WEBVTT - PC Sales, SoftBank and OpenAI, Holiday Box Office Trends

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<v Speaker 1>From Mahard that we're Innovation Money and Power Collie in

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<v Speaker 1>Silicon Vallet NBN.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde.

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<v Speaker 3>And Ed lud Love.

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<v Speaker 4>Live from New York.

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<v Speaker 5>This is Bloomberg Technology coming up PC sales. They're stalling,

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<v Speaker 5>causing Dell to fall following its third quarter earnings.

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<v Speaker 4>Will break it all down.

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<v Speaker 5>Plus soft Bank wants to boost its stake in open Ai,

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<v Speaker 5>looking to buy out to our one point five billion

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<v Speaker 5>dollars in shares from the startups employees, and Wicked and

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<v Speaker 5>gladiated to have kicked off what's likely to be a

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<v Speaker 5>strong holiday season for cinemas. We bring you the content

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<v Speaker 5>to consume this Thanksgiving, but first we check on these markets.

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<v Speaker 5>And we've got some good news being bad news. Basically,

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<v Speaker 5>we've got a strong set of data in the economy.

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<v Speaker 5>We've still got PCE, that gauge of consumer price points

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<v Speaker 5>that the fedso looks at coming in where we expected

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<v Speaker 5>two point eight percent growth, but that is still strong.

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<v Speaker 5>And maybe we get a more cautious FED into a

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<v Speaker 5>rate cutting cycle. Maybe we don't cut at the anticipated rates,

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<v Speaker 5>so we see a sell off in the markets as

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<v Speaker 5>perhaps that's the changing of the guard when the Federal

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<v Speaker 5>Reserve view, we're off by one point one percent. Big

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<v Speaker 5>Tech sells off the most video for example, down by

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<v Speaker 5>more than three percent. But not just from a point's perspective.

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<v Speaker 5>What leads us lower on the SMP is some of

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<v Speaker 5>the earnings that we got. Let's just look at what's

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<v Speaker 5>happening on the likes of Dell HP, both of them

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<v Speaker 5>key drags on the S and P five hundred. Today,

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<v Speaker 5>I'm looking at hping of by thirteen percent almost let's

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<v Speaker 5>call it, Dell off by twelve percent, both of these

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<v Speaker 5>signifying that that recovery in PC demand just isn't really

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<v Speaker 5>happening at the pace that we are anticipating. We've also

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<v Speaker 5>got some AI to weave into all of this. We

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<v Speaker 5>can do it at Bloomberg's Brody Ford body. Let's start

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<v Speaker 5>with Dell, because this is a company that not only

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<v Speaker 5>is focusing in on the AI server perspective, but this

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<v Speaker 5>is all about PC hardware and a recovery that just

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<v Speaker 5>isn't happening.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I am speaking to you currently on a laptop

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<v Speaker 6>that I bought in summer twenty twenty, and I'm still

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<v Speaker 6>happy with it.

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<v Speaker 7>Right, I mean, they want me to buy a new one.

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<v Speaker 7>I get advertisements all the time, but I'm still sticking

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<v Speaker 7>with this laptop that's pushing five years old. And the

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<v Speaker 7>data shows that I'm not alone. It seems like a lot.

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<v Speaker 6>Of businesses and consumers bought these laptops in the early

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<v Speaker 6>days of the pandemic. And you know, for a while now,

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<v Speaker 6>the Hps and Dells of the world have said the

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<v Speaker 6>PC market recovery is just a quarter or two out.

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<v Speaker 4>It's coming.

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<v Speaker 6>People are going to buy new computers.

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<v Speaker 3>It's time, and as we've seen in these earnings, it

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<v Speaker 3>just keeps.

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<v Speaker 7>Getting pushed out as folks, you know, they're tight on

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<v Speaker 7>their budgets, they're spending money elsewhere, and they're still happy

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<v Speaker 7>with that hardware they got, you know, a couple of

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<v Speaker 7>years ago.

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<v Speaker 5>All eyes are the forecast being a little bit weak

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<v Speaker 5>and then anticipated keeping it quick. For us, Brady forward,

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<v Speaker 5>we really appreciate that roundup of numbers. We've got more

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<v Speaker 5>earnings to report to go through. Of course, CrowdStrike having

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<v Speaker 5>a look at shares off by four and a half percent.

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<v Speaker 5>We can detail this with Margi Murphy joining us on

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<v Speaker 5>the fact that boy, we go back to the summer,

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<v Speaker 5>we go to the impact on Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 4>We think about.

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<v Speaker 5>The offline implications of CrowdStrike.

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<v Speaker 4>Have they recovered right?

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, So July nineteenth, we have had this global tech

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<v Speaker 8>outage after CrowdStrike pushed out a software update impacting.

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<v Speaker 4>Devices using Windows operating systems.

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<v Speaker 8>It looks like, you know, it was their second report

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<v Speaker 8>since this glitch, and it looks like sales haven't been

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<v Speaker 8>hit by it. However, shares dropped when investors read about

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<v Speaker 8>the estimates for the earnings of for share in the.

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<v Speaker 4>For the next earnings report.

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<v Speaker 8>So that's eighty four cents to eighty six cents when

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<v Speaker 8>the analysts we're expecting eighty seven cents, which suggests that

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<v Speaker 8>they're not out of the woods quite yet and the

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<v Speaker 8>headwinds could continue.

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<v Speaker 5>Talk to us a little bit about a thirty two

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<v Speaker 5>million dollar deal with Parasoft in particular, and whether or

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<v Speaker 5>not we're getting deals pushed out or canceled or any

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<v Speaker 5>rethinking ultimately on demand for products coming from CrowdStrike.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the company did refer to this illness.

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<v Speaker 8>Earnings were cool, but currently basing, very focused and talking

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<v Speaker 8>about their products to come. In terms of the AI

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<v Speaker 8>and updates there. In terms of deals with the government,

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<v Speaker 8>they were pretty tight lipped.

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<v Speaker 4>On that, so more to see.

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<v Speaker 5>That must be noted that third quarter revenue did actually

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<v Speaker 5>come in better than expective. Maggie Murphy on the breakdown

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<v Speaker 5>of what happened with CrowdStrike, more earnings, tech more broadly,

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<v Speaker 5>let's talk about all of it. Angela, Bastien Pillies with

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<v Speaker 5>us picked up asset management. It is wonderful to have

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<v Speaker 5>some time in the ANGELI and just we're trying to

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<v Speaker 5>understand whether this whole exuberance around generative AI, whether the

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<v Speaker 5>desire to get into the infrastructure really is implicating saying

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<v Speaker 5>you're on my demand for PC, you're a my demand

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<v Speaker 5>for new protection and cybersecurity that involves general to AI.

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<v Speaker 4>Is it being translated yet?

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's quite interesting. I think there's a huge expectation

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<v Speaker 9>obviously on journey of AI. It's been two years now,

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<v Speaker 9>we're in November twenty twenty four now, since the launch

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<v Speaker 9>of judg EBT. I think what's interesting is that the

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<v Speaker 9>buildout is creating a lot of demand for all sorts

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<v Speaker 9>of new technologies. I think you mentioned the PC, the smartphones.

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<v Speaker 9>I think clearly HBM high band with memory. Nobody would

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<v Speaker 9>have expected that demand to be so high even a

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<v Speaker 9>year ago. I think that trickles down to PC smartphones.

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<v Speaker 9>Of course lackluster numbers today, but at the same time,

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<v Speaker 9>when you think about AI on the edge and what

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<v Speaker 9>can come around any smartphone, including obviously the iPhone seventeen,

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<v Speaker 9>which is all they expected to increase their memory by

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<v Speaker 9>at least fifty percent for the next round of innovations.

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<v Speaker 9>So I think AI on the edge HM high band

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<v Speaker 9>with memory famous Moore's law now also embedding you know,

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<v Speaker 9>a lot more memory in order to run Geneva. I

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<v Speaker 9>I think that buildout is creating a lot of demand

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<v Speaker 9>for obviously different technologies from semiconductor design all the way

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<v Speaker 9>to semiconductor software, but also to the actual equipment makers

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<v Speaker 9>who also now see sort of demand for this advanced

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<v Speaker 9>packaging that I mentioned earlier. So I think where we

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<v Speaker 9>are is also an S curve. So the infrastructure build

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<v Speaker 9>out of c very important. But even in the second

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<v Speaker 9>third phase, there's some very interesting, you know, investments that

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<v Speaker 9>we see in software now starting to embed more and more.

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<v Speaker 9>Jenny VII, I mean you mentioned CrowdStrike earlier. That's a

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<v Speaker 9>great example where there's a talent shortage where Jenny I

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<v Speaker 9>can actually help you. You know, CrowdStrike has a product

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<v Speaker 9>called CHARLOTTYI, so that helps you also find problems or event.

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<v Speaker 9>Data driven information can be used within Genovai as well

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<v Speaker 9>within the products that they sell, and that's quite interesting

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<v Speaker 9>there about.

