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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. Happy Christmas Eve, everybody,

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Speaker 1: Matt Parole with you. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talkmatt here on Bettingpros dot com, always being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. So we're all in the Christmas spirit, right,

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Speaker 1: But the sports calendar is not giving us really what

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Speaker 1: we want, although it does give us one game to

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Speaker 1: get into today and then a laundry list tomorrow. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna say this, if you guys are listening to the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast on Christmas morning, I will thank you,

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Speaker 1: I will owe you, and I don't know what really

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Speaker 1: to say, but thank you. And as we approach the

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Speaker 1: Christmas holiday season and we approach what is normally a

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Speaker 1: pretty dead for a lot of us work wise, it's

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Speaker 1: a great time to watch sports, is it not. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we've got games in the NFL on Friday, games in

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Speaker 1: the NFL on Saturday, games in the NFL on Sunday

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Speaker 1: and Monday. I know a lot of you guys, how

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Speaker 1: are either traveling or you're going to see family and friends,

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Speaker 1: and we can get into the whole whether or not

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Speaker 1: you're supposed to do that another time. But I do

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Speaker 1: appreciate all the support. I do appreciate you guys hanging

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Speaker 1: out in the discord chat. I do appreciate all the tweets.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate all the kind words. And when I tell

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Speaker 1: you that this podcast, this community we have built in

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Speaker 1: six months, is the most rewarding thing I have done

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Speaker 1: in twenty years in media, I can't get over it.

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I were talking after we taped our

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Speaker 1: NFL podcast, which by the way, should drop today, and

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Speaker 1: it has the potential for being a pretty good week

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Speaker 1: for us. If we go five and oh, we could

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Speaker 1: wind up finishing in the money for the DraftKings Pro

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Speaker 1: Football Pickup contest. We need to go five and oh though,

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Speaker 1: but we like the place. But five and oh is

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Speaker 1: tough in week sixteen. But if we can do it,

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Speaker 1: we'll wind up in the money. But we were talking

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Speaker 1: and we were just kind of laughing a little bit

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Speaker 1: about the first time I appeared on his podcast, which is,

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Speaker 1: you know, an incredibly highly rated podcast, but the highest

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Speaker 1: rated podcast we have in the company, And we were

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Speaker 1: going back and forth about like the first time I

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Speaker 1: came on and how he had heard other things I

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Speaker 1: had done. He'd heard other podcasts I had done, and

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Speaker 1: he basically said, like, when I was hiring one person

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Speaker 1: to do The Daily Juice, you were the person I wanted.

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Speaker 1: And I'm just so excited because it worked. And you know,

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Speaker 1: in the middle of a pandemic, we decided to launch

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Speaker 1: this podcast. And Okay, maybe it was perfect timing, maybe

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Speaker 1: it's a captive audience, maybe you know, the stars aligned correctly,

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Speaker 1: or whatever you want to describe it as. But it's worked.

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Speaker 1: It's been awesome. We have nearly five hundred reviews on

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Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts. In six months. This podcast is con consistently

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Speaker 1: ranked in the top seventy five for Apple Sports podcasts.

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Speaker 1: I mean, in six months, we're among the big boys.

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Speaker 1: If you guys ever want to kind of a treat,

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Speaker 1: go look at on Apple podcasts. It changes every day,

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Speaker 1: but go look for The Daily Juice on Apple Podcasts

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Speaker 1: in the sports category and you're gonna see that we

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Speaker 1: are among some of the bigger names in media in

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Speaker 1: six months. Like, that's how fast this thing has grown.

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Speaker 1: And I really appreciate it. I mean, I'm serious. I

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Speaker 1: get just a big smile on my face when we

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Speaker 1: start thinking about like where we're gonna go, you know,

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Speaker 1: when we all can get together, and the events we're

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Speaker 1: gonna do, and the store that's gonna be launched. So

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to get Daily Juice gear out to

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Speaker 1: you guys, and I can't wait to be doing just

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Speaker 1: a ton of fun things. So we've got so much

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Speaker 1: fun in big plans for twenty twenty one, and it's

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Speaker 1: entirely because of you guys, because the company wasn't really

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Speaker 1: sure how heavily how successful things were gonna go for

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Speaker 1: betting pros, and they weren't sure. And now in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty one, thanks in large part to you guys, your interaction,

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Speaker 1: your your you know, willingness to give me your time

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Speaker 1: every morning, we are now you know, poised to do

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Speaker 1: some pretty big things. So before I gave you the

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Speaker 1: one play for today, I wanted to give you a

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Speaker 1: big thank you. And I wish I could give you

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Speaker 1: all Christmas presents. I wish I could give you all.

