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Speaker 1: Hey there everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast,

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

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Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is

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Speaker 1: time for an early look at the week three NFL lines.

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Speaker 1: Here with me to do that is our good friend

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Speaker 1: Andrew Kayley, Senior content producer over at Covers. Find him

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Covers Underscore. Kaylee. That is c A. L. E.

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Speaker 1: Y Andrew. It's a big day over there for you

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Speaker 1: in Canada. Thank you for taking time out of your

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Speaker 1: business schedule and joining me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we've got the Canadian federal election. For all of

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Speaker 2: us Blue Jays fan, every game is a nailbaitor at

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Speaker 2: this point, going down to the wire and Monday Night football,

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Speaker 2: it's there's a lot going on.

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Speaker 1: I totally knew it today was the federal election day

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Speaker 1: in Canada. Like, I don't know why you think that

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't know that or that I was completely shocked

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Speaker 1: when you came on and mentioned that I'm very into

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Speaker 1: Canadian politics. Don't worry, It'll be fine. But yes, obviously

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Speaker 1: you've got the Blue Jays. We're watching the game right now.

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Speaker 1: It is currently fourteen to seven lions. A little shocking

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Speaker 1: here what we've got, but we'll deal with that. That

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Speaker 1: might impact how we feel about this Green Bay line

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Speaker 1: for next week. But before we get into it again,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go through every spread, every over under. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna see if there's value. Now we're going to talk

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Speaker 1: about whether or not we expect the line to move

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Speaker 1: all that good stuff. Before we get in a couple

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Speaker 1: a very simple. Leave review for the podcast on Apple

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Speaker 1: podcast or Cashbox. Then go to Betting Pros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash review. That is it, And if you want three

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Speaker 1: times the entries, just subscribe to our Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel YouTube dot com slash betting Pros. Every Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: from eleven am Eastern to twelve pm Eastern, Matt Prout

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Speaker 1: and I go through every single game, give our best

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Speaker 1: That's YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: get to the games, and let's start with the Thursday

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Speaker 1: night game. Here, Andrew, the Panthers are visiting the Texans.

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Speaker 1: The Texans are getting seven and a half points, and

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Speaker 1: the over under. Don't worry about it because I totally

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Speaker 1: switched to both my tabs to be on the spread.

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Speaker 1: The over under is for forty four.

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Speaker 2: You've got it.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying you can host the show. My bad. I'm

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Speaker 1: all over the places.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: We were talking right before, I had seventeen tabs open,

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Speaker 1: and I was losing it anyway. So that's what we got.

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Speaker 1: Do you see any value in either of these numbers?

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Speaker 2: I'd have to say. With the Panthers right now, I

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Speaker 2: saw the line hit the board at seven. It's already

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Speaker 2: gone to seven and a half. Panthers have looked good

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Speaker 2: the first two weeks. The Sam Darnold haters, I know

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Speaker 2: you're a Jets fan. I haven't been on the way.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a hater though, I mean I feel bad

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Speaker 1: for him. I'm happy. I'm happy that he gets a

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Speaker 1: chance to show if he can be a competent NFL quarterback. Good, good,

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Speaker 1: good looking so far, you know, not that bad.

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Speaker 2: I think Matt Rule has a big and Joe Brady

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Speaker 2: have a big, big part in the way he's looked

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Speaker 2: so far. They're very good head coach, offensive coordinator combo.

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Speaker 2: They went out there and they beat a Saints team. Well,

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Speaker 2: we're gonna find out, maybe this I was choking with

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Speaker 2: you the other day, We're gonna find out if this

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Speaker 2: tanking Aaron Rodgers thing is real or not right, But

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Speaker 2: so call it. Maybe this is the win over the Saints.

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Speaker 2: Isn't that impressive if the Packers are just tanking? But no. Now,

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Speaker 2: Davis Mills in at quarterback for the Texans. It looks

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Speaker 2: like the Texans. I'll give them credit to they they

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Speaker 2: did look better. I made a bet before the season

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Speaker 2: that they go on seventeen, except you have to sit

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Speaker 2: there and look at it in your tickets for the

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Speaker 2: rest of the season. But no, they've they have some

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Speaker 2: veteran players there. I just don't know if they're going

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Speaker 2: to be able to do it against this line. And

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Speaker 2: these are going to be publicly bet games on Thursday nights,

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Speaker 2: when it's the only game on the board, the favorite

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Speaker 2: will probably see some action. You can maybe if you

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Speaker 2: like the dog, I'll wait a little longer until that

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Speaker 2: may be closer to kickoff, and maybe there'll be a

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Speaker 2: nice little middling opportunity for us here in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I don't see it getting back down

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Speaker 1: to seven. I mean, do you like? I just yeah,

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Speaker 1: I hit it when it was seven because I think

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Speaker 1: that that's I mean, look, you never know, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: every NFL game, the worst NFL team still has premier

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Speaker 1: athletes at every position. Every team plays as hard as

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Speaker 1: I can. But Davis Mills is just not ready to

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Speaker 1: be an NFL quarterback that obviously wasn't really the plan.

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Speaker 1: This is where we find ourselves. So I agree if

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Speaker 1: you like the Panthers at this number, which is fine

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Speaker 1: if you do bet it now, because if not, it's

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Speaker 1: probably moving that the total. I mean, I don't know, man,

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Speaker 1: like I don't really a forty four like, I have

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Speaker 1: no idea if the Texans are going to be able

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Speaker 1: to put up any points whatsoever. So it's just something

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Speaker 1: where I'm not even getting involved at all with the total.

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Speaker 2: I would stay away. I was one of those victims

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Speaker 2: last week. I was for sure that that Washington Giants

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Speaker 2: game was going to go under forty and a half

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Speaker 2: and then they put up almost sixties. So this early

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Speaker 2: there have been some very I don't know what to

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Speaker 2: say here, sobering, sobering results so far in the NFL

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Speaker 2: season through two weeks. So yeah, this one, it all

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Speaker 2: depends on if the Texans can score or not. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure. I would probably stay away as well.

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Speaker 1: Totally stay away from me as well. What about the

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Speaker 1: Chargers visiting the Chiefs. This is a fascinating game, actually,

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Speaker 1: I'm really excited to watch it. Chiefs are laying six

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Speaker 1: and a half points and the total is fifty five

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Speaker 1: and a half, which I like now that the totals

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Speaker 1: are just like, look at just fifty five, fifty six,

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Speaker 1: no big deal, Like this is just every game right now?

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Speaker 1: What do you think here of these numbers.

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Speaker 2: It's a good example of what I was just saying

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Speaker 2: a moment ago. Last week, everybody was foreshore that Dallas

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Speaker 2: and San Diego was going to go over that total.

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Speaker 2: I think it was about fifty three, and everyone was

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Speaker 2: I talked to was on the over in that game,

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Speaker 2: and then we get forty points scored. Now that said,

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Speaker 2: there was some very questionable refereeing in that game, and

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Speaker 2: there was a bunch of points taking off the board

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Speaker 2: for the Chargers. I really like the way that Justin

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Speaker 2: Herbert has looked this year so far, especially finding that

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Speaker 2: connection with Mike Williams. He could be a big, a

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Speaker 2: big breakout star this year for the Chargers. But fifty

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Speaker 2: five is a big number, and it looks like it's

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Speaker 2: going to keep going up, so I'd probably wait, let

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Speaker 2: it go up. I could see myself teasing it down

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Speaker 2: in a bunch of teasers too, around to that fifties, yeah,

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Speaker 2: and maybe taking or sorry, teasing it up even higher

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Speaker 2: gets maybe gets up to fifty seven, and I'll maybe

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Speaker 2: tease it up to sixty three or something like that

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Speaker 2: and take the under there.

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Speaker 1: I just I can't I imagine there's gonna be scoring here.

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Speaker 1: Like frankly, I don't think I would tease it up

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Speaker 1: and I because there would never there would be no

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Speaker 1: number that I would feel okay about, right and angry

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahos game. By the way, I'm gonna let go

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Speaker 1: of the fact that you called them San Diego. Oh

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Speaker 1: you talk about by the way, I I it's remarkable, right,

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Speaker 1: you and I talk about like sports all day long,

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Speaker 1: whether it's betting for me, betting and fantasy and stuff

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Speaker 1: like that. And the other day I did a video

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Speaker 1: and I called them the Oakland Raiders. Like I just

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Speaker 1: some things you can't get out of your head. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. But anyway, I just want to make that clear.