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<v Speaker 5>The question though for many is there's interesting s clubs,

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<v Speaker 5>there's there's interesting opportunity. You talk about the whole bandwidth

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<v Speaker 5>where you could be allocating money, But are the valuations

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<v Speaker 5>already reflecting the optimism that we get AI at the

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<v Speaker 5>edge we will start adopting it.

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<v Speaker 9>So I think on valuations it's an interesting sort of dilemma.

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<v Speaker 9>I think right now, I think there's a lot going

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<v Speaker 9>on in terms of the obviously profitability revenues that you

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<v Speaker 9>see today and probably justifies a lot of it. But

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<v Speaker 9>I think moving forward to a bigger, I think pool

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<v Speaker 9>of potential investments opportunities beyond the tech stocks. If you

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<v Speaker 9>want all the information technology stocks, I think you see

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<v Speaker 9>a lot of other areas which are not necessarily related

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<v Speaker 9>to it, which can have very you know, obviously interesting valuations,

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<v Speaker 9>also interesting opportunities. So when you look through beyond an

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<v Speaker 9>index or beyond a handful of stocks, I think there

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<v Speaker 9>can be some very interesting opportunities there where the valuations

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<v Speaker 9>may not be as high, and also the potential remains

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<v Speaker 9>still very very strong because there was.

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<v Speaker 5>Some example, are you talking about energy opportunities, you talk

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<v Speaker 5>about other spaces within software that for example hasn't already

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<v Speaker 5>been priced in like a Palenteer.

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<v Speaker 9>So I think we look at everything from like I

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<v Speaker 9>mentioned some of the equipment makers which play a big role,

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<v Speaker 9>and the whole US reshowing you're showing. I mean, there's

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<v Speaker 9>huge subsidies out there and huge sort of investments that

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<v Speaker 9>are all the out there for a huge number of

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<v Speaker 9>these new buildouts of Semiconustric.

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<v Speaker 5>Intel you're saying, and even a TSMC in this geopolitical environment.

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<v Speaker 9>So if you take under the reshowing sor if you're

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<v Speaker 9>showing sort of examples, if you take Micron, TSMC, Intel, Samsung,

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<v Speaker 9>you have more than three hundred and twenty five billion

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<v Speaker 9>of all the you know, sort of expenses out there

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<v Speaker 9>in terms of building out these brand new factories. So

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<v Speaker 9>I think there that means that you're going to embed

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<v Speaker 9>a lot of new equipment within those factories and then

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<v Speaker 9>obviously a lot of other softwares and even industrial robotics

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<v Speaker 9>within those trees. Because these chips sometimes are so heavy

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<v Speaker 9>you need robotics arms to carry them. So those are

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<v Speaker 9>the sort of examples where you can look beyond sort of,

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<v Speaker 9>you know, some of the obvious IT stocks that very

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<v Speaker 9>often would fall into that category of valuations being a

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<v Speaker 9>bit tricky.

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<v Speaker 5>Your CV is so fascinating because, like me, you sort

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<v Speaker 5>of started focusing in on the bomb market, credit, and

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<v Speaker 5>then you've really dived into some niche areas that everyone's.

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<v Speaker 4>Now interested in digitalization.

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<v Speaker 5>Robotics, As you say security, Where are we going to see,

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<v Speaker 5>for example, the robotics reimagining come in? Where is it

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<v Speaker 5>US based companies? Is it global?

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<v Speaker 9>Interesting? I think on the robotics side, you can look

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<v Speaker 9>at everything from actual industrial robotics, so factory arms that

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<v Speaker 9>help you build semiconductor chips or eb cars, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 9>But the automation behind robotics is quite interesting in terms

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<v Speaker 9>of expanding through software through all these data driven decisions,

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<v Speaker 9>both for industrial and for enterprise. Actually, there's a very

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<v Speaker 9>interesting chart that I often use about the growth since

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<v Speaker 9>twenty twenty one to thirty about the semiconductor industry, and

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<v Speaker 9>you will see the growth rate is actually quite interesting

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<v Speaker 9>in the automotive and the industrial sector, and that's.

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<v Speaker 4>Also obviously driving a lot of MENA.

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<v Speaker 9>Recently Zeeman's acquiring Altare or even Synopsis acquiring ANSS. There's

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<v Speaker 9>a lot of emine in that space because the hardware,

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<v Speaker 9>if you want, is supplemented more and more with the software,

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<v Speaker 9>but also the data driven decisions. I think that in

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<v Speaker 9>the field of roboties will be quite interesting going forward.

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<v Speaker 4>Angelae, great to have some time with you.

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<v Speaker 5>Come back, thank you asually past MLA FicT Asset Management. I.

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<v Speaker 4>Meanwhile, coming up, we're going to be joined by the.

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<v Speaker 5>CEO of Metanics on the company's earnings results, his thoughts

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<v Speaker 5>on trends in enterprise spending in general to AI.

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<v Speaker 4>This is bloom bag technology.

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<v Speaker 5>Infrastructure software company Btanics for the first quarter results fiscal

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<v Speaker 5>first quarter and gave an outlook seen as pretty positive

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<v Speaker 5>by analyst. Shares though coming off of their highs on

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<v Speaker 5>the day, we're now trading lower. Let's talk about it

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<v Speaker 5>with the Newtanic CEO regime Ramaswami joining us now and

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<v Speaker 5>people feeling that perhaps you had good set of growth

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<v Speaker 5>but cautious outlook here, particularly when it comes to federal spending.

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<v Speaker 4>Can you just talk us through some of that caution.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, thank you, Carolyn. Great to be on here. If

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<v Speaker 3>we had a good quarter.

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<v Speaker 10>We exceeded all our guided metrics, and we also were

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<v Speaker 10>able to raise our guide for Q two, but we

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<v Speaker 10>felt it prudent to keep our revenue guide for the

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<v Speaker 10>full year the same while we raised our free cash

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<v Speaker 10>pro guide.

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<v Speaker 3>Now, this quarter we had a relatively weak federal business.

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<v Speaker 3>It's usually the peak business for FED, given it's their

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<v Speaker 3>year end.

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<v Speaker 10>We expect FED spending to return to normal levels more

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<v Speaker 10>or less in Q two, But then we have a

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<v Speaker 10>new administration coming on board in January, and you know,

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<v Speaker 10>we don't exactly know what's going to happen, but we

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<v Speaker 10>have to adapt to whatever may happen with the new administration,

0:11:55.600 --> 0:11:57.880
<v Speaker 10>and so we're being a bit cautious about the FED

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:00.400
<v Speaker 10>overall for the rest of the year, and it's one

0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:01.439
<v Speaker 10>of the reasons.

0:12:01.040 --> 0:12:04.200
<v Speaker 3>Why we kept our fullier revenue outlook the same.

0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:06.240
<v Speaker 5>We can see the last three months your shares have

0:12:06.320 --> 0:12:07.680
<v Speaker 5>done well, up some thirty percent.

0:12:08.200 --> 0:12:09.920
<v Speaker 4>Morgan Stanley was putting it out there.

0:12:09.880 --> 0:12:12.720
<v Speaker 5>That they feel technology spend is more immune to perhaps

0:12:12.760 --> 0:12:15.080
<v Speaker 5>the belt tightening we're going to see more broadly with

0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 5>the new administration.

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:17.200
<v Speaker 4>Do you feel that.

0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:21.119
<v Speaker 5>Sort of viewpoint, does usually you ride out any cutbacks?

0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:25.679
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I think fundamentally when I look at every company,

0:12:25.679 --> 0:12:30.120
<v Speaker 10>including governments and organizations, are becoming software entities more and

0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 10>more because they rely on applications and data to drive

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:37.199
<v Speaker 10>their businesses more so than ever, and so from that perspective,

0:12:37.200 --> 0:12:40.240
<v Speaker 10>they have to make the right investments and technology, especially software.

0:12:40.640 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 3>So I look at it and.

0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 10>Say, there's an overall macro situation, and within that situation,

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 10>text sped will probably do slightly better than whatever you

0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 10>see in macro, and within that software spending is probably

0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:52.600
<v Speaker 10>going to be better, right as they have to invest

0:12:52.600 --> 0:12:55.440
<v Speaker 10>in these key initiatives. Now, all that said, though, we've

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:57.800
<v Speaker 10>talked for several quarters about how people are being very

0:12:57.840 --> 0:13:00.400
<v Speaker 10>careful about making sure they get the benefit for what

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:03.040
<v Speaker 10>they spend, looking at the returnal investment, looking at the

0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:05.840
<v Speaker 10>total cost of ownership benefits. And that's one of the

0:13:05.880 --> 0:13:08.480
<v Speaker 10>things that we very much provide as a company and

0:13:08.600 --> 0:13:12.000
<v Speaker 10>when customers pick us to run their applications and data,

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 10>and that's.

0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:15.640
<v Speaker 5>Been the selling point of hyperconverged infrastructure more broadly, because

0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:19.000
<v Speaker 5>you're doing this storage, the computing, the networks altogether I'm

0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:21.360
<v Speaker 5>interested as youve though, with that come some supply chain

0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 5>headaches that you suffered in the past. I go back

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.360
<v Speaker 5>a few years and you were very well versed at

0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 5>talking us through macro headwinds. When you're looking at geopolitics

0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:32.679
<v Speaker 5>as it is, do you have any worries about your

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:35.480
<v Speaker 5>own supply chain or access to certain hardware for example?

