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Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites,

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Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. Guy. I'm Chad Mellman,

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Speaker 1: chief Content Officer of the Action Network. Welcome to all

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Speaker 1: the ampers. We are live reminder you want to get

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Speaker 1: the show earlier than ever. Like the Favorites pod in

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Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, subscribe in Apple Podcasts you will get the

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Speaker 1: Favorites earlier than anybody else who's listening to it in

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Speaker 1: podcast form. It is the Tuesday after the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Amazing game, Uh, really fascinating. Me and my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my compadre, professional better Simon Hunter, Eagles fan. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: break it down. We're gonna give him like three minutes

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Speaker 1: just event make it a safe space. We're also going

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Speaker 1: to get into futures. That's going to be the majority

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Speaker 1: of what we're talking about today. Turning the page, it's

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Speaker 1: already Simon and I have already made one futures. Bet

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Speaker 1: I know that I know of that he made I

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Speaker 1: made it as well, Simon. Hello, So I'm in Hello Chad,

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Speaker 1: my brother. I feel for you, man, I do. Also

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Speaker 1: Also lit me recap. You love the Eiggles. You love

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Speaker 1: the Eiggles so much that you said on Sunday when

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Speaker 1: we did convince me that you were not even going

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Speaker 1: to be able to watch the game, you were gonna

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Speaker 1: have to listen to it on the radio, and then maybe,

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Speaker 1: depending on what happened, you'd watched the game after. Tell

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Speaker 1: us how you experienced this game. Well, I'll start off

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Speaker 1: by saying, I've become comfortably numb. Chat you sound terrible.

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Speaker 1: You sound so sad you don't have your PEP. I'm hurt. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to put on a brave face. I think

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Speaker 1: I'll be better as we get going here. Yeah it hurts.

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Speaker 1: I would say I wouldn't have watched the game, but

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Speaker 1: I manned up smacked myself around yesterday when I woke up,

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Speaker 1: and because I try to be a glass half fool guy,

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Speaker 1: and I was like you gotta watch the games. I can't.

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Speaker 1: I can't come on here give out opinions on a

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Speaker 1: game I didn't watch because the radio is just different.

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Speaker 1: Like the radio, I listened to w i P, which

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Speaker 1: is a Phildelphia station, so everything skewed Philly. So I

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Speaker 1: had the most skewed experience a person could have of

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Speaker 1: the experience, so I had to watch it. Did the

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Speaker 1: All twenty two. It hurts where you're so close. I

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Speaker 1: think most fans get that, where if you get blown out,

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Speaker 1: it's whatever, right, You're just like we were never in it.

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Speaker 1: We were just happy to be there. I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: be happy to be there. Guy, like the same thing

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Speaker 1: as the Phillies, where like the Phillies coming to the

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Speaker 1: season whenever they were thirty five, or for you to

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Speaker 1: one to make a World Series, just happy to be there,

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Speaker 1: not really expectations for the Phillies. Had the same mindset

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Speaker 1: with this Eagles team. But that changes when the Eagles

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Speaker 1: are the one seed all year and the team is

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Speaker 1: the best team in my model, and it's just a

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Speaker 1: really good feeling up ten at half. I think you

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Speaker 1: would attest to that if you're an Eagles back or

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Speaker 1: um but that's why I love football. It's it's the

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Speaker 1: ultimate chess match and different pieces of different little things.

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Speaker 1: And we saw you know, the grand Master, and you

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Speaker 1: read he really stepped up in a second half where

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Speaker 1: he was staring at one in three in his career

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Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl, dead in the face and he

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Speaker 1: bounced back. I mean, he's two and two now to

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Just a true had tipped Andy as much.

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Speaker 1: I want to credit my homes Homes was incredible after

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Speaker 1: rewatching the game, the All twenty two. It's the scheme, man,

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Speaker 1: the scheme was incredible. And um, I don't know what

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Speaker 1: when you want to start the time or for me

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Speaker 1: bitching because I'm ready again into Philly mood, but I

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Speaker 1: just want to pay. We're gonna paying. Obviously a lot

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Speaker 1: of respects here to the Chiefs team, but as a

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Speaker 1: fan of football and ask for a better game chat.

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Speaker 1: We literally had a thirty five game in the fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter with two minutes to go. I as a football fan,

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Speaker 1: a guy who wants to sport to grow. It's everything

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Speaker 1: I dream of. I love. In the big game, the

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Speaker 1: best of the best show up. And that's exactly I

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Speaker 1: think if all of his fans can say it. Hurts

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Speaker 1: was as best as he could be. Mahomes and that

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Speaker 1: offensive scheme was the best of good Bee. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: honestly was one of the better Super Bowls I've ever watched.

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Speaker 1: I love that Hurts didn't lose it, that he was amazing.

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Speaker 1: Nobody on the Eagles lost it. Forget about the call

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Speaker 1: on brad Berry. I actually thought the Eagles as players

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Speaker 1: handled everything with such class after the game at a

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Speaker 1: the fact that he admitted he held him, which was

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Speaker 1: interesting and novel be none of the players were like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that was the play that ended it for us. It

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Speaker 1: is a sixty minute game. It was a brilliant game, um,

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Speaker 1: and almost like exactly what we thought, what have to

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Speaker 1: happen for the Chiefs to win happened. We talked about

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Speaker 1: it for two weeks at nausea. Quarterback head coach versus

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Speaker 1: roster what are we talking about here? And in the

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Speaker 1: first half it was all roster, you know, and in

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Speaker 1: the second half it was all quarterback head coach. It was.

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Speaker 1: It was astonishing, the adjustments, it was astonishing. And you know,

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Speaker 1: in the first half, as Eagles backers, which we were, um,

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Speaker 1: we were feeling really good because it was playing to script.

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Speaker 1: They were running the ball with ease. Jalen Hurts on

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Speaker 1: r P O S was finding the holes. Kenneth Gainwell

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Speaker 1: was like the good compliment. I don't know what happened

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Speaker 1: with Miles Sanders if he got hurt early on, but

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Speaker 1: he was really a non factor. Um, the Chiefs defensively,

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Speaker 1: we're having a really hard time against Hurts as a whole.

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Speaker 1: And then in the second half everything changed. The Eagles

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Speaker 1: defense couldn't do anything. Um it really became my homes

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Speaker 1: and you read clinic just astonishing, great game game. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the interesting thing is, like you just said, it's a

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Speaker 1: tale of two halves. Where as much as I love

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Speaker 1: to give to the Eagles defense, the first half was

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Speaker 1: so much about what the offense wanted the game to be,

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Speaker 1: which was they would ball control and you're hoping for

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Speaker 1: a three and out from the Chiefs, And that's how

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Speaker 1: you kind of flipped the game. Where that what that

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Speaker 1: first half was. I mean, it was fourteen seven, it

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Speaker 1: was third on one, the Eagles had the ball at midfield,

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Speaker 1: They're about to go into the Chiefs territory. That that

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Speaker 1: false start, Hurts had the fumble. You know, we could

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Speaker 1: say that changed the game. That really wasn't the game changer. Right,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles are up twenty four, fourteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: What the Chiefs have eight minutes or something crazy like

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Speaker 1: that of offensive time on the field. So they obviously

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Speaker 1: went into half and they just pretty much stild the

