1 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into another episode 2 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Parolt. 3 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all my socials ad 4 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: sports talk Matt. This podcast is ice cold, bad week, 5 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: bad month. This is the dog Days, and this is 6 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: the hopefully the basement of where we have been. Hopefully 7 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: you faded the plays yesterday because in and three Red 8 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 1: Sox lose eight to two. Team total does not come 9 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: in and then Team USA. I didn't think Kevin Durant 10 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,519 Speaker 1: was going to do that. In fact, Kevin Durant was 11 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 1: questionable to even play in that game, and he came 12 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: off the bench and was outstanding for Team USA. So 13 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: I don't know what I'll do with Team USA going forward. 14 00:00:54,800 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: But we are only six Sundays away from the NFL well, 15 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: and we are less than a month away from the 16 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 1: start of the college football season. So we are just 17 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: having to fight our way through the next couple of weeks, 18 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: really two and a half weeks or so, and then 19 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: we get back into betting on college football and betting 20 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: on football and betting on other things not baseball related. 21 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: Betting baseball on Sundays. I hate it. I did it 22 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,479 Speaker 1: because it's Sunday night baseball and it was my team. 23 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: But I still hate betting on Sundays. I don't like 24 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: betting baseball on Sundays, but I don't like betting Mondays 25 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: either on baseball. But I've got one baseball play. You 26 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: guys have been asking me to do other things, saying, wait, Matt, 27 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: you've been cold with sides and totals, and that's one 28 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: hundred percent the truth. Team USA is playing Japan and 29 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 1: women's basketball coming up here today. I do have two 30 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: player props that I want to jump in on with that, 31 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 1: So not laying the twenty points that Team USA is 32 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: laying against against Japan, but going to jump in on 33 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 1: a couple of Las Vegas aces and what they can 34 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: do here against Japan coming up, so we'll do that. 35 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: I got a baseball play. I have another baseball trend. 36 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: If you want it, you can jump on it as well. 37 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet it, but not officially here. So basically 38 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 1: gonna give you three plays, two half unit plays, one 39 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: full unit play, and it's Paul Skeen's day. Okay, let's 40 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: start with baseball and Paul Skeens one bet officially for you, guys, 41 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 1: pirates are on the road at the Astros. Paul Skeans 42 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: is pitching against Jake Bloss. Okay, Jake Bloss eight to 43 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: two loss is last outing on the road, six to 44 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,920 Speaker 1: three win in his last home start, and then he 45 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:40,239 Speaker 1: started against the Orioles at home fourteen and eleven to 46 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: eleven was the final score. So all three games have 47 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: gone over for Jake Bloss, which makes this bet extremely dangerous. 48 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: But Paul Skeens on the road. The teams that are 49 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,519 Speaker 1: facing Paul Skeens, they know they can't just let their 50 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 1: starter get racked because their offense is not gonna score 51 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 1: very much. Paul Skeens has been tremendous on the road 52 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: this year. Paul Skins has been basically unhittable. It's gonna 53 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: point eight six ERA three and oher record posting batting 54 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: average of one thirty five thirty one in a third 55 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: innings worth of work. The guy's giving up three earned 56 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: runs three Okay. So the question comes down to is 57 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:24,080 Speaker 1: whether or not you want to bet team total under 58 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: for the Astros, which you absolutely can do. But the 59 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 1: problem is the bullpen stinks. Now, the last time that 60 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:34,359 Speaker 1: we saw Paul Skins. He went eight in a third, 61 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: So the team might be saying, look it, we're not 62 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: gonna risk it here. We're gonna let Paul schemes go. 63 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: We're not gonna have them on a pitch count. We're 64 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: gonna let him get after it. Three and a half 65 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: is the team total for the Astros, and it's juiced 66 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 1: heavily to the under under three and a half. Now, 67 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: that's a fine play, but I don't want to lay 68 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 1: Mie one fifty eight juice on an under three and 69 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: a half team total. That's too expensive for me. But 70 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: it tells you what the books think, right, Three runs, 71 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: two runs basically for