0:13:36.320 --> 0:13:37.720
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, First of all, to be clear, we are a

0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:42.240
<v Speaker 10>software company, but customers run our software on hardware, so

0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:45.240
<v Speaker 10>their access hardware is important for them to run our

0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:47.880
<v Speaker 10>software right, and that's the indirect dependency that we have

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:49.640
<v Speaker 10>on the supply chain.

0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:52.319
<v Speaker 3>Now, what we've done on our front is we provided.

0:13:51.920 --> 0:13:55.200
<v Speaker 10>A lot of diversity and choice for customers. They can

0:13:55.360 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 10>pick their choice of server vendors across the spectrum pretty

0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:01.280
<v Speaker 10>much any server vendor and run our software on it.

0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:05.080
<v Speaker 10>So that helps them diversify a bit from any supply

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:08.840
<v Speaker 10>chain shortages that might come on board because.

0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:12.319
<v Speaker 3>They do have this broad choice. And as a software company,

0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:13.240
<v Speaker 3>that's what we try and do.

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.679
<v Speaker 10>We try and provide that flexibility and freedom of choice

0:14:15.720 --> 0:14:17.680
<v Speaker 10>so that our customers can conduct their business.

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.240
<v Speaker 5>And you've been building out partnership, so it's interesting that

0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:22.720
<v Speaker 5>on the same day as your numbers. We digest Dell

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 5>of course, big in server AI servers and good growth

0:14:27.400 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 5>there for them.

0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:30.040
<v Speaker 4>Perhaps the market got ahead of that growth.

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 5>I'm interested as to how the market's digesting your own

0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:33.760
<v Speaker 5>generative AI focus.

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, for us, our generative focus AAI focuses pretty early.

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:41.040
<v Speaker 10>If you look at AI overall in the market, a

0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:44.080
<v Speaker 10>lot of the money has been spent on training, large

0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:47.480
<v Speaker 10>language models and massive compute clusters, driven by a relatively

0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 10>small number of high spenders. The vast majority of enterprises

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:53.360
<v Speaker 10>and government organizations.

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:54.480
<v Speaker 3>These are our customers.

0:14:54.520 --> 0:14:56.320
<v Speaker 10>You know, there's one hundred thousand of them around plus

0:14:56.680 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 10>around the world. Today we have about twenty six thousands

0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:01.360
<v Speaker 10>of them as our customers. They are still in the

0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 10>early stages of deploying and adopting GENERALLYBAI. Most of them

0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:08.240
<v Speaker 10>are first of all going to be consuming these models

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 10>that are pre trained, and they're going to be using

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 10>it for inferencing, fine tuning, rag and inferencing so that

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:18.320
<v Speaker 10>they can get real productivity gains. For example, improve the

0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:23.120
<v Speaker 10>productivity of their developers, improve their customer support, I'll get

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:25.440
<v Speaker 10>better means to do fraud detection.

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:27.800
<v Speaker 3>As an example. These are some of the applications that

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:31.080
<v Speaker 3>companies around the world and organizations are trying to build.

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:34.880
<v Speaker 10>We provide a simple platform that provides a turnkey way

0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 10>for them to build and deploy those genera AVIAI inferencing applications,

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:42.960
<v Speaker 10>and so that market is still early. Most companies are

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 10>at this point incubating these applications.

0:15:45.280 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 3>We've seen some go to production.

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:49.520
<v Speaker 10>I do think twenty twenty five and twenty twenty six

0:15:49.520 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 10>are going to be big years as companies take those

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:52.840
<v Speaker 10>applications to production.

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.240
<v Speaker 5>Still wedding regime from Aswami, it's great tows some time

0:15:56.280 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 5>with the NTANIC CEO there. Jamison Greer, who is President

0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 5>elect Donald Trump's pick for the top trade position, sees

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:14.040
<v Speaker 5>China as a quote generational challenge to the United States,

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 5>has advocated for a strategic decoupling from the country, and

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:19.520
<v Speaker 5>he's actually already played a pretty key role in imposing

0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 5>TARIS on China during Trump's first term. Let's get to

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:24.640
<v Speaker 5>grips of it from a tech perspective with Blumbags Mike

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 5>Sheppard in d C.

0:16:25.560 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 4>Mike, Look, we.

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:29.600
<v Speaker 5>Once again are just getting the feeling that anyone with

0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 5>exposure to China supply chain or demand is going to

0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:33.560
<v Speaker 5>having a tough time.

0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 11>That's right, Caroline, And the selection of Jameson Greer, as

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:42.880
<v Speaker 11>you noted, really signals a direction of travel for this

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 11>incoming administration.

0:16:44.760 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 2>That may be hard for companies to avoid.

0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 11>There have been some hope that the naming of Scott Pissent,

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 11>for example, as the incoming Treasury Secretary, could mean that

0:16:56.040 --> 0:16:59.800
<v Speaker 11>Trump might temper his desire to impose tariffs of this

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:02.680
<v Speaker 11>much as sixty percent on Chinese goods the way he

0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:05.920
<v Speaker 11>had promised on the campaign trail. But picking Jamison Greer

0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:09.719
<v Speaker 11>for this key trade position, which will negotiate and elaborate

0:17:09.800 --> 0:17:12.919
<v Speaker 11>US trade policy, suggests otherwise.

0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 2>Very much so.

0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:17.440
<v Speaker 11>And when we talk about this strategic decoupling, Greer has

0:17:17.520 --> 0:17:20.359
<v Speaker 11>left us a few clues and about what that means

0:17:20.359 --> 0:17:23.240
<v Speaker 11>and how he could pursue it. For one, he has

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:28.200
<v Speaker 11>floated the idea of revoking China's permanent normal Trade relation status,

0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:31.200
<v Speaker 11>and this is one that was granted to Beijing back

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.439
<v Speaker 11>in two thousand when China was trying to enter the

0:17:33.720 --> 0:17:37.119
<v Speaker 11>World Trade Organization. That would put China back on the

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:41.399
<v Speaker 11>same footing as Russia, Cuba, and North Korea, and it

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:44.520
<v Speaker 11>would subject Chinese goods through a range of terrorists that

0:17:44.560 --> 0:17:47.359
<v Speaker 11>are exempted from right now.

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:48.480
<v Speaker 2>The other thing he.

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:51.320
<v Speaker 11>Has talked about doing is expanding export controls of the

0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:53.879
<v Speaker 11>kind that we've seen the Biden administration imposed and a

0:17:53.960 --> 0:17:57.080
<v Speaker 11>range of tech products, and all of this is huge

0:17:57.280 --> 0:18:01.119
<v Speaker 11>ramifications for companies like Apple and Intel and venture investors.

0:18:01.160 --> 0:18:03.560
<v Speaker 4>Well precisely, I'm Tim Cook.

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:08.240
<v Speaker 5>I'm sat there reading this hypothesis and this generational challenge.

0:18:08.760 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 5>Am I going to sit there confidently that I'm going

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 5>to get some exemption that I'm a carve out.

0:18:15.080 --> 0:18:18.439
<v Speaker 11>If you're Tim Cook, you already know Donald Trump pretty

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 11>well from his first term in office, and you will

0:18:21.280 --> 0:18:25.520
<v Speaker 11>remember the experience that you went through as he imposed

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 11>harraffs on goods coming in from China. And he knows

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:33.240
<v Speaker 11>that he will need to intercede and intervene pretty quickly

0:18:33.280 --> 0:18:36.960
<v Speaker 11>and very personally with the president. Donald Trump is somebody

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:40.600
<v Speaker 11>who likes to engage with CEOs and businesses and is

0:18:40.640 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 11>willing to hear them out. But the time to act

0:18:43.440 --> 0:18:44.840
<v Speaker 11>is sooner rather than later.

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:45.480
<v Speaker 2>So you can.

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 11>Expect that top executives will be trying to get Donald

0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 11>Trump's here and even also talk to Jamison Greer and

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:56.920
<v Speaker 11>other top economic officials like Scott Piscent incoming Treasury Chief,

0:18:57.160 --> 0:19:01.480
<v Speaker 11>and then also the person he designated it his National

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:04.840
<v Speaker 11>Economic Council Director, and that is Kevin Hazard, whom he.

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:05.600
<v Speaker 2>Named last night.

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:10.000
<v Speaker 5>Another person recognized from the first administration, Mike Shephard, Thank

0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 5>you so much. Like talking of one key CEO who

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 5>has Trump's ear. Let's get today's Tech Daily, written by

0:19:16.359 --> 0:19:19.560
<v Speaker 5>Blue mos Kirk Wagner, who says Elon Musk is about

0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:22.640
<v Speaker 5>to twitterize the US government in his new official role

0:19:22.960 --> 0:19:25.240
<v Speaker 5>as a head of the Department of Government Efficiency, an

0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:29.480
<v Speaker 5>unofficial Trump anointed group tasked with identifying some two trillion

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:30.480
<v Speaker 5>dollars in spending cuts.

