WEBVTT - P&L: Volvo Will Start Producing Cars in U.S. by Mid-2018

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P L Podcast

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<v Speaker 1>on iTunes, SoundCloud and at Bloomberg dot com. I want

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<v Speaker 1>to bring in Lex Curse, the maker. So I pronounced

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<v Speaker 1>that right? Yes, I fabulous. He is President and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Volvo Cars of North America here at the North

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<v Speaker 1>American International Auto Show. Um, Lex, what has surprised you

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<v Speaker 1>about this show? Just looking in general? Has anything? Um?

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<v Speaker 1>I think what you what you see here is is

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<v Speaker 1>the trends, which is going on, more pickup trucks, more

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<v Speaker 1>SUVs and UH and autonomost drive is the um let's say,

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<v Speaker 1>it's the hot words out today. Yeah, but is that

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<v Speaker 1>from demand from consumers or is it for auto companies

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<v Speaker 1>to feel like they've got a toe hold in what

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<v Speaker 1>could come perhaps in the next decade. No. I think

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<v Speaker 1>we as automotive manufacturers, we need to be a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit ahead of the of the gang, and we strongly

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<v Speaker 1>believe at least I speak for Volvo. We we have

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<v Speaker 1>a very clear vision by twenty twenty nobody should be

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<v Speaker 1>killed or seriously injured in a Volvo car, and autonomous

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<v Speaker 1>drive is a very important ingredient of of of reaching

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<v Speaker 1>that target. So I think it's it's driven where the

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<v Speaker 1>automotive industry is going in the future. Let's talk about

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<v Speaker 1>Volvo cars. You did what about a half a million

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<v Speaker 1>at last last year? We we had a we had

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<v Speaker 1>a third in a row record, a year in a

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<v Speaker 1>row record for five and thirty four thousand units. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>five thirty four thousand units. Let's look at the sort

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<v Speaker 1>of breakdown of those units and what you see for

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<v Speaker 1>the future. Uh, the Let's start with what you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to unveil or trying to unveil today. What is up

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<v Speaker 1>with this T eight hybrid drive train with a combined

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<v Speaker 1>combustion engine. Now we have we have the EXCE ninety

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<v Speaker 1>and that is the the T eight. It's an electrical

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<v Speaker 1>motor and it's a force clinder force clinder engine. So

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<v Speaker 1>you have the best out of two worlds. You can

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<v Speaker 1>drive electric and you can drive with your regular combustion engine.

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<v Speaker 1>What will show today is is another step in what

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<v Speaker 1>we again, I'm talking about autonomous drive. Um, we will

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<v Speaker 1>start a project in Sweden end of this year where

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<v Speaker 1>we hand over one cars too regular customers who are

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<v Speaker 1>going to experience what autonomous drive means in their daily life.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's the This isn't Goldenburg, Sweden? Where where where

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<v Speaker 1>the Volvo headquarter is? What about in the US? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>how concerned are you lex about the political backtrap and

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<v Speaker 1>interfering with Volvo's plans to unveiled both autonomous cars as

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<v Speaker 1>well as manufactured things in the cheapest possible manner. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>let me take a step back. We we have decided

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<v Speaker 1>to build a factory in the United States because of Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>That was far before President Electron came in came into

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<v Speaker 1>the picture. We decided this is in South Carolina. This

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<v Speaker 1>is in South Carolina. We decided that two years ago

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<v Speaker 1>we will start producing cars mid two thousand eighteen. We

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<v Speaker 1>built that factory in the United States because we wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to be in the United States. Of course, Mexico was

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<v Speaker 1>an option. There are other places where we could go.

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<v Speaker 1>We wanted to be here because Volver has been here

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<v Speaker 1>for sixty years. So it has nothing to do with

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<v Speaker 1>with with the existing discussion. The discussion is about autonomous drivers.

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<v Speaker 1>We believe in something as much we believed in producing

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<v Speaker 1>cars in the United States, we believe in autonomous drive.

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<v Speaker 1>But do you think that from a regulatory standpoint that

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<v Speaker 1>you will be allowed to test autonomous cars in a

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<v Speaker 1>way that you'll need to be able to do so

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States the way that you are saying, sweet, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a good question. And I think that the NIZA

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<v Speaker 1>has released a report or proposal in in in in

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<v Speaker 1>July or August where they try to come to a

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<v Speaker 1>solution on a from a federal perspective, ALMO allowing manufacturers

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<v Speaker 1>to test and because that's a prequisite you you we

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<v Speaker 1>can't sell cars which you can't drive from California to Arizona.

