Speaker 1: Check it down man, No down man, And I just
Speaker 1: told the story. And also idiots will believe in analytics.
Speaker 1: This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander, vis good
Speaker 1: Monday morning to you. It is a numbers game and
Speaker 1: Visa the sports betting Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa
Speaker 1: f Game plus I Heart Radio see what I did there?
Speaker 1: YouTube TV all Bradley roch By bet MGM Nevada is
Speaker 1: Gil Alexander, Brian Ortega in for Kelly Bilin. Kelly back tomorrow, Yes, Brian, yes,
Speaker 1: should be okay. We're happy to have you. Though if
Speaker 1: we're guessing lines, we do an Oscars preview, but they
Speaker 1: will say that for another day. Understood from you. We
Speaker 1: appreciate a man about town, Brian, or take it with us,
Speaker 1: and of course the star ladies and gentlemen of guessing lines.
Speaker 1: My mishka, Christie Andrews. How you doing man? You good
Speaker 1: little rough rough day? Yes, you guys got beat up?
Speaker 1: Which were the which were the major are culprits that
Speaker 1: got you yesterday? Well we started a poorly with the
Speaker 1: Minnesota New Orleans game falling three because we had tons
Speaker 1: of money both ways, but you know the way we
Speaker 1: handled the three well, and we had a Lake push
Speaker 1: on Minnesota, which actually helped a little bit, but a
Speaker 1: lot of money line play in Minnesota, so that hurt.
Speaker 1: That was a bad one. The Bills and Ravens falling three,
Speaker 1: that one hurt. But I can go up and down
Speaker 1: the line. I mean when there were it would be
Speaker 1: a lot easier to tell you the good games. But
Speaker 1: I'll tell you some of the bad ones. Um Chargers
Speaker 1: was bad. Lions losing to the Seahawks was bad. Uh,
Speaker 1: Cowboys beating the Commanders was bad. Arizona beating Carolina, Green
Speaker 1: Bay not not covering against New England was bad. And
Speaker 1: then capped it off last night. The side didn't matter.
Speaker 1: We had a good action both ways on the side,
Speaker 1: but the total destroyed us. Everybody that was almost over
Speaker 1: at that It was over in the first quarter and
Speaker 1: it was fourteen three. I mean, you have no chance
Speaker 1: with these two quarterbacks at this isn't gonna become a shootout.
Speaker 1: So that's it. Lights off its south point after the
Speaker 1: show today, that's it. Yeah, we can see there's a
Speaker 1: barricade's up. I would say, you know, really, number one,
Speaker 1: don't ever cry for the bookmaker. And number two, Uh,
Speaker 1: you know, when you're in a position like mine, it
Speaker 1: really and I've compared this before. It's like a relief
Speaker 1: pitcher or a cornerback. You are gonna blow the game
Speaker 1: or the day whatever, You're gonna blow it. That's inevitable.
Speaker 1: I don't care who you are. You just lick your
Speaker 1: wounds and come out the next day. And you know,
Speaker 1: stayed up last night and tried to do my homework
Speaker 1: and oh, I think you do. Oh, I think you'll
Speaker 1: get it back. I think you'll be funny ladies, gentlemen,
Speaker 1: this is guessing lines for a week number five and
Speaker 1: it goes a little something like this, you got the
Speaker 1: coolest insure willing then you do. I was gonna do
Speaker 1: two hours of Atlanta Braves Radio this morning because I've
Speaker 1: that pumped about it. Oh dude, you got to win
Speaker 1: the division right, many many many times. We will. We
Speaker 1: will get into that tomorrow with Kelly guessing lines for
Speaker 1: week number five and we'll go as if you're new
Speaker 1: to this show, what we do every Monday morning, Christie
Speaker 1: and I and we couldn't do this without Christy, Like
Speaker 1: you can't substitute anybody in for Christie for this. Um,
Speaker 1: this is something we have done for the better part
Speaker 1: of a decade. Actually, guessing lines has existed for more
Speaker 1: the decade. Christy and I have done it for almost
Speaker 1: a decade together, and it's really a tribute to the
Speaker 1: old Stardust radio show of the same milk back in
Speaker 1: the day with Roxy Roxborrow. I don't know what the
Speaker 1: lines are. I've been at a cocoon since last night.
Speaker 1: I was all baseball focused anyway last night. And uh,
Speaker 1: Christie will let us know what he posts at the
Speaker 1: south Point at the end of this show. He hasn't
Speaker 1: put up anything yet here. Nothing is bettable until we
Speaker 1: do this show, so we always appreciate that. And we
Speaker 1: start with Thursday Night, Brian Ortega, what do we have alright?
Speaker 1: Thursday night? We have the Colts at the Broncos. Colts
Speaker 1: at the Broncos. Colts lose to the Titans yesterday. Mattie
Speaker 1: Ice him for three fifty six, two touchdowns, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was sacked three times, lost the fumble his eighth
Speaker 1: of the year, most the most, I should say by
Speaker 1: any player through the first four games of the season
Speaker 1: since Kurt Warner in two thousand and six. That's not good.
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor forty two on the ground. Boy, this is
Speaker 1: not the year for Jonathan Taylor. Not the year for
Speaker 1: the Colts. Ali Cox six eight five, two touchdowns. He
Speaker 1: was Ryan's biggest target. They were out game, or excuse me,
Speaker 1: they out gained Tennessee did the Colts three sixty five
Speaker 1: to forty three. But no matter when you're minus three
Speaker 1: in turnovers, the first two of which are Ryan fumble
Speaker 1: and Ryan interception. Lad to short fields in fourteen Titans
Speaker 1: points and then down twenty four to seventeen. Let this
Speaker 1: be the first we do this segment on the megapod
Speaker 1: called the Dumbbell of the week for coaches. Let this
Speaker 1: be the first candidate. Down twenty four to seventeen, the
Speaker 1: Colts have a fourth and twenty one at the Tennessee
Speaker 1: thirty three, with two oh four left, all three time
Speaker 1: outs in pocket, and Frank Reich opts for a Chase
Speaker 1: McLaughlin fifty one yard field goal, which has no prayer.
Speaker 1: The split second it goes off his toe and the
Speaker 1: Colts never see the ball again. I'm not sure what
Speaker 1: you're doing there. Denver loses to the Raiders. Josh Jacobs
Speaker 1: right for a career high a hundred forty four yards
Speaker 1: two touchdowns against Denver yesterday, Meek Robertson returned a Melvin
Speaker 1: Gordon bumble sixty eight yards changed the tenor of that game,
Speaker 1: put up put the Raiders up sixteen to ten at
Speaker 1: the time. Anyway, late in the first half, Raiders beat
Speaker 1: the Broncos thirty two to twenty three. Denver repeatedly failing
Speaker 1: to take advantage of good field position in this game.
Speaker 1: They scored only once did the Broncos on six drives
Speaker 1: in the second half, but that one drive did cut
Speaker 1: the Raiders lead to three, so we're still in play late,
Speaker 1: but the Broncos couldn't stop Las Vegas on the subsequent drive,
Speaker 1: as the Raiders engineered at ten place seventy five yard
Speaker 1: drive cap by a Jacob seven yard run that would
Speaker 1: steal the deal. After a final Broncos fourth down try
Speaker 1: went and complete. Russell Wilson in defeat seventeen five two
Speaker 1: thirty seven, two touchdowns, no picks, back three times, four
Speaker 1: carries for twenty nine yards and a touchdown. The Broncos
Speaker 1: could only muster twelve first downs that it twelve, so
Speaker 1: it's the one two in one Colts against the two
Speaker 1: and two Broncos I don't think I can make it
Speaker 1: a full three. I will say Denver minus two and
Speaker 1: a half. Okay, bingo first one. I like your number
Speaker 1: better a little bit little. My numbers come to exactly
Speaker 1: two and a half. But I do see pretty solid
Speaker 1: three out there. Um really see one three with a
Speaker 1: little tiny bit of juice on the favorite. So I
Speaker 1: think three is probably a good number. I don't know
Speaker 1: Greg Doyle, if anybody reads him, he's in the Indianapolis
Speaker 1: starts behind a paywall. Um, but he's a very good writer,
Speaker 1: covers a lot of different covers a lot of subjects
Speaker 1: besides just sports. But he talked about the problems on
Speaker 1: this Colts team, and he follows the team really closely.
Speaker 1: A lot of offensive line problems, which was something they
Speaker 1: didn't expect this year with Clinton Nelson being kind of
Speaker 1: the anchor. Uh, you know, fumbling and turnovers. You know,
Speaker 1: Maddie Ryan Um I said last week, I was like
Speaker 1: on the megapon, I was like, would still surprise anybody
Speaker 1: if they won the division? Everybody was like no. Now
Speaker 1: I would ask the same question. I don't know that
Speaker 1: everybody would say no. Well, one guy said, are we
Speaker 1: sure the Colts now all of a sudden have all
Speaker 1: their problems solved. So that was one of our few
Speaker 1: good games that they did better strongly on the Colts.
Speaker 1: So that was one of our few good games we needed.
Speaker 1: Tennessee pretty good. But anyway, I am going to open three.
Speaker 1: I don't want to mess with this game right now
Speaker 1: with the two and a three stuff, you know. But
Speaker 1: we'll see where this one goes. Colts were by one
Speaker 1: uh one circum millions loss. I was on the Colts
Speaker 1: as well, laid the points sharp, guys were Let's go
Speaker 1: to uh let's go to Sunday. I know we have
Speaker 1: a London game, right again, that's correct, Yes, we have
Speaker 1: a London game starting in nine thirty Eastern time. Six
Speaker 1: Pacific Giants against the Packers Tottenham Hotspur. All right, I
Speaker 1: don't have much to say about the Giants. They beat
Speaker 1: the Bears twenty to twelve. Daniel Jones eight of thirteen,
Speaker 1: eight of thirteen for seventy one yards. That matches justin
Speaker 1: fields eight completions with a victory. Earlier this year in
Speaker 1: Week one, someone broke that later. We'll get to it.
Speaker 1: Fewer completions with a win, but Jones eight of thirteen
Speaker 1: for seventy one no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once.
Speaker 1: Six carries for sixty eight yards and two touchdowns. Dan
Speaker 1: Jones was knocked out of the game, though did come
Speaker 1: back as a decoy later, as was his backup to
Speaker 1: Rod Taylor, who was concussed. Taylor was one of three
Speaker 1: for eleven yards, no touchdowns, one pick, was not sacked
Speaker 1: in his brief time in the game. But se Kwan
Speaker 1: was everything for the Giants, thirty one carries a hundred
Speaker 1: forty six yards. Giants only mustard seventy one passing yards
Speaker 1: in this game, but two hundred sixty two rushing yards
Speaker 1: against the the Bears. The hapless Bears lost both quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: as I said, but led twenty twelve laighte Bears muff
Speaker 1: to punt. Looked like the Giants had salted away with
Speaker 1: a Gano thirty seven yard field goal, but he missed,
Speaker 1: and then the Bears last ditch endless lateral play failed.
Speaker 1: And then there's Green Bay. Oh my, what a game.
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers first half against the Patriots four of eleven
Speaker 1: for forty four yards, no touchdown, one pick. He was
Speaker 1: sacked once. He had an eleven point two passer rating
Speaker 1: in the first half. That's at a one fifty eight
Speaker 1: point three. By the way, that's the old school passer
Speaker 1: rating eleven point two in the first half of that ballgame.
Speaker 1: Ben Valin, who u who writes, by the way, the
Speaker 1: Patriots had a ten to seven lead at the half,
Speaker 1: because part of that was a forty yard pick pick
Speaker 1: six by Jack Jones for the Patriots that put the
Speaker 1: Patriots up ten to seven at the half. Ben Valin,
Speaker 1: who writes about all Boston sports, He said, if Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers through every pass directly into the ground, his rating
Speaker 1: would have been thirty nine points six. His rating at
Speaker 1: half done was lemon points two. Rogers ended up, ended
Speaker 1: up though twenty one of thirty five for two fifty one,
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once. Aaron Jones
Speaker 1: sixteen carries for one ten lazard, six catches for one sixteen,
Speaker 1: four hundred forty three total yards for the Pack, one
Speaker 1: nine rushing, but so much drama. Fourth and one at
Speaker 1: the New England eleven sixteen left in the third quarter,
Speaker 1: opening drive of the third quarter, they go for it
Speaker 1: and convert on a pitch out to Aaron Jones. Three
Speaker 1: plays later, Green Bay had taken the lead fourteen to
Speaker 1: ten New England first and fifteen at the green Bay
Speaker 1: twenty five four fifty nine left in the third quarter,
Speaker 1: a good second and a half after the play clock
Speaker 1: went to zero, Bailey's appy to Davante Parker seventeen and
Speaker 1: fourteen New England. By the way, at first, I was like,
Speaker 1: that's two and a half seconds, but when they showed
Speaker 1: it from behind the quarterback behind Zappy, it's about one
Speaker 1: and a half seconds. Still ridiculous that that play wasn't
Speaker 1: whistled dead fast. Forward to the fourth quarter, the Packers
Speaker 1: facing third and eight from New England forty two o
Speaker 1: eight left. Rogers throw was deep to a diving Romeo
Speaker 1: Dobbs in the right corner of the end zone. Dobbs
Speaker 1: gets passed. Jonathan Jones caught the pass, but the ball
Speaker 1: slipped out of his hands after he landed. It goes
Speaker 1: to overtime. Some excellent clock management by Belichick. At the
Speaker 1: end of regulation and after New England stopped green beyond
Speaker 1: the opening drive of overtime, New England had the ball
Speaker 1: at its forty AT's forty nine yard line, only needing
Speaker 1: a field goal, but Green Bay forces a three and out,
Speaker 1: and what ensued was at twelve place, seventy seven yard
Speaker 1: drive culminating in a Mason Crosby game winning thirty one
Speaker 1: yard field goals time expired. Green Bay waiting to kick
Speaker 1: the field goal with four seconds left was risky and
Speaker 1: certainly risky for all those survivor players who had the
Speaker 1: Packers forty four point five percent of the tire pool?
