1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of his information. Wouldn't 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:06,400 Speaker 1: you agree? Did you agree? 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 2: I got five dollars? 4 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 3: This is a rat up happy trackle tip one. 5 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: Man, you're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:25,799 Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be human. My goodness, that was good. 7 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: You guys a prose best, relentless, refusing to give up. 8 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, Bayless? 9 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:40,200 Speaker 1: What is happened to everybody? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast. 10 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Chris Raymond of the Action Network and 11 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 1: this is our tight End Fantasy Preview episode for twenty 12 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: twenty three. Here to break it down with me fresh 13 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: off his gambly wins. One of the top rankers in 14 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 1: the game, Sean Turner, Sean, what's going on? 15 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 2: Oh man? 16 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 3: Just recovering from our very fun but very tiring New 17 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 3: York trip. It was good to see everybody, but yeah, 18 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 3: still recovering. 19 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 2: How about you? 20 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, I'm showing it's it's It was a long trip, 21 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: but fittingly, you and I both want a gambling which 22 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,400 Speaker 1: is I guess our comedy version of the SBS or whatever, 23 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: but we both won one for was a gust performance 24 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 1: coming off a bender. 25 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't know why they had to add the 26 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 2: bender part. 27 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 3: I mean that was an element that maybe added to it, 28 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 3: But I thought it was just a good show overall, 29 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:29,039 Speaker 3: Like why did the bender have to be included in that? 30 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: Yeah? And for those that don't know, this is this 31 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 1: is like bet what Happens Live show at halftime of 32 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: the Bucks Cowboys Money Night playoff game. 33 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 3: So and I think by the end of that you 34 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 3: established Tom Brady was seventy years old. 35 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. I think he was eighty years old with the yips. 36 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 3: Oh okay, yeah, because he started off fifty and then 37 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 3: he gradually, like you added ten years. 38 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean tom Brady minute that he literally aged 39 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: out of the league right there, We're not you're not 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: seeing him play again, right, So? 41 00:01:57,280 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, that was That was a rough game. That 42 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 2: was the game with all the missed extra points too, right. 43 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah yeah, Brett Maher and Rage and then Zeke. 44 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 3: Yeah you were explaining that play to me, still one 45 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 3: of the funniest plays of all time. But Zeke just 46 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 3: getting trucked. 47 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: No, what was that? 48 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 2: That was? That? 49 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: That game? Was that? That was? That was The next 50 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: week Zekenning truck was the Niners because that was the 51 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: Cowboys won the Bucks game. Remember oh okay, yeah, yeah, 52 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: so Zeken Truck was a Niners game. But yeah, the 53 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 1: explanation was that they they were gonna they were hoping 54 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: the lateral to him. They couldn't throw him legally, and 55 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: you know, they would have the whole O line to 56 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: block form. But the Niners figured it out and just 57 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: trumped him. But we digress. We're going to talk about 58 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: tight ends on this episode. We're gonna go through the 59 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: top twelve and adp uh in basketball over the last 60 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Also talk about any guys outside the 61 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: top twelve that that we're targeting that we think are 62 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: good values and have a chance to finish top twelve 63 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 1: for this season. So, without further ado, Travis Kelce, I mean, 64 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: there's a situation. It's gonna happen. One of these years, 65 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 1: some innocent person is going to pick their first round pick, 66 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 1: look at all the wide receivers and running backs available 67 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 1: and even quarterbacks, and they're gonna say, you know what, 68 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,239 Speaker 1: positional scarcity tells me to go draft Travis Kelsey here 69 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:15,919 Speaker 1: in one of these years. He's not gonna pay off 70 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: this drafting, is it gonna be this year for Kelsey, 71 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,919 Speaker 1: who has shown no slow down to date. 72 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I'm not betting against him this year. In fact, 73 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 3: you know, it was a couple of years ago I 74 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 3: did feel that by now we would see either Mark 75 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 3: Andrews or maybe even Kyle Pitts possibly overtake Kelsey as 76 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 3: the tight end one. But that's just not the case 77 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 3: because you know, Kelsey has shown no signs of slowing down. 78 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 3: I mean, he's set career highs last year in his 79 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 3: age thirty three season for targets, catches, and touchdowns. Granted 80 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 3: they play an extra game now, but either way, he's 81 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 3: just he's not showing slignes of slowing down. So there's 82 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 3: just a big gap still between him and the rest 83 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 3: of the position. If you're a thinking of all other positions, 84 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 3: he has the best clearly, you know, to be the 85 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 3: top scorer at the position, and it's usually by a 86 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 3: wide margin. I think last year he had like he 87 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 3: was aftersing six more points per per game in PPR 88 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 3: than the second ranked tight end. So it's just a 89 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:18,160 Speaker 3: massive edge to have him on your team. So yeah, 90 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 3: if you were to take him first overall, wouldn't be 91 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,239 Speaker 3: the craziest thing ever. I think, you know, fifth overall, 92 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 3: I think makes a ton of sense. But if he's 93 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 3: sitting there and I have pick five, I'm absolutely taking himself. 94 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I usually take him starting with about pick pick five, 95 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 1: pick six, depending on the format. You know, we'll talk 96 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 1: wide receivers in the next episode, so look out for that. 97 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: But you know, I still think there's a couple of 98 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: wide receivers obviously, justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase definitely should be 99 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: in that conversation. McCaffrey ekwer for me in that conversation, 100 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: some people have Echro a lot lower. But yeah, there's 101 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: a couple of guys that I would I would put 102 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 1: right up there because I think they have a great 103 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 1: chance at finishing number one at one of those flex positions. 104 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 1: But yes, no no issue with taking Kelsey. And again 105 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: you look at the because it's not just the volume stats, 106 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:08,600 Speaker 1: which just is a testament to the fact that this 107 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: guy never misses games, but knock on right, the underlying metrics, 108 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: the targets per route twenty five percent, two point two 109 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 1: yards per route, those are excellent numbers and higher than 110 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: you know some of the other years. You know, in 111 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: the recent past where he's been even younger and with 112 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 1: let Patrick Mahomes, so uh, it's it's there's just nothing 113 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: to suggest outside of him being you know, twelve months older, 114 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 1: that we're going to see any type of change. Patrick 115 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: Mahomes is going to have to rely on him, you know, 116 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 1: just as much as ever. You know, you're never going 117 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,919 Speaker 1: to see any of those other receivers I think be 118 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 1: a Tyreek Hill like presence in this chief offense, at 119 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: least at this point. So yeah, I'm fine with taking 120 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: Kelsey there. It's going to burn somebody one day one year. 121 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to be this year. 122 00:05:56,520 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I said that, even though maybe his physical 123 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 3: traits might decline this year, the fact that he is 124 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 3: paired with Patrick Mahomes, you know, the best quarterback in 125 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 3: the league who's still ascending. I mean you could say 126 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,599 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes hasn't even peaked yet. I think that could 127 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:15,359 Speaker 3: help offset any potential decline from Kelsey. It is just 128 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 3: that Mahomes himself is actually still ascending. 129 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, and Ken Kelsey is like the Patrick Mahomes of 130 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: tight end. So yeah, it's it's a good combination. Mark 131 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:28,039 Speaker 1: Andrews is the number two tight end and he usually goes, 132 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: you know, in the third round at this point. There 133 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: were times I think last year where he was going 134 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 1: in the second round. Usually see him go in the 135 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 1: third round. Now middle of the third for Andrews. Another 136 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 1: guy knew that the underlying metrics last year were fine. 137 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 1: His targets per route right actually increased from twenty four 138 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 1: to twenty five percent. It was just the Ravens really 139 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 1: weren't as pass heavy, especially with Huntly having to start 140 00:06:55,320 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: games for Lamar. So where you pegging Andrews? You know 141 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 1: he has the upside, but he came up a little 142 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 1: bit of a disappointing season. Are you kind of splitting 143 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: the difference? Are you bullish on him? Are you bearishing? 144 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: What are you doing with mister Andrews? 145 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 3: I would say I'm neutral because, like you mentioned, he 146 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 3: is coming off a disappointing season. A lot of that 147 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 3: had to do with he didn't score a touchdown after 148 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 3: week six, and you could blame that. You know, he 149 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 3: had some shoulder and knee injuries where you know he 150 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 3: probably wasn't one hundred percent after that, and he was 151 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 3: without Lamar Jackson for the final six games. And often 152 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 3: time I would joke with you, like, usually when Tyler 153 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 3: Huntley was under center, Mark Andrews would bow out even more, 154 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 3: but that that wasn't the case last year. 155 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 2: His production did drop off with Huntley in the lineup. 