WEBVTT - Men's Haircuts: SATS, FLUT, APO

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to The Money Stuff Podcast, your weekly

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<v Speaker 2>podcast where we talk about stuff related to money. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>Matt Levin and I write the Money Stuff column for

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm Katie Greifeld, a reporter for Bloomberg News and

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<v Speaker 1>an anchor for Bloomberg Television.

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<v Speaker 2>Katie, what are we talking about today?

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to talk about Direct TV buying Dish. We're

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<v Speaker 1>going to talk about fan duel and gambling addiction, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're also going to talk about Apollo. Hey, Matt, have

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<v Speaker 1>you ever gotten a really bad haircut?

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<v Speaker 2>I've almost exclusively gotten really bad haircuts.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like I reached you cut that out.

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<v Speaker 2>I've recently moved on to getting better haircuts, but for

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<v Speaker 2>much of my life I got bad.

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<v Speaker 1>Your last few haircuts, I've said, you've got a haircut.

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<v Speaker 1>It looks nice.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you. That's the highest compliment.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really easy to tell with men because you shorter hair. Anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>moving so long. So direct TV paying one dollar for

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<v Speaker 1>Dish and nine point seventy five billion dollars of debt.

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<v Speaker 2>Or less than that. Yeah, Well, go on, tell me

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<v Speaker 2>why they're buying Dish Ray slightly negative or meaningfully negative

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<v Speaker 2>amount of money, or they're trying to.

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<v Speaker 1>They are trying, They're trying to.

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<v Speaker 2>So Dish is a company sort of that is an entity,

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<v Speaker 2>but it is owned by Echo Star, Charlie Ergan's satellite conglomerate,

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<v Speaker 2>and so EchoStar wants to sell it to DirecTV. DirecTV

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<v Speaker 2>wants to buy it, but the value of the company

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<v Speaker 2>is apparently somewhat less than its debt. So it has

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<v Speaker 2>like nine point seventy five billion dollars of bonds outstanding,

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<v Speaker 2>and the direct TV doesn't want to pay all those

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<v Speaker 2>bonds back, so it wants to buy it for one dollar,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, a check for one dollar to do Echo

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<v Speaker 2>Star and also for taking on the debt but taking

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<v Speaker 2>on less than all of the debt. And basically to

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<v Speaker 2>get the deal done, the bondholders have to agree to

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<v Speaker 2>a bad haircut, an unpleasant haircut.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so we're talking about one point six billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>worth of haircutting going on.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so like you know, bond holder dets agree, Like

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<v Speaker 2>they can just insist on getting their money back, but

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<v Speaker 2>if they agree to take one point six billion dollars less,

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<v Speaker 2>so like a total of like eight point two billion dollars,

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<v Speaker 2>then the deal will go through. And if they say no,

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<v Speaker 2>then then technically the deal doesn't have to go through.

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<v Speaker 2>But like everyone understands that this is just the opening

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<v Speaker 2>of negotiations, and so what is happening is that the

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<v Speaker 2>bondholders have said no. And the way it works is

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<v Speaker 2>you kind of get a vote, so, like you know,

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<v Speaker 2>basically you need to get like two thirds of each

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<v Speaker 2>series of bonds to agree, and so some bond holders

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<v Speaker 2>have said that they have accumulated a blocking position, which

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<v Speaker 2>means basically they have enough bonds to prevent the deal

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<v Speaker 2>from going through, and they don't not want the deal

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<v Speaker 2>to go through. This will be a better company that

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<v Speaker 2>is more likely to pay off its debts if it

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<v Speaker 2>gets more money in, and what they want is just

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<v Speaker 2>get less of a haircut.

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<v Speaker 1>Right.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a different series of with different maturities that were

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<v Speaker 2>trading at different market prices, and like the longest dated

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<v Speaker 2>it was trading in like the fifties cents on the

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<v Speaker 2>dollar area, and they are offered to pay it off

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<v Speaker 2>at sixty cents on the dollar, and the vond holders

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<v Speaker 2>were like more than sixty cents on the dollar. So

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<v Speaker 2>that's sort of the state of plays. They've said no,

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<v Speaker 2>but it's like an opening and negotiations.

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<v Speaker 1>They would like a slightly less worse haircut, something that

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't look as bad.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm resisting the temptation to just spend the whole time

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<v Speaker 2>talking about my own history of quests for getting haircuts.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I cut hair. Yeah, I cut men's hair.

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<v Speaker 2>I cut Oh, that's right, I did know that.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I cut my husband's. Your Instagram if you're cutting

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<v Speaker 1>your husband's, my dad, my brother, and my nephew. My

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<v Speaker 1>nephew has gotten like three haircuts in his life, and

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<v Speaker 1>I've done all of them.

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<v Speaker 2>This is gonna be like the money stuff live event. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, actually I love cutting hair. I'm always looking for

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<v Speaker 1>opportunities anyway, So yeah, Bloomberg News. That, of course is

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<v Speaker 1>according to Bloomberg reporting about that locking position. Bloomberg also

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<v Speaker 1>expanded on that in the Brink newsletter, going through the

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<v Speaker 1>various contentions that this group of creditors have. First, they

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<v Speaker 1>contend that they were being asked to take losses as

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<v Speaker 1>high as forty percent of face value. That obviously doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>sound great, While Echo Star owner Charlie Ergan comes out

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<v Speaker 1>relatively unscathed in all of this.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I don't know the full history of it, but

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<v Speaker 2>like obviously you know they're selling it for zero dollars

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<v Speaker 2>of equity value, right, So like it's respecting seniority in

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<v Speaker 2>the sense that the equity is getting nothing, and like

