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Review the 10 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 1: disclosures and disclaimers at CBO dot com slash us Underscore disclaimers. 11 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 3: Welcome in episode ninety seven, What's Right with Nick Right. 12 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 3: Subscribe on our YouTube page. You'll get our live shows 13 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 3: on Monday and Thursdays. If you get the little bell 14 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 3: on our YouTube page, they'll let you know we're right. 15 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 3: Over eighty five thousand, we have subscribers where it's gonna 16 00:00:56,840 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 3: we're getting there. It's gonna be up against the why 17 00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 3: to get demands that thousand dollars bonus, but we have 18 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 3: we still have hope. We need to get to one 19 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 3: hundred thousand subscribers. Demand gets to fancy plack. Also, as 20 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 3: we discussed on Thursday's show, Demand is a twitch stream 21 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 3: that he's starting up and is it not started yet? 22 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 2: No, definitely starting it up. We didn't get to discuss 23 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: it because the question got eliminated. 24 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 3: Here's the thing, I'm doing a little magic of media 25 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 3: because we have not yet discussed it, but we are 26 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 3: going to discuss it on Thursday show, which people will 27 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 3: have already heard by the time of the Gambling Show. 28 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 3: So DEMANSI got twitch scream he's playing Call of Duty. 29 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:38,040 Speaker 3: We got all that. So a lot of places where 30 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 3: you can consume our material. All we ask because we're 31 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 3: out here not only giving out good content, but lately 32 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 3: we're out here giving out winners. Now everybody, can't you 33 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 3: know I didn't share with you guys my same game 34 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 3: parlay day of Sunday that you know was a nice 35 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 3: meaty five figures. We discussed that on Monday's show. But 36 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 3: re straight weeks have given out winners. It's brought our 37 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 3: season record to essentially right at five hundred. We are 38 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 3: twenty four, twenty five and one, which given how we 39 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 3: started the year, we will take. Here's the thing. The 40 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 3: right moves bad, don't work. Don't don't overvalue our right 41 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 3: move pick. Just look at it as a totality of 42 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 3: five picks. So last week, let's go through it quickly. Here, 43 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 3: we'll go through the winners and then the losers. Tennessee 44 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 3: minus two and a half. The Broncos are a disaster. 45 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 2: Yep. 46 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 3: Does somebody tweeted and they're correct? 47 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: Eighteen points? 48 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 3: Yes? Yeah, that if they had scored eighteen points in 49 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,359 Speaker 3: every game this year, which would be a bottom five offense, 50 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 3: they would be eight and one. And did you see 51 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 3: what Russell Wilson did. Russell Wilson wore the wristband to 52 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 3: his press conference. Yeah, this guy don't. 53 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:57,240 Speaker 2: Right. 54 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:00,799 Speaker 3: It's unbelievable. Denver will be feature in one way or 55 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 3: another in our picks this week. The Chargers plus seven 56 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 3: against San Francisco was a winner that was clearly the 57 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 3: right side and almost got screwed at the end of 58 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 3: the game. Kyle Shanahan should have tried to punch it 59 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 3: in to go up ten at the very end, said 60 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 3: he kicked a cowardly field goal, but we appreciate it 61 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 3: from a gambling perspective. Washington plus eleven obviously the right side. 62 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 3: They won out right. Chicago minus two and a half 63 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 3: against Detroit, I also think that was the right side 64 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 3: they ended up losing by one. However, they were up 65 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 3: fourteen and picked off Jared Goff returned it inside the ten, 66 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 3: and a very questionable, very questionable defensive pass interference or 67 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 3: illegal contact call got that called back. Detroit then scored. 68 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 3: Justin Fields then made a terrible mistake. He's been excellently 69 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 3: made a bad mistake, picked six, flipped the game even 70 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 3: despite all of that. Justin Fields then went down the field, 71 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 3: not even down the field, one play, sixty yard touchdown run, 72 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 3: but they missed the extra point. So then a Detroit 73 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 3: touchdown wins it for him. So I don't feel bad 74 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 3: about that. And then there's Vegas minus six against Andy, 75 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 3: which we discussed on Monday. We don't need to discuss 76 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 3: much more here. I would never have made that pick 77 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 3: with Matt Ryan starting. I would never have laid six 78 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 3: points with the terrible Raiders against a competent Now Ryan 79 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 3: has had some awful moments, but when he's not turning 80 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 3: the ball over, he's still obviously more than competent. The 81 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 3: Colt said they were going with Allinger, the coach they fired, 82 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 3: never wanted to start Ellinger. Seemed like they were going 83 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 3: with Ellinger, and then they did the old switcheroo. It 84 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,160 Speaker 3: counts against my record, but I feel it was dishonest. 