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Speaker 1: defense keep doing we're done, which was selling out to

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Speaker 1: stop the run and allowing one on one matchups to

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Speaker 1: say and let Hurts beat us. We're not gonna let

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Speaker 1: them run the ball. So to me, Miles, game, well,

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Speaker 1: they couldn't really get much going because all those holes

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Speaker 1: were clogged. The teams really weren't. They really weren't respecting Hurts,

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Speaker 1: and Hurts was kind of beating them, like I mean,

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Speaker 1: he was going up and down the field. And my

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Speaker 1: biggest issue with the Eagles was seriality. Played that first

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Speaker 1: half like it was a Super Bowl, Like he was

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Speaker 1: very aggressive, where any Reid was a timid one. Right,

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Speaker 1: he kicked that field goal on fourth down, which if

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Speaker 1: they would have lost, I'm gonna say almost everyone would

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Speaker 1: have gone through. That's kind of that easy, low hanging

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Speaker 1: fruit everyone would attack them for. It's I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: hard to really make a judgment call there, but of course,

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Speaker 1: we all agree should have gone for it. Eagles on

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Speaker 1: fourth and two, to me was the game changing of

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Speaker 1: the game. They had a fourth and two. I swear

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Speaker 1: they're gonna fake it. I really did think they were

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Speaker 1: gonna fake it there and said they punted, and we

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Speaker 1: saw it happen. They took all that return all the

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Speaker 1: way down at the time the Eagles were up one,

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Speaker 1: that flipped it. They got the touchdown there. Um to me,

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Speaker 1: that was we Siriani lost that game. You're you're in

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Speaker 1: a game, you're playing crazy aggressive your defense again. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to hate on them chat, but I said,

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Speaker 1: of coming into it, they were going to struggle with

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Speaker 1: that zone, against this passing. That's why I just love

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Speaker 1: the over. I thought to myself, I already know the

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Speaker 1: Eagles are at the points. I just thought that the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs will be able to score against the Seagal's defense. Now,

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Speaker 1: did I see them putting up thirty eight? No, I

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Speaker 1: did not that. That whole scheme they did blocking scheme

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Speaker 1: against that Eagles front. They got pressures right, they got

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Speaker 1: they got their hands close to them. But it's my

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Speaker 1: homes It's what makes them so special. In that pocket.

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Speaker 1: He's just he can weave in and out of it

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Speaker 1: and a counteract. Those guys are in upfield. They ran

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Speaker 1: the ball really well, So I think what my homes

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Speaker 1: through for one seventy if that it was just a

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Speaker 1: really well smoked, smart coach game. So as an Eagles fan, yes,

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Speaker 1: I'm piste off about the call. I think any fan

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Speaker 1: base would be a mean. I don't know how many

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Speaker 1: people I had to mute that. We worked with Chad

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Speaker 1: that are Chiefs fans, but I couldn't stand them trying

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Speaker 1: to defend the call. Um. Just to me, I agree

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Speaker 1: that was a that's a call you make there. If

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Speaker 1: you watch every single play that entire game, guys are grabbing.

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Speaker 1: It's it's a high game. And I can read these

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Speaker 1: stats to you. Eagles defense had players slip on thirty

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Speaker 1: of my homes dropbacks five times. They had multiple slippage

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Speaker 1: on the play. The Chiefs only had fourteen percent of

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Speaker 1: times they dropped back on defensive they slipped. So the

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Speaker 1: Eagles are obviously affected by the slipping. They're grabbing a

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Speaker 1: little bit. It's the end of the game of the

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Speaker 1: fourth order. I think every fan that's an Eagle fan

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Speaker 1: right now, I was pissed because we wanted Hurts to

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Speaker 1: have that chance. I don't get what the NFL didn't

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Speaker 1: want it either, Where you're gonna give Homes the three,

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Speaker 1: al Right, he's gonna be up three and there's gonna

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Speaker 1: be two minutes left and the Eagles had no time outs.

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Speaker 1: To me, that would just been a nice dream scenario

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Speaker 1: for Eagles fans and anyone that was watching that game

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Speaker 1: of let the kid get a chance, right, let let

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Speaker 1: her get a chance. He was what minus three fifty

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Speaker 1: minus m v P head into the fourth quarter, so

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Speaker 1: it was their for him, and I feel bad that

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Speaker 1: it was taken away from on a I mean just

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Speaker 1: a soft call, like yes, he grabbed him a little,

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Speaker 1: that ball was not gonna be caught by him. Like

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Speaker 1: that was just a weird time to call that. So

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Speaker 1: I think that's what sucks as Eagles fans are gonna

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Speaker 1: gravitate to that, but as a gambler, to me that

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Speaker 1: that's irrelevant, like that's gonna happen. I'm just upset as

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Speaker 1: an Eagles fan. I wanted to see Hurts get that touch.

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Speaker 1: But we see it all the time, the refs they

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Speaker 1: factor in these games, so um, there are a bunch

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Speaker 1: of spots. The Eagles, you could say they lost it

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Speaker 1: to me that fourth and two, four and three, the

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Speaker 1: punt by Sirianni. That was a coward move and they

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Speaker 1: deserve to have that ball returned on him because that

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Speaker 1: was you're playing to win, like in your mind you

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Speaker 1: should think every time my home gets the ball, he's

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Speaker 1: gonna get seven. The kid is a killer. So I

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Speaker 1: hated that they kind of went conservative in the second half.

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Speaker 1: For first half they played like a team that was

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Speaker 1: trying to win a super Bowl. So, um, not going

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Speaker 1: to be better because I'm I'm very lucky where hurt

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Speaker 1: showed up in the biggest game. The kids like, what

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Speaker 1: am I about that bitch about having a young stud quarterback?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. So it's hurting, like I'm hurting. I

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Speaker 1: still haven't slept well. It's been two days. But I

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Speaker 1: think in a week or two I'll be all right.

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Speaker 1: I just it's still too much right now. Or I'm

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Speaker 1: just like, you're there, you should add a chance and

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Speaker 1: it's gone. Simon would turn in the page. Let's please,

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Speaker 1: we're going out of the futures. Also, I gotta say

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Speaker 1: NFL season is over. But the podcasts and the betting continues.

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Speaker 1: Bett happens every day of the year because there are

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Speaker 1: sports every single day of the year. Listen to Big

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00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:10,240
Speaker 1: Bets on Campus with three Man We've and Stucky from

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00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,520
Speaker 1: the Action Network. Listen to Links and Locks Are Golf

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00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,640
Speaker 1: betting podcast. Listen to Buckets every freaking day with a

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00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:22,840
Speaker 1: rotating cast of NBA handicapping geniuses. We got line Change,

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Speaker 1: our hockey podcast, got a new podcast, NASCAR podcast Running Hot.

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Speaker 1: Check it out. The NASCAR team we have is ridiculous,

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Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous. So listen to all those podcasts before we

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Speaker 1: move on, though, chat, I gotta know how how fund

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Speaker 1: did you feel for betting that under? Within five minutes

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Speaker 1: of that game starting sick to my stomach because I

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Speaker 1: was just saying that, I was like, thank God, at

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Speaker 1: least I don't have both um, because that would have

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Speaker 1: been a blood bath. But yeah, the Eagles first half

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Speaker 1: the over staid my ass a little bit. I mean

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Speaker 1: I took personally for the group, I did well, but personally, yeah,

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Speaker 1: my own personal that's lost about seven figures on Eagles spread. UM.