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Speaker 1: We knew it. It was all for fun. Everything is

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Speaker 1: good anyway. Yeah, I agree that game sort of didn't

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Speaker 1: go as expected. I'm not going near forty five and

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Speaker 1: a half if anything, though, Like, there's there's not gonna

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Speaker 1: be Chiefs game where it's just gonna be like pitter

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Speaker 1: patter like there's gonna be a lot of scoring one

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Speaker 1: way or another. So if anything I actually thought would

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Speaker 1: you said originally, would tease it down, I'd be almost

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Speaker 1: more apt to do. What about the spread six and

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Speaker 1: a half? Do you think this ends up here? Do

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Speaker 1: you think it moves one way or another? And do

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Speaker 1: you like it at that number at all?

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Speaker 2: So initially I want to say yes, I like getting

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs ad anything less than a touchdown, especially at home.

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Speaker 2: But they're just one in eight ats in their last

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Speaker 2: nine regular season games, and I don't know if that's

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Speaker 2: just they're usually I get they're either in spreads that

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Speaker 2: are too big and they get a little complacent at

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Speaker 2: the end, or they have games like they did against

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Speaker 2: the Ravens last week. It's an interesting number and I

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Speaker 2: don't know how to feel about them. I hate fading

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes. I admittedly was on them last night. Three

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Speaker 2: and a half I thought was a great number, and

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Speaker 2: I turned off the TV for a little while when

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Speaker 2: they were off by about twelve or whatever they were,

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Speaker 2: I thought it was over. And obviously that was not

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Speaker 2: the case. Laharjacks and the other plans, but I think

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Speaker 2: you'd have to lay the points with the or take

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Speaker 2: the points with the Chargers. At this point, I think

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Speaker 2: Justin Herbert is almost good enough. He's obviously not Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 2: but he can sling it just as bout as well

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Speaker 2: as anybody else in the NFL. And I like a

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Speaker 2: lot of these defenders on this Chargers team. If there's

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Speaker 2: someone that can cover some of these guys, it's guys

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Speaker 2: like Derwyn James and and Bosa is the type of

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Speaker 2: guy that you can get some pressure on Mahomes, which

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Speaker 2: is the key to getting to them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Chargers defense is very solid, and they usually

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Speaker 1: are before they eventually succumb to injuries like they do

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Speaker 1: every single year. But that's the thing, like, I mean,

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't think the public generally really focuses

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Speaker 1: on the fact that as great as the Chiefs are,

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Speaker 1: as great as Mahomes is, they're not great against the spread.

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Speaker 1: That's just, you know, not really what they do. So

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Speaker 1: it's six and a half. I mean, that's a great line.

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Speaker 1: That's because that's basically begging the public better to take

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs at this point. But it's just I bet

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Speaker 1: you it just hangs out there the whole time. I

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Speaker 1: don't think you need to make a move.

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Speaker 2: You like it.

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Speaker 1: Either way, it's probably going to stay there. I don't

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Speaker 1: see it getting up to seven. I don't see it

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Speaker 1: really going down. So he gets where it ends up.

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Speaker 1: It's probably a stay away from me, just because I'm terrified, basically,

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Speaker 1: what would say? How about the Jaguars hosting the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: The Cardinals are laying seven and a half and the

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Speaker 1: total is fifty two.

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Speaker 2: I really dislike the number. I dislike laying more than

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Speaker 2: a touchdown with a road team. But this Jaguars team,

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Speaker 2: I am. I am waiting for the Urban Meyer like

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Speaker 2: I'm just done with this press conference.

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Speaker 1: Yep.

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Speaker 2: I think they are one of the most underprepared teams

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. I've watched enough of the games the

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Speaker 2: last two weeks to say, like, they don't look competitive.

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Speaker 2: They just don't look like a competitive football team right now.

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Speaker 2: And then he goes out there last week and those

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Speaker 2: rumors about USC comes out, and he looks like my

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Speaker 2: kid when I've caught him doing something wrong. I see

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Speaker 2: the milk, there's the milk on the counter. Did you

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Speaker 2: spill that milk? No? No, Like I don't. It's a

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Speaker 2: really weird situation. I think Trevor Lawrence has shown some

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Speaker 2: potential for what he can be. I just I just

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Speaker 2: don't know if that's gonna be able to happen under

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Speaker 2: Urban Meyer. He hates giving James Robbinson the football. I'm

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Speaker 2: sure the fans, the fantasy pros, the nice game all like,

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Speaker 2: he is the most talented skill position player on that roster.

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Speaker 2: Now Chanolt isn't getting involved. Brother, I just don't know

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Speaker 2: what they're doing there. So I'd have to I'd have

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Speaker 2: to take the points with the Cardinals, particularly just also

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Speaker 2: because the way the Cardinals have played through the first

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Speaker 2: two weeks, particularly Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this strikes me as a game that probably the

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Speaker 1: quote unquote sharp betters are going to hit the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: because I remember this with the Jets last year, where

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Speaker 1: you know, I try to, you know, talk to whoever

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Speaker 1: I know about and they would always be like, there's

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Speaker 1: value on the Jets on this number, and I would

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Speaker 1: just watch them and I'd be like, there's no value

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Speaker 1: on the Jets. Like I understand a system, right something

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Speaker 1: A professional better completely understand why a model says this

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Speaker 1: number is too good. But there are teams like the

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Speaker 1: Jets last year, and you're absolutely right with the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: this year. And it's really because of the coaching staff.

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Speaker 1: You're absolutely right. I mean, this is as quickly as

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Speaker 1: I've ever seen basically everyone realized that a coach is

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Speaker 1: completely just mentally checked out in over his head, despised

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Speaker 1: by his own players. Like just everything is terrible. You

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Speaker 1: can't take the Jaguars no matter what it is. I

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Speaker 1: I'll probably fire on the Cardinals. It's not getting better.

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Speaker 1: It's not getting better. Get it now, yeah, get it

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Speaker 1: now because it's not getting better. But man, that is ugly.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it's a big line. I mean over touchdown there.

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Speaker 1: You know the books, it's very transparent what the books

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Speaker 1: are doing right now, Like it's very clear when they

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Speaker 1: want you to bet, where they want you to bet

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Speaker 1: and stuff like that, and people will so I agree,

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Speaker 1: all right, So you don't like road teams laying more

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Speaker 1: in a touchdown. You've got the Ravens then going to Detroit.

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Speaker 1: Who where This is the middle of the game as

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Speaker 1: I speak right now, it's a little less than a

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Speaker 1: minute left in halftime and the Lions are putting up

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Speaker 1: another competitive effort. The Ravens here are laying nine and

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Speaker 1: the total is forty nine and a half. Now, by

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Speaker 1: the time people listen to this, Andrew, it might be

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Speaker 1: different because the Lions beat the Packers in this game,

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Speaker 1: maybe that Lion comes down a little bit. But for

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Speaker 1: now four nine and a half with the spread of

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Speaker 1: the Ravens as the road team LAYG nine. What do

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Speaker 1: you think.

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Speaker 2: I can't believe I'm saying this, but take the Lions

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Speaker 2: in the nine points. Like the the Ravens are coming

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Speaker 2: off a huge comeback win last night, they get that

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Speaker 2: even Lamar Jackson get that monkey off their back against

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs. So this is a as stereotypical of a

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Speaker 2: letdown spot as there could be for the Ravens, who, frankly,

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Speaker 2: if not for some crazy heroics from Lamar Jackson like

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Speaker 2: last night and a fumble, they don't win that game. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: they come into this game and they're one too probably,

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Speaker 2: and I just I just don't the Lions are playing well.

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Speaker 2: I still can't believe that. I'm sure Aaron Rodgers is

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Speaker 2: doing this just to mess with us all. This is

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Speaker 2: the this is the Aaron Rodgers experience for getting this year,

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Speaker 2: and it's gonna be an interesting one. But you can't

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Speaker 2: deny the Lions at least being competitive. Maybe that's a

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Speaker 2: that's the difference between a guy like Dan Campbell and

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Speaker 2: and Urban Meyer, Like this guy is gonna die for

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Speaker 2: this football team, and these players seem to put it

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Speaker 2: on the line for him, even if you think his

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Speaker 2: coaching strategies don't make any sense. But like the actual

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Speaker 2: x's and o's of Dan Campbell can be debated pretty

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Speaker 2: pretty easily, but those guys seem to play hard for him.

