
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,480
Speaker 4: the lack of those two guys has had an impact

516
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,720
Speaker 4: on how they play on defense and how they play

517
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:08,639
Speaker 4: on offense, which is a testament to how good they were.

518
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 3: Right.

519
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 4: The Rams meanwhile, and I'm equivocating a little bit here,

520
00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 4: The Rams meanwhile, have been great against the spread until

521
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:19,719
Speaker 4: this past week. So the wise guys have come in

522
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:22,639
Speaker 4: on the Rams because this number has gone up. But

523
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 4: there's not a ton of confidence on this game. It's

524
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 4: not a game where I've got my phone blowing up

525
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 4: and people are saying, oh my god, I love the

526
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,199
Speaker 4: Cardinals here, or oh my god, the Rams are exact

527
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 4: right spot.

528
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 3: It's sort of like you took the Rams at six

529
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 3: and a half. It's at seven. We're going to kind

530
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 3: of pass from here.

531
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 4: I want to take sha I do think I will

532
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 4: say one more thing like Colin. I think people thought

533
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 4: the Cardinals were at the top of the market after

534
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 4: the Cowboys, and they've done everything they can do with

535
00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 4: the talent they have. Josh Jobs was not as good

536
00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 4: last week. They've been a little bit exposed. There's only

537
00:28:58,080 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 4: so much coaching that you can do when you're talent

538
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 4: isn't up to park.

539
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 1: So I'm going to take Chicago extra rest plus two

540
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 1: and a half. I think it's a locker room game.

541
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson's out trade rumors Kirk Cousins, the white flag

542
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 1: is up inside the locker room. Players are now playing

543
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 1: just to be capable on film of not getting called

544
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 1: out on Monday. Chicago feels like we found the magic potion.

545
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: Chicago has an energized locker room. Justin Fields is playing

546
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 1: to retain his position, and Kayleb Williams not yet drafted

547
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 1: this is an energized team at home, extra rest found

548
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 1: their magic. I think you're going to get a Minnesota

549
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: team that I think the messaging is waving the white flag.

550
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 1: I take the Bears. I love it.

551
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 5: At three two and a half, I still like it.

552
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 5: Sharper Square, Yeah, that's sharp. Whyse guys like the Bears here,

553
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,200
Speaker 5: It's why it's been bet down. It was at three,

554
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 5: it went down to two and a half. It's a

555
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 5: fascinating game, and in a lot of weeks you probably

556
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 5: want to play the Vikings because of this situation they

557
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 5: just found themselves in and the situation the Bears found

558
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 5: themselves in, which was winning in prime time. So bookmakers

559
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:04,960
Speaker 5: will automatically inflate their line, right, they would be a

560
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,320
Speaker 5: little bit higher than they normally would because they think

561
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 5: the public is going to come in on a team

562
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 5: that just dominated in prime time. What's interesting here is

563
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 5: a lot of what you just said about the Vikings.

564
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 5: They might be the better team, but strategically they have

565
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 5: not been making the right calls on defense. This is

566
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 5: a team that is blitzing at an extraordinary rate, one

567
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 5: of the highest blitz rates in the NFL, with the

568
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 5: least amount of success right, So they're getting to the

569
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 5: quarterback on blitzes half the amount of time as other

570
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 5: teams in the NFL, even though they're running so many

571
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,600
Speaker 5: more blitzes. I do think that plays a little bit

572
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 5: to the Bears advantage with the way they're starting to

573
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 5: use Justin Fields as a runner a little bit more.

574
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 5: And also DJ Moore and him have started to click.

