Speaker 1: Hey there everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast,
Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.
Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is
Speaker 1: time for an early look at the week three NFL lines.
Speaker 1: Here with me to do that is our good friend
Speaker 1: Andrew Kayley, Senior content producer over at Covers. Find him
Speaker 1: on Twitter at Covers Underscore. Kaylee. That is c A. L. E.
Speaker 1: Y Andrew. It's a big day over there for you
Speaker 1: in Canada. Thank you for taking time out of your
Speaker 1: business schedule and joining me.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've got the Canadian federal election. For all of
Speaker 2: us Blue Jays fan, every game is a nailbaitor at
Speaker 2: this point, going down to the wire and Monday Night football,
Speaker 2: it's there's a lot going on.
Speaker 1: I totally knew it today was the federal election day
Speaker 1: in Canada. Like, I don't know why you think that
Speaker 1: I wouldn't know that or that I was completely shocked
Speaker 1: when you came on and mentioned that I'm very into
Speaker 1: Canadian politics. Don't worry, It'll be fine. But yes, obviously
Speaker 1: you've got the Blue Jays. We're watching the game right now.
Speaker 1: It is currently fourteen to seven lions. A little shocking
Speaker 1: here what we've got, but we'll deal with that. That
Speaker 1: might impact how we feel about this Green Bay line
Speaker 1: for next week. But before we get into it again,
Speaker 1: we're gonna go through every spread, every over under. We're
Speaker 1: gonna see if there's value. Now we're going to talk
Speaker 1: about whether or not we expect the line to move
Speaker 1: all that good stuff. Before we get in a couple
Speaker 1: of housekeeping things. First, let me tell you about the
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Speaker 1: from eleven am Eastern to twelve pm Eastern, Matt Prout
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Speaker 1: That's YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. All right, let's
Speaker 1: get to the games, and let's start with the Thursday
Speaker 1: night game. Here, Andrew, the Panthers are visiting the Texans.
Speaker 1: The Texans are getting seven and a half points, and
Speaker 1: the over under. Don't worry about it because I totally
Speaker 1: switched to both my tabs to be on the spread.
Speaker 1: The over under is for forty four.
Speaker 2: You've got it.
Speaker 1: I'm saying you can host the show. My bad. I'm
Speaker 1: all over the places.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: We were talking right before, I had seventeen tabs open,
Speaker 1: and I was losing it anyway. So that's what we got.
Speaker 1: Do you see any value in either of these numbers?
Speaker 2: I'd have to say. With the Panthers right now, I
Speaker 2: saw the line hit the board at seven. It's already
Speaker 2: gone to seven and a half. Panthers have looked good
Speaker 2: the first two weeks. The Sam Darnold haters, I know
Speaker 2: you're a Jets fan. I haven't been on the way.
Speaker 1: I'm not a hater though, I mean I feel bad
Speaker 1: for him. I'm happy. I'm happy that he gets a
Speaker 1: chance to show if he can be a competent NFL quarterback. Good, good,
Speaker 1: good looking so far, you know, not that bad.
Speaker 2: I think Matt Rule has a big and Joe Brady
Speaker 2: have a big, big part in the way he's looked
Speaker 2: so far. They're very good head coach, offensive coordinator combo.
Speaker 2: They went out there and they beat a Saints team. Well,
Speaker 2: we're gonna find out, maybe this I was choking with
Speaker 2: you the other day, We're gonna find out if this
Speaker 2: tanking Aaron Rodgers thing is real or not right, But
Speaker 2: so call it. Maybe this is the win over the Saints.
Speaker 2: Isn't that impressive if the Packers are just tanking? But no. Now,
Speaker 2: Davis Mills in at quarterback for the Texans. It looks
Speaker 2: like the Texans. I'll give them credit to they they
Speaker 2: did look better. I made a bet before the season
Speaker 2: that they go on seventeen, except you have to sit
Speaker 2: there and look at it in your tickets for the
Speaker 2: rest of the season. But no, they've they have some
Speaker 2: veteran players there. I just don't know if they're going
Speaker 2: to be able to do it against this line. And
Speaker 2: these are going to be publicly bet games on Thursday nights,
Speaker 2: when it's the only game on the board, the favorite
Speaker 2: will probably see some action. You can maybe if you
Speaker 2: like the dog, I'll wait a little longer until that
Speaker 2: may be closer to kickoff, and maybe there'll be a
Speaker 2: nice little middling opportunity for us here in this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I don't see it getting back down
Speaker 1: to seven. I mean, do you like? I just yeah,
Speaker 1: I hit it when it was seven because I think
Speaker 1: that that's I mean, look, you never know, right, I mean,
Speaker 1: every NFL game, the worst NFL team still has premier
Speaker 1: athletes at every position. Every team plays as hard as
Speaker 1: I can. But Davis Mills is just not ready to
Speaker 1: be an NFL quarterback that obviously wasn't really the plan.
Speaker 1: This is where we find ourselves. So I agree if
Speaker 1: you like the Panthers at this number, which is fine
Speaker 1: if you do bet it now, because if not, it's
Speaker 1: probably moving that the total. I mean, I don't know, man,
Speaker 1: like I don't really a forty four like, I have
Speaker 1: no idea if the Texans are going to be able
Speaker 1: to put up any points whatsoever. So it's just something
Speaker 1: where I'm not even getting involved at all with the total.
Speaker 2: I would stay away. I was one of those victims
Speaker 2: last week. I was for sure that that Washington Giants
Speaker 2: game was going to go under forty and a half
Speaker 2: and then they put up almost sixties. So this early
Speaker 2: there have been some very I don't know what to
Speaker 2: say here, sobering, sobering results so far in the NFL
Speaker 2: season through two weeks. So yeah, this one, it all
Speaker 2: depends on if the Texans can score or not. I'm
Speaker 2: not sure. I would probably stay away as well.
Speaker 1: Totally stay away from me as well. What about the
Speaker 1: Chargers visiting the Chiefs. This is a fascinating game, actually,
Speaker 1: I'm really excited to watch it. Chiefs are laying six
Speaker 1: and a half points and the total is fifty five
Speaker 1: and a half, which I like now that the totals
Speaker 1: are just like, look at just fifty five, fifty six,
Speaker 1: no big deal, Like this is just every game right now?
Speaker 1: What do you think here of these numbers.
Speaker 2: It's a good example of what I was just saying
Speaker 2: a moment ago. Last week, everybody was foreshore that Dallas
Speaker 2: and San Diego was going to go over that total.
Speaker 2: I think it was about fifty three, and everyone was
Speaker 2: I talked to was on the over in that game,
Speaker 2: and then we get forty points scored. Now that said,
Speaker 2: there was some very questionable refereeing in that game, and
Speaker 2: there was a bunch of points taking off the board
Speaker 2: for the Chargers. I really like the way that Justin
Speaker 2: Herbert has looked this year so far, especially finding that
Speaker 2: connection with Mike Williams. He could be a big, a
Speaker 2: big breakout star this year for the Chargers. But fifty
Speaker 2: five is a big number, and it looks like it's
Speaker 2: going to keep going up, so I'd probably wait, let
Speaker 2: it go up. I could see myself teasing it down
Speaker 2: in a bunch of teasers too, around to that fifties, yeah,
Speaker 2: and maybe taking or sorry, teasing it up even higher
Speaker 2: gets maybe gets up to fifty seven, and I'll maybe
Speaker 2: tease it up to sixty three or something like that
Speaker 2: and take the under there.
Speaker 1: I just I can't I imagine there's gonna be scoring here.