85 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:45,280 Speaker 3: I feel it was unfair. I feel the money should 86 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 3: be refunded. But I can't really complain about gambling this 87 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:51,359 Speaker 3: week because again the forty to one same game parlay. Okay, 88 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 3: five picks this week. This outworks each and every week. 89 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:58,280 Speaker 3: We break the games down into four separate categories. Our 90 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:03,119 Speaker 3: picks are stay away, are be carefuls, and are perfectly priced. Also, 91 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 3: I should note we are doing this before Thursday Night Football, 92 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 3: so we no longer include Thursday Night Football. You guys 93 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,039 Speaker 3: will have already known if I'm right or wrong on this. 94 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 3: I like the Titans plus three tonight. I think the 95 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 3: Titans plus three and the Titans to win outright, But 96 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 3: we're not including that in our picks because it's not interesting, 97 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 3: it's not actionable for you guys, because we did it 98 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 3: early in the year and I realized it's dumb to 99 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 3: give analysis on a game that you guys will have 100 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 3: already seen. So now our picks. First one, we are 101 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:38,880 Speaker 3: going back to the well with Chicago. Chicago getting three 102 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:46,040 Speaker 3: in Atlanta, so Chicago with Justin Fields could have won 103 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 3: each of the last few weeks, and let's talk about 104 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 3: how they lost. I understand they lost. I understand right 105 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 3: now they are they have the worst record given tie 106 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 3: breakers in the NFC, and their defense has been abysmal. 107 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 3: Those are all things I know. Those are all reasons 108 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 3: not to go with them. I get that part of it. However, 109 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 3: what we have seen from Chicago. So they crushed New 110 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 3: England and Justin Field's breakout game. They then get crushed 111 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 3: by Dallas, but scored twenty nine points, so I shouldn't 112 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 3: say he could have won each of the last three 113 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 3: weeks against Miami. They are back and forth with Miami. 114 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,800 Speaker 3: Justin Fields has three hundred yards combined one hundred and 115 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 3: eighty on the ground, and that game at the they 116 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 3: are it's a three point game the entirety of the 117 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,600 Speaker 3: fourth quarter. They're just unable to get over the hump. 118 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 3: Then they played Detroit. I just broke that game down. Atlanta, 119 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 3: on the other hand, is going in the other direction. 120 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:46,840 Speaker 3: Atlanta and its last month of football got crushed by 121 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 3: the Bengals, escaped against Carolina, got beat by the Chargers, 122 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 3: and then got crushed by Carolina. Getting crushed by Carolina 123 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 3: the way they did last week is to me, when PJ. 124 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,720 Speaker 3: Walker threw for one hundred yards and you lost by 125 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:05,720 Speaker 3: ten points a massive warning sign. You add to that 126 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 3: that Atlanta has not ever since Cordurell Patterson got hurt, 127 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:11,559 Speaker 3: even though he's back, they have not been the same 128 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 3: dominant rushing team they were at the beginning of the year. 129 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 3: At Chicago's big weakness is defense, particularly their past defense. 130 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 3: I do not think Atlanta's gonna be able to take 131 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 3: advantage of that. I like getting the three points. I 132 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 3: think Chicago could win out right. We like Chicago and 133 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 3: Justin Field's finally getting over the hump and getting a 134 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 3: win after the last couple of weeks they played well 135 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 3: enough to win. What's that? 136 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 2: Do you think it's possible you're overrating him with how 137 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 2: fun they are to watch. I mean they've lost the 138 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 2: six of their last seven games. 139 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 3: Well, I don't think I'm overrating If they were playing 140 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 3: a good team, maybe I don't think. I mean Atlanta's 141 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 3: four and six with some very good luck early in 142 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 3: the year, Chicago's three and seven with some tough luck 143 00:07:53,840 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 3: last week. You add to it, early in the year, 144 00:07:56,320 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 3: they were a totally different team. I think Chicago is 145 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,240 Speaker 3: a better team than Atlanta, so they should not be 146 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 3: getting a full three points in Atlanta. I like Chicago 147 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 3: plus the three. Next. This is a little spoiler. This 148 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 3: is the only favorite we're going with this week. The 149 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 3: Giants minus three against Detroit. So Detroit's defense is abysmal. 150 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 3: The Giants are just going to run the football. I 151 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 3: will give the Giants credit in this regard. They have 152 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 3: been great at protecting the ball. Detroit. I feel like 153 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 3: he is going to struggle to score on the road 154 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 3: in cold weather here in New York if they unless 155 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 3: they get turnovers. And the big bugaboo for Daniel Jones 156 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 3: whole career had been turnovers. And listen, Brian da Ball 157 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 3: leaves Josh Allen, he all of a sudden leads the 158 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 3: league in turnovers. Goes to Daniel Jones, most turnover pron 159 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 3: quarterback in the leagues since he came into it. All 160 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 3: of a sudden, he stops turning the ball over. Dave 161 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 3: Ball deserves credit there. The Giants also, while we don't 162 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 3: and the collective does not believe in them as much 163 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:11,119 Speaker 3: is as their record suggests, I'm sure they believe in themselves. 