Speaker 1: Man was I rooting against that? I got green Bay
Speaker 1: minus ten? Here we're both way off. How's this one? Um?
Speaker 1: I see it? Eight pretty much a blanket. Eight numbers
Speaker 1: coming to six and a half. You know, I had
Speaker 1: the seriously downgrade green Bay. I know there were three
Speaker 1: and one and they'll probably win the division, but they
Speaker 1: are not there yet. No, I mean they are far off.
Speaker 1: Um No, I'm not saying the praises of the Giants
Speaker 1: in any way, shape or form. By the way, I
Speaker 1: love QBR, I love to talk about it. There's some
Speaker 1: things that are crazy by QBR. You know what Daniel
Speaker 1: Jones QBR was yesterday. Let me get his stats. He
Speaker 1: was eight of thirteen for seventy one total yards. Don't
Speaker 1: you hold that? We'll continue with that talk more guessing lines. Wow,
Speaker 1: you're way low on then I'm way high on that.
Speaker 1: All right, coming back, it's a Monday morning guessing lines
Speaker 1: numbers gave Visa, the sports betting network. This episod. It
Speaker 1: is brought to you by Yes on Prop twenty seven
Speaker 1: and Draft Kings. Half the country already allows online sports
Speaker 1: betting for adults twenty one and older. It's time to
Speaker 1: let California fans in on the action. There's no good
Speaker 1: reason your friends in New York, Chicago, Phoenix, Portland, and
Speaker 1: Boston can bet online while Californians are still forced to
Speaker 1: deal with shady bookies. Prop twenty seven insures California finally
Speaker 1: catches up. So vote yes on Prop We get tweets
Speaker 1: that beating the book. This is from a touchdown Jesus.
Speaker 1: He says, whether on them or not? On them and
Speaker 1: quotes or not? And to what degree? It is so
Speaker 1: entertaining to listen to the beginnings, middles, and ends of
Speaker 1: the Tanka Balooza, egos, Fiachtech, NAT's obligation, Stingley Junior Draft, Ole,
Speaker 1: miss College World Series, Warriors, NBA title, et cetera. Good
Speaker 1: luck with the braves from here on out. Thank you.
Speaker 1: That is a very comprehensive tweet. I didn't mention Paulo
Speaker 1: bun Cairo in there, but thank you for that. That
Speaker 1: is very kind. A longtime numbers game listeners, UM really
Speaker 1: appreciate that. This is let's see here. This is from
Speaker 1: Do to Do Do Do Do Do Do Do a
Speaker 1: lot of braves, a lot of braves tweets this morning.
Speaker 1: This this one is from Matthew Mayberry says, yes, enough
Speaker 1: guesting glides, Let's go braves talk. Chris House dear Gablly
Speaker 1: twittered you like Muddy so do I uh gil could
Speaker 1: show you the analytical way to do it on on
Speaker 1: numbers game. Treat yourself, don't cheat yourself. That's what I
Speaker 1: was always taught. I really appreciate that. Everybody's very kind.
Speaker 1: I hope everybody jumped on the braves with us again
Speaker 1: the Magic Numbers one. So it's not done yet, but
Speaker 1: we'll get there. Guessing lines, and the one thing I
Speaker 1: want to say about guessing lines this year, I have
Speaker 1: had some really bad guesses, bad when it comes to
Speaker 1: Monday morning, but that has been a really good north
Speaker 1: star to follow because the lines have generally come my
Speaker 1: direction this year, which is which is not the case
Speaker 1: most years, I must say, right like, it's usually hasn't
Speaker 1: been this good. Now we're only four weeks in. Catch
Speaker 1: me in another four weeks. This could be disastrous, right,
Speaker 1: But so far, so good, and um, people have really
Speaker 1: responded to UH, to the show and your insights this
Speaker 1: year as well. You wanted to say one more thing
Speaker 1: about the Giants, Well, I'm gonna say, you know, QB
Speaker 1: ror something I like to look at. Not that I
Speaker 1: religiously believe in it, but I'm just saying it's a
Speaker 1: different way to look at things. Daniel Jones eight of
Speaker 1: thirteen for seventy one yards, no touchdowns, no interceptions, qb
Speaker 1: R point three. What And I mean they put twenty
Speaker 1: points on the board, you know. I mean, I guess
Speaker 1: he gets elevated because I don't think he fumbled yesterday.
Speaker 1: Well he scored. He scored two touchdowns on the ground.
Speaker 1: That counts. Yeah. Well it's all what did that quarterback
Speaker 1: do to participate in the victim you know, or not do? Anyway?
Speaker 1: Yeah he did do that. But anyway, my number comes
Speaker 1: to six and a half. I really downgraded green Bay
Speaker 1: and I always gave him a strong home field advantage.
Speaker 1: Probably the strongest in the league. I downgraded that too.
Speaker 1: I mean, this team is just not right yet. And
Speaker 1: I said this in the beginning. Talk to me in December,
Speaker 1: I think they'll be fine. First of all, the weather
Speaker 1: in December, I think will really help green Bay at home. Uh.
Speaker 1: I think by that time you would think Rogers is
Speaker 1: more in sync with his receivers. This team just isn't
Speaker 1: right right now. I thought, you know, I'm looking at
Speaker 1: my numbers, and I thought six and seven. And I mean,
Speaker 1: I could certainly see seven, but to me, seven would
Speaker 1: be a take. It's eight everywhere. I don't know. I
Speaker 1: might open seven and a half and take a hit.
Speaker 1: I'n't think about it. I am way high on that.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I just don't think I leave the Giants.
Speaker 1: I certainly don't think the Green Bay Packers are all
Speaker 1: that good either. Let's go to US Sunday early window
Speaker 1: now after the London game. Alright, So first game on Sunday, well,
Speaker 1: first of the games here is Steelers at Bills one
Speaker 1: in three, Steelers three and one. Filth. I thought like this,
Speaker 1: you know, uh, the Steelers lose to the Jets. Were
Speaker 1: you aware of that, Chris? They lost to the Jets.
Speaker 1: Yet what happened, Uh, the Jets went in Pittsburgh for
Speaker 1: just the second time in franchise history. That's hard to believe.
Speaker 1: By the way Steelers benefit for the Jets, roughing the
Speaker 1: passer penalty on what would have been the final play
Speaker 1: of the first half, Chris Boswell sunk a fifty. You
Speaker 1: are to cut the deficit to ten to six, and
Speaker 1: you thought to yourself, Okay, Pittsburgh's back in this, they'll
Speaker 1: win this game. And then Kenny pick It enters the
Speaker 1: game for Pittsburgh in the second half, and every inser
Speaker 1: goes crazy. I got so many texts from my friends.
Speaker 1: Forget about we'll talk about that. At fourth and one
Speaker 1: at the Pittsburgh thirty one twelve thirteen left on the
Speaker 1: third quarter, down ten to six, pick Its sneaks and
Speaker 1: converts and the crowd goes wild because Mitch Drabinsky couldn't
Speaker 1: have done that. Chrissy two plays later, first pass of
Speaker 1: his career as a pick downfield basically a punt keep
Speaker 1: playing on a subsequent Jets drive, third and six of
Speaker 1: the Jets thirty Wilson Zach Wilson that is picked by
Speaker 1: Minka Fitzpatrick off a deflection. Three plays later, pick It
Speaker 1: sneaks into the end zone thirteen to ten Pittsburgh. Because
Speaker 1: Drabinsky couldn't have done that. Chrissie subsequent Pittsburgh drive, pick
Speaker 1: It caps it off with a two yard touchdown run
Speaker 1: twenty ten. You know Mitch couldn't have done that either, Yes,
Speaker 1: he Kenny could have done all of bit, but then
Speaker 1: with a third but then with thirteen thirty left, down
Speaker 1: twenty to ten, the Jets Zach Wilson engineering eleven play,
Speaker 1: eighty one yard touchdown drive It's twenty to seventeen. Then
Speaker 1: pick It fumbles. It was recovered by his teammate Jalen Warren,
Speaker 1: though fumble luck. Next play second in fifteen at the
Speaker 1: Jets thirty five three three thirty four left in the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, pick It overthrows for Friarmouth, picked by Michael
Speaker 1: Carter the second, and then the Jets go on a
Speaker 1: ten play sixty five yard five first down drive in
Speaker 1: which Wilson went five for five for fifty seven, showing
Speaker 1: up three minutes and sixteen seconds, capped by a Breefe
Speaker 1: Hall two yard plunge with eighteen seconds left twenty four
Speaker 1: twenty Jets win Forbiskie seven of thirteen for eighty four,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked three times. Pick
Speaker 1: it ten of thirteen for one twenty no touchdowns, three picks,
Speaker 1: sacked zero times. Six carries fifteen yards, two touchdowns, picking
Speaker 1: six for one oh two receiving. But the Steelers, excuse
Speaker 1: me the Yeah, the Steelers were minus two in turnovers
Speaker 1: and the one in three Steelers now oh and seven
Speaker 1: all time without injured star outside linebacker t J. Watt
Speaker 1: head into the most of a goal part of their schedule,
Speaker 1: riding a three game losing streaking with the franchise now
Speaker 1: in the hands, we think of a rookie, Oh Buffalo?
Speaker 1: Is that the other two Buffalo? Sorry about that? Forgot
Speaker 1: how the show works. Josh Allen nineteen of thirty six
Speaker 1: in the Bills come from behind win against the Ravens twelve,
Speaker 1: one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once, eleven carries
Speaker 1: for seventy yards and a touchdown. The Bills had a
Speaker 1: thirty eight minute to ten twenty one minute and fifty
Speaker 1: second disadvantage in time of possession. They were down twenty
Speaker 1: to three. They come back and win it fourth and
Speaker 1: one at the Baltimore ten and forty left to the
Speaker 1: third quarter, down twenty to ten, they s chew sh
Speaker 1: Christie the forty three yard field goals temp Allen rolls
Speaker 1: out to the left, he ad libs gets four yards.
Speaker 1: Four plays later, Tyler bast thirty nine yard field goals
Speaker 1: twenty to thirteen. After the Bill's force a Ravens punt
Speaker 1: nine play eight yard touchdown drive capped by Alan eleven
Speaker 1: yard touchdown run to knot ed up at twenty to twenty,
Speaker 1: and then they keep play the key sequence candidate for
Speaker 1: Dumbbell of the Year or Dumbbell of the Week are
Speaker 1: it's your boy, John Harbaugh. Starting with thirteen thirty eight
Speaker 1: left at their own five yard line, the Ravens go
Speaker 1: on a fourteen play ninety three yard nine minute, twenty
Speaker 1: nine second drive and with four fifteen left in the
Speaker 1: ball game, tied dip tied up at twenty on the
Speaker 1: Buffalo to fourth and goal, Baltimore decides to go for
Speaker 1: it and it's picked by Jordan Poyer in the end zone,
Speaker 1: his second in as many possessions. Buffalo drives the field
Speaker 1: from their own twenty after the Harbor decision, aided by
Speaker 1: a horrible roughing the passer penalty. On that final drive,
Speaker 1: chip Shot Bass Tyler Bass twenty one yard field goal
Speaker 1: to win it twenty three to twenty. By the way,
Speaker 1: not without drama, because all of Baltimore's defenders won on
Speaker 1: the same page. On first and ten for Buffalo at
Speaker 1: the Baltimore eleven with one fifty left, they weren't supposed
Speaker 1: to make a tackle. They were supposed to let the
Speaker 1: Bill score a touchdown. All on the same page, except
Speaker 1: for O Dafeo, who tackled Singletary at the three. Baltimore
Speaker 1: only had one time out left, and at that point
Speaker 1: we're helpless. That's what Marcus Peters was losing his mind
Speaker 1: about on the sidelines. You might have seen that drama.
Speaker 1: So Pittsburgh at Buffalo, this is gonna be a monster number.
Speaker 1: Buffalo minus thirteen, I won't make it two touchdowns another
Speaker 1: beingo square to fill in diminishing returns. You haven't said
Speaker 1: that yet. This year, my numbers come to seventeen, and
Speaker 1: that's too high, But fourteen is the number, and I
Speaker 1: think that's probably a good place to start. That's where
Speaker 1: I'm gonna start. But like I said, my my power
Speaker 1: ratings do come to seventeen. But again, the diminishing returns,
Speaker 1: which we like, I don't think we've used so far
Speaker 1: this year. I think it's just a little too high
Speaker 1: for this game. I think the Steelers probably try to
Speaker 1: play as conservatively as they can with Kenny Pickett in there. Listen.
Speaker 1: I mean, at this point in time, you have to
Speaker 1: think it injects a little juice into that team, a
Speaker 1: little juice. I don't know if it's enough to carry
Speaker 1: the day in Buffalo. I kind of think not. Um,
Speaker 1: But you know, on the other side, I mean I
Speaker 1: still think Buffalo is probably the best team in the league.
Speaker 1: They haven't played that great the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: I mean they struggled yesterday. You know. Um, the Juggernauts
Speaker 1: status has sort of diminished. That we were talking about undefeated,
Speaker 1: you know, waltzing to the Super Bowl, blah blah blah.
Speaker 1: I mean we're not nearly There was anybody talking undefeated
Speaker 1: really well, that's pretty oh yeah, well, I mean you
Speaker 1: have to listen to some VSPN shows, which I always
Speaker 1: have the TV on in my office, but ye oh yeah,
Speaker 1: some guys were talking about undefeated. Um, I think fourteen
Speaker 1: is a good number, though, that's where I'm gonna start.