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Speaker 1: So it's half the battle, man, Like, it's if you

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Speaker 1: want to, you know, live and die for your coach,

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Speaker 1: that is half the battle. There have been plenty of

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Speaker 1: coaches who aren't phenomenal, you know, x'es and o's type

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Speaker 1: of guys, but who their team goes out there and

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Speaker 1: they don't give up. And again, you're right, this is

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Speaker 1: a great point because you we were joking again when

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Speaker 1: when we were trying to come up with a time

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Speaker 1: to record this podcast and we're going to our schedules,

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Speaker 1: and I was like, well, I mean we can do

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Speaker 1: it during Monday night football man, Like it's okay with me,

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Speaker 1: and you were like, yeah, I really want to see

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Speaker 1: whether or not Rogers is actually tanking, but I'm willing

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Speaker 1: to do it there. You know, I don't know, but

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Speaker 1: I think the Lions really do just you know, are

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Speaker 1: they play hard and they look okay. Jared Golf looks okay,

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Speaker 1: it looks fine right now at least, so whatever's going on,

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Speaker 1: I agree with you as right now you got to

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Speaker 1: take the points out. I'm interested to see if the

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Speaker 1: Lions win this game out of curiosity so you can predict,

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Speaker 1: because who knows exactly what's going to happen. If the

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Speaker 1: Lions win this game, what do you think that spread

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Speaker 1: goes to it's nine as we record this.

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Speaker 2: It'll probably approach seven and a half. I would say, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think that would be the number. It kind of

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Speaker 2: lands on after that.

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Speaker 1: And well, I'm still saying that I expect the Packers

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Speaker 1: to pull this one out, so we'll see if that happens.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to another big one. It's a home team

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Speaker 1: laying nine. It's the Bills laying nine to the Washington

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Speaker 1: football team. And the total is pretty low here at

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Speaker 1: forty six. What do you think? Uh?

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Speaker 2: I want to say over here, just because of how

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Speaker 2: impressive Josh Allen has looked, that offense has looked the defense. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: he threw up a shutout last week against Jacoby Brissett, right,

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Speaker 2: But and now they go against Taylor Heineke. But Kinekee

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Speaker 2: had his moments last week. That's against the Giants defense,

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Speaker 2: which is a little different obviously. Uh. But the thing

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Speaker 2: for me about why I like over I went in

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Speaker 2: with obviously some expectations surrounding this Washington football team defense,

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Speaker 2: and that just hasn't come to fruition at this point. Besides, Chase, like,

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Speaker 2: Chase Young is a freak and he's very good, and

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Speaker 2: I expect that defensive line to be better. They've got

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Speaker 2: like that all SEC frontline, all first round guys, and

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Speaker 2: but they just were not getting enough pressure on Daniel Jones. Luckily,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't matter because Daniel Jones will sometimes just on

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Speaker 2: the run, he seems fine, but give him a clean

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Speaker 2: pocket and overthrow a guy by five yards. But I

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Speaker 2: was I was shocked about how little pressure they were

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Speaker 2: they were getting on him when they needed it sort

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Speaker 2: of thing. And the secondary had its problems as well.

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Speaker 2: Landing Collins well, a great run stuffer, still has his

358
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Speaker 2: issues defending the deep ball. And Josh Allen's going to

359
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Speaker 2: be throwing some deep in this one.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree with you. I don't have a

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Speaker 1: great feel for the spread. It seems a little high

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Speaker 1: to me. I mean, Washing put up points with Taylor

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Speaker 1: Heinege and the Bills. I know, again you mentioned it.

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Speaker 1: They pitched a shutout in the last game, and their

365
00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,040
Speaker 1: defense has look good, you know, look good against Pittsburgh

366
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Speaker 1: as well. But again, I think that's more on the

367
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Speaker 1: lack of offense of the two opposing teams, and it is

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Speaker 1: on their defense haartly. I mean, they have a great

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Speaker 1: pass defense and everything, but Washington is able to move

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Speaker 1: the ball and put up points. The Bills are as well.

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Speaker 1: Their offense hasn't looked great right now, but we know

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Speaker 1: what it can do. So at forty six, this is

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Speaker 1: a number i'd hammer immediately, actually right now. Like that,

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Speaker 1: I agree with you. The over is a play that

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Speaker 1: I really like. I'd probably stay away from the spread

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Speaker 1: at least for right now.

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Speaker 2: Ah, you agree, Yeah, I agree with that.

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Speaker 1: Browns are hosting the Bears. The Browns are a lot

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Speaker 1: of seven and a half point lines right now. The

380
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Speaker 1: Browns are seven and a half point favorites total forty

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Speaker 1: six and a half.

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Speaker 2: What do you think just we have the theme tonight,

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Speaker 2: it's just like, yeah, so the books clearly want us

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Speaker 2: to go take those points with the Bears there it

385
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Speaker 2: looks like. But I'm a big Justin Fields guy. He

386
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Speaker 2: was my leave second rated quarterback coming into this draft.

387
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Speaker 2: I think he has a very good potential. He obviously

388
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Speaker 2: had some jitters, some jitters in that game, but I

389
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Speaker 2: think that also comes partly because the Bears just have

390
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Speaker 2: been refusing to give him first team reps. And if

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Speaker 2: you give him some first team reps and give him

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Speaker 2: some real practice, then maybe he can maybe show what

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Speaker 2: he's more capable of. I guess I saw today. I

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Speaker 2: think you can correct me if I'm wrong. But Andy

395
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Speaker 2: Dalton is okay and he will be the starter if healthy.

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Speaker 1: Is that this is correct and he's okay and that

397
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Speaker 1: he doesn't have serious damage. But it doesn't mean that

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Speaker 1: he's going to be able to start this week or

399
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Speaker 1: anything like that. But will they came out and said

400
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Speaker 1: he will be the starter when healthy, because why not?

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Speaker 2: Because man Hackey. I guess I don't know. The Bears

402
00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:53,040
Speaker 2: played much better last week overall. I thought the Bengals

403
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Speaker 2: had it. We're gonna win that game just because of

404
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Speaker 2: the Bears situation. So I was impressed with the Bears

405
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Speaker 2: defense in that game. And the Bears defense is still good,

406
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Speaker 2: so they'll be able to keep them in this football game.

407
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Speaker 2: So but and the Browns had trouble putting away putting

408
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Speaker 2: away the Texans last week. I expected the Browns to

409
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Speaker 2: cover that spread. I lined it myself at about minus

410
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Speaker 2: fourteen last week. So I took the Browns minus twelve

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Speaker 2: and a half and I got burned on it. So

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Speaker 2: this is another my mind. I think I'll probably have

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Speaker 2: to do what the books are asking me and take

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Speaker 2: that plus seven and a half points with the Bears.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the bait. I'll take the bait now, I

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Speaker 1: mean I will. I Look, bottom line is this, like,

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Speaker 1: I get that the Browns run the ball beautifully. I

418
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Speaker 1: get that their system is great and they've got you know,

419
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Speaker 1: all else fouls. They can go to Hooper, they can

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Speaker 1: go to Ndjoku. That's totally fine. But you know, we

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Speaker 1: don't know Voell Beckham Junior is going to play in

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Speaker 1: this game. Jarvis Slandry's out. We already know that Baker's

423
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Speaker 1: banged up, Like he's okay, He's gonna play, but he's

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Speaker 1: banged up, like he's not one hundred percent. And if

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Speaker 1: you get Fields with a full week of basically being

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Speaker 1: like you're got And here's the thing, whatever you think

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Speaker 1: about Matt and Age, like, there's no way that they

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Speaker 1: went into this entire our season Andrew basically refusing to

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Speaker 1: have in their book somewhere buried a game plan that

430
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:13,160
Speaker 1: revolves around justin Fields right like this is happening, yeah eventually,

431
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 1: So get it into the game plan right now. Let

432
00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:17,919
Speaker 1: him just open it up. I mean, think about what

433
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:19,399
Speaker 1: that you know, I know it didn't look at against

434
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,800
Speaker 1: forty nine ers, but think about what the Eagles were

435
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:25,359
Speaker 1: able to do when they first started against Atlanta. And

436
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 1: you can, you know, build your your game plan around

437
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:30,520
Speaker 1: a running quarterback, you can do a lot. Fields is

438
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:33,560
Speaker 1: very talented. I will take the bait. I understand, like

439
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,879
Speaker 1: that's fine, and they seem totally comfortable with it. And

440
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:37,560
Speaker 1: there's no surprises here. By the way, I'm sure they're

441
00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 1: baking in the fact that Beckham's not going to play.

442
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 1: They know Landry's not going to play. They don't care.

443
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 1: They want you to do it. You're you were taking

444
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:44,400
Speaker 1: the plunge together.

445
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:46,160
Speaker 2: We're taking the plan. Yeah, let's do love it.