156 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 3: So I think with you know, Lamar back Andrews, you know, 157 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 3: close to one hundred percent health heading in the season, 158 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 3: that should help. The one thing that does concern me though, 159 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 3: is you know, his target share will certainly go down 160 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 3: just because we Shaw Bateman's back, Odell Beckham and Zay 161 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 3: Flowers are now in the mix. 162 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 2: But that that could be off, which. 163 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 3: Is the fact that the Ravens will probably throw a 164 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 3: lot more with Todd munkin as offensive coordinators. So I 165 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 3: think that kind of negates itself a bit. So I 166 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 3: still have Mark Andrews in Tier two all by himself, 167 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 3: you know, not even close to Kelsey, but also you know, comfortably. 168 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 2: Ahead of a guy like TJ. Howkinson. 169 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 3: So I still think Andrews should be the you know, 170 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 3: the second tit end off the board and where he's going. 171 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 2: I think that's a fair price for him. 172 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, and a lot of tight ends, you know, the 173 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: fantasy relevant ones. There's a couple of guys that have 174 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: talent that we're talking about now, Kelsey Andrews, Kiddo Hockinson. 175 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: But routes and just volumes still play a big factor 176 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 1: because a lot of these guys they don't have the 177 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: same upside as wide receivers. So it really comes down 178 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 1: to being to getting enough volume. And you look at 179 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: Andrews last year and his routes per game, like row 180 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 1: routes per game, we're around twenty nine, where as the 181 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 1: year before they were at thirty seven. So he does 182 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 1: have some room to play with if if the Ravens 183 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,440 Speaker 1: just kind of go back to an average clip of 184 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 1: throwing the ball, which as you mentioned, I think they 185 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: will without with Todd munket here because the one thing 186 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: you're talking about, they're probably gonna use the fullback West. 187 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: You know that in itself is going to just open 188 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 1: the offense up, and I think that's just kind of 189 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 1: the goal opened the offense up. Lamar's never really had 190 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: a truly wide open offense, even in years his past 191 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 1: attempts have been up a little, which was really just 192 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 1: that twenty twenty one season to be honest. So yeah, 193 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: I'm looking I think market Andrews has that same upside 194 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,079 Speaker 1: that you know, there's there are times where we were, 195 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 1: you know, debating how close is Andrews to Travis Kelsey. 196 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: I think he still has that upside and this year 197 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 1: he actually has a good chance of hitting it because 198 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: he's still young, still in his prime. But a lot 199 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:41,160 Speaker 1: of people are going to look at all these receivers 200 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: and think, is you know, if he's going to get 201 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 1: knocked for that, and like he's gonna get squeezed. But 202 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:47,920 Speaker 1: like I say, the top guys in an offense, they 203 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 1: usually kind of they're under their usage kind of stays 204 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: similar as far as you know, on a pro route basis. 205 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,320 Speaker 1: Uh So, I think all those guys, while it's going 206 00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: to be an increased supporting castle, you know, like a 207 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 1: better supporting cast, I think all those guys are still 208 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 1: going to be fighting for scraps behind. Andrews's going to 209 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: get targeted. You know, twenty twenty five percent of the 210 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: rounds he runs, which is which is very good for 211 00:10:09,679 --> 00:10:12,319 Speaker 1: a tight end. All right, Hockinson, what do you what 212 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 1: do you think of Hockinson? That's always been your boy. 213 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: He's kind of you know, you mentioned Andrews kind of 214 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 1: in a tier by himself. So Hockinson's technically a tier 215 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 1: three guy. I agree with that. I do have him 216 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: number three. I mean there's a lot of upside here, 217 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: right because he could essentially be their number two target. 218 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: I mean he was for even last year. So what 219 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 1: do you doing with TJ here in this tight end 220 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 1: three range middle? You know, usually around the fifth round 221 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 1: he goes off the board. 222 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think he's worth it. He is my tight 223 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:46,199 Speaker 3: end three. He was the tight end three in his 224 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 3: ten games of the Vikings last year, and it was crazy. 225 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:53,319 Speaker 3: His underlying metrics looked very similar to Travis Kelcey. In 226 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 3: those ten games with the Vikings, he was targeted on 227 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 3: twenty four percent of his routes. Kelsey was twenty five percent. 228 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 3: Last year. You know, Hawkinson averaged eight point six targets game, 229 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 3: Kelsey eight point nine. 230 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 2: Both had an a out of seven point seven. 231 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 3: So, you know, being compared to the greatest tight end 232 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 3: in fantasy isn't bad. So I think the underlying metrics 233 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 3: certainly support him, you know, maintaining this top three status, 234 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 3: and he's gonna get even more chemistry with Kirk Cousins 235 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 3: and the offense as a whole by having a full offseason. 236 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 2: With the new team. 237 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 3: Like it's crazy how productive he was being traded you know, 238 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 3: mid season. We've seen a lot more lately, but it's 239 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 3: always fascinating how player can just you know, become so 240 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 3: involved in the offense learn the playbook right away. But 241 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 3: I think having a full offseason should help even more. 242 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 3: And you know, let's face it, he's always had the 243 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 3: talent to be a top you know five, top three 244 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 3: tight end, and he finally landed in a spot where 245 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:53,599 Speaker 3: you know, it's maximizing that. And I think being in 246 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 3: this Vikings offense, he's certainly you know, Warrant's being taken 247 00:11:56,720 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 3: as a third tight end off the board. 248 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think the reason is, you know, you 249 00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 1: just kind of hit on it, like he's got another 250 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:06,719 Speaker 1: year in this offense. And I think what really held 251 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: him back from doing even better last year was he 252 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: only scored six touchdowns, three with the Vikings, three with 253 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 1: the Lions. I think there is an outlier TV season 254 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 1: in his range of outcomes because remember than he had 255 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 1: thirty touchdowns over these last three seasons and he's now 256 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 1: in Carolina, so there's kind of an opening. Obviously Jeffers 257 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,560 Speaker 1: is going to get his but there is an opening 258 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:31,559 Speaker 1: for somebody to step up on the vikings and be 259 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 1: a double digit touchdown guy. You know, their defense it 260 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:38,200 Speaker 1: should be better than last year just because of Brian Flores, 261 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 1: but you know, they've had somewhat of an exodus of 262 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:43,280 Speaker 1: talent just because they've been cap strapped. So you could 263 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 1: see another high volume year for Hockinson. But if he 264 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 1: goes from six tight ends six touchdowns excuse me, to 265 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:52,720 Speaker 1: like twelve, you know, or even ten, that's a big difference. 266 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: And I think that's firmly within his range of outcomes. 267 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 1: So that's why I like Hackinson because I do think 268 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:01,000 Speaker 1: he has that upside to challenge Kelsey as he kind. 269 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:04,319 Speaker 2: Of awouded to Yeah, and just those really no where 270 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 2: you can really poke holes in his game. 271 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 3: And I would say, like, well, obviously the rest of 272 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 3: the position you can, but certainly the next three tight 273 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 3: ends like they're you know, they all kind of have 274 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 3: a lower floor scenario. I just don't see that with Hawkinson. 275 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:20,559 Speaker 3: I just think he has like an ideal high ceiling, 276 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 3: high floor range of outcomes. So he's clearly my tight 277 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 3: end three. 