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<v Speaker 2>there's apparently so little value here that in addition to

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<v Speaker 2>the equity hitting nothing, the bond holders have to take

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<v Speaker 2>a haircut in order to sort of sell the asset, right,

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<v Speaker 2>And the fact that the bonds are trading it, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>fifty something sounds on the dollars. Is that you know,

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<v Speaker 2>people did not think there was a ton of equity

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<v Speaker 2>value here before. This deal, isn't nun So Yeah, like

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<v Speaker 2>this is a deal where you look at like the

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<v Speaker 2>trading prices of the bonds and you're like, oh, if

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<v Speaker 2>we can get this asset for the value implied by

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<v Speaker 2>these trading prices and also paying a dollar to the equity,

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<v Speaker 2>then it's a good deal. Right. And then you're like, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>pay a little premium to the values applied by the

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<v Speaker 2>trading prices, and like that's you know, that's like normal MNA,

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<v Speaker 2>except that here, you know, the thing is underwater, and

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<v Speaker 2>so instead of paying off the shareholders. You're paying off

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<v Speaker 2>the bond holders, but you know you're not paying them

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<v Speaker 2>that much of a premium to the trading prices, and

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<v Speaker 2>unlike shareholders, they have a contractual right to demand their

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<v Speaker 2>money back. So it's a it's a fight.

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<v Speaker 1>Well to that point. One of the other contentions is

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<v Speaker 1>that some of them argue, and I'm reading directly from

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<v Speaker 1>the Brink newsletter, some of them argue that the sale

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<v Speaker 1>direct TV for one dollar confirms that the company was

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<v Speaker 1>already insolvent when it completed a contentious deal in January

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<v Speaker 1>to strip them of their collateral. If the company wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>solvent at the time, that transaction could be avoided and

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<v Speaker 1>the whole plan could be called off.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, but you have like your legal rights, but you

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<v Speaker 2>also have like you know, like if you win those arguments,

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<v Speaker 2>like what the company is into bankruptcy, we won, Like yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>you like there is going to be some intro credit

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<v Speaker 2>or fighting about like you know, who gets the collateral

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<v Speaker 2>or whatever. But like I think in general, you would

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<v Speaker 2>rather have the company be solvent and get paid a

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<v Speaker 2>premium to the market value of the bonds than have

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<v Speaker 2>the company not be solvent and sort of take your chances,

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<v Speaker 2>but you want to get paid a premium to the

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<v Speaker 2>market value of the bonds, and like this premium was

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<v Speaker 2>a little it was a little slim.

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<v Speaker 1>It's interesting that this might be what kills the deal

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<v Speaker 1>because I remember when this was the whole deal. I know,

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<v Speaker 1>but people were talking about regulatory concerns, blah blah blah.

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<v Speaker 1>Wasn't going to get blocked because you remember the history

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<v Speaker 1>of these two companies, DirecTV and Dish. They've been flirting

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<v Speaker 1>with merging for like two decades, and that regulators sued

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and two to block a previous attempt

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<v Speaker 1>to combine. Now they're coming back together. It's sort of

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<v Speaker 1>like j Lo and ben Affleck and we know how

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<v Speaker 1>that ended. They recently filed.

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<v Speaker 2>For Direction exactly. Yeah, followed that closely. Ye, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>The world has changed in two thousand and two, and

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<v Speaker 2>like the idea of that Dish DirecTV are monopolists in

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<v Speaker 2>the provision of television is a lot less compelling than

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<v Speaker 2>it was twenty years ago, right, I mean, like, who

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<v Speaker 2>has shir DirecTV likes? It's just yeah, streaming has overtaken them,

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<v Speaker 2>and so it is now like these two somewhat troubled

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<v Speaker 2>players are trying to merge.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, that's the thing, Like, what are we fighting over.

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<v Speaker 1>There's some great Bloomberg Intelligence data that shows that together

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<v Speaker 1>Dish and DirecTV have lost sixty three percent of their

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<v Speaker 1>satellite customers since twenty sixteen. Uh, that's according to the companies.

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<v Speaker 1>And then Bloomberg Intelligence says that nearly thirty percent of

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<v Speaker 1>that loss of their user base or six million subscribers,

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<v Speaker 1>has been since the start of twenty twenty two. So,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean it's ugly, Like, this is a tough, tough business,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're right, things have obviously changed dramatically in the

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<v Speaker 1>past twenty two years.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, it's a tough business. And I mean trading for

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<v Speaker 2>lower than the value of the done is maybe something

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<v Speaker 2>to be done.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>The other thing that's interesting is like, you know, we

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<v Speaker 2>say like direct TV is buying Dish, but like kind

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<v Speaker 2>of what's happening here is TPG is buying both of them, right,

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<v Speaker 2>Like DirecTV is like a AT and T obsidiary that

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<v Speaker 2>like AT and T saw the writing on the wall

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<v Speaker 2>and sold the part of it to TPG, the private

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<v Speaker 2>equity firm, And now as part of this deal, TPG

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<v Speaker 2>is buying the rest of it, and also putting in

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<v Speaker 2>cash directly to finance Dish like before the deal closes,

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<v Speaker 2>and also buying Dish. Right, So this is like going

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<v Speaker 2>from being a big part of two public companies to being,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, a private equity roll up that you know,

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<v Speaker 2>it sort of sounds like that classic private equity playbook

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<v Speaker 2>of like a declining business and like, you know, sort

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<v Speaker 2>of extracting as much money as they can for as

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<v Speaker 2>long as they can.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I was kind of wondering about the creditor dynamics here,

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<v Speaker 1>and you wrote a bit about this. I was wondering

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<v Speaker 1>if this is like a beautiful moment of like the

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<v Speaker 1>creditors banding together to stop themselves from being screwed. But

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like you're saying that things will get ugly

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<v Speaker 1>between creditors.