0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:31.760
<v Speaker 4>Kurt joins us.

0:19:31.800 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 5>Now, look, we can debate whether two trillion is ever

0:19:33.880 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 5>really a reality or a figure that can be attained,

0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:40.920
<v Speaker 5>but boy, we can kind of sense what's coming from

0:19:40.960 --> 0:19:42.280
<v Speaker 5>what happened to Twitter now X.

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:46.320
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, we've been here before, right two years ago, we

0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:50.119
<v Speaker 12>were watching him basically go into another institution, in this

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:54.240
<v Speaker 12>case Twitter, and got the company right. And we're seeing

0:19:54.280 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 12>a lot of the same strategies come forward already in

0:19:57.600 --> 0:20:00.919
<v Speaker 12>this sort of first couple weeks of the Department of

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 12>Government Efficiency. So you know, he said he's going to

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 12>eliminate work from home. He's going to have, you know,

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:11.560
<v Speaker 12>dramatic cost cuts on headcount for people. We know that

0:20:11.600 --> 0:20:14.080
<v Speaker 12>he's going to do things at a million miles per hour.

0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:16.200
<v Speaker 12>That's what Elon Musk does with everything. And I think

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:19.399
<v Speaker 12>the point of this kind of column this morning was

0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:21.919
<v Speaker 12>to remind people that when he did that at Twitter,

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 12>he did succeed in the sense that Twitter still operates

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.959
<v Speaker 12>on a much smaller budget than it did before. But

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:30.400
<v Speaker 12>he broke a lot of things along the way.

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 5>He broke and therefore maybe you make the point this

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:36.399
<v Speaker 5>might not be healthy, It might.

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:40.159
<v Speaker 4>Be achievable, might be doable, but is it healthy? And look,

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 4>one social media.

0:20:41.560 --> 0:20:45.800
<v Speaker 5>Platform versus the US government functioning is a very different thing.

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 12>Right, and it's not a perfect Apple Staples comparison. But

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:55.159
<v Speaker 12>I think what we saw from the Twitter example was

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:58.040
<v Speaker 12>that he was very comfortable just saying we're going to

0:20:58.080 --> 0:20:59.600
<v Speaker 12>do these cuts, We're going to do them as fast

0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:01.639
<v Speaker 12>as possile, well, and then we'll go back and fix

0:21:01.680 --> 0:21:04.679
<v Speaker 12>things afterwards. I don't think it's going to be that simple,

0:21:04.680 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 12>of course, when you you know, do this at the

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:09.679
<v Speaker 12>size and scale of the US government. And so my

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:12.000
<v Speaker 12>hope of course as a citizen here of the US

0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 12>is that he's a little bit more thoughtful here and

0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 12>that he doesn't just slash and burn and then try

0:21:16.800 --> 0:21:19.160
<v Speaker 12>to go back and fix those mistakes later on, because

0:21:19.200 --> 0:21:22.560
<v Speaker 12>that might not be possible in the government situation in

0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:24.720
<v Speaker 12>the same way that you know he tried to do

0:21:25.080 --> 0:21:25.639
<v Speaker 12>with Twitter.

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:27.560
<v Speaker 4>It's a great read.

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:30.399
<v Speaker 5>Go to check out the Tech Daily Today, author by

0:21:30.440 --> 0:21:30.960
<v Speaker 5>Ko Wagner.

0:21:31.000 --> 0:21:31.680
<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much.

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:42.160
<v Speaker 5>Welcome back to Blomberg Technology from Caroline Hide in New York.

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:44.879
<v Speaker 5>Let's just talk about crypto and or the future of

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 5>it at the moment. With the usc FTC, the relatively

0:21:47.480 --> 0:21:51.320
<v Speaker 5>underfunded regulator that's been overshadowed by the SEC, now a

0:21:51.400 --> 0:21:55.120
<v Speaker 5>path too prominence. If the incoming Trump administration really revamps

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:59.000
<v Speaker 5>crypto policy and installs an industry leaning chair Republicans control

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:02.119
<v Speaker 5>in Congress and the White House, the agency's jurisdiction might

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:06.159
<v Speaker 5>actually expand dramatically, including two major tokens such as bitcoin

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:08.880
<v Speaker 5>and eve. Let's bring in Bill Harris more around how

0:22:08.880 --> 0:22:10.920
<v Speaker 5>you should be thinking about crypto and your wealth within

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:13.359
<v Speaker 5>it Fanta seeo of Evergreen Wealth, but also formacy of

0:22:13.359 --> 0:22:16.879
<v Speaker 5>PayPal intuit. You'll understand how to build businesses. I'm interested

0:22:16.920 --> 0:22:19.920
<v Speaker 5>when you're looking at the regulatory overview, when you're looking

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:22.199
<v Speaker 5>at everyone suddenly probably coolling you up, wanting to know

0:22:22.240 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 5>how their investments in crypto are looking and how they

0:22:24.840 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 5>should make the most of them.

0:22:26.800 --> 0:22:29.639
<v Speaker 4>Do you make changes ahead of an administration change?

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:30.760
<v Speaker 2>Yes, of course.

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 1>What you do is you try to anticipate where it's going,

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 1>and in my particular arena financial services and particularly financial technology,

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>there is likely to be a significant reduction in the

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 1>regulatory burden for particularly the people who are working with

0:22:46.359 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 1>new assets such as crypto.

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:51.800
<v Speaker 5>Of course, PayPal has been making inroads into that space.

0:22:51.840 --> 0:22:53.840
<v Speaker 5>They've been adopting and offering it far more. Do you

0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:56.880
<v Speaker 5>think this has become a much more ubiquitous asset class.

0:22:56.560 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>More broadly, well, certainly as it starts to show up

0:22:59.880 --> 0:23:01.399
<v Speaker 1>in and ETFs and things like that.

0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:02.399
<v Speaker 2>The answer is yes.

0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:06.240
<v Speaker 1>In terms of actual holding, I don't think so, because

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:09.400
<v Speaker 1>most of the people who want to hold it directly

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 1>are already working through exchanges.

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:16.360
<v Speaker 5>And when you're thinking, before I get onto what everyone's

0:23:16.359 --> 0:23:18.800
<v Speaker 5>asking you about how to hold crypto and how to

0:23:18.840 --> 0:23:22.040
<v Speaker 5>make it most beneficial, I want to know with your head,

0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:24.400
<v Speaker 5>your hat on of having led businesses such as into

0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:27.480
<v Speaker 5>It and PayPal. How do you start talking to people

0:23:27.480 --> 0:23:30.160
<v Speaker 5>in government at this moment, How do you start discussing

0:23:30.200 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 5>it with your employee base, how things might look more

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:34.480
<v Speaker 5>uncertain going into the new year.

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:41.120
<v Speaker 1>In terms of talking to government, it's really important as

0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:44.080
<v Speaker 1>they're coming in to try to make contacts with people

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 1>that are likely to be in decision making positions, particularly

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:52.600
<v Speaker 1>in my case for financial services, with the employees. There's

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 1>not a whole lot to say, particularly because in our

0:23:56.320 --> 0:24:01.119
<v Speaker 1>particular business and we focus on investment taxes amongst others things,

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:05.080
<v Speaker 1>it is likely to be more of the same rather

0:24:05.200 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>than big changes.

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:08.919
<v Speaker 2>And the reason being the real.

0:24:10.200 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Unknown has for a long time been whether the Tax

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Cut and Jobs.

0:24:14.240 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 2>Act would be extended.

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 1>At the end of twenty twenty five, it's now clear

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:22.600
<v Speaker 1>that it will be extended. What's the impact. The impact

0:24:22.640 --> 0:24:25.199
<v Speaker 1>is there will be no changes in many of the

0:24:25.240 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 1>aspects of the investment tax arena.

0:24:28.000 --> 0:24:30.119
<v Speaker 5>Okay, so let's talk about wealth built up during the

0:24:30.160 --> 0:24:34.159
<v Speaker 5>course of twenty twenty four. Marcus done well, crypto has exploded.

0:24:34.480 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 5>I'm sad on a whole load of increased value.

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:39.000
<v Speaker 4>Yes, well, does one do?

0:24:39.000 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 5>Does one therefore sell out if it's that thought of

0:24:41.840 --> 0:24:43.040
<v Speaker 5>a fund that they've been getting into.

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 4>We're not talking about your four oh one K. We're

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:46.840
<v Speaker 4>not talking about put it away. We're talk about people

0:24:46.840 --> 0:24:47.600
<v Speaker 4>who've been trading this.

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:51.000
<v Speaker 1>It's a very difficult thing from a tax point of view.

0:24:51.000 --> 0:24:54.399
<v Speaker 1>Crypto's kind of a mess because it is not treated

0:24:54.440 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 1>like currency. From the tax point of view, it's treated

0:24:56.880 --> 0:24:59.960
<v Speaker 1>as property, and that means it's tax the same way

0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:01.240
<v Speaker 1>that most securities are.

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:03.440
<v Speaker 2>And so you've got capital gain.