164 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 3: And that Philly loss plus the Dallas loss last week 165 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 3: should be galvanizing for them. They should feel like, wait, 166 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 3: why can't we win the division? Why can't we with 167 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 3: a Minnesota stumble, be the one seed. Now, I don't 168 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 3: think that's realistic at all, but they know in order 169 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 3: for any of that to come into play, they have 170 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:35,959 Speaker 3: to take care of business in a game like this 171 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 3: against a Detroit team that is awful. Detroit's fun and 172 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 3: hard knocks and people like Dan Campbell, but their offense 173 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 3: seems to only work at home. Their defense has been 174 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 3: bad all year, and the Giants recognize that what they 175 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 3: have four consecutive divisional games coming up. Those are all 176 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 3: going to be incredibly difficult, even though two of them 177 00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 3: are against Washington, and they know the Giants haven't played 178 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 3: Is that right, Yeah, They've only played one divisional game 179 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 3: all year. The Giants are eight and two and the 180 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 3: rest of the way have Detroit this week, than Dallas 181 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 3: on Thanksgiving, then Washington, Philly, Washington, Minnesota, Indie, Philly. So 182 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 3: that is a brutal rest of the schedule. In this regard, 183 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 3: divisional games are always tough. Your non divisional games are 184 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:28,679 Speaker 3: only Minnesota, Indie, and Philly. So Indy's the only one 185 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 3: where you'll be a favorite, so they have to win 186 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 3: this game. This to me feels like a twenty to 187 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 3: thirteen Giants win. Good Giants defense, fast game, a lot 188 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 3: of running. We like the Giants laying the three next. 189 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:49,680 Speaker 3: All right, this one was painful for me. I'm gonna 190 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 3: tell you right now. I had this game in a 191 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 3: different category, and I had San Francisco Arizona in our picks, 192 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 3: and then bad job by me. When I initially did 193 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 3: the picks, I forgot San Francisco Arizona is in another country. 194 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 3: It's in Mexico. It's not in Arizona. I was gonna lay. 195 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 3: I was gonna grab the eight points with Arizona, even 196 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 3: with the uncertainty at quarterback. Then I realized it's not 197 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:17,839 Speaker 3: even a home game for them, and I took them 198 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:19,719 Speaker 3: out of it. Too much uncertain dame near a home 199 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 3: game Mexico. Yeah, but I think San Francisco had more fans. 200 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 2: I think it's those are both pretty close, yes. 201 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 3: And it's also San Francisco is more of an international brand. 202 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:32,439 Speaker 3: But this is a game between two of the worst 203 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 3: teams in football, and the Rams right now, with Cooper 204 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 3: Cup probably being done for the year, likely have the 205 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 3: worst offense in the league. Despite that, I am going 206 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 3: to go ahead and grab the four and a half 207 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:54,079 Speaker 3: points Rams plus four and a half against the Saints. 208 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 2: This is not. 209 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 3: About the Rams still being alive. This is not the 210 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 3: Rams are going to have the worst defense of a 211 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 3: Super Bowl in NFL history. Okay, the offense stinks. The offense, 212 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 3: I mean all year long, here are they are points scored? Okay, 213 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:22,719 Speaker 3: ten thirty one against Atlanta, twenty nine, ten twenty four 214 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 3: against Carolina fourteen thirteen, seventeen. So all of that sounds 215 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 3: like a reason that I shouldn't be picking them. The 216 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 3: flip side to that coin is the Saints are just 217 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:40,719 Speaker 3: as bad. The Saints are starting Andy Dalton. The one 218 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 3: thing the Rams can still do is employee Aaron Donald 219 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 3: the Saints. Also, while I don't love McVay as much 220 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 3: as everyone does, he is clearly a good coach. Dennis Allen, 221 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:56,319 Speaker 3: I've been pounding this drum all year, is the worst, 222 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 3: one of the worst coaches from a record perspective in 223 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 3: the history of the NFL. And the Saints the last 224 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 3: five weeks. The only reason they're not zero five is 225 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 3: because of that game they crushed the Raiders, which was 226 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 3: the last breath of the Raiders. They got the Saints 227 00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:18,680 Speaker 3: last week got beat by ten by Pittsburgh. They should 228 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 3: not be favored by more than two points, even at 229 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 3: home against anyone getting a full four and a half 230 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 3: in this game that very likely is a seventeen to 231 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 3: thirteen game in either direction. I gotta grab the points. 232 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:37,280 Speaker 3: I don't like it. I don't want to watch this game. 233 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 3: I don't want to care about this game. But it 234 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 3: is too many points for an Andy Dalton Dennis Allen 235 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:44,839 Speaker 3: quarterback coach. 236 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 2: Combo, we're taking Tyler Higbee in the Rams. 237 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 3: Okay, that Rams don't have an offense right now, I 238 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 3: understand that, and I mean they might shut Stafford down 239 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 3: for the year. I get all of that. It's too 240 00:13:56,880 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 3: many points. It's flatly this should be New Orleans minus 241 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 3: one or a pick them New Orleans and both of 242 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 3: these teams. By the way, here's the other weird thing. 243 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 3: Usually when teams are this bad, you worry, oh will 244 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 3: you know? Will the coach The GM have talked to 245 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 3: the coach like, hey, we wouldn't mind losing this game 246 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 3: of our draft position. You know, two teams playing each 247 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 3: other and competing with this team for draft position. Neither 248 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 3: of these teams have their own first round pick. The 249 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 3: Saints it goes to Philly. Philly is gonna get the 250 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 3: Saints first round pick could be the fourth pick of 251 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 3: the draft for the Rams obviously goes to Detroit. Very 252 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 3: weird thing in this year's draft. Four of the ten 253 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 3: worst records don't have their own first round pick. The 254 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 3: Browns it goes to Houston, the Rams it goes to Detroit, 255 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:53,840 Speaker 3: New Orleans it goes to Philly, and Denver obviously goes 256 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 3: to Seattle. So four of the worst teams in the 257 00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 3: league don't have their own first round pick, and that 258 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 