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<v Speaker 2>No, they're they're banding together. It's nice. It's like they're

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<v Speaker 2>but like you can't just be like, oh, we want

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<v Speaker 2>a hundred cents on the dog, because like there's some

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<v Speaker 2>risk there. Right. The other thing that I wrote is

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<v Speaker 2>that Charlie Erican clearly has some ability to to put

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<v Speaker 2>it on past creditors, you know. But it is interesting

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<v Speaker 2>to me that this is a private equity roll up.

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<v Speaker 2>What I wrote was that you could have a model

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<v Speaker 2>that is, like important skill set of private equity is

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<v Speaker 2>extracting value from creditors, right like they're repeat players, are

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<v Speaker 2>doing liability management transactions. And if you get good at that,

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<v Speaker 2>then like you can make a troubled company worth more

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<v Speaker 2>than anyone else could because you can, you know, make

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<v Speaker 2>the creditors take back less money. And you know, if

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<v Speaker 2>you own a troubled company, you might be like, well,

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<v Speaker 2>I got to sell this to private equity because they're

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<v Speaker 2>the only people who can kind of extract some value

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<v Speaker 2>from it. Although here, you know, the equity owner got

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<v Speaker 2>one dollar, so it's not that much value for him.

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<v Speaker 1>Watch this space unless you have anything else like that.

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<v Speaker 2>You end every segment with watch space.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about FanDuel and gambling addiction. I really enjoyed

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<v Speaker 1>listening to this or reading the robot from the robot

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<v Speaker 1>told me all about this.

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<v Speaker 2>So there's this guy, I mean Patel. He worked for

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<v Speaker 2>the Jacksonville Jaguars, which is a football team.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah you might know, uh I heard of.

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<v Speaker 2>Him, and he stole twenty two million dollars from the

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<v Speaker 2>Jaguars to do a bunch of things. He was arrested

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<v Speaker 2>and died. He's in prison right now. He pleaded guilty.

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<v Speaker 2>He did a bunch of things with the twenty two

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<v Speaker 2>million dollars, and the prosecutors of course listed them all.

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<v Speaker 2>He like bought some fancy watches, he like paid for

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<v Speaker 2>trips on private chats with his friends, normal stuff. He

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<v Speaker 2>put some of the money towards a retainer with a

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<v Speaker 2>criminal defense layer, which is an amazing thing to do

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<v Speaker 2>with money that you've stolen. Right, It's like, I know

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<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna get caught. I'm going to hire my criminal

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<v Speaker 2>defense layer in advance so that when I get caught,

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<v Speaker 2>at least they'll have a you know, a well paid

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<v Speaker 2>criminal defense layer.

0:10:56.320 --> 0:10:56.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:10:56.800 --> 0:10:59.480
<v Speaker 2>Just amazing, like real indication of his state of mind.

0:10:59.679 --> 0:11:01.360
<v Speaker 2>He was, I'm not like, oh great, I'm commnting the

0:11:01.400 --> 0:11:03.240
<v Speaker 2>perfect crime. And he was like, oh my god, I

0:11:03.280 --> 0:11:04.959
<v Speaker 2>am stealing all this money and.

0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:06.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to our own time here.

0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:08.400
<v Speaker 2>So why did he steal all this money even though

0:11:08.400 --> 0:11:09.880
<v Speaker 2>he knew it was a bad idea because he was

0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:11.840
<v Speaker 2>a gambling at it. Because most of the money that

0:11:11.880 --> 0:11:14.000
<v Speaker 2>he stole went not to his lawyers or to watch

0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:16.760
<v Speaker 2>his but to FanDuel I read an article saying that

0:11:16.800 --> 0:11:19.040
<v Speaker 2>he was known as the biggest loser ever on Fandel,

0:11:19.080 --> 0:11:22.480
<v Speaker 2>like he lost the most money and so that was

0:11:22.520 --> 0:11:24.320
<v Speaker 2>bad and he went to prison. And this week the

0:11:24.360 --> 0:11:27.840
<v Speaker 2>news is that he is suing Fandel for letting him

0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:31.920
<v Speaker 2>do that. And I have like a lot of sympathy

0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:33.920
<v Speaker 2>to him. I have no way of handicapping like how

0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:36.520
<v Speaker 2>this lawsuit will go. I think there's like a real

0:11:37.080 --> 0:11:40.160
<v Speaker 2>common reaction of like, come on, man, you stole this money,

0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:43.160
<v Speaker 2>you voluntarily bet it on FanDuel, and now you're suing

0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:45.360
<v Speaker 2>FanDuel for letting you. But I kind of think he's

0:11:45.360 --> 0:11:46.000
<v Speaker 2>got a point.

0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:47.960
<v Speaker 1>What is he suing for? Does he want his stolen

0:11:47.960 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 1>money back?

0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:51.440
<v Speaker 2>He wants money? Does he want his stolen money back?

0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:55.679
<v Speaker 2>He wants money for like fraud, damages and right and

0:11:55.840 --> 0:11:58.280
<v Speaker 2>like his emotional distress he wants He's suing for more

0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:00.439
<v Speaker 2>than the twenty two million dollars. Yeah, I think the

0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:02.760
<v Speaker 2>number in the lawsuit is like two hundred and fifty millions,

0:12:02.800 --> 0:12:04.520
<v Speaker 2>But like, you know, he's not going to get like

0:12:05.040 --> 0:12:07.240
<v Speaker 2>I think he'd be happy with some money. But yeah,

0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:09.240
<v Speaker 2>I mean there's a bunch of theories, but basically they're

0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:13.440
<v Speaker 2>like you exploited my gambling addiction. And even though you

0:12:13.520 --> 0:12:17.400
<v Speaker 2>had policies to not take money from addicted gamblers, you

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:19.800
<v Speaker 2>went around those policies. So there's things like you know,

0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:21.439
<v Speaker 2>you had like a vip host, right, Like.