Speaker 1: We'll make up a game here coming up in this
Speaker 1: subsequent segment. Let me just follow up in a couple
Speaker 1: of days of this game one horrible I know, besides Belichick,
Speaker 1: he's your guy. No, that was a horrible decision. I mean,
Speaker 1: how do you not go up three? And his explanation
Speaker 1: afterwards made no sets either. No, you know, talking about analytictric,
Speaker 1: analytics and metrics, and I'm thinking, there's there's no, there's no.
Speaker 1: I'm not sure what the book you were following. By
Speaker 1: the way, that's my biggest pet peeve. When people do
Speaker 1: something it's wrung. There's analytics. Yeah, that's not analytics, dude,
Speaker 1: you just you botched. Yeah, you made that thing up.
Speaker 1: You know, it is what you did, you know, I mean,
Speaker 1: And I heard guys afterwards saying, you know, if the
Speaker 1: coach just said I went with my gut, yeah, I
Speaker 1: could go with that, you know. Yeah, but don't don't
Speaker 1: give me the analytics stuff, and do you And I've
Speaker 1: said this last week, and you could tell I'm I'm
Speaker 1: sort of I'm of the I'm of the belief that
Speaker 1: Traubisky could do no, he could do no, right, Yeah,
Speaker 1: after the first two games. Yeah, it didn't matter what
Speaker 1: he did. Oh, it's Trubisky. Do you really believe that
Speaker 1: this is the move they should make to pick it
Speaker 1: right now? And almost like they didn't have a choice.
Speaker 1: And again, let me see what the QB are for
Speaker 1: Trabisky was horrible and rightfully so seven point five yesterday.
Speaker 1: So it was bad. Well there's that. Well come back,
Speaker 1: I gotta make up one guessing lines on a Monday
Speaker 1: for Week five National Football League, It's a numbers game
Speaker 1: Vista these Boards Betting Network, the Numbers game on Sports
Speaker 1: Betting Network. The NHL season is almost here and our
Speaker 1: hockey betting experts are ready for all the action. The
Speaker 1: Visa Hockey Season Prep Guide available now with strategies and
Speaker 1: best best for the season ahead. Get into the analysis
Speaker 1: for rocky experts including Andy McNeil that's Andy McNeil, with
Speaker 1: predictions for teams and players, win totals, daily betting tips,
Speaker 1: season long trends to watch, plus three things every knew
Speaker 1: n HL better should know. The guides must have with
Speaker 1: key insights and data for both avid hockey betters and
Speaker 1: those new to the sport. Give yourself an edge of
Speaker 1: this season and get the Visa Hockey Season Prep Guide
Speaker 1: by becoming a Visa Pro subscriber today at Visa dot
Speaker 1: com slash subscribe. Are you ready for hockey, Chrissie, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I am. Yeah. I love hockey. You're Penguins guy, right,
Speaker 1: big Penguins guy. But I love hockey. That's great. You
Speaker 1: guys do well here with hockey business, right, yeah? Boy?
Speaker 1: When that's you know, you asked me the things have
Speaker 1: changed since I've gotten here. When I first got here, well,
Speaker 1: we didn't have the nights. Of course, hockey was nothing,
Speaker 1: and now it's I was like hockey because it wasn't
Speaker 1: a big decision every night. You can root for whoever
Speaker 1: the hell you wanted to. Now we got some big
Speaker 1: decisions at night. Yeah, not a lot expected out of
Speaker 1: the nights, by the way, this year, that's the consensus.
Speaker 1: That would be my consensus. Yeah. What is next, sir?
Speaker 1: What do we got Brian or tell you ready? So
Speaker 1: we have the Chargers going to Cleveland against the Browns
Speaker 1: Chargers one of my survivors hit it Pawn Point. Chargers
Speaker 1: were way up though yesterday against Houston twenty seven to seven,
Speaker 1: way up. And then as the Chargers do well, that
Speaker 1: lead just dissipated. Houston scored seventeen straight points to get
Speaker 1: within three with about eight and a half minutes left.
Speaker 1: Charges then put together at twelve play eighty four yard drive,
Speaker 1: though capped by an Austin Eckler fourteen yard catch and
Speaker 1: score to put the game away and snap a two
Speaker 1: games set. Chargers look great early, scored five on scored
Speaker 1: on five of their first six possessions to build that
Speaker 1: twenty seven and seven lead by halftime, despite Herbert dealing
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, that is, with the rib injury team playing
Speaker 1: without Joey both with the groin without Keenan Allen Herbert
Speaker 1: thirty nine for three forty two touchdowns, No Pixie was
Speaker 1: sacking once. Eckler carries for sixty yards too touchdown, six
Speaker 1: catches for forty nine yards in a touchdown Mike Williams
Speaker 1: seven catches for one twenty Chargers had a four to
Speaker 1: it their own forty five with five twenty three left,
Speaker 1: nursing that twenty seven to twenty four lead, biggest player
Speaker 1: of the game, they go for it and they convert
Speaker 1: on a twenty one yard Herbert to Eckler pass and run.
Speaker 1: Five plays later, the game clinching Eckler score and then
Speaker 1: there's Cleveland. Cleveland loses. Remember we started we set at
Speaker 1: the beginning of the year. All those first four games,
Speaker 1: they made it so easy for Cleveland. Well, in the end,
Speaker 1: they end up two and two after those four games.
Speaker 1: With the Jacoby Brissette at quarterback, they lose to the Falcons.
Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissette thirty five or two thirty four, no touchdowns,
Speaker 1: one pick, he was sacked once. Nick Chubb nineteen carries
Speaker 1: for one eighteen yards and a touchdown. They out gained
Speaker 1: Atlanta four oh three to three thirty three. They out
Speaker 1: time of possession if you will, Atlanta thirty five sixteen,
Speaker 1: but they gave up two under two rushing yards. Cleveland
Speaker 1: had a fourth and three at the Atlanta four scoreless
Speaker 1: game ten twenty eight left in the first quarter, opening
Speaker 1: drive of the game. They went forward and they failed.
Speaker 1: Then they had a fourth and one at the Atlanta
Speaker 1: thirty nine twelve thirty five left in the second quarter,
Speaker 1: down ten to nothing, they went for it set kept it.
Speaker 1: They converted eight plays later it was ten to seven.
Speaker 1: But in the end, third and twenty three at the
Speaker 1: Cleveland FORTI six down twenty three to twenty. Brissette was
Speaker 1: picked by d Alfred ballgame. Falcons win at twenty three
Speaker 1: to twenty. I I got lazy here. I called this
Speaker 1: a pick between the Chargers and the Browns. My numbers
Speaker 1: come to three, and it's a blanket three in favor
Speaker 1: of whom the Chargers. Wow. Yeah, I would not have
Speaker 1: thought the Charges would be a full three point favorite here.
Speaker 1: Charges do have their problems. You mentioned you know Bosa
Speaker 1: who is definitely out for a while, Keenan Allen. I'm
Speaker 1: not sure what his status will be for this coming week.
Speaker 1: They have their problems. Um. I kind of quit watching
Speaker 1: that game when it was way up. I didn't think
Speaker 1: Houston had it in him to come back, you know
Speaker 1: kind of TV Well, I only got I got nine
Speaker 1: TVs and there's like two that I can't see real well,
Speaker 1: and one of them was the Charger game. So I
Speaker 1: didn't watch it that close. Um, but I think three
Speaker 1: is a good number, and I think that's a you know,
Speaker 1: like that's exactly what my power ratings come to. I
Speaker 1: have no beef with the three. I would have thought
Speaker 1: one and a half, maybe two, and but three is sting.
Speaker 1: Chargers are just so you just can never trust them.
Speaker 1: You know, it was on a radio show I think
Speaker 1: I got in New York last year and or maybe
Speaker 1: two years ago, yeah, two years ago, and they kept that.
Speaker 1: As you know, the Chargers just tend to do chargery things.
Speaker 1: They like cracked up. I didn't mean it really is
Speaker 1: a joke. That's exactly like you said. That's true chargery
Speaker 1: kind of things and true. What's next? Al Right? We
Speaker 1: go to the NFC North, the Bears at the Vikings.
Speaker 1: Bears of the Vikings. By the way, does that mean
Speaker 1: that I'm racing to bet the Browns? But based on
Speaker 1: that guest, no, I'm not. Bears of the Vikings. Bears
Speaker 1: are two and two, believe it or not, Vikings three
Speaker 1: and one. The Bears loses. We mentioned to the Giants
Speaker 1: twenty to twelve. Justin Fields completed eleven forward passes, which
Speaker 1: is a monster game for him, which raises his season
Speaker 1: total of completed forward passes from twenty three to thirty
Speaker 1: four in four football games eleven twenty two for one
Speaker 1: seventy four and no touchdowns, no pit He was sacked
Speaker 1: six times, seven carries for fifty two yards, though he
Speaker 1: lost the fumble. The Bears only had sixteen first downs.
Speaker 1: It's really all you need to know. There's not much
Speaker 1: else to say about that. And then there's Minnesota. Will
Speaker 1: you indulge me about the Vikings in this London game yesterday?
Speaker 1: And it was not the sexiest game with the Saint,
Speaker 1: but the Vikings won in spite of themselves. Kirk Cousins
Speaker 1: twenty five or thirty eight for two seventy three, one touchdown,
Speaker 1: one pick. He was sacked three times, Justin Jefferson at
Speaker 1: a monster game. He was torching Marshawn Lattimore ten catches
Speaker 1: for one seven, also had a touchdown on the ground.
Speaker 1: So let's go through some of this. The Vikings had
Speaker 1: a fourth and one at the New Orleans ten with
Speaker 1: one oh seven left in the second quarter. It was
Speaker 1: a seven to seven game, and they decided they'd settled
Speaker 1: for a twenty eight yard Greg Joseph field goal to
Speaker 1: make it ten to seven. Okay, no problem, you can
Speaker 1: quibble with that, but okay, first place. Subsequent drive, Andy
Speaker 1: Dalton is sacked by Dalvin Tomlinson. Harrison Phillips recovers and
Speaker 1: the Vikings are in business. Now here's the thing. They
Speaker 1: have all their time outs up ten to seven at
Speaker 1: the New Orleans twenty after a first down play that
Speaker 1: ended with forty nine seconds left on the clock and
Speaker 1: the Vikings holding all three of their time outs, Minnesota
Speaker 1: uses none of them, and by the time Cousins throws
Speaker 1: an incomplete on second down, their sixteen seconds left on
Speaker 1: the clock. Then they have a false start. They're behind
Speaker 1: the sticks. They failed to convert. There was so little
Speaker 1: time anyway by that point that they probably would have
Speaker 1: had to settle for field goal anyway. At that point
Speaker 1: Greg Joseph thirty six yard field goal, thirteen to seven.
Speaker 1: So let's just review real quick. First drive, Minnesota had
Speaker 1: a ten yard offensive pass interference on third and goal
Speaker 1: to five. They overcame in with a fifteen yard touchdown
Speaker 1: pass to go up seven to nothing. Then we talked
Speaker 1: about them settling for the ten to seven lead. Then
Speaker 1: they botched the time outs at the end of the
Speaker 1: first half for a thirteen to seven lead, and you're like, okay,
Speaker 1: well that's got to be the end of that. Nope,
Speaker 1: continues first drive second half. After New Orleans muff punts
Speaker 1: sets them up, Minnesota ends up with the first and goal.
Speaker 1: At the three delay of game penalty, they have to
Speaker 1: settle for a field goal sixteen to seven. Oh there's more,
Speaker 1: by the way, down sixteen to seven. New Orleans is
Speaker 1: a fourth and fourth in Minnesota forty one with six
Speaker 1: fifty one left in the third quarter. The Saints go
Speaker 1: for it and convert on a great spot that the
Speaker 1: Vikings decide not to challenge. I'm not sure if they
Speaker 1: win the challenge, but you should probably challenge that the
Speaker 1: ball was like a yard in front of where he
Speaker 1: landed for New Orleans. Five plays later, the Saints got
Speaker 1: it within sixteen and fourteen, then up sixteen to fourteen.
Speaker 1: Minnesota has a fourth and two at the New Orleans
Speaker 1: forty seven two minutes left to the third quarter, fake
Speaker 1: punt Ryan right to Jayalen Naylor for thirteen. They convert,
Speaker 1: but two plays later, after first and ten at the
Speaker 1: New Orleans twenty three, intentional grounding on Cousins, false start
Speaker 1: back to back plays, forced to settle for a Joseph
Speaker 1: forty six yard field goal. It's nineteen and fourteen, and
Speaker 1: of course, finally it comes back to haunt them. Nine
Speaker 1: play New Orleans touchdown drive. New Orleans takes their first
Speaker 1: lead to the game, twenty two to nineteen Eventually, if
Speaker 1: you make all of those blunders, it's gonna come back
Speaker 1: to haunt you, and it did. Third and ten. Now
Speaker 1: at the Minnesota forty nine five thirty six left down
Speaker 1: twenty two to nineteen, a complete bailout illegal use of
Speaker 1: the hands gift penalty on too Ron Matthew that extends
Speaker 1: the drive. Four plays later, after a defensive past interference,
Speaker 1: deep Jefferson rushes it in for three yards out and
Speaker 1: Joseph misses the p a T so it's two. He
Speaker 1: made five field goals in this game, but he misses
Speaker 1: the crucial point after touchdown, so it gives New Orleans
Speaker 1: the ball with a chance to tie it with a
Speaker 1: field goal, and Will Lutts does just that with a
Speaker 1: sixty yard or with one fifty six left. Then Minnesota
Speaker 1: with a six play fifty five yard drive highlighted by
Speaker 1: big Cousins Jefferson thirty nine yard pick up. Joseph redeems
Speaker 1: himself with the forty seven yard field goal. Minnesota looks
Speaker 1: to have won this game five twenty four seconds left.