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Speaker 1: You know, I'm trying to give you winners every day.

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Speaker 1: So so you say, well, give us a winner then Matt, well, okay, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that would be a great present. But you know I

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Speaker 1: try every day, and you know I try to be

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Speaker 1: as consistent as possible when it comes to giving you

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Speaker 1: guys winners. I want to win every bet I make,

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Speaker 1: and well, yesterday we went one and two, but we

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Speaker 1: wound up literally flat because we went one unit on

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Speaker 1: the minus one oh five teaser for the Memphis Montgomery Bowl.

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Speaker 1: That get was easy. Teas down to three under came in.

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Speaker 1: We didn't need to tease it, but it was good

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Speaker 1: to have it because there were couple of plays there.

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Speaker 1: There was a late drive where Fau throw a pick

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Speaker 1: at the two yard line that could have put it

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Speaker 1: below nine, and so I was thinking to myself, Okay,

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Speaker 1: we teased this, we should be fine. There were you know,

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Speaker 1: it never came close to fifty seven from a total perspective,

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Speaker 1: but that was you know, I was glad that we

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Speaker 1: had teased it just in case that one drive had

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Speaker 1: had been a touchdown. I would have been, you know,

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Speaker 1: an eight point or seven point victory for Memphis. So

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Speaker 1: that was good to have the teaser there in our

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Speaker 1: back pocket just in case. It was a little bit

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Speaker 1: of security. And it was minus one oh five and

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Speaker 1: some of you out DraftKings got that teaser at plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty three odds So for some of you, if

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Speaker 1: you bet all three games yesterday the teaser creting minus seven,

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Speaker 1: they won by five. More on that here in a second.

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Speaker 1: And then if you bet the Bucks minus three you won.

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Speaker 1: You were up money because of the plus one twenty

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Speaker 1: three odds from DraftKings on the teaser. Now the basketball plays.

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Speaker 1: I told you that I was totally fine with the

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Speaker 1: Bucks losing that game. Celtics winning that game. I'm cool

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Speaker 1: with it, right, it's my team. Bank three Yannis Missus

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Speaker 1: free throws at the end. Jason Tatum grew two inches.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, Like, what after you're in the NBA, you'd

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Speaker 1: grow to six'? Ten? Yes? Please, uh incredible For Jason

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Speaker 1: tatum if he's that, big that's Like gianni's. Height but

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Speaker 1: he is mis seven Feet but it's till six ten

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Speaker 1: for a shooting. Guard, okay But tatum played incredibly. Well

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Speaker 1: hit That bank Three Janis missus free. Throws boston wins by.

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Speaker 1: One we Bet bucks minus. Three totally okay with losing that.

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Speaker 1: WAGER i said last. Night if we, lose IF i,

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Speaker 1: Lose i'm cool with it Because boston just win the game.

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Speaker 1: Out what would have pissed me off if The bucks

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Speaker 1: had won the game by one or. Two that one

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Speaker 1: made me. Mad SO i, mean If i'm gonna, lose

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Speaker 1: my team's gonna lose cash my. Wager so that was.

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Speaker 1: Fine that was sort of a system, play if you,

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Speaker 1: will but against your team in a tight. Game hopefully

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Speaker 1: you know you're. HAPPY i am happy about. That i'm

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Speaker 1: glad they give up the half a unit to get

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Speaker 1: A celtics win Over. Milwaukee The Creighton Blue jays was

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Speaker 1: a different. Story that was, frustration and that was. ANGER

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Speaker 1: i was mad about. THAT i don't Think Marca zegorowski is.

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Speaker 1: Healthy that's a guy who was on The nasmith preseason.

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Speaker 1: List he's missing free throws and layups and just not playing.

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Speaker 1: Well Mitch, baylock for whatever, reason is. Stressing he's had

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Speaker 1: one game so far this season or he's been on

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Speaker 1: from behind the three point line pretty much every other.

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Speaker 1: Game he's shooting quick threes that are not going. In,

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Speaker 1: now he's a senior and he's got the green light

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Speaker 1: From greg, McDermott but it is remarkable to watch how

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Speaker 1: many shots he's putting up and how many threes he's missing.