Speaker 1: Like frankly, I don't think I would tease it up
Speaker 1: and I because there would never there would be no
Speaker 1: number that I would feel okay about, right and angry
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahos game. By the way, I'm gonna let go
Speaker 1: of the fact that you called them San Diego. Oh
Speaker 1: you talk about by the way, I I it's remarkable, right,
Speaker 1: you and I talk about like sports all day long,
Speaker 1: whether it's betting for me, betting and fantasy and stuff
Speaker 1: like that. And the other day I did a video
Speaker 1: and I called them the Oakland Raiders. Like I just
Speaker 1: some things you can't get out of your head. I
Speaker 1: don't know. But anyway, I just want to make that clear.
Speaker 1: We knew it. It was all for fun. Everything is
Speaker 1: good anyway. Yeah, I agree that game sort of didn't
Speaker 1: go as expected. I'm not going near forty five and
Speaker 1: a half if anything, though, Like, there's there's not gonna
Speaker 1: be Chiefs game where it's just gonna be like pitter
Speaker 1: patter like there's gonna be a lot of scoring one
Speaker 1: way or another. So if anything I actually thought would
Speaker 1: you said originally, would tease it down, I'd be almost
Speaker 1: more apt to do. What about the spread six and
Speaker 1: a half? Do you think this ends up here? Do
Speaker 1: you think it moves one way or another? And do
Speaker 1: you like it at that number at all?
Speaker 2: So initially I want to say yes, I like getting
Speaker 2: the Chiefs ad anything less than a touchdown, especially at home.
Speaker 2: But they're just one in eight ats in their last
Speaker 2: nine regular season games, and I don't know if that's
Speaker 2: just they're usually I get they're either in spreads that
Speaker 2: are too big and they get a little complacent at
Speaker 2: the end, or they have games like they did against
Speaker 2: the Ravens last week. It's an interesting number and I
Speaker 2: don't know how to feel about them. I hate fading
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes. I admittedly was on them last night. Three
Speaker 2: and a half I thought was a great number, and
Speaker 2: I turned off the TV for a little while when
Speaker 2: they were off by about twelve or whatever they were,
Speaker 2: I thought it was over. And obviously that was not
Speaker 2: the case. Laharjacks and the other plans, but I think
Speaker 2: you'd have to lay the points with the or take
Speaker 2: the points with the Chargers. At this point, I think
Speaker 2: Justin Herbert is almost good enough. He's obviously not Patrick Mahomes,
Speaker 2: but he can sling it just as bout as well
Speaker 2: as anybody else in the NFL. And I like a
Speaker 2: lot of these defenders on this Chargers team. If there's
Speaker 2: someone that can cover some of these guys, it's guys
Speaker 2: like Derwyn James and and Bosa is the type of
Speaker 2: guy that you can get some pressure on Mahomes, which
Speaker 2: is the key to getting to them.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Chargers defense is very solid, and they usually
Speaker 1: are before they eventually succumb to injuries like they do
Speaker 1: every single year. But that's the thing, like, I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, I don't think the public generally really focuses
Speaker 1: on the fact that as great as the Chiefs are,
Speaker 1: as great as Mahomes is, they're not great against the spread.
Speaker 1: That's just, you know, not really what they do. So
Speaker 1: it's six and a half. I mean, that's a great line.
Speaker 1: That's because that's basically begging the public better to take
Speaker 1: the Chiefs at this point. But it's just I bet
Speaker 1: you it just hangs out there the whole time. I
Speaker 1: don't think you need to make a move.
Speaker 2: You like it.
Speaker 1: Either way, it's probably going to stay there. I don't
Speaker 1: see it getting up to seven. I don't see it
Speaker 1: really going down. So he gets where it ends up.
Speaker 1: It's probably a stay away from me, just because I'm terrified, basically,
Speaker 1: what would say? How about the Jaguars hosting the Cardinals.
Speaker 1: The Cardinals are laying seven and a half and the
Speaker 1: total is fifty two.
Speaker 2: I really dislike the number. I dislike laying more than
Speaker 2: a touchdown with a road team. But this Jaguars team,
Speaker 2: I am. I am waiting for the Urban Meyer like
Speaker 2: I'm just done with this press conference.
Speaker 1: Yep.
Speaker 2: I think they are one of the most underprepared teams
Speaker 2: in the NFL. I've watched enough of the games the
Speaker 2: last two weeks to say, like, they don't look competitive.
Speaker 2: They just don't look like a competitive football team right now.
Speaker 2: And then he goes out there last week and those
Speaker 2: rumors about USC comes out, and he looks like my
Speaker 2: kid when I've caught him doing something wrong. I see
Speaker 2: the milk, there's the milk on the counter. Did you
Speaker 2: spill that milk? No? No, Like I don't. It's a
Speaker 2: really weird situation. I think Trevor Lawrence has shown some
Speaker 2: potential for what he can be. I just I just
Speaker 2: don't know if that's gonna be able to happen under
Speaker 2: Urban Meyer. He hates giving James Robbinson the football. I'm
Speaker 2: sure the fans, the fantasy pros, the nice game all like,
Speaker 2: he is the most talented skill position player on that roster.
Speaker 2: Now Chanolt isn't getting involved. Brother, I just don't know
Speaker 2: what they're doing there. So I'd have to I'd have
Speaker 2: to take the points with the Cardinals, particularly just also
Speaker 2: because the way the Cardinals have played through the first
Speaker 2: two weeks, particularly Kyler Murray.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this strikes me as a game that probably the
Speaker 1: quote unquote sharp betters are going to hit the Jaguars
Speaker 1: because I remember this with the Jets last year, where
Speaker 1: you know, I try to, you know, talk to whoever
Speaker 1: I know about and they would always be like, there's
Speaker 1: value on the Jets on this number, and I would
Speaker 1: just watch them and I'd be like, there's no value
Speaker 1: on the Jets. Like I understand a system, right something
Speaker 1: A professional better completely understand why a model says this
Speaker 1: number is too good. But there are teams like the
Speaker 1: Jets last year, and you're absolutely right with the Jaguars
Speaker 1: this year. And it's really because of the coaching staff.
Speaker 1: You're absolutely right. I mean, this is as quickly as
Speaker 1: I've ever seen basically everyone realized that a coach is
Speaker 1: completely just mentally checked out in over his head, despised
Speaker 1: by his own players. Like just everything is terrible. You
Speaker 1: can't take the Jaguars no matter what it is. I
Speaker 1: I'll probably fire on the Cardinals. It's not getting better.
Speaker 1: It's not getting better. Get it now, yeah, get it
Speaker 1: now because it's not getting better. But man, that is ugly.
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's a big line. I mean over touchdown there.
Speaker 1: You know the books, it's very transparent what the books
Speaker 1: are doing right now, Like it's very clear when they
Speaker 1: want you to bet, where they want you to bet
Speaker 1: and stuff like that, and people will so I agree,
Speaker 1: all right, So you don't like road teams laying more
Speaker 1: in a touchdown. You've got the Ravens then going to Detroit.
Speaker 1: Who where This is the middle of the game as
Speaker 1: I speak right now, it's a little less than a
Speaker 1: minute left in halftime and the Lions are putting up
Speaker 1: another competitive effort. The Ravens here are laying nine and
Speaker 1: the total is forty nine and a half. Now, by
Speaker 1: the time people listen to this, Andrew, it might be
Speaker 1: different because the Lions beat the Packers in this game,
Speaker 1: maybe that Lion comes down a little bit. But for
Speaker 1: now four nine and a half with the spread of
Speaker 1: the Ravens as the road team LAYG nine. What do
Speaker 1: you think.
Speaker 2: I can't believe I'm saying this, but take the Lions
Speaker 2: in the nine points. Like the the Ravens are coming
Speaker 2: off a huge comeback win last night, they get that
Speaker 2: even Lamar Jackson get that monkey off their back against
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. So this is a as stereotypical of a
Speaker 2: letdown spot as there could be for the Ravens, who, frankly,
Speaker 2: if not for some crazy heroics from Lamar Jackson like
Speaker 2: last night and a fumble, they don't win that game. Yeah,
Speaker 2: they come into this game and they're one too probably,
Speaker 2: and I just I just don't the Lions are playing well.