446
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,919
Speaker 1: Let's go all day long. Let's go to the Colts

447
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 1: are visiting the Titans. The Titans are currently laying five

448
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 1: and a half. There's some fives out there vacillates between

449
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 1: five and five and a half. The totals forty eight.

450
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 1: We obviously have the wins situation here, where you know,

451
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:02,640
Speaker 1: we don't know whether or not it's going to play.

452
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:07,120
Speaker 1: From everything I see, it seems to suggest that it's doubtful.

453
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 1: Apparently he's got ankle issues on both legs or I

454
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 1: don't know both ankles, so it just seems unlikely to me.

455
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:15,360
Speaker 1: But who knows. So what do you think right now?

456
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: Five to five and a half one or the other.

457
00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 2: I probably. I think we finally saw the Titans in

458
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 2: the second half of that game against the Seahawks, the

459
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 2: real Titans. They're like, oh, yeah, we've got Derreck Henry.

460
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:26,679
Speaker 2: I guess we'll start giving him the ball again. The

461
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 2: defense is still obviously a huge issue for that team.

462
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 2: But is it it's gonna be Jacob Easton?

463
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:35,439
Speaker 1: Then if it's not, it will be you better believe it.

464
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:40,159
Speaker 1: Let's take the Titans now, Yeah, before that gets to

465
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 1: six points. If you get I've already done it. I've

466
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 1: already done it. And by the way put wentzon there,

467
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 1: I still am taking them at five now. They played

468
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 1: very well, better than I expected actually against the Rams.

469
00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:54,920
Speaker 1: Michael Pittman Junior had a fantastic game, and look good.

470
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 1: They got Pascal involved. It wasn't the same week one.

471
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 1: Let me just dink and dunk to Night Hines and

472
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,960
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor like. They got the rest of the guys involved,

473
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,719
Speaker 1: which they have to because you can't do that, you know,

474
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 1: every single time. So they look good. Their defense is fine,

475
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 1: but I look, I was all over. One of my

476
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 1: bets last week was the Titans getting six or five

477
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 1: and a half or whatever it was against the Seahawks,

478
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,200
Speaker 1: because I was very clear. I thought Week one was

479
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 1: a lot of just COVID the issues that they had.

480
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 1: They didn't play a lot in the preseason together. Julio

481
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 1: Jones wasn't acclimated yet to the offense. You give Mike

482
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 1: Rabil a full week of practice, I think they're going

483
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,920
Speaker 1: to be okay. They finally it took a half, took

484
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:34,119
Speaker 1: a half, they finally got it together. I think you're

485
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 1: going to see this again, I think they're gonna put

486
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 1: up a lot of points. It's not a number that

487
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 1: I that I would scream or pound the desk for

488
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:45,400
Speaker 1: necessarily if Wentz is healthy, but a I think even

489
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,399
Speaker 1: if he plays, he's going to be limited. And I

490
00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 1: just think that it's a recipe for a disaster for them.

491
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 1: So I'm taking the Titans now. I don't think the

492
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,679
Speaker 1: number moved. I don't think if Wentz is declared in

493
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,440
Speaker 1: that this number drops or anything like that to four,

494
00:22:58,560 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 1: I think.

495
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 2: That he's based in there.

496
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,400
Speaker 1: Yet Yep, I think so too, So I would take

497
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 1: it there. Let's go to the Patriots at home. They

498
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: are laying three to the Saints and the total sorry,

499
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,160
Speaker 1: let me get it is forty three, so low total here,

500
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: obviously with neither team in offensive juggernaut. The Saints go

501
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,720
Speaker 1: from whoopen the Packers in Week one in the Aaron

502
00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 1: Rodgers tank Fest and then they just look absolutely terrible

503
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 1: in this most recent game. What do you think here?

504
00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:29,360
Speaker 1: Patriots lang three to the Saints at home.

505
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 2: I think I'm not a big I'm not a big

506
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 2: Mac Jones guy, so but they they have done what

507
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 2: they always do. The Patriots have done what they always do.

508
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 2: They've built a game plan that is going to play

509
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 2: to his strength, and he's an accurate quarterback who can

510
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 2: read the field quickly, and he's he's got a high

511
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,600
Speaker 2: football IQ. And they're going to take advantage that. They're

512
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 2: going to run the football with Damien Harris all game,

513
00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 2: and I think that they'll be able to run it. Yeah,

514
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,119
Speaker 2: the Saints have a strong defense, but I think in

515
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 2: this situation at home, the public will be on the

516
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:05,680
Speaker 2: Patriots in this game. So I would bet it before

517
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 2: it goes above that key number three.

518
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I would be fine because I

519
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 1: do think that the worst case scenario is a push.

520
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,440
Speaker 1: But I like and the Saints have are really banged

521
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 1: up on defense too. You know, Latimore didn't play like

522
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:20,320
Speaker 1: who knows if he's going to be back. I know

523
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 1: it's not exactly the same because it's not really the offense.

524
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 1: They don't have the Alpha number one wide receiver or

525
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,399
Speaker 1: anything like that. I will say, by the way, as

526
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,439
Speaker 1: I look at the various lines on Bettingbros dot Com,

527
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 1: it is three. Every book Fox Bet has it right

528
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 1: now at two and a half. So if you're listening

529
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 1: right now, check Fox. But if you have access that

530
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 1: go hit that for sure, because I would love that

531
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:39,760
Speaker 1: total is low. Here, what do you think about that

532
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: forty three? I mean, either team seems like they're going

533
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 1: to put a point, which probably means they're going to

534
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 1: combine for like sixty five or something like that. But

535
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 1: what do you think realistically of forty three?

536
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 2: I realistically think it's a good number, and I'd probably

537
00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 2: if you put a gun in my head, i'd say

538
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 2: go under. But then yeah, it'll probably, like you said,

539
00:24:56,320 --> 00:25:00,399
Speaker 2: it'll probably end up scoring sixty points because the NFL

540
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,159
Speaker 2: so far this year. But I think it's a pretty

541
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,359
Speaker 2: decent number. I'm probably not going to touch it. I

542
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 2: would lean towards the under because of Mac Jones and

543
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,000
Speaker 2: Jamis Winston and those are the starting quarterbacks in this game,

544
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 2: and the Patriots defense is looking better each week as well,

545
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 2: so I'm not going to put any faith in them

546
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 2: putting up the points. But like for me, like I said,

547
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 2: it's a stay away.

548
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,800
Speaker 1: Okay, how about the Falcons visiting the Giants? Now, the

549
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: consensus line is three and a half, but as I look,

550
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 1: it's really split down the middle between three and three

551
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,399
Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, bet MGM is at three,

552
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 1: Fandle is at three. DraftKings and fox Bet are at

553
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 1: three and a half, so if that matters to you

554
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 1: can let me know. But the Giants are at home.

555
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: They're laying three and a half to the Falcons. The

556
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: totals forty eight and a half, so that's, you know,

557
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 1: not not the highest total on the board, but certainly

558
00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: some points here expected. What do you think they're.

559
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,640
Speaker 2: I'll probably stay away from the side of this one

560
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 2: because I have literally no idea how to gauge what

561
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 2: the Giants did. They showed up on a Thursday night,

562
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 2: or like Daniel Jones has his best game on games

563
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,199
Speaker 2: on Thursday nights, despite the fact that he loses. He

564
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:03,160
Speaker 2: plays well and then they lose, and then the rest

565
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 2: of the time he's just awful. And the Falcons have

566
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 2: just are the Falcons right now, because we can call

567
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 2: them a dumpster fire or whatever we want to call them.

568
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 2: It's not good right now. But they put up some

569
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,639
Speaker 2: points at the end of that the end of the

570
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 2: Bucks game, So I'm just looking at the over right here.

571
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,400
Speaker 2: Probably the forty eight and a half is a lot

572
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: of points for some bad teams, but I still think

573
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 2: this is probably the best play in the game in

574
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 2: a game that I would generally stay away from for

575
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 2: the most part. But if my favorite play would be

576
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 2: that over forty and a half, I.

577
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: Agree with you because I do think that, you know,

578
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: I think everybody kind of looked at the Falcons when

579
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 1: they played the Eagles and they were like, oh my god,

580
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 1: this is the worst team I've ever seen. And other

581
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:47,639
Speaker 1: than the fact that Matt Ryan threw two pick sixes

582
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,440
Speaker 1: at the end that really made the final score a lopsided,

583
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 1: like they kind of hung in there wick a Bucks. Yeah,

584
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 1: they were able to move the ball. Like I realized

585
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: that the Bucks were ahead, so you know, who knows what.

