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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pop all.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the kick as block the college football world Stundar,

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and Bob the latter of

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Speaker 3: turn a counter on the aside.

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Speaker 4: Don't you believe I'm not.

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Speaker 3: Gonna table off the field to night. It's not the

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Speaker 3: size of the dog in the fight. It's the size

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Speaker 3: of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 4: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus Podcast. This is the Conference Championship Weekend college football

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Speaker 4: betting Preview. I'm stucky, joining me as always a BBCFOOW

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Speaker 4: co host Colin Wilson. Colin a lot to get to today.

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Speaker 4: We're going to go through all nine conference championship games.

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Speaker 4: No time to spare, so let's just dive right in.

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Speaker 4: I don't even care how you're doing.

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Speaker 2: What everybody should be doing. We should be getting napps

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Speaker 2: because once the bowl games are announced and the point

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Speaker 2: spreads are out, it's transfer portal. You're going to do

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Speaker 2: your tracker. You're your transfer portal tracker. We're going to

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Speaker 2: have to keep up with news on every single bowl team.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be an absolute mess.

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Speaker 4: Pen You know what, just because I'm a glutton for

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Speaker 4: punishment and love you guys so much. Well, we're going

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Speaker 4: to do a recap episode this weekend and we'll open

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Speaker 4: the voice notp for one final weekend. So if you

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Speaker 4: want to yell at us one final time, nine to

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Speaker 4: five to nine bad people. Let's dive right in to

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Speaker 4: the conference championships. Let's start. We'll go on chronological order.

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Speaker 4: Friday night seven, game You's done on CBS Sports Network,

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Speaker 4: Western Kentucky at Jacksonville.

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Speaker 1: State, Conference USA.

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Speaker 4: This is a rematch of last weekend, and for what

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Speaker 4: it's worth, rematches in conference championship games.

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Speaker 5: We have a.

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Speaker 4: Couple this weekend. MLB Boise State, Ohio, Miami, Ohio, Georgia,

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Speaker 4: Texas historically rematches the conference championship games. No edge seems

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Speaker 4: to be odsmakers do a good job of pricing in

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Speaker 4: any revenge or adjustment angle thirty three and thirty three

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Speaker 4: against the spread. But the team that lost the first

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Speaker 4: meeting has sixty seven percent of them have improved their

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Speaker 4: scoring margin from the first meeting by an average of

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Speaker 4: about a touchdown per game. So there does seem to

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Speaker 4: be some signal that the team that lost, which makes

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Speaker 4: some sense, would make some adjustments. On this case, Jack

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Speaker 4: Jacksonville State lost last weekend by one on a fifty

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Speaker 4: yard field. Go Westcnentucky is a pretty good kicker in

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Speaker 4: Karnall and jack Vill State didn't have a lot to

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Speaker 4: play for. They actually didn't have anything to play for.

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Speaker 4: They knew at the time they were going to host

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Speaker 4: this game. And the big news here in the news

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Speaker 4: to watch is that their quarterback Puff got banged up

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Speaker 4: in that game and he I mean, it's a big

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Speaker 4: difference I think between him and Tyler Huffin and logan' smothers.

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Speaker 5: I was watching that game. I had some money on

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Speaker 5: Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 4: They you know, he hurt his ankle, but I think

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Speaker 4: part of it was precautionary because they weren't playing for anything.

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Speaker 4: He went to the tent, but he looked okay. They

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Speaker 4: say he's limited, he's gonna be a gain time decision.

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Speaker 4: I'm operating under the assumption that he's going to be okay,

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Speaker 4: and because of that, I like the over. So I

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Speaker 4: bet this over fifty seven in the half. As right now,

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Speaker 4: it's where the total sits. Jacksonville State's a five point favorite.

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Speaker 4: The Western Kentucky offense a little down swing late in

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Speaker 4: the year. Not really sure what happened, so I'm not

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Speaker 4: I think it's so. I'm just chalking it up to

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Speaker 4: just some short term variance and they lost River Helms.

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Speaker 4: He wasn't that important. Everything other than that, they're fully healthy.

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Speaker 4: But when I look at this matchup number one then

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Speaker 4: number I mean, I'm I think that this should be

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Speaker 4: closer to sixty two sixty three, which is where I

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Speaker 4: closed at last week in Jacksonville State.

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Speaker 5: Number one.

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Speaker 4: They pulled Hoff when he got hurt. They weren't showing much.

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Speaker 4: They were just running it straight ahead. Now that still

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Speaker 4: works against Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 5: Can't defend the run.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they're one hundred and seventeenth rush sucess, right

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Speaker 4: outside the top underd ePaper rush. Their linebackers are bad,

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Speaker 4: their d line could be pushed around. They're one hundred

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Speaker 4: and eight and third down day, so Jacksonville State's only

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Speaker 4: nine to twenty on fourth down. There's some positive aggression

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Speaker 4: coming there because I think they're gonna be ab to

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Speaker 4: get a push. They can run the ball. They're really

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Speaker 4: good running team. Western Tucky's strength is in their secondary.

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Speaker 4: Although Upton Stout, who's like their pro prospect, he got

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Speaker 4: hurt last game. Not sure he plays in the slot

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Speaker 4: for them. He's really good against the run too, so

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Speaker 4: if he's out, that hurts. So I think I think

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Speaker 4: Jacksvill State's Ben be able to run the ball that will.

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Speaker 4: I think Huff will be okay if they'll feed start

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Speaker 4: and you know, while their pass catchers aren't great, I

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Speaker 4: don't they're not going to need them much yet. I

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Speaker 4: think they're going to run up and down the field

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Speaker 4: on the other side of the ball. Jacksonville State they don't.

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Speaker 4: They're not great in coverage, they don't have a great

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Speaker 4: pass rush. They give up a ton of pass explosives.

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Speaker 4: I think Western Kentucky can take advantage of. The question

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Speaker 4: is in Western Kentucky finished in the red zone. That's

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Speaker 4: definitely a concern with their type of offense. But I

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Speaker 4: think that they'll move the ball through the air and

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Speaker 4: Jackson Jacksonville State Nuit's got a little beat up last week.

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Speaker 4: They played ninety snaps so and onst we Lucky moved

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Speaker 4: the ball, they just couldn't finish drives. So my only

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Speaker 4: concern about this over, and I just think we're getting

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Speaker 4: some value because of how the score what the score

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Speaker 4: was last week. It ended up being nineteen seventeen, but

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Speaker 4: a lot of their offensive output for both teams came

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Speaker 4: against like the bottom of the barrel, and the competition,

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Speaker 4: to say in the bottom of the barrel is bad,

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Speaker 4: and both their strength of scutters around one thirtieth. But

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Speaker 4: you know, since I make this total where it closed

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Speaker 4: that last week, I'm on the over. I think you

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Speaker 4: like a side here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you have a decision to make whether

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Speaker 2: you're going to back the Jacksonville side or the Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: team total over because I don't consider this a rematch.

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Speaker 2: Whether Tyler Huff was hurt or not, bringing Logan smothers.

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Speaker 2: It was the first drive in the second half Tyler

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Speaker 2: Huff went out that essentially ended Jacksonville State's whole purpose

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Speaker 2: in the game. Tray Stewart was limited to just twenty

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Speaker 2: seven carries in the game. I'm sorry he ended with

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Speaker 2: twenty carries in the game. He generally has like thirty

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Speaker 2: this game. Oh yeah, he's he's had he could get

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Speaker 2: up to thirty five. I mean he only played thirty

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Speaker 2: three snaps, He only had twenty carries. He was not

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Speaker 2: a factor in this game. He generally averages about fifty

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Speaker 2: snaps per game on the offense. They didn't use him

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Speaker 2: at all, and when him and Tyler Huff get going

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Speaker 2: on the ground, it is just a spectacle. It's a

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Speaker 2: light show. And absolutely Western Kentucky's defense is not going

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Speaker 2: to be able to handle any of that. Solo. To

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Speaker 2: say this, knowing that Jacksonville State purposely took out their

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Speaker 2: most skilled players on offense, that just create absolute burning

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Speaker 2: highlight reels on the ground. Jacksonville State still had the

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Speaker 2: postgame win expectancy of sixty three percent in that game,

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Speaker 2: like they didn't really lose the game in the box

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Speaker 2: score they had.

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Speaker 5: And they were just being completely vanilla.

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Speaker 2: Completely vanilla and averaged a half yard more overall yards

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Speaker 2: per play. I can't make a case like why. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I think the only narrative that's hanging out there is

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Speaker 2: that rich Rod's getting calls from West Virginia perdue North

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Speaker 2: Carolina UCF like he won't admit it. But I don't

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Speaker 2: think that affects this game whatsoever. I think they are

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Speaker 2: dialed in, locked in. I think maybe they were, you know,

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Speaker 2: sending out proxies last week to find out what Western

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Speaker 2: Kentucky ultimately wants to do in this game in the championship.

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Speaker 2: I think it was just such a horrible I had

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Speaker 2: great victory by Western Kentucky and that fifty yard kick

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Speaker 2: there at the end, but I just think it's going

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Speaker 2: to be similar results. I think Caden belt Camp is

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Speaker 2: going to get his three hundred is twenty eight for

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Speaker 2: forty seven last week, just one TD. They were horrible

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Speaker 2: in offensive finishing drives. They had twenty two first downs

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Speaker 2: in the game, but they only averaged two point six

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Speaker 2: points on scoring opportunities. That's a drive that goes past

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Speaker 2: the forty four yard line, So yeah.

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Speaker 4: That's a problem for them with the field shrinks. They're

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Speaker 4: also really bad in short down situations like it, so

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Speaker 4: they're just that concerns me a bit, But I think

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Speaker 4: they can did enough explosives to get me enough points

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Speaker 4: to put this over.

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Speaker 5: But you think you like Jacksonville State on the side, right, yeah?

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Speaker 2: I would. I like Jacksonville State on the side. I

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Speaker 2: got three and a half. I think it's gonna come

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Speaker 2: down a couple books back down to four. I think

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Speaker 2: that's perfectly. That's where I said it. I think that's

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Speaker 2: where you'd want to buy it. And if you don't

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Speaker 2: like that, and if you're uncomfortable that, I think that

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Speaker 2: Western Kentucky can actually get something going here. In a shootout,

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Speaker 2: which Jacksonville State sometimes falls into, I mean their defense

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Speaker 2: doesn't produce a pass rush. I would take the Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: State team total over if you're not comfortable with the

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State side, all right, Moving onto the Mountain.

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Speaker 1: West, the Mountain West Conference, rocking down.

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Speaker 4: Eight pm Eastern on Fox Friday night in Boise, EA,

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Speaker 4: a rematch of a game earlier this year between UNLV

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Speaker 4: and Boise State. UNLV will look to continue their road

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Speaker 4: success or six to zero on the road this year.

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Speaker 4: Their only loss is at home by five to Boise,

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Speaker 4: him by three to syracusean overtime. Boise's only loss had

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Speaker 4: Oregon by three. Yeah, Boise leaking a little bit down

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Speaker 4: the stretch. But that premium, like you're you're paying for

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Speaker 4: UNLV here because the same price that this line closed

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Speaker 4: at when the game was in Vegas. There's a couple

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Speaker 4: of things worth noting here, Boiss that could make Boise intriguing.

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Speaker 4: I make this spread pretty close to where it is.

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Speaker 4: I have Boise to win the Mountain West. I played

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Speaker 4: some UNLV at plus four as the potential middle, potential

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Speaker 4: headche because I do like UNLV in this game, even

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Speaker 4: though I'm pretty close to the price. But Boise Date

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Speaker 4: State did get healthier than the offensive line. They got

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Speaker 4: Carrion at garf and Randolph at center back late in

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Speaker 4: the year, upgrades to what they had. They were doing

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Speaker 4: a lot of offensive line injuries. They're right tackle Mttoyer.

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Speaker 4: He played well last game. That's been musical chairs there,

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Speaker 4: so maybe they figure that out so the offensive line might.

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Speaker 5: Be in better shape.

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Speaker 4: Maddox Mad's in twenty one touchdowns, three interceptions, but six

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Speaker 4: big time throws, twelve turnover worth. He plays you and

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Speaker 4: to the top ten turnover margin team. They take the

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Speaker 4: ball away they didn't in the first meeting. Wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: surprised if there's some takeaways here. It's an aggressive d

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Speaker 4: they will give up some explosives. Boise really good on

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Speaker 4: third downs, but ANDLB an elite third down defense. I

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Speaker 4: think just overall, when I look at this, I think

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Speaker 4: U and LV has the better overall defense. You got

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Speaker 4: Catalan elad Baldwin grinds Oliver on the back end. Woodard's

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Speaker 4: a stud at linebacker. They have some capable pass rushers

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Speaker 4: they kept and they are capable of keeping Genty in check.

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Speaker 4: They did that in the first meeting. And you gotta remember,

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Speaker 4: I know Bois State won the game, but they went

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Speaker 4: four to four and fourth down, UNLV missed a kick,

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Speaker 4: They gave Boise a seven yard touchdown drive on the

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Speaker 4: loan turner over the game, and they still let in

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Speaker 4: the fourth quarter. My questions for this game. Can someone

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Speaker 4: else step up to help Ricky White? Because the Boise

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Speaker 4: State secondary is vulnerable and there's gonna be lots of

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Speaker 4: sacks and tackles for losses I think on both sides.