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Speaker 1: One of those were I think the I think the

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Speaker 1: live money line would have been UM plus three fifty

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Speaker 1: plus four hundred, and I tried to get some hedge

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Speaker 1: down because I just was feeling nervous, made a couple

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Speaker 1: of calls but got pennies down. It sucked. So I

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Speaker 1: was like, well, I'm all in. I think we're gonna win.

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Speaker 1: And uh, that was that. Again, that's the toughest thing

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Speaker 1: as well of like gotta listen to your elders. I

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Speaker 1: had a lot of guys saying to me, like, I

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Speaker 1: love you with the over hate hate the Eagles side.

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Speaker 1: Just stay away from the side. Um. But yeah, that

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Speaker 1: thank god for Eagles first half. That was something that

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Speaker 1: you know what, they finished her fifteen and five against

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Speaker 1: the spread in the first half this year, so pretty

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Speaker 1: pretty special for betting bend them first half this year. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I had a terrible dance Super Bowl Day, got crushed

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Speaker 1: mainly because, uh, you would fucking Raybond had me convinced

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Speaker 1: the Eagles with the right side when you came after

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Speaker 1: me all for liking the Chiefs, holding my position on

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Speaker 1: the and like I went in on the Eagles on

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning aggressively and that ended up being the difference

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Speaker 1: from me between I kept saying Eagles first half, Eagles

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Speaker 1: first half, Yeah, that's it. No, that was right. I

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Speaker 1: just missed it. I just missed these two words. Um,

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Speaker 1: Sunday night, here's where I was proud of you and

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Speaker 1: you put your big point pants on. We both did

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Speaker 1: the same thing, Um, get back in the water. We

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Speaker 1: both bet the Bears got him eighty to one to

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Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. I got him a hundred to

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Speaker 1: one to win the Super Bowl. Um, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: say anything. My bet was big enough. I needed approval.

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Speaker 1: And UM, so it's futures time. Yeah, it's futures time. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: With the with the Bears one, we already touched on it,

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Speaker 1: what two three weeks ago, now, we were both I

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Speaker 1: just love him the spot of the Bears, of a

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Speaker 1: team that has the quarterback and there's a ton of

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Speaker 1: money and they kind of have a plan. Um. The

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Speaker 1: only thing I think I already talked about this one

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Speaker 1: move I think you guys screwed up one was ro

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Speaker 1: Kwan to me as a corner stone piece. And the

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Speaker 1: fact you guys traded him to the Ravens and the

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Speaker 1: Ravens gave him all the money, that to me is

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Speaker 1: just a bad look to the Bears because the Ravens

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Speaker 1: they're one of the best for an offensive of all football,

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Speaker 1: so that might be the only mistake they really made

328
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Speaker 1: last year. You can see what you want about the

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Speaker 1: Claypool move. I get what they were trying to do.

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Speaker 1: They're just trying to surround fields with more more weapons,

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Speaker 1: especially weapons and using the off season. But they messed

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Speaker 1: up where the Jaguars probably made the right move, like

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Speaker 1: getting Calvin Ridley at a discount and then letting them

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Speaker 1: just chill for the year and the coming back this

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Speaker 1: year with that wide receiving corps. So this year was tough, Chad.

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Speaker 1: They they're not giving us the valley they were last year.

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Speaker 1: I mean that Jaguars at this point last year, we

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Speaker 1: had them at a hundred fift a one. So you

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00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:00,440
Speaker 1: can find the Bears still a hundred of one or

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Speaker 1: eighty two one. That's actually good value since we took

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00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:07,360
Speaker 1: that number chats down now to sixty one. So it's

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Speaker 1: one of those where me, Chad, do we really think

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Speaker 1: that Bears are going to win the Super Bowl? No,

344
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:17,119
Speaker 1: of course we don't. It's all about taking positions and

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00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,679
Speaker 1: if you listen to us, you know last year in

346
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Speaker 1: August you still could have got the Jackson one, but

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Speaker 1: we also gave out the Chiefs at eleven and one,

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Speaker 1: and we gave out the Eagles, which which at that

349
00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,399
Speaker 1: point I think they dropped the way down to fifteen

350
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,080
Speaker 1: or ten to one. So that's just one of those

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Speaker 1: where you know, last year was kind of a unicorn year,

352
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Speaker 1: like a lot of the futures we gave out kind

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Speaker 1: of came through the positions we're open for the same

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Speaker 1: thing with this Bears team here chat, I don't know

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Speaker 1: what you're looking at, but for me, they were the

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00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:44,639
Speaker 1: chatter of London, like when I was in England, a

357
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 1: lot of guys talking Bears, a lot of pros like Bearris.

358
00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,200
Speaker 1: It like the value on the Bears wasn't shocking. We

359
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,679
Speaker 1: saw a multiple thousand dollar bets come in as soon

360
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Speaker 1: as the super blended, and like I was a part

361
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,359
Speaker 1: a few of them. You know, books aren't gonna take

362
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Speaker 1: one of the thousand bucks, especially on the launch shot

363
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 1: like that. They don't need that my positioned against them

364
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:06,800
Speaker 1: in the middle of February. But to me with the Bears,

365
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Speaker 1: I loved all the things that that's just in that division,

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Speaker 1: Like we got a guy right now on Aaron Rodgers

367
00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:14,920
Speaker 1: just in some dark hole right now, taking a bunch

368
00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:16,639
Speaker 1: of drugs, trying to figure out his next move for

369
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,800
Speaker 1: the next four days. Um, we have Kirk Cousins off

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Speaker 1: arguably one of the luckiest best years we've ever seen

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Speaker 1: of his career. I mean, in what world has in

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Speaker 1: with taking there over next year? Right? They had the

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Speaker 1: greatest run ever of a one score team. So we

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Speaker 1: saw a team with the Vikings had crazy high luck.

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Speaker 1: We looked at our rankings, Bears were very unlucky last year,

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Speaker 1: something I think is gonna flip in her favorite the

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Speaker 1: next year. And then we end up on Detroit, which

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Speaker 1: is arguably me and Chad's favorite team from last year.

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Speaker 1: We loved Detroit, but are they overvalued at this point?

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Speaker 1: Probably like they're at one right now for the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl Detroit team that didn't even make the playoffs. So, um,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna we're gonna talk about a couple of teams

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Speaker 1: here where we like to value. I wanted to take Detroit,

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Speaker 1: but one the same number as the Jaguars, which we

385
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:06,520
Speaker 1: think is clearly the best team in their division. I

386
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 1: don't see that with Detroit. I don't think they're clearly

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Speaker 1: the best team in this division. So we have a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a cluster up the top. We got

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Vikings in Green Bay. I all agree they

390
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,199
Speaker 1: shall be close. The Bears are right there. They make

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00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 1: a couple of the right moves this year. Field stays healthy.

392
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Speaker 1: I love this team, especially everything they can put around him.

393
00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 1: So that says a non fan, just someone going off

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Speaker 1: of it. I can't hear out Chad's viewing his Bears

395
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 1: team right now head into the season. Well, a couple

396
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:33,720
Speaker 1: of things. Number one, there's news breaking right now that

397
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals are hiring Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon. Yesterday,

398
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:46,920
Speaker 1: the Colts officially hired the Eagles offensive coordinator. I don't

399
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 1: think these hires moved the needle for me at all.

