WEBVTT - The Heartbeat Trade

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<v Speaker 1>Wellcome to Joan's. I'm Joel Webert and I'm Eric Belchiertis Eric?

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<v Speaker 1>Did you know that I'm the editor of Bloomberg Business Week. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I noticed. Uh, it's when you became pretty intolerable, that's true. No,

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<v Speaker 1>that's why that's where your nickname hard stop comes from. Hart,

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<v Speaker 1>I have a hard stop today. Uh. So, recently we

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<v Speaker 1>ran an article about a phenomenon called heartbeat Trades by

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<v Speaker 1>Zach Miner, Rachel Evans, and Caroline Wilson. And it was

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<v Speaker 1>a little controversial, to say the least. Yeah, I know

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<v Speaker 1>from the E t F world I operated. There was

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of pushback comments, which will address today. But

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<v Speaker 1>all in all, this is something that I've seen on

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<v Speaker 1>my screen for h I don't know, at least five

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<v Speaker 1>eight years maybe, and it it's it's sped up lately

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<v Speaker 1>more recently where you'll see a flow come in and

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<v Speaker 1>it'll be a pretty big spike on the daily flow screen,

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<v Speaker 1>and then two days later or a day later, the

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<v Speaker 1>same exact flow comes out. And they were dubbed heartbeats

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<v Speaker 1>because they kind of look like a heartbeat monitor. Um

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<v Speaker 1>and essentially they can throw you off. For example, sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>you'll see a bunch of heartbeat flows come in right

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of the month and they count to like,

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<v Speaker 1>say March flows, and it'll be like, oh, March was

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<v Speaker 1>a record month, and then where you'll say, oh, value

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<v Speaker 1>had a huge run in, and really it was a

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<v Speaker 1>heartbeat flow. So for me, over the years, I've learned

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<v Speaker 1>to sort of tease them out to try to access

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<v Speaker 1>true sentiment because they are not sentiment. They are an

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<v Speaker 1>operational type flow. And the reason that we want to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about it this week is that taxes are kind

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<v Speaker 1>of on everyone's mind because April and there's some tax

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<v Speaker 1>implications to heartbeats, So that's why we want to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about it this week. Joining us Zach Minor with Boomberg

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<v Speaker 1>News as well as Rachel Elements this week on trillions

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<v Speaker 1>the heartbeat trade controversy. Zack, welcome to the show for

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<v Speaker 1>the first time. Actual you're a regular, Zach. How did

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<v Speaker 1>this story come about? I used to write about taxes

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<v Speaker 1>a lot, so I know you actually like when a

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<v Speaker 1>pulitzer for writing about Texas, right, I did. That's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a big deal. Congratulations, Thank you. What was the

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<v Speaker 1>story on that you wanted for? It was about um

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<v Speaker 1>companies that acquire a foreign address to no longer be

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<v Speaker 1>Americans so they can pay lower taxes tax exactly. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>like Apple. Uh, they didn't do that, but they did

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of other interesting things other taxes. For sure.

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<v Speaker 1>They're the ones who had the Irish company that was

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<v Speaker 1>that was a tax resident of nowhere. It was the

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<v Speaker 1>Irish thought it was American and the Americans thought it

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<v Speaker 1>was Irish, so it was a tax resident of of nowhere.

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<v Speaker 1>Very true. So you know a few things about Texas well.

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<v Speaker 1>I know a few people. I stayed in touch with

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<v Speaker 1>a few people, and one of them mentioned last year,

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<v Speaker 1>you should really write about this thing, uh in the

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<v Speaker 1>E t F world. And I know nothing about E

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<v Speaker 1>t F s. I barely even knew what et F

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<v Speaker 1>stood for. And so I can't take trillion, yeah exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>So I can't take to Rachel, who knows everything about ETFs.

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<v Speaker 1>And she kind of um explained, you know, using small words.

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<v Speaker 1>She kind of helped explain it to me, and we

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<v Speaker 1>decided to try to look into this topic. Yes, So,

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<v Speaker 1>so that came to me back in January I think

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<v Speaker 1>it was of this year. And like Eric mentioned in

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<v Speaker 1>the intro, we've seen rebalances in the ECF industry for years,

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<v Speaker 1>and to his point, there's something that we really watched

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<v Speaker 1>out for, because when we're writing about sentiment, they tend

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<v Speaker 1>to throw us for a loop. They they send us

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<v Speaker 1>kind of like going in the wrong direction, saying that

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<v Speaker 1>everybody is suddenly bullish on financials, when in fact that

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<v Speaker 1>money is going to come out a couple of days later. However,

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<v Speaker 1>what I hadn't realized, obviously not knowing everything about the

