WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2022 Week 5 NFL Guessing Lines Show with Chris Andrews 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:12.079 Check it down man, No down man, And I just 0:00:12.119 --> 0:00:15.840 told the story. And also idiots will believe in analytics. 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:20.920 This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander, vis good 0:00:21.079 --> 0:00:22.960 Monday morning to you. It is a numbers game and 0:00:23.079 --> 0:00:25.400 Visa the sports betting Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:28.120 f Game plus I Heart Radio see what I did there? 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:32.159 YouTube TV all Bradley roch By bet MGM Nevada is 0:00:32.240 --> 0:00:38.000 Gil Alexander, Brian Ortega in for Kelly Bilin. Kelly back tomorrow, Yes, Brian, yes, 0:00:38.040 --> 0:00:40.839 should be okay. We're happy to have you. Though if 0:00:40.880 --> 0:00:42.839 we're guessing lines, we do an Oscars preview, but they 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:44.479 will say that for another day. Understood from you. We 0:00:44.560 --> 0:00:47.360 appreciate a man about town, Brian, or take it with us, 0:00:47.360 --> 0:00:49.800 and of course the star ladies and gentlemen of guessing lines. 0:00:50.840 --> 0:00:54.000 My mishka, Christie Andrews. How you doing man? You good 0:00:54.360 --> 0:00:58.480 little rough rough day? Yes, you guys got beat up? 0:00:58.800 --> 0:01:00.720 Which were the which were the major are culprits that 0:01:00.800 --> 0:01:04.000 got you yesterday? Well we started a poorly with the 0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:08.240 Minnesota New Orleans game falling three because we had tons 0:01:08.280 --> 0:01:09.840 of money both ways, but you know the way we 0:01:09.920 --> 0:01:12.360 handled the three well, and we had a Lake push 0:01:12.400 --> 0:01:14.959 on Minnesota, which actually helped a little bit, but a 0:01:14.959 --> 0:01:18.000 lot of money line play in Minnesota, so that hurt. 0:01:18.040 --> 0:01:20.560 That was a bad one. The Bills and Ravens falling three, 0:01:20.720 --> 0:01:22.640 that one hurt. But I can go up and down 0:01:22.640 --> 0:01:24.440 the line. I mean when there were it would be 0:01:24.480 --> 0:01:25.920 a lot easier to tell you the good games. But 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:30.320 I'll tell you some of the bad ones. Um Chargers 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:35.399 was bad. Lions losing to the Seahawks was bad. Uh, 0:01:36.560 --> 0:01:42.800 Cowboys beating the Commanders was bad. Arizona beating Carolina, Green 0:01:42.880 --> 0:01:45.800 Bay not not covering against New England was bad. And 0:01:45.800 --> 0:01:48.920 then capped it off last night. The side didn't matter. 0:01:49.000 --> 0:01:51.280 We had a good action both ways on the side, 0:01:51.280 --> 0:01:54.520 but the total destroyed us. Everybody that was almost over 0:01:54.560 --> 0:01:56.520 at that It was over in the first quarter and 0:01:56.640 --> 0:01:58.720 it was fourteen three. I mean, you have no chance 0:01:58.760 --> 0:02:01.200 with these two quarterbacks at this isn't gonna become a shootout. 0:02:01.280 --> 0:02:03.120 So that's it. Lights off its south point after the 0:02:03.120 --> 0:02:04.880 show today, that's it. Yeah, we can see there's a 0:02:04.920 --> 0:02:10.840 barricade's up. I would say, you know, really, number one, 0:02:10.880 --> 0:02:13.920 don't ever cry for the bookmaker. And number two, Uh, 0:02:14.040 --> 0:02:15.679 you know, when you're in a position like mine, it 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:17.880 really and I've compared this before. It's like a relief 0:02:17.960 --> 0:02:22.640 pitcher or a cornerback. You are gonna blow the game 0:02:22.720 --> 0:02:25.400 or the day whatever, You're gonna blow it. That's inevitable. 0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:27.480 I don't care who you are. You just lick your 0:02:27.480 --> 0:02:29.520 wounds and come out the next day. And you know, 0:02:29.760 --> 0:02:32.120 stayed up last night and tried to do my homework 0:02:32.120 --> 0:02:34.720 and oh, I think you do. Oh, I think you'll 0:02:34.800 --> 0:02:37.760 get it back. I think you'll be funny ladies, gentlemen, 0:02:38.000 --> 0:02:40.560 this is guessing lines for a week number five and 0:02:40.639 --> 0:02:49.280 it goes a little something like this, you got the 0:02:49.320 --> 0:02:53.640 coolest insure willing then you do. I was gonna do 0:02:53.680 --> 0:02:56.359 two hours of Atlanta Braves Radio this morning because I've 0:02:56.480 --> 0:03:00.200 that pumped about it. Oh dude, you got to win 0:03:00.240 --> 0:03:03.800 the division right, many many many times. We will. We 0:03:03.800 --> 