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Speaker 5: But can houj just.

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Speaker 4: Limit them against this Boise pass rush that was a

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Speaker 4: problem in the first meeting. Someone else just needs to

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Speaker 4: step up help Ricky White because you can move the

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Speaker 4: ball through the air against this Boise defense. I also think,

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Speaker 4: just from an adjustment standpoint, UNLV they lost that first game.

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Speaker 4: I like Barry Odam in that role here. I think

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Speaker 4: this game is going to go right down to the wire.

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Speaker 4: I think Boise is vulnerable. All the pressure to.

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Speaker 5: Is on Boise.

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Speaker 4: Like, there's assume that they're gone to the Collaguaal playoff

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Speaker 4: at home. Here, UNLV has shown that they like playing

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Speaker 4: in this role of being on the road, So I

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Speaker 4: like the rebels part of it. It's because I have

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Speaker 4: a future on Boise, but at four a better small

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Speaker 4: bat on that side. I think this game goes right

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Speaker 4: down to the why these are two pretty eatily matched teams.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we can dust off the tape of the Mountain

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Speaker 2: West preview from the summer. I loved U and LA

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Speaker 2: five to one. I have a couple of those tickets.

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Speaker 2: I will not be hedging them at all. I love

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Speaker 2: UNLV in the spot for a number of reasons. First off,

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Speaker 2: when you go back to that game and they played

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Speaker 2: each other, UNLV left that game with a sixty one

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Speaker 2: percent postgame win expectancy. They might have lost by five points,

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Speaker 2: but there was a couple of things in the box

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Speaker 2: score that says that UNLV should have probably won that game.

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Speaker 2: Boise finished that game with an eight minute drive ending

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Speaker 2: in three meals, so it was actually a very impressive

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Speaker 2: methodical that got them out of Dodge and got them

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Speaker 2: that victory. But Bronco's lost the overall yards per play,

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Speaker 2: the field position, special teams, that's what provided the edge

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Speaker 2: in that game, and I'm not sure that kind of

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Speaker 2: thing can be replicated. Hodgema Leak Williams was asked this

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Speaker 2: week what's the big difference between now and Week nine

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Speaker 2: when you guys played against Boise, and he said, communication

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Speaker 2: and protection with the offensive line is just night, night

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Speaker 2: and day. It's completely improved and it's going to be

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Speaker 2: a factor in this game. And I believe him. When

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Speaker 2: you look at Hodgema Leak Williams this year, he has

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Speaker 2: one turnover worthy play in eighty dropbacks that have pressure.

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Speaker 2: He has been very good under pressure. So Boise is

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Speaker 2: able to get through and try to get after Malik,

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Speaker 2: after Hodge. It's just it's not going to work. Now.

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Speaker 2: When you look at the offense, the go go offensive

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Speaker 2: Brendan Marrion, it's going to be a lot of man,

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Speaker 2: a lot of power, a lot of pulling linemen all

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Speaker 2: over the place, and Boise is just not very good

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Speaker 2: at defending man run concepts about a forty two percent

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Speaker 2: success rate in that in UNLV is probably going to

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Speaker 2: expose them on the ground. Mostly because of this factor,

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Speaker 2: Boise State is horrendous and tackling one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 2: second graded by PFF and tackling even worse broken tackles

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Speaker 2: allowed outside the top one hundred. So when UNLV, whether

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Speaker 2: it's whether it's Williams or it's Ricky White, when they

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Speaker 2: get to the second level, they're able to break off

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Speaker 2: more tackles and make even more explosive plays now, and

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Speaker 2: that's just a that's just a characteristic of an Eric

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Speaker 2: Shenander three two six defense everywhere he's been where there's UCF.

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Speaker 2: For Nebraska, I think when you go to the other

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Speaker 2: side of the ball, really the handicap is like how

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Speaker 2: do you handle genty I think UNLV did pretty good

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Speaker 2: handling gently. They only gave up nine misstackles against Boise

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Speaker 2: genty h And when you look at what Gent did

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Speaker 2: in the three games after that, he created forty missed

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Speaker 2: tackles in the next three games. So genty has, you know,

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Speaker 2: the ability to bull you over, to juke and do

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Speaker 2: all that. But UNLV actually posted one of the best

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Speaker 2: numbers and broken tackles allowed. So you know, with UNLVB

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Speaker 2: and top ten and havoc thanks to force fumbles, they're

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Speaker 2: coming after Gent They're gonna try to rip the ball out.

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Speaker 2: They don't miss. They didn't miss before they had a

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Speaker 2: higher post game win, expecting to gain a higher overall

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Speaker 2: yards per play. I don't think the special teams and

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Speaker 2: field position can save boys this time. I like I

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Speaker 2: like you, and I'll be to win outright.

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Speaker 4: I think you want to be two overall has a

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Speaker 4: better special teams just season long, there's been Boise has

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Speaker 4: had has had some issues on special teams this season.

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Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to the American Championship Friday

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Speaker 4: night at Eastern on ABC between two Lane and Army.

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Speaker 3: The aac A your markets understand that, oh shit, I

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Speaker 3: can't hear you.

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Speaker 4: Two Lane is a five point road favorite, total sitting

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Speaker 4: at forty five and a half. As a result of

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Speaker 4: TWU Lanes lost to Memphis, not only did it cost

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Speaker 4: them a shot at the College Football Playoff, but it

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Speaker 4: also meant Army gets to host this game in West

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Speaker 4: Point Friday night. It'll be cold, freezing conditions.

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Speaker 2: For what it's worth, unders Saga and Wendy thirteen and.

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Speaker 4: Unders in games with freezing temperatures, which this will be

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Speaker 4: in Conforgence Championships have gone seven and three, staying under

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Speaker 4: by about a touchdown per game on average. Couple interesting

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Speaker 4: against the spread nuggets here that I wanted to bring

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Speaker 4: up on a weekend, by the way, where this is

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Speaker 4: the first weekend where we don't conference championship weekend where

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Speaker 4: we don't have a favorite of a touchdown or more

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Speaker 4: since two thousand and six, two Lanes John Summraw very

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Speaker 4: very good as a favorite nineteen and seven against the

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Speaker 4: spread seventy three percent, eleven and zero against the spread

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Speaker 4: on the road as a favorite. However, teams that lost

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Speaker 4: as a double digit favorite the game before the conference

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Speaker 4: championship weekend their comfort championship game five and ten straight

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Speaker 4: up and against the spread. Army Monkin, as you would imagine,

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Speaker 4: very good as an underdog thirty nine to twenty four

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Speaker 4: and two against the spread sixty one point nine percent.

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Speaker 4: Over the past ten years, Service academies ninety six and

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Speaker 4: sixty six against the spread in the first half as

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Speaker 4: underdogs close to sixty percent. It's also worth noting some

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Speaker 4: Raw has had a lot of success against Service academies

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Speaker 4: over the past three seasons, including a pair of shutouts,

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Speaker 4: include one happened earlier this season against Navy based Service

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Speaker 4: Academy three times between Troy and Tulane. Nine total points,

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Speaker 4: two shutouts. Pretty impressive. So when I look at this game,

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Speaker 4: I've had trouble figuring out two lane all season. I

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Speaker 4: like what I like in this game. I would look

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Speaker 4: at the under It's come down a little bit that

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Speaker 4: anything over forty five I think is worth a look.

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Speaker 4: I also liked Army first quarter plus one and a half.

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Speaker 4: One of the reasons for that show a tad bit

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Speaker 4: of value in the number overall for the game. Little

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Speaker 4: concerned about the Army defense. Like the Army defense has

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Speaker 4: played an extremely weak strength of schedule, especially compared to Tulane,

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Speaker 4: and their metrics are bad still, like outside of the

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Speaker 4: top hundred and success rate, I don't know if they're

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Speaker 4: secondary can hold up. They can be pushed around up front.

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Speaker 4: Tulane has really talented receivers McKay Hughes can run the ball.

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Speaker 4: But this game, I mean, this game might fly by.

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Speaker 4: These are two of the slowest teams in the country.

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Speaker 4: There's are two of the most run heavy teams in

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Speaker 4: the country. But I am afraid of like the Army

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Speaker 4: defense holding up for the full game, but getting plus

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Speaker 4: points in the first quarter in a game that could

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Speaker 4: have like two possessions in the first quarter is intriguing

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Speaker 4: to me, like it then zero zero. An Army's been

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Speaker 4: so good on their first drive of the game, played

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Speaker 4: eleven games this year, touchdowns on nine of their opening drives,

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Speaker 4: a fuel goal in the other. The only time they

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Speaker 4: didn't score it was against Notre Dame. Tulane has been

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Speaker 4: good in the first quarter as well, for what it's worth.

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Speaker 4: And the Army defense they have been getting like in

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Speaker 4: the red zone, they've been getting a lucky on fourth down,

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Speaker 4: So it's in does that all that regression finally hit?

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Speaker 4: But I think we're gonna have a little bit on

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Speaker 4: an Army in the first quarter, because I do have to.

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Speaker 4: I think they're gonna come out their hair on fire

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Speaker 4: at home. It's huge game for them conference championship, their

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Speaker 4: first year in the conference.

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Speaker 5: Healthy and where's worse? What's up?

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Speaker 4: And they're healthy and healthy and where's too lane out? Mentally,

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Speaker 4: I don't know, like there's you have coaching rumors with

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Speaker 4: their coordinator and coach, but they were thinking, Hey, we

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Speaker 4: went out, we're going to the college walk. We're gonna

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Speaker 4: have a good shot of going to the Coultural clow.

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Speaker 4: If but a Bois loses, now you're not even hosting

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Speaker 4: your conference championshi game. You can't go to the college

379
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Speaker 4: wall cloff. Do they potentially come out.

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Speaker 5: A little flat? Did they maybe?

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Speaker 4: Were they maybe not as focused in their prep for

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Speaker 4: the triple option?

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Speaker 5: What are you seeing here?

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Speaker 2: Well, they definitely weren't prepared for Memphis. Not that they

385
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Speaker 2: needed that game or cared about that game, but they

386
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Speaker 2: didn't wake the offensive and wake up until towards the

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Speaker 2: middle of it game. And I think you're right, at

388
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Speaker 2: some point two lane's going to figure it out. Makay

389
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Speaker 2: Hughes four yards after first contact. He should be fresh.

390
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Speaker 2: He only had nine rushing attempts against Memphis generally has

391
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Speaker 2: like twenty five per game. And look, I can't say

392
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Speaker 2: anything good about this army defense, not after that Notre

393
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Speaker 2: Dame game. I mean, this is a rushing attack, a

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Speaker 2: heavy two lane rushing attack that should do some damage here.

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Speaker 2: I think I agree with you though in the fact

396
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Speaker 2: that I wanted a first half under. I think we're

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Speaker 2: twenty three and a half going down to twenty two

398
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Speaker 2: and a half. I cannot get over twenty six degrees

399
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Speaker 2: in fifteen mile an hour Wins. It's got a Miami

400
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,199
Speaker 2: feeling to it, right, Like, I haven't looked at the

401
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Speaker 2: roster of TU Lane, but it's got to be filled

402
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Speaker 2: with kids from Louisiana and Texas, right. I mean, this

403
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,679
Speaker 2: is some brutal weather and it's just going to hit

404
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,200
Speaker 2: these kids in the face and take them a while

405
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Speaker 2: to adjust.

406
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Speaker 4: TU Lane and wind will definitely help Army secondary more

407
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Speaker 4: of those deep shots because you know with Brown and

408
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:52,520
Speaker 4: Mario Williams like the TU Lane, they run it, run

409
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:53,720
Speaker 4: and run it, and then I'll set up some deep

410
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 4: shots and they have some talented receivers that are gonna

411
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Speaker 4: have a speed edge on the outside. Win will definitely

412
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Speaker 4: help suppress some of that explosive passing.

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Speaker 2: And I think two lane is going to have success

414
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Speaker 2: shutting down some of Army's attack. I mean they face Navy,

415
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Speaker 2: two lane face Navies. I know it's a different kind

416
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Speaker 2: of offense, different run concepts, but they faced Navy three

417
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Speaker 2: weeks ago. Two Lanes stuffed thirty thirty seven percent of

418
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Speaker 2: thirty three rushing attempts. Navy failed to create an explosive drive.

419
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Speaker 2: Quarterback Braxton Woodson for Navy, who's kind of subbing in.

420
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Speaker 2: He had ten play action passes. It's always important to

421
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Speaker 2: check out what you do against play action. Out of

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Speaker 2: ten play action passes for Navy, two lane allowed only

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Speaker 2: three catches for a grand total of thirteen yards. I

424
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Speaker 2: don't expect Army to beat two lane here on the

425
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Speaker 2: play action pass. And of course Army does have a

426
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Speaker 2: heavy amount of man blocking rush concepts, not just the

427
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Speaker 2: triple anymore. They do line up and try to play powerball,

428
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Speaker 2: and Tulane has struggled against man, but they've dominated a

429
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Speaker 2: lot of other run concepts. So I think there's an

430
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Speaker 2: avenue for Army to have a little bit of success

431
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Speaker 2: to move the ball. But other than that, I don't

432
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Speaker 2: see them getting a goatcha on them with the play

433
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:59,440
Speaker 2: action pass. Two lane's very good at stuffing anything that's

434
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 2: not man run concept. So you know, for me, I

435
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: think this is very low scoring. I think the spread's

436
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,119
Speaker 2: too high. I think it should be closer under a

437
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 2: field goal, not up at the five that it's at

438
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 2: right now. But for me personally, like I have an

439
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 2: Army twenty three to one to win the AAC, I'm

440
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 2: gonna be playing Tulane live trying to get that back.

441
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,359
Speaker 2: So if you have an Army I know we had

442
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 2: some questions out there on Twitter. If you have an

443
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 2: Army ticket to win the AAC, I would play it

444
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:22,439
Speaker 2: live because I think the numbers too high anyways, So

445
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:23,880
Speaker 2: you got to wait for that to come down live

446
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 2: and then try to get your at least your initial

447
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 2: investment back on your conference future. But for me, if

448
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 2: I had to play it straight up, no futures, I

449
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 2: would take Army in the five I ticket for I

450
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 2: would definitely take a first step under which I still

451
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 2: think I'm going to do before we get off this podcast.

452
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, Army, by the way, without our healthy outside if

453
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 4: they lost Kyle Lewis their defensive end of a season

454
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 4: ending injury. All right, let's move on to Saturday. Let's

455
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,320
Speaker 4: start the Big Twelve Championship between Iowa State and Arizona

456
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 4: State Saturday noon Eastern on ABC.

457
00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 1: The Big Twelve Conference alive and thriving.

458
00:22:58,320 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 5: Arizona State's a two point favorite.

459
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 4: Hear this game will be played in Jerry World in Arlington, Texas.

460
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 4: Total sitting at forty nine and a half. I've gone

461
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 4: back and forth in this game a million times, so

462
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 4: I have an Iowa State future. I know we get

463
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 4: that out on the pod. I know a lot of

464
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:24,399
Speaker 4: you do too. I initially bought some back, took some

465
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,240
Speaker 4: Arizona State money line early in the week. Basically have

466
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 4: like a free roll on Arizona State plus three hundred

467
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:39,919
Speaker 4: and Iowa State plus six hundred. But I'm because I

468
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,479
Speaker 4: initially thought I was in the state, was gonna run

469
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:42,880
Speaker 4: the ball, scat of it was gonna be the difference.

470
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:45,959
Speaker 4: But after digging in the last couple of days, I'm

471
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 4: starting to come around. In Iowa State, I do think

472
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 4: that this line should be closer to a pick without

473
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 4: Jordan Tyson. The loss of Jordan Tyson is just huge. Yes,

474
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:57,679
Speaker 4: he was you know, a thousand receivers season ending injury

475
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,920
Speaker 4: who let it look four and third down. He was

476
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 4: their explosive passing option. And without him, Iowa State, which

477
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,400
Speaker 4: is a run funnel defense. They wanted you to run

478
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 4: ben but don't break. They can now dedicate more resources

479
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:15,639
Speaker 4: to stopping Scout. Of those Scota was still going to

480
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 4: have success running the ball, but I think it makes

481
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 4: them much easier to defend. And on the other side

482
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 4: of the ball, this Arizona State team, they can't they

483
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:31,960
Speaker 4: don't really generate an elite pass rush, and Iowa State

484
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 4: has too, Jordan Dyson's and Higgins and Noel. And what

485
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 4: I kept coming back to is I would and this

486
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 4: is if I look back at all the teams that

487
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 4: Arizona State plays, this is the best passing attack. I mean,

488
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 4: you could argue Texas Tech would beat Arizona State, that

489
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 4: Arizona State will play the fact that this game is

490
00:24:55,400 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 4: played in Jerry World, I think favors I was, which

491
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 4: is weird because they play outdoors. Arizona State plays in Tempe,

492
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 4: and you would, but Arizona State is built more like

493
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 4: a team without Tyson that would rather play this game

494
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 4: in like games, and Iowa State this year is built

495
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:22,600
Speaker 4: more like a team that would thrive on a fast

496
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 4: track in a temperature control environment because they can't really

497
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 4: run the ball and it's all on Beckt and there

498
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:33,080
Speaker 4: are two really good receivers that should have time here.

499
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,920
Speaker 4: And I think ultimately that's going to be the difference.

500
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 4: Arizona State's going to move the ball. Scat always going

501
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 4: to get his but I think Iowa State will hold

502
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 4: up in the red zone, force enough field goals and

503
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 4: then they'll hit enough explosives on offense. I think it'll

504
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 4: be a super tight game. Something else to keep in mind,

505
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 4: Arizona State penalties could be big ilowas Sate doesn't get penalized.

506
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 4: Arizona State has issues in Arizona State special teams, and

507
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 4: again that should be close. Our disaster on field goal

508
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 4: kicks this year, but we're of eleven from thirty plus,

509
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 4: so there's specialties for us. But I think the loss

510
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 4: of Tyson is very key here, so I'm starting to

511
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 4: leave third's Iowa State. I might buy back some of

512
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:25,120
Speaker 4: my buy back on Arizona State, but basically a coin

513
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 4: fuffish game I think that this should be. I don't

514
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 4: think that Arizona State deserves to be a favorite here

515
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 4: without the loss Tyson indoors, which I think favors the Cyclones.

516
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 5: What are your thoughts here?

517
00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 2: A lot of positives for Iowa State in this game,

518
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 2: in my opinion, not only I think the game in

519
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 2: Dallas is because by the way I thirty five connects

520
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,760
Speaker 2: aims all the way down to DFW and outside of

521
00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:49,119
Speaker 2: the blue bloods of college football, nobody travels like Iowa

522
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,880
Speaker 2: and Iowa State. I think Iowa State had a game

523
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:53,720
Speaker 2: out at what UNLV a couple of years ago might

524
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:55,919
Speaker 2: have been ninety percent Iowa State fans in a regular

525
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 2: season game. They're gonna travel and they're gonna fill this

526
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:00,720
Speaker 2: place up, and I think it's going to be dominantly

527
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 2: Iowa State fans once you get past that. You know,

528
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 2: Kenny Dillingham right now is the hot guy at the

529
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 2: blackjack table. Six wins in six, a bunch of wins

530
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,160
Speaker 2: in a row, six wins this season by a possession

531
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,159
Speaker 2: or less. You know, Iowa State, they they've had to

532
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 2: have a three game sweep after back to back losses

533
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:18,400
Speaker 2: of Texas Tech and Kansas. So it's one of those

534
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 2: things where Arizona State's just hot at the blackjack table

535
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 2: and Iowa State has had to claw for their life

536
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: after those two consecutive wins. So it's just two different

537
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 2: mindsets in my opinion, And like, what is the emotional

538
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 2: hangover of the last couple of weeks that's been going

539
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,080
Speaker 2: over Arizona State. You have to come down from that

540
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:35,879
Speaker 2: at some point. Now saying that I.

541
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:42,760
Speaker 4: Think that they can play looser here. Yeah, they a

542
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:44,199
Speaker 4: couple of weeks ago, they didn't think there was going

543
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:45,919
Speaker 4: to be any shot that they were going to be here,

544
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 4: they didn't control their own destiny, and then here they

545
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 4: are with a chance to go to the College tell

546
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,200
Speaker 4: Playoff and a small underdog role.

547
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 2: So I think the biggest cap of this game is

548
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:00,680
Speaker 2: what is Iowa State going to do on defense? Because

549
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:02,879
Speaker 2: John Heacock, the defensive coordinator, runs that three to three

550
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 2: five stack, a very light box. And now that we

551
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 2: know that Jordan Tyson is out, it's going to be

552
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 2: camp Skatabo skataboo like that. You're gonna have to figure

553
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:13,359
Speaker 2: out how to scheme and get around that because there's

554
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,479
Speaker 2: no passing game here. I mean, the best catchers are

555
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,679
Speaker 2: now tight end Shaman Matteo and Camp Scattabo. That's it.

556
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:21,360
Speaker 2: When you look at the wide receivers, like the next

557
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 2: set of wide receivers after Jordan Tyson, it's really bad.

558
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:28,160
Speaker 2: Like Xavier Gilloy and Milkwon Stovel have had twelve catches

559
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 2: in the last five games, a complete non factor something else.

560
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 5: Here's the summon up.

561
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:36,280
Speaker 4: Jordan Tyson seventy five catches, eleven hundred yards, ten touchdowns.

562
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:40,600
Speaker 4: The rest of the receivers on the team forty one catches,

563
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 4: six hundred and thirty four yards, four touchdowns, right, I

564
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 4: mean Tyson's basically doubled the production of all the other

565
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 4: receivers combined.

566
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 2: Well, there's another one too, and this is all in

567
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 2: the preview. It'll be out on Action Network this week.

568
00:28:55,880 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 2: When it comes down to third down and red zone targets,

569
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 2: Tyson up around forty. No other wide receiver on the

570
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 2: team has even gotten to ten. So, I mean there's

571
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 2: just gonna be critical downs and distances here where Levit's

572
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 2: gonna have to throw the ball and there's just not

573
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 2: going to be anybody there that he's familiar with on

574
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 2: third downs in red zone attacks. So it's really the

575
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 2: crux of the game. Like the three three five stack,

576
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 2: it doesn't blitz that much. It's not very good against

577
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,080
Speaker 2: the run, but that's the only thing that you have

578
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 2: to defend here. For Iowa State, Camp Scattabo quickly flying

579
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 2: up the rankings of our BBOC Gambling Heisman, but Ohio,

580
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 2: you know, Iowa State has to find a way, and

581
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 2: there is good news here. There is a hidden gym

582
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 2: that put me on Iowa State. Here. Arizona State, with Kenney,

583
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 2: Dillingham and Scatabo only runs outside zone. They are predominantly

584
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 2: outside zone. There's only one run concept that Iowa State

585
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 2: can defend at a normal success rate level, and that's

586
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 2: that's outside zone. Why is that because that three three

587
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 2: five stack is dependent on setting the edge off of

588
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,400
Speaker 2: the tackles at the five technique, and that is exactly

589
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 2: what they're gonna be able to do against outside zone.

590
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 2: And that's why Iowa State has more success with that

591
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:00,760
Speaker 2: than they do against any other run concept. And if

592
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 2: you don't believe it, Kansas State tried to run outside

593
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 2: zone against Iowa State last weekend twenty six percent success

594
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:07,479
Speaker 2: rate in thirty attempts.

595
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 5: And they're a good running team.

596
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're a great running team. So they failed. Iowa

597
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:15,480
Speaker 2: State improving rush defense with a run concept that gives

598
00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 2: them an advantage here when you go to the other

599
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 2: side of the ball, You're right, Jayden Higgins, Jade and

600
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 2: Jalen Dewell. It's all been explosives two point six yards

601
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 2: per route run. They're the ones that are gonna have

602
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 2: to carry these points in these explosives. Rock Obecks numbers,

603
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 2: we'll talk about this a bowlseason. He's really had a

604
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 2: dip in some of his explosives and his efficiency, his

605
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 2: turnover worthy play rates up from two point six to

606
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 2: three point nine percent. He's had seven turnover worthy plays

607
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 2: in the last three games versus just one big time throw.

608
00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 2: He's not really moving in the right direction after having

609
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 2: unbelievable numbers last year and then Abu Sama almost a

610
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 2: non factor this year, less than three yards after first contact.

611
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,240
Speaker 2: The good news is this offense does not get stopped

612
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 2: their third in offensive momentum killer rate, they're twenty fifth

613
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 2: and havoc allowed. They're just you know, they're not as

614
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,760
Speaker 2: explosive as they were last year's version, but they get

615
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 2: the job done here. And I'm on an Iowa.

616
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 5: State and I think that they can.

617
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 4: They have to potentially be more exposive, though, because I

618
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 4: was in the state, doesn't get a gret passage. So

619
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 4: they're gonna be playing on this fast track, right right.

620
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 2: There's a difference in at and T Stadium than playing

621
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 2: in Ames, playing in a weather city and shitty weather.

622
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, all right. Let's move on to the MAC Championship.

623
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 1: The Mid American Conference.

624
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 2: Are you serious?

625
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 5: Mac shot?

626
00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:27,959
Speaker 2: You get out to love it?

627
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 4: Noon Eastern on ESPN in Detroit, Michigan. Mina of Ohio

628
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 4: is a one and a half point favorite here total

629
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 4: sitting at forty four and a half. It's gonna be

630
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 4: played at ford Field. Would normally have looked at the

631
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 4: under here. These are I think, two teams that'll play conservative.

632
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,880
Speaker 4: I just fast track Mac craziness. It's hard to go

633
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 4: under forty four and a half. It would be under nothing.

634
00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 4: Though for me, I don't really have a side here yet.

635
00:31:58,720 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 5: I lean mine of Ohio.

636
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,200
Speaker 4: I just haven't been able to figure out Ohio all year.

637
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 4: This is the first time in seven years I don't

638
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 4: have a Mac future. A future in the Mac Championship

639
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 4: game is very sad. I kind of want to boycott

640
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 4: this game, but I can't because I love the Mac.

641
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 4: But I the reason I didn't have a Mac future

642
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 4: this year and I lost my win till I didn't

643
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 4: see this Ohio thing coming.

644
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 5: They had nothing returning.

645
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 4: Think about all the guys they lost, and there's like

646
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 4: Rourke who's excelling it in the end, Like I did

647
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 4: not see this coming there.

648
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 5: This is a team that was decimated by the transfer portal,

649
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 5: but they.

650
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 2: Hit they brought in they were lowest and tarp I

651
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 2: think they were the lowest in returning production.

652
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, they had nothing returning. It was a great job

653
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 4: by Tim Almen. I haven't been able to catch up

654
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 4: to Ohio, so I still make my Ohio slightly over

655
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 4: a field goal favored. Yere Mamaha is peaking right now.

656
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 4: They will have a special teams advantage, and that's important

657
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 4: because they win. That's how they win games. And Chuck

658
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 4: Martin will play a conservative punt it on fourth and

659
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 4: one at the forty rely on special teams. Ohio special

660
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:02,360
Speaker 4: teams are not great. The key to this game for

661
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 4: me is I do think miaahaw can throw on Ohio.

662
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 4: The past defense isn't great, and you gotta remember Ohio

663
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 4: one of the reasons they're here. They've got a great year,

664
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 4: but they didn't play anybody. I mean, here's the teams

665
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 4: they played in conference play. They played Central Michigan, they

666
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 4: won by two. They lost to mia Ohio thirty to twenty,

667
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 4: by the way earlier this year and they were down

668
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 4: thirty to six in that game. They beat Buffalo and

669
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 4: State Eastern Michigan, Ball State, the corpse of ball State,

670
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 4: the of They're one impressive wins at Toledo, but I'm

671
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 4: not very high on that teleo team. Like they didn't

672
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 4: have to play Northern Illinois, they didn't have to play

673
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 4: Bowling Green and they lost to Mia Ohio. That's part

674
00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:43,160
Speaker 4: of the reason that they're here. The key to this game, though,

675
00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 4: and it didn't happen in the first game, is ken

676
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:48,560
Speaker 4: Ohio stay in it early because they need to run

677
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 4: the ball. They have one receiver, that's it, and they

678
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:54,680
Speaker 4: neither run the ball. You can run the ball a

679
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 4: little bit on Mina, Ohio, but if they get behind,

680
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 4: because I I think that Gabbert can have some success

681
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 4: throwing on this Ohio secondary and Mioha is going to

682
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:09,319
Speaker 4: be well prepped, well schooled defensively, they just know if

683
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:12,919
Speaker 4: Ohio is in a passing game state, you just cover

684
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:15,560
Speaker 4: coleman Owen their only receiver, and.

685
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:18,080
Speaker 5: Then parking.

686
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:19,719
Speaker 4: Novar is going to make mistakes. I mean, this is

687
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 4: a guy. He's got ten touchdowns, ten interceptions. He's been

688
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:25,960
Speaker 4: benched twice once against my Ohio. He gets confused by coverages.

689
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:30,280
Speaker 4: He needs to be in like a handheld game state.

690
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:33,919
Speaker 4: He got benched against Morgan State earlier this year after

691
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,680
Speaker 4: he threw three picks in a quarter. It's Morgan State.

692
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 4: He's benefited from a really easy schedule. Ohio hasn't won

693
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:45,320
Speaker 4: a MAC title in since nineteen sixty eight, I believe,

694
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 4: which is stunning. I lean myo Ohio here, but I

695
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 4: would have stronger conviction if I had a good read

696
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 4: on this Ohio team all year, and I just haven't.

697
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 5: What do you see here?

698
00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 2: If coleman Owen takes her money, maybe we'll reconsider and

699
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:01,359
Speaker 2: put him in the the game. I'm sorry our All

700
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,359
Speaker 2: American First and second team. We'll review that next week

701
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 2: for everybody. So the thing for me is is when

702
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:09,880
Speaker 2: you have teams that play against each other and you

703
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:12,319
Speaker 2: have a rematch, which we have here, I go back

704
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,720
Speaker 2: and do a comb over. Like the Western Kentucky Jacksonville

705
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,560
Speaker 2: State doesn't count. Jacksonville State didn't need it, didn't care,

706
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 2: didn't play their starters, so you just kind of throw

707
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 2: the box score out. But when you go to this one,

708
00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:26,320
Speaker 2: it was, you know, a big game in the middle

709
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 2: of the schedule that both of these teams needed. It

710
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,920
Speaker 2: wasn't even close. You mentioned miam Ohio was up thirty

711
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 2: to six at the beginning of the fourth quarter. In

712
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 2: this game, you look at the post, you see thirty

713
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 2: to twenty. The final score postgame win expectancy Miami of

714
00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 2: Ohio one hundred percent wasn't even close. Brett Gabbert fourteen

715
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:44,919
Speaker 2: of twenty one with three tdske Mosey on the ground

716
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 2: one hundred and eleven yards seven yards per carry, Ohio

717
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:51,760
Speaker 2: coughed up the ball. They set up short field position

718
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:53,640
Speaker 2: for one of the Miami touchdowns, but other than that,

719
00:35:54,120 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 2: the RedHawks took them to the woodshed. Miami nearly doubled

720
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:00,720
Speaker 2: the Bobcats and overall yards per play in that game.

721
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 2: So the question here is because it's like I've kind

722
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 2: of been sitting down because this Miami Ohio's team came

723
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,120
Speaker 2: out got hit hard on open. It's been some trickle

724
00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 2: back to two wait kind of way late, waiting in

725
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 2: the weeds to get a money line here on Miami Ohio.

726
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,680
Speaker 2: I want to pay to make Ohio beat me because

727
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,200
Speaker 2: they weren't even close in this initial game. And you

728
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 2: have to think that, you know, both teams have won

729
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:25,440
Speaker 2: out since that game, right, Ohio has won every game

730
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:27,839
Speaker 2: since my Ohio was won every game since. You know,

731
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 2: there's there's no big injury concerns on either side of

732
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 2: the people that were playing in that game before. So

733
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,960
Speaker 2: I'm essentially paying to say this happens again. Red Hawks

734
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,279
Speaker 2: one er percent postgame win expectancy. I mean that the

735
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:40,919
Speaker 2: doubled their overall yards per play.

736
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 4: Give me the RedHawks producer who is Chuck Martin's biggest fan.

737
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 5: We'll be happy to hear that.

738
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to the SEC Championship Saturday

739
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 4: for Eastern on ABC in Atlanta.

740
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,920
Speaker 2: The SEC here, it just means.

741
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 4: Texas and Georgia rematch Varia this year when Georgia won

742
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,360
Speaker 4: at Texas by fifteen. This will be played on a

743
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:12,279
Speaker 4: fast track. Historically, SEC Championship games have gone over more

744
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:16,359
Speaker 4: times than under. I like Texas here. I can't wait

745
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:17,879
Speaker 4: to get your thoughts. I played in two and a half.

746
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 4: I might come back on Georgia based on how the

747
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 4: game goes. What have we seen all year? Georgia goes

748
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 4: down in the first quarter every game, I mean except

749
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:34,600
Speaker 4: the Texas game. And I just this Georgia team will

750
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 4: be dangerous in the playoffs. They're like in the most

751
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:40,640
Speaker 4: hyped up need to win spots. They're going to be dangerous. Curby,

752
00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 4: you'll get them ready. But all year, name one game,

753
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:50,240
Speaker 4: one game where Georgia was completely dominant, start to finish

754
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 4: on offense and defense. Their defense isn't as good as

755
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:57,279
Speaker 4: it's been. You can run on them, and Texas now

756
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:00,799
Speaker 4: has found its running game. You go back to this

757
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 4: Georgia team. Like, second half against Clemson was good. Kentucky

758
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:07,839
Speaker 4: they won by one. Alabama the second half was good.

759
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 4: They were down big early the Auburn game. I guess

760
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:18,560
Speaker 4: that was a good effort. Mississippi State like not dominant

761
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 4: the Texas game. The offense wasn't great against Florida, Man

762
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 4: oh Miss. They get blown out Tennessee, fairly impressive, UMass.

763
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 4: I mean you're down seven left the U mess go

764
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 4: eight yeards und go. Against Georgia Tech last week, yeah

765
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 4: sure lost.

766
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 5: STEORGEA. Tech loses that.

767
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 4: Your offense is dead. You can't stop in the first half.

768
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech loses all defensive backs to injury, and you

769
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,759
Speaker 4: come back, you win in eight overtimes. Why do I

770
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,280
Speaker 4: like Texas here? Well, there's just issues with this Georgia

771
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:50,759
Speaker 4: team right now, specifically on offense. They're they can't run

772
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 4: the ball at all. It's they're in cable running a

773
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 4: part of that, and I don't think many realize their

774
00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 4: offensive line is all hurt. They can't run block with

775
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 4: Wilson's dealing with an injury, Fairchild, they ravage at surgery.

776
00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:10,440
Speaker 4: He's back, but I don't think he's under percent. Feelings

777
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 4: now heard. And they're all going to play, but they're

778
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 4: just not healthy. And all their backs they're down for

779
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 4: their top five backs. And then who the receivers are

780
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 4: not that talented? It's and then I look at the

781
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:27,720
Speaker 4: Texas side, who has more team speed at wide receiver

782
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 4: and running back. It's clearly Texas. Yeah, on this fast track.

783
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:36,799
Speaker 4: I think that benefits them in this. I think the

784
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 4: arch Manning potential package you need a running quarterback against Georgia.

785
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:42,240
Speaker 4: That's what concerns me about yours, But the arch Manning

786
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 4: package that could be beneficial here. The adjustments at Texas

787
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 4: needs to make. Georgia came out very aggressive on defense,

788
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 4: kind of threw a wildcode out there. Well, Texas saw that.

789
00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 4: I think this game will also just maybe means a

790
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 4: little bit more to Texas first year in the SEC.

791
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:00,479
Speaker 4: Revenge for getting embarrassed in their home field. They're gonna

792
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 4: come out with they're air on fire. We've seen Georgia

793
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:04,360
Speaker 4: not do that. This isn't a must win. It's not

794
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,760
Speaker 4: like the biggest game, like they're in the playoff already.

795
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 4: And so when I look, I just go down the line.

796
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:15,920
Speaker 4: Texas much more reliable offensive line. I know Banks has

797
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 4: heart left tackle with Kidd came in last week. They

798
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 4: were fine in sex A and M. They have the

799
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 4: better defense. That's been the one constant for Texas all years.

800
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:29,839
Speaker 4: They're dominant defense. Georgia can't run the ball. I can't

801
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 4: see Georgia throwing the ball with a ton of success

802
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,759
Speaker 4: on known passing situations with their weapons, and Texas has

803
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 4: better weapons, more speed. Georgia does have a special team's edge,

804
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,240
Speaker 4: big net putting edge, so maybe they win the special

805
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:45,359
Speaker 4: teams battle. But even if George is able to move

806
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:51,400
Speaker 4: the ball, Texas elite red zone defense, so special teams.

807
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:56,200
Speaker 4: Maybe Kirby pulls out one of his master motivational speeches.

808
00:40:56,640 --> 00:41:00,200
Speaker 4: The game is played in Atlanta, but we've seen all

809
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 4: year this Georgia team starts slow. I think Sarka a

810
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,239
Speaker 4: good script. Bobo is not. And there's just so many

811
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 4: limitations on this Georgia offense right now. I bet if

812
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 4: you if Kirby could and he couldn't do this. But

813
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:15,080
Speaker 4: I bet Kirby would prefer to not to forfeit this

814
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:19,399
Speaker 4: game and rest up for the next couple of weeks

815
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:22,160
Speaker 4: and get ready for the college football playoff. So I

816
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:25,120
Speaker 4: like Texas here played the minus ton a half. I

817
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:27,839
Speaker 4: think they come out hot. Doesn't mean I might look

818
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 4: to come back on Georgia. They've shown them all year

819
00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 4: they do have the ability to come back. They can

820
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:36,440
Speaker 4: make really good adjustments. But uh, I played Texas.

821
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts If I got to hear Kirby

822
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 2: say grit and resilience to describe the team, he never

823
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 2: said that in the past three years, right, I think that

824
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 2: is his way of acknowledging this team is just not there.

825
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 2: It's not been what they've had from the form of

826
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,279
Speaker 2: the last three years. Let's get a bet out of

827
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:53,360
Speaker 2: the way. Let's get it out we out of the

828
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:56,320
Speaker 2: way real quick. Before I talk about x's and o'son

829
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:59,319
Speaker 2: offense and defense. We are betting Texas first quarter. I mean,

830
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,319
Speaker 2: this whole thing of Georgia in the first quarter has

831
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 2: been fun. It's been a lot of fun. Georgia the

832
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:09,560
Speaker 2: entire season, negative scoring differential minus zero point four. Texas

833
00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:12,399
Speaker 2: completely different. In the scripted portion plus seven point three,

834
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:14,440
Speaker 2: one of the best in the nation. There is a

835
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:17,440
Speaker 2: huge difference in how these teams handle scripted portion on

836
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:20,160
Speaker 2: both sides of the ball. Texas first quarter is still

837
00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 2: out there. I think minus one twenty please, thank you.