400
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 1: On the futures, I would also recommend everybody who's looking

401
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:57,359
Speaker 1: for smart takes on futures. Brandon Anderson has a great story.

402
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,880
Speaker 1: Brandon was on with us on the Best Bets pod

403
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,880
Speaker 1: has right before the Super Bowl. Action Network analyst. He's

404
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:06,120
Speaker 1: got a great story on Action Network right now, download

405
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,639
Speaker 1: the app. You can read it there reader Action Network

406
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:12,600
Speaker 1: dot com. I love the Bears. The midway point of

407
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429
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430
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432
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433
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434
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435
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 1: dot com in Kansas one eight seven seven seven seven

436
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437
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,880
Speaker 1: or text hope n Y. In New York, Tennessee. Red

438
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:11,080
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439
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 1: or visit www. One eight hundred gambler dot net in

440
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 1: West Virginia. You know it's funny. The Lions are interesting

441
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:24,640
Speaker 1: as a camp right because we love the Lions last year,

442
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 1: So why don't we like the Lions as much this year?

443
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,919
Speaker 1: Part of it is the number. I don't know that

444
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 1: they have the ability to improve their defense as much

445
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:39,120
Speaker 1: as the Bears have. The ability to improve their defense

446
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 1: just by virtue of they have the most salary cap

447
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 1: room and they have the best draft excuse me, best

448
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 1: draft assets. So I think the Bears can get better

449
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,720
Speaker 1: on defense faster than the Lions. And I think the

450
00:23:54,760 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 1: Lions also it's a fade, not in a I don't

451
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 1: think the lines are gonna be good, but we were

452
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,159
Speaker 1: on that bad wagon last year. It paid off for

453
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 1: us in terms of season win totals. I'm not going

454
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,359
Speaker 1: back to that because there's gonna be no value in

455
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 1: any respect on anything for the Lions right now. Um. Like,

456
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 1: the only reason I would say, sure, go ahead and

457
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: bet the lines to one if you want it, is

458
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: because they're in the NFC and we've seen it this year.

459
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 1: The NFC is open. I mean, all the great quarterbacks

460
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: right now in the a f C. And that's why

461
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,200
Speaker 1: people will keep going the lame excuse of well, hees

462
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 1: haven't played anyone. It's like the NFC is a bunch

463
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:32,400
Speaker 1: of really good teams. I just don't have a bunch

464
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 1: of really good quarterbacks. So I get people's position of

465
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 1: that with them. But the fact that the one Fandel

466
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 1: and the Vikings, which is basically the same team is

467
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 1: at four year to one. It just shows you public perception,

468
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: like the public want the lines to be much better,

469
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,679
Speaker 1: but there's really not that much difference. Like, yes, the

470
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 1: Vikings have a first place schedule, but it's we've seen

471
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: it time and time again year to year. It's not

472
00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:55,840
Speaker 1: that big of a difference. Like they're still in the

473
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:59,040
Speaker 1: same division, They're still pretty much playing the same schedule. Um,

474
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 1: just the public loves the Lions on them is pretty sure?

475
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 1: How much? Here here's a good point, how much does

476
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 1: the public love the Lions? The Lions have the tenth

477
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 1: shortest odds to win the Super Bowl on fandor right now,

478
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:18,399
Speaker 1: when is the last time the Detroit Lions had the

479
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: tenth shortest odds to win the Super Bowl? Like, I

480
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 1: can't even imagine. I wouldn't need Evan Abrahams to dig

481
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,440
Speaker 1: deep into the research to tell me that. And by

482
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 1: the way, to your point about quarterbacks and the better quarterbacks,

483
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 1: six of the top ten teams are a f C teams.

484
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 1: It's not evenly split obviously, Niners, Eagles are three and

485
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 1: four and shortest odds Cowboys are six, and then Lions

486
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: are ten. Um. I when people understand what you just

487
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:56,120
Speaker 1: said that though, Like literally the betting public is all

488
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 1: over the a f C where we're gonna have crazy value,

489
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:00,920
Speaker 1: just like the Eagles were crazy value last year. The NFC,

490
00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 1: it's the like they just don't learn their lesson chat.

491
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 1: That's just how it is. So once again, they're gonna

492
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,119
Speaker 1: betting up all these numbers off just because QB's names

493
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 1: and we're gonna find some good value here head into

494
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,480
Speaker 1: the summer on these NFC teams. It's just the way

495
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 1: it is, Like you just said, that's crazy. Uh, the

496
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,919
Speaker 1: fact that, well they moved since you, but at one

497
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 1: point it was Chiefs of Bills then since you were

498
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 1: the top three best odds for Super Bowl. Yep, that's

499
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 1: insane to me. Like usually it would be the Eagles

500
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:30,879
Speaker 1: right there next to the Chiefs, but it's the public

501
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 1: love for these quarterbacks, so um, pretty pretty hilarious. If

502
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: you to me, the Cowboys are a waste, Like anything

503
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,640
Speaker 1: more than one with them, I would never have been

504
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,439
Speaker 1: on it for Super Bowl futures. So them at fifteen

505
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 1: to one, that's purely name and fandom like that, that's

506
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:50,679
Speaker 1: a crazy number for a team that didn't even make

507
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 1: it to the conference Championship Game, and they're not gonna

508
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 1: be better next year, like, if anything, they're gonna lose

509
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:58,119
Speaker 1: a couple of key players. Um, that's that's crazier at

510
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 1: that number. I don't know about you, but it's it's

511
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,240
Speaker 1: rare for me to take a team that, you know,

512
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 1: I don't like the coach in Stanley, but the Chargers

513
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: at one. If I'm gonna go with an a f

514
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 1: C team at a long odds, I guess I would

515
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:16,160
Speaker 1: look at them. But they're just one of those. I'm

516
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 1: just not gonna do it yet. I'm just gonna hope

517
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,480
Speaker 1: this number keeps coming down. But of all the teams

518
00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: that they're their odds are too low. I could see

519
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,399
Speaker 1: a Chargers just because the Chiefs won the Super Bowl,

520
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 1: they're gonna be a public darling next year. We're last

521
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:31,360
Speaker 1: year people kind of left the Chiefs left for dead. Um,

522
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 1: this year it's an over reaction. The team just won

523
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. Now. I think Matt Mitchell's one chiming

524
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 1: in before the Chiefs uh played. I think it was

525
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 1: Jaguars Chargers. He said the Chargers, we're gonna probably beat

526
00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,679
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. I couldn't really hate on it. Guess to

527
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,160
Speaker 1: me there they play each other in the regular season.