278 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think the reason is that is, I 279 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:31,079 Speaker 1: I know I've been worried about George Kittle, and you know, 280 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 1: it sounds like you're kind of there, or at least 281 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 1: you know the fact that you know, because I think 282 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,319 Speaker 1: you know, going back even to last year, you know, 283 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: a guy like Hawkinson over a guy like George Kittle, 284 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 1: people would have kind of done a double take. But 285 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,640 Speaker 1: you know, the the raw numbers, you know, the per 286 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: game numbers, four catches, fifty one yards, those are his 287 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: lowest since his rookie year in twenty seventeen. He bailed 288 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: himself out fantasy wise, he bailed us out with eleven 289 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: touchdowns in fifteen games, and as you like to point, 290 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:03,199 Speaker 1: he was the number one tight end in Fantasy with 291 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: Rock Purty. But I still I still am worried because 292 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:11,719 Speaker 1: the underlying metrics and the targets per route specifically, you 293 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 1: know thirty one, twenty eight, twenty four, eighteen percent last 294 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 1: four years. If he doesn't get the touchdowns, he's it's 295 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: an entirely different player. And you know it just might 296 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 1: need to be that with McCaffrey here now, So what 297 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 1: do you think, how are you kind of distributing the 298 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 1: targets here and just Kitt'll take a hit. Do you 299 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: think this year with with McCaffrey now there for a 300 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 1: full year. 301 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I think he does take a hit with 302 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 3: McCaffrey there for a full year. And just you know, 303 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 3: looking back at last season, it was really a tale 304 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 3: of two halves of the season, so I don't like 305 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 3: to look at his full season metrics. You know, he 306 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 3: missed the first two games, then had a slow start, 307 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 3: but you know, like you mentioned, he was the tight 308 00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 3: end one over the final six games of the season, 309 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 3: which also happened to be the six games that Brock 310 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 3: Purty was under center. So that's I think that's great 311 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 3: news for heading in this season because it looks like 312 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 3: pretty is going to be the quarterback win healthy and 313 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 3: I think as of now, you know, they're optimistic he'll 314 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 3: be ready for Week one, So I think that's the 315 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 3: good news for Kittle. But you know, looking at that 316 00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 3: six game stretch, three of those games, Deebo Samuel's out 317 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 3: of the lineup, which is gonna, you know, have an 318 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 3: impact on Kittle. But just this offense, there's so many 319 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 3: mouths of the feed now with Chris McCaffrey there, Deebo Samuel, 320 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 3: I mean, Brandon Ayuk is legit in his own right, 321 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 3: So I think just Kittle carries a lower weekly flour 322 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 3: than all the other you know, top five tight ends 323 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 3: is here because you know there's gonna be some weeks 324 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 3: where he's the odd man out. So I think he's 325 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 3: going to be very volatile. You know, he's going to 326 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 3: have those really big games, you know, one hundred yards, 327 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 3: two touchdowns and you know a dud two catches for 328 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 3: twenty yards. So I think you just have to know 329 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 3: that when you draft him, and that's probably what makes 330 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 3: him better, I would say in best ball formats, just 331 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 3: that volatility. But yeah, I kind of agree. Like being 332 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 3: the tight end four, I just don't think he provides 333 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:03,040 Speaker 3: that consistent and he not that I'm really knocking him here, 334 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 3: but he has, you know, missed a lot of time 335 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 3: in the past due to injuries, you know, sometimes soft tissue, 336 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 3: So he just does carry like a lower floor than 337 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 3: you'd want from a tight end four. So that's why 338 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 3: I'm usually not targeting him in this range. 339 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the ceiling in terms of the touchdowns 340 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:23,040 Speaker 1: he hit last year with the help of Party, But yeah, 341 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 1: I'm hoping that people will overrate those last six games 342 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: and the fact that it's with you know Rock Party, 343 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 1: who I do have a lot of respect for as 344 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 1: a quarterback. I think he showed showed out well last year. 345 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: But we know to trust the underlying metrics, like targets 346 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 1: per route is a sticky metric, especially when you run 347 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: as many routes as Kittle. So the fact that that 348 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: goes from twenty four percent to eighteen percent, even with 349 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 1: that big finish, I think should worry us a little. 350 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 1: And it makes a lot of sense because you mentioned 351 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,840 Speaker 1: the guys Deebo, Samuel Brandon, I you, Christian McCaffrey. All 352 00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 1: three of those guys are legitimate guys that can we'll 353 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: get targeted to only twenty five percent of their routes. 354 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 1: You can only have, you know, you only you only 355 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 1: have so many of those guys on one team before 356 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 1: guys start getting squeezed. And it was Kiddo last year. 357 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 1: And you know he's he's such an explosive guy over 358 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: the middle of that field that a lot of times, 359 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:14,680 Speaker 1: you know, they end up he ends up being used 360 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: as a decoy. And then he's also a pretty good blocker, 361 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,160 Speaker 1: so he's still banging around a lot in the run game. 362 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 1: He'll even pass block more than you would expect, you know, 363 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:27,280 Speaker 1: maybe for a guy of his stature, but yeah, he's 364 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: a guy I'm worried about. I feel a lot better 365 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: about Hawkinson's floor because it's still early enough. You know, 366 00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:34,360 Speaker 1: I say, you can't lose your draft in the first 367 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 1: five to six rounds. You don't want to lose it. 368 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,479 Speaker 1: You know you can't win it, but you don't want 369 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:38,879 Speaker 1: to lose it. 370 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 3: Uh. 371 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,200 Speaker 1: Kiddle's kind of tone that line, because I do think 372 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 1: there's a big a drop off at wide receiver earlier 373 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:46,680 Speaker 1: and earlier as the market, you know, kind of sharpens 374 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: up to the fact that you need, you know, three 375 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 1: to four quality wide receivers on your team now, just 376 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 1: the way the league is and the way rules are, 377 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 1: so I think, you know, pass passing up on a 378 00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:00,919 Speaker 1: potential wide receiver, you know, two or three For Kittle, 379 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:04,919 Speaker 1: I think it is pretty risky this year. Dallas Goddart, 380 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:09,439 Speaker 1: he was very consistent last year, top thirteen, finish all 381 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,359 Speaker 1: but two games that he played. He played in twelve. 382 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:14,679 Speaker 1: But he's another guy. I mean, you just wonder, are 383 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 1: there enough There's gonna be enough past attempts to go around, 384 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 1: and especially now with a guy like DeAndre Swift, in 385 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: the mix. He's likely going to be more involved in 386 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: the past game than was a player like Miles Sanders 387 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,760 Speaker 1: last year. So what are you doing with Goddard who 388 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 1: is the tight end five? But you know he's kind 389 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 1: of in this like purgatory in my opinion on board. 390 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I've always said he had top five 391 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 3: upside without zach Ertz, so it wasn't a shock in 392 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 3: the first season post zach Hertz that he finished, you know, 393 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 3: was the tight end five. So he was a tight 394 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:54,160 Speaker 3: end five weeks one through ten before missing the next 395 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,639 Speaker 3: five games due to injury. So when healthy, was the 396 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:59,399 Speaker 3: tight end five. However, I do think that's probably his 397 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,399 Speaker 3: ceiling because you touched on it. You know, they already 398 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 3: have a J. Brown DeVonta Smith there. You know they're 399 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 3: gonna command their targets in a run heavy offense. But 400 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 3: now we also have you know, high volume pass catching 401 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 3: back and DeAndre Swift, who I think would eat into 402 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 3: Goddard's targets specifically. So you mentioned he was consistent, that 403 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,640 Speaker 3: might you know, make him a little bit more inconsistent, 404 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 3: which would be a shame. So you know, I have 405 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 3: him in the same tier as Darren Waller and Kyle Pitts, 406 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,880 Speaker 3: and usually Goddard's the first one taken from that tier, 407 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 3: and I always say I don't like taking the first 408 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 3: guy drafted from a tier. So you know, like I said, 409 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,160 Speaker 3: I think tight end five sounds about right, but that's 410 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:42,800 Speaker 3: closer to his ceiling. So I'm not getting him as 411 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 3: much this season. And this is this is kind of 412 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 3: where the position kind of drops off, like I was mentioning, 413 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,199 Speaker 3: after the top three kind of opens up a bit, 414 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 3: and just where Goddar is going, I'm just not getting 415 00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:54,960 Speaker 3: him too much. 416 00:19:56,000 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I do have him closer to Kittle because you 417 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 1: look at for example, Goddards per game numbers last year 418 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: were better than Kittle. He had four point six catches 419 00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:14,040 Speaker 1: per game for about fifty nine yards. Now, the issue 420 00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: with got it was unlike Kittle, who had eleven scores, 421 00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:20,920 Speaker 1: Godard had only three. So there is some upside there. 422 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 1: But he's never been a big touchdown guy. His career 423 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,359 Speaker 1: high is actually five touchdowns. But we said that about 424 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 1: Kittle too. You know, his career high prior to the 425 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,920 Speaker 1: eleven was six touchdowns. So I do think there's that 426 00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: kind of upside to where, you know, the touchdowns getting 427 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:41,000 Speaker 1: redistributed and got it. It can go from three to ten. 428 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,399 Speaker 1: So I kind of still put him in that Kittle 429 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:46,879 Speaker 1: range because I think the per game numbers are going 430 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,119 Speaker 1: to be a little bit similar. But you know, Kittle 431 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: still has more talent and that's you know, therefore I 432 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 1: think more high end upside. But you know, I'm I'm not. 433 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 1: I don't actually have too much differentiation between those two guys. 434 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 1: And then I think tit en six is pretty polarizing. 435 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:08,240 Speaker 1: It's Darren Waller, some places, it's Kyle Pitts. But you know, 436 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:11,840 Speaker 1: I started the off season pretty well on Waller. I 437 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 1: think I've kind of come around a little bit, you know, 438 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 1: and I think we've got word now Saquon Barkley. But 439 00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: what exactly is going to happen with him? His available 440 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 1: availability is a bit in question because of you know, 441 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,080 Speaker 1: the offer is not where he wants it to be, 442 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: so that could make the Giants maybe a little more 443 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 1: pass heavy, and it takes a pass catcher running back 444 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,159 Speaker 1: out of the equation if he misses any time. So 445 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 1: what do you think about Waller here going to the 446 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: New York Giants for a third round pick? 447 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I think it's a good move for Waller. 