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Speaker 3: Welcome in episode ninety seven, What's Right with Nick Right.
Speaker 3: Subscribe on our YouTube page. You'll get our live shows
Speaker 3: on Monday and Thursdays. If you get the little bell
Speaker 3: on our YouTube page, they'll let you know we're right.
Speaker 3: Over eighty five thousand, we have subscribers where it's gonna
Speaker 3: we're getting there. It's gonna be up against the why
Speaker 3: to get demands that thousand dollars bonus, but we have
Speaker 3: we still have hope. We need to get to one
Speaker 3: hundred thousand subscribers. Demand gets to fancy plack. Also, as
Speaker 3: we discussed on Thursday's show, Demand is a twitch stream
Speaker 3: that he's starting up and is it not started yet?
Speaker 2: No, definitely starting it up. We didn't get to discuss
Speaker 2: it because the question got eliminated.
Speaker 3: Here's the thing, I'm doing a little magic of media
Speaker 3: because we have not yet discussed it, but we are
Speaker 3: going to discuss it on Thursday show, which people will
Speaker 3: have already heard by the time of the Gambling Show.
Speaker 3: So DEMANSI got twitch scream he's playing Call of Duty.
Speaker 3: We got all that. So a lot of places where
Speaker 3: you can consume our material. All we ask because we're
Speaker 3: out here not only giving out good content, but lately
Speaker 3: we're out here giving out winners. Now everybody, can't you
Speaker 3: know I didn't share with you guys my same game
Speaker 3: parlay day of Sunday that you know was a nice
Speaker 3: meaty five figures. We discussed that on Monday's show. But
Speaker 3: re straight weeks have given out winners. It's brought our
Speaker 3: season record to essentially right at five hundred. We are
Speaker 3: twenty four, twenty five and one, which given how we
Speaker 3: started the year, we will take. Here's the thing. The
Speaker 3: right moves bad, don't work. Don't don't overvalue our right
Speaker 3: move pick. Just look at it as a totality of
Speaker 3: five picks. So last week, let's go through it quickly. Here,
Speaker 3: we'll go through the winners and then the losers. Tennessee
Speaker 3: minus two and a half. The Broncos are a disaster.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: Does somebody tweeted and they're correct?
Speaker 2: Eighteen points?
Speaker 3: Yes? Yeah, that if they had scored eighteen points in
Speaker 3: every game this year, which would be a bottom five offense,
Speaker 3: they would be eight and one. And did you see
Speaker 3: what Russell Wilson did. Russell Wilson wore the wristband to
Speaker 3: his press conference. Yeah, this guy don't.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 3: It's unbelievable. Denver will be feature in one way or
Speaker 3: another in our picks this week. The Chargers plus seven
Speaker 3: against San Francisco was a winner that was clearly the
Speaker 3: right side and almost got screwed at the end of
Speaker 3: the game. Kyle Shanahan should have tried to punch it
Speaker 3: in to go up ten at the very end, said
Speaker 3: he kicked a cowardly field goal, but we appreciate it
Speaker 3: from a gambling perspective. Washington plus eleven obviously the right side.
Speaker 3: They won out right. Chicago minus two and a half
Speaker 3: against Detroit, I also think that was the right side
Speaker 3: they ended up losing by one. However, they were up
Speaker 3: fourteen and picked off Jared Goff returned it inside the ten,
Speaker 3: and a very questionable, very questionable defensive pass interference or
Speaker 3: illegal contact call got that called back. Detroit then scored.
Speaker 3: Justin Fields then made a terrible mistake. He's been excellently
Speaker 3: made a bad mistake, picked six, flipped the game even
Speaker 3: despite all of that. Justin Fields then went down the field,
Speaker 3: not even down the field, one play, sixty yard touchdown run,
Speaker 3: but they missed the extra point. So then a Detroit
Speaker 3: touchdown wins it for him. So I don't feel bad
Speaker 3: about that. And then there's Vegas minus six against Andy,
Speaker 3: which we discussed on Monday. We don't need to discuss
Speaker 3: much more here. I would never have made that pick
Speaker 3: with Matt Ryan starting. I would never have laid six
Speaker 3: points with the terrible Raiders against a competent Now Ryan
Speaker 3: has had some awful moments, but when he's not turning
Speaker 3: the ball over, he's still obviously more than competent. The
Speaker 3: Colt said they were going with Allinger, the coach they fired,
Speaker 3: never wanted to start Ellinger. Seemed like they were going
Speaker 3: with Ellinger, and then they did the old switcheroo. It
Speaker 3: counts against my record, but I feel it was dishonest.
Speaker 3: I feel it was unfair. I feel the money should
Speaker 3: be refunded. But I can't really complain about gambling this
Speaker 3: week because again the forty to one same game parlay. Okay,
Speaker 3: five picks this week. This outworks each and every week.
Speaker 3: We break the games down into four separate categories. Our
Speaker 3: picks are stay away, are be carefuls, and are perfectly priced. Also,
Speaker 3: I should note we are doing this before Thursday Night Football,
Speaker 3: so we no longer include Thursday Night Football. You guys
Speaker 3: will have already known if I'm right or wrong on this.