528
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 1: They play each other really tough. So if I'm looking

529
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 1: at a team in the a f C that has

530
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 1: a little bit of sleeper potential, I guess it would

531
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 1: be the Chargers. But I just want to give that

532
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 1: out to people right now. Like to me, if I'm

533
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,720
Speaker 1: gonna lock up my money, I want to lock it

534
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,400
Speaker 1: up on a couple of long shots or a team

535
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:04,919
Speaker 1: that can make a QB move. Not really, the Chargers

536
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:07,119
Speaker 1: are we are they are? They are right, chead, They

537
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 1: kind of are what they are. I'm not about Look,

538
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,679
Speaker 1: I've given the Chargers my love, I've given the Chargers

539
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 1: my money, I've given the Chargers my faith. We know

540
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:18,679
Speaker 1: what they are, right, I don't. I don't believe in

541
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 1: Brandon Staley as the decision maker. I don't think he

542
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 1: puts his teams in a position to succeed, even if

543
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 1: he was a little bit more thoughtful and more responsible

544
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 1: with the play calling. This is a team that historically

545
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: is snake bitten, bad injuries, fluke injuries. They can have

546
00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 1: the best defense in the world. I don't think they're

547
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 1: going to be able to sustain through a season. They

548
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 1: are not going to consistently be better than the Chiefs

549
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 1: in the Chiefs Division. I am off that bandwagon. And

550
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 1: I think what's challenging for what you just laid out

551
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: in terms of finding value in the NFC is that

552
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 1: there are other than the Bears. There aren't a lot

553
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 1: of teams that I think have the right pieces in place.

554
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 1: And I do think there's one a f C team

555
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: that I'm going to get to, but I do want to.

556
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 1: I do want to run down the odds for some

557
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 1: other a f C NFC teams because I do think

558
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:25,120
Speaker 1: it's interesting, right, Like, there's nobody I think the Cowboys

559
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 1: are frauds just right. I can believe in the Niners

560
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 1: because of Kyle Shanahan and because we saw enough from

561
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 1: Brock Purty that if he ends up being the guy,

562
00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 1: possibly right back until the middle of the season, they

563
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 1: could make a trade. They could also make a trade. Obviously.

564
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 1: We can believe in the Eagles. Lions at thirty to one,

565
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 1: come on, like, we we know we're not doing that

566
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 1: because we don't think there's value there. Packers at thirty

567
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 1: to one, we're not doing because we don't know who

568
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 1: the quarterback is going to be. Rams are semi interesting

569
00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:00,200
Speaker 1: because there is going to be some aggression. They will

570
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: be healthier, probably getting through sort of the Super Bowl

571
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 1: hangover rams it. I don't get that number though. I

572
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 1: don't get why it's lower. It's not lower like again,

573
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 1: I don't want to it's too high sports books, but

574
00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 1: these lines are a bit tight. Yeah, thirty seven to

575
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 1: one right now with Fandal, it doesn't seem it seems

576
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 1: like they should be fifty to one. UM and then

577
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 1: like the Giants are forty two to one again another team.

578
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 1: I wanted to take him at fifty two one. To me,

579
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 1: that's a good value the Giants team. But either the

580
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 1: pros a better or the books are just getting tight

581
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 1: with the line. But I love the value of the Giants.

582
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 1: Like there we know the history of the NFC East,

583
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 1: right the same team hasn't won the division back to

584
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 1: back years, and I think it's up to twenty two

585
00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 1: years now. We like the Giants upside, like they're gonna

586
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 1: get a bunch of guys off the books next year

587
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: and they'll bet on maybe maybe build a more gable

588
00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,480
Speaker 1: team that he wants to build. Um, you know coach

589
00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 1: of the Yre, Brian He's he's a good guy. He's

590
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 1: got a good team. But forty one two one me

591
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 1: and chatting biting on that. So I'm hoping these numbers

592
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 1: drop a little more because I just the books again.

593
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 1: Last year, we had a couple of different obviously ugly, ugly,

594
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 1: big long swings on some of these underdogs. The only

595
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 1: one that really made it with the Jaguars, So that's

596
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 1: we're trying to be picky here. To me, the best

597
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 1: value is still the Bears. Like one, I still think

598
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 1: they have some value left there. So um uh. We

599
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 1: are getting some questions on AMP about one of the

600
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,840
Speaker 1: teams that that the one a f C team. I

601
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:34,120
Speaker 1: was going to bring up Cleveland Browns. We love the

602
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns all year last year with Jacobe Brissette, we

603
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 1: thought they were undervalued. Liked their defense, we love their

604
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 1: offensive line, we love their running game. The question is

605
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 1: will Deshaun Watson be fully back. If he's fully back,

606
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:57,960
Speaker 1: one for the Browns, that's to me a flyer to

607
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 1: take in the a f C because he should be

608
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:04,200
Speaker 1: one of the best quarterbacks in the a f C. Yeah,

609
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:06,959
Speaker 1: and another two we're about to talk about Denver. These

610
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 1: are two different, like two teams I do want to

611
00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: talk about, but they're both teams that it's impossible for

612
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 1: me to give them to you guys right now in February,

613
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:18,720
Speaker 1: Like I just I can't do it. Where I honestly

614
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 1: lean more towards Denver to give out right now. Um,

615
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 1: but I'm just not because of you know, obviously because

616
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 1: of the division they're in. So my issue with the

617
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 1: Browns here is I think Joe Burrows that dude. I

618
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 1: think he really is that guy, and he is such

619
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 1: a game changer where it's kind of the same feeling

620
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 1: I have with Josh Allen in that division of like

621
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 1: it's his, it really is his. Like we've seen it

622
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 1: out two years in a row, Joe Burrow win this division. Um,

623
00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:49,239
Speaker 1: so much bs going on in Baltimore. It's hard for

624
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 1: me to want to be on their side too, because

625
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 1: it's like there we saw their defense. I mean, they're

626
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 1: really good, the Ravens, but they've got a lot of

627
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 1: issues right now, especially that Lamar is just not happy.

628
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 1: So I want to take all that noise and back

629
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 1: this Brown's team. But Watson showed us nothing. Chat, I

630
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 1: think you're in agreement with it. I mean where he

631
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 1: doesn't look like the man we were used to, and

632
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 1: two two and a half years ago was a long

633
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 1: time to see what he is, which was a guy that, yes,

634
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 1: he was practicing and he was around. It's different than

635
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 1: being in the game and different beat writers. I read

636
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 1: out of the Browns um you know at Ohio talking

637
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 1: about the Browns is they were trying to put him

638
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: in spots to challenge him right there, trying to make

639
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 1: him be uncomfortable because I knew they were going to

640
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 1: make the playoffs and they wanted to see what they

641
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 1: had at him. It's like, really, is that really what

642
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 1: they wanted? They didn't want to put him in easy

643
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 1: spots just to get comfortable and running the offense. So

644
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 1: I think they're just saying those things a safe face.

645
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 1: I just think he's not what we were used to.

646
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 1: So Um, for me and the Browns, I'm happy to wait. Like,

647
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 1: if anything, I could see these as dropping a little more,

648
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 1: maybe when people maybe start betting since the yup a

649
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 1: little more, maybe even the Ravens if it is Lamar

650
00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:00,160
Speaker 1: coming back. So um, I'll wait on that one. The

651
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 1: Browns um, I'll love to hear your view is on it.

652
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 1: But which is interesting? I can't put the money on

653
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 1: to Shawn at this point. Ah, I was going to

654
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 1: counter with what you just said that isn't this the

655
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,800
Speaker 1: time you make the bet because we don't know to

656
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: Shaun and we did see him give us nothing, and

657
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:22,160
Speaker 1: we like everything about that team, And to me, it's

658
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:25,760
Speaker 1: no different than making a bet on the box hoping

659
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,239
Speaker 1: that they're going to trade for Tom Brady. We kind

660
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 1: of don't know the quarterback situation. We think the quarterbacks no.