586
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: They kind of laid back on defense a little bit,

587
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,399
Speaker 1: but they were able to move the ball. Cor Daryl

588
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:06,400
Speaker 1: Patterson was somehow very involved. Calvin Ridley caught a touchdown.

589
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:08,639
Speaker 1: I don't know where we are where Cordero Patterson is

590
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,520
Speaker 1: like the man, but whatever. But they will be able

591
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:13,880
Speaker 1: to put up points here for sure. The Giants will too,

592
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 1: just because you know Daniel Jones, you know you do

593
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 1: mention it on the run. He has a good and

594
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 1: you know Sterling Shepherd looks good. Galladay will get more

595
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 1: involved Saquon Barkley with another ten days of rest here,

596
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,399
Speaker 1: they're designing a lot of like designed runs for Daniel

597
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:29,639
Speaker 1: Jones that look good. They'll put up points here, and

598
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,240
Speaker 1: their defense is not strong enough to kind of hold

599
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 1: a team like the Falcons that can at least move

600
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 1: the ball. They have a veteran quarterback, they have an

601
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,879
Speaker 1: Alpha wide receiver, they have some other playmakers with pits,

602
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 1: even Mike Davis. So I agree with you. I'd hit

603
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 1: the over. I'd hit it now at forty eight and

604
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: a half because I feel pretty confident that's going over.

605
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 2: So that'll be a public play towards the weekend. So yeah,

606
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 2: go for it. I love it.

607
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,879
Speaker 1: I don't care. I love being public this one. So Andrew,

608
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 1: I don't know what you think about this, but Matt

609
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:58,360
Speaker 1: Matt Pearl, who does you know, Hostsared Daily podcast. He

610
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 1: always says that when a line is between like four

611
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,360
Speaker 1: and a half and five and a half somewhere around there,

612
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 1: that the books are kind of just throwing up their

613
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: hands and basically being like, we don't exactly know what

614
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 1: to do here. That's apparently what we have in this

615
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 1: game with the Steelers are laying four and a half

616
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 1: points to the Bengals. Total is low forty four divisional game.

617
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,720
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow looked absolutely horrific for most of that game

618
00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 1: and then through two touchdown passes. So what do you think?

619
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 1: The Steelers don't look much better? You know, realistically, So

620
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:29,680
Speaker 1: I don't know what do you do here at four

621
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:30,919
Speaker 1: and a half?

622
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 2: I think I take the points, I think, but I

623
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 2: think we wait. This is if you're gonna take the

624
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 2: points with the Bengals. This will be a game. The

625
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 2: Steelers are the more public team, and they will get

626
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 2: they'll get better up I think closer to kickoff. So

627
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 2: I think we wait on the Bengals and then we

628
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 2: take the points with them in that game, despite admittedly

629
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 2: not knowing how this game is going to go at all.

630
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 2: Like your description of Joe Burrow, there was perfect and

631
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 2: they have so many seemed like elite playmakers, but everybody

632
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 2: everyone made fun of them at the draft because they

633
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 2: didn't take Penny Sewell, because it doesn't matter who you're

634
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 2: throwing to if you're on your butt like and that's

635
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 2: the Bengals. There's still the Bengals problem so far this season,

636
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: that offensive line play. And I am really Naje Harris

637
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: is a terrific player for the Steelers. They have some

638
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 2: good young guys. It sounds like Deantay Johnson's okay as well.

639
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 2: And I'm just serious there, which is good for them.

640
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:30,479
Speaker 2: But I'm starting to think that we're seeing the end

641
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 2: of the Roethlisberger effectiveness as the starting NFL quarterback. Yeah.

642
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,200
Speaker 1: I want nothing to do with this game, like I

643
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: I honestly, because right, I mean, and you know, I get.

644
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 1: I think you're right though, if you do like the Bengals,

645
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 1: he can wait it because I think it's gonna go up.

646
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 1: Because people still eat myself too, dude. I fight like

647
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 1: at an internal bias, like the Steelers, like I really

648
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 1: need to be like they'll be fine, Like they'll be

649
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: all right, like you know, tom linill figure it out,

650
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 1: Like they'll be fine. I don't care that they have

651
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:01,960
Speaker 1: maybe the worst offensive line in football, Like I don't

652
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 1: care that Ben's a thousand years old and looks like,

653
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 1: oh my god, let me get the ball out before

654
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 1: somebody destroys me. I don't care. I want to bet

655
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 1: the Steelers, so I'm not going to do that. I'm

656
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 1: moving to fight my internal bias and I'm just going

657
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 1: to stay away completely. But I agree with you that

658
00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:16,880
Speaker 1: if you like the Steelers, probably your best bet is

659
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 1: to get on it now. If you do not, if

660
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 1: you like the Bengals, I would wait. So let's talk

661
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 1: about the game that I'll probably be watching, you know,

662
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: more closely than most people in the country, and that

663
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: is the Broncos hosting the Jets. The Broncos are currently

664
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:35,200
Speaker 1: eleven point favorites and the total is forty one and

665
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 1: a half. You don't see that that often, by the way,

666
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:39,959
Speaker 1: where a team is double digit favorites and the total

667
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: is you know, fall out of bed and you can

668
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: basically hit it. So what do you think this is? Again?

669
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: This is a Broncos team. Everybody knows. Right, you go

670
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 1: into Denver early on in the season, that's where you

671
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 1: know teams always run into trouble because it's a very

672
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 1: difficult play place to play early in the season when

673
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,120
Speaker 1: conditioning is an up. Yet they get hit by it

674
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 1: a little bit, they don't really know. And then you

675
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 1: also have the Jets that are just like a dumpster fire,

676
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 1: as we basically call them. Unsurprisingly, what do you think

677
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,200
Speaker 1: here at eleven and forty one and a half eleven.

678
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 2: So the look aheadline for this game, if you were

679
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 2: into those kind of things, I believe it was six

680
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:21,719
Speaker 2: and a half or something like that. Yep, and the

681
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 2: first two weeks of football have really changed that. They've

682
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 2: all the Broncos also have Teddy two gloves. Who is

683
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 2: Teddy covers now? I think it's something he covered the

684
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 2: first two games this year, so that makes him something

685
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 2: like thirty nine and I think eleven I want to

686
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 2: say ats and in his career as a starter, it's

687
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 2: something around that. It's close to eighty percent cover rate,

688
00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 2: which is just absurd. But this number is so big

689
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 2: and the total is so small. The rule. The rule

690
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 2: is if the total is if the spread is this

691
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 2: big and the total is that small, you almost have

692
00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 2: to take the other.

693
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 1: You have to right like, and this is someone who

694
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:08,600
Speaker 1: again and again, look, I actually I can be wrong.

695
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 1: I feel fine with Zach Wilson right now. I mean,

696
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 1: that offensive line is horrific. Like, I'm not going to

697
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 1: blame him for all the picks. It's whatever. I like

698
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 1: Robert stal I think long term they'll probably be okay.

699
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,720
Speaker 1: This year they're going to be terrible. I don't want

700
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 1: to do this I don't want to take a Jets

701
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 1: team that has no offensive line that looks completely lost

702
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 1: that nobody in the world other than like people who

703
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 1: work for the team can name who starts in their secondary.

704
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,200
Speaker 1: But at this point, like forty one and a half

705
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 1: and it's an eleven point spread, how do you not

706
00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:45,960
Speaker 1: take the Jets in this situation? Right? Like it's it's

707
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 1: that's insane, and the thing is, who's I mean, I

708
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: guess the Sharps will probably hit it, right.

709
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 2: I mean, but I think they already have because it

710
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 2: started at eleven and a half and we're down to

711
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 2: eleven now.

712
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 1: But vandal by the way, it's ten and a half,

713
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 1: So look at that, you know, at some spots of

714
00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:01,760
Speaker 1: ten and a half.

715
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:05,800
Speaker 2: So to me, I think they've probably already moved it.

716
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 2: I would say. So as the kickoff comes, then the

717
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 2: public guys are gonna be like, oh, yeah, we're just

718
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,800
Speaker 2: the Jets, sock. We're gonna we'll just take the Broncos.

719
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 2: They're two and oats, Teddy two gloves always covers, and

720
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 2: then I don't know, maybe we can get it back

721
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 2: up to eleven is one of those weird football numbers too,

722
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:26,400
Speaker 2: just like just like four and a half five. It's

723
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:30,120
Speaker 2: the it is the the above, the double digit version

724
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 2: of four and a half or five. So they don't

725
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 2: know really what to do. I guess they're thinking the

726
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 2: Jets could either cover or lose by thirty is the

727
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 2: difference there. They have no idea what's gonna happen. I

728
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 2: have no idea what's gonna happen. I'm gonna I'll wait.