Speaker 3: I like the Titans plus three tonight. I think the
Speaker 3: Titans plus three and the Titans to win outright, But
Speaker 3: we're not including that in our picks because it's not interesting,
Speaker 3: it's not actionable for you guys, because we did it
Speaker 3: early in the year and I realized it's dumb to
Speaker 3: give analysis on a game that you guys will have
Speaker 3: already seen. So now our picks. First one, we are
Speaker 3: going back to the well with Chicago. Chicago getting three
Speaker 3: in Atlanta, so Chicago with Justin Fields could have won
Speaker 3: each of the last few weeks, and let's talk about
Speaker 3: how they lost. I understand they lost. I understand right
Speaker 3: now they are they have the worst record given tie
Speaker 3: breakers in the NFC, and their defense has been abysmal.
Speaker 3: Those are all things I know. Those are all reasons
Speaker 3: not to go with them. I get that part of it. However,
Speaker 3: what we have seen from Chicago. So they crushed New
Speaker 3: England and Justin Field's breakout game. They then get crushed
Speaker 3: by Dallas, but scored twenty nine points, so I shouldn't
Speaker 3: say he could have won each of the last three
Speaker 3: weeks against Miami. They are back and forth with Miami.
Speaker 3: Justin Fields has three hundred yards combined one hundred and
Speaker 3: eighty on the ground, and that game at the they
Speaker 3: are it's a three point game the entirety of the
Speaker 3: fourth quarter. They're just unable to get over the hump.
Speaker 3: Then they played Detroit. I just broke that game down. Atlanta,
Speaker 3: on the other hand, is going in the other direction.
Speaker 3: Atlanta and its last month of football got crushed by
Speaker 3: the Bengals, escaped against Carolina, got beat by the Chargers,
Speaker 3: and then got crushed by Carolina. Getting crushed by Carolina
Speaker 3: the way they did last week is to me, when PJ.
Speaker 3: Walker threw for one hundred yards and you lost by
Speaker 3: ten points a massive warning sign. You add to that
Speaker 3: that Atlanta has not ever since Cordurell Patterson got hurt,
Speaker 3: even though he's back, they have not been the same
Speaker 3: dominant rushing team they were at the beginning of the year.
Speaker 3: At Chicago's big weakness is defense, particularly their past defense.
Speaker 3: I do not think Atlanta's gonna be able to take
Speaker 3: advantage of that. I like getting the three points. I
Speaker 3: think Chicago could win out right. We like Chicago and
Speaker 3: Justin Field's finally getting over the hump and getting a
Speaker 3: win after the last couple of weeks they played well
Speaker 3: enough to win. What's that?
Speaker 2: Do you think it's possible you're overrating him with how
Speaker 2: fun they are to watch. I mean they've lost the
Speaker 2: six of their last seven games.
Speaker 3: Well, I don't think I'm overrating If they were playing
Speaker 3: a good team, maybe I don't think. I mean Atlanta's
Speaker 3: four and six with some very good luck early in
Speaker 3: the year, Chicago's three and seven with some tough luck
Speaker 3: last week. You add to it, early in the year,
Speaker 3: they were a totally different team. I think Chicago is
Speaker 3: a better team than Atlanta, so they should not be
Speaker 3: getting a full three points in Atlanta. I like Chicago
Speaker 3: plus the three. Next. This is a little spoiler. This
Speaker 3: is the only favorite we're going with this week. The
Speaker 3: Giants minus three against Detroit. So Detroit's defense is abysmal.
Speaker 3: The Giants are just going to run the football. I
Speaker 3: will give the Giants credit in this regard. They have
Speaker 3: been great at protecting the ball. Detroit. I feel like
Speaker 3: he is going to struggle to score on the road
Speaker 3: in cold weather here in New York if they unless
Speaker 3: they get turnovers. And the big bugaboo for Daniel Jones
Speaker 3: whole career had been turnovers. And listen, Brian da Ball
Speaker 3: leaves Josh Allen, he all of a sudden leads the
Speaker 3: league in turnovers. Goes to Daniel Jones, most turnover pron
Speaker 3: quarterback in the leagues since he came into it. All
Speaker 3: of a sudden, he stops turning the ball over. Dave
Speaker 3: Ball deserves credit there. The Giants also, while we don't
Speaker 3: and the collective does not believe in them as much
Speaker 3: is as their record suggests, I'm sure they believe in themselves.