448 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 3: You know that the Giants don't have as many you know, 449 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 3: passing yards or touchdowns to go around as the Raiders, 450 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:51,280 Speaker 3: but he should see his eighteen percent targets per out 451 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 3: run rate go up not having to play alongside DeVante Adams. 452 00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:59,159 Speaker 3: And you know, one of the puzzling things projecting the 453 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 3: Giants is you know which one of their one hundred 454 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 3: wide receivers are going. 455 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 2: To be on the field. 456 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:05,400 Speaker 3: But the good news is they can only have three 457 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,920 Speaker 3: wide receivers at most on the field at the same time. 458 00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 3: So either way, I think Waller will likely be you know, 459 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,560 Speaker 3: Daniel Jones' top target this year, so you know, I 460 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 3: think that's gonna give him high floor and a high ceiling. 461 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 2: So I kind of like him at tight end six. 462 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 3: The only concern with Waller at this point is, you know, 463 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:25,680 Speaker 3: he's turning thirty one, and you know, the past few 464 00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 3: seasons he just hasn't been able to stay healthy. So 465 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 3: I think unfortunately he has earned the injury prone label 466 00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 3: just because he hasn't been able to play through injuries 467 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 3: that you know, other guys have played through, which is 468 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 3: a concern. So I have him, you know, in the 469 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:44,760 Speaker 3: same tier as Goddart and Pits, and I typically like 470 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 3: to get whoever falls at the bottom of that tier, 471 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 3: and sometimes it's Waller, sometimes it's Pits. But I do 472 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,760 Speaker 3: think that that's kind of you know, the third tier 473 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:54,879 Speaker 3: at tight end and after that, if I'm in a 474 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,399 Speaker 3: redraft league, I'd be considering just you know, streaming the 475 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,360 Speaker 3: position or getting Chigg a bit later on. So it's 476 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 3: a critical part in my draft, you know, whether it's 477 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 3: Waller or Pits, that makes step far because once both 478 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 3: are off the board, I typically wait until the later 479 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,840 Speaker 3: rounds to grab a tight end. So, yeah, I like Waller, 480 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:14,879 Speaker 3: but he has to stay healthy and just you know, 481 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 3: he hasn't proven that the past few years. 482 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, there's there's a wide range of outcomes, you know, 483 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 1: the injury thing, you know, the age, the new offense 484 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 1: in general. Just sometimes that doesn't always work out for 485 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 1: pass catchers. It's not you know, Daniel Jones obviously earned 486 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,640 Speaker 1: his contract, but he's not a wit. So I think 487 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,840 Speaker 1: there's Yeah, the floor is pretty well, it's another spot 488 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 1: where I get it, you know, if you want to 489 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: take that shot, and it depending on your draft strategy. 490 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 1: I think, you know, these guys that we're talking about now, kiddo, Goddter, Waller, Pitt. 491 00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 1: If I'm going more of a zero running back strategy, 492 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,119 Speaker 1: that's why I think they come into play, because you know, 493 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,560 Speaker 1: if you're going with let's say four wide receivers in 494 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:57,639 Speaker 1: a tight end in the first five rounds or you know, 495 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 1: five in the first six, I think you do want 496 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 1: to kind of take a shot at these guys in 497 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 1: this next tier that could theoretically get up to that 498 00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,879 Speaker 1: you know, top tier tier two, you know, tier one, 499 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 1: one and a half, one B, whatever you call it 500 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 1: in terms of tight end production. 501 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 2: Uh. 502 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,399 Speaker 1: That these that's certainly what these guys have in a 503 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 1: range of outcomes. But if you're kind of drafting a 504 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: little more traditionally, and you know you you're only taking 505 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 1: your wide receiver two or three in the spots, I 506 00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,239 Speaker 1: don't know if I would pass on wide receiver two 507 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:28,639 Speaker 1: or three options, you know, even you know, even a 508 00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 1: solid flex option at at one of those wanting running 509 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,119 Speaker 1: back of wid receiver for a guy like a Darren Waller, 510 00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:38,439 Speaker 1: who I still think the floor uh is pretty well. 511 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,440 Speaker 3: So when it comes to his usage in this offense. 512 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 3: You know, last year he had an eight thirteen point seven, 513 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,159 Speaker 3: he was more of a deep threat, made him a 514 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,119 Speaker 3: lot more volatile. Do you think, you know, the Giants 515 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:52,800 Speaker 3: want to use a more downfield or is he going 516 00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 3: to see more underneath targets, more volume, Like, how do 517 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,679 Speaker 3: you think they're going to use them? Because that's kind 518 00:24:57,720 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 3: of the thing they've been lacking, right, is more of 519 00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,000 Speaker 3: a deep threat. You have all these slought receivers. So 520 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 3: is he gonna be getting easy passes over the middle 521 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 3: or is that gonna push him to like a more 522 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:12,560 Speaker 3: fall like Kyle Pitt's kind of role. I think, yeah, 523 00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,360 Speaker 3: really Okay, yeah, because that would be a concern. 524 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 1: Then yeah, because I mean that's gonna naturally lead to 525 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,959 Speaker 1: a little more volativity. It's gonna lead to more upside too. 526 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 1: But again, at this point in the draft, and you're 527 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,200 Speaker 1: you know, with him, you're starting to get to the 528 00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 1: sixth round, maybe into the seventh, so it's not you know, 529 00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,680 Speaker 1: you can start to take some risks there when you're 530 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: talking about Waller anyway, But yeah, you know, Slayton obviously 531 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:37,680 Speaker 1: is a deep ball guy. Looks like he's gonna be 532 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 1: in the mix. Uh, but you do still have you know, 533 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 1: Wanda Robinson coming back at some point, you know, Shepherd's 534 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,000 Speaker 1: still on the team if he plays well, I don't 535 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 1: think they you know, I don't think they cut him either, 536 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: and then Jayme and Hyatt's like a wild car too. 537 00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 1: But yeah, you have a lot of slot receivers. I 538 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 1: don't know if Waller gets like the T. J. Hockinson treatment, 539 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,879 Speaker 1: where you know he averages six yards of target. He 540 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,399 Speaker 1: was just getting peppered with targets. Oh exactly, there is 541 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 1: a low floor. But at the same time he could 542 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 1: be their wide receiver one, and you know there's always 543 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,159 Speaker 1: a high ceiling and being that that top target, he 544 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 1: could go back to being a target high getting targeted 545 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,159 Speaker 1: closer to a quarter of his routes like he was 546 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:16,440 Speaker 1: the last couple of years before. At twenty twenty two, 547 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,680 Speaker 1: Kle Pitts is the tight end seven. So Waller's passed 548 00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:23,239 Speaker 1: him in some ADPs. Really, his issue with last year 549 00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 1: was he didn't get many catchable targets, only fifty two 550 00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:30,240 Speaker 1: percent according to a PFF. That's down from sixty six 551 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,520 Speaker 1: percent the year before. So I think he has some 552 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,439 Speaker 1: upside to bounce back. What do you think of Pitt's 553 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:37,560 Speaker 1: heading into year three? 554 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:41,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I think look he's still a generational talent 555 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 3: still twenty two years old, has all the upside. Just 556 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,720 Speaker 3: the reason he's been a just point is just you know, 557 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 3: due to the scheme, injuries, you know, more things outside 558 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,760 Speaker 3: of his control. But last season, you know, he saw 559 00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 3: a massive twenty six point five percent you know, target rate, 560 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 3: so that's great, but like you mentioned, he only caught 561 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,800 Speaker 3: fifty percent of the targets because unfortunately they're more downfield, 562 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,320 Speaker 3: you know, at a dot of thirteen point seven, which 563 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,120 Speaker 3: doesn't necessarily mean it's a bad thing. It depends who 564 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 3: your quarterbacks are. But like you said, you know, not 565 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 3: many of them are catchable, so that's that's not a 566 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,680 Speaker 3: good combo. And unfortunately, we haven't really seen him play 567 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 3: in a regular season game with Desmond Ridder yet, and 568 00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 3: Desmond Ridder had the fourth worst catchable ball rate on 569 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 3: past his twenty plus yards downfield. So again, not a 570 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,480 Speaker 3: good sign just based on how they're using pits. But 571 00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 3: you know, he could break out this year, especially if 572 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 3: they start peppering in with more underneath targets. 