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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, what's up?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. And the end of the regular season

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Speaker 2: for college football is upon us. We had a pretty

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Speaker 2: good futures three to zero on futures with Georgia, Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: and Penn State. We get those right, We got UVA wrong.

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Speaker 2: How do they lose that game? My goodness, what does

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Speaker 2: Duke have to do to get into the playoffs? Well,

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Speaker 2: don't lose five games? About that? Unbelievable. The ACC will

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Speaker 2: not have a representative in the playoffs. But JM, you

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Speaker 2: could James Madison be in the playoffs. Unbelievable. But a

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Speaker 2: good day overall for US. Up one point nine units

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Speaker 2: Georgia to win the SEC. We did hedge off that

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Speaker 2: with the Alabama for one point five units, but we

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Speaker 2: win three point six units there. Ohio State goes over

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Speaker 2: ten and a half wins, Penn State goes way under

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Speaker 2: ten and a half wins BYU Bama.

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Speaker 1: Wrong.

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Speaker 2: So then we get and we get the Alabama money

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Speaker 2: line wrong as well. But that was the hedge there,

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Speaker 2: so three and three mark, but up one point nine

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Speaker 2: units on the day for us, So we continue to

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Speaker 2: have a very good week here for us. This week,

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Speaker 2: in the first week of December, i'll recap November. As

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Speaker 2: I said before, the person that does all the tracking

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Speaker 2: has been very busy, so we're slowly catching up from

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Speaker 2: the Thanksgiving holiday, So I should have an answer for

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Speaker 2: you guys coming up in the near future day or

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Speaker 2: two for us to be able to recap November. But

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure we had either a flat or a

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Speaker 2: losing month. October was a loser for sure. I don't

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Speaker 2: know what we did really with November, so got to

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Speaker 2: wait and see. We can kind of calculate all of it.

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Speaker 2: But December off to a very good start for us.

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Speaker 2: Here today, now, Andrew Erickson and I will have you

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Speaker 2: for the live stream coming up at noon Eastern time.

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Speaker 2: We will go through the entire betting slate. Andrew will

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Speaker 2: give you his bets, his thoughts on the day on

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Speaker 2: the slates, plus I'll have player props Andrew will as

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Speaker 2: well for us for one hour. We'll go for one

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Speaker 2: hour on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Go and search

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Speaker 2: it at Betting Pros on YouTube nine am Pacific time,

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Speaker 2: noon Eastern for one hour. We look forward to hearing,

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Speaker 2: seeing and talking with you guys about the entire NFL

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Speaker 2: slate and giving out player props. But here is my

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Speaker 2: card for the day. Today there is a hard rock

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Speaker 2: bet of the day. We are six and two on

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Speaker 2: our hard rock bets of the day. Got another one

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Speaker 2: coming at you here for today. But let's start here

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Speaker 2: with Jacksonville and their game up against the Colts. Did

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Speaker 2: you know that the Colts have the hardest strength of

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Speaker 2: schedule remaining of basically anybody playing football trying to make

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Speaker 2: the playoffs right now. If you want to bet Indianapolis

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Speaker 2: to miss the playoffs, most books have it at plus

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Speaker 2: two hundred.

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Speaker 1: I would make that bet.

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Speaker 2: I probably should make that bet before this game goes off,

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Speaker 2: but you can do it if you would like. I

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Speaker 2: thought about making it official, and I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: make it official, but it's a very good bet to make.

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Speaker 2: Why Because they play the Jags, the Seahawks, the forty

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Speaker 2: nine Ers, the Jaguars, and the Texans. All five of

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Speaker 2: those teams are currently in the playoffs right now. Under

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Speaker 2: Shane Steichen, this has been the problem fast starts bad

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Speaker 2: Decembers eight and four during the first quarter of the year.

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Speaker 2: Twenty six and twenty they've been fast starters. The gonfen

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Speaker 2: good starts first quarter they've been great. But Shane Steichen

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Speaker 2: bounce back off divisional games. India's five and seven ats,

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Speaker 2: including going oh to four straight up and oh to

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Speaker 2: four against the spread in his last four games off

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Speaker 2: an AFC South matchup. That is not good for the Colts.