the Astros Paul Skins in his 72 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 1: last four starts on the road one nothing win, two 73 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: to one loss, two to one win, and a ten 74 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 1: to two loss. Sorry tend to win. Excuse me. That 75 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: was back on the twenty ninth of May. So you 76 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: take it basically from June and July on the road 77 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: against the Cardinals to to one win, no urn runs 78 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: given up on the road against Atlanta, a two to 79 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: one loss, one earned run given up in six innings 80 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,159 Speaker 1: on the road against Milwaukee, a one nothing win for 81 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:37,039 Speaker 1: him seven innings, no urn runs last time out, lost 82 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 1: to the Cardinals, went eight and a third, gave up 83 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: just two earned runs in the process. There a tough loss, 84 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: tough loss for the for the for the Pirates. If 85 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 1: you hear the cat, I apologize, we like, we'll take 86 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: care of the cat here in a second. Shut the door, please, 87 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: thank you. My daughter's here while we're ta So we're 88 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: gonna go with that. Okay, We're gonna go with the under. 89 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: Paul skeins under seven and a half. You can do 90 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 1: team total if you want, But I don't love the 91 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 1: Pirates offense, even up against a guy that I don't 92 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: know a whole heck of a lot about, because I 93 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 1: don't think he goes more than maybe one time through 94 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 1: the lineup here and they go into the bullpen. For 95 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:22,280 Speaker 1: the Astros, the Astros on the year are fifty nine 96 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 1: forty two and four to the under. Okay, they're hitting 97 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: it at nearly a sixty percent clip this year, going 98 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,039 Speaker 1: to the under fifty eight point four percent of the 99 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: time coming in with the under. Only the Braves are 100 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: a bigger under team this season than the Houston Astros, 101 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 1: I mean at home this year. The Astros are a 102 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 1: team that they just road or home. They don't score 103 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: a whole heck of a lot. They're a little bit 104 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 1: better at home. They're twenty eight to twenty one and 105 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 1: three to the under at home this year. That's fifty 106 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:58,600 Speaker 1: seven point one percent there on the road. For the Pirates, 107 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 1: they're also a team that you know, twenty six, twenty 108 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: five and two to the under. So fifty one percent 109 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: of the time are you know fifty forty nine percent 110 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 1: of the time go into the under. So they're a 111 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 1: team that I also say, okay with Skins on the mound, 112 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,359 Speaker 1: low scoring game under seven and a half, it's not 113 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: expensive to jump in on the under here under one fifteen, 114 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: minus one fifteen under seven and a half, Pirates and 115 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: the Astros at minus one fifteen. Now if you want 116 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 1: some extra action, this is not my play. I may 117 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 1: make it, I may not. But the White Sox are 118 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: zero to twelve on Mondays this year. White Sox have 119 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:43,240 Speaker 1: well Chris Flexion on the mound, marsh going to the 120 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: hill for the Royals, Rose are laying minus one sixty 121 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: four on the run line, sorry on the money line. Rather, 122 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: they're even money on the run line. I don't mine 123 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 1: a Royals run line. Bet. I don't mine a Royals 124 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 1: money line play, but I'm not going to jump in 125 00:06:58,000 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 1: and touch that from an you know to how expended. 126 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: If we're gonna jump in here with the under, you 127 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: can take that if you want run line, if you 128 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: want to Royals, if you want some extra there or 129 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: just money line. Royals against the White Sox here on 130 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: a Monday, you can jump on that if you would like. Okay, 131 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 1: to Olympic basketball. The women's national team for Team USA. 132 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: They're taking on Japan. Asia Wilson is going to try 133 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 1: to score a ton of points here. There's a rumor 134 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: that Asia Wilson wants to try to set the single 135 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: tournament scoring record for anyone Team USA. All right, they're 136 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: laying twenty nineteen and a half or twenty. Do I 137 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 1: want to lay that? No? Do I want to touch 138 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: a total in women's basketball right now? No? So I 139 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: have two prop bets for you. Asia Wilson. She came 140 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 1: in averaging in last time in the twenty twenty one 141 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: when she played in the it wasn't the Olympics twenty one. 142 