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<v Speaker 1>You have to stop. So I think that's a prequisite

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<v Speaker 1>for the autonomous drive. Yes, just quickly, you're gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>importing a car into the United States that's made with

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<v Speaker 1>your partner Geely in China. We are we are, we

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<v Speaker 1>are currently yes, we are currently already importing cars from

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<v Speaker 1>China into the United States. Tell people just what the

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<v Speaker 1>model is and what it's it. We we we we

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<v Speaker 1>we we we imported the sd S sixty since since

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<v Speaker 1>since one and a half year, and we are a

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<v Speaker 1>global company. We have factories all over the world, and

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<v Speaker 1>we import and export cars out of the US in

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<v Speaker 1>the future and into the US from different places in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Might be the way for other automakers to

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<v Speaker 1>do it as well. Thanks very much, Lexa kursen Maker's

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<v Speaker 1>He is the senior vice president America's President chief executive

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<v Speaker 1>for Volvo. We are ready for some transformation and we

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<v Speaker 1>have two gentlemen that can help us. Kevin Tynan is

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<v Speaker 1>our senior autos analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. He can be

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<v Speaker 1>followed on Twitter at keV tyn in ten and also

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<v Speaker 1>joining us is David Welch, our Detroit bureau chief for

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News. David Welch, I want to start with you,

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<v Speaker 1>because first I want to thank you for having us

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<v Speaker 1>here in Detroit and showing us the hospitality of the

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<v Speaker 1>bureau and arranging for a very nice dinner last night.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you. What is the biggest theme we We've been

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<v Speaker 1>going back in fourth year, whether the theme is autonomous driving,

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<v Speaker 1>is it hybrid vehicles, or is it just or is

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<v Speaker 1>it just really I'm gonna get to the Honda truck

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<v Speaker 1>in a second. But is or is it trucks? What's

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<v Speaker 1>the theme for you? Well, the market is always trucks,

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<v Speaker 1>That's what everybody's buying. Um. But what I find interesting,

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<v Speaker 1>honestly is the number of cars and evs that are

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<v Speaker 1>here in an era when gas is cheap, No one

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<v Speaker 1>is really buying either one of of those, whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>electric cars or passenger cars. Um. And the Trump era

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<v Speaker 1>is only gonna husher in more of that. He's drill,

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<v Speaker 1>baby drill, He's franc baby frank. Um. You know, he

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<v Speaker 1>wants to bring cold back. He wants cheap energy of

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<v Speaker 1>every kind, which which means gasoline will be cheap for

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<v Speaker 1>as far as the eye can see. And people buy

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<v Speaker 1>big stuff. But at this show, we've got a new

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<v Speaker 1>BMW five series and Mercedes E Class when that markets

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<v Speaker 1>down this year. We've got a new camera you know

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<v Speaker 1>that that has head here in five years, right, Um?

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<v Speaker 1>And you've got uh many has plug in hybrid. You

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<v Speaker 1>know who's gonna I mean, I'm a mini owner, but

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<v Speaker 1>you know i'm the guy. Um, So it was you.

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<v Speaker 1>You're You're the one. You were the statistic on the

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<v Speaker 1>far chart. You know, Kevin, do you agree I mean

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<v Speaker 1>what I mean? And also, why do you think that

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<v Speaker 1>these automakers are rolling out and sort of advertising their

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<v Speaker 1>sedans and their mid sized cars in an era where

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<v Speaker 1>the truck is king. Yeah, and and we're basically unwinding

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<v Speaker 1>car demand and car supplied. There's still significant segments. There's

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<v Speaker 1>still a lot of univolume that goes to those segments,

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<v Speaker 1>but it is declining every year. So I think what

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting can you just put that into perspective and

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<v Speaker 1>how much has the car segment declined is a proportion

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<v Speaker 1>of overall sales? Well, if you look at the top

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<v Speaker 1>three segments by volume as as we lay them out,

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<v Speaker 1>compact crossover suv is the largest for the first time

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<v Speaker 1>last year, UH, compact car and midsize car would be

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<v Speaker 1>two and three, and those had formerly been the largest

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<v Speaker 1>segments as as recently as UH those two segments combined,

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<v Speaker 1>the car segment we're down in roughly eight percent last year.