Speaker 3: And that Philly loss plus the Dallas loss last week
Speaker 3: should be galvanizing for them. They should feel like, wait,
Speaker 3: why can't we win the division? Why can't we with
Speaker 3: a Minnesota stumble, be the one seed. Now, I don't
Speaker 3: think that's realistic at all, but they know in order
Speaker 3: for any of that to come into play, they have
Speaker 3: to take care of business in a game like this
Speaker 3: against a Detroit team that is awful. Detroit's fun and
Speaker 3: hard knocks and people like Dan Campbell, but their offense
Speaker 3: seems to only work at home. Their defense has been
Speaker 3: bad all year, and the Giants recognize that what they
Speaker 3: have four consecutive divisional games coming up. Those are all
Speaker 3: going to be incredibly difficult, even though two of them
Speaker 3: are against Washington, and they know the Giants haven't played
Speaker 3: Is that right, Yeah, They've only played one divisional game
Speaker 3: all year. The Giants are eight and two and the
Speaker 3: rest of the way have Detroit this week, than Dallas
Speaker 3: on Thanksgiving, then Washington, Philly, Washington, Minnesota, Indie, Philly. So
Speaker 3: that is a brutal rest of the schedule. In this regard,
Speaker 3: divisional games are always tough. Your non divisional games are
Speaker 3: only Minnesota, Indie, and Philly. So Indy's the only one
Speaker 3: where you'll be a favorite, so they have to win
Speaker 3: this game. This to me feels like a twenty to
Speaker 3: thirteen Giants win. Good Giants defense, fast game, a lot
Speaker 3: of running. We like the Giants laying the three next.
Speaker 3: All right, this one was painful for me. I'm gonna
Speaker 3: tell you right now. I had this game in a
Speaker 3: different category, and I had San Francisco Arizona in our picks,
Speaker 3: and then bad job by me. When I initially did
Speaker 3: the picks, I forgot San Francisco Arizona is in another country.
Speaker 3: It's in Mexico. It's not in Arizona. I was gonna lay.
Speaker 3: I was gonna grab the eight points with Arizona, even
Speaker 3: with the uncertainty at quarterback. Then I realized it's not
Speaker 3: even a home game for them, and I took them
Speaker 3: out of it. Too much uncertain dame near a home
Speaker 3: game Mexico. Yeah, but I think San Francisco had more fans.
Speaker 2: I think it's those are both pretty close, yes.
Speaker 3: And it's also San Francisco is more of an international brand.
Speaker 3: But this is a game between two of the worst
Speaker 3: teams in football, and the Rams right now, with Cooper
Speaker 3: Cup probably being done for the year, likely have the
Speaker 3: worst offense in the league. Despite that, I am going
Speaker 3: to go ahead and grab the four and a half
Speaker 3: points Rams plus four and a half against the Saints.
Speaker 2: This is not.
Speaker 3: About the Rams still being alive. This is not the
Speaker 3: Rams are going to have the worst defense of a
Speaker 3: Super Bowl in NFL history. Okay, the offense stinks. The offense,
Speaker 3: I mean all year long, here are they are points scored? Okay,
Speaker 3: ten thirty one against Atlanta, twenty nine, ten twenty four
Speaker 3: against Carolina fourteen thirteen, seventeen. So all of that sounds
Speaker 3: like a reason that I shouldn't be picking them. The
Speaker 3: flip side to that coin is the Saints are just
Speaker 3: as bad. The Saints are starting Andy Dalton. The one
Speaker 3: thing the Rams can still do is employee Aaron Donald
Speaker 3: the Saints. Also, while I don't love McVay as much
Speaker 3: as everyone does, he is clearly a good coach. Dennis Allen,
Speaker 3: I've been pounding this drum all year, is the worst,
Speaker 3: one of the worst coaches from a record perspective in
Speaker 3: the history of the NFL. And the Saints the last
Speaker 3: five weeks. The only reason they're not zero five is
Speaker 3: because of that game they crushed the Raiders, which was
Speaker 3: the last breath of the Raiders. They got the Saints
Speaker 3: last week got beat by ten by Pittsburgh. They should
Speaker 3: not be favored by more than two points, even at
Speaker 3: home against anyone getting a full four and a half
Speaker 3: in this game that very likely is a seventeen to
Speaker 3: thirteen game in either direction. I gotta grab the points.
Speaker 3: I don't like it. I don't want to watch this game.
Speaker 3: I don't want to care about this game. But it
Speaker 3: is too many points for an Andy Dalton Dennis Allen
Speaker 3: quarterback coach.
Speaker 2: Combo, we're taking Tyler Higbee in the Rams.
Speaker 3: Okay, that Rams don't have an offense right now, I
Speaker 3: understand that, and I mean they might shut Stafford down
Speaker 3: for the year. I get all of that. It's too
Speaker 3: many points. It's flatly this should be New Orleans minus
Speaker 3: one or a pick them New Orleans and both of
Speaker 3: these teams. By the way, here's the other weird thing.