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Speaker 1: Consistently SO i Think bishops should be a bigger part

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Speaker 1: of their. OFFENSE i think that kid can be really

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Speaker 1: special if he keeps developing as the season goes. On

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Speaker 1: but they missed too many free. Throws they should have

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Speaker 1: covered that. Game xavier played horrifically on. Offense i'm telling,

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Speaker 1: you The jay's deep is better than people. THINK i

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Speaker 1: know it's been kind of like this laughing, stock like

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Speaker 1: they can't play, defense but they really committed to themselves

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Speaker 1: in the offseason to get better. Defensively and, look Holding

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Speaker 1: xavier under sixty points was pretty, big AND i think

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Speaker 1: it's gonna pay off later in the year in The

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Speaker 1: Big east when they've got to play defense in crucial,

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Speaker 1: games in crunch time. Games SO i mean a win

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Speaker 1: for The, jays they don't. Cover they win by five

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Speaker 1: seven point, line they don't cover, it so we go

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Speaker 1: one and. Two but LIKE i, said i gotta ad

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Speaker 1: minds one oh. Five So i'm down a tiny tiny.

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Speaker 1: Bit if you guys got at plus one twenty three

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Speaker 1: At DraftKings And, FANDUA i think it was two you

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Speaker 1: guys wand up in the money in the plus, Money

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Speaker 1: so a winning day for The Daily juice. Yesterday so

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Speaker 1: the schedule THAT i mentioned is very very. Light only

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Speaker 1: one game to talk. About it is a ball game

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Speaker 1: that will give to here in just one. Second but

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Speaker 1: remember The Christmas day offer for THE nba from BET

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Speaker 1: mgm is a good. One you bet one dollar on

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Speaker 1: the money line for any team to win in On Christmas.

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Speaker 1: Day we got any games to talk about coming up

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Speaker 1: tomorrow on the, program but you'll win one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: if any team hits a three pointer On Christmas day

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Speaker 1: for AN nba basketball, game it gets paid out in free.

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Speaker 1: Wagers it's available In New, Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, tennessee And West.

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Speaker 1: Virginia but please remember this is not yet available In.

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Speaker 1: Pennsylvania and these offers are not also available In, nevada

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Speaker 1: WHICH i think is a. Joke but it's not available In,

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Speaker 1: nevada so it's kind of. Annoying hopefully they change that

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Speaker 1: at some point too soon for me here In Las.

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Speaker 1: Vegas but go to bedmgm dot com for terms. Conditions

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Speaker 1: you can use that promo Code juice one hundred when

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Speaker 1: you sign. Up remember that's, Important juice one. Hundred until

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Speaker 1: we get credit for you guys listening and using this promo,

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Speaker 1: code you must be twenty one years or. Older you

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Speaker 1: must be physically located In, Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana New, jersey

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Speaker 1: Or West. Virginia please gamble. Responsibly gambling problem called one

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Speaker 1: one hundred five two two forty seven hundred In, colorado

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler In New jersey Or West, virginia or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it In. Deana, Okay so

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Speaker 1: only one game to talk, about and that is The

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Speaker 1: New Mexico, bowl which we played In, Frisco. Texas excuse, Me,

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Speaker 1: Yes hawaii is in this. Game this marks only the

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Speaker 1: Second bowl game in school history That hawaii is not

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Speaker 1: playing In. Hawaii when you go to school In, hawaii

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Speaker 1: you almost always play a ballgame in your home. Stadium

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Speaker 1: why because you go to school In. Hawaii houston is

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Speaker 1: three and. Four here in this, Game hawaii is four and.

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Speaker 1: Four this is. Bonkers this is. Weird but you got

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Speaker 1: The New Mexico bowl being, moved The Hawaii bowl getting.

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Speaker 1: Canceled it's just an absolute. Mess it's all over the.

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Speaker 1: Place AND i don't really know what to make of this,

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Speaker 1: game to be quite. Honest it's a double digit line

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Speaker 1: opened up a ten and a half was bet down to.

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Speaker 1: Ten this is not your Typical hawaii throw the football

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Speaker 1: in every, down you, know, hey, offense, offense. Offense for The,

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Speaker 1: Warriors Todd, graham first head, coach likes to run the.

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Speaker 1: Football they've had some interesting games The Mountain West, conference

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Speaker 1: looking for Another bowl win here After nevada took down To.