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<v Speaker 1>Now keep in mind this is a record year in volume,

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<v Speaker 1>and car sales were down on midsize and compact while

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<v Speaker 1>the compact crossover suv segment was up, so even outperformed

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<v Speaker 1>basically a little bit better than flat market. You have

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<v Speaker 1>a situation where you can't sell cars. Can't sell cars

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<v Speaker 1>except if you've got big promotions, low cost financing, sure

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<v Speaker 1>sure leasing. We're seeing record leasing levels also, which is uh,

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<v Speaker 1>we're finding creating affordability as average transaction prices are at

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<v Speaker 1>record highs as well. But it's also aligning the driver

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<v Speaker 1>with the technology cycle. We're seeing new technology every year.

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<v Speaker 1>A nice thirty six month lease aligns with what's new

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<v Speaker 1>and what's coming. But I keep seeing that there are

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<v Speaker 1>a leases for a lot longer and for the actual

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<v Speaker 1>loan business is taken you out in terms of years

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<v Speaker 1>to the point where I don't know whether there being

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<v Speaker 1>more rubber or left on the tires by the time

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<v Speaker 1>you turn it back. That's a FAIG concern right now,

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<v Speaker 1>because resale values have also been going uh down. So David,

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<v Speaker 1>why do you think, uh, is this just basically a

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<v Speaker 1>PR push then to sort of give a sort of

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<v Speaker 1>environmentally friendly uh sort of face to auto companies um

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<v Speaker 1>with what they're showing versus the trucks that they're selling. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>there's well, there are a couple of reasons that you're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing a lot of evs plug in hybrids and that

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<v Speaker 1>sort of thing I don't auto show one is they

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<v Speaker 1>want to talk to regulators. We're doing the right thing,

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<v Speaker 1>because that's these vehicles are regulatory. You got that, got

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<v Speaker 1>the cafe standards, right, I mean yeah, And you've also

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<v Speaker 1>got a requirement in California that you have a certain

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<v Speaker 1>percentage of your sales and it's not insignificant. Has to

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<v Speaker 1>be zero emissions, nothing out of the tail play that

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<v Speaker 1>typically means an electric car or and you get partial

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<v Speaker 1>credits for a plug in hybrids. They have to make them,

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<v Speaker 1>so they're putting them up there to make that statement.

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<v Speaker 1>The other thing you have to remember, too, is the

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<v Speaker 1>vehicles that we're seeing today, we're planned and developed. There

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<v Speaker 1>were designers and engineers on the sketch board in two thousands,

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<v Speaker 1>well when gas was three six gallon. Obama was talking

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<v Speaker 1>about much tougher, tougher fuel economy rules and Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 1>was every reality TV star, So it was a very

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<v Speaker 1>different world. When these vehicles are on the drawing board,

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<v Speaker 1>and now they're coming to market and the market is

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<v Speaker 1>much much different than it was back then. We've seen

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<v Speaker 1>three and a thousand, five and a thousand years of

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<v Speaker 1>growth and it's mostly been SUVs and trucks, but the

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<v Speaker 1>stuff they were developing when all that started was much

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<v Speaker 1>more thrifty. So, Kevin, would you agree with that sort

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<v Speaker 1>of lens to put on this that A lot of

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<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing in terms of the electric vehicles and

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<v Speaker 1>the a ton of striving in the midsized cars, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of that was produced in an era when people

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<v Speaker 1>believed that we're moving to a more fuel efficient standard. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>And what I think automakers are doing is looking out

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's five, fifteen, twenty years and saying, let's assume

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<v Speaker 1>this endgame is electrification and working backwards. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>what's different now than the pre bankruptcy period was that

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<v Speaker 1>they're involved in the development of that technology. Rather than

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<v Speaker 1>pushing what they want to the market and saying you'll

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<v Speaker 1>come and you'll buy it. They're involved in that investment,

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<v Speaker 1>and then it's able to be scalable. So if if

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<v Speaker 1>electric vehicle penetration goes from three to five to ten