729
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 2: If you're gonna make me make it, make a bet,

730
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 2: I'll wait because I think I think the public or

731
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,720
Speaker 2: it's gonna push it in the Broncos favors. So we're

732
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 2: gonna wait and take the Jets as underdogs right before kickoff.

733
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 1: I'm glad I'm not doing. Ian McMillan was on early

734
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: last week and he joked about the fact that he

735
00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: was betting every single game this year like it making publicly.

736
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 1: I'm thankful that I don't have to do that. I

737
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 1: think the Jets are the right side. I think if

738
00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:12,360
Speaker 1: I was a professional gambler, I would basically be like,

739
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,360
Speaker 1: I have to take the Jets here because there's is

740
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 1: way too much value. I'm not a professional gambler, Thankfully.

741
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 1: I gamble, but not like this, so I will not

742
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 1: be dabbling in this. I would prefer just to watch,

743
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,880
Speaker 1: but I eleven's too many points. Give me a total?

744
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 1: Too many points, disgusting. Okay, the Raiders are hosting the Dolphins.

745
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 1: The Raiders are laying three and a half, and the

746
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 1: totals forty five and a half. There are a ton

747
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 1: of question marks in this game. Tua may play, We

748
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,839
Speaker 1: don't know. I'm not expecting him to play. I mean,

749
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:43,360
Speaker 1: he's got the rib issue. You know, it's pain tolerance

750
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,040
Speaker 1: at this point, but you know, you know, if you've

751
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:48,520
Speaker 1: ever done anything to your ribs, like it's basically impossible

752
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 1: to do anything, and he was carted off. You've also

753
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:54,439
Speaker 1: got the Raiders who have Derek Carr basically John Gruen

754
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,879
Speaker 1: basically being like I think he'll play with his ankle

755
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: injury that he injured. At the very end, Josh Jacob's

756
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 1: probably not going to play. The Raiders are off to

757
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:05,799
Speaker 1: a fantastic start right now. They look dynamite, especially offensively.

758
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 1: So what do you think here?

759
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,279
Speaker 2: If Derek Carr was healthy and I knew he was

760
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:13,800
Speaker 2: one hundred percent, I think you just go lay the

761
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 2: points with the Raiders as quickly as possible. Just because

762
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 2: of all the other question marks the Dolphins have and

763
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,719
Speaker 2: don't I don't believe what I see. That's the other

764
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,840
Speaker 2: problem though with the Raiders. It's my only trepidation with

765
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 2: them is do you believe are the Raiders good? Like

766
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 2: do we think they're good or not? Like? Yeah, they

767
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 2: they came back and won that game against the Ravens,

768
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:40,399
Speaker 2: but the Ravens essentially choked that game away at the end.

769
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 2: They should have. It's another one of those They should

770
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: have got so many opportunities to put the Raiders away

771
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 2: and just couldn't do it for some reason. And then

772
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:50,879
Speaker 2: they go out and go into Pittsburgh and win that game.

773
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,840
Speaker 2: Henry Ruggs finally had a good game, which was great.

774
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 2: I think they have two really unlike him with Brian Edwards,

775
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,839
Speaker 2: are two very good second year receivers that I think

776
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 2: some most like professional fantasy guys are talking about. But

777
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 2: I don't know if a lot of public guys are like, oh,

778
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 2: Brian Edwards, But they have some really and with Darren Waller,

779
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,880
Speaker 2: there's some really good skill position players there. And the

780
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 2: Dolphins just like two got hurt last week, but that

781
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,480
Speaker 2: defense didn't. Josh Allen just kind of viscerated them, So

782
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 2: it would be the Raiders for me.

783
00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:27,400
Speaker 1: I mean, I think that once two went out like that,

784
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:30,959
Speaker 1: also just like we're well, we're well on the whole team,

785
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 1: just kind of you know, Jacoby Brisset's a perfectly capable quarterback.

786
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:35,439
Speaker 1: Very tough to get in there when you haven't taken

787
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 1: any reps and anything like that. Yeah, I mean, by

788
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 1: the way, I will say this, the conceptus line is

789
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 1: three and a half betting pros. The majority of the

790
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:43,360
Speaker 1: lines that I see right here are at three and

791
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,879
Speaker 1: a half, but there are a bunch of fours out there.

792
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 1: There's a four and a half out there at Points

793
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 1: Bet and Fox Bets. So it's all over the place

794
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 1: right now, and I think that understandably, books are a

795
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 1: little uncertain of how to handle the injury concerns right

796
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 1: now as am I. So I'm kind of buying what

797
00:36:58,080 --> 00:36:59,879
Speaker 1: we're seeing from the Raiders so long as Derek Carr

798
00:36:59,920 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 1: is healthy, because I think a lot of it is

799
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 1: just Carr has been an underrated quarterback for a couple

800
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 1: of years. Here, You've got like one of the best

801
00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:09,799
Speaker 1: tight ends in football in Darren Waller, and you do

802
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:12,280
Speaker 1: have the playmakers like you said, Henry Ruggs can stretch

803
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,680
Speaker 1: the field. Brian Edwards underrated, Hunter Renfro's underrated, he's there

804
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,360
Speaker 1: as well. So with or without Josh Jacobs, I agree

805
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 1: with you. I just I feel uncertain about it, just

806
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,360
Speaker 1: because of obviously what we've got with all the injuries

807
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 1: and stuff like that.

808
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 2: So yeah, keep your eye on it and just like

809
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,360
Speaker 2: kind of play a wait and see mentality.

810
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 1: If two is healthy. Out of curiosity, if he does

811
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:31,839
Speaker 1: play in this game, do you think that the line

812
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:33,239
Speaker 1: moves down from three and a half.

813
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 2: I don't think so. I don't think it moves too

814
00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:36,359
Speaker 2: much from there.

815
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,879
Speaker 1: And I think, by the way, like we don't you know,

816
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 1: it's unclear because they've really only had it now for

817
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 1: this one game with fans there. But what the home

818
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:49,040
Speaker 1: field advantage is like in Las Vegas? You know, it's

819
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 1: a the people are crazy there, right like the fans

820
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,240
Speaker 1: are our raucous. You also got to go to Vegas

821
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:55,840
Speaker 1: and hang out for like three days when you're a

822
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 1: visiting team somebody who has done that. I'm sure you

823
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 1: have as well, or maybe not. It takes a toll

824
00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 1: on you, probably a young a young man, maybe in

825
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:08,800
Speaker 1: your twenties, or thirties, you know, has an impact. But anyway,

826
00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 1: so I think, if anything, I probably do like the Raiders,

827
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 1: but I'm probably staying away. This game is going to

828
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,840
Speaker 1: be fun to watch. The Vikings are hosting the Seahawks.

829
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 1: The Seahawks are one and a half point favorites the

830
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,960
Speaker 1: spread the totals an astronomical fifty five points. What do

831
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 1: you think.

832
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 2: I would side with the Seahawks just because of literally

833
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,360
Speaker 2: it just comes down to they have the better quarterback

834
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 2: in this matchup, and I don't really know how else

835
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:38,760
Speaker 2: to read the rest of those teams at this point.

836
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 2: The Vikings are a big enigma to me, and I

837
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 2: don't know how to read them at all at this point.

838
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 2: But so and then the Seahawks always have their issues.

839
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 2: The defense is looking for us again, and Russell Wilson

840
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,319
Speaker 2: is still running around like he always does, sometimes when

841
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,399
Speaker 2: he needs to, sometimes when he doesn't need to, which

842
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 2: is the problem that some people think it is so

843
00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,440
Speaker 2: but just because of his talent on and the connection

844
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:07,000
Speaker 2: he's had with like lock it right now and the

845
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 2: metcalf hasn't even really gotten going yet. Carson had a

846
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:13,959
Speaker 2: decent week last week, and I think that that gives

847
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 2: them the edge, and I'd probably bet the Seahawks here.

848
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 2: I agree with you.

849
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:19,960
Speaker 1: I felt really bad for the Vikings, and I was

850
00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 1: on the Vikings. It was it was kind of my

851
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:23,759
Speaker 1: best bet of the weekend, even though it made me

852
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 1: vomit right like to have them getting four and a

853
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 1: half and stuff like that. But you know, look, offensively,

854
00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:32,960
Speaker 1: they can hang. They can hang with pretty much anyone.

855
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:34,920
Speaker 1: As long as Alvin Cook obviously was banged up. He

856
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:36,960
Speaker 1: went in and out, but as long as he's healthy,

857
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:40,279
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson is elite. Adam Feln still has gas left

858
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 1: in the tank. Suddenly kJ Osborne is filling that void

859
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:47,320
Speaker 1: left when IRV Smith Junior got injured. They can really

860
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 1: do some damage offensively, which is why the total of

861
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:53,640
Speaker 1: fifty five hi so high. It's really hard to take

862
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:55,719
Speaker 1: it over on a fifty five. I'm not taking the under,

863
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:58,279
Speaker 1: I'll say that, but I agree with you. I do think,

864
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:00,879
Speaker 1: especially at coming off of loss like they did, never

865
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 1: a rough loss for the Seahawks, I think they're going

866
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 1: to put their foot on the gas and I don't

867
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:06,759
Speaker 1: think they're going to take it off in this game.

868
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 1: So I agree with you, especially you know that the

869
00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 1: point spread is one and a half. Doesn't really matter

870
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 1: at that point, so I will take it. Next game

871
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,520
Speaker 1: is going to be good. The Rams are hosting the Bucks.

872
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 1: The Rams are laying a point, and the total is

873
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:21,240
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half. What do you think?

874
00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 2: I think? Yeah, you can't fade tom Brady at this point.

875
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 2: I think that's just even though they had they let

876
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:29,560
Speaker 2: we mentioned they let Atlanta to stick around of that game,

877
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 2: probably a little longer than the Bucks probably would have liked.

878
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 2: But Tom Brady has nine touchdowns and no interceptions in

879
00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 2: his through two games and his age forty four season.

880
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:46,400
Speaker 2: The defense is well. Gave up some yards to the

881
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:49,319
Speaker 2: Falcons last week. I still think that's a pretty good unit,

882
00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 2: and I'd have to Stafford's been fantastic and one of

883
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:55,359
Speaker 2: the big bets I'm kicking myself for not making early

884
00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:58,840
Speaker 2: season was going to win MVP. The connection with the

885
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:02,120
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup is been has been so good. I'm kicking

886
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:07,400
Speaker 2: myself from missing that one as well. But I just don't.

887
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 2: I think the Bucks have a good enough offensive line

888
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:13,839
Speaker 2: to keep Aaron Donald at bay, enough to give tom

889
00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 2: Brady the time he needs to find his spots when

890
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:19,640
Speaker 2: he needs to and they just have so many ways,

891
00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 2: Like Gronk looks young, like Antonio Brown is Antonio Brown

892
00:41:24,080 --> 00:41:26,120
Speaker 2: is going to go over his receiving yards total by

893
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 2: like week eight. Uh, Like Chris Godwin and Mike, like,

894
00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:31,319
Speaker 2: what are you gonna do? If there's a lot of

895
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:33,440
Speaker 2: the law problem they present a lot of problems.

896
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,359
Speaker 1: I do. I do I realistically, and I think that

897
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,400
Speaker 1: you look the Rams as good as they've looked. They

898
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:41,759
Speaker 1: let the Bears hang around a little bit in the

899
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 1: opening game. They eventually put it away, but they let

900
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 1: the Colts hang around. And the Colts are a very

901
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 1: very you know, solid football team overall, but they're not

902
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,000
Speaker 1: the Bucks and the Bucks right now, like real I

903
00:41:54,040 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: mean it really is with Gronk, who I really didn't

904
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:58,680
Speaker 1: see this coming. I didn't really see it coming last year.

905
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:01,000
Speaker 1: I certainly didn't see it coming this year, giving his age,

906
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,240
Speaker 1: giving how much abuse when you have those four options,

907
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:05,799
Speaker 1: like who cares if you can run the ball, Like

908
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 1: it really doesn't matter if you have those four options, right,

909
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: it's just going to be remarkable. I'm not going near

910
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:13,880
Speaker 1: the total again, these giant totals. Dude, I just know

911
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:15,360
Speaker 1: I can't, Like I just can't.

912
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 2: I can't.

913
00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:21,040
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say, all right, let's go to Sunday

914
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 1: night game. The forty nine Ers are currently laying three

915
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,799
Speaker 1: and a half points to the Packers. The totals forty

916
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: seven and a half. Again, this game is going on

917
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 1: right now. The Packers are driving. It's seventeen fourteen Lions,

918
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 1: great games. What do you think it's still Lions. Dude's

919
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:38,800
Speaker 1: still lying. I don't have three and a half points

920
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:40,319
Speaker 1: here with the forty nine Ers at home? What do

921
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:40,880
Speaker 1: you think.

922
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 2: Probably the Niners like it's it's I just like we

923
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:47,879
Speaker 2: can joke. We could joke and we could joke about

924
00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:51,279
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers all we want, but it's just like it.

925
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 2: They're losing to the Lions right now. We're talking about that.

926
00:42:54,000 --> 00:43:00,720
Speaker 2: So I like the Niners haven't been what we've probably

927
00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:02,920
Speaker 2: what they've probably expected to be at this point. That

928
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 2: they've had some some good performances last week was not

929
00:43:05,880 --> 00:43:10,360
Speaker 2: probably what they expected. But against this Packers team, I

930
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 2: think I think it's got to be I think it's

931
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:12,800
Speaker 2: got to be the Niners.

932
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 1: The fact that this is happening, and again, this is

933
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 1: great because it's live reaction and we don't know how

934
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:19,759
Speaker 1: it ends. Maybe they win by twenty five points by

935
00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 1: the time. Maybe, but the fact that this is what

936
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 1: is happening right now at Lambeau after they were embarrassed

937
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 1: in Week one against the Lions is mind boggling to me.

938
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:37,800
Speaker 1: It's it's crazy to the point where, unless something dramatically

939
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 1: different happens at the end of this game, I think

940
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 1: you do have to take the Niners. It's gross. I

941
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: don't really want to. And unless something crazy happens in

942
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 1: this game, I don't really see the spread moving. I mean,

943
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 1: maybe it goes to three. I guess in spots it's

944
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:55,200
Speaker 1: four at DraftKings where fours. Yeah, yeah, it's a lot

945
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 1: of fours, So I really know if you get the three.

946
00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:01,879
Speaker 1: But it's disgusting. Let's to a game that everybody wants

947
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:04,680
Speaker 1: to watch Monday night football. It is the Eagles visiting

948
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:08,360
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Cowboys are favored by four. The total is

949
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:10,799
Speaker 1: fifty one and a half. The four spread, which is,

950
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 1: you know, almost the equivalent. Now quite again, there's some

951
00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:14,800
Speaker 1: three and a half's out there, but the four is

952
00:44:14,840 --> 00:44:17,319
Speaker 1: a little bit, like, I don't know, strikes me as

953
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: a little high in this game for me, for the

954
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:22,399
Speaker 1: spread like, I'm surprised to see that four. I don't

955
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:23,839
Speaker 1: know if you are, if you agree or you think

956
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 1: that that's about right.

957
00:44:25,680 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 2: I think it's about right. I don't think you can

958
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:32,280
Speaker 2: make the cow like you get it under three points

959
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 2: and people would just hammer the Cowboys, and I just

960
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:40,839
Speaker 2: the Eagles have been Jalen Hurts has been impressive so far,

961
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:46,000
Speaker 2: and the Cowboys, while they only gave up the I'm

962
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 2: gonna say seventeen was it twenty twenty seventeen.

963
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:50,200
Speaker 1: Or whatever it was twenty seventeen, correct.

964
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:52,279
Speaker 2: Yes, twenty to seventeen. They only give up seventeen. I

965
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:54,719
Speaker 2: feel like they should have given up thirty one in

966
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:59,640
Speaker 2: that game. So we can't really take anything away from

967
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:03,320
Speaker 2: that that point total there, and I believe Jalen Hurts

968
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 2: is the type of guy that can really do some

969
00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:09,920
Speaker 2: damage against that. Yeah, that Cowboys defense. It'll be interesting

970
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:13,120
Speaker 2: to see how they deploy Micah Parsons against him. But

971
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:17,280
Speaker 2: if he's been he's been getting into the backfield quite

972
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:19,920
Speaker 2: quickly and it's been impressive to watch so far. But

973
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 2: if he just kind of blows some assignments there, I

974
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:24,759
Speaker 2: think there could be a lot of running room for

975
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:28,359
Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts in this one, and I think he could

976
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 2: be the difference. So I'd probably lean towards the Eagles

977
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:35,399
Speaker 2: in the and getting the points in this one. But yeah,

978
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:38,680
Speaker 2: Dak has looked great in his return, but the Dallas

979
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 2: defense is just too iffy for me.

980
00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm taking the points, and I feel.

981
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,000
Speaker 2: You feel good about it. Yeah, he was very confidently.

982
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh, I'm taking this points right now. I will

983
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 1: have fired on this the second we're done with this podcast.

984
00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 1: I think that the Eagles are completely live to win

985
00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:57,040
Speaker 1: this game. I mean, I think they look at against

986
00:45:57,040 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 1: a Lana and I get that it was Atlanta and

987
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:00,560
Speaker 1: everything like that, but I think their defense is legitimate.

988
00:46:00,560 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 1: They've got some offense. They've got some issues again on

989
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:05,359
Speaker 1: the on the line and stuff like that. They lost

990
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 1: Graham everything like that. But remember the Cowboys have a

991
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:11,799
Speaker 1: ton of issues. You know, a Loile Collins is out.

992
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,879
Speaker 1: You know, they they've just you know, and and Dak

993
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 1: he does look good, but it's not perfect. Man, Like

994
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 1: I feel like you watch some of those throws, there's

995
00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:24,280
Speaker 1: there's not the usual zip on some of those sorts.

996
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:26,640
Speaker 1: He's still great, He's a phenomenon. The running backs are

997
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:28,799
Speaker 1: both great Pollard is in there, Zeke is in there.

998
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 1: Mark Cooper is a little banged up by the way,

999
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:31,719
Speaker 1: which does you know not that that.

1000
00:46:32,120 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 2: Talking about zip though I don't I think Zeke has

1001
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:39,600
Speaker 2: lost some zip like he doesn't. He's still a great

1002
00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 2: running back guy like like you said, but he just

1003
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 2: doesn't have that I don't know, that second gear that

1004
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:45,399
Speaker 2: we've been used to him over that year.

1005
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,719
Speaker 1: It seems like, yeah, I'm I'm holding off for now

1006
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:50,839
Speaker 1: to see how I feel about just but Pollard looks

1007
00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:52,600
Speaker 1: great when he does look hard.

1008
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 2: Yeah he does.

1009
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,920
Speaker 1: He really does, which he's earning those touches. But for me,

1010
00:46:56,160 --> 00:46:58,320
Speaker 1: what I really think is that I think the Eagles

1011
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 1: defense is legitimate. I mean San Francisco certainly struggled a bit,

1012
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 1: you know against it, and obviously Atlanta, and I think

1013
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:07,799
Speaker 1: that their offense is going to be able to move

1014
00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:10,719
Speaker 1: the ball pretty well. On this Cowboys team, I think

1015
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:12,040
Speaker 1: they're going to keep it close. So I think if

1016
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:13,839
Speaker 1: you're giving me more than a field goal at this point,

1017
00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 1: if you dropped to three and a half, I'd be okay,

1018
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:17,319
Speaker 1: I'm going to hit it now. I don't think it's

1019
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:20,319
Speaker 1: gonna drop because you're right. If it drops down too much.

1020
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,640
Speaker 1: It's just going to be NonStop Cowboys, and I don't

1021
00:47:22,640 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 1: think the books really want that necessarily. But I'm taking

1022
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:27,000
Speaker 1: the Eagles here. I feel okay about it, so that

1023
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:29,560
Speaker 1: that's one of the bets. And again on Thursday. Yeah,

1024
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:32,839
Speaker 1: it's a divisional game, right, it's always tight, like you know,

1025
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 1: so again one of these games that I feel pretty

1026
00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:39,120
Speaker 1: comfortable with my guesses, I'm going to take them on Thursday.

1027
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:41,120
Speaker 1: It's my guest I need to dive into a little

1028
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 1: bit more when I talk about my best bets. You

1029
00:47:43,200 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 1: won't be here for that, but I do hope that

1030
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:47,719
Speaker 1: you will join us again later this season because I

1031
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:50,520
Speaker 1: enjoy talking to you. Your inside is great, and obviously

1032
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:53,200
Speaker 1: you joined us on what is I assume the biggest

1033
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:56,520
Speaker 1: day in your country's history when you have this election day.

1034
00:47:56,520 --> 00:47:58,200
Speaker 1: But I really didn't even know what was happening.

1035
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 2: So I see the results right now. The Liberals are

1036
00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:06,239
Speaker 2: leading right now, so that's justin Trudeau's party. They have

1037
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:10,479
Speaker 2: sixty six seats. To the completely different electoral system here

1038
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,319
Speaker 2: as opposed to the States, you have to win, you

1039
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 2: win your riding. So I'm in a certain riding. I

1040
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:18,280
Speaker 2: am in a writing called Dartmouth Cole Harbor. I vote

1041
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 2: for the member of parliament. His name is Darren Fisher

1042
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:23,680
Speaker 2: in my riding. I vote for him, and a vote

1043
00:48:23,680 --> 00:48:27,000
Speaker 2: for him is essentially a vote for Trudeau. Whoever gets

1044
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 2: the most elected candidates will will form government and they

1045
00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 2: need one hundred and seventy seats for a majority. And

1046
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:37,160
Speaker 2: the Liberals are at sixty six, with the Conservatives at

1047
00:48:37,160 --> 00:48:40,400
Speaker 2: thirty six, the New Democrats at eleven, the Block Qubequa

1048
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:43,200
Speaker 2: at eight, and the Green Party with one. So there's

1049
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 2: your betting pros Canada Election live updates.

1050
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 1: I understood about half the words of those sentences, so

1051
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 1: that'll be fine. But I'm sure it's a wonderful day

1052
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: for you. I appreciate you taking the time during this

1053
00:48:56,160 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 1: historic day to come on here and taco love football

1054
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 1: with me. I'd love to have you back in the show.

1055
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 1: But before we get to there, tell everybody where they

1056
00:49:02,719 --> 00:49:04,879
Speaker 1: could find more of you and your incredible work, which,

1057
00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:07,600
Speaker 1: by the way, you he like. Andrew's not like just

1058
00:49:07,640 --> 00:49:10,480
Speaker 1: a football guy. Andrew does everything. He's a great follower

1059
00:49:10,520 --> 00:49:12,279
Speaker 1: on Twitter, but tell everybody about it.

1060
00:49:12,680 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 2: You can find me on Twitter at Covers Underscore, Kaylee,

1061
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 2: that c a l e y. I tweet Blue Jays

1062
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:21,879
Speaker 2: picks every day. I admittedly I did it because I'm

1063
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 2: a diehard Blue Jays fan and I just wanted to

1064
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:26,880
Speaker 2: see if that would benefit me. And that has actually

1065
00:49:26,880 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 2: gone pretty well this year.

1066
00:49:28,680 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 1: I follow it I a lot.

1067
00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 2: Well, yes, it's done pretty well, so I'm happy with that.

1068
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:37,120
Speaker 2: And college football has been has been a bit of

1069
00:49:37,160 --> 00:49:41,160
Speaker 2: a disaster recently, so admittedly, hopefully we bounce back with

1070
00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:44,640
Speaker 2: college football here this week. But yeah, I just I

1071
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:47,319
Speaker 2: love putting out content for people, and whether the picks

1072
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:49,359
Speaker 2: are right or wrong, the research is always there. I'm

1073
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,160
Speaker 2: always trying to find those angles.

1074
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 1: No, it's great. You do great stuff, honestly, over it

1075
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 1: covers everyone, it covers those great stuff. But I do

1076
00:49:57,200 --> 00:49:59,560
Speaker 1: enjoy you as as a follow and I have travel

1077
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:01,759
Speaker 1: a lot of your Blue Jays plays and they have

1078
00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:04,360
Speaker 1: been really good. So keep them coming across for sur

1079
00:50:04,520 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 1: figures cross good luck man. I'm telling you as a

1080
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 1: Mets fan, no Yankees, whatever you gotta do, keep him

1081
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:12,959
Speaker 1: out the playoffs. All right. So, as I mentioned, you

1082
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,040
Speaker 1: guys know at this point we'll be back later this week.

1083
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:18,160
Speaker 1: Joe and Scott Bogman will be doing a college football

1084
00:50:18,160 --> 00:50:21,120
Speaker 1: breakdown and then I'll be back on Thursday doing our

1085
00:50:21,239 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 1: Best Bets with the guests from Alex kloj Over from

1086
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 1: the Action Network. So again, enjoy the rest of your week.

1087
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:30,840
Speaker 1: We're gonna go watch the end of this incredible football

1088
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,279
Speaker 1: game where the Packers are just taking the lead, Like,

1089
00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:37,319
Speaker 1: who the heck knows what's happening? Man. Until then, take

1090
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:47,800
Speaker 1: it ease. You can enjoy the rest of your week.