0:25:04.040 --> 0:25:07.720
<v Speaker 1>A capital gain is the best kind of income to

0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:10.520
<v Speaker 1>be taxed on. First of all, it's lower tax rate

0:25:10.600 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>than ordinary income, but it's also then there are many

0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:18.040
<v Speaker 1>things you can do about the timing of recognizing capital gain.

0:25:18.520 --> 0:25:21.480
<v Speaker 1>If you don't do that, if you don't think about

0:25:21.480 --> 0:25:24.520
<v Speaker 1>the timing, then you're going to be hit by anything

0:25:24.560 --> 0:25:28.959
<v Speaker 1>from twenty percent to thirty five percent capital gains tax

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:31.080
<v Speaker 1>when you sell at a gain.

0:25:32.160 --> 0:25:32.880
<v Speaker 2>There are some.

0:25:32.840 --> 0:25:37.119
<v Speaker 1>Really terrific things you can do to reduce, offset, defer,

0:25:37.359 --> 0:25:40.119
<v Speaker 1>or even eliminate that capital gains tax, but you have

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:40.959
<v Speaker 1>to be smart about it.

0:25:41.040 --> 0:25:45.560
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we're talking about tax efficiency here, not tax avoidance.

0:25:46.240 --> 0:25:48.680
<v Speaker 5>What is efficient, particularly if you're thinking time of year

0:25:48.680 --> 0:25:50.240
<v Speaker 5>I'm going to be a given kind of a person.

0:25:50.600 --> 0:25:52.880
<v Speaker 5>There's a lot of chargeable giving you can do by

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:54.399
<v Speaker 5>using and locking in those gains.

0:25:55.280 --> 0:26:00.679
<v Speaker 1>Yes, both charitable giving and family gifting, both those are

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:03.640
<v Speaker 1>ways you can eliminate the capital gains that you would

0:26:03.640 --> 0:26:06.480
<v Speaker 1>otherwise pay. If you're going to do a charitable deduction

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:09.879
<v Speaker 1>or if you're a charitable donation, the best way to

0:26:09.920 --> 0:26:12.800
<v Speaker 1>do it is with a donor advised fund a DAFF.

0:26:13.280 --> 0:26:14.520
<v Speaker 2>And the reason is this.

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:18.480
<v Speaker 1>First of all, there are two benefits for gift giving

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:23.159
<v Speaker 1>to charity. Number one, you do not pay any unrealized

0:26:23.200 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 1>capital gains. You never pay tax on that unrealized gain.

0:26:26.160 --> 0:26:30.120
<v Speaker 1>In addition, if you itemize, you also get a charitable deduction.

0:26:30.440 --> 0:26:33.080
<v Speaker 1>So it's a two for It can be great. What's

0:26:33.119 --> 0:26:36.120
<v Speaker 1>the problem. There are not many charities that are even

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:40.240
<v Speaker 1>able to contemplate taking crypto and you have to pass

0:26:40.280 --> 0:26:44.159
<v Speaker 1>it as crypto. You can't yourself turn it to FIAT

0:26:44.200 --> 0:26:46.560
<v Speaker 1>and then pass it because then the gain is yours.

0:26:47.400 --> 0:26:51.200
<v Speaker 1>But donor advised funds allows you to put the crypto

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:54.600
<v Speaker 1>into the fund. You can take the tax exemption this

0:26:54.800 --> 0:26:57.480
<v Speaker 1>tax year, and then you can decide when you want

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:01.520
<v Speaker 1>to donate and to whom anytime you like for the

0:27:01.560 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 1>next indefinite period of time.

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:07.679
<v Speaker 5>Look, you're someone who is trying to make building wealth

0:27:07.920 --> 0:27:11.280
<v Speaker 5>is technologically advanced and forward thinking as possible.

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:13.080
<v Speaker 4>You've already run businesses that have been at.

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 5>The forefront of fintech, as you say, and just digital adoption.

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 5>How do your consumers feel right now? How do you

0:27:20.600 --> 0:27:23.960
<v Speaker 5>feel as a business leader about confidence in building within

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:25.920
<v Speaker 5>the US economy and whether or not it's fit for

0:27:25.960 --> 0:27:27.600
<v Speaker 5>purpose for your particular business.

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 1>I believe in the US economy, always have, always will.

0:27:31.840 --> 0:27:33.320
<v Speaker 2>What's the big challenge?

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 1>The big challenge, of course is tariffs, because most economists

0:27:37.000 --> 0:27:39.800
<v Speaker 1>who look at that, as you well know, say this

0:27:39.960 --> 0:27:45.760
<v Speaker 1>is likely to estab to accelerate inflation rates, and inflation

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:50.240
<v Speaker 1>rates do a whole lot, particularly from the point of

0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:56.440
<v Speaker 1>view of then driving interest rates, which directly impacts any

0:27:56.920 --> 0:27:59.520
<v Speaker 1>investor with significant assets.

0:28:00.640 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 5>One for the customers you now have on one for

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:04.639
<v Speaker 5>many of you, that's watching Bill Harris, the CEO of

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:07.520
<v Speaker 5>Evergreen Wealth, but of course was helping need into It

0:28:07.600 --> 0:28:08.640
<v Speaker 5>and PayPal previously.

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:09.920
<v Speaker 4>Now it's time for talking tech.

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:13.000
<v Speaker 5>First up, black Forest Labs, the German AI startup that

0:28:13.080 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 5>helps elon Musk's Grock produce Images is in talks to

0:28:16.320 --> 0:28:18.240
<v Speaker 5>Rais as much as two hundred million dollars for investors,

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:21.960
<v Speaker 5>which include hand recent Horowitz. All this less than just

0:28:21.960 --> 0:28:25.879
<v Speaker 5>four months after it launched Plus delivery. Hero boosted the

0:28:25.880 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 5>public listing size of Talabat, its Middle Eastern unit, to

0:28:29.160 --> 0:28:31.159
<v Speaker 5>as much as two billion dollars. The deal is on

0:28:31.280 --> 0:28:34.520
<v Speaker 5>track to be the United Arab Emirates' biggest listing of

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:37.520
<v Speaker 5>the year. And Apple is missing out on the big

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty four smartphone market rebound. That's according to market

0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 5>track at IDC that actually says Apple barely manage growth

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:47.240
<v Speaker 5>even as global smartphone sales rebounds strongly after two years

0:28:47.280 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 5>of decline. Still, Apple remains by far the profit leader

0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:52.240
<v Speaker 5>over its Android rivals.

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:53.720
<v Speaker 4>Let's just dove.

0:28:53.560 --> 0:28:55.800
<v Speaker 5>Tail into what's happening on the markets right now, because

0:28:55.960 --> 0:28:58.960
<v Speaker 5>we have seen more broadly the NASDAC under precious and

0:28:59.000 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 5>concerns about economic data being pretty strong.

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 4>We also want to shine.

0:29:02.480 --> 0:29:05.360
<v Speaker 5>Light one particular company that's been on the downside for

0:29:05.400 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 5>the NASDACK as well. We're off by one point one

0:29:07.160 --> 0:29:08.920
<v Speaker 5>percent on the NASAK one hundred in video is your

0:29:08.920 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 5>biggest points contributed there? That drags us lower as we

0:29:11.560 --> 0:29:15.240
<v Speaker 5>worry about inflatory pressure stopping the FED cutting as many

0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 5>as anticipated but symbotic.

0:29:17.880 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 4>Look, here's another.

0:29:18.960 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 5>Example of a company having issues with auditing and reporting,

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 5>cutting its outlook going forward.

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:25.640
<v Speaker 4>Accounting errors is what.

0:29:25.600 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 5>They're currently saying, and so they can't file their ten

0:29:27.520 --> 0:29:29.680
<v Speaker 5>K on time. We're off by so you'll see forty

0:29:29.720 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 5>percent over the last two training days. Now really worrying

0:29:32.920 --> 0:29:36.120
<v Speaker 5>about the revenue forecast going forward. They're lowering the revenue

0:29:36.160 --> 0:29:38.920
<v Speaker 5>expectations to four hundred and eighty to five hundred million dollars.

0:29:38.960 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 5>What's interesting is this company when public VIA's back a

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:46.720
<v Speaker 5>soft Bank backed spack and indeed SoftBank's vision fund had

0:29:46.800 --> 0:29:49.320
<v Speaker 5>moved had flipped this particular company of late.

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:51.840
<v Speaker 4>But we're looking more at soft Bank as well.

0:29:51.840 --> 0:29:54.200
<v Speaker 5>The company is aiming to increase its stake in open Ai,

0:29:54.400 --> 0:29:57.480
<v Speaker 5>for example, acquiring up to one point five billion dollars.

0:29:57.280 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 4>In shares from the start up's employees.

0:29:58.960 --> 0:30:02.600
<v Speaker 5>It's according to sources, mart Bergen joins us now mark

0:30:03.280 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 5>Slapbank's always active. They're particularly active in the air of

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:11.440
<v Speaker 5>artificial intelligence. And how are they going to access this money?