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<v Speaker 1>to fifteen to forty, whatever it winds up being, they

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<v Speaker 1>can scale up with. If it doesn't happen, those vehicles

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<v Speaker 1>can go to the lift fleet, the uber fleet in

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<v Speaker 1>low low cost leases and they hit their their cafe

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<v Speaker 1>and their emissions requirements. That way free to sell as

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<v Speaker 1>many trucks as they want. On the other side of

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<v Speaker 1>the equation, there's something we haven't talked about here that's

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<v Speaker 1>hugely important, and that's China. So China is now the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest car mark in the world, and the air quality

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<v Speaker 1>in its major city's is is just unbreathable. So they

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<v Speaker 1>are really giving big incentives and big requirements for plug

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<v Speaker 1>and hybrids, and over the last twelve day two months

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<v Speaker 1>they've started to go from plug and hybrids being good

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<v Speaker 1>enough to incentives for battery electric fields just just pure

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<v Speaker 1>electric cars. And in some cases you know that the

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<v Speaker 1>company are the government owned companies get massive incentives for

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<v Speaker 1>buying these cars, and those guys lose money, but that

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<v Speaker 1>the government props them up. So they're buying a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of these vehicles that that lose money um for the

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<v Speaker 1>people who sell them, but the Chinese wanted and as

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<v Speaker 1>long as the Chinese want this, you're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>to make them globally, and car makers tend to engine

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<v Speaker 1>your global fleets of vehicles that they build and sell,

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<v Speaker 1>So real quick, do you think next year you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to see the same number of electric vehicles more more,

0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:36.640
<v Speaker 1>more China leading the charge. Thank you so much both

0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:39.400
<v Speaker 1>of you for joining us. UH. Kevin Tynan, senior auto

0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:43.160
<v Speaker 1>analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence and Detroit Bureau chief David Welch,

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:57.240
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. You get more perspective on this incredible,

0:12:57.440 --> 0:12:59.720
<v Speaker 1>massive floor that we're sitting on with lots of cars

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.199
<v Speaker 1>in all sorts of positions. I saw one hanging from

0:13:02.200 --> 0:13:04.400
<v Speaker 1>a wall. I want to bring in Sam Slaughter, chairman

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:08.040
<v Speaker 1>of the North American International Auto Show, UH with us

0:13:08.080 --> 0:13:11.040
<v Speaker 1>here in Detroit. So can you give us some perspective

0:13:11.280 --> 0:13:14.320
<v Speaker 1>on how this show compares to previous years in terms

0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 1>of scope, a number of attendees, and the types of offerings.

0:13:18.320 --> 0:13:20.960
<v Speaker 1>Well as far as scope goes. We've added the whole

0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:24.840
<v Speaker 1>automobility section downstairs, which really speaks to the technology that's

0:13:24.880 --> 0:13:26.920
<v Speaker 1>coming in our cars. That a lot of it's here,

0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 1>but we're getting all the way up to autonomous self

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:31.319
<v Speaker 1>driving cars and and that's really the thing to talk

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:33.320
<v Speaker 1>about at the show this year. There's a lot of

0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:35.440
<v Speaker 1>technology here. You can see it even in this play

0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 1>boost right behind they're doing this simulated drive and cars

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:42.439
<v Speaker 1>actually moving the way a car would actually move in

0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:44.559
<v Speaker 1>the track, but it's virtual. Do you think that we're

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 1>going to see true autonomous vehicles gained some popularity in

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 1>the next decade? And if so, how to what degree?

0:13:50.960 --> 0:13:52.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, how how much will the perpetration be? Yeah,

0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:56.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, John kraft Trek was here yesterday, the Google

0:13:56.320 --> 0:13:59.160
<v Speaker 1>autonomous driving guy, and and and they've created this new

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 1>company called way Bow, and they actually have this price

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 1>of pacifica that does drive by itself. And they've logged

0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:08.800
<v Speaker 1>three million miles on the actual vehicle, but five billion

0:14:08.840 --> 0:14:14.079
<v Speaker 1>miles virtually. And so they're really, uh, they're they're they're

0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:17.000
<v Speaker 1>perfected it in such a way that, in his words,

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, you can't get close with autonomous driving. It

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.200
<v Speaker 1>has to be perfect. And so yes, I think you're

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:26.800
<v Speaker 1>gonna see increasing self driving capabilities, whether it's fully autonomous

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 1>or not. I think you're gonna see more and more

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:31.840
<v Speaker 1>self driving capabilities. But someday, you know, it could all

0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 1>be self driving. The one thing I don't think it

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 1>can be, at least yet, is it can't be self cleaning.