3: also means Detroit and Houston are gonna end up likely 259 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 3: with two top ten picks their own plus the one 260 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 3: they got they got coming back all right, next Raiders 261 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 3: plus three at Denver. I understand the Raiders think, I 262 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 3: get it. Why Why should Denver be treated like they're 263 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:24,400 Speaker 3: anything other than arguably the worst team in the league 264 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 3: outside of Houston. What's the argument for it. They just 265 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 3: lost another receiver, Jerry Judy unfortunately got hurt. Now it 266 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:37,320 Speaker 3: doesn't look like that is quite as devastating of an 267 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 3: injuries that looked like in real time the Raiders. Meanwhile, 268 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 3: I I know I sound dumb on this, and obviously 269 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 3: Josh McDaniels has not done a good job. I don't 270 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 3: think the Raiders are terrible. They're obviously not good, but 271 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:55,600 Speaker 3: I don't think they're terrible. And it seemed like Derek 272 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 3: Carr and DeVante Adams, they both came out this week 273 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:01,240 Speaker 3: and said they were happy that Josh McDaniels got the 274 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 3: vote of confidence. Now, the reason Josh McDaniels got that 275 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 3: vote of confidence is because the Raiders are broke and 276 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 3: they're paying NFL coaches salaries. Demons are guaranteed, so they're 277 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 3: trying not to pay Gruden because they fired him for 278 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 3: a cause because of the racist emails. But if you 279 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 3: fire a coach, you got to pay him out. So 280 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 3: they're already you know, they might have to pay out Gruden. 281 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:26,040 Speaker 3: If they fire McDaniels, who they just hired, they have 282 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 3: to pay him out for five years and then hire 283 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 3: another coach. You'd be paying three coaches. The Raiders I 284 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 3: don't think have the cash to do it. So that's 285 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 3: the reason McDaniels is staying. But I think car and 286 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 3: DeVante are happy he's staying and this is more about 287 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 3: fading the Denver Broncos. A Denver Broncos team that has 288 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 3: won three games this year. One was against Houston, one 289 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 3: was the one point win against San Francisco, and the 290 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 3: other the devastating four point victory against the Prince that 291 00:16:55,840 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 3: was promised in Europe. They them laying three point point 292 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 3: is flatly too many. They're coming off their offense since 293 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 3: the last Raider game, by the way, the Raiders won 294 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:11,919 Speaker 3: twenty or thirty two to twenty three. Now that was 295 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 3: the one game the Broncos actually scored. Other than that 296 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 3: Raiders game, the Broncos have scored sixteen, sixteen, eleven, nine, sixteen, nine, seventeen. 297 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 3: All right, I'm sorry twenty one and ten. So Russell 298 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 3: Wilson and the Broncos do not deserve to be favored 299 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:31,200 Speaker 3: by a full three points. I'll grab the three. 300 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 2: Derek Carr might be less profitable, less profitable than Trevor Lawrence. 301 00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 3: Okay, and the Raiders just lost to a get up analyst. Yeah, 302 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:44,199 Speaker 3: so I understand all of that. This is about me 303 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:50,360 Speaker 3: having made a mistake earlier in the year. I said 304 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 3: that Nat Hackett was a must bet against until proven otherwise, 305 00:17:56,440 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 3: and I lost my medal on it. After that stupid 306 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,640 Speaker 3: Broncos game all I'm sorry the stupid Niners game when 307 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 3: Jimmy g ran out in the back of the end zone. 308 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 3: Since then the Broncos were playing. Let's just go through 309 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 3: what they would have been against the spread. We can 310 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:14,639 Speaker 3: do it quickly. The Broncos were getting two and a 311 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 3: half against the Raiders. They lost by nine, so they 312 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:22,120 Speaker 3: lost that game against the spread. The Broncos were laying 313 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:25,240 Speaker 3: three and a half against the Colts, they lost out right. 314 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 3: The Broncos, my guess is against the Chargers, they covered. 315 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:31,440 Speaker 3: The Broncos were getting four and a half against the Charger, 316 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 3: they lost by three. The Broncos against the Jets were 317 00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:39,440 Speaker 3: getting two and a half. They lost by seven. They 318 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,639 Speaker 3: obviously covered against Jacksonville. And the Broncos against the Titans 319 00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 3: last week were getting two and a half. They lost 320 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,719 Speaker 3: by seven. We should have kept fading them. We didn't. 321 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 3: It's frustrating. I'm fade them this week. 322 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:52,840 Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you one more chance to back out 323 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:56,160 Speaker 2: of this. Davante Adams was limited in practiced yesterday. 324 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 3: Yeah he's gonna play. I'm not worried. Limited on a 325 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 3: Winnesday doesn't concern me, though, did not practice on a 326 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:08,359 Speaker 3: Wednesday is a first sign of concern. Limited on a 327 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 3: Friday can be concerning. I believe DeVante is gonna play. 328 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 3: I'm and again, we're doing this on a Thursday, so 329 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 3: we don't know the Thursday Andrew report. I'm fading the Broncos. 330 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:24,360 Speaker 3: This is a this is you know what? I think? 331 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 3: This is a strong Raiders victory twenty four to ten 332 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,399 Speaker 3: the Raiders when the Broncos look terrible. There it is 333 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 3: last pick. You guys taught me something last week. I 334 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 3: gotta give you guys credit. Last week, you guys said, oh, man, 335 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 3: don't you know that Mike Tomlin is eighty three percent 336 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 3: against the spread as a home underdog. And I said 337 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:49,479 Speaker 3: I didn't know that. 338 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,679 Speaker 2: And then the. 339 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 3: Steelers went out and won out right right? Well, what 340 00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 3: is he demand against the spread as a home underdog 341 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:00,919 Speaker 3: in division games? 