00:07:56,720 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: She played in the Tokyo Games twenty twenty one, she 143 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: was she averaged sixteen point five points and seven point 144 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: three points per game or rebounds per game. Okay, that's 145 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: pretty good. Agie Wilson scored nineteen points in grabbed fourteen 146 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: boards and just twenty five minutes of action against Germany 147 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: in the last tune up game for Team USA. This 148 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 1: is a team that wants to run through this tournament, 149 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: and I think they're going to be overpowering to anybody 150 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: that they face. Numbers big, though, I don't want to 151 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 1: lay twenty points with anybody here. Instead, I think Agie 152 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: Wilson has a monster breakout first game. I'm betting over 153 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 1: twenty and a half points for Asia Wilson at minus 154 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 1: one thirteen to get her to go absolutely crazy here 155 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: and go off. I think she has a double double. 156 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 1: I think she could have twenty and fifteen or twenty 157 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 1: five and ten, somewhere in that double range somewhere in 158 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 1: between there. I do think she scores over twenty points though, 159 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: and I think this she'll wind up getting over to 160 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 1: over ten and a half rebounds as well. You bet 161 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: both those problems you want. I like the points more 162 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 1: because I think she's going to try to score a 163 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: ton of points here in this tournament and really sending 164 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,440 Speaker 1: a message to everybody. She's got shooters, so you can't 165 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: double the post like they do in the WNBA. She's 166 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 1: got some of the best shooters in the world who 167 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: surround her. And as long as the three is going 168 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,599 Speaker 1: down for Team USA. Asian Wilson over twenty and a 169 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 1: half points for her and where are the where's the 170 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: ball going to come from? Her teammate Chelsea Gray arguably 171 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 1: the best guard in the world. Her assist total is 172 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: five and a half, also Mice one to thirteen. I 173 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: think Chelsea Gray is going to have a monster Olympics. 174 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: I think both these two women teammates now teammates on 175 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 1: Team USA. I think there's just a chemistry there between 176 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: the two of them. I think Gray is going to 177 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 1: have the ball in her hands a ton, setting up teammates, 178 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: finding open shooters, finding post players consistently with mismatches. I 179 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 1: like Chelsea Gray over five and a half assists at 180 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 1: MIE one thirteen. We're betting those both half a unit place, okay, 181 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:03,199 Speaker 1: so bet them to win a half a unit, but 182 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,199 Speaker 1: not full unit. Half a unit over twenty and a half. 183 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: Fraser Wilson to win a half a unit and to 184 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: win a half a unit for Chelsea Gray over five 185 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 1: and a half assists for her. Here we're coupling that 186 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: with the under seven and a half for the Pirates 187 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: and the Astros that also at minus one point fifteen 188 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,960 Speaker 1: for one point one five units, So we're talking about, 189 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,199 Speaker 1: you know, just a little over two point two units 190 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: in play. It's a Monday. Let's start slow. Let's try 191 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 1: to figure this out here. You know, we've got this 192 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: as the last couple of days of July before we 193 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: hit to August. We have what three days left of 194 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 1: July and then we get to August. Turn the page 195 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: and flush this month down the toilet and try to 196 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: find our way back and get ourselves out of this 197 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 1: hole that I put us in for the month of July. 198 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,599 Speaker 1: Good news is is that football is coming. Football is 199 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: right around the corner. Let's hopefully just hang on here. 200 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: I'll make it look at the hole to be too deep, right, 201 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: find their way back. The good news is that our team, 202 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: our future bets are looking pretty decent for baseball. So 203 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 1: we go four and one there. We'll make up some 204 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 1: noise there and we could make some future bets in 205 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 1: baseball coming up here. After the trade deadline, is when 206 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 1: I look to the futures market to bet on some 207 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: teams in Major League Baseball. So min is Matt Parolt 208 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 1: to follow me across all socials at sports Talk Matt 209 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 1: every single morning, It's the Dilijuce Podcast, always being brought 210 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:42,559 Speaker 1: to you by bettingpros dot com.