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<v Speaker 1>et F industry, was quite kind of how important these

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<v Speaker 1>trades are for tax purposes. So Z came to me

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<v Speaker 1>with this kind of sort of idea about kind of

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<v Speaker 1>how these were effectively kind of like tax motivated transactions,

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<v Speaker 1>and we started to try and kind of piece together

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<v Speaker 1>exactly how these trades really work, whether they have a

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<v Speaker 1>real well kind of implication in terms of like the

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<v Speaker 1>shifting and stock within a fund, or kind of like well,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess, and exactly how that impacts the tax for

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<v Speaker 1>those funds and for their end investors. So what exactly

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<v Speaker 1>is the heartbeat trade? Typically, you know, most ets follow indexes,

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<v Speaker 1>and every once in a while the the index changes,

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<v Speaker 1>you've got a stock that has to leave the index

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<v Speaker 1>or come in. And if an et F just sells

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<v Speaker 1>the old stock that's leaving the index, and that stock

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<v Speaker 1>was a winner, like it went up during the time

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<v Speaker 1>the et F owned it, that would generate a taxable

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<v Speaker 1>gain which would have to be passed on to et

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<v Speaker 1>F investors. And so the alternative is, if you and

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<v Speaker 1>the people who know e t F s know about

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<v Speaker 1>the creation redemption process, if you happen to have people

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<v Speaker 1>who want to redeem that day enough volume, you can

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<v Speaker 1>just hand off that stock to them and there's no

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<v Speaker 1>tax implications. And that's because of this this kind of

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<v Speaker 1>strange little except and to the general rule in taxes

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<v Speaker 1>that was that only applies to mutual funds and ets,

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<v Speaker 1>and and what's the history of that exception. So in

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen sixty nine, Congress decided to make it. Uh, the

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<v Speaker 1>general rule be that if a corporation essentially buys back

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<v Speaker 1>at stock in the form of giving over appreciated property,

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<v Speaker 1>then they would have to recognize tax on that appreciation.

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<v Speaker 1>And they made it. They carved out an exception that

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<v Speaker 1>only applies to regulated investment companies, which is mutual funds

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<v Speaker 1>and ets. But back then, of course, there weren't ets.

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<v Speaker 1>There were just mutual funds, and at the time, no

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<v Speaker 1>one really thought it was a big giveaway because mutual

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<v Speaker 1>funds hardly ever do this. They only use it kind

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<v Speaker 1>of in emergencies, So nobody really paid much attention to

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<v Speaker 1>this weird little exception that hardly ever got used. Decades later,

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<v Speaker 1>ETFs come along, they use it all the time. They're

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<v Speaker 1>kind of set up to operate that way, and so

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<v Speaker 1>it's a it's kind of the source of e t

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<v Speaker 1>F s um kind of durable tax advantage over mutual funds.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, this rings to our documentary shameless Plug

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<v Speaker 1>on how the e t F was created, And remember

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<v Speaker 1>Kathleen Moriarity saying they didn't make the creation redemption mechanism

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<v Speaker 1>for this purpose, but the lawyers, the tax lawyers, informed

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<v Speaker 1>them that this is going to be a nice, happy

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<v Speaker 1>accident that you would be able to limit your capital gains.

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<v Speaker 1>Happy coincidence, I think. And it's called the e t

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<v Speaker 1>F story, what I just call it. Just didn't put

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<v Speaker 1>the title out marketers a little bit, uh, But part

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<v Speaker 1>of that was that you know, this is totally legal, right, like,

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<v Speaker 1>this is something that the e t F hasn't It's

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<v Speaker 1>not like it's exploited but it's taken advantage of So

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<v Speaker 1>what is there anything actually nefarious going on here? So yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so I just started to say like half the story

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<v Speaker 1>of what a heartbeat is. So normally et f s

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<v Speaker 1>are creating and redeeming, and whenever anyone redeems, they can

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<v Speaker 1>kind of because they're redeeming in stock they can use.

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<v Speaker 1>They can hand over appreciated stock. They can look through

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<v Speaker 1>their invent tory and find the most lowest basis stock,

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<v Speaker 1>the stock they bought for cheapest and hand it over

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<v Speaker 1>every time there's a redemption in just the natural creation

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<v Speaker 1>redemption process in the et F that's the normal way.

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<v Speaker 1>But what if you have a big stock leaving your

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<v Speaker 1>index on a Friday and you don't happen to have

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of people you know are going to redeem

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<v Speaker 1>that day. Who knows, maybe people want to create that day. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a problem because if you sell again, you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>create a taxable gain for your that your shareholders will

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<v Speaker 1>have to pay. But what if you could somehow magically

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<v Speaker 1>create more extra redemptions that happened just at the time

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<v Speaker 1>you need them, so there's no tax bill. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>what a heartbeat is. You call up a market participant UM,

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<v Speaker 1>a bank or or a market maker, an authorized participant

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<v Speaker 1>in the e t F LINGO, and you say, hey, listen,

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<v Speaker 1>I've got this redemption I need to happen on Friday.

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<v Speaker 1>Could you please create on Wednesday? Create this amount and

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<v Speaker 1>the banker market maker will create a whole bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>ETF and then a day or two later redeem out.

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<v Speaker 1>But rather than redeem just the custom the standard basket

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<v Speaker 1>of all the stocks in the e t F, they'll

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<v Speaker 1>take the stuff that the et F needs to get

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<v Speaker 1>rid of that day. And that's why the question about

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<v Speaker 1>whether this is kind of nefarious or not really comes in.

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<v Speaker 1>If this is part and parcel of kind of like

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<v Speaker 1>how an et F operates day and day out, that's

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<v Speaker 1>one thing. But then when you're synthetically creating a transaction

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<v Speaker 1>for that purpose to get rid of those those specific stocks,

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<v Speaker 1>how does the I R S? How does Treasury? How

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<v Speaker 1>does Congress and the American public feel about that? Eric?

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<v Speaker 1>When when you see that on a screen, what does

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<v Speaker 1>it look like to you? Looks like a heart monitor,

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<v Speaker 1>It looks you know, I call these operational flows or

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<v Speaker 1>tax flows. UM. It's interesting because this idea of maneuvering

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<v Speaker 1>around the I R S happens like everywhere, every industry

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<v Speaker 1>does this. I think some of the initial reaction the

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<v Speaker 1>pushback was basically that um, typically when something to farious

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<v Speaker 1>going on, little guys getting screwed, and here the average

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<v Speaker 1>investors benefiting from this practice. I think that if you're

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<v Speaker 1>an investor in e t fs via anything, you're actually

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<v Speaker 1>probably benefiting from this in the form of not actually

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<v Speaker 1>having to pay those capital gains. Right, well, let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about dodge versus deferral. Can you just break down this

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<v Speaker 1>isn't avoiding the tax, it's more just putting it off, right, Yeah, absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>So if an e t F doesn't distribute capital gains

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<v Speaker 1>to its shareholders, that doesn't mean they'll never have to pay.

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<v Speaker 1>It means that rather than paying every time a stock

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<v Speaker 1>leaves the index every year they own the e t F,

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<v Speaker 1>they get to sort of save up all those tax

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<v Speaker 1>bills till the end. They get to wait until they

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<v Speaker 1>actually sell the e t F and then pay them

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<v Speaker 1>all at once. But there's so first of all, there's

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<v Speaker 1>you're essentially getting a no interest loan from the U. S.

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<v Speaker 1>Government that you control when when the loan is due, right,

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<v Speaker 1>so that's like obviously a cost to the government. If

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<v Speaker 1>I call the I R S and said I don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to pay my taxes for ten years, they would

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<v Speaker 1>throw me in jail. That's not okay, right, So that

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, that it's it's it's deferral, but that

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<v Speaker 1>deferral is a real thing. The second thing is there

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<v Speaker 1>are cases that are where you don't pay. The first

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<v Speaker 1>is if you if you leave the e t F

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<v Speaker 1>in your state, your heirs don't have to pay that

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<v Speaker 1>capital gain it disappears. The second one is that some

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<v Speaker 1>of the gains that are generated by an e t

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<v Speaker 1>F buying and selling stocks are short term gains that

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<v Speaker 1>are that are paid at a higher rate um than

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<v Speaker 1>long term capital gains. But by the magic of this process,

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<v Speaker 1>you're transforming them into long term gains that are paid

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<v Speaker 1>about half the tax rate. Now that's not a big

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<v Speaker 1>number for most CTFs, most of their gains are long term,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not zero either. Obviously, the the investors you

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<v Speaker 1>do benefit from this maneuver, if you want to call

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<v Speaker 1>it that. But I think the other things kind of

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<v Speaker 1>remember is that when we look at sort of the

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<v Speaker 1>American population at large, the vast majority are not investors.

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<v Speaker 1>Your investments are still managed by a relatively small proportion

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<v Speaker 1>of the overall public. So if the treasury is effectively

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<v Speaker 1>giving a loan to investors for this purpose to defer

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<v Speaker 1>tax for a certain number of years, there are other

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<v Speaker 1>things that treasury cannot do with that money. They can't

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<v Speaker 1>invest in in your children's playground, for example. They can't

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily give out food stamps to the poor. There is

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<v Speaker 1>something that kind of like goes from actually having this

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<v Speaker 1>this defer or there's something that this money could be

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<v Speaker 1>put to which is not so. Yes, the small investors

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<v Speaker 1>do benefit, but you've got to be an investor to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to benefit. And how much money are we

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<v Speaker 1>are we talking here? So in the by our calculations,

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<v Speaker 1>in the most recent calendar year for e t f S,

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<v Speaker 1>we found over two billion dollars of capital gains that

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<v Speaker 1>were essentially uh not recognized through this process. So if

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<v Speaker 1>you were to do the math on that, that's maybe

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<v Speaker 1>twenty some billion dollars of taxes that essentially weren't paid

0:11:56.960 --> 0:12:00.440
<v Speaker 1>that year and that will be paid instead some year

0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:02.640
<v Speaker 1>in the future. And so in the next year there

0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:06.199
<v Speaker 1>will be another loan by the government to these investors

0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:09.320
<v Speaker 1>of twenties so twenty or so billion dollars. And there's

0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:12.359
<v Speaker 1>a lot of ways in which the government um encourages

0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:17.760
<v Speaker 1>savings and offers tax subsidies two savers like through four

0:12:17.800 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 1>owen k's and I ra s and savings vehicles like that.

0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:23.640
<v Speaker 1>But those were the product of some kind of policy

0:12:23.679 --> 0:12:27.120
<v Speaker 1>discussion in Washington where Congress said, we want to encourage

0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:29.400
<v Speaker 1>this kind of savings and not that kind of savings.

0:12:29.840 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 1>This one is just kind of happened by accident. No one,

0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:34.600
<v Speaker 1>no one even really kind of knew in Congress that

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:36.920
<v Speaker 1>they did it, and so we thought it was worth

0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:39.600
<v Speaker 1>pointing out so you can have that policy discussion about

0:12:39.960 --> 0:12:42.440
<v Speaker 1>is this the kind of subsidy we want to we

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 1>want to impose UM just on et F holders, not

0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:49.160
<v Speaker 1>mutual fund holders, not hedge fund owners, not people who

0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:52.760
<v Speaker 1>in individual stocks, just E t s. And this idea

0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:58.240
<v Speaker 1>of tax maneuvering we saw this year in January weren't

0:12:58.240 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 1>heartbeat trades, but a ton of money came out of

0:13:00.960 --> 0:13:04.320
<v Speaker 1>equity E t F s unnaturally, and in Q four

0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 1>a ton of money went into equity E t F

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 1>s in the face of a downturn, unnatural that was

0:13:09.480 --> 0:13:13.600
<v Speaker 1>tax loss harvesting, and an advisor would advertise they call

0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:17.480
<v Speaker 1>it tax alpha. And one argument that was made was

0:13:17.520 --> 0:13:21.600
<v Speaker 1>that the advisor is being fiduciary by helping their client

0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:24.720
<v Speaker 1>steer around that. Could you make the argument the asset

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:28.320
<v Speaker 1>manager would not be would be violating their fiduciary duty

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 1>by not taking advantage of this. I think that's a

0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:33.440
<v Speaker 1>totally valid argument. I mean, I don't think it's at all.

0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:38.199
<v Speaker 1>You can't really blame the UM the market participants here

0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:41.040
<v Speaker 1>for doing what they believe and their lawyers are telling

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 1>them as legal and that clearly benefits their investors. There's

0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:48.160
<v Speaker 1>no question about that. At least they're taxable investors UM

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:52.840
<v Speaker 1>and so, uh, you can't really you know, cast moral

0:13:53.679 --> 0:13:56.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, aspersions on folks who are trying to follow

0:13:56.800 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 1>law and you know, maximize the tax of sency of

0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:03.360
<v Speaker 1>their funds. But it's also worth kind of pointing out,

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:06.000
<v Speaker 1>what are the policies that were created? Did anyone ever

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 1>intend this subsidy to applied to this one particular industry

0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:12.199
<v Speaker 1>and not others? And you know, if we were to

0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of take a look at the tax code, is

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:16.920
<v Speaker 1>that really like the way it's it's supposed to work.

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:25.080
<v Speaker 1>I think that's our point. I also want to point

0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:27.560
<v Speaker 1>out that the term of heartbeat wasn't one that you

0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:32.040
<v Speaker 1>guys coined. The first people to recognize that this was happening. Um,

0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:36.440
<v Speaker 1>So who coined it? And what happened since she discovered so?

0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:40.160
<v Speaker 1>Elizabeth Kashner at fact Set Research wrote about this in

0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 1>December UM and she it reminded her of the flows

0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:49.040
<v Speaker 1>on the screen, reminded her of her of her dad's

0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>e KG monitor. That's why she called them heartbeats. UM.

0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:55.840
<v Speaker 1>That research was was great and really gave us kind

0:14:55.840 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 1>of the foundation of what we you know, pursued um UM.

0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 1>But you know, outside the et F industry, I don't

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.400
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of people, um had really heard about it,

0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:08.400
<v Speaker 1>which was why we thought there was an opportunity to

0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 1>tell tell the story more people. Yeah. And these these

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:12.960
<v Speaker 1>trades also have a lot of different names within the industry,

0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.400
<v Speaker 1>which may give you a sense of how people view them.

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, they're often called friendlies or kickers or tax trades.

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>That the more kind of like politically correct term these

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 1>days as custom in kind baskets or SIPs. It's like

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 1>the lawyer, Yeah, the lawyers, the lawyers. Basically, the lawyers

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 1>told them not to use all those other terms because

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 1>they they kind of they're a little too truthy. The

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.360
<v Speaker 1>problem for the lawyers is that they want to pretend

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 1>that these are kind of third you know, arm's length

0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:40.880
<v Speaker 1>transactions with the banks doing them for their own reasons,

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 1>but they're really not. And so a word like friendlies

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 1>set off alarm bells. So now that they they instead

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:50.600
<v Speaker 1>they use this word custom in kind baskets that doesn't

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:53.280
<v Speaker 1>really mean anything and no one can remember, but it

0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>it um they think is safer ground legally. You know,

0:15:56.840 --> 0:15:58.640
<v Speaker 1>I think if I was the I R S the

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 1>government listening to this, you know. One of the things

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 1>that really just upsets people about mutual funds and I

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.520
<v Speaker 1>get it is hey, I bought this mutual fund and

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm just sitting there like a good soldier, and I

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.720
<v Speaker 1>get this nasty tax bill because somebody else left. That

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 1>really is not fair. The e t F sort of

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>seems fair, not like like you're cheating, but fair. You

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 1>pay a tax when you sell um. So if anything,

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 1>I think the mutual funds should be fixed or we're

0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>dealt with to make it like the e t F

0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:28.800
<v Speaker 1>level playing field. That that's just my opinion on it,

0:16:28.840 --> 0:16:33.160
<v Speaker 1>because that idea of just sitting there and getting a

0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:35.360
<v Speaker 1>tax bill because you invested in a fund, just I

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:38.280
<v Speaker 1>don't know, something seems kind of wrong about that, especially

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:41.680
<v Speaker 1>because you're basically paying taxes because somebody else did something.

0:16:42.800 --> 0:16:48.640
<v Speaker 1>So judge truth, judge everything on this one. So I

0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 1>feel like I kind of have a pretty good sense

0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 1>of what people in the industry have said, and we'll

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 1>get to that in a second. But what have you

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:57.400
<v Speaker 1>heard from policy makers since the article was published? So far?

0:16:57.480 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 1>From my side and Za can probably speak to this better,

0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:02.320
<v Speaker 1>it's been to be relatively quiet in terms of the

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 1>wider reaction. You know, obviously the industry has been relatively

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:07.880
<v Speaker 1>defensive in some in some respects, and I think that's

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.880
<v Speaker 1>entirely understandable. You know, this is obviously something that has

0:17:11.200 --> 0:17:13.400
<v Speaker 1>helped the E T F industry grow into this three

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.040
<v Speaker 1>point eight trillion, you know, sort of size beasts that

0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 1>we see now in the US. So it's obviously something

0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:21.239
<v Speaker 1>that people feel quite strongly about and and see as

0:17:21.280 --> 0:17:23.760
<v Speaker 1>being very investive friendly in terms of kind of like

0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 1>the wider reaction, though, you know, from the general public,

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:27.959
<v Speaker 1>you know, I have had quite a number of emails

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 1>and comments sort of saying that they're glad that we're

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:32.600
<v Speaker 1>shedding a light on this and asking these questions. Some

0:17:32.680 --> 0:17:34.879
<v Speaker 1>of those maybe investors that have benefited from it, some

0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:36.560
<v Speaker 1>of them are not. But I think you know that

0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:38.960
<v Speaker 1>the point of all these types of stories is really

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:41.199
<v Speaker 1>to to provoke a conversation and get people kind of

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:44.320
<v Speaker 1>talking about it. Two things I thought fascinating about this

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:46.320
<v Speaker 1>if you go deep to the end of the story,

0:17:46.400 --> 0:17:48.480
<v Speaker 1>two things jumped out at me that we're just fascinating.

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:52.120
<v Speaker 1>One is that the SEC is sort of putting into

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 1>their new rule to make this easier for smaller players

0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>to do. In a sense, they're helping helping the industry out.

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:01.400
<v Speaker 1>There's the SEC, and then the I c I, which

0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:05.000
<v Speaker 1>is the biggest mutual fund lobbying organization, which, if anybody

0:18:05.000 --> 0:18:07.960
<v Speaker 1>would might benefit from this loophole getting closed its mutual

0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 1>funds right because E T f are so much more

0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:12.239
<v Speaker 1>tax efficient, They've driven a lot of investors away from

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 1>mutual funds. It's one of the reasons. And the I

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 1>c I is basically saying this, you shouldn't close this loophole.

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 1>It would it would force our frequent sizeable and unanticipated

0:18:22.880 --> 0:18:27.800
<v Speaker 1>tax bills. I thought those were interesting defenses from gigantic

0:18:27.840 --> 0:18:31.359
<v Speaker 1>bodies that you would almost think have a vested interests

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:33.399
<v Speaker 1>on the other side, to close the loophole, so I

0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:35.760
<v Speaker 1>can take the Securities and Exchange Commission first. Mean, so

0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:38.359
<v Speaker 1>the rule you're referring to is what we call kind

0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 1>of colloquially the e t F rule, and basically that's

0:18:40.840 --> 0:18:42.880
<v Speaker 1>been in the works for the last decade or so,

0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:45.679
<v Speaker 1>and the idea is to effectively kind of streamline the

0:18:45.720 --> 0:18:47.679
<v Speaker 1>process by which e t f s are able to

0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:50.439
<v Speaker 1>come to market. That's its overall task, but one of

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:54.200
<v Speaker 1>the proposals within that is designed to make it easier,

0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 1>particularly within fixed income e t f s, to create

0:18:57.320 --> 0:18:59.439
<v Speaker 1>more liquidity within those e t f s and to

0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 1>allow peop to create and redeem those more easily. As

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.800
<v Speaker 1>part of that, the SEC plans to allow custom baskets,

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:08.199
<v Speaker 1>which is something that's very much been a part of

0:19:08.240 --> 0:19:10.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of this heartbeat trade. You need to be able

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 1>to give out something that's not a pro rat slice

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:14.560
<v Speaker 1>of the fund in order to be able to give

0:19:14.600 --> 0:19:17.879
<v Speaker 1>out securities that there are are going to be taxed

0:19:17.920 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>at that the highest level. So this is something that

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:22.960
<v Speaker 1>we will have that implication, but I don't think it's

0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:26.040
<v Speaker 1>necessarily the intent for having read that the rule as

0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:27.840
<v Speaker 1>it's been put out there. But I think the SEC

0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:31.919
<v Speaker 1>is definitely aware of heartbeat trades, and to our knowledge,

0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:34.560
<v Speaker 1>they haven't come out and slapped any risks about them

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:37.480
<v Speaker 1>or or commented praising them either. Yeah. And as for

0:19:37.520 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 1>the i C, I mean, they do represent et F companies,

0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 1>so if you talk to mutual fund managers, some of

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>them are are livid about this, this heartbeat situation. And

0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:49.359
<v Speaker 1>I think the i C s comment there was not

0:19:49.920 --> 0:19:54.320
<v Speaker 1>defending heartbeats, but defending the underlying tax benefit that does

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:57.800
<v Speaker 1>apply to mutual funds in a much less attractive way

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>and saying that you know, the tax and benefit that

0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:03.119
<v Speaker 1>the e t F E t F to use every

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 1>day shouldn't be repealed. So, Eric, what's been the reaction

0:20:06.560 --> 0:20:11.199
<v Speaker 1>within the industry, I think mostly defensiveness. I think you

0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:14.880
<v Speaker 1>know um Rachel's point earlier I think is key here.

0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:18.200
<v Speaker 1>If you're looking at society as a whole, there's a

0:20:18.280 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 1>huge argument this is why the FEDS policies, you could argue,

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:24.320
<v Speaker 1>are creating income inequality, because they're just helping asset prices

0:20:24.359 --> 0:20:27.479
<v Speaker 1>go up, and if you don't own any assets like stocks, bonds,

0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:30.840
<v Speaker 1>that you're kind of missing out on this whole bonanza.

0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 1>And e t f s are part of that. And

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 1>anything that helps people who own stocks, it helps. But

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:38.679
<v Speaker 1>if you take just the owners of assets and you

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:41.720
<v Speaker 1>bubble those off and put the rest of society aside,

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:44.119
<v Speaker 1>I think most of them are like, hey, this is

0:20:44.160 --> 0:20:47.920
<v Speaker 1>the retail investors benefiting here. Um, this is nothing new.

0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:50.880
<v Speaker 1>We've heard about this. I can I can see both

0:20:50.920 --> 0:20:53.720
<v Speaker 1>sides for sure. I do think there's somebody Quota who

0:20:53.760 --> 0:20:57.480
<v Speaker 1>said the fact that they got a little they sped

0:20:57.560 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>up the amount of heartbeats they got bigger, like, maybe

0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:04.359
<v Speaker 1>they shouldn't have taken advantage so quickly, so fast, because

0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:07.440
<v Speaker 1>it does look a little uh, not greedy, it might

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:11.240
<v Speaker 1>not be the right word, but maybe a little yeah,

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:13.680
<v Speaker 1>because back in the day, I don't recall hardly any

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:15.720
<v Speaker 1>of these maybe once in a blue moon, but they're

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:18.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty routine now. And one other point was made, which

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:21.119
<v Speaker 1>was Vanguard now everybody knows them is sort of the

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, Jack Bogel, the champions of the little guy.

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:28.960
<v Speaker 1>And they're probably, besides black Rock, the biggest company that

0:21:29.000 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>does this, and so I think that also the biggest right.

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.040
<v Speaker 1>So what do you guys make a Vanguard being involved?

0:21:35.200 --> 0:21:38.600
<v Speaker 1>What do they say? Um, you know, they they commented

0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:41.400
<v Speaker 1>for a story. They said that they've they believe they're

0:21:41.680 --> 0:21:46.000
<v Speaker 1>in full compliance with the rules, and they defend the

0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 1>practice and and to be to be fair, I mean,

0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:53.440
<v Speaker 1>Vanguard's whole mantra is low fees, low taxes. Uh, and

0:21:53.640 --> 0:21:57.159
<v Speaker 1>this fits right into that. It fits into you know,

0:21:57.240 --> 0:21:59.600
<v Speaker 1>let's do everything we can to put the investor first.

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:02.679
<v Speaker 1>To your point about how this has become more more common,

0:22:02.840 --> 0:22:04.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think that's that's not just kind of

0:22:04.320 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 1>an illusion. That's definitely true, you know, based on on

0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:08.320
<v Speaker 1>the data that we looked at, and that really speaks

0:22:08.320 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 1>to Hannah how fast the E t F industry has grown.

0:22:11.119 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you look at kind of like assets,

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:14.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're now at three point eight trillion. You're

0:22:14.400 --> 0:22:17.160
<v Speaker 1>a decade ago we were under one trillion. So it's

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:20.560
<v Speaker 1>become very very big, very very quick. And many of

0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 1>those new funds that have been garnering assets are those

0:22:23.119 --> 0:22:25.800
<v Speaker 1>that rebalance much more frequently. If you look at the

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:28.399
<v Speaker 1>older E t F you know they're maybe doing twice

0:22:28.440 --> 0:22:31.120
<v Speaker 1>a year, once a year. They don't need these so frequently.

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:34.119
<v Speaker 1>We now have funds that rebalance once a week. If

0:22:34.119 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 1>you're rebalancing once a week, that tax kind of a

0:22:37.760 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 1>burden from having to book attacks every time you are

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:43.960
<v Speaker 1>are changing your portfolio could be pretty severe. So being

0:22:44.000 --> 0:22:47.159
<v Speaker 1>able to capitalize on this this this part of the

0:22:47.200 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 1>tax code allows you to have those funds, and they

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:51.560
<v Speaker 1>have been kind of like the ones that have really

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 1>been growing, these kind of like smart beta factor focused funds.

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:55.919
<v Speaker 1>So I think that's kind of like one of the

0:22:55.920 --> 0:22:57.840
<v Speaker 1>reasons we're seeing more and more of them now and

0:22:57.840 --> 0:23:01.520
<v Speaker 1>why it's become such a kind of interesting feature, and

0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 1>perhaps you know, we see that much more frequent. The

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 1>other thing, of course, is that we've had, you know,

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 1>the longest bull market in history. So if you've got

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:09.160
<v Speaker 1>stocks always going up, you're gonna have an awful lot

0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:12.119
<v Speaker 1>of gains there. Yeah. And and to that point, one

0:23:12.119 --> 0:23:13.240
<v Speaker 1>of the e t s back in the day that

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:15.440
<v Speaker 1>gave off nasty capital gains because it had no other

0:23:15.480 --> 0:23:18.960
<v Speaker 1>choice was FM, the frontier market. It had this incredible

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 1>run up. And that's true if the market were to

0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:25.440
<v Speaker 1>be more normal, less fed induced, and less utopia like uh,

0:23:25.440 --> 0:23:26.880
<v Speaker 1>and had you know, went up and down, I think

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:28.879
<v Speaker 1>this would probably come out naturally. You guys pointed out

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:32.120
<v Speaker 1>that Spy in particular was able to do this naturally

0:23:32.160 --> 0:23:34.440
<v Speaker 1>for a number of years. Right, we don't. I mean

0:23:34.560 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 1>they may. There's a couple of times they might have

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 1>done a heartbeat. We're not really sure. But for the

0:23:38.880 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 1>most party, that's the biggest etf the most heavily traded

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>stock in the world, I think, right in the US,

0:23:45.760 --> 0:23:49.959
<v Speaker 1>and and they have so much natural creation redemption they

0:23:50.000 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 1>don't need to kind of create synthetic redemptions in order

0:23:52.640 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>to do these kind of UM changes in their portfolio.

0:23:56.600 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 1>That's a good point. And Vanguard sees nothing but influence

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 1>for the most part. And that's the problem inflows. Plus,

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:03.359
<v Speaker 1>a rising market means you you're going to have a

0:24:03.359 --> 0:24:06.359
<v Speaker 1>capital gain unless you maybe do this UM. One other

0:24:06.440 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 1>issue here is that the other participant isn't the asset manager.

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:13.200
<v Speaker 1>It's the banks, right, the authorized participants, right market makers.

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 1>So here's the quote from Vanguard. The question was what

0:24:15.880 --> 0:24:17.920
<v Speaker 1>do they get out of it? Because isn't the real

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 1>deal that if it's a tax violation, whatnot? If it's

0:24:21.560 --> 0:24:24.520
<v Speaker 1>done for the sole purpose of dodging taxes versus the

0:24:24.560 --> 0:24:27.200
<v Speaker 1>party has a reason to do it right. So here's

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:30.720
<v Speaker 1>what Vanguard said, Um, the banks enter these transactions for

0:24:30.760 --> 0:24:33.760
<v Speaker 1>their own independent business reasons. That's all they said about it.

0:24:33.800 --> 0:24:35.600
<v Speaker 1>But what what what what did you guys find out

0:24:35.600 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>about I found that nicely vague. I mean, independent business

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:41.320
<v Speaker 1>reasons cover a multitude of different possibilities, right, I mean

0:24:41.480 --> 0:24:43.520
<v Speaker 1>what what we heard from talking to people and we

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, we did talk to tens tons of people

0:24:46.880 --> 0:24:49.840
<v Speaker 1>about this story and was really kind of the when

0:24:49.840 --> 0:24:51.439
<v Speaker 1>it comes to what they're getting out of it, this

0:24:51.520 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 1>is primarily done for relationship reasons. Banks are able to

0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 1>as as authorized participants, are able to kind of hedge

0:24:58.320 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 1>these transactions. They may even be able to kind of

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:03.000
<v Speaker 1>trade with some of the securities they get out at

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:05.439
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day potentially have optimized their headges

0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 1>to get a little bit of upside. But by and large,

0:25:08.920 --> 0:25:11.280
<v Speaker 1>these are pretty much trades where they break even and

0:25:11.320 --> 0:25:13.880
<v Speaker 1>they're doing it because they want to get more business

0:25:13.960 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 1>from these asset managers. It's my favor. It's a favor exactly,

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:19.359
<v Speaker 1>whether it comes to ets or it kind of translates

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 1>into maybe their active management a sphere. They're doing this

0:25:23.160 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 1>because it helps out somebody that they want to get

0:25:26.040 --> 0:25:29.600
<v Speaker 1>business from in another respects. So I guess independent business

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:32.800
<v Speaker 1>frees and stuff that falls under that for sure. We're

0:25:33.000 --> 0:25:39.160
<v Speaker 1>a whole episode called good Guy right there. Zach Rachel,

0:25:39.160 --> 0:25:46.920
<v Speaker 1>thanks for joining us, Thanks having its, thank you, thanks

0:25:46.920 --> 0:25:49.320
<v Speaker 1>for listening to trades Until next time. You can find

0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 1>us on the Bloomberg Jomnal, Bloomberg dot com, Apple Podcast, Spotify,

0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:55.960
<v Speaker 1>and wherever else you'd like to listen. We'd love to

0:25:55.960 --> 0:25:59.359
<v Speaker 1>hear from you. We're on Twitter, I'm at Joel Webber Show,

0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:03.159
<v Speaker 1>He's at Eric Baltunis and he can follow Zach and

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 1>Rachel at Zach Miners and at Rachel Evans. Underscore and

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:12.720
<v Speaker 1>Why Trillions is produced by Magnus Hendrickson. Francesca Levy is

0:26:12.760 --> 0:26:15.040
<v Speaker 1>the head of Bloomberg Podcast. Bye