342 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 2: Tomlin is undefeated against the spread at home as a 343 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 2: home as a home dog against the AFC North and 344 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 2: seven games five, five, zero and two. 345 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 3: All right, so we're getting four points against Cincinnati is 346 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 3: a three point game? It was four and a half. 347 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 3: It moved to four. I liked it more at four 348 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 3: and a half. This feels like maybe it's a push. 349 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,840 Speaker 3: But you, guys, I am not above learning from you 350 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:25,720 Speaker 3: and the producers. I didn't know that last week. I 351 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 3: now do. Also, we saw this game played in Week one. 352 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 3: Now it was an outlier game. I understand that because 353 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 3: there were five turnovers and this mistakes by Cincinnati all 354 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 3: events since and Pittsburgh won in overtime. But what it 355 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:44,199 Speaker 3: was not an outlier was this TJ. Watt wrecked the Bengals. 356 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 3: And what we have seen from the Bengals this year 357 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,359 Speaker 3: is while they have a lot of really good things 358 00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 3: going for them, they cannot deal with a singularly dominant 359 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,960 Speaker 3: pass rusher. Right. They have four losses this year. Three 360 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 3: of them came to TJ. Watt, Aca Parsons, and Miles Garrett. 361 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:05,840 Speaker 3: We saw Miles Garrett wreck them two weeks ago on 362 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 3: Monday Night Football. Last week. Now, I understand they're coming 363 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:13,360 Speaker 3: off of bye. I get that, Pittsburgh, it's too many points. 364 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 3: So we've got four underdogs this week. Our four picks 365 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:20,359 Speaker 3: this week Chicago plus three at Atlanta, the Giants minus 366 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 3: three at Detroit, the Rams plus four and a half 367 00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:26,360 Speaker 3: against New Orleans in New Orleans, Vegas, plus three at 368 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 3: Denver and Pittsburgh, plus four against Cincinnati. Now the other 369 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 3: how many more games are we doing? The other eight 370 00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 3: games of the weekend stay Aways, be carefuls and perfectly priced? 371 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,440 Speaker 3: We do that next, What's Right? Episode ninety seven. 372 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 4: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 373 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:52,719 Speaker 4: inspiring true story about Anthony Roblast, who defined every expectation 374 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 4: to become a national wrestling champion. And Unstoppable, a new 375 00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 4: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg, 376 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 4: evoking the siteman and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 377 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 4: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 378 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 4: including Jarrelle Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Pania, and 379 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 4: Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 380 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 3: All Right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Right, Episode 381 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:18,520 Speaker 3: ninety seven, our game on show. We just gave you 382 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 3: our five picks of the week. There are now eight 383 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,600 Speaker 3: other games we have to break down into three different categories. 384 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,439 Speaker 3: Are stay aways, are be carefuls? And are perfectly priced? 385 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 3: All right, First, stay well, the three stayaways are Cleveland 386 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:35,440 Speaker 3: at Buffalo, Dallas at Minnesota, and San Francisco at Arizona. 387 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,159 Speaker 3: We'll go through each of these. Why we consider them 388 00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,720 Speaker 3: stay aways. Cleveland at Buffalo this is the type of 389 00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 3: game that Buffalo. I was ready to lay the points 390 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 3: with Buffalo. They've lost back to back games. They need 391 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:51,640 Speaker 3: the win. Cleveland isn't good. Buffalo is with the best 392 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,399 Speaker 3: front running team in the league, but nobody better at 393 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 3: turning a seventeen point lead into a thirty point lead 394 00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:59,560 Speaker 3: than the Bills. This is the type of game where 395 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:03,200 Speaker 3: everyone's like, oh my god, Josh Allen's quarterback won. Here's 396 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 3: the problem. Have you seen Demonsey the forecast for Buffalo 397 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:07,960 Speaker 3: this weekend. 398 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna be a snowstorm. Huh. 399 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:14,439 Speaker 3: They called it like a snow thunders like a snow thunderstorm. 400 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 3: They think they might get six feet of snow. They're 401 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:22,679 Speaker 3: not even certain if the game can be played in Buffalo. 402 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 3: Now usually they deal with it, so in neutral weather, 403 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 3: I'd lay the points. In a snow thunderdome. You want 404 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 3: if you're getting more than a touchdown, you want the 405 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 3: dog because you just feel like there's gonna be a 406 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 3: lot of upheaval, low scoring. Also, if the conditions are 407 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 3: that you can't throw, it actually favors Cleveland because they 408 00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 3: want to run the ball. Buffalo wants to throw the ball. 409 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:56,399 Speaker 3: It is now maybe Sunday morning. This is bettable right 410 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 3: now for me for my purposes on Thursday. You gotta 411 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 3: stay away from it. The weather is too big of 412 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 3: an X factor. Next one, Dallas at Minnesota is a 413 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 3: stay away in this regard. I was I like Minnesota 414 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:13,080 Speaker 3: in this spot. Okay, I like the I almost this 415 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:14,960 Speaker 3: is kind of a stay away slash be careful. I 416 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:16,960 Speaker 3: probably should have put it in the be careful category, 417 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 3: but I'll analyze it the same. I like Minnesota in 418 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,920 Speaker 3: this spot. I think Minnesota being the dog at