0:03:06.800 will get into that tomorrow with Kelly guessing lines for 0:03:06.880 --> 0:03:09.680 week number five and we'll go as if you're new 0:03:09.680 --> 0:03:12.000 to this show, what we do every Monday morning, Christie 0:03:12.000 --> 0:03:13.720 and I and we couldn't do this without Christy, Like 0:03:14.280 --> 0:03:18.040 you can't substitute anybody in for Christie for this. Um, 0:03:18.080 --> 0:03:20.440 this is something we have done for the better part 0:03:20.440 --> 0:03:22.720 of a decade. Actually, guessing lines has existed for more 0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:24.360 the decade. Christy and I have done it for almost 0:03:24.360 --> 0:03:26.600 a decade together, and it's really a tribute to the 0:03:26.639 --> 0:03:28.680 old Stardust radio show of the same milk back in 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:31.560 the day with Roxy Roxborrow. I don't know what the 0:03:31.600 --> 0:03:33.720 lines are. I've been at a cocoon since last night. 0:03:33.760 --> 0:03:37.360 I was all baseball focused anyway last night. And uh, 0:03:37.560 --> 0:03:39.120 Christie will let us know what he posts at the 0:03:39.160 --> 0:03:41.560 south Point at the end of this show. He hasn't 0:03:41.600 --> 0:03:43.800 put up anything yet here. Nothing is bettable until we 0:03:43.840 --> 0:03:45.880 do this show, so we always appreciate that. And we 0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:49.400 start with Thursday Night, Brian Ortega, what do we have alright? 0:03:49.440 --> 0:03:54.160 Thursday night? We have the Colts at the Broncos. Colts 0:03:54.200 --> 0:03:58.400 at the Broncos. Colts lose to the Titans yesterday. Mattie 0:03:58.440 --> 0:04:01.800 Ice him for three fifty six, two touchdowns, one pick. 0:04:01.840 --> 0:04:04.440 He was sacked three times, lost the fumble his eighth 0:04:04.440 --> 0:04:06.840 of the year, most the most, I should say by 0:04:06.840 --> 0:04:10.040 any player through the first four games of the season 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:12.720 since Kurt Warner in two thousand and six. That's not good. 0:04:13.200 --> 0:04:17.520 Jonathan Taylor forty two on the ground. Boy, this is 0:04:17.560 --> 0:04:19.880 not the year for Jonathan Taylor. Not the year for 0:04:19.920 --> 0:04:23.159 the Colts. Ali Cox six eight five, two touchdowns. He 0:04:23.160 --> 0:04:25.760 was Ryan's biggest target. They were out game, or excuse me, 0:04:25.800 --> 0:04:28.400 they out gained Tennessee did the Colts three sixty five 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:31.240 to forty three. But no matter when you're minus three 0:04:31.240 --> 0:04:33.920 in turnovers, the first two of which are Ryan fumble 0:04:34.440 --> 0:04:37.480 and Ryan interception. Lad to short fields in fourteen Titans 0:04:37.560 --> 0:04:40.400 points and then down twenty four to seventeen. Let this 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:42.680 be the first we do this segment on the megapod 0:04:42.760 --> 0:04:45.560 called the Dumbbell of the week for coaches. Let this 0:04:45.640 --> 0:04:49.200 be the first candidate. Down twenty four to seventeen, the 0:04:49.320 --> 0:04:51.760 Colts have a fourth and twenty one at the Tennessee 0:04:51.760 --> 0:04:55.440 thirty three, with two oh four left, all three time 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:58.239 outs in pocket, and Frank Reich opts for a Chase 0:04:58.320 --> 0:05:02.719 McLaughlin fifty one yard field goal, which has no prayer. 0:05:02.760 --> 0:05:05.720 The split second it goes off his toe and the 0:05:05.800 --> 0:05:07.960 Colts never see the ball again. I'm not sure what 0:05:08.000 --> 0:05:11.320 you're doing there. Denver loses to the Raiders. Josh Jacobs 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:13.080 right for a career high a hundred forty four yards 0:05:13.080 --> 0:05:16.760 two touchdowns against Denver yesterday, Meek Robertson returned a Melvin 0:05:16.760 --> 0:05:19.279 Gordon bumble sixty eight yards changed the tenor of that game, 0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:21.360 put up put the Raiders up sixteen to ten at 0:05:21.360 --> 0:05:23.800 the time. Anyway, late in the first half, Raiders beat 0:05:23.839 --> 0:05:27.240 the Broncos thirty two to twenty three. Denver repeatedly failing 0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:30.080 to take advantage of good field position in this game. 0:05:30.080 --> 0:05:33.440 They scored only once did the Broncos on six drives 0:05:33.440 --> 0:05:35.600 in the second half, but that one drive did cut 0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.440 the Raiders lead to three, so we're still in play late, 0:05:38.839 --> 0:05:41.400 but the Broncos couldn't stop Las Vegas on the subsequent drive, 0:05:41.400 --> 0:05:43.760 as the Raiders engineered at ten place seventy five yard 0:05:43.839 --> 0:05:46.160 drive cap by a Jacob seven yard run that would 0:05:46.160 --> 0:05:48.719 steal the deal. After a final Broncos fourth down try 0:05:48.760 --> 0:05:51.800 went and complete. Russell Wilson in defeat seventeen five two 0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:54.360 thirty seven, two touchdowns, no picks, back three times, four 0:05:54.400 --> 0:05:56.760 carries for twenty nine yards and a touchdown. The Broncos 0:05:56.839 --> 0:06:02.200 could only muster twelve first downs that it twelve, so 0:06:02.240 --> 0:06:04.400 it's the one two in one Colts against the two 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:06.960 and two Broncos I don't think I can make it 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:10.760 a full three. I will say Denver minus two and 0:06:10.800 --> 0:06:16.360 a half. Okay, bingo first one. I like your number 0:06:16.440 --> 0:06:19.600 better a little bit little. My numbers come to exactly 0:06:19.640 --> 0:06:22.080 two and a half. But I do see pretty solid 0:06:22.160 --> 0:06:26.800 three out there. Um really see one three with a 0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:29.159 little tiny bit of juice on the favorite. So I 0:06:29.160 --> 0:06:31.599 think three is probably a good number. I don't know 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:35.160 Greg Doyle, if anybody reads him, he's in the Indianapolis 0:06:35.200 --> 0:06:39.039 starts behind a paywall. Um, but he's a very good writer, 0:06:39.160 --> 0:06:41.120 covers a lot of different covers a lot of subjects 0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:44.080 besides just sports. But he talked about the problems on 0:06:44.240 --> 0:06:47.080 this Colts team, and he follows the team really closely. 0:06:47.279 --> 0:06:49.479 A lot of offensive line problems, which was something they 0:06:49.520 --> 0:06:52.200 didn't expect this year with Clinton Nelson being kind of 0:06:52.200 --> 0:06:55.760 the anchor. Uh, you know, fumbling and turnovers. You know, 0:06:55.800 --> 0:06:59.720 Maddie Ryan Um I said last week, I was like 0:07:00.040 --> 0:07:01.960 on the megapon, I was like, would still surprise anybody 0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:03.800 if they won the division? Everybody was like no. Now 0:07:03.839 --> 0:07:05.520 I would ask the same question. I don't know that 0:07:05.520 --> 0:07:08.479 everybody would say no. Well, one guy said, are we 0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:10.360 sure the Colts now all of a sudden have all 0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:13.240 their problems solved. So that was one of our few 0:07:13.320 --> 0:07:15.920 good games that they did better strongly on the Colts. 0:07:16.840 --> 0:07:18.920 So that was one of our few good games we needed. 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:21.760 Tennessee pretty good. But anyway, I am going to open three. 0:07:21.840 --> 0:07:23.480 I don't want to mess with this game right now 0:07:23.480 --> 0:07:24.880 with the two and a three stuff, you know. But 0:07:24.880 --> 0:07:27.080 we'll see where this one goes. Colts were by one 0:07:27.280 --> 0:07:30.200 uh one circum millions loss. I was on the Colts 0:07:30.200 --> 0:07:33.400 as well, laid the points sharp, guys were Let's go 0:07:33.520 --> 0:07:35.440 to uh let's go to Sunday. I know we have 0:07:35.480 --> 0:07:37.840 a London game, right again, that's correct, Yes, we have 0:07:37.880 --> 0:07:42.000 a London game starting in nine thirty Eastern time. Six 0:07:42.400 --> 0:07:47.360 Pacific Giants against the Packers Tottenham Hotspur. All right, I 0:07:47.360 --> 0:07:49.360 don't have much to say about the Giants. They beat 0:07:49.400 --> 0:07:52.880 the Bears twenty to twelve. Daniel Jones eight of thirteen, 0:07:53.240 --> 0:07:57.800 eight of thirteen for seventy one yards. That matches justin 0:07:57.920 --> 0:08:00.560 fields eight completions with a victory. Earlier this year in 0:08:00.600 --> 0:08:03.560 Week one, someone broke that later. We'll get to it. 0:08:03.680 --> 0:08:06.160 Fewer completions with a win, but Jones eight of thirteen 0:08:06.160 --> 0:08:08.800 for seventy one no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once. 0:08:09.040 --> 0:08:11.320 Six carries for sixty eight yards and two touchdowns. Dan 0:08:11.480 --> 0:08:14.040 Jones was knocked out of the game, though did come 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:16.400 back as a decoy later, as was his backup to 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:19.640 Rod Taylor, who was concussed. Taylor was one of three 0:08:19.640 --> 0:08:22.840 for eleven yards, no touchdowns, one pick, was not sacked 0:08:22.840 --> 0:08:24.360 in his brief time in the game. But se Kwan 0:08:24.480 --> 0:08:26.440 was everything for the Giants, thirty one carries a hundred 0:08:26.480 --> 0:08:30.119 forty six yards. Giants only mustard seventy one passing yards 0:08:30.120 --> 0:08:32.800 in this game, but two hundred sixty two rushing yards 0:08:32.800 --> 0:08:36.840 against the the Bears. The hapless Bears lost both quarterbacks, 0:08:36.840 --> 0:08:39.000 as I said, but led twenty twelve laighte Bears muff 0:08:39.000 --> 0:08:41.080 to punt. Looked like the Giants had salted away with 0:08:41.160 --> 0:08:43.440 a Gano thirty seven yard field goal, but he missed, 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:47.280 and then the Bears last ditch endless lateral play failed. 0:08:47.320 --> 0:08:50.080 And then there's Green Bay. Oh my, what a game. 0:08:50.360 --> 0:08:55.240 Aaron Rodgers first half against the Patriots four of eleven 0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:57.839 for forty four yards, no touchdown, one pick. He was 0:08:57.880 --> 0:09:01.280 sacked once. He had an eleven point two passer rating 0:09:01.280 --> 0:09:03.199 in the first half. That's at a one fifty eight 0:09:03.240 --> 0:09:05.120 point three. By the way, that's the old school passer 0:09:05.200 --> 0:09:08.679 rating eleven point two in the first half of that ballgame. 0:09:08.720 --> 0:09:11.319 Ben Valin, who u who writes, by the way, the 0:09:11.320 --> 0:09:13.240 Patriots had a ten to seven lead at the half, 0:09:13.440 --> 0:09:16.040 because part of that was a forty yard pick pick 0:09:16.120 --> 0:09:19.120 six by Jack Jones for the Patriots that put the 0:09:19.120 --> 0:09:21.200 Patriots up ten to seven at the half. Ben Valin, 0:09:21.280 --> 0:09:23.680 who writes about all Boston sports, He said, if Aaron 0:09:23.760 --> 0:09:26.640 Rodgers through every pass directly into the ground, his rating 0:09:26.640 --> 0:09:29.080 would have been thirty nine points six. His rating at 0:09:29.120 --> 0:09:32.079 half done was lemon points two. Rogers ended up, ended 0:09:32.160 --> 0:09:34.480 up though twenty one of thirty five for two fifty one, 0:09:34.760 --> 0:09:37.440 two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once. Aaron Jones 0:09:37.440 --> 0:09:40.280 sixteen carries for one ten lazard, six catches for one sixteen, 0:09:40.320 --> 0:09:42.959 four hundred forty three total yards for the Pack, one 0:09:43.120 --> 0:09:46.520 nine rushing, but so much drama. Fourth and one at 0:09:46.520 --> 0:09:48.920 the New England eleven sixteen left in the third quarter, 0:09:48.960 --> 0:09:50.920 opening drive of the third quarter, they go for it 0:09:50.960 --> 0:09:52.760 and convert on a pitch out to Aaron Jones. Three 0:09:52.760 --> 0:09:54.679 plays later, Green Bay had taken the lead fourteen to 0:09:54.760 --> 0:09:57.600 ten New England first and fifteen at the green Bay 0:09:57.600 --> 0:09:59.920 twenty five four fifty nine left in the third quarter, 0:10:00.200 --> 0:10:02.600 a good second and a half after the play clock 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:05.920 went to zero, Bailey's appy to Davante Parker seventeen and 0:10:05.960 --> 0:10:08.040 fourteen New England. By the way, at first, I was like, 0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:10.000 that's two and a half seconds, but when they showed 0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:13.800 it from behind the quarterback behind Zappy, it's about one 0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:16.720 and a half seconds. Still ridiculous that that play wasn't 0:10:16.720 --> 0:10:20.120 whistled dead fast. Forward to the fourth quarter, the Packers 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:21.839 facing third and eight from New England forty two o 0:10:21.960 --> 0:10:24.320 eight left. Rogers throw was deep to a diving Romeo 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:26.160 Dobbs in the right corner of the end zone. Dobbs 0:10:26.280 --> 0:10:28.719 gets passed. Jonathan Jones caught the pass, but the ball 0:10:28.760 --> 0:10:30.559 slipped out of his hands after he landed. It goes 0:10:30.640 --> 0:10:33.439 to overtime. Some excellent clock management by Belichick. At the 0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:35.840 end of regulation and after New England stopped green beyond 0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:37.840 the opening drive of overtime, New England had the ball 0:10:37.880 --> 0:10:41.200 at its forty AT's forty nine yard line, only needing 0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:43.400 a field goal, but Green Bay forces a three and out, 0:10:43.720 --> 0:10:45.840 and what ensued was at twelve place, seventy seven yard 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:48.160 drive culminating