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Speaker 2: They beat the Texans last week. Now they play another

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Speaker 2: AFC South team in Jacksonville, who they cannot beat, at

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Speaker 2: least against the spread. Since twenty fifteen, Indianapolis is three

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Speaker 2: and sixteen and one ats against Jacksonville for games on

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Speaker 2: a neutral field or on the road nine and one

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville ats wise up against the Colts, nine and one

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Speaker 2: for the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence has started seven games as

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Speaker 2: a dog, either against the Colts or the Texans, and

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Speaker 2: he's been very difficult to beat against the spread five

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Speaker 2: and two ats. This number is down to one and

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Speaker 2: a half. Daniel Jones has a broken fibula, Soft Gardener

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Speaker 2: is out. Sauce Gardener is out with a calf strain.

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Speaker 2: This is all bad news. Jaguars money line. Forget the

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Speaker 2: point and a half, don't need it. Take the plus

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Speaker 2: one ten. We're going Jags money line for one unit

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Speaker 2: bet number two. Let's talk about the Jets in the

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Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins. I do not like how much money is

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Speaker 2: on the Dolphins. Everybody thinks this is gonna be an

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Speaker 2: easy walk in the park for Miami. Nope, this is

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Speaker 2: Tyrod Taylor. Tyrod Taylor is a caching machine. We backed

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Speaker 2: him last week. We're backing him again this week. It

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Speaker 2: was three last week, it's three this week. Tyrod Taylor

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Speaker 2: is thirty seven twenty one to four against the number

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Speaker 2: as a starter in the NFL. That dude hits at

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Speaker 2: sixty three percent. Since the start of twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 2: he is seven zero to one ats in eight starts. Hi,

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Speaker 2: he has been phenomenal. Somebody should just give this guy

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Speaker 2: if you were I mean, the Raiders should one hundred

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Speaker 2: percent side signed Tyrod Taylor for next year and just

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Speaker 2: draft a quarterback and let him be that guy. Just

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Speaker 2: a veteran quarterback who will be competent in the position

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Speaker 2: while you develop a young quarterback behind him. Tua on

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Speaker 2: the road against Tua at home on the road or neutral.

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Speaker 2: TUA is fifteen and twenty one straight up, sixteen nineteen

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Speaker 2: and one against the spread at home. It's a complete opposite.

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Speaker 2: He's twenty seven and eleven at home, straight up road

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Speaker 2: in neutral in December or later. This is a Miami

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Speaker 2: based team, obviously, the Dolphins in the cold of New England,

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Speaker 2: in the northeast, in New York in the Tri state area,

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Speaker 2: tuas three and eight straight up, three and eight against

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Speaker 2: the spread. No good, no good. The Dolphins drop a bye. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they get extended. But when coach McDaniel has his team

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Speaker 2: on extended rest, he's five and eight against the spread.

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Speaker 1: What he's a favorite.

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Speaker 2: He's three and six in this spot, home dog in

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Speaker 2: cold temperatures with Tyrod Taylor. Give me the Jets, give

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Speaker 2: me the Jets. We're taking the Jets at plus three.

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Speaker 2: We're jumping in. Oh sorry, why sorry, hold on't that

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Speaker 2: didn't take?

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Speaker 1: Hold on? Sorry that should have taken. I don't know

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Speaker 1: why that didn't take.

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Speaker 2: There it is Jags money line, Jets plus three at

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Speaker 2: home against the Dolphins. Let's keep right here with the

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Speaker 2: dog play. And this is just the black and blue play.

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Speaker 2: This is just the auto play of the day Ravens Steelers.

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Speaker 1: Whoever's the dog you bet?

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Speaker 2: Like? Just in the regular season, when Mike Tomlin plays

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Speaker 2: against John Harbaugh, the underdog is twenty four seven and three,

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Speaker 2: twenty four to seven and three, the number is six.

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Speaker 1: Crazy. When the line is three or more at six.

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Speaker 2: Right now, the underdog is twenty three, five and three.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's unbelievable. Both these teams are six and six.