home 419 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,560 Speaker 3: against Dallas is downright disrespectful, even though I don't trust 420 00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,920 Speaker 3: Minnesota as much as the record demandsdays that I should 421 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 3: trust them. This line is so fishy and it feels 422 00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 3: like they are daring you to pick the Vikings. The 423 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,160 Speaker 3: Cowboys coming off a terrible loss, Dak hasn't looked good. 424 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 3: Minnesota's coming off a great win, and that to me 425 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 3: is the equalizer in this Dallas coming off a bad 426 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:52,800 Speaker 3: loss feeling awful Minnesota coming off one of the best 427 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 3: regular season wins anyone's ever had. The other concern is, 428 00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 3: if you're going with the Vikings, are teams going to 429 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 3: start giving justin Jefferson like the old Randy Moss treatment 430 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 3: of We're just gonna doub you the whole game and 431 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 3: see and dare you guys to beat us with anyone else? 432 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:13,679 Speaker 3: So I'm staying away from it. 433 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 1: What's up. 434 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,560 Speaker 2: Imagine what this point spread would have been had Buffalo 435 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 2: not fumbled in the end zone. I think it's like 436 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,160 Speaker 2: Dallas minus three point five, three and a half. 437 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,680 Speaker 3: I you know, I don't know how much the Vikings 438 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:29,400 Speaker 3: win in a weird way. I wonder if it goes 439 00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:33,080 Speaker 3: the other way. I wonder if the Vikings winning actually 440 00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:36,840 Speaker 3: made them bigger underdogs because people are concerned about the 441 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 3: letdown spot that they are gonna be a little you know. 442 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 3: So I'm not sure. But that game was so wild. 443 00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 3: That and the Dallas game also. Now here's what I 444 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,640 Speaker 3: don't like for Dallas. On the Dallas side of things, 445 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 3: I don't like five quarter games. I don't like teams 446 00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,800 Speaker 3: that the previous week played not only overtime, but deep 447 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 3: into overtime. I feel like that takes a real toll, 448 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:00,719 Speaker 3: but I'm staying away from it. And the last one, 449 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 3: I'm staying away San Francisco against Arizona. We don't know 450 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 3: who's playing quarterback for Arizona. I don't actually care about that. 451 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 3: Arizona's getting eight, by the way, I think Colt McCoy's fine, 452 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,760 Speaker 3: and I think the team dislikes Kyler. However, this might 453 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 3: be the first game Arizona has all of its weapons 454 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 3: because Nuke was suspended. They traded for Hollywood Brown, and 455 00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 3: they traded for Robbie Anderson. They all three might be 456 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 3: on the field this week. As a possibility Hollywood Brown 457 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:36,360 Speaker 3: plays the Mexico City part is complicating factor. The lack 458 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,600 Speaker 3: of knowledge about who's playing quarterback for Arizona's a complicating factor, 459 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,119 Speaker 3: and whether or not San Francisco is just going to 460 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 3: be able to run the ball down Arizona's throat. My 461 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 3: lean here was Arizona because of the uncertainty at quarterback. 462 00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:50,640 Speaker 3: I'm staying away from. 463 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 2: Shannan's the third worst coach is a favorite since he 464 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 2: became a coach. If Kyler Murray's playing, are you taking 465 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:56,879 Speaker 2: Arizona again? 466 00:26:57,040 --> 00:27:00,879 Speaker 3: I don't at eight if the line. If they were 467 00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,080 Speaker 3: to announced Kyler the starter and the line were to 468 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,920 Speaker 3: stay here, yes, I think they have baked. I think 469 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:09,399 Speaker 3: the line probably drops to six if Kyler is playing. 470 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,159 Speaker 3: I listen. I think San Francisco is a great team. 471 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,479 Speaker 3: I really do. But they You're right about that. They 472 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,640 Speaker 3: don't cover a lot because they don't blow people out 473 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 3: because of their style of play. I'm staying away from 474 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 3: it now to the be carefuls all right, phillyate Indy, 475 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 3: Washington and Houston Kansas City at the Chargers, be careful 476 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 3: on phillyate Indy. For this regard, there are two universes 477 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:45,080 Speaker 3: that exist. One is that Indy can't protect Matt Ryan, 478 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 3: that Philly's furious about the game they gave away against Washington, 479 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 3: That that Philly d line forces three fumbles on Matt Ryan. 480 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,680 Speaker 3: He you know, self sacks a number of times. Jeff 481 00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:00,399 Speaker 3: Saturday gets depanted as we thought he would last week, 482 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 3: and Philly beats him thirty one to three. That universe exists. 483 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:11,280 Speaker 3: It also exists that on Monday morning on TV, there 484 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 3: are two parallel discussions going on. One is how many people, 485 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 3: oh Jeff Saturday in apology, He's got the cults fighting 486 00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:23,720 Speaker 3: a hard fought, shocking win against Philly, and the other 487 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 3: one being wow, is you know Philly from eight to 488 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:31,639 Speaker 3: no to second place in the division? Right those the 489 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 3: I think Vegas is daring you to bet Philly because 490 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 3: Indy isn't a good team. However, Indy with Matt Ryan playing, 491 00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 3: has been a competent team, and seven points is a 492 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 3: lot to lay on the road. I would be careful 493 00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 3: in that spot, just like I would be careful with 494 00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:57,240 Speaker 3: Washington at Houston. Washington coming off a great win, Houston 495 00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 3: looks like the worst team in the league. Your only 496 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 3: laying a field goal. I feel like this is a 497 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 3: game that is gonna be one of the most popular picks. 