0:30:11.520 --> 0:30:14.720
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, this has actually been They've been relatively quiet after

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:16.960
<v Speaker 13>that big spurt we saw from like say twenty seven

0:30:16.960 --> 0:30:19.960
<v Speaker 13>to twenty seventeen, twenty twenty one. They are now all

0:30:19.960 --> 0:30:23.240
<v Speaker 13>in your Massa's son from our reporting, wanted to invest

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 13>a lot more. In the most recent open Ai around,

0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:28.440
<v Speaker 13>they were kind of limited to five hundred million. So

0:30:28.480 --> 0:30:31.720
<v Speaker 13>now they've had this arrangement where they're able to do that.

0:30:31.800 --> 0:30:35.880
<v Speaker 13>There's a secondary sales share share sale from open Ai

0:30:35.960 --> 0:30:38.600
<v Speaker 13>employees that'll free up up to one point five billion

0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:42.080
<v Speaker 13>and give you know, Masa his opportunity to get into

0:30:42.120 --> 0:30:43.479
<v Speaker 13>this transformational company.

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:46.520
<v Speaker 5>He's already put some money to work in the recent round,

0:30:46.560 --> 0:30:48.280
<v Speaker 5>but one and a half billion dollars that's a lot

0:30:48.320 --> 0:30:51.120
<v Speaker 5>of employees selling thinking that they'll meet that mark.

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:54.520
<v Speaker 14>My expectation is.

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:57.520
<v Speaker 13>That open Ai probably did a lot of the math beforehand,

0:30:57.640 --> 0:30:59.480
<v Speaker 13>and it's pretty confident to that. I mean, it'd be

0:30:59.520 --> 0:31:01.760
<v Speaker 13>curious to see if some employees hold on to it

0:31:01.800 --> 0:31:06.720
<v Speaker 13>expecting that there they'll be able to make more later on.

0:31:07.760 --> 0:31:09.800
<v Speaker 13>This is something I believe san Altman has talked about,

0:31:10.320 --> 0:31:13.520
<v Speaker 13>is doing these with regularity, something you know where we've

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:16.360
<v Speaker 13>seen companies like like Stripe Stripe that have stayed public

0:31:16.400 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 13>for a very extendable amount of time. You know, don't

0:31:19.200 --> 0:31:22.200
<v Speaker 13>expect Opening Eye to IPO next year, and so that

0:31:22.200 --> 0:31:24.160
<v Speaker 13>that this is probably the best path for them to

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:26.200
<v Speaker 13>as far as an employee retention.

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 4>Plan, Wel said Mark Bergen.

0:31:28.080 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 5>Thank you on the latest when it comes to soft

0:31:30.040 --> 0:31:31.720
<v Speaker 5>Bank and open AI, I mean, while coming up a

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:33.960
<v Speaker 5>little bit more in the venture space seven seven six

0:31:34.200 --> 0:31:36.959
<v Speaker 5>Shooting for the Moon, the company's founding partner, Kaitlin Holloway

0:31:37.040 --> 0:31:39.160
<v Speaker 5>joins us on their space investments.

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:45.120
<v Speaker 4>That's next. This has been big technology.

0:31:50.440 --> 0:31:53.480
<v Speaker 5>Major companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin are helping usher

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:56.720
<v Speaker 5>in a new wave of mainstream space exploration. But they're

0:31:56.760 --> 0:31:58.800
<v Speaker 5>not the only firms that are searching for answers in

0:31:58.840 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 5>the sky. That's why seven seven six has already made

0:32:01.600 --> 0:32:05.760
<v Speaker 5>investments in other space companies. Take Stoke, Internoon, Astrophoge. Let's

0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:08.480
<v Speaker 5>talk through them with Caitlyn Holloway, founding partners seven seven six.

0:32:08.800 --> 0:32:10.960
<v Speaker 5>And no, we're not just talking about reusable rockets, say

0:32:11.000 --> 0:32:15.280
<v Speaker 5>we're talking about mining resources out in space or on asteroids.

0:32:15.320 --> 0:32:18.360
<v Speaker 5>Even how do you get to visualize from a founder

0:32:18.400 --> 0:32:22.640
<v Speaker 5>that they can build a totally new ecosystem that is such.

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:23.160
<v Speaker 14>A good question.

0:32:23.400 --> 0:32:25.840
<v Speaker 15>And you know, I think that my background in building

0:32:26.000 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 15>high growth companies for you know, the last almost nearly

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:32.480
<v Speaker 15>fifteen twenty years here has really helped me to better understand,

0:32:32.600 --> 0:32:35.680
<v Speaker 15>despite not being a rocket scientist myself, what it really

0:32:35.720 --> 0:32:38.120
<v Speaker 15>takes to build into the future and look to the

0:32:38.160 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 15>stars and really see a future for humanity that most

0:32:41.480 --> 0:32:43.960
<v Speaker 15>of us cannot. And so understanding what it takes to

0:32:43.960 --> 0:32:47.000
<v Speaker 15>be a great founder, whether you're building you know, a

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:51.360
<v Speaker 15>chocolate bar or a reusable rocket, there are some pretty

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:53.800
<v Speaker 15>pretty standard things that make up founder fantastic.

0:32:54.480 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 5>What makes the business opportunity or at least the valuation

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 5>fantastic because you are taking such you know, biggest scale

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:04.600
<v Speaker 5>risk in a way of whether or not one can

0:33:04.880 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 5>mine in space rather than build a chocolatepa here or

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:11.360
<v Speaker 5>notth right, Well.

0:33:11.240 --> 0:33:13.080
<v Speaker 15>You know, I think that's something that's really interesting about

0:33:13.080 --> 0:33:15.440
<v Speaker 15>the economy and the times that we're living in today.

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:17.880
<v Speaker 15>You know, even five years ago, I think that this

0:33:18.160 --> 0:33:21.400
<v Speaker 15>was far too speculative for early stage companies, early stage

0:33:21.440 --> 0:33:24.360
<v Speaker 15>VC firms to be investing in these companies at the

0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:28.160
<v Speaker 15>earliest earliest stages. And so you know, with SpaceX and

0:33:28.280 --> 0:33:31.120
<v Speaker 15>Blue Origin, who have been really charting the path from

0:33:31.200 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 15>the private sector so publicly. It really has allowed us

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:39.400
<v Speaker 15>to better understand where the technology is today. And I

0:33:39.400 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 15>think for so long, you know, the government, between NASA

0:33:42.680 --> 0:33:45.440
<v Speaker 15>and then other scientists who really have been building behind

0:33:45.520 --> 0:33:48.960
<v Speaker 15>that that cloak, behind the curtain, all of that technology

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:52.040
<v Speaker 15>is finally coming to the forefront. And so for us

0:33:52.120 --> 0:33:56.240
<v Speaker 15>now that technology is table stakes. The infrastructure is here,

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:58.840
<v Speaker 15>and so to place a bet on the table with

0:33:58.880 --> 0:34:01.720
<v Speaker 15>the expectation that we might see history be made and

0:34:02.080 --> 0:34:04.480
<v Speaker 15>some returns come back within the next ten years is

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:05.640
<v Speaker 15>not unreasonable at all.

0:34:06.360 --> 0:34:09.080
<v Speaker 5>In many ways, SpaceX has been sucking up all the

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:12.719
<v Speaker 5>oxygen in the room, and many anticipate that with Alan's

0:34:12.800 --> 0:34:16.680
<v Speaker 5>very close relationship with the Trump administration that might be

0:34:16.760 --> 0:34:20.160
<v Speaker 5>help from a regulatory perspective, but will help stoke as

0:34:20.200 --> 0:34:21.880
<v Speaker 5>well as likes of SpaceX.

0:34:23.160 --> 0:34:23.399
<v Speaker 14>Yeah.

0:34:23.440 --> 0:34:25.239
<v Speaker 15>Well, you know, I think the beautiful thing about being

0:34:25.239 --> 0:34:27.480
<v Speaker 15>a startup is that you are much more agile, you

0:34:27.520 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 15>are much more nimble, and these founders are not scared

0:34:31.000 --> 0:34:33.440
<v Speaker 15>of taking really big swings. That's the beauty of being

0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:37.000
<v Speaker 15>an early stage founder. And it's the luxury, frankly, that

0:34:37.040 --> 0:34:38.640
<v Speaker 15>SpaceX doesn't have anymore.

0:34:38.800 --> 0:34:40.400
<v Speaker 14>And so while they have paved the way.

0:34:40.880 --> 0:34:43.880
<v Speaker 15>For you know, all of the obvious reasons, but really

0:34:43.920 --> 0:34:46.960
<v Speaker 15>it's the youngest companies that are building now that are

0:34:46.960 --> 0:34:50.120
<v Speaker 15>going to take advantage of that technology and really buildings

0:34:50.160 --> 0:34:52.000
<v Speaker 15>that Again. You know, when I look at the night

0:34:52.040 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 15>sky with my little boys, it's going to look much

0:34:54.600 --> 0:34:57.280
<v Speaker 15>different for them. And you know, whether that's astro Forge

0:34:57.320 --> 0:35:00.120
<v Speaker 15>or Stoke or INNERLN, they're going to be the reason why.