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Speaker 2: When the Ravens are favored, they're just seven and seven

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Speaker 2: straight up and three ten in one against the spread.

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson was zero to five ats wise against the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: He's now won in covered two games in a row.

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Speaker 2: They've beaten up on the Steelers pretty handedly in those games.

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Speaker 2: But the last two meetings between Baltimore and Pittsburgh have

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Speaker 2: been won by the Ravens by fourteen and seventeen points.

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Speaker 2: But the margin for the Steelers in the previous nine

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Speaker 2: meetings ranged from one to seven and basically like every

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Speaker 2: meeting in between. Since the start of twenty fifteen, the

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Speaker 2: Steelers in Ravens have met twenty one times. Sixteen of

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Speaker 2: those twenty one games had a final margin of seven

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Speaker 2: points or fewer. This number is six. Give me the dog.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plus six. We go to Sunday

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Speaker 2: Night Football and we take a look at the KC Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: Bats are against the wall for both the Texans and

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs. This is again a de facto game elimination game, right,

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Speaker 2: Chiefs have to have it. The Chiefs have won five

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Speaker 2: straight games against the Texans. Patrick Mahomes has been very

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Speaker 2: good against the Texans. The Chiefs are on a four

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Speaker 2: game ATS losing streak and they're one in three straight

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Speaker 2: up over the last four games with Mahomes as the

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Speaker 2: starting quarterback. This is unusual for him to have these situations.

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Speaker 2: In fact, I told you guys this.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Pat Fitzmorris and I talked about it on Tuesday. I

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Speaker 2: don't think I talked about on the Juice yet. But

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Speaker 2: since the the first of November of twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes is nine and fifteen ATS in twenty four starts.

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Speaker 2: That is the least profitable quarterback against the number in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. However, when the Chiefs need it, when they

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Speaker 2: are back to against the wall, when they have to

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Speaker 2: have it, their defense rises up and their offense will

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Speaker 2: do enough to win. It's never easy to win at Arrowhead,

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Speaker 2: but maybe this Texans team has got something for Kansas City.

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Speaker 2: This is the season for the Chiefs. If they lose,

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Speaker 2: they go to six and seven, and you can pretty

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Speaker 2: much say it's done. Sorry if you have kids in

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Speaker 2: the car, but that's what they'll be. They'll be six

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Speaker 2: and seven. Good night, goodbye, see you later. I'm not

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Speaker 2: expecting every call is gonna go Casey's way. Texans are good,

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Speaker 2: but they're not good enough. I'm gonna lay it with

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs. Chiefs minus three at home on Sunday night,

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Speaker 2: up against the Texans. More in this game here in

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Speaker 2: just one second in for the hard rock play of

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Speaker 2: the day, but the teaser for the week. This is

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Speaker 2: a must win for the Buffalo Bills. Look, I hope

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Speaker 2: I'm wrong. I hope the Bengals go up there and win. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but the number is five and a half and I

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Speaker 2: can tease it down to basically half a point moneyline

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Speaker 2: play for the Bills, and the Bills have to have it.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Burrow will have t Higgins in Borrow will also have

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Speaker 2: Jamar Chase. You want to bet the over? I like

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Speaker 2: it bet the over. However, Josh Allen and company. Burrow

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Speaker 2: is great as a dog. Okay, he's tremendous. So you

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Speaker 2: want to say that the Bills win Bengals cover, fine, gonna.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna fight you. I'm not gonna push you

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Speaker 1: on this.

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Speaker 2: But Burrow and the Bengals had been pretty good against

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Speaker 2: the Bills. So two and oh straight up and two

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Speaker 2: and oh against the spread when they're coming off of

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Speaker 2: when they're facing Vin's Burrow against Allen, facing off Josh

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Speaker 2: Allen at home in December. If they lose this game

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Speaker 2: next week against the Patriots, really doesn't matter all that much.