in a Mason Crosby game winning thirty one 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:51.520 yard field goals time expired. Green Bay waiting to kick 0:10:51.600 --> 0:10:54.680 the field goal with four seconds left was risky and 0:10:54.720 --> 0:10:57.240 certainly risky for all those survivor players who had the 0:10:57.240 --> 0:11:00.760 Packers forty four point five percent of the tire pool? 0:11:01.360 --> 0:11:03.920 Man was I rooting against that? I got green Bay 0:11:03.960 --> 0:11:10.480 minus ten? Here we're both way off. How's this one? Um? 0:11:10.520 --> 0:11:14.360 I see it? Eight pretty much a blanket. Eight numbers 0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:17.120 coming to six and a half. You know, I had 0:11:17.120 --> 0:11:19.640 the seriously downgrade green Bay. I know there were three 0:11:19.640 --> 0:11:22.520 and one and they'll probably win the division, but they 0:11:22.559 --> 0:11:25.679 are not there yet. No, I mean they are far off. 0:11:26.440 --> 0:11:28.800 Um No, I'm not saying the praises of the Giants 0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:30.920 in any way, shape or form. By the way, I 0:11:30.920 --> 0:11:33.280 love QBR, I love to talk about it. There's some 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:36.080 things that are crazy by QBR. You know what Daniel 0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:39.440 Jones QBR was yesterday. Let me get his stats. He 0:11:39.720 --> 0:11:45.440 was eight of thirteen for seventy one total yards. Don't 0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:49.640 you hold that? We'll continue with that talk more guessing lines. Wow, 0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:51.920 you're way low on then I'm way high on that. 0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:56.160 All right, coming back, it's a Monday morning guessing lines 0:11:56.240 --> 0:12:00.120 numbers gave Visa, the sports betting network. This episod. It 0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:02.360 is brought to you by Yes on Prop twenty seven 0:12:02.480 --> 0:12:05.760 and Draft Kings. Half the country already allows online sports 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.240 betting for adults twenty one and older. It's time to 0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:11.640 let California fans in on the action. There's no good 0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:14.240 reason your friends in New York, Chicago, Phoenix, Portland, and 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:17.600 Boston can bet online while Californians are still forced to 0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:21.680 deal with shady bookies. Prop twenty seven insures California finally 0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:25.880 catches up. So vote yes on Prop We get tweets 0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.439 that beating the book. This is from a touchdown Jesus. 0:12:28.720 --> 0:12:32.040 He says, whether on them or not? On them and 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.480 quotes or not? And to what degree? It is so 0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:37.200 entertaining to listen to the beginnings, middles, and ends of 0:12:37.200 --> 0:12:42.600 the Tanka Balooza, egos, Fiachtech, NAT's obligation, Stingley Junior Draft, Ole, 0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:46.200 miss College World Series, Warriors, NBA title, et cetera. Good 0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:48.040 luck with the braves from here on out. Thank you. 0:12:48.080 --> 0:12:50.319 That is a very comprehensive tweet. I didn't mention Paulo 0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:52.360 bun Cairo in there, but thank you for that. That 0:12:52.440 --> 0:12:56.400 is very kind. A longtime numbers game listeners, UM really 0:12:56.440 --> 0:13:00.760 appreciate that. This is let's see here. This is from 0:13:01.120 --> 0:13:03.200 Do to Do Do Do Do Do Do Do a 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.720 lot of braves, a lot of braves tweets this morning. 