Speaker 1: Not so fast. My friend Dalton hits a lava for
Speaker 1: thirty two yards in the middle of the field. The
Speaker 1: middle of the field surrounded by nothing but Vikings defenders.
Speaker 1: How do you let this happen? And let's from sixty one? Now,
Speaker 1: I believe this would have been the first game where everybody,
Speaker 1: anybody hit two field goals from sixty plus. It's gotta
Speaker 1: be right. Someone could correct me on that. Let's from
Speaker 1: sixty one, upright, crossbar, double doink, bounces back, no good.
Speaker 1: And the Vikings, despite themselves, in spite of themselves, win
Speaker 1: this football game by your three, which you hated. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and you know we talked about the Chargers doing chargery things?
Speaker 1: Did do We have to have a new word, Viking
Speaker 1: e things because they did everything they possibly could to
Speaker 1: blow this game. I'm in a couple of contests, nothing locally,
Speaker 1: but you know, the small contest with friends. My big
Speaker 1: play was the Vikings minus two and a half and
Speaker 1: not watching and then I I did not want them
Speaker 1: to win by three though, because the joint we've got
Speaker 1: murdered on that game. So I was hoping that last
Speaker 1: field going in anything to getting me off the three.
Speaker 1: I thought it was in. I really did. I did too,
Speaker 1: by the way I've said it for years. Right, we
Speaker 1: were on the betting dork on beating the book on
Speaker 1: a numbers game. It's all planko in the end, right,
Speaker 1: this is completely this is literal planko getting off the two.
Speaker 1: You know the double plan. Right. I'll probably go high
Speaker 1: on this too, just like I did with Green Bay.
Speaker 1: But I had Minnesota minus ten. Yeah, you are high.
Speaker 1: Might not. Has come to seven and a half and
Speaker 1: it's pretty much a blanket seven out there. You know,
Speaker 1: this Bear team horrible, so horrible. I really thought Seattle
Speaker 1: was going to be the worst team in the league
Speaker 1: at least right there. They're way better than I thought.
Speaker 1: But the Bears are way worse than I thought. Um,
Speaker 1: you know my numbers come to seven and a half,
Speaker 1: I will open seven, just I don't want to mess
Speaker 1: with that right now, and that is what I see
Speaker 1: virtually everywhere. So I'm gonna go to seven. And the
Speaker 1: Bears have won two games, like that's the amazing point.
Speaker 1: Hell have that happened? So Philadelphia ends up the last
Speaker 1: undefeated at four and oh and Houston ends up the
Speaker 1: last windless at oh three and one. They've covered every game, though,
Speaker 1: So there's that bore guessing lines A whole bunch more
Speaker 1: on the other side numbers game, visa these Sports Betting Network.
Speaker 1: It's Gill, Alexander, Christie Andrews guessing lines for a week
Speaker 1: five in the National Football League. UM. Guessing lines has
Speaker 1: been great so far this year in terms of sort
Speaker 1: of extracting value, UM really sort of anticipating line moves.
Speaker 1: Not sure we have one of those yet on this show. UM.
Speaker 1: But before we move on, I don't want to bury
Speaker 1: the headline. You you famous author of then one day
Speaker 1: and then one year have a third book out, a novel,
Speaker 1: A novel. What's it called. It's got a Greek title
Speaker 1: ivell foss move parentheses my brother. And if it is
Speaker 1: on Amazon right now, you have but if you just
Speaker 1: put in Chris Andrew's books, it will take you in
Speaker 1: my other two books. So you have to put in
Speaker 1: that title il foss move my brother. But I have
Speaker 1: a pin tweet and you can order it directly from
Speaker 1: book Locker, which I'd rather order from book Locker. I
Speaker 1: make a little more money from book locker, you know,
Speaker 1: you know if you go to Amazon. Yeah, I still do. Okay,
Speaker 1: but you know, Jeff Bezos does not need a couple
Speaker 1: of bucks from me. But anyways, on it's out now
Speaker 1: unavailable and so far people that have read it. You know,
Speaker 1: I've had a few people that have read it really
Speaker 1: like it. Can you give a can you give a
Speaker 1: sort of elevator speech? Yeah, I mean it's a guy
Speaker 1: who finds himself in trouble with some very bad characters
Speaker 1: bookmakers owes a lot of money to his father's former
Speaker 1: partner was a bookmaker. But as this former partner, his
Speaker 1: son becomes a star quarterback. Now the kid is facing
Speaker 1: his last game, a meaningless bowl game where they're big favorites.
Speaker 1: He asks, can the kid shave some points in the
Speaker 1: game so I could get off this huge debt. But
Speaker 1: a lot of things happened after that. That's just kind
Speaker 1: of the start. It's almost like uh in Psycho where
Speaker 1: she steals the money in the beginning and you think, oh,
Speaker 1: this is gonna be the story. That it's not the story. Yeah,
Speaker 1: there's a lot of things that happened after this. But
Speaker 1: you know, the people that have read it really like
Speaker 1: But it certainly involves gambling. And we're in Las Vegas,
Speaker 1: and we're in Pittsburgh, and we're in New York and
Speaker 1: blah blah blah. I think people really like it. I
Speaker 1: think this crowd would really like it this guessing lines crowd. Okay,
Speaker 1: I love it. My brother get it through Chrissie's pin
Speaker 1: tweet though at Andrew's Sports on Twitter. Okay, next, Brian,
Speaker 1: we gotta make up a game here, all right. We
Speaker 1: have Lions at the Patriots. We didn't talk about the
Speaker 1: Lions game yet they lose to the Seahawks forty five
Speaker 1: score Gami Jared Goffin defeat. It's such a typical Lions game.
Speaker 1: They first of all, they didn't have him on Ross St. Brown,
Speaker 1: they didn't have DeAndre Swift. We surprised the Steelers with
Speaker 1: a number two most Pick Survivor team in Circus Survivor
Speaker 1: yesterday with the Lions, despite the injuries, had lots of
Speaker 1: people picking them. A lot of guys had the Steelers,
Speaker 1: which I really could understand because you know they're playing
Speaker 1: the Jets at home. I'm going you're supposed to win
Speaker 1: that game. Golf for the Lions back to the Lions
Speaker 1: was like Golf thirty nine for three seventy eight, four touchdowns,
Speaker 1: one pick, he was sacked once. Jamal Williams nineteen for
Speaker 1: one oh eight two touchdowns. Hawkinson Big game eight for
Speaker 1: one seventy nine, two touchdowns Josh Reynolds seven eighty one
Speaker 1: and a touchdown. Lions were three three on fourth down.
Speaker 1: They were out gained five hundred fifty five to five
Speaker 1: twenty by the Seahawks. Dominic every missed two p e
Speaker 1: t s two extra points for the Lions. That was
Speaker 1: in the mix as well. The Lions never led, bottom line,
Speaker 1: They never led, but they got within forty eight before
Speaker 1: allowing a huge seven place seventy five yard fourth quarter
Speaker 1: drive capped by a Rashon Penny forty one yard scamper
Speaker 1: to the house, then to forty five, but they couldn't
Speaker 1: get the ball back despite using all three timeouts on
Speaker 1: d and so the Lions lose. They followed one in three.
Speaker 1: And then there's New England. We talked about New England
Speaker 1: losing to Green Bay. We went through that, uh pretty detailed.
Speaker 1: Brian Hoyer sustained a head injury in that game with
Speaker 1: five forty six left in the first quarter on Rashan
Speaker 1: Gary sack. That's why Bailey Zappy played most of that game.
Speaker 1: Hoyer was five of six for thirty seven yards before
Speaker 1: he left, no touchdowns, no pick sack once. Zappy ends
Speaker 1: up ten of fifteen for ninety nine yards, one touchdown,
Speaker 1: no picks. He was sacked three times. I will say
Speaker 1: New England by four, Well, this is a tough one.
Speaker 1: I made it one and a half. I'm thinking quarterback situation.
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm interpreting at this point. I think it's
Speaker 1: gonna be up in the air all week for New England. Um,
Speaker 1: so I made it one and a half. We're kind
Speaker 1: of in the middle between the two of us. I
Speaker 1: see two and a half with juice on the favorite,
Speaker 1: three with some juice on the dog. I guess I'm
Speaker 1: gonna open two and a half here. But I have
Speaker 1: a lot of question marks. Detroit, I like New England
Speaker 1: are Yeah. I mean Detroit's defense is just so horrible.
Speaker 1: I mean somebody said if Detroit had a bad defense,
Speaker 1: they'd be two and two. Bad would be a big improvement.
Speaker 1: I mean they are horrible. Um but I think at
Speaker 1: this point in time, I'm looking at two and a half.
Speaker 1: Although I see a lot of threes out there. I
Speaker 1: think I might take a hit at three at two
Speaker 1: and a half before I go to three. Like I said,
Speaker 1: just the question mark at the quarterback position. I think
Speaker 1: it's gonna linger all week for New England and we'll
Speaker 1: have to see if I'm on Ross and Brownard Dandre
Speaker 1: Swift get back for Detroit among others. But that's this
Speaker 1: feels like a game New England and control, regardless of
Speaker 1: their quarterback. It wasn't you know they the whole world
Speaker 1: was on New England yesterday, which shocked the hell out
Speaker 1: of me. It really did. I mean, money line everything.
Speaker 1: I need a Green Bay to win the game. Now,
Speaker 1: that's very odd for you know what did we close
Speaker 1: the game nine and a half? Very odd for a
Speaker 1: favorite like that. So we needed him to win the game.
Speaker 1: We needed him the cover to which you know you
Speaker 1: can see early on that wasn't gonna happen. Brian. Next,
Speaker 1: what are you got? Next game is Seahawks versus Saints.
Speaker 1: Sorry to cut you off the jip so s two
Speaker 1: and two Seahawks one and three Saints Seahawks we just
Speaker 1: mentioned beating the Lions. Geno Smith Chrissie twenty three of
Speaker 1: thirty for three twenty two touchdowns, no picks. He was
Speaker 1: not sacked. A one thirty two point six rating. That's
Speaker 1: the old school passer rating at a one fifty eight
Speaker 1: point three seven carries for forty nine yards and a
Speaker 1: touchdown for Gino as well. We're Schard Penny though he
Speaker 1: was the man seven team for one fifty one two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: DK metcalf seven for one nine, including a tummy ache
Speaker 1: in the middle of that game where had to be
Speaker 1: carded to the bathroom. We covered all lock at six
Speaker 1: for ninety one. The Seahawks were nine for twelve on
Speaker 1: third down. They the Lions just couldn't get him off
Speaker 1: the field and as I mentioned, five fifty five total
Speaker 1: yards to Detroit's five twenty, including two hundred thirty five
Speaker 1: rushing yards. When all was said and done for the Seahawks,
Speaker 1: they did have eleven penalties for seventy six yards. They
Speaker 1: got to clean that up. New Orleans, as we mentioned,
Speaker 1: lost the Vikings. We went through that in detail. In London,
Speaker 1: Dalton ends up eight of nine Andy Dalton eight of
Speaker 1: nine in the first half for just fifty three yards
Speaker 1: one touchdown note picks. He was sacked twice lost a fumble.
Speaker 1: By the end of the game, he was twenty of
Speaker 1: twenty eight for two thirty six, one touchdown note picks
Speaker 1: and sacked twice. That same the same touchdown interception in
Speaker 1: sack line. Ten penalties for the Viking for excuse me,
Speaker 1: for the Saints in defeat, ten penalties for a hundred
Speaker 1: two yards. They got to clean that up. So two
Speaker 1: teams that were penalized a lot seattlet New Orleans not
Speaker 1: a very sexy game. It's more than a field goal
Speaker 1: the last say New Orleans minus four, You're right, it's
Speaker 1: four everywhere. Come to three. It's another game where I
Speaker 1: think and actually Dalton I thought played very well. But
Speaker 1: Geno Smith, I mean he this team is better than
Speaker 1: I thought. Like I said, I thought they'd be the
Speaker 1: worst team in the NFL. Three was his QBR yesterday,
Speaker 1: and I think that's deservedly so he was very good.
Speaker 1: He's played really well. I don't know, I can't think
Speaker 1: of another quarterback who's kind of blossomed and what's like
Speaker 1: his eighth year or something. But you know, when I
Speaker 1: said a couple of weeks ago and he had that game,
Speaker 1: I was like, I take it back to my old
Speaker 1: Washington quarterbacks, right, Mark Rippon got to hold the clipboard
Speaker 1: for three years. Stan Humphreys got to hold the clipboard
Speaker 1: for three years. Trent Greene got to hold it for
Speaker 1: two or three years old school quarterbacks. If you sat
Speaker 1: and you you learned that way, you ended up being
Speaker 1: really good more often than not. Geno Smith, maybe we
Speaker 1: should have expected this, right because it's like he's been
Speaker 1: playing for years watching Hall of Famers, So I did
Speaker 1: not expect that. I'll be the first to tell you,
Speaker 1: but I have moved Seattle way up. A matter of fact,
Speaker 1: my numbers come to three in this game. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open three and a half. I'm sure they'll beat down
Speaker 1: the doors of lay the three and a half, but
Speaker 1: you know, go ahead and do it, because I think
Speaker 1: four is just too high. There's a lot of things
Speaker 1: I don't like about New Orleans and I do like
Speaker 1: about Seattle. So three and a half. Let's sneak this
Speaker 1: one in. What do you got? Brian? All Right? Next
Speaker 1: game Dolphins at the Jets three and one Dolphins extra rest,
Speaker 1: of course, with the TWA drama from last Thursday night
Speaker 1: at the Jets who fall to two and two. Yesterday
Speaker 1: to will remember, was eight of fourteen for one ten
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, one Picks was sacked once before he had
Speaker 1: to leave the game. With that very scary episode on
Speaker 1: Thursday night, Teddy Bridgewater fourteen of twenty three and relief
Speaker 1: for one one touchdown, one pick. He was not sacked
Speaker 1: Tyreek ten for one six he Remember the Dolphins were
Speaker 1: minus two in turnovers against the Bengals last Thursday night.