0:12:21.440 --> 0:12:24.280
<v Speaker 1>That was the craziest part to me, the vip host

0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:26.920
<v Speaker 1>that he was texting with. Oh yeah, one hundred texts

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:27.240
<v Speaker 1>a day.

0:12:27.400 --> 0:12:30.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, any casino business, right, Like if you are a whale,

0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.280
<v Speaker 2>if you're like gambling a lot of money, they will

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:34.959
<v Speaker 2>do nice things for you, like he got like tickets

0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:37.240
<v Speaker 2>this morning events and things. But they also have like

0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:40.200
<v Speaker 2>a customer service representative whose job is to make you

0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 2>feel special so that you gamble more with them.

0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Just so many texts, Like even the height of my

0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:47.360
<v Speaker 1>texting days in like high school, I don't think I

0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:49.280
<v Speaker 1>was exchanging that many text messages.

0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:51.680
<v Speaker 2>Well, I think that a lot of his texts were.

0:12:51.480 --> 0:12:52.920
<v Speaker 1>Like gambling orders.

0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:55.360
<v Speaker 2>At least give me more credit on fanduels so I

0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 2>can bet more.

0:12:56.520 --> 0:12:57.200
<v Speaker 1>Just so much.

0:12:57.480 --> 0:12:59.439
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but like also like the texts were like they

0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:02.120
<v Speaker 2>moved it from the guy's like work account to like

0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:04.560
<v Speaker 2>his personal phone for like the reasons that you know,

0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:06.400
<v Speaker 2>I talk about a lot when the sec goes after.

0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's like easier to avoid compliance when you're

0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.080
<v Speaker 2>texting from your personal phone, and like they were doing

0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:14.640
<v Speaker 2>dummy texts, like they're making sure to text from the

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.080
<v Speaker 2>guy's work account like a few times a day, so

0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 2>that compliance wasn't like why did you stop texting with

0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:21.480
<v Speaker 2>this guy? Because if compliant saw that, they would know

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:23.840
<v Speaker 2>he was texting somewhere else. But anyway, so like he

0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 2>had this vip host, and the vip host was like

0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:28.120
<v Speaker 2>getting around all of you know, first of all, he

0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:30.199
<v Speaker 2>was doing it from his personal phone, but secondly, he

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:33.400
<v Speaker 2>was allegedly getting around limitations on how much the credit

0:13:33.440 --> 0:13:36.160
<v Speaker 2>the guy could get. And there's other claims like he

0:13:36.320 --> 0:13:39.160
<v Speaker 2>was doing a lot of gambling with just his Jaguars

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:44.520
<v Speaker 2>corporate credit card. And fan Duel is sort of regulated

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:48.000
<v Speaker 2>like a financial stituition. It has anti money laundering requirements,

0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:52.400
<v Speaker 2>and those requirements, you know, they're sort of geared towards

0:13:52.720 --> 0:13:55.960
<v Speaker 2>you should not be taking stolen money. And because he

0:13:56.080 --> 0:13:58.720
<v Speaker 2>was gambling with stolen money, he is now arguing you

0:13:58.760 --> 0:14:01.240
<v Speaker 2>should have known and you probably did know that I

0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 2>was gambling with stolen money because I was, for instance,

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 2>using my corporate card to make bets and you should

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:08.400
<v Speaker 2>have stopped me and I should get the money back

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.480
<v Speaker 2>because you didn't do the anti money laundering and know

0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:13.800
<v Speaker 2>your customer checks. I think it's like a really interesting

0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:19.560
<v Speaker 2>theory that like traditionally, when a bank fails to do

0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:22.480
<v Speaker 2>it's money laundering checks, it will get in trouble with

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 2>the government if it allows a terrorist or a drug

0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:29.040
<v Speaker 2>trafficker to use the payment system. You never hear about

0:14:29.040 --> 0:14:31.240
<v Speaker 2>like the drug trafficker saying, well, you should have to

0:14:31.280 --> 0:14:34.000
<v Speaker 2>give me the money back because you didn't do your

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 2>KYC checks. But here it's like I was doing crimes

0:14:37.440 --> 0:14:39.720
<v Speaker 2>and you didn't check, so I should get the money back. Yeah,

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 2>it's a good theory.

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so he stole the money from the Jaguars, but

0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:44.880
<v Speaker 1>he was using his Jaguars corporate card.

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.960
<v Speaker 2>That was the theft, Like he would just play plays

0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 2>bets with his corporate card.

0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:51.280
<v Speaker 1>I feel like that in and of itself should.

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:54.120
<v Speaker 2>Be a no no, Like that's what he's saying.

0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:55.840
<v Speaker 1>No, I know, but like the fact that it's a

0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 1>sports organization, you know, like it's a.

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 2>Supports right, I believe from it being stolen, I agree

0:15:01.880 --> 0:15:02.480
<v Speaker 2>with that too.

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:04.720
<v Speaker 1>But like, oh my god, why are we getting millions

0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 1>of dollars from a sports place.

0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, you're right, You're right, that's also bad.

0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:10.040
<v Speaker 1>That's bananas.

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 2>I agree with you.

0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I do. Wonder so as you write about, of

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 1>course this is good business for FanDuel.

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the biggest ever loser on Fendel is you know, yeah,

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:21.800
<v Speaker 2>like twenty million dollars to Fendel.

0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:24.720
<v Speaker 1>But like, how many of him are there? I'm wondering.

0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:28.080
<v Speaker 1>I wonder how many cases like this this man there are,

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe to lesser extent.

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 2>But I think it's a really it's a really dicey business,

0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:36.880
<v Speaker 2>right because like there are clearly people who are billionaires

0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 2>who like a gamble, who will lose a million dollars

0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:42.200
<v Speaker 2>in a week and be like, yeah, that was fun

0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 2>and it's fine, And like those are the best customers, right, Like,

0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 2>those are the customers who can lose a lot of

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 2>money and not feel it are great. There's not that

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:50.720
<v Speaker 2>many of them. Then they're the customers who lose a

0:15:50.720 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 2>lot of money and can't really afford to lose a

0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.440
<v Speaker 2>lot of money. And like, you know, all these sports

0:15:55.480 --> 0:15:59.800
<v Speaker 2>books have policies about safe gambling, and you know, they're

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 2>regulated business, and they don't want to look like they

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:07.560
<v Speaker 2>are exploiting addicted gamblers, but clearly they make money by

0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:09.720
<v Speaker 2>people losing money, and the more money people lose, the

0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:13.000
<v Speaker 2>more money they make. And not all of those people

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 2>can afford to lose the money that they lose. And

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:17.960
<v Speaker 2>I've written about there's a subset of sports gamblers who

0:16:17.960 --> 0:16:23.239
<v Speaker 2>are advantage gamblers, who win right, who can identify exploitable

0:16:23.360 --> 0:16:25.760
<v Speaker 2>bets and make money at the expense of sports books,

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:30.440
<v Speaker 2>and those people their problem is that sportsbooks don't like

0:16:30.480 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 2>them and won't let them bet very much. And so

0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:36.160
<v Speaker 2>a lot of the business of being a professional sports

0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 2>gambler is not knowing who will win, but it's knowing

0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:42.760
<v Speaker 2>how to bet a lot of money at a sports book.

0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 2>And there are stories about how people do it, and

0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 2>one thing they do is they try to look like

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 2>addicted gamblers because that's what the sportsbook wants. So there's

0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:52.080
<v Speaker 2>a story of like a guy who has a bot

0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:55.400
<v Speaker 2>log into his sportsbook account every night between two and

0:16:55.440 --> 0:17:01.080
<v Speaker 2>four am, because that just looks desperate. If you look desperate,

0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 2>they're like, oh, this guy's an addict, so we'll give

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 2>him more credit. And like he seems to think that

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:08.399
<v Speaker 2>that works, right, so there's like this real tension where

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:12.680
<v Speaker 2>these companies really do not want to look like they're

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.479
<v Speaker 2>exploiting addicted gamblers, but like that is where the money is.

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:17.960
<v Speaker 1>Reading this and thinking about it kind of made me

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:21.880
<v Speaker 1>think about, you know, the conversations around robin Hood when

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:24.600
<v Speaker 1>the memestock era was really in full swing. Of course,

0:17:24.680 --> 0:17:27.800
<v Speaker 1>like yeah, like what is the responsibility of like Robinhood

0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:30.920
<v Speaker 1>to make sure people aren't trading more than they can

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:33.760
<v Speaker 1>afford to lose? And there, of course are tragic stories

0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:34.200
<v Speaker 1>about that.

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:37.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and robin Hood will tell you that they are,

0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:38.440
<v Speaker 2>and I think there's a lot of truth to this,

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:42.400
<v Speaker 2>that they are sort of a gateway drug to sensible

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.960
<v Speaker 2>four O and K investing, Right, Like, you come to

0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 2>Robinhood because it's fun, and then like it's not being

0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:49.560
<v Speaker 2>that fun, and like I'll just put it in like

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:50.399
<v Speaker 2>an SMP.

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Index fund you like graduate up, you just like get.

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.119
<v Speaker 2>Bored of like day trading GameStop and you put it

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:57.439
<v Speaker 2>money into an SMP fun That seems plausible to me.

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:02.159
<v Speaker 1>You're like, man, why does this stock keep beating me?

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:06.239
<v Speaker 2>Right? So, like I think there's some plausibility of that.

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:10.000
<v Speaker 2>At the same time, like you look at how robin

0:18:10.000 --> 0:18:12.560
<v Speaker 2>Hood makes money. They make a lot of money on options, right, Yeah,

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 2>like a lot of money on options. It's hard to

0:18:15.080 --> 0:18:18.480
<v Speaker 2>argue that like a lot of retail traders are responsibly

0:18:18.560 --> 0:18:21.800
<v Speaker 2>saving for retirement by day trading options. But that's where

0:18:21.840 --> 0:18:24.879
<v Speaker 2>the money is for these firms. I will say I

0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:30.199
<v Speaker 2>wrote about like there's a move to make more single

0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:33.640
<v Speaker 2>stock daily expery options, which I don't want to say

0:18:33.680 --> 0:18:35.800
<v Speaker 2>is a pure gambling product, because I think you could

0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:38.880
<v Speaker 2>imagine a hedging use for it for somebody, but it's

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:44.720
<v Speaker 2>like it's it's pretty much a gambling product. And the

0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:47.200
<v Speaker 2>articles I read about it, you know, there's a lot

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:51.560
<v Speaker 2>of push from from some like market makers to do

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 2>that because like a gusher of money. But Robinhood has

0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:58.400
<v Speaker 2>pushed back on it. Because you know, single stock zero

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:02.480
<v Speaker 2>day x pery options become a big thing. Robin Hood

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 2>will offer them, and Robinhood's customers will use them, and

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 2>there will be terrible stories like rebin Hood doesn't want

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 2>that headache, right, They're like, we would make a lot

0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:13.080
<v Speaker 2>of money doing this, but we don't want that that

0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 2>looks like catering to gamblers, and and they have, they have,

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:18.280
<v Speaker 2>they don't want it you know.

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:20.359
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well it would give us something to talk about

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:21.480
<v Speaker 1>on the Money SOFF podcast.

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 2>Zero day single slock options, Yeah, we just talked about them,

0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:31.040
<v Speaker 2>I know. I mean yeah, it's again, it's like they

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 2>expire at four and so like if you're heading earnings

0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:36.239
<v Speaker 2>and earnings come at four fifteen, you're like exercising at

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:38.160
<v Speaker 2>a stale price. It's it's crazy product.

0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:40.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm really glad that that's a sandbox I can't play

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:41.320
<v Speaker 1>in because that sounds fun.

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:43.760
<v Speaker 2>What zero day single slack options.

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 1>If I wasn't there, I would be the most degenerate

0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:49.960
<v Speaker 1>day trader. I would have a great time.

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:53.200
<v Speaker 2>Really. Yeah, I didn't know this about you.

0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:56.720
<v Speaker 1>I love a drenaline you can't tell, okay, but like

0:19:57.240 --> 0:19:59.480
<v Speaker 1>that particular form of I would not be a day

0:19:59.480 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 1>trader and scared. Well, there's two sides sides to the

0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:18.600
<v Speaker 1>trade or something. Let's talk about Apollo. A lot of

0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:22.120
<v Speaker 1>Apollo headlines recently.

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 2>Instay doing some stuff. Tell me about it.

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Well, I was gonna turn it over to you. Apollo's

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:32.000
<v Speaker 1>Investor Day. They came out with a big projection ten

0:20:32.040 --> 0:20:36.280
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars of annual earnings in five years. Before that,

0:20:36.560 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 1>they joined forces with City Group, for this twenty five

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:42.600
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar private credit push. It just feels like Apollo

0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:45.199
<v Speaker 1>has been particularly in the news lately.

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:49.760
<v Speaker 2>Their investor Day, they sort of positioned themselves as everyone's

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:50.600
<v Speaker 2>retirement fund.

0:20:50.920 --> 0:20:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Yep, they certainly did. CEO Mark Rowan, he said that

0:20:55.560 --> 0:20:58.919
<v Speaker 1>privates can produce fifty to sixty percent better outcomes for

0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:02.000
<v Speaker 1>for one case, and would expect him to say that,

0:21:02.440 --> 0:21:06.679
<v Speaker 1>I don't know's well, of course, I mean that's the thing, Like,

0:21:06.720 --> 0:21:09.320
<v Speaker 1>of course he would say that do we need privates

0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:10.520
<v Speaker 1>in four one ks? I don't know.

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:13.760
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. I just think about this kitty. You

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:16.640
<v Speaker 2>are ETF build, You're a sure big believer in.

0:21:17.000 --> 0:21:18.919
<v Speaker 1>Can't even get an ETF and a four oh one K.

0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 2>You're a big believer in daily liquidity.

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 1>Sure am, I'm sorry. I just value transparency and interry

0:21:25.960 --> 0:21:26.679
<v Speaker 1>day liquidity.

0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:30.159
<v Speaker 2>But it is possible, Like a four one K is

0:21:30.160 --> 0:21:32.879
<v Speaker 2>really a perfect place to not have those things. I know,

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 2>like it is, And it isn't right because like you,

0:21:36.160 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 2>because it's for small investors. You do want like transparency

0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 2>and low fees and not like you don't want people

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:44.960
<v Speaker 2>to like lock their money away for thirty years and

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:47.879
<v Speaker 2>forget about it and have someone stealing it, you know. No, definitely,

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:50.440
<v Speaker 2>it is a place where you can lock your money

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:53.439
<v Speaker 2>away for thirty years, and that does suggest that you

0:21:53.480 --> 0:21:56.520
<v Speaker 2>don't need daily liquidity. Yeah, and if it is the

0:21:56.600 --> 0:22:00.280
<v Speaker 2>case that I liquid things pay premium, and like you know,

0:22:00.359 --> 0:22:03.439
<v Speaker 2>Apollo sort of looks around and it's like, we are

0:22:03.440 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 2>in the business investing in liquid things, right, and so

0:22:07.080 --> 0:22:09.680
<v Speaker 2>who do we find on the other side, Like who

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:11.960
<v Speaker 2>will give us the money to invest in liquid things?

0:22:12.119 --> 0:22:14.960
<v Speaker 2>It's like, well, you know, it's pensions and endowments, and like, oh,

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:18.159
<v Speaker 2>let's have a you know, a THEENE is like I

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:19.720
<v Speaker 2>always out of Athene is sort of like a life

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:22.280
<v Speaker 2>insurance company, but it's not really it's like an annuities company, right,

0:22:22.320 --> 0:22:24.120
<v Speaker 2>It's like a or like those are kind of two

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:26.359
<v Speaker 2>sides of the same thing, but like it's you know,

0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 2>they position in the investor day as a as a

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:31.080
<v Speaker 2>retirement services company, which is what it is, right, And

0:22:31.160 --> 0:22:33.399
<v Speaker 2>so eventually you sort of get to the point of saying,

0:22:33.520 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, we need all the money and the place

0:22:37.040 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 2>where people have long time horizons and so some ability

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:46.560
<v Speaker 2>to take your liquidity is like in their retirement accounts. Yeah,

0:22:46.640 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 2>it makes a lot of sense to me when I

0:22:48.320 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 2>think of it that way. It's like a little weird

0:22:50.160 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 2>that retel products and like mutual funds have liquidity requirements

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 2>because it's not exactly addressing the problem of retirement savings,

0:22:57.880 --> 0:22:59.719
<v Speaker 2>which is why people have annuities and stuff, right, I mean,

0:22:59.720 --> 0:23:02.159
<v Speaker 2>that's like the classic way to do this is like

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:04.880
<v Speaker 2>Athene sells people an annuity and then apollos and charge

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 2>it figuring out how to invest their money for the

0:23:06.600 --> 0:23:07.960
<v Speaker 2>next forty years or whatever.

0:23:08.160 --> 0:23:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, No, I hear what you're saying, and it doesn't

0:23:10.840 --> 0:23:13.080
<v Speaker 1>make sense. Like, again, you're locking away your money for

0:23:13.200 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 1>thirty years. You don't need that intry day liquidity. I

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:20.080
<v Speaker 1>guess it's just what I like about public markets and

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>public assets is just knowing the performance.

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 2>So Cliff Assess has this great blog posts from a

0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:29.119
<v Speaker 2>couple of years ago. Cliff Asseness is like a public

0:23:29.119 --> 0:23:31.919
<v Speaker 2>markets value investor, right. One thing he doesn't like is

0:23:31.960 --> 0:23:34.880
<v Speaker 2>that private equity, which is kind of like you know,

0:23:35.119 --> 0:23:39.800
<v Speaker 2>value investing in companies. Private equity has what appears to

0:23:39.800 --> 0:23:42.880
<v Speaker 2>be a much better sharp ratio because it has much

0:23:42.920 --> 0:23:46.520
<v Speaker 2>better risk adjusted performance because it has high performance or

0:23:46.680 --> 0:23:49.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, it has sort of vaguely SMP like performance,

0:23:49.760 --> 0:23:51.800
<v Speaker 2>but it has much less volatility. And the reason has

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:54.159
<v Speaker 2>much less volatilities because it doesn't report with market prices

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 2>every day. Right, Like a lot of what happens in

0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:58.480
<v Speaker 2>the public market, sprices go up and down without that

0:23:58.600 --> 0:24:00.679
<v Speaker 2>much change in fundamental value, and so it looks like

0:24:00.720 --> 0:24:03.399
<v Speaker 2>your stocks are very valatile. Private equity doesn't look vital

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.480
<v Speaker 2>because they report marks once a year or whatever, and

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.359
<v Speaker 2>like they have, you know, have some flexibility to say

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:10.960
<v Speaker 2>out nothing's changed. And he is like kind of mad

0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:14.160
<v Speaker 2>about that, but he's also saying, he says in this piece,

0:24:14.480 --> 0:24:16.720
<v Speaker 2>you can see why that's actually good because, like what

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:19.960
<v Speaker 2>happens is if your stocks move around every day, you'll

0:24:19.960 --> 0:24:22.600
<v Speaker 2>be tempted to sell them at the worst time. You'll panic. Right,

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:27.720
<v Speaker 2>Buying private equity is a way to like discipline yourself

0:24:28.040 --> 0:24:31.200
<v Speaker 2>and prevent yourself from panicking when market prices move around.

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:34.119
<v Speaker 2>And that story that private equity is traditionally a story

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:37.399
<v Speaker 2>about pensions and endowments, right, who you know are maybe

0:24:37.440 --> 0:24:39.840
<v Speaker 2>prey to like political factors and will take their money

0:24:39.880 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 2>out if prices go down, and can stop that by

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 2>investing in things that don't report prices. But it's like

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:47.639
<v Speaker 2>also equally true of retirement savers, right like if you

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:49.800
<v Speaker 2>if you're looking at your furrow and k every day

0:24:49.840 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 2>and saying, oh, no, stocks went down and take my

0:24:51.400 --> 0:24:53.399
<v Speaker 2>money out, Like maybe it's better to be locked up

0:24:53.400 --> 0:24:55.240
<v Speaker 2>in something that doesn't have price transparency.

0:24:55.440 --> 0:24:58.439
<v Speaker 1>That's a fair point. I do find it fund that.

0:24:58.680 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 1>Of course, Apollo is public, locally traded, and it's interesting

0:25:02.040 --> 0:25:07.560
<v Speaker 1>to consider it's its market cap. It's something like seventy

0:25:07.600 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 1>four billion dollars. Their AUM is like six hundred sixty

0:25:12.040 --> 0:25:15.360
<v Speaker 1>two billion dollars somewhere around there. It's a fun thought

0:25:15.440 --> 0:25:19.000
<v Speaker 1>exercise to compare that to black Rock, which has ten

0:25:19.040 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars in AUM and their market cap is like

0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:23.640
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and forty billion dollars. And this is something

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:27.880
<v Speaker 1>that we've talked about a little bit before, like Square, Yeah, exactly,

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:32.720
<v Speaker 1>Like how the stock market values these different asset managers.

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:35.720
<v Speaker 2>I think it is pretty straightforward, right crudely, if you

0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:39.160
<v Speaker 2>put it ten times multiple on earnings, right, like Apollo

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 2>can kind of extract kind of one percent in fees.

0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>I have some numbers right here. Yeah, I printed I'm

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:51.080
<v Speaker 1>reading this right. So if you take a look at

0:25:51.119 --> 0:25:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Apollos AUM, this cent earned per one dollars of AUM

0:25:58.240 --> 0:25:59.360
<v Speaker 1>is point eighty.

0:25:59.240 --> 0:26:02.000
<v Speaker 2>Nine yeah, so close to one percent.

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:04.479
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and then you compare that to black Rock and

0:26:04.600 --> 0:26:08.159
<v Speaker 1>it's like point oh six sense well.

0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:10.440
<v Speaker 2>Like sixplasive points. I think like there's two kinds of

0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:14.560
<v Speaker 2>asset managers. There's like expensive asset managers who charge one percent,

0:26:14.880 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 2>and there's cheap asset managers who charge like one basis

0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:18.560
<v Speaker 2>point right, right, and then you put it ten times

0:26:18.640 --> 0:26:20.919
<v Speaker 2>multiple on them, and like black Rock should trade it

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:23.560
<v Speaker 2>like one percent of AUM, and Apollo should trade it

0:26:23.640 --> 0:26:26.000
<v Speaker 2>a ten percent of AUM, right, yeah, because like they're

0:26:26.080 --> 0:26:29.120
<v Speaker 2>charging one percent of AUM versus charging ten basis points

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 2>of AUM. And I wrote about this in the context

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:36.440
<v Speaker 2>of Brushing Square, where they raised money at a valuation

0:26:36.480 --> 0:26:39.040
<v Speaker 2>for the management company of something like fifty percent of AUM,

0:26:39.359 --> 0:26:42.840
<v Speaker 2>which implies quite insane things about the fees they can

0:26:42.880 --> 0:26:46.560
<v Speaker 2>charge or about their expected growth. But that's neither here

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 2>nor there. What is Yeah, Like Apollo is in the

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:51.040
<v Speaker 2>business of being an expensive asset manager, and one thing

0:26:51.080 --> 0:26:53.679
<v Speaker 2>that might happen, one that you could imagine is like

0:26:53.760 --> 0:26:57.679
<v Speaker 2>if all of their pushes to be like mass market

0:26:58.000 --> 0:27:01.760
<v Speaker 2>and retirement savings and all these things all come true,

0:27:01.920 --> 0:27:05.240
<v Speaker 2>and like possibly there will be some fee compression, right,

0:27:05.359 --> 0:27:09.919
<v Speaker 2>possibly you can't charge the same fees for everyone's retirement

0:27:09.920 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 2>account that you can charge for like private equity.

0:27:11.760 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 1>I would imagine. So Also John Farrell and BTV interviewed

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:17.639
<v Speaker 1>marcro In the day after the investor Day, and he

0:27:17.720 --> 0:27:19.880
<v Speaker 1>asked the good question, which is that you have rates

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 1>coming down. The economy is looking pretty good right now,

0:27:22.400 --> 0:27:27.159
<v Speaker 1>financial conditions are easy. Why would people keep going to

0:27:27.200 --> 0:27:29.960
<v Speaker 1>the private credit markets versus issuing in the public markets,

0:27:30.000 --> 0:27:33.320
<v Speaker 1>which I think is a fair question. Marcro And said

0:27:33.320 --> 0:27:35.800
<v Speaker 1>something like, you know, we're doing things that the public

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:38.199
<v Speaker 1>markets wouldn't allow, and then he talked about infrastructure for

0:27:38.240 --> 0:27:40.520
<v Speaker 1>a while. But there was also an interesting story on

0:27:40.560 --> 0:27:44.880
<v Speaker 1>the terminal from Ellen Schneider and Michael Toblin, quoting Bank

0:27:44.920 --> 0:27:48.000
<v Speaker 1>of America research that said almost thirty billion dollars of

0:27:48.040 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 1>private debt has been refinanced through broadly syndicated loans across

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:55.359
<v Speaker 1>more than seventy deals so far this year. So banks

0:27:55.480 --> 0:27:58.000
<v Speaker 1>reclaiming some ground there from private credit.

0:27:58.359 --> 0:28:00.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that makes sense. As you said, they just a

0:28:00.200 --> 0:28:02.119
<v Speaker 2>a big, you know, partnership with the city, right, So

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:04.560
<v Speaker 2>I think there's a real view that private credit is

0:28:04.560 --> 0:28:06.679
<v Speaker 2>going to stick around. You can imagine a story of,

0:28:06.720 --> 0:28:09.240
<v Speaker 2>like a lot of private credit funds raised a lot

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:12.879
<v Speaker 2>of money because it's very hot, and then like in

0:28:12.920 --> 0:28:15.520
<v Speaker 2>a year, they need to deploy that money, and they

0:28:15.560 --> 0:28:19.360
<v Speaker 2>are possibly giving better terms than the public markets. Right.

0:28:19.600 --> 0:28:21.240
<v Speaker 2>I think a lot of the story of private credit

0:28:21.280 --> 0:28:23.639
<v Speaker 2>in recent years has been like when public markets seized up,

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:27.280
<v Speaker 2>private credit seized a lot of share. But you can

0:28:27.320 --> 0:28:28.960
<v Speaker 2>imagine a story of just like there's so much money

0:28:29.000 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 2>in private credit, it's going to be cheap, and watch

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:32.160
<v Speaker 2>the space comebye.

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 1>Watch the space bye bye.

0:28:40.600 --> 0:28:42.080
<v Speaker 2>And that was the Money Stuff Podcast.

0:28:42.240 --> 0:28:44.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm Matt Levian and I'm Katie Greifeld.

0:28:44.600 --> 0:28:46.640
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0:28:48.680 --> 0:28:51.160
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0:29:07.440 --> 0:29:10.240
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0:29:10.320 --> 0:29:13.280
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0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:16.120
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