0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:08.160 This this one is from Matthew Mayberry says, yes, enough 0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:12.800 guesting glides, Let's go braves talk. Chris House dear Gablly 0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.320 twittered you like Muddy so do I uh gil could 0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:17.880 show you the analytical way to do it on on 0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:21.240 numbers game. Treat yourself, don't cheat yourself. That's what I 0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:23.400 was always taught. I really appreciate that. Everybody's very kind. 0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:25.960 I hope everybody jumped on the braves with us again 0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:28.160 the Magic Numbers one. So it's not done yet, but 0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:30.360 we'll get there. Guessing lines, and the one thing I 0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:33.240 want to say about guessing lines this year, I have 0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:36.120 had some really bad guesses, bad when it comes to 0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:38.360 Monday morning, but that has been a really good north 0:13:38.440 --> 0:13:41.280 star to follow because the lines have generally come my 0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:44.240 direction this year, which is which is not the case 0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:47.560 most years, I must say, right like, it's usually hasn't 0:13:47.559 --> 0:13:49.440 been this good. Now we're only four weeks in. Catch 0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:51.559 me in another four weeks. This could be disastrous, right, 0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:54.960 But so far, so good, and um, people have really 0:13:55.000 --> 0:13:57.680 responded to UH, to the show and your insights this 0:13:57.760 --> 0:13:59.360 year as well. You wanted to say one more thing 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:01.680 about the Giants, Well, I'm gonna say, you know, QB 0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:04.160 ror something I like to look at. Not that I 0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:06.520 religiously believe in it, but I'm just saying it's a 0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.040 different way to look at things. Daniel Jones eight of 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:15.199 thirteen for seventy one yards, no touchdowns, no interceptions, qb 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:24.800 R point three. What And I mean they put twenty 0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:27.360 points on the board, you know. I mean, I guess 0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:29.720 he gets elevated because I don't think he fumbled yesterday. 0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:32.800 Well he scored. He scored two touchdowns on the ground. 0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:36.040 That counts. Yeah. Well it's all what did that quarterback 0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:40.440 do to participate in the victim you know, or not do? Anyway? 0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:42.240 Yeah he did do that. But anyway, my number comes 0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:44.280 to six and a half. I really downgraded green Bay 0:14:44.560 --> 0:14:46.600 and I always gave him a strong home field advantage. 0:14:46.680 --> 0:14:49.840 Probably the strongest in the league. I downgraded that too. 0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:51.480 I mean, this team is just not right yet. And 0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:54.760 I said this in the beginning. Talk to me in December, 0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:57.440 I think they'll be fine. First of all, the weather 0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:01.239 in December, I think will really help green Bay at home. Uh. 0:15:01.280 --> 0:15:04.040 I think by that time you would think Rogers is 0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:06.920 more in sync with his receivers. This team just isn't 0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.040 right right now. I thought, you know, I'm looking at 0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:12.240 my numbers, and I thought six and seven. And I mean, 0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:14.840 I could certainly see seven, but to me, seven would 0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:17.560 be a take. It's eight everywhere. I don't know. I 0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:19.160 might open seven and a half and take a hit. 0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:21.280 I'n't think about it. I am way high on that. 0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:23.960 But yeah, I just don't think I leave the Giants. 