498 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,920 Speaker 3: You're gonna have seventy five percent of the public betting 499 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:15,200 Speaker 3: on Washington. Washington won that game despite the fact that 500 00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 3: they still don't have solid quarterback play and their running 501 00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,720 Speaker 3: attack is averaging less than four yards per carry. That is, 502 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,840 Speaker 3: Houston is going to win at least two more games 503 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 3: this year. This could be one of them. I say, 504 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,880 Speaker 3: be careful. I'm not willing to bet on Houston. They've 505 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 3: been so poorly coached, they've been so bad. I'm not 506 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:35,680 Speaker 3: I'm not willing to bet on them, But I think 507 00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:38,479 Speaker 3: you gotta be careful. What's I get fading Washington? But 508 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 3: Houston is like one of the worst teams in the 509 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 3: league right now, and Chase Young might be back. Is 510 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 3: this kind of disrespectful, disrespectful to the Commanders. I don't listen. 511 00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:49,480 Speaker 3: I don't think the Commanders have earned respect. The Commanders 512 00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 3: are fine. They are a fine man. Listen. Yeah, that's fine, 513 00:29:54,640 --> 00:30:00,040 Speaker 3: They're fine. I'm not laying I'm not laying points on 514 00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 3: the road with Washington right now. Even against Houston, I'm 515 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 3: certainly not laying a full field goal. And the last 516 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 3: be carefuls can city in the Chargers. Listen, the Chargers 517 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:14,680 Speaker 3: give the Chiefs hell. They lose to the Chiefs, but 518 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 3: those games are close. If you want to bet Chiefs Chargers, 519 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 3: wait until the Chargers take a lead and live. Bet 520 00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:27,280 Speaker 3: the Chiefs on the money line. Don't bet them now. 521 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,760 Speaker 3: So I just feel like at minus five and a half, 522 00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 3: they're daring you to bet the Chiefs because you're not 523 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,360 Speaker 3: even laying the full touchdown, not even laying the full six. 524 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:40,240 Speaker 3: Be careful in this spot. If you want to bet 525 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 3: the Chiefs, wait until the game gets going the Chiefs 526 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 3: fall down, and because here's the other thing, the Chargers 527 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,280 Speaker 3: are totally desperate in this spot. If the Chiefs win 528 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:55,920 Speaker 3: this game, the division race is over. It's not mathematically over, 529 00:30:56,440 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 3: but the Chiefs win the Chiefs and two, the Chargers 530 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:04,760 Speaker 3: would be five and five and the Chiefs would have 531 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:09,000 Speaker 3: swept them. So that would mean that the Chargers to 532 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,760 Speaker 3: win the division even if they went ran the table 533 00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 3: after this game, the Chiefs would have to go eleven 534 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 3: and six, which would mean the Chiefs would have to 535 00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 3: go two and four the rest of the way. This 536 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 3: would This is a division championship game for the Chiefs, 537 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,040 Speaker 3: so the Chargers, it's a kitchen sink game for them. 538 00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:30,719 Speaker 3: They're gonna be desperate. I think they'll come out strong. 539 00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 3: I'm not laying the five and a half with Kansas City, 540 00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:40,480 Speaker 3: all right, Perfectly priced Carolina at Baltimore, Bakers starting this 541 00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 3: is a tough spot for my guy. Demant say, it's 542 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 3: a tough spot for my guy. I expect Baltimore to 543 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,080 Speaker 3: look really good and I expect Baltimore to win by 544 00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 3: about two touchdowns. I like the price on it and 545 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,680 Speaker 3: Jets at the Patriots. The line strikes you initially disrespectful 546 00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 3: to the Jets. Then you realize the Patriots have beaten 547 00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 3: the jetsoeen consecutive games, tied for the longest streak of 548 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 3: any team over another team in the league with the 549 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 3: Chiefs over the Broncos. It's the line's just right at 550 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 3: Patriots minus. If it was minus three, you'd like the Patriots. 551 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 3: At minus four, you might like the Jets three and 552 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 3: a half. This feels like a seventeen fourteen, seventeen thirteen 553 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 3: type of game. So I to me, the line's just right. 554 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 3: There's no value there. All right, I've got a teaser 555 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 3: for you this week. I have been knocked out of 556 00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 3: my Survivor pool. We'll discuss the heartbreak of that. Eighty 557 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 3: people left half a million to the winner and I 558 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:38,400 Speaker 3: got knocked out by the damn Eagles Washington game. All that, 559 00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:40,560 Speaker 3: we'll see what else we've got as we wrap the show, 560 00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,440 Speaker 3: and we'll recap our picks and give you the right move, 561 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:45,120 Speaker 3: which has not been the right move, but we'll give 562 00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 3: it to you anyway. That's all next, What's Right? All right? 563 00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,200 Speaker 3: Welcome back in final segment, What's Right with Nick Right? 564 00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:58,280 Speaker 3: Our Week eleven gambling Show, Our five picks this week 565 00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:03,280 Speaker 3: Chicago plus three Atlanta, the Giants minus three at home 566 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,520 Speaker 3: against Detroit, the Rams plus four and a half at 567 00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:11,440 Speaker 3: New Orleans, the Raiders plus three at Denver, and Pittsburgh 568 00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:16,360 Speaker 3: plus four against Cincinnati. Now time for the right move. Now, listen, 569 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:20,080 Speaker 3: we have been clawing our way back to five hundred. 570 00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 3: We're twenty four to twenty five and one. We have 571 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,760 Speaker 3: had four straight winning weeks. I believe, and I really 572 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 3: like our picks this week, and I like our process 573 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,480 Speaker 3: all year long. If I'm being totally honest, and we're 574 00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 3: going to finish the year, our goal was to finish 575 00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 3: the year of fifty eight percent. I think we can 576 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 3: still do it. That would be highly profitable, but we 577 00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,000 Speaker 3: need to keep churning out three and two weeks with 578 00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:41,680 Speaker 3: a few four and one weeks. With that said, the 579 00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 3: right move is three and seven, so we're gonna need 580 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 3: to get a bunch of these right moving forward. I 581 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,920 Speaker 3: am going to have the right move this week be 582 00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:57,480 Speaker 3: the one favorite that we're picking the Giants minus three 583 00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 3: against Detroit. That is our right move of the week. 584 00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 3: We also have an exotic for you this week. One 585 00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 3: I have already placed. This is a three team six 586 00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 3: point teaser at plus one sixty, we are teasing the 587 00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:22,399 Speaker 3: Chiefs down to a pick them from where minus five 588 00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 3: and a half six six and a half doesn't matter 589 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,320 Speaker 3: at all becomes a pick them. Essentially, we are teasing 590 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:31,560 Speaker 3: the Raiders up to plus eight and a half or nine, 591 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:33,200 Speaker 3: depending on where you get them. If they're two and 592 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,879 Speaker 3: a half or three right now. You're teasing them up 593 00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:38,520 Speaker 3: through the three, the four, of the six and the 594 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 3: seven and the eight. And we are teasing the Niners 595 00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 3: down to minus two to where they just have to 596 00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:50,000 Speaker 3: win by a field goal. So the Niners, Chiefs, and 597 00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 3: Raiders on a three team teaser, the Chiefs just to win, 598 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:55,959 Speaker 3: the Niners to win by at least a field goal, 599 00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:59,520 Speaker 3: and the Raiders to getting you know, plus eight and 600 00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:03,360 Speaker 3: a half or none. Those are our three picks. Demons 601 00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:06,879 Speaker 3: is in a bit of a gambling slump. He does 602 00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,240 Speaker 3: not have picks to give this week, am I correct? 603 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 3: He's take you know what, He's taken a week off 604 00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:14,880 Speaker 3: to regroup, or at least a few days off until 605 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,400 Speaker 3: Sunday morning rolls around and he shows me the teasers. 606 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 3: What's up? 607 00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:19,600 Speaker 2: This is my second week, That's what I'm saying. 608 00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:21,880 Speaker 3: A couple weeks off. It's exactly what I said. It's 609 00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:24,600 Speaker 3: taking a couple weeks off to regroup. He had the 610 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:28,359 Speaker 3: big win a few about three weeks ago, and then 611 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:32,239 Speaker 3: two weeks ago he got crushed by the Bills, losing 612 00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:34,000 Speaker 3: out right to the Jets. So now he's taking a 613 00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,360 Speaker 3: few weeks off. But you do have an offer for me. 614 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:37,920 Speaker 3: So what is the offer? 615 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:42,760 Speaker 2: Call this one? The four playoff teams NFC East parlay? 616 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,080 Speaker 2: Can all four of these teams? Wait? Can all four 617 00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 2: of these teams win this week? New York Giants minus 618 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:52,960 Speaker 2: three versus Detroit Philadelphia Eagles minus seven versus Indy Dallas 619 00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:57,360 Speaker 2: Cowboys minus one and a half in Minneapolis, Washington Commanders 620 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,480 Speaker 2: minus three. At Houston, odds are plus twelve hundred. 621 00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:06,719 Speaker 3: So they like that four team A four team all 622 00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:12,600 Speaker 3: against the spread parlay. They're all favorites. It sounds like 623 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:15,279 Speaker 3: about the squarest bet I've ever heard. I do not 624 00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 3: like it. Okay, I gotta tell you right now, I 625 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 3: don't like that at all. Square meaning lame, no, so 626 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:25,759 Speaker 3: sharps and squares, so sharps and gambling parlance. Sharps is 627 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,880 Speaker 3: what I aspire to be. Someone that is a sharp better, 628 00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 3: square is the public side. Square is what our triangle. 629 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:40,200 Speaker 3: I'd be like a triangle right now? What's that like between? No, 630 00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 3: you're you're a square, square, you're a square better, you're no. 631 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:43,839 Speaker 2: Man. 632 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 3: The square betters win sometimes. But by definition, the fact 633 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:53,319 Speaker 3: that you're firing off seven and eighteen parlays that you are, 634 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,640 Speaker 3: by definition a square better doesn't mean you can't have 635 00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 3: a winning season so far. 636 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:04,080 Speaker 2: You're having three of those first shot to hit bets, alright, 637 00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:07,800 Speaker 2: five huh, I've hit three of them, okay, by definition, 638 00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:09,359 Speaker 2: that makes me a triangular better. 639 00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:14,280 Speaker 3: By definition, the fact that you are betting first player 640 00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:18,560 Speaker 3: to make a basket in NBA games, those bets exist 641 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 3: for square betters. A man, listen, I like what you 642 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:24,480 Speaker 3: you know what? Though you might have created something there 643 00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:28,920 Speaker 3: though the triangle better. This is sometimes a sharp, sometimes 644 00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,440 Speaker 3: a square. So I'm calling myself, would you be at 645 00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:34,439 Speaker 3: Isosceles scaling or equalized Isoceles? 646 00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:37,240 Speaker 2: Man, somebody is gonna eat that up. That's so funny. 647 00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:41,279 Speaker 2: There's somebody that actually calls me Isoceles. Really yeah, because 648 00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:43,000 Speaker 2: of my mustache. 649 00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:46,800 Speaker 3: But because they say your mustache is like an isauceg triangle. 650 00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:50,560 Speaker 3: But that's all right. I call you a gus, so fine. 651 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:51,960 Speaker 2: Don't let them lie. 652 00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 3: From book club last week, I said, I'm gonna start 653 00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:00,879 Speaker 3: calling your gus. Been walking around the house saying us, yeah, 654 00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 3: coming here. He doesn't respond. I'm like, don't you known't 655 00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:05,960 Speaker 3: I'm talking to you. Good luck with your gambling this week. 656 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:19,840 Speaker 3: We'll see you guys on Monday.