Speaker 3: Usually when teams are this bad, you worry, oh will
Speaker 3: you know? Will the coach The GM have talked to
Speaker 3: the coach like, hey, we wouldn't mind losing this game
Speaker 3: of our draft position. You know, two teams playing each
Speaker 3: other and competing with this team for draft position. Neither
Speaker 3: of these teams have their own first round pick. The
Speaker 3: Saints it goes to Philly. Philly is gonna get the
Speaker 3: Saints first round pick could be the fourth pick of
Speaker 3: the draft for the Rams obviously goes to Detroit. Very
Speaker 3: weird thing in this year's draft. Four of the ten
Speaker 3: worst records don't have their own first round pick. The
Speaker 3: Browns it goes to Houston, the Rams it goes to Detroit,
Speaker 3: New Orleans it goes to Philly, and Denver obviously goes
Speaker 3: to Seattle. So four of the worst teams in the
Speaker 3: league don't have their own first round pick, and that
Speaker 3: also means Detroit and Houston are gonna end up likely
Speaker 3: with two top ten picks their own plus the one
Speaker 3: they got they got coming back all right, next Raiders
Speaker 3: plus three at Denver. I understand the Raiders think, I
Speaker 3: get it. Why Why should Denver be treated like they're
Speaker 3: anything other than arguably the worst team in the league
Speaker 3: outside of Houston. What's the argument for it. They just
Speaker 3: lost another receiver, Jerry Judy unfortunately got hurt. Now it
Speaker 3: doesn't look like that is quite as devastating of an
Speaker 3: injuries that looked like in real time the Raiders. Meanwhile,
Speaker 3: I I know I sound dumb on this, and obviously
Speaker 3: Josh McDaniels has not done a good job. I don't
Speaker 3: think the Raiders are terrible. They're obviously not good, but
Speaker 3: I don't think they're terrible. And it seemed like Derek
Speaker 3: Carr and DeVante Adams, they both came out this week
Speaker 3: and said they were happy that Josh McDaniels got the
Speaker 3: vote of confidence. Now, the reason Josh McDaniels got that
Speaker 3: vote of confidence is because the Raiders are broke and
Speaker 3: they're paying NFL coaches salaries. Demons are guaranteed, so they're
Speaker 3: trying not to pay Gruden because they fired him for
Speaker 3: a cause because of the racist emails. But if you
Speaker 3: fire a coach, you got to pay him out. So
Speaker 3: they're already you know, they might have to pay out Gruden.
Speaker 3: If they fire McDaniels, who they just hired, they have
Speaker 3: to pay him out for five years and then hire
Speaker 3: another coach. You'd be paying three coaches. The Raiders I
Speaker 3: don't think have the cash to do it. So that's
Speaker 3: the reason McDaniels is staying. But I think car and
Speaker 3: DeVante are happy he's staying and this is more about
Speaker 3: fading the Denver Broncos. A Denver Broncos team that has
Speaker 3: won three games this year. One was against Houston, one
Speaker 3: was the one point win against San Francisco, and the
Speaker 3: other the devastating four point victory against the Prince that
Speaker 3: was promised in Europe. They them laying three point point
Speaker 3: is flatly too many. They're coming off their offense since
Speaker 3: the last Raider game, by the way, the Raiders won
Speaker 3: twenty or thirty two to twenty three. Now that was
Speaker 3: the one game the Broncos actually scored. Other than that
Speaker 3: Raiders game, the Broncos have scored sixteen, sixteen, eleven, nine, sixteen, nine, seventeen.
Speaker 3: All right, I'm sorry twenty one and ten. So Russell
Speaker 3: Wilson and the Broncos do not deserve to be favored
Speaker 3: by a full three points. I'll grab the three.
Speaker 2: Derek Carr might be less profitable, less profitable than Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 3: Okay, and the Raiders just lost to a get up analyst. Yeah,
Speaker 3: so I understand all of that. This is about me
Speaker 3: having made a mistake earlier in the year. I said
Speaker 3: that Nat Hackett was a must bet against until proven otherwise,
Speaker 3: and I lost my medal on it. After that stupid
Speaker 3: Broncos game all I'm sorry the stupid Niners game when
Speaker 3: Jimmy g ran out in the back of the end zone.
Speaker 3: Since then the Broncos were playing. Let's just go through
Speaker 3: what they would have been against the spread. We can
Speaker 3: do it quickly. The Broncos were getting two and a
Speaker 3: half against the Raiders. They lost by nine, so they
Speaker 3: lost that game against the spread. The Broncos were laying
Speaker 3: three and a half against the Colts, they lost out right.
Speaker 3: The Broncos, my guess is against the Chargers, they covered.
Speaker 3: The Broncos were getting four and a half against the Charger,
Speaker 3: they lost by three. The Broncos against the Jets were
Speaker 3: getting two and a half. They lost by seven. They
Speaker 3: obviously covered against Jacksonville. And the Broncos against the Titans
Speaker 3: last week were getting two and a half. They lost
Speaker 3: by seven. We should have kept fading them. We didn't.
Speaker 3: It's frustrating. I'm fade them this week.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you one more chance to back out
Speaker 2: of this. Davante Adams was limited in practiced yesterday.
Speaker 3: Yeah he's gonna play. I'm not worried. Limited on a
Speaker 3: Winnesday doesn't concern me, though, did not practice on a
Speaker 3: Wednesday is a first sign of concern. Limited on a
Speaker 3: Friday can be concerning. I believe DeVante is gonna play.
Speaker 3: I'm and again, we're doing this on a Thursday, so
Speaker 3: we don't know the Thursday Andrew report. I'm fading the Broncos.