573 00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 2: You know, getting him you know, some easy catches. I 574 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 2: think that'll help. 575 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 3: So we need them to kind of you know, change 576 00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 3: the schemer a little bit, but I do think he's 577 00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 3: going at a point now where I think it is worth, 578 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 3: you know, taking a flyer on, especially since you know 579 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 3: he's at the end of this tier. Like I said, 580 00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:58,960 Speaker 3: I kind of like to have a tight end once 581 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,359 Speaker 3: this tier is off the board. If not, you know, 582 00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 3: I'll take a guy later on, no problem. But I 583 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 3: think that he still has that top five upside could 584 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 3: happen this year, So I think getting him a tight 585 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,120 Speaker 3: end seven right now is a pretty good deal. 586 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think there's only so many guys with the 587 00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: talent that he has. Now we know the Falcons are 588 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,879 Speaker 1: probably gonna be a run heavy team. That's kind of 589 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 1: the issue with all these tight ends. I mean, ghettos 590 00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: on a run every team God or even the Eagles, 591 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,840 Speaker 1: you know, they still try and run heavy. The Giants, 592 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 1: you know, there's not there's not as many attempts to 593 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 1: go around either. I don't know if we've called them 594 00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 1: run heavy, but they're definitely kind of in that in 595 00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: that category more than the opposite. And uh, you know 596 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 1: Pitts as well, Uh is in that kind of category. 597 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: So all of these guys have this upside to kind 598 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,400 Speaker 1: of get to that you know that tier right after Kelsey. 599 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 1: I mean, Pitts even has gids us a talent to 600 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 1: get to Kelsey's tier, but the volume probably not going 601 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:57,479 Speaker 1: to be there with the Falcons. But you know, there 602 00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 1: is some room to grow in the touchdown apartment. He's 603 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,040 Speaker 1: only had three in his first two years in the league, 604 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think, you know, again, it really depends 605 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 1: on on your draft strategy and you know, how much 606 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 1: risk you really want to take on a tight end 607 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:14,120 Speaker 1: if you don't get one of the top ones. I 608 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:15,960 Speaker 1: prefer to do it a lot more when I'm kind 609 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 1: of you know, going zero r B and I'm just 610 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 1: trying to, you know, get as much pass catching upside 611 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 1: as possible early on, and I'm just gonna take whichever 612 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:26,200 Speaker 1: running backs fall. I'm usually a lot more willing to 613 00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:28,800 Speaker 1: do it. But Pitts is dropping and apn you mentioned 614 00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:30,840 Speaker 1: like the last guy in a tier, you know, is it? 615 00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 1: Is it Pitts er? You know, do these guys in 616 00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,160 Speaker 1: the next year like it does Evan Ingram? Like how 617 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,200 Speaker 1: close is Evan Ingram, for example, who's going as a 618 00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 1: tighten eight? How close do you put him to that? 619 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 1: The tier of kidd Old God or Waller pits that 620 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 1: we that we just talked about. 621 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 2: Honestly, he's probably closer than people think. I do like 622 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:51,320 Speaker 2: Evan Ingram. 623 00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 3: Unfortunately, this is always just the time where I'm punting 624 00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 3: a tight end. And by the way, what wouldn't it 625 00:29:57,720 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 3: just be easier if you take Travis Kelsey with the 626 00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:04,080 Speaker 3: fifth pick overall? I mean, my god, that's one of 627 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 3: the blessings of taking Kelsey fifth overall is just not 628 00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 3: having a delt of shit. So I do like Evn Ingram, 629 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,320 Speaker 3: and you know, he was the tight end two for 630 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 3: weeks thirteen through eighteen last year, and I always mentioned 631 00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 3: if you watch those games, he absolutely looked like it too. 632 00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,720 Speaker 3: He had the second most yards after the catch last season, 633 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 3: and you know, sometimes that can be lucky. But if 634 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 3: you look at next gen stats, they have expected yards 635 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 3: after the catch any of the third highest. So I 636 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,440 Speaker 3: think that had just to do with the scheme. They 637 00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 3: were opening them up for plenty yards after the catch. 638 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 3: Not too surprising because Doug Peterson has always had, you know, 639 00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 3: tight end friendly schemes. So I love the situation Ingram 640 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,120 Speaker 3: is and maybe it took him, you know, half season 641 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:48,760 Speaker 3: to get up to speed in it, but he and 642 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,000 Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence are on the same page. The only really 643 00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 3: concern I have is, you know, you're injecting a pretty 644 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 3: good wide receiver and calv Ridley into this offense, so 645 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:00,960 Speaker 3: I think he is going to take away some of 646 00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 3: the target share from Ingram. But so you know, tight 647 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 3: end eight, that's a fair price for him. I don't 648 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 3: know how much more upside he provides in this offense 649 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,960 Speaker 3: with Calvin Lee there. But again, if you wait at 650 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:17,240 Speaker 3: tight end, you get Evan Ingram at tight end eight. 651 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 3: I think that's fair. And to be honest, I only 652 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 3: have him, you know, five points lower than like a 653 00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:24,800 Speaker 3: Dallas Godter, and you can get him much later. So 654 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 3: that's kind of what I was saying is I'm not 655 00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 3: really reaching at got her at tight end five. 656 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 2: That's closer to ceiling when you can get Evan Ingram 657 00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:32,240 Speaker 2: way later. 658 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 3: And I only haven't projected for five fewer points this season, 659 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 3: so you know, he's definitely you know, smacked eb in 660 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,320 Speaker 3: that mid tight end one range of outcomes. 661 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,040 Speaker 2: So I actually do like eve Ingram this year. 662 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think his upside is going to come 663 00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:52,800 Speaker 1: from not necessarily being a more efficient or you know, 664 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 1: because he bawled out last year. But I think it's 665 00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 1: going to come from the fact that the Jaguars probably 666 00:31:56,680 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 1: have a lot more volume upside than a lot of 667 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:04,040 Speaker 1: those other guys. You know, Trevor Lawrence average about thirty 668 00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:05,920 Speaker 1: four to thirty five pass attemps his first two years 669 00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 1: in the league, but that especially with Calvin Ridley there, 670 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 1: Lawrence could be one of those guys that's in that 671 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 1: thirty eight to forty range. And that's that's going to 672 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,479 Speaker 1: be a positive for Ingram and the Jaguars. They really 673 00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:20,360 Speaker 1: didn't sub out, you know, they had their kind of 674 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 1: top guys on the field. You know it was Ingram, 675 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 1: it was the top three receivers. You figure that will 676 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:28,440 Speaker 1: happen again. So if Ingram's routes go up, the row 677 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 1: numbers will follow. So he's kind of more of he's 678 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,160 Speaker 1: a little more dependent, I think something like that. So yeah, 679 00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:38,720 Speaker 1: Titan eight is fair for him, but not still not 680 00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 1: a spot Hroun. I'm loving loving the value here because 681 00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:45,040 Speaker 1: I think every time you go down another spot, you're like, 682 00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 1: there's just not as much separation. The number nine tight 683 00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 1: end is Pat Fryarmouth. He did make jumps from his 684 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:56,680 Speaker 1: first to second year targeted further downfield, the targets per 685 00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 1: route went from about twenty to twenty two percent, the 686 00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 1: yards per route from about one point three to one 687 00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,160 Speaker 1: point seven. So we saw the jumps, but I think 688 00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,480 Speaker 1: he's he's kind of got the opposite problem of Ingram 689 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 1: where similar kind of you know, underlying metrics. But the Steelers, 690 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: I mean Matt Cannack came out and said that we 691 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 1: don't want they don't want me to open the offense though, 692 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 1: like we want to just be a defense kind of 693 00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:22,320 Speaker 1: defensive first team. So what do you think of Friar 694 00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,040 Speaker 1: muth here at tight end nine? 695 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 3: Uh? Yeah, that's honestly, again, probably closer to his ceiling now. 696 00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 3: He he probably should be a top ten tight end 697 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:34,000 Speaker 3: off the board. You know, he's very talented. He's still 698 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 3: on a twenty four inner year three. I was always 699 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:39,479 Speaker 3: saying he was getting overlooked in the twenty twenty one 700 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 3: draft just because Kyle Pitts toll the spotlight. If if 701 00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,080 Speaker 3: Kyle Pitts wasn't in this class, you know, Pat would 702 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,719 Speaker 3: have been the top tight end drafted, would have had 703 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 3: a lot more hype. But he was really good, and 704 00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:53,800 Speaker 3: you know George Pickens gets a ton of hype, rightfully, 705 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,120 Speaker 3: so heading in a year two, but you know, Firemuth 706 00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,160 Speaker 3: is technically the number two target in this offense. And 707 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:01,600 Speaker 3: there are some weird stretches last year where you know, 708 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,920 Speaker 3: Pat's rests run rate dipped, like in the mid fifties, 709 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:06,720 Speaker 3: they were using a very weird I don't think Matt 710 00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:09,400 Speaker 3: Canna is a very good coordinator, so I was disappointed 711 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,759 Speaker 3: that he's staying there. But all other games, you know, 712 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:16,520 Speaker 3: he had very solid underlying metrics. You know, he's typically 713 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,080 Speaker 3: averaging a seventy five to eighty percent routes run rate, 714 00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,680 Speaker 3: saw a twenty three percent target rate, but unfortunately this 715 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:26,239 Speaker 3: just weren't many yards or touchdowns go around. So he 716 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,920 Speaker 3: will benefit if Kenny Pickett can make a significant year 717 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 3: two leaps. So if you think that's going to happen, 718 00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:34,879 Speaker 3: you should be drafting Pat Firemouth. But you know that's 719 00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 3: not a guarantee. So I think tight end nine is fair. 720 00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:40,799 Speaker 3: And I don't think Darnell Washington will have too much 721 00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 3: of an impact year one, but there's still a chance, 722 00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 3: so I think he could kind of represent Pat's floor. 