0:15:23.960 --> 0:15:26.080 I certainly don't think the Green Bay Packers are all 0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.800 that good either. Let's go to US Sunday early window 0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:33.040 now after the London game. Alright, So first game on Sunday, well, 0:15:33.280 --> 0:15:36.800 first of the games here is Steelers at Bills one 0:15:36.800 --> 0:15:40.480 in three, Steelers three and one. Filth. I thought like this, 0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:44.640 you know, uh, the Steelers lose to the Jets. Were 0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:46.160 you aware of that, Chris? They lost to the Jets. 0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:49.040 Yet what happened, Uh, the Jets went in Pittsburgh for 0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:52.720 just the second time in franchise history. That's hard to believe. 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.360 By the way Steelers benefit for the Jets, roughing the 0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:57.320 passer penalty on what would have been the final play 0:15:57.320 --> 0:16:00.160 of the first half, Chris Boswell sunk a fifty. You 0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:01.840 are to cut the deficit to ten to six, and 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:05.000 you thought to yourself, Okay, Pittsburgh's back in this, they'll 0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:08.280 win this game. And then Kenny pick It enters the 0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:11.280 game for Pittsburgh in the second half, and every inser 0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:15.480 goes crazy. I got so many texts from my friends. 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:18.080 Forget about we'll talk about that. At fourth and one 0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:20.600 at the Pittsburgh thirty one twelve thirteen left on the 0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:23.040 third quarter, down ten to six, pick Its sneaks and 0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:26.600 converts and the crowd goes wild because Mitch Drabinsky couldn't 0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.640 have done that. Chrissy two plays later, first pass of 0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.520 his career as a pick downfield basically a punt keep 0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:34.280 playing on a subsequent Jets drive, third and six of 0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:36.600 the Jets thirty Wilson Zach Wilson that is picked by 0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:39.560 Minka Fitzpatrick off a deflection. Three plays later, pick It 0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:42.280 sneaks into the end zone thirteen to ten Pittsburgh. Because 0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:46.960 Drabinsky couldn't have done that. Chrissie subsequent Pittsburgh drive, pick 0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:49.240 It caps it off with a two yard touchdown run 0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:53.320 twenty ten. You know Mitch couldn't have done that either, Yes, 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:55.080 he Kenny could have done all of bit, but then 0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:57.920 with a third but then with thirteen thirty left, down 0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:02.360 twenty to ten, the Jets Zach Wilson engineering eleven play, 0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:05.640 eighty one yard touchdown drive It's twenty to seventeen. Then 0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:09.280 pick It fumbles. It was recovered by his teammate Jalen Warren, 0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:12.359 though fumble luck. Next play second in fifteen at the 0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.960 Jets thirty five three three thirty four left in the 0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:18.879 fourth quarter, pick It overthrows for Friarmouth, picked by Michael 0:17:18.920 --> 0:17:21.240 Carter the second, and then the Jets go on a 0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:25.760 ten play sixty five yard five first down drive in 0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:29.560 which Wilson went five for five for fifty seven, showing 0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:32.439 up three minutes and sixteen seconds, capped by a Breefe 0:17:32.480 --> 0:17:35.840 Hall two yard plunge with eighteen seconds left twenty four 0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:39.240 twenty Jets win Forbiskie seven of thirteen for eighty four, 0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:41.440 no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked three times. Pick 0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:44.240 it ten