Speaker 3: This is a this is you know what? I think?
Speaker 3: This is a strong Raiders victory twenty four to ten
Speaker 3: the Raiders when the Broncos look terrible. There it is
Speaker 3: last pick. You guys taught me something last week. I
Speaker 3: gotta give you guys credit. Last week, you guys said, oh, man,
Speaker 3: don't you know that Mike Tomlin is eighty three percent
Speaker 3: against the spread as a home underdog. And I said
Speaker 3: I didn't know that.
Speaker 2: And then the.
Speaker 3: Steelers went out and won out right right? Well, what
Speaker 3: is he demand against the spread as a home underdog
Speaker 3: in division games?
Speaker 2: Tomlin is undefeated against the spread at home as a
Speaker 2: home as a home dog against the AFC North and
Speaker 2: seven games five, five, zero and two.
Speaker 3: All right, so we're getting four points against Cincinnati is
Speaker 3: a three point game? It was four and a half.
Speaker 3: It moved to four. I liked it more at four
Speaker 3: and a half. This feels like maybe it's a push.
Speaker 3: But you, guys, I am not above learning from you
Speaker 3: and the producers. I didn't know that last week. I
Speaker 3: now do. Also, we saw this game played in Week one.
Speaker 3: Now it was an outlier game. I understand that because
Speaker 3: there were five turnovers and this mistakes by Cincinnati all
Speaker 3: events since and Pittsburgh won in overtime. But what it
Speaker 3: was not an outlier was this TJ. Watt wrecked the Bengals.
Speaker 3: And what we have seen from the Bengals this year
Speaker 3: is while they have a lot of really good things
Speaker 3: going for them, they cannot deal with a singularly dominant
Speaker 3: pass rusher. Right. They have four losses this year. Three
Speaker 3: of them came to TJ. Watt, Aca Parsons, and Miles Garrett.
Speaker 3: We saw Miles Garrett wreck them two weeks ago on
Speaker 3: Monday Night Football. Last week. Now, I understand they're coming
Speaker 3: off of bye. I get that, Pittsburgh, it's too many points.
Speaker 3: So we've got four underdogs this week. Our four picks
Speaker 3: this week Chicago plus three at Atlanta, the Giants minus
Speaker 3: three at Detroit, the Rams plus four and a half
Speaker 3: against New Orleans in New Orleans, Vegas, plus three at
Speaker 3: Denver and Pittsburgh, plus four against Cincinnati. Now the other
Speaker 3: how many more games are we doing? The other eight
Speaker 3: games of the weekend stay Aways, be carefuls and perfectly priced?
Speaker 3: We do that next, What's Right? Episode ninety seven.
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Speaker 3: All Right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Right, Episode
Speaker 3: ninety seven, our game on show. We just gave you
Speaker 3: our five picks of the week. There are now eight
Speaker 3: other games we have to break down into three different categories.
Speaker 3: Are stay aways, are be carefuls? And are perfectly priced?
Speaker 3: All right, First, stay well, the three stayaways are Cleveland
Speaker 3: at Buffalo, Dallas at Minnesota, and San Francisco at Arizona.
Speaker 3: We'll go through each of these. Why we consider them
Speaker 3: stay aways. Cleveland at Buffalo this is the type of
Speaker 3: game that Buffalo. I was ready to lay the points
Speaker 3: with Buffalo. They've lost back to back games. They need
Speaker 3: the win. Cleveland isn't good. Buffalo is with the best
Speaker 3: front running team in the league, but nobody better at
Speaker 3: turning a seventeen point lead into a thirty point lead
Speaker 3: than the Bills. This is the type of game where
Speaker 3: everyone's like, oh my god, Josh Allen's quarterback won. Here's
Speaker 3: the problem. Have you seen Demonsey the forecast for Buffalo
Speaker 3: this weekend.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna be a snowstorm. Huh.
Speaker 3: They called it like a snow thunders like a snow thunderstorm.
Speaker 3: They think they might get six feet of snow. They're
Speaker 3: not even certain if the game can be played in Buffalo.
Speaker 3: Now usually they deal with it, so in neutral weather,
Speaker 3: I'd lay the points. In a snow thunderdome. You want
Speaker 3: if you're getting more than a touchdown, you want the
Speaker 3: dog because you just feel like there's gonna be a
Speaker 3: lot of upheaval, low scoring. Also, if the conditions are
Speaker 3: that you can't throw, it actually favors Cleveland because they
Speaker 3: want to run the ball. Buffalo wants to throw the ball.
Speaker 3: It is now maybe Sunday morning. This is bettable right
Speaker 3: now for me for my purposes on Thursday. You gotta
Speaker 3: stay away from it. The weather is too big of
Speaker 3: an X factor. Next one, Dallas at Minnesota is a
Speaker 3: stay away in this regard. I was I like Minnesota
Speaker 3: in this spot. Okay, I like the I almost this
Speaker 3: is kind of a stay away slash be careful. I
Speaker 3: probably should have put it in the be careful category,
Speaker 3: but I'll analyze it the same. I like Minnesota in
Speaker 3: this spot. I think Minnesota being the dog at home
Speaker 3: against Dallas is downright disrespectful, even though I don't trust
Speaker 3: Minnesota as much as the record demandsdays that I should
Speaker 3: trust them. This line is so fishy and it feels
Speaker 3: like they are daring you to pick the Vikings. The
Speaker 3: Cowboys coming off a terrible loss, Dak hasn't looked good.
Speaker 3: Minnesota's coming off a great win, and that to me
Speaker 3: is the equalizer in this Dallas coming off a bad
Speaker 3: loss feeling awful Minnesota coming off one of the best
Speaker 3: regular season wins anyone's ever had. The other concern is,
Speaker 3: if you're going with the Vikings, are teams going to
Speaker 3: start giving justin Jefferson like the old Randy Moss treatment
Speaker 3: of We're just gonna doub you the whole game and
Speaker 3: see and dare you guys to beat us with anyone else?
Speaker 3: So I'm staying away from it.
Speaker 1: What's up.
Speaker 2: Imagine what this point spread would have been had Buffalo
Speaker 2: not fumbled in the end zone. I think it's like
Speaker 2: Dallas minus three point five, three and a half.
Speaker 3: I you know, I don't know how much the Vikings
Speaker 3: win in a weird way. I wonder if it goes
Speaker 3: the other way. I wonder if the Vikings winning actually
Speaker 3: made them bigger underdogs because people are concerned about the
Speaker 3: letdown spot that they are gonna be a little you know.
Speaker 3: So I'm not sure. But that game was so wild.
Speaker 3: That and the Dallas game also. Now here's what I
Speaker 3: don't like for Dallas. On the Dallas side of things,
Speaker 3: I don't like five quarter games. I don't like teams
Speaker 3: that the previous week played not only overtime, but deep
Speaker 3: into overtime. I feel like that takes a real toll,
Speaker 3: but I'm staying away from it. And the last one,
Speaker 3: I'm staying away San Francisco against Arizona. We don't know
Speaker 3: who's playing quarterback for Arizona. I don't actually care about that.
Speaker 3: Arizona's getting eight, by the way, I think Colt McCoy's fine,
Speaker 3: and I think the team dislikes Kyler. However, this might
Speaker 3: be the first game Arizona has all of its weapons
Speaker 3: because Nuke was suspended. They traded for Hollywood Brown, and
Speaker 3: they traded for Robbie Anderson. They all three might be
Speaker 3: on the field this week. As a possibility Hollywood Brown
Speaker 3: plays the Mexico City part is complicating factor. The lack
Speaker 3: of knowledge about who's playing quarterback for Arizona's a complicating factor,
Speaker 3: and whether or not San Francisco is just going to
Speaker 3: be able to run the ball down Arizona's throat. My
Speaker 3: lean here was Arizona because of the uncertainty at quarterback.
Speaker 3: I'm staying away from.
Speaker 2: Shannan's the third worst coach is a favorite since he
Speaker 2: became a coach. If Kyler Murray's playing, are you taking
Speaker 2: Arizona again?
Speaker 3: I don't at eight if the line. If they were
Speaker 3: to announced Kyler the starter and the line were to
Speaker 3: stay here, yes, I think they have baked. I think
Speaker 3: the line probably drops to six if Kyler is playing.
Speaker 3: I listen. I think San Francisco is a great team.
Speaker 3: I really do. But they You're right about that. They
Speaker 3: don't cover a lot because they don't blow people out
Speaker 3: because of their style of play. I'm staying away from
Speaker 3: it now to the be carefuls all right, phillyate Indy,
Speaker 3: Washington and Houston Kansas City at the Chargers, be careful
Speaker 3: on phillyate Indy. For this regard, there are two universes
Speaker 3: that exist. One is that Indy can't protect Matt Ryan,
Speaker 3: that Philly's furious about the game they gave away against Washington,
Speaker 3: That that Philly d line forces three fumbles on Matt Ryan.
Speaker 3: He you know, self sacks a number of times. Jeff
Speaker 3: Saturday gets depanted as we thought he would last week,
Speaker 3: and Philly beats him thirty one to three. That universe exists.
Speaker 3: It also exists that on Monday morning on TV, there
Speaker 3: are two parallel discussions going on. One is how many people,
Speaker 3: oh Jeff Saturday in apology, He's got the cults fighting
Speaker 3: a hard fought, shocking win against Philly, and the other
Speaker 3: one being wow, is you know Philly from eight to
Speaker 3: no to second place in the division? Right those the
Speaker 3: I think Vegas is daring you to bet Philly because
Speaker 3: Indy isn't a good team. However, Indy with Matt Ryan playing,
Speaker 3: has been a competent team, and seven points is a
Speaker 3: lot to lay on the road. I would be careful
Speaker 3: in that spot, just like I would be careful with
Speaker 3: Washington at Houston. Washington coming off a great win, Houston
Speaker 3: looks like the worst team in the league. Your only
Speaker 3: laying a field goal. I feel like this is a
Speaker 3: game that is gonna be one of the most popular picks.
Speaker 3: You're gonna have seventy five percent of the public betting
Speaker 3: on Washington. Washington won that game despite the fact that
Speaker 3: they still don't have solid quarterback play and their running
Speaker 3: attack is averaging less than four yards per carry. That is,
Speaker 3: Houston is going to win at least two more games
Speaker 3: this year. This could be one of them. I say,
Speaker 3: be careful. I'm not willing to bet on Houston. They've
Speaker 3: been so poorly coached, they've been so bad. I'm not
Speaker 3: I'm not willing to bet on them, But I think
Speaker 3: you gotta be careful. What's I get fading Washington? But
Speaker 3: Houston is like one of the worst teams in the
Speaker 3: league right now, and Chase Young might be back. Is
Speaker 3: this kind of disrespectful, disrespectful to the Commanders. I don't listen.
Speaker 3: I don't think the Commanders have earned respect. The Commanders
Speaker 3: are fine. They are a fine man. Listen. Yeah, that's fine,
Speaker 3: They're fine. I'm not laying I'm not laying points on
Speaker 3: the road with Washington right now. Even against Houston, I'm
Speaker 3: certainly not laying a full field goal. And the last
Speaker 3: be carefuls can city in the Chargers. Listen, the Chargers
Speaker 3: give the Chiefs hell. They lose to the Chiefs, but
Speaker 3: those games are close. If you want to bet Chiefs Chargers,
Speaker 3: wait until the Chargers take a lead and live. Bet
Speaker 3: the Chiefs on the money line. Don't bet them now.
Speaker 3: So I just feel like at minus five and a half,
Speaker 3: they're daring you to bet the Chiefs because you're not
Speaker 3: even laying the full touchdown, not even laying the full six.
Speaker 3: Be careful in this spot. If you want to bet
Speaker 3: the Chiefs, wait until the game gets going the Chiefs
Speaker 3: fall down, and because here's the other thing, the Chargers
Speaker 3: are totally desperate in this spot. If the Chiefs win
Speaker 3: this game, the division race is over. It's not mathematically over,
Speaker 3: but the Chiefs win the Chiefs and two, the Chargers
Speaker 3: would be five and five and the Chiefs would have
Speaker 3: swept them. So that would mean that the Chargers to
Speaker 3: win the division even if they went ran the table
Speaker 3: after this game, the Chiefs would have to go eleven
Speaker 3: and six, which would mean the Chiefs would have to
Speaker 3: go two and four the rest of the way. This
Speaker 3: would This is a division championship game for the Chiefs,
Speaker 3: so the Chargers, it's a kitchen sink game for them.
Speaker 3: They're gonna be desperate. I think they'll come out strong.
Speaker 3: I'm not laying the five and a half with Kansas City,
Speaker 3: all right, Perfectly priced Carolina at Baltimore, Bakers starting this
Speaker 3: is a tough spot for my guy. Demant say, it's
Speaker 3: a tough spot for my guy. I expect Baltimore to
Speaker 3: look really good and I expect Baltimore to win by
Speaker 3: about two touchdowns. I like the price on it and
Speaker 3: Jets at the Patriots. The line strikes you initially disrespectful
Speaker 3: to the Jets. Then you realize the Patriots have beaten
Speaker 3: the jetsoeen consecutive games, tied for the longest streak of
Speaker 3: any team over another team in the league with the
Speaker 3: Chiefs over the Broncos. It's the line's just right at
Speaker 3: Patriots minus. If it was minus three, you'd like the Patriots.
Speaker 3: At minus four, you might like the Jets three and
Speaker 3: a half. This feels like a seventeen fourteen, seventeen thirteen
Speaker 3: type of game. So I to me, the line's just right.
Speaker 3: There's no value there. All right, I've got a teaser
Speaker 3: for you this week. I have been knocked out of
Speaker 3: my Survivor pool. We'll discuss the heartbreak of that. Eighty
Speaker 3: people left half a million to the winner and I
Speaker 3: got knocked out by the damn Eagles Washington game. All that,
Speaker 3: we'll see what else we've got as we wrap the show,
Speaker 3: and we'll recap our picks and give you the right move,
Speaker 3: which has not been the right move, but we'll give
Speaker 3: it to you anyway. That's all next, What's Right? All right?
Speaker 3: Welcome back in final segment, What's Right with Nick Right?
Speaker 3: Our Week eleven gambling Show, Our five picks this week
Speaker 3: Chicago plus three Atlanta, the Giants minus three at home
Speaker 3: against Detroit, the Rams plus four and a half at
Speaker 3: New Orleans, the Raiders plus three at Denver, and Pittsburgh
Speaker 3: plus four against Cincinnati. Now time for the right move. Now, listen,
Speaker 3: we have been clawing our way back to five hundred.
Speaker 3: We're twenty four to twenty five and one. We have
Speaker 3: had four straight winning weeks. I believe, and I really
Speaker 3: like our picks this week, and I like our process
Speaker 3: all year long. If I'm being totally honest, and we're
Speaker 3: going to finish the year, our goal was to finish
Speaker 3: the year of fifty eight percent. I think we can
Speaker 3: still do it. That would be highly profitable, but we
Speaker 3: need to keep churning out three and two weeks with
Speaker 3: a few four and one weeks. With that said, the
Speaker 3: right move is three and seven, so we're gonna need
Speaker 3: to get a bunch of these right moving forward. I
Speaker 3: am going to have the right move this week be
Speaker 3: the one favorite that we're picking the Giants minus three
Speaker 3: against Detroit. That is our right move of the week.
Speaker 3: We also have an exotic for you this week. One
Speaker 3: I have already placed. This is a three team six
Speaker 3: point teaser at plus one sixty, we are teasing the
Speaker 3: Chiefs down to a pick them from where minus five
Speaker 3: and a half six six and a half doesn't matter
Speaker 3: at all becomes a pick them. Essentially, we are teasing
Speaker 3: the Raiders up to plus eight and a half or nine,
Speaker 3: depending on where you get them. If they're two and
Speaker 3: a half or three right now. You're teasing them up
Speaker 3: through the three, the four, of the six and the
Speaker 3: seven and the eight. And we are teasing the Niners
Speaker 3: down to minus two to where they just have to
Speaker 3: win by a field goal. So the Niners, Chiefs, and
Speaker 3: Raiders on a three team teaser, the Chiefs just to win,
Speaker 3: the Niners to win by at least a field goal,
Speaker 3: and the Raiders to getting you know, plus eight and
Speaker 3: a half or none. Those are our three picks. Demons
Speaker 3: is in a bit of a gambling slump. He does
Speaker 3: not have picks to give this week, am I correct?
Speaker 3: He's take you know what, He's taken a week off
Speaker 3: to regroup, or at least a few days off until
Speaker 3: Sunday morning rolls around and he shows me the teasers.
Speaker 3: What's up?
Speaker 2: This is my second week, That's what I'm saying.
Speaker 3: A couple weeks off. It's exactly what I said. It's
Speaker 3: taking a couple weeks off to regroup. He had the
Speaker 3: big win a few about three weeks ago, and then
Speaker 3: two weeks ago he got crushed by the Bills, losing
Speaker 3: out right to the Jets. So now he's taking a
Speaker 3: few weeks off. But you do have an offer for me.
Speaker 3: So what is the offer?
Speaker 2: Call this one? The four playoff teams NFC East parlay?
Speaker 2: Can all four of these teams? Wait? Can all four
Speaker 2: of these teams win this week? New York Giants minus
Speaker 2: three versus Detroit Philadelphia Eagles minus seven versus Indy Dallas
Speaker 2: Cowboys minus one and a half in Minneapolis, Washington Commanders
Speaker 2: minus three. At Houston, odds are plus twelve hundred.
Speaker 3: So they like that four team A four team all
Speaker 3: against the spread parlay. They're all favorites. It sounds like
Speaker 3: about the squarest bet I've ever heard. I do not
Speaker 3: like it. Okay, I gotta tell you right now, I
Speaker 3: don't like that at all. Square meaning lame, no, so
Speaker 3: sharps and squares, so sharps and gambling parlance. Sharps is
Speaker 3: what I aspire to be. Someone that is a sharp better,
Speaker 3: square is the public side. Square is what our triangle.
Speaker 3: I'd be like a triangle right now? What's that like between? No,
Speaker 3: you're you're a square, square, you're a square better, you're no.
Speaker 2: Man.
Speaker 3: The square betters win sometimes. But by definition, the fact
Speaker 3: that you're firing off seven and eighteen parlays that you are,
Speaker 3: by definition a square better doesn't mean you can't have
Speaker 3: a winning season so far.
Speaker 2: You're having three of those first shot to hit bets, alright,
Speaker 2: five huh, I've hit three of them, okay, by definition,
Speaker 2: that makes me a triangular better.
Speaker 3: By definition, the fact that you are betting first player
Speaker 3: to make a basket in NBA games, those bets exist
Speaker 3: for square betters. A man, listen, I like what you
Speaker 3: you know what? Though you might have created something there
Speaker 3: though the triangle better. This is sometimes a sharp, sometimes
Speaker 3: a square. So I'm calling myself, would you be at
Speaker 3: Isosceles scaling or equalized Isoceles?
Speaker 2: Man, somebody is gonna eat that up. That's so funny.
Speaker 2: There's somebody that actually calls me Isoceles. Really yeah, because
Speaker 2: of my mustache.
Speaker 3: But because they say your mustache is like an isauceg triangle.
Speaker 3: But that's all right. I call you a gus, so fine.
Speaker 2: Don't let them lie.
Speaker 3: From book club last week, I said, I'm gonna start
Speaker 3: calling your gus. Been walking around the house saying us, yeah,
Speaker 3: coming here. He doesn't respond. I'm like, don't you known't
Speaker 3: I'm talking to you. Good luck with your gambling this week.
Speaker 3: We'll see you guys on Monday.