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Speaker 2: But for the Patriots they'd be trying to clinch the

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Speaker 2: AFC East. I don't think I'm gonna get that. Lucky

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Speaker 2: Bills will win the game. How they'll find a way. No,

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Speaker 2: Trey Hendrickson that defense is a big problem shoot out

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Speaker 2: in Buffalo, But I'll take the Bills to win the

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Speaker 2: other leg. We're gonna go and take a look at look.

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Speaker 2: I think there's opportunities here to tease a couple different games.

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Speaker 2: You can be aggressive with a couple different teams and

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Speaker 2: a couple different numbers, like you could tease Seattle down

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Speaker 2: if you wanted to. They're seven. You could go and

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Speaker 2: take the Vikings and tease the Vikings up. I don't

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Speaker 2: mind jumping in and doing that, like there's just there's

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Speaker 2: This is actually a pretty good teaser week with a

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Speaker 2: bunch of teams that are favored by six, like the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: You can jump in the Ravens and pull the Ravens

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Speaker 2: down if you want. I think the Broncos game is

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Speaker 2: a prop game. I think I don't want to lay

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Speaker 2: that many points with the Broncos on the road, given

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Speaker 2: what happened in the first meeting. But I think you

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Speaker 2: can the other side of the teaser. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 2: the Packers. I'm gonna pull the Packers down to a

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Speaker 2: half a point or the Packers down to one point

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Speaker 2: in a six point teaser because I think the Packer

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Speaker 2: is gonna win this game. Why Matt Lafleur at home

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Speaker 2: in December have been dominant In December in general, Matt

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Speaker 2: Lafleur has been dominant. He's twenty and four straight up

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Speaker 2: in the month of December when he's the head coach.

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Speaker 1: Twenty and four.

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Speaker 2: Lafleur has eight plus straight up losses every month during

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Speaker 2: the regular season except for December. At home Matt Lafleur

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Speaker 2: is ten and one straight up in December and on

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Speaker 2: ten days rest, the floor is four and oh straight

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Speaker 2: up in December. In six and one straight up in

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Speaker 2: December or later. I know it's Ben Johnson. I know

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Speaker 2: I've been calling for the Bears to be somewhat exposed.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they killed. I just think the Packers

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Speaker 2: find a way to win this game. Okay, even after

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Speaker 2: winning in Week eighteen last week last year, the Bears

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Speaker 2: are won in eleven straight up against the Packers, including

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Speaker 2: a mark of two to ten against the spread over

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Speaker 2: their last twelve games.

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Speaker 1: That is not great.

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Speaker 2: The Bears may cover this number they've covered in back

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Speaker 2: to back games against the Packers. It would be three

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Speaker 2: straight for the first time since nineteen ninety seven to

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Speaker 2: nineteen ninety nine, when they covered five straight games against

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Speaker 2: Green Bay. We don't need them to cover, we just

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Speaker 2: need them to win the game. The Bears have won

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Speaker 2: five straight games by single digits of a taken down

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Speaker 2: the Eagles last week.

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Speaker 1: Twenty one.

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Speaker 2: Teams in the Super Bowl era have won five straight games,

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Speaker 2: all by single digits. Three of those twenty one teams

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Speaker 2: went on to make the Super Bowl, including the twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty Chiefs were able to do that. So the Bears

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Speaker 2: have been very good against divisional matchups, but not great

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Speaker 2: against the number nine. Seventeen to one ats against the

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Speaker 2: NFC North, that's the worst mark for any team against

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Speaker 2: their own division in the NFL. We're gonna pull it down.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna go and jump in on the Bills, lay

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Speaker 2: in half a point and the Packers on the money line.

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Speaker 2: Essentially Bills money line, Packers money line for a minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty five teaser, six point teaser. So we're going

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Speaker 2: Jags money line, Jets plus three, Pittsburgh plus six, Casey

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Speaker 2: minus three, and the teaser is Bills and the Packers

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Speaker 2: basically both being money lines. Before we give you the

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you this, I drove the Strip last night.

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Speaker 2: I had not been down to the strip, probably a

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Speaker 2: month and a half, two months maybe in two months.