Speaker 2: I still can't believe that. I'm sure Aaron Rodgers is
Speaker 2: doing this just to mess with us all. This is
Speaker 2: the this is the Aaron Rodgers experience for getting this year,
Speaker 2: and it's gonna be an interesting one. But you can't
Speaker 2: deny the Lions at least being competitive. Maybe that's a
Speaker 2: that's the difference between a guy like Dan Campbell and
Speaker 2: and Urban Meyer, Like this guy is gonna die for
Speaker 2: this football team, and these players seem to put it
Speaker 2: on the line for him, even if you think his
Speaker 2: coaching strategies don't make any sense. But like the actual
Speaker 2: x's and o's of Dan Campbell can be debated pretty
Speaker 2: pretty easily, but those guys seem to play hard for him.
Speaker 1: So it's half the battle, man, Like, it's if you
Speaker 1: want to, you know, live and die for your coach,
Speaker 1: that is half the battle. There have been plenty of
Speaker 1: coaches who aren't phenomenal, you know, x'es and o's type
Speaker 1: of guys, but who their team goes out there and
Speaker 1: they don't give up. And again, you're right, this is
Speaker 1: a great point because you we were joking again when
Speaker 1: when we were trying to come up with a time
Speaker 1: to record this podcast and we're going to our schedules,
Speaker 1: and I was like, well, I mean we can do
Speaker 1: it during Monday night football man, Like it's okay with me,
Speaker 1: and you were like, yeah, I really want to see
Speaker 1: whether or not Rogers is actually tanking, but I'm willing
Speaker 1: to do it there. You know, I don't know, but
Speaker 1: I think the Lions really do just you know, are
Speaker 1: they play hard and they look okay. Jared Golf looks okay,
Speaker 1: it looks fine right now at least, so whatever's going on,
Speaker 1: I agree with you as right now you got to
Speaker 1: take the points out. I'm interested to see if the
Speaker 1: Lions win this game out of curiosity so you can predict,
Speaker 1: because who knows exactly what's going to happen. If the
Speaker 1: Lions win this game, what do you think that spread
Speaker 1: goes to it's nine as we record this.
Speaker 2: It'll probably approach seven and a half. I would say, yeah,
Speaker 2: I think that would be the number. It kind of
Speaker 2: lands on after that.
Speaker 1: And well, I'm still saying that I expect the Packers
Speaker 1: to pull this one out, so we'll see if that happens.
Speaker 1: Let's go to another big one. It's a home team
Speaker 1: laying nine. It's the Bills laying nine to the Washington
Speaker 1: football team. And the total is pretty low here at
Speaker 1: forty six. What do you think? Uh?
Speaker 2: I want to say over here, just because of how
Speaker 2: impressive Josh Allen has looked, that offense has looked the defense. Obviously,
Speaker 2: he threw up a shutout last week against Jacoby Brissett, right,
Speaker 2: But and now they go against Taylor Heineke. But Kinekee
Speaker 2: had his moments last week. That's against the Giants defense,
Speaker 2: which is a little different obviously. Uh. But the thing
Speaker 2: for me about why I like over I went in
Speaker 2: with obviously some expectations surrounding this Washington football team defense,
Speaker 2: and that just hasn't come to fruition at this point. Besides, Chase, like,
Speaker 2: Chase Young is a freak and he's very good, and
Speaker 2: I expect that defensive line to be better. They've got
Speaker 2: like that all SEC frontline, all first round guys, and
Speaker 2: but they just were not getting enough pressure on Daniel Jones. Luckily,
Speaker 2: it doesn't matter because Daniel Jones will sometimes just on
Speaker 2: the run, he seems fine, but give him a clean
Speaker 2: pocket and overthrow a guy by five yards. But I
Speaker 2: was I was shocked about how little pressure they were
Speaker 2: they were getting on him when they needed it sort
Speaker 2: of thing. And the secondary had its problems as well.
Speaker 2: Landing Collins well, a great run stuffer, still has his
Speaker 2: issues defending the deep ball. And Josh Allen's going to
Speaker 2: be throwing some deep in this one.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree with you. I don't have a
Speaker 1: great feel for the spread. It seems a little high
Speaker 1: to me. I mean, Washing put up points with Taylor
Speaker 1: Heinege and the Bills. I know, again you mentioned it.
Speaker 1: They pitched a shutout in the last game, and their
Speaker 1: defense has look good, you know, look good against Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: as well. But again, I think that's more on the
Speaker 1: lack of offense of the two opposing teams, and it is
Speaker 1: on their defense haartly. I mean, they have a great
Speaker 1: pass defense and everything, but Washington is able to move
Speaker 1: the ball and put up points. The Bills are as well.
Speaker 1: Their offense hasn't looked great right now, but we know
Speaker 1: what it can do. So at forty six, this is
Speaker 1: a number i'd hammer immediately, actually right now. Like that,
Speaker 1: I agree with you. The over is a play that
Speaker 1: I really like. I'd probably stay away from the spread
Speaker 1: at least for right now.
Speaker 2: Ah, you agree, Yeah, I agree with that.
Speaker 1: Browns are hosting the Bears. The Browns are a lot
Speaker 1: of seven and a half point lines right now. The
Speaker 1: Browns are seven and a half point favorites total forty
Speaker 1: six and a half.
Speaker 2: What do you think just we have the theme tonight,
Speaker 2: it's just like, yeah, so the books clearly want us
Speaker 2: to go take those points with the Bears there it
Speaker 2: looks like. But I'm a big Justin Fields guy. He
Speaker 2: was my leave second rated quarterback coming into this draft.
Speaker 2: I think he has a very good potential. He obviously
Speaker 2: had some jitters, some jitters in that game, but I
Speaker 2: think that also comes partly because the Bears just have
Speaker 2: been refusing to give him first team reps. And if
Speaker 2: you give him some first team reps and give him
Speaker 2: some real practice, then maybe he can maybe show what
Speaker 2: he's more capable of. I guess I saw today. I
Speaker 2: think you can correct me if I'm wrong. But Andy
Speaker 2: Dalton is okay and he will be the starter if healthy.
Speaker 1: Is that this is correct and he's okay and that
Speaker 1: he doesn't have serious damage. But it doesn't mean that
Speaker 1: he's going to be able to start this week or
Speaker 1: anything like that. But will they came out and said
Speaker 1: he will be the starter when healthy, because why not?
Speaker 2: Because man Hackey. I guess I don't know. The Bears
Speaker 2: played much better last week overall. I thought the Bengals
Speaker 2: had it. We're gonna win that game just because of
Speaker 2: the Bears situation. So I was impressed with the Bears
Speaker 2: defense in that game. And the Bears defense is still good,
Speaker 2: so they'll be able to keep them in this football game.
Speaker 2: So but and the Browns had trouble putting away putting
Speaker 2: away the Texans last week. I expected the Browns to
Speaker 2: cover that spread. I lined it myself at about minus
Speaker 2: fourteen last week. So I took the Browns minus twelve
Speaker 2: and a half and I got burned on it. So
Speaker 2: this is another my mind. I think I'll probably have
Speaker 2: to do what the books are asking me and take
Speaker 2: that plus seven and a half points with the Bears.