575
00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 4: And if you look pat, if you look back, one

576
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 4: of the reasons people were so excited about the Bears

577
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:58,200
Speaker 4: this year is because Justin Fields, who had been developing,

578
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 4: got a number one receiver in DJ Moore. Number one

579
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 4: receivers make young quarterbacks better. Their catch radius is better,

580
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 4: they get fifty to fifty balls more often. They make

581
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 4: young quarterbacks more accurate and more confident. You saw it

582
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 4: when Stefan Diggs joined the Bills and Josh Allen. You

583
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 4: saw it when aj Brown joined Jalen Hurtz. We hadn't

584
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 4: seen that with the Bears the first three weeks. We

585
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 4: have seen in the past two weeks where Justin Fields

586
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 4: and DJ Moore have been lights out. I think this

587
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 4: is a really good spot. The Vikings secondary is not

588
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 4: very good, and if they are blitzing, then that gives

589
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 4: Justin Fields an opportunity to get DJ Moore in advantageous situations.

590
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: All right, there's always a game I ask you about

591
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 1: because I am interested. So I thought Niners minus four

592
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 1: and a half was to play now at seven. If

593
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 1: it's a backup quarterback against who with little prep time

594
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 1: against this defense, this defense may not be as good

595
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 1: in the red zone as they were a year ago.

596
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: It's hard to get in the red zone. You're giving

597
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 1: me a backup if Deshaun doesn't play. I don't care

598
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: what the number is. Again, I usually fade teams in

599
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 1: dominating wins. This team is playing after losing to Philadelphia.

600
00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 1: They're playing to go seventeen to zero. They are physically

601
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 1: mauling teams early, backups trailing are not going to move

602
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 1: the ball in this defense. I didn't put it in there.

603
00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: I could be talked into it. Where are the wise guys?

604
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 4: Well, looks at seven, the wise guys are on in Cleveland.

605
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 4: There's just new two ways about it. And the game

606
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 4: was at three, I know, and the wise guys last

607
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 4: week started betting the Niners and betting the Niners and

608
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:49,840
Speaker 4: betting the Niners.

609
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 3: Because there was the rumor about Deshaun Watson.

610
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 4: Seven, seven and a half eight, which it may get

611
00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 4: to because the public is just going to keep pounding

612
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:03,120
Speaker 4: the Niners until this kickoff. The wise guys are going

613
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 4: to be in the Browns because while the Niners have

614
00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 4: a great defense, the Browns have an historically great defense.

615
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 4: Six red zone possessions in four games so far this year.

616
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 4: They act like they can win games by themselves. Remember

617
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 4: the eighty five Bears, yea, Like they would get on

618
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 4: the field, it didn't matter what their offense was, they

619
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 4: would get on the field and you would assume, all right,

620
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 4: the Barrels will just score two touchdowns on defense, Like

621
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 4: that's what the Browns can do, and you are getting

622
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 4: the Niners right now. Look, Rock Purty is seven to

623
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 4: one to be MVP because he threw four touchdown passes

624
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:45,480
Speaker 4: against the Dallas Cowboys, and the Dallas Cowboys who did

625
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 4: not have their best cornerback playing for them anymore. So

626
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 4: this guy Rock Purdy looks like a brilliant, brilliant quarterback,

627
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 4: and I think he is. But is he going to

628
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 4: look that good against a Browns defense that is as

629
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,160
Speaker 4: good as they are from front to back. He's not

630
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 4: playing the Cowboys secondary. He's playing Jim Schwartz defense that

631
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 4: is going to be incredibly aggressive and by the way,

632
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 4: that has dominated in scenarios like this against Kyle Shanahan.

633
00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,440
Speaker 3: So seven's a lot, Colin.

634
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:17,320
Speaker 4: I know it's ugly, but this could be an ugly

635
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 4: game whether it's supposed to be bad throughout the Midwest.

636
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:23,000
Speaker 3: I'm taking the.

637
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 1: Seven and finally talk me into an ugly game, talk

638
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 1: me into something I haven't touched. What about Houston Saints.

639
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 3: This is an interesting game.

640
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,759
Speaker 4: The public has been coming in on the Texans to

641
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 4: the point where it's been bet down to the Saints

642
00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:42,399
Speaker 4: or minus one. The last guys are going to bet

643
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 4: the Saints in this game, like they actually can't believe

644
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,200
Speaker 4: they're able to get the Saints at minus one.

645
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 3: There will be regression with CJ. Shroud.

646
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,719
Speaker 4: You started to see a little bit of it last week.

647
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 4: He was brilliant at the end of the game with

648
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 4: that drive that put them ahead in the final two minutes,

649
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 4: but throughout the game there were some moments where he

650
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,719
Speaker 4: made some really bad passes that should have been intercepted

651
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 4: by a Falcons defense that is not nearly as good

652
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 4: as the Saints, and that is one thing the Saints

653
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 4: have been doing really well this year. I'm not a

654
00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 4: Dennis Allen fan. I don't know why anyone would hire

655
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 4: Deniz Allen to be a head coach, but he's a

656
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 4: very good defensive coordinator, and he's got that defense playing

657
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 4: at a really high level right now.

658
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,120
Speaker 3: So I like the Saints in that game.

659
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 4: Two games we haven't discussed that I think are pretty gross,

660
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 4: and i'd like you to consider. Remember I'm seventeen and

661
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 4: three the past two weeks. Colin, all right, I want

662
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,880
Speaker 4: you to be with me on this train. Can I

663
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 4: interest you in the New England Patriots plus three plus

664
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,399
Speaker 4: three and a half against the Las Vegas Raider.

665
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:45,919
Speaker 1: Nope, not going to listen. Go to the next one.

666
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 1: Will not listen. I'm not listening. I refuse to listen.

667
00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:55,359
Speaker 1: Why listen. It's like somebody that says, trust me, you'll

668
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: love Radiohead. Let's go to the concert.

669
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:03,719
Speaker 4: Can what about the What about the Tampa Bay Okay buccaneer?

670
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:06,680
Speaker 3: Yes, plus three plus three and a half against the Lions.

671
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,399
Speaker 1: Plus three and a half Tampa's de side. I could

672
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 1: be talked into that because that was one of the

673
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:11,759
Speaker 1: games I have here on my list that I didn't do.

674
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 1: Tampa plus three and a half. Detroit comes off a

675
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:20,959
Speaker 1: big win. The world loves Detroit. Carolina is really bad,

676
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:22,960
Speaker 1: and actually Tampa Bay at home is pretty good.

677
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, and Baker, Look, there is some question about right

678
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:32,160
Speaker 4: now about Mike Evans because he is still a little

679
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 4: bit injured. But a couple of things have changed for

680
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,959
Speaker 4: Baker Mayfield. You might notice in watching these Bucks games,

681
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:41,680
Speaker 4: and I've been fading the Bucks and so like I've

682
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 4: had to pay attention to them because my rating on

683
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 4: them is changing a little bit. He's not making the

684
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 4: enormous amount of Baker mistakes that he's made.

685
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 3: In the past.

686
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 4: Right, he seems to have learned something in his travels

687
00:36:56,080 --> 00:37:00,719
Speaker 4: from Cleveland to Carolina to la Certainly Sean McVay put

688
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 4: something in his ear that made him realize he's making

689
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 4: the same mistakes over and over when it comes to

690
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:08,359
Speaker 4: risk taking. And I also think you naturally are better

691
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 4: when you have Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He's never

692
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 4: had receivers like this, So I think there's a big

693
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 4: opportunity here to buy.

694
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,720
Speaker 3: A little bit lower on the Bucks and sell way

695
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 3: way way high on the lines.

696
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 4: Like look, Jared Goff, most profitable quarterback against the spread

697
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,400
Speaker 4: the past five years in the NFL. But he's a

698
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:29,920
Speaker 4: much different quarterback when he's in a dome than he

699
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,799
Speaker 4: is on the road, and he's under five hundred against

700
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:35,759
Speaker 4: the spread on the road. People love the lines right now,

701
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,359
Speaker 4: they're dominating, but this is a tough spot.

702
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 3: The volume