661
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 1: But my point is is, but like, but then what's

662
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 1: what's when is it low enough? Right? Like? Your your

663
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 1: point is now until you just made the point that

664
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 1: with the Ravens, with some money coming on the Bengals,

665
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 1: the Browns might drop a little bit more, and that

666
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,440
Speaker 1: makes sense to me. Okay, then I can wait. But

667
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:59,839
Speaker 1: like there're thirty one right now in Jersey Browns. Yeah,

668
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,320
Speaker 1: that's that ship should be right when I get I

669
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 1: see in fandwel in Connecticut, right, So that's not that's better? Right?

670
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,439
Speaker 1: So my point is maybe we need to give people

671
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 1: a threshold that are listening, because it's every book does

672
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:15,360
Speaker 1: it differently in every state, so I would touch it.

673
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 1: But thirty five, that's that's bad that's bad value to me.

674
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 1: So that's just that's just my opinion of it where

675
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:22,920
Speaker 1: I don't want to touch it at thirty five yere

676
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 1: in Jersey. All right, well that's fair, but to me,

677
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 1: that's why I that's why I was leaning into the Browns. Um,

678
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:34,400
Speaker 1: I don't like Denver. You know, we've talked about. I

679
00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 1: loved Denver last year obviously with Russell Wilson and was

680
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 1: quite wrong. Um, there are a team this year, though

681
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 1: I got some bad news for each shot. It's that

682
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 1: they're literally gonna be our team. Brother, Like, I'm all

683
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 1: in on them. So because whither can do it now? Yeah,

684
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:51,600
Speaker 1: either can do that now or we can just wait

685
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 1: until August. And people hate me because I've just been

686
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: talking about them for the last four months. But that's

687
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 1: how my job is. People. I'm gonna shoot on a

688
00:35:59,040 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 1: guy for a year like I just did with Russ,

689
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 1: and then I'll be all in on him the following

690
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,359
Speaker 1: year because that's where the value shifts. So new coming

691
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 1: to the year, if they made the right coaching move,

692
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,440
Speaker 1: I'd love this team because they have an incredible defense

693
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 1: and the offense is there, like the pieces are there.

694
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,480
Speaker 1: They got the coach and yeah, do I want to

695
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 1: make fun of Sean Payton for having weird fake teeth

696
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:21,359
Speaker 1: kind of, but he's an offensive genius and you get

697
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:24,279
Speaker 1: that man in the room, see what you want about him.

698
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,360
Speaker 1: He is incredible. Again, every little bit of ounce of

699
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:31,000
Speaker 1: talent out of the quarterback position. So if Russ is cooked,

700
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:33,640
Speaker 1: I don't care. I'm getting way better value this year

701
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 1: than I did last year and betting it. So I

702
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 1: think it's a good number and I'm willing to pay

703
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 1: at that price. Uh, the fact that he might not

704
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:42,840
Speaker 1: be because we've seen it time and time again, most

705
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:47,240
Speaker 1: normal teams have a Super Bowl hangover, and the Rams

706
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 1: were the forest end of that spectrum. Right, they completely

707
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:52,719
Speaker 1: ship the bed fell off and they have a top

708
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 1: ten pick whatever it is, or maybe they traded that

709
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 1: pick away. I don'tber anything. So that's the far end

710
00:36:58,160 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 1: of the spectrum. I don't think the Chiefs are gonna

711
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:01,719
Speaker 1: be that, but I think the Chiefs will be close

712
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 1: with to you what the Bengals were this year, which

713
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,440
Speaker 1: was a really good team, but that if the Ravens

714
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 1: were healthy, healthy, the Ravens probably would have won that division. Right,

715
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 1: they were ahead of them by a couple of games.

716
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 1: You saw the Bengals came out of the gate stumbling.

717
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 1: That's kind of usually how it is with these Super

718
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 1: Bowl teams coming off a year like that. So just

719
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:18,799
Speaker 1: in the value in that division, I know I talked

720
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 1: to the charges earlier. I would wait on the charge.

721
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:22,719
Speaker 1: I think you'll be able to get a better number later.

722
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:25,359
Speaker 1: On the Broncos, I'm just gonna grab now just because

723
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 1: I think other pros are gonna battle. I just think

724
00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:30,160
Speaker 1: the public might be off this one. The pros are

725
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: gonna like it. It's just a good team that now

726
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,240
Speaker 1: has a really good coach, and they have an owner

727
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,839
Speaker 1: that wants to spend money. So these are all things

728
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:39,919
Speaker 1: I look at and shop around. Once again, I've seen

729
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:41,719
Speaker 1: a couple of forty five the ones out there on

730
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:45,919
Speaker 1: Denver on certain books. So standel right now they're showing

731
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,160
Speaker 1: thirty five to one. I don't hate it. I just

732
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 1: think if you can find a forty one to one,

733
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 1: try to find that instead. I take them thirty five. Uh.

734
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:59,799
Speaker 1: For the record, I am seeing on the Bears, fan

735
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 1: Will has the shortest right now at six. But in Connecticut,

736
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 1: where there are two other books, one of them has

737
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 1: him at seventy to one. One of them has it

738
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 1: at eight one. The one that has it at seventy

739
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:18,120
Speaker 1: one had it at a hundred one until some kind

740
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:21,440
Speaker 1: of big player came in and made a bet that

741
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 1: needed approval has dropped like a stone. Well, I hope

742
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 1: you put a thousand on because that would be that

743
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 1: would be a hell of a story to hit that

744
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 1: hit the Bears went on the Super Bowl, because I

745
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:42,840
Speaker 1: know that's one of those where seven figures. Uh what,

746
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 1: all right? We just talked about the Browns, We talked

747
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 1: about the Broncos, we talked about the Bears. UM any

748
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:53,720
Speaker 1: other teams whose names start with B that we should

749
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:57,359
Speaker 1: talk about just to make sure that we're thorough here.

750
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:00,520
Speaker 1: I don't think when you talk about the Bucks. I

751
00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 1: don't think when you talk about the Bengals. UM. Now,

752
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,000
Speaker 1: once again, if you want to throw if you want

753
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:07,680
Speaker 1: to throw bets on these teams you believe in them,

754
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 1: go for it. But I like to wait on these

755
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:13,080
Speaker 1: top teams. This time last year, the Chiefs were at

756
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,719
Speaker 1: seven oh one. Right. What happened in August? All the

757
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,520
Speaker 1: love had shifted from the Chiefs. Everyone was talking down

758
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:21,399
Speaker 1: on them, and I gave them out literally a week

759
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 1: before the season kicked off with chad On convinced me

760
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 1: at eleven o one. So if you would have taken

761
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,239
Speaker 1: the Chiefs in February, would have got shitter odds and

762
00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,200
Speaker 1: the books would have held your money for all those months.

763
00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:32,080
Speaker 1: So these top teams, that's why I don't even give

764
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,319
Speaker 1: them out. If I'm gonna have a book, hold my

765
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:37,360
Speaker 1: money for the next year, I want crazy odds like

766
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 1: we have with the Jaguars last year, and it's such

767
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 1: a year we don't have the Jaguars. But that was

768
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:43,920
Speaker 1: kind of a unicorn situation, right We had a we

769
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 1: had a team in place, and they had a coach

770
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,760
Speaker 1: step in and the public hated them and the pros

771
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 1: hated them right like they that was insane for them

772
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 1: to be one. Do I want to come in here

773
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:55,799
Speaker 1: and tell you to put money on the Texans. No,

774
00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:57,799
Speaker 1: but I will be putting money on the Texans people.