838
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:25,280
Speaker 2: I'll take it again. I like that. Bet.

839
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 4: You know what I'm gonna do. I'm gonna put in

840
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,239
Speaker 4: I don't think of I'm going to put in a

841
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:33,399
Speaker 4: round robin first quarters this weekend. That'll be fun.

842
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:36,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean if our reader, me and Texas will

843
00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 5: be in there.

844
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's actually gonna be an actually interesting weekend for

845
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,080
Speaker 2: these teams that are already in the playoff to see

846
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:43,840
Speaker 2: how much they actually show up. Can you imagine not

847
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:45,959
Speaker 2: showing up in your conference championship game if you're Oregan

848
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 2: or Georgia. Uh yeah. Kelvin Banks is at left tackle.

849
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:51,399
Speaker 2: He's listed as questionable to see if he's going to play.

850
00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 2: Trevor Goosby is the one who came in one hundred

851
00:42:53,160 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 2: and twenty five snaps this season a left tackle, So

852
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 2: even if for some reason Kelvin Banks doesn't play, Gooseby

853
00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:01,240
Speaker 2: was just as good in run blocking and pass protection

854
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:04,319
Speaker 2: as Banks was, so don't see a big issue there.

855
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 2: Banks has some revenge here if he plays. He's only

856
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:09,480
Speaker 2: given up one sack this season, and it came to Georgia.

857
00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 2: He's only given up six pressures, two of them came

858
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:13,960
Speaker 2: against Georgia. So if Texas does have their left tackle,

859
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 2: he's got some revenge to play for here. I want

860
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 2: to start on the Georgia offensive side of the ball,

861
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 2: because you know, I'm a little pissed off. I wrote

862
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:22,759
Speaker 2: this game up for action, and you know sometimes I

863
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,759
Speaker 2: do Twitter search to find some of the plays that

864
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:28,480
Speaker 2: I put in my articles. And I tell you what,

865
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 2: if I have to see any more snapchat of Carson Beck,

866
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 2: it's just going to be too much. It needs to

867
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:35,240
Speaker 2: put a shirt on and get away from the girls.

868
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 2: Look Georgia, their offense has looked clean the last three games,

869
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 2: but there is a reason for that. Tennessee, you masked Georgia.

870
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 2: Tech produced just nineteen pressures in three games against Carson Beck.

871
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 2: Before that, against Texas florid Ol Miss Carson Beck saw

872
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:54,040
Speaker 2: thirty seven double and when he has pressure, he can't

873
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 2: set his feet, he can't throw downfield. He looks horrific.

874
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 2: But there's another thing that's a problem for the Georgia

875
00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 2: offense leads the nation and drops thirty six thirty six

876
00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 2: drops more than anybody. The umasses the acorns. Everybody of

877
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 2: the world does not have as many drops as the

878
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,360
Speaker 2: targets for Georgia. And with Trevor Etn not expected to play,

879
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:14,800
Speaker 2: I mean, Kirby said at as presser on Monday, he said, listen,

880
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 2: he was, you know, mentioned as questionable for Georgia Tech.

881
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:20,960
Speaker 2: He was nowhere near close to returning for that game.

882
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 2: I don't expect him to be here either. So this

883
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:26,319
Speaker 2: game is completely on Beck's arm, which means he needs

884
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,719
Speaker 2: pass protection, which means, you know, it's a real problem

885
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:31,960
Speaker 2: here for this offense. And Pete Kudakowski, the defensive coordinator

886
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:35,720
Speaker 2: for Texas second and er and defensive finishing drives first

887
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 2: in quality drives. This defense is doing a number on teams.

888
00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:42,839
Speaker 2: The EPA might be the only avenue for Carson Beck

889
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:45,320
Speaker 2: to get this team into scoring position. But do you

890
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:47,319
Speaker 2: really want to be in passing downs with Carson Beck?

891
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:50,000
Speaker 2: Do you really want him facing pressure here? I mean

892
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 2: Texas's top ten defense and passing downs success rate and EPA.

893
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:56,279
Speaker 2: I'm not sure Georgia can replicate what they did in

894
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:58,640
Speaker 2: Austin they had They went six to seventeen on third downs.

895
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 2: I think that was a little bit of a fluke.

896
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:02,279
Speaker 2: When you look at Texas's numbers, you go to the

897
00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 2: other side of the ball. When Georgia's on defense, I

898
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 2: think Texas, you mentioned arch Manning's gonna come in and

899
00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,800
Speaker 2: run this. I mean quinn Ewers had seven turnover worthy

900
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:12,640
Speaker 2: plays against Georgia. Right, He's had fifteen on the season.

901
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 2: Half of them came in one game against Georgia. I

902
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:17,880
Speaker 2: think if Sark sees that you're gonna get the hook,

903
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:19,880
Speaker 2: I mean, it's got to be the arch Manning, the

904
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 2: quin Travion Wisner, zone Reid I mean, I mean and Wisner,

905
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:26,680
Speaker 2: by the way, three hundred and fifty rushing yards over

906
00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:29,360
Speaker 2: the last two games against the defenses of Kentucky and

907
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:32,520
Speaker 2: Texas A and M. And Texas dominated Texas A and

908
00:45:32,640 --> 00:45:35,600
Speaker 2: M on the ground. They stuffed thirteen to forty nine attempts.

909
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,080
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I'm talking about the Texas offense. The Texas

910
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,759
Speaker 2: offensive line dominated the Texas A and M defensive line,

911
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 2: not something that we expected. They averaged five yards per carry.

912
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:50,279
Speaker 2: Baggie's defensive line managed just a single sack. The Longhorns

913
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 2: converted eight of sixteen on third and fourth down. Just

914
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:56,839
Speaker 2: a domination. The only thing that's going to hold this

915
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 2: Texas offense back is the fact that quinn ewers He's

916
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: on from one point seven to four point two percent

917
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 2: turnover worthy play rate. But I have a feeling as

918
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 2: a quick hook if Sark sees it, I think the

919
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,080
Speaker 2: defense is going to be in control of Georgia here.

920
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 2: I think there's a revenge aspect. Kelvin Banks, the left tackle,

921
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:14,840
Speaker 2: has a revenge aspect. There's just too many holes in

922
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 2: Georgia right now. The cleanling. I mean that Georgia Tech

923
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:20,640
Speaker 2: game set, everything they said, everything, and the fact that

924
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:23,000
Speaker 2: you mas scored twenty one points on the Georgia defense.

925
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,800
Speaker 2: How does that happen? How does that happen in this world?

926
00:46:26,520 --> 00:46:28,160
Speaker 2: So I like Texas here. I'm starting off with the

927
00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:31,399
Speaker 2: first quarter, haven't decided yet. I'm getting in full game,

928
00:46:31,400 --> 00:46:32,720
Speaker 2: but I like text all the way here.

929
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 4: All right, here's one we'll talk about the for the

930
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 4: least mon time. Neither of us feel really past mental

931
00:46:38,600 --> 00:46:41,279
Speaker 4: Marshall at Louisiana.

932
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, this game. Sunbelt Championship, seven thirty Eastern.

933
00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 1: ESPN the Sun Belt Conference, the Fun Belt.

934
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 2: Don't let the latest come between you and the Bilt just.

935
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 4: To be at the same time as Clemson SMU and

936
00:46:56,800 --> 00:47:01,279
Speaker 4: Penn State Oregon ull six favorite total fifty seven and

937
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:03,880
Speaker 4: a half, Marshall eleven and one against the spread. But

938
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,200
Speaker 4: they're a fraud. They've won seven straights. It's going to

939
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:07,880
Speaker 4: bracks and the quarterback. But you look at all their boxboads.

940
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:08,960
Speaker 4: It's like, how do they win this game? They get

941
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 4: out game, they get out played, and they you know,

942
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 4: I mean there are one dominant performance game against Southern mess.

943
00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 4: I think UL is also a fraud, Like they have

944
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:20,600
Speaker 4: all these misleading margin scores, including last week thanks against

945
00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:21,399
Speaker 4: U al Monroe for.

946
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 5: That late run.

947
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:24,279
Speaker 4: I do think marshallill be able to run the ball

948
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:26,759
Speaker 4: on Louisiana. And Louisiana's defense is not good. Their run

949
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:27,800
Speaker 4: defense is not good.

950
00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:30,760
Speaker 2: Dead last and rushing defensive rushing success right dead.

951
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:33,560
Speaker 4: Last, Yeah, yeah, And Marshall can run the ball a bit,

952
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 4: but I think Louisiana can run the ball some on Marshall.

953
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 5: This is a game.

954
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:41,160
Speaker 4: I'll just tell you. I mean, I made it five.

955
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 4: Don't have a strong feel. I mean there are rumors

956
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:50,120
Speaker 4: about Marshall's head coach, Hugh Yep, maybe they're not focused.

957
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:52,360
Speaker 4: Some about home field tends to be overrated if you

958
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:56,879
Speaker 4: look historically. But this is a game. I just said

959
00:47:57,000 --> 00:48:01,560
Speaker 4: I'd take Louisiana three. I'd take Marshall at seven. It's

960
00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:04,399
Speaker 4: not there Louisiana. Also, the red zone d is trash.

961
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 4: They canick it off the field and like Marshall running

962
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:12,560
Speaker 4: potential running dog here, So that could be intriguing that

963
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 4: at this price range, no hot take two teams.

964
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:19,920
Speaker 5: That kind of want to fade. So nothing here for me,

965
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 5: anything for you.

966
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:22,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wanted the over, but I projected at fifty

967
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,239
Speaker 2: three and we're sitting at fifty seven. I might go

968
00:48:25,239 --> 00:48:27,560
Speaker 2: ahead and end up playing it anyways, maybe we'll get

969
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,360
Speaker 2: some steam to wait till game time. But we mentioned

970
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:32,480
Speaker 2: Louisiana how poor they are on offense against the run.

971
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 2: That's gonna be a problem with Braylan Brax and the

972
00:48:34,520 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 2: transfer that came in from Tulsa and aj Turner who

973
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:38,880
Speaker 2: the running back is for Marshall. And then when you

974
00:48:38,880 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 2: flip the other side, you've already mentioned it like Louisiana

975
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:42,359
Speaker 2: is going to be able to run on Marshall. Where

976
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,439
Speaker 2: Marshall's really good on defense is defending the past. Yeah,

977
00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:48,960
Speaker 2: so I to me, this says over, But can I

978
00:48:49,040 --> 00:48:51,480
Speaker 2: live with an over? With the thundering herd? And by

979
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:53,520
Speaker 2: the way, huff is like listening to every job offer

980
00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:56,280
Speaker 2: out there, Like, I'm not sure. I mean, your focus

981
00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 2: should be some built championship, but I mean there's just

982
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 2: way too many stories out there that he's in contact

983
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 2: and leaning towards certain jobs. So I'll leave at that.

984
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 2: We'll see if it overcomes in through the app over

985
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:07,680
Speaker 2: the before kickoff.

986
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:10,759
Speaker 4: All right, let's get to the Big Ten Championship game

987
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:11,719
Speaker 4: Oregon three and a half.

988
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:13,799
Speaker 2: I get an instant reaction on you for SMU being

989
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:16,120
Speaker 2: an ACC championship game. Man, did I take some shit?

990
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 4: This is the Big Ten. We'll get to the a

991
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:20,960
Speaker 4: SEC that's next. Hold your sorry, oh literally, hold your

992
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:21,840
Speaker 4: hold your ponies.

993
00:49:22,160 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 1: The Big Ten Conference.

994
00:49:24,239 --> 00:49:25,520
Speaker 2: I like to know where Lou Holtz.

995
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:29,799
Speaker 4: Is right now, Oregon and Penn State eight Eastern on

996
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:35,200
Speaker 4: CBS winner Oregon wins are the one seed. Penn State wins,

997
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,919
Speaker 4: and Georgia wins. Penn State's the one seed. They would

998
00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 4: be ranked number one for the first time this century,

999
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:45,720
Speaker 4: which is stunning Oregon three and a half point favorite

1000
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 4: here total fifty and a half. This game will be

1001
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:53,000
Speaker 4: played in Indianapolis.

1002
00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:55,719
Speaker 2: Uh didn't score.

1003
00:49:55,800 --> 00:49:59,480
Speaker 4: I've already I've already received hate mail. I've already received

1004
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 4: hate tweet. I've already received eight dms. I bet Penn

1005
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:06,239
Speaker 4: say plus three and a half. I'm siding with small

1006
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:09,800
Speaker 4: game James, who has lost eleven straight against top five teams.

1007
00:50:10,920 --> 00:50:16,160
Speaker 4: It's been a disaster. But number one, I don't think

1008
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:17,920
Speaker 4: there's any clear Elaite team this year. How many times

1009
00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:19,479
Speaker 4: I could say that this year, I've been saying since

1010
00:50:19,680 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 4: Week one, I don't think Oregon is one, even though

1011
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:26,600
Speaker 4: they're undefeated, and I don't have more than a field

1012
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:30,359
Speaker 4: goal separating these teams. I make this closer to two

1013
00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:33,359
Speaker 4: fish a little less than two one and a half two.

1014
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:36,000
Speaker 4: So you're gonna give me the hook here in a

1015
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:40,359
Speaker 4: game that I make that low, I'm taking it. And

1016
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 4: why are we assuming that this is big game?

1017
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 5: Big game?

1018
00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 4: Dan the Landing has lost a ton of small sandsars,

1019
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:49,560
Speaker 4: but a ton of big games. And in a way,

1020
00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:54,319
Speaker 4: Oregon like this game motivation wise, I'm sure that they're

1021
00:50:54,320 --> 00:50:57,520
Speaker 4: gonna want to win. And but in a way, they

1022
00:50:57,600 --> 00:51:00,960
Speaker 4: might be better off losing get the five seed. They

1023
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 4: lose this kid, they get the five seed. I mean

1024
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:06,839
Speaker 4: you might get Arizona State then Boise State instead of

1025
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:11,359
Speaker 4: like Ohio State or Tennessee in the second round. They're

1026
00:51:11,360 --> 00:51:13,359
Speaker 4: gonna try. I'm just saying they might end up being

1027
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:16,640
Speaker 4: better off. But this isn't necessarily a big game. Both

1028
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:18,880
Speaker 4: these seeds in the playoffs. Franklin can win this game,

1029
00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:22,359
Speaker 4: you'd still be small game James, people I make this too.

1030
00:51:23,320 --> 00:51:26,239
Speaker 4: Why do I kind of like it too? If these

1031
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:29,279
Speaker 4: teams played like six common opponents, you can clearly tell

1032
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,960
Speaker 4: the Penn State run defense is much better than you

1033
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:33,680
Speaker 4: can just look at the metrics, is much better than

1034
00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:36,839
Speaker 4: the Oregon I mean, look at thee like Perdue run

1035
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 4: for two forty on Oregon, look at Wisconsin, or I

1036
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 4: mean you can go down the list Illinois. I think

1037
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:45,800
Speaker 4: Illinois had like thirty two rushes for thirty two yards

1038
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:47,640
Speaker 4: against Penn State and thirty two rushs for one hundred

1039
00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:49,800
Speaker 4: and thirty two yards against Oregon. Don't quote me on that.

1040
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 4: I think it's somewhere in that ballpark. The Oregon run

1041
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:55,160
Speaker 4: defense is vulnerable. Do I think Penn State can run

1042
00:51:55,200 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 4: the ball. Yes, that's the whole key to this, because

1043
00:51:57,560 --> 00:52:02,200
Speaker 4: if they can't, aller known passing situations to be bad.

1044
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:04,279
Speaker 4: Because Oregon's passed, he's good. They don't have a ton

1045
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:05,719
Speaker 4: of all stars in the back end, but they're all

1046
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:08,640
Speaker 4: solid and they can get a pass rush without having

1047
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:11,759
Speaker 4: to send guys, so they know that there's you know,

1048
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:13,400
Speaker 4: then you can send a linebacker and there if you

1049
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:15,560
Speaker 4: know it's a passing situation. Penn State doesn't have the

1050
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 4: receivers to beat that. But I do think Penn State

1051
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 4: can run the ball. That's the key here. We'll see

1052
00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:25,359
Speaker 4: if Anthony Donka, the right tackle, being out is detrimental

1053
00:52:25,400 --> 00:52:28,040
Speaker 4: because Oregon does have really good pass rushers led by

1054
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:30,440
Speaker 4: Birch No. One Rouchie. That was concentrates for a whole

1055
00:52:30,440 --> 00:52:33,800
Speaker 4: step in. He started last week. Donkin's had other injuries

1056
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:36,279
Speaker 4: earlier this year, so he's played, but he's not as

1057
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 4: good as a drop off how big.

1058
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 5: We'll see.

1059
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:41,160
Speaker 4: He played well last week, but it was Maryland the

1060
00:52:41,160 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 4: Penn State offense. It's really just all about the scheme.

1061
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,439
Speaker 4: How is playing better. You have Warren the ultimate chess piece,

1062
00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:50,440
Speaker 4: will play quarterback, running back, tight end, wide, receiver and

1063
00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:53,960
Speaker 4: then Wallace is like your only legit wide receiver. This

1064
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:57,920
Speaker 4: offense really lacks explosiveness. Gott to drive it down the field,

1065
00:52:58,000 --> 00:52:59,080
Speaker 4: got to be able to run it. I think they're

1066
00:52:59,120 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 4: going to run it here, but they're not. They're gonna

1067
00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 4: lose the other side of the ball. I think the

1068
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:05,480
Speaker 4: Penn State defense is elite. You got Carter Harris King

1069
00:53:06,640 --> 00:53:09,920
Speaker 4: at all three levels that lead that unit. You cannot

1070
00:53:09,960 --> 00:53:13,319
Speaker 4: run on them. You have to hit explosive passes on

1071
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:16,160
Speaker 4: them through the air. But the Oregon offense is just

1072
00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 4: I know they got Tess Johnson back. He's a key

1073
00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:19,799
Speaker 4: to this game, but they've really lack exposed in this

1074
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 4: run pass game. I don't think I'm going to run it.

1075
00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:24,600
Speaker 4: They're gonna be non passing situations. I think Penn State

1076
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:28,120
Speaker 4: can get pressure. You pressure Gabriel, his numbers fall off

1077
00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 4: a cliff. It's been like that way his entire career.

1078
00:53:31,080 --> 00:53:33,520
Speaker 4: Organized does have really good tackles. I still some questions

1079
00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:37,520
Speaker 4: about the interior of that defensive line, So I don't

1080
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:39,000
Speaker 4: think James is gonna have a ton of success in

1081
00:53:39,040 --> 00:53:42,760
Speaker 4: the ground, and I think Penn State can pressure Gabriel

1082
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:47,960
Speaker 4: non passing situations. So yeah, I think this comes down

1083
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:50,719
Speaker 4: to Penn Sale have more success running the ball. I

1084
00:53:50,800 --> 00:53:53,520
Speaker 4: make it around two. I'm gonna take three and a half.

1085
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:57,719
Speaker 4: And by the way, Oregon's faced two good offenses all.

1086
00:53:57,680 --> 00:54:00,120
Speaker 5: Year, is that it?

1087
00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:00,919
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1088
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:05,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, Boise and Ohio State. Boise put up thirty four

1089
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:11,480
Speaker 4: and lost by three at Oregon. Ohio State put up

1090
00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:15,239
Speaker 4: thirty one and lost by one at Oregon. So the

1091
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:18,080
Speaker 4: only two you get offenses they faced all year, both

1092
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 4: at home, one by one, by one, one by three.

1093
00:54:20,880 --> 00:54:22,719
Speaker 4: They had two kick returns to touching against Bools. You know,

1094
00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:25,359
Speaker 4: it's a different team now, but they should probably should

1095
00:54:25,360 --> 00:54:27,279
Speaker 4: have lost that game, and they easily could have lost

1096
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 4: the game to Ohio State. So yeah, I mean it's

1097
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:35,000
Speaker 4: a team a couple of weeks ago barely beat Wisconsin.

1098
00:54:36,080 --> 00:54:40,640
Speaker 4: We're back on the landing, Fae Traine, I've gotten them.

1099
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,680
Speaker 4: Let's see and fade them this week. I'm getting you

1100
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:48,160
Speaker 4: this week, Dan, small game, James, give me the hook.

1101
00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:51,400
Speaker 2: I'm so uncomfortable with this, but I like Penn State.

1102
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:53,000
Speaker 2: I'm so uncomfortable with this.

1103
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:54,840
Speaker 5: Look a lot on board.

1104
00:54:55,400 --> 00:54:58,640
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, put it on the board and you

1105
00:54:58,760 --> 00:55:00,439
Speaker 2: put you and olv well, I guess I doesn't count,

1106
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,799
Speaker 2: but yeah, put this one on the board. Let me

1107
00:55:02,800 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 2: go ahead and say, like, Nick Singleton is running so

1108
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:07,799
Speaker 2: much better for Penn State right now. During the second

1109
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:11,040
Speaker 2: half of the season he had eight it's huge snagging. Yeah,

1110
00:55:11,080 --> 00:55:13,520
Speaker 2: he had a sagging number in yards after first contact

1111
00:55:13,600 --> 00:55:15,520
Speaker 2: for the first four to six games. I remember we

1112
00:55:15,560 --> 00:55:17,800
Speaker 2: handicapped that big time against Ohio State. Like, what happened

1113
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:19,719
Speaker 2: to the Nick Singleton that was averaging like five yards

1114
00:55:19,760 --> 00:55:22,359
Speaker 2: after first contact. He's beefed it up to three point

1115
00:55:22,360 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 2: five yards, So he is returned. Cody Cody. Nicky's best

1116
00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:29,200
Speaker 2: results for success rate explosives all year has been the

1117
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 2: power run concept with heavy prestat motion. You're going to

1118
00:55:32,040 --> 00:55:34,799
Speaker 2: see that here. Oregon's about fifty percent success rate in

1119
00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:38,200
Speaker 2: defending most run concepts, but they're terrible in short yard

1120
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:40,920
Speaker 2: situation defensively one hundred and fourteenth and stuff. Right, That

1121
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 2: means Penn State is going to get every first down

1122
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 2: that they want on short yards stuff. I think Tyler

1123
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:48,840
Speaker 2: Warren is the X factor here. He is brock Bauers.

1124
00:55:49,200 --> 00:55:52,760
Speaker 2: He is what brock Bauers was to Georgia. He's lined

1125
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,080
Speaker 2: up over fifty times on the line on the line

1126
00:55:55,080 --> 00:55:57,640
Speaker 2: with the offensive lineman as a wide out in the slot.

1127
00:55:57,880 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 2: He's all over the place. And why do I mention

1128
00:55:59,640 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 2: that being a huge factor here, Because Oregon's defense went

1129
00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:05,960
Speaker 2: up against Colston Loveland in Michigan and Colston Loveland hold

1130
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:10,480
Speaker 2: in seven of nine passes. The Ducks threw multiple defenders

1131
00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:13,960
Speaker 2: in zone at Loveland and just could not force a

1132
00:56:13,960 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 2: contested catch. So Tyler Warren's usage here is critical. Cotal

1133
00:56:18,080 --> 00:56:20,680
Speaker 2: Nicky's job should be graded on what Warren does in

1134
00:56:20,719 --> 00:56:24,000
Speaker 2: this spot because Pennesse should have success because if Oregon

1135
00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:28,600
Speaker 2: can't defend Colson Loveland and and you know telegraphing what

1136
00:56:28,680 --> 00:56:31,640
Speaker 2: Warren Davis is doing, I mean, come on, this is

1137
00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:33,920
Speaker 2: a much better offense than Tyler won. Okay, so on

1138
00:56:33,960 --> 00:56:36,359
Speaker 2: that side of the ball, Warren should have himself a day.

1139
00:56:36,360 --> 00:56:40,080
Speaker 2: I'd hit some props, rushing props, receiving props. When you

1140
00:56:40,120 --> 00:56:41,319
Speaker 2: go to the other side of the ball, he said, Well,

1141
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 2: Orgon's gonna have the offense going tes Johnson's going to

1142
00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:45,759
Speaker 2: be back. He caught all three of his targets that

1143
00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:49,000
Speaker 2: he had against Washington last week. I'm a little I

1144
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:51,520
Speaker 2: wish you washing on Gabriel's numbers only because like you

1145
00:56:51,600 --> 00:56:53,759
Speaker 2: read off his one point four percent turnover worthy play

1146
00:56:53,800 --> 00:56:55,760
Speaker 2: rate and then you realize he has the lowest average

1147
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 2: depth of target of his career. It's seven yards. Like

1148
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:00,640
Speaker 2: we've just got pa shooters out there inking and Duncan

1149
00:57:00,719 --> 00:57:03,640
Speaker 2: over the line of scrimmage. Penn State is going to

1150
00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:06,160
Speaker 2: have some success. I think also defending Jordan James, I mean,

1151
00:57:06,200 --> 00:57:08,799
Speaker 2: Oregon is all about zone Reid inside outside zone read

1152
00:57:08,840 --> 00:57:11,560
Speaker 2: the Nitney Lions are the second best defense in the nation.

1153
00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:13,319
Speaker 2: This is the stat that led me to Penn State,

1154
00:57:13,760 --> 00:57:17,320
Speaker 2: especially defensively, only one defense is better than Penn State.

1155
00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:21,640
Speaker 2: And allowing red zone rushing touchdowns, it's Iowa right, you

1156
00:57:21,720 --> 00:57:25,280
Speaker 2: do not rush for touchdowns against Penn State. That is

1157
00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:28,880
Speaker 2: really bad for Jordan James. I think there's potential for

1158
00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 2: him to get stopped at the goal line. I think

1159
00:57:30,240 --> 00:57:32,960
Speaker 2: there's potential for failed red zones here. Dan Lanning is

1160
00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:35,440
Speaker 2: such a gambler. Fourth and three doesn't matter what field

1161
00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:36,000
Speaker 2: position is.

1162
00:57:36,200 --> 00:57:39,120
Speaker 5: Give me some more Gabriel red zone picks, sure too.

1163
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:44,000
Speaker 2: I see Dan Lanning overplaying his hand and Penn State

1164
00:57:44,040 --> 00:57:46,280
Speaker 2: catching him. And if codl Nikki wants to earn his money.

1165
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:48,840
Speaker 2: He needs to get Tyler Warren in multiple places and

1166
00:57:48,920 --> 00:57:51,320
Speaker 2: create a little bit of chaos against a secondary that

1167
00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:53,400
Speaker 2: is going to pin their ears back and come after

1168
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:57,240
Speaker 2: Drew Aller. By the way, Stator Drew Aller does not

1169
00:57:57,320 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 2: have a single turnover worthy play and one hundred pressures

1170
00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:03,120
Speaker 2: this season, one hundred drop backs with pressure that I

1171
00:58:03,120 --> 00:58:04,960
Speaker 2: think that all plays out here. Plus we said it

1172
00:58:04,960 --> 00:58:07,680
Speaker 2: before we started hitting record. Oregon ain't coming out in

1173
00:58:07,680 --> 00:58:10,560
Speaker 2: those Buckeye colors, right, Penn State's going to be fine here.

1174
00:58:10,680 --> 00:58:11,880
Speaker 2: Penn State's going to be fine.

1175
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:17,880
Speaker 5: We are on the board a small game, Jays if

1176
00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:18,560
Speaker 5: this isn't a big game.

1177
00:58:18,640 --> 00:58:23,720
Speaker 4: By the way, I think Oregon will be better off

1178
00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 4: if they lose this game, especially if the five seed

1179
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:33,880
Speaker 4: breaks right and your path is easier, but not being undefeated,

1180
00:58:34,440 --> 00:58:40,440
Speaker 4: getting refocused, Landing can use that as fuel before the

1181
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:44,280
Speaker 4: college football playoff, you might get an easier path. Now

1182
00:58:44,280 --> 00:58:46,240
Speaker 4: it's kind of narrative, but they might be better off

1183
00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:48,320
Speaker 4: if they lose. They're not going to obviously try to win,

1184
00:58:48,440 --> 00:58:52,960
Speaker 4: but all right, one more game, the ACC Championship.

1185
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:56,240
Speaker 1: The ACC more than just cleansing.

1186
00:58:57,080 --> 00:59:01,800
Speaker 4: Saturday night, eight Eastern on ABC in Charlotte. We started

1187
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:07,720
Speaker 4: off our preseason pods Colin touting SMU. Good call, me

1188
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:08,880
Speaker 4: touting Clemson.

1189
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 2: Yep, good call.

1190
00:59:10,880 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 4: Thanks to Miami and Syracuse shut off Fran Brown. Thank

1191
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:18,400
Speaker 4: god Syracuse went over their wind total. At least they

1192
00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:23,120
Speaker 4: then did me a solid and got Clemson into the

1193
00:59:23,120 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 4: ACC title.

1194
00:59:25,160 --> 00:59:27,880
Speaker 5: Dabble by the Ways won eight straight ACC championships. But

1195
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 5: here we are here.

1196
00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:31,840
Speaker 6: We are always talk to you about having to earn it.

1197
00:59:32,320 --> 00:59:35,000
Speaker 6: Ain't nobody gonna give you nothing all week long. Everybody

1198
00:59:35,040 --> 00:59:37,080
Speaker 6: they just want to talk us and lose it. Man,

1199
00:59:37,120 --> 00:59:39,200
Speaker 6: you gotta go get it. You gotta earn it with

1200
00:59:39,320 --> 00:59:40,680
Speaker 6: a bunch of guts, a bunch of heart.

1201
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 5: Here we are both of our teams.

1202
00:59:43,840 --> 00:59:46,680
Speaker 4: We'll see if we go ahead to head SMU two

1203
00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:49,160
Speaker 4: and a half point favorite here, I think they opened

1204
00:59:49,160 --> 00:59:52,439
Speaker 4: some places of a three point underdog total fifty five

1205
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 4: and a half. All right, So I'm conflicted on this game.

1206
00:59:56,440 --> 01:00:00,080
Speaker 4: I'll tell you I make it a pick, but I

1207
01:00:00,080 --> 01:00:01,600
Speaker 4: can get three with Clemson. I don't know if I'm

1208
01:00:01,600 --> 01:00:04,400
Speaker 4: gonna head yet. I have Clemson playoff futures, ACC futures.

1209
01:00:04,680 --> 01:00:06,920
Speaker 4: Would I struggle with his SMU hasn't really played anybody.

1210
01:00:06,960 --> 01:00:09,480
Speaker 4: Their schedule has been soft, but Clemson has but every

1211
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:11,440
Speaker 4: time that they've played someone of the pulse, they've lost.

1212
01:00:12,080 --> 01:00:15,440
Speaker 4: So where where does SMU fit? I mean, then they

1213
01:00:15,560 --> 01:00:17,160
Speaker 4: could have easily beat South kind of but.

1214
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:18,640
Speaker 5: The end of the day they didn't.

1215
01:00:19,240 --> 01:00:21,440
Speaker 4: The Clemson offensive line is now all back. But how

1216
01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:23,440
Speaker 4: healthy are they, I don't know. They dealt with some injuries,

1217
01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:26,320
Speaker 4: they were shifting tackles, they had injuries at guard. They

1218
01:00:26,360 --> 01:00:29,200
Speaker 4: at least have all their guys back. We'll see how

1219
01:00:29,240 --> 01:00:33,240
Speaker 4: healthy they are against that SMU pass rush. Thee Clemson

1220
01:00:33,280 --> 01:00:36,640
Speaker 4: defense pass some players you know, Terrell Mickens, Carter, what

1221
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:39,600
Speaker 4: has Brown Parker off the edge, But as a whole,

1222
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:43,600
Speaker 4: their numbers are not Clemson like, especially against the run,

1223
01:00:44,280 --> 01:00:46,520
Speaker 4: like sixty fourth success rate outside the top one hundred

1224
01:00:46,520 --> 01:00:47,080
Speaker 4: and ePaper rush.

1225
01:00:47,120 --> 01:00:47,720
Speaker 5: You can get them on the.

1226
01:00:47,680 --> 01:00:51,880
Speaker 4: Ground, but SMU's offense, their rush offense is not efficient,

1227
01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:55,040
Speaker 4: and they have a really good back Shark Smith, but

1228
01:00:56,080 --> 01:00:58,040
Speaker 4: they don't really get explosives on the ground, and a

1229
01:00:58,040 --> 01:00:59,600
Speaker 4: lot of it's just they don't run block. They're run

1230
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:03,000
Speaker 4: blocking is not great and clumpsing is a tone of

1231
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:03,600
Speaker 4: run explosive.

1232
01:01:03,680 --> 01:01:06,040
Speaker 2: So it gets there, does it have to be in

1233
01:01:06,040 --> 01:01:06,760
Speaker 2: this game closing.

1234
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:09,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's a gay like ken SMU get it going.

1235
01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:14,600
Speaker 4: Because their their offensive line took a big step back

1236
01:01:14,640 --> 01:01:19,520
Speaker 4: this year. Uh, particularly at center and uh, I mean

1237
01:01:19,560 --> 01:01:22,560
Speaker 4: they lost Hickman and then who else said I think

1238
01:01:22,560 --> 01:01:24,600
Speaker 4: they lost their and they lost they did. Both their

1239
01:01:24,600 --> 01:01:26,760
Speaker 4: guards came back. Thus boat tackles the right tackle has

1240
01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:28,480
Speaker 4: been good. Their left tackle has been a disaster. But

1241
01:01:28,520 --> 01:01:30,480
Speaker 4: the run blocking the hole has not been good. This

1242
01:01:30,600 --> 01:01:32,720
Speaker 4: is like a you haven't seen sm It's like a

1243
01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:36,880
Speaker 4: power spread team. They air raid principles, want to spread

1244
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:40,160
Speaker 4: you out, go fast tempo, especially after first downs. A

1245
01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:44,960
Speaker 4: lot of eleven personnel mesh concepts is a the Malesan tree.

1246
01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:49,200
Speaker 4: I mean Bratt Lashley was with Mazan from a high

1247
01:01:49,200 --> 01:01:51,920
Speaker 4: school thank he's assistant, and then he was with them

1248
01:01:51,920 --> 01:01:54,919
Speaker 4: at Auburn. And for what it's where Dabo did get

1249
01:01:54,920 --> 01:01:57,040
Speaker 4: the better of lastly and shut down his offense in

1250
01:01:57,080 --> 01:02:00,320
Speaker 4: his two previous stops at Auburn and Miami. But Clemson

1251
01:02:00,320 --> 01:02:02,080
Speaker 4: had much better defenses and they had a much better

1252
01:02:02,120 --> 01:02:06,800
Speaker 4: defensive staff at the time with Venables. Yeah, with Venables.

1253
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,240
Speaker 2: There good, that's good.

1254
01:02:08,760 --> 01:02:10,120
Speaker 5: So that's interesting.

1255
01:02:10,160 --> 01:02:12,200
Speaker 4: The Clemson secondary is much better than the Rundy, which

1256
01:02:12,200 --> 01:02:15,920
Speaker 4: I think is important here. Can Jennings take advantage or

1257
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:18,440
Speaker 4: will he finally miss r J Maryland. The wide receiver

1258
01:02:18,520 --> 01:02:20,720
Speaker 4: room won't value a talent, but it's really solid and

1259
01:02:20,800 --> 01:02:22,800
Speaker 4: really deep. You can't just focus on any one guy

1260
01:02:22,800 --> 01:02:24,720
Speaker 4: to take them away. They just have a lot of

1261
01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:27,880
Speaker 4: depth there and it's a well schemed offense. On the

1262
01:02:27,920 --> 01:02:29,919
Speaker 4: other side of the ball, the SMU Rundy's really good.

1263
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:34,880
Speaker 4: Their safeties are great. They're deep there. McGill gobia either.

1264
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 4: Rundy's just outstanding. Their top five EPA for rush. They

1265
01:02:37,520 --> 01:02:39,920
Speaker 4: got a good d line full of powerful transfers. I mean,

1266
01:02:40,080 --> 01:02:43,240
Speaker 4: but it's like X Miami players. Harrison Hunt, Harvey, Elijah

1267
01:02:43,320 --> 01:02:45,160
Speaker 4: Roberts is a stud they all used to be at Miami.

1268
01:02:45,680 --> 01:02:49,120
Speaker 4: Good linebackers, Walker and Wilson, and then those safeties. You

1269
01:02:49,120 --> 01:02:51,840
Speaker 4: can stop the run, they get sacks, they get tackles

1270
01:02:51,880 --> 01:02:54,560
Speaker 4: for loss. You have to beat their corners. That's the

1271
01:02:54,600 --> 01:02:57,640
Speaker 4: weakness that's outside of corner outside top one hundred and

1272
01:02:57,640 --> 01:03:01,360
Speaker 4: pass explosiveness allowed. They really missed Charles Is Woods at corneries.

1273
01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 4: Now with the Rams Clubnick's a good deep thrower. Can

1274
01:03:06,160 --> 01:03:09,080
Speaker 4: their wide receivers win on the outside. That's what I

1275
01:03:09,080 --> 01:03:11,720
Speaker 4: think this game comes down to for Clemson. Can Westco

1276
01:03:11,800 --> 01:03:15,240
Speaker 4: and more step up help out Williams. That's gonna be

1277
01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:17,400
Speaker 4: the key here. Can they win those battles? And can

1278
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:20,680
Speaker 4: Clemson protect Clubnick enough? How healthy is that offensive line?

1279
01:03:20,840 --> 01:03:25,040
Speaker 4: Can they stop that SMU pass rush, that SMU defensive

1280
01:03:25,040 --> 01:03:28,680
Speaker 4: line who can really get into the backfield. I do

1281
01:03:28,800 --> 01:03:33,960
Speaker 4: think ultimately maybe Clemson is just better equip to take

1282
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:37,920
Speaker 4: advantage of SMU's pass explosive d isssues than SMU can

1283
01:03:37,960 --> 01:03:41,200
Speaker 4: the Russ exposed decisis. But I don't know. I don't

1284
01:03:41,240 --> 01:03:43,560
Speaker 4: have a ton of great data points with SMU. They've

1285
01:03:43,560 --> 01:03:45,160
Speaker 4: also played a lot of teams with a lot of

1286
01:03:45,160 --> 01:03:49,120
Speaker 4: injuries on defense in the secondary. Jennings also doesn't really

1287
01:03:49,200 --> 01:03:52,840
Speaker 4: run much, and that was we saw how much issue

1288
01:03:52,880 --> 01:03:56,160
Speaker 4: clem how many issues Clemson had last week with Sellers.

1289
01:03:57,200 --> 01:04:02,080
Speaker 4: I do also believe Clemson has all the intent, agible benefits,

1290
01:04:02,520 --> 01:04:06,320
Speaker 4: house money. Maybe they're going to be here renewed sense

1291
01:04:06,320 --> 01:04:08,800
Speaker 4: of life. They're playing in Charlotte, they have the coaching

1292
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:15,680
Speaker 4: experience being in an ACENC championship. Uh ask Tomi really

1293
01:04:15,720 --> 01:04:19,320
Speaker 4: heavily penalized team Clemson not guess he's one hundred and

1294
01:04:19,320 --> 01:04:22,720
Speaker 4: thirtyth penalties comps in thirty five games in Charlotte. As

1295
01:04:22,720 --> 01:04:25,840
Speaker 4: I mentioned, HESMI does have a special team's edge that

1296
01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:29,040
Speaker 4: could matter in a close game. But I'm conflicted on

1297
01:04:29,080 --> 01:04:30,440
Speaker 4: this game. But I do make it a coin flip

1298
01:04:30,440 --> 01:04:34,200
Speaker 4: with leaf Clemson under side on the hedge, would bet

1299
01:04:34,240 --> 01:04:35,000
Speaker 4: Clemson at three.

1300
01:04:35,720 --> 01:04:37,440
Speaker 6: I mean, I know what losing feels like.

1301
01:04:37,880 --> 01:04:39,560
Speaker 2: I got a very clear picture of that.

1302
01:04:39,640 --> 01:04:42,400
Speaker 6: It's much better to win if it ain't fun to win.

1303
01:04:42,920 --> 01:04:44,880
Speaker 6: Well man, that's a sad state of affairs.

1304
01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:47,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, for those of you that have like twenty twenty

1305
01:04:47,360 --> 01:04:48,920
Speaker 2: two to ones on SMU out there, like I do,

1306
01:04:49,080 --> 01:04:51,560
Speaker 2: I did a four X on Clemson on the plus

1307
01:04:51,680 --> 01:04:55,240
Speaker 2: two with the points with the hopes of middling that

1308
01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:58,720
Speaker 2: so comes to misf extra point. Yeah. Yeah, anything like

1309
01:04:58,760 --> 01:05:00,240
Speaker 2: that is going to be a huge day in the

1310
01:05:00,240 --> 01:05:05,520
Speaker 2: Wilson House. I think everything you said is legitimately the

1311
01:05:05,600 --> 01:05:08,680
Speaker 2: handicap on both sides of the ball because Clemson I

1312
01:05:08,760 --> 01:05:10,840
Speaker 2: just don't see them being able to run the ball.

1313
01:05:10,880 --> 01:05:13,280
Speaker 2: I mean, SEU is a fifty seven percent success rate

1314
01:05:13,360 --> 01:05:17,360
Speaker 2: defensively against the inside zone encounter that Clemson likes to run.

1315
01:05:17,520 --> 01:05:19,600
Speaker 2: I don't think Phil MafA and k Clubnick running those

1316
01:05:19,680 --> 01:05:22,560
Speaker 2: run concepts are going to have any kind of success whatsoever.

1317
01:05:22,600 --> 01:05:24,120
Speaker 4: I mean, I just sill the other offensive line is

1318
01:05:24,120 --> 01:05:25,960
Speaker 4: gonna get great push either right.

1319
01:05:25,960 --> 01:05:28,640
Speaker 2: And SBU's top twenty five and defending rush EPA like,

1320
01:05:28,680 --> 01:05:30,320
Speaker 2: I just don't think you're going to get anything big here.

1321
01:05:30,320 --> 01:05:32,840
Speaker 2: And then when you go to you know, the throw

1322
01:05:32,880 --> 01:05:35,440
Speaker 2: game of club Nick, that's where you know, SMU does

1323
01:05:35,440 --> 01:05:36,760
Speaker 2: a lot of Cover three, they do a lot of

1324
01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:39,720
Speaker 2: quarters and Clubnick's about mid fbs against that. And I

1325
01:05:39,760 --> 01:05:41,440
Speaker 2: think Bryant Westco is going to be the biggest part

1326
01:05:41,480 --> 01:05:42,880
Speaker 2: of this offense. I think he's the one that can

1327
01:05:42,920 --> 01:05:45,680
Speaker 2: take advantage of an SMU defense that is almost just

1328
01:05:45,720 --> 01:05:47,960
Speaker 2: barely slipped in the top fifty and defend and creating

1329
01:05:47,960 --> 01:05:52,760
Speaker 2: contested catches. So the Clemson targets should have clean, clean

1330
01:05:52,840 --> 01:05:55,520
Speaker 2: balls and should have space to make something happen. I

1331
01:05:55,560 --> 01:05:57,240
Speaker 2: just don't think it's going to be enough because on

1332
01:05:57,240 --> 01:05:59,840
Speaker 2: the other side of the ball, Clemson is so atrocious

1333
01:05:59,840 --> 01:06:03,400
Speaker 2: and offending rush explosives and Burchard Smith is just on

1334
01:06:03,480 --> 01:06:07,120
Speaker 2: a mission here. Thirteen percent of their rushing attempts having

1335
01:06:07,200 --> 01:06:10,560
Speaker 2: explosive play. You know, the zone right here is going

1336
01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:12,320
Speaker 2: to be what they look for. And you know you

1337
01:06:12,360 --> 01:06:13,560
Speaker 2: mentioned r J merriland he's.

1338
01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:15,960
Speaker 4: Stagers watching him out of the backfield too. He's like

1339
01:06:16,160 --> 01:06:17,040
Speaker 4: the passing game.

1340
01:06:18,240 --> 01:06:20,120
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I think the other thing that's that's working

1341
01:06:20,120 --> 01:06:23,560
Speaker 2: in favor Kevin Jennings, by the way, could play shortstop

1342
01:06:23,600 --> 01:06:25,640
Speaker 2: for most Major League Baseball teams. I think he throws.

1343
01:06:25,920 --> 01:06:27,800
Speaker 2: He could throw a baseball probably one hundred and five

1344
01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:31,120
Speaker 2: miles an hour. He's got a freaking rocket arm. Well.

1345
01:06:31,120 --> 01:06:33,400
Speaker 4: Of the biggest difference to Jennings has provided, like I mentioned,

1346
01:06:33,440 --> 01:06:36,040
Speaker 4: doesn't run, is that the offensive line is not as

1347
01:06:36,040 --> 01:06:38,160
Speaker 4: good the left tackles, but disaster center's on is good.

1348
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:44,200
Speaker 4: His mobility in just navigating the pressure that SMU cannot

1349
01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:48,479
Speaker 4: allow at times and dealing with that and then getting

1350
01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:52,440
Speaker 4: the ball down field bying time something that Stone couldn't.

1351
01:06:53,000 --> 01:06:55,760
Speaker 4: That's one of the things that is kind of that

1352
01:06:55,880 --> 01:06:58,680
Speaker 4: kind of jump started SMU after the buye when they

1353
01:06:58,760 --> 01:07:01,920
Speaker 4: made the full quarterback switch. His mobility and ability to

1354
01:07:01,960 --> 01:07:05,800
Speaker 4: evade sacks and pressures in the pocket. Because this offensive

1355
01:07:05,800 --> 01:07:08,439
Speaker 4: line has taken a step back from last year, right

1356
01:07:08,560 --> 01:07:11,880
Speaker 4: that's been the biggest difference with Jennings Well, yous a

1357
01:07:11,920 --> 01:07:12,440
Speaker 4: rocket arm.

1358
01:07:13,040 --> 01:07:15,360
Speaker 2: You mentioned r J Maryland going down earlier in the season.

1359
01:07:15,360 --> 01:07:17,320
Speaker 2: For SMU, he was the top target on the team,

1360
01:07:17,360 --> 01:07:19,720
Speaker 2: no doubt. But there might be a star in the

1361
01:07:19,720 --> 01:07:22,560
Speaker 2: making here because wide receiver Roger Daniels started filling out

1362
01:07:22,560 --> 01:07:25,280
Speaker 2: the slot becoming the main guy two point two yards

1363
01:07:25,320 --> 01:07:28,880
Speaker 2: per route run that is explosive. Early downs have not

1364
01:07:29,040 --> 01:07:32,360
Speaker 2: been great for Clemson on defense. That gives me a

1365
01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,840
Speaker 2: lot of positive signal that SMU, who is ninth in

1366
01:07:35,880 --> 01:07:38,880
Speaker 2: the country an offensive momentum killer, is going to be

1367
01:07:38,880 --> 01:07:42,040
Speaker 2: able to just simply have methodical drives and mix in

1368
01:07:42,080 --> 01:07:45,720
Speaker 2: a couple of explosives. I like SMU a lot here,

1369
01:07:45,720 --> 01:07:49,600
Speaker 2: I mean futures aside, everything aside. I think SMU should

1370
01:07:49,600 --> 01:07:52,640
Speaker 2: be favored over a field goal. So I like SMU

1371
01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:53,960
Speaker 2: here in the points.

1372
01:07:55,800 --> 01:07:57,680
Speaker 5: Let's go ahead to might as well go ahead to

1373
01:07:57,720 --> 01:07:59,120
Speaker 5: have a longer time or.

1374
01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,120
Speaker 2: Just doing my future, your future. And I gotta swallow

1375
01:08:01,120 --> 01:08:05,800
Speaker 2: the two, law, Yeah, you gotta swallow the two.

1376
01:08:05,800 --> 01:08:07,320
Speaker 5: I mean you have you have twenty two to one.

1377
01:08:07,320 --> 01:08:08,600
Speaker 5: I don't know that good, So I'm gonna make you

1378
01:08:08,640 --> 01:08:09,240
Speaker 5: swallow the two.

1379
01:08:09,440 --> 01:08:12,080
Speaker 2: How was the twenty two to one minus two two and.

1380
01:08:12,080 --> 01:08:14,360
Speaker 5: A half making you swallow two and a half. That's

1381
01:08:14,360 --> 01:08:15,360
Speaker 5: the current numbers.

1382
01:08:15,760 --> 01:08:18,320
Speaker 2: I mean, I need this because that the hate on

1383
01:08:18,479 --> 01:08:21,280
Speaker 2: SMU the first month of our podcasting was bad. I

1384
01:08:21,360 --> 01:08:21,960
Speaker 2: need this win.

1385
01:08:23,040 --> 01:08:25,080
Speaker 4: I need this so I could laugh at you again.

1386
01:08:25,439 --> 01:08:29,600
Speaker 4: Uh it's a dabbo podcast, baby, all right, that'll do

1387
01:08:29,680 --> 01:08:35,519
Speaker 4: it for us. All nine games Conference Championship weekend broken

1388
01:08:35,560 --> 01:08:41,639
Speaker 4: down the board transparency Penn State only agree thirty two

1389
01:08:41,640 --> 01:08:44,120
Speaker 4: and twenty one on the air over sixty percent head

1390
01:08:44,160 --> 01:08:48,559
Speaker 4: to head. Colin Leeds smuverse Clemson as it should be.

1391
01:08:49,120 --> 01:08:51,080
Speaker 4: Trash finished six twenty one and twelve. By the way,

1392
01:08:51,160 --> 01:08:53,960
Speaker 4: sixty three one. No more trash this year. It will

1393
01:08:54,000 --> 01:08:55,960
Speaker 4: be back last year and thank you for the reviews.

1394
01:08:56,000 --> 01:08:59,639
Speaker 4: By the way, there were enough reviews that we will

1395
01:08:59,680 --> 01:09:02,599
Speaker 4: be keeping the transparancy board moving forward. Be a staple

1396
01:09:02,640 --> 01:09:06,200
Speaker 4: of the show. Appreciate those reviews. Make sure you subscribe

1397
01:09:06,240 --> 01:09:09,320
Speaker 4: on subscribe subscribe Hello friend, tell on end to me.

1398
01:09:09,800 --> 01:09:12,840
Speaker 4: Go to our YouTube channel BBOC make sure you have

1399
01:09:12,920 --> 01:09:14,680
Speaker 4: to subscribe on there. Even if you don't listen live

1400
01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:16,840
Speaker 4: show ten thirty am, you're still on Saturday. Group of

1401
01:09:16,880 --> 01:09:21,040
Speaker 4: five guys, make sure you check out their episode. We'll

1402
01:09:21,040 --> 01:09:23,040
Speaker 4: be back with our first Bowl preview early next week

1403
01:09:23,200 --> 01:09:25,280
Speaker 4: because there's a Bowl nex Saturday with the Army Nay game.

1404
01:09:26,760 --> 01:09:27,599
Speaker 5: That'll do it for us.

1405
01:09:29,000 --> 01:09:31,599
Speaker 4: Thanks for tuning in, Good luck on any pending futures,

1406
01:09:31,640 --> 01:09:32,799
Speaker 4: all of your bets this weekend.

1407
01:09:33,800 --> 01:09:36,920
Speaker 5: Let's have a weekend cheers. He's out.

1408
01:09:37,439 --> 01:09:37,920
Speaker 2: That's good.

1409
01:09:44,880 --> 01:09:49,439
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1410
01:09:49,439 --> 01:09:52,240
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1411
01:09:52,280 --> 01:09:55,400
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler