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Review the 0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:40.680 disclosures and disclaimers at CBO dot com slash us Underscore disclaimers. 0:00:42.120 --> 0:00:45.040 Welcome in episode ninety seven, What's Right with Nick Right. 0:00:45.280 --> 0:00:48.720 Subscribe on our YouTube page. You'll get our live shows 0:00:48.720 --> 0:00:50.760 on Monday and Thursdays. If you get the little bell 0:00:50.800 --> 0:00:53.360 on our YouTube page, they'll let you know we're right. 0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:56.480 Over eighty five thousand, we have subscribers where it's gonna 0:00:56.840 --> 0:00:59.960 we're getting there. It's gonna be up against the why 0:01:00.560 --> 0:01:03.760 to get demands that thousand dollars bonus, but we have 0:01:03.880 --> 0:01:05.200 we still have hope. We need to get to one 0:01:05.240 --> 0:01:08.600 hundred thousand subscribers. Demand gets to fancy plack. Also, as 0:01:08.600 --> 0:01:12.800 we discussed on Thursday's show, Demand is a twitch stream 0:01:13.080 --> 0:01:16.080 that he's starting up and is it not started yet? 0:01:16.200 --> 0:01:18.959 No, definitely starting it up. We didn't get to discuss 0:01:19.000 --> 0:01:20.360 it because the question got eliminated. 0:01:20.400 --> 0:01:23.440 Here's the thing, I'm doing a little magic of media 0:01:23.840 --> 0:01:27.039 because we have not yet discussed it, but we are 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:30.240 going to discuss it on Thursday show, which people will 0:01:30.240 --> 0:01:32.760 have already heard by the time of the Gambling Show. 0:01:33.000 --> 0:01:36.520 So DEMANSI got twitch scream he's playing Call of Duty. 0:01:36.520 --> 0:01:38.040 We got all that. So a lot of places where 0:01:38.040 --> 0:01:41.400 you can consume our material. All we ask because we're 0:01:41.400 --> 0:01:44.360 out here not only giving out good content, but lately 0:01:44.959 --> 0:01:48.240 we're out here giving out winners. Now everybody, can't you 0:01:48.280 --> 0:01:52.080 know I didn't share with you guys my same game 0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:54.920 parlay day of Sunday that you know was a nice 0:01:55.680 --> 0:01:59.520 meaty five figures. We discussed that on Monday's show. But 0:02:00.080 --> 0:02:02.520 re straight weeks have given out winners. It's brought our 0:02:02.600 --> 0:02:06.600 season record to essentially right at five hundred. We are 0:02:06.640 --> 0:02:10.520 twenty four, twenty five and one, which given how we 0:02:10.600 --> 0:02:13.160 started the year, we will take. Here's the thing. The 0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:17.960 right moves bad, don't work. Don't don't overvalue our right 0:02:18.040 --> 0:02:21.320 move pick. Just look at it as a totality of 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:24.520 five picks. So last week, let's go through it quickly. Here, 0:02:25.120 --> 0:02:27.320 we'll go through the winners and then the losers. Tennessee 0:02:27.320 --> 0:02:31.000 minus two and a half. The Broncos are a disaster. 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:31.680 Yep. 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:33.800 Does somebody tweeted and they're correct? 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:34.760 Eighteen points? 0:02:35.040 --> 0:02:40.000 Yes? Yeah, that if they had scored eighteen points in 0:02:40.200 --> 0:02:43.359 every game this year, which would be a bottom five offense, 0:02:43.840 --> 0:02:47.160 they would be eight and one. And did you see 0:02:47.600 --> 0:02:51.800 what Russell Wilson did. Russell Wilson wore the wristband to 0:02:51.880 --> 0:02:55.679 his press conference. Yeah, this guy don't. 0:02:57.160 --> 0:02:57.240 Right. 0:02:57.360 --> 0:03:00.799 It's unbelievable. Denver will be feature in one way or 0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:03.560 another in our picks this week. The Chargers plus seven 0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:07.080 against San Francisco was a winner that was clearly the 0:03:07.200 --> 0:03:10.560 right side and almost got screwed at the end of 0:03:10.600 --> 0:03:12.920 the game. Kyle Shanahan should have tried to punch it 0:03:12.919 --> 0:03:15.240 in to go up ten at the very end, said 0:03:15.280 --> 0:03:17.880 he kicked a cowardly field goal, but we appreciate it 0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:22.400 from a gambling perspective. Washington plus eleven obviously the right side. 0:03:22.520 --> 0:03:25.280 They won out right. Chicago minus two and a half 0:03:25.280 --> 0:03:28.600 against Detroit, I also think that was the right side 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:32.120 they ended up losing by one. However, they were up 0:03:32.320 --> 0:03:37.360 fourteen and picked off Jared Goff returned it inside the ten, 0:03:37.840 --> 0:03:43.440 and a very questionable, very questionable defensive pass interference or 0:03:43.480 --> 0:03:47.600 illegal contact call got that called back. Detroit then scored. 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:50.760 Justin Fields then made a terrible mistake. He's been excellently 0:03:50.840 --> 0:03:53.840 made a bad mistake, picked six, flipped the game even 0:03:53.840 --> 0:03:57.280 despite all of that. Justin Fields then went down the field, 0:03:57.480 --> 0:04:00.520 not even down the field, one play, sixty yard touchdown run, 0:04:00.760 --> 0:04:04.200 but they missed the extra point. So then a Detroit 0:04:04.240 --> 0:04:06.440 touchdown wins it for him. So I don't feel bad 0:04:06.480 --> 0:04:09.680 about that. And then there's Vegas minus six against Andy, 0:04:10.360 --> 0:04:12.520 which we discussed on Monday. We don't need to discuss 0:04:12.640 --> 0:04:16.160 much more here. I would never have made that pick 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:20.520 with Matt Ryan starting. I would never have laid six 0:04:20.600 --> 0:04:25.480 points with the terrible Raiders against a competent Now Ryan 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:28.440 has had some awful moments, but when he's not turning 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:31.440 the ball over, he's still obviously more than competent. The 0:04:31.600 --> 0:04:34.880 Colt said they were going with Allinger, the coach they fired, 0:04:34.960 --> 0:04:37.560 never wanted to start Ellinger. Seemed like they were going 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:40.560 with Ellinger, and then they did the old switcheroo. It 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:43.160 counts against my record, but I feel it was dishonest. 0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:45.280 I feel it was unfair. I feel the money should 0:04:45.320 --> 0:04:47.599 be refunded. But I can't really complain about gambling this 0:04:47.640 --> 0:04:51.359 week because again the forty to one same game parlay. Okay, 0:04:52.120 --> 0:04:54.680 five picks this week. This outworks each and every week. 0:04:55.000 --> 0:04:58.280 We break the games down into four separate categories. Our 0:04:58.360 --> 0:05:03.119 picks are stay away, are be carefuls, and are perfectly priced. Also, 0:05:03.240 --> 0:05:07.160 I should note we are doing this before Thursday Night Football, 0:05:07.400 --> 0:05:10.880 so we no longer include Thursday Night Football. You guys 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.039 will have already known if I'm right or wrong on this. 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:16.200 I like the Titans plus three tonight. I think the 0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:19.000 Titans plus three and the Titans to win outright, But 0:05:19.120 --> 0:05:22.080 we're not including that in our picks because it's not interesting, 0:05:22.120 --> 0:05:25.400 it's not actionable for you guys, because we did it 0:05:25.400 --> 0:05:27.640 early in the year and I realized it's dumb to 0:05:27.680 --> 0:05:29.520 give analysis on a game that you guys will have 0:05:29.560 --> 0:05:34.560 already seen. So now our picks. First one, we are 0:05:34.600 --> 0:05:38.880 going back to the well with Chicago. Chicago getting three 0:05:39.480 --> 0:05:46.040 in Atlanta, so Chicago with Justin Fields could have won 0:05:46.640 --> 0:05:49.000 each of the last few weeks, and let's talk about 0:05:49.240 --> 0:05:51.680 how they lost. I understand they lost. I understand right 0:05:51.720 --> 0:05:55.200 now they are they have the worst record given tie 0:05:55.200 --> 0:05:59.960 breakers in the NFC, and their defense has been abysmal. 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:03.040 Those are all things I know. Those are all reasons 0:06:03.040 --> 0:06:05.760 not to go with them. I get that part of it. However, 0:06:05.800 --> 0:06:09.400 what we have seen from Chicago. So they crushed New 0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:13.200 England and Justin Field's breakout game. They then get crushed 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:16.200 by Dallas, but scored twenty nine points, so I shouldn't 0:06:16.200 --> 0:06:17.480 say he could have won each of the last three 0:06:17.480 --> 0:06:21.640 weeks against Miami. They are back and forth with Miami. 0:06:22.160 --> 0:06:24.800 Justin Fields has three hundred yards combined one hundred and 0:06:24.800 --> 0:06:28.240 eighty on the ground, and that game at the they 0:06:28.279 --> 0:06:32.839 are it's a three point game the entirety of the 0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:35.600 fourth quarter. They're just unable to get over the hump. 0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:39.800 Then they played Detroit. I just broke that game down. Atlanta, 0:06:39.839 --> 0:06:43.040 on the other hand, is going in the other direction. 0:06:43.560 --> 0:06:46.840 Atlanta and its last month of football got crushed by 0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:51.040 the Bengals, escaped against Carolina, got beat by the Chargers, 0:06:51.279 --> 0:06:55.160 and then got crushed by Carolina. Getting crushed by Carolina 0:06:55.200 --> 0:06:59.200 the way they did last week is to me, when PJ. 0:06:59.360 --> 0:07:01.720 Walker threw for one hundred yards and you lost by 0:07:01.760 --> 0:07:05.720 ten points a massive warning sign. You add to that 0:07:05.720 --> 0:07:08.960 that Atlanta has not ever since Cordurell Patterson got hurt, 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:11.559 even though he's back, they have not been the same 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:14.400 dominant rushing team they were at the beginning of the year. 0:07:14.720 --> 0:07:18.720 At Chicago's big weakness is defense, particularly their past defense. 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:21.640 I do not think Atlanta's gonna be able to take 0:07:21.640 --> 0:07:24.680 advantage of that. I like getting the three points. I 0:07:25.360 --> 0:07:28.200 think Chicago could win out right. We like Chicago and 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:31.400 Justin Field's finally getting over the hump and getting a 0:07:31.440 --> 0:07:33.720 win after the last couple of weeks they played well 0:07:33.840 --> 0:07:34.960 enough to win. What's that? 0:07:35.200 --> 0:07:37.320 Do you think it's possible you're overrating him with how 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:39.480 fun they are to watch. I mean they've lost the 0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:40.800 six of their last seven games. 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:44.640 Well, I don't think I'm overrating If they were playing 0:07:44.680 --> 0:07:47.960 a good team, maybe I don't think. I mean Atlanta's 0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:50.560 four and six with some very good luck early in 0:07:50.560 --> 0:07:53.760 the year, Chicago's three and seven with some tough luck 0:07:53.840 --> 0:07:56.320 last week. You add to it, early in the year, 0:07:56.320 --> 0:08:00.000 they were a totally different team. I think Chicago is 0:08:00.520 --> 0:08:03.240 a better team than Atlanta, so they should not be 0:08:03.320 --> 0:08:06.560 getting a full three points in Atlanta. I like Chicago 0:08:06.600 --> 0:08:10.120 plus the three. Next. This is a little spoiler. This 0:08:10.160 --> 0:08:13.280 is the only favorite we're going with this week. The 0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:20.280 Giants minus three against Detroit. So Detroit's defense is abysmal. 0:08:21.240 --> 0:08:24.320 The Giants are just going to run the football. I 0:08:24.400 --> 0:08:28.880 will give the Giants credit in this regard. They have 0:08:29.000 --> 0:08:32.880 been great at protecting the ball. Detroit. I feel like 0:08:32.920 --> 0:08:35.839 he is going to struggle to score on the road 0:08:36.559 --> 0:08:39.920 in cold weather here in New York if they unless 0:08:39.920 --> 0:08:43.000 they get turnovers. And the big bugaboo for Daniel Jones 0:08:43.000 --> 0:08:47.080 whole career had been turnovers. And listen, Brian da Ball 0:08:48.240 --> 0:08:50.679 leaves Josh Allen, he all of a sudden leads the 0:08:50.760 --> 0:08:54.400 league in turnovers. Goes to Daniel Jones, most turnover pron 0:08:54.480 --> 0:08:56.679 quarterback in the leagues since he came into it. All 0:08:56.679 --> 0:08:58.800 of a sudden, he stops turning the ball over. Dave 0:08:58.840 --> 0:09:02.920 Ball deserves credit there. The Giants also, while we don't 0:09:03.559 --> 0:09:07.199 and the collective does not believe in them as much 0:09:07.360 --> 0:09:11.119 is as their record suggests, I'm sure they believe in themselves. 0:09:11.640 --> 0:09:15.520 And that Philly loss plus the Dallas loss last week 0:09:15.760 --> 0:09:18.520 should be galvanizing for them. They should feel like, wait, 0:09:19.160 --> 0:09:22.360 why can't we win the division? Why can't we with 0:09:22.440 --> 0:09:26.000 a Minnesota stumble, be the one seed. Now, I don't 0:09:26.000 --> 0:09:29.920 think that's realistic at all, but they know in order 0:09:29.960 --> 0:09:33.600 for any of that to come into play, they have 0:09:33.679 --> 0:09:35.959 to take care of business in a game like this 0:09:36.160 --> 0:09:40.720 against a Detroit team that is awful. Detroit's fun and 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:44.319 hard knocks and people like Dan Campbell, but their offense 0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:47.080 seems to only work at home. Their defense has been 0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:50.560 bad all year, and the Giants recognize that what they 0:09:51.000 --> 0:09:55.160 have four consecutive divisional games coming up. Those are all 0:09:55.160 --> 0:09:57.360 going to be incredibly difficult, even though two of them 0:09:57.360 --> 0:10:01.280 are against Washington, and they know the Giants haven't played 0:10:01.360 --> 0:10:03.800 Is that right, Yeah, They've only played one divisional game 0:10:03.880 --> 0:10:06.880 all year. The Giants are eight and two and the 0:10:06.920 --> 0:10:10.400 rest of the way have Detroit this week, than Dallas 0:10:10.440 --> 0:10:17.000 on Thanksgiving, then Washington, Philly, Washington, Minnesota, Indie, Philly. So 0:10:17.080 --> 0:10:21.040 that is a brutal rest of the schedule. In this regard, 0:10:21.640 --> 0:10:25.040 divisional games are always tough. Your non divisional games are 0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:28.679 only Minnesota, Indie, and Philly. So Indy's the only one 0:10:28.920 --> 0:10:32.240 where you'll be a favorite, so they have to win 0:10:32.320 --> 0:10:36.240 this game. This to me feels like a twenty to 0:10:36.360 --> 0:10:40.720 thirteen Giants win. Good Giants defense, fast game, a lot 0:10:40.720 --> 0:10:43.400 of running. We like the Giants laying the three next. 0:10:44.800 --> 0:10:49.680 All right, this one was painful for me. I'm gonna 0:10:49.720 --> 0:10:52.920 tell you right now. I had this game in a 0:10:52.960 --> 0:10:59.040 different category, and I had San Francisco Arizona in our picks, 0:10:59.480 --> 0:11:02.480 and then bad job by me. When I initially did 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:06.880 the picks, I forgot San Francisco Arizona is in another country. 0:11:07.160 --> 0:11:10.199 It's in Mexico. It's not in Arizona. I was gonna lay. 0:11:10.320 --> 0:11:13.200 I was gonna grab the eight points with Arizona, even 0:11:13.240 --> 0:11:15.720 with the uncertainty at quarterback. Then I realized it's not 0:11:15.760 --> 0:11:17.839 even a home game for them, and I took them 0:11:17.880 --> 0:11:19.719 out of it. Too much uncertain dame near a home 0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:22.880 game Mexico. Yeah, but I think San Francisco had more fans. 0:11:23.080 --> 0:11:25.280 I think it's those are both pretty close, yes. 0:11:25.280 --> 0:11:28.520 And it's also San Francisco is more of an international brand. 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:32.439 But this is a game between two of the worst 0:11:32.480 --> 0:11:37.920 teams in football, and the Rams right now, with Cooper 0:11:38.000 --> 0:11:41.160 Cup probably being done for the year, likely have the 0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:46.000 worst offense in the league. Despite that, I am going 0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:49.120 to go ahead and grab the four and a half 0:11:49.200 --> 0:11:54.079 points Rams plus four and a half against the Saints. 0:11:54.520 --> 0:11:55.240 This is not. 0:11:55.760 --> 0:11:59.200 About the Rams still being alive. This is not the 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:04.480 Rams are going to have the worst defense of a 0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:10.520 Super Bowl in NFL history. Okay, the offense stinks. The offense, 0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:14.200 I mean all year long, here are they are points scored? Okay, 0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:22.719 ten thirty one against Atlanta, twenty nine, ten twenty four 0:12:22.760 --> 0:12:28.800 against Carolina fourteen thirteen, seventeen. So all of that sounds 0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:32.679 like a reason that I shouldn't be picking them. The 0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:37.200 flip side to that coin is the Saints are just 0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:40.719 as bad. The Saints are starting Andy Dalton. The one 0:12:40.720 --> 0:12:44.800 thing the Rams can still do is employee Aaron Donald 0:12:45.120 --> 0:12:48.400 the Saints. Also, while I don't love McVay as much 0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:52.800 as everyone does, he is clearly a good coach. Dennis Allen, 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:56.319 I've been pounding this drum all year, is the worst, 0:12:56.440 --> 0:12:59.320 one of the worst coaches from a record perspective in 0:12:59.360 --> 0:13:03.040 the history of the NFL. And the Saints the last 0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:07.280 five weeks. The only reason they're not zero five is 0:13:07.320 --> 0:13:10.680 because of that game they crushed the Raiders, which was 0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:13.760 the last breath of the Raiders. They got the Saints 0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:18.680 last week got beat by ten by Pittsburgh. They should 0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:23.400 not be favored by more than two points, even at 0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:27.000 home against anyone getting a full four and a half 0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.360 in this game that very likely is a seventeen to 0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:34.720 thirteen game in either direction. I gotta grab the points. 0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:37.280 I don't like it. I don't want to watch this game. 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:39.840 I don't want to care about this game. But it 0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:43.480 is too many points for an Andy Dalton Dennis Allen 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:44.839 quarterback coach. 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:47.480 Combo, we're taking Tyler Higbee in the Rams. 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.600 Okay, that Rams don't have an offense right now, I 0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:54.560 understand that, and I mean they might shut Stafford down 0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:56.800 for the year. I get all of that. It's too 0:13:56.880 --> 0:14:02.080 many points. It's flatly this should be New Orleans minus 0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:06.160 one or a pick them New Orleans and both of 0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:08.680 these teams. By the way, here's the other weird thing. 0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:12.280 Usually when teams are this bad, you worry, oh will 0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:16.000 you know? Will the coach The GM have talked to 0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:19.120 the coach like, hey, we wouldn't mind losing this game 0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:22.320 of our draft position. You know, two teams playing each 0:14:22.360 --> 0:14:25.560 other and competing with this team for draft position. Neither 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:29.560 of these teams have their own first round pick. The 0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:33.240 Saints it goes to Philly. Philly is gonna get the 0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:35.440 Saints first round pick could be the fourth pick of 0:14:35.440 --> 0:14:38.440 the draft for the Rams obviously goes to Detroit. Very 0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:41.240 weird thing in this year's draft. Four of the ten 0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:45.400 worst records don't have their own first round pick. The 0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:48.920 Browns it goes to Houston, the Rams it goes to Detroit, 0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:53.840 New Orleans it goes to Philly, and Denver obviously goes 0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:56.240 to Seattle. So four of the worst teams in the 0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:58.840 league don't have their own first round pick, and that 0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:02.320 also means Detroit and Houston are gonna end up likely 0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:04.800 with two top ten picks their own plus the one 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:09.680 they got they got coming back all right, next Raiders 0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:14.520 plus three at Denver. I understand the Raiders think, I 0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:20.080 get it. Why Why should Denver be treated like they're 0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:24.400 anything other than arguably the worst team in the league 0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:28.920 outside of Houston. What's the argument for it. They just 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:33.600 lost another receiver, Jerry Judy unfortunately got hurt. Now it 0:15:33.640 --> 0:15:37.320 doesn't look like that is quite as devastating of an 0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:40.600 injuries that looked like in real time the Raiders. Meanwhile, 0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:44.320 I I know I sound dumb on this, and obviously 0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:47.960 Josh McDaniels has not done a good job. I don't 0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:52.000 think the Raiders are terrible. They're obviously not good, but 0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:55.600 I don't think they're terrible. And it seemed like Derek 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:57.880 Carr and DeVante Adams, they both came out this week 0:15:57.880 --> 0:16:01.240 and said they were happy that Josh McDaniels got the 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:04.080 vote of confidence. Now, the reason Josh McDaniels got that 0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:07.080 vote of confidence is because the Raiders are broke and 0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:12.440 they're paying NFL coaches salaries. Demons are guaranteed, so they're 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:14.520 trying not to pay Gruden because they fired him for 0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:17.920 a cause because of the racist emails. But if you 0:16:18.040 --> 0:16:20.480 fire a coach, you got to pay him out. So 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.880 they're already you know, they might have to pay out Gruden. 0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:26.040 If they fire McDaniels, who they just hired, they have 0:16:26.040 --> 0:16:29.160 to pay him out for five years and then hire 0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:32.080 another coach. You'd be paying three coaches. The Raiders I 0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:34.600 don't think have the cash to do it. So that's 0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:37.040 the reason McDaniels is staying. But I think car and 0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:40.440 DeVante are happy he's staying and this is more about 0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:45.160 fading the Denver Broncos. A Denver Broncos team that has 0:16:45.240 --> 0:16:49.120 won three games this year. One was against Houston, one 0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.480 was the one point win against San Francisco, and the 0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:55.760 other the devastating four point victory against the Prince that 0:16:55.840 --> 0:17:00.240 was promised in Europe. They them laying three point point 0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:05.119 is flatly too many. They're coming off their offense since 0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:08.560 the last Raider game, by the way, the Raiders won 0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:11.919 twenty or thirty two to twenty three. Now that was 0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:14.600 the one game the Broncos actually scored. Other than that 0:17:14.680 --> 0:17:22.320 Raiders game, the Broncos have scored sixteen, sixteen, eleven, nine, sixteen, nine, seventeen. 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:27.080 All right, I'm sorry twenty one and ten. So Russell 0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:29.600 Wilson and the Broncos do not deserve to be favored 0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:31.200 by a full three points. I'll grab the three. 0:17:31.560 --> 0:17:35.800 Derek Carr might be less profitable, less profitable than Trevor Lawrence. 0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:39.480 Okay, and the Raiders just lost to a get up analyst. Yeah, 0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:44.199 so I understand all of that. This is about me 0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:50.360 having made a mistake earlier in the year. I said 0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:55.920 that Nat Hackett was a must bet against until proven otherwise, 0:17:56.440 --> 0:18:01.440 and I lost my medal on it. After that stupid 0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:04.640 Broncos game all I'm sorry the stupid Niners game when 0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:07.000 Jimmy g ran out in the back of the end zone. 0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:10.720 Since then the Broncos were playing. Let's just go through 0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:12.320 what they would have been against the spread. We can 0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:14.639 do it quickly. The Broncos were getting two and a 0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:18.920 half against the Raiders. They lost by nine, so they 0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:22.120 lost that game against the spread. The Broncos were laying 0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:25.240 three and a half against the Colts, they lost out right. 0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:28.600 The Broncos, my guess is against the Chargers, they covered. 0:18:29.480 --> 0:18:31.440 The Broncos were getting four and a half against the Charger, 0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:35.160 they lost by three. The Broncos against the Jets were 0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:39.440 getting two and a half. They lost by seven. They 0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:42.639 obviously covered against Jacksonville. And the Broncos against the Titans 0:18:42.720 --> 0:18:45.520 last week were getting two and a half. They lost 0:18:45.560 --> 0:18:48.719 by seven. We should have kept fading them. We didn't. 0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:50.920 It's frustrating. I'm fade them this week. 0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:52.840 I'm gonna give you one more chance to back out 0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:56.160 of this. Davante Adams was limited in practiced yesterday. 0:18:56.400 --> 0:18:59.720 Yeah he's gonna play. I'm not worried. Limited on a 0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:03.480 Winnesday doesn't concern me, though, did not practice on a 0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:08.359 Wednesday is a first sign of concern. Limited on a 0:19:08.480 --> 0:19:12.679 Friday can be concerning. I believe DeVante is gonna play. 0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:15.200 I'm and again, we're doing this on a Thursday, so 0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:18.280 we don't know the Thursday Andrew report. I'm fading the Broncos. 0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:24.360 This is a this is you know what? I think? 0:19:24.400 --> 0:19:28.760 This is a strong Raiders victory twenty four to ten 0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:32.399 the Raiders when the Broncos look terrible. There it is 0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:37.560 last pick. You guys taught me something last week. I 0:19:37.600 --> 0:19:42.000 gotta give you guys credit. Last week, you guys said, oh, man, 0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:46.200 don't you know that Mike Tomlin is eighty three percent 0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:48.840 against the spread as a home underdog. And I said 0:19:48.840 --> 0:19:49.479 I didn't know that. 0:19:50.080 --> 0:19:52.679 And then the. 0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:55.560 Steelers went out and won out right right? Well, what 0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:59.560 is he demand against the spread as a home underdog 0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:00.919 in division games? 0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:04.840 Tomlin is undefeated against the spread at home as a 0:20:05.240 --> 0:20:07.800 home as a home dog against the AFC North and 0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:09.840 seven games five, five, zero and two. 0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:12.879 All right, so we're getting four points against Cincinnati is 0:20:12.920 --> 0:20:15.440 a three point game? It was four and a half. 0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:17.080 It moved to four. I liked it more at four 0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:19.160 and a half. This feels like maybe it's a push. 0:20:19.400 --> 0:20:22.840 But you, guys, I am not above learning from you 0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.720 and the producers. I didn't know that last week. I 0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:29.240 now do. Also, we saw this game played in Week one. 0:20:29.560 --> 0:20:32.840 Now it was an outlier game. I understand that because 0:20:32.880 --> 0:20:36.080 there were five turnovers and this mistakes by Cincinnati all 0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:39.520 events since and Pittsburgh won in overtime. But what it 0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:44.199 was not an outlier was this TJ. Watt wrecked the Bengals. 0:20:44.680 --> 0:20:46.840 And what we have seen from the Bengals this year 0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:49.359 is while they have a lot of really good things 0:20:49.400 --> 0:20:54.320 going for them, they cannot deal with a singularly dominant 0:20:54.400 --> 0:20:57.960 pass rusher. Right. They have four losses this year. Three 0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:02.600 of them came to TJ. Watt, Aca Parsons, and Miles Garrett. 0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:05.840 We saw Miles Garrett wreck them two weeks ago on 0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:09.240 Monday Night Football. Last week. Now, I understand they're coming 0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:13.360 off of bye. I get that, Pittsburgh, it's too many points. 0:21:13.400 --> 0:21:16.320 So we've got four underdogs this week. Our four picks 0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:20.359 this week Chicago plus three at Atlanta, the Giants minus 0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:23.040 three at Detroit, the Rams plus four and a half 0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:26.360 against New Orleans in New Orleans, Vegas, plus three at 0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:30.600 Denver and Pittsburgh, plus four against Cincinnati. Now the other 0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:33.200 how many more games are we doing? The other eight 0:21:33.320 --> 0:21:37.119 games of the weekend stay Aways, be carefuls and perfectly priced? 0:21:37.119 --> 0:21:39.440 We do that next, What's Right? Episode ninety seven. 0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:49.320 This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 0:21:49.320 --> 0:21:52.719 inspiring true story about Anthony Roblast, who defined every expectation 0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:55.680 to become a national wrestling champion. And Unstoppable, a new 0:21:55.720 --> 0:21:59.280 original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg, 0:21:59.359 --> 0:22:02.520 evoking the siteman and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 0:22:02.560 --> 0:22:06.000 thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 0:22:06.040 --> 0:22:09.560 including Jarrelle Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Pania, and 0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:13.800 Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 0:22:14.880 --> 0:22:16.840 All Right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Right, Episode 0:22:16.920 --> 0:22:18.520 ninety seven, our game on show. We just gave you 0:22:18.520 --> 0:22:21.600 our five picks of the week. There are now eight 0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:24.600 other games we have to break down into three different categories. 0:22:24.600 --> 0:22:27.439 Are stay aways, are be carefuls? And are perfectly priced? 0:22:27.480 --> 0:22:31.280 All right, First, stay well, the three stayaways are Cleveland 0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:35.440 at Buffalo, Dallas at Minnesota, and San Francisco at Arizona. 0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:38.159 We'll go through each of these. Why we consider them 0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:41.720 stay aways. Cleveland at Buffalo this is the type of 0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:45.240 game that Buffalo. I was ready to lay the points 0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:48.200 with Buffalo. They've lost back to back games. They need 0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:51.640 the win. Cleveland isn't good. Buffalo is with the best 0:22:51.680 --> 0:22:54.399 front running team in the league, but nobody better at 0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:57.200 turning a seventeen point lead into a thirty point lead 0:22:57.240 --> 0:22:59.560 than the Bills. This is the type of game where 0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:03.200 everyone's like, oh my god, Josh Allen's quarterback won. Here's 0:23:03.240 --> 0:23:07.280 the problem. Have you seen Demonsey the forecast for Buffalo 0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:07.960 this weekend. 0:23:08.160 --> 0:23:10.040 Yeah, it's gonna be a snowstorm. Huh. 0:23:10.119 --> 0:23:14.439 They called it like a snow thunders like a snow thunderstorm. 0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:19.000 They think they might get six feet of snow. They're 0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:22.679