Speaker 1: I'll take the bait. I'll take the bait now, I
Speaker 1: mean I will. I Look, bottom line is this, like,
Speaker 1: I get that the Browns run the ball beautifully. I
Speaker 1: get that their system is great and they've got you know,
Speaker 1: all else fouls. They can go to Hooper, they can
Speaker 1: go to Ndjoku. That's totally fine. But you know, we
Speaker 1: don't know Voell Beckham Junior is going to play in
Speaker 1: this game. Jarvis Slandry's out. We already know that Baker's
Speaker 1: banged up, Like he's okay, He's gonna play, but he's
Speaker 1: banged up, like he's not one hundred percent. And if
Speaker 1: you get Fields with a full week of basically being
Speaker 1: like you're got And here's the thing, whatever you think
Speaker 1: about Matt and Age, like, there's no way that they
Speaker 1: went into this entire our season Andrew basically refusing to
Speaker 1: have in their book somewhere buried a game plan that
Speaker 1: revolves around justin Fields right like this is happening, yeah eventually,
Speaker 1: So get it into the game plan right now. Let
Speaker 1: him just open it up. I mean, think about what
Speaker 1: that you know, I know it didn't look at against
Speaker 1: forty nine ers, but think about what the Eagles were
Speaker 1: able to do when they first started against Atlanta. And
Speaker 1: you can, you know, build your your game plan around
Speaker 1: a running quarterback, you can do a lot. Fields is
Speaker 1: very talented. I will take the bait. I understand, like
Speaker 1: that's fine, and they seem totally comfortable with it. And
Speaker 1: there's no surprises here. By the way, I'm sure they're
Speaker 1: baking in the fact that Beckham's not going to play.
Speaker 1: They know Landry's not going to play. They don't care.
Speaker 1: They want you to do it. You're you were taking
Speaker 1: the plunge together.
Speaker 2: We're taking the plan. Yeah, let's do love it.
Speaker 1: Let's go all day long. Let's go to the Colts
Speaker 1: are visiting the Titans. The Titans are currently laying five
Speaker 1: and a half. There's some fives out there vacillates between
Speaker 1: five and five and a half. The totals forty eight.
Speaker 1: We obviously have the wins situation here, where you know,
Speaker 1: we don't know whether or not it's going to play.
Speaker 1: From everything I see, it seems to suggest that it's doubtful.
Speaker 1: Apparently he's got ankle issues on both legs or I
Speaker 1: don't know both ankles, so it just seems unlikely to me.
Speaker 1: But who knows. So what do you think right now?
Speaker 1: Five to five and a half one or the other.
Speaker 2: I probably. I think we finally saw the Titans in
Speaker 2: the second half of that game against the Seahawks, the
Speaker 2: real Titans. They're like, oh, yeah, we've got Derreck Henry.
Speaker 2: I guess we'll start giving him the ball again. The
Speaker 2: defense is still obviously a huge issue for that team.
Speaker 2: But is it it's gonna be Jacob Easton?
Speaker 1: Then if it's not, it will be you better believe it.
Speaker 1: Let's take the Titans now, Yeah, before that gets to
Speaker 1: six points. If you get I've already done it. I've
Speaker 1: already done it. And by the way put wentzon there,
Speaker 1: I still am taking them at five now. They played
Speaker 1: very well, better than I expected actually against the Rams.
Speaker 1: Michael Pittman Junior had a fantastic game, and look good.
Speaker 1: They got Pascal involved. It wasn't the same week one.
Speaker 1: Let me just dink and dunk to Night Hines and
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor like. They got the rest of the guys involved,
Speaker 1: which they have to because you can't do that, you know,
Speaker 1: every single time. So they look good. Their defense is fine,
Speaker 1: but I look, I was all over. One of my
Speaker 1: bets last week was the Titans getting six or five
Speaker 1: and a half or whatever it was against the Seahawks,
Speaker 1: because I was very clear. I thought Week one was
Speaker 1: a lot of just COVID the issues that they had.
Speaker 1: They didn't play a lot in the preseason together. Julio
Speaker 1: Jones wasn't acclimated yet to the offense. You give Mike
Speaker 1: Rabil a full week of practice, I think they're going
Speaker 1: to be okay. They finally it took a half, took
Speaker 1: a half, they finally got it together. I think you're
Speaker 1: going to see this again, I think they're gonna put
Speaker 1: up a lot of points. It's not a number that
Speaker 1: I that I would scream or pound the desk for
Speaker 1: necessarily if Wentz is healthy, but a I think even
Speaker 1: if he plays, he's going to be limited. And I
Speaker 1: just think that it's a recipe for a disaster for them.
Speaker 1: So I'm taking the Titans now. I don't think the
Speaker 1: number moved. I don't think if Wentz is declared in
Speaker 1: that this number drops or anything like that to four,
Speaker 1: I think.
Speaker 2: That he's based in there.
Speaker 1: Yet Yep, I think so too, So I would take
Speaker 1: it there. Let's go to the Patriots at home. They
Speaker 1: are laying three to the Saints and the total sorry,
Speaker 1: let me get it is forty three, so low total here,
Speaker 1: obviously with neither team in offensive juggernaut. The Saints go
Speaker 1: from whoopen the Packers in Week one in the Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers tank Fest and then they just look absolutely terrible
Speaker 1: in this most recent game. What do you think here?
Speaker 1: Patriots lang three to the Saints at home.
Speaker 2: I think I'm not a big I'm not a big
Speaker 2: Mac Jones guy, so but they they have done what
Speaker 2: they always do. The Patriots have done what they always do.
Speaker 2: They've built a game plan that is going to play
Speaker 2: to his strength, and he's an accurate quarterback who can
Speaker 2: read the field quickly, and he's he's got a high
Speaker 2: football IQ. And they're going to take advantage that. They're
Speaker 2: going to run the football with Damien Harris all game,
Speaker 2: and I think that they'll be able to run it. Yeah,
Speaker 2: the Saints have a strong defense, but I think in
Speaker 2: this situation at home, the public will be on the
Speaker 2: Patriots in this game. So I would bet it before
Speaker 2: it goes above that key number three.
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I would be fine because I
Speaker 1: do think that the worst case scenario is a push.
Speaker 1: But I like and the Saints have are really banged
Speaker 1: up on defense too. You know, Latimore didn't play like
Speaker 1: who knows if he's going to be back. I know
Speaker 1: it's not exactly the same because it's not really the offense.
Speaker 1: They don't have the Alpha number one wide receiver or
Speaker 1: anything like that. I will say, by the way, as
Speaker 1: I look at the various lines on Bettingbros dot Com,
Speaker 1: it is three. Every book Fox Bet has it right
Speaker 1: now at two and a half. So if you're listening
Speaker 1: right now, check Fox. But if you have access that
Speaker 1: go hit that for sure, because I would love that
Speaker 1: total is low. Here, what do you think about that
Speaker 1: forty three? I mean, either team seems like they're going
Speaker 1: to put a point, which probably means they're going to
Speaker 1: combine for like sixty five or something like that. But
Speaker 1: what do you think realistically of forty three?
Speaker 2: I realistically think it's a good number, and I'd probably
Speaker 2: if you put a gun in my head, i'd say
Speaker 2: go under. But then yeah, it'll probably, like you said,
Speaker 2: it'll probably end up scoring sixty points because the NFL
Speaker 2: so far this year. But I think it's a pretty
Speaker 2: decent number. I'm probably not going to touch it. I
Speaker 2: would lean towards the under because of Mac Jones and
Speaker 2: Jamis Winston and those are the starting quarterbacks in this game,
Speaker 2: and the Patriots defense is looking better each week as well,
Speaker 2: so I'm not going to put any faith in them
Speaker 2: putting up the points. But like for me, like I said,
Speaker 2: it's a stay away.
Speaker 1: Okay, how about the Falcons visiting the Giants? Now, the
Speaker 1: consensus line is three and a half, but as I look,
Speaker 1: it's really split down the middle between three and three
Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, bet MGM is at three,
Speaker 1: Fandle is at three. DraftKings and fox Bet are at
Speaker 1: three and a half, so if that matters to you
Speaker 1: can let me know. But the Giants are at home.
Speaker 1: They're laying three and a half to the Falcons. The
Speaker 1: totals forty eight and a half, so that's, you know,
Speaker 1: not not the highest total on the board, but certainly
Speaker 1: some points here expected. What do you think they're.