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Speaker 1: Lane but here is my thing With, Houston And i've

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Speaker 1: been Watching houston this year BECAUSE i don't, KNOW i

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Speaker 1: kind of fell in love with. THEM i was In

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Speaker 1: houston for a, bit and THEN i really Like Todd

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Speaker 1: Tom herman when he was, there and then Watching Dana

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Speaker 1: holgerson and kind of the whole disaster When Dana holgerson

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Speaker 1: took over And Deerra king's. Transfer So i've been Watching

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Speaker 1: houston a. Lot AND i don't Think houston's a great football. Team,

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Speaker 1: OKAY i don't Think houston should be favored by this many. Points,

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Speaker 1: OKAY i don't think it should be should be favored

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Speaker 1: by ten. Points, HOWEVER i do think they can win

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Speaker 1: the game by ten. Points so if you look at

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Speaker 1: the way That houston's been to the number this, season

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Speaker 1: they're three and four to the, number but they haven't

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Speaker 1: covered in three of the last four. Games last two

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Speaker 1: games For, hawaii they haven't covered. Either they were eighteen

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Speaker 1: point favorites TO. Unlv not good IN unlv kept the game.

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Speaker 1: Closed they lost by. Seventeen then hasten there were three

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Speaker 1: point dogs To San Jose, state who played really well

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Speaker 1: down the. Stretch like we talked, about we bet their bowl.

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Speaker 1: Game we got that bowl game. Right they lost by

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Speaker 1: eleven in that, Game so they haven't been great as of.

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Speaker 1: Late eight out of yates out of recently as of

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Speaker 1: recent play making up, Words But hawaii three and five

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Speaker 1: to the. Number so, look we're gonna play this in

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Speaker 1: a similar way we played this. Yesterday so we took

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Speaker 1: the nine points For memphis and teased it down to.

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Speaker 1: Three i'm taking the ten points And i'm teasing it

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Speaker 1: down to. Four. OKAY i Think houston wins this game

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Speaker 1: by seven. POINTS i, do But i'm a teased down to.

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Speaker 1: Four this is a one unit. Play but what to

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Speaker 1: do with the other? Side, Okay so do you go

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Speaker 1: over or? Under the weather could be crappy here In, Frisco. Texas,

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Speaker 1: okay it's supposed to be a little. Breezy it's supposed

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Speaker 1: to be a little, rainy not very, pleasant not. Warm,

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Speaker 1: Okay It's texas In, december so it's not, cold but

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Speaker 1: not that warm either here on A Christmas. Eve the

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Speaker 1: total is, interesting fifty nine and a. Half that's kind

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Speaker 1: of a high total here for offenses that generally haven't

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Speaker 1: been great to the. Over hawaii has only gone over

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Speaker 1: two times in eight. Games three, sorry four to the

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Speaker 1: last five have gone, under and two of eight have

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Speaker 1: gone under three in a. Row, Nevada San Jesse, state AND,

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Speaker 1: unlv with totals of sixty, four fifty nine and a

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Speaker 1: half and sixty have all gone. Under the largest total

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Speaker 1: of the year was Against New mexico sixty six and a,

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Speaker 1: half and that game went over thirty nine to thirty.

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Speaker 1: Three so you might, go, Well, matt there's you, know

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Speaker 1: look at that game and potentially are you concerned at

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Speaker 1: all this game might go over if you bet the,

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Speaker 1: under it'd be smart to kind of pull it. Down

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Speaker 1: and you, know don't you know cheer for? Points, NO

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Speaker 1: i think sixty five and a half is too many.

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Speaker 1: POINTS i would be shocked if these two teams combined

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Speaker 1: for sixty five and a half. POINTS i, know the

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Speaker 1: safer play might be pulling it down here to you,

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Speaker 1: know fifty three and a. Half But i'm going the other,

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Speaker 1: way sixty five and a. Half i'm going up And

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Speaker 1: i'm taking the under sixty five and a half here

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Speaker 1: For houston And New, mexico just given their, offense given

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Speaker 1: that these, teams you, know just looking at the numbers

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Speaker 1: here in terms of you, know points per, Game hawaii

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Speaker 1: scores twenty six points per. Game houston scores thirty two

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Speaker 1: points per. Game houston gives up thirty two points to per.

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Speaker 1: Game hawaii gives up twenty nine points per. GAME i

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Speaker 1: just think we're looking at a, game you, know probably

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Speaker 1: somewhere in the twenty eight to twenty fourth type of,

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Speaker 1: range somewhere in there thirty twenty four type of range

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Speaker 1: For houston to win and the under to come. IN

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Speaker 1: i don't think we get to, sixty. OKAY i think

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Speaker 1: the total fifty nine and a half is pretty much

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Speaker 1: right on as to where this game is going to,

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Speaker 1: go and much like what we saw last night With.