Speaker 1: That went a long way towards their loss. Jets, as
Speaker 1: we mentioned, win beat the Steelers. They go up to
Speaker 1: two and two the Jets eighties. Six teams have faced
Speaker 1: the double digit fourth quarter deficit in the first four
Speaker 1: games of the season. Only two have gone five hundred
Speaker 1: eight Dolphins and these Jets, ladies and gentlemen. Zack Wilson
Speaker 1: first half six of sixteen ninety one, no touchdowns, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was sacked once. He did catch a touchdown pass though.
Speaker 1: Final stats for him on the game eighteen for thirty
Speaker 1: six to fifty two, one touchdown, two picksie with sack
Speaker 1: ones first game since injuring his since injuring his right
Speaker 1: knee in the preseason opener. And remember again the Jets
Speaker 1: were plus two in turnovers. Uh, they had to, but
Speaker 1: the Steelers had four yesterday. I will say Miami on
Speaker 1: the road at the Jets, and we got to assume
Speaker 1: it's Teddy Bridgewater minus four. I don't quite I sort
Speaker 1: of like your number better. Uh, I kind of liked four.
Speaker 1: I would like thing even like four and a half.
Speaker 1: It's three pretty much everywhere. But I do see three
Speaker 1: with juice on the favorite. I'm gonna open three and
Speaker 1: a half. Let's see what happens. Okay, all right, I
Speaker 1: like it. I think we're all cut up, Brian all
Speaker 1: caught up anyway, whatever I just said. More guessing lines,
Speaker 1: A whole bunch more to get to one. On the
Speaker 1: other side, Week five in the NFL, trying to extract
Speaker 1: value here and our early Look, it's a numbers game
Speaker 1: at Vista, these sports betting nowhere, the numbers told the story.
Speaker 1: The hell is do those idiots will believe in analytics?
Speaker 1: This is a numbers game with skill. I liked our
Speaker 1: number two of the numbers game a Visa the sports
Speaker 1: betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa and app game
Speaker 1: plus I Heart Radio, YouTube TV All Proudley brought you
Speaker 1: by Ben MGM, Nevada Skill, Alexander Bryant or taking for
Speaker 1: Kelly Bidland, Kelly Middland Bidland and Tomorrow and of course
Speaker 1: the star of guessing lines. Christie Andrews, Director Sports book director.
Speaker 1: Here at the South Point Hotel Casino on the tip
Speaker 1: of the strip. So what is this? So you had
Speaker 1: a bad bookmakers had a bad day here yesterday, you
Speaker 1: had a bad day. What is Michael gone to say
Speaker 1: to you today? What does he does? He does he
Speaker 1: bust your chops on this? He can, Yeah, but I
Speaker 1: mean not in a negative voice. Oh my two geniuses,
Speaker 1: you know, me and Jimmie geniuses. What you guys do
Speaker 1: to me, He'll bust my chops. Now, I've seen him
Speaker 1: one time. I'm not getting mad to go like how much?
Speaker 1: All right? So, so Circus Survivor sixty one thirty three
Speaker 1: entries to start the year. We are four weeks in
Speaker 1: twelve hundred, twenty two left. That's an excellent question. I
Speaker 1: did you'd think I'd be smart enough to run the percentage?
Speaker 1: Its basically about twenty percent, right, Yeah, it's basically twenty left.
Speaker 1: We're a core of the way into the season. Please,
Speaker 1: nobody out there say we're at the quarter police. Please
Speaker 1: don't say that. Please don't say it. Someone will someone,
Speaker 1: I'm I'm just getting ahead of it. Somebody's gonna if
Speaker 1: green Bay had lost, whoah, man, I mean, if green
Speaker 1: Bay had lost, we would we would actually, if you
Speaker 1: were still alive, you would actually start to think you
Speaker 1: might win it. That's how we'd be so far down.
Speaker 1: We'd be like five hundred left or six hundred left.
Speaker 1: You'd be like, oh my god, just at the point
Speaker 1: of comparison. So four weeks in twelve twenty two out
Speaker 1: of sixty three last year, and I only have this
Speaker 1: after seven weeks because Joe Pete had just had a
Speaker 1: record of this after seven weeks last year. Remember last
Speaker 1: year it started with four thousand and eight entries. After
Speaker 1: seven weeks last year there was nine hundred and fifty
Speaker 1: one left. So after seven last week, nineteen fifty one.
Speaker 1: After last year, one out of four thousand eighty this year,
Speaker 1: after four weeks twelve twenty two out of sixty three nine.
Speaker 1: There you go, alright, nineteen point nine percent. Now, I
Speaker 1: will say this, just going over these games as we are,
Speaker 1: it looks like this is a bit of a return
Speaker 1: to normalcy this week, meaning there there are some there
Speaker 1: are multiple viable candidates this year, like the last two
Speaker 1: weeks were just mayhem. But of course you gotta watch
Speaker 1: this Thanksgiving and Christmas. I don't know if we're going
Speaker 1: to get there. We might not get there. We'll get
Speaker 1: to Thanksgiving. You think so Thanksgiving. I think we'll get
Speaker 1: to Christmas. I don't know. It could be chopped. We
Speaker 1: could we have a chop before then, could be all right,
Speaker 1: what's next, Brian. We're still in the early window. Yes,
Speaker 1: we're still in the early window. So we have Falcons
Speaker 1: against the Buccaneers. All right, Falcons we briefly talked about.
Speaker 1: They end up winning. They go to two and two.
Speaker 1: They beat the Browns to twenty. Big game on the ground,
Speaker 1: two rushing yards despite getting out gained in total yards.
Speaker 1: As we mentioned, Marcus Mariot ready for this, seven completions
Speaker 1: for nineteen yards. Excuse you, part me seven seven for
Speaker 1: nineteen for a hundred thirty nine yards. Seven forward passes
Speaker 1: in victory completed, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once.
Speaker 1: Tyler Algier ten carries for eighty four. Falcons only had
Speaker 1: one penalty, one flag the entire game that was accepted
Speaker 1: for fifteen yards. That's it. And then there's Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay falls to two and two, and I gotta
Speaker 1: talk about the Bucks with you. They lose badly to
Speaker 1: the Chiefs forty one to thirty one. The opening kickoff
Speaker 1: of the game, Shot White fumbles it alligedly recovers two
Speaker 1: plays later. Mahomes the kelsey for fifteen. It's seven and nothing,
Speaker 1: and Casey was basically off to the races Tom Brady
Speaker 1: and defeat thirty nine of fifty two for three eight
Speaker 1: five three touchdowns note picks. He was sacked once, looking
Speaker 1: as gaunt as ever. Mike Evans eight eight cashes for
Speaker 1: one or three in a touchdown. The Chiefs held the
Speaker 1: ball for thirty eight minutes and thirty eight seconds. Tampa
Speaker 1: had two and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chrissie had a
Speaker 1: grand total love three rushing yards. Yeah, they totally abandoned
Speaker 1: the running game, which is not very Brady like. I
Speaker 1: have to tell you they only had six carries in
Speaker 1: the whole game. I mean they totally abandoned the running game.
Speaker 1: I guess you fall behind and you have been I member.
Speaker 1: A complete abandonment was unbelievable. Now, I will say Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay will still be favorite in this game against the Falcons,
Speaker 1: and I will say minus. I keep coming up with
Speaker 1: four's today, I'll say Tampa Bay minus four? Really, what
Speaker 1: is it? Eight? Yeah? I see some seven and a
Speaker 1: half of mostly eight. Here's me's my thing though, Okay,
Speaker 1: I'm way low on that way. Low power ratings come
Speaker 1: to eight, they do come today. Here's my thing though
Speaker 1: about this game. Tampa Bay's defense was supposed to be,
Speaker 1: you know, the vaunted Tampa Bay defense. They got destroyed,
Speaker 1: just absolutely destroyed by the Chiefs. I don't I mean,
Speaker 1: I guess I kind of like Atlanta getting those points.
Speaker 1: You know, Atlanta is another team, been way better than
Speaker 1: I thought they were going to be. And I think
Speaker 1: it's not a team I want to race the Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, do we give Mario out of credit? Not
Speaker 1: a whole lot his his it was twenty nine something. Ah.
Speaker 1: I think they're well coached though, you know, I think
Speaker 1: all of a sudden they got a good coach. It
Speaker 1: might have just a solid kind of you know, integral
Speaker 1: part of that team. Um My power ratings did come
Speaker 1: to eight. I don't want to throw on Tampa Bay's
Speaker 1: defense because they got chopped up by the best offense
Speaker 1: in the league. We'll get the Kansas City. Um but
Speaker 1: I still think they may have the best defense in
Speaker 1: the league. They just didn't show it last night. Um,
Speaker 1: But I think it's a good number. I mean, I'm
Speaker 1: not sure i'd run to the windows to take a
Speaker 1: land in this game. Yeah, I don't know if I'm sprinting,
Speaker 1: but it seems like a lot to me. I just don't.
Speaker 1: I don't don't think Tampa Bay's all that great, like
Speaker 1: in Survival. Like I'm thinking myself, Okay, what are the
Speaker 1: teams you'd feel real confident in picking. They are not
Speaker 1: one of them. They're not one of them at all.
Speaker 1: All right, I was way off on that. What's next?
Speaker 1: Al Right, Next, we have the Titans at the commanders,
Speaker 1: the Titans at the commodes. Do you know the Commodore
Speaker 1: is Lionel Richie Commodore's you know how they allegedly picked
Speaker 1: their band name. They went to a dictionary, they closed
Speaker 1: their eyes and they you know how you rifle through
Speaker 1: the pages, and then wherever it landed, they put their
Speaker 1: finger on it, and it landed on the Commodorees. And
Speaker 1: they say they came this close to being called the
Speaker 1: Commodes Santas versus the Commodes at the dint uh Tennessee,
Speaker 1: as we mentioned, beats the Colts again. It was off
Speaker 1: turnovers and it was fourteen to nothing before you could
Speaker 1: blink and the Titans were on their way. Tannehill seventeen
Speaker 1: of twenty one for one thirty seven, two touchdowns, no picks.
Speaker 1: He was sacked three times. Derrick Henry twenty two carries
Speaker 1: one fourteen yards, a touchdown, three catches for thirty three.
Speaker 1: They were out gained by Indianapolis three sixty five to
Speaker 1: two forty three. Doesn't matter though, because it were plus
Speaker 1: three in turnovers. But again, brutal clock management. We talked
Speaker 1: about Frank Reich electing to kick a field goal down
Speaker 1: seven late. We talked about horrorball not kicking a field
Speaker 1: goal when he could have taken the lead. How about
Speaker 1: brutal clock management at the end of the half from
Speaker 1: Mike Rabel, Tannehill took a sack. They had no time outs,
Speaker 1: They couldn't get the field goal union on in time
Speaker 1: to add to a to ten lead. In the end,
Speaker 1: it didn't come back to haunt him, but it couldn't have.
Speaker 1: But it could have in the seventeen win. And there's
Speaker 1: the Commanders. Carson Wentz twenty five of forty two for
Speaker 1: one seventy one, touched down, two picks. It was sacked twice.
Speaker 1: Commanders were minus two in turnovers. Versus the Cowboys. They
Speaker 1: had do Cowboys had none then eleven penalties for a
Speaker 1: hundred thirty six yards. Terry McLaurin only caught two passes
Speaker 1: for fifteen yards, the incomparable Terry McLaurin. And you know
Speaker 1: what the real crime is with Washington. They're a dull
Speaker 1: football team, Chrissy. If you're going to stink, at least
Speaker 1: be exciting like the Lions. Oh yeah, Instead, you're just dull.
Speaker 1: By the way, those black jerseys yesterday, Can we be
Speaker 1: a little more imaginative talk about Daniel Slander. He's not
Speaker 1: imaginative On Tennessee's Favorite, right, I'll say I'll split the
Speaker 1: difference between the three and zero Tennessee minus one and
Speaker 1: a half. Well, I think I'm way off on this one.
Speaker 1: And by the way, it's two and a half. I
Speaker 1: see two and a half juice on the favorite. Three
Speaker 1: juice on the dock. I'm gonna open three. My numbers
Speaker 1: came a lot higher. And by the way I was looking,
Speaker 1: you know who I have the two worst teams power
Speaker 1: rating wise in the NFL. You're Washington Commanders and my
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh s wait worse than Carolina. Let me look at
Speaker 1: that one that might have missed that one. For me,
Speaker 1: they're actually the same with Carolina. Caroline is horrible, but
Speaker 1: I'm going to lean to the higher number here. I
Speaker 1: even thought this game should be like four. Commanders are
Speaker 1: just terrible. Wins certainly not the answer, But I think
Speaker 1: the Titans are probably a little better than people think. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I give and I let me double check. I think
Speaker 1: I give the Commanders. I give him one point for
Speaker 1: home field advantage one and that be grudgingly. I love you,
Speaker 1: but I don't even know how you get to a point. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's yeah. I mean I have a couple of guys
Speaker 1: at zero. You see the Eagles. Every time the Eagles
Speaker 1: come to town like they did last week, it is
Speaker 1: overrunning in Phillies uniforms. Yeah, I don't maybe Tennessee, w
Speaker 1: what do you even overrun them? I don't know. It's
Speaker 1: not too far from d C. Not too far. I
Speaker 1: don't know if they traveled them. Yeah, I don't know
Speaker 1: if they traveled. But I think Tennessee is a little underrated.