723 00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:49,920 Speaker 3: You know, if they start getting Darnell Washington thirty percent 724 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,200 Speaker 3: routes of game that could eat into Pat's role. 725 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,880 Speaker 2: But I think tight End nine's fair. I'm just not 726 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:56,480 Speaker 2: going out of my way to get him. 727 00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:59,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, because he's a guy. Where I look at it, 728 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,760 Speaker 1: I say, if he's finishing higher, if he's beating this ADP, 729 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,840 Speaker 1: it's probably more so because something went wrong with one 730 00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:10,320 Speaker 1: of those top eight guys than Friar Mooth, you know, 731 00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 1: doing something that different from a season ago. I think, 732 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:16,640 Speaker 1: you know, he had the big jump from year one 733 00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:19,840 Speaker 1: to year two, you know, I think that's kind of 734 00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,359 Speaker 1: where he's gonna land closer to you know, last year's 735 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:26,719 Speaker 1: numbers underlying uh wise, but it's not going to be 736 00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,880 Speaker 1: a big pass every team. Hickens could make a pretty 737 00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,800 Speaker 1: big jump in terms of his his production and that 738 00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,879 Speaker 1: even that something like that could take away from Friar 739 00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,240 Speaker 1: Moose because fire Moose, Yeah, he was a number two target. 740 00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,120 Speaker 1: But with the the way wide receivers are kind of 741 00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:43,600 Speaker 1: making these jumps year one to year two, it could 742 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:47,520 Speaker 1: be a lot closer this year in terms of how 743 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 1: the targets break down. Titan ten's a guy you know, 744 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: we both love. Uh He's a guy that I've been 745 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,319 Speaker 1: trying to get on all my teams. His his cost 746 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:56,560 Speaker 1: is coming up, So hopefully you guys heard me all 747 00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,920 Speaker 1: offseason talking about this guy. But Chicka Konko entering year two, 748 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,200 Speaker 1: I just I just love the player, you know, just 749 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,920 Speaker 1: so explosive. One of those guys that you know, he 750 00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,040 Speaker 1: doesn't get talked about in that talent range with some 751 00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 1: of those guys higher on the list. But I think 752 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,479 Speaker 1: if anyone does have the upside to be talked about 753 00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 1: that like that in a couple of years, maybe even 754 00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,080 Speaker 1: as soon as this year, it's him. You know, twenty 755 00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 1: targeted on twenty six percent of his routes, two point 756 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:23,800 Speaker 1: sixty yards per route run, only played on a third 757 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:26,279 Speaker 1: of the snap, So just a massive room to grow 758 00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,120 Speaker 1: for him in terms of, you know, what we've seen 759 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 1: out of him the talent. So so what do you 760 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,600 Speaker 1: think of him? He's up to tight End ten now, 761 00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:36,600 Speaker 1: so you know his number, his price is going up. 762 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:40,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I was gonna say. It's a damn shame. 763 00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,360 Speaker 3: You know that his ADP continues to climb. The market 764 00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,719 Speaker 3: is very sharp when it comes to check this year. 765 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:47,360 Speaker 3: I think when we started talking about him, he was 766 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,440 Speaker 3: what tight end eighteen sixteen. 767 00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 1: He was in thee that minute that fifteen sixteen. Then 768 00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 1: he kind of inched up to like right outside the 769 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:55,720 Speaker 1: top twelve, and now he's excided. 770 00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 3: I mean, he should be a top ten tight end. 771 00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:01,640 Speaker 3: So now that he's tight end ten, you know, that's 772 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:04,560 Speaker 3: a fair price. But he still has a ton of upside. 773 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,440 Speaker 3: You know, he came on late in his rookie season 774 00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:09,719 Speaker 3: and the you know, the only thing really holding him 775 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:12,960 Speaker 3: back was playing time. The only stretch where he saw 776 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 3: you know, a rots round rate over fifty percent was 777 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,360 Speaker 3: weeks thirteen through fifteen, and he was a tight end 778 00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:21,520 Speaker 3: two over that stretch. So, uh, you know, he saw 779 00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:25,080 Speaker 3: the twenty five point five percent target rate, and with 780 00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:28,520 Speaker 3: Austin Hooper gon, you know, his rests rund rate I 781 00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,359 Speaker 3: think will be in that sixty to seventy percent range, 782 00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:33,960 Speaker 3: which is more than enough just based on his underlying 783 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,759 Speaker 3: metrics to get him in that top ten range. 784 00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,719 Speaker 2: But you know, the sky's limit when it comes to him. 785 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,400 Speaker 3: The only I guess concern I would have, and I 786 00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:45,919 Speaker 3: don't really know if this is likely, but just where 787 00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 3: DeAndre Hopkins lands, I know the Titans are still you know, 788 00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:51,480 Speaker 3: floating some offers out there so if he were to 789 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 3: land there, it would ding out a bit, but you know, 790 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 3: he still would have plenty of upside even if that 791 00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 3: were to be the case. So I think tight end 792 00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:01,560 Speaker 3: ten is a fair price. It's just it's crazy how 793 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:05,200 Speaker 3: sharp the ADP has gotten, like the market figured checkout, 794 00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:06,680 Speaker 3: and it's very unfortunate. 795 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:10,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, and and his upside I think does come from 796 00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:13,000 Speaker 1: the fact that, you know, he should be on the 797 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,200 Speaker 1: field a lot more. I know, I've seen, you know, 798 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:17,319 Speaker 1: the coaching staff kind of talk about they wanted more 799 00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 1: guys that weren't going to kind of give away whether 800 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,200 Speaker 1: it's past or run. You know, in the past, they've 801 00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,600 Speaker 1: had all these tight ends on the roster, but you know, 802 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:25,719 Speaker 1: they had certain guys that they like for blocking more 803 00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:29,000 Speaker 1: o conqo. You know, guys like Hooper that they like 804 00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,760 Speaker 1: for receiving more sway that they like for blocking more ocnquo. 805 00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:34,799 Speaker 1: You know, he can he can do a little bit 806 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,600 Speaker 1: of both. Obviously much better as a receiver. But I think, 807 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:40,160 Speaker 1: you know, based on what they got behind him at 808 00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:44,680 Speaker 1: the position that he's going to play pretty much, you know, 809 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,759 Speaker 1: all the downs, like he's gonna kind of goto be 810 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,279 Speaker 1: going to be a full time player this year, so 811 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,399 Speaker 1: that there's a lot of upside in that there's even 812 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,240 Speaker 1: more upside if there is a isn't a guy like Hopkins, 813 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,360 Speaker 1: because now you're talking about chick with the possibility to 814 00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:00,320 Speaker 1: be the number two or even the number one target 815 00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:02,560 Speaker 1: if he takes a massive jump. So yeah, you know, 816 00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:05,320 Speaker 1: Tennessee is now the favorite to land Hopkins. So that 817 00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:08,279 Speaker 1: is something to to pay attention to. And I think 818 00:39:08,320 --> 00:39:11,360 Speaker 1: because his price is kind of peaked right now on 819 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: Best Ball, I would I would kind of weigh off 820 00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,759 Speaker 1: him now in season long, I still I still like him. 821 00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:19,640 Speaker 1: I still think he should be absolutely one of the 822 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:23,399 Speaker 1: top twelve tight ends drafted. But if you're if you're 823 00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,880 Speaker 1: talking about Best Ball leagues right now, you've been drafting, 824 00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:27,800 Speaker 1: or even you're just starting to draft, like the price, 825 00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,440 Speaker 1: the price is probably at closer to its ceiling. And 826 00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:33,200 Speaker 1: if Hopkins signs, which is again the Tennessee has moved 827 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:37,080 Speaker 1: into being the favorite. Uh you know, I think his eight, 828 00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,800 Speaker 1: his his his projection only goes down, and thus his 829 00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:42,640 Speaker 1: ADP should only go down. So I'm not buying right now. 830 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,279 Speaker 1: I thought already I'm not buying right now. And then 831 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,200 Speaker 1: once we get quirity on on the Hopkin situation, we'll 832 00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,560 Speaker 1: kind of make a determination of exactly uh where you know, 833 00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:53,800 Speaker 1: where he should end up ADP wise as as the 834 00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:56,280 Speaker 1: season uh you know, heads into August. 835 00:39:56,840 --> 00:40:00,160 Speaker 3: That's that's probably the best outcome I think is his 836 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:05,040 Speaker 3: Titans signed Hopkins, we get Chigs ADP back outside of 837 00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,960 Speaker 3: the top fifteen, and then we start reinvesting in them, 838 00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:11,520 Speaker 3: because honestly, with Hopkins there, he's just gonna command plenty 839 00:40:11,560 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 3: of attention from the defense. 840 00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:14,560 Speaker 2: That could open up Chick even more. 841 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:17,040 Speaker 3: Like Chick's not a guy that necessari needs eight catches 842 00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:19,360 Speaker 3: in the game to hit value, you know, just a 843 00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,480 Speaker 3: few big plays, and having Hopkins there that could be 844 00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:25,239 Speaker 3: more likely. So, yeah, hopefully Hopkins signs there and we 845 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:28,120 Speaker 3: can get a Chig back outside the top fifteen David 846 00:40:28,160 --> 00:40:28,680 Speaker 3: and Najoku. 847 00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:30,279 Speaker 1: He's been the guy to take the hit, you know, 848 00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,719 Speaker 1: with with with with Chig going up and Ingram moving up, 849 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 1: so the Jokers down to tighten eleven. You know, what 850 00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:39,920 Speaker 1: do you what do you think of him? Obviously Deshaun 851 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:43,399 Speaker 1: Watson wasn't quite himself. There was a lot of Jacoby Brissett. Now, 852 00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,960 Speaker 1: the thing I found interesting was that small sample obviously, 853 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:50,800 Speaker 1: but his yards for target was about nine with Brissett 854 00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 1: and onlys about six with with Deshaun Watson. So he, 855 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,320 Speaker 1: like Watson, was pretty good to you know, better with 856 00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:03,040 Speaker 1: their wide receivers Cooper and DPJ. He was really good 857 00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:06,880 Speaker 1: with Nadjoku. The efficiency wasn't there as much with the yardage. 