of thirteen for one twenty no touchdowns, three picks, 0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:47.520 sacked zero times. Six carries fifteen yards, two touchdowns, picking 0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:50.040 six for one oh two receiving. But the Steelers, excuse 0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:52.400 me the Yeah, the Steelers were minus two in turnovers 0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:55.440 and the one in three Steelers now oh and seven 0:17:55.440 --> 0:17:58.560 all time without injured star outside linebacker t J. Watt 0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:00.840 head into the most of a goal part of their schedule, 0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:03.200 riding a three game losing streaking with the franchise now 0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:07.960 in the hands, we think of a rookie, Oh Buffalo? 0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:10.480 Is that the other two Buffalo? Sorry about that? Forgot 0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:13.600 how the show works. Josh Allen nineteen of thirty six 0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:18.800 in the Bills come from behind win against the Ravens twelve, 0:18:18.840 --> 0:18:21.560 one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once, eleven carries 0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:24.000 for seventy yards and a touchdown. The Bills had a 0:18:24.119 --> 0:18:27.159 thirty eight minute to ten twenty one minute and fifty 0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:30.159 second disadvantage in time of possession. They were down twenty 0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:32.000 to three. They come back and win it fourth and 0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:34.199 one at the Baltimore ten and forty left to the 0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:37.400 third quarter, down twenty to ten, they s chew sh 0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.320 Christie the forty three yard field goals temp Allen rolls 0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:42.200 out to the left, he ad libs gets four yards. 0:18:42.280 --> 0:18:44.520 Four plays later, Tyler bast thirty nine yard field goals 0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:47.120 twenty to thirteen. After the Bill's force a Ravens punt 0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:50.480 nine play eight yard touchdown drive capped by Alan eleven 0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:53.200 yard touchdown run to knot ed up at twenty to twenty, 0:18:53.240 --> 0:18:57.760 and then they keep play the key sequence candidate for 0:18:57.840 --> 0:19:00.119 Dumbbell of the Year or Dumbbell of the Week are 0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:03.479 it's your boy, John Harbaugh. Starting with thirteen thirty eight 0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:05.840 left at their own five yard line, the Ravens go 0:19:05.880 --> 0:19:08.879 on a fourteen play ninety three yard nine minute, twenty 0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:12.359 nine second drive and with four fifteen left in the 0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:14.720 ball game, tied dip tied up at twenty on the 0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:18.959 Buffalo to fourth and goal, Baltimore decides to go for 0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:22.000 it and it's picked by Jordan Poyer in the end zone, 0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:24.520 his second in as many possessions. Buffalo drives the field 0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:26.879 from their own twenty after the Harbor decision, aided by 0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:29.440 a horrible roughing the passer penalty. On that final drive, 0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:32.680 chip Shot Bass Tyler Bass twenty one yard field goal 0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:34.680 to win it twenty three to twenty. By the way, 0:19:34.680 --> 0:19:38.480 not without drama, because all of Baltimore's defenders won on 0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.600 the same page. On first and ten for Buffalo at 0:19:40.640 --> 0:19:43.640 the Baltimore eleven with one fifty left, they weren't supposed 0:19:43.640 --> 0:19:45.040 to make a tackle. They were supposed to let the 0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:47.560 Bill score a touchdown. All on the same page, except 0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:51.600 for O Dafeo, who tackled Singletary at the three. Baltimore 0:19:51.640 --> 0:19:53.240