Speaker 2: I'll probably stay away from the side of this one
Speaker 2: because I have literally no idea how to gauge what
Speaker 2: the Giants did. They showed up on a Thursday night,
Speaker 2: or like Daniel Jones has his best game on games
Speaker 2: on Thursday nights, despite the fact that he loses. He
Speaker 2: plays well and then they lose, and then the rest
Speaker 2: of the time he's just awful. And the Falcons have
Speaker 2: just are the Falcons right now, because we can call
Speaker 2: them a dumpster fire or whatever we want to call them.
Speaker 2: It's not good right now. But they put up some
Speaker 2: points at the end of that the end of the
Speaker 2: Bucks game, So I'm just looking at the over right here.
Speaker 2: Probably the forty eight and a half is a lot
Speaker 2: of points for some bad teams, but I still think
Speaker 2: this is probably the best play in the game in
Speaker 2: a game that I would generally stay away from for
Speaker 2: the most part. But if my favorite play would be
Speaker 2: that over forty and a half, I.
Speaker 1: Agree with you because I do think that, you know,
Speaker 1: I think everybody kind of looked at the Falcons when
Speaker 1: they played the Eagles and they were like, oh my god,
Speaker 1: this is the worst team I've ever seen. And other
Speaker 1: than the fact that Matt Ryan threw two pick sixes
Speaker 1: at the end that really made the final score a lopsided,
Speaker 1: like they kind of hung in there wick a Bucks. Yeah,
Speaker 1: they were able to move the ball. Like I realized
Speaker 1: that the Bucks were ahead, so you know, who knows what.
Speaker 1: They kind of laid back on defense a little bit,
Speaker 1: but they were able to move the ball. Cor Daryl
Speaker 1: Patterson was somehow very involved. Calvin Ridley caught a touchdown.
Speaker 1: I don't know where we are where Cordero Patterson is
Speaker 1: like the man, but whatever. But they will be able
Speaker 1: to put up points here for sure. The Giants will too,
Speaker 1: just because you know Daniel Jones, you know you do
Speaker 1: mention it on the run. He has a good and
Speaker 1: you know Sterling Shepherd looks good. Galladay will get more
Speaker 1: involved Saquon Barkley with another ten days of rest here,
Speaker 1: they're designing a lot of like designed runs for Daniel
Speaker 1: Jones that look good. They'll put up points here, and
Speaker 1: their defense is not strong enough to kind of hold
Speaker 1: a team like the Falcons that can at least move
Speaker 1: the ball. They have a veteran quarterback, they have an
Speaker 1: Alpha wide receiver, they have some other playmakers with pits,
Speaker 1: even Mike Davis. So I agree with you. I'd hit
Speaker 1: the over. I'd hit it now at forty eight and
Speaker 1: a half because I feel pretty confident that's going over.
Speaker 2: So that'll be a public play towards the weekend. So yeah,
Speaker 2: go for it. I love it.
Speaker 1: I don't care. I love being public this one. So Andrew,
Speaker 1: I don't know what you think about this, but Matt
Speaker 1: Matt Pearl, who does you know, Hostsared Daily podcast. He
Speaker 1: always says that when a line is between like four
Speaker 1: and a half and five and a half somewhere around there,
Speaker 1: that the books are kind of just throwing up their
Speaker 1: hands and basically being like, we don't exactly know what
Speaker 1: to do here. That's apparently what we have in this
Speaker 1: game with the Steelers are laying four and a half
Speaker 1: points to the Bengals. Total is low forty four divisional game.
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow looked absolutely horrific for most of that game
Speaker 1: and then through two touchdown passes. So what do you think?
Speaker 1: The Steelers don't look much better? You know, realistically, So
Speaker 1: I don't know what do you do here at four
Speaker 1: and a half?
Speaker 2: I think I take the points, I think, but I
Speaker 2: think we wait. This is if you're gonna take the
Speaker 2: points with the Bengals. This will be a game. The
Speaker 2: Steelers are the more public team, and they will get
Speaker 2: they'll get better up I think closer to kickoff. So
Speaker 2: I think we wait on the Bengals and then we
Speaker 2: take the points with them in that game, despite admittedly
Speaker 2: not knowing how this game is going to go at all.
Speaker 2: Like your description of Joe Burrow, there was perfect and
Speaker 2: they have so many seemed like elite playmakers, but everybody
Speaker 2: everyone made fun of them at the draft because they
Speaker 2: didn't take Penny Sewell, because it doesn't matter who you're
Speaker 2: throwing to if you're on your butt like and that's
Speaker 2: the Bengals. There's still the Bengals problem so far this season,
Speaker 2: that offensive line play. And I am really Naje Harris
Speaker 2: is a terrific player for the Steelers. They have some
Speaker 2: good young guys. It sounds like Deantay Johnson's okay as well.
Speaker 2: And I'm just serious there, which is good for them.
Speaker 2: But I'm starting to think that we're seeing the end
Speaker 2: of the Roethlisberger effectiveness as the starting NFL quarterback. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I want nothing to do with this game, like I
Speaker 1: I honestly, because right, I mean, and you know, I get.
Speaker 1: I think you're right though, if you do like the Bengals,
Speaker 1: he can wait it because I think it's gonna go up.
Speaker 1: Because people still eat myself too, dude. I fight like
Speaker 1: at an internal bias, like the Steelers, like I really
Speaker 1: need to be like they'll be fine, Like they'll be
Speaker 1: all right, like you know, tom linill figure it out,
Speaker 1: Like they'll be fine. I don't care that they have
Speaker 1: maybe the worst offensive line in football, Like I don't
Speaker 1: care that Ben's a thousand years old and looks like,
Speaker 1: oh my god, let me get the ball out before
Speaker 1: somebody destroys me. I don't care. I want to bet
Speaker 1: the Steelers, so I'm not going to do that. I'm
Speaker 1: moving to fight my internal bias and I'm just going
Speaker 1: to stay away completely. But I agree with you that
Speaker 1: if you like the Steelers, probably your best bet is
Speaker 1: to get on it now. If you do not, if
Speaker 1: you like the Bengals, I would wait. So let's talk
Speaker 1: about the game that I'll probably be watching, you know,
Speaker 1: more closely than most people in the country, and that
Speaker 1: is the Broncos hosting the Jets. The Broncos are currently
Speaker 1: eleven point favorites and the total is forty one and
Speaker 1: a half. You don't see that that often, by the way,
Speaker 1: where a team is double digit favorites and the total
Speaker 1: is you know, fall out of bed and you can
Speaker 1: basically hit it. So what do you think this is? Again?
Speaker 1: This is a Broncos team. Everybody knows. Right, you go
Speaker 1: into Denver early on in the season, that's where you
Speaker 1: know teams always run into trouble because it's a very
Speaker 1: difficult play place to play early in the season when
Speaker 1: conditioning is an up. Yet they get hit by it
Speaker 1: a little bit, they don't really know. And then you
Speaker 1: also have the Jets that are just like a dumpster fire,
Speaker 1: as we basically call them. Unsurprisingly, what do you think
Speaker 1: here at eleven and forty one and a half eleven.
Speaker 2: So the look aheadline for this game, if you were
Speaker 2: into those kind of things, I believe it was six
Speaker 2: and a half or something like that. Yep, and the
Speaker 2: first two weeks of football have really changed that. They've
Speaker 2: all the Broncos also have Teddy two gloves. Who is
Speaker 2: Teddy covers now? I think it's something he covered the
Speaker 2: first two games this year, so that makes him something
Speaker 2: like thirty nine and I think eleven I want to
Speaker 2: say ats and in his career as a starter, it's
Speaker 2: something around that. It's close to eighty percent cover rate,
Speaker 2: which is just absurd. But this number is so big
Speaker 2: and the total is so small. The rule. The rule
Speaker 2: is if the total is if the spread is this
Speaker 2: big and the total is that small, you almost have
Speaker 2: to take the other.