0:35:00.280 --> 0:35:04.160
<v Speaker 5>Is there as much committed capital to other areas. For example,

0:35:04.200 --> 0:35:07.720
<v Speaker 5>I'm thinking about you deploy money across web three, across AI,

0:35:07.880 --> 0:35:10.640
<v Speaker 5>across climate tech. In many ways, when you're looking at

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:13.520
<v Speaker 5>evaluation of an AI company versus a space one, how

0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:14.600
<v Speaker 5>competitive is it now?

0:35:15.760 --> 0:35:16.960
<v Speaker 14>You know, it's really interesting.

0:35:17.080 --> 0:35:21.040
<v Speaker 15>Obviously, VC loves a good trend and a good hype cycle,

0:35:21.600 --> 0:35:24.000
<v Speaker 15>but I really do think that while many vcs are

0:35:24.040 --> 0:35:28.440
<v Speaker 15>looking to AI for the obvious reasons, they're also looking to.

0:35:28.520 --> 0:35:30.280
<v Speaker 14>Deep tech in a way that they haven't before.

0:35:30.320 --> 0:35:32.440
<v Speaker 15>And I think an interesting trend is that you're seeing

0:35:32.520 --> 0:35:36.480
<v Speaker 15>young generalists funds really come in and sit side by

0:35:36.480 --> 0:35:39.120
<v Speaker 15>side on cap tables with the expectation of some of

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:42.040
<v Speaker 15>these larger multi stage firms coming in and carrying them

0:35:42.080 --> 0:35:43.240
<v Speaker 15>through to the finish line.

0:35:43.360 --> 0:35:45.320
<v Speaker 14>But I really do think that this is the moment.

0:35:45.920 --> 0:35:48.280
<v Speaker 15>And again, when you see a generalist start getting involved

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:50.520
<v Speaker 15>in deep tech, I think that that means that there's

0:35:50.560 --> 0:35:51.920
<v Speaker 15>something more than a trend happening.

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:56.439
<v Speaker 5>What are you seeing in terms of future fundraising opportunities

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:58.239
<v Speaker 5>as to whether the companies that you give a seed

0:35:58.320 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 5>or very early stage investment too being able to raise

0:36:01.040 --> 0:36:03.960
<v Speaker 5>further rounds. You're managing to see the increase in the

0:36:04.040 --> 0:36:05.479
<v Speaker 5>value of your fund that you've helped build.

0:36:06.800 --> 0:36:09.720
<v Speaker 15>Absolutely, and I think that this is where the power

0:36:09.719 --> 0:36:13.040
<v Speaker 15>of selection really comes into play. You know, my partner

0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:16.040
<v Speaker 15>Alects of Sohanian has quite the track record himself, but

0:36:16.200 --> 0:36:19.760
<v Speaker 15>really understanding again where that people component meets the product

0:36:20.120 --> 0:36:22.560
<v Speaker 15>and so for us, you know, early stage investing, there

0:36:22.600 --> 0:36:25.200
<v Speaker 15>is a power law at play, of course, but the

0:36:25.239 --> 0:36:27.680
<v Speaker 15>expectation is that we will see these companies move on.

0:36:27.719 --> 0:36:30.520
<v Speaker 15>If we're investing in the very best founders, we have

0:36:30.600 --> 0:36:31.799
<v Speaker 15>no doubt that they're going to be able to pick

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 15>up those later rounds and really really take.

0:36:33.880 --> 0:36:36.880
<v Speaker 4>It all the way. Kaitlin Holloway, thanks for coming on.

0:36:37.280 --> 0:36:40.200
<v Speaker 5>Keep coming back as someone as those portfolio companies do

0:36:40.560 --> 0:36:50.160
<v Speaker 5>raise more rounds seven to seven six were appreciate it

0:36:50.320 --> 0:36:53.480
<v Speaker 5>back Friday, And isn't just for clothing or electronics steals

0:36:53.480 --> 0:36:56.480
<v Speaker 5>streaming services they're on sale too, and that could help

0:36:56.520 --> 0:37:00.240
<v Speaker 5>customers in escape perhaps some recent increases in subscriptions.

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:01.879
<v Speaker 4>Bloombergs Hannah Miller is here with more.

0:37:01.960 --> 0:37:04.960
<v Speaker 5>What's so interesting is you document basically all the deals

0:37:04.960 --> 0:37:08.200
<v Speaker 5>that are available across the multitude of streamers we will

0:37:08.239 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 5>have as as.

0:37:09.080 --> 0:37:11.799
<v Speaker 4>Though the deals are on the ones where you get ads.

0:37:11.960 --> 0:37:14.840
<v Speaker 16>Yes, most of these are for ADS supported versions of

0:37:14.880 --> 0:37:18.040
<v Speaker 16>these streaming services, with an exception here or there, but yeah,

0:37:18.160 --> 0:37:19.680
<v Speaker 16>if you want these deals, you're going to have to

0:37:19.719 --> 0:37:20.320
<v Speaker 16>watch ads.

0:37:20.520 --> 0:37:23.080
<v Speaker 5>And what are we finding these streaming companies are wanting

0:37:23.120 --> 0:37:26.080
<v Speaker 5>to promote that element, this new area where they're able

0:37:26.080 --> 0:37:27.280
<v Speaker 5>to make AD dollars as well.

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:29.600
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, I mean we've seen a lot of legacy media

0:37:29.640 --> 0:37:32.600
<v Speaker 16>companies really zero in on streaming and kind of pull

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:36.359
<v Speaker 16>away from traditional cable. They want more subscribers to these

0:37:36.360 --> 0:37:39.000
<v Speaker 16>streaming services, and this is a way to get people in.

0:37:39.600 --> 0:37:41.960
<v Speaker 5>Looking at some of the story that you have and

0:37:42.000 --> 0:37:44.000
<v Speaker 5>the discount prices, I mean, Hulu with ads is just

0:37:44.120 --> 0:37:46.880
<v Speaker 5>ninety nine cents per month, down from nine to ninety

0:37:46.960 --> 0:37:49.600
<v Speaker 5>nine per month, and we see the max two dollars

0:37:49.680 --> 0:37:52.440
<v Speaker 5>ninety nine for example, and these have we seen this repeat?

0:37:52.560 --> 0:37:54.560
<v Speaker 5>Is this something that they've drawn on in previous years.

0:37:54.800 --> 0:37:57.879
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, Hulu's actually been a pioneer in having these Black

0:37:57.920 --> 0:38:00.960
<v Speaker 16>Friday deals and we've seen other streamers upon the bandwagon.

0:38:01.800 --> 0:38:03.680
<v Speaker 16>To keep in mind with these deals, a lot of

0:38:03.719 --> 0:38:06.440
<v Speaker 16>them are short term. They're for a year at most,

0:38:06.680 --> 0:38:08.640
<v Speaker 16>so you know, those savings only go so far.

0:38:09.040 --> 0:38:11.799
<v Speaker 5>And how easy is then to exit it? Like how

0:38:11.840 --> 0:38:14.400
<v Speaker 5>much are they under duress to make sure that everything's

0:38:14.480 --> 0:38:15.200
<v Speaker 5>very transparent?

0:38:15.480 --> 0:38:18.080
<v Speaker 16>You know, if you try to cancel, they'll often offer

0:38:18.239 --> 0:38:21.560
<v Speaker 16>a little sweet nerd keep you back on board. So

0:38:22.000 --> 0:38:25.000
<v Speaker 16>it's not the worst process in the world, but it

0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:26.240
<v Speaker 16>can be a bit art to us.

0:38:26.520 --> 0:38:28.080
<v Speaker 5>It's a great read if you want to be getting

0:38:28.120 --> 0:38:31.520
<v Speaker 5>in on some of your Black Friday savings across streaming deals.

0:38:31.600 --> 0:38:32.359
<v Speaker 4>We appreciate it.

0:38:32.400 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 5>That's Hannah Miller on All Things Black Friday for streaming.

0:38:36.280 --> 0:38:38.480
<v Speaker 5>Let's go from the small screen to the big screen now,

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:41.440
<v Speaker 5>because after the movie delays from last year's Hollywood strikes,

0:38:41.800 --> 0:38:44.279
<v Speaker 5>movie theater hype is surging on the back of a

0:38:44.280 --> 0:38:48.120
<v Speaker 5>few weecent blockbusters. Just take Wicked, for example, or Gladiator two,

0:38:48.200 --> 0:38:50.000
<v Speaker 5>which have just brought in a combined on hundred and

0:38:50.000 --> 0:38:52.600
<v Speaker 5>sixty eight million dollars in sales. That's across the US

0:38:52.600 --> 0:38:55.240
<v Speaker 5>and Canadian theatres. In the past weekend alone, the domestic

0:38:55.239 --> 0:38:57.320
<v Speaker 5>box office could reach up to three hundred and seventy

0:38:57.400 --> 0:39:00.279
<v Speaker 5>million of a five day holiday period that's coming up.

0:39:00.320 --> 0:39:04.239
<v Speaker 5>This is boy based on bluemeg Intelligence analysis of industry forecasts.