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Speaker 2: Since I've been down to the Strip, I haven't been

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Speaker 2: down there very much. I hadn't had a reason to

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Speaker 2: go down to the Strip. The hard Rock Bet casino,

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Speaker 2: the guitar. The guitar is going to be where there's

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Speaker 2: two towers, but the big tower where the hotel rooms

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Speaker 2: are going to be, is gonna be a monstrosity. I

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Speaker 2: couldn't believe how big it was. It's about the outline

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Speaker 2: is about half done and it's huge, like it is

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Speaker 2: going to light up the strip in such I mean,

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Speaker 2: we've talked about the sphere changing the skyline of Vegas.

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Speaker 2: The hard rock guitar is going to change everything. It's

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Speaker 2: gonna be wild. I knew it was gonna be big.

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Speaker 2: But you put that and the new ballpark at the

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Speaker 2: site of the Tropicana across from MGM, and in twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty eight, the strip's gonna look a lot different. Strip's

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Speaker 2: gonna look pretty cool, like it's gonna have a couple

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Speaker 2: of really cool things on it with the hard Rock

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Speaker 2: be casino set to open up just before the ballpark

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Speaker 2: is set to open up for the new Las Vegas.

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Speaker 2: A's who will start playing twenty twenty eight here in

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Speaker 2: Las Vegas hard rock.

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Speaker 1: Bet of the Day. What are we doing?

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Speaker 2: We're jumping down the under case Houston under forty one

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Speaker 2: and a half at minus one ten. Now, why why

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Speaker 2: are we doing this? Look it to me, this is

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Speaker 2: going to be a rock fight football game. I think

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Speaker 2: we're going to be in for two teams that simply

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Speaker 2: do not score very many points at all on offense.

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Speaker 2: Four and two to the under this season on the

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Speaker 2: road for the Houston Texans, and Casey is five and

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Speaker 2: one to the under at home against the AFC, four

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Speaker 2: and three to the under for the Chiefs, six and

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Speaker 2: two to the under for the Houston Texans. This is

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Speaker 2: the best defense in football. Four of the last five

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Speaker 2: games for the Texans have gone under, including three straight.

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Speaker 2: If it wasn't for the Dallas game on Thanksgiving going

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Speaker 2: it was a run of six consecutive unders for the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs dating all the way back to the Jacksonville game

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Speaker 2: on the road. So for home games, Philly home game

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Speaker 2: under by ten Baltimore did go over, but that's the

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Speaker 2: only game that went over at home. Detroit under by

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Speaker 2: four points, Vegas under by thirteen and a half points,

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Speaker 2: Washington under by thirteen points, Indianapolis under by six and

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Speaker 2: a half points. It's a primetime game. I don't think

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs want to get into a shootout or have

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Speaker 2: Mahomes passing a lot. Just given the pass rush for

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Speaker 2: the Houston Texans and the banged up the offensive line

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Speaker 2: for the Chiefs, they got a bunch of injuries to

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Speaker 2: worry about offensive line wise. Joan Taylor, their tackle is

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Speaker 2: questionable for this game. Tray Smith guard is questionable for

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Speaker 2: this game. Jalen Moore questionable for this game. We'll see

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Speaker 2: who winds up playing. But that's three offensive linemen for

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs. That are game time decisions coming up. They're

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Speaker 2: going to run the ball. They don't want to have

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Speaker 2: Mahomes back there throwing them ball forty times against this

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Speaker 2: pass rush. I think that it's a conservative game plan.

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Speaker 2: We're coming in on the under forty one and a

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Speaker 2: half for the hard rock bet of the.

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Speaker 1: Day here today.

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Speaker 2: All right, So our plays for today once again Jags

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Speaker 2: money line, Jets plus three, Pittsburgy plus six, Casey minus

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Speaker 2: three teaser of the Bills and the Packers and the

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Speaker 2: hard rock bet of the Day of the under Casey

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Speaker 2: in Houston for Sunday night. Football Player props coming at

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Speaker 2: you on the live stream with myself and Andrew Erickson

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Speaker 2: at noon Eastern Time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel

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Speaker 2: and as Matt Parolz. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all my socials at Sports Doc Matt every morning wherever

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Speaker 2: you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice and I don't b