Speaker 1: You have to right like, and this is someone who
Speaker 1: again and again, look, I actually I can be wrong.
Speaker 1: I feel fine with Zach Wilson right now. I mean,
Speaker 1: that offensive line is horrific. Like, I'm not going to
Speaker 1: blame him for all the picks. It's whatever. I like
Speaker 1: Robert stal I think long term they'll probably be okay.
Speaker 1: This year they're going to be terrible. I don't want
Speaker 1: to do this I don't want to take a Jets
Speaker 1: team that has no offensive line that looks completely lost
Speaker 1: that nobody in the world other than like people who
Speaker 1: work for the team can name who starts in their secondary.
Speaker 1: But at this point, like forty one and a half
Speaker 1: and it's an eleven point spread, how do you not
Speaker 1: take the Jets in this situation? Right? Like it's it's
Speaker 1: that's insane, and the thing is, who's I mean, I
Speaker 1: guess the Sharps will probably hit it, right.
Speaker 2: I mean, but I think they already have because it
Speaker 2: started at eleven and a half and we're down to
Speaker 2: eleven now.
Speaker 1: But vandal by the way, it's ten and a half,
Speaker 1: So look at that, you know, at some spots of
Speaker 1: ten and a half.
Speaker 2: So to me, I think they've probably already moved it.
Speaker 2: I would say. So as the kickoff comes, then the
Speaker 2: public guys are gonna be like, oh, yeah, we're just
Speaker 2: the Jets, sock. We're gonna we'll just take the Broncos.
Speaker 2: They're two and oats, Teddy two gloves always covers, and
Speaker 2: then I don't know, maybe we can get it back
Speaker 2: up to eleven is one of those weird football numbers too,
Speaker 2: just like just like four and a half five. It's
Speaker 2: the it is the the above, the double digit version
Speaker 2: of four and a half or five. So they don't
Speaker 2: know really what to do. I guess they're thinking the
Speaker 2: Jets could either cover or lose by thirty is the
Speaker 2: difference there. They have no idea what's gonna happen. I
Speaker 2: have no idea what's gonna happen. I'm gonna I'll wait.
Speaker 2: If you're gonna make me make it, make a bet,
Speaker 2: I'll wait because I think I think the public or
Speaker 2: it's gonna push it in the Broncos favors. So we're
Speaker 2: gonna wait and take the Jets as underdogs right before kickoff.
Speaker 1: I'm glad I'm not doing. Ian McMillan was on early
Speaker 1: last week and he joked about the fact that he
Speaker 1: was betting every single game this year like it making publicly.
Speaker 1: I'm thankful that I don't have to do that. I
Speaker 1: think the Jets are the right side. I think if
Speaker 1: I was a professional gambler, I would basically be like,
Speaker 1: I have to take the Jets here because there's is
Speaker 1: way too much value. I'm not a professional gambler, Thankfully.
Speaker 1: I gamble, but not like this, so I will not
Speaker 1: be dabbling in this. I would prefer just to watch,
Speaker 1: but I eleven's too many points. Give me a total?
Speaker 1: Too many points, disgusting. Okay, the Raiders are hosting the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: The Raiders are laying three and a half, and the
Speaker 1: totals forty five and a half. There are a ton
Speaker 1: of question marks in this game. Tua may play, We
Speaker 1: don't know. I'm not expecting him to play. I mean,
Speaker 1: he's got the rib issue. You know, it's pain tolerance
Speaker 1: at this point, but you know, you know, if you've
Speaker 1: ever done anything to your ribs, like it's basically impossible
Speaker 1: to do anything, and he was carted off. You've also
Speaker 1: got the Raiders who have Derek Carr basically John Gruen
Speaker 1: basically being like I think he'll play with his ankle
Speaker 1: injury that he injured. At the very end, Josh Jacob's
Speaker 1: probably not going to play. The Raiders are off to
Speaker 1: a fantastic start right now. They look dynamite, especially offensively.
Speaker 1: So what do you think here?
Speaker 2: If Derek Carr was healthy and I knew he was
Speaker 2: one hundred percent, I think you just go lay the
Speaker 2: points with the Raiders as quickly as possible. Just because
Speaker 2: of all the other question marks the Dolphins have and
Speaker 2: don't I don't believe what I see. That's the other
Speaker 2: problem though with the Raiders. It's my only trepidation with
Speaker 2: them is do you believe are the Raiders good? Like
Speaker 2: do we think they're good or not? Like? Yeah, they
Speaker 2: they came back and won that game against the Ravens,
Speaker 2: but the Ravens essentially choked that game away at the end.
Speaker 2: They should have. It's another one of those They should
Speaker 2: have got so many opportunities to put the Raiders away
Speaker 2: and just couldn't do it for some reason. And then
Speaker 2: they go out and go into Pittsburgh and win that game.
Speaker 2: Henry Ruggs finally had a good game, which was great.
Speaker 2: I think they have two really unlike him with Brian Edwards,
Speaker 2: are two very good second year receivers that I think
Speaker 2: some most like professional fantasy guys are talking about. But
Speaker 2: I don't know if a lot of public guys are like, oh,
Speaker 2: Brian Edwards, But they have some really and with Darren Waller,
Speaker 2: there's some really good skill position players there. And the
Speaker 2: Dolphins just like two got hurt last week, but that
Speaker 2: defense didn't. Josh Allen just kind of viscerated them, So
Speaker 2: it would be the Raiders for me.
Speaker 1: I mean, I think that once two went out like that,
Speaker 1: also just like we're well, we're well on the whole team,
Speaker 1: just kind of you know, Jacoby Brisset's a perfectly capable quarterback.
Speaker 1: Very tough to get in there when you haven't taken
Speaker 1: any reps and anything like that. Yeah, I mean, by
Speaker 1: the way, I will say this, the conceptus line is
Speaker 1: three and a half betting pros. The majority of the
Speaker 1: lines that I see right here are at three and
Speaker 1: a half, but there are a bunch of fours out there.
Speaker 1: There's a four and a half out there at Points
Speaker 1: Bet and Fox Bets. So it's all over the place
Speaker 1: right now, and I think that understandably, books are a
Speaker 1: little uncertain of how to handle the injury concerns right
Speaker 1: now as am I. So I'm kind of buying what
Speaker 1: we're seeing from the Raiders so long as Derek Carr
Speaker 1: is healthy, because I think a lot of it is
Speaker 1: just Carr has been an underrated quarterback for a couple
Speaker 1: of years. Here, You've got like one of the best
Speaker 1: tight ends in football in Darren Waller, and you do
Speaker 1: have the playmakers like you said, Henry Ruggs can stretch
Speaker 1: the field. Brian Edwards underrated, Hunter Renfro's underrated, he's there
Speaker 1: as well. So with or without Josh Jacobs, I agree
Speaker 1: with you. I just I feel uncertain about it, just
Speaker 1: because of obviously what we've got with all the injuries
Speaker 1: and stuff like that.
Speaker 2: So yeah, keep your eye on it and just like
Speaker 2: kind of play a wait and see mentality.
Speaker 1: If two is healthy. Out of curiosity, if he does
Speaker 1: play in this game, do you think that the line
Speaker 1: moves down from three and a half.
Speaker 2: I don't think so. I don't think it moves too
Speaker 2: much from there.
Speaker 1: And I think, by the way, like we don't you know,
Speaker 1: it's unclear because they've really only had it now for
Speaker 1: this one game with fans there. But what the home
Speaker 1: field advantage is like in Las Vegas? You know, it's
Speaker 1: a the people are crazy there, right like the fans
Speaker 1: are our raucous. You also got to go to Vegas
Speaker 1: and hang out for like three days when you're a
Speaker 1: visiting team somebody who has done that. I'm sure you
Speaker 1: have as well, or maybe not. It takes a toll
Speaker 1: on you, probably a young a young man, maybe in
Speaker 1: your twenties, or thirties, you know, has an impact. But anyway,
Speaker 1: so I think, if anything, I probably do like the Raiders,
Speaker 1: but I'm probably staying away. This game is going to
Speaker 1: be fun to watch. The Vikings are hosting the Seahawks.
Speaker 1: The Seahawks are one and a half point favorites the
Speaker 1: spread the totals an astronomical fifty five points. What do
Speaker 1: you think.
Speaker 2: I would side with the Seahawks just because of literally
Speaker 2: it just comes down to they have the better quarterback
Speaker 2: in this matchup, and I don't really know how else
Speaker 2: to read the rest of those teams at this point.
Speaker 2: The Vikings are a big enigma to me, and I
Speaker 2: don't know how to read them at all at this point.
Speaker 2: But so and then the Seahawks always have their issues.
Speaker 2: The defense is looking for us again, and Russell Wilson
Speaker 2: is still running around like he always does, sometimes when
Speaker 2: he needs to, sometimes when he doesn't need to, which
Speaker 2: is the problem that some people think it is so
Speaker 2: but just because of his talent on and the connection
Speaker 2: he's had with like lock it right now and the
Speaker 2: metcalf hasn't even really gotten going yet. Carson had a
Speaker 2: decent week last week, and I think that that gives
Speaker 2: them the edge, and I'd probably bet the Seahawks here.
Speaker 2: I agree with you.
Speaker 1: I felt really bad for the Vikings, and I was
Speaker 1: on the Vikings. It was it was kind of my
Speaker 1: best bet of the weekend, even though it made me
Speaker 1: vomit right like to have them getting four and a
Speaker 1: half and stuff like that. But you know, look, offensively,
Speaker 1: they can hang. They can hang with pretty much anyone.
Speaker 1: As long as Alvin Cook obviously was banged up. He
Speaker 1: went in and out, but as long as he's healthy,
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson is elite. Adam Feln still has gas left
Speaker 1: in the tank. Suddenly kJ Osborne is filling that void
Speaker 1: left when IRV Smith Junior got injured. They can really
Speaker 1: do some damage offensively, which is why the total of
Speaker 1: fifty five hi so high. It's really hard to take
Speaker 1: it over on a fifty five. I'm not taking the under,
Speaker 1: I'll say that, but I agree with you. I do think,
Speaker 1: especially at coming off of loss like they did, never
Speaker 1: a rough loss for the Seahawks, I think they're going
Speaker 1: to put their foot on the gas and I don't
Speaker 1: think they're going to take it off in this game.
Speaker 1: So I agree with you, especially you know that the
Speaker 1: point spread is one and a half. Doesn't really matter
Speaker 1: at that point, so I will take it. Next game
Speaker 1: is going to be good. The Rams are hosting the Bucks.
Speaker 1: The Rams are laying a point, and the total is
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half. What do you think?
Speaker 2: I think? Yeah, you can't fade tom Brady at this point.
Speaker 2: I think that's just even though they had they let
Speaker 2: we mentioned they let Atlanta to stick around of that game,
Speaker 2: probably a little longer than the Bucks probably would have liked.
Speaker 2: But Tom Brady has nine touchdowns and no interceptions in
Speaker 2: his through two games and his age forty four season.
Speaker 2: The defense is well. Gave up some yards to the
Speaker 2: Falcons last week. I still think that's a pretty good unit,
Speaker 2: and I'd have to Stafford's been fantastic and one of
Speaker 2: the big bets I'm kicking myself for not making early
Speaker 2: season was going to win MVP. The connection with the
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup is been has been so good. I'm kicking
Speaker 2: myself from missing that one as well. But I just don't.
Speaker 2: I think the Bucks have a good enough offensive line
Speaker 2: to keep Aaron Donald at bay, enough to give tom
Speaker 2: Brady the time he needs to find his spots when
Speaker 2: he needs to and they just have so many ways,
Speaker 2: Like Gronk looks young, like Antonio Brown is Antonio Brown
Speaker 2: is going to go over his receiving yards total by
Speaker 2: like week eight. Uh, Like Chris Godwin and Mike, like,
Speaker 2: what are you gonna do? If there's a lot of
Speaker 2: the law problem they present a lot of problems.
Speaker 1: I do. I do I realistically, and I think that
Speaker 1: you look the Rams as good as they've looked. They
Speaker 1: let the Bears hang around a little bit in the
Speaker 1: opening game. They eventually put it away, but they let
Speaker 1: the Colts hang around. And the Colts are a very
Speaker 1: very you know, solid football team overall, but they're not
Speaker 1: the Bucks and the Bucks right now, like real I
Speaker 1: mean it really is with Gronk, who I really didn't
Speaker 1: see this coming. I didn't really see it coming last year.
Speaker 1: I certainly didn't see it coming this year, giving his age,
Speaker 1: giving how much abuse when you have those four options,
Speaker 1: like who cares if you can run the ball, Like
Speaker 1: it really doesn't matter if you have those four options, right,
Speaker 1: it's just going to be remarkable. I'm not going near
Speaker 1: the total again, these giant totals. Dude, I just know
Speaker 1: I can't, Like I just can't.
Speaker 2: I can't.
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say, all right, let's go to Sunday
Speaker 1: night game. The forty nine Ers are currently laying three
Speaker 1: and a half points to the Packers. The totals forty
Speaker 1: seven and a half. Again, this game is going on
Speaker 1: right now. The Packers are driving. It's seventeen fourteen Lions,
Speaker 1: great games. What do you think it's still Lions. Dude's
Speaker 1: still lying. I don't have three and a half points
Speaker 1: here with the forty nine Ers at home? What do
Speaker 1: you think.
Speaker 2: Probably the Niners like it's it's I just like we
Speaker 2: can joke. We could joke and we could joke about
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers all we want, but it's just like it.
Speaker 2: They're losing to the Lions right now. We're talking about that.
Speaker 2: So I like the Niners haven't been what we've probably
Speaker 2: what they've probably expected to be at this point. That
Speaker 2: they've had some some good performances last week was not
Speaker 2: probably what they expected. But against this Packers team, I
Speaker 2: think I think it's got to be I think it's
Speaker 2: got to be the Niners.
Speaker 1: The fact that this is happening, and again, this is
Speaker 1: great because it's live reaction and we don't know how
Speaker 1: it ends. Maybe they win by twenty five points by
Speaker 1: the time. Maybe, but the fact that this is what
Speaker 1: is happening right now at Lambeau after they were embarrassed
Speaker 1: in Week one against the Lions is mind boggling to me.
Speaker 1: It's it's crazy to the point where, unless something dramatically
Speaker 1: different happens at the end of this game, I think
Speaker 1: you do have to take the Niners. It's gross. I
Speaker 1: don't really want to. And unless something crazy happens in
Speaker 1: this game, I don't really see the spread moving. I mean,
Speaker 1: maybe it goes to three. I guess in spots it's
Speaker 1: four at DraftKings where fours. Yeah, yeah, it's a lot
Speaker 1: of fours, So I really know if you get the three.
Speaker 1: But it's disgusting. Let's to a game that everybody wants
Speaker 1: to watch Monday night football. It is the Eagles visiting
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Cowboys are favored by four. The total is
Speaker 1: fifty one and a half. The four spread, which is,
Speaker 1: you know, almost the equivalent. Now quite again, there's some
Speaker 1: three and a half's out there, but the four is
Speaker 1: a little bit, like, I don't know, strikes me as
Speaker 1: a little high in this game for me, for the
Speaker 1: spread like, I'm surprised to see that four. I don't
Speaker 1: know if you are, if you agree or you think
Speaker 1: that that's about right.
Speaker 2: I think it's about right. I don't think you can
Speaker 2: make the cow like you get it under three points
Speaker 2: and people would just hammer the Cowboys, and I just
Speaker 2: the Eagles have been Jalen Hurts has been impressive so far,
Speaker 2: and the Cowboys, while they only gave up the I'm
Speaker 2: gonna say seventeen was it twenty twenty seventeen.
Speaker 1: Or whatever it was twenty seventeen, correct.
Speaker 2: Yes, twenty to seventeen. They only give up seventeen. I
Speaker 2: feel like they should have given up thirty one in
Speaker 2: that game. So we can't really take anything away from
Speaker 2: that that point total there, and I believe Jalen Hurts
Speaker 2: is the type of guy that can really do some
Speaker 2: damage against that. Yeah, that Cowboys defense. It'll be interesting
Speaker 2: to see how they deploy Micah Parsons against him. But
Speaker 2: if he's been he's been getting into the backfield quite
Speaker 2: quickly and it's been impressive to watch so far. But
Speaker 2: if he just kind of blows some assignments there, I
Speaker 2: think there could be a lot of running room for
Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts in this one, and I think he could
Speaker 2: be the difference. So I'd probably lean towards the Eagles
Speaker 2: in the and getting the points in this one. But yeah,
Speaker 2: Dak has looked great in his return, but the Dallas
Speaker 2: defense is just too iffy for me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm taking the points, and I feel.
Speaker 2: You feel good about it. Yeah, he was very confidently.
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh, I'm taking this points right now. I will
Speaker 1: have fired on this the second we're done with this podcast.
Speaker 1: I think that the Eagles are completely live to win
Speaker 1: this game. I mean, I think they look at against
Speaker 1: a Lana and I get that it was Atlanta and
Speaker 1: everything like that, but I think their defense is legitimate.
Speaker 1: They've got some offense. They've got some issues again on
Speaker 1: the on the line and stuff like that. They lost
Speaker 1: Graham everything like that. But remember the Cowboys have a
Speaker 1: ton of issues. You know, a Loile Collins is out.
Speaker 1: You know, they they've just you know, and and Dak
Speaker 1: he does look good, but it's not perfect. Man, Like
Speaker 1: I feel like you watch some of those throws, there's
Speaker 1: there's not the usual zip on some of those sorts.
Speaker 1: He's still great, He's a phenomenon. The running backs are
Speaker 1: both great Pollard is in there, Zeke is in there.
Speaker 1: Mark Cooper is a little banged up by the way,
Speaker 1: which does you know not that that.
Speaker 2: Talking about zip though I don't I think Zeke has
Speaker 2: lost some zip like he doesn't. He's still a great
Speaker 2: running back guy like like you said, but he just
Speaker 2: doesn't have that I don't know, that second gear that
Speaker 2: we've been used to him over that year.
Speaker 1: It seems like, yeah, I'm I'm holding off for now
Speaker 1: to see how I feel about just but Pollard looks
Speaker 1: great when he does look hard.
Speaker 2: Yeah he does.
Speaker 1: He really does, which he's earning those touches. But for me,
Speaker 1: what I really think is that I think the Eagles
Speaker 1: defense is legitimate. I mean San Francisco certainly struggled a bit,
Speaker 1: you know against it, and obviously Atlanta, and I think
Speaker 1: that their offense is going to be able to move
Speaker 1: the ball pretty well. On this Cowboys team, I think
Speaker 1: they're going to keep it close. So I think if
Speaker 1: you're giving me more than a field goal at this point,
Speaker 1: if you dropped to three and a half, I'd be okay,
Speaker 1: I'm going to hit it now. I don't think it's
Speaker 1: gonna drop because you're right. If it drops down too much.
Speaker 1: It's just going to be NonStop Cowboys, and I don't
Speaker 1: think the books really want that necessarily. But I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Eagles here. I feel okay about it, so that
Speaker 1: that's one of the bets. And again on Thursday. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's a divisional game, right, it's always tight, like you know,
Speaker 1: so again one of these games that I feel pretty
Speaker 1: comfortable with my guesses, I'm going to take them on Thursday.
Speaker 1: It's my guest I need to dive into a little
Speaker 1: bit more when I talk about my best bets. You
Speaker 1: won't be here for that, but I do hope that
Speaker 1: you will join us again later this season because I
Speaker 1: enjoy talking to you. Your inside is great, and obviously
Speaker 1: you joined us on what is I assume the biggest
Speaker 1: day in your country's history when you have this election day.
Speaker 1: But I really didn't even know what was happening.
Speaker 2: So I see the results right now. The Liberals are
Speaker 2: leading right now, so that's justin Trudeau's party. They have
Speaker 2: sixty six seats. To the completely different electoral system here
Speaker 2: as opposed to the States, you have to win, you
Speaker 2: win your riding. So I'm in a certain riding. I
Speaker 2: am in a writing called Dartmouth Cole Harbor. I vote
Speaker 2: for the member of parliament. His name is Darren Fisher
Speaker 2: in my riding. I vote for him, and a vote
Speaker 2: for him is essentially a vote for Trudeau. Whoever gets
Speaker 2: the most elected candidates will will form government and they
Speaker 2: need one hundred and seventy seats for a majority. And
Speaker 2: the Liberals are at sixty six, with the Conservatives at
Speaker 2: thirty six, the New Democrats at eleven, the Block Qubequa
Speaker 2: at eight, and the Green Party with one. So there's
Speaker 2: your betting pros Canada Election live updates.
Speaker 1: I understood about half the words of those sentences, so
Speaker 1: that'll be fine. But I'm sure it's a wonderful day
Speaker 1: for you. I appreciate you taking the time during this
Speaker 1: historic day to come on here and taco love football
Speaker 1: with me. I'd love to have you back in the show.
Speaker 1: But before we get to there, tell everybody where they
Speaker 1: could find more of you and your incredible work, which,
Speaker 1: by the way, you he like. Andrew's not like just
Speaker 1: a football guy. Andrew does everything. He's a great follower
Speaker 1: on Twitter, but tell everybody about it.
Speaker 2: You can find me on Twitter at Covers Underscore, Kaylee,
Speaker 2: that c a l e y. I tweet Blue Jays
Speaker 2: picks every day. I admittedly I did it because I'm
Speaker 2: a diehard Blue Jays fan and I just wanted to
Speaker 2: see if that would benefit me. And that has actually
Speaker 2: gone pretty well this year.
Speaker 1: I follow it I a lot.
Speaker 2: Well, yes, it's done pretty well, so I'm happy with that.
Speaker 2: And college football has been has been a bit of
Speaker 2: a disaster recently, so admittedly, hopefully we bounce back with
Speaker 2: college football here this week. But yeah, I just I
Speaker 2: love putting out content for people, and whether the picks
Speaker 2: are right or wrong, the research is always there. I'm
Speaker 2: always trying to find those angles.
Speaker 1: No, it's great. You do great stuff, honestly, over it
Speaker 1: covers everyone, it covers those great stuff. But I do
Speaker 1: enjoy you as as a follow and I have travel
Speaker 1: a lot of your Blue Jays plays and they have
Speaker 1: been really good. So keep them coming across for sur
Speaker 1: figures cross good luck man. I'm telling you as a
Speaker 1: Mets fan, no Yankees, whatever you gotta do, keep him
Speaker 1: out the playoffs. All right. So, as I mentioned, you
Speaker 1: guys know at this point we'll be back later this week.
Speaker 1: Joe and Scott Bogman will be doing a college football
Speaker 1: breakdown and then I'll be back on Thursday doing our
Speaker 1: Best Bets with the guests from Alex kloj Over from
Speaker 1: the Action Network. So again, enjoy the rest of your week.
Speaker 1: We're gonna go watch the end of this incredible football
Speaker 1: game where the Packers are just taking the lead, Like,
Speaker 1: who the heck knows what's happening? Man. Until then, take
Speaker 1: it ease. You can enjoy the rest of your week.