Speaker 1: Let me go back to the Tampa Bay thing, because
Speaker 1: I'm so far off on that guest. I love like
Speaker 1: I always, you know, one of the things I've said
Speaker 1: for this year. The reason I've done well in my
Speaker 1: picks is I've based everything on preseason convictions so far
Speaker 1: and luckily right. It just so happens that my preseason
Speaker 1: convictions were generally right this year. Often they are not,
Speaker 1: but just this year they happened to be right. Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay is one of them. Were Now I have I
Speaker 1: have changed on right Like I always thought, Okay, well
Speaker 1: they still have this great defense and Tom Brady'll figure
Speaker 1: out a way. I don't know, man, I don't know.
Speaker 1: Like if you if you completely abandon the run, I
Speaker 1: get it, you're behind and you and you think maybe
Speaker 1: that's your philosophy at that point when you fall behind
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, But that seems to me to indicate you
Speaker 1: also have no identity. They had, you know, the the
Speaker 1: guy they have guys banged up, but they had guys
Speaker 1: that were on the field that we're banged up. God
Speaker 1: when a who have been suspended, we're back. So I
Speaker 1: don't know, And they were playing the Chiefs, so maybe
Speaker 1: it just maybe it completely Maybe I should just throw
Speaker 1: out the game. The backtrack of second to they said
Speaker 1: how they completely abandoned the run. One thing I said
Speaker 1: for many, many years. One thing I liked about Brady
Speaker 1: and Peyton Manning, two greatest quarterbacks certainly of that era,
Speaker 1: is that they never did a band in their run.
Speaker 1: Even when they were behind, they didn't have banded. I
Speaker 1: mean they used the judiciously. Obviously two brilliant quarterbacks, but yes,
Speaker 1: said they totally abandoned the run. Does Tom Brady just
Speaker 1: look sad to you but a little bit. You know,
Speaker 1: where's my wife? Where are my kids? We'll come back.
Speaker 1: We're guessing lines, not making fun. I'm just saying looks
Speaker 1: that way. It's a numbers game at Visa the Sports
Speaker 1: Betting Network, the numbers game on Sports Betting Network. The
Speaker 1: NHL season is almost here. In our hockey betting experts
Speaker 1: are ready for all the action in the Visa Hockey
Speaker 1: Season Prep God is available now with strategies and best
Speaker 1: bets for the season ahead. To get into at the
Speaker 1: annalysis from our hockey experts that didn't includes Andrew McNeil
Speaker 1: with predictions for teams and players, win totals, daily betting tips,
Speaker 1: season long trends. To watch those three things every new
Speaker 1: NHL better should know. The guides must have with key
Speaker 1: insights and data for both avid hockey betters and those
Speaker 1: new to the sport. Give yourself an edge of this
Speaker 1: season and get the Visa Hockey Season Prep guy by
Speaker 1: becoming a Visa Pro subscriber today at Visa dot com
Speaker 1: slash subscribe Gil Alexander, Christie Andrews guessing lines for Week
Speaker 1: five in the National Football League. We should mention um
Speaker 1: if you missed any part of guessing lines. Guessing lines
Speaker 1: goes on the beating the book podcast feed just absolutely
Speaker 1: tremendous numbers. Christie. We actually do the show right here
Speaker 1: live and then the numbers on the podcasts are still monster.
Speaker 1: So I'm still blown away how many people knew with
Speaker 1: that s shirt that I had on audience. I was
Speaker 1: shocked because even back in Pittsburgh, most people don't know
Speaker 1: that that's the Slippers, Penn State or pit Uh you know. So,
Speaker 1: I mean it shows you we have a lot of listeners,
Speaker 1: and hopefully many of them back in Pittsburgh. This audience
Speaker 1: hands is dantan as Todd tells everything. By the way,
Speaker 1: the megapod which doesn't air on vicent right. The Megapod
Speaker 1: which I do with Todd Wishnevan, Jeff Parlay every week
Speaker 1: and a rotating guest. Adam Turnoff was the guest last
Speaker 1: week that is on the Beating the Book feed as well.
Speaker 1: And then a Numbers game Tuesday through Friday is on
Speaker 1: a Numbers Game podcast feed. So just know that the
Speaker 1: two football shows aren't beating the book. And then Tuesday
Speaker 1: through Friday on a Numbers game feed. Alright, afternoon, yet
Speaker 1: no nothing last of the morning games that we're gonna
Speaker 1: do today. You have the Texans going down to the Jaguars.
Speaker 1: Did you say Jaguiars? I did say that, yet one
Speaker 1: of them? One of them? Well, this is a potential survivor.
Speaker 1: Pick I guess right. Jacksonville Houston the last winless oh
Speaker 1: three and one zero three and one against the two
Speaker 1: and two jag Wars. Houston Mills in Davis Mills in
Speaker 1: a defeat to the Chargers, even though they gave it
Speaker 1: a run, lost thirty four to twenty four. As we
Speaker 1: discussed earlier, Mills and thirty five for two forty six,
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, picked twice, sacked four times. Damian Pierce at
Speaker 1: A Florida fourteen carries for one thirty one in a touchdown.
Speaker 1: H Texans did have nine penalties for sixty seven yards.
Speaker 1: They had a fourth and one at the charge of
Speaker 1: twenty four. With one oh one left in the second quarter,
Speaker 1: they were down twenty four to seven. They went for
Speaker 1: and Mills got sacked. That led to a final Chargers
Speaker 1: drive in the second half that resulted in a Dustin
Speaker 1: Hopkins thirty seven yard field. Well, that's what gave the
Speaker 1: Chargers their twenty seven to seven lead, their high point
Speaker 1: lead that soon would almost completely evaporate in the second half,
Speaker 1: as we discussed, as Houston got within three before Chargers
Speaker 1: could seal it away, and then Jacksonville, Jacksonville, what do
Speaker 1: you make this? I'm curious what you make of the
Speaker 1: Jaguarser Jaguars lose to the Eagles twenty nine to twenty one,
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence and defeat eleven for twenty three, eleven forward
Speaker 1: passes completed for twenty excuse me, eleven of twenty three
Speaker 1: for one seventy four two to downs, one pick. He
Speaker 1: was sacked four times, two carries for seven yards and
Speaker 1: ready for this, four fumbles lost. He didn't like that weather.
Speaker 1: Four fumbles lost for Trevor Lawrence. Every time he looked up,
Speaker 1: he was fumbling the ball. And then he threw an
Speaker 1: interception to boot Thirteen first downs is all the Jaguars
Speaker 1: had yesterday two dred nineteen total yards against the Eagles.
Speaker 1: They were minus four in turnovers. Again, they had five,
Speaker 1: all from Trevor Lawrence. The Eagles only had one. They
Speaker 1: were out time of possession by Philly thirty fifty one
Speaker 1: to twenty nine. Trevor Lawrences two fumbles lost in the
Speaker 1: second quarter. The first was on a sack that led
Speaker 1: to the Eagles first touchdown. His second one was on
Speaker 1: a sneak that led to the eagles third touchdown. Anyway,
Speaker 1: key play of this game, though, was the pick. Jacksonville
Speaker 1: led fourteen to nothing, then they then they Eagles went
Speaker 1: ahead twenty to fourteen, but Jacksonville had the ball driving
Speaker 1: second and eight at the Philly sixteen yard line, and
Speaker 1: that's when Lawrence was picked by James Bradberry. That led
Speaker 1: to an Eagles field goal drive twenty three to fourteen.
Speaker 1: Another Lawrence fumble on a subsequent drive led to a
Speaker 1: short field and the Philly touchdown twenty fourteen. And then
Speaker 1: with Philly up twenty nine to twenty one. Again, what
Speaker 1: are these coaches doing? Nick Sirianni up eight fourth and
Speaker 1: three at the Jacksonville twenty one two minutes left. Kick
Speaker 1: the field goal, Nope, goes for it, fails bailed out
Speaker 1: by a Trevor Lawrence fumble on the first Jacksonville play
Speaker 1: of the ensuing possession ball game. I say Jacksonville minus
Speaker 1: seven at home against Houston. Yeah, my numbers actually come
Speaker 1: to six and a half. I think we maybe got
Speaker 1: a little ahead of ourselves with Jacksonville. Trevor Lawrence, by
Speaker 1: the way, is thirteen. We can attribute some of that
Speaker 1: to the weather and phill these defense probably had something
Speaker 1: to do with that too. Jeez, I would think it
Speaker 1: would be lower than thirty. Yeah, it could have been
Speaker 1: lower anyway. I see seven with seven with juice on
Speaker 1: the favorite or seven and a half. I even see
Speaker 1: some seven. I'm gonna open seven flat. Let him lay
Speaker 1: it to us. And I was wrong by the way.
Speaker 1: I said the Texans had covered every game they didn't cover. Yes,
Speaker 1: chef forgot it. I kept my mind. I was thinking
Speaker 1: they cut it the three. But the team does play
Speaker 1: hard and they keep it close. And I give Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: I think I give them half a point for home
Speaker 1: field advantage, so not much. So I'm gonna open seven.
Speaker 1: They'll probably lay it to me, and that's okay. I
Speaker 1: don't mind having Houston going for me here in a
Speaker 1: underdog situation. So what do we have so for like
Speaker 1: we had Greenen Bay, Minnesota, Jacksonville are going to be
Speaker 1: big survivor place this coming week if you have them left.
Speaker 1: Of course, a lot of people used green Bay yesterday,
Speaker 1: that's for sure. All right, what's next? They go to
Speaker 1: the afternoon, Yes, we go to the afternoon. We have
Speaker 1: the forty Niners against the Panthers. Alright, forty site unseen.
Speaker 1: They play the Rams tonight. I have the Rams in
Speaker 1: a bet and I have the Rams in circummillions tonight.
Speaker 1: I thought the wrong team was favored guessing lines a
Speaker 1: week ago. So San Francisco at Carolina. So we won't
Speaker 1: talk about San Francisco because they have to play. But
Speaker 1: Caroline loses to the Cardinals. Who we got to talk about.
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield. Baker Mayfield and the one in three Carolina Panthers.
Speaker 1: He was twenty two of thirty six and defeat yesterday
Speaker 1: for one seven, one touchdown, two picks. He was sacked twice.
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is six ft one inches tall at least
Speaker 1: that's what he's listed at. I'd like I'd like to
Speaker 1: stand next to him. I want to see if he's
Speaker 1: six one. He had five passes batted down at the
Speaker 1: line of scrimmage yesterday. He's had an NFL high eleven
Speaker 1: passes batted down this year. By the way, Sam Donald
Speaker 1: eligible to come off injured reserve this week. I just
Speaker 1: want to point that out in case they make a
Speaker 1: quarterback change. Donald is available. Caroline has only touchdown in
Speaker 1: the first fifty five minutes of the game. Came when
Speaker 1: Frankie Luvu intercepted Murray's pass, returned at Kyler's pass, that is,
Speaker 1: and returned at thirty three yards for a touchdown to
Speaker 1: give Carolina seven nothing lead early in the second quarter,
Speaker 1: and that was pretty much their highlight. Christian McCaffrey eight
Speaker 1: carries for twenty seven, nine catches for eighty one in
Speaker 1: a touchdown what all of saiden done. Carolina only had
Speaker 1: eleven first downs against the Cardinals. They only had two
Speaker 1: twenty total yards, forty of which were rushing. They were
Speaker 1: two of ten on third down, They were one of
Speaker 1: three on fourth. There were minus two in turnovers. They
Speaker 1: had three. Cardinals had one and again if you will.
Speaker 1: They were out. Time of possessioned thirty five. There's a
Speaker 1: fourth and one at the Carolina thirty nine, ten fifty
Speaker 1: eight left in the first quarter, scoreless game. McCaffrey was
Speaker 1: stuffed six plays later. Arizona fourth and one at the
Speaker 1: Carolina ten, seven thirty one left. First quarter, ron Dale
Speaker 1: Moore on an end around destroyed by Brian Burns. They
Speaker 1: just kept making errors in the first half, both teams
Speaker 1: up seven and nothing. Arizona botched a fourth down with
Speaker 1: a snap that went way over Kyler Murray's head, resulting
Speaker 1: in an incomplete pass on this on uh you know,
Speaker 1: trying to make something of that play. Four plays later,
Speaker 1: Carolina gave it back on the Mayfield fumble dis change.
Speaker 1: So the first half was just ridiculous. Carolina led at
Speaker 1: the half. Second half, it was all all are Zona
Speaker 1: fourth and twelve with the Carolina thirty six four the
Speaker 1: Panthers ten to ten games six minutes left in the
Speaker 1: third quarter. They had a fake punt that Johnny Hecker
Speaker 1: Heckler completed down field for it would be first down,
Speaker 1: but it took too long. He took too long to
Speaker 1: throw it. Lineman released ineligible receiver downfield penalty negated that
Speaker 1: Panthers just couldn't do anything right. And then fourth and inches,
Speaker 1: and this is when it was over fourth and inches,
Speaker 1: down ten at their own thirty one mayfield and shotgun
Speaker 1: chrissy ball batted out of the air by Zach Allen.
Speaker 1: That was his third past defended Zach Allen. That is
Speaker 1: Matt rule. Here is your Carolina Panthers stat. Everybody. Once again,
Speaker 1: Matt rule is now one in twenty six when apponent
Speaker 1: when the opponents scored seventeen plus points. Let me just
Speaker 1: tell you this while we were doing the megapod the
Speaker 1: other day, because I had never really verified this by
Speaker 1: doing it myself, I just took their word for it
Speaker 1: was one of twenty six. I didn't believe, so I
Speaker 1: went back. It's actually oh and twenty four in his
Speaker 1: last twenty four when the opponents scored seventeen BLUs points.
Speaker 1: It's just I mean, that's the most incredible stat in
Speaker 1: the National Football League. And basically the handicap is if
Speaker 1: you think the opponent's gonna score seventeen, roll with it.
Speaker 1: That's what I did yesterday. By the way, we want
Speaker 1: to get to Arizona. Something else will happen on the show.