858 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:08,759 Speaker 1: What do you what do you think of him heading 859 00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: into this year? 860 00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:10,319 Speaker 2: Yeah? 861 00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:13,840 Speaker 3: No, I've always liked Joku and last year he finally 862 00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 3: had his careerer in terms of targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns 863 00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,560 Speaker 3: per game. So he was the tight end ten in 864 00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:22,759 Speaker 3: points per game. We all knew he had top ten 865 00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,840 Speaker 3: upside once he was the undisputed number one tight end, 866 00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 3: which last year was the first time he could say that. 867 00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,680 Speaker 3: So he ran rout over eighty percent of the time 868 00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:34,359 Speaker 3: in eight of his fourteen games he played, So he has, 869 00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:37,400 Speaker 3: you know, the upside with that kind of usage to 870 00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:40,160 Speaker 3: go off and be a top ten tight end. The 871 00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 3: one concern I do have is just Elijah Moore might 872 00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:46,640 Speaker 3: eat into his target share a bit. But if Deshaun 873 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,399 Speaker 3: Watson does return to form the season, you know, then 874 00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:53,880 Speaker 3: that's the scenario where Joku could be pushing top five upside. 875 00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,040 Speaker 3: So again, if you're bullish on Watson heading in the season, 876 00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:59,640 Speaker 3: definitely you know you want to pair him up with 877 00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,879 Speaker 3: then Joku, But tight end eleven seems right. I would 878 00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,759 Speaker 3: still lean Chig over him. So I think that the 879 00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,239 Speaker 3: ADPs has really got sharpened up, and that's that's right 880 00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:08,759 Speaker 3: about where I. 881 00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:09,160 Speaker 2: Would have it. 882 00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 3: But if he's sitting there at you know, tight end eleven, 883 00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:14,360 Speaker 3: he does carry a high ceiling four comba that I like, 884 00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:17,239 Speaker 3: but it's just got a lineup perfectly to get him 885 00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,440 Speaker 3: exactly there. But yeah, I do think he still has 886 00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:21,759 Speaker 3: that top ten upside for sure. 887 00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:24,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's just the guy that, you know, if I'm drafting, 888 00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,320 Speaker 1: I wait on tight end, he falls to me. You know, 889 00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 1: everyone else taking their tight end. I'm fine, you know, 890 00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:30,840 Speaker 1: I'm fine with it. I'm not really going out of 891 00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,719 Speaker 1: my way to draft Dave n Joku this year though, 892 00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,239 Speaker 1: where as he mentioned, he could potentially be the the 893 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,040 Speaker 1: fourth or you know, and you also have Chubb there, 894 00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:40,759 Speaker 1: so even you know, the Chubb has never been a 895 00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:43,640 Speaker 1: receiving kind of back, but you know, there's still the 896 00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:46,120 Speaker 1: potential for n Joker to be the fourth option in 897 00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:49,319 Speaker 1: this offense. If dpj continues to play well and more 898 00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:52,799 Speaker 1: bounces back from you know, the debacle that was Zach 899 00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:56,319 Speaker 1: Wilson on his career over the last couple of years. 900 00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,800 Speaker 1: And then Don Schultz he's the tight end twelve. You know, 901 00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:02,440 Speaker 1: he got about six million guaranteed. I do think this 902 00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:05,560 Speaker 1: Texans offense will be better than it has been. And 903 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:09,359 Speaker 1: there's no real true I know, Nico Collins is kind 904 00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 1: of that guy that that that we're expecting, but there's 905 00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,880 Speaker 1: there's some target upside in this offense. It's kind of 906 00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:17,440 Speaker 1: you don't know, is it Woods, you know, is it 907 00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:20,239 Speaker 1: you know as a young guy like Dale gonna emerge, 908 00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:24,080 Speaker 1: So it is you kind of have shows in that 909 00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:26,239 Speaker 1: twelve range or is this this kind of other guys 910 00:43:26,239 --> 00:43:27,000 Speaker 1: that you'd rather have? 911 00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:27,880 Speaker 3: Uh? 912 00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:30,800 Speaker 1: Is that last startable you know, ranked tight end in 913 00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:32,160 Speaker 1: in one tight end week? 914 00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:34,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Schultz at twelve. 915 00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:38,000 Speaker 3: Just it's he's tricky because you know, I always say 916 00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:40,040 Speaker 3: he was a stud, you know for the Cowboys, but 917 00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:43,960 Speaker 3: he's never been the most athletic or you know, talented 918 00:43:44,040 --> 00:43:46,240 Speaker 3: tight end. So I think he did just take advantage 919 00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,600 Speaker 3: of being in a good offense. He had really good 920 00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:51,200 Speaker 3: chemistry with Dak and sometimes when you have a tight 921 00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:52,480 Speaker 3: end like that and they go to a new team, 922 00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:55,719 Speaker 3: they struggle. So there's a chance Schultz could struggle with 923 00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:58,920 Speaker 3: the Texans. But like you alluded to, I don't know 924 00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,439 Speaker 3: the fact that we're Nico Collins might be the number 925 00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,840 Speaker 3: one target is saying something. It probably will be Schultz, 926 00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:08,400 Speaker 3: So he could have a very high floor. So I 927 00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:10,480 Speaker 3: think he has a wide raunge of outcomes. And you know, 928 00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:13,840 Speaker 3: to his credit, last season, he was playing through a 929 00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:17,440 Speaker 3: painful PCL injury, so you know, a lot of his stats, 930 00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:19,479 Speaker 3: you have to consider that he wasn't one hundred percent 931 00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,719 Speaker 3: for much of the season. So I think he's one 932 00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:25,040 Speaker 3: of those players that should bounce back health wise this season. 933 00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:27,080 Speaker 3: So I think that's gonna help him a lot. So 934 00:44:27,200 --> 00:44:28,719 Speaker 3: I have him tied end twelve. I don't think he 935 00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:31,160 Speaker 3: offers as much upside as some of the guys I 936 00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,200 Speaker 3: love just outside the top twelve. 937 00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:35,240 Speaker 2: So it seems like a fair price. 938 00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:37,520 Speaker 3: Like if he's like a safety in that play, you 939 00:44:37,640 --> 00:44:39,880 Speaker 3: just want someone safe, but I don't really do that 940 00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:41,960 Speaker 3: once you get towards tight end twelve. So he's not 941 00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:45,520 Speaker 3: a guy I'm really you know, reaching for. But yeah, 942 00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:48,080 Speaker 3: he very well could be the top target in this offense, 943 00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:52,560 Speaker 3: or you know, he could struggle in this scheme. So 944 00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:54,279 Speaker 3: he's the guy I'm kind of polarized on. 945 00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:58,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not going out of my way to draft him, 946 00:44:58,120 --> 00:44:59,719 Speaker 1: and he's a guy I'm really probably not going to 947 00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:02,560 Speaker 1: get more because I do think he was a product 948 00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:05,359 Speaker 1: of the you know we talked about. Kellen Moore has 949 00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:08,560 Speaker 1: been running the Cowboys at a super fast paced. Their 950 00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 1: passing volume has been very high. Guys have been missing 951 00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,239 Speaker 1: time for the Cowboys at wide receiver over the last 952 00:45:15,280 --> 00:45:19,080 Speaker 1: couple of years. Galup hasn't been healthy, so you know, 953 00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:21,440 Speaker 1: a lot of the numbers were kind of a product 954 00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 1: of the offense. I do think the Texans will be 955 00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:26,120 Speaker 1: a lot better. I don't necessarily know if Dalton Schultz 956 00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:30,920 Speaker 1: is going to be, you know, a beneficial beneficiary of that, 957 00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:34,759 Speaker 1: just compared to where he's going. So he is tight 958 00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:37,320 Speaker 1: end twelve barely. But you know, we'll talk about some 959 00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:39,040 Speaker 1: guys right now that we like that. I think you 960 00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:40,520 Speaker 1: could make just as big of a case for us. 961 00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:42,279 Speaker 1: And that's why I'm not drafting Scholkes. I I don't 962 00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:44,520 Speaker 1: really think the value is there, But give me somebody 963 00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:47,520 Speaker 1: outside the top twelve that you that you like, that 964 00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,040 Speaker 1: you know kind of could be an alternative to somebody 965 00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:52,080 Speaker 1: if they're kind of faced with drafting. 966 00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:54,920 Speaker 3: Shultz, Well, I'm not going very far outside of the 967 00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,400 Speaker 3: top twelve because my favorite tight end outside of the 968 00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:02,120 Speaker 3: top twelve is tight end thirteen, Greg Dulcic. I have 969 00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:06,400 Speaker 3: just been super high on Dulcic from day one. You know, 970 00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,719 Speaker 3: he wasn't able to suit up until week six of 971 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,160 Speaker 3: his rookie season. You know, he missed most of training camp, 972 00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:15,800 Speaker 3: missed the entire preseason as a rookie. So it was 973 00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:18,480 Speaker 3: just very impressive for him to just hit the ground 974 00:46:18,560 --> 00:46:21,040 Speaker 3: running as a rookie. So I think he's going to 975 00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:24,200 Speaker 3: be even better near to you know, get more chemistry 976 00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:28,960 Speaker 3: with Russe Wilson. Hopefully, you know, new head coach Sean Payton, 977 00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:31,399 Speaker 3: can you know, get Russe Wilson a bounce back this year. 978 00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,520 Speaker 3: That's only going to help Dulsic. But you know, Dulcic 979 00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:37,200 Speaker 3: was the tight end ten over you know, week six 980 00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 3: to week sixteen when he was a full time starter. 981 00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:42,680 Speaker 3: So we've already seen that he has top ten upside, 982 00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 3: but I think there's even more, you know, sixteen of 983 00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:48,360 Speaker 3: his fifty five targets last year run catchable and it 984 00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:51,960 Speaker 3: was just maddening watching Broncos games, just Russe Wilson completely 985 00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:55,320 Speaker 3: missing Dulcicic wide open over the middle of the field. 986 00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:58,520 Speaker 3: I felt like Dulcic could have had an even better season. 