775
00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:02,040
Speaker 1: If you're looking for my craziest long shot, bet it's

776
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:03,799
Speaker 1: the Texans. I'm getting a couple of books that are

777
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 1: getting me three one like I gotta do it. That

778
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:12,359
Speaker 1: got Damiko Ryan's um. I think uh Matt Mitchell's boy

779
00:40:12,400 --> 00:40:17,040
Speaker 1: went there right Kingsbury. Did he officially sign there. I

780
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:20,000
Speaker 1: know they were having a conversation with him. I know

781
00:40:20,120 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 1: that they talked with him and they that there. It's

782
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:24,439
Speaker 1: to me, I think he'll take the job because they'll

783
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: be like, we'll let you take the quarterback. I know

784
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,680
Speaker 1: he has a whole relationship. Might have been c. J. Strouss.

785
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:32,719
Speaker 1: I forgot which quarterback it is, but like there's some

786
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 1: guy that he's pet, he's paired up with. They're just

787
00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:38,239
Speaker 1: looking for a spark there. To me, they hired uh

788
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 1: Bobby Slovak, not Cliff Kingsbury. Oh wow, that's a big deal.

789
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:50,680
Speaker 1: Rumors are it would be Baltimore. Oh today, Uh, the

790
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: Ravens hired the Georgia Georgia offensive coordinator. Yeah, I think

791
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 1: I saw it before it came on. So to me,

792
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 1: with Houston, they're not going to win the super Bowl,

793
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 1: but in that division at three, if they get some

794
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 1: young stud quarterback, we get a Cam Newton type. If

795
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:13,839
Speaker 1: we get this kid that is just a unicorn, that's

796
00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 1: what we're looking for. We're just looking for a team

797
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:19,319
Speaker 1: that can steal a division. And no Jaguars. Not that

798
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:20,800
Speaker 1: I'm saying I gave up on it, but I pretty

799
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:22,319
Speaker 1: much did. I think there are two and seven at

800
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:26,120
Speaker 1: one point, and I was like, that was one of

801
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 1: my dumber bets I've ever made. I mean I talked

802
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:31,319
Speaker 1: that months about them in that division. I was looking

803
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 1: like an idiot because that division was so bad they

804
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:35,480
Speaker 1: were able to come all the way back and win

805
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:38,200
Speaker 1: that division. So yes, so I think the Jags are

806
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 1: still the best team that division, of course. But Chad

807
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 1: and I talked every year there's always a team that

808
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:46,280
Speaker 1: comes in fourth in their division that flips the following

809
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:49,760
Speaker 1: year and somehow wins the division. And that's no secret.

810
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,359
Speaker 1: People like I'm telling you what we do every year.

811
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 1: I'm looking for these teams that can be the that

812
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 1: were the fourth seed in their division and can flip.

813
00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:59,279
Speaker 1: So what do we have. Three years ago we had

814
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 1: the Bengals at a hundred seventy five to one make

815
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 1: it to the super Bowl. That was the freak of freaks.

816
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 1: Last year we had a hundred fifty one. The Jaguars

817
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:10,000
Speaker 1: make it out of the first round into the second round,

818
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 1: which was a big deal for them to make a

819
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:13,960
Speaker 1: divisional round. That was an easy position for me to

820
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,319
Speaker 1: hedge on taking that Chief's team. That's the same thing

821
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:18,160
Speaker 1: we're hoping for this year. I mean, Chad just talked

822
00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:19,879
Speaker 1: about the Bears. If you can find eighty to one,

823
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:22,799
Speaker 1: that's a nice position to have, especially you know the

824
00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 1: pros are hitting the number. The fact that's come down

825
00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 1: so much other books, that's a good value. I'm not

826
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 1: saying Houston is gonna be the team that wins it all,

827
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,600
Speaker 1: but just if you've got ten bucks in your account

828
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:35,239
Speaker 1: to win three on their future, throw it on there.

829
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 1: Like to me, that's just a nice little value bet

830
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:40,360
Speaker 1: where if they hit on the quarterback, I think this

831
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:41,920
Speaker 1: team could be pretty good. We saw at the end

832
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,319
Speaker 1: of the year there they played teams tough, right, I mean,

833
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 1: they took the Chiefs to overtime. I think they took

834
00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 1: Dallas down to the wire. Um, they was upset the

835
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,040
Speaker 1: Eagles in the middle of the season. They have talent

836
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 1: on that team. I'm telling you, football, it's not that

837
00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:56,239
Speaker 1: far off. A lot of these teams. A lot of

838
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 1: these teams do have the guys on the team. They

839
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:00,640
Speaker 1: just needed coaching and a couple you know, a list

840
00:43:00,680 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 1: Blue Chippers stud athletes added to the team. They might

841
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:05,279
Speaker 1: be able to do that this year with Houston, right,

842
00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 1: they got the draft capital to make a move to

843
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 1: get a quarterback, and I think they're gonna go out

844
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:10,600
Speaker 1: there and free jesty and be able to attack that

845
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,719
Speaker 1: defense and keep at into it. So I love Dmiko Ryans.

846
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:15,400
Speaker 1: I think he's a great coach. I'm excited for the

847
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:20,600
Speaker 1: Houston team. One chad longest shot bet of the off season.

848
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:22,239
Speaker 1: We'll be talking about them a bunch coming up until

849
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 1: this year. Just sitting here in February, I think you

850
00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:26,640
Speaker 1: just take it just in case they do hit on

851
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 1: the quarterback. This will drop down two d one just

852
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 1: in my opinion if they hit in the first round.

853
00:43:31,520 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 1: That's how much quarterback means in this league. So I'm

854
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:37,040
Speaker 1: just gonna take the value on Houston. Well, I gotta

855
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:39,960
Speaker 1: tell you right now, I'm not seeing Houston any higher

856
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:43,520
Speaker 1: than two hundred one, at least here in Connecticut, and

857
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 1: consensus UH is around one thirty to one. But you

858
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 1: mentioned there at the bottom two eight, which which book

859
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:59,800
Speaker 1: vandal I don't know, you know what's funny in Connecticut, Vanduel,

860
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:11,520
Speaker 1: I have a hundred You know that's ship. Yeah, and

861
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 1: maybe that's part of the regulations chat, I don't know.

862
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:17,640
Speaker 1: Maybe you guys have some some regulations stuff there, but um,

863
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 1: I'll post it into the chat. Here's my here's my question.

864
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:25,240
Speaker 1: You mentioned going from first to worst or worst to first.

865
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 1: You mentioned the NFC East the only other team and

866
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:29,719
Speaker 1: this is the last thing I want to talk about

867
00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 1: that sort of fits into that mold. Are the Washington Commanders.

868
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:37,359
Speaker 1: I know we can't do it though, with everything going

869
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:39,840
Speaker 1: on to sale their team and it just feels like

870
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:41,720
Speaker 1: they got a lot of bullshit going on behind the scenes,

871
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:48,000
Speaker 1: right yep, I'm just saying. I'm just saying it's crazy

872
00:44:48,040 --> 00:44:51,799
Speaker 1: decisions on this podcast all the time. I am right

873
00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 1: there with you that I was honestly looking at them too.

874
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:56,400
Speaker 1: I just I couldn't get there. I just I can't

875
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: do it where I think they really are going to start.

876
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 1: That kid Sam a quarter which nothing against him, he

877
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:05,319
Speaker 1: had some moments. Um, he was fun to watch. I

878
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:08,840
Speaker 1: don't think that kids that I just don't see him lasting.

879
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:10,640
Speaker 1: So that's one of those I just want to call

880
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 1: my shot early because you never know these quarterbacks. But

881
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 1: um yeah, just to me right now, I'm gonna tie

882
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:17,719
Speaker 1: have any money the NFC said just gonna be on

883
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 1: this Giants team. I think they're the only team that

884
00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:23,040
Speaker 1: has any value. Alright, one thing I do wanna remind

885
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:28,200
Speaker 1: people of. Evan Abrahams did an amazing round up of

886
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 1: the NFL betting awards, the best against the spread team,

887
00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 1: best over under teams. So let me run down here.

888
00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 1: The best against the spread team three The New York

889
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:51,799
Speaker 1: Football Giants UH They're a t S was fourteen and

890
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:55,280
Speaker 1: five including the playoffs. Hundred dollar better was up seven

891
00:45:55,880 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 1: eight seven dollars on the year for the Giants. UH

892
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:10,319
Speaker 1: this was the second best UM record as underdogs in

893
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:13,520
Speaker 1: the last twenty years ten and two. Twelve Rams were

894
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:16,319
Speaker 1: eleven and three. The worst A T S team this

895
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:20,920
Speaker 1: year Tom Brady Tampa Bay Buccaneers for twelve and one. UH.

896
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:25,520
Speaker 1: Final against the spread standings New York Football Giants, Detroit

897
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:29,799
Speaker 1: Lines twelve and five, Cincinnati Bengals great run the end

898
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:34,600
Speaker 1: of the year they went thirteen and six, Niners thirteen

899
00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 1: and seven, Chargers, Chargers eleven six and one. The best

900
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:47,400
Speaker 1: over under team Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota Vikings UM over the

901
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 1: last three seasons. The Vikings are thirty four, sixteen and

902
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:55,360
Speaker 1: one to the over. I now pretty good, right, top

903
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 1: under team New York Jets and Tennessee Titans. They boast

904
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:03,800
Speaker 1: finished the season five to the under they profited, and

905
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 1: I love Evan. They profited an extra five dollars on

906
00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:12,560
Speaker 1: the season due to a little more juice then on

907
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:16,880
Speaker 1: Tennessee's lines over the course of the season. The best

908
00:47:16,960 --> 00:47:26,560
Speaker 1: over under teams Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles. Um,

909
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:33,200
Speaker 1: so good. Best money line team New York Football Giants. Uh,

910
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:37,400
Speaker 1: they finished ten eight and one straight up. A hundred

911
00:47:37,400 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 1: dollar better would win the year. Worst money line team

912
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:54,400
Speaker 1: Denver Broncos. Yeah, um, pretty good, pretty good? No, it's uh.

913
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:56,879
Speaker 1: I want to say, you just think through all those

914
00:47:56,880 --> 00:47:59,800
Speaker 1: different games this year and it's just like they're sharing teams.

915
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:02,000
Speaker 1: I couldn't get right all year And it was definitely

916
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:03,960
Speaker 1: the New York Giants. Just couldnot get a read on

917
00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 1: that team all year, not at all. Back in February,

918
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes was plus seven hundred to win the m

919
00:48:11,360 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 1: v P. By the time the season got under way,

920
00:48:13,640 --> 00:48:17,360
Speaker 1: he was plus eight hundred, only behind Josh Allen. He

921
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 1: had the second shortest preseason m v P odds for

922
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 1: the winner since two fifteen, behind Tom Brady. It was

923
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:32,799
Speaker 1: plus four hundred um, you mentioned, uh the Super Bowl

924
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,240
Speaker 1: champs Kansas City Chiefs. You gave it out and convinced

925
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:39,040
Speaker 1: me right before the season started. They were ten to

926
00:48:39,160 --> 00:48:43,080
Speaker 1: one entering the regular season, third in the NFL behind

927
00:48:43,080 --> 00:48:47,160
Speaker 1: the Bills in the Buccaneers. Pretty good, Simon. We had

928
00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 1: a great year. It really was one of those specially years,

929
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 1: especially where we gave out five picks every week, even

930
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 1: including our bye week. In the final week of the year,

931
00:48:56,719 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 1: you finished thirty and thirty three again to spread, which

932
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:04,520
Speaker 1: obviously is pretty insane. We only had our worst week.

933
00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 1: It was two and three for the entire year, which

934
00:49:06,680 --> 00:49:09,200
Speaker 1: was pretty insane. We've never done that before. And you know,

935
00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:12,400
Speaker 1: playoffs obviously didn't finish the way we wanted. Eagles couldn't

936
00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:16,439
Speaker 1: come through for us. But overall, just really fun and

937
00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 1: hopefully next year and get just as lucky, like it's rare.

938
00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 1: We both both pick. Oh, I don't know, you want

939
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:23,360
Speaker 1: to give out Denver as a one seam what are you?

940
00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 1: Either way, we both love the Chiefs and Eagles coming

941
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:28,280
Speaker 1: to the season. Obviously we won't probably be that lucky

942
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:31,359
Speaker 1: next year, but I'm already already looking forward to next

943
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 1: year brother and breaking down everything I just can't believe,

944
00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:36,000
Speaker 1: you know, people were joking me like I made an

945
00:49:36,080 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: NBA that the other night. It's it's tough to stop,

946
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 1: it really is. I don't know what I'm gonna do

947
00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 1: these next couple of weeks, but I gotta break away

948
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:46,239
Speaker 1: and get off the habit um because it's just you

949
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 1: know what it is. I told you all the time.

950
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,040
Speaker 1: I literally wake up and check lines and the odd

951
00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:52,759
Speaker 1: to night. Last night, woke up, open up the Action app,

952
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,080
Speaker 1: went to the NFL lines and there was just a

953
00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,279
Speaker 1: super Bowl line there. There was no new line. So

954
00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 1: it is officially the off season and is the darkest

955
00:50:01,480 --> 00:50:03,560
Speaker 1: time in my life. So I'm gonna miss doing the

956
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 1: show weekly when you talking football. Well, unfortunately, we'll still

957
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 1: be doing the show twice weekly as we have been.

958
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 1: We're not back on Thursday. Uh. This has been the

959
00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:18,240
Speaker 1: Favorites podcast from the Volume podcast Network. Don't forget. Subscribe

960
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:21,760
Speaker 1: directly to the Favorites through Apple Podcast, through Spotify, download

961
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,520
Speaker 1: us through those two platforms. Wherever you get your podcasts,

962
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 1: rate review, subscribe, leave this five stars, say whatever you want.

963
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:31,720
Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift for Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell.

964
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:40,480
Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman, love you Yeah. Action Network reminds

965
00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

966
00:50:44,040 --> 00:50:48,720
Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available. Seven gambler