Speaker 1: But anyway, Carolina, I mean I put a place holder
Speaker 1: at San Francisco minus four and a half already on
Speaker 1: the road, it's five pretty much everywhere I had this
Speaker 1: number like six and a half. I know San Francisco
Speaker 1: can't score, you know, that's their big problem this here.
Speaker 1: They can't score, but their defense doesn't give up anything. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and I'm kind of like, you'm surprised there's money showing
Speaker 1: on San Francisco. It's really kind of a steam game.
Speaker 1: We talked. We talked about this with Adam schurt Off
Speaker 1: last week on a megapod and with Drew Dinsy here
Speaker 1: on a numbers game. The market is always funny with
Speaker 1: the Niners, always week after week, and Drew even pointed
Speaker 1: it goes it's a year after year. Now it's been
Speaker 1: a couple of years. I don't know why that is
Speaker 1: with the Niners. Yea, I think Shanahan and a lot
Speaker 1: of ways are really smart. Coach. Um is that the
Speaker 1: head coach? Yes? I think that's some thumb things too
Speaker 1: along the way, you know, Um, I see some things
Speaker 1: like slivers of brilliance, I guess something like that. But
Speaker 1: then other times like, I'm not sure what he's doing.
Speaker 1: They really can't score. But that being said, Caroline is bad.
Speaker 1: I'd like it high. Um, I see a solid five.
Speaker 1: I think I'll open five and a half just to
Speaker 1: see if anybody wants a bite on that. But I
Speaker 1: think after the game tonight, especially the Niners do win
Speaker 1: and they are kind of a steam game tonight, I
Speaker 1: think this number goes up. Caroline might be the worst
Speaker 1: team of football very well. Might be. Four more games
Speaker 1: get to, including the prime time coming back the Numbers game.
Speaker 1: Sports Betting Network Football season is in full swing case
Speaker 1: you haven't noticed, and for everything you need to know
Speaker 1: before betting this week, subscribe to Visa and Pro. With
Speaker 1: Vista Pro, you get full access to everything we do,
Speaker 1: including our daily picks at a glance recap of all
Speaker 1: the top plays made by Visa show hosting guests, twenty
Speaker 1: four seven video season prep, including our weekly college and
Speaker 1: pro football matchup guides those cover every game all season long.
Speaker 1: Pro tools like our exclusive bet e splits and pro
Speaker 1: tips updated every hour with actionable insights to up your
Speaker 1: betting game. It's got up on our discounted football special
Speaker 1: and get Visa and Pro access to everything we do
Speaker 1: from now through the Super Bowl for only a hundred
Speaker 1: seventy five dollars or safe if sent off the monthly
Speaker 1: price with an annual subscription and bet Smarter all year long.
Speaker 1: Go to visa dot com slash subscribe for all your
Speaker 1: options to become part of the Sports Betting Network's Gil
Speaker 1: Alexander Christie Andrews is here as well. Who runs the
Speaker 1: South Point sports book Hotel Causino. Who do you guys
Speaker 1: need tonight from a bookmaking perspective, right, you need the rams.
Speaker 1: I'm on your side. I could use that for millions.
Speaker 1: That'll give me to a four and one week. I
Speaker 1: need to bounce back after last week, two and three
Speaker 1: last week kind of. But salt in my game. As
Speaker 1: they say, it's hard. I mean somebody's gonna picked seventies
Speaker 1: some percent. You know that's a hard it. It is hard,
Speaker 1: and it is like you look at the way these
Speaker 1: games sorry I always call them play go right, but
Speaker 1: you look at it. You to win one of these contests,
Speaker 1: let's just say, to win, you've got to have all
Speaker 1: the coin like all the coin flip games go your way,
Speaker 1: just because somebody is going to do that. Somebody if
Speaker 1: you have a big enough sample size of people of entries,
Speaker 1: it's going to happen just randomly, mathematically, to one of them.
Speaker 1: Now that the funny thing is is that that person
Speaker 1: who ends up winning the contest thinks it's them. Yeah. Yeah,
Speaker 1: And I vow to you, if I ever won this contest,
Speaker 1: I would be the first person to say it ain't me.
Speaker 1: Try to I'll tell this story real quick. I had
Speaker 1: a statistics professor in college, and he told us about
Speaker 1: his statistics professor said, I want your thing is. I
Speaker 1: want you to flip the coin five times and chart
Speaker 1: how many times comes up heads your tails, and it's
Speaker 1: gonna be five percent of your grade. And everybody would
Speaker 1: come in and he goes, okay, y'all got fs okay
Speaker 1: because nobody did it five hundred times, because I could
Speaker 1: tell by all your random two heads a tail, then
Speaker 1: three tails, and nobody. Somebody's gonna have like heads in
Speaker 1: a row. Somebody's gonna and not want of you did that.
Speaker 1: So you all got enough for that, so he told us,
Speaker 1: and I always remember that, Yeah, something crazy is gonna happen.
Speaker 1: That's just the way life works. Now, Now there were
Speaker 1: those who have won the contest that would argue, no, uh,
Speaker 1: the coin flips are only the sixty of them is
Speaker 1: a good handicap. I would put that percentage lower in
Speaker 1: the NFL, like I really would. If somebody's gonna get
Speaker 1: thirteen heads in a row, Yes, somebody's gonna do it.
Speaker 1: But we still fight the good fight and weak a week.
Speaker 1: We still look to make money, and so far, so good.
Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I'll feel differently by the end
Speaker 1: of the year. Maybe, but they will be like it
Speaker 1: is me. It's absolutely me. You know. I've talked to
Speaker 1: guys that will even tell if you're a sixty percent handicapper,
Speaker 1: you're not taking enough chances like that. Fifty eight percent
Speaker 1: is like the sweet spot because you're not taking enough
Speaker 1: chances if you're only a sixty percent. That's one guy's theory.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's true up, but that's one.
Speaker 1: Let's go to uh final afternoon games. Yep. So the
Speaker 1: next game is going to be Cowboys versus the Rams.
Speaker 1: Cowboys versus the Rams. Cowboys beat the Commanders yesterday. Well,
Speaker 1: it used to be the greatest rivalry in sports. Chrissie
Speaker 1: Cowboys in Washington, and not so much that changed the
Speaker 1: whole alignment of the NFL. You know that to keep
Speaker 1: that as a rivalry. Twice a year, we used to
Speaker 1: you're write it did, because that's exactly right. When they
Speaker 1: shifted the divisions, they had to keep Dallas in Washington together,
Speaker 1: keep Dallas in the East, which Texas is actually famous for.
Speaker 1: This just did. If you look at a map, not
Speaker 1: in the east. Cooper Rush fifteen twenty seven yesterday against
Speaker 1: Washington to two touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked once. See
Speaker 1: d lamb a touchdown, fifteen first downs. It's all Dallas had.
Speaker 1: That's all they needed. Two seventy nine total yards all
Speaker 1: they had. That's all they needed because they were plus
Speaker 1: two in turnovers. Washington had too. They had none. Oh,
Speaker 1: by the way, know who wants to play next week?
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott does he wants to We'll see. Jerry been bad,
Speaker 1: Jerry Jones effusive. It is praised for Cooper Rush yesterday.
Speaker 1: It's been good. They're at the Rams that as we mentioned,
Speaker 1: the Rams haven't played yet. Rams play the Niners tonight.
Speaker 1: I will say the Rams will be you know, placeholders,
Speaker 1: six point favorites in this game against Dallas. I made
Speaker 1: it exactly six, but the numbers four and a half,
Speaker 1: I see a five and a half. Uh, I see
Speaker 1: five out there. I was gonna open five. Um. You know,
Speaker 1: obviously we got to see what happens tonight. You know,
Speaker 1: I'm still getting on my injury report, and I don't
Speaker 1: know how Fisher it is. The doc is out for
Speaker 1: this week, probably so um. You know again, I don't know,
Speaker 1: but I think I probably have a Cowboys slightly underrated
Speaker 1: though you know they're they're they're pretty good even without
Speaker 1: dak Um. I think five's okay. Though, like I said,
Speaker 1: my power ratings come to six, I'm gonna use five. There.
Speaker 1: I that's that's my Washington. It's the most significant. Next,
Speaker 1: al right, next we have the Eagles at the Cardinals.
Speaker 1: Catch you off guard there, Brian, Okay, a little bit,
Speaker 1: all right? Eagles four and oh last remaining undefeated. Jalen
Speaker 1: Hurts and victory. Sixteen of twenty five two oh four,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, one pick. He was stacked twice, sixteen carries,
Speaker 1: thirty eight yards of a touchdown, Miles Sanders seven for
Speaker 1: one thirty four and two touchdowns. A. J. Brown five
Speaker 1: catches for nine. Philly held Jacksonville as we mentioned the
Speaker 1: thirteen first downs and two nineteen total yards and they
Speaker 1: were plus four and turnovers Jacksonville had five, all from
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. It's really all you need to know. Even
Speaker 1: though they spotted Jacksonville fourteen points. Boy, Philly might really
Speaker 1: be the real deal. The out time of possession Jacksonville
Speaker 1: fifty one to twenty nine. Philly had a fourth and
Speaker 1: three at the Jacksonville forty down fourteen and nothing, one
Speaker 1: twenty one left in the first quarter, in complete pass
Speaker 1: from Hurts, and you're like, wow, Jacksonville might run away
Speaker 1: with this. Nope, fourth and goal to Jacksonville three n
Speaker 1: twenty left in the second quarter, Down fourteen to nothing,
Speaker 1: Philly goes forts scores on a Hurts run, fourteen to seven,
Speaker 1: fourth and one at the Jacksonville twelve, one ten left
Speaker 1: in the second quarter. By this time, it was already
Speaker 1: fourteen to fourteen. Hurts converts two plays later, twenty to fourteen.
Speaker 1: They missed an extra point, and on and on. You
Speaker 1: know how to end up, and again the strange decision
Speaker 1: up eight to go for it instead of kicking a
Speaker 1: chip shot field goal to salt the game away, and
Speaker 1: the Eagles failed late up but no matter because Drevor
Speaker 1: Lawrence fumbles the ball in the first play and then
Speaker 1: there's the Arizona Cardinals hit it. Cardinals overcame another lackluster
Speaker 1: first half. They rallied with sixteen fourth quarter points to
Speaker 1: beat the Carolina Panthers. As we mentioned twenty six to
Speaker 1: sixteen Arizon, it was one of them. We had the
Speaker 1: chargess earlier with the Cardinals. Right now, Arizona has been
Speaker 1: outscored sixty six to sixteen in the first half this season.
Speaker 1: It's like they don't wake up till the second half.
Speaker 1: It's like, guys, the game's going on. It's almost like
Speaker 1: the coach should have a better plan. It's almost like
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury might be a problem. Kyler Murray twenty three
Speaker 1: thirty two for two oh seven, two touchdowns, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was sacked once, twelve for twenty six on the
Speaker 1: ground and a touchdown. Markis Hollywood Brown. Can I just
Speaker 1: raise my hand and say he's been a lot better
Speaker 1: than I imagined because he got that monster contract. Six
Speaker 1: for eighty eight in a touchdown Arizona Health Caroline. As
Speaker 1: we mentioned, to eleven first downs, just two total yards,
Speaker 1: only forty on the ground, and they were plus two
Speaker 1: in turnovers, Carolina had three. They only had one to
Speaker 1: twenty five advantage in time of possession for Arizona. And
Speaker 1: then there was a lot being made of the choice
Speaker 1: by the Cardinals. They were up sixteen, they were up
Speaker 1: twenty six to ten, and they went for two, which
Speaker 1: made no sense on the surface. But I think we
Speaker 1: all have to assume that Matt Prater was too injured
Speaker 1: at that point to kick an extra point. Maybe that's
Speaker 1: what I heard, because I was the same as you.
Speaker 1: That makes absolutely zero sense unless you're kicker, can't kick. Yeah,
Speaker 1: his hip was hurting, and I guess it was so
Speaker 1: bad that one of their running backs, you know, Benjamin,
Speaker 1: had to kick off a couple of times. So Prator
Speaker 1: had been kicking field goals. But then that made no
Speaker 1: sense whatsoever at that point. So I guess on that
Speaker 1: will give experience the benefit of the doubt, even as
Speaker 1: much as I know I have to give the benefit
Speaker 1: of the doubt. I mean between Sirianni not kicking the
Speaker 1: field goal late and keeping the game at eight not
Speaker 1: converting the fourth down, between hardball deciding not to kick
Speaker 1: the field goal for the for the Ravens at a
Speaker 1: tie game with just over four minutes left at the
Speaker 1: two yard line, and then Riich deciding to kick the
Speaker 1: field goal with with just with down seven with two
Speaker 1: minutes left in the game, and then the Vikings were
Speaker 1: just a slew of blunders. I mean, I don't, I don't.
Speaker 1: I don't think this ranks because I think it was
Speaker 1: it had I want to put Sirianni, by the way,
Speaker 1: at the top of that least. I don't stand. I mean,
Speaker 1: how do you do that just on a on a
Speaker 1: macro level with all us By the way, I have
Speaker 1: to guess the line here right? Uh? Philly minus four
Speaker 1: and a half on the road at Arizona, Oh man,
Speaker 1: you're low. Um really it's five five and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open six. I give Arizona zero for home
Speaker 1: field advantage. They can't win at home, you know, a zero.
Speaker 1: And by the way I looked, Philly, I now have
Speaker 1: my third ranked team behind the number one Kansas City,
Speaker 1: number two, Phillies up to number three. That was my
Speaker 1: power rankings last week. It was the same one, two, three,
Speaker 1: And by the way, it doesn't change after this, yea,
Speaker 1: So I mean I'm making Philly six, you know, as
Speaker 1: as bad as I think Sirianni's blunder was. Kingsbury has
Speaker 1: a whole litany of just I'm supporting him on the
Speaker 1: extra point kick. But I think Philly is just that
Speaker 1: much better than Arizona. Your take on Kyler Murray remains
Speaker 1: the same. Yes, best highlight reel in the NFL doesn't
Speaker 1: win a lot of games. We are we going a
Speaker 1: little crazy. I'm Philly given six on the roads Arizona.