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Speaker 1: Memphis Although fau's offense is, PATHETIC i don't think either

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Speaker 1: one of these offenses or as bad As. FIUs but

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Speaker 1: maybe these two defenses aren't as good As FIU's defense is,

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Speaker 1: EITHER i MEAN fau had a top ten scoring defense

287
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Speaker 1: going into that. Game SO i was talking to somebody

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Speaker 1: in the discord channel a little bit about why they

289
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Speaker 1: bet the, over AND i wasn't trying to be a.

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Speaker 1: JERK i actually was generally, LIKE i was, like why

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Speaker 1: did you bet the over in that? Game and they

292
00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,120
Speaker 1: kind of, said, WELL i was expecting. POINTS i thought

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Speaker 1: that we'd SEE fiu score you, know twenty to twenty four.

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Speaker 1: Points AND i was, like, well why their, average you,

295
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Speaker 1: know points per game was, seventeen so why did you

296
00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:41,960
Speaker 1: think they were going to score twenty? Four and they

297
00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,400
Speaker 1: clearly they score. Ten SO i was kind of, like

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Speaker 1: you just when you're handicapping games yourself and you're making,

299
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Speaker 1: PLAYS i know it's fun to use your, gut but

300
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Speaker 1: it's also you also take a little bit of time

301
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Speaker 1: just to kind of look at the team you're betting.

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Speaker 1: On it's your own, money, right you worked hard for that.

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Speaker 1: Money don't give it to the. Books so go. In you,

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Speaker 1: know you can, SAY i Just, MATT i faded, You

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Speaker 1: okay if that's your, Answer, Like, matt you haven't been

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Speaker 1: hot over the last couple of, games so a couple of,

307
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Speaker 1: days So i'm just going to fade. You, Okay i'm

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00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:08,760
Speaker 1: not going to get angry at. That if your reasoning

309
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:12,320
Speaker 1: is you're, cold So i'm betting against, you well that's.

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Speaker 1: Fine my retort to that now would, be, well we

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Speaker 1: won two days ago and we finished pretty much flat,

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00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,080
Speaker 1: yesterday so like we're not losing. Anymore we've kind of

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Speaker 1: stopped the bleeding a, bit and we're starting to turn

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Speaker 1: the ship around a little. Bit SO i don't know

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Speaker 1: if fading me is a good. Idea so that's, just you,

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Speaker 1: know do a little homework and if you're gonna bet

317
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Speaker 1: the over in these, games, okay BUT i need some.

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Speaker 1: More LIKE i may ask, you, guys if you're cheering

319
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Speaker 1: for the over and you're going against me and you're

320
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,560
Speaker 1: in the discord, JET i may want to know, Why

321
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Speaker 1: Like i'm genuinely, curious like what numbers are you? Seeing

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Speaker 1: do you guys have info THAT i haven't? Seen do

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00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:48,640
Speaker 1: you have NUMBERS i haven't been made aware? Of and

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Speaker 1: it's not just so you, Know i'm much going to be.

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Speaker 1: MEAN i JUST i genuinely want to. KNOW i genuinely

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Speaker 1: want to know what you guys are doing and what you're.

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Speaker 1: Seeing so we're, going, Uh houston minus four and under

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Speaker 1: sixty five and a half for one unit here On Christmas,

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Speaker 1: eve the only game of the. Day we will be

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Speaker 1: back tomorrow on A christmas. Morning we will have a

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Speaker 1: bunch OF nba, Plays we will have AN nfl play for.

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Speaker 1: You we will have more and more things to, pick

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Speaker 1: bet and talk about coming up on tomorrow's. Podcast but

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Speaker 1: for this, TIME i hope The Big man is good to.

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Speaker 1: YOU i hope The Big man's good to you and your.

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Speaker 1: Family have a great Merry, christmas have a Phenomenal Christmas.

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Speaker 1: MORNING i will be smoking barbecue all day On Christmas.

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Speaker 1: Day i'll be doing a lot of prep tomorrow On

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Speaker 1: Christmas eve as we get closer and closer to that

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Speaker 1: Big Big december twenty. Fifth my name Is Matt. Paroltz

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Speaker 1: follow me On twitter At Sports Talk. Matt we're back,

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Speaker 1: tomorrow yes on A Christmas, day for another edition of

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Speaker 1: The Del Juice, podcast brought to you by bet mgm

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Speaker 1: off bettingpros Dot. Com