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:39.600
<v Speaker 1>And the reason I bring that up is because I

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:43.360
<v Speaker 1>know that you started off your real love of automobiles

0:14:43.360 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>by washing cars at the dealership that you subsequently But

0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:50.800
<v Speaker 1>that's correct. Yeah, and I can still detail a card

0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:53.560
<v Speaker 1>just so you know. So that's something that you can't automate.

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:56.320
<v Speaker 1>And you cannot automate I wish you could. All right, Well,

0:14:56.480 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 1>then let's talk about the automation and the detail because

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>you've had to learn a lot of of terms in

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:02.800
<v Speaker 1>the last let's say five years. If I had said

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:05.080
<v Speaker 1>led ar to you five years ago, what would you

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:06.880
<v Speaker 1>have said. I would have no clue. I would have said,

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 1>as it's something to eat, I don't know. Yeah, So

0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:10.760
<v Speaker 1>tell people about what it is and maybe just give

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:13.400
<v Speaker 1>us let's say the five most important things that people

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 1>ask for when they're looking for a car and they

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:18.320
<v Speaker 1>want this new technology. Well, they're not asking for lighter

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:20.760
<v Speaker 1>yet because nobody knows what it is. But what lightar

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 1>does is it really can see in the dark, in

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 1>the bright sun, in the snow, and it's really gonna

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 1>enable self driving things to happen. But you know that

0:15:31.760 --> 0:15:34.400
<v Speaker 1>technology is coming. Right now, I'm driving a car right now,

0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 1>a gmc Acadia that has adaptive cruise control. You set

0:15:37.520 --> 0:15:40.360
<v Speaker 1>the cruise at seventy miles an hour. Somebody cuts in

0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:42.520
<v Speaker 1>front of you to pass a truck, your car slows

0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:45.920
<v Speaker 1>down automatically, it speeds up automatically, a panic stop and

0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:48.640
<v Speaker 1>it stops. So there's a lot of things that we're

0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 1>seeing right now in our car, So customers are starting

0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 1>to ask for those kinds of things. Do you think

0:15:53.120 --> 0:15:57.720
<v Speaker 1>that the first adopters for autonomous cars will really be

0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the ride sharing services? And how much have you seen

0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:04.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of an increase in representatives from the ride sharing company. Yeah,

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:07.080
<v Speaker 1>that's that's a great question, Lisa, And and that some

0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 1>of these ride sharing companies are are participating in the

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Auto Show for the first time ever with with automobility,

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:16.160
<v Speaker 1>And yes, I think that's where the most natural application

0:16:16.200 --> 0:16:18.600
<v Speaker 1>for it is. The other natural application for his long

0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>haul trucking. That's where you know guys getting trucks and

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 1>they have to drive for eight hours and they have

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to take eight hours off. Well, the autnos driving truck

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have to take time off. So you still might

0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:32.160
<v Speaker 1>have a driver to keep it clean, to unload and load,

0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>but that driver can take his nap while the truck

0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:37.000
<v Speaker 1>is still making its progress across the country. So have

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:40.160
<v Speaker 1>you seen the number of regulators attending this conference also increasing?

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:42.680
<v Speaker 1>Just as a result of some of the prospects of

0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:46.160
<v Speaker 1>trucks barreling at uh, you know, but eighty miles per

0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>hour without a driver without a driver. Yeah, you know,

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 1>that's so interesting you ask that question, because I think

0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:54.320
<v Speaker 1>that's a whole, you know, wave of of litigation and

0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 1>planning that we haven't had yet. Is you know, right

0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:58.680
<v Speaker 1>now you and I make a decision where they're going

0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:00.800
<v Speaker 1>to hit the baby or hit the tree. Right, well,

0:17:01.520 --> 0:17:06.120
<v Speaker 1>but hopefully not choice. You're going to have to make it.

0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:09.040
<v Speaker 1>But how do you program that? And who programs that?

0:17:09.160 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 1>And then who's responsible for what happens when that accident happens.

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:15.359
<v Speaker 1>The good thing about autonomous driving vehicles and all the

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:18.000
<v Speaker 1>safety features is we're gonna have a lot fewer accidents,

0:17:18.040 --> 0:17:20.879
<v Speaker 1>and the ones we have are gonna be bumps, not collisions.

0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Tracking devices that will be in cars to allow not

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:30.040
<v Speaker 1>only your family, but perhaps law enforcement or regulatory bodies

0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:33.200
<v Speaker 1>him really paranoid and do you have something to hide?

0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:37.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, are you worried about being But one of

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:38.959
<v Speaker 1>the things that I found most interesting is that the

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:42.840
<v Speaker 1>information that is garnered from the Tesla automobiles, that is

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:46.920
<v Speaker 1>all compiled and used by Tesla in order to then

0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:49.720
<v Speaker 1>create the next iteration of whatever it is they're trying

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:51.560
<v Speaker 1>to accomplish, right, And that's one of the things that

0:17:51.600 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 1>this technology, the technology actually learns from its own experience,

0:17:55.080 --> 0:17:57.399
<v Speaker 1>and that's that's kind of an amazing thought in and

0:17:57.440 --> 0:18:01.159
<v Speaker 1>of itself. But you know, the days of being anonymous anymore.

0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:02.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can't be in a Walmart parking lot

0:18:02.920 --> 0:18:05.880
<v Speaker 1>without being on camera. And now everybody's gonna know where

0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 1>you're going when you're going, how fast you got there? Uh,

0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:11.840
<v Speaker 1>my bank denied a credit card charge because it said

0:18:11.840 --> 0:18:13.879
<v Speaker 1>I drove too fast across the state of Michigan on

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 1>my way to my cottage and I got gas here

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:18.359
<v Speaker 1>and I stopped to get groceries there and they wouldn't

0:18:18.359 --> 0:18:20.240
<v Speaker 1>take my credit card. I guess I have a lead foot.

0:18:20.320 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>But wow, we learned something new about you. Sorry, you

0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 1>have a lead foot and your your bank is schooled

0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:28.320
<v Speaker 1>at you. I think, Well, thank you so much for

0:18:28.359 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 1>being with us. I'm sure it took months and months

0:18:31.520 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 1>of planning, So thank you so much. Sam Slaughter, chairman

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:38.160
<v Speaker 1>of the North American International Auto Show. Here on the

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:51.560
<v Speaker 1>show floor. All right, we are broadcasting from the North

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:54.480
<v Speaker 1>American International Auto Show and Our guest now is Alan Batty.

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:57.000
<v Speaker 1>He is the executive vice president and president of North

0:18:57.040 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 1>America for General Motors. Alan, thank you very much for

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:03.000
<v Speaker 1>being with us. Before we get to the cars, I

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:04.919
<v Speaker 1>want people, if you can, just to give them a

0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 1>very small capsule shot of your career to highlight the

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:12.359
<v Speaker 1>notion that this is a global business. And while we

0:19:12.440 --> 0:19:14.040
<v Speaker 1>spend a lot of time and we will spend a

0:19:14.040 --> 0:19:16.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of time talking about where products are made, your

0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 1>career I think highlights how global the business is and

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 1>that's not going to change anytime soon, at least anytime soon. Yeah,

0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 1>thank you for that. Nice too nice to be on. Um. Yeah,

0:19:28.400 --> 0:19:32.119
<v Speaker 1>I actually started in the industry thirty seven years ago. Um,

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:35.760
<v Speaker 1>I've actually worked in eight countries around the world. Um,

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:40.720
<v Speaker 1>countries like Korea, the Middle East, all over Europe, Australia.

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:43.760
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, I have a very China perspective, and you

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:45.639
<v Speaker 1>have spent a lot of time in China actually on

0:19:45.840 --> 0:19:49.320
<v Speaker 1>the board of our joint benches there. So sticking with

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:53.560
<v Speaker 1>that kind of global theme, do you expect that going forward,

0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:56.919
<v Speaker 1>China is going to account for a bigger proportion of

0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.639
<v Speaker 1>business that General Motors does internationally? I mean, do you

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:02.080
<v Speaker 1>think that the international market will account for more and

0:20:02.119 --> 0:20:05.920
<v Speaker 1>more relative to US consumers. Well, you know, the automotive

0:20:05.920 --> 0:20:09.160
<v Speaker 1>industry at General Motives is really about building where we sell.

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:11.920
<v Speaker 1>So most of the vehicles that we sell in China

0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:14.320
<v Speaker 1>are made in China. Most of the vehicles we sell,

0:20:14.320 --> 0:20:17.640
<v Speaker 1>for example, in North America are made in North America. Obviously,

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 1>moving vehicles around the world, the logistics of that is

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:23.920
<v Speaker 1>very expensive. So yeah, China is a very very big market,

0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:26.359
<v Speaker 1>biggest in the world today, coming off of a very

0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:29.439
<v Speaker 1>strong two thousand and sixty, we expect seventeen to be

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:32.000
<v Speaker 1>strong and gain so and and sort of to to

0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:36.320
<v Speaker 1>speak to my colleague David Welch's point earlier in the program,

0:20:36.400 --> 0:20:38.680
<v Speaker 1>he was saying that in China there's a very big

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:42.040
<v Speaker 1>emphasis on electric vehicles, much more so than here in

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:45.000
<v Speaker 1>the US. Are you seeing that as far as you know,

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:47.760
<v Speaker 1>Are you seeing that represented in the mix of cars

0:20:47.800 --> 0:20:51.000
<v Speaker 1>that you are selling in China? Yeah, David's correct. I

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:53.160
<v Speaker 1>would say that the future is going to be electric.

0:20:53.200 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Speaker 1>I would say we're just beginning on that journey. UM.

0:20:56.280 --> 0:21:01.440
<v Speaker 1>And obviously in China, UM, the regulatory environment is stipulating

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:04.880
<v Speaker 1>that we have to have a large proportion our vehicles

0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:09.959
<v Speaker 1>which are electric and providing electric forms of transportation. So

0:21:10.160 --> 0:21:13.880
<v Speaker 1>it is going to dramatically change, um the landscape over there.

0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:16.320
<v Speaker 1>We think we're well equipped UM to be able to

0:21:16.720 --> 0:21:19.639
<v Speaker 1>adapt and to pivot into that environment. But yes, it's

0:21:19.640 --> 0:21:22.119
<v Speaker 1>going to look very different in the future. The Bolt,

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:25.120
<v Speaker 1>the Chevy Bolt, and the Chevy Bolt e V. Tell

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:27.840
<v Speaker 1>us about both of those, and congratulations. I know the

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Chevy Bolt was named North American Car of the Year. Yeah,

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:33.800
<v Speaker 1>so thank you for that. Yeah. The Bolt ev UM

0:21:34.000 --> 0:21:36.359
<v Speaker 1>is a vehicle now that we actually bought it here

0:21:36.359 --> 0:21:38.879
<v Speaker 1>a year ago UM as a concept and said that

0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 1>we would launch it in two thousand sixteen. At the time,

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:44.119
<v Speaker 1>we were saying two hundred miles of range at thirty

0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:48.200
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars after government subsidies. We actually over delivered on that.

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:50.320
<v Speaker 1>We delivered a vehicle with two hundred and thirty eight

0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:53.200
<v Speaker 1>miles of range UM and we executed it at thirty

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:56.600
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars after government subsidies. The really important thing is

0:21:56.640 --> 0:21:59.160
<v Speaker 1>I think winning their motor trained carver the year, then

0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:01.479
<v Speaker 1>winning North America can carver the year. It's not just

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:04.719
<v Speaker 1>a great electric car, it's a great car period and

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>so we're very, very proud of the team for executing

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:09.840
<v Speaker 1>that vehicle and it gives us a leadership position. So

0:22:09.920 --> 0:22:12.920
<v Speaker 1>who is the buyer of this car at this point? Yeah,

0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:15.639
<v Speaker 1>that's that's a great question. So the reason the thirty

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:18.760
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars is so important is that is at the

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:21.040
<v Speaker 1>price of this car. And just to be clear, this

0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:24.040
<v Speaker 1>is a long range electric vehicle and the objective is

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:26.240
<v Speaker 1>to be in an affordable price. Correct. And the reason

0:22:26.280 --> 0:22:29.440
<v Speaker 1>thirty thousand dollars is important is that hits the midpoint

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:32.679
<v Speaker 1>of the US consumer today. So the midpoint of the

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 1>range where people are buying is thirty thousand dollars, So

0:22:35.359 --> 0:22:38.560
<v Speaker 1>it's right into the mainstream market. That's why it's so important.

0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>And who's going to buy this vehicle? Um, we think

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:44.679
<v Speaker 1>that with that amount of range, it takes range anxiety

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:47.720
<v Speaker 1>off the table. We think there could be a widespread adoption.

0:22:48.760 --> 0:22:51.159
<v Speaker 1>Do you think about how many automobile companies and how

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:53.120
<v Speaker 1>many offerings there are. I believe there were over three

0:22:53.240 --> 0:22:56.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred combinations you could get this year alone, and of

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:59.320
<v Speaker 1>course not everyone is a big seller. Do you see

0:22:59.359 --> 0:23:03.880
<v Speaker 1>any consuler station increasing in the automobile industry? Um, that's

0:23:03.880 --> 0:23:07.400
<v Speaker 1>a that's a board question. I would say a general motors,

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:10.760
<v Speaker 1>we're actually consolidating with ourselves were we were a big,

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:13.720
<v Speaker 1>big global company, but in fact in the past we've

0:23:13.720 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 1>operated putty independently from each other. But going back to

0:23:17.200 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 1>the that's that's still relate to let's say the Buick division,

0:23:20.920 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>which really is a success story in China. That's a

0:23:24.000 --> 0:23:26.960
<v Speaker 1>great example. So you know, the things that we're doing

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:29.360
<v Speaker 1>in the US, like the bold E v Um, we're

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:31.960
<v Speaker 1>able to then use that and transfer that knowledge and

0:23:32.000 --> 0:23:35.280
<v Speaker 1>technology to give it global scale. And so no, I

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:37.920
<v Speaker 1>don't think there's anything on the cards right now from

0:23:37.920 --> 0:23:39.639
<v Speaker 1>our perspective, but we're doing a lot of work to

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:42.040
<v Speaker 1>make sure around the world that we're staying as common

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:44.960
<v Speaker 1>and as as as similar as we possibly can. You know,

0:23:44.960 --> 0:23:46.639
<v Speaker 1>we've talked to a number of analysts who said that

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:49.440
<v Speaker 1>the auto industry just in general has been plateau ing

0:23:49.480 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 1>after a number of years of pretty rapid growth over

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 1>the next three years. Do you expect some kind of

0:23:54.280 --> 0:23:55.879
<v Speaker 1>decline or do you think that we're just going to

0:23:56.000 --> 0:23:58.840
<v Speaker 1>stay at the sort of plateau. Yeah. I always smile

0:23:58.840 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 1>when people say it's plateauing. It's plateau ing at the

0:24:01.560 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 1>highest level we've ever seen. Last year was another all

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:08.120
<v Speaker 1>time record, not a bad time exactly. So look as

0:24:08.119 --> 0:24:09.919
<v Speaker 1>we look into seventeen, we think the market is going

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:12.520
<v Speaker 1>to be very strong again. Um, it will either be

0:24:12.680 --> 0:24:15.240
<v Speaker 1>another record, it will be very close to it. So

0:24:15.240 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 1>we're expecting a very very strong two thousand side. And

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:19.119
<v Speaker 1>do you think that it will be largely composed of

0:24:19.119 --> 0:24:22.199
<v Speaker 1>trucks the way that it has been Obviously trucks and

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 1>SUVs have obviously been driven by the lower fuel prices.

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:28.800
<v Speaker 1>We expect fuel prices to stay pretty much where they

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 1>are today through seventeen. So yes, we think that you'll

0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:34.760
<v Speaker 1>see that continued growth. All right, Thank you so much.

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:38.760
<v Speaker 1>Alan Beatty, executive and vice president president of North America

0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:42.280
<v Speaker 1>of General Motors, here with us at the International Auto

0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 1>Show in Detroit. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:54.679
<v Speaker 1>and L podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews

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<v Speaker 1>at iTunes, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 1>him Fox, I'm out there on Twitter at him Fox.

0:25:03.240 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm out there on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one

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<v Speaker 1>before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio