WEBVTT - From Tariffs to Total Control | A Conversation with David Pakman

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to this conversation on the Warning, and I am

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<v Speaker 1>really pleased to be joined by my friend David Pacman

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<v Speaker 1>of the David Pacman Show, one of the great independent

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<v Speaker 1>media broadcasts and one of the first sizeable, at scale

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<v Speaker 1>independent media broadcasts and substacks. And we're all following in

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<v Speaker 1>David's footsteps in a lot of ways. I know I've

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<v Speaker 1>learned a lot from him listening to them, and and

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<v Speaker 1>have benefited a lot as we've built the Warning community.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I'm really thrilled to welcome David here as

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<v Speaker 1>our audience grows a little bit tonight, David, welcome. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to I wanted to ask you, as we come

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<v Speaker 1>up on the one hundred and seventy five day mark

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<v Speaker 1>of all of this, how you see things in the circus,

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<v Speaker 1>the fight such as it is, the scale of wreckage

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<v Speaker 1>such as it is, is how I imagine it to be.

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<v Speaker 1>Just we'll keep expanding. And so this week today, when

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<v Speaker 1>you look out there, what what? What? What do you

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<v Speaker 1>have your eye on as most worrisome in the moment,

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that you look at And for me, even

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<v Speaker 1>though I am not surprised by anything, I still look

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<v Speaker 1>at it and I say wow, and experiencing it is

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<v Speaker 1>different than anticipating it and feeling the anxiety and the

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<v Speaker 1>worry and the dread is different than at It is

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<v Speaker 1>different in its arrival and it's and it's feeling than

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<v Speaker 1>anticipating it. So so what do you what do you

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<v Speaker 1>see when you look at out there and well, what

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<v Speaker 1>do you have? You're kind of oh my god, eyes

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<v Speaker 1>you know, drawn too right now?

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<v Speaker 2>So two categories, the authoritarianism and the economy and the

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<v Speaker 2>economic stuff. I'll start with the economic stuff because it's

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<v Speaker 2>sort of clearer cut.

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<v Speaker 3>In a way.

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<v Speaker 2>I've always been super honest with my audience, whether it's

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<v Speaker 2>a Democrat or Republican in the White House, I'm just

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<v Speaker 2>going to tell you what's GDP, what's unemployment? Where's the

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<v Speaker 2>stock market? Inflation? These sort of metrics. There are a

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<v Speaker 2>couple of concerning economic metrics, but a lot of them

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<v Speaker 2>are actually okay ish. Now, the big one that's a

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<v Speaker 2>concern is Q one GDP was down.

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<v Speaker 3>We are now in Q two.

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<v Speaker 2>Q two GDP may also end up being down, will

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<v Speaker 2>know around July twentieth and two consecutive GDP decline quarters

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<v Speaker 2>would be bad. But despite inflation fears inflation's actually been

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<v Speaker 2>stable despite unemployment fears. Unemployment's actually been stable. Gas prices

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<v Speaker 2>have been basically flat since Trump took over. So if

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<v Speaker 2>I just do like an honest assessment of the metrics

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<v Speaker 2>concerning signs, but some of the big indicators, okay for now,

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<v Speaker 2>But this tariff impact is not even close to fully

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<v Speaker 2>felt yet. I mean, it's are they on, are they off?

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<v Speaker 2>It depends on the day. What's the Okay, So the

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<v Speaker 2>economic stuff is concerning trajectory, okay, ish for now. The

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<v Speaker 2>authoritarianism bucket is extraordinarily disturbing. And there are so many

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<v Speaker 2>different aspects to this, and we can focus in on

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<v Speaker 2>any of them. But of course there's the hostility and

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<v Speaker 2>attacks on a free press, the ignoring of due process,

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<v Speaker 2>the unilateral decisions, no matter what the judiciary says, no

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<v Speaker 2>matter what it would mean to actually follow law and order,

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<v Speaker 2>unilateral actions. Also internally within the federal government, the firings,

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<v Speaker 2>the saying we're going to totally upend or even destroy

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<v Speaker 2>your kneecap entire agencies, etc. I don't have to give

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<v Speaker 2>you the full list, but sort of like bucket number

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<v Speaker 2>two is the authoritarianism bucket. I'm way more concerned there

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<v Speaker 2>in the immediate than I am about the economic stuff.

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<v Speaker 2>But that doesn't mean the economic stuff won't get much worse.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you have any doubt about the trajectory of where

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<v Speaker 1>the economic stuff goes at this point? When you look

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<v Speaker 1>ahead a year from now.

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<v Speaker 2>If the tariffs in their most extreme iteration are solidified

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<v Speaker 2>and start to take effect, there's no doubt whatsoever it

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<v Speaker 2>will be reduced hiring, higher prices, stagnant or declining, stock

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<v Speaker 2>market continue, GDP declines. I mean, there's just no way

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<v Speaker 2>you can do a blanket import tax and not have

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<v Speaker 2>it trickle down the way the most basic economics, whether

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<v Speaker 2>you follow you know, Richard Woolf for Thomas sol right,

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<v Speaker 2>if you just put a blanket import tax on everything,

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<v Speaker 2>there's really only one way that that can go. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>Trump and the people around him have crafted this sort

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<v Speaker 2>of justification, which is that may happen in the short term,

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<v Speaker 2>but as the supply chains are on reshort or on

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<v Speaker 2>short everything's going to sort itself out. The problem with

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<v Speaker 2>that is a lot of these industries require eight to

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<v Speaker 2>twelve years to reshore. Until you actually build that capacity,

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<v Speaker 2>everything will still cost way more. And that's not also

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<v Speaker 2>even feasible when it has to do with natural resources

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<v Speaker 2>that just aren't necessarily found geographically within American borders. So

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<v Speaker 2>you can't even really do that with all industries. So

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<v Speaker 2>that's the theoretical justification. It's not a three and a

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<v Speaker 2>half year possibility, which is what Trump has left, so

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<v Speaker 2>we know the effect will be over the next three

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<v Speaker 2>and a half years.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things when I think about the economy

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<v Speaker 1>and I think about all of the rhetoric and all

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<v Speaker 1>of the empty promises around, really three things to me

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<v Speaker 1>that stand out. It's that Trump will make declarations lively

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<v Speaker 1>that I've landed a trillion dollar deal, seven trillion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>from the Emiratis, eight trillion from the Kataris, and there

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<v Speaker 1>won't be a dollar of this ever ever seen. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think any of it is real. And when I

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<v Speaker 1>conjecture ahead, well, what I see is a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>impact that's coming, I think it's I think it's too

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<v Speaker 1>late too. I think it's too late to stop it.

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<v Speaker 1>But when Trump talks about the reshoring, the jobs and

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<v Speaker 1>everything that that's coming back, I think this is all nonsense, right,

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<v Speaker 1>none of it's real, you know. But I think about

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<v Speaker 1>one are the things that clearly drives Trump crazy psychologically,

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<v Speaker 1>and like some of Trump's behaviors, right, it's not ungrounded

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<v Speaker 1>in total delusion, right, I mean, it's not grounded in

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<v Speaker 1>total delusion. Right. He has a reason for his peak,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's about Air Force one. Right. So, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think about this and I thank god, right, or we're

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<v Speaker 1>in big trouble, right if this country has to fight

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<v Speaker 1>a war. And I don't. I don't have an answer

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<v Speaker 1>to this question. Truthfully, I don't know why, right, things

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<v Speaker 1>have gone off the rails like this in the country.

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<v Speaker 1>But to some degree, I think it's why Trump has

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<v Speaker 1>wound up as a demagogue in there. And it's that

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<v Speaker 1>somebody obviously told him in twenty sixteen that there's a

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<v Speaker 1>new Air Force one coming, right, And it's twenty twenty five, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's no new Air Force one?

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 1>He can't comprehend, right, why over right? The ten years? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>The planes not ready? Right, there's two planes and two

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<v Speaker 1>seven forty sevens. They can't get them ready over a decade.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think it's like he wants it, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think he cares about the stuff he wants, but it does.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's a legitimate question, right, White Boeing can't make

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<v Speaker 1>these two planes right over the over the ten years.

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<v Speaker 1>So when we talk about this reshoring business in the

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<v Speaker 1>way that Howard Ludnik talks about it, I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's all madness. But we'll see how it

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<v Speaker 1>plays out. People will feel it. The economy, as we've

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<v Speaker 1>talked about before, is not something that you lecture to people.

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<v Speaker 1>It's about how they feel about their security, about prices,

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<v Speaker 1>about wages, about jobs, about opportunities. So really ominous signs

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<v Speaker 1>in the housing market across the board. I'm real worrisome things,

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<v Speaker 1>but I have to I have to tell you there's

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<v Speaker 1>there's nothing for me right now that is more troubling

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<v Speaker 1>than the appearance of federal agents with night vision goggles

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<v Speaker 1>on in the middle of the day on commercial airliners.

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<v Speaker 1>Is their coast playing Navy Seal and Delta force when

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<v Speaker 1>they're at the bottom of the federal law enforcement barrel

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<v Speaker 1>right the dregs of the pack, and it's unacceptable. The

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<v Speaker 1>long rifles, the throwing of flash bangs in San Diego,

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<v Speaker 1>the masks, the costumes in the United States of America.

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<v Speaker 1>And when I say there's nothing more disturbing to it,

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<v Speaker 1>the possible exception is the lack of outcry over it

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<v Speaker 1>by the leadership of the Democrats in Washington. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know if you think I'm on if I'm unfair on that,

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<v Speaker 1>but but when you see these guys, and I mean guys,

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<v Speaker 1>it's mostly guys heavily tattooed, mass up the blood type

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<v Speaker 1>on the on the velcrode patch, which is, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>standard operating procedure for a special operator in Iraq. They

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<v Speaker 1>used to tape it around there, tape it around their boots,

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<v Speaker 1>and so none of this is necessary if you're raiding

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<v Speaker 1>restaurants in Washington, DC or suburban San Diego. But but

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<v Speaker 1>what do you make about it? It's it's so obvious

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<v Speaker 1>to me, right that it's about instilling fear, and and

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<v Speaker 1>that this is very deliberately uh moved to turn federal

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<v Speaker 1>law enforcement into that proverbial jack booted government thugs, a

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<v Speaker 1>storm trooper force. It's just unacceptable, And I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>how you feel about it, but I'm real curious to

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<v Speaker 1>hear you.

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<v Speaker 3>No, I feel the same way.

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<v Speaker 2>It's the sort of twentieth century authoritarian playbook of shock

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<v Speaker 2>troops and making people afraid, and it's sadly, I wish

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<v Speaker 2>it weren't a playbook that we were so familiar with

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<v Speaker 2>and that had been studied so extensively during the twentieth century.

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<v Speaker 2>I think the other thing that comes out to me

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<v Speaker 2>to not repeat what you said, which I mostly agree with.

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<v Speaker 2>There's another aspect to this, which is I have a

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<v Speaker 2>chapter in my book, and I talk extensively on my

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<v Speaker 2>show about how I don't find that much value in

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<v Speaker 2>engaging with this movement on their so called first principles

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<v Speaker 2>and on the theoretical philosophical level, because as soon as

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<v Speaker 2>it's inconvenient to their immediate goals, those principles are abandoned.

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<v Speaker 2>And you see that happening here. You limit the power

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<v Speaker 2>of the federal government, well not when you have others

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<v Speaker 2>that you want to achieve, and we've seen this so

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<v Speaker 2>many times, right, keep the government out of business, regulation,

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<v Speaker 2>keep the government out of people's lives. As soon as

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<v Speaker 2>it becomes counter to their immediate goals and what they've

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<v Speaker 2>been able to convince the core of their base that

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<v Speaker 2>would be good for them, those principles immediately go out

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<v Speaker 2>the window.

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<v Speaker 3>And so what was the.

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<v Speaker 2>Value in actually debating the principles with them? Because they

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<v Speaker 2>don't even believe them beyond just having something to say

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<v Speaker 2>as soon as it becomes inconvenient.

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<v Speaker 3>And this is just another reminder of that.

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<v Speaker 2>Because every aspect of this they claim to be the

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<v Speaker 2>constitutional conservatives, they claim to be for law and order,

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<v Speaker 2>they claim to be for limited federal power. All of

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<v Speaker 2>these things go out the window because now they've got

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<v Speaker 2>a new project, absent a serious policy approach where maybe

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<v Speaker 2>we'll talk about the big beautiful bill, but that's the

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<v Speaker 2>only real thing that is even on the table. So

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<v Speaker 2>absent that, they go, let's abandon all of those stated principles.

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<v Speaker 2>Here's how we're going to execute this immigration, whatever you

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<v Speaker 2>want to call it, and all those principles no longer matter.

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<v Speaker 1>When you look at the Republican Party. I mean, so

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<v Speaker 1>when I hear you talking about the party, the Republican Party,

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<v Speaker 1>to me, it's so far gone at this point. And

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<v Speaker 1>I've talked about this for ten years, and the trajectory

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<v Speaker 1>of this is just beyond dispute, and I just want

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<v Speaker 1>to put myself in agreement with you. It's that the

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<v Speaker 1>Republican Party became a hollow party, principal less, and as

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<v Speaker 1>a principal less party, it became susceptible to MAGA and

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<v Speaker 1>to trump Ism. And there were a lot of conservatives,

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<v Speaker 1>such as they were, but we now understand it was

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<v Speaker 1>most performative group think that this is the lane I

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<v Speaker 1>have to operate in or swim in, however you think

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<v Speaker 1>about it, in order to advance myself. But but all

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<v Speaker 1>of those people at whatever level have made accommodations to

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<v Speaker 1>Trump into MAGA. And what happens in every instance when

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<v Speaker 1>fascism comes to power, this is a fascist regime. There's

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<v Speaker 1>no dispute about that at this point. Is that it's

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<v Speaker 1>conservatives who bring them to power and a coalition, and

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<v Speaker 1>the first thing that happens is the fascist completely devour

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<v Speaker 1>the conservatives, right, so there is no conservative party. I

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<v Speaker 1>talk about this with with the warning audience you know

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<v Speaker 1>from you know from time to time, is that it's

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<v Speaker 1>really hard to understand what these numbers mean, right, A billion,

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<v Speaker 1>a million. And the best way that I've ever heard

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<v Speaker 1>anyone explain it is that if I say to you,

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<v Speaker 1>let's talk again in a million seconds, that's in twelve days.

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<v Speaker 1>If that conversation goes bad and I say let's make

0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 1>it a billion seconds, that's thirty three years. A trillion

0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:24.760
<v Speaker 1>seconds is thirty three thousand years from now. That's the

0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 1>difference between a billion and a trillion. And this big,

0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:34.840
<v Speaker 1>beautiful bill monstrosity adds trillions of dollars to the debt.

0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Now you have a supposedly once conservative party's making the

0:15:39.240 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 1>argument there should be no attention paid to any deficit,

0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 1>any debt spending. We should get rid of all limits

0:15:46.880 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>on the debt spending. So it's not a conservative party.

0:15:50.280 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 1>It's an extremist party. It's a radical party. And it's

0:15:54.720 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 1>the greatest welfare party in American history with the amount

0:15:59.920 --> 0:16:05.600
<v Speaker 1>of money that it's transferring regressively from the American people

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:10.800
<v Speaker 1>to the wealthiest human beings who have ever walked on

0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 1>the face of the earth. And at the core right

0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:19.720
<v Speaker 1>this bill can properly be described has never so much

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 1>been taken by so many, by so few, for the

0:16:25.040 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 1>benefit of even fewer. And it's an extraordinary it's an

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:35.320
<v Speaker 1>extraordinary moment. But the most disturbing one to me is

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:40.680
<v Speaker 1>the plain use of force that appears to be escalating

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 1>on the orders of Stephen Miller, who's directing this from

0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>the White House. I think it's abore it that he

0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 1>be named he's unelected, he's extreme, he's belligerent, he's not

0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 1>confirmed to anything. His policy is being directed out of

0:16:58.280 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 1>the White House. He is wreck and cabinet secretaries that

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:08.359
<v Speaker 1>whole constitutional offices with statutory responsibilities for the execution of

0:17:08.400 --> 0:17:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the laws within those offices that are that are routinely

0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:19.080
<v Speaker 1>being broken. Uh. And so we have an enormous problem, uh,

0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:23.520
<v Speaker 1>with with all of this right now? What what what

0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>are you looking for a Democratic leader or some governor

0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:29.959
<v Speaker 1>or some somebody to go out and to say and

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.800
<v Speaker 1>where should they say it? Well, in a perfect world, well,

0:17:33.880 --> 0:17:36.760
<v Speaker 1>what what? What does? What? What do you see happen

0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>right for for somebody in this country to step forwarded

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.560
<v Speaker 1>and and call this out? Well, that's really the question

0:17:45.720 --> 0:17:47.359
<v Speaker 1>to be and what needs to be said.

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:52.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know, that's the question I've been bringing to that.

0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:53.720
<v Speaker 3>That's my concern too.

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:59.440
<v Speaker 2>And just opposing Trump and trump Ism is not enough.

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:02.520
<v Speaker 2>That's clear that has failed as an approach for the

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:04.680
<v Speaker 2>Democratic Party. And so over the last month and a

0:18:04.720 --> 0:18:09.639
<v Speaker 2>half two months, I've interviewed everybody from Senators Corey Booker,

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:16.440
<v Speaker 2>Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobashar, Governor's Kathy hokeel Phil Murphy from

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:19.520
<v Speaker 2>New Jersey Today, Gavin Newsom, I'm asking all of them

0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:25.240
<v Speaker 2>some version of that question, and if I'm honest, I'm

0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:30.600
<v Speaker 2>getting glimmers of things that sound interesting and make some sense.

0:18:31.240 --> 0:18:35.560
<v Speaker 2>But there is not a cohesive strategy right now, and

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 2>so I am very worried about twenty twenty six and

0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:42.480
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty eight. I mean, I think certainly, if some

0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:47.639
<v Speaker 2>portion of the tariffs become a reality, if some version

0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 2>of the big beautiful bill passes and it has the

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:53.159
<v Speaker 2>economic impact that we expect, there is going to be

0:18:53.240 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 2>plenty to vote against in twenty twenty six, There's no doubt.

0:18:57.160 --> 0:19:00.680
<v Speaker 3>But it's just it's been shown to not really be enough.

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:05.880
<v Speaker 2>And one of the great shortcomings of the Harris campaign

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:10.520
<v Speaker 2>last year, I believe, was that to take two issues,

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:16.359
<v Speaker 2>immigration and crime. My view as an individual is I

0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:20.679
<v Speaker 2>think the immigration issue is real and distorted and overblown

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:22.959
<v Speaker 2>in the way that the right was talking about it.

0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:27.360
<v Speaker 2>I think the crime issue is nationally crime has been

0:19:27.359 --> 0:19:31.200
<v Speaker 2>declining for thirty years, violent and nonviolent. But just telling

0:19:31.240 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 2>people who see crimes in their community that doesn't make

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:38.440
<v Speaker 2>them feel like they're being heard, and they felt dismissed

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:41.240
<v Speaker 2>by Kamala Harris, and it's one of many reasons, but

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 2>ultimately she lost. So my concern is I don't see

0:19:47.119 --> 0:19:51.600
<v Speaker 2>a cohesive message right now beyond the obvious this is

0:19:51.680 --> 0:19:56.480
<v Speaker 2>really bad. We've seen that this is really bad doesn't

0:19:56.520 --> 0:20:00.080
<v Speaker 2>necessarily win you elections it wanted in twenty twenty. I mean, this,

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.280
<v Speaker 2>this is really bad did win in twenty twenty because

0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:05.159
<v Speaker 2>Trump was in power, Biden was going to swoop in

0:20:05.200 --> 0:20:07.520
<v Speaker 2>and put a stop to it. Okay, so barely, but

0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:11.000
<v Speaker 2>it did win. But it's not a winning strategy long term.

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 2>So I don't know. I hope that there's some soul

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:14.359
<v Speaker 2>searching going on.

0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 1>Who do you find really impressive in the Democratic Party

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:26.160
<v Speaker 1>right now from a potential leadership perspective.

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 2>So there's a few different ways to answer the questions.

0:20:31.160 --> 0:20:33.200
<v Speaker 3>So one category is.

0:20:34.080 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 2>Who is growing their notoriety in a positive way right

0:20:38.880 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 2>now and is demonstrating they have some cachet by being

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 2>able to get crowds going, right, So you've got these

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:48.639
<v Speaker 2>Bernie AOC events. Bernie has made it clear he's not

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 2>running AOC. I don't know if in twenty twenty eight

0:20:53.600 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 2>AOC is the future of the Democratic Party, at least

0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 2>not yet, but she's certainly generating enthusiasm, which I think

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:06.359
<v Speaker 2>is really interesting, more pragmatically although less exciting certainly than

0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:08.639
<v Speaker 2>AOC Bernie, who seemed to be able to generate the

0:21:08.640 --> 0:21:12.920
<v Speaker 2>most excitement in person. Right now, are people like Josh Shapiro,

0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:18.160
<v Speaker 2>I think is super interesting, Gretchen Whitmer, although she's had

0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:21.359
<v Speaker 2>some pr issues with these Trump photo ops, which I

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 2>spoke to her about, and I think there's two sides

0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:25.600
<v Speaker 2>to that. I think Gretchen Whitmer is interesting in terms

0:21:25.600 --> 0:21:27.840
<v Speaker 2>of her political skill, but I don't know if it's

0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 2>the right sort of fit.

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:32.879
<v Speaker 3>Somebody like a John ossaf is boota j.

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 2>Edge too much bane, capital consultant type to be the

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 2>right guy, but I think he's extraordinarily intelligent. Gavin Newsome,

0:21:41.680 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 2>I think, is someone whose name keeps coming up because

0:21:44.480 --> 0:21:47.080
<v Speaker 2>he's so liked and disliked, which I think can be

0:21:47.119 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 2>a real problem. Although I think he's very slick, and

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:52.479
<v Speaker 2>sometimes some ways he comes off as too slick and

0:21:52.480 --> 0:21:55.479
<v Speaker 2>too rehearsed and prepared. So there's lots of people that

0:21:55.520 --> 0:21:58.879
<v Speaker 2>have elements that I think are interesting, but I don't

0:21:58.920 --> 0:22:02.320
<v Speaker 2>know that there's like a necessarily obvious person right now.

0:22:08.200 --> 0:22:14.760
<v Speaker 1>If you could script what the Democratic leader comes out

0:22:14.840 --> 0:22:19.320
<v Speaker 1>and says tomorrow, what do they say to the country.

0:22:21.480 --> 0:22:24.440
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's it's a little difficult to answer it

0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 2>because depending on what body they are is, whether it's

0:22:28.840 --> 0:22:31.439
<v Speaker 2>a governor or someone who works in the House or Senate,

0:22:31.560 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 2>or someone who's a former elected official, what an Obama

0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:39.320
<v Speaker 2>can say tomorrow is very different than what like Hakeem

0:22:39.400 --> 0:22:42.480
<v Speaker 2>Jeffries can say, or what Chuck Schumer can say.

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:44.440
<v Speaker 3>So I think it depends on who we're talking about

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:45.120
<v Speaker 3>to a degree.

0:22:45.600 --> 0:22:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Make it somebody in office today, Okay, if.

0:22:49.960 --> 0:22:53.439
<v Speaker 2>They're in office today, I think that the critique of

0:22:53.480 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 2>what's being done needs to be made in a less

0:22:57.400 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 2>technocratic and much more emotionally salient way as to the

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:07.520
<v Speaker 2>impact both of the authoritarianism and the economic policy. And

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:11.560
<v Speaker 2>at the same time, something tangible needs to be offered

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:15.920
<v Speaker 2>as to what Democrats can do right now. Now that's

0:23:15.920 --> 0:23:19.600
<v Speaker 2>difficult because Democrats don't control anything right now, and so

0:23:19.720 --> 0:23:22.040
<v Speaker 2>what they've been relegated to. You know, I've spoken to

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 2>some of the attorneys general and others. We've got lawsuits.

0:23:25.800 --> 0:23:30.360
<v Speaker 2>Lawsuits are great, Lawsuits are slow, They're not emotionally salient,

0:23:30.600 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 2>they don't directly connect with voters as to what these lawsuits,

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:36.840
<v Speaker 2>if they succeed, mean for me. So I think there

0:23:36.880 --> 0:23:40.199
<v Speaker 2>needs to be something more immediate and tangible.

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 3>But one of the sort of.

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:47.760
<v Speaker 2>Benefits of the fact that we're already six months into

0:23:48.080 --> 0:23:52.400
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty five is that the midterms are basically now.

0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:55.200
<v Speaker 2>I mean, you know, we're a year and a few

0:23:55.240 --> 0:23:59.200
<v Speaker 2>months from the midterms, and so sometimes that's the most

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:02.879
<v Speaker 2>effective thing to get people focused on something defined, because

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 2>generally saying we're going to do everything we can to

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:09.160
<v Speaker 2>oppose what's going on, and the next thing they try

0:24:09.680 --> 0:24:14.240
<v Speaker 2>for an indeterminate period of time, not emotionally salient, not tangible,

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:19.600
<v Speaker 2>not tractable. We now have a specific scenario that is

0:24:19.640 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 2>going to go one way or the other.

0:24:21.680 --> 0:24:24.199
<v Speaker 3>Here are the implications. Here's the date of this election.

0:24:24.800 --> 0:24:27.920
<v Speaker 2>It's sort of trite and stayed, but it's at least

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:31.760
<v Speaker 2>a date in the calendar that can start to become

0:24:31.800 --> 0:24:33.960
<v Speaker 2>a catalyst for figuring out what needs to happen over

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 2>these next seventeen months or however long exactly it is.

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.480
<v Speaker 1>How do you process what's going on between him and

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 1>Musk right now?

0:24:42.960 --> 0:24:47.400
<v Speaker 2>Well, I think the implosion was inevitable, and I predicted

0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:49.359
<v Speaker 2>it would last at most six months.

0:24:49.400 --> 0:24:52.640
<v Speaker 3>And this was not like some incredible prediction. We might

0:24:52.640 --> 0:24:54.359
<v Speaker 3>have talked about it. Yeah, I think we did.

0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 2>I didn't have a particularly insightful prediction. I mean, I

0:24:57.359 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 2>think it was obvious that at the most it had

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 2>six because when you put billionaire egocentric maniacs together.

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:06.800
<v Speaker 3>Rarely does it work out particularly well.

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:10.840
<v Speaker 2>But I don't think the implosion is because Elon Musk

0:25:10.920 --> 0:25:15.200
<v Speaker 2>is strongly ideologically opposed to what's in the Big Beautiful Bill.

0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:18.560
<v Speaker 2>I think it's that Elon Musk sees the fact that

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:20.720
<v Speaker 2>he was involved with the bill and this is now

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:22.719
<v Speaker 2>what it looks like. I think he sees it as

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:26.159
<v Speaker 2>a liability to his businesses and to his reputation, and

0:25:26.200 --> 0:25:28.760
<v Speaker 2>that that's really what he cares about. I don't think

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:31.560
<v Speaker 2>that he really gives it damn as to whether the

0:25:31.560 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 2>bill comports to his philosophical beliefs about how governments should run,

0:25:38.160 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 2>and I just don't think it does. I think it's

0:25:39.800 --> 0:25:41.760
<v Speaker 2>a problem. I think the bill is just a problem

0:25:41.760 --> 0:25:44.240
<v Speaker 2>for him, and the association with Trump has become a

0:25:44.280 --> 0:25:47.480
<v Speaker 2>problem for him.

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:53.520
<v Speaker 1>There's so many people that are worried about this moment,

0:25:53.760 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think, rightfully, so and they get depressed and

0:25:57.680 --> 0:26:02.520
<v Speaker 1>they get into a doom loop, and right they evaluate

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the reality, which is that Trump holds the power and

0:26:07.200 --> 0:26:12.440
<v Speaker 1>he is applying to Congress and we're seeing the courts pushback,

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:18.760
<v Speaker 1>but they don't seem to be able to see that

0:26:18.920 --> 0:26:23.280
<v Speaker 1>the pushback of the American people is also real, right,

0:26:23.600 --> 0:26:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and that Trump is having difficulty doing things, and people

0:26:29.840 --> 0:26:33.359
<v Speaker 1>around Trump were getting really banged up, and nobody more

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 1>so than Elon Musk, and so Elon Musk, drug addled,

0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:49.880
<v Speaker 1>black guy, embittered is going back to Texas and he's

0:26:49.920 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 1>being interviewed this week and he's like, no, no, no, right,

0:26:52.560 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about space. You're never going to

0:26:55.880 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>have an interview again, dude, where you're going to be

0:26:58.200 --> 0:27:02.119
<v Speaker 1>talking about space ever? Fifty two? Right? This is this

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 1>is gonna be living if you live to be one

0:27:03.760 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 1>hundred and eleven. Right, this is this is it? Right

0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:10.440
<v Speaker 1>what you did? And YouTube guys, right, Trump and him

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:15.800
<v Speaker 1>are totally inseverable from one another, no matter what, forever

0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:19.399
<v Speaker 1>and ever like truly they are they then right they

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:24.760
<v Speaker 1>have they are a conjoined person reading a force of

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 1>one and it's definitional form. I think he's wrecked his companies.

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:34.240
<v Speaker 1>I think he's wrecked his brand, I think he's wrecked

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:39.200
<v Speaker 1>his reputation. I don't think he'll be a NASA contractor

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:44.480
<v Speaker 1>a defense contractor any of these things and in the

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:48.440
<v Speaker 1>not too distant future. And I think that's why it's

0:27:48.440 --> 0:27:53.880
<v Speaker 1>so important for Democrats to start outlining not necessarily a

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:58.440
<v Speaker 1>Project twenty twenty seven, but a Project twenty twenty nine,

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:03.160
<v Speaker 1>which is the plan for democratic restoration and for real

0:28:03.280 --> 0:28:08.880
<v Speaker 1>restraints putting on the executive branch, real accountability. And there

0:28:08.960 --> 0:28:11.439
<v Speaker 1>has to be a plan in twenty twenty seven that

0:28:11.480 --> 0:28:15.040
<v Speaker 1>they articulate for oversight. And I think one of the

0:28:15.080 --> 0:28:21.879
<v Speaker 1>areas that most important is oversight on privacy. The accumulation

0:28:22.320 --> 0:28:25.840
<v Speaker 1>of individual data by the government of the people, by

0:28:25.880 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 1>the people for the people, in handing it to a

0:28:31.000 --> 0:28:37.760
<v Speaker 1>contractor like Palenteer utterly unacceptable in a free society. For

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:42.640
<v Speaker 1>us to have a digital Stasi in the United States,

0:28:42.680 --> 0:28:48.640
<v Speaker 1>completely unacceptable. I think that the breaking up of the

0:28:48.640 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 1>Homeland Security Department is going to need to be a

0:28:53.320 --> 0:28:59.360
<v Speaker 1>legislative priority. The reform of these state security bureaus, every

0:28:59.600 --> 0:29:02.880
<v Speaker 1>age and that has appeared with a mask on at

0:29:02.880 --> 0:29:06.120
<v Speaker 1>some point in the near future, I see being asked

0:29:06.160 --> 0:29:10.800
<v Speaker 1>a question by their superiors, did you participate in human

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:15.080
<v Speaker 1>seizure raids wearing a mask? And if you answer that

0:29:15.160 --> 0:29:18.080
<v Speaker 1>question is yes, then leave your badge and your gun

0:29:18.120 --> 0:29:20.320
<v Speaker 1>and the desk on your way out the fucking door,

0:29:21.000 --> 0:29:24.400
<v Speaker 1>right And so there's gonna be an era of accountability

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:29.440
<v Speaker 1>for this. And you know, after the wreckage is cleared,

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:35.120
<v Speaker 1>how government deliver services, we should imagine doing it better.

0:29:35.680 --> 0:29:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Then it's that it's been done. But Trump's in to

0:29:38.120 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 1>do a lot of damage, and the Democrats are going

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:45.640
<v Speaker 1>to have to, I think, step into the future with

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 1>an agenda that says, at a at a very basic level,

0:29:52.160 --> 0:29:55.000
<v Speaker 1>that we're the reform party in this country. We're the

0:29:55.040 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 1>renewal party in this country. We're the freedom party in

0:29:58.640 --> 0:30:02.240
<v Speaker 1>this country. And we hear the electorate loud and clear.

0:30:02.320 --> 0:30:04.640
<v Speaker 1>And the Democrats are going to have to leave some

0:30:04.760 --> 0:30:08.880
<v Speaker 1>baggage behind because they have a national approval level of

0:30:08.920 --> 0:30:12.240
<v Speaker 1>twenty five percent uh and they have a lot of

0:30:12.320 --> 0:30:15.760
<v Speaker 1>dysfunction in in a lot of places, like for example,

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:20.040
<v Speaker 1>New York City in the country right now in this moment.

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:24.120
<v Speaker 1>But when when you think of everything that's going on

0:30:24.200 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 1>Are you optimistic, are you are you pessimistic? Or are

0:30:28.440 --> 0:30:31.840
<v Speaker 1>you kind of in the in the middle. Right now, my.

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:36.640
<v Speaker 2>Nature is to naturally be optimistic. And this is not

0:30:36.840 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 2>like some Stephen Pinker stuff. But there are large broad

0:30:41.440 --> 0:30:46.520
<v Speaker 2>ways in which life has gotten better on average over

0:30:46.560 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 2>the last however many years.

0:30:48.720 --> 0:30:51.680
<v Speaker 3>Now, that's a separate.

0:30:51.360 --> 0:30:54.480
<v Speaker 2>The trajectory on that can be pretty long, and so

0:30:54.600 --> 0:30:57.320
<v Speaker 2>that's a very different question than am I optimistic about

0:30:57.320 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 2>the next two years, the next four years, in the

0:31:00.280 --> 0:31:02.680
<v Speaker 2>next eight And I do think that the answer there

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:06.840
<v Speaker 2>is it depends I do. I am still naturally optimistic

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 2>about the longer term right if we're talking about decades

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:12.880
<v Speaker 2>or longer, But the next two, four and eight years

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:17.040
<v Speaker 2>are going to depend on some pretty nuts and bolt stuff.

0:31:17.080 --> 0:31:18.920
<v Speaker 3>It's not broadly theoretical.

0:31:19.040 --> 0:31:22.040
<v Speaker 2>It's as we were talking about, can the Democratic Party

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:28.440
<v Speaker 2>put together something more actionable and attractive than Trump's bad again?

0:31:28.680 --> 0:31:31.960
<v Speaker 2>Let's get rid of him again. The pendulum. There is

0:31:31.960 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 2>a sort of pendulum swing in American politics, and we

0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:37.000
<v Speaker 2>see that based on what usually happens in the first

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:39.480
<v Speaker 2>midterm after a new party takes the White House. So

0:31:39.520 --> 0:31:41.719
<v Speaker 2>we know, like the math of that, the algebra of that,

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:44.680
<v Speaker 2>but that's just enough for the pendulum to swing back

0:31:44.680 --> 0:31:47.040
<v Speaker 2>and forth, and it keeps swinging a little further and

0:31:47.080 --> 0:31:49.280
<v Speaker 2>further to the right every time that it swings. So

0:31:49.880 --> 0:31:52.800
<v Speaker 2>that's a question for the next two for six and

0:31:52.880 --> 0:31:56.480
<v Speaker 2>eight years, right like the next four major elections. The

0:31:56.560 --> 0:31:59.560
<v Speaker 2>technology and privacy issue that you brought up, I'm going

0:31:59.600 --> 0:32:02.720
<v Speaker 2>to incline AI in that because it's so relevant right now.

0:32:03.440 --> 0:32:08.880
<v Speaker 2>That's another major question mark. It's socioculturally relevant, and I've

0:32:08.880 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 2>been reading a ton of that. I have friends who

0:32:11.080 --> 0:32:14.680
<v Speaker 2>are college professors who have said that their work right now,

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 2>the dynamic in college right now is students using AI

0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:24.040
<v Speaker 2>in ways they believe will be undetectable, with professors using

0:32:24.080 --> 0:32:28.360
<v Speaker 2>AI to detect student use of AI. It's sort of

0:32:28.440 --> 0:32:31.440
<v Speaker 2>like turtles all the way down, as Stephen Hawking used

0:32:31.440 --> 0:32:34.360
<v Speaker 2>to say. So that's like socioculturally, I think the AI

0:32:34.480 --> 0:32:37.040
<v Speaker 2>question is really important, but also from a government perspective

0:32:37.040 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 2>and what it means for facial recognition and pre crime,

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:43.920
<v Speaker 2>as Philip K. Dick wrote about in Minority Report, et cetera.

0:32:44.040 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 2>So I think including that in one of these kind

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:51.720
<v Speaker 2>of big two to eight year considerations is hugely important

0:32:51.720 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 2>as well.

0:32:55.440 --> 0:33:01.400
<v Speaker 1>The two other things that are that are going on.

0:33:02.720 --> 0:33:05.760
<v Speaker 1>We have this month the two hundred and fiftieth anniversary

0:33:05.760 --> 0:33:11.280
<v Speaker 1>of the US Army. It occurs on Flag Day, and

0:33:11.360 --> 0:33:14.320
<v Speaker 1>this is also Trump's birthday, and we're going to have

0:33:14.320 --> 0:33:18.640
<v Speaker 1>a Kim johng Un parade, probably the greatest desecration in

0:33:18.680 --> 0:33:23.160
<v Speaker 1>the history of the armed forces. This is taking place

0:33:24.200 --> 0:33:27.880
<v Speaker 1>over here. And then the other thing that we're seeing

0:33:28.240 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 1>is the dismantling of America's science economy, the linkages between universities,

0:33:38.280 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>research institutions. And one thing that is hard for me

0:33:47.040 --> 0:33:49.800
<v Speaker 1>to wrap my head around, but I accept this, and

0:33:50.040 --> 0:33:53.440
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if you think I'm overstating this at all,

0:33:53.840 --> 0:34:02.160
<v Speaker 1>is that I was really blown away by the web

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:08.920
<v Speaker 1>telescope when it was launched and the technology. When you

0:34:09.000 --> 0:34:11.440
<v Speaker 1>think about that's it, that's the that's the that's the

0:34:11.480 --> 0:34:16.360
<v Speaker 1>most sophisticated piece of technology that that human beings have

0:34:16.440 --> 0:34:19.759
<v Speaker 1>ever made in all of human civilization. We launched it

0:34:19.840 --> 0:34:24.280
<v Speaker 1>into space and it can literally see back to the

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:30.160
<v Speaker 1>beginning of time. It's a it's an extraordinary scientific instrument

0:34:30.480 --> 0:34:35.680
<v Speaker 1>of discovery. And this was never my thing. That's why

0:34:35.680 --> 0:34:40.000
<v Speaker 1>I went into politics, right You know math and science,

0:34:40.080 --> 0:34:46.000
<v Speaker 1>but having an appreciation for people that are curing diseases,

0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:55.000
<v Speaker 1>that are fighting cancers, brilliant people that don't get famous

0:34:55.080 --> 0:34:58.200
<v Speaker 1>doing this, most of them don't get rich doing this.

0:34:58.440 --> 0:35:07.440
<v Speaker 1>But this upward trajectory of progress the clear notion. And

0:35:07.520 --> 0:35:10.240
<v Speaker 1>I know this, right, I'm fifty four. I know people

0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:16.960
<v Speaker 1>that have died, for example, ten fifteen years ago of melanoma,

0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:21.720
<v Speaker 1>that would have lived today, right, or would have lived

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:25.160
<v Speaker 1>through some other type of type of cancer. And when

0:35:25.200 --> 0:35:29.319
<v Speaker 1>you look at what Robert Kennedy's doing, and when you

0:35:29.360 --> 0:35:32.520
<v Speaker 1>look at what his henchman calli Means is doing, Cally

0:35:32.680 --> 0:35:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Means in the subject of a Vanity Fair profile where

0:35:38.080 --> 0:35:42.759
<v Speaker 1>this is the architect of the Maha Report, and the

0:35:42.800 --> 0:35:47.400
<v Speaker 1>Maha Report turns out to be written by artificial intelligence

0:35:47.480 --> 0:35:51.520
<v Speaker 1>with all manner of fake reports and all manner of

0:35:51.560 --> 0:35:55.480
<v Speaker 1>fake citations attached to it, and Calli Means in this

0:35:55.640 --> 0:35:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Vanity Fair story is identified as almost having a completely

0:35:59.719 --> 0:36:03.279
<v Speaker 1>fraud joint background. He does he was my assistant back

0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:05.560
<v Speaker 1>in the day. So all the things that he says

0:36:05.600 --> 0:36:09.320
<v Speaker 1>he did, he didn't do. He's a fabulous, like a

0:36:09.440 --> 0:36:15.200
<v Speaker 1>George Santos type character. And yet though it's been reported

0:36:15.239 --> 0:36:20.239
<v Speaker 1>in Vanity Fair and this person is architecting health policy

0:36:20.280 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 1>and he's a fraud. And The New York Times reported

0:36:24.680 --> 0:36:28.239
<v Speaker 1>as fact two weeks ago in a profile that this

0:36:28.320 --> 0:36:31.880
<v Speaker 1>guy did this, this, and that, and he didn't and

0:36:31.920 --> 0:36:41.319
<v Speaker 1>they haven't corrected it. He's deeply worrying that you realize

0:36:41.520 --> 0:36:49.239
<v Speaker 1>that the forward progress of human civilization scientifically, at least

0:36:49.239 --> 0:36:55.600
<v Speaker 1>in this country, has come to its forward apergy, right,

0:36:55.640 --> 0:37:00.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's falling back right. The science that's being wrecked,

0:37:00.920 --> 0:37:08.760
<v Speaker 1>the studies being ended, the dismantling of all of these

0:37:08.800 --> 0:37:14.920
<v Speaker 1>things by people who have no qualification whatsoever to do them,

0:37:15.560 --> 0:37:21.360
<v Speaker 1>think require a democratic party that can speak to them

0:37:21.880 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 1>and talk about the necessity of scientific progress, kind of

0:37:26.560 --> 0:37:31.120
<v Speaker 1>that long arc of human progress, and to talk about

0:37:31.160 --> 0:37:35.440
<v Speaker 1>it in a political context is a choice for the

0:37:35.520 --> 0:37:39.360
<v Speaker 1>society because because when you have the number of rural

0:37:39.400 --> 0:37:43.560
<v Speaker 1>hospitals that are going to close and everything that's going

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:45.759
<v Speaker 1>to happen in the next in the next two years,

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:47.440
<v Speaker 1>it's going to get tough for a lot of people

0:37:47.480 --> 0:37:50.400
<v Speaker 1>out there, including a lot of Trump voters, you know.

0:37:50.440 --> 0:37:53.080
<v Speaker 2>And one of the real tragedies of this also is

0:37:53.120 --> 0:37:56.560
<v Speaker 2>that there are some characters that have gotten pulled into

0:37:56.600 --> 0:38:01.040
<v Speaker 2>this whole Maha orbit who actually do have interesting things

0:38:01.080 --> 0:38:03.960
<v Speaker 2>to say. I mean, I think Marty mcarey, for example,

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:05.160
<v Speaker 2>FDA Commissioner.

0:38:05.840 --> 0:38:08.719
<v Speaker 3>He wrote a book in which he brings.

0:38:08.560 --> 0:38:11.360
<v Speaker 2>Up a lot of really interesting things about our healthcare system.

0:38:11.440 --> 0:38:14.160
<v Speaker 2>One example, which was relevant to me as somebody who

0:38:14.200 --> 0:38:18.520
<v Speaker 2>had my appendix out, is that in the US the

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:22.480
<v Speaker 2>er system loves appendectomies, and that the truth is eighty

0:38:22.480 --> 0:38:25.040
<v Speaker 2>five percent of them you can treat with antibiotics and

0:38:25.080 --> 0:38:27.239
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't come back. You're not at increased risk for

0:38:27.360 --> 0:38:29.960
<v Speaker 2>ultimately ending up with the appendectomy anyway. That's like a

0:38:30.000 --> 0:38:34.600
<v Speaker 2>real tangible issue. Another one, American healthcare system loves c sections,

0:38:34.960 --> 0:38:38.479
<v Speaker 2>and even though other countries have figured out even after

0:38:38.520 --> 0:38:41.840
<v Speaker 2>one C section, most women are still candidates for a

0:38:41.920 --> 0:38:45.720
<v Speaker 2>natural birth in the US. Very quick to see section

0:38:45.840 --> 0:38:50.400
<v Speaker 2>like these are really good, interesting conversations based in building

0:38:50.480 --> 0:38:54.480
<v Speaker 2>science up over periods of time that Marty McCarey wrote about.

0:38:54.520 --> 0:38:55.920
<v Speaker 3>And then now you know he's on.

0:38:55.960 --> 0:38:59.959
<v Speaker 2>With Margaret Brennan three minutes apart saying we can't trust

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:03.359
<v Speaker 2>CDC data and believe me because I'm using CDC data

0:39:03.440 --> 0:39:05.680
<v Speaker 2>right in the same interview three minutes apart, and Margaret

0:39:05.680 --> 0:39:09.480
<v Speaker 2>Brennan's head is spinning. It's the debasement even of people

0:39:09.480 --> 0:39:12.080
<v Speaker 2>who actually do have interesting things to say, And as

0:39:12.120 --> 0:39:16.319
<v Speaker 2>you're pointing out, also the elevation while experts are criticized

0:39:16.840 --> 0:39:20.800
<v Speaker 2>experts with real expertise, the elevation to expert status of

0:39:20.880 --> 0:39:23.880
<v Speaker 2>people who have no business actually making policy.

0:39:24.440 --> 0:39:25.520
<v Speaker 3>It's a disaster.

0:39:30.160 --> 0:39:34.799
<v Speaker 1>What do you say about it? How do you engage

0:39:34.840 --> 0:39:35.680
<v Speaker 1>that issue?

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:40.160
<v Speaker 3>I try to engage it with this approach.

0:39:41.160 --> 0:39:44.520
<v Speaker 2>If a thirty, forty, fifty sixty year old wants to

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:47.160
<v Speaker 2>dig in on a TikTok or YouTube stream with me

0:39:47.239 --> 0:39:50.120
<v Speaker 2>about any one of these issues, I'll argue with them

0:39:50.160 --> 0:39:53.000
<v Speaker 2>in the sense that I'll plead my case. I'll try

0:39:53.040 --> 0:39:55.160
<v Speaker 2>to explain to them why my view is different, why

0:39:55.160 --> 0:39:58.239
<v Speaker 2>I believe their view isn't informed by science. That's like

0:39:58.280 --> 0:40:01.120
<v Speaker 2>the retail strategy. Though, how many people can I really

0:40:01.200 --> 0:40:01.520
<v Speaker 2>argue with?

0:40:01.680 --> 0:40:01.839
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:40:03.080 --> 0:40:07.640
<v Speaker 2>I tie it back more to a culture that is

0:40:07.760 --> 0:40:12.120
<v Speaker 2>lacking a sort of reverence for critical thinking and epistemology

0:40:12.239 --> 0:40:15.839
<v Speaker 2>and debate and discussing why do we believe the things

0:40:15.880 --> 0:40:18.799
<v Speaker 2>we believe? And so there's a cultural aspect, but it's

0:40:18.960 --> 0:40:24.319
<v Speaker 2>inextricably intertwined with education policy, where we really should be

0:40:24.360 --> 0:40:28.240
<v Speaker 2>teaching basic media literacy and critical thinking in every school,

0:40:28.520 --> 0:40:31.160
<v Speaker 2>probably starting at age eight. You could make a case

0:40:31.200 --> 0:40:33.960
<v Speaker 2>for six. Some people say not to middle school, but

0:40:35.360 --> 0:40:39.239
<v Speaker 2>certainly in every school. And it's much harder to get

0:40:39.280 --> 0:40:42.160
<v Speaker 2>people to think in this way once they've not been

0:40:42.160 --> 0:40:44.520
<v Speaker 2>thinking this way for thirty forty fifty years. And so

0:40:44.600 --> 0:40:47.720
<v Speaker 2>that's why I think it really is an educational issue.

0:40:47.719 --> 0:40:49.000
<v Speaker 3>And I'll say one other thing about it.

0:40:49.080 --> 0:40:51.400
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes when I say this, I'll hear from teachers or

0:40:51.440 --> 0:40:54.799
<v Speaker 2>school administrators who say, David, you really shouldn't be blaming us,

0:40:54.840 --> 0:40:56.600
<v Speaker 2>like we know what needs to happen. And I'm not

0:40:56.600 --> 0:41:00.120
<v Speaker 2>blaming them because to a great degree they are construyi

0:41:00.360 --> 0:41:04.800
<v Speaker 2>by the system that elected officials and sometimes on elected

0:41:04.840 --> 0:41:06.400
<v Speaker 2>officials have put together.

0:41:06.560 --> 0:41:09.160
<v Speaker 3>So this is not a criticism of teachers. This is

0:41:09.200 --> 0:41:11.000
<v Speaker 3>a criticism of a system.

0:41:10.600 --> 0:41:13.720
<v Speaker 2>That has stripped some of these building blocks of knowledge

0:41:14.360 --> 0:41:15.400
<v Speaker 2>from public education.

0:41:17.880 --> 0:41:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Overwhelmingly. To me, the most impressive Democrat in the country

0:41:24.080 --> 0:41:26.200
<v Speaker 1>when I when i'm when I kind of look at

0:41:26.280 --> 0:41:34.680
<v Speaker 1>them is Jake Auchincloss, who is the thirty eight is

0:41:34.920 --> 0:41:40.360
<v Speaker 1>thirty nine forty year old Democratic congressman from from Massachusetts, and.

0:41:40.840 --> 0:41:42.600
<v Speaker 3>I've had I've had him on and I find him

0:41:42.719 --> 0:41:43.440
<v Speaker 3>very impressive.

0:41:44.160 --> 0:41:47.759
<v Speaker 1>He's very impressive, and he knows, he knows what he

0:41:47.880 --> 0:41:52.560
<v Speaker 1>wants to do and where he wants the lead. I

0:41:52.600 --> 0:41:55.880
<v Speaker 1>have no idea if he wants to run for president,

0:41:56.040 --> 0:42:00.080
<v Speaker 1>but you know, he's somebody that should be in the

0:42:00.120 --> 0:42:03.640
<v Speaker 1>category of thinking about it and saying a lot of

0:42:03.719 --> 0:42:08.279
<v Speaker 1>interesting things. That's right of a of a new generation

0:42:08.520 --> 0:42:13.160
<v Speaker 1>that has some vision on some of these issues that

0:42:14.080 --> 0:42:18.560
<v Speaker 1>the country's going to have to reckon with over the

0:42:18.600 --> 0:42:22.080
<v Speaker 1>next over the next decade, over the next twenty, over

0:42:22.080 --> 0:42:28.280
<v Speaker 1>the next twenty years. But I look at this through

0:42:29.200 --> 0:42:33.520
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of different lenses, you know, and I wrestle with,

0:42:34.160 --> 0:42:39.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, being pessimistic at times, you know, when I

0:42:39.040 --> 0:42:43.320
<v Speaker 1>when I think about this, But I have a faith

0:42:43.640 --> 0:42:47.680
<v Speaker 1>that the good guys win, and the good guys doesn't

0:42:47.719 --> 0:42:52.480
<v Speaker 1>mean Chuck Schumer right. It means that the forces that

0:42:52.560 --> 0:42:56.600
<v Speaker 1>support American liberty right, that we that we as a

0:42:56.640 --> 0:43:00.399
<v Speaker 1>country make it through this era. But but but how

0:43:00.440 --> 0:43:04.640
<v Speaker 1>does it end? Right? How does this? How does this

0:43:06.760 --> 0:43:12.839
<v Speaker 1>how does this fever break? How do you see it expiring?

0:43:16.200 --> 0:43:22.200
<v Speaker 1>The decompression going on where people take a step back

0:43:23.520 --> 0:43:28.360
<v Speaker 1>in the country from the madness.

0:43:28.880 --> 0:43:33.640
<v Speaker 2>So I'll give you my ninety percent vision, and then

0:43:33.680 --> 0:43:36.319
<v Speaker 2>I'll give you my ten percent vision, less likely but

0:43:36.440 --> 0:43:39.160
<v Speaker 2>probably still just as effective. So my ninety percent vision

0:43:39.280 --> 0:43:43.799
<v Speaker 2>is that much the way that empires often fall or

0:43:43.880 --> 0:43:47.840
<v Speaker 2>technology advances. When you're in the middle of the change,

0:43:47.880 --> 0:43:50.800
<v Speaker 2>you often don't realize that the change is taking place.

0:43:51.440 --> 0:43:53.920
<v Speaker 2>I think that there's examples of this for the bad.

0:43:53.960 --> 0:43:56.480
<v Speaker 2>If we think back to Trump, as he likes to say,

0:43:56.480 --> 0:43:58.839
<v Speaker 2>coming down the Golden escalator in twenty twenty five, It's

0:43:58.840 --> 0:44:03.080
<v Speaker 2>been almost a decade, and so much has happened in

0:44:03.080 --> 0:44:07.319
<v Speaker 2>this decade, and also typically from week to week, it

0:44:07.360 --> 0:44:09.359
<v Speaker 2>doesn't feel like that much change, although the last two

0:44:09.400 --> 0:44:12.600
<v Speaker 2>months it does because we're seeing unprecedented thing after unprecedented thing.

0:44:12.640 --> 0:44:16.239
<v Speaker 2>But the idea here is I think the fever is

0:44:16.440 --> 0:44:19.719
<v Speaker 2>likely to break relatively slowly, and it will have a

0:44:19.719 --> 0:44:23.560
<v Speaker 2>lot of components. At some point, the Republican Party will

0:44:23.560 --> 0:44:26.640
<v Speaker 2>move on from Trump. That doesn't necessarily mean they'll move

0:44:26.680 --> 0:44:29.160
<v Speaker 2>on from trump Ism, and that sort of will depend

0:44:29.239 --> 0:44:33.239
<v Speaker 2>on sort of what level of satisfaction the Republican Party

0:44:33.239 --> 0:44:35.919
<v Speaker 2>has with Trump whenever his term ends. Either because it's

0:44:35.960 --> 0:44:38.240
<v Speaker 2>been four years, or because he passes away, or whatever

0:44:38.320 --> 0:44:40.640
<v Speaker 2>comes to be. So I think at some point the

0:44:40.640 --> 0:44:42.560
<v Speaker 2>party will move on from Trump. They might stick with

0:44:42.600 --> 0:44:45.880
<v Speaker 2>a MAGA type candidate or maybe not, but Trump himself

0:44:45.880 --> 0:44:50.799
<v Speaker 2>will be gone. I think that as we see, hopefully

0:44:51.440 --> 0:44:56.319
<v Speaker 2>the recognition from voters of how their vote relates to

0:44:56.400 --> 0:45:00.239
<v Speaker 2>the things that happen in their communities, either through the

0:45:00.239 --> 0:45:05.560
<v Speaker 2>federal government directly or governorships, etc. I think that slowly, hopefully,

0:45:05.600 --> 0:45:07.960
<v Speaker 2>as the country has seen for the last hundred years,

0:45:08.360 --> 0:45:10.800
<v Speaker 2>it will continue moving in what someone with my political

0:45:10.840 --> 0:45:12.280
<v Speaker 2>beliefs believes is the right direction.

0:45:12.400 --> 0:45:14.319
<v Speaker 3>Now, of course, there are people if.

0:45:14.200 --> 0:45:16.080
<v Speaker 2>Your political views are different, you may disagree with that.

0:45:16.440 --> 0:45:19.920
<v Speaker 2>If we look back one hundred years on every serious question,

0:45:20.440 --> 0:45:23.200
<v Speaker 2>should we tax the very rich to ensure that the

0:45:23.239 --> 0:45:25.360
<v Speaker 2>poor don't fall below a certain standard of living?

0:45:25.520 --> 0:45:26.640
<v Speaker 3>Should abortion be legal?

0:45:26.640 --> 0:45:30.680
<v Speaker 2>In most cases we've seen not extreme left, but a

0:45:30.800 --> 0:45:33.359
<v Speaker 2>sort of move steadily to the left. So I think

0:45:33.400 --> 0:45:36.839
<v Speaker 2>as that continues, and then here's the maybe part of it.

0:45:37.480 --> 0:45:41.000
<v Speaker 2>If we can do something about how our politics is

0:45:41.120 --> 0:45:45.919
<v Speaker 2>funded and how elections are run, which is a big ask,

0:45:46.000 --> 0:45:47.759
<v Speaker 2>and we can go into detail about it or not

0:45:48.560 --> 0:45:54.120
<v Speaker 2>hopefully elected officials will more closely reflect the political beliefs

0:45:54.120 --> 0:45:56.400
<v Speaker 2>of the country because one of the things that we

0:45:56.440 --> 0:45:58.640
<v Speaker 2>see time and time again due to a combination of

0:45:58.640 --> 0:46:02.400
<v Speaker 2>how you raise money and Jerry maandering, if you place

0:46:02.480 --> 0:46:06.480
<v Speaker 2>the American electorate on the political spectrum, the elected officials

0:46:06.480 --> 0:46:09.399
<v Speaker 2>are to the right. And so if we can get

0:46:09.600 --> 0:46:13.319
<v Speaker 2>elected officials more aligned with where people are through the

0:46:13.360 --> 0:46:17.320
<v Speaker 2>reforms that I talk about, I think it will slowly

0:46:17.760 --> 0:46:18.560
<v Speaker 2>break the fever.

0:46:18.680 --> 0:46:20.280
<v Speaker 3>Now that's my ninety percent explanation.

0:46:20.400 --> 0:46:23.360
<v Speaker 2>My ten percent is if Trump drops dead in like

0:46:23.480 --> 0:46:27.399
<v Speaker 2>nine months, I think there's a chance that they go,

0:46:28.000 --> 0:46:30.520
<v Speaker 2>that was really crazy, let's do something different here.

0:46:30.800 --> 0:46:31.520
<v Speaker 3>And then jd.

0:46:31.680 --> 0:46:35.400
<v Speaker 2>Vance is pushed to be like not really Trumpian that

0:46:35.440 --> 0:46:37.319
<v Speaker 2>I don't believe that's the most likely outcome, but it

0:46:37.400 --> 0:46:38.680
<v Speaker 2>is sort of like in the back of my mind

0:46:38.680 --> 0:46:39.520
<v Speaker 2>as a possibility.

0:46:43.800 --> 0:46:48.200
<v Speaker 1>I think that I think that one of the things

0:46:48.280 --> 0:46:52.200
<v Speaker 1>that is going to have to happen is for there

0:46:52.400 --> 0:46:57.480
<v Speaker 1>to be a lot of economic pain. Unfortunately that is

0:46:57.520 --> 0:47:01.080
<v Speaker 1>both coming and is going to be help in order

0:47:01.239 --> 0:47:08.120
<v Speaker 1>to in order to break the madness. But nobody who's

0:47:08.120 --> 0:47:11.080
<v Speaker 1>gotten in business with Trump has ever come out of

0:47:11.080 --> 0:47:15.600
<v Speaker 1>the deal happy and you know, So that's that's one

0:47:15.680 --> 0:47:16.680
<v Speaker 1>aspect of it.

0:47:17.760 --> 0:47:21.359
<v Speaker 2>But Steve, just on that one question, do you think

0:47:21.440 --> 0:47:24.040
<v Speaker 2>the voters would blame the right people for that? And

0:47:24.120 --> 0:47:27.879
<v Speaker 2>the reason I asked that is when Obama did Obamacare

0:47:28.840 --> 0:47:32.480
<v Speaker 2>and offered these medicaid expansions to the states and some

0:47:32.520 --> 0:47:36.920
<v Speaker 2>Republican governors didn't take the expansion, voters in those states

0:47:36.960 --> 0:47:40.600
<v Speaker 2>often believed it's Obama's fault even though it was their

0:47:40.600 --> 0:47:43.200
<v Speaker 2>governor's fault. So my only question on that is will

0:47:43.280 --> 0:47:46.480
<v Speaker 2>people blame the right parties for that economic pain?

0:47:50.600 --> 0:47:54.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. Right there's been such a disenfranchisement of

0:47:55.040 --> 0:48:00.120
<v Speaker 1>so many places, so many states by the National Democratic Party.

0:48:00.120 --> 0:48:02.560
<v Speaker 1>But at the end of the day, I don't think

0:48:02.640 --> 0:48:08.640
<v Speaker 1>people will countenance the corruption and the craziness. Though I

0:48:08.680 --> 0:48:11.440
<v Speaker 1>think that there's a lot of rope left to be

0:48:11.960 --> 0:48:15.560
<v Speaker 1>uh let out on the tolerance piece, I don't I

0:48:15.640 --> 0:48:19.040
<v Speaker 1>don't think people are consuming news like we are. I

0:48:19.080 --> 0:48:22.280
<v Speaker 1>think that there's a lot of things that they're seeing

0:48:22.320 --> 0:48:26.160
<v Speaker 1>that they don't like. The you know, polling reflects that.

0:48:26.480 --> 0:48:30.200
<v Speaker 1>But you know, in the in the end, I think

0:48:30.280 --> 0:48:35.960
<v Speaker 1>that uh, this has to play out now in a

0:48:36.040 --> 0:48:40.319
<v Speaker 1>way that gets to a pretty unhappy result for a

0:48:40.320 --> 0:48:44.560
<v Speaker 1>lot of people. You know, I think I think Trump

0:48:44.680 --> 0:48:47.759
<v Speaker 1>is Trump is a world class demagogue. None of this

0:48:48.000 --> 0:48:50.920
<v Speaker 1>is on the none of this is on the level.

0:48:51.200 --> 0:48:57.239
<v Speaker 1>And he's going to break the economy and you will

0:48:57.280 --> 0:49:01.319
<v Speaker 1>just have to see how people people react to it.

0:49:01.400 --> 0:49:06.200
<v Speaker 1>But I but I think that Democrats have to understand

0:49:06.520 --> 0:49:10.239
<v Speaker 1>that they have a lot of work to do. That's

0:49:10.280 --> 0:49:11.880
<v Speaker 1>for sure, a lot of they have a lot of

0:49:11.920 --> 0:49:15.800
<v Speaker 1>work to do, and that and that work is about

0:49:15.920 --> 0:49:19.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of facing the reforms that are necessary. Right, So

0:49:19.680 --> 0:49:22.120
<v Speaker 1>if you're if you're running against the corrupt party, you

0:49:22.160 --> 0:49:25.000
<v Speaker 1>got to be the anti corruption party. You can't be

0:49:25.120 --> 0:49:27.880
<v Speaker 1>the party that holds the position it's only corruption if

0:49:27.880 --> 0:49:32.400
<v Speaker 1>Trump does it right without a doubt, I mean, and

0:49:32.440 --> 0:49:35.080
<v Speaker 1>that's the that's the that's the key, that's the key

0:49:35.160 --> 0:49:36.840
<v Speaker 1>to getting out of this. Have to be better.

0:49:37.600 --> 0:49:41.120
<v Speaker 2>I do think that if Democrats can at least just

0:49:41.239 --> 0:49:45.879
<v Speaker 2>take the House in November of twenty six, that would

0:49:45.960 --> 0:49:49.239
<v Speaker 2>be a pretty solid potential bulwark for the last two

0:49:49.320 --> 0:49:52.680
<v Speaker 2>years of Trump's presidency, and it could create enough of

0:49:52.680 --> 0:49:56.319
<v Speaker 2>a springboard towards figuring some things out, as you're pointing out,

0:49:56.800 --> 0:49:58.640
<v Speaker 2>and momentum into twenty twenty eight, but I don't think

0:49:58.640 --> 0:50:00.239
<v Speaker 2>that's a guarantee by any means.

0:50:00.480 --> 0:50:03.320
<v Speaker 1>You know. I listen, I think Democrats will take the House,

0:50:04.120 --> 0:50:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and I think that they will that they will potentially

0:50:07.160 --> 0:50:10.040
<v Speaker 1>take the Senate, and I don't think there's necessarily going

0:50:10.080 --> 0:50:13.040
<v Speaker 1>to be a safe seat in the country. But I

0:50:13.080 --> 0:50:16.399
<v Speaker 1>think that a lot of the electoral energy is going

0:50:16.440 --> 0:50:21.120
<v Speaker 1>to be against the Democratic leadership and the Democratic status quo.

0:50:21.400 --> 0:50:21.640
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:50:22.040 --> 0:50:27.000
<v Speaker 1>I think that the DSCC is recruiting candidates to go

0:50:27.080 --> 0:50:30.200
<v Speaker 1>out and to support Chuck Schumer to be leader for

0:50:30.280 --> 0:50:33.560
<v Speaker 1>two more years. And I think the candidates that are

0:50:33.560 --> 0:50:35.960
<v Speaker 1>going to matter in this election cycle are the ones

0:50:36.000 --> 0:50:39.800
<v Speaker 1>that have the guts and the integrity Democratic side to say, listen,

0:50:40.000 --> 0:50:42.560
<v Speaker 1>he's not a dishonorable guy, but he's not the right

0:50:42.680 --> 0:50:47.000
<v Speaker 1>leader for this moment. He's been weak and inteffectual, and

0:50:47.040 --> 0:50:50.279
<v Speaker 1>he appeased Trump for the first months of the term.

0:50:50.520 --> 0:50:53.960
<v Speaker 1>And that's a reason we have all these crazy cabinet secretaries.

0:50:54.320 --> 0:50:56.840
<v Speaker 1>And we would have been much better off if we fought.

0:50:57.680 --> 0:51:02.360
<v Speaker 1>Schumer made a catastrophic decision and earlier in the deal.

0:51:02.719 --> 0:51:06.360
<v Speaker 1>And no right my state, whether it's in Texas, whether

0:51:06.360 --> 0:51:10.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a Volcana wherever the state is that know, the

0:51:10.160 --> 0:51:13.480
<v Speaker 1>people there, my Democrats in our state, we want to

0:51:13.560 --> 0:51:17.600
<v Speaker 1>change and and I think that driving that change energy

0:51:18.360 --> 0:51:23.600
<v Speaker 1>with a real agenda. You know, for example, all of

0:51:23.640 --> 0:51:29.760
<v Speaker 1>these oligarchs, and they are of the biggest tech companies

0:51:29.760 --> 0:51:33.000
<v Speaker 1>in the world, have concentrated too much power and wealth. Right,

0:51:33.040 --> 0:51:37.680
<v Speaker 1>There's been a concentration of power and wealth and a

0:51:37.800 --> 0:51:43.280
<v Speaker 1>cruel that happens, you know every you know generational cycle

0:51:43.360 --> 0:51:46.759
<v Speaker 1>I suppose, or several generational in America, maybe every eighty

0:51:46.880 --> 0:51:49.600
<v Speaker 1>years or so in the history of the country. It's

0:51:49.600 --> 0:51:53.279
<v Speaker 1>got to be broken up. And it's occurred before in

0:51:53.480 --> 0:51:57.759
<v Speaker 1>the same philosophies that broke it up have to have

0:51:57.840 --> 0:52:03.520
<v Speaker 1>to confront this accumulation of power again. And that's what

0:52:03.600 --> 0:52:07.239
<v Speaker 1>Democrats have to be for. Can't be a party of platitudes.

0:52:07.280 --> 0:52:10.840
<v Speaker 1>It's got to be a party of policy and fierceness

0:52:11.600 --> 0:52:16.200
<v Speaker 1>in defending Americanism and so like the allergy of the

0:52:16.239 --> 0:52:19.799
<v Speaker 1>American flag and raising it high and saying what we

0:52:19.920 --> 0:52:24.839
<v Speaker 1>share in common, right is not racial identities. It's an

0:52:24.880 --> 0:52:28.239
<v Speaker 1>American identity that's open to all of us. And I

0:52:28.239 --> 0:52:31.520
<v Speaker 1>think Democrats have to get into that space as quickly

0:52:31.560 --> 0:52:34.719
<v Speaker 1>as they as they can in order to be successful

0:52:34.760 --> 0:52:36.120
<v Speaker 1>again as a national party.

0:52:36.960 --> 0:52:40.920
<v Speaker 2>I think that's right, and I also I always caveat

0:52:40.960 --> 0:52:43.600
<v Speaker 2>this by saying I don't bring this up because I

0:52:43.640 --> 0:52:46.480
<v Speaker 2>think it's the most serious thing, and I think sometimes

0:52:46.480 --> 0:52:49.680
<v Speaker 2>it's a problem when we pretend it is. But I

0:52:49.719 --> 0:52:52.880
<v Speaker 2>think that the Democratic Party also needs to figure out

0:52:53.440 --> 0:52:57.720
<v Speaker 2>how to not be republican light which has not worked,

0:52:58.480 --> 0:53:04.839
<v Speaker 2>but also not to really appear to be placating the

0:53:05.040 --> 0:53:08.360
<v Speaker 2>fringe left. And I call it fringe rather than extreme,

0:53:08.440 --> 0:53:10.640
<v Speaker 2>because I think it is really a minority. It's a

0:53:10.760 --> 0:53:13.439
<v Speaker 2>very loud minority if you spend time, especially on social

0:53:13.520 --> 0:53:17.040
<v Speaker 2>media platforms. And one of the problems within the Democratic

0:53:17.040 --> 0:53:19.000
<v Speaker 2>Party it's not really it's both a feature and a

0:53:19.040 --> 0:53:22.160
<v Speaker 2>bug in the sense that people are doing it because

0:53:22.160 --> 0:53:24.560
<v Speaker 2>they're engaged, but also it can be an electoral problem.

0:53:24.640 --> 0:53:29.400
<v Speaker 2>Is the purity testing of there's one idea that's too center.

0:53:29.960 --> 0:53:32.799
<v Speaker 2>I'm staying Homer voting third party, there's one idea that's

0:53:32.800 --> 0:53:36.680
<v Speaker 2>too left. I'm staying Homer voting third party the Maga Party.

0:53:37.360 --> 0:53:40.520
<v Speaker 2>Once they win, it's a mess. But to win elections

0:53:41.120 --> 0:53:44.080
<v Speaker 2>you have a hesitation about a Democrat, come on in,

0:53:44.200 --> 0:53:46.719
<v Speaker 2>you're welcomed with open arms. And if you've got a

0:53:46.719 --> 0:53:48.960
<v Speaker 2>big Twitter following, you're invited to mar A Lago. And

0:53:49.040 --> 0:53:51.360
<v Speaker 2>that instinct I think would be really good to develop.

0:53:51.400 --> 0:53:55.560
<v Speaker 1>On the left, there's you know when you talk about

0:53:55.600 --> 0:53:59.719
<v Speaker 1>the fringe left, and it's exactly that's exactly it. In

0:53:59.760 --> 0:54:07.240
<v Speaker 1>the reality of it is there's no chance the fringe

0:54:07.360 --> 0:54:12.680
<v Speaker 1>left could ever take political power in America, but they're

0:54:12.800 --> 0:54:19.520
<v Speaker 1>loud enough to drive demand for an extreme right. And

0:54:19.600 --> 0:54:25.280
<v Speaker 1>so America was never susceptible to a dictatorship of the left.

0:54:25.360 --> 0:54:29.960
<v Speaker 1>It's always been susceptible to a dictatorship of the right.

0:54:30.640 --> 0:54:34.879
<v Speaker 1>And that's why that old apocryphal quote about if fascism

0:54:34.960 --> 0:54:38.239
<v Speaker 1>comes to America, it'll be wrapped in the flag and

0:54:38.360 --> 0:54:43.759
<v Speaker 1>carrying the cross, and it's an important element to understand.

0:54:44.080 --> 0:54:47.520
<v Speaker 1>And so, you know, I would make the argument that,

0:54:47.719 --> 0:54:51.520
<v Speaker 1>for example, the new mayor of San Francisco is doing

0:54:51.560 --> 0:54:55.480
<v Speaker 1>a terrific job, and the last mayor and the last

0:54:55.520 --> 0:54:59.319
<v Speaker 1>district attorney did a lot to help Donald Trump. And

0:55:00.280 --> 0:55:04.120
<v Speaker 1>you had pro crime district attorneys in some of the

0:55:04.160 --> 0:55:07.440
<v Speaker 1>biggest cities in the in the country who were off

0:55:07.480 --> 0:55:12.000
<v Speaker 1>the wall, and people don't want it. The open air

0:55:12.080 --> 0:55:16.800
<v Speaker 1>drug markets, the sense of disorder, and so they become

0:55:17.200 --> 0:55:24.000
<v Speaker 1>easily picked off by demagogic candidate like Trump. And you know,

0:55:24.200 --> 0:55:27.080
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, you know, there's a

0:55:27.640 --> 0:55:31.680
<v Speaker 1>cohort of Democrats that are terrific at giving lectures telling

0:55:31.719 --> 0:55:34.600
<v Speaker 1>people what they can think about, what they could say,

0:55:35.040 --> 0:55:38.640
<v Speaker 1>what words they can use, what phrases can be used.

0:55:39.000 --> 0:55:43.000
<v Speaker 1>And it may it may have an appeal to somebody

0:55:43.040 --> 0:55:45.680
<v Speaker 1>out there, but there's a lot of people it just

0:55:45.760 --> 0:55:50.280
<v Speaker 1>triggers their fuck you response. And the person who's capitalized

0:55:50.320 --> 0:55:54.000
<v Speaker 1>on that has been Trump, And so you know, to me,

0:55:54.120 --> 0:55:58.440
<v Speaker 1>it's depressingly you read stories about Democrats just commissioned a

0:55:58.480 --> 0:56:03.200
<v Speaker 1>twenty million dollar study to learn how to talk to men, right,

0:56:03.200 --> 0:56:08.359
<v Speaker 1>who are fifty percent of the human population, And so

0:56:08.440 --> 0:56:11.719
<v Speaker 1>you just hope the party gets gets in touch and

0:56:12.600 --> 0:56:15.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, can find its way to normalcy, right because

0:56:15.680 --> 0:56:19.880
<v Speaker 1>there's scores of tens of millions of normal people in

0:56:19.920 --> 0:56:25.239
<v Speaker 1>this country right who can look at issues authentically and

0:56:25.360 --> 0:56:29.800
<v Speaker 1>honestly and clearly that range a spectrum from your moderate

0:56:29.880 --> 0:56:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Democrat to your progressive Democrat that can relate to real life,

0:56:34.080 --> 0:56:38.160
<v Speaker 1>real people, real situations, and look in the praise this

0:56:38.320 --> 0:56:41.239
<v Speaker 1>moment in time, and I think address it with the

0:56:41.320 --> 0:56:45.000
<v Speaker 1>utmost seriousness, and there's lots of examples out there, but

0:56:45.200 --> 0:56:51.040
<v Speaker 1>it just hasn't coagulated into a coherence for the party

0:56:51.080 --> 0:56:53.960
<v Speaker 1>as a whole, as a unit, as a leadership. You know,

0:56:54.040 --> 0:56:56.680
<v Speaker 1>for instance, I have no idea why there's not a

0:56:56.760 --> 0:57:04.120
<v Speaker 1>daily news conference where people go out and respond across

0:57:04.160 --> 0:57:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the broad spectrum that use some humor to tell some jokes,

0:57:08.160 --> 0:57:14.080
<v Speaker 1>but participate in the theater that is necessary to participate in,

0:57:14.200 --> 0:57:18.000
<v Speaker 1>because at the core, we're fighting an information war, and

0:57:18.520 --> 0:57:23.520
<v Speaker 1>that's what is a huge deficit I think and comprehension

0:57:23.640 --> 0:57:27.160
<v Speaker 1>by a lot of the Democrats facing off against Trump

0:57:27.240 --> 0:57:30.680
<v Speaker 1>is an appreciation for the nature of the fight they're in,

0:57:31.440 --> 0:57:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of people are frustrated about it. I

0:57:34.880 --> 0:57:36.800
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of people in my audience.

0:57:36.360 --> 0:57:38.760
<v Speaker 2>Are, yeah, I know, I was same with mine, and

0:57:39.360 --> 0:57:41.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, I was sort of chuckling to myself sadly

0:57:42.640 --> 0:57:46.160
<v Speaker 2>when I started seeing these instances of people like Schumer

0:57:46.200 --> 0:57:51.800
<v Speaker 2>and others introducing swear words in a completely very obviously

0:57:51.840 --> 0:57:55.160
<v Speaker 2>calculated and contrived way, as if that might be a

0:57:55.200 --> 0:57:58.200
<v Speaker 2>communication tactic to use, you know, But on the on

0:57:58.280 --> 0:58:00.480
<v Speaker 2>the speaking too, men thing. I don't know how many

0:58:00.520 --> 0:58:03.360
<v Speaker 2>people in your audience are familiar with Scott Galloway, but

0:58:03.440 --> 0:58:08.240
<v Speaker 2>I think the way that he's been communicating is nothing's perfect,

0:58:08.280 --> 0:58:11.000
<v Speaker 2>nothing's an exact model, but I think it serves a

0:58:11.040 --> 0:58:15.439
<v Speaker 2>lot to just point to. Here is how someone who

0:58:15.800 --> 0:58:20.200
<v Speaker 2>unquestionably fits into the MAGA definition of what it means

0:58:20.200 --> 0:58:23.440
<v Speaker 2>to be alpha right, the wealth and the confidence. And

0:58:23.480 --> 0:58:25.880
<v Speaker 2>I think he's tall, you know, like checking out the boxes.

0:58:26.320 --> 0:58:32.080
<v Speaker 2>But he's articulating in a way that is both respectful

0:58:32.480 --> 0:58:36.840
<v Speaker 2>but emotionally salient ideas of the center left. I guess

0:58:37.120 --> 0:58:39.760
<v Speaker 2>we would call it, and doing so extraordinarily effectively with

0:58:39.800 --> 0:58:42.640
<v Speaker 2>a disproportionately male audience, I think that that should be

0:58:42.640 --> 0:58:43.120
<v Speaker 2>looked at.

0:58:44.240 --> 0:58:48.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, no doubt. Well let me we're at our hour.

0:58:49.880 --> 0:58:52.640
<v Speaker 1>We've had a good crowd here, so let me give

0:58:52.680 --> 0:58:55.640
<v Speaker 1>it over to you to wrap it up, to observe

0:58:55.720 --> 0:58:59.640
<v Speaker 1>any last observations that you have for the night about

0:58:59.640 --> 0:59:02.520
<v Speaker 1>what's happening in the country, and to gain real pleasure

0:59:02.600 --> 0:59:04.840
<v Speaker 1>to get a chance to spend an hour with you.

0:59:04.920 --> 0:59:08.200
<v Speaker 3>Always the always a pleasure, you know.

0:59:08.240 --> 0:59:11.280
<v Speaker 2>One just little note of what I've been hearing from

0:59:11.320 --> 0:59:15.400
<v Speaker 2>my audience over the last week the whole. If X wins,

0:59:15.440 --> 0:59:18.120
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to move to Canada that we started hearing

0:59:18.160 --> 0:59:21.200
<v Speaker 2>back in the George W. Bush days, which doesn't actually

0:59:21.240 --> 0:59:23.800
<v Speaker 2>happen that often for a number of reasons, including that

0:59:23.880 --> 0:59:26.880
<v Speaker 2>it's not that easy for Americans to move to Canada necessarily.

0:59:27.640 --> 0:59:31.160
<v Speaker 2>I've heard from hundreds of my viewers who during I'm

0:59:31.160 --> 0:59:33.000
<v Speaker 2>not going to say it's not over the last six months,

0:59:33.040 --> 0:59:36.400
<v Speaker 2>but since Trump won the first time, have moved out

0:59:36.400 --> 0:59:40.840
<v Speaker 2>of the United States, and they all it's self selection biased.

0:59:40.840 --> 0:59:42.480
<v Speaker 2>The ones that aren't happy don't write to me, but

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<v Speaker 2>they all articulate the ways in which they just feel better,

0:59:47.960 --> 0:59:50.760
<v Speaker 2>are more positive, and feel more stable in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>the basic building blocks of life, even if their income

0:59:53.440 --> 0:59:57.280
<v Speaker 2>isn't necessarily as high on paper having moved to fill

0:59:57.320 --> 1:00:02.720
<v Speaker 2>in the blanks Latin America, You're a Asia. Heard from

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<v Speaker 2>a couple people in Africa, and it's been interesting just

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<v Speaker 2>to hear those stories from people about people who aren't

1:00:09.360 --> 1:00:11.400
<v Speaker 2>they're not threatening, they've done it, and sort of hearing

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<v Speaker 2>what that's been like.

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<v Speaker 1>Unbelievable time. David Pacman, thank you very much for yours

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm Steve Schmidt. This is the warning. I invite you

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<v Speaker 4>to join this community, where I promise to be honest,

1:00:26.440 --> 1:00:30.000
<v Speaker 4>blunt and direct about what is happening in this country.

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<v Speaker 4>America is in crisis. Follow and subscribe to this channel

1:00:34.680 --> 1:00:35.720
<v Speaker 4>and on substack.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you.