0:39:04.360 --> 0:39:06.520
<v Speaker 5>The person who's been cracking those numbers is Kevin Near

0:39:06.520 --> 0:39:10.399
<v Speaker 5>from Bloemmeg Intelligence. So is it it's this time of year,

0:39:10.520 --> 0:39:13.520
<v Speaker 5>it's a consumer sentiment thing, or actually it's these particular

0:39:14.760 --> 0:39:16.200
<v Speaker 5>movies that are drawing everyone in.

0:39:16.320 --> 0:39:17.360
<v Speaker 17>I think it's both, Caroline.

0:39:17.360 --> 0:39:17.919
<v Speaker 4>I think it's both.

0:39:17.960 --> 0:39:21.160
<v Speaker 17>I think there's a great flux of just a perfect

0:39:21.160 --> 0:39:23.520
<v Speaker 17>storm right now. I mean, these three films, they're getting

0:39:23.560 --> 0:39:26.040
<v Speaker 17>a lot of buzz. They're being received very well by critics,

0:39:26.040 --> 0:39:29.080
<v Speaker 17>by audiences, and that's after a few different misfires, right So,

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:31.680
<v Speaker 17>cinemas certainly aren't happy. The studios are certainly happy. As

0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:33.759
<v Speaker 17>you just said, some of the more bullish estimates are

0:39:33.760 --> 0:39:35.960
<v Speaker 17>putting the total hall for this five day period could

0:39:35.960 --> 0:39:37.759
<v Speaker 17>be north of three hundred maybe three hundred and fifty

0:39:37.800 --> 0:39:38.440
<v Speaker 17>million dollars.

0:39:39.080 --> 0:39:39.680
<v Speaker 4>These are not.

0:39:39.840 --> 0:39:42.760
<v Speaker 5>Cheap movies to have made though, so these ones needed

0:39:42.800 --> 0:39:44.280
<v Speaker 5>to be bookbusters.

0:39:43.760 --> 0:39:46.840
<v Speaker 17>Right correct, correct? Now by no stretch where they achieved

0:39:46.880 --> 0:39:49.480
<v Speaker 17>films and then you act a factor in the marketing

0:39:49.480 --> 0:39:52.600
<v Speaker 17>campaigns as well. We saw some incredible marketing spend for Wicked.

0:39:52.600 --> 0:39:54.360
<v Speaker 17>I'm sure you saw ads everywhere.

0:39:54.400 --> 0:39:56.320
<v Speaker 4>Solves everywhere, everything.

0:39:55.920 --> 0:39:57.800
<v Speaker 17>Ever, everywhere, everywhere, So they got to see a return

0:39:57.840 --> 0:40:00.920
<v Speaker 17>on that, and really that kicks off that of content value.

0:40:00.920 --> 0:40:03.000
<v Speaker 17>Flywheel starts with the theater, right and then you see

0:40:03.040 --> 0:40:06.000
<v Speaker 17>that carry on. We're just talking about streaming services, so

0:40:06.080 --> 0:40:10.520
<v Speaker 17>really that that theatrical runway can really accelerate that that flywheel.

0:40:11.160 --> 0:40:13.280
<v Speaker 5>My family a little bit too young for the Wicked

0:40:13.320 --> 0:40:15.640
<v Speaker 5>side of things. Husband's already done Lady eight to two,

0:40:16.239 --> 0:40:19.239
<v Speaker 5>but we are interested in Moana too. Now, how big

0:40:19.280 --> 0:40:20.920
<v Speaker 5>a dealer is that could be for Disney and Disney

0:40:20.920 --> 0:40:23.759
<v Speaker 5>streaming one of the how are they giving that to

0:40:23.800 --> 0:40:24.240
<v Speaker 5>the public.

0:40:24.480 --> 0:40:26.160
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, well we're starting to get a little bit of

0:40:26.160 --> 0:40:28.640
<v Speaker 17>of numbers in Mowana two had a great preview last night,

0:40:28.680 --> 0:40:31.560
<v Speaker 17>a record for a Walt Disney animated film, which is

0:40:31.560 --> 0:40:33.840
<v Speaker 17>really nice to see. And I think it does complement

0:40:34.400 --> 0:40:36.160
<v Speaker 17>the Wicked audience. As you said, you kind of are

0:40:36.160 --> 0:40:38.799
<v Speaker 17>getting the female demographic, but you're getting different ages there.

0:40:39.320 --> 0:40:42.040
<v Speaker 17>So really it's you know, looking great for cinemas and

0:40:42.120 --> 0:40:44.120
<v Speaker 17>Disney specifically. You know, the studio has had such a

0:40:44.120 --> 0:40:46.200
<v Speaker 17>wonderful bounce back this year after a few misfires in

0:40:46.200 --> 0:40:48.680
<v Speaker 17>twenty twenty three. I mean they're only putting out a

0:40:48.719 --> 0:40:51.640
<v Speaker 17>handful of blockbuster films, but inside out too, phenomenal of

0:40:51.680 --> 0:40:54.920
<v Speaker 17>Deadpool and Wolverine really really impressive, and then Mowana and

0:40:54.920 --> 0:40:57.000
<v Speaker 17>then they have a Lion King sequel coming out in December,

0:40:57.040 --> 0:40:59.040
<v Speaker 17>so really great turnaround, and then hopefully that Moments of

0:40:59.120 --> 0:40:59.960
<v Speaker 17>can continue next year.

0:41:01.360 --> 0:41:05.239
<v Speaker 5>Much of this are sequels, yes, is that just the

0:41:05.320 --> 0:41:08.799
<v Speaker 5>vibe and I no Wicked was kind of different, but

0:41:08.880 --> 0:41:10.960
<v Speaker 5>certainly tried and test it on Broadway, right, I.

0:41:10.960 --> 0:41:12.480
<v Speaker 17>Mean there's so much content out there. You got to

0:41:12.560 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 17>understand the studios are leaning onto established ip right, something

0:41:16.200 --> 0:41:18.799
<v Speaker 17>that's had successed in the past. So whether it's a

0:41:18.800 --> 0:41:21.719
<v Speaker 17>brand or some sort of a sequel, as you said, yes,

0:41:21.800 --> 0:41:22.920
<v Speaker 17>you're going to see a lot of that.

0:41:23.160 --> 0:41:25.040
<v Speaker 2>They're trying to balance it out with the originals here

0:41:25.040 --> 0:41:25.319
<v Speaker 2>and there.

0:41:25.360 --> 0:41:28.359
<v Speaker 17>I mean, Amazon just had an original film called Red

0:41:28.360 --> 0:41:30.919
<v Speaker 17>One that came out, so you are seeing a little

0:41:30.960 --> 0:41:31.200
<v Speaker 17>bit of.

0:41:31.560 --> 0:41:32.080
<v Speaker 2>Back and forth.

0:41:32.120 --> 0:41:34.359
<v Speaker 17>But I do think Disney especially has said that they're

0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:36.719
<v Speaker 17>going to lean into some of their established franchises.

0:41:36.960 --> 0:41:38.920
<v Speaker 5>Interesting that Red One then also went to the theaters

0:41:38.920 --> 0:41:41.520
<v Speaker 5>as well, having originally not been planned to Bloommeg Intelligence

0:41:41.560 --> 0:41:43.680
<v Speaker 5>als Kevin Nick. It's a great weed and it's a

0:41:43.680 --> 0:41:46.680
<v Speaker 5>fun one ahead of the holidays. Meanwhile, we want to

0:41:46.760 --> 0:41:49.880
<v Speaker 5>keep an eye on what's happening as we hurtle towards

0:41:50.280 --> 0:41:52.480
<v Speaker 5>a long weekend. And that's that one hundred currently off

0:41:52.520 --> 0:41:56.560
<v Speaker 5>by one point three percent. We're currently seeing tugged lower

0:41:56.800 --> 0:41:58.520
<v Speaker 5>by the likes of video and some of the key

0:41:58.560 --> 0:42:00.640
<v Speaker 5>tech names where we're seeing a bit of profit taking.

0:42:00.680 --> 0:42:02.600
<v Speaker 5>Not so for Bitcoin went back up at ninety five

0:42:02.640 --> 0:42:05.600
<v Speaker 5>thousand Bitdell and crowdstrikes some of those earnings coming out

0:42:05.880 --> 0:42:10.360
<v Speaker 5>and really putting paid to any optimism around a PC recovery,

0:42:10.400 --> 0:42:13.319
<v Speaker 5>particularly for Dell and HP. We've got so much more

0:42:13.400 --> 0:42:15.000
<v Speaker 5>to digest, But that does it for this edition of

0:42:15.000 --> 0:42:15.880
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg Technology.

0:42:15.920 --> 0:42:17.280
<v Speaker 4>Do not forget to check out our podcast.

0:42:17.320 --> 0:42:18.960
<v Speaker 5>You can find it on the terminal as well as

0:42:18.960 --> 0:42:23.760
<v Speaker 5>online on Apple Spotify, and iHeart Go have wonderful Thanksgivings days.

0:42:24.080 --> 0:42:27.080
<v Speaker 4>Having the day off tomorrow, we tune in to Bloomberg

0:42:27.120 --> 0:42:28.640
<v Speaker 4>on Friday. This is Bloomberg Technology