Speaker 1: Maybe you know, listen, there will be some point where
Speaker 1: the worm turns right. This could be it, you know,
Speaker 1: That's that's what makes the NFL what it is today.
Speaker 1: It's also one of those where I could see myself
Speaker 1: playing Arizona in the contest and then cut to a
Speaker 1: shot of me like two drives into the game, and
Speaker 1: I'm like, what have I done? This is the stupidest
Speaker 1: thing I ever did. Alright, Um, Sunday night, Monday Night.
Speaker 1: Still to come to Week five in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: I think I like New England best so far, and
Speaker 1: I kind of like Arizona there No, I even not
Speaker 1: want to probably Arizona Sunday Night, Monday Night. On the
Speaker 1: other side, it's a numbers game at Visa these sports
Speaker 1: Betting Network skill Alexander, A pro tip of the hour
Speaker 1: you said something earlier, You've said it many many times
Speaker 1: on the show. Has to do with your your statement.
Speaker 1: It's a bingo thing for guessing lines, diminishing returns on
Speaker 1: big favorites. What do you mean by that's just in
Speaker 1: the NFL. You know, you may like my power ratings
Speaker 1: come to seventeen rolls over the Steelers, but seventeen is
Speaker 1: not a good number just because just watch NFL games
Speaker 1: like yesterday is a great example. How many games were
Speaker 1: within one score in the fourth quarter. It's just the
Speaker 1: way in the NFL is college. It doesn't apply because
Speaker 1: teams can win by forty and fifty, but it just
Speaker 1: doesn't happen. In the NFL. Teams usually keep it fairly close.
Speaker 1: If you have a much superior team, they lay off
Speaker 1: the gas late and you know, and that's all the
Speaker 1: backdoor covers. Seems basic, but that's our pro tip of
Speaker 1: the hour. Good baseline to know in the NFL. That's
Speaker 1: our pro tip for the hour. We do one every hour,
Speaker 1: of course on a visa across every show, so that
Speaker 1: means at least twenty every single day. I've done the
Speaker 1: math for you. They're all available for Visa Pro subscribers
Speaker 1: only at Visa dot com, where you can store them
Speaker 1: by sport and by show. We get tweets, we get texts.
Speaker 1: These are texts. The beauty of beauty of the show
Speaker 1: also is that people who we have on the show
Speaker 1: listen to it. At Telly. Joe Peta chimes in with
Speaker 1: the text. Joe Peter puts it in and he says
Speaker 1: Eagles favored by six at Arizona, which is almost certainly
Speaker 1: the smallest favorite. They will be on until Christmas in Dallas.
Speaker 1: Their schedule in October and in November now looks like
Speaker 1: John Thompson was the a d Hey, you took a
Speaker 1: shot at Georgetown. I really shouldn't ron Burgery through his street.
Speaker 1: By the way, Joe Pete also would like me to say,
Speaker 1: which I did with Vinnie with the Hall of Famer
Speaker 1: Christie Andrews. That's the old Joe buck how he every
Speaker 1: time introducing everym with the Hall of Famer Troy with
Speaker 1: the Hall of Famer Christie Andrews. Of course, in case
Speaker 1: you missed it, was inducted into the Sports Betting Hall
Speaker 1: of Fames. You mentioned Vinny Vinnie was in the office yesterday.
Speaker 1: It's like fifteen minutes into the day. I looked at me,
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a bad day, and I don't think
Speaker 1: we can get out of it. He just kind of
Speaker 1: you guys. You guys walk around with your yellow blazers
Speaker 1: when you yeah, next time, somebody asked me from my resume,
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna bring out the trophy. Here's this is.
Speaker 1: I don't ever need a resume again. By the way,
Speaker 1: this is from last Vegas, Chris. This could be the
Speaker 1: other appro tip. By the way, Brian, he said. My
Speaker 1: belief fifty percent of results are a waste of time
Speaker 1: to handicap results don't match box score. Handicap goal is
Speaker 1: to win seventy of the remaining fifty percent. Contests require
Speaker 1: a very high rate of toss ups to go your way.
Speaker 1: Always have to have luck on your side. That is
Speaker 1: multiple contest winner Chris. He is a smart, smart man.
Speaker 1: He show is and I like him too. He's a
Speaker 1: good guy. He's really a good guy. One of the
Speaker 1: good guys in this business. We love Chris. Chris was
Speaker 1: kind enough to join us on a numbers game in
Speaker 1: person many times this summer, justin we would just talk
Speaker 1: about here here, here's his tweets, will just riff on these.
Speaker 1: So it's always great to have him. Good guy, smart
Speaker 1: Sunday night and Monday night. Brian, what's next? Al Right,
Speaker 1: we have a real good one. Bengals at the Ravens.
Speaker 1: Bengals at the Ravens Bengals extra rest. They won that
Speaker 1: Thursday night game against the Dolphins. Burrow was twenty of
Speaker 1: thirty one for two eighties, seven two touchdowns, no picks.
Speaker 1: He was sacked once, always running for his life though
Speaker 1: Tee Higgins seven for to touchdown. The Bengals, if you
Speaker 1: recall against the Dolphins, were plus two and turnovers and
Speaker 1: then there was bad them more. Yesterday we talked about
Speaker 1: how they squandered the twenty three lead. That's two games
Speaker 1: now against the Dolphins and against the Bills where the
Speaker 1: Ravens are at home looking to win, coasting in and
Speaker 1: then they just botch it. Ah Lamar Jackson twenty of
Speaker 1: twenty nine yesterday for one, one touchdown, two picks. He
Speaker 1: was sacked twice. Eleven carries for seventy three yards. They
Speaker 1: had a fourth and inches of the Baltimore thirty four
Speaker 1: with one thirty five left and third quarter, twenty to
Speaker 1: twenty game, and after Lamar was ruled short on the
Speaker 1: previous play on third down, Lamar converted it on the sneak,
Speaker 1: but that drive ended in a Jordan Poyer pick as well.
Speaker 1: That was the first of two consecutive drives, of course,
Speaker 1: the second one being the famous one in the end
Speaker 1: zone when John Harbor decided not to kick the field
Speaker 1: goal and keep that game at twenty to twenty. Um
Speaker 1: Jordan Poyer two interceptions on two consecutive drives, thirty eight
Speaker 1: ten to fifty advantage in time of possession didn't matter,
Speaker 1: didn't matter again. And the last sequence, in case you
Speaker 1: missed it earlier, if you saw Marcus Peters going crazy
Speaker 1: on the sidelines, the entire Ravens defense had had the
Speaker 1: understanding that they were not going to tackle the running
Speaker 1: back and they were gonna allow the Bills to score
Speaker 1: because at that point, with only one time out, it
Speaker 1: was their only way of winning that football game. But
Speaker 1: apparently Odafe oh Wait didn't get the memo, and so
Speaker 1: the Ravens defense and Marcus Peters loses his mind and
Speaker 1: Baltimore squanders it. So it is a Division game two
Speaker 1: two and two teams, the Bengals at the Ravens. I
Speaker 1: will say, I don't know why I keep coming up
Speaker 1: four this week. I'm all fource for me. Ravens minus four,
Speaker 1: you know, I like three a lot better. Um, that's
Speaker 1: what That's what I'm gonna open. And it's three with
Speaker 1: juice on the favorite. So between our two numbers, UM,
Speaker 1: Cincinnati right now. I mean they were big steam this
Speaker 1: last week and all the Wise guys, I mean not
Speaker 1: just steam from you know, just anybody, but the Wise
Speaker 1: guys really were big on on betting on Cincinnati. And
Speaker 1: I'm you know, I've talked about it before. They addressed
Speaker 1: their offensive line problems, but I didn't think they solved them. Well,
Speaker 1: they may have solved them this last week. Burrow was
Speaker 1: very well protected and had a really good game. I've
Speaker 1: had my doubts about the Ravens coming into this year.
Speaker 1: A matter of fact, couple I don't know if I
Speaker 1: said it on this show, may have said it on
Speaker 1: some other shows. I thought there's one disappointing team this year.
Speaker 1: I thought it was gonna be the Ravens, and uh,
Speaker 1: you know, I think Jackson is great, but he didn't
Speaker 1: have a great game. This straight didn't have a great
Speaker 1: year last year, and I think the defense probably isn't
Speaker 1: as good as it's been in the last couple of years.
Speaker 1: Um defense. I kind of like the Bengals in this game.
Speaker 1: I think that they may have solved some of their issues,
Speaker 1: which was their offensive line, which I said they addressed
Speaker 1: that they didn't solve it. Maybe they have solved it.
Speaker 1: I'm not sure, but I kind of like the Bengals
Speaker 1: in this spot this. I asked that question to make
Speaker 1: Apot every week, what's the game you want? No part
Speaker 1: of this could be it just because the the range
Speaker 1: of outcomes I could see being really wide. I can
Speaker 1: see that too, but I had I kind of like
Speaker 1: the Bengals here, all right? And then Monday night, what
Speaker 1: do we have? Brian? Alright, last game on the board,
Speaker 1: Raiders first A Chiefs. The Raiders hit it. Raiders were
Speaker 1: oh and three, having lost all three other games by
Speaker 1: combined thirteen points. They get off the schnide with that
Speaker 1: win over the Broncos yesterday. Derek carrteight no touchdowns, no picks,
Speaker 1: sack twice, seven carries for forty yards. Josh Jacobs four
Speaker 1: and two touchdowns. Balling shot calling Sorry, Grizzy apologized. Davante
Speaker 1: Adams nine catches for one on one after the Raiders
Speaker 1: went up ten to seven early the second quarter. Here's
Speaker 1: another one. Just list the coaches who made like just
Speaker 1: bizarro decisions. The Raiders are up ten to seven early
Speaker 1: second quarter, They're like, what's on side? Kick it that failed?
Speaker 1: Seven plays later it was ten to ten on Brandon
Speaker 1: mcmannus twenty eight yard field goal. Raiders overcame, though, And
Speaker 1: then there's Kansas City, and I must admit, once again,
Speaker 1: I was so fixated on the Braves Mets game last
Speaker 1: night that I was almost happy the Chiefs Bucks game
Speaker 1: was a blow up. It was just like the Bucks
Speaker 1: had no chance catching him all day because I didn't
Speaker 1: have to pay collect complete attention. But Patrick Mahomes, in
Speaker 1: case you missed it, twenty three or thirty seven for
Speaker 1: two nine, three touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked three times,
Speaker 1: four carries for thirty four yards. He reaches twenty thousand
Speaker 1: passing yards faster than anyone else in the history of
Speaker 1: the NFL. And really, what will stand out from yesterday's
Speaker 1: game is that dude will flip the ball around anywhere
Speaker 1: and in any motion. Possible that whirling dervish one for
Speaker 1: the touchdown to Edwards alone. Not in the m v
Speaker 1: P conversation. We just take it for granted. He's going
Speaker 1: to be fantastic every week. It's such a great point.
Speaker 1: He's like, he's already reached the lebron stage. Well, you
Speaker 1: could be the MVP. By the way, Barry this how sorry?
Speaker 1: Never mind the fact. How good is he that he's
Speaker 1: still won seven even though he was in that conversation,
Speaker 1: He's still won seven because it was that good. They
Speaker 1: couldn't help themselves. But Mahomes, to your point, is right.
Speaker 1: Mahomes is like he's come on, he's the best player
Speaker 1: in football. They just execute that offense. I mean really,
Speaker 1: Andy Reid has a lot to do with it. The
Speaker 1: people around him have a lot to do with it.
Speaker 1: But they execute the offense and he's the trigger guy,
Speaker 1: no doubt about it. Edwards a layer was nine two
Speaker 1: and a touchdown on the ground, one catch for the
Speaker 1: two yards the play that I was talking about for
Speaker 1: another touchdown Kelsey to touchdown. By the way, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: were up twenty one to ten, fourth and one at
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay thirty four. Edwards a layer wide open
Speaker 1: in the flat. He dropped. It didn't matter because the
Speaker 1: next play Brady was strip sacked by Lagarius Sneed. Chris
Speaker 1: Jones recovered it. Six plays later, Noah Gray from under
Speaker 1: center to ten Andy Reid pulling out all the stops.
Speaker 1: He's like, watch this, We'll put our tight end under center.
Speaker 1: Twelve of sixteen on third down for the Chiefs. That's
Speaker 1: all you need know. Tampa Bay couldn't get him off
Speaker 1: the field. Thirty twenty two time a possession advantage Kansas
Speaker 1: City against the Raiders at Kansas City. Kansas City by
Speaker 1: seven and a half. I'll give him the hook. That's
Speaker 1: exactly what I made it. It's there's a seven, and
Speaker 1: there's a couple of sevens out there, but mostly seven
Speaker 1: and juice on the favorite couple of seven halfs. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna open seven half. I know we don't have a
Speaker 1: lot of time left. Two big moves since we started
Speaker 1: the show. One on the Denver Broncos. It looks like
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor maybe out for the Colts, and I see
Speaker 1: a lot of money showing up for the New Orleans States.
Speaker 1: I'm thinking maybe Jamis Winston is back in the line
Speaker 1: of But two big moves since we started the show. Wow,
Speaker 1: the Jonathan Taylor thing, Thursday game. They already bad season,
Speaker 1: could get worse quick. We'll see. We've done all we
Speaker 1: could do. Guessines Week five. Thank you, Christie has always
Speaker 1: appreciated my pleasure. Brian or Tagan, thank you. Thank you,
Speaker 1: Kevy keb with the Survivor drops. Let's go, Braves, get
Speaker 1: it done tonight. It's Vasa these sports betting network enjoy