987 00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:02,600 Speaker 3: So again, hopefully Sean Payton can repair Russell Wilson. But 988 00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,120 Speaker 3: even if not, you know, we've already seen Dulcach has 989 00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:08,160 Speaker 3: top ten upsides, So I love, you know, getting Dulsach 990 00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:11,279 Speaker 3: at tight end thirteen. Still, you know, his his tight end, 991 00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,560 Speaker 3: his ADP is creeping up. But again, I really do 992 00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:16,960 Speaker 3: think he should be closer to the top ten this year. 993 00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:19,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love the talent. I'm still I'm still a 994 00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:22,239 Speaker 1: little skeptical just because they have other guys that you 995 00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:24,040 Speaker 1: know are going to factor in at the position. So 996 00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:26,600 Speaker 1: you know, my I do see like I do see 997 00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:29,279 Speaker 1: the floor of he is. He's still more of kind 998 00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:32,279 Speaker 1: of like a passing game specialist. And John Payton and 999 00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:34,160 Speaker 1: his offenses have been weird with tight ends at time 1000 00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:38,319 Speaker 1: in terms of the total routes, So I do think 1001 00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 1: there's a possibility his routes might go down. His price 1002 00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:44,240 Speaker 1: is going up. But again, in most weeks you're talking about, 1003 00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:46,840 Speaker 1: you're just taking a flyer on him at this point. 1004 00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,080 Speaker 1: You know, if you miss out on those top guys, 1005 00:47:50,160 --> 00:47:52,719 Speaker 1: So I can't really knock it. I think I would 1006 00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:55,879 Speaker 1: rather take Dosuch a little bit later than a guy 1007 00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:58,879 Speaker 1: like don't show, So I can't really knock it there. 1008 00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:03,200 Speaker 1: But my guy is Tyer Higbe, who's a couple of 1009 00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:06,880 Speaker 1: spots usually tight around tight end sixteen and no Cooper 1010 00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,040 Speaker 1: cup is coming back. But I still think there's a 1011 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:11,840 Speaker 1: chance Tyer Higby could be the number two target in 1012 00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:15,360 Speaker 1: this offense because Van Jefferson is more of a downfield, 1013 00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:18,600 Speaker 1: lower percentage route runner kind of player. Higby was targeted 1014 00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:21,879 Speaker 1: on twenty four percent of his routes last season, which 1015 00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,640 Speaker 1: is very very good. That's on par with guys like 1016 00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:28,800 Speaker 1: Mark Andrews, with guys like Hockinson. So you know, I 1017 00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:31,800 Speaker 1: do think there's some upside here because the Rams defense 1018 00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:33,840 Speaker 1: is not going to be as good in my opinion, 1019 00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:35,760 Speaker 1: as it's been in years past with the mass exodus 1020 00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:38,160 Speaker 1: of talent that they were kind of forced to deal 1021 00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:42,200 Speaker 1: with due to the cap situation. So Higbee put up 1022 00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,920 Speaker 1: about four and a half catches over seven targets in 1023 00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:48,480 Speaker 1: Stafford's nine starts last year, most of which Cup was 1024 00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:54,040 Speaker 1: there for. So I do like Higbee as a sneaky 1025 00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:58,200 Speaker 1: option just hanging around in that in the mid tight 1026 00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:00,880 Speaker 1: end fifteen ish range, like he'd be a lot to 1027 00:49:01,120 --> 00:49:02,799 Speaker 1: sneak into the top twelve as well. 1028 00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:04,239 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, no, I love. 1029 00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,040 Speaker 3: I still think he's being sleeped on. He's always a value, 1030 00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:10,520 Speaker 3: but I think this year he really is. And a 1031 00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:12,360 Speaker 3: lot of that is just yeah, he's probably gonna be 1032 00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:16,279 Speaker 3: the number two target and really the wide receiver too, 1033 00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:18,839 Speaker 3: and whye receiver three slots for the RAMS has been 1034 00:49:19,200 --> 00:49:22,120 Speaker 3: deteriorating over the past several seasons. So the days of 1035 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:25,640 Speaker 3: Cooper Cup, Brandon Cooks, and Robert Woods are over now 1036 00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:28,320 Speaker 3: and now we have Cooper Cup, Van Jefferson and like 1037 00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:31,360 Speaker 3: Ben's scaronic, So I think that only helps Higbee. And 1038 00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:32,880 Speaker 3: you know his target chair is going to go up 1039 00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,400 Speaker 3: this year. So yeah, I think he's definitely getting sleeped on. 1040 00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,040 Speaker 3: I have them as my tight end thirteen right now. 1041 00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:38,560 Speaker 3: Actually I'm super high as well. 1042 00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:42,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's my Titan thirteen two. Yes, I'm going on 1043 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:46,319 Speaker 1: some time. It was not sexy. It's not sexy, right, Get. 1044 00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:46,879 Speaker 2: The job done. 1045 00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,480 Speaker 3: You're just you know, you're wrapped in the tight end late. 1046 00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:53,359 Speaker 3: So yeah, you know, he's he's always he's always been. 1047 00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:55,560 Speaker 2: Like one of my favorite high end tight end twos. 1048 00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:58,600 Speaker 1: And then uh, you know, I'll close it up by 1049 00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:01,840 Speaker 1: you know, we we I know, you know there's rookies. 1050 00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:06,279 Speaker 1: There's a couple of rookies that I kind of go in. 1051 00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:09,480 Speaker 1: They're outside the top twelve, but I think people, especially 1052 00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:13,080 Speaker 1: in basketball are going to be considering them. I know, 1053 00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:17,040 Speaker 1: you like Laporta a lot, and you like Kincaid as well. 1054 00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:19,320 Speaker 1: In which one of those guys you think, you know 1055 00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:21,759 Speaker 1: provides more value. The laporter is going tight end twenty 1056 00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:27,279 Speaker 1: two and Kincaid is tight ended sixteen fifteen. It looks 1057 00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,600 Speaker 1: like at the moment, yeah, no, obviously. 1058 00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:32,279 Speaker 3: You know, Kim Kaid has top fifteen upside. I think 1059 00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:36,440 Speaker 3: he's being drafted right about where he should be. I 1060 00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:38,440 Speaker 3: have him as my tight end sixteen. But I do 1061 00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:42,239 Speaker 3: think Laporta specifically is going a bit low at tight 1062 00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:45,719 Speaker 3: end twenty two, just because he really could be the 1063 00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:49,360 Speaker 3: number two target in the Lions offense, especially in the 1064 00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:53,680 Speaker 3: first six game when Jamison's out, and honestly, once Jamison's 1065 00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,800 Speaker 3: back Laporter still could be the number two target in 1066 00:50:56,840 --> 00:50:59,640 Speaker 3: this offense, so they really, you know, they needed somebody 1067 00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:00,480 Speaker 3: to plays TJ. 1068 00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:01,080 Speaker 2: Hawkinson. 1069 00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:05,640 Speaker 3: Laporta already replays Hawkinson once at Iowa, once Hawkinson declared 1070 00:51:05,680 --> 00:51:07,560 Speaker 3: for the draft, So I think Laporter's going to fill 1071 00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:09,960 Speaker 3: in right away here. And I think Laporta has a 1072 00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:12,600 Speaker 3: ton of upside. He should be able to be one 1073 00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:14,960 Speaker 3: of those rookies early on, like a Greg Dulciic. Like 1074 00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,200 Speaker 3: he does give me those kind of vibes, So I 1075 00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:20,400 Speaker 3: think where he's going. I think Laporta at tight end 1076 00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:22,640 Speaker 3: twenty two definitely has the most values. 1077 00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:24,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he's on the upsl wing. And I think, 1078 00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:29,839 Speaker 1: you know, guys like Gerald Everett, Juwan Johnson, even might 1079 00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:32,640 Speaker 1: Dawson Knox. I think guys like that are going to 1080 00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,000 Speaker 1: struggle to hit their eightyp So some of these guys, 1081 00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:39,480 Speaker 1: you know, Laporta, Kinkaid, You're going to see they're a 1082 00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:42,279 Speaker 1: little closer to the top twelve than though you might think, 1083 00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:44,520 Speaker 1: because just because I think some of the guys, some 1084 00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:46,239 Speaker 1: of those other guys are being a little bit overdrafted. 1085 00:51:46,640 --> 00:51:49,120 Speaker 2: Where are you ranking Kincaid right now? 1086 00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:53,200 Speaker 1: I believe I have him right in that same range 1087 00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:55,799 Speaker 1: like fifteen sixteen. I do think the Bills are going 1088 00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:59,080 Speaker 1: to play a lot more two tight end kind of 1089 00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:03,520 Speaker 1: sets in in uh with k Cave lined up more exactly, 1090 00:52:03,520 --> 00:52:06,239 Speaker 1: because they want to make defenses kind of declare you 1091 00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:09,120 Speaker 1: know what, Okay, you know you're gonna leave a nickel 1092 00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:12,120 Speaker 1: on the field or what. So, yeah, I think in 1093 00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:14,359 Speaker 1: Kaid And at the same time, you know, it's it's 1094 00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:16,399 Speaker 1: still it's still iffy. Were still you know, the Bills 1095 00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:18,640 Speaker 1: wanted to do that last year and you know they didn't. 1096 00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:20,960 Speaker 1: They didn't really get to do it as much. So, uh, 1097 00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:24,520 Speaker 1: he could be a year away from true fantasy relevance. 1098 00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:28,360 Speaker 1: But you know, always taking a shot on talent, especially 1099 00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,560 Speaker 1: on a team like the Bills with a good offense, 1100 00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,239 Speaker 1: I don't mind it. But yeah, I think what Porter 1101 00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:37,600 Speaker 1: definitely is the better value among the rookies because it's 1102 00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:40,799 Speaker 1: kind of a mix of, Okay, he has the opportunity 1103 00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:43,320 Speaker 1: as a talent, the ADP is not too high, and 1104 00:52:43,360 --> 00:52:45,960 Speaker 1: then with Kinkai the ADP might be a little high. 1105 00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:48,319 Speaker 1: With then with guys like Luke Musgraves you know who 1106 00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:51,359 Speaker 1: could start uh you know, Yeah, there's just a lot 1107 00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,319 Speaker 1: of uncertainty because you got the quarterback situation, you also 1108 00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:57,239 Speaker 1: got another tight ending craft. Uh you know, same thing 1109 00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,560 Speaker 1: for a guy like Schoonmaker in Dallas. Like, there's just 1110 00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:02,400 Speaker 1: not as much guaranteed as far as the role. So 1111 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,280 Speaker 1: I think what Porter is kind of that sweet spot 1112 00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,279 Speaker 1: among these rookies. All right, that is going to wrap 1113 00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:10,640 Speaker 1: it up for our tight end episode. Our running Back 1114 00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:13,759 Speaker 1: one and two episodes are already out. We'll drop our 1115 00:53:13,960 --> 00:53:17,000 Speaker 1: Wide Receiver one episode of Waiter next and then we'll 1116 00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:19,600 Speaker 1: keep going with Wide Receiver after that. You can find 1117 00:53:19,640 --> 00:53:22,160 Speaker 1: shown on Twitter at the Underscore Odds maker, me at 1118 00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:25,040 Speaker 1: Chris raybond Ret, those same handles on the free award 1119 00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:27,359 Speaker 1: winning Action Network app, and be sure to check our 1120 00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:31,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three Fantasy rankings on actionnetwork dot com. Those 1121 00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:34,879 Speaker 1: are live right now. Until next time, let's get this money. 1122 00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:45,560 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1123